2020 Full Year Results - March 2021 - Travis Perkins PLC
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Agenda Introduction Nick Roberts p3 Financial review Alan Williams p5 Operational review Nick Roberts p22 & strategic update Appendices p37 Full Year Results March 2021
2020 - Resilient trading amidst significant uncertainty Full year earnings impacted by the pandemic but strong recovery in H2 Excellent progress on a number of key initiatives to strengthen the core of the businesses Opening up new channels via technology and network changes to take market share Accelerated platform for growth and work to define our sustainable business framework Announcing today the resumption of the Wickes demerger process 4 Full Year Results March 2021
Key financial highlights Year ended 31 December 2020 Year-on-year (£m unless otherwise stated) FY 2020 FY 2019 change Revenue 6,158 6,956 (11.5)% Like-for-like revenue growth (7.1)% 3.8% (10.9)ppt Adjusted EBITA 227 442 (48.6)% Adjusted earnings per share (pence) 42.4p 112.7p (62.4)% Adjusting operating items (140) (200) ROCE 5.5% 10.1% (4.6)ppt Covenant net debt 40 344 (304) Dividends per share 0.0p 15.5p 6 Full Year Results March 2021
Revenue impacted by unprecedented conditions Volumes significantly impacted by the pandemic but good recovery in H2 Pricing remained robust despite drop in volumes Disposals of PF&P Wholesale & Tile Giant TS Europe consolidation - first full year Branch closure programme impact c. (3)% in the year 7 Full Year Results March 2021
H2 Revenue recovery after spring lockdown closure Lockdown 8 Full Year Results March 2021
Group gross margins increased due to segment mix 2020 gross margin +c. 50bps 2019 gross margin Reduced Segmental Annual volume Category / P&H business promotional rebates mix *Arrows are demonstrative and are not to scale channel mix mix activity Overall Group gross margin increased by c. 50 bps: – Positive segmental mix; 7% increase in sales participation of Retail and Toolstation. – Lower annual volume rebates due to reduced purchases - expected to be recovered in 2021 – Some adverse movement in category and channel mix; largely offset by reduced promotional activity – P&H gross margin higher due to better mix of business, accentuated by disposal of PF&P Group gross margin will be impacted in 2021 by Wickes demerger 9 Full Year Results March 2021
EBITA drivers 10 Full Year Results March 2021
Restructuring programme driving operational efficiencies Programme launched to close approximately 190 Merchanting and P&H branches with focus on smaller sites Headcount reduction of approximately 2,500, including branch staff and support functions across all businesses and head office Annualised gross cost savings of c. £120m. Some reinvestment will be required at branch level in customer service as volumes recover Sales retention from closed branches in line with expectations across the Merchant businesses Future estate investment to be in larger, high quality assets with more stock on the ground - focus on continuing to reduce cost to serve 11 Full Year Results March 2021
Merchanting - H2 revenue recovery driven by RMI Significant impact from spring lockdown Encouraging recovery in H2 led by RMI. Housebuilding and commercial slower to recover FY 2020 FY 2019 Change Total revenue £3,065m £3,703m (17.2)% Gross margins impacted by lower annual volume rebates. Expected to Like-for-like growth (14.0)% 3.3% (17.3)ppt normalise in 2021 Adjusted operating profit* £152m £284m (46.5)% Restructuring generated annualised Adjusted operating margin 5.0% 7.7% (270)bps cost savings of £90m leaving the ROCE 7% 12% (5)ppt business well positioned Branch network 846 984 (138) *Segmentall adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits 12 Full Year Results March 2021
Toolstation - another year of great progress Another year of exceptional UK sales growth despite the disruption of Covid FY 2020 FY 2019 Change UK branch network expansion resumed at Total revenue £633m £445m 42.1% pace post initial lockdown with 54 new Like-for-like growth 22.2% 16.3% 5.9ppt branches Jun-Dec Adjusted operating profit* £8m £25m (68.0)% Adjusted operating margin 1.2% 5.5% (430)bps Toolstation Europe consolidated and ROCE 2% 7% (5)ppt growing strongly - underlying revenue up Branch network (UK) 460 400 60 £35m (83%) with 17 new branches Branch network (Europe) 83 66 17 Segmental operating profit impacted by: Memo: Europe consolidation Adjusted operating profit - UK £24m £29m (17.2)% Product and customer mix *Segmental adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits Higher fulfilment and Covid-19 costs 13 Full Year Results March 2021
Retail - model enables further market outperformance Wickes LFL revenue +5.5%** led by strong performance in Core DIY +19.3%** K&B revenue down (27.4)%** impacted by showroom restrictions FY 2020 FY 2019 Change Gross margin modestly higher as K&B mix Total revenue £1,391m £1,342m 3.6% impact offset by Core performance Like-for-like growth 5.0% 8.6% (3.6)ppt Costs impacted by: Adjusted operating profit* £77m £97m (20.6)% Adjusted operating margin 5.5% 7.2% (170)bps Maintaining safe environments (c. £9m) ROCE 6% 7% (1)ppt Unproductive K & B labour (c. £7m) Store network - Wickes 233 235 (2) Higher customer delivery participation Store network - Tile Giant 0 94 (94) 2019 figures include £47m of revenue and £0.1m of adjusted operating profit from Tile Giant, which was sold in September 2020. Tile Giant disposed in September 2020 2020 figures include £31m of revenue and an adjusted operating loss of £(0.2)m, plus the £1.4m profit on sale of the business. *Segmental adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits **On a calendar year basis. For the 52 weeks to 26th December 2020 Wickes like-for-like sales were +5.0% with Core +18.8% and Kitchens & Bathrooms (27.8)% 14 Full Year Results March 2021
Plumbing & Heating - strong H2 recovery Significant impact in spring lockdown as installers unable to access customer properties Strong H2 recovery driven by domestic installer activity (RMI) with contract FY 2020 FY 2019 Change business a little slower Total revenue £1,069m £1,465m (27.0)% Restructuring actions to deliver c. £25m Like-for-like growth (11.2)% (1.7)% (9.5)ppt annualised cost reduction Adjusted operating profit* £19m £48m (60.4)% Adjusted operating margin 1.8% 3.3% (150)bps Better mix of business and cost actions ROCE 5% 13% (8)ppt driving 12.5% EBITA growth in H2 Branch network 354 375 (21) Successful completion of disposal of PF&P wholesale 2019 figures include £269m of revenue and £7.1m of adjusted operating profit from PF&P wholesale, sold in January 2020 2020 figures include £28m of revenue and £0.7m of adjusted operating profit, plus the £1.8m profit on sale of the business *Segmental adjusted operating profit figures are presented excluding property profits 15 Full Year Results March 2021
Outstanding free cash flow generation Excellent free cash flow generation of £304m Significant working capital inflow: Inventory reduced by £97m due to unwind of Brexit contingency and network rationalisation Strong debtor collection performance throughout the year Business growth concentrated in cash sales (Retail, Toolstation) *Interest cost includes £59m ‘Interest on Lease assets’ recognised under the implementation of IFRS16 - Leases 16 Full Year Results March 2021
Significant H2 investment to keep expansion on track Base capex lower year on year due to rephasing of fleet replacements in light (£m) FY 2020 FY 2019 of restructuring Maintenance (42) (56) Growth capex driven by Toolstation H2 IT (15) (12) expansion, TP branch investment and Growth Capex (51) (53) Wickes refits Base capital expenditure (108) (121) IT spend reflects hardware refresh and Freehold property (26) (22) smaller scale, phased modernisation Gross capital expenditure (134) (143) developments Disposals 64 82 Net capital expenditure (70) (61) Base capex forecast for 2021 of £90-100m (excluding Wickes) 17 Full Year Results March 2021
Property Activity underpins business growth Freehold activity 2016-2020 Merchant freehold acquisitions focused on Cumulative cash invested £239m major conurbations, with retail portfolio exit Cumulative cash from disposals £360m largely complete Net cash in £121m Recent freehold investments built out or in planning / under construction Paddington site development under contract Change in freehold in NBV (£31m) Excellent progress on sites closed in June: Cumulative property profits £106m 80% of freeholds and 55% of leaseholds disposed or under offer 23 of the sites repurposed by other Group brands including 11 Toolstations Value of freehold property assets significantly above £375m NBV 18 Full Year Results March 2021
Significant reduction in net debt FY 2020 FY 2019 Exceptional working capital Free cash flow (£m) 304 195 performance driving free cash flow Net freehold transactions 26 42 Receipt of £50m from PF&P wholesale Acquisitions / disposals 54 (43) disposal in January Dividends 0 (116) Cash payments on adjusting items (65) (90) Dividend payments suspended in 2020 Other (21) (36) to preserve liquidity. Intention to Change in cash or cash equivalents 298 (48) resume distributions in 2021. FY 2020 FY 2019 Underlying leverage reduction Covenant net debt £40m £344m Prudent decision to agree covenant Covenant net debt / adjusted EBITDA 0.1x 0.7x relaxation Net debt under IFRS16 £1,397m £1,788m IFRS16 net debt / adjusted EBITDA 2.8x 2.5x Successful refinancing of 2021 bonds with long 5 year issuance at 3.75% *Note - the covenant test under financing agreements is based on ‘frozen GAAP’ before the introduction of IFRS16. Leverage cove nant for June 2020 was relaxed from 3.0x to 3.5x. It was waived for December 2020 and will be reinstated at 3.0x at June 2021 19 Full Year Results March 2021
Wickes demerger Wickes demerger process has Significant reduction in Group IFRS16 recommenced given more stable net debt post-demerger environment and strong liquidity position TP Group TP Group including excluding Prospectus and circular due to be issued Wickes Wickes Wickes late March* FY2020 FY2020 FY2020 Capitalisation of Wickes with c.£130m Covenant net debt/(cash) £40m £(130)m £170m as at year end IFRS16 Lease liabilities £1,327m £749m £578m Wickes Investor Seminar 26th March Other debt like items £30m £0m £30m 2021 IFRS16 Net debt £1,397m £619m £778m Targeting EGM and completion at the end of April * Subject to FCA approval 20 Full Year Results March 2021
Outlook and technical guidance Outlook: Long term fundamentals remain robust with positive catalysts from Government stimulus and strong domestic RMI recovery Continuation of trends seen in Q4 2020 so far in 2021 Focus on modernising and strengthening core business to deliver outperformance and long term value for shareholders Technical guidance: Effective tax rate of 20% Base capital expenditure in 2021, excluding Wickes, expected to be £90 - 100m Property profits around £20m 21 Full Year Results March 2021
Operational Review & Strategic Update Nick Roberts
Overview Strong recovery demonstrates resilience of both business models and end markets Accelerated our strategy despite the challenges of the pandemic Progress made in modernising the business for the future Group is progressively leaner, more agile and customer focused 23 Full Year Results March 2021
Key priorities unchanged ● Customer proposition enhanced Regeneration of Travis Perkins ● Processes simplified ● Network quality improved ● Network expansion on track Accelerate Toolstation expansion ● IT Infrastructure replatformed ● Fulfilment capability enhanced Strengthen the core ● Technology programme progressed Deliver an organisational platform fit for ● Strong ESG framework & agenda the future ● Investment in people & capability Portfolio simplification Successful demerger of Wickes Q2 2021 24 Full Year Results March 2021
- strengthening the core Significant progress on regenerating the General Merchant Pricing Range & Commercials Empowerment Network More relevant shelf- Simplified commercial Enhanced local Rationalised network edge pricing structures decision making Simplified processes Depth of range More confident and Retained customers for both branch and capable branch teams customer Local choice Refreshed regional / local leadership teams 25 Full Year Results March 2021
- progress towards a modern merchant Channels Fulfilment Integration Enhanced website Larger footprint Integration of with trade account branches for depth kitchens and management of heavyside joinery into capability General Merchant Enabled Click & Regional offer Collect management of Greater fleet for capability penetration of Mobile App now / efficiency trade customer available to trade base customers 26 Full Year Results March 2021
Winning market share in UK and Europe Digital capability & multi-channel approach driving market share gains Rapid evolution of UK ...driving progress on …whilst gaining business model…. key metrics... momentum in Europe Network expansion Sales per branch up 25% Adapted operating model quickly continued since 2016 to offer a “near normal” service Significantly increased Over 70% of customer during Covid DC capacity journeys digitally led - driven Multi channel offering and high stock Replatformed IT/Digital by click and collect +600% yoy availability has proved a significant infrastructure Improvements in web differentiator in the European market Trade Credit launched conversion New distribution centre in Lyon will Digital wallet launched support branch expansion in France Mobile App in 2021 Over 3m new customers Network expansion delayed but still Further trade focused 17 new branches in 2020 range development in year Network expansion continues in 2021 27 Full Year Results March 2021
- continuing to improve the business Driving focus on Opening up new Rationalising cost quality of sales channels base ● Pricing / ● Online sales up ● Closing lower Commercial deal 18% to £57m performing simplification branches ● Segmented ● Increasing strength ● Disposal of low customers by of bathroom margin PF&P profitability showroom business proposition 28 Full Year Results March 2021
Specialist Merchants - modernising to extend leadership Heating & cooling Civils & drainage Interiors & insulation Market leaders in respective sectors Networks rationalised. Strong sales retention from branch closures BIM capability Delivery management system Expanding TF Solutions Commercial simplification with suppliers Digital development Simplified pricing and processes 29 Full Year Results March 2021
- a thriving digitally led home improvement business 2020 has demonstrated the agility and resilience of the Wickes balanced model Performance is supported by well developed digital and flexible fulfilment capability Market share gains and buoyant DIY market underpinned performance 233 stores operate as fulfilment centres for both online and in-store purchases Colleague engagement remained strong despite COVID disruption Digitally Enabled Core DIY / Local Trade K&B Around ⅔ of customers Stock availability challenges closely managed Temporary showroom closures started their journey Strong performance across broad range of restricted trading digitally categories Virtual customer journey Active digital customers TradePro membership continued to grow - now developed & launched nearly doubled to 4.7m ~550k Lead pipeline supported by pent Development of digital Customer delivery and click & collect up demand capability continued participation increased significantly 30 Full Year Results March 2021
An organisational platform fit for the future People Process Systems Leadership Commercial deals Accelerated progress strengthened for simplified on digital capability modernisation Management More focus on data to Core system structure delayered drive decisions replacement, starting with Finance system Refreshed key Removed significant Better insight derived leadership positions complexity from from data through promotion internal and customer of internal talent processes 31 Full Year Results March 2021
Sustainable Business Framework 6 Strong Core Focus Areas 6 Leading Commitment Focus Areas A Supply-Chain Wide Approach 32 Full Year Results March 2021
Good progress in 2020; defining long term targets Carbon Apprenticeships Net zero by 2035 (Scope 1 and 2) 783 apprentices 2020; 179 graduated 80% reduction and 20% offset £2.4m invested; 38 different programmes Set a Scope 3 carbon target by June 2021 Driving greater diversity with 39% female; 66% under 25 Target of 1,000 more apprentices in 2021 850 Kick Starters to join in 2021 Employee value proposition Diversity & Inclusion Merchant and P&H businesses now Real Living TP Women, LGBTQ+ and BAME networks now active Wage employers with leadership sponsors Significantly enhanced family leave policies Disability on the leadership agenda with a partnership Weekly “check-in” surveys during pandemic with the Valuable 500 ~ 35,000 responses 10 mentees and 10 mentors joined the 30% club mentoring programme, accelerating development of women 33 Full Year Results March 2021
Building the future through a year of adversity A Group of market leading businesses with huge potential Creating a modern merchant Leveraging the strength of the Group Progressive digital tools and capability Collaboration between businesses Integrated with branch and fleet operations Seamless experiences for customers Specialists building on advantaged positions Powerful fulfilment capability Accelerate growth of Toolstation - UK & Investing in high quality property & Europe digital assets Organisational platform fit for the future Continued reduction in cost to serve 34 Full Year Results March 2021
Questions
Appendices
I - Sales drivers by division 37 Full Year Results March 2021
II - Segmental revenue analysis Northern Midlands South West South East Northern Midlands South West South East Timber Forest Heavyside Lightside P&H Timber Forest Heavyside Lightside P&H Merchanting Retail Cash Credit Cash Credit Collected Delivered Collected Delivered Northern Midlands South West South East Northern Midlands South West South East P&H Lightside Toolstation P&H Cash Credit Cash Collected Delivered Collected Delivered *Deliv ered includes direct to site 38 Full Year Results March 2021
III - Group revenue analysis Northern Midlands South West South East Timber Forest Heavyside Lightside P&H Group Cash Credit Collected Delivered *Deliv ered includes direct to site 39 Full Year Results March 2021
IV - Market Lead Indicators Dec 20 Site visitors Jan 21 (34) pts Consumer confidence (28)pt Dec 20 Site reservations Jan 21 (2) pts Climate for purchases (24) pt Dec 20 Mortgage approvals Q3 20 54% Equity withdrawal (2)% Dec 20 Housing transactions Jan 21 32% Retail Sales growth 7% Jan 21 Housing prices 6% Q3 20 Architect work load +8% Dec YTD Q1 21 Construction output Expected workload (12)% (9) pt Q1 21 Q4 20 Trade confidence New construction orders (10)pt (13)% 40 Full Year Results March 2021
V - Branch numbers 41 Full Year Results March 2021
VI - Like for Like sales growth 42 Full Year Results March 2021
VII - Definitions Metric Definition Operating profit Earnings before results of associates, interest, tax and amortisation of acquisition-related intangible assets Earning per share (“EPS”) Ratio of net profit after taxation adjusted for minority interests to weighted number of ordinary shares outstanding Adjusted operating profit / Operating profit / EPS before adjusting items and amortisation of acquisition-related intangible assets Adjusted EPS ROCE Ratio of adjusted operating profit to debt plus equity Covenant net debt On-balance sheet debt excluding lease liabilities and pension SPV liability Net debt On-balance sheet debt including lease liabilities Gearing Ratio of debt to equity plus debt Fixed charge cover Ratio of adjusted operating profit before depreciation to interest plus lease right-of-use asset depreciation Net Debt : EBITDA Ratio of Net debt to earnings before adjusting items, interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation Free cash flow (“FCF”) Net cash flow before dividends, capital expenditure, freehold acquisitions and disposals, pension deficit contributions & fin ancing cash flows Total Shareholder Return Ratio of opening market price per share to closing market price per share less opening market price per share plus dividends per share during (“TSR”) the period WALE Weighted average expiry of property leases 43 Full Year Results March 2021
VIII - Definitions (continued) Metric Definition Site visitors House Builders Federation Survey / monthly / Dec 2020 / Balance score compared to a year ago Site reservations House Builders Federation Survey / monthly / Dec 2020 / Balance score compared to a year ago Mortgage approvals Bank of England / monthly / Dec 20 / number of approvals % change year on year Housing transactions HM Revenue & Customs / monthly / Dec 2020 / number of houses sold above £40k % change year on year Housing prices Nationwide / monthly / December 2020 / house price inflation % change year on year Consumer confidence GFK / monthly / January 2021 / index score Climate for purchases GFK / monthly / January 2021 / index score Equity withdrawal Bank of England / quarterly / Q3 2020 / Change in Equity withdrawal as % of net earnings compared to previous quarter Retail sales growth British Retail Consortium / monthly / January 2021 / LFL % change year on year Architect work load Mirza and Nacey Survey / quarterly / Q3 2020 / Index - balance score Construction output Construction output YTD ONS / monthly / December 2020 / % change year on year Trade confidence Travis Perkins survey materials spend / quarterly movement / Q4 2020 view of Q1 2021 Expected workload Travis Perkins survey work loads / quarterly movement / Q4 2020 view of Q1 2021 New construction orders Office for National Statistics / quarterly SA / Q4 2020 / % change year on year 44 Full Year Results March 2021
Contact Matt Worster | +44 7990 088 548 Heinrich Richter | +44 7392 125 417 matt.worster@travisperkins.co.uk heinrich.richter2@travisperkins.co.uk
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