WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE - FIRST WEEK OF MAY 2021 Presented by Economic Research Division of PEFINDO
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01 Macroeconomic Update GLOBAL DOMESTIC Asia Development Bank (ADB) expected that Developing Asia will In the first quarter of 2021, Indonesia’s Foreign Direct grow by 7.3% (YoY) in 2021, stronger than its previous estimate of Investment jumped 14% (YoY) in rupiah terms. The FDI stood 6.8% (YoY). It is underpinned by expectations of solid global at IDR111.7 trillion (USD7.72 billion) in that period. Indonesia recovery and progress on vaccines. However, ADB was quick to Investment Board (BKPM) said that things have begun to be caution that risks to its forecasts were skewed more to the stable, and this shows the trust the world has for Indonesia downside. Geopolitical tensions, political turmoil, production and foreign investors. South Korea was the third top source of bottlenecks, financial turmoil, and long-term scarring effects of FDI after automaker Hyundai Motor started building a factory learning losses from school closures due to the pandemic also to make electric vehicles while Singapore and China remained threaten recovery. the first and second biggest sources. The U.S gross domestic product grew by 6.4% (QoQ) in the first Indonesia plans to reduce its budget deficit to 4.51% - 4.85% quarter of 2021. Widespread vaccinations and more fuel from of GDP in 2022, and to 2.71% - 2.97% of GDP in 2023. The plan government spending supported the U.S. economy to get closer is a part of post-crisis fiscal consolidation measures. Finance to the level before the pandemic. The boost in GDP came across a Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati has stuck to her tapering plans, spectrum of areas, such as increased personal consumption, fixed which she has said was important to maintain policy residential and nonresidential investment, and government credibility despite economists have warned Indonesian spending. Consumers spending that accounts for 68.2% of the policymakers that withdrawing pandemic-era stimulus too economy, accelerated by 10.7% (QoQ) in the period. soon could disrupt an economic recovery. www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 1
COMMODITIES Indonesia will stop both liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and fuel imports by 2030. Maturing fields and investment lags have turned Indonesia into a net importer of oil and gas, and the country steps up to cut imports in a bid to curb the country’s current account deficit. Indonesia plans big changes to its energy infrastructure to meet the target through building or upgrading refineries, converting refineries to biodiesel refineries, increasing domestic LPG production, and building a gas pipeline with a target of 10 million gas connections. Previous : 04/19/21 – 04/23/21 Source: Bloomberg & Investing (2021) Latest : 04/26/21 – 04/30/21 www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 2
STOCKS The S&P 500 dropped 0.08%, the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.28%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.48% (4/28). The U.S. stocks market ended lower on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve held interest rates and its monthly bond-buying program steady and gave no sign it was ready to reduce its support for the recovery. Meanwhile, the U.S. President is expected to unveil a sweeping $1.8 trillion package for families and education in his first joint speech to Congress on Wednesday. Previous : 04/19/21 – 04/23/21 Source: Bloomberg (2021) Latest : 04/26/21 – 04/30/21 www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 3
FOREIGN EXCHANGE Turkey’s lira depreciated by 0.6% to 8.48 against the U.S. dollar, close to its 2021 low watermark (4/26). A chill settled on relations with the United States as the U.S. President would officially recognize the 1915 massacres of Armenians in the Ottoman Empire as genocide, worsened the performance of the currency. Adding to investors' jitters, Turkey’s Central Bank Governor Sahap Kavcioglu said that he would keep monetary policy tight for now. Previous : 04/19/21 – 04/23/21 Source: Bloomberg (2021) Latest : 04/26/21 – 04/30/21 www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 4
02 Bond Market Update YIELD 10-year government bond yields up to 6.46% on Friday (4/30) from 6.44% on Friday (4/23) amid rising U.S. government bond yields and weakening Asian and Indonesian stock exchanges. The weakening occurred because investors were worried about the release of China's manufacturing activity data in April 2021. Based on data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) China showed the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 51.1 in April from previously at 51.9 in March. In addition, the development of the corona virus surge that occurred in several countries in Asia and Europe is still a concern of Asian financial market players. On Friday (4/30) the 10-year U.S. treasury yield up to 1.63% from 1.55% on Friday (4/23) after the release of economic growth data for the first quarter. The United States Department of Commerce (US) said first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) rose 6.4% compared to the 6.5% expected by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. Meanwhile, the Department of Labor reported that initial jobless claims last year totaled 553,000 or above the Dow Jones estimate of 528,000. Page www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 5
INDEX In the fourth week of April 2021, corporate bond yields with AAA rating, the yield for the 9-10 year tenor was in range 7.64%-7.88%. In AA rated bonds with a 9-10 year tenor was in the range of 8.60%-8.84%. For A rated bonds with a 9-10 year tenor in range 10.44%-10.70%, and at BBB rating in range 12.52%-12.69%. Note: average of a specific day with the same day of the previous week. www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 6
03 Bonds Issuance & Maturity BOND ISSUANCE Amount Coupon Tenor No. Company Instruments Issued Date Rating [IDR Billion] [%] [Years] 1 PT Bussan Auto Finance Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2021 Series A Apr-28-2021 500.00 4.90 1 AAA(idn) 2 PT Bussan Auto Finance Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2021 Series B Apr-28-2021 725.00 6.90 3 AAA(idn) 3 PT Bank Mandiri Taspen Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2021 Series A Apr-29-2021 800.00 6.50 3 AA(idn) 4 PT Bank Mandiri Taspen Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2021 Series B Apr-29-2021 1,200.00 7.25 5 AA(idn) Total 3,225.00 www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 8
BOND MATURITY Maturity Amount Coupon Tenor No. Company Instruments Rating Date [IDR Billion] [%] [Years] MAY PT Panorama Sentrawisata 1 MTN II Year 2018 Series B May-2-2021 100.00 9.38 3 idBBB- Tbk 2 PT Indosat Tbk Shelf Registration Bond II Phase III Year 2018 Series B May-3-2021 630.00 7.40 3 idAAA Perum Percetakan Negara 3 MTN I Year 2018 May-11-2021 145.00 11.25 3 - RI PT Batavia Prosperindo 4 Shelf Registration Bond II Phase II Year 2020 May-14-2021 200.00 9.70 1 idBBB Finance Tbk 5 PT Bussan Auto Finance Bond II Year 2018 Series B May-15-2021 500.00 7.90 3 idAA PT Pembangunan 6 SB Perpetual Phase I Year 2018 May-15-2021 150.00 9.04 3 idA- Perumahan (Persero) Tbk 7 PT PP Properti Tbk MTN XI May-15-2021 100.00 9.25 3 idBBB- PT Maybank Indonesia 8 Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2018 Series A May-17-2021 400.00 7.75 3 AA+(idn) Finance 9 PT PG Rajawali 1 MTN I Year 2018 Series A May-17-2021 250.00 8.25 3 idBBB+ 10 PT Bank KEB Hana Indonesia MTN I Year 2018 Series B May-18-2021 720.00 7.75 3 - PT Indomobil Finance 11 Shelf Registration Bond III Phase III Year 2018 Series B May-18-2021 430.00 8.20 3 idA Indonesia PT Pembangunan Jaya Ancol 12 Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2018 Series B May-18-2021 350.00 7.60 3 idA Tbk PT Sarana Multigriya 13 Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase IV Year 2018 Series B May-18-2021 408.00 6.95 3 idAAA Finansial (Persero) 14 PT Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk MTN Phase III Year 2018 May-18-2021 USD25.00 mn 5.80 3 - PT Tridomain Performance 15 MTN I Year 2017 May-18-2021 USD20.00 mn 9.00 4 idA- Materials 16 PT Bank UOB Indonesia Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2018 Series B May-23-2021 83.00 7.40 3 AAA(idn) www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 9
17 PT Pegadaian (Persero) Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase I Year 2020 Series A May-23-2021 330.00 6.90 1 idAAA 18 PT Pegadaian (Persero) Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase I Year 2020 Series A May-23-2021 51.00 6.90 1 idAAA(sy) 19 PT PP Properti Tbk MTN XII Series A May-24-2021 70.00 9.25 3 idBBB- 20 PT Astra Sedaya Finance Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase I Year 2018 Series B May-25-2021 550.00 7.50 3 idAAA 21 PT Astra Sedaya Finance Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase I Year 2018 Series B May-25-2021 175.00 7.50 3 idAAA(sy) PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia 22 Shelf Registration Bond I Phase III Year 2016 Series C May-25-2021 701.00 8.70 5 idAAA (Persero) Tbk 23 PT Perkebunan Nusantara X MTN Year 2018 May-25-2021 500.00 10.50 3 idBBB+ 24 PT Bank UOB Indonesia Subordinated Bond I Year 2014 May-28-2021 1.000.00 11.35 7 AA(idn) PT Toyota Astra Financial 25 Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2020 Series A May-29-2021 206.00 7.10 1 AAA(idn) Services PT Wahana Ottomitra 26 Shelf Registration Bond III Phase II Year 2019 Series B May-29-2021 125.50 9.15 2 AA-(idn) Multiartha Tbk 27 PT Equity Finance Indonesia MTN VII Phase VII Year 2020 Series A May-30-2021 5.00 12.35 1 - 28 PT PG Rajawali 1 MTN I Year 2018 Series B May-31-2021 250.00 8.25 3 idBBB+ Total 8,579,50 JUNE 1 PT Mandiri Tunas Finance Shelf Registration Bond II Phase II Year 2016 Series B Jun-1-2021 680.00 9.25 5 idAA+ PT Bank Victoria 2 Shelf Registration Bond I Phase II Year 2018 Series A Jun-5-2021 100.00 9.70 3 idA- International Tbk Lembaga Pembiayaan 3 Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase I Year 2018 Series A Jun-6-2021 938.00 7.50 3 idAAA Ekspor Indonesia Lembaga Pembiayaan 4 Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase I Year 2018 Series B Jun-6-2021 365.00 7.50 3 idAAA(sy) Ekspor Indonesia 5 PT Suparma Tbk MTN I Year 2016 Series A Jun-6-2021 USD5.00 mn 5.50 5 - 6 PT PP Properti Tbk MTN XII Year 2018 Series C Jun-7-2021 80.00 9.25 3 idBBB- Lembaga Pembiayaan 7 Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2016 Series C Jun-8-2021 2,252.00 8.70 5 idAAA Ekspor Indonesia www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 10
8 PT Wahana Ottomitra Shelf Registration Bond II Phase V Year 2018 Series B Jun-8-2021 67.50 8.60 3 AA-(idn) Multiartha Tbk PT Wahana Ottomitra 9 Shelf Registration Bond III Phase III Year 2020 Series A Jun-8-2021 227.50 8.50 1 AAA(idn) Multiartha Tbk PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper 10 Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2020 Series A Jun-15-2021 495.50 9.00 1 idA+ Tbk 11 PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2016 Series A Jun-16-2021 625.00 9.00 5 idAA- 12 PT Candrakarya Multikreasi MTN I Phase I Year 2020 Series A Jun-19-2021 35.20 10.75 1 - PT Pelabuhan Indonesia I 13 Bond I Year 2016 Series B Jun-21-2021 500.00 9.00 5 idAA- (Persero) PT Perusahaan Listrik 14 Bond VIII Year 2006 Series B Jun-21-2021 865.00 13.75 15 idAAA Negara (Persero) PT Batavia Prosperindo 15 Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2018 Jun-25-2021 206.50 11.00 3 idBBB Finance Tbk PT BFI Finance Indonesia 16 Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase I Year 2018 Series B Jun-26-2021 552.00 7.75 3 AA-(idn) Tbk 17 PT Bank Pan Indonesia Tbk Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2016 Jun-28-2021 2,000.00 9.15 5 idAA PT Bank Tabungan Negara 18 Bond XV Year 2011 Jun-28-2021 1,300.00 9.50 10 idAA+ (Persero) Tbk PT Bank Victoria 19 Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2019 Jun-28-2021 100.00 9.75 2 idA- International Tbk PT Intiland Development 20 Bond II Year 2016 Series B Jun-29-2021 162.00 11.00 5 idBBB Tbk 21 PT Angkasa Pura II (Persero) Bond I Year 2016 Series A Jun-30-2021 1,000.00 8.60 5 idAAA PT Asietex Sinar 22 MTN I Year 2017 Series F Jun-30-2021 30.00 11.00 4 - Indopratama 23 PT Bank DKI Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2016 Jun-30-2021 1,000.00 9.25 5 idAA- Total 13,581.20 JULY 1 PT PP Properti Tbk Bond Phase I Year 2016 Series B Jul-1-2021 400.00 9.90 5 idBBB- PT Tower Bersama Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2016 Jul-1-2021 230.00 9.25 5 AA-(idn) 2 Infrastructure Tbk www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 11
3 PT Medco Power Indonesia Bond I Year 2018 Series A Jul-4-2021 249.00 9.75 3 idA 4 PT Medco Power Indonesia Sukuk Wakalah I Year 2018 Series A Jul-4-2021 150.00 9.75 3 idA(sy) PT Tridomain Performance MTN III Year 2018 Jul-4-2021 250.00 10.50 3 idCCC 5 Materials PT Mandala Multifinance Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2018 Series B Jul-5-2021 150.00 9.50 3 idA 6 Tbk PT Tower Bersama Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2018 Jul-5-2021 608.00 8.50 3 AA-(idn) 7 Infrastructure Tbk 8 PT Bank OCBC NISP Tbk Shelf Registration Bond III Phase I Year 2018 Series C Jul-6-2021 342.00 7.75 3 idAAA PT Pembangunan Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2018 Series A Jul-6-2021 1,040.00 8.25 3 idA 9 Perumahan (Persero) Tbk 10 PT PP Properti Tbk Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2018 Series A Jul-6-2021 523.00 9.00 3 idBBB- PT Sarana Multi Shelf Registration Green Bond I Phase I Year 2018 Series A Jul-6-2021 251.50 7.55 3 idAAA 11 Infrastruktur (Persero) PT Sarana Multi Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase I Year 2018 Series A Jul-6-2021 680.00 7.55 3 idAAA(sy) 12 Infrastruktur (Persero) PT Asietex Sinar MTN II Year 2017 Series C Jul-7-2021 30.00 11.00 4 - 13 Indopratama 14 PT Modernland Realty Tbk Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2015 Series B Jul-7-2021 150.00 12.5 6 idCCC PT Bank Maybank Indonesia Shelf Registration Subordinated Bond II Phase I Year 2014 Jul-8-2021 1,500.00 11.35 7 idAA 15 Tbk PT Anabatic Technologies Convertible Bond Year 2018 Jul-11-2021 560.00 5.00 3 - 16 Tbk 17 PT Sinar Mas Multifinance Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2018 Series B Jul-11-2021 80.00 9.75 3 A-(idn) PT Bank Pembangunan Shelf Registration Bond I Phase I Year 2016 Jul-15-2021 500.00 9.35 5 idA+ 18 Daerah Sulawesi Selatan dan Sulawesi Barat PT Bank Pembangunan Sukuk Mudharabah II Year 2016 Jul-15-2021 50.00 9.35 5 idA+(sy) 19 Daerah Sulawesi Selatan dan Sulawesi Barat Lembaga Pembiayaan MTN I Year 2016 Jul-15-2021 500.00 8.65 5 idAAA 20 Ekspor Indonesia www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 12
PT Mandala Multifinance Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase I Year 2020 Jul-16-2021 150.00 9.00 1 idA 21 Tbk PT Adira Dinamika Multi Shelf Registration Bond V Phase I Year 2020 Series A Jul-17-2021 483.95 6.90 1 idAAA 22 Finance Tbk PT Adira Dinamika Multi Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah IV Phase I Year 2020 Jul-17-2021 200.00 6.90 1 idAAA(sy) 23 Finance Tbk Lembaga Pembiayaan Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah II Phase I Year 2020 Jul-18-2021 100.00 6.75 1 idAAA(sy) 24 Ekspor Indonesia 25 PT Pegadaian (Persero) Shelf Registration Bond IV Phase II Year 2020 Series A Jul-18-2021 1,055.00 6.75 1 idAAA 26 PT Pegadaian (Persero) Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase II Year 2020 Series A Jul-18-2021 316.50 6.75 1 idAAA(sy) 27 PT Suparma Tbk MTN I Year 2016 Series B Jul-18-2021 USD5.00 mn 5.50 5 - PT Indonesia Infrastructure Bond I Year 2016 Series B Jul-19-2021 250.00 8.70 5 idAAA 28 Finance 29 Perum Perumnas MTN III Year 2016 Jul-22-2021 150.00 11.00 5 idBBB- PT Sarana Multigriya Shelf Registration Bond V Phase IV Year 2020 Series A Jul-24-2021 1,686.00 6.75 1 idAAA 30 Finansial (Persero) PT Sarana Multigriya Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah I Phase II Year 2020 Jul-24-2021 346.00 6.75 1 idAAA(sy) 31 Finansial (Persero) PT Adira Dinamika Multi Shelf Registration Bond III Phase IV Year 2016 Series C Jul-26-2021 431.00 9.25 5 idAAA 32 Finance Tbk PT Adira Dinamika Multi Shelf Registration Sukuk Mudharabah II Phase II Year 2016 Series C Jul-26-2021 14.00 9.25 5 idAAA(sy) 33 Finance Tbk 34 PT Sinar Mas Multifinance Shelf Registration Bond II Phase I Year 2020 Series A Jul-27-2021 207.30 9.75 1 irA+ PT Sarana Multi Shelf Registration Bond II Phase IV Year 2020 Series A Jul-31-2021 1,040.00 6.75 1 idAAA 35 Infrastruktur (Persero) Total 14,673.25 Notes: *) Amount in USD excluded. www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 13
04 News Analytics Description : Bnk : Banking Mng : Mining PL&A : Plantation & Agriculture Mnc : Municipal Ppt : Property CPO : Crude Palm Oil Auto : Automotive O&G : Oil & Gas Cons :Construction Nkl : Nickel Trn : Transportation F&B : Food & Baverage Inc : Insurance Tlc : Telecommunication Trd : Trading Elec :Electricity H&T : Hotel & Tourism M&G : Metal & Gold Tlrd : Toll Road Utl : Utilities Coal : Coal Fnc : Financing Msmd : Mass Media PO&A : Port Authority & Airport www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 14
Industries News Polarized Hot News Positive Negative Transportation RI Potensial Bangun Trem Otonom. Perubahan Trase Moda Transportasi LRT Sengkarut Kebijakan Mudik. Sebab, layanan transportasi umum berbasis Disetujui Pusat. Hal ini, terkait aturan susulan tentang kereta merupakan pilihan sebagai tulang Usulan dari pemprov DKI tersebut yaitu pengetatan mudik Idul Fitri 1442 H, yang punggung transportasi perkotaan. mengubah trase pembangunan LRT fase II dirilis mendadak oleh pemerintah tanpa yang semula Velodrome—Manggarai direvisi didahului oleh sosialisasi yang baik. menjadi Velodrome—Klender. Automotive Pasar Ban Mobil Listrik Terbuka Lebar. Titik Terang Emiten Otomotif. Pasalnya, ban untuk mobil listrik Hal ini terkait dengan relaksasi pajak PPnBM membutuhkan karet sintesis lebih banyak. mobil baru yang terdiskon mencapai setengah Namun pada dasarnya, penggunaan karet dari pajak normalnya tahun lalu memang sintetis dan bahan baku karet alam saling dirasa sebagai penopang kinerja emiten diler melengkapi untuk produksi ban. otomotif tahun ini. Trading Ekspor 3 Sektor Manufaktur Capai US$19,7 Miliar. Tiga sektor manufaktur prioritas, yakni industri makanan dan minuman (mamin), logam, serta bahan kimia. Plantation & Jagung Bakal Tambah Mahal. Lonjakan harga jagung yang saat ini terjadi Agriculture mengikuti tren pergerakan harga minyak dunia. Pasalnya, komoditas jagung merupakan salah satu bahan baku untuk pembuatan bahan bakar alternatif, yakni bioethanol. CPO Ekspor Sawit RI ke India Masih Normal. Ekspor CPO ke Eropa Berpotensi Meningkat. Stok CPO Indonesia Turun. Pasalnya, India merupakan pasar ekspor Hal ini, karena minyak sawit lebih berdaya Hal ini, seiring dengan tingginya konsumsi terbesar kedua untuk sawit Indonesia saing dibandingkan minyak nabati lain di selama periode Ramadan tahun ini. dengan volume 4,65 juta ton setelah kawasan itu. Tiongkok yang sebesar 5 juta ton. Oil & Gas Adu Kuat di Proyek Pipa Gas. Merawat Asa Lonjakan Produksi Hulu Migas. Prospek Minyak Terganggu. www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 15
Industries News Polarized Hot News Positive Negative Hal ini, setelah kedua lembaga pemerintah Adapun, SKK Migas telah menyiapkan Hal ini, karena lonjakan kasus positif yaitu Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya empat strategi untuk meningkatkan produksi COVID-19 yang terjadi di India dan Jepang. Mineral dan Badan Pengatur Hilir (BPH) migas nasional sekaligus menuju target Ini berpotensi memunculkan masalah baru Minyak dan Gas Bumi, memiliki argumen produksi 2030, yakni dengan optimalisasi bagi OPEC+ yang telah mengesahkan masing-masing untuk masa depan proyek produksi lapangan existing, transformasi rencana penambahan produksi mulai Mei. yang bakal melengkapi sambungan ruas sumber daya ke produksi, mempercepat pipa di Pulau Jawa itu. chemical enhanced oil recovery (EOR), dan eksplorasi penemuan besar. Metal & Gold Reli Tembaga Berlanjut. Produksi Logam Diprediksi Rebound. Hal ini, sejalan dengan sejumlah sentimen Pasalnya, industri baja diklaim merupakan positif seperti kebijakan stimulus sejumlah sektor dengan daya tahan tinggi di tengah negara, distribusi vaksin COVID-19, dan pandemi COVID-19 dan siap untuk kembali komitmen peralihan ke sumber energi meningkatkan kemampuan dan performanya terbarukan. pada tahun ini. Mass Media 9 LPS Menangi Seleksi Penyelenggaraan Prospek Belanja Iklan Masih Menjanjikan. Sengkarut Siaran TV Digital. Multipleksing TV Digital di 22 Wilayah RI. Kenaikan nilai belanja iklan tahun ini sangat Hal ini, berawal dari saling tuding siapa Hal ini, sesuai amanat UU No 11 Tahun 2020 mungkin terealisasi jika dinamika dunia bisnis yang bersalah pun tak terelakkan, baik dari tentang Cipta Kerja, dan peraturan berjalan seperti beberapa bulan belakangan pihak operator, yaitu lembaga penyiaran pelaksanaannya, migrasi penyiaran televisi seiring dengan membaiknya geliat industri. swasta (LPS) maupun pemerintah. Dari teresterial dari teknologi analog ke teknologi Pertumbuhan belanja iklan paling dominan kaca mata LPS, problem itu justru berasal digital serta penghentian siaran analog akan dialami oleh platform digital sebagai dari upaya pemerintah yang gagal (analog switch off/ASO) dilakukan paling ruang yang paling laris dipakai untuk beriklan. memuluskan proses lelang. Namun, Fakta lambat 2 November 2022. di lapangan terlihat bahwa hasil seleksi lelang penggelaran multiplexing di 22 provinsi memanen sanggahan dan keberatan. Terjadinya resistensi yang beruntun di sebagian besar daerah dinilai kalangan sebagai indikator awal yang kuat www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 16
Industries News Polarized Hot News Positive Negative atas kegagalan pemerintah pusat menuntun masa transisi dari siaran televisi analog ke digital. Insurance Asuransi Syariah Pacu Kontribusi di Bulan Holding Asuransi Berikan Nilai Lebih. Bisnis Asuransi Perjalanan Syariah Ramadhan. Hal ini, karena dapat melaksanakan program Terganggu. Pasalnya, bulan Ramadan adalah bulan yang strategis secara terintegrasi. Dalam jangka Hal ini, karena kebijakan pengetatan mudik penuh keberkahan. Pada bulan ini, pendek mungkin revenue konsolidasi belum bakal menurunkan pendapatan premi khususnya bagi umat muslim cenderung naik signifikan, tapi struktur biaya bisa lebih asuransi syariah. Pasalnya, asuransi meningkatkan perbuatan baiknya sebagai ramping, sehingga bottom line profit perjalanan, salah satu lini usaha yang lazim bentuk ibadah. Upaya menjangkau nasabah konsolidasi bisa meningkat. menopang kinerja asuransi syariah. itu bisa dilakukan dengan mulai menawarkan produk asuransi mikro syariah yang sudah ada sejak 2012. Banking Adu Andal Layanan Bank Digital. Bank Gencar Terbitkan Obligasi Tahun ini. Risiko Kredit Masih Terus Menghantui Pertumbuhan layanan keuangan digital di Hal ini, seiring dengan mulai pulihnya Perbankan. industri perbankan nasional kian masif penyaluran kredit perbankan. Setelah Pasalnya, tak sedikit dari debitur yang seiring dengan upaya bank papan atas untuk meredanya pandemi COVID 19, perbankan direstrukturisasi itu tetap tidak menguatkan ekosistem digital banking mulai ekspansif dalam menyalurkan kredit. menunjukkan perbaikan. Kredit dari sebagai respons perubahan gaya debiturdebitur ini tidak masuk syarat untuk bertransaksi masyarakat di tengah pandemi mendapat perpanjangan restrukturisasi COVID-19. dan akan diklasifikasi ke dalam kelompok berisiko tinggi yang berpotensi besar turun menjadi NPL. www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 17
Industries News Polarized Hot News Positive Negative Multifinance Multifinance Berlomba Kembangkan Aplikasi Pembiayaan Multifinance Belum Pulih. Digital. Belum pulihnya pembiayaan multifinance Jndustri multifinance memang harus segera ini masih dikaitkan oleh pandemi. berbenah soal digital. Meski memiliki lini bisnis yang berbeda, perusahaan multifinance tradisional kian tertinggal soal digitalisasi dengan perusahaan seperti Home Credit, Akulaku, dan Kredivo. Hotel & Tourism Pariwisata Mulai Pulih Kuartal III. Hal ini, setelah bergulirnya vaksinasi COVID-19 dan turunnya kasus baru harian. Food & Beverage Harga Pangan Turun Tipis Menjelang Lebaran Katalis Positif Industri Mamin. 2021. Industri makanan dan minuman mengincar Memasuki pertengahan Ramadan, siklusnya pertumbuhan permintaan pada periode adalah permintaan mulai menurun dan Ramadan dan Lebaran tahun ini. Kendati harga bisa kembali turun. Tapi, di sejumlah masih dalam tekanan pandemi, penjualan dari lokasi penurunan harga pangan ini tak sisi ritel diproyeksikan masih baik terjadi seperti beras, daging ayam, sapi dan sehingga bakal berdampak positif terhadap minyak goreng. industri pengolahan di sektor hulu. Electricity Harga Listrik PLTS Paling Tinggi US$0,01 per Beleid Tarif EBT Dorong Percepatan Proyek kWh. Listrik. Pasalnya, nilai kebutuhan panel surya di Penetapan kisaran tarif tersebut ditentukan Indonesia sejauh ini belum terlalu banyak. berdasarkan kapasitas. Artinya, semakin besar Pemanfaatan atau konsumsi proyek kapasitas pembangkit listrik tersebut, maka pemerintah, BUMN dan swasta untuk listrik tarif yang dikenakan pun bakal semakin surya atap diperkirakan berkisar 30 rendah atau di bawah US$0,08 per kWh. Megawatt Peak per tahun. www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 18
Industries News Polarized Hot News Positive Negative Construction Menanti Kebangkitan Emiten Konstruksi. Pertumbuhan signifikan di sektor konstruksi disebabkan oleh pelaksanaan vaksinasi COVID- 19, dorongan penggunaan produk domestik serta berbagai dukungan pemerintah di bidang infrastruktur. Toll Road 531 Km Jaringan Tol Trans Sumatera (JTTS) Berkah Ramadhan Tak Mampir di Jalan Tol. Sudah Beroperasi. Hal ini, karena adanya larangan mudik Secara ekonomis, kehadiran JTTS akan tahun ini guna mencegah penularan memberikan dampak signifikan sekaligus COVID-19. Pergerakan pelarangan mudik memberikan peningkatan secara ekonomi di pun sudah terjadi di beberapa moda kisaran angka 23% bagi masyarakat sekitar. Di transportasi. samping itu juga terjadi penurunan biaya logistik sekitar 24%, termasuk memberi dampak pada kawasan industri, residensial, serta pariwisata. Property Insentif PPN Berdampak Terbatas Terhadap Harga Rumah Nasional Meningkat. Sektor Properti. Hal ini, sejalan dengan kebutuhan mendesak Pasalnya, stimulus hanya berlaku sampai akan hunian pada masa pandemi ini. Pasalnya, Agustus 2021. Harapan pengembang agar pandemi mengubah pola hidup masyarakat di stimulus diperpanjang hingga akhir tahun. mana mayoritas kegiatan dilakukan di rumah. Telecommunication 2021, Kemkominfo Bangun 4,200 BTS USO di Wilayah 3T. Langkah tersebut dilakukan untuk menunjang akses telekomunikasi serta mendukung kehidupan sosial maupun ekonomi di wilayah tersebut. Source: Bisnis Indonesia, Investor Daily, and Kontan (2021) www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 19
Index PEFINDO25 IHSG PEFINDO i-Grade Period Unit IHSG PEFINDO25 PEFINDO i-Grade 4/1/2021 % (WoW) -2.97% -1.35% -4.43% 4/9/2021 % (WoW) 0.98% -0.82% 1.02% 4/16/2021 % (WoW) 0.26% -0.82% -0.44% 4/23/2021 % (WoW) -1.14% -2.08% -1.52% 4/30/2021 % (WoW) -0.35% 0.47% -0.74% www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 20
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Weekly Economic Update Presented By Economic Research Division of PEFINDO pef-economic@pefindo.co.id Macroeconomic Update : Aulia Ikhsan/Fikri C Permana Bond Market Update : Wasis Kurnianto/Ahmad Nasrudin Bonds Issuance & Maturity : Wasis Kurnianto News Analytics : Khaerin Disclaimer: The rating contained in this report or publication is the opinion of PT Pemeringkat Efek Indonesia (PEFINDO) given based on the rating result on the date the rating was made. The rating is a forward-looking opinion regarding the rated party’s capability to meet its financial obligations fully and on time, based on assumptions made at the time of rating. The rating is not a recommendation for investors to make investment decisions (whether the decision is to buy, sell, or hold any debt securities based on or related to the rating or other investment decisions) and/or an opinion on the fairness value of debt securities and/or the value of the entity assigned a rating by PEFINDO. All the data and information needed in the rating process are obtained from the party requesting the rating, which are considered reliable in conveying the accuracy and correctness of the data and information, as well as from other sources deemed reliable. PEFINDO does not conduct audits, due diligence, or independent verifications of every information and data received and used as basis in the rating process. PEFINDO does not take any responsibility for the truth, completeness, timeliness, and accuracy of the information and data referred to. The accuracy and correctness of the information and data are fully the responsibility of the parties providing them. PEFINDO and every of its member of the Board of Directors, Commissioners, Shareholders and Employees are not responsible to any party for losses, costs and expenses suffered or that arise as a result of the use of the contents and/or information in this rating report or publication, either directly or indirectly. PEFINDO generally receives fees for its rating services from parties who request the ratings, and PEFINDO discloses its rating fees prior to the rating assignment. PEFINDO has a commitment in the form of policies and procedures to maintain objectivity, integrity, and independence in the rating process. PEFINDO also has a “Code of Conduct” to avoid conflicts of interest in the rating process. Ratings may change in the future due to events that were not anticipated at the time they were first assigned. PEFINDO has the right to withdraw ratings if the data and information received are determined to be inadequate and/or the rated company does not fulfill its obligations to PEFINDO. For ratings that received approval for publication from the rated party, PEFINDO has the right to publish the ratings and analysis in its reports or publication, and publish the results of the review of the published ratings, both periodically and specifically in case there are material facts or important events that could affect the previous ratings. Reproduction of the contents of this publication, in full or in part, requires written approval from PEFINDO. Page PEFINDO is not responsible for publications by other parties of contents related to the ratings given by PEFINDO. www.pefindo.com First Week of May 2021 22
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