Washington State Road Usage Charge Research Update - February 3, 2022 Reema Griffith, Executive Director, WSTC
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Washington State Road Usage Charge Research Update February 3, 2022 Reema Griffith, Executive Director, WSTC
SITUATION ASSESSMENT ü Systems are ready: After nearly a decade of research and development, Washington has the ability to implement a small-scale RUC program. ü Privacy can be protected: Offering non-GPS approaches and privacy protections in law are key. The only additional data needed to implement RUC is a periodic odometer reading. ü RUC harmonizes transportation funding and climate policy objectives: RUC enables us to sustain usage-based funding without continuing to rely heavily on fossil fuel consumption and emissions. ü RUC offers savings for low-income drivers: The lowest-income vehicle owners in Washington pay the most in gas taxes because they tend to own older, less fuel- efficient vehicles. RUC can shift the tax burden to be more equitable. ü Further research and testing reduces costs and improves user experience: Research completed in 2021, along with mini-pilots to be conducted in 2022, will culminate in a comprehensive roadmap for transitioning to RUC. This transition begins with enactment of a small-scale RUC program as early as 2022. 2
TAXING GALLONS HAS FAIRNESS AND SUSTAINABILITY CHALLENGES 5.0 4.0 Average vehicle: 20.5 MPG, 2.4 cents/mile 3.0 Cents Per Mile 2.0 Per-mile RUC addresses the growing funding gap Driven in an equitable manner Vehicles below 1.0 average MPG pay more per Vehicles above average mile in fuel tax MPG pay less per mile in fuel tax 0.0 10 20 30 40 50 EV Vehicle Miles Per Gallons
WASHINGTON IS PREPARED TO BEGIN THE TRANSITION TO RUC Research continues in parallel to inform long-term RUC policy & operations
RESEARCH MILESTONES TO DATE 2012 – 2015 2016 – 2020 2021 – Present INITIAL ASSESSMENT PILOT TESTING AND SYSTEM READINESS AND CONCEPT POLICY ISSUE ANALYSIS AND CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH • Conducted statewide pilot test with 2,000+ drivers • Convened Steering Committee • Updating financial analysis • Tested multiple mileage reporting • Crafted Guiding Principles • Assessing equity impacts and methods • Determined feasibility conducting statewide outreach • Demonstrated interoperability with • Developed operational concepts • Exploring service options and OR, ID, BC • Conducted business case analysis operational innovation • Conducted widespread public • Designed pilot alternatives • Developing cost reduction strategies outreach • Designing mini-pilot tests for emerging • Addressed 10+ policy issues through concepts analysis and alternatives • Issued recommendations State funded Federally funded 6
YEAR-LONG, 2000-DRIVER, STATEWIDE PILOT TESTED FIVE MILEAGE REPORTING METHODS 28% ODOMETER READING 14% MILEMAPPER SMARTHPHONE APP use • Post-pay for miles reported quarterly use • Records miles using a smartphone • Report miles either electronically or in • Works with all vehicles person • Navigational GPS can be turned on/off • Available only on iPhone iOS MILEAGE PERMIT PLUG-IN DEVICES (WITH OR • Pre-select a block of miles (1,000, WITHOUT GPS) 1% 56% use 5,000, 10,000) use • Automated mileage meter with GPS and • Report odometer either electronically non-GPS options or in person every three months 37% • Plugs into OBD-II ports in vehicles 1996 • Obtain additional miles as needed to with GPS or newer keep mileage permit valid • GPS-enabled devices automatically 19% without GPS deduct out-of-state miles LOW-TECH HIGH-TECH 7
RESEARCH FINDINGS: RUC BENEFITS LOW-INCOME HOUSEHOLDS STATEWIDE Like rural households, low-income households already pay more in gas taxes
LOW-INCOME & RURAL HOUSEHOLD FINANCIAL IMPACT ANALYSIS • Fuel tax currently amounts to 1.4% of total low- income household expenditures, on average • Under RUC, the average low-income household would save a modest amount, compared to the gas tax (
TRANSPORTATION TAXES ARE A RELATIVELY SMALL PROPORTION OF HOUSEHOLD COSTS Transportation as a percent of household expenditures, by income level Fuel tax or RUC Fuel 4% 19% Insurance 15% Public transportation 7% Other vehicle expenses Vehicle sales tax, 40% 17% 4% 20% 17% 15% 12% 9% $150k Vehicle purchase 34% Today’s fuel tax represents 4% of low- income household expenditures on transportation, but will increase as fuel taxes increase. 11
LOWER INCOME HOUSEHOLDS PAY MORE IN FUEL TAXES & WILL SEE REDUCTIONS UNDER A RUC Census tract Census Fuel tax per average tract RUC per 10,000 Change under 10,000 miles household average miles driven RUC driven income MPG Less than $50k 20.0 $247 $240 ê $7 $50-75k 20.1 $246 $240 ê $6 $75-100k 20.5 $241 $240 ê $1 $100-150k 21.4 $231 $240 é $9 Over $150k 22.6 $219 $240 é $21
HYBRID AND EV OWNERSHIP INCREASES WITH INCOME
RESEARCH FINDINGS: FINANCIAL MODEL INFORMS REVENUE DECISIONS Anticipating the impacts of electrification and other mobility trends on long-term revenue
FLEXIBLE APPROACH ALLOWS EXPLORATION OF ALTERNATIVE POLICIES, ECONOMIC SCENARIOS Date: 12/7/2021 Scenario: Neutral Annual Vehicle Miles Travelled (Billions) Annual Vehicle Miles Travelled (Billions) Description: Passenger Vehicles and Light Trucks Urban and Rural INPUTS ECHO 60.0 60.0 VMT Growth: Low 50.0 50.0 Fuel Type/Electrification: Reference Case 40.0 40.0 Commute Shifts: 25% Increase 30.0 30.0 Pandemic Scenario: Return to Normal 20.0 20.0 E-Commerce Impact: 10% RUC Transition: MPG and/or Year 10.0 10.0 Gas Tax Scenario: No Change - - RUC Rate ($/mile): 0.024 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050 MPG Transition: 25 Passenger Car Light Trucks Total Urban Rural Total Model Year: 2025 Electrification Scenarios Total Vehicles on RUC Total Vehicles on Fuel 100.0% Percentage of VMT From Electric Cars 6.0 80.0% 4.0 4.0 60.0% Millions 2.0 2.0 Millions 40.0% 0.0 0.0 20.0% 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 0.0% 1991-95 1996-00 2001-05 2006-10 2011-15 2016-20 1991-95 1996-00 2001-05 2006-10 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 EIA Reference EIA High Gas Price 2011-15 2016-20 2021-25 2026-30 2021-25 2026-30 2031-35 2036-40 2041-45 2046-50 Average Bloomberg High Electrification 2031-35 2036-40 2041-45 2046-50 Fuel Tax Revenue(Billions) RUC Revenue(Billions) Total Revenue(Billions) Urban and Rural Urban and Rural $1.40 Billions $1.40 $1.20 Billions $1.40 Billions $1.20 $1.20 $1.00 $1.00 $1.00 $0.80 $0.80 $0.80 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Urban Gasoline Rural Gasoline Total Revenue Urban RUC Rural RUC
FUEL ECONOMY TRENDS UNDERMINE TRANSPORTATION REVENUE Revenue per mile driven By 2040 fuel tax revenue $0.02 RUC revenue from declines nearly 50% per EVs only mile driven $0.01 EVs can serve as a starting point for RUC, but long- term they only address a Revenue from fuel tax at $0.494/gal portion of the revenue gap $0.00 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
2022 PILOT TESTING New technologies and various policies will be tested to determine viability and efficiency
CONCEPTS FOR 2022 MINI-PILOTS 1. Self-reporting, tab renewal- based RUC 8. Unregistered vehicle research 2. Flexible payment plans 7. Alternative invoice designs 9. Vehicle transactions 3. Exploring reporting research choices 4. Telematics-based RUC 10. Mock standards committee 5. Low-tech mileage exemptions 6. Targeted income- based discounts
POLICY & SYSTEM DESIGN CHOICES CAN ADDRESS MANY OPEN ISSUES Research findings inform choices for how to advance RUC in Washington State
CHOICES FOR BONDING AGAINST RUC REVENUE *structuring as a VLF subjects the revenue to Amendment 18 restrictions
CHOICES FOR PROTECTING PRIVACY THROUGH SYSTEM DESIGN AND LEGAL PROVISIONS ü Provide non-GPS/manual mileage reporting, such as self- 4 mileage reporting options require no reporting of odometer mileage location information § The only new piece of information needed for RUC that the Department of Licensing does not already collect is total miles driven ü Give drivers choices for how to report their miles and pay their RUC charges § Any mileage reporting method that uses location services is strictly for the convenience of the driver (e.g., to automatically deduct out- of-state and off-road miles) ü Include provisions to protect privacy, drawing on the Commission’s model policy, in enabling legislation 21
CHOICES FOR ACHIEVING LONG-TERM REVENUE SUSTAINABILITY & INCREASING FAIRNESS ü Starting out small allows the RUC program to mature before scaling to bigger portions of the statewide vehicle fleet ü Starting small means choosing “who goes first”: ◦ Electric vehicles ◦ High-MPG vehicles ◦ New vehicles by model year ◦ State-owned vehicles ◦ Volunteer vs. mandatory 22
CHOICES FOR SUPPORTING ENVIRONMENTAL PRIORITIES & ENCOURAGING EV ADOPTION ü RUC maintains significant operating cost advantages of owning an EV ü Waive current $225 EV flat fee for EVs paying RUC ü Offer an introductory discounted RUC rate or cap for EVs, phased out as EV adoption goals are achieved ü Waive current weight fees for EVs paying RUC 23
CHOICES FOR INCREASING TRANSPORTATION TAX EQUITY FOR LOW-INCOME DRIVERS ü RUC reduces the disproportionate burden that the gas tax places on low income drivers – amplified each time the gas tax is increased ü Offer a discounted RUC rate for qualified low-income households ü Offer periodic payments for RUC ü Offer refunds to qualified low-income households who overpay in fuel taxes (cash or credits toward other taxes) 24
RUC ENACTMENTS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE NATION Congress continues funding for state RUC pilots & program implementation and launches a national pilot
ROAD USAGE CHARGE ACTIVITIES NATIONALLY Oregon and Utah have WA ME enacted RUC programs and VT NH MA MT ND are collecting per-mile MN NY OR ID RI WI SD MI CT charges from drivers. WY IA PA MD NJ DE OH NE IL IN NV WV VA DC UT Virginia enacted a program in CA CO KY KS MO NC 2020 which will launch this OK AR TN SC year. AZ NM GA AL MS TX LA FL AK A large and growing list of states are exploring road HI usage charging as a viable replacement to the fuel tax. Enacted programs Pilots/demonstrations Research 26
CONGRESS CONTINUES ITS SUPPORT FOR RUC RESEARCH & PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION With the passage of the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, Congress recognizes the growing consensus that RUC is a viable alternative to the fuel tax. ► Extends the RUC grant program for states, increasing the federal share up to 80%, with funds eligible for program implementation ► Creates a national RUC Advisory Committee ► Directs USDOT and Treasury to collaborate on a nationwide RUC pilot test to replace the federal gas tax, building on state efforts 27
For more information on Washington State’s RUC Assessment visit: www.waroadusagecharge.org
CONTACT INFORMATION Reema Griffith, Executive Director Washington State Transportation Commission griffir@wstc.wa.gov 360-705-7070 Consultant support provided by: 29
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