Weekly Credit Update 7 April 2015 - Danske Bank

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Weekly Credit Update 7 April 2015 - Danske Bank
Weekly Credit Update                                                            Senior Analyst
                                                                                Lars Holm
                                                                                +45 45 12 80 41
7 April 2015                                                                    laho@danskebank.com

Investment Research     Important disclosures and certifications are contained from page 21 of this report
www.danskebank.com/CI
Contents

- Market news

- Best and worst performers

- Trade ideas

- Company news

- Chart pack

- List of official and shadow ratings and recommendations

                                                            2
What’s on our mind
- General credit market news

• Last week was rather quiet due to Easter. The iTraxx Main index
  widened by 1bp while the iTraxx Crossover narrowed by 2bp.
• Senior unsecured spreads from banks came under some pressure
  as Germany published a law proposal on bank resolution. The draft
  stated that senior unsecured bondholders would face losses before
  any other unsecured creditors (currently they rank pari passu),
  which would also address some of the legal challenges with both
  MREL (minimum requirement for eligible liabilities) and TLAC (total
  loss absorbing capacity). We earlier warned that creating these
  loss absorbing cushions could be legally challenging, as bailing in
  some part of unsecured liabilities (bonds) and not all would probably
  require new bankruptcy laws in many jurisdictions. The German
  proposal with statutory subordination would solve many of these
  challenges and pave the way for a ‘Tier 3’ layer in banks’ capital
  structure (senior to subordinated but subordinated to other senior).
  Existing bonds are also included in the draft proposal but as
  retrospective legislation is prohibited under German constitution, it
  is uncertain if the legislation will also cover existing bonds.
• With regard to broader newsflow, the weaker than expected US
  labour market report for March released on Good Friday got some
  attention. Gains in non-farm payrolls slowed to 126,000 (cons:
  245,000) and the gains in the previous months were revised lower.
                                                                          Sources: Bloomberg, Danske Bank Markets
• On a more positive note, Iran and the P5+1 world powers on
  Thursday reached a framework agreement on containing Iran’s
  nuclear programme. The impact on oil prices was modest, with
  most of the initial decline reversed the following day.
                                                                                                                    3
Best and worst performers
- Investment grade

                         1 week in local currencies                                                       1 month in local currencies

                                     -30.1         SBAB Bank AB SEK 2018                                                -12.6        TDC A/S EUR 2015
                                    -28.8        Nordea Bank AB SEK 2017                                              -10.7          Neste Oil OYJ EUR 2016
                       -14.3                     Lansforsakringar Bank AB SEK 2020                                    -8.6           Nordea Bank AB SEK 2017
                      -12.3                      TDC A/S EUR 2015                                                     -8.2           SBAB Bank AB SEK 2018
                 -10.2                           Danske Bank A/S SEK 2019                                             -7.1           Nykredit Bank A/S EUR 2015
                  -9.5                           Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB SEK…                                -6.4           Investor AB EUR 2016
                -7.3                             Carlsberg Breweries A/S EUR 2019                                     -5.9           Sampo Oyj EUR 2016
               -6.2                              TeliaSonera AB EUR 2031                                              -5.8           Volvo Treasury AB EUR 2017
               -6.0                              DNB Bank ASA EUR 2020                                                -5.6           Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB EUR…
               -5.6                              TDC A/S EUR 2022                                                     -5.3           DNB Bank ASA EUR 2017
               -1.1                              Pohjola Bank Oyj EUR 2019                                 11.3                      Svenska Handelsbanken AB EUR 2022
               -1.0                              Jyske Bank A/S EUR 2017                                   11.4                      Nordea Bank AB EUR 2022
               -0.9                              Swedbank AB EUR 2016                                      11.5                      Sampo Oyj EUR 2021
               -0.6                              Svenska Cellulosa AB SCA EUR 2023                        11.8                       TeliaSonera AB EUR 2025
               -0.6                              Danske Bank A/S SEK 2017                                 12.1                       TeliaSonera AB EUR 2027
               -0.6                              Danske Bank A/S EUR 2016                                 12.5                       Statkraft AS EUR 2022
               -0.5                              Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB EUR…                    12.7                       Telenor ASA EUR 2024
               -0.3                              SBAB Bank AB EUR 2016                               16.4                            Danske Bank A/S SEK 2017
               -0.3                              Swedbank AB EUR 2019                              19.0                              TeliaSonera AB EUR 2027
     0.3                                         DNB Boligkreditt AS EUR 2018                      19.5                              TeliaSonera AB EUR 2025
    5      0     -5      -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 -35                                         30   20          10      0          -10   -20
                                   Change in local currencies (bp)                                                    Change in local currencies (bp)

Source: Bloomberg, Danske Bank Markets
                                                                                                                                                                         4
Best and worst performers
- High yield

                     1 week in local currencies                                                                 1 month in local currencies

                                               -35     Teekay Offshore Partners LP/Teekay…                                       -101        Prosafe SE NOK 2020
                                               -14     Stora Enso OYJ USD 2016                                                   -53         Seadrill Ltd USD 2015
                                               -13     Nokia OYJ USD 2019                                                        -52         Prosafe SE NOK 2019
                                               -13     DLG Finance AS DKK 2018                                                   -50         Stolt-Nielsen Ltd NOK 2016
                                               -12     SSAB AB SEK 2017                                                          -47         Solstad Offshore ASA NOK 2019
                                               -11     YIT OYJ EUR 2016                                                          -47         Finnair OYJ EUR 2049
                                               -11     Finnair OYJ EUR 2049                                                      -41         Outokumpu OYJ EUR 2019
                                               -10     Stora Enso OYJ SEK 2015                                                   -41         Tallink Grupp AS NOK 2018
                                               -10     Stena AB EUR 2020                                                         -38         Outokumpu OYJ EUR 2016
                                               -8      Stora Enso OYJ EUR 2018                                                   -36         Stolt-Nielsen Ltd NOK 2018
                                      19               Farstad Shipping ASA NOK 2018                                    84                   Stena AB EUR 2017
                                      21               Stolt-Nielsen Ltd NOK 2018                                      95                    Stena International SA USD 2024
                                      28               Klaveness Ship Holding AS NOK 2020                              103                   Stena AB USD 2024
                                      28               Seadrill Ltd NOK 2018                                          125                    North Atlantic Drilling Ltd NOK 2018
                                      29               Olympic Ship AS NOK 2019                                       127                    Olympic Ship AS NOK 2019
                                   37                  North Atlantic Drilling Ltd NOK 2018                     203                          Seadrill Ltd USD 2017
                                   42                  Seadrill Ltd USD 2017                                229                              Seadrill Ltd NOK 2018
                                 53                    Seadrill Ltd USD 2020                               238                               Seadrill Ltd USD 2020
                            77                         North Atlantic Drilling Ltd USD 2019               275                                North Atlantic Drilling Ltd USD 2019
               157                                     Golden Close Maritime Corp Ltd USD…          344                                      Golden Close Maritime Corp Ltd USD…
     200     150     100      50           0         -50                                      400   300    200    100        0     -100   -200
                                 Change in local currencies (bp)                                                            Change in local currencies (bp)

Source: Bloomberg, Danske Bank Markets                                                                                                                                          5
Vestas EUR 2.75% 2022 – priced attractively
(published on 19 March 2015)       • Earlier this month [i.e. in March] Vestas issued
                                                                                               a 7Y EUR500m senior unsecured bond – the
                                        EUR - credit curves                                    Vestas 2.75% 2022.
 Indicative ASW offer
280      (bps)                                                                             •   Bond documentation/structure (Vestas 2022)
270
260                                                                                            includes the following key terms: cross default,
250
240                                                                   VWSDC '22 (NR/NR)        negative pledge (save for carve-out of up to
230
220                                                                                            EUR150m as permitted secured debt and/or
210
200
                                                                                               assets securing non-recourse debt), change of
190
180
                                                                                               control put (>50% of control/shares).
170
160
                                                                        Global BB+
                                                                                           •   We are not aware of the terms present in the
150
140
                                                                        Corporates: BBB-       EUR1,000m bank RCF facilities, which are
130
120                                                                                            likely stricter than the bond terms.
110
100                                                                                        •   Given our view of Vestas as a ‘BBB-’ credit ,we
  90
  80                                                                                           regard the current pricing as attractive.
  70
  60
  50                                                                                       •   In our view, a ‘fair’ credit spread for this type of
  40
  30                                                                                           bond would be in the range of 130-150bp.
  20
  10                                                                                       •   Our ‘fair spread assessment’ is estimated as
   0
    2016         2017       2018        2019       2020       2021   2022        2023          the 7Y EUR BBB- curve plus a 60-80bp
Source: Bloomberg, Moody’s, Danske Bank Markets
                                                                                               discount due to the lack of an official credit
                                                                                               rating and the inherently politically-driven
                                                                                               volatility in the business model.

                                                                                                                                                 6
Recent trade ideas

 Recent ideas
 Type                    Trade                        Idea
 Outright                Buy Vestas 2022.             The Vestas EUR 2.75% 2022 trades cheaply to a
                                                      EUR corporate BBB curve.
                                                                                                            Opened         19/03/2015
                                                                                                            Start spread          245
 Currency trade          Close of trade SSAB          Recent performance in the SSAB EUR bond has
                                                      closed the earlier 19bp gap between the EUR and the
                                                                                                            Closed         10/03/2015
                                                      SEK 2019 bonds.                                       Start spread            -2
 Outright                Buy Tallink 2018.            FRN Tallink 2018 in NOK trades cheap to a global
                                                      median ‘BB-’ credit curve (converted into NOK).
                                                                                                            Opened         27/02/2015
                                                                                                            Start spread          470
 Outright                CITCON '3.75                 We believe that CITCON'3.75s trade at an attractive
                                                      level relative to the 'BBB' curve.
                                                                                                            Opened         10/02/2015
                                                                                                            Start spread          108
 Outright                EGASDK '20                   EGASDK '20's, which we see as 'B' indicatively trade
                                                      way too cheaply relative to the industrial 'B' curve.
                                                                                                            Opened         02/02/2015
                                                                                                            Start spread          661
 Sector spread           Switch from NDA AT1 to SEB   We have an ‘Overweight’ recommendation on SEB
                                                      and an ‘Underweight’ recommendation on Nordea and
                                                                                                            Opened         26/01/2015
                         AT1
                                                      don’t believe a 14bp pick-up for a four-year maturity
                                                      extension is worthwhile                               Start spread            -8
 Curve spread            Switch from SECUSS '17 to    The Securitas 2021 bond trades wider than the BBB-
                                                      curve while the Securitas 2017 bond trades at the
                                                                                                            Opened         23/01/2015
                         SECUSS '21
                                                      BBB+ curve. We recommend buying the Securitas
                                                      2021 vs. the Securitas 2017. Pick up 57bp
                                                      (z-spread) for a four-year maturity extension.        Start spread           81
 Outright          SASSS '17                          We believe the SAS 2017 offers an attractive
                                                      absolute value – supported by adequate liquidity
                                                                                                            Opened         18/12/2014
  See the end of this presentation for a list of our coverage including shadow ratings and recommendations
                                                                                                 Start spread                     807
Source: Danske Bank Markets
                                                                                                                                     7
Company news from the past week
        Name           News                                                                                                      Implication

                       Vestas (Overweight, DBM: 'BBB-') announced 1,332MW of orders in Q1 15, which is a record-high for
                       Q1. Of this, 38% or 506MW came from Brazil and China. Given the increasing demand for electricity
       Vestas          in emerging markets, we consider this region to be an important growth driver for Vestas long term. It   Credit Positive
                       is therefore encouraging to see Vestas increase its foothold in the region. We view the
                       announcement as moderately credit positive.

Source: Danske Bank Markets
                                                                                                                                                  8
Selected new issues

 Selected new issues
      Date                        Issuer        Coupon   CCY Volume      Maturity   S&P / Mdy / Fitch ASW/DM
  01/04/2015                  Stadshypotek Ab   1.75%    USD   1 000 m    Apr/20      AA- / Aaae /    37

.
Source: Danske Bank Markets

                                                                                                               9
Chart pack: euro spreads and returns
Euro IG ASW, iBoxx indices                                      IG Total Return, iBoxx indices, 2014-01=100

Euro HY ASW, Merrill Lynch indices                              HY Total Return, Merrill Lynch indices, 2014-01=100

Source: Macrobond Financial, Danske Bank Markets [all charts]                                                         10
Chart pack: relative value
iTraxx vs iBoxx                                                            EUR CDS Spreads – Nordic Banks

Euro vs. US CDS indices - IG (Markit)                                      Euro vs. US HY bond indices (Merrill Lynch)

Source: Bloomberg, Macrobond Financial, Danske Bank Markets [all charts]                                                 11
Chart pack: general market development
European swap and government yields                             3M TED-spread, US and euro area

Euro swap curve spread                                          EUR/USD basis swaps

Source: Macrobond Financial, Danske Bank Markets [all charts]                                     12
Chart pack: fund flows
Europe, net sales                                               US, net sales

Sweden, net sales                                               Norway, net sales

Source: Macrobond Financial, Danske Bank Markets [all charts]                       13
Chart pack: macro
GDP y/y growth, calendar adjusted                               Purchasing manager indices

Euro area y/y change in bank lending                            Euro area lending standards

Source: Macrobond Financial, Danske Bank Markets [all charts]                                 14
Our coverage and shadow ratings 1 of 5

Ratings from S&P/Moody's/Fitch and Danske Bank Markets shadow ratings
                                            Danske Bank                S&P            Moody's            Fitch         Analyst(s)        Recomm.
 Company                           Rating    Outlook Sr. Unsec   Rating Outlook   Rating Outlook   Rating Outlook
 Ahlstrom Oyj                        B+       Stable                                                                  Mads Rosendal
 Akelius Residential Property Ab    BBB-      Stable    BBB-                                                          Louis Landeman
 Ambu A/S                           BBB-      Stable                                                                Jakob Magnussen
 Ap Moeller - Maersk A/S                                         BBB+    Stable   Baa1    Stable                       Brian Børsting   MARKET WEIGHT
 Arla Foods Amba                   BBB+       Stable                                                                  Mads Rosendal
 Atlas Copco Ab                                                    A     Stable    A2     Stable                      Mads Rosendal      UNDERWEIGHT
 Avinor As                                                        AA-    Stable    A1     Stable                         Ola Heldal     MARKET WEIGHT
 Bank 1 Oslo Akershus As           BBB+       Stable                                                                T. Hovard / L. Holm
 Bank Norwegian As                  BBB       Stable                                                                T. Hovard / L. Holm
 Beerenberg Holdco Ii As             B        Stable                                                                  Øyvind Mossige
 Billerudkorsnas Ab                BBB-       Stable                                                                  Mads Rosendal
 Bw Offshore                        BB+       Stable                                                                  Øyvind Mossige
 Cargotec Oyj                      BBB-       Stable                                                                  Mads Rosendal
 Carlsberg Breweries A/S                                                          Baa2     Neg      BBB    Stable      Brian Børsting   MARKET WEIGHT
 Cermaq Asa                         BB        Stable                                                                 Knut-Ivar Bakken
 Citycon Oyj                                                      BBB    Stable   Baa2    Stable                     Emil Hjalmarsson
 Color Group As                     BB-       Stable    B+                                                              Niklas Ripa
 Com Hem Holding Ab                                               BB-    Stable                                          Ola Heldal
 Corem Property Group Ab            BB-       Stable    B+                                                           Emil Hjalmarsson
 Danfoss A/S                                                      BBB    Stable                                     Jakob Magnussen
 Danske Bank A/S                                                   A      Neg      A3                A     Stable
 Dfds A/S                          BBB-       Stable                                                                    Niklas Ripa
 Dlg Finance As                     BB-       Stable                                                                  Mads Rosendal
 Dna Ltd                           BBB-       Stable                                                                     Ola Heldal
 Dnb Bank Asa                                                     A+     Stable    A1                               T. Hovard / L. Holm UNDERWEIGHT
 Dong Energy A/S                                                 BBB+    Stable   Baa1    Stable   BBB+    Stable   Jakob Magnussen MARKET WEIGHT
 Dsv A/S                            BBB       Stable                                                                   Brian Børsting
 Eg Holding                          B        Stable                                                                Jakob Magnussen
 Eika Boligkreditt As                A-       Stable                                                                T. Hovard / L. Holm
 Eika Gruppen As                    BBB       Stable                                                                T. Hovard / L. Holm
 Electrolux Ab                                                    BBB    Stable    Wr               WD                 Brian Børsting   MARKET WEIGHT
 Elenia Oy                                                                                                          Jakob Magnussen      OVERWEIGHT
Source: Danske Bank Markets
                                                                                                                                                   15
Our coverage and shadow ratings 2 of 5
Ratings from S&P/Moody's/Fitch and Danske Bank Markets shadow ratings
                                          Danske Bank               S&P             Moody's            Fitch          Analyst(s)           Recomm.
Company                            Rating Outlook Sr. Unsec   Rating Outlook    Rating Outlook   Rating Outlook
Elisa Oyj                                                     BBB+     Stable    Baa2   Stable                         Ola Heldal        OVERWEIGHT
Entra Eiendom As                      A-     Stable                                                                    Ola Heldal
Farstad Shipping Asa                  BB      Neg     BB-                                                           Øyvind Mossige
Fingrid Oyj                                                    A+      Stable    A1     Stable    A+     Stable    Jakob Magnussen      MARKET WEIGHT
Finnair Oyj                           BB     Stable                                                                  Brian Børsting
Fortum Oyj                                                     A-                A2               A-      Neg      Jakob Magnussen      UNDERWEIGHT
Fortum Varme Holding Samagt Med Stockholms Stad Ab            BBB+     Stable                                      Jakob Magnussen
Fred Olsen Energy Asa                 BB     Stable   BB-                                                           Sondre Stormyr
G4S Plc                                                       BBB-     Stable                                        Brian Børsting      OVERWEIGHT
Getinge Ab                           BB+      Neg                                                                   Louis Landeman
Golden Close Maritime Corp Ltd                         B-                                                           Sondre Stormyr
Heimstaden Ab                         BB     Stable   BB-                                                           Louis Landeman
Hemso Fastighets Ab                 BBB+     Stable   BBB       A-     Stable                                      Emil Hjalmarsson
Hkscan Oyj                            BB     Stable                                                                  Brian Børsting
Hoist Kredit Ab                      BB-     Stable    B+                                                            Gabriel Bergin
Husqvarna Ab                        BBB-      Pos                                                                  Emil Hjalmarsson
Ikano Bank Ab                        BBB     Stable                                                               T. Hovard / L. Holm
Investor Ab                                                    AA-     Stable    A1     Stable                       Brian Børsting      OVERWEIGHT
Iss A/S                                                       BBB-      Pos                                          Brian Børsting     MARKET WEIGHT
J Lauritzen A/S                        B     Stable    B-                                                         Bjørn Kristian Røed
Jernhusen Ab                          A-     Stable                                                                  Gabriel Bergin
Jyske Bank A/S                                                  A-     Stable    Baa                              T. Hovard / L. Holm    OVERWEIGHT
Kesko Oyj                            BBB     Stable                                                                 Mads Rosendal
Klaveness Ship Holding As            BB-     Stable    B+                                                         Bjørn Kristian Røed
Loomis Ab                           BBB-     Stable                                                                  Brian Børsting
Luossavaara-Kiirunavaara Ab         BBB+     Stable                                                                 Louis Landeman
Meda Ab                              BB-     Stable                                                                 Louis Landeman
Metsa Board Oyj                                                 BB     Stable    B1      Pos                        Mads Rosendal
Metso Oyj                                                      BBB     Stable   Baa2    Stable                      Mads Rosendal       MARKET WEIGHT
Ncc Ab                              BBB-     Stable                                                                Emil Hjalmarsson
Neste Oil Oyj                       BBB-     Stable                                                                Jakob Magnussen      MARKET WEIGHT
Nokia Oyj                                                      BB       Pos      Ba2     Pos      BB     Stable        Ola Heldal       MARKET WEIGHT
Nokian Renkaat Oyj                  BBB+     Stable                                                                Jakob Magnussen
                                                                                                                                                     16
Our coverage and shadow ratings 3 of 5

Ratings from S&P/Moody's/Fitch and Danske Bank Markets shadow ratings
                                            Danske Bank                S&P            Moody's            Fitch          Analyst(s)           Recomm.
Company                            Rating    Outlook Sr. Unsec   Rating Outlook   Rating Outlook   Rating Outlook
Nordax Finans Ab                    BBB-      Stable                                                                T. Hovard / L. Holm
Nordea Bank Ab                                                    AA-     Neg      Aa3              AA-    Stable   T. Hovard / L. Holm   UNDERWEIGHT
North Atlantic Drilling Ltd         BB-        Neg      B+                                                            Sondre Stormyr
Norwegian Air Shuttle Asa           BB-        Neg      B+                                                             Brian Børsting
Norwegian Property Asa             BBB-       Stable                                                                     Ola Heldal
Nykredit Bank A/S                                                 A+      Neg      Baa               A     Stable   T. Hovard / L. Holm   MARKET WEIGHT
Nynas Group                         B+        Stable    B+                                                           Jakob Magnussen
Ocean Yield Asa                     BB                  BB-                                                           Øyvind Mossige
Odfjell Se                          B+        Stable     B                                                          Bjørn Kristian Røed
Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap Asa      BBB+       Stable                                                                     Ola Heldal
Olympic Ship As                     B+        Stable     B                                                            Øyvind Mossige
Orkla Asa                          BBB+        Pos                                                                       Ola Heldal
Outokumpu Oyj                        B         Pos                                                                    Mads Rosendal
Pohjola Bank Oyj                                                  AA-     Neg      Aa3    Stable    A+     Stable   T. Hovard / L. Holm   UNDERWEIGHT
Posten Norge As                      A-       Stable                                                                     Ola Heldal
Postnord Ab                        BBB+       Stable                                                                   Gabriel Bergin
Prosafe Se                           BB       Stable                                                                  Sondre Stormyr
Ramirent Oyj                        BB+       Stable                                                                   Brian Børsting
Sampo Oyj                                                                         Baa2    Stable                    T. Hovard / L. Holm   MARKET WEIGHT
Sandnes Sparebank                  BBB+       Stable                                                                T. Hovard / L. Holm
Sandvik Ab                                                        BBB     Neg                                         Mads Rosendal       MARKET WEIGHT
Sas Ab                                                             B-    Stable    Wr     Stable                       Brian Børsting
Sbab Bank Ab                                                       A      Neg      A2     Stable                    T. Hovard / L. Holm   MARKET WEIGHT
Scania Ab                                                          A-    Stable                                       Mads Rosendal       MARKET WEIGHT
Schibsted Asa                       BBB       Stable                                                                     Ola Heldal
Seadrill Ltd                         BB        Neg      BB-                                                           Sondre Stormyr
Securitas Ab                                                      BBB    Stable    Wr                                  Brian Børsting     MARKET WEIGHT
Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken Ab                                   A+     Neg      A1               A+      Pos     T. Hovard / L. Holm    OVERWEIGHT
Skanska Ab                         BBB+       Stable                                                                 Emil Hjalmarsson
Skf Ab                                                           BBB+     Neg     Baa1    Stable                      Mads Rosendal       UNDERWEIGHT
Sognekraft As                       BBB       Stable    BBB                                                          Jakob Magnussen
Solstad Offshore Asa                BB-       Stable     B+                                                           Øyvind Mossige
                                                                                                                                                       17
Our coverage and shadow ratings 4 of 5

Ratings from S&P/Moody's/Fitch and Danske Bank Markets shadow ratings
                                            Danske Bank                S&P            Moody's            Fitch          Analyst(s)           Recomm.
Company                            Rating    Outlook Sr. Unsec   Rating Outlook   Rating Outlook   Rating Outlook
Spar Nord Bank A/S                 BBB+       Stable                                                                T. Hovard / L. Holm
Sparebank 1 Boligkreditt As          A-       Stable                               Aaa                              T. Hovard / L. Holm
Sparebank 1 Nord Norge                                                             A2               A      Stable   T. Hovard / L. Holm   UNDERWEIGHT
Sparebank 1 Smn                                                                    A2               A-     Stable   T. Hovard / L. Holm   UNDERWEIGHT
Sparebank 1 Sr-Bank Asa                                                            A2               A-     Stable   T. Hovard / L. Holm   UNDERWEIGHT
Sponda Oyj                         BBB-       Stable                                                                 Emil Hjalmarsson
St1 Nordic Oy                       BB        Stable                                                                 Jakob Magnussen
Statkraft Sf                                                      A-     Stable    Aaa    Stable                     Jakob Magnussen       OVERWEIGHT
Statnett Sf                                                       A+     Stable    Wr     Stable                     Jakob Magnussen      MARKET WEIGHT
Statoil Asa                                                       AA-    Stable    Aa2    Stable                     Jakob Magnussen       UNDERWEIGHT
Steen & Strom As                   BBB+       Stable                                                                     Ola Heldal
Stena Ab                                                          BB     Stable    B2     Stable                        Niklas Ripa       MARKET WEIGHT
Stockmann Oyj Abp                    B+       Stable                                                                  Mads Rosendal
Stolt-Nielsen Ltd                   BB+       Stable    BB                                                          Bjørn Kristian Røed
Stora Enso Oyj                                                    BB     Stable   Ba2     Stable    WD                Mads Rosendal       MARKET WEIGHT
Storebrand Bank Asa                BBB+       Stable             BBB+     Neg      Nr                               T. Hovard / L. Holm
Storebrand Livsforsikring As                                      A-      Neg     Baa1    Stable                    T. Hovard / L. Holm
Sunnfjord Energi As                BBB-       Stable    BBB-                                                         Jakob Magnussen
Suomen Hypoteekkiyhdistys           A-        Stable                                                                T. Hovard / L. Holm
Svensk Fastighetsfinansiering Ab   BBB        Stable                                                                  Louis Landeman
Svenska Cellulosa Ab Sca                                          A-     Stable   Baa1    Stable                      Mads Rosendal        OVERWEIGHT
Svenska Handelsbanken Ab                                          AA-     Neg     Aa3               AA-    Stable   T. Hovard / L. Holm   MARKET WEIGHT
Swedavia Ab                          A-       Stable                                                                   Gabriel Bergin
Swedbank Ab                                                        A+     Neg      A1               A+      Pos     T. Hovard / L. Holm   MARKETWEIGHT
Swedish Match Ab                                                  BBB    Stable   Baa2    Stable                       Brian Børsting      OVERWEIGHT
Sydbank A/S                                                                        Baa                              T. Hovard / L. Holm    OVERWEIGHT
Saab Ab                            BBB+       Stable                               Wr                                Emil Hjalmarsson
Tallink Grupp As                    BB        Stable    BB-                                                             Niklas Ripa
Tdc A/S                                                           BBB     Neg     Baa3    Stable    BBB     Neg          Ola Heldal       MARKET WEIGHT
Teekay Offshore Partners Lp         BB-       Stable    B+                                                          Bjørn Kristian Røed
Tele2 Ab                            BBB       Stable                                                                     Ola Heldal
Telefonaktiebolaget Lm Ericsson                                  BBB+    Stable   Baa1    Stable   BBB+    Stable        Ola Heldal       MARKET WEIGHT

                                                                                                                                                       18
Our coverage and shadow ratings 5 of 5

Ratings from S&P/Moody's/Fitch and Danske Bank Markets shadow ratings
                                                    Danske Bank              S&P             Moody's            Fitch          Analyst(s)           Recomm.
 Company                                    Rating Outlook Sr. Unsec   Rating Outlook    Rating Outlook   Rating Outlook
 Telenor Asa                                                             A      Stable    A3     Stable                         Ola Heldal       MARKET WEIGHT
 Teliasonera Ab                                                          A-     Stable    A3       Neg      A-    Stable        Ola Heldal        UNDERWEIGHT
 Teollisuuden Voima Oyj                                                 BBB      Neg      Wr               BBB    Stable    Jakob Magnussen       OVERWEIGHT
 Thon Holding As                             BBB+      Stable                                                                   Ola Heldal
 Tine Sa                                     BBB+      Stable                                                                   Ola Heldal
 Upm-Kymmene Oyj                                                        BB+     Stable    Ba1    Stable    WD                Mads Rosendal       MARKET WEIGHT
 Vasakronan Ab                                 A-      Stable                                                               Emil Hjalmarsson
 Vattenfall Ab                                                           A-     Stable    A3     Stable    A-      Neg      Jakob Magnussen      MARKET WEIGHT
 Vestas Wind Systems A/S                     BBB-       Pos                                                                    Niklas Ripa        OVERWEIGHT
 Victoria Park Ab                             BB-      Stable   B+                                                           Louis Landeman
Source: Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fitch, Danske Bank Markets
 Volvo Ab                                                               BBB      Neg     Baa2     Neg      BBB    Stable     Mads Rosendal       MARKET WEIGHT
 Wilh Wilhelmsen Asa                         BBB-      Stable                                                              Bjørn Kristian Røed
 Yit Oyj                                       B        Neg                                                                 Emil Hjalmarsson

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Fixed Income Credit Research team
Thomas Hovard, Chief Analyst       Brian Børsting, Senior Analyst        Ola Heldal, Senior Analyst
Head of Credit Research            Industrials                           TMT
+45 45 12 85 05                    +45 45 12 85 19                       +47 85 40 84 33
hova@danskebank.com                brbr@danskebank.com                   olh@danskebank.com

Louis Landeman, Senior Analyst     Lars Holm, Senior Analyst             Sondre Dale Stormyr, Senior Analyst
TMT, Industrials                   Financials                            Offshore Rigs
+46 8 568 80524                    +45 45 12 80 41                       +47 85 40 70 70
llan@danskebank.com                laho@danskebank.dk                    sost@danskebank.com

Mads Rosendal, Analyst             Gabriel Bergin, Analyst               Henrik René Andresen, Senior Analyst
Industrials, Pulp & Paper          Strategy, Industrials                 Credit Portfolios
+46 8 568 80594                    +46 8 568 80602                       +45 45 13 33 27
madro@danskebank.com               gabe@danskebank.com                   hena@danskebank.com

Jakob Magnussen, Senior Analyst    Niklas Ripa, Senior Analyst           Øyvind Mossige, Senior Analyst
Utilities, Energy                  High Yield, Industrials               Oil Services
+45 45 12 85 03                    +45 45 12 80 47                       +47 85 40 54 91
jakja@danskebank.com               niri@danskebank.com                   omss@danskebank.com

Knut-Ivar Bakken, Senior Analyst   Bjørn Kristian Røed, Senior Analyst   Emil Hjalmarsson, Senior Analyst
Fish Farming                       Shipping                              Real Estate, Construction
+47 85 40 70 74                    +47 85 40 70 72                       +46 8 568 80634
knb@danskebank.com                 bred@danskebank.com                   emih@danskebank.com

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Disclosures

This research report has been prepared by Danske Bank Markets, a division of Danske Bank A/S (‘Danske Bank’). The author of this research report is
Lars Holm, Senior Analyst.
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