2020 Interim Results Presentation - 26 FEBRUARY 2020 - Meridian Energy

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2020 Interim Results Presentation - 26 FEBRUARY 2020 - Meridian Energy
2020 Interim Results
   Presentation

       26 FEBRUARY 2020
2020 Interim Results Presentation - 26 FEBRUARY 2020 - Meridian Energy
Progress on strategy

                       26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   2
2020 Interim Results Presentation - 26 FEBRUARY 2020 - Meridian Energy
Progress on strategy

                       26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   3
2020 Interim Results Presentation - 26 FEBRUARY 2020 - Meridian Energy
Financial performance

                        26 FEBRU ARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   4
2020 Interim Results Presentation - 26 FEBRUARY 2020 - Meridian Energy
Dividends

 Interim ordinary dividend declared of 5.70 cps,                           Interim dividend declared
                                                                            CPS            Ordinary dividend       Special dividend       Total
  86% imputed, unchanged from 1H FY19
                                                                            10
 Capital management interim special dividend                                9                                                  8.14          8.14
                                                                                      7.54            7.77        7.82
  of 2.44 cps, unimputed                                                     8
                                                                             7                                                  2.44          2.44
 Capital management distributions to $625M                                           2.44            2.44        2.44
                                                                             6
  since the programme began in August 2015                                   5
                                                                             4
 Ordinary dividend and capital management                                   3
                                                                                      5.10            5.33        5.38          5.70          5.70
  update later in 2020                                                       2
                                                                             1
                                                                             0
                                                                                   2015        2016               2017          2018          2019
                                                                            Six Months ended 31 December
                                                                                                                                           Source: Meridian
 Dividends declared                                1H FY20                        1H FY19
                                          cents per share   imputation   cents per share     imputation
   Ordinary dividends                               5.70         86%               5.70           86%
   Capital management special dividends             2.44          0%               2.44            0%
 Total                                              8.14                           8.14

                                                                                           26 FEBRUARY 2020    2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N         5
2020 Interim Results Presentation - 26 FEBRUARY 2020 - Meridian Energy
New Zealand energy margin

 Customer and sales volume growth across all                               New Zealand energy margin movement
                                                                            $M                                Physical                               Financial
  segments                                                                  700                               +$94M                                    -$5M

 Mass market average price flat, upward price
                                                                                                                  +8
  pressure in corporate                                                     600
                                                                                                       +49                                     -67      +65          -3      -1
                                                                                                                                     +92
 Financial contract, spot generation and                                                    +30
                                                                                                                           -85

  hedging revenues all reflected lower                                      500

  wholesale prices                                                                                                                                                                    598

 Those lower prices also reduced costs in the                              400    510

  portfolio
 Higher net physical and lower net financial                               300
                                                                                   Energy Res, SMB, C&I sales NZAS sales Generation Cost to Derivative Cost of     Net VAS   Other    Energy

  positions                                                                       Margin 31 Agi sales
                                                                                   Dec 18
                                                                                                                            spot    supply  sales and derivative
                                                                                                                          revenue customers purchases sales and
                                                                                                                                                       purchases
                                                                                                                                                                                     Margin 31
                                                                                                                                                                                      Dec 19
                                                                                                                                                                               Source: Meridian

Refer to pages 38-39 for a further breakdown of New Zealand energy margin

                                                                                              26 FEBRUARY 2020                2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N                             6
New Zealand customers

 5% sales volume growth in residential and       Customer sales           Customer numbers    Sales volume    Average price
                                                                                      (ICPs)          (GWh)        ($/MWh)
  10% in small medium business while              1H FY20
  maintaining average sales price                 Residential                        205,712            801

 Residential, business, agri revenue increased   Small medium business               42,308            546
                                                  Agricultural                        40,661            592
  $30M (13%)
                                                  Large business                      21,605            248
 39% growth in corporate sales volume at a       Total Residential/SMB              310,286          2,187            $116
  13% higher average sales price                  Corporate                            3,313          1,474             $93

 Corporate sales revenue increased $49M
                                                  1H FY19
  (57%)
                                                  Residential                        198,740            762
 Powershop was the top ranked electricity        Small medium business               38,781            496
  provider in Consumer NZ’s annual survey         Agricultural                        37,978            455

 Meridian was the top ranked large retailer      Large business                      18,658            223
                                                  Total Residential/SMB              294,157          1,936            $116
                                                  Corporate                            2,426          1,063             $82

                                                                 26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N     7
New Zealand generation                                  NZ average generation price
                                                        $/MWh
                                                        150                                                       124
                                                                                                      93                         101
 Record levels of hydro and wind generation            100            57
  for a first half financial year                                                      44
                                                         50
 Major flood event in early December 2019                 0
  lifted Meridian’s 1H FY20 inflows to 136% of                  2015        2016                    2017          2018          2019
                                                        Six Months ended 31 December
  average                                                                                                                    Source: Meridian

 Some moderation in wholesale prices during             2020 HVDC capacity
                                                                     Pole 2 Out
  1H FY20, concerns around gas supply remain            MW
                                                                      DC Max:
                                                                                                    Pole 3 Out
                                                                                                     DC Max:
                                                        1,400         780MW                          500MW
 Major outages on the HVDC between January             1,200
                                                                             Earth Electrode
                                                                                  Out
  and April 2020 for reconductoring and                 1,000
                                                                                DC Max:
                                                                                                   today
                                                                                 400MW
  replacement works
                                                          800
 Meridian’s North Island position managed                600
  through wind generation and financial                   400
  contracting                                             200
 Actual level of HVDC transfer depends on                     0
  North Island reserve availability and pricing                     1   8 15 22 29 5 12 19 26 4 11 18 25 1                  8 15 22 29
                                                                   Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Feb Feb Feb Feb Mar Mar Mar Mar Apr Apr Apr Apr Apr
                                             Source: Transpower

                                                                        26 FEBRUARY 2020       2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N           8
Australian customers

 Electricity and gas customer growth in all   Powershop Australia net customer changes
                                               5,500
  states and white label channels
                                                        electricity    gas
 Reported average electricity sales price     4,500
  decline reflects higher amounts paid to
                                               3,500
  customers for solar export
 Average gas sales price decline reflects     2,500
  competitive repositioning
                                               1,500
 Powershop Australia winner of Roy Morgan’s
  Electricity Provider of the Year              500

                                                -500
                                                   Jan-17    Jun-17   Nov-17   Apr-18   Sep-18   Feb-19   Jul-19     Dec-
                                                                                                           Source: Meridian

                                                            26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N         9
Australian energy margin

 Electricity and gas sales have lifted physical                       Australian energy margin movement
                                                                       $NZ M                                 Physical                                Financial
  margin                                                                90
                                                                                                              -$7M                                     +$6M

 Drought conditions and wind farm availability                         80                                +10           -11
  impacted total generation, 13% lower than 1H                          70                    +6
                                                                                                                                      -12
                                                                                                                                                  +19
                                                                                                                                                               -13

  FY19                                                                  60
                                                                        50
 Higher net financial position                                         40
                                                                                 66                                                                                         65
                                                                        30
                                                                        20
                                                                        10
                                                                         0
                                                                                Energy     Electricity   Gas sales    Generation     Cost to    Derivative    Cost of      Energy
                                                                               Margin 31     sales                   spot revenue     supply    sales and    derivative   Margin 31
                                                                                Dec 18                                              customers   purchases    sales and     Dec 19
                                                                                                                                                             purchases

                                                                                                                                                                   Source: Meridian

Refer to page 40 for a further breakdown of Australian energy margin

                                                                                       26 FEBRUARY 2020               2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N                          10
Operating costs

 Operating costs 6% higher in 1H FY20            Operating costs                          Total 31 December 2019
                                                                                           $143m
                                                  $M                                       Total 31 December 2018
 Ōhau refurbishment programme expanded,          60                     2019              $135m 2018

  now $75M (multi-year opex and capex) and               48              50
  allows a 10-year deferral of other works        50                             49

 Growth in Flux UK spend, revenue recovery       40          44

 FY20 operating costs expected at the top of     30                                        25
  the $280M to $286M range previously                                                                        20
                                                  20                                             24
  indicated                                                                                                          18
                                                  10
 FY20 capex expected at the lower end of the
  $70M to $80M range previously indicated         0
                                                       NZ Wholesale     NZ Retail          Australia          Other
 IFRS 16 reduction in full year FY20 operating   Six Months ended 31 December
                                                                                                              Source: Meridian
  costs of $6M (compared to FY19)
 Offsetting increase in lease costs and
  depreciation (below EBITDAF)

                                                              26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N          11
EBITDAF
 Record level of 1H FY20 EBITDAF1, +20% on
  1H FY19 supported by higher customer sales                                          Group EBITDAF movement
                                                                                      $M
 Higher asset maintenance/refurbishment costs                                        500
  and lower Australian generation                                                                                       -1            0           -3
                                                                                                                                                               -8
 Transmission costs include $5M Clutha Upper                                                             +88
  Waitaki Lines Project support                                                       400

 Lower 2H FY20 wholesale prices and HVDC
  outages will weigh on NZ earnings run rate                                                                                                                               465

Group EBITDAF                                                                         300     389
$M                               Interim         Final half-year    Total
1,000
                                                          838
 800
           650           657               666
                                                                                      200
 600                                                      449                               EBITDAF 31   NZ energy   Aus energy Other revenue Transmission   Operating   EBITDAF 31
                                                                                              Dec 18      margin       margin                   expenses     expenses      Dec 19
           318           303               337                                                                                                                            Source: Meridian
 400

 200                                                      389            465
           332           354               329
   0
            2016          2017         2018              2019           2020                                                        1Earningsbefore interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation,
Financial Year ended 30 June                                       Source: Meridian                                               changes in fair value of hedges and other significant items

                                                                                                    26 FEBRUARY 2020            2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N                       12
Below EBITDAF
 15% increase in depreciation from June 2019
  revaluation (+$1B)                                                                                        Underlying npat
                                                                                                            $M                          Interim      Final half-year    Total
 $6M decrease in NPBT1 from fair value of
                                                                                                            400
  electricity hedges from changing forward                                                                                                                   333
  electricity prices ($20M increase in 1H FY19)
                                                                                                            300
 $6M increase in NPBT from fair value of                                                                            233         221                         189
  treasury instruments ($15M decrease in 1H                                                                 200
                                                                                                                                               206

  FY19)                                                                                                              111          90
                                                                                                                                               102
 Significant 1H FY20 increases in NPAT                                                                     100                                                            184
  (+26%) and Underlying NPAT2 (+28%)                                                                                 122         131           104
                                                                                                                                                             144

 Net debt EBITDAF stable at 1.7 times                                                                        0
                                                                                                                    2016         2017         2018          2019          2020
 IFRS 16 now adopted, no restatement of
                                                                                                            Financial Year ended 30 June
  comparatives, $6M full year EBITDAF                                                                                                                                  Source: Meridian

  increase

1Net   profit before tax
2Net   profit after tax adjusted for the effects of non-cash fair value movements and other one-off items

                                                                                                                       26 FEBRUARY 2020    2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N         13
Markets and regulation

                         26 FEBRU ARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   14
New Zealand wholesale prices                        Otahuhu ASX futures price settment
                                                    $/MWh
                                                    220

 Wholesale electricity market continues to price   180

  in gas supply concerns                            140

 Notably OMV’s January 2020 announcement           100

  of further, unplanned issues with Pohokura         60
  supply                                               Q3    Q1     Q3  Q1    Q3     Q1    Q3  Q1      Q3     Q1   Q3
                                                      2018 2019 2019 2020 2020 2021 2021 2022 2022 2023 2023
 Early December 2019 inflow event required              31 August 2018    31 January 2020    actual since September 2018

  significant flood management in both               Spot wholesale prices and demand
                                                                                                                             Source: ASX

  catchments                                        $/MWh
                                                                National demand         Otahuhu            Benmore
                                                                                                                                   GWh
                                                    200                                                                                130
 Late December 2019 to early January 2020          180                            HVDC outage
  wholesale price declines in line with Christmas   160                            commenced
                                                                                                                                       120
                                                    140
  demand reduction                                  120
                                                    100                                                                                110
 Some price separation since commencement           80
  of HVDC outages, most notable in February          60
                                                                                                                                       100
                                                     40
  2020                                               20
                                                      0                                                                                90
                                                     1-Dec-19   15-Dec-19   29-Dec-19    12-Jan-20        26-Jan-20
                                                                                                     Source: Electricity Authority, Meridian

                                                                26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N                      15
New Zealand demand

 Demand growth of 1.3% in 2019                Annual electricity consumption (excl. agri)
                                               TWh
 Continuing trend of annual increases in      39
  demand (excluding agricultural)
 Agricultural load (2.5TWh) reasonably flat   38                 37.6                                                       37.7
  annual consumption with variable seasonal           37.2                  37.3                             37.2
                                                                                             37.0
  usage                                        37
 Tighter demand supply balance and higher
  wholesale prices are encouraging new         36
  generation to market
                                               35
                                                     Sep-14      Sep-15    Sep-16         Sep-17          Sep-18           Sep-19
                                                                                 Source: Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment

                                                             26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N                     16
Renewable development

 Harapaki windfarm investment decision
  expected by the middle of 2020
 Access to lower Lake Pukaki storage (to
  513.0m), providing 367GWh of additional
  storage
 Early stage development licenses purchased
  for a new 115MW wind farm in northern NSW
 Hume 20MW battery storage proposal in
  development

                                                                   Source: Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment

                                               26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N                     17
New Zealand policy and regulation

  EPR                                            Electricity Price Review key recommendations

                                                 within 3          within 12         within 18           in 3 years
 Final Report of the Electricity Price Review   months            months            months
  and Government’s response released in          End Prompt        Mandatory ASX     Generator-          Further review
  October 2019                                   Payment           futures market    retailers to        of industry in
                                                 Discounts,        making unless     report              Government’s
 Government will progress almost all the 32     reasonable late   industry          separately on       second term to
  recommendations                                payment fees      incentive-based   financial           ensure savings
                                                 allowed           scheme            performance of      for customers
                                                                                     retail and
                                                                                     generation
  TPM                                                                                segments
 Submissions and cross submissions heard        Introduce                           Establish a pilot
                                                 moratorium on                       scheme to help
  during Q4 2019                                 saves and win-                      non-switching
                                                 backs                               customers
 Further supplementary consultation in Q1
                                                                                     Phase out low
  2020, including prudent discounts                                                  fixed charge
 Final decision on the EA’s TPM guidelines                                          tariff
                                                                                     regulations over
  expected in Q2 2020                                                                5 years
                                                                                     commenced

                                                             26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N    18
New Zealand policy and regulation

  Zero Carbon Bill
 Passed into law as part of the Climate Change
  Response Act
 Sets a 2050 emissions target of net zero
  greenhouse gases, excluding methane
 Establishes a Climate Change Commission

    Emissions Trading Reform Bill
   Brings agriculture emissions into the ETS by
    2025 (initially with 95% free allocation)
   Removal of current $25 fixed price option
   Supply of emissions units to be set through
    auctions and capped
   Phase-down of free allocation from 2021

                                                   26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   19
New Zealand policy and regulation

    Action for Healthy Waterways
   The Government’s proposals for water reform,
    prioritising the health of waterways
   RMA changes to speed up water planning
    processes and set national standards
   A new National Policy Statement for
    Freshwater Management
   Six large hydro schemes (including Meridian’s)
    are explicitly recognised as crucial to energy
    and climate change
   Councils are still required to improve water
    health in those catchments

                                                     26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   20
Rio strategic review
 In October 2019, Rio Tinto announced a
  strategic review of the Tiwai smelter
 Rio Tinto have indicated the review will
  consider all options, including curtailment and
  closure
 The review is expected to be completed by the
  end of the first quarter in 2020
 Meridian has offered contract changes to Rio
  Tinto for 622MW and 450MW of electricity
 Significant future transmission cost savings for
  the smelter are possible
 Potential closure impacts multiple stakeholders                                               Source: NZX, Meridian

  and all generators
 Numerous mitigants, including new South
  Island transmission and demand sources,
  however an orderly exit will need time
                                                     26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N          21
Clutha Upper Waitaki Lines Project

 Agreement reached with Transpower to
  support recommencement of Clutha
  Upper Waitaki Lines Project
 Projects 1-2 have been completed                                                                             4
 Projects 3-5 were previously on hold
  pending a smelter exit                                                                                       1
 Should see lower South Island
                                           5
  transmission constraints alleviated by
  June 2022
                                                                                                           3
                                           2

                                               26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N       22
Flux

 Now supports 400,000 customers
  across 3 geographies
 Terms agreed with npower to add an
  additional 200,000 customers by end of
  2020
 55,000 Meridian customers migrated
  from legacy systems at end of January
  2020

                                                                                      Source: NZX, Meridian

                                           26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N          23
Closing comments

 1H FY20 result had market and weather
  tailwinds, however execution was excellent
 Customer growth in all geographies
 New Zealand gas market remains tight, with
  further field outages in 2020
 Solid January 2020 operating result
 HVDC outages are constraining discretionary
  generation, strong North Island wind has
  helped
 Harapaki windfarm decision by mid 2020
 Implementation of the major environmental
  policies of the coalition Government will
  support future renewable generation

                                                26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   24
Additional information

                         26 FEBRU ARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   25
Debt and funding
 December 2019 total borrowings of $1,557M
                                                       Debt maturity profile as at 31 December 2019
 Committed bank facilities of $665M, of which         $M
                                                                            Available facilities maturing
  $525M were undrawn                                   900
                                                                            Drawn debt maturing (face value)
                                                       800
 $170M of commercial paper issued on an
                                                       700
  uncommitted basis
                                                       600
 Net debt to EBITDAF at 1.7x                          500
                                                       400                                                            767
  Sources of Funding - 31 December 2019
                                                       300               105
    NZ$ bank facilities                                                                         175
                                 9%                    200
    drawn/undrawn                                             71
                                                       100               225
    EKF - Danish export                                                                         160        160
                                                              89                      60
    credit                                  30%         0
                                                             CY20       CY21      CY22         CY23       CY24       CY25+
    Retail Bonds
                           30%
    Floating rate notes

    US private placement                          3%

                                      25%
    Commercial paper        3%

                                                                   26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   26
Capital expenditure

 Consistent level of stay in business capex   Stay in business capital expenditure
                                               $M                          Interim       Final half-year    Total
 Largely consists of system and generation    80
  asset enhancement spend
                                               60
 Total capex for 1H FY20 of $32M                      50            48            47            48
 Expecting FY20 Group capex of between        40
                                                                                                 25
  $70M and $80M                                        31            28            30
                                               20
    $50M to $55M of stay in business capex                                                                    24
                                                       19            20            17            23
    $20M to $25M of currently approved        0
     investment spend                                  2016         2017          2018          2019         2020
                                               Financial Year ended 30 June

                                                            26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   27
Segment results

 Flux Federation and Powershop UK included in ‘other and unallocated’ segment

                                                         26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   28
New Zealand retail
                                             New Zealand customer connections
Customers                                    ICP (000)
                                             400                 Meridian North Island          Meridian South Island              Powershop      Total
 4% increase in customers since June 2019                 275                                      291                    302                  314
                                                                                277
                                                                                                                                                       82
                                             300                                                          66                     74
                                                                 56                   59

                                                                                                          119                    119                   120
                                                                 117                  115
Residential, business, agri segment          200

 5% increase in residential volumes         100                 102                  103                 106                    109                   112

 10% increase in small business volumes       0
                                                         Jun-16               Jun-17              Jun-18                Jun-19                 Dec-19
 11% increase in large business volumes
                                             New Zealand retail sales volume
 30% increase in agri volumes               GWH                       Residential, SMB, Agri                  Corporate               Total
                                             4,000                                                                                             3,661
 Constant average sales price                             3,164                                    3,141                  2,999
                                             3,000                              2,797
                                                                                                                                               1,474
                                                           1,163                                    1,114                  1,063
                                                                                 911
                                             2,000
Corporate segment
                                             1,000         2,001                                    2,027                                      2,187
 39% increase in volumes                                                       1,886                                      1,936

 13% increase in average sales price              0
                                                          2015           2016                       2017                   2018                 2019
                                             Six Months ended 31 December

                                                                 26 FEBRUARY 2020           2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N                           29
New Zealand hydrology
                                                  MERIDIAN'S COMBINED CATCHMENT INFLOWS
Inflows                                           GWH
                                                  9,000
 1H FY20 inflows were 136% of average            8,000
                                                  7,000
 January 2020 inflows were 71% of average        6,000
                                                  5,000
                                                  4,000
                                                  3,000
Storage                                           2,000
                                                  1,000

 Meridian’s Waitaki storage 31 December 2019         0
                                                  Financial   2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
   was 136% of average                            year                 December YTD            86 year average

 By 31 January 2020, this position was 118% of   MERIDIAN'S WAITAKI STORAGE
                                                  GWH
   average                                        2,500

                                                  2,000

                                                  1,500

                                                  1,000

                                                   500

                                                      0
                                                       1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec
                                                              Average 1979-    2013      2015       2016      2017       2018      2019

                                                                       26 FEBRUARY 2020     2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N         30
New Zealand generation
                                                New Zealand generation
Volume                                          GWH                     Hydro             Wind                Total
                                                8,000
 1H FY20 generation was 10% higher than 1H     7,000
                                                           6,858           7,029
                                                                               733       5,937
                                                                                                      6,546
                                                                                                                      7,187
                                                                                                                      779
                                                            771
   FY19, with higher hydro and higher wind      6,000
                                                                                          648
                                                                                                       621
                                                5,000
   generation                                   4,000
                                                3,000      6,087           6,296                      5,925           6,408
                                                                                         5,289
                                                2,000
                                                1,000
Price                                                 0
                                                           2015            2016          2017          2018           2019
 1H FY20 average price Meridian received for   Six Months ended 31 December

   its generation was 19% lower than 1H FY19
                                                NZ average generation price
 1H FY20 average price Meridian paid to        $/MWh
                                                140                                                    124

   supply customers was 21% lower than 1H       120
                                                                                         93
                                                                                                                      101

   FY19                                         100
                                                 80        57
                                                 60                        44

                                                 40
                                                 20
                                                  0
                                                          2015            2016          2017          2018            2019
                                                Six Months ended 31 December

                                                                 26 FEBRUARY 2020    2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   31
Australian retail
                                                 Australian customer connections
Customers                                                                       Electricity                      Gas

 14% growth in electricity customers since        160                                                                              30
  June 2019                                        140
                                                   120
                                                                                                                       23
                                                                                                                                    125
                                                                                                                       110
 35% growth in gas customers since June           100                              97                  97
                                                       80
  2019
                                                                    78
                                                       60
                                                       40
                                                       20

Sales volume                                            0
                                                             Jun-16         Jun-17                Jun-18       Jun-19        Dec-19

 18% growth in electricity sales volume in 1H   Australian retail sales volume
   FY20                                          GWH
                                                 350

 773TJ in gas sales in 1H FY20                  300
                                                 250
                                                 200
                                                 150                                                                          329
                                                                                                  289           280
                                                                            241
                                                 100
                                                            163
                                                 50
                                                  0
                                                            2015           2016                  2017          2018          2019
                                                 Six Months ended 31 December

                                                                   26 FEBRUARY 2020           2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N      32
Australian generation
                                              Australian generation
Volume                                        GWH                     Wind             Hydro              Total
                                              600
 1H FY20 generation was 13% lower than 1H    500       437
   FY19                                       400
                                                                                                    419
                                                                                                                  367
                                                                         309          305           123
 1H FY20 wind generation was 2% lower than   300
                                                                                                                  77

                                                        437
   1H FY19                                    200
                                                                         309          305           296           290
                                              100
 1H FY20 hydro generation was 37% lower       0
   than 1H FY19                                         2015            2016
                                              Six Months ended 31 December
                                                                                     2017          2018           2019

                                                               26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   33
1H FY20 EBITDAF
Movement in EBITDAF
$M
                                             New Zealand energy margin +$88M
600

500                                                                     -44

                                    -3                     +145                      -3            -1           -1          0          -3          -8
                       +79                     -85
400

300

                                                                                                                                                             465
200         389

100

     0
         EBITDAF 31   Retail     Wholesale Generation     Cost to    Net cost of Virtual asset Other market Australian    Other    Transmission Employee & EBITDAF 31
          Dec 2018  contracted   contracted spot revenue   supply     hedges        swaps         costs      energy      revenue     expenses      other    Dec 2019
                      sales        sales                 customers                                           margin                              operating
                                                                                                                                                 expenses

                                                                                                        26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N       34
EBITDAF to NPAT
1H FY20 EBITDAF TO NPAT RECONCILIATION
 $M
500

450

400
                    -157

350

300
       465                             -10                -43
250
                                                                       -71
200                                                                                                                                       +10
                                                                                                0                    0
                                                                                                                                                           -3
150                                                                                                                                                              191
                                                                               184

100
      EBITDAF   Depreciation and  Premiums paid on Net finance costs   Tax   Underlying    Net change in fair   Loss on sale of   Premiums paid on         Tax   NPAT
                  amortisation   electricity options net                       NPAT             value of      assets/impairments electricity options net
                                       of interest                                        hedges/instruments                           of interest

                                                                                                    26 FEBRUARY 2020             2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   35
Energy margin
                                                     Defined as
                                                    Revenues received from sales to customers net of
 A non-GAAP financial measure                       distribution costs (fees to distribution network companies that
  representing energy sales revenue less             cover the costs of distribution of electricity to customers),
  energy related expenses and energy                 sales to large industrial customers and fixed price revenues
                                                     from financial contracts sold (contract sales revenue)
  distribution expenses
                                                    The volume of electricity purchased to cover contracted
 Used to measure the vertically integrated          customer sales and financial contracts sold (cost to supply
  performance of the retail and wholesale            customers)
  businesses                                        The fixed cost of derivatives used to manage market risks,
 Used in place of statutory reporting which         net of spot revenue received from those derivatives (net cost
  requires gross sales and costs to be               hedging)
  reported separately, therefore not                Revenue from the volume of electricity that Meridian
                                                     generates (generation spot revenue)
  accounting for the variability of the
  wholesale spot market and the broadly             The net margin position of virtual asset swaps with Genesis
                                                     Energy and Mercury New Zealand
  offsetting impact of wholesale prices on the
  cost of retail electricity purchases              Other associated market revenues and costs including
                                                     Electricity Authority levies and ancillary generation revenues,
                                                     such as frequency keeping

                                                               26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   36
New Zealand energy margin
New Zealand energy margin
 $M
1,500

1,200

                                               727        -703
 900

                                                                                                                       3
 600                                                                  -94
                                                                                  -57         94            -5                    -4
                                   246

 300                   136                                                                                                                   598

          255
   0
        Res, SMB,    C&I sales   Financial Generation    Cost to     Cost to      Hedging Hedging spot Contract VAS margins Market costs    Energy
         Agi sales                contract spot revenue   supply     supply     fixed costs revenue    close outs                           Margin
                                 sales (incl            customers   financial
                                   NZAS)                            contracts

                                                                                         26 FEBRUARY 2020    2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   37
New Zealand energy margin
New Zealand energy margin movement
$M
  700
                                                                                              +15
                                                                                                          -56
                                                                                  +53
  600
                                                                                                                       -3          -3          -1
                                   +49         -3
                                                           -85        +92
                      +30
  500

  400                                                                                                                                                     598
          510

  300

  200
         Energy     Res, SMB,    C&I sales   Financial Generation    Cost to     Cost to      Hedging     Hedging     Contract VAS margins Market costs Energy
        Margin 31    Agi sales                contract spot revenue   supply      supply    fixed costs spot revenue close outs                         Margin 31
         Dec 18                              sales (incl            customers   financial                                                                Dec 19
                                               NZAS)                            contracts

                                                                                                 26 FEBRUARY 2020      2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N       38
New Zealand energy margin

                            26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   39
Australian energy margin (AUD)

                                 26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   40
Fair value movements

 Meridian uses derivative instruments to         Change in fair value of financial instruments
                                                  $M
  manage interest rate, foreign exchange and        0
  electricity price risk                                                                                        0
                                                                                                  -5
                                                   -20
 As forward prices and rates on these
                                                                      -21
  instruments move, non-cash changes to their      -40                              -26
  carrying value are reflected in NPAT
                                                   -60
 Accounting standards only allow hedge
  accounting if specific conditions are met,       -80

  which creates NPAT volatility                           -83
                                                  -100
 $6M decrease in NPBT from fair value of                 FY16       FY17          FY18         FY19        1H FY20
  electricity hedges from changing forward
  electricity prices ($20M increase in 1H FY19)
 $6M increase in NPBT from fair value of
  treasury instruments ($15M decrease in 1H
  FY19)

                                                            26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   41
Income statement

                   26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   42
Underlying NPAT reconciliation

                                 26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   43
Cash flow statement

                      26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   44
Balance sheet

                26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N   45
Glossary
Hedging volumes                            buy-side electricity derivatives excluding the buy-side of virtual asset swaps
Average generation price                   the volume weighted average price received for Meridian’s physical generation
Average retail contracted sales price      volume weighted average electricity price received from retail customers, less distribution costs
Average wholesale contracted sales price   volume weighted average electricity price received from wholesale customers (including NZAS) and financial contracts
Combined catchment inflows                 combined water inflows into Meridian’s Waitaki and Waiau hydro storage lakes
Cost of hedges                             volume weighted average price Meridian pays for derivatives acquired
Cost to supply contracted sales            volume weighted average price Meridian pays to supply contracted customer sales and financial contracts
Contracts for Difference (CFDs)            an agreement between parties to pay the difference between the wholesale electricity price and an agreed fixed price for a specified
                                           volume of electricity. CFDs do not result in the physical supply of electricity
Customer connections (NZ)                  number of installation control points, excluding vacants
FRMP                                       financially responsible market participant
GWh                                        gigawatt hour. Enough electricity for 125 average New Zealand households for one year
Historic average inflows                   the historic average combined water inflows into Meridian’s Waitaki and Waiau hydro storage lakes over the last 84 years
Historic average storage                   the historic average level of storage in Meridian’s Waitaki catchment since 1979
HVDC                                       high voltage direct current link between the North and South Islands of New Zealand
ICP                                        New Zealand installation control points, excluding vacants
ICP switching                              the number of installation control points changing retailer supplier in New Zealand, recorded in the month the switch was initiated
MWh                                        megawatt hour. Enough electricity for one average New Zealand household for 46 days
National demand                            Electricity Authority’s reconciled grid demand www.emi.ea.govt.nz
NZAS                                       New Zealand Aluminium Smelters Limited
Retail sales volumes                       contract sales volumes to retail customers, including both non half hourly and half hourly metered customers
Financial contract sales                   sell-side electricity derivatives excluding the sell-side of virtual asset swaps
TJ                                         Terajoules
Virtual Asset Swaps (VAS)                  CFDs Meridian has with Genesis Energy and Mercury New Zealand. They do not result in the physical supply of electricity

                                                                                                               26 FEBRUARY 2020      2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N       46
Disclaimer
The information in this presentation was prepared by Meridian Energy           This presentation contains a number of non-GAAP financial measures,
with due care and attention. However, the information is supplied in           including Energy Margin, EBITDAF, Underlying NPAT and gearing.
summary form and is therefore not necessarily complete, and no                 Because they are not defined by GAAP or IFRS, Meridian's calculation
representation is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability         of these measures may differ from similarly titled measures presented
of the information. In addition, neither the company nor any of its            by other companies and they should not be considered in isolation
directors, employees, shareholders nor any other person shall have             from, or construed as an alternative to, other financial measures
liability whatsoever to any person for any loss (including, without            determined in accordance with GAAP. Although Meridian believes they
limitation, arising from any fault or negligence) arising from this            provide useful information in measuring the financial performance and
presentation or any information supplied in connection with it.                condition of Meridian's business, readers are cautioned not to place
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and                   undue reliance on these non-GAAP financial measures.
projections. These reflect Meridian’s current expectations, based on
what it thinks are reasonable assumptions. Meridian gives no warranty          The information contained in this presentation should be considered in
or representation as to its future financial performance or any future         conjunction with the company’s condensed financial statements for the
matter. Except as required by law or NZX or ASX listing rules, Meridian        six months ended 31 December 2019, available at:
is not obliged to update this presentation after its release, even if things
change materially.                                                             www.meridianenergy.co.nz/investors

This presentation does not constitute financial advice. Further, this          All currency amounts are in New Zealand dollars unless stated
presentation is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or a       otherwise.
solicitation of an offer to buy Meridian Energy securities and may not
be relied upon in connection with any purchase of Meridian Energy
securities.

                                                                                           26 FEBRUARY 2020   2020 INT ERIM RESULT S PRESENT AT IO N    47
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