Volume IV, Issue 36 | September 4, 2020 - Delhi Policy Group
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ABOUT US Founded in 1994, the Delhi Policy Group (DPG) is among India’s oldest think tanks with its primary focus on strategic and international issues of critical national interest. DPG is a non-partisan institution and is independently funded by a non-profit Trust. Over past decades, DPG has established itself in both domestic and international circles and is widely recognised today among the top security think tanks of India and of Asia’s major powers. Since 2016, in keeping with India’s increasing global profile, DPG has expanded its focus areas to include India’s regional and global role and its policies in the Indo-Pacific. In a realist environment, DPG remains mindful of the need to align India’s ambitions with matching strategies and capabilities, from diplomatic initiatives to security policy and military modernisation. At a time of disruptive change in the global order, DPG aims to deliver research based, relevant, reliable and realist policy perspectives to an actively engaged public, both at home and abroad. DPG is deeply committed to the growth of India’s national power and purpose, the security and prosperity of the people of India and India’s contributions to the global public good. We remain firmly anchored within these foundational principles which have defined DPG since its inception. DPG WEEKLY WORLD WATCH DPG Weekly World Watch is based on analysis of open source information. To subscribe please click here. Your comments and feedback can be addressed to Angana Guha Roy at angana@dpg.org.in. © 2020 by the Delhi Policy Group Delhi Policy Group Core 5A, 1st Floor, India Habitat Centre, Lodhi Road, New Delhi- 110003. www.delhipolicygroup.org
Contents South Asia ............................................................................................................. 1 East & South East Asia .................................................................................... 8 Central & West Asia .......................................................................................... 8 United States ..................................................................................................... 19 Europe & Russia ............................................................................................... 21 Africa & Latin America .................................................................................23
South Asia India Indian Army changes border posture September 4, 2020, Hindustan Times The Indian Army has changed its posture from border management to securing the border on the 1,597 km Line of Actual Control (LAC) in Ladakh after aggression by the Chinese People’s Liberation Army in the Chushul sector, followed by additional induction of troops and support elements, people familiar with the matter said. Army, IAF chiefs visit forward areas, CDS Rawat warns of two-front threat September 4, 2020, The Indian Express On the day Army chief General MM Naravane reached forward areas in eastern Ladakh to review operational preparedness, Chief of Defence Staff General Bipin Rawat warned of the two-front threat from China and Pakistan, but said Indian armed forces were fully prepared to deal with it. Indian Navy Warships Hold Mega Exercise with Russia in Bay of Bengal September 4, 2020, News 18 The primary aim of exercise INDRA NAVY-20 is to further consolidate inter- operability built up by the two Navies over the years and also to enhance understanding and procedures for multi-faceted maritime operations. In dealing with Chinese power, Delhi needs an internationalism that is rooted in realism September 1, 2020, The Indian Express Delhi’s pursuit of economic regionalism in East Asia and a multi-polar world in partnership with China and Russia had severely underestimated the economic and political consequences of China’s rapid rise. China's "Coercive" Tactics Evident In Claims With India, Bhutan: Pentagon September 2, 2020, NDTV China has been using coercive tactics in pursuit of territorial and maritime claims in the South and East China Seas, as well as along its border with India and Bhutan, the Pentagon said. 1
India implodes its own new Silk Road September 2, 2020, Asia Times There was a time when New Delhi was proudly selling the notion of establishing its own New Silk Road – from the Gulf of Oman to the intersection of Central and South Asia opening access from Iran, Afghanistan and Central Asia from the Arabian Sea – to compete with China’s Belt and Road Initiative. China requests meeting with Defence Minister Rajnath Singh on sidelines of SCO amid border tension September 4, 2020, Zee News Amid border tension between India and China in eastern Ladakh, Chinese Defence Minister General Wei Fenghe has requested for a meet with Union Defence Minister Rajnath Singh on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) meet on September 4. Pakistan Pak-British naval drill held August 29, 2020, Dawn The Pakistan Navy and Britain’s Royal Navy have conducted exercise White Star 2020 in the North Arabian Sea and Passage Exercise in the Gulf of Aden. PN Ships Zulfiquar and Dehshat, PN Aviation fixed and rotary aircraft and PAF JF-17 fighter participated with Royal Navy Ship HMS Argyll. The main objective of naval exercises between PN and RN was to further enhance collaboration through exchange of experience and improve interoperability between the two navies. Islamabad, Kabul vow to address challenges plaguing ties September 1, 2020, Dawn In a bilateral meetings between Pakistan and Afghanistan under the Afghanistan-Pakistan Action Plan for Peace and Solidarity (APAPPS), both sides vowed to make the best of this engagement framework for addressing the challenges that keep plaguing their ties. “The two sides reiterated their commitment to optimally utilise APAPPS to deliberate on all key issues, effectively address common challenges, and pursue new opportunities,” a statement issued by the Foreign Office said after the APAPPS second review meeting in Kabul. 2
Saudi envoy says kingdom wants better ties with Pakistan September 2, 2020, Dawn Saudi envoy to Pakistan Nawaf bin Saeed Ahmed Al-Malki said that Riyadh looks to deepen ties with Islamabad. “Highlighting the excellent relationship between the leadership of the two countries, the ambassador underlined that the kingdom would continue to work with Pakistan for further strengthening of bilateral relations,” the Foreign Office said in a statement on the meeting between Ambassador of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Nawaf bin Saeed Ahmed Al-Malki and Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi. SPD chief discusses nuclear diplomacy with FM September 3, 2020, Dawn Director General of the Strategic Plans Division of Pakistan Lt Gen Nadeem Zaki Manj called on Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi for a discussion on nuclear diplomacy. Pakistan's economic future linked to China: PM Imran September 3, 2020, The Express Tribune Prime Minister Imran Khan has said that the country's economic future is now linked to China and the bilateral relations between Islamabad and Beijing are 'better than ever before'. In an interview with Qatar-based Al-Jazeera, the premier said China's growth rate is faster than any other country in the world, and Pakistan can benefit from the manner in which China has developed and has lifted its people out of poverty. Asim Bajwa decides to resign as SAPM September 3, 2020, The Express Tribune Asim Bajwa announced that he would resign as special assistant to the prime minister on information and broadcasting but would continue as chairman of CPEC Authority. Asim Bajwa’s decision to resign came shortly after he issued a detailed rebuttal to the corruption allegations against him and his family made by journalist Ahmad Noorani. Officer, two soldiers martyred in North Waziristan attack September 4, 2020, Dawn An army officer and two soldiers were martyred in a terrorist attack on security forces in North Waziristan on September 3. According to the Inter-Services Public Relations, the terrorists planted an improvised explosive device on a roadside. It went off near a convoy of troops providing protection to road construction teams working on Ghariom section of Shaga-Nishpa road in North Waziristan. 3
Afghanistan Afghan govt frees Taliban prisoners except 'few' opposed by foreign nations September 3, 2020, The Express Tribune The Afghan government had released 400 Taliban prisoners under an exchange deal with the militants, except for "a few" opposed by foreign nations, and expected peace negotiations to start soon. The two warring sides have grown closer this week to launching direct talks in Qatar, tying up the end of a contentious and months-long prisoner exchange. US slaps sanctions on ICC prosecutor Bensouda over Afghanistan war probe September 2, 2020, France 24 The United States imposed sanctions on International Criminal Court prosecutor Fatou Bensouda, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said, over her investigation into whether American forces committed war crimes in Afghanistan. The Hague-based tribunal reacted denouncing an “unprecedented” attack against “the rule of law”. Ghani, Abdullah Meet with Negotiation Team Ahead of Talks September 2, 2020, Tolo News President Ashraf Ghani and Abdullah Abdullah, the chairman of the High Council for National Reconciliation, met with the negotiation team. President Ghani assured the members that as a national team they have the strong support of the government and people of Afghanistan and that Afghans see strength in the team's diversity, unity and coordination. Karzai evades Afghan govt team for talks with Taliban August 30, 2020, The Express Tribune Former Afghan President Hamid Karzai excused himself from being placed in the official negotiating team for talks with the Taliban. This came hours after Afghan President Mohammad Ashraf Ghani issued a decree approving a list of 48 prominent figures for the High Council for National Reconciliation for the proposed talks with the Taliban with the name of Karzai right on the top. Taliban Violated Afghan Deal With Shelling of American Bases, U.S. Officials Say August 30, 2020, The New York Times Rockets launched at a U.S. military base and a joint U.S.-Afghan airfield in southern Afghanistan in recent weeks are believed to have been fired by the Taliban, according to three American military officials, in what would amount 4
to a clear breach of the peace agreement between the United States and the insurgent group. Abdullah Opposes Ghani’s Decree on Reconciliation Council Members August 31, 2020, Tolo News Abdullah Abdullah, the chairman of the High Council for National Reconciliation issued a statement opposing President Ashraf Ghani’s decree officially listing members of the council, saying that according to the political agreement it is the authority of the head of the council to appoint its members. Abdullah quoted the agreement signed in May, saying: “The head of the High Council of National Reconciliation forms the council in consultation with the president, sides and political leaders, speakers of the houses of parliament, the civil society and elites of the country.” Nepal Raxaul-Kathmandu rail link: India seeks Nepal's permission to conduct detailed study September 3, 2020, Zee News India has sought permission from Nepal to conduct a detailed study of the Raxaul-Kathmandu rail link without any delays. A proposal sent by the Indian Embassy in Kathmandu to the Nepal government has promised to follow health and safety protocols amid COVID-19 while carrying out the study. Nepal directs its forces to "closely monitor" Indian Army activities at Lipulekh September 2, 2020, The Economic Times Nepal government has directed its forces to "closely monitor" Indian Army's activities at Lipulekh area amid escalating Indo-China border tension Determinants in Indo-Nepal relations August 4, 2020, The Kathmandu Post Policy consequences and exit strategies must be considered when determining the course of Indo-Nepal bilateralism. Shyam Sharan’s punitive prescriptions: Perils to Nepal-India relations August 31, 2020, My Republica Irrespective of how putrid the Oli led government maybe for its excesses, the Nepali people will stand unwaveringly united and support the government over the border dispute with India. Any sinister attempt to wedge a divide is bound to fuel more resentment.The reaction came from a senior former Nepali diplomat after reading the recent op-ed piece by India’s former foreign Secretary Shyam Sharan that appeared in The Hindu last week. 5
Bangladesh Bangladesh national flag flies at half mast as country pays homage to Pranab Mukherjee September 2, 2020, WION Bangladesh's national flew at half mast as the country paid homage to former Indian President Pranab Mukherjee who departed on August 31, 2020. Bangladesh is marking one day of national mourning for Mukherjee who was a well-known figure in the country and had close ties with Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina. India, Bangladesh launch new initiative to connect landlocked North East September 3, 2020, The Economic Times Partnership between India and Bangladesh reached another milestone, following the operationalization of the Daukandi (Bangladesh) – Sonamura (Tripura) Inland Waterway Protocol route, adding a new feather in the field of cross-border connectivity initiatives. Japan adds India and Bangladesh to 'China exit' subsidy destinations September 4, 2020, Nikkei Asian Review Japanese manufacturers will now be eligible for subsidies if they shift production out of China to India or Bangladesh, in an expansion of a government program aimed at diversifying the country's supply chains. Sri Lanka Indian Coast Guard sends 3 ships, aircraft after Sri Lanka seeks help in fighting fire onboard oil tanker September 3, 2020, Financial Express The Indian Coast Guard said it has pressed into action its three ships and a Dornier aircraft after the Sri Lankan Navy sought assistance to control a fire onboard an oil tanker off the east coast of the island nation. In a swift sea and air coordinated Search and Rescue (SAR) operation, the Coast Guard said it immediately diverted ICG Ships Shaurya, Sarang and Samudra Paheredar, besides a Dornier aircraft for the firefight on oil tanker New Diamond. 6
Sri Lanka, India, and China: Here’s what keeps neighbours friendly – and what doesn’t September 1, 2020, Daily Ft A comparative analysis will need to holistically explore relations, not only between India and Sri Lanka, but also those between India and other countries, Sri Lanka, and other countries and amongst third party countries. US sanctions could put China's Sri Lanka project in trouble August 28, 2020, Tribune The US’ first-ever sanctioning of Chinese companies involved in building artificial islands in South China Sea may affect the fate of several of Beijing’s under-construction One Belt, One Road (OBOR) projects including the strategically-sensitive Port City Colombo project. 7
East & South East Asia China Why does India recklessly focus on blocking Chinese apps? September 3, 2020, Global Times Right after Indian troops once again illegally crossed the Line of Actual Control, New Delhi imposed a new ban on a swath of Chinese apps, showing reckless intention to further decouple with China economically. The move is a double- edged sword which will cause losses to both China and India, while offering a perfect opportunity for the US to take over the market. Influencing Indo-Pacific region difficult for Europe September 3, 2020, Global Times The German government set out the course for its future policy on countries in the Indo-Pacific region. The policy guidelines, with the theme "Germany- Europe-Asia: Shaping the 21st century together," argue that the shifting geopolitical power structures in the Indo-Pacific have a direct impact on Germany. This new policy is centered on greater security and economic cooperation. "Indo-Pacific" is a not a simple political term, nor is it value- neutral, as an SWP research paper published in July pointed out. Invented by the Trump administration, this term implies one of the geopolitical focal points of the intensifying US-China strategic rivalry. Foreign force's attempt to agitate Inner Mongolia bound to fail September 3, 2020, Global Times The Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region has started to promote the use of state-compiled textbooks in the teaching of some subjects in the first year of primary and secondary schools. While there is widespread public support, a few people don't understand it. I think that's normal. Over a period of time, the relevant problems will certainly be resolved. Pentagon won’t sacrifice soldiers for non-core US interests September 3, 2020, Global Times The Pentagon's annual report on "Military and Security Developments Involving the People's Republic of China," released illustrates an overview of military imbalance in the Taiwan Straits. It warns that the People's Liberation Army is preparing to unify the island of Taiwan with the Chinese mainland by force, listing a range of China's military options to "invade" the island. The part was certainly not choreographed for the sake of Taiwan. It aims solely at China. The report coordinates with US President Donald Trump administration's 8
China policy, providing excuses for Washington's tough strategy against Beijing. Indian troops’ illegal crossing of LAC a move to deflect domestic attention September 1, 2020,Global Times India reported its sharpest GDP contraction on record, as the economy shrank 23.9 percent in the second quarter. With the looming prospect that it may even take over the US as the global pandemic center, the Indian economy may sink deeper into the mire in the second half of the year. Indian troops, amid the sharp economic contraction and devastating epidemic situation, once again illegally crossed the Line of Actual Control (LAC). Playing Tibet card will incur damage to New Delhi September 3, 2020, Global Times Some Indian media recently said India's "Special Frontier Force" (SFF), a force recruited mostly from exiled Tibetans, has "thwarted" the People's Liberation Army (PLA)'s actions along the China-India border area. A Tibetan member died and another was critically wounded during the SFF's illegal crossing of the Line of Actual (LAC) near the south bank of the Pangong Lake. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in June declared that Indian deaths in the Galwan Valley clash "will not be in vain." And now, India is letting these exiled Tibetans rush to the forefront. It seems that New Delhi may try to play the Tibet card. India's new ban on 118 Chinese apps criticized September 3, 2020, China Daily The Ministry of Commerce said that it was firmly opposed to the Indian government's decision to ban 118 Chinese apps and urged the neighboring country to desist from such actions against Chinese enterprises.The Indian government is abusing the concept of national security, and has adopted discriminatory and restrictive measures against Chinese enterprises, which are in violation of the World Trade Organization rules, ministry spokesman Gao Feng said during a news briefing. One-China principle political foundation of China-Czech ties: Chinese FM September 2, 2020, Xinhua Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi said that the one-China principle serves as the political foundation of China-Czech relations. Wang made the remarks during a press conference with German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas, when answering a question over China's strong reaction to Czech Senate President Milos Vystrcil's visit to Taiwan. 9
Xi: Party, people will never be divided September 4, 2020, Xinhua The Chinese people will not allow attempts by any individual or force to alienate them from the Communist Party of China, President Xi Jinping said in Beijing. Speaking at a symposium commemorating the 75th anniversary of victory in the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression (1931-45) and the World Anti-Fascist War, Xi said that the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation must count on the leadership of the CPC, put people first and steadfastly follow the path of peaceful development. UN experts condemn Hong Kong security law in letter to China September 04, 2020, Al Jazeera United Nations human rights experts have written to China to warn the national security legislation imposed on Hong Kong at the end of June is a serious risk to the territory's political and civic freedoms, urging Beijing to review and reconsider the law. New evidence of China’s concentration camps shows its hardening resolve to wipe out the Uighurs September 04, 2020, The Washington Post Last week, Chinese officials were asked at a news conference about the continuing reports that China has locked in concentration camps more than 1 million ethnic Muslim Uighurs, Kazakhs and others in Xinjiang province. A spokesman for the regional government responded that it was “outright nonsense”.. If so much is “outright nonsense,” then how to explain the barbed wire, guard towers and cement that have been rising around Xinjiang, in far western China? Tibet Was China’s First Laboratory of Repression August 31, 2020, Foreign Policy In the early 2000s, the Free Tibet movement galvanized the world. From celebrity endorsements to Simpsons cameos, the media launched the plight of Tibet into the Western imagination; the suffering of Tibetans under a foreign regime became well known. But today, with atrocities in Xinjiang and Hong Kong dominating the narrative and Tibet now more sealed off than ever, news about the Himalayan region has been reduced to stray sentences in coverage on Chinese aggression. 10
Taiwan's redesigned passport shrinks words 'Republic of China' September 02, 2020, BBC Taiwanese officials have announced changes to the passport design, making the word "Taiwan" larger and shrinking the words "Republic of China". Authorities said the redesign was to stop confusion between its nationals and citizens of China. The island is for all practical purposes an independent state but China sees it as a breakaway province. Japan Cabinet approves signing of India-Japan pact on cooperation in textiles September 2, 2020, The Times of India The government approved for signing a pact between India and Japan aimed at increasing India's exports of textile and apparel to the Japanese market, and to boost co-operation in the textiles sector. What will Japan’s China policy be post-Abe? September 2, 2020, Asia Times Dealing with geography and balancing geopolitics have been two staple factors influencing Japanese foreign policy. Along the same tangent, China’s location as a geographic neighbor and the brewing geopolitical rivalry between Tokyo and Beijing in the maritime domain have served as two episodic aspects of Japan’s China policy. Who succeeds Abe’s foreign policy? September 2, 2020, The Japan Times In a parliamentary democracy, the political weather can change overnight. The sudden announcement of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s resignation on Aug. 28 has rewritten political weather forecasts both in the ruling and opposition parties. A new power game has begun in Tokyo.That said, the endgame of this political game is probably easier to predict than the 2020 U.S. presidential election. This time, Abe resigned out of his deep sense of responsibility. Eight years of his foreign policy has made Tokyo more influential, trusted and even respected than any other period in Japan’s post-World War II diplomatic history.Why was he so successful in foreign policy? Was it just good luck? What made the difference? Who will succeed Abe as prime minister? And, ultimately, what will their foreign policy look like? 11
Kono backs Suga for prime minister, but still has his eye on top job September 4, 2020, Japan Today Japanese Defense Minister Taro Kono said he supports Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga as the country's next leader to provide continuity in tackling the coronavirus crisis but also predicted he will one day be prime minister. U.N. chief urges Japan, others to meet goals on climate change September 4, 2020, Japan Today The United Nations chief urged Japan and other wealthy nations to give up their reliance on coal and other fossil fuels and commit to investments in green energy as they recover from the coronavirus pandemic. View: As Shinzo Abe prepares to leave, his legacy will continue to reshape Asia September 2, 2020, The Economic Times With the announcement by Japanese PM Shinzo Abe on August 28 that he is stepping down from office for health reasons, India will be losing a trusted friend, Asia a charismatic statesman and Japan an inspired leader who has forged political stability and set Japan firmly on the path of national revival. When he relinquishes office, he will leave behind an irreplaceable void but also a legacy that will likely endure. Why India and Indo-Pacific will miss PM Abe more than Japan September 3, 2020, The Print No leader in recent memory has so completely and profoundly transformed strategic thinking in Asia and his vision is integral to how diplomats and politicians in the region operate. Chinese Experts Think US-China Rivalry Accelerated Abe Shinzo’s Departure September 2, 2020, The Diplomat Experts in Beijing believe Abe got caught up in the unending hostility between Japan’s key ally, the U.S. and China, its largest trading partner — just like in 2007. Korea Russian oil firm denies exports to Pyongyang September 4, 2020, The Korea Times Rosneft, a Russian energy company, has denied allegations that it exported oil products to North Korea between 2018 and 2019, despite international sanctions on Pyongyang. 12
Trump says KORUS FTA led to US losses before September 4, 2020, The Korea Herald US President Donald Trump again blasted his Democratic presidential rival Joe Biden for supporting the Korea-US free trade agreement (FTA) in its original form, arguing the initial pact only caused losses for the United States. Behold South Korea’s Very Expensive Stealth Fighter September 3, 2020, Forbes South Korea is developing its own stealth fighter. And now we finally have our first glimpse of the number-one prototype at a facility belonging to Korean Aerospace Industries. North Korea waiting for US elections to resume talks, South Korean ambassador says September 4, 2020, Defense News North Korea is likely waiting until after the U.S. elections to reopen negotiations with Washington over its nuclear arsenal, the South Korean ambassador to the U.S. said. Is South Korea Involved In Taiwan’s Indigenous Submarine Project ? September 3, 2020, Naval News In the early May, Taiwanese media reported that over 250 foreign advisors and engineers, who are participating in Taiwan’s Indigenous Defense Submarine (IDS) project considered that staying in Taiwan is safer than going home, because of Taiwan’s effective COVID-19 control protocols. According to the local media reports, the foreign advisors and engineers came from the United States, Europe, Japan and South Korea. South Korean media reports also claimed that that Korean engineers are participating in the submarine development project. Southeast Asia India, ASEAN trade ministers call for starting discussions to determine FTA review scope August 30, 2020, The Economic Times Trade ministers of India and 10-member ASEAN countries have instructed their officials to start discussions for determining the scope of review of free trade agreement (FTA) at the earliest with a view to make the pact more user- friendly, simple, and trade facilitative for businesses. 13
For China and Indonesia, a delicate balancing act for better ties September 4, 2020, SCMP Indonesia and China marked 70 years of diplomatic relations earlier this year, but it has not been a smooth friendship. Philippines will not follow US in blacklisting China firms: official September 1, 2020, Yahoo The Philippines will not follow the US lead in blacklisting Chinese companies involved in the construction of artificial islands in the disputed South China Sea, the president's spokesman said, arguing Manila needed Beijing's investment. Why China wants Suu Kyi to win Myanmar’s polls September 3, 2020, Asia Times As Myanmar enters an election season, the economy, Covid-19 and issues of war and peace are expected to dominate the campaign trail discourse. China, Myanmar vow to further advance ties, cooperation September 4, 2020, CCTV Noting that Chinese President Xi Jinping's successful visit to Myanmar this January has advanced the relations between the two countries into a new era, Yang said China is willing to work with Myanmar to implement the consensus reached by the leaders of the two countries and jointly build a China-Myanmar community with a shared future. COVID-19 and China’s information diplomacy in Southeast Asia September 3, 2020, Brookings Amidst growing attention in the United States to authoritarian foreign influence operations, China has been actively developing and mounting its own information campaigns in an attempt to shape global narratives. Such narratives are not only propagated through official channels and traditional state media propaganda — including what have come to be known as “wolf warrior”-style diplomats — but also amplified through the manipulation of social media platforms. Especially in response to recent crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the Hong Kong protests, Beijing appears to have partially adopted Moscow’s disinformation playbook. Singapore shares lack mojo as India-China border tensions escalate September 3, 2020, Business Times Singapore shares languished as the border tension between India and China escalated amid persistent Sino-US rivalry. 14
Forget China, can India match Vietnam? September 2, 2020, The Hindu Business Line On most trade indicators, Vietnam scores over India. And, now, it’s going all out to woo firms moving out of China. 15
Central & West Asia Central Asia From Central Asia to the Black Sea September 2, 2020, Modern Diplomacy In early June, China unveiled a new transportation corridor when a rail cargo of 230 tons of electrical appliances worth some $2,6 million arrived in the Uzbek capital of Tashkent. Though distant from the South Caucasus, the development nevertheless has a direct impact on the geopolitics of the South Caucasus energy and transport corridor. Small Openings in Central Asia’s Pandemic-Closed Borders September 1, 2020, The diplomat In mid-March, as the three Central Asian states of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan began confirming their first cases of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus that originated in China in late 2019, border closures were among the region’s first actions. Now, as the pandemic drags on, some states in region are testing the waters for re-opening border. Chinese hydroelectric investments in Central Asia: A snapshot August 31, 2020. Eurasia Net Any investor wishing to stay friendly with all five Central Asian republics knows to steer clear of major hydropower projects.When the five countries were part of the Soviet Union, interdependence worked: Moscow built some of the world’s tallest dams in upstream Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan; downstream Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan shared their abundant oil and gas when the rivers froze in winter. Kavkaz 2020: Why Russia’s Latest Military Drills Are a Golden Opportunity for Pakistan September 2, 2020, The Diplomat Beyond a chance to deepen ties with Russia, Pakistan hopes to build bridges with Central Asian countries through the Kavkaz 2020 exercises. Kazakhstan cuts oil supplies to China amid OPEC+ deal: sources August 31, 2020, Energy World Exports of Kazakh crude to China fell to 12,100 tonnes in July, their lowest since March when shipments were hit by organic chloride contamination and down from 98,865 tonnes in June. August shipments stood at 10,000 tonnes as of Aug. 28 16
Why Did Tajikistan Make an Appearance in the China Military Power Report? September 3, 2020, The Diplomat The U.S. Department of Defense included Tajikistan in a list of possible locations for future Chinese military facilities. China may want more bases in Tajikistan, Pentagon says September 2, 2020, Eurasia Net China’s security assistance to its impoverished neighbor has been growing rapidly over the past few years. West Asia India Supports Syria's National Reconstruction Efforts: V Muraleedharan September 04, 2020, Yahoo News Minister of State for External Affairs V Muraleedharan held a discussion with Vice Foreign Minister of Syria, HE Faysal Mekdad, at the India-Syria Ministerial Consultations (September 03). During the meeting, Muraleedharan conveyed India's support for Syria's national reconstruction efforts. Bahrain To Allow Flights Between Israel and UAE to Cross Its Airspace September 03, 2020, The Jerusalem Post Flights between Israel and the United Arab Emirates will be able to fly over Bahrain after the kingdom (September 3) said all services to and from the UAE can cross its airspace. Egypt’s Foreign Minister Voices Support to Ceasefire, Formation of New Presidential Council in Libya in Meeting With EU’s Borrell September 03, 2020, Egypt Today Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry (September 03) affirmed Egypt’s support for a ceasefire in Libya, the formation of a new presidential council and a fair distribution of wealth, as he met with Josep Borrell, the European Union’s high representative for foreign affairs. US, Europeans Part Ways in UN over Repatriation of ISIS Detainees September 02, 2020, The Arab Weekly The United States refused to back the resolution in the UN because it did not demand countries actively repatriate foreign fighters who travelled to the Middle East to join al-Qaeda and ISIS. 17
U.S. Sanctions 11 Companies It Says Have Enabled Sales, Shipments of Iranian Oil September 03, 2020, Radio Liberty The Treasury Department said on September 3 the sanctions have been imposed on six companies based in Iran, the United Arab Emirates (U.A.E.), and China. Israel Launches Airstrikes on Strategic T-4 Airbase in Syria September 02, 2020, Al-Monitor Syria’s government said its air defenses responded to Israeli airstrikes targeting the T4 air base in Syria’s Homs desert. Turkey Warns the West It Will Continue to Shop Around for Missiles September 04, 2020, Bloomberg Turkey said it would continue to turn to other providers of air-defense weapons if traditional western allies fail to deliver, suggesting the rancor prompted by Ankara’s decision to buy Russian missiles may be repeated. 18
United States United States China's Military Has Surpassed US in Ships, Missiles and Air Defense, DoD Report Finds September 1, 2020, Military.com China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) has already surpassed the U.S. in missile development and its number of warships and air defense systems under the Chinese Communist Party's plan to achieve dominance by 2049, the Defense Department said in a sobering report. China tested more missiles last year than all western nations combined: Mike Pompeo September 3, 2020, The Economic Times United States’ Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on September 02 stated that more missile tests were done in China last year than all western nations combined. Hoping for peaceful resolution of India-China border dispute, says US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo September 2, 2020, Hindustan Times The US Secretary of State further said that China had a patter of ‘bullying’ its neighbours and this pattern was evident in the developments happening in the South China Sea. Mike Pompeo announces fresh restrictions on Chinese diplomats in US September 3, 2020, The Indian Express The United States said it would require senior Chinese diplomats to get State Department approval before visiting U.S. university campuses or holding cultural events with more than 50 people outside mission grounds. US Army pursues new mid-range missile, as tactical missile upgrade hits delay September 3, 2020, Defense News The effort is meant to fill a gap in the service’s long-range precision fires portfolio that includes the future Precision Strike Missile and hypersonic weapons capabilities. 19
Palau invites U.S. to build bases as China seeks regional clout September 4, 2020, Japan Times The tiny Pacific nation of Palau has urged the United States military to build bases on its territory — which lies in a region where Washington is pushing back against growing Chinese influence. Extending the New START nuclear pact will help stabilize US-Russia relations September 3, 2020, Defense News Just as arms control negotiations had a stabilizing impact on the geopolitical rivalry between Washington and Moscow during the Cold War period, strategic stability talks could help arrest the years-long degradation in this critical, bilateral relationship. Mike Pence re-affirms America's commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific September 1, 2020, Times Now News Vice President Mike Pence reaffirmed America's commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific and said a strong US-India partnership is in their strategic interests, amid China flexing its muscles in the region. The Culture Wars Are Back September 02, 2020,The Wall Street Journal It seems like only yesterday conservatives were concluding that after a long battle, the culture wars have been lost, overwhelmed by campuses and corporations imposing as the new American normal a preoccupation with identity, race and gender. No one ever put this imposition to a vote, but so what? Wars are about winning, not your opinion. With eye on China, U.S. aims to 'formalize' four-nation 'Quad' security grouping September 01, 2020, Japan Times The U.S. State Department’s No. 2 diplomat said Monday that Washington was aiming to “formalize” growing strategic ties with India, Japan and Australia in a forum known as “the Quad” —a move experts say is implicitly designed to counter China in the Indo-Pacific region U.S. Trade Deficit Swelled to Biggest Since 2008 in July September 03, 2020, Bloomberg The U.S. trade deficit swelled to the widest in 12 years in July, with the surplus on services plunging to the lowest since 2012, pointing to a bumpy economic recovery ahead. 20
Europe & Russia Europe Greece, Turkey agree to talks over Eastern Mediterranean, NATO says September 3, 2020, Reuters Greece and Turkey have agreed to talks to avoid accidental clashes in the East Mediterranean, NATO Secretary-General said, part of efforts to diffuse the worsening dispute over energy resources in the region. Brexit: 'Significant gaps' in UK's border plans September 3, 2020, BBC Members of the logistics industry are warning of "significant gaps" in UK border plans for the end of the Brexit transition period on 31 December. Google urges EU to be flexible in setting digital rule book September 4, 2020, CNA Google urged the European Commission to avoid a one-size-fits-all approach to the tech industry in its forthcoming Digital Services Act. Is China losing its pull with Europe? September 3, 2020, TRT World Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi ended a week-long European tour with mixed results, leaving Wang with more questions than answers. EU Looks Ahead for Space Security September 1, 2020, SIGNAL The European Union has established the basis of an organizational structure to safeguard its important satellite assets, particularly those that provide vital positioning, navigation and timing data. Russia Russia reiterates it won’t supply arms to Pakistan September 3, 2020, Hindustan Times Russia reiterated that it would not supply weapons to Pakistan during a meeting between defence minister Rajnath Singh and his Russian counterpart General Sergei Shoigu in Moscow, people familiar with the developments said. 21
India, Russia finalise AK-47 203 rifles deal: Report September 3, 2020, Hindustan Times India and Russia have finalised a major deal for manufacturing AK-47 203 rifles in India during Defence Minister Rajnath Singh’s ongoing visit here, the official Russian media reported. Russia asks Germany for help with Alexei Navalny case March 8, 2020, Deutsche Welle Russia's top law enforcement official has requested official assistance from German authorities. Doctors in Germany have said leading opposition figure Navalny fell ill last week as a result of contact with poison. Extending the New START nuclear pact will help stabilize US-Russia relations September 3, 2020, Defense News There aren’t many bright spots in U.S.-Russia relations these days. But just as arms control negotiations had a stabilizing impact on the geopolitical rivalry between Washington and Moscow during the Cold War period, strategic stability talks today could help arrest the years long degradation in this critical, bilateral relationship. U.S.-Russia Military Tensions Intensify in the Air and on the Ground Worldwide September 1, 2020, The New York Times Recent altercations in Europe, the Middle East and off the coast of Alaska have heightened tensions between the two rival powers. Putin and the Belarusian Question September 2, 2020, The Moscow Times Putin will seek to do as much as possible, but as little as necessary, to suppress peaceful change in Belarus. On 27 August, the Russian president announced that he had created, at the request of his Belarusian counterpart Alexander Lukashenko, a‘ law enforcement reserve’ for use if the situation got ‘out of control’ because of ‘extremists elements hiding behind political slogans’. BRICS countries’ Foreign Ministers to discuss new challenges via videoconference September 4, 2020, TASS Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov will take part in a meeting of foreign ministers of the BRICS member states (Russia, Brazil, India, China, and South Africa) via videoconference. The event will be held under the leadership of the Russian side presiding over the association this year. 22
Africa & Latin America Latin America Argentina gains room to breathe with crucial debt deal September 2, 2020, Reuters Argentina has gained breathing room after restructuring almost the entirety of $65 billion in foreign bonds, though it now faces a huge challenge to revive growth and repair government finances before the oxygen runs out. Argentina's wetlands under assault by worst fires in more than a decade September 3, 2020, Reuters The worst fires in more than a decade are cutting through Argentina’s vast wetlands, exacerbated by low water levels in the Parana River delta region that have exposed carbon-rich soil ripe for burning. Mexico Struggles With US Water Debt, Suggests UN Audit September 4, 2020, News 18 As Mexico struggles to pay a water debt to the United States, President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador said he might personally appeal to President Donald Trump for clemency, or invite United Nations experts to audit water payments. Venezuela's Maduro invites UN, EU observers to December elections September 3,2020, France 24 The Venezuelan government of President Nicolas Maduro said it had invited the leaders of the United Nations and European Union to send observers to monitor parliamentary elections in December. US Confirms Seizure of Iranian Fuel on Venezuela-bound Ships September 4, 2020, News 18 The US Justice Department confirmed it had seized the fuel cargo aboard four tankers sent by Iran to crisis-wracked Venezuela, tying the shipments to Tehran's Revolutionary Guards. Damaged Venezuelan oil tanker drawing international concern September 3, 2020, Yahoo News The sight of a huge oil tanker that has taken on water and is leaning to one side off a remote stretch of Venezuela's coast has triggered international calls for action. If not repaired soon it could sink and spell environmental disaster 23
Sino-Brazilian currency clearing mechanism being considered September 4, 2020, MACAUHUB The financial regulators in Brazil and China are studying the possibility of setting up a mechanism for direct currency clearing, Xinhua reports, citing Brazilian Vice-president Hamilton Mourão. Africa US official: No results after $3.2bn spent restoring Somalia’s security September 2, 2020, Middle East Monitor he Acting Deputy Representative of the United States to the United Nations, Ambassador Cherith Norman Chalet, said her country had spent nearly $3.5 billion to restore Somalia’s security over the past two decades, without achieving any results. US suspends aid to Ethiopia over Blue Nile dam dispute September 2020, Al Jazeera The United States has suspended a portion of its financial aid to Ethiopia over the lack of progress in talks with Egypt and Sudan about a massive dam Addis Ababa is constructing on the Blue Nile River. Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt have been locked in a bitter dispute over the filling and operation of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), which remains unresolved although the reservoir behind the dam began filling in July. Sudan Signs Historic Peace Deal with Rebel Groups August 31, 2020, VOA Sudan’s transitional government has signed a historic peace agreement Monday with the Sudan Revolutionary Front (SRF), a coalition of rebel groups from the regions of Darfur, Southern Kordofan, and the Blue Nile. The ceremony took place in South Sudan's capital, Juba. The agreement made after a year of talks hosted by South Sudan raises hopes of ending more than 17 years of war. It offers power sharing, integration into security forces, land rights, and the return of those displaced from years of conflict. The Sudanese government cannot afford to be confused on Israel September 3, 2020, Al Jazeera On August 18, just a few days after the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Israel declared their intention to normalise ties, Sudan's foreign ministry spokesman, Haidar Badawi, announced that his government too is "looking forward to concluding a peace agreement with Israel." The move by Khartoum was seen 24
by many as a major win for the UAE, which is known to be supporting Israel's normalisation of ties. However, the Gulf state was not necessarily the intended audience for this unexpected announcement. Highest Nile waters for a century swamp Sudan September 4, 2020, Yahoo News On Sudan's Tuti Island, where the Blue and White Nile meet, the highest river waters since records began have left people struggling to hold back the rising floods. UN says new polio outbreak in Sudan caused by oral vaccine September 2, 2020, AP The World Health Organization says a new polio outbreak in Sudan is linked to an ongoing vaccine-sparked epidemic in Chad — a week after the U.N. health agency declared the African continent free of the wild polio virus. UN Deploys Troops to New Base as Violence Surges in South Sudan September 2, 2020, The Defense Post The peacekeepers will set up a base at Lobonok, some 110 kilometers (70 miles) southeast of the capital Juba, in a region witnessing a resurgence in violent clashes between rebel and government forces. Would Egypt support Sudan-Israel normalization deal? September 2, 2020, Al Monitor No official Sudanese statements have been made on the details of the Aug. 25 meeting between US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Sudan’s Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok, along with Chairman of the Sovereignty Council Lt. Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan. Inside Kenya’s tiff with Somalia and Tanzania September 3, 2020, The East African Kenya’s persistent trade tiffs with neighbours may be a result of dynamics beyond the region, which could require political solutions. 25
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