2020 Full Year Results - March 2021 - Travis Perkins PLC

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CONTINUE READING
2020 Full Year Results - March 2021 - Travis Perkins PLC
2020 Full Year Results
  March 2021
2020 Full Year Results - March 2021 - Travis Perkins PLC
Agenda

         Introduction         Nick Roberts    p3

         Financial review     Alan Williams   p5

         Operational review
                              Nick Roberts    p22
         & strategic update

         Appendices                           p37

                                                    Full Year Results March 2021
2020 Full Year Results - March 2021 - Travis Perkins PLC
Introduction
Nick Roberts
2020 Full Year Results - March 2021 - Travis Perkins PLC
2020 - Resilient trading amidst significant uncertainty
    Full year earnings impacted by the pandemic but strong recovery in H2

    Excellent progress on a number of key initiatives to strengthen the core
    of the businesses

    Opening up new channels via technology and network changes to
    take market share

    Accelerated platform for growth and work to define our sustainable
    business framework

    Announcing today the resumption of the Wickes demerger process

                                        4                           Full Year Results March 2021
2020 Full Year Results - March 2021 - Travis Perkins PLC
Financial Review
Alan Williams
2020 Full Year Results - March 2021 - Travis Perkins PLC
Key financial highlights
 Year ended 31 December 2020                                   Year-on-year
 (£m unless otherwise stated)              FY 2020   FY 2019     change

 Revenue                                   6,158      6,956        (11.5)%

 Like-for-like revenue growth              (7.1)%     3.8%        (10.9)ppt

 Adjusted EBITA                             227       442          (48.6)%

 Adjusted earnings per share (pence)       42.4p     112.7p        (62.4)%

 Adjusting operating items                  (140)     (200)

 ROCE                                       5.5%     10.1%        (4.6)ppt

 Covenant net debt                           40       344           (304)

 Dividends per share                        0.0p      15.5p

                                       6                       Full Year Results March 2021
2020 Full Year Results - March 2021 - Travis Perkins PLC
Revenue impacted by unprecedented conditions
                             Volumes significantly impacted by the
                             pandemic but good recovery in H2
                             Pricing remained robust despite drop in
                             volumes
                             Disposals of PF&P Wholesale & Tile Giant
                             TS Europe consolidation - first full year
                             Branch closure programme impact c.
                             (3)% in the year

                         7                            Full Year Results March 2021
H2 Revenue recovery after spring lockdown closure
                                         Lockdown

                           8                        Full Year Results March 2021
Group gross margins increased due to segment mix
                                                                                                                            2020 gross
                                                                                                                              margin
                                                                                                                +c. 50bps
   2019 gross
     margin

                                                                                        Reduced     Segmental
                                         Annual volume
                                                          Category /   P&H business   promotional
                                            rebates                                                    mix
 *Arrows are demonstrative and are not to scale
                                                         channel mix       mix          activity

         Overall Group gross margin increased by c. 50 bps:
             –         Positive segmental mix; 7% increase in sales participation of Retail and Toolstation.
             –         Lower annual volume rebates due to reduced purchases - expected to be recovered in 2021
             –         Some adverse movement in category and channel mix; largely offset by reduced promotional activity
             –         P&H gross margin higher due to better mix of business, accentuated by disposal of PF&P

         Group gross margin will be impacted in 2021 by Wickes demerger

                                                                            9                                      Full Year Results March 2021
EBITA drivers

                10   Full Year Results March 2021
Restructuring programme driving operational efficiencies
   Programme launched to close approximately 190 Merchanting and P&H
   branches with focus on smaller sites

   Headcount reduction of approximately 2,500, including branch staff and
   support functions across all businesses and head office

   Annualised gross cost savings of c. £120m. Some reinvestment will be
   required at branch level in customer service as volumes recover
   Sales retention from closed branches in line with expectations across the
   Merchant businesses

   Future estate investment to be in larger, high quality assets with more stock
   on the ground - focus on continuing to reduce cost to serve
                                       11                           Full Year Results March 2021
Merchanting - H2 revenue recovery driven by RMI
                                                                                                                    Significant impact from spring lockdown
                                                                                                                    Encouraging recovery in H2 led by RMI.
                                                                                                                    Housebuilding and commercial slower
                                                                                                                    to recover
                                                                     FY 2020             FY 2019    Change

           Total revenue                                           £3,065m               £3,703m    (17.2)%         Gross margins impacted by lower
                                                                                                                    annual volume rebates. Expected to
           Like-for-like growth                                      (14.0)%                3.3%   (17.3)ppt
                                                                                                                    normalise in 2021
           Adjusted operating profit*                                  £152m              £284m     (46.5)%
                                                                                                                    Restructuring generated annualised
           Adjusted operating margin                                      5.0%              7.7%   (270)bps
                                                                                                                    cost savings of £90m leaving the
           ROCE                                                              7%             12%      (5)ppt         business well positioned
           Branch network                                                   846              984       (138)

*Segmentall adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits

                                                                                                               12                          Full Year Results March 2021
Toolstation - another year of great progress
                                                                                                              Another year of exceptional UK sales
                                                                                                              growth despite the disruption of Covid
                                                                        FY 2020         FY 2019   Change      UK branch network expansion resumed at
  Total revenue                                                           £633m         £445m       42.1%     pace post initial lockdown with 54 new
  Like-for-like growth                                                     22.2%         16.3%      5.9ppt
                                                                                                              branches Jun-Dec
  Adjusted operating profit*                                                  £8m        £25m      (68.0)%
  Adjusted operating margin                                                  1.2%         5.5%    (430)bps    Toolstation Europe consolidated and
  ROCE                                                                          2%          7%      (5)ppt    growing strongly - underlying revenue up
  Branch network (UK)                                                          460         400         60     £35m (83%) with 17 new branches
  Branch network (Europe)                                                        83         66         17
                                                                                                              Segmental operating profit impacted by:
  Memo:                                                                                                          Europe consolidation
  Adjusted operating profit - UK                                            £24m         £29m      (17.2)%
                                                                                                                 Product and customer mix
*Segmental adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits
                                                                                                                 Higher fulfilment and Covid-19 costs

                                                                                                         13                          Full Year Results March 2021
Retail - model enables further market outperformance
                                                                                                                                           Wickes LFL revenue +5.5%** led by strong
                                                                                                                                           performance in Core DIY +19.3%**
                                                                                                                                           K&B revenue down (27.4)%** impacted by
                                                                                                                                           showroom restrictions
                                                                   FY 2020                    FY 2019                 Change               Gross margin modestly higher as K&B mix
  Total revenue                                                   £1,391m                   £1,342m                        3.6%            impact offset by Core performance
  Like-for-like growth                                                  5.0%                       8.6%              (3.6)ppt
                                                                                                                                           Costs impacted by:
  Adjusted operating profit*                                           £77m                       £97m                (20.6)%
  Adjusted operating margin                                             5.5%                       7.2%             (170)bps                   Maintaining safe environments (c. £9m)
  ROCE                                                                      6%                        7%                (1)ppt                 Unproductive K & B labour (c. £7m)
  Store network - Wickes                                                   233                       235                       (2)
                                                                                                                                               Higher customer delivery participation
  Store network - Tile Giant                                                   0                       94                    (94)

2019 figures include £47m of revenue and £0.1m of adjusted operating profit from Tile Giant, which was sold in September 2020.
                                                                                                                                           Tile Giant disposed in September 2020
2020 figures include £31m of revenue and an adjusted operating loss of £(0.2)m, plus the £1.4m profit on sale of the business.
*Segmental adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits
**On a calendar year basis. For the 52 weeks to 26th December 2020 Wickes like-for-like sales were +5.0% with Core +18.8% and Kitchens &
Bathrooms (27.8)%

                                                                                                                                      14                            Full Year Results March 2021
Plumbing & Heating - strong H2 recovery
                                                                                                                                             Significant impact in spring lockdown as
                                                                                                                                             installers unable to access customer
                                                                                                                                             properties
                                                                                                                                             Strong H2 recovery driven by domestic
                                                                                                                                             installer activity (RMI) with contract
                                                                          FY 2020                    FY 2019                 Change          business a little slower
   Total revenue                                                        £1,069m                    £1,465m                    (27.0)%
                                                                                                                                             Restructuring actions to deliver c. £25m
   Like-for-like growth                                                   (11.2)%                      (1.7)%                (9.5)ppt
                                                                                                                                             annualised cost reduction
   Adjusted operating profit*                                                 £19m                       £48m                 (60.4)%
   Adjusted operating margin                                                   1.8%                       3.3%               (150)bps        Better mix of business and cost actions
   ROCE                                                                           5%                       13%                 (8)ppt        driving 12.5% EBITA growth in H2
   Branch network                                                                354                        375                  (21)        Successful completion of disposal of
                                                                                                                                             PF&P wholesale
2019 figures include £269m of revenue and £7.1m of adjusted operating profit from PF&P wholesale, sold in January 2020
2020 figures include £28m of revenue and £0.7m of adjusted operating profit, plus the £1.8m profit on sale of the business
*Segmental adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits

                                                                                                                                        15                           Full Year Results March 2021
Outstanding free cash flow generation
                                                                                                                      Excellent free cash flow generation of
                                                                                                                      £304m

                                                                                                                      Significant working capital inflow:
                                                                                                                        Inventory reduced by £97m due to
                                                                                                                        unwind of Brexit contingency and
                                                                                                                        network rationalisation
                                                                                                                        Strong debtor collection
                                                                                                                        performance throughout the year
                                                                                                                        Business growth concentrated in
                                                                                                                        cash sales (Retail, Toolstation)

*Interest cost includes £59m ‘Interest on Lease assets’ recognised under the implementation of IFRS16 - Leases

                                                                                                                 16                            Full Year Results March 2021
Significant H2 investment to keep expansion on track
                                                     Base capex lower year on year due to
                                                     rephasing of fleet replacements in light
(£m)                        FY 2020   FY 2019        of restructuring
Maintenance                    (42)      (56)
                                                     Growth capex driven by Toolstation H2
IT                             (15)      (12)
                                                     expansion, TP branch investment and
Growth Capex                   (51)      (53)
                                                     Wickes refits
Base capital expenditure      (108)     (121)
                                                     IT spend reflects hardware refresh and
Freehold property              (26)      (22)
                                                     smaller scale, phased modernisation
Gross capital expenditure     (134)     (143)
                                                     developments
Disposals                       64        82

Net capital expenditure        (70)      (61)
                                                     Base capex forecast for 2021 of
                                                     £90-100m (excluding Wickes)

                                                17                           Full Year Results March 2021
Property Activity underpins business growth
 Freehold activity 2016-2020
                                                Merchant freehold acquisitions focused on
 Cumulative cash invested         £239m         major conurbations, with retail portfolio exit
 Cumulative cash from disposals   £360m
                                                largely complete
 Net cash in                      £121m
                                                Recent freehold investments built out or in
                                                planning / under construction
                                                Paddington site development under contract
 Change in freehold in NBV        (£31m)
                                                Excellent progress on sites closed in June:
 Cumulative property profits      £106m
                                                80% of freeholds and 55% of leaseholds
                                                disposed or under offer
                                                23 of the sites repurposed by other Group
                                                brands including 11 Toolstations
                                                Value of freehold property assets significantly
                                                above £375m NBV
                                           18                                 Full Year Results March 2021
Significant reduction in net debt
                                                                                                     FY 2020             FY 2019                Exceptional working capital
 Free cash flow (£m)                                                                                          304                195            performance driving free cash flow
 Net freehold transactions                                                                                      26                 42
                                                                                                                                                Receipt of £50m from PF&P wholesale
 Acquisitions / disposals                                                                                       54               (43)
                                                                                                                                                disposal in January
 Dividends                                                                                                        0            (116)

 Cash payments on adjusting items                                                                            (65)                (90)
                                                                                                                                                Dividend payments suspended in 2020
 Other                                                                                                       (21)                (36)
                                                                                                                                                to preserve liquidity. Intention to
 Change in cash or cash equivalents                                                                           298                (48)
                                                                                                                                                resume distributions in 2021.

                                                                                                    FY 2020              FY 2019
                                                                                                                                                Underlying leverage reduction
 Covenant net debt                                                                                       £40m               £344m
                                                                                                                                                Prudent decision to agree covenant
 Covenant net debt / adjusted EBITDA                                                                       0.1x                 0.7x
                                                                                                                                                relaxation
 Net debt under IFRS16                                                                             £1,397m              £1,788m

 IFRS16 net debt / adjusted EBITDA                                                                         2.8x                 2.5x
                                                                                                                                                Successful refinancing of 2021 bonds
                                                                                                                                                with long 5 year issuance at 3.75%
*Note - the covenant test under financing agreements is based on ‘frozen GAAP’ before the introduction of IFRS16. Leverage cove nant for
June 2020 was relaxed from 3.0x to 3.5x. It was waived for December 2020 and will be reinstated at 3.0x at June 2021

                                                                                                                                           19                          Full Year Results March 2021
Wickes demerger
                                                                           Wickes demerger process has
          Significant reduction in Group IFRS16                            recommenced given more stable
                 net debt post-demerger
                                                                           environment and strong liquidity
                                                                           position
                           TP Group               TP Group
                           including              excluding                Prospectus and circular due to be issued
                             Wickes    Wickes       Wickes
                                                                           late March*
                             FY2020    FY2020       FY2020
                                                                           Capitalisation of Wickes with c.£130m
Covenant net debt/(cash)      £40m     £(130)m       £170m                 as at year end
IFRS16 Lease liabilities    £1,327m     £749m        £578m                 Wickes Investor Seminar 26th March
Other debt like items         £30m        £0m         £30m
                                                                           2021
IFRS16 Net debt             £1,397m     £619m        £778m
                                                                           Targeting EGM and completion at the
                                                                           end of April
                                                                   * Subject to FCA approval

                                                              20                                   Full Year Results March 2021
Outlook and technical guidance
 Outlook:
     Long term fundamentals remain robust with positive catalysts from Government
     stimulus and strong domestic RMI recovery
     Continuation of trends seen in Q4 2020 so far in 2021
     Focus on modernising and strengthening core business to deliver
     outperformance and long term value for shareholders

 Technical guidance:
     Effective tax rate of 20%
     Base capital expenditure in 2021, excluding Wickes, expected to be £90 - 100m
     Property profits around £20m

                                            21                            Full Year Results March 2021
Operational Review &
Strategic Update
Nick Roberts
Overview

   Strong recovery demonstrates resilience of both business models
   and end markets

   Accelerated our strategy despite the challenges of the pandemic

   Progress made in modernising the business for the future

   Group is progressively leaner, more agile and customer focused

                                     23                         Full Year Results March 2021
Key priorities unchanged
                                                              ● Customer proposition enhanced
                 Regeneration of Travis Perkins               ● Processes simplified
                                                              ● Network quality improved

                                                              ● Network expansion on track
                 Accelerate Toolstation expansion             ● IT Infrastructure replatformed
                                                              ● Fulfilment capability enhanced
 Strengthen
  the core
                                                              ● Technology programme progressed
                 Deliver an organisational platform fit for
                                                              ● Strong ESG framework & agenda
                 the future                                   ● Investment in people & capability

  Portfolio
simplification
                 Successful demerger of Wickes                          Q2 2021

                                            24                              Full Year Results March 2021
- strengthening the core

         Significant progress on regenerating the General Merchant

     Pricing           Range & Commercials             Empowerment                 Network

More relevant shelf-     Simplified commercial        Enhanced local           Rationalised network
edge pricing             structures                   decision making

Simplified processes     Depth of range               More confident and       Retained customers
for both branch and                                   capable branch teams
customer
                         Local choice                 Refreshed regional /
                                                      local leadership teams

                                                 25                               Full Year Results March 2021
- progress towards a modern merchant

  Channels                    Fulfilment             Integration

Enhanced website             Larger footprint       Integration of
with trade account           branches for depth     kitchens and
management                   of heavyside           joinery into
capability                                          General Merchant
Enabled Click &              Regional               offer
Collect                      management of          Greater
                             fleet for capability   penetration of
Mobile App now               / efficiency           trade customer
available to trade                                  base
customers

                                     26                Full Year Results March 2021
Winning market share in UK and Europe
   Digital capability & multi-channel approach driving market share gains
Rapid evolution of UK       ...driving progress on              …whilst gaining
 business model….                key metrics...               momentum in Europe
 Network expansion          Sales per branch up 25%           Adapted operating model quickly
 continued                  since 2016                        to offer a “near normal” service
 Significantly increased    Over 70% of customer              during Covid
 DC capacity                journeys digitally led - driven   Multi channel offering and high stock
 Replatformed IT/Digital    by click and collect +600% yoy    availability has proved a significant
 infrastructure             Improvements in web               differentiator in the European market

 Trade Credit launched      conversion                        New distribution centre in Lyon will
                            Digital wallet launched           support branch expansion in France
 Mobile App in 2021
                            Over 3m new customers             Network expansion delayed but still
 Further trade focused                                        17 new branches in 2020
 range development          in year
                                                              Network expansion continues in 2021

                                              27                                 Full Year Results March 2021
- continuing to improve the business

    Driving focus on          Opening up new            Rationalising cost
    quality of sales             channels                     base

●     Pricing /               ●   Online sales up       ●   Closing lower
      Commercial deal             18% to £57m               performing
      simplification                                        branches

●     Segmented               ●   Increasing strength   ●   Disposal of low
      customers by                of bathroom               margin PF&P
      profitability               showroom                  business
                                  proposition

                                       28                             Full Year Results March 2021
Specialist Merchants - modernising to extend leadership

    Heating & cooling                  Civils & drainage                  Interiors & insulation

                              Market leaders in respective sectors

               Networks rationalised. Strong sales retention from branch closures

       BIM capability                               Delivery management system

   Expanding TF Solutions                    Commercial simplification with suppliers

    Digital development                             Simplified pricing and processes

                                               29                                      Full Year Results March 2021
- a thriving digitally led home improvement business
2020 has demonstrated the agility and resilience of the Wickes balanced model
Performance is supported by well developed digital and flexible fulfilment capability
Market share gains and buoyant DIY market underpinned performance
233 stores operate as fulfilment centres for both online and in-store purchases
Colleague engagement remained strong despite COVID disruption

 Digitally Enabled                      Core DIY / Local Trade                                     K&B

 Around ⅔ of customers          Stock availability challenges closely managed           Temporary showroom closures
 started their journey          Strong performance across broad range of                restricted trading
 digitally                      categories                                              Virtual customer journey
 Active digital customers       TradePro membership continued to grow - now             developed & launched
 nearly doubled to 4.7m         ~550k                                                   Lead pipeline supported by pent
 Development of digital         Customer delivery and click & collect                   up demand
 capability continued           participation increased significantly

                                                         30                                       Full Year Results March 2021
An organisational platform fit for the future

       People                Process                 Systems
   Leadership             Commercial deals        Accelerated progress
   strengthened for       simplified              on digital capability
   modernisation
   Management             More focus on data to   Core system
   structure delayered    drive decisions         replacement, starting
                                                  with Finance system
   Refreshed key          Removed significant     Better insight derived
   leadership positions   complexity from         from data
   through promotion      internal and customer
   of internal talent     processes

                                         31                                Full Year Results March 2021
Sustainable Business Framework

   6 Strong Core Focus
   Areas

   6 Leading Commitment
   Focus Areas

   A Supply-Chain Wide
   Approach

                          32     Full Year Results March 2021
Good progress in 2020; defining long term targets
         Carbon                                         Apprenticeships
  Net zero by 2035 (Scope 1 and 2)                    783 apprentices 2020; 179 graduated
  80% reduction and 20% offset                        £2.4m invested; 38 different programmes
  Set a Scope 3 carbon target by June 2021            Driving greater diversity with 39% female; 66%
                                                      under 25
                                                      Target of 1,000 more apprentices in 2021
                                                      850 Kick Starters to join in 2021

Employee value proposition                             Diversity & Inclusion
  Merchant and P&H businesses now Real Living         TP Women, LGBTQ+ and BAME networks now active
  Wage employers                                      with leadership sponsors
  Significantly enhanced family leave policies        Disability on the leadership agenda with a partnership
  Weekly “check-in” surveys during pandemic           with the Valuable 500
  ~ 35,000 responses                                  10 mentees and 10 mentors joined the 30% club
                                                      mentoring programme, accelerating development
                                                      of women
                                                 33                                       Full Year Results March 2021
Building the future through a year of adversity
       A Group of market leading businesses with huge potential

      Creating a modern merchant                      Leveraging the strength of the Group

  Progressive digital tools and capability              Collaboration between businesses
  Integrated with branch and fleet operations           Seamless experiences for customers
  Specialists building on advantaged positions          Powerful fulfilment capability
  Accelerate growth of Toolstation - UK &               Investing in high quality property &
  Europe                                                digital assets
  Organisational platform fit for the future            Continued reduction in cost to serve

                                                 34                              Full Year Results March 2021
Questions
Appendices
I - Sales drivers by division

                                37   Full Year Results March 2021
II - Segmental revenue analysis
                          Northern             Midlands                     South West                 South East                         Northern             Midlands             South West            South East

                     Timber Forest                        Heavyside                            Lightside        P&H                      Timber      Forest    Heavyside              Lightside               P&H
Merchanting

                                                                                                                           Retail
                        Cash                                                  Credit                                                                                         Cash                                          Credit

                           Collected                                              Delivered                                                                   Collected                                     Delivered

                               Northern                    Midlands            South West              South East                         Northern                   Midlands            South West         South East

                                                                      P&H                                                                                                         Lightside

                                                                                                                           Toolstation
P&H

                            Cash                                                  Credit                                                                                             Cash

                                   Collected                                               Delivered                                                                  Collected                                        Delivered

   *Deliv ered includes direct to site

                                                                                                                      38                                                                          Full Year Results March 2021
III - Group revenue analysis

                                        Northern                           Midlands         South West               South East

                           Timber      Forest                  Heavyside                   Lightside                    P&H
Group

                                                   Cash                                                   Credit

                                                   Collected                                             Delivered

 *Deliv ered includes direct to site

                                                                                      39                                 Full Year Results March 2021
IV - Market Lead Indicators
                         Dec 20
      Site visitors                                                                                                              Jan 21
                         (34) pts                                                                     Consumer confidence
                                                                                                                                 (28)pt
                         Dec 20
    Site reservations                                                                                                            Jan 21
                         (2) pts                                                                      Climate for purchases
                                                                                                                                 (24) pt
                         Dec 20
  Mortgage approvals                                                                                                             Q3 20
                           54%                                                                         Equity withdrawal
                                                                                                                                  (2)%
                         Dec 20
  Housing transactions                                                                                                           Jan 21
                           32%                                                                         Retail Sales growth
                                                                                                                                     7%

                         Jan 21
    Housing prices
                             6%

                                                                                  Q3 20
                                                      Architect work load
                                                                                   +8%

                                                        Dec YTD                                       Q1 21
                               Construction output                            Expected workload
                                                          (12)%                                       (9) pt
                                                          Q1 21                                       Q4 20
                                   Trade confidence                         New construction orders
                                                          (10)pt                                      (13)%

                                                                   40                                              Full Year Results March 2021
V - Branch numbers

                     41   Full Year Results March 2021
VI - Like for Like sales growth

                           42     Full Year Results March 2021
VII - Definitions
Metric                        Definition
Operating profit              Earnings before results of associates, interest, tax and amortisation of acquisition-related intangible assets

Earning per share (“EPS”)     Ratio of net profit after taxation adjusted for minority interests to weighted number of ordinary shares outstanding

Adjusted operating profit /
                              Operating profit / EPS before adjusting items and amortisation of acquisition-related intangible assets
Adjusted EPS

ROCE                          Ratio of adjusted operating profit to debt plus equity

Covenant net debt             On-balance sheet debt excluding lease liabilities and pension SPV liability
Net debt                      On-balance sheet debt including lease liabilities
Gearing                       Ratio of debt to equity plus debt
Fixed charge cover            Ratio of adjusted operating profit before depreciation to interest plus lease right-of-use asset depreciation
Net Debt : EBITDA             Ratio of Net debt to earnings before adjusting items, interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation
Free cash flow (“FCF”)        Net cash flow before dividends, capital expenditure, freehold acquisitions and disposals, pension deficit contributions & fin ancing cash flows
Total Shareholder Return      Ratio of opening market price per share to closing market price per share less opening market price per share plus dividends per share during
(“TSR”)                       the period
WALE                          Weighted average expiry of property leases

                                                                                       43                                                        Full Year Results March 2021
VIII - Definitions (continued)
Metric                    Definition

Site visitors             House Builders Federation Survey / monthly / Dec 2020 / Balance score compared to a year ago

Site reservations         House Builders Federation Survey / monthly / Dec 2020 / Balance score compared to a year ago

Mortgage approvals        Bank of England / monthly / Dec 20 / number of approvals % change year on year

Housing transactions      HM Revenue & Customs / monthly / Dec 2020 / number of houses sold above £40k % change year on year

Housing prices            Nationwide / monthly / December 2020 / house price inflation % change year on year

Consumer confidence       GFK / monthly / January 2021 / index score

Climate for purchases     GFK / monthly / January 2021 / index score

Equity withdrawal         Bank of England / quarterly / Q3 2020 / Change in Equity withdrawal as % of net earnings compared to previous quarter

Retail sales growth       British Retail Consortium / monthly / January 2021 / LFL % change year on year

Architect work load       Mirza and Nacey Survey / quarterly / Q3 2020 / Index - balance score

Construction output       Construction output YTD ONS / monthly / December 2020 / % change year on year

Trade confidence          Travis Perkins survey materials spend / quarterly movement / Q4 2020 view of Q1 2021

Expected workload         Travis Perkins survey work loads / quarterly movement / Q4 2020 view of Q1 2021

New construction orders   Office for National Statistics / quarterly SA / Q4 2020 / % change year on year

                                                                           44                                                    Full Year Results March 2021
Contact
  Matt Worster | +44 7990 088 548    Heinrich Richter | +44 7392 125 417
  matt.worster@travisperkins.co.uk   heinrich.richter2@travisperkins.co.uk
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