What Happens Next to Antitrust-in 6 Questions - Wilson Sonsini

Page created by Jason Mueller
 
CONTINUE READING
Antitrust, Vol. 35, No. 3, Summer 2021. © 2021 by the American Bar Association. Reproduced with permission. All rights reserved. This information or any portion thereof may not
be copied or disseminated in any form or by any means or stored in an electronic database or retrieval system without the express written consent of the American Bar Association.

What Happens Next to Antitrust—in 6 Questions
                                                                           JOSHUA H. SOVEN

W
                      E ARE IN A BULL MARKET FOR                                           century. . . . Few people dispute that antitrust’s core mission
                     debate about antitrust policy. The rapid                              is protecting consumers’ right to the low prices, innovation,
                     growth and size of some companies,                                    and diverse production that competition promises.”5
                     new business models, and increased                                        Professor Hovenkamp probably overstated the level of
                     focus on the labor markets have gener-                                agreement about whether the consumer welfare standard
ated a volatile discussion about the future of antitrust policy                            protects “diverse production.” But he was right that there
and enforcement.                                                                           has been consensus that the antitrust agencies should focus
   For many, the back and forth involves heroes and villains,                              on challenges to conduct that increases prices and/or reduces
new friends and old foes, and antitrust “school” rivalries.1                               levels of quality and innovation. The number of compet-
This dynamic is healthy—it promotes candid discussion and                                  itors in a market matters when it informs the analysis of
new thinking. But the intensity of the debate can cloud the                                conduct’s effects on customers, but preserving a particular
practical implications of the policy choices for businesses.                               market structure has not been an end in itself.
This article unpacks some of those implications by analyz-                                     Reflecting this consensus, in June 2021, the Supreme
ing six questions. And while everyone has an agenda (and I                                 Court, in essence, described the consumer welfare standard
have mine), I do not focus on what I think should happen,                                  in its unanimous decision that held that certain restric-
but on what I think will happen, and how businesses should                                 tions on compensation for student-athletes imposed by the
prepare for what happens next.2                                                            National Collegiate Athletic Association violated Section 1
                                                                                           of the Sherman Act: “[It is] a fact-specific assessment of
1. What is antitrust trying to accomplish?                                                 market power and market structure aimed at assessing the
The next phase of antitrust will depend a lot on what the                                  challenged restraint’s actual effect on competition—espe-
Biden administration decides is the purpose of the antitrust                               cially its capacity to reduce output and increase price.”6
laws. Complete consensus on the objectives of antitrust has                                    Members of the Biden administration (in their writings)
never existed.3 Until the 1970s, prosecutors and the courts                                have argued that “excessive market power is a serious prob-
often applied the antitrust laws to protect small businesses                               lem” in the United States7 and raised two concerns about the
and to try to preserve and restore unconcentrated market                                   consumer welfare standard. First, some assert that the stan-
structures.4 The impact of conduct on consumers and eco-                                   dard does not reliably cover conduct that generates short-
nomic efficiency mattered, but not as much as it does today.                               term benefits for consumers, but potentially could produce
   Next came about two decades of accepting, rejecting,                                    harms to competition in the long run. For example, they
and modifying the Chicago School’s position that antitrust                                 think that the consumer welfare standard does a poor job of
should focus on price and economic efficiency, after which                                 stopping large companies from reducing prices below costs,
antitrust policy had a pretty soft landing on the consumer                                 which they believe can over time reduce the number of com-
welfare standard. In 2005, Professor Herbert Hovenkamp,                                    petitors and innovation. Professor Timothy Wu (the Special
the author of the leading antitrust treatise, described the                                Assistant to President Biden for Technology and Competi-
state of play: “[T] oday we enjoy more consensus about the                                 tion Policy) put it this way:
goals of the antitrust laws than at any time in the last half                                   [E]mphasis on measurable harms to consumers still tends to
                                                                                                bias the law toward a focus on static harms and, especially,
                                                                                                on prices. Such “price fixation” inevitably tends to mar-
   Joshua H. Soven is a partner at Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati in                          ginalize parts of the antitrust law concerned with dynamic
   Washington, D.C., and an Associate Editor of A ntitrust . He ser ved as                      harms—harms like the blocking of potential competition,
   a Section Chief and Trial Attorney at the Antitrust Division of the U.S.                     slowing of innovation, loss of quality competition, and
   Department of Justice, and as an Attorney Advisor to the Chairman of                         overall industry stagnation.8
   the Federal Trade Commission. Mr. Soven and Wilson Sonsini represent
                                                                                              The second concern among Biden administration offi-
   companies with interests in these issues. The views in this article are
                                                                                           cials is that the consumer welfare standard does not achieve
   those of Mr. Soven.
                                                                                           what they believe was Congress’ central goal for the antitrust

                                                                                                                                            S U M M E R       2 0 2 1     ·   7 5
C O M M E N T

laws—to prevent the “excessive concentrations of economic                  consumer welfare standard because it requires them to hit
power,” by protecting smaller businesses, suppliers, and                   only a single evidentiary target—showing that the defendants
labor. FTC Chair Lina Khan has written:                                    planned to increase prices, drop levels of output or service,
      Focusing antitrust exclusively on consumer welfare is a mis-         and/or reduce innovation. The standard also has helped the
      take. For one, it betrays legislative intent, which makes clear      antitrust agencies defeat efficiencies defenses in merger cases
      that Congress passed antitrust laws to safeguard against             because, as applied by the courts, companies must show that
      excessive concentrations of economic power. This vision              they will pass most or all of the efficiencies on to customers.14
      promotes a variety of aims, including the preservation of                In contrast, the “competitive process” standard is broader
      open markets, the protection of producers and consumers
      from monopoly abuse, and the dispersion of political and
                                                                           and less precise, which will leave room for businesses to
      economic control. Secondly, focusing on consumer welfare             urge the courts to adopt favorable interpretations. And if
      disregards the host of other ways that excessive concentra-          a variety of welfare concerns become relevant in antitrust
      tion can harm us—enabling firms to squeeze suppliers and             litigation—concentration of power, labor, suppliers, etc.—
      producers, endangering system stability (for instance, by            businesses can advocate that the courts should incorporate
      allowing companies to become too big to fail), or under-             these factors into the analysis. For example, companies can
      mining media diversity, to name a few.9                              sometimes make credible arguments that a merger will help
   Chair Khan, Professor Wu, and others in the Biden                       them avoid layoffs, increase wages, and support unions.
administration want to replace the consumer welfare stan-                      In addition, a renewed emphasis on “market structure”
dard with a benchmark that focuses on protecting the “com-                 and protection of smaller businesses will present strategic
petitive process.”10 Professor Wu has written that to develop              opportunities for businesses in litigation if it causes the
this approach “will require much further work and practice                 courts to place greater emphasis on old-style market defini-
to arrive at practicable standards,” but that “the basic ques-             tion. For several decades, the primary litigation obstacle that
tion is whether the complained-of conduct is competition                   the antitrust agencies faced was not the Chicago School’s
on the merits, or, rather, an effort to disable or subvert the             de-emphasis of market structure, but the inability to prove
competitive process.”11 “This is a test primarily focused on               a traditional market structure in the first place. To deal with
protection of a process, more specifically, which is different             this problem, the antitrust agencies successfully advocated
than the maximization of a value.”12 Professor Wu wrote                    for a more flexible view of market definition that used
that the competitive process standard is “not ultimately tied              econometric tools to measure the relative intensity of price
to arguments about whether, in the final analysis, consumer                and quality competition between companies.15 This has pro-
welfare has been served or not.”13                                         duced big benefits for the antitrust agencies in litigation. For
   The courts will not replace or modify the consumer wel-                 example, the FTC’s flagship hospital merger enforcement
fare standard overnight. But the desire to do so by mem-                   program often sidesteps traditional market definition and
bers of the Biden administration will produce immediate                    policy objectives favored by some critics of the consumer
consequences for businesses. Many antitrust investigations                 welfare standard (e.g., wages and impacts on suppliers).
are resolved at the agencies, without litigation. (Lawyers like            Instead, the program hinges on an FTC economic model
trials; most companies do not.) The Biden administration                   that has a singular focus on whether a merger is likely to
will, in many cases, investigate the wide set of issues raised             increase prices to the hospitals’ customers.
by those who favor the competitive process standard. This
will lengthen some investigations and expand the scope of                  2. Does antitrust policy play dice
the information the parties need to produce. For example,                  with competition?16
the antitrust agencies have already started to ask for more                On the surface, the antitrust debate is about legal doctrine.
information about how transactions affect labor markets.                   But the substance of the disagreements largely boils down to
   To reduce regulatory risk and manage investigation costs,               how much risk to take that conduct will reduce competition.
companies will need to broaden the scope of their advocacy                    In an enforcement framework, the risk issue reduces to
to go beyond price effects and incentives to innovate. From                two questions. First, what “probability of harm” test should
the outset, companies should have thorough presentations                   the agencies and the courts use to determine antitrust liabil-
that address the transaction’s effects on smaller businesses               ity? For example, does conduct violate the antitrust laws if
and other competitors, labor rates, unions, and diversity                  there is a 51 percent chance that it will reduce competition?
of consumer choice. For high-profile transactions, com-                    Second, what is the plaintiff ’s burden of proof in court (e.g.,
panies will often need to make presentations to Congress,                  a preponderance of the evidence) to show that the probabil-
other federal agencies, labor organizations, political interest            ity test is satisfied?
groups, and other stakeholders.                                               In the 131 years since Congress passed the Sherman
   In litigation, the push to replace the consumer welfare                 Act, neither the antitrust agencies nor the courts have
standard will increase risks for defendants in some circum-                answered these two questions with precision. Instead, the
stances, but it will also present strategic opportunities. The             agencies and courts have adopted a variety of presumptions
DOJ’s and FTC’s litigators have often benefited from the                   and burden-shifting mechanisms to resolve antitrust cases.

7 6     ·   A N T I T R U S T
Nevertheless, I think that the DOJ’s and FTC’s litigators           is a hard science, antitrust remains an imprecise discipline.
believe that to win a case, they need to prove that it is more      Bad “intent” documents will both put pressure on and make
likely than not that conduct will cause a material and fore-        it easier for the Biden administration to challenge conduct
seeable reduction in competition. And this belief affects case      that has a relatively low probability of causing competitive
selection. For example, the antitrust agencies generally do         harm. Professor Wu has explained: “[E]vidence of an anti-
not challenge acquisitions of a “nascent” competitor when           competitive plan is a particularly important guide in this
there is only a very low chance of a loss of competition (e.g.,     area. Such intent might be subjectively expressed through
below 5 percent).                                                   testimony or internal writings. The enforcer or factfinder
   The Biden administration, its advisors, and some mem-            essentially borrows a party’s expertise to help form a judg-
bers of Congress believe that antitrust enforcers have              ment about competitive effects.”20
wrongly erred on the side of under-enforcement. To address              In this environment, hot documents will also make it
this, they want to (1) lower the risk thresholds that the           much easier for courts to resolve ambiguities against compa-
agencies use when they decide whether to bring an enforce-          nies. It will become exceptionally important that company
ment action, and (2) reduce the agencies’ burden of proof           officials describe their conduct and competitors accurately,
to demonstrate that conduct violates the antitrust laws. For        and with precision. Hyperbole that may look harmless at the
example, Professor Wu has written that the antitrust agen-          time could generate a government lawsuit.
cies have applied too high a standard when they decide                  Third, if pending antitrust bills become law, it will likely
whether to challenge acquisitions of nascent competitors by         require businesses to change litigation strategies. Some of
large technology companies.17                                       the proposed legislation effectively puts the burden of proof
   Relatedly, six prominent antitrust practitioners and schol-      on the defendants for certain conduct. This may cause courts
ars, including Professor Wu, published a report that advo-          to give the defendants greater latitude to obtain substantial
cates for legislation that “under some circumstances [makes]        discovery from the government’s witnesses and other third
conduct that creates a risk of substantial harm [] unlawful         parties.
even if the harm cannot be shown to be more likely than not.”18         Putting the burden on the defendants might also cause
The views of these practitioners and scholars are reflected in      some courts to allow the defendants to go first at trial, which
bills pending in Congress. These bills would: (1) prohibit          will enable the parties to cross-examine the government’s
certain acquisitions by large companies; (2) expand the types       witnesses in the defendants’ case in chief. Relatedly, if lit-
of conduct for which there is a presumption of illegality;          igation becomes more about the competitive process and
(3) shift burdens of proof to the defendants for certain cases;     less about consumer welfare, it could put more pressure on
(4) lower the government’s burden of proof in merger cases;         the antitrust agencies to sponsor credible testimony from
(5) require that large technology platforms avoid preferenc-        third-party competitors who allegedly will be harmed by
ing their own products and services and make data available         the defendants’ conduct. To prepare a witness properly for
to competitors; and (6) most dramatically, could require the        trial requires a substantial investment of time and resources.
breakup of some large technology platforms.19                       Even officials from third parties who agree to testify at trial
   Similar to the Biden administration’s doubts about               for the DOJ or the FTC often are reluctant to make this
the consumer welfare standard, this risk-averse dynamic             commitment.
will affect antitrust enforcement policy, particularly if the
antitrust agencies receive more funding. For example, the           3. Who really is at the top of the antitrust
administration’s antitrust team will scrutinize a number            pyramid?21
of acquisitions by large companies that, until recently, the        The Biden administration may or may not dent the U.S.
agencies would have cleared quickly because they do not             antitrust law universe,22 but, either way, European compe-
create a material risk of foreseeable harm to consumers. The        tition agencies probably will present the biggest regulatory
implications for businesses are substantial.                        risk to many U.S. companies over the next five years. The
   First, in this environment, some companies facing an             political and economic forces that will produce more aggres-
antitrust investigation should accelerate the production of         sive enforcement in the United States are just as strong in
ordinary course of business documents that can demon-               Europe. And European competition agencies generally do
strate that there is no significant risk of a loss of competition   not need to go to court to stop mergers and other con-
or harm to the competitive process. This approach can avoid         duct, which gives them more latitude to bring enforcement
the delays that can occur when the agency intends to con-           actions that could present substantial litigation risks in the
duct an extensive investigation. An incrementalist approach         United States. Moreover, the U.S. antitrust agencies may
by companies under investigation, which was always an               urge European authorities to stop conduct that they doubt
overrated strategy, will become more likely to prolong inves-       they can challenge under U.S. law.
tigations, raise costs, and increase business risks.                    Two recent developments illustrate the increased anti-
   Second, “hot” documents will present even greater risks to       trust risks to U.S. companies from competition authorities
businesses than they do today. While often packaged as if it        in Europe. First, in March 2021, the European Commission

                                                                                                        S U M M E R   2 0 2 1   ·   7 7
C O M M E N T

(EC) implemented a rule that expands the number of                  Transportation Board, “Mergers subject to the HSR Act can
smaller transactions that the Commission can review in              occasionally take a year or more to reach final decision.”32
order to give the EC greater ability to review transactions             Merger process reforms do not stick in part because many
that involve nascent competitors, even when the nascent             at the DOJ and the FTC doubt that they serve the agen-
firm has little or no revenue.23 The rule enables EC mem-           cies’ interests when they review large strategic transactions.
ber countries to request that the EC review any merger that         Rather, they think that the agencies benefit from a lot of
does not meet the EU merger thresholds, but “affects trade          time to investigate such transactions and to prepare for lit-
between Member States” and “threatens to significantly              igation. Parties (and their lawyers) are also responsible for
affect competition” within the territory of that member             the modest success of merger process reforms. Many parties
country, regardless of whether it meets the thresholds in that      decide not to respond rapidly to a Second Request because
Member State.24 The Guidance also provides for post-clos-           they think that it will make the agencies hostile to their deal
ing referrals regardless of whether the referral complies with      and that with more time the agencies “will come around.”
current statutory requirements.                                         Although there are credible arguments why a faster
    Businesses should expect that the EC will use this              merger review process would produce substantial benefits
expanded authority frequently. In May 2021, the European            for the antitrust agencies and the parties in many matters,
Commission used the authority to open an investigation of           there are no signs of change to the status quo. If the Biden
Illumina’s proposed acquisition of GRAIL.25 Because the             administration does speed up merger investigations, the fol-
EC investigation barred the parties from closing, the FTC           lowing factors will probably drive reform:
moved to dismiss its federal litigation complaint that sought           First, the antitrust agencies and the parties realize that
to enjoin the deal pending a lengthier administrative trial at      technology now enables the merging parties to produce
the FTC.26 Companies need to plan for member countries              in three months the information that the agencies use to
to make such referrals to the EC on their own initiative.           make most enforcement decisions: documents from the files
They also need to account for (offensively and defensively)         of 10–15 senior officials; financial databases; and win-loss
the ability of private parties with strategic interests in a deal   data. It might take a month or two longer for the agencies
to urge member states to make such referrals to the EC.             to obtain the information they need from third parties, but
    Second, since Brexit, the United Kingdom’s Competition          no more than that.
and Markets Authority (CMA) has stepped up its level of                 Second, the parties involved in a Second Request inves-
scrutiny of transactions, particularly those in the technol-        tigation decide that it is in their interest to push for an
ogy and medical technology sectors that involve nascent or          agreement with the antitrust agencies that enables them to
adjacent competitors. For example, in 2020, just two days           complete the investigation in seven months and complete
after the U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware          any litigation in four months. This schedule would enable a
denied the DOJ’s attempt to block Sabre’s acquisition of            district court to issue a ruling within one year after the HSR
Farelogix,27 the CMA stopped the transaction.28 Notably,            filing, a rarity today.
the Antitrust Division’s Assistant Attorney General at that             Third, the antitrust agencies really commit to relying
time praised the CMA’s decision in a DOJ press release.29           on structural presumptions, and conclude that they do not
    Handling a regulatory review in Europe was already anal-        benefit from long discovery schedules and multi-week trials
ogous to three-dimensional chess. The latest developments           where the bulk of the time is spent litigating why a pre-
add even more dimensions. The issues that will become               sumption is not informative about the transaction’s likely
more complex include: drafting risk allocation covenants for        competitive effects.33 Relatedly, merger reviews will accel-
merger agreements; decisions about which European author-           erate if the agencies decide that it is not in their interests to
ities to notify about a transaction; assessments about whether      give the parties many months to unilaterally construct their
third parties will push for investigations to advance their stra-   own remedies that put the agencies in the defensive position
tegic interests; and whether and how to discuss competition         of “litigating the fix.”
reviews in Europe with the U.S. antitrust agencies.
                                                                    5. Will antitrust enforcers stop worrying and learn
4. Does anyone “feel the need for speed”                            to love regulation?34
in merger reviews?30                                                If you tell a lawyer or economist who works at the Anti-
Commentators have written millions of words about poten-            trust Division or the FTC that they are a regulator, they
tial changes to the antitrust law that governs mergers, but         usually respond with a cross look. They view their work as
remarkably few about how to make antitrust merger reviews           law enforcement, not regulation. And they have a point;
go faster. The antitrust agencies have rolled out initiatives       much of the justification for robust antitrust enforcement is
intended to streamline merger investigations. However,              to avoid regulation.35
these initiatives have had only modest effect.31 Instead,              Today, politicians, commentators, and antitrust law-
as the DOJ recently wrote in a submission to the Surface            yers across the political spectrum are pushing away historic

7 8   ·   A N T I T R U S T
concerns about antitrust getting into the regulation busi-        unanimous Supreme Court rejected a Section 2 complaint
ness. They reason that antitrust enforcement tools, by them-      against Verizon in part because Verizon and the conduct
selves, are not adequate to protect competition. FTC Chair        at issue were subject to regulatory oversight by the Federal
Khan has written that “reliance on case-by-case adjudica-         Communications Commission.42
tion yields a system of enforcement that generates ambigu-
ity, unduly drains resources from enforcers, and deprives         6. What about the people in the arena?
individuals and firms of any real opportunity to democrat-        In 1910, President Theodore Roosevelt credited the indi-
ically participate in the process.”36 In her prominent article    vidual who is “in the arena” over the “critic.”43 Roughly a
on Amazon, Chair Khan discusses how, given her view that          century later, ESPN television anchor Kenny Mayne com-
“Amazon increasingly serves as essential infrastructure across    mented on SportsCenter that “we all know that games aren’t
the internet economy, applying elements of public utility         played on paper; they are played by little men inside our TV
regulations to its business is worth considering.”37              sets.”44 Roosevelt’s speech had more impact than Mayne’s
    Political conservatives are also calling for various regu-    joke, but they were making the same point: Events are not
lations. Supreme Court Justice Thomas recently wrote in           self-executing and the participants determine the outcome.
a concurring opinion that “[t]here is a fair argument that        This is true for antitrust enforcement too.
some digital platforms are sufficiently akin to common car-           Where the antitrust agencies (and businesses) have
riers or places of accommodation to be regulated.”38 And          succeeded, it is often due to detailed and innovative fact-­
there is a Republican co-sponsor for each of the bills intro-     gathering work and implementing creative and aggressive
duced in the House, some of which would effectively regu-         litigation strategies. Antitrust doctrine matters, but it is
late large technology companies.                                  never sufficient. The paradigm of this reality is, of course,
    In addition, there is substantial interest in regulation in   the FTC’s successful hospital merger enforcement program.
Europe. In December 2020, the European Commission pro-            Much of the innovation of the program was to develop new
posed the Digital Markets Act, which would impose extensive       litigation strategies and then successfully execute those strat-
regulations on some digital platforms, including interopera-      egies in courtrooms throughout the country.
bility and data-sharing requirements.39 Similar to FTC Chair          Important litigation innovations also came from how
Khan, European Commission Executive Vice President Mar-           the attorneys at the Antitrust Division and the FTC prose-
grethe Vestager explained that she thought that regulation was    cuted unilateral effects cases, which substantially increased
necessary because antitrust enforcement was not sufficient.40     the agencies’ win rate. For example, Antitrust Division
    Whether Congress will legislate, or the administration        and FTC attorneys deemphasized customer testimony in
will adopt, competition-focused regulations is uncertain.         favor of aggressive cross-examinations of the parties’ wit-
But the Biden administration’s interest in regulation will        nesses in their affirmative case. The Antitrust Division
produce effects right away. Many companies will approach          also used timing agreements to incentivize the parties to
the administration to advocate for new rules. Businesses,         produce documents quickly from key executives and then
whether they favor or oppose regulations, will need to pre-       took litigation-style depositions of those executives during
pare to respond offensively or defensively. Ironically, the       the investigation to obtain a transcript suitable to use on
DOJ and the FTC could serve as the best place for com-            cross-examination at trial.45
panies to express concerns that proposed new federal regu-            Similarly, companies (and their counsel) that lost gov-
lations could reduce competition and impede enforcement           ernment antitrust litigation challenges implemented new
efforts. Over the years, the antitrust agencies have actively     strategies that enabled them to win subsequent cases. For
engaged in “competition advocacy” that critiqued new regu-        example, companies decided not to sponsor economic mod-
lations that limit competition.                                   els that purported to show how a market performed and
    Businesses will also need to plan for the possibility that    instead showed that the government’s models did not accu-
new competition-oriented regulations will implicate the           rately represent the facts on the ground.
often messy, and litigation-intensive, preemption and anti-           We have not reached the end of history in developing
trust preclusion doctrines, as happened in the Credit Suisse      and implementing better tools to investigate, prosecute,
and Trinko cases. Companies have used these doctrines             and defend antitrust cases. The current enforcement actions
to block public and private antitrust enforcement on the          against large technology companies, with presumably more
ground that regulations govern the conduct at issue and           to come, will produce new strategies for handling high-pro-
“displace” the antitrust laws. In Credit Suisse, the Supreme      file antitrust enforcement matters. The reality (unsettling
Court held that the securities regulations implicitly pre-        for some) is that these strategies, and how well they are
cluded the application of the antitrust laws to investment        executed, could have a greater impact on the outcomes of
banks that allegedly formed syndicates to help execute initial    future antitrust enforcement actions than will changes to
public offerings.41 And most famously, in the Trinko case, a      the antitrust laws. ■

                                                                                                     S U M M E R   2 0 2 1   ·   7 9
C O M M E N T

                                                                                                                   20   Hemphill & Wu, supra note 17, at 1882 (footnote omitted).
1    At last count, the “schools” of antitrust are: Neo-Brandeisian, Chicago,                                      21   The phrase “top of the pyramid” comes from Tom Wolfe’s The Right Stuff
     Neo-Chicago, Post-Chicago, and Harvard.                                                                            (1979). See, e.g., T o m W o lf e , T h e R i g h t S t u ff 351 (Farrar, Straus, and
2    Credit for the title of this article goes to my friend Larry Bernstein who                                         Giroux ed. 2008).
     hosts the program What Happens Next In 6 Minutes. Mr. Bernstein started                                       22   The “dent in the universe” phrase is attributed to Steve Jobs. See W a l -
     the program in March of 2020 in response to the Covid-19 pandemic. See                                             t e r I s a a c s o n , S t e v e J o b s : A B i o g r a p h y 92, 112 (Simon & Schuster ed.
     W h at H a pp e n s N e x t i n 6 M i n u t e s , https://www.whathappensnextin6min                                2011).
     utes.com/.                                                                                                    23   See Deirdre Carroll, European Commission Publishes Guidance Paper on
3    See R i c h a r d A. P o s n e r , A n t i t r u s t L aw 39–40 n.15, 41 (2d ed. 2001).                            Member State Referrals for Merger Review Even Where National or EU
4    See Brown Shoe Co. v. United States, 370 U.S. 294, 333 (1962) (“[W]e                                               Thresholds Are Not Met, W i l s o n S o n s i n i A l e r t (Apr. 8, 2021), https://
     must consider its probable effects upon the economic way of life sought                                            www.wsgr.com/en/insights/european-commission-publishes-guidance-pa-
     to be preserved by Congress. Congress was desirous of preventing the                                               per-on-member-state-referrals-for-merger-review-even-where-national-or-eu-
     formation of further oligopolies with their attendant adverse effects upon                                         thresholds-are-not-met.html.
     local control of industry and upon small business. Where an industry was                                      24   Eur. Comm’n, Guidance on the application of the referral mechanism set
     composed of numerous independent units, Congress appeared anxious to                                               out in Article 22 of the Merger Regulation to certain categories of cases,
     preserve this structure.”) (footnote omitted).                                                                     2021 (C 2021), ¶ 6, https://ec.europa.eu/competition/consultations/
5    H e rb e r t H ov e n k a m p , T h e A n t i t r u s t E n t e rpr i s e : P r i n c i pl e         Execu-
                                                                                                    and                 2021_merger_control/guidance_article_22_referrals.pdf.
     t i o n 1 (2005).                                                                                             25   Eur. Comm’n, Daily News 20/04/2021 (Apr. 20, 2021), https://ec.europa.
6    Nat’l Collegiate Ath. Ass’n v. Alston, Nos. 20-512, 20-520, slip op. at 9                                          eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/mex_21_1846 (“The European
     (2021) (citing Ohio v. American Express Co., 138 S. Ct. 2274, 2284 (2018)                                          Commission has accepted the requests submitted by Belgium, France,
     (internal citations omitted) (internal quotation marks omitted)).                                                  Greece, Iceland, the Netherlands, and Norway to assess the proposed
7    Lina Khan & Sandeep Vaheesan, Market Power and Inequality: The Antitrust                                           acquisition of GRAIL by Illumina under the EU Merger Regulation. . . .
     Counterrevolution and Its Discontents, 11 H a r v . L. & P o l ’ y R e v . 235, 236                                Illumina cannot implement the transaction before notifying and obtaining
     (2017).                                                                                                            clearance from the Commission.”).
8                                                                                                                  26   Press Release, Maribeth Petrizzi, Bureau of Competition Director, State-
     See Tim Wu, After the Consumer Welfare, Now What? The “Protection of Com-
     petition” Standard in Practice, CPI A n t i t r u s t C h r o n . 5–6 (Apr. 2018); see                             ment of FTC Acting Bureau of Competition Director Maribeth Petrizzi on
     also Christine S. Wilson, Commissioner, U.S. Federal Trade Commission,                                             Bureau’s Motion to Dismiss Request for Preliminary Relief in Illumina/
     Welfare Standards Underlying Antitrust Enforcement: What You Measure                                               GRAIL Case (May 20, 2021), https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/press-
     Is What You Get, Remarks at George Mason Law Review 22nd Annual Anti-                                              releases/2021/05/statement-ftc-acting-bureau-competition-director-
     trust Symposium, at 9–10 (Feb. 15, 2019).                                                                          maribeth (“At the time, a district court order was necessary to prevent
9                                                                                                                       the parties from consummating their merger . . . . Now that the European
     Lina Khan, Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox, 126 Y a l e L.J. 710, 743–44 (2017)
                                                                                                                        Commission is investigating, Illumina and GRAIL cannot implement the
     (footnotes omitted).
10
                                                                                                                        transaction without obtaining clearance from the European Commission.”).
     See Wu, supra note 8, at 5.                                                                                   27
11
                                                                                                                        United States v. Sabre Corp., 452 F. Supp. 3d 97 (D. Del. 2020).
     Id. at 7, 8.                                                                                                  28
12
                                                                                                                        See Competition and Mkts. Authority, Anticipated Acquisition by Sabre
     Id. at 7.                                                                                                          Corporation of Farelogix Inc. Final Report (Apr. 9, 2020) [hereinafter
13   Id. at 9 (emphasis added).                                                                                         CMA Final Report], https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5e8
14   See, e.g., FTC v. Staples, Inc., 970 F. Supp. 1066, 1090 (D.D.C. 1997)                                             f17e4d3bf7f4120cb1881/Final_Report_-_Sabre_Farelogix.pdf.
     (“[T] he Court also finds that the defendants’ projected pass through rate—                                   29   Press Release, Statement from Assistant Attorney General Makan Delra-
     the amount of the projected savings that the combined company expects                                              him on Sabre and Farelogix Decision to Abandon Merger (May 1, 2020),
     to pass on to customers in the form of lower prices—is unrealistic. . . .                                          https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/statement-assistant-attorney-general-
     [T]he evidence shows that, historically, Staples has passed through only                                           makan-delrahim-sabre-and-farelogix-decision-abandon (“The United King-
     15–17%.”).                                                                                                         dom’s CMA decision to block Sabre’s acquisition of Farelogix confirms our
15   U.S. Dep’t of Justice & Fed. Trade Comm’n, Horizontal Merger Guidelines                                            view that the merger was anticompetitive.”).
     §§ 4 & 6 (2010), http://ftc.gov/os/2010/08/100819hmg.pdf.                                                     30   The phrase “feel the need for speed” comes from the 1986 film Top Gun.
16   Albert Einstein famously stated that “[God] does not play dice” with the                                           See T o p G u n (Paramount Pictures 1986).
     universe. See W a lt e r I s a a c s o n , E i n s t e i n : H i s L i f e a n d U n i v e r s e 335          31   See, e.g., Makan Delrahim, It Takes Two: Modernizing the Merger Review
     (Simon & Schuster ed. 2007).                                                                                       Process (Sept. 25, 2018), https://www.justice.gov/opa/speech/file/
17   C. Scott Hemphill & Tim Wu, Nascent Competitors, 168 U. P a . L. R e v .                                           1096326/download (“We can expedite our review without compromising
     1879, 1909 (2020).                                                                                                 quality[].”).
18                                                                                                                 32   U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Comment, Canadian Pac. Ry. Ltd., Finance Dkt. No.
     Bill Baer et al., Restoring Competition in the United States 13, W a s h i n g t o n
     C e n t e r f o r E q u i ta bl e G r ow t h (Nov. 2020) (emphasis added), https://                                36500 (STB 2021), at 7 (Apr. 12, 2021), https://www.justice.gov/atr/
     equitablegrowth.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/111920-antitrust-re-                                                page/file/1387311/download.
     port.pdf.                                                                                                     33   Khan & Vaheesan, supra note 7, at 280–81.
19   See Press Release, Congressman David Cicilline (RI-01), House Lawmak-                                         34   This question is drawn from Stanley Kubrick’s 1964 film Dr. Strangelove
     ers Release Anti-Monopoly Agenda for a Stronger Online Economy: Oppor-                                             or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb. See D r . S t r a n g e -
     tunity, Innovation, Choice (June 11, 2021), https://cicilline.house.gov/                                           l ov e (Columbia Pictures 1964).
     press-release/house-lawmakers-release-anti-monopoly-agenda-stronger-                                          35   See Chamber of Comm. of the U.S., America’s Antitrust Laws—Myth vs.
     online-economy-opportunity; Press Release, Senator Amy Klobuchar (MN),                                             Facts, https://www.uschamber.com/sites/default/files/antitrust_myth-vs-
     Senator Klobuchar Introduces Sweeping Bill to Promote Competition and                                              facts-final.pdf (“Antitrust is designed to restore the self-policing power of
     Improve Antitrust Enforcement (Feb. 4, 2021), https://www.klobuchar.                                               competition in the market. Regulation on the other hand is about imposing
     senate.gov/public/index.cfm/2021/2/senator-klobuchar-introduces-                                                   an outcome in the market.”).
     sweeping-bill-to-promote-competition-and-improve-antitrust-enforcement.

8 0       ·     A N T I T R U S T
36   Rohit Chopra & Lina M. Khan, The Case for “Unfair Methods of Competition”     41   Credit Suisse Sec. (USA) LLC v. Billing, 551 U.S. 264 (2007).
     Rulemaking, 87 C h i . L. R e v . 357, 359 (2020).                            42   Verizon Commc’ns Inc. v. Law Offices of Curtis V. Trinko, LLP, 540 U.S. 398,
37   Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox, supra note 9, at 798.                                  411–13 (2004).
38   Biden v. Knight First Amendment Inst. at Columbia Univ., No. 20–197593,       43   See Theodore Roosevelt, Citizenship in a Republic, Speech at the Sorbonne
     (slip. Op. at 6) (Apr. 5, 2021) (Thomas, J., concurring).                          (Apr. 23, 1910), https://www.leadershipnow.com/tr-citizenship.html.
39   Eur. Comm’n, The Digital Markets Act: Ensuring Fair and Open Digital Mar-     44   See Garrett Downing, Kenny Mayne: Football/Broadcasting (1978–82), L a s
     kets (Dec. 14, 2020), https://ec.europa.eu/info/strategy/priorities-2019-          V e g a s S u n (Mar. 9, 2009), https://lasvegassun.com/news/2009/mar/
     2024/europe-fit-digital-age/digital-markets-act-ensuring-fair-and-open-            09/kenny-mayne-football-broadcasting-1978-82/.
     digital-markets_en.                                                           45   See Joshua H. Soven & Justin Epner, After the Obama Administration: What
40   See Margrethe Vestager, Statement by Executive Vice-President Vestager on          Comes Next in Antitrust Merger Enforcement Policy?, A n t i t r u s t , Fall 2017,
     the Commission Proposal on New Rules for Digital Platforms (Dec. 15, 2020),        at 88.
     https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/STATEMENT_
     20_2450.

                                                                                                                                    S U M M E R       2 0 2 1     ·   8 1
You can also read