100 YEARS - The CO2 Is Coming from Your Lawn Tiny Shells Tell Tales of Ocean Systems An Itinerary of Ice Giants - Eos.org
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VOL. 100 • NO. 2 • FEB 2019 100 YEARS The CO2 Is Coming from Your Lawn Tiny Shells Tell Tales of Ocean Systems An Itinerary of Ice Giants
FROM THE EDITOR Editor in Chief Collaboration Reveals Heather Goss, AGU, Washington, D. C., USA; Eos_EIC@agu.org Editors What’s Beneath the Surface Christina M. S. Cohen California Institute of Technology David Halpern Jet Propulsion Laboratory Pasadena, Calif., USA Pasadena, Calif., USA W cohen@srl.caltech.edu davidhalpern29@gmail.com hen it comes to certain fields of sci- pening underneath José D. Fuentes Carol A. Stein ence, sometimes you need a tool, our feet. Seismolo- Department of Meteorology Department of Earth Pennsylvania State University and Environmental Sciences and sometimes you need the whole gists understand this University Park, Pa., USA University of Illinois at Chicago toolbox. The latter is certainly true for scien- better than most. It juf15@meteo.psu.edu Chicago, Ill., USA Wendy S. Gordon cstein@uic.edu tists who study Earth’s interior. Coming from was, after all, Inge Ecologia Consulting a spectrum of fields—analytical geochemistry, Lehmann who stud- Austin, Texas, USA experimental petrology, global seismology— ied waves traveling wendy@ecologiaconsulting.com they must work together, comparing their through the planet Editorial Advisory Board observations and results in order to make dis- and discovered, in Mark G. Flanner, Atmospheric Jian Lin, Tectonophysics coveries. As we move into the second month 1936, that Earth’s Sciences Kirk Martinez, Earth and Space Nicola J. Fox, Space Physics Science Informatics of AGU’s year-long Centennial celebrations, outer core is liquid. and Aeronomy Figen Mekik, Paleoceanography we want to recognize these scientists and their Not-quite-as-grand observational tools can Steve Frolking, Biogeosciences and Paleoclimatology Edward J. Garnero, Study of the Jerry L. Miller, Ocean Sciences interdisciplinary approach to studying our be useful too: On page 4, read about one geo- Earth’s Deep Interior Thomas H. Painter, Cryosphere planet. physicist who is using synthetic material in a Michael N. Gooseff, Hydrology Sciences In 2017, an international team made up of lab to create 3-D movies that model fractur- Brian C. Gunter, Geodesy Philip J. Rasch, Global Kristine C. Harper, History of Environmental Change gas geochemists, volcanologists, physicists, ing. Scientists who study these events, Geophysics Eric M. Riggs, Education engineers, and chemists traveled to Central caused by anything from earthquakes to Sarah M. Hörst, Planetary Adrian Tuck, Nonlinear Sciences Geophysics America as the very model of collaborative melting glacier ice or even plant roots push- Susan E. Hough, Natural Hazards Sergio Vinciguerra, Mineral research. By flying small drones into the ing into rock, are rarely able to see them in Emily R. Johnson, Volcanology, and Rock Physics plumes of outgassing volcanoes, they could real time. These new lab techniques can allow Geochemistry, and Petrology Andrew C. Wilcox, Earth and Keith D. Koper, Seismology Planetary Surface Processes directly measure the changes in concentra- them to try to re-create and observe the pro- Robert E. Kopp, Geomagnetism Earle Williams, Atmospheric tions of carbon dioxide, sulfur dioxide, and cess. and Paleomagnetism and Space Electricity John W. Lane, Near-Surface Mary Lou Zoback, Societal hydrogen sulfide. These data help them not Finally, some of that science will have a Geophysics Impacts and Policy Sciences only calculate the emission of volatiles from direct impact on our lives. Our cover story this the deep Earth into the atmosphere but also month (pg. 18) features the work of seismolo- Staff Production and Design Editorial study how volcanoes interact with the climate, gists and social scientists studying the effec- Faith A. Ishii, Manager, Production Peter L. Weiss, Interim Manager/ or even help tell us when one might erupt. tiveness of earthquake early warning systems and Operations Features and Special Projects Melissa A. Tribur, Senior Editor Read more about this supergroup of scientists in Mexico City. After a devastating M8.0 Production Specialist Randy Showstack, Senior on page 28. earthquake in 1985 killed around 10,000 peo- News Writer Beth Bagley, Manager, Some groups are making tools for other sci- ple, a research and development group set Design and Branding Kimberly M. S. Cartier, News entists. On page 47, read about the team that about finding a way to give their neighbors Travis Frazier, Senior Writer and Production Associate created the latest version of the Antarctic Dig- some warning. When a M7.1 earthquake struck Graphic Designer Jenessa Duncombe, News ital Magnetic Anomaly Project (ADMAP-2). the nearby city of Puebla in 2017, on the anni- Valerie Friedman, Senior and Production Intern Using one observational tool—measuring versary of the Mexico City quake, the team was Graphic Designer Liz Castenson, Editorial Marketing and Production Coordinator Earth’s magnetic subtleties—they more than able to study the biggest test of the system Jessica Latterman, Director, Advertising doubled the size of the Antarctic map that will since its implementation. And the wondrous Marketing, Branding & Advertising Dan Nicholas, be used by geologists and geophysicists study- part? The system is working. On 3 January, Los Liz Zipse, Assistant Director, Display Advertising Marketing & Advertising dnicholas@wiley.com ing the planet’s crust. Similarly, a group from Angeles mayor Eric Garcetti announced that Angelo Bouselli, Marketing Heather Cain, the U.S. Geological Survey recently created a the city is the first in the U.S to have an early Recruitment Advertising Program Manager catalog of 15,000 microquakes—those magni- warning earthquake system—a phone app hcain@wiley.com Nathaniel Janick, Senior tude 3 and below—in Oklahoma to study the based in part on the research and lessons Specialist, Digital Marketing effects of wastewater reinjection by petroleum learned by the team in Mexico. Ashwini Yelamanchili, Digital operations (pg. 9). That data has already Perhaps it’s sentimental to say that there’s Marketing Coordinator allowed the team to study clusters of the tiny nothing we can’t do if we do it together, but quakes and how they radiate out from certain we don’t need to say it; we can let Earth scien- ©2019. AGU. All Rights Reserved. Material in this issue may be photocopied by individual scientists for research or classroom use. Permission is also granted to locations, work that may very well lead to tists show us. use short quotes, figures, and tables for publication in scientific books and journals. For permission for any other uses, contact the AGU Publications Office. changes in local fracking law. Eos (ISSN 0096-3941) is published monthly by AGU, 2000 Florida Ave., NW, The most obvious challenge faced by scien- Washington, DC 20009, USA. Periodical Class postage paid at Washington, D. C., and at additional mailing offices. POSTMASTER: Send address changes to Member tists who study Earth’s interior is simply that Service Center, 2000 Florida Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20009, USA. they can’t look into it. As a result, they’re Member Service Center: 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Eastern time; Tel: +1-202-462-6900; forced to create more and better tools that Fax: +1-202-328-0566; Tel. orders in U.S.: 1-800-966-2481; service@agu.org. Use AGU’s Geophysical Electronic Manuscript Submissions system to submit a allow them to observe and model what’s hap- Heather Goss, Editor in Chief manuscript: eos-submit.agu.org. Views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect official positions of AGU unless expressly stated. Christine W. McEntee, Executive Director/CEO Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 1
CONTENTS 24 28 Features 18 24 Engaging in Science Cover Story with Magnetic Mars By Christine Shupla et al. 18 Mexico’s Earthquake A NASA team has developed resources to intrigue the public with the discoveries from Early Warning System its Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution Is Working (MAVEN) mission. Here are four tips for communicating that science. By Richard M. Allen et al. The devastating 2017 Puebla quake provided an opportunity to assess how citizens react to an alert. 28 Hovering in the Plume By Fiona D’Arcy et al. Volcanologists, chemists, physicists, and On the Cover engineers test drone techniques at Central Mexico City’s Metropolitan Cathedral. Credit: iStock.com/bpperry America’s two largest degassing volcanoes. 2 // Eos February 2019
CONTENTS NEWS 7 45 Columns From the Editor AGU News 1 Collaboration Reveals What’s Beneath the Surface 34 Awardees and Prize Winners Honored at 2018 AGU Fall Meeting News 4 Modeling Fractures in 3-D Research Spotlight 5 Lawn Sprawl Produces One Fifth of Los Angeles’s CO2 45 Volcano in Iceland Is One of the Largest Sources 6 Uranus and Neptune Should Be Top Priority, Says Report of Volcanic CO2 8 Coral Reef Video Game Will Help Create Global Database 46 Insect Infestations Alter Forest Carbon Cycles 9 Catching Oklahoma’s Tiny Tremors in the Act 46 Plasma Activity Around Sunspots May Foreshadow 11 Arctic Undergoing Transition Unprecedented Solar Storms in Human History 47 Tiny Marine Shells Reveal Past Patterns in Ocean Dynamics Opinion 47 A More Detailed Look at Earth’s Most Poorly Understood Crust 13 Preparing Graduate Students for STEM Careers 48 Satellite Observations Validate Stratosphere Outside Academia Temperature Models GeoFIZZ Positions Available 16 Earth’s Rich Textures, Seen by Satellite 49 Current job openings in the Earth and space sciences Postcards from the Field 52 Inventorying microbes in Lake Michigan AmericanGeophysicalUnion @AGU_Eos company/american-geophysical-union AGUvideos americangeophysicalunion americangeophysicalunion Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 3
NEWS Modeling Fractures in 3-D In a Harvard University lab, researchers injected pressurized fluid into blocks of clear hydrogel, where it spread in much the same way that fractures travel through rocks or ice in the field, creating the fractures seen here. They found that a hydrogel with few flaws (left) forms long, continuous cracks, creating a smooth fracture surface. In a hydrogel sample with discontinuities created by adding glycerol or glass beads (right), the cracks that start at the discontinuities cause many more jagged step line cracks to form in the fracture sur- face. Credit: Will Steinhardt O ur dynamic Earth is scattered with travel through rock or ice formations in the wanted to see how a fracture travels in three cracks. Earthquakes and petroleum field. With a high-speed camera and a dye that dimensions and how the interactions of its fracking make cracks in rocks under- shines under laser light, the scientists filmed step lines form rough surfaces. They chose to ground; melting ice forms cracks in glaciers. a fracture traveling through a brittle hydrogel study fractures in the transparent brittle Freeze-thaw, roots pushing into weathered in 3-D, seen in the video at bit.ly/Eos_3d hydrogel so they could photograph what hap- rock, the shatter from an impact—all of these -fracture. pened inside the material as it fractured. processes create cracks. “I don’t think anyone else has a 3-D movie The researchers put a small dent in one side The details of the fracturing process remain of a fracture,” said Will Steinhardt, a geophys- of a chunk of hydrogel to mimic a natural flaw a mystery. Scientists know that the roughness icist at Harvard University. Steinhardt pre- where a fracture might start, like a slight tear of a rock or ice surface can affect how fluids sented the work in December at AGU’s Fall in a sheet of paper or an existing crack in rock. flow across it and how fractures travel through Meeting 2018 in Washington, D. C. They filled the small dent and a connected it. But what if you had a detailed 3-D movie of tube with a dyed fluid that glows under laser fractures in the act of forming, crack by crack? Lights, Camera, Fracture light. Catching an actual fracturing event as it As a whole, each fracture Steinhardt studies When they applied pressure to the fluid in happens is tough to do (much less figuring out looks almost like a flattened M&M candy or a the tube, the hydrogel fractured, with the fluid how to film something underground), but one bulging coin. Slicing an M&M-shaped fracture fanning outward from the initial flaw, as seen group of scientists set up and filmed a similar lengthwise gives a 2-D view of the pattern of in the pictures above. event in their lab using a synthetic material small cracks, called step lines, in the whole They shone laser light into the gel to make called a brittle hydrogel. This material, com- fracture. Depending on how many of these the fluid glow and snapped photos of an area prising mostly water, is transparent, which smaller cracks are in the sliced area, the sur- about the size of a small human fingernail makes it easy to see cracks as they form. face of the slice may be rough or smooth. with a high-speed camera at about 1,000 Cracks travel through a chunk of this Steinhardt and his graduate adviser Shmuel times per second. By combining these images hydrogel in a lab similarly to the way they Rubinstein, an applied physicist at Harvard, into a video, the researchers captured the 4 // Eos February 2019
NEWS changing shape of the fracture and its pattern of step lines in all their 3-D glory. Lawn Sprawl Produces One Fifth Behind the Scenes of Fracture Patterns of Los Angeles’s CO2 The researchers found that they could make more step lines appear in the fracture—and thus create a rougher fracture surface—in one of two ways. Both involved changing proper- A Green Surprise ties of the hydrogel. Given the amount of 14C they In the hydrogel, a network of large mole- measured, Miller and his collabo- cules called polyethylene glycol polymer holds rators deduced that roughly one the gel’s water in place. Adding another fifth of the carbon dioxide in the chemical compound called glycerol to the Los Angeles Basin comes from the hydrogel increased the total number of large biosphere. The remaining 80% molecules in the gel and made more of the comes from the combustion of small cracks appear, the scientists found. fossil fuels. They also tried infusing the hydrogel with Such a high biogenic fraction tiny glass beads that were smaller than the was a surprise. “We were expect- width of a typical human hair. Adding beads ing to see a more fossil fuel– also increased the number of step lines that dominated signal,” said Miller. formed in a fracture. Fluctuations in the 14 The researchers think that both methods C-containing carbon dioxide A view of the Los Angeles Country Club golf course. Credit: iStock.com/ may create more step lines by giving the gel furthermore exhibited a perplex- trekandshoot more flaws—the scientists term these “dis- ing seasonal trend: a spike in the continuities”—where the cracks can start. net uptake of 14C around July. This T From their detailed records of the small spike is consistent with the tim- cracks forming in a fracture over time, the sci- he Los Angeles Basin in California, ing of the peak growth of the region’s man- entists began to figure out what patterns form home to more than 18 million people, is aged urban landscapes, like its golf courses when two cracks meet at a point. The shape often pegged as a car-centric—and, and lawns, which receive regular watering. and orientation of two cracks seem to deter- accordingly, polluted—urban sprawl. But mine whether only one crack stretches past researchers studying carbon dioxide (CO2) the meeting point, for example, or whether emissions in the second-largest metropolitan “We were expecting to the cracks might simply cross each other. area in the United States recently found a sur- see a more fossil fuel– It’s a “first step in building a comprehensive prise: Roughly 20% of the CO2 over Los Ange- theory for roughness,” Rubinstein said. By les derives from biogenic sources such as the dominated signal.” understanding what happens when two step decay of plant material. lines meet, the researchers can start piecing What’s more, the area’s natural green together a bigger picture with many step lines spaces, like its grasslands and forests, proba- interacting to create rough fracture surfaces. bly aren’t the origin of this unexpectedly large By contrast, the grasslands and forest eco- “It’s a new way to study this,” said structural signal, the new research shows. Instead, the systems of Southern California, a relatively geologist Randy Williams of the University of biogenic emissions likely derive from the dry M editerranean-like climate, exhibit a car- Wisconsin–Madison. He added that he’d be region’s managed landscapes like lawns and bon uptake peak in early spring. These results interested in seeing a comparison to actual golf courses. Scientists determined this by were reported in December at AGU’s Fall rock. studying seasonal variations in CO2 levels over Meeting 2018 in Washington, D. C. Steinhardt said that comparing their lab- the course of 18 months. “This is a novel piece of work and is very rele- made hydrogel fractures to natural rock frac- vant to the study of the urban carbon cycle,” tures is challenging. Many factors affect sur- Old Carbon said Anna Karion, an atmospheric scientist at face roughness in real-world rocks, making For this study, John Miller, a carbon cycle sci- the National Institute of Standards and Technol- them difficult to compare to controlled exper- entist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric ogy in Gaithersburg, Md., who was not involved iments. To do a similar study of the relation- Administration in Boulder, Colo., and his col- in the research. “More of these kinds of mea- ship between the number of discontinuities in leagues collected samples of air from around surements need to be made across the country.” a material and the number of step lines in a the Los Angeles Basin. Working in collabora- Miller and his colleagues are now starting to fracture, they’d need a range of rocks whose tion with the Megacities Carbon Project, they take similar measurements in the Washing- graininess is well understood. used accelerator mass spectrometry to analyze ton, D. C./Baltimore area, and they also plan to The step to using actual rocks is something the carbon-14 (14C) content of the air samples. expand their monitoring nationwide. “we have wanted to do for a long time,” Stein- This isotope is present in CO2 of biogenic There’s a lot more to do, Miller said. “We’re hardt explained, “but are not exactly sure how.” origin like recent plant decay but not in CO2 just starting to learn about carbon balance in emitted by factories, power plants, and cars. cities.” That’s because the carbon in coal, natural gas, By Erika K. Carlson (erkcarls@ucsc.edu; and petroleum is millions of years old, said @erikakcarlson), Science Communication Master’s Miller. “All of the carbon-14 in them has By Katherine Kornei (hobbies4kk@gmail.com; Program, University of California, Santa Cruz decayed.” @katherinekornei), Freelance Science Journalist Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 5
NEWS Uranus and Neptune Should Be Top Priority, Says Report “If they’re both the same type of planet… then they should be similar to each other, and why they’re not makes no sense,” Amy Simon, a senior scientist for planetary atmo- spheres research at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md., and a coau- thor on the report, told Eos. “Understanding the interior structure is going to be pretty crit- ical.” 2. What Are Ice Giants Made Of? Unlike Jupiter or Saturn, the ice giants “appear to be enriched in heavy materials, that is, ele- ments heavier than hydrogen and helium,” said Leigh Fletcher, a senior research fellow in planetary science at the University of Leicester in the United Kingdom who was not involved in the study. Past research has shown that the planets also contain significant amounts of ion-rich water. “How much is rocky and how much is icy is an open topic of debate. Why did they end up this way?” he asked. Pinning down the planets’ compositions NASA’s Voyager 2 snapped this picture of a crescent Neptune on 31 August 1989 during the spacecraft’s flyby of the would reveal where in the solar system they planet. Voyager 2 is the only mission to have visited Uranus or Neptune. Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/Kevin M. Gill formed, Simon explained. It may also improve our understanding of planets of a similar size L in other solar systems. aunching a small orbiter with an accom- 1. Why Is Neptune Too Hot and Uranus “These are the main sizes of planet that panying atmospheric probe to the solar Too Cold? we’re seeing in extrasolar planet systems,” system’s ice giants, Uranus and Neptune, Uranus and Neptune, being about the same Simon said, “so the fact that we understand should be a top priority for NASA in the com- size, should release heat leftover from planet them so little in our own solar system is prob- ing decade, say planetary scientists who con- formation at similar rates. But that’s not what lematic for interpreting them in other solar ducted a review of potential missions to do so. Voyager 2 found. systems.” Beyond being scientifically valuable, such a “Jupiter, Saturn, and Neptune all emit more mission to each planet is technologically fea- energy than they get from the Sun,” Hofstad- 3. Why Are the Rings of Ice Giants sible, the team said. Voyager 2 visited the ice ter explained. “Uranus stands out: It’s the Narrow or Clumpy? giants in the 1980s, the only craft ever to do Uranus’s 13 rings are narrow and densely so. packed, a formation that needs “shepherding “It is important that the next mission to an “Every component moons” to keep it gravitationally stable, Hof- ice giant study the entire system: the planet of an ice giant system stadter explained. Uranus seems to be miss- itself, the atmosphere, the rings, the satel- ing the moons to do that. Moreover, he said, lites, and the magnetosphere,” Mark Hofstad- challenges our the particles in Uranus’s μ ring look like ter, a planetary scientist at NASA’s Jet Propul- those of Saturn’s E ring, which is generated sion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif., told Eos. understanding of by the plumes of Enceladus. The moon asso- Hofstadter is a coauthor of the June 2017 report that reviewed the mission potential for planetary physics in ciated with the μ ring, called Mab, lacks plumes, he said, so this ring’s origin is yet Uranus and Neptune. “Every component of an a unique way.” unknown. ice giant system challenges our understanding Neptune’s rings raise different questions. of planetary physics in a unique way,” he said. “Before the Voyager encounter,” Hofstadter Here are five key questions the team wants said, “we didn’t know Neptune had complete to answer with dedicated missions to Uranus only one that’s not releasing much internal rings. Once we got closer and got a better and Neptune. The team presented its findings heat.” It might be a result of the impact that look, we could see that it had complete rings and the state of ice giant science in December tipped the planet onto its side, a result of dif- but that they were very clumpy.” at AGU’s Fall Meeting 2018 in Washington, ferences in internal convection, or something “Certain portions of Neptune’s rings are D. C. else entirely, he speculated. much denser than others, and the details of 6 // Eos February 2019
NEWS said Fran Bagenal, a professor of astrophysi- cal and planetary science at the Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics at the University of Colorado Boulder. Bagenal, who was not involved with this study, said that a mission to these planets is critical to under- standing how the planets generate magnetic dynamos in the water layers of their deep interiors and produce such irregular magnetic fields. Moreover, “how the solar wind couples to the ice giants’ magnetic fields is very differ- ent” from any other planet in the solar sys- tem, Hofstadter said, primarily because the fields themselves are so misshapen. For example, each planet’s field is severely tilted from its axis of rotation and is offset from the Uranus (left) and Neptune’s dark spot and bright streaks (right) imaged by NASA’s Voyager 2 in 1986. Planets are not center of the planet. Also, “the planets’ mag- to scale. Credits: left, NASA/JPL-Caltech; right, NASA/JPL netic fields change their orientations relative to the solar wind in a way that no other planet does,” he said. Studying these fields up close how and why that happens are not clear,” he ture a relatively large body, and compare it to could prove to be good tests for our models of said. Pluto,” Hofstadter said. planetary magnetic fields and the solar wind, Regarding a possible Triton lander, Simon Hofstadter added, which would benefit helio- 4. What Is the History of Ice Giants’ said that “landing on the surface of a body physics. Moons? that we don’t know much about is tough, par- “Neptune’s biggest moon, Triton, is basically ticularly in knowing where it’s safe to land.” a captured Pluto,” Hofstadter explained. Sci- Nonetheless, “there’s a lot you could learn if “Is one of the ice giants entists think that Triton may have formed in you could get down there.” the Kuiper Belt beyond Neptune’s orbit. Gey- Uranus’s smallest and closest moon, more important than the sers and dark streaks on the moon’s surface Miranda, “looks like you took pieces of differ- other to study? Uranus or suggest that it may have a subsurface ocean ent puzzles and put them together,” Hofstad- similar to that of Jupiter’s Europa or Saturn’s ter said. “There are blobs of very different Neptune?” Enceladus. looking regions on the surface. There’s been “We’d love to get a more careful look at some wild geology on this moon.” Triton and see why it’s active, learn about Its moon Ariel, on the other hand, might what happens when you gravitationally cap- have cryovolcanism. “On these moons, water Uranus or Neptune? ice behaves almost like rock on Which planet should get a mission? For all the Earth, where it can be melted that Uranus and Neptune are grouped in the interior and flow or extrude together into the category of ice giants, they onto the surface,” he said. are remarkably different worlds, Simon “There’s some evidence for that explained. kind of water volcanism on An ice giant mission would need to be Ariel.” small enough to launch in a timely fashion but not so small that it can’t answer its key 5. Why Are Ice Giants’ science questions, she said. “It’s a little bit Magnetic Fields So Complex? of, Do you put your eggs in multiple baskets Uranus’s and Neptune’s mag- not knowing if you get more than one bas- netic fields are relatively com- ket?” she said. plex when compared with those “In our study,” Hofstadter said, “we asked of the gas giants, Hofstadter ourselves the question, Is one of the ice explained. This complexity may giants more important than the other to suggest that the deep-interior study? Uranus or Neptune? And we said, no. If process generating the fields you want to learn about an ice giant, Uranus actually happens closer to the and Neptune are equally valuable. But while surface than it does on Jupiter or they are equally valuable, they are not the Saturn, he said. Sending a probe same. Each can teach us things that the other to the planets could help paint a cannot.” clearer picture, he added. “The brief Voyager flybys sug- The south pole of Uranus’s moon Miranda, imaged by NASA’s Voy- gested these two planets had By Kimberly M. S. Cartier (@AstroKimCartier), ager 2. Credit: NASA/JPL/USGS very irregular magnetic fields,” Staff Writer Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 7
NEWS Coral Reef Video Game Will Help Create Global Database their breakdown is, and how they’re changing with time,” said Jarrett van den Bergh, a research scientist and graphics engineer at LAS who demonstrated the game design in December at AGU’s Fall Meeting 2018 in Washington, D. C. Most reef systems that have been studied have been mapped in detail only with on-site field campaigns, he said, which is difficult to do for isolated reefs. Remote sensing of coral reefs by satellites or drones, which can target larger areas more quickly, is often hindered by how the ocean distorts the view of what’s below, he added. New technologies, however, are helping the team get around this problem. Chirayath pioneered one technique he calls fluid lensing. Fluid lensing removes the dis- torting effects of flowing water by character- izing how the water refracts light and revers- ing the distortion. This correction allows clear imaging of what’s beneath the waves. To expand the mapping of reef systems, the team developed a high-performance camera that applies fluid lensing to clear up remote sensing data: FluidCam. By attaching FluidCams to small drones, the team can image thousands of corals down to millime- ter scales and create 3-D images of them. This technology will let the team “determine coral reef ecosystem makeup globally at A shallow coral reef at low tide near the Mariana Islands and Guam. Credit: NOAA, David Burdick unprecedented spatial and temporal scales,” Chirayath said. A Currently, FluidCams are mounted on two n interactive video game currently in will allow players to identify and classify real drones that have been mapping shallow coral development will teach players to coral reef systems around the world from sat- reef systems in the South Pacific for the past classify corals using satellite images of ellite images. The results will train a machine 2 years. The team combined these FluidCam reef systems around the world. The players’ learning to classify corals automatically and data with measurements from NASA’s Coral results will be used to train an algorithm that create a global data set of classified coral reefs. Reef Airborne Laboratory (CORAL) satellite will classify corals automatically and create a and lower-resolution satellites to create a global data set of reefs. Peering Beneath the Waves combination of 2-D and 3-D pictures of thou- “Aquatic ecosystems, particularly coral “For how important these ecosystems are, we sands of corals. reefs, remain quantitatively misrepresented know very little about where they are, what by low-resolution remote sensing,” Ved Chi- Coloring Corals rayath, director of the Laboratory for The research efforts have created a wealth of Advanced Sensing (LAS) and a research sci- Results will train a images that now need to be processed. But entist at NASA Ames Research Center, told rather than a few scientists poring over Eos. Chirayath, who leads the game develop- machine learning to images one by one, Chirayath and colleagues ment team, said that the lack of a global reef classify corals had an idea. What if classification could be survey is largely because of how ocean waves crowdsourced, through an interactive game? distort and attenuate reef images taken by automatically and NeMO-Net aims to do exactly that. In the satellites. game, players start on a research boat float- Chirayath and his team are working to solve create a global data set ing above a coral reef. They complete tutori- this problem with a video game for tablets of classified coral reefs. als and learn to map the boundaries and tex- called Neural Multi-Modal Observation and tures of a coral, categorize it, and navigate Training Network, or NeMO-Net. The game around the reef. After reaching a certain 8 // Eos February 2019
NEWS Players map the Catching Oklahoma’s Tiny Tremors boundaries and textures of a coral, categorize it, in the Act and navigate around the reef. accuracy threshold, they can explore the reef, classify the corals they see, and evaluate other users’ coral classifications. To classify a 2-D or 3-D image, players trace the outlines of seafloor components— rock, sand, mounding coral, or branching coral—with different colors using an in-game drawing feature controlled by touching with a finger or stylus. Once a piece of coral is clas- sified by a player, the information is used as training data for a machine learning algo- rithm that will classify corals automatically. A key behind-the-scenes aspect of the game is the frequent assessment of a play- er’s accuracy in classifying corals, van den Bergh said. Sprinkled throughout the game are images that have already been classified by experts. Occasionally comparing a play- er’s classification with those of experts Pump jacks in Oklahoma extracting oil. Wastewater associated with this extraction gets injected back into the ground, helps the researchers weight the results on a process that can induce earthquakes. Credit: J Pat Carter/Getty Images Sport/Getty Images the basis of a player’s accuracy. Moreover, a O player needs to maintain a high level of accuracy to continue playing and progress ver the course of 1 month in the More than 10,000 reinjection wells in the through the game, van den Bergh explained. spring of 2016, scientists at the U.S. state penetrate Earth’s crust, reaching layers A player’s avatar is a reef animal. As play- Geological Survey (USGS) detected of porous rock such as limestone or sandstone. ers classify more corals and improve their about 15,000 tiny earthquakes in an area in Through these wells, wastewater—salty, oily accuracy, their avatar advances up the coral northwestern Oklahoma about the size of water that may contain toxic contaminants— reef food chain, from a plankton to a clown New York City (about 800 square kilometers). is forced into the soft rock, causing shifts in fish and beyond. When a player levels up, old These tiny earthquakes all had magnitudes of the surrounding layers and prying apart exist- avatars are left behind to populate the reef less than 3. ing faults. The latter can trigger quakes, a with vibrant marine life. Many of the tremors were too small to feel, phenomenon known as induced seismicity. but when the scientists analyzed the quakes, All of this means that Oklahoma residents Toward a Global Coral Data Set they got a more detailed picture of what hap- have been standing on increasingly shaky eMO-Net, which is still in development, N pens when petroleum operations dispose of ground. Between 2010 and 2015, the annual currently includes data from reefs near their wastewater by reinjecting it into the number of earthquakes in Oklahoma surged Guam, American Samoa, and Western Aus- ground. They already knew that the resulting from 41 to 903. tralia. Last month the team began a mapping seismic activity is the major cause of the campaign of Puerto Rico’s reefs and will add increase in earthquakes in the central United Between 2010 and 2015, those data to NeMO-Net. It plans to release States, but the mini earthquakes allowed them NeMO-Net as an iPad game to scientists soon to track the seismic activity in time and space the annual number of and to the public later this year. in much greater detail. Sara Dougherty, a for- Until then, you can preview one of the 3-D mer postdoc at the USGS who is now at the earthquakes in Oklahoma corals that will be included in the game in the California Institute of Technology, presented surged from 41 to 903. interactive system at bit.ly/Eos_interactive these findings in December at AGU’s Fall -coral. You can click the image to rotate, zoom Meeting 2018 in Washington, D. C. in on details, and add coloration and layers to Oil drilling operations extract from the the coral to explore it in detail. ground a mix of petroleum, salt water, and Digging into the Details anything else that gets carried along. After the Dougherty wanted to see in more detail what petroleum is filtered out, the wastewater— seismic activity looked like after a wastewater By Kimberly M. S. Cartier (@AstroKimCartier), hundreds of millions of barrels each year— injection event, but the existing earthquake Staff Writer gets reinjected into the ground. data collected by the U.S. Geological Survey Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 9
NEWS mation about small earthquakes, and small earthquakes, particularly the ones below mag- nitude 2, are very important to discerning how earthquakes cluster and how they evolve in space in time.” Earthquake Sweet Spot The researchers’ data allowed them to track waves of tiny quakes as they radiated out from certain points. These, Dougherty said, might be wastewater disposal sites or just small fault lines. During a microearthquake cluster, quakes started out at shallower depths and then moved deeper into Earth. Over the next 24 hours, they also migrated farther away from the site. The following 24 hours were generally quiet. Then quakes started up again. “You have this 24-hour sweet spot—a burst of activity in 24 hours followed by a 24-hour pause, then another burst of activity in 24 hours—and then it goes back to the back- ground rate,” she said. During the experimental period, there were no recorded hydraulic fracturing events—the petroleum companies were not injecting fluids into the ground to extract oil or gas. This means that these results are most likely tied to wastewater disposal. The next steps, she said, are to see whether the tiny quakes are, in fact, the direct result of wastewater injection. “One thing we’re focusing on now is identi- fying any characteristic patterns to the sequences of earthquakes that we’ve identi- fied and exploring if these patterns can be correlated to any specific wastewater injection or oil and gas production behavior,” she said. Researchers used a grid-shaped array of 1,800 sensors covering an area of about 800 square kilometers to record trem- ors that were mostly too small for people to feel. Each sensor is shown here as a gray diamond. Credit: Sara Dougherty Changing Policies In 2016, after studies revealed the extent of recorded only earthquakes of magnitude 3 might use fewer than 100 instruments, but the the human activity–induced earthquakes in and above. A magnitude 3 quake is strong team’s study used input from 1,800: N equals Oklahoma, policy changed to tighten regula- enough to rattle dishes in your kitchen cabi- 1,800, in statistical lingo. tions on wastewater injections. Still, seismic- net but still small enough that some observ- “Our large-N [sensor] array has served as a ity levels remained high. ers might mistake it for a truck passing by on sort of test case for what can be accomplished Dougherty said that the new level of detail the highway. These earthquakes definitely with such a large number of sensors and what achieved in the team’s research could further indicated a trend in induced seismicity, but kind of data we can get out of it,” Dougherty influence oil and gas regulations in the area. Dougherty wanted more information about said. For example, she noted, the work can help earthquakes smaller than magnitude 3. With the information they gathered, the pinpoint wells that trigger high rates of “What we were trying to do was to get into researchers were able to look in more depth at microearthquakes. details,” she said. “We have all these really, how earthquakes traveled out from a specific “We were able to find new pockets of seis- really tiny earthquakes that no one had looked site and to map clusters that occurred over the micity that [the USGS] was not able to pick up at before, so we decided to do that.” month. on the regular network,” she said. “They may Using an array of more than 1,800 sensors Zach Rosson, a graduate research assistant not know that these wells are also causing laid out over street grids in Grant County, on the at the Oklahoma Geological Survey who also earthquakes; [they] are just not big enough. So Oklahoma-Kansas border north of Oklahoma studies induced seismicity in Oklahoma, said maybe it’s something they should watch more City, Dougherty and her coauthors created their that the new catalog of microearthquakes is a closely.” own catalog of around 15,000 microearthquakes valuable resource for learning about earth- that rattled the area in the spring of 2016. quake behavior. The sensors, white cylinders about the size “The earthquake catalog built up in Okla- By Eva Frederick (evaf@mit.edu), Science Writing of coffee cans, tracked seismic activity for a homa for the past decade has been very ad Student, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, month. Normal earthquake detection systems hoc,” he said. “We lose out on a lot of infor- Cambridge 10 // Eos February 2019
NEWS Arctic Undergoing Transition Unprecedented in Human History for the past 5 years—2014–2018—have exceeded all previous records since 1900. • Arctic sea ice cover, which reached a win- ter maximum value extent of 14.48 million square kilometers on 17 March 2018, was the second-lowest maximum extent in the 39-year record, following 2017. The 2018 extent was 7.3% below the 1981–2010 average, and the past 4 years—2015–2018—are the four lowest maximums in the satellite record. • Older sea ice, which tends to be thicker and more resilient to changes in atmospheric and oceanic heat content compared with younger and thinner ice, declined by 95% between March 1985 and March 2018. In 1985, ice 4 or more years old composed 16% of the Arctic ice pack (2.54 million square kilome- ters); in March 2018 the older ice composed 0.9% of the ice pack (0.13 million square kilo- meters). • For nearly all of the 2017–2018 Bering Sea ice season, the ice extent was at a record low. With reduced sea ice coverage and early breakup of ice, the effect on ocean primary productivity was profound, and productivity levels in the Bering Sea region sometimes The Arctic Report Card outlines vast changes taking place in the region. Pictured, the icebreaker USCGC Healy heads were 500% higher than normal. through ice in the Arctic Ocean. Credit: Devin Powell, NOAA • The warming Arctic Ocean may be expe- riencing an increase in the extent and magni- T tude of toxic algal blooms, which pose threats he Arctic continues to undergo dra- Older sea ice declined by to human and ecosystem health. matic change due to atmospheric and • Increased atmospheric warmth in the ocean warming, and the region “is no 95% between March 1985 Arctic “results in a sluggish and unusually longer returning to the extensively frozen wavy jet-stream that coincided with abnormal region of recent past decades,” according to and March 2018. weather events in both the Arctic and mid- the 2018 Arctic Report Card, issued by the latitudes.” Extreme weather events coincident National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminis- with deep waves in the jet stream include the tration (NOAA) at AGU’s Fall Meeting 2018 in heat wave at the North Pole in autumn 2017, December. tions and the magnitude and frequency of the severe winter storms in the eastern United “The Arctic is experiencing the most changes that are being delivered to the Arc- States in 2018, and an extreme cold outbreak unprecedented transition in human history,” tic,” the report continues. “Such understand- in Europe in March 2018. said Emily Osborne, lead author of the report and manager of NOAA’s Arctic Research Pro- ing is central to the livelihood of communities that call the Arctic home as well as the rest of • Although some impacts of climate change on extreme weather are clear—more gram. “In 2018, the effects of persistent Arctic the globe which is already experiencing the severe heat waves, more frequent heavy- warming continue to mount. Warming air and changes and implications of a warming and precipitation events, and more intense ocean temperatures continue to drive broad, melting Arctic.” droughts—the understanding of other less long-term change across the region, pushing Here are some of the main findings in the direct influences is less clear. “The role of a the Arctic into uncharted territory.” report: rapidly warming and melting Arctic is one of The report states that “new and rapidly emerging threats are taking form and high- • In 2018, surface air temperatures in the Arctic continued to warm at more than twice these factors that challenges present com- puter modeling capabilities and understanding lighting the level of uncertainty in the the rate of the rest of the globe. The year 2018 of atmospheric dynamics,” the report states. breadth of environmental change that is to was the second warmest year on record in the “Exactly how the northern meltdown will come.” Arctic since 1900; its temperature of 1.7°C ‘play ball’ with other changes and natural Programs to conduct l ong-term monitoring above the long-term average of 1981–2010 is fluctuations in the system presents many “are critical to understanding baseline condi- second only to 2016. Arctic air temperatures questions that will keep scientists busy for Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 11
NEWS notes that a recent global survey shows that the Arctic Ocean has The report card calls marine higher concentrations of micro- microplastics an “emerging plastics than any other ocean basin in the world. threat” in the Arctic. • The abundance of herds of migratory caribou and wild rein- deer in circum-Arctic tundra areas has declined by 56% in the report that was compiled from research by past 2 decades, dropping from 81 scientists working for governments and 4.7 million to 2.1 million ani- academia in 12 countries. mals. Five herds in the Alaska- Canada region have declined by Briefing President Trump? more than 90% and show no NOAA acting director Tim Gallaudet said at signs of recovery. This decline the briefing that “the report card summarizes threatens the food security and some very significant changes.” In response A Teshekpuk caribou in the National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska. The culture of indigenous people, to a reporter’s question, however, Gallaudet report card states that the abundance of herds of migratory caribou and according to the report. Although acknowledged that despite concerns about wild reindeer in circum-Arctic tundra areas has declined by 56% in the it is normal for herd numbers to the Arctic, neither he nor any other senior past 2 decades. Credit: Bob Wick, BLM vary over decades, some herds NOAA official had briefed President Donald currently have all-time low pop- Trump about climate change or the changes ulations since reliable record in the Arctic since Trump took office on years to come, but it’s becoming ice-crystal- keeping began, the report states. 20 January 2017. clear that change in the far north will increas- The report card, which also looks at trends ingly affect us all.” in terrestrial snow cover, the Greenland ice • The report card calls marine microplas- tics an “emerging threat” in the Arctic, and it sheet, and tundra greenness, among other environmental changes, is a peer-reviewed By Randy Showstack (@RandyShowstack), Staff Writer 12 // Eos February 2019
OPINION Preparing Graduate Students students to explore such diverse career options by allocating the time and resources for STEM Careers Outside Academia needed to pursue course offerings designed for career exploration, as well as seminars, internships, and real-life professional experi- ences. With this report as a backdrop, we offer rec- ommendations that have worked in our expe- rience to build a program that prepares stu- dents for diverse careers after graduating. Our recommendations are derived from experience developing the Education Model Program on Water-Energy Research (EMPOWER), one pro- gram in the first cohort of National Science Foundation Research Traineeship (NRT) pro- grams at Syracuse University. Employment Trends and Opportunities A 2013 study by the National Science Founda- tion (NSF) suggests a disconnect between skills desired by employers and professional development provided in graduate programs [National Science Foundation (NSF), 2013a]. Employers from diverse sectors expect STEM doctoral degree holders to have expert con- tent knowledge, strong communication skills, a multidisciplinary focus, entrepre- neurial and project management skills, a sense of professionalism, and the ability to EMPOWER NRT faculty member Chris Junium shows students how to test water quality in Fayetteville Green Lake apply knowledge across a broad context near Syracuse, N.Y., during a domestic field course on water and energy. Credit: D. McCay [Council of Graduate Schools and Educational Testing Service, 2012]. Despite employer C expectations, the NSF study indicates that urrent graduate programs in science, even do research as their primary job (Fig- today’s STEM graduate programs still leave technology, engineering, and mathe- ure 1). critical gaps in skills focused on science com- matics (STEM) prepare students for a Given these trends, a new report by the munication, preparation for nonacademic career that most of them will never find National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, careers, broadening the societal relevance of themselves in. These graduate programs have and Medicine recommends adjusting our research (e.g., engaging nonscience audi- traditionally been apprenticeships that pre- mind-set to recognize that many of our most ences, policy makers, and stakeholders pare students to become researchers at aca- talented graduates will such enter career sec- through outreach), and entrepreneurship. demic institutions [Hancock and Walsh, 2016]. tors as industry and government [National To help fill these gaps, NRT has funded However, more than 50% of all doctoral Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, more than 50 programs since 2014 that degree holders do not work in academia or 2018]. Ideally, programs should encourage emphasize interdisciplinary research and are uniquely focused on producing STEM profes- sionals prepared for research-related careers within and outside of academia. Our program addresses the connections between hydrocar- bon energy production, use, and effects and water systems. Within water and energy fields, many careers outside of academia require advanced research-based degrees, and employment trends are typical of trends across science and engineering. Fewer than half of geoscience doctoral graduates are hired by universities; most work in oil and gas (22%), research insti- tutes (21%), and the federal government (14%) [American Geosciences Institute, 2014]. We know that STEM Ph.D. graduates explore for natural resources, advise policy Fig. 1. The percentages of employed doctoral degree holders in all fields of science and engineering that (a) work in makers, run industry labs, manage environ- different sectors and (b) engage in different primary work activities [ NSF, 2013b]. mental restoration efforts, and more. With Earth & Space Science News Eos.org // 13
OPINION 5. Don’t reinvent the wheel. STEM graduate programs can leverage a wealth of existing resources. Many campuses have programs designed to support career planning and pro- fessional development. We have found that participation in these programs fosters stu- dent awareness of the myriad of campus resources available. Such programming pro- vides the foundation for students to seek and tailor resources available to support their indi- vidual career interests [St. Clair et al., 2017]. Programming should facilitate personal con- nections between the students and the cam- pus services available to meet their needs. A Model Test Bed of Best Practices Fig. 2. Sequence of training elements that are integrated with traditional, r esearch-based graduate degree programs We developed the above guiding principles on to prepare students for multiple career pathways in STEM. the basis of experience creating a graduate program for students to study the w ater- energy nexus and prepare for a range of this in mind, how do we help students develop I can do.” Programs need to develop mecha- careers. The program has many elements, but the skills they need to navigate the diverse nisms to improve student awareness of career the three fundamental components include a career paths they eventually may take? pathways in their field. It is critical to expose foundational seminar, individualized profes- students to the full spectrum of possibilities sional development coursework, and a cap- Principles for Developing Graduate early in their program to maximize the time stone career path experience (Figure 2). Programs for Multiple Career Pathways and opportunities for skills training. Pulling from our NRT experience, we suggest 3. Create a program culture that values profes- Foundational Seminar five guiding principles for adapting research- sional development. It is essential to weave pro- We found that a required semester-long foun- based STEM graduate programs to address fessional development into the start of a stu- dational seminar course that brings together training gaps. dent’s graduate program. Emphasis on science the student cohort every week is a critical 1. Allow programs to be student designed and communication, interdisciplinarity, negotia- component of changing program culture, highly individualized. There is no one-size-fits- tion, professionalism, and the ability to apply all program that meets the needs of all stu- disciplinary knowledge across a broad context dents. Career opportunities are simply too cannot begin too early. Students learn the Programming should diverse. Rather, students need to design their program to meet their anticipated needs. value of such training when they have time and opportunities to integrate professional facilitate personal Through the process of identifying and evalu- development and career path experiences into connections between the ating available career trajectories, students their program of study. Institutions can take ownership of their career preparation demonstrate the importance they place on students and the campus [St. Clair et al., 2017]. 2. Provide exposure to careers in STEM early and such training by providing assistantship sup- port during internships, offering seed grants services available to meet often. As one NRT student noted at a recent for networking events, and hosting profes- their needs. career seminar, “It’s not that I don’t know sional development workshops. With strong what I want to do—it’s that I don’t know what program support, students can be more effec- tive in their career development and job search process [St. Clair establishing a sense of community, and devel- et al., 2017]. oping student ownership and agency. The 4. Build a strong sense of commu- foundational seminar involves students from nity. As soon as a graduate student multiple disciplines and is required in the first group has been established, it is four semesters for Ph.D. students (two semes- imperative to bring students ters for master’s students). Students must together often. Programs should participate continuously, which integrates foster continuity across disci- multiple cohorts of students at multiple stages plinary boundaries and between in their program. These cohorts pass down cohorts of students (i.e., incom- and advance institutional knowledge and pro- ing and senior). Community gram culture. building is the first stage of pro- The foundational seminar serves as an fessional network development “interdisciplinary discussion space” [Hancock and a critical component of estab- and Walsh, 2016], and it allows professional lishing a culture that values development, career discussion, and exposure EMPOWER NRT students Changcheng Pu and Robin Glas at work in the career preparation and student- to campus resources to begin early and be program’s foundational seminar. Credit: D. McCay centered programming. repeated throughout a student’s graduate pro- 14 // Eos February 2019
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