Water Meters, Manhole Tamper, Assets In Transit, And Driver Behaviour - Presented to SqwidNET 31 August 2018
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Water Meters, Manhole Tamper, Assets In Transit, And Driver Behaviour Presented to SqwidNET 31 August 2018
Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3 MANHOLES 5 WATER METERS 12 FLEET 19 GOODS IN TRANSIT 22 DRIVER BEHAVIOUR 30 APPENDIX 39 2
Executive Summary • The number of manholes deployed • The number of meters deployed has • Commercial fleets are mainly owned has grown by 1.9% over the period grown by 1.6% over the period 2016 by businesses to carry out their 2016 – 2018. To date there are over – 2018. To date there are over 3.5 operations, with the remainder of 2 million sewer and stormwater million water meters across South fleet owned by rental companies. manholes across South Africa's Africa's eight major metropolitan • CV telematics is on the rise, and eight major metropolitan municipalities, accounting for 40% expected to reach 1.9 million units municipalities and over 320 of the country’s total. by 2021. thousand network provider • Utilities and municipalities are • Telematics systems allow fleet manholes, accounting 35% and exploring using IoT in smart metering owners to operate more efficiently, 59% of their respective totals. to measure and control household and reduce cost of operations. Fuel, Several municipalities and network water consumption. However this driver wages, maintenance, and providers don‟t have a full view of the has been subdued due to cost tires, together hold about 62% of the number of manholes they have. implications especially in smaller total cost of operation; a „Connected • There is a rising prevalence of cast municipalities. Truck‟ plays a huge role in iron manhole cover theft. • Sub-metering will drive new meter significantly optimizing these factors. Municipalities do not have digital or deployments within municipalities. • Future joint ventures/partnerships smart platforms to monitor their This presents a greater opportunity are expected between vehicle OEMs assets. for smart water solutions with large and aftermarket vendors, becoming • Manhole cover providers are housing complexes and enterprises preferred fleet management partners. exploring innovative solutions to than with municipalities. minimize the risk of theft of covers. Manhole Covers Water Meters Fleet 3
Introduction Project objectives The objectives of the project were to determine the market size for manholes and water meters in eight of South Africa‟s metropolitan municipalities. The manhole numbers were to include those of telecommunication service providers in these municipalities. Additionally, the research endeavoured to understand the market dynamics for goods in transit and driver behaviour by delivery vehicles (light, medium and heavy commercial). This research also included the number of vehicles per vehicle segment, overall volume estimate and the number of average trips and the kilometres an average vehicle completes per annum. The final component of the research was to identify and provide the market share of the key stakeholders within these focus sectors. Project Approach Data was collected through secondary information sources and primary interviews with the eight municipalities, telecommunication, manhole, water meter, telematics and logistics services providers. The data collected was then cross validated to sense check for accuracy. Over the six week period there were more than 70 primary interviews conducted. Project Scope For goods in transit and driver behaviour, the project scope looked at the dynamics within the whole of South Africa, whereas data collected for manholes and water meters looked at the major metropolitan municipalities in South Africa, namely: • Buffalo City Metropolitan • Ekurhuleni Metropolitan • City of Cape Town Metropolitan • eThekwini Metropolitan • City of Johannesburg Metropolitan • Mangaung Metropolitan • City of Tshwane Metropolitan • Nelson Mandela Bay Metropolitan 4
MANHOLES
Manhole Cover Market Dynamics There is a growing prevalence of cast iron manhole cover theft across both the large and small municipalities, which are then sold on the black market for scrap metal. Municipalities are facing budgetary constraints to monitor and replace stolen manhole covers, leading to a growing number of human casualties. Municipalities do not have digital or smart platforms to monitor their assets for inventory, tamper detection and maintenance purposes and rely on physical count. Manhole cover providers are exploring innovative solutions to minimize the risk of theft of covers, including moving away from cast iron manhole covers to polymer concrete covers. Market Dynamics Source: Frost & Sullivan 6
Number of Manholes Number of Manhole Covers by Municipality, South Africa, • The number of manholes deployed has grown by 2018 1.9% over the period 2016 – 2018. Municipality 2018 Percentage • A lot of the spend on manholes comes from growth in the population sizes and replacement of Buffalo City 62 428 1.0% stolen and vandalized covers. City of Cape Town 386 806 6.3% Manhole Covers, South Africa, 2016-2018 City of Johannesburg 502 445 8.2% 6.2 6.2 City of Tshwane 282 001 4.6% Number of Manhole 6.1 Covers (Million) 6.0 Ekurhuleni 316 258 5.1% 6.0 5.9 eThekwini 374 532 6.1% 5.9 Mangaung 69 947 1.1% 5.8 Nelson Mandela Bay 174 534 2.8% 5.7 2016 2017 2018 Other Municipalities 3 982 186 64.7% Year Total 6 151 137 100.0% Source: Frost & Sullivan 7
Manholes by Type Telecoms (8.9%) Sewer The eight metros combined Sewer (49.5%) The rising population particularly have more telecoms Maintenance of 01 in the metros is driving investment in sewer pipes and manhole manhole than the rest of manholes is making South Africa. up a growing portion covers. of water and sanitation budgets within municipalities. Stormwater 6.2 Stormwater manholes have been Million 02 a major priority especially for the larger coastal cities who face Manhole floods. Covers Telecoms Larger cities (CoJ, CoCT) have Stormwater (41.6%) 03 more telecoms infrastructure and manholes due to wider metro and The major metros have faced operator fibre networks. heavy financial losses recently as a result of flooding. Source: Frost & Sullivan 8
Competitive Landscape Manhole Cover Market Share, South Africa, 2018 • South Africa‟s manhole cover market is fairly competitive, with the smaller providers having a Manholes 4 Africa regional focus, whereas larger providers operate 15% nationally. 8% Aveng • Some of the larger providers such as Aveng and 7% Maverick Trading Saint Gobain have a primary focus in other areas of 17% industry, mainly in construction. Saint Gobain • The larger providers have national coverage, which 17% makes them an ideal partner for track and trace National Manhole Covers solutions because of their large footprint and access to large municipal clients in the Road & 17% Manhole Covers works and water & Sanitation departments. 19% Other * • Others such Manholes 4 Africa (a subsidiary of Civilworks Group) and National Manhole Covers have a strong presence across the country. *Others include Rocla, Fiberite, S Systems, GCT Fabricators Source: Frost & Sullivan 9
Manhole Covers: Key Clients Stormwater Manhole Metros Sewer Manhole Covers Fibre Manhole Covers Covers City of Cape Town 201 000 116 719 69 087 City of Johannesburg 262 800 160 600 79 045 eThekwini 140 000 106 099 53 509 City of Tshwane 170 316 150 707 35 902 Buffalo City 28 800 25 600 8 028 Ekurhuleni 144 432 128 384 43 442 Mangaung 31 248 27 776 10 923 Nelson Mandela Bay 80 472 72 000 22 062 Network Operators Fibre Size (km) Long-Distance Fibre Metro + Last Mile Access Telkom 157,000 X X Liquid Telecom / Neotel 16,000 X X Broadband Infraco 15,000 X Dark Fibre Africa 13,000 X X Vumatel 8,000 X FibreCo 4,000 X X NLD 3,600 X Eskom 5,500 X Source: Frost & Sullivan 10
Manhole Covers: Leading Service Providers Service Providers by Manhole Cover Product Types, South Africa, 2018 Service Provider Cast Iron Ductile Iron Concrete Polymer Composite Manholes 4 Africa X Rocla X X Aveng X X Maverick Trading X Saint Gobain X X National Manhole Covers X Fibrite X S Systems X X X GCT Fabricators X Incledon X Primus and Wuzland X Cape Concrete X Fab Manufacturing X Salberg X United Manhole Covers X Source: Frost & Sullivan 11
WATER METERS
Water Meter Market Dynamics South African utilities and municipalities are exploring the use of IoT in smart metering to measure and control household water consumption and detect large leaks and inefficiencies. However, the high cost of smart meters is expected to subdue the uptake these solution particularly among the smaller municipalities. Sub-metering, which entails installing individual meters in housing and office complexes with multiple units, will drive new meter deployments. This presents a greater opportunity for smart water solutions with large housing complexes and enterprises than with municipalities. Municipalities are moving towards prepaid and Advanced Meter Reading (AMR) as they look to minimize their non-revenue water. Advanced Meter Infrastructure (AMI) solutions may lead to job cuts as they eliminate the need for meter readers. IoT applications will increasingly run on LPWAN technologies including NB-IoT, LoRa and Sigfox, driven by the need for increased speed, longer range, and higher power efficiencies. Market Dynamics Source: Frost & Sullivan 13
Number of Meters Number of Waters by Municipality, South Africa, 2018 • The number of meters deployed has grown by 1.6% over the period 2016 – 2018. Municipality 2018 Percentage • New meter deployments in the long-term is expected to be driven by sub-metering. Buffalo City 120 000 1.4% City of Cape Town 650 000 7.6% Water Meters, South Africa, 2016-2018 City of Johannesburg 866 389 10.1% 8.8 Number of Manhole City of Tshwane 461 400 5.4% 8.6 Covers (Million) 8.6 Ekurhuleni 524 520 6.1% 8.4 8.4 eThekwini 510 000 5.9% 8.3 Mangaung 139 469 1.6% 8.2 Nelson Mandela Bay 226 413 2.6% 8.0 2016 2017 2018 Other Municipalities 5 083 780 59.2% Year Total 8 581 971 100.0% Source: Frost & Sullivan 14
Water Meters by Type Industrial Residential 0.7% Industrial users are Residential 01 Municipalities are looking to adopt the largest per capita 94.9% smart meter solutions in order to users of water. A lot of the residential minimize non-revenue water. meters are owned and maintained by the municipalities. Commercial 8.6 As with the residential segment, Million 02 the spend on new meters will come from private property owners due Meters to sub-metering. Industrial and Bulk Commercial Industrial buildings are investing 4.4% Commercial properties 03 in smart water solutions to monitor and manage their water represent a growing consumption. opportunity for smart water solutions. Source: Frost & Sullivan 15
Competitive Landscape Water Meter Market Share, South Africa, 2018 • Elster Kent is considered one of the leading providers of water meters in the South African market, with a share of 19%. 9% Elster Kent 9% • This is followed by Utility Systems (14%) and Utility Systems 12% Sensus (12%) that have a strong presence in 10% Lesira-Teq eThekwini and City of Cape Town municipalities. Amanzi Meters 10% • Though relatively smaller by market share, Protea Meters 17% Lesira-Teq is one of the few providers in the market with Sigfox-compliant water meters Precision Meters and focusing largely on smart water solutions 14% Sensus along with Kamstrup. 19% Other • While smart meter solutions are becoming a growing trend globally, it is estimated that AMI meters account for less than 5% of the total *Others includes Aqua-loc, Kamstrup, Meter IT, Ontec deployed by municipalities. The municipalities are increasingly deploying prepaid water meters. Source: Frost & Sullivan 16
Water Meters: Key Clients Metros Smart Meter Plans Sub-Metering Mandated Prepaid Meters City of Cape Town City of Johannesburg x eThekwini x City of Tshwane x x Buffalo City – x Ekurhuleni – x Mangaung x x Nelson Mandela Bay – Already Implemented – Under consideration / Pilot x Not Disclosed 17
Water Meters: Leading Service Providers Water Meter type Service Provider AMR AMI Pre-paid Elster Kent Smart Meter X X Kamstrup (*) X Utility Systems X X X Lesira-Teq X X Amanzi Meters X Protea Meters X X Precision Meters N/A N/A N/A Sensus X X Aqua-loc X MeterIT X X X Meter Man X X X * Focuses mainly on AMI meters that is also compatible with drive-by AMR readings 18
FLEET
Market Definitions and Segmentations Gross Vehicle Vehicle Definition Mass Rating Classification (GVMR) LCVs represent vans and light trucks. The typical applications include Light Commercial pickup and delivery, utilities, airport operations, facilities management, 16500 kg GVMR trucks. Fleet owned by various rental companies, these are hired and utilised by businesses to perform Rental Fleet their daily operations. Rental contracts may last for one day to as long as 3 years. Commercial Fleet Fleet that are owned by businesses to carry out their operations. Source: Frost & Sullivan 20
Fleet Segmentations LCV MCV HCV Bus 3% 30% 30% 15% Commercial Commercial Commercial Commercial Rental Rental Rental Rental 97% 70% 70% 85% • South Africa‟s fleet can be divided into commercial and rental. The contribution of rental fleet to LCVs accounts for only 3% of total fleet. Within this segment of vehicles, individuals often opt to own these vehicles as they may be used for both personal and business purposes. • 30% of MCV and HCV fleet are owned by rental companies, and are hired and used by business for the distribution of goods. Rental companies often specialise in certain vehicles depending on the various needs of customers within their geographic location. The remaining 70% of MCV and HCV commercial fleet vehicles are owned by businesses. • There are currently 63,000 busses in South Africa. Approximately 30,000 of these are used for public transport. The remainder of these busses make up South Africa‟s commercial bus fleet. Busses are both owned by bus companies, such as Greyhound and Intercape, and bus hiring companies Source: Frost & Sullivan 21
GOODS IN TRANSIT
Goods In Transit: Sector Segmentation Volume Contribution of Transportable Goods Value Contribution of Transportable Goods 10% 13% 21% 28% Agriculture Agriculture Manufacturing Manufacturing Mining Mining 51% 77% • South Africa‟s land transportable GDP consists of Agriculture, Manufacturing, and Mining. • Manufacturing dominates both the volume and value contributions of South Africa‟s transportable goods. This is followed by Agriculture. The mining sector remains a significant contributor to South Africa‟s economy, but only 20% of this contribution is transported by road. Source: Frost & Sullivan 23
Goods In Transit: Sector Segmentation • The transportable GDP contributions are made up of Agriculture, Mining, and Manufacturing, and are transported across LCV, MCV, HCV vehicles. • Agriculture utilises both MCV and HCV for distribution, whereas mining goods are only transported by HCV. • Manufacturing, which is a broad industry, utilises a variety of vehicle types for the distribution of goods. LCV MCV HCV 87 mt of Agricultural goods distributed across 17.4mt 69.6mt 115 mt of Mining good distributed across 115mt 209 mt of Manufacturing goods distributed across 41.8mt 94.05mt 73.15mt Source: Frost & Sullivan 24
Goods in Transit: Industry Players Agriculture Manufacturing Mining Grindrod X X X Cargo Carriers X X X Shipping & General Transport X X X FBN Transport X X X Unitrans X X X Transnet X X X Fairfield Longhaul X Imperial Logistics X Bras Trucking X Bigfoot Express Freight X Wardens Cartage X X MacDonald's Transport Group X X Indigo Logistics X Transitex X X Reinhardt Transport Group X Maxillaria Logistics X NM Freight Logistics X Imvusa Transport X Transcor X Consolidated Trucking + Logistics X X The Interlogix Group X X SG Coal X Source: Frost & Sullivan 25
Goods In Transit: Last Mile Delivery Last-mile delivery is the movement of goods to end users, typically to a personal or Industry Players business address. These goods are typically moved from distribution/consolidation centres. DHL Fastway Courier, Express and Parcel (CEP) are non-palletized products and shipments RAM Aramex weighing less than 32kg. Interlogix Bex Express E-Commerce revenue is expected to grow at an annual growth rate of 13.2%, and reach City Couriers Courier Guy ZAR 78 billion by 2022. CitiSprint Courierit Time Freight Globeflight South African e-Commerce Industry, 2016-2022 Skynet Fastvan 100 2500 Revenue per user (ZAR) e-Commerce Revenue FedEx OneLogix Revenue (ZAR Billion) 80 2000 2018: ZAR 47 Billion TNT Express Pargo 60 1500 XINT DSV Group 40 1000 Courier Freight Number of e-Commerce UPS 20 500 Group (CFG) Users: 30 million 0 0 Mr. D Courier Sendr 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Picup Wumdrop Revenue Average Revenue Per User Note: Exchange rate: 1 USD= 14.68 ZAR Source: Frost & Sullivan 26
Goods In Transit: Last Mile Delivery It is estimated that 110 million packages are • The distance travelled by a delivery vehicle depends on a delivered across South Africa per year. Last mile number of factors: delivery of packages is able to reach consumers via • The drop factor, which is the number of packages trucks, cars and motorcycles. delivered per drop. • Package size. • Vehicle used. • On average, a delivery van delivers 50 parcels per trip. • Motorcycles are also utilised by last mile delivery services, such as Mr D, where the number of packages delivered per trip would be significantly less, but trips would be made more frequently. Average packages delivered per trip: 50 • The last mile delivery space has been disrupted with Average trips per day: 2 innovations such as drone delivery, and the “Uber” business model where non-professional couriers are utilised to deliver goods. These innovations are yet to disrupt the South African Average radius travelled per delivery market. vehicle : 5-10km Source: Frost & Sullivan 27
Goods In Transit: Temperature Controlled Logistics • The cold chain involves handling and management of sensitive products such as blood, biomedical items, laboratory samples, vaccines, temperature-controlled drugs, meat fruits, vegetables, and other perishable items. • These critical items need to be continuously preserved in controlled and specific temperatures, else they will be damaged. • Complete traceability and visibility on all goods transported is crucial, specifically when items are recalled. Goods should ideally be tracked from production or harvest up until consumption. TCL requirements -18 to -28 °C -1 °C to 16°C 0 to 7°C 0 °C to 8 °C for different end Frozen food Processed food Dairy products Pharmaceuticals user segments such as poultry, such as fruit, Such as milk, Such as Seafood, frozen vegetables, Cream, butter, Vaccines, Insulin's, meals , frozen chocolate and Cheese, Cryoproducts fruit, veg and baked goods Yoghurt and And thermolabine ice cream Dairy beverages products Source: Frost & Sullivan 28
Goods In Transit: Temperature Controlled Logistics Industry Players • Imperial Logistics Fast „n Fresh is the leading provider of temperature controlled transport and services in south Africa. Imperial – The Fast „n Fresh arm of the company operate from depots across Cape Logistics: Fast ‘n DB Schenker Town, Gauteng and Limpopo. It also operates from client sites across South Fresh Africa. Aspen Logistics (Barloworld) CCS Logistics – Key clients include McCain, Woolworths and Tiger Brands Bidvest Laser Logistics Panalpina • Aspen Logistics specialises in the Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) Logistics industry, by provided temperature controlled transport. LMC Express Röhlig-Grindrod – Their clients include a variety of Blue Chip companies which supply to major retailers. Sequence DHL Logistics Supergroup: Crystal Cool • Fairfield Longhaul specialises in refrigerated transport for the movement of Digistics Logistix goods such as perishables, fish, meat and dairy. Express FZ – FairField Longhaul operate across South Africa DSC Logistics Fairfield HFR Longhaul Source: Frost & Sullivan 29
DRIVER BEHAVIOUR
Distance Travelled Per Fleet Segment • The average annual distance travelled by commercial vehicles differs by vehicle segmentation. Per Trip (km) Number of Trips Per Year • On average, HCVs travel twice the average distance LCV 90 278 of MCVs, and three times as much as LCVs. HCV 150 267 MCV 260 231 Average Annual Distance Travelled By Fleet Segment HCV Bus MCV LCV 20,000km 30,000km 40,000km 50,000km 60,000km Source: Frost & Sullivan 31
Commercial Vehicle Telematics: Market Dynamics South Africa is expected to experience 13% growth within the truck telematics market, and is considered developed in terms of telematics penetration. A major shift in the South African fleet industry is expected, with more fleet companies looking to utilize fleet management solutions to focus on total cost of ownership and the economics of fleet expenditures. There are no mandatory regulations/government compliances in place within the CV industry. Telematics deployment, mandated by the state, can act as a driver for the telematics industry. As a result, the SA telematics market is largely influenced by precautionary rather than regulatory factors. Services covering features for anti-theft, driver behaviour, and productivity are dominating and are the most preferred services among fleets in South Africa. Approximately 1.3 million telematics units are installed in vehicles across South Africa to date. Market Dynamics Source: Frost & Sullivan 32
Competitive Landscape • The South African telematics industry is dominated by low- South African Telematics Market end and basic fleet management solutions such as tracking, recovery, and location based services. • There are only a few foreign telematics providers in South Africa, which include TomTom Telematics (supplying through CarTrack Tracker) and Geotab. 18% • Telematics for vehicle OEMs are fairly new and recently MiX Telematics 29% established in the market. OEMs include MAN Truck & Busses, Volvo Group, and Scania. • Future joint ventures/partnerships are expected between Ctrack vehicle OEMs and aftermarket vendors, becoming preferred 17% fleet management partners. Altech Netstar • The telematics installed base, currently estimated to be 1.3 million units, is expected to reach 1.9 million units by 2021. 11% Tracker • The penetration of telematics in the LCV segment (17.6%) is low compared to the MCV/HCV (52.9%), but contributes more 13% 12% *Other than 45% to the total installed base. • Key End-User Groups include FMCG industry, transport and logistics, cold chain, material handling, emergency, rental/leasing, manufacturing, government, fleet insurance, *Other industry players include Pointer Telematics, Geotab, TomTom Telematics, Digit Vehicle Tracking (Digicell), GPS Tracking Solutions , and risk management. SmartSurv Wireless, Autotrak, Autowatch Telematics (PFK Electronics) Note: A share of Tracker systems is represented by solutions powered by TomTom Telematics. 33
Commercial Vehicle Telematics Fuel, driver wages, maintenance, and tires, together hold about 62% of the total cost of fleet operation; a „Connected Truck‟ plays a huge role in significantly optimizing these factors. Benefits After Deployment of Fleet Management Systems Cost of Fleet Operation Other (Tax, Interest) • 10-15% Increase in Productivity Driver Wages • 20-30 min Day/Driver Labour Savings Fuel 22 30 26 5 1 6 10 Maintenance • 15-20% Increase in Vehicle Utilisation Tires • 20-30% Reduction in Vehicle Idle Time Insurance Depreciation • 10-15% Overtime Reduction 0 20 40 60 80 100 Percentage Contribution (%) • 20-25% Reduction in Fuel Expenses • 5-10% Reduction in Total Miles People Tracking Route Planning Remote Access Fleet Tracking Asset Tracking Driver Monitoring Source: Frost & Sullivan 34
Telematics and Insurance Usage Based Insurance Evolution of Insurance Coverage Insurance brokers are increasingly making use of telematics for usage based insurance. Telematics data is used to determine an individual‟s premium for vehicle insurance. Each vehicle is fitted with a Black Box used to record data such as distance Asset-Based travelled, speed, time of travel, and date of travel. Information recorded is then Cover relayed to the driver through a mobile application. South Africa's vehicle's in operation: 12 million Approximately 60-70% of these vehicles are uninsured Person- Based Cover Many motorists who have vehicle insurance often opt for the lowest premiums, without understanding the disadvantages and benefits of the policy they are investing in. MTN and Huawei, in partnership, have brought usage based insurance to the South Usage-Based Cover African market. It makes use of on-board devices, which connect to a mobile app, which provides analyses of the drivers behaviour. Given the significant number of uninsured vehicles, a large market opportunity exists. Partnerships will be key in opening up these opportunities. Source: Frost & Sullivan 35
Driver Behaviour: Incidents Per Vehicle Segment Fleet drivers are at a higher accident risk Total Fatal Crashes per Vehicle Segment than most drivers, as they spend a significant portion of their day on the road. It LCV MCV/HCV Bus is the responsibility of fleet owners to ensure that their drivers are safe at all times. LCV fatal crashes are significantly higher than those of MCV/HCV. This is followed by minibus taxis, which experience an average of 1,000 fatal crashes each year. 2017: 2,345 2017: 297 2017: 217 2016: 2,347 2016: 280 2016: 245 Contributing Factors in Fatal Crashes Road & Environmental Factors Accidents are a significant cost for fleet owners, and result in Vehicle Factors down time and delays. South Africa‟s fatal crashes can mainly be attributed to human factors. This reinforces the importance and Human Factors benefits of driver behaviour monitoring in commercial fleets, as it can improve safety, and reduce unforeseen costs. 0 50 100 2017 2016 Contribution (%) Source: Frost & Sullivan 36
Telematics and Logistics Trends - 2018 • Big Data Utilization • The use of big data and Advanced Analytics is used to enable efficiency gains. Big Data will shift from descriptive analytics to predictive analytics using advanced analytics algorithms. These will be beneficial to businesses as it will reduce costs, improve fleet management, reduce risk and improve system integration. • Driver Behaviour Monitoring • A shift away from pure vehicle monitoring to driver behaviour monitoring will occur. This will increase efficiency by reducing collisions and speeding. This will allow drivers to safely perform their daily operations, and in turn reduce down time. • Increased demand for faster turnaround times • Customers are increasingly wanting same-hour or same-day delivery. • Companies will have to improve last-mile delivery to keep up to customer satisfaction. • Localisation of warehousing will occur as companies can no longer rely on 2-3 large depots to meet consumer demands. • Companies have changed to outsourcing last mile deliveries to favour customer satisfaction and reduce risk. Source: Frost & Sullivan 37
Telematics and Logistics Trends - 2018 • IoT Connectivity • In 2018, it is expected that more things will be fitted with sensor technology such as RFID, to easily monitor and control assets. This will increase the availability of real-time data. With the rise of connectivity, logistics safety and cyber security will be paramount. • Mobile applications increase the accessibility of telematics data in real time. • Automation and Robotics • The presence of robotics will be an increasing trend in 2018 and beyond. Cobots (Collaborative robots) can work with people and are involved in packaging, picking, shipping, delivery. • At the end of 2018, it is estimated that 30% of new robots will be 3 times faster than those deployed 2 years ago. And up to 45% of mainstream global e-commerce and omnichannel companies, will be using robotics for order fulfilment warehousing and delivery. • Autonomous trucks are being used by companies such as Uber for long haul deliveries. • Blockchain • Blockchain technology will impact key functions within logistics. The platform is able to verify digital transactions, eliminating the uncertainty within the industry. It is expected to become the next operating system by keeping a record of all logistics transactions. Routes, movement of goods, insights into drivers, will all be recorded. Source: Frost & Sullivan 38
APPENDIX – MUNICIPALITIES
Buffalo City Municipality Overview Metrics Measure Geographic Size (sq km) 869 333 Population 2 750 Number of Households 272 518 • Buffalo City Municipality (BCM) is one of the smaller municipalities out of the eight in the report, in terms of population and economic activity but along with Mangaung municipality is a closer approximation of the rest of the country. • This municipality faces budgetary constraints to fund and monitor its critical infrastructure. Source: Frost & Sullivan 40
Buffalo City Municipality – Water Meters • There are currently 120,000 meters in the BCM, growing at 2.3% per year. Residential : 95.1% • The municipality still relies on physical water meter Meter Split by User Commercial : 4.3% Industrial & Bulk: 0.6% readings. Key Providers Honeywell / Elster Kent Water Meters Deployed, 2016 – 2018, Buffalo City, CAGR = 2.3% No. of Meters (000) 120.5 The BCM has struggled with accurate 120.0 water bills leading to some discontent 119.7 Market Highlights with the public and has experienced a 120.0 10% drop in annual water sales. 119.5 119.5 There may be an opportunity to offer 119.0 Implications for smart solutions for remote water meter 2016 2017 2018 SqwidNET readings to provide more accurate billing. Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 41
Buffalo City Municipality – Manhole Covers • Buffalo City currently has 272,816 manhole covers, which grew at 1.7%. Sewer : 46.1% Manholes Split by • The municipality is facing a financial challenge in Stormwater : 41.0% Type Telecoms : 12.9% monitoring its manhole covers and its ability to replace those stolen. National Manhole Covers Key Providers Fab Manufacturing Total Base of Manhole Covers, 2016 – Cementile 2018, Buffalo City, CAGR = 1.7% 280 No. of Manholes (000) 273 Buffalo City continues to experience the Market Highlights 268 theft of their manhole covers. 270 264 260 Despite the opportunity to offer track and trace solutions for manhole covers, the Implications for municipality‟s budgetary constraints may SqwidNET 250 limit the potential of deploying such 2016 2017 2018 solutions. Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 42
City of Cape Town Municipality Overview Metrics Measure Geographic Size (sq km) 2 446 Population 4 232 276 Number of Households 1 360 860 • The CoT‟s recent struggles with water access has placed pressure on it to improve water management, and is one of few municipalities to mandate sub-metering. • As one of the two most developed municipalities, the CoCT also has made extensive investment in utility infrastructure to meet the growing demand for its large population. Source: Frost & Sullivan 43
City of Cape Town Municipality – Water Meters • In 2018, there were 650,000 municipal water meters in the CoCT. Residential : 94.3% • The municipality is exploring smart solutions in Meter Split by User Commercial : 4.7% response to water shortages and the high and rising Industrial & Bulk: 1.0% number of inaccurate water bills. • Honeywell / Elster Kent • Utility Meters Key Providers • Sensus (Industry & Bulk) Water Meters Deployed, 2016 – 2018, Cape • Protea Meters Town, CAGR = 2.1% 660 No. of Meters (000) 650 The CoCT has been installing smart 650 637 Market Highlights water meters (mainly Honeywell) to help 640 623 households manage their consumption. 630 There may be scope to partner with 620 providers such as Honeywell and Elster Implications for 610 for municipal meters in the residential SqwidNET 2016 2017 2018 segment and Kamstrup for gated communities. Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 44
City of Cape Town Municipality – Manhole Covers • The number of manholes has grown by 2.8% since 2016, reaching 317,719 in 2018, most of which were Sewer : 52.0% sewer covers. Manholes Split by Stormwater : 30.2% Type • The CoCT is also deploying a number of non-metal Telecoms : 17.8% manhole covers to minimize theft. • Saint Gobain Pam • National Manhole Covers Key Providers • Cape Concrete Total Base of Manhole Covers, 2016 – • Maverick Trading 2018, City of Cape Town, CAGR = 2.8% No. of Manholes (000) 154 318 The theft of water meters, manholes and 305 Market Highlights fire hydrants has cost the CoCT R40 152 million over the past two years. 301 150 148 There is scope to offer track and trace 146 Implications for solutions for both the municipality and SqwidNET telecoms operators who have an 144 extensive fibre network. 2016 2017 2018 Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 45
City of Johannesburg Municipality Overview Metrics Measure Geographic Size (sq km) 1 645 Population 5 250 762 Number of Households 1 996 488 • Despite its small size, the municipality has the largest by population, development and economic activity requiring extensive investment in infrastructure. • The municipality has a range of challenges related to the damage, vandalism, tampering and theft of its utility infrastructure. Source: Frost & Sullivan 46
City of Johannesburg Municipality – Water Meters • The CoJ currently has 866,389 water meters across residential, commercial and industrial segments. Residential : 93.4% • There is a shift towards prepaid meters in order to Meter Split by User Commercial : 5.2% minimize non-revenue. Industrial & Bulk: 1.4% Elster Kent Sensus Key Providers Precision Meters Water Meters Deployed, 2016 – 2018, City Lesira Teq of Johannesburg, CAGR = 0.6% 866 AMI meter solutions are expected to No. of Meters (000) 0.9 minimize the need for meter readers 861 Market Highlights 0.9 resulting in retrenchments which the municipality is looking to avoid. 0.9 856 The need for smart water solutions is 0.9 more prevalent in gated communities, Implications for office parks and industrial properties. It 0.9 SqwidNET will require SqwidNET to partner with 2016 2017 2018 some of the leading providers to grow its Year presence in the market. Source: Frost & Sullivan 47
City of Johannesburg Municipality – Manhole Covers • There was an estimated 420 manhole covers in the CoJ, a majority of which were sewer. Sewer : 52.3% Manholes Split by • Like the CoCT, the CoJ is has been deploying non- Stormwater : 32.0% Type metal manhole covers in response to the high and Telecoms : 15.7% rising theft of covers in the city. United Manhole Covers Key Providers Aveng Manufacturing GCT Fabricators Total Base of Manholes, 2016 – 2018, City of Johannesburg, CAGR = 3.0% 154 The city does not have a good record of No. of Manholes (000) 423 the number of its manholes relying on a 152 411 399 physical count and estimate. It also does Market Highlights 150 not have sight on damaged or tampered manholes, relying on the public to report 148 faults. 146 The level of sewer and stormwater 144 Implications for infrastructure is an opportunity to offer 2016 2017 2018 SqwidNET smart solutions to reduce theft and Year improve maintenance. Source: Frost & Sullivan 48
City of Tshwane Municipality Overview Metrics Measure Geographic Size (sq km) 6 298 Population 3 440 954 Number of Households 1 207 352 • City of Tshwane is the second largest municipality in Gauteng by population and economic activity and represents a growing opportunity for housing and infrastructure investment. • In line with its drive to become a smart city, the municipality has looked to deploy smart meter solutions for its water and electricity services. Source: Frost & Sullivan 49
City of Tshwane Municipality – Water Meters • The number of meters in the municipality grew by 0.9% over 2016-2019. Residential : 95.0% • The City of Tshwane has been struggling with Meter Split by User Commercial : 4.1% accurate meter readings culminating in intense public Industrial & Bulk: 0.9% discontent. Elster Kent Key Providers Lesira-Teq WaterWatch Water Meters Deployed, 2016 – 2018, City of Tshwane, CAGR = 0.9% The municipality has been moving 461 No. of Meters (000) 464 towards prepaid meters for both Market Highlights electricity and water to improve bill 460 457 accuracy. 456 453 Due to their relatively high cost, the shift 452 towards smart meters is expected to Implications for fairly gradual. A larger potential 448 SqwidNET opportunity may lie in the gated 2016 2017 2018 communities and business parks. Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 50
City of Tshwane Municipality – Manhole Covers • There are currently 246,099 manhole covers in the municipality growing by 2.5% over the period 2016- Sewer : 49.7% 2018. Manholes Split by Stormwater : 37.6% Type • The municipality continues to experience theft and Telecoms : 12.7% tampering of lamp poles, manholes and cables. Fiberite Salberg Concrete Products Pty Ltd Key Providers Total Base of Manhole Covers, 2016 – Wuzland Manhole Covers 2018, City of Tshwane, CAGR = 2.5% Aveng Manufacturing Infraset 248 No. of Manholes (000) 246 244 240 A majority of the providers are moving 234 Market Highlights away from cast iron covers in order to 240 minimize the risk of theft. 236 The city continues to experience high 232 incidence of theft and tamper to Implications for manholes and other infrastructure but 228 SqwidNET does not have the manpower resources 2016 2017 2018 to monitor them. A smart solution could Year help combat the theft. Source: Frost & Sullivan 51
Ekurhuleni Municipality Overview Metrics Measure Geographic Size (sq km) 1 975 Population 3 492 908 Number of Households 1 255 980 • Relative to its larger counterparts in the Gauteng Province, the City of Ekurhuleni has struggled with upgrading its utility infrastructure to meet the needs of its large and growing population due to limited funding. • As part of its 2025 development strategy, the municipality is exploring smart city solutions. Source: Frost & Sullivan 52
Ekurhuleni Municipality – Water Meters • With its large population, the municipality had 525,000 meters growing at 2.0% per year. Residential : 95.6% • Despite upgrading its water billing system, the Meter Split by User Commercial : 3.9% Industrial & Bulk: 0.5% municipality has been struggling with non-revenue water. Elster Kent Key Providers Lesira Teq Water Meters Deployed, 2016 – 2018, Ekurhuleni, CAGR = 2.0% The municipality has embarked on a No. of Meters (000) 528 525 project to replace ageing meters which it Market Highlights expects will improve billing accuracy and 520 514 minimize losses. 512 505 504 The municipality represents a big 496 opportunity for water meters, however Implications for budgetary constraints may limit the 488 SqwidNET potential for smart meter solutions with 2016 2017 2018 respect to municipality meters. Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 53
Ekurhuleni Municipality – Manhole Covers • There were 272,016 manhole covers in the municipality in 2018, growing at 1.7% per year. Sewer : 45.7% Manholes Split by • The municipality has been moving towards plastic Stormwater : 40.6% Type manhole covers in response to the theft of cast iron. Telecoms : 13.7% GCT Fabricators Key Providers Aveng Manufacturing Infraset Total Base of Manhole Covers, 2016 – Wuzland Manhole Covers 2018, Ekurhuleni , CAGR = 1.7% 280 No. of Manholes (000) 273 A track and trace solution can aid the 268 Market Highlights municipality to crack down on nefarious 270 metal scrap yard owners. 264 260 There may be scope to partner with GCT Implications for Fabricators and Wuzland who have a SqwidNET 250 large presence in the Gauteng area. 2016 2017 2018 Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 54
eThekwini Municipality Overview Metrics Measure Geographic Size (sq km) 2 556 Population 3 767 939 Number of Households 1 255 980 • eThekwini municipality‟s ambitions to become a smart city has seen it invest in refurbishing and expanding the city‟s infrastructure, including the waterfront and port. • With the expected increased economic activity, there is strong emphasis on improving the city‟s utility infrastructure in line with the expected increase in jobs and population size. Source: Frost & Sullivan 55
eThekwini Municipality – Water Meters • The number of meters in eThekwini grew by 0.2% during 2016-2018 to reach 510,000. Residential : 94.5% • The municipality is exploring opportunities to help Meter Split by User Commercial : 4.6% minimize water wasted through inefficient metering. Industrial & Bulk: 0.9% Elster Kent (may be losing some of its market share in the municipality) Key Providers Sensus Water Meters Deployed, 2016 – 2018, Utility Systems eThekwini, CAGR = 0.2% 510 No. of Meters (000) 512 In line with its aspirations to become a 504 500 Market Highlights smart city, the municipality has been trialling AMI solutions. 496 490 488 As with the other major metros there is scope to partner with providers serving Implications for 480 gated communities and business parks, SqwidNET 2016 2017 2018 but also the municipality is open smart solutions. Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 56
eThekwini Municipality – Manhole Covers • There were 321,023 manhole covers in the municipality which has grown 1.2% over the period Sewer : 45.5% 2016-2018. Manholes Split by Stormwater : 40.2% Type • The municipality has experienced a spate of Telecoms : 14.3% challenges due to the loss of manhole covers, with Aveng Manufacturing Infraset 1,000 covers damaged or stolen a year. KFC Engineering Key Providers Saint Gobain Pam Total Base of Manhole Covers, 2016 – Manholes 4 Africa 2018, eThekwini, CAGR = 1.2% 324 No. of Manholes (000) 321 The municipality has struggled to monitor 317 the assets of the city such as manhole 320 Market Highlights covers, and is relying on residents to 313 report damage to the infrastructure. 316 312 SqwidNET should consider partnering with a leading provider such as KFC 308 Implications for Engineering whose product portfolio is 2016 2017 2018 SqwidNET mostly cast iron covers that are prone to Year theft. Source: Frost & Sullivan 57
Mangaung Municipality Overview Metrics Measure Geographic Size (sq km) 9 886 Population 793 644 Number of Households 287 552 • Despite its relatively larger land mass, the Mangaung Municipality is one of the smaller ones among the selected eight, in terms of population and economy size. • As a result, investment in water, roads, sewerage and electricity infrastructure is also relatively smaller. Source: Frost & Sullivan 58
Mangaung Metropolitan Municipality – Water Meters • There were 139,469 water meters in 2018 for Mangaung, 95.0% of which were residential. Residential : 95.1% • Growth in the number of new meter connections Meter Split by User Commercial : 4.3% averages 5.3% over the three year period, 2016-2018. Industrial & Bulk: 0.6% Elster Kent – Has been the dominant provider of water meters in the Key Providers municipality, having won a majority of the Water Meters Deployed, 2016 – 2018, meter tends in the region over the last 20 Mangaung, CAGR = 5.3% years. No. of Meters (000) 1.6 139 132 1.2 126 There is a strong drive to switch most of Market Highlights the residential to prepaid waters to 0.8 minimize waste. 0.4 Smart water solutions is a longer-term Implications for opportunity as the municipality is mostly 0 2016 2017 2018 SqwidNET prioritizing revenue protection from curbing basic water waste. Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 59
Mangaung Metropolitan Municipality – Manhole Covers • There were over 150,000 manhole covers in the municipality with a growth of 0.4% per year over the Sewer : 44.7% period 2016-2018. Manholes Split by Stormwater : 39.7% Type Telecoms : 15.6% National Manhole Covers Key Providers Astro Concrete Incledon (Key Distributor) Total Base of Manholes, 2016 – 2018, Mangaung, CAGR = 0.4% 154 152 No. of Manholes (000) The municipality has spent over R550 152 150 Market Highlights million on upgrading of streets and stormwater. 150 148 148 The municipality does not have a digital 146 solution to monitor the status of manhole Implications for covers. The opportunity to offer track and 144 SqwidNET trace solutions could be curtailed by 2016 2017 2018 budgetary constraints. Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 60
Nelson Mandela Bay Municipality Overview Metrics Measure Geographic Size (sq km) 1 957 Population 1 290 470 Number of Households 403 272 • The Nelson Mandela Bay (NMB) Municipality is currently towards its smart city initiative by investing in infrastructure while also providing basic utilities to the townships. • There is also growing pressure on the municipality‟s water resources which it is looking to protect. Source: Frost & Sullivan 61
Nelson Mandela Bay Municipality – Water Meters • There were 226,413 water meters in the NMB growing by 3.8% during 2016-2018. Residential : 95.3% • The municipality has mandated sub-metering which is Meter Split by User Commercial : 4.2% expected to largely affect the residential segment. Industrial & Bulk: 0.5% Elster Kent Key Providers Water Watch Water Meters Deployed, 2016 – 2018, Nelson Mandela Bay, CAGR = 3.8% Over the period 2016-2020 property No. of Meters (000) 232 226 developers are expected to install water Market Highlights meters in all the individual units to enable 224 218 direct billing of their tenants. 216 210 There is an opportunity to partner with 208 key water meter providers in the NMB Implications for with the view to providing smart solutions 200 SqwidNET to help the municipality effectively 2016 2017 2018 monitor consumption. Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 62
Nelson Mandela Bay Municipality – Manhole Covers • The number of manhole covers in NMB grew by 1.5% during 2016-2018 to reach 152,472. Sewer : 46.1% Manholes Split by • The NMB is experiencing losses estimated at R21m a Stormwater : 41.3% Type year on its sewer system due to theft and vandalism. Telecoms : 12.6% Saint Gobain Pam Key Providers Rocla Total Base of Manhole Covers, 2016 – 2018, Nelson Mandela Bay , CAGR = 1.5% 156 No. of Manholes (000) 152 The municipality does not have the 150 manpower and resources to effectively 152 Market Highlights monitor its 3900 km of sewer system, 148 having had to replace close to a 1000 covers in 2014 alone. 148 There is an opportunity to the main Implications for 144 providers such as Rocla to offer a smart SqwidNET 2016 2017 2018 monitoring solution. Year Source: Frost & Sullivan 63
List of Abbreviations Acronym Definitions AMI Advanced Meter Reading AMR Advanced Meter Infrastructure BCM Buffalo City Municipality CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate CEP Courier, Express and Parcel Cobots Collaborative Robots CoCT City of Cape Town CoJ City of Johannesburg CoT City of Tshwane FMCG Fast Moving Consumer Goods GDP Gross Domestic Product GMVR Gross Vehicle Mass Rating HCV Heavy Commercial Vehicle IoT Internet of Things LCV Light Commercial Vehicle LoRa Long Range LPWAN Low-Power Wide-Area Network MCV Medium Commercial Vehicle NB-IoT Narrow Band- Internet of Things NMB Nelson Mandela Bay OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer RFID Radio Frequency Identification SVR Stolen Vehicle Recovery 64
Contacts Craig Parker Siyathemba Magobiane Research Director Senior Consultant +27 (0)21 680 3292 +27 (0)21 680 3564 +27 (0)72 878 0698 +27 (0)83 722 8805 Craig.Parker@frost.com Siyathemba.Magobiane@frost.com Zaheera Ahmed Lehlohonolo Mokenela Research Analyst: Mobility Consultant +27 (0)21 680 3261 +27 (0)21 680 3567 +27 (0)76 292 8248 +27 (0)72 365 4600 Zaheera.Ahmed@frost.com Lehlohonolo.Mokenela@frost.com 65
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