VILLAGE OF NORTHBROOK SUSTAINABILITY COMMISSION

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VILLAGE OF NORTHBROOK SUSTAINABILITY COMMISSION
VILLAGE OF NORTHBROOK
                                                        SUSTAINABILITY COMMISSION
                                                               Thursday, February 17, 2022
                                                              Terrace Room – Second Floor
                                                              Village Hall – 1225 Cedar Lane

                                                                                      AGENDA
5:30 P.M.

1) Call To Order
2) Review of Minutes – January 20, 2022 Meeting
3) Hear From the Audience – Items not on the agenda
4) Community Planning Report
5) Single-use Bag Ordinance Considerations
6) Updates on Other Items:
       a) Communication Initiatives & Messaging
       b) Solar Permit Data
       c) Recycling & Waste Data – Solid Waste, Recycling, Compost, E-waste, Textiles, Plastic Bags
7) Old Business
8) New Business
9) Remarks for the Good of the Order
10) Next Scheduled Meeting – March 17, 2022
11) Adjourn.
The Village of Northbrook is subject to the requirements of the Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990. Individuals with disabilities who plan to attend this meeting and who require
certain accommodations in order to allow them to observe and/or participate in this meeting, or who have questions regarding the accessibility of this meeting or the facilities, are
requested to contact Greg Van Dahm or Debra J. Ford (847-664-4014 and 847-664-4013, respectively) promptly to allow the Village of Northbrook to make reasonable
accommodations for those persons. Hearing impaired individuals may call the TDD number, 847-564-8465, for more information.

Jeremy Reynolds, Chair of the Sustainability Commission
VILLAGE OF NORTHBROOK SUSTAINABILITY COMMISSION
MEMORANDUM
                                                        VILLAGE OF NORTHBROOK
                              DEVELOPMENT AND PLANNING SERVICES DEPARTMENT

TO:              SUSTAINABILITY COMMISSION
FROM:            TESSA MURRAY, SUSTAINABILITY COORDINATOR
DATE:            FEBRUARY 17, 2022
SUBJECT:         DISPOSABLE BAG ORDINANCE CONSIDERATIONS

In September 2021, the Board of Trustees listed item WM 1-1 as their top priority in the Waste Management
sector of the Climate Action Plan (CAP):

“Phase out single-use products by 2026 by implementing an opt-in fee for such products. This would apply to
(but not limited to) bags (both paper and plastic) … Applies to businesses of any size.”

In January 2022, Sustainability Commissioners first discussed WM 1-1. Staff provided a memo outlining details
from ordinances within our state (see Attachment G for reference). Commissioners contributed input which
can be viewed using the Dropbox link that was emailed. The questions below were used to guide
implementation considerations.

    1.   Paper, plastic, or both?
    2.   Ban or fee?
    3.   Remittance specifications?
    4.   Exemption specifications?

At the February 2022 meeting, the Sustainability Commission should be prepared to reach an agreement on
these items for staff’s direction to draft ordinance language. Staff will then bring drafted language back to the
Commission in March for their review, amendments, and/or approval for Board recommendation.

Staff will also be seeking direction at the February meeting so outreach to businesses that may be impacted
and communications for the larger community may begin. To prepare for the fee, businesses will need at least
a three-month timeframe to program cash registers and set up payment. Staff would also like to contact
businesses ASAP to gather baseline data on how many disposable bags are used in stores monthly to assess
effectiveness upon fee implementation.
VILLAGE OF NORTHBROOK SUSTAINABILITY COMMISSION
1. Paper, plastic, or both?

   For reference, every town in our region with an ordinance includes both paper and plastic.

   Although production of plastic bags uses resources like petroleum, it generally results in less carbon
   emissions, waste, and harmful byproducts than paper (according to 2020 National Geographic article
   synthesizing product life cycle assessments, see attachment B). Manufacturing a paper bag takes about
   four times as much energy as it takes to produce a plastic bag. Commonly named reasons for this
   include the extractive, resource-intensive process of producing paper for bags and plastic’s lighter
   weight that reduces transport emissions in comparison.

   Many of these studies include an assumption that a plastic bag is used twice while a paper bag is
   single-use due to lack of durability. In Northbrook, one can recycle paper bags through WM curbside
   pickup and plastic bags through the Village Hall dropoff program. However, many people shopping in
   Northbrook are from elsewhere (a recent analysis found less than 15% of Northbrook Court shoppers
   are Northbrook residents), and plastic bag recycling can be challenging.

   Plastic bags do not biodegrade. Beyond taking up space in landfills, plastic bags become litter in natural
   areas or waterways, then bioaccumulate in wildlife food chains. On the other hand, paper bags may be
   used in compost or reused as a paper product like gift wrap when not recycled.

2. Ban or fee?

   An NYU study from 2020 (see attachment C) applied principles of behavioral economics to review
   effectiveness in curbing disposable bag usage of over 400 bag regulations in the US. They found that
   fees consistently yield large decreases in disposable bag use regardless of amount charged. Looking at
   pre-pandemic numbers, Chicago’s switch from a ban on lightweight bags to a fee in 2017 is frequently
   used as evidence of the success of such programs; a study from the same NYU research group reported
   42% drop in disposable bag usage upon fee implementation (see attachment D).

   The NYU 2020 study notes that governments proposing larger-than-average fees (approaching 25
   cents) often do not pass. When such 25 cent fees are able to reach implementation phase, they see
   greater decreases in disposable bag usage in its corresponding unit of government compared to 2, 5, 7,
   or 10-cent fees.

   If the desired ultimate goal for Commissioners is a single-use bag ban, refer to attachment F for
   Evanston’s ordinance language. Please note that WM 1-1 specifically states having a fee for items, and
   this action item received support from the Board of Trustees to pursue.

   Alternatively, ordinance language could express intention of this fee as an incremental step towards
   Climate Action Plan goal of waste reduction to 5% less solid waste handled by 2030, and a ban should
   be considered by the Board after several years of program implementation and assessment.

3. Remittance?

   The Commission may consider specifications to include in bag ordinance relating to how Village
   remittance shall be used.

   As an example, Oak Park’s program includes procuring and distributing posters and postcards with fee
   information for display at every applicable store and cash register. Oak Park’s staff say their business
VILLAGE OF NORTHBROOK SUSTAINABILITY COMMISSION
establishments typically use funds from the fee to replenish their own reusable bag stock. Oak Park’s
   fee generates an average of $10,000 revenue for Village sustainability funding each month. This
   number is generally decreasing since program inception, presenting a larger number of reusable bags
   being used to avoid the fee over time. Given that Northbrook has around triple the amount of retailers
   in comparison to Oak Park, the Village may expect a larger monthly revenue (however, this is
   dependent on the sizes of businesses in which the fee is applied).

   Another consideration may include supplying establishments that do not already sell reusable bags
   with sustainably-sourced ones, provided by the Village and promoting the program’s messaging. Oak
   Park and other towns with ordinances in our region provide such bags in public spaces rather than to
   the businesses directly. It should be noted that Northbrook has a “take a bag, leave a bag” sharing
   program at Public Works and Village Hall, although this has not been hugely successful. Staff observed
   lack of adequate demand for taking bags compared to the amount being dropped off. The Village Hall
   collection bin was removed as it consistently overflowed.

4. Exemptions?

   The Commission may consider instances in which a single-use bag fee does not apply, including retail
   business type or size. The Farmers Market, restaurants, dry cleaners, or any retail below a certain
   square footage may be exempted from charging a fee.

   See attachment A for an excel spreadsheet listing Northbrook retailers by size. If fee applies to retail
   businesses over 5,000 square feet, 46 establishments in Northbrook would be impacted. If fee applies
   to retail over 10,000 square feet, 31 are impacted.

   The following list includes every exemption from Oak Park, Edwardsville, and Woodstock’s ordinances:

       In Oak Park, a fee may not be applied to:
       • A bag provided by a pharmacist that contains a prescription drug;
       • Any newspaper bag or bag intended for initial use as a dry cleaning, garbage, pet waste, or
           yard waste bag;
       • A bag provided at the point of sale at a seasonal event, such as a farmers market, street fair, or
           yard sale, or by an occasional retailer;
       • A bag that a restaurant gives a customer to take prepared or leftover food or drink from the
           restaurant; or
       • A bag used to package a bulk item or to contain or wrap a perishable item.

       Edwardsville includes all exemptions from Oak Park, plus:
       • A paper bag provided to protect a single fragile or glass-bottled item;
       • Any bag used for curbside pickup or delivery for items purchased using the internet before
          1/1/2022.

       Woodstock includes all exemptions from Oak Park, plus:
       • Any bag used to contain or wrap flowers, potted plants, or other items where dampness may
         be a problem;
       • Any bag used to contain unwrapped prepared foods or bakery goods;
       • A non-handled bag used to protect a purchased item from damaging or contaminating other
         purchased items when placed in a carryout single-use bag or reusable bag.
The following attachments to this memo are provided for Commissioner’s review and consideration:

       A) Table listing Northbrook retailers by size
       B) National Geographic product life cycle assessment summary
       C) NYU economic behavior study
       D) NYU Chicago study
       E) Oak Park’s full ordinance language
       F) Evanston full ordinance language
       G) 01/20/2022 memo to Commission with regional ordinance table
Building Sq Ft
Lowes                     165384
   Nieman Marcus          130277
Dania Furniture            64110
Whole Foods                58546
Lewis Floor & Home         57009
Sunset Foods               46609
Dicks                      45453
Nordtrom Rack              43386
Pinstripes                 40059
DSW                        38131
PF Changs                  36634
Best Buy                   30919
HomeGoods                  27882
TJ Maxx                    26408
REI                        26376
PetSMart                   23921
Container Store            23367
Goodwill                   21810
Bloomingdales Outlet       21000
Saks Fith off 5th          20580
   Arhaus                  17289
Old Navy                   16239
Ace Hardware               16000
   Akbik                   15732
Party City                 15050
Ulta                       14462
   Hi- Five                14248
   Gap                     13783
Walgreens                  11108
   Forever 21              11071
Curaleaf                   10122
Granite City Food and Brewery     9897
Buffalo Wild Wings                8497
Dollar Tree                       7881
Vogue Furniture                   7688
  Apple                           7617
  Crate & Barrel                  7000
  Di Pescara                      7000
Seven Eleven                      6981
FedEx                             5991
  Covid Diagnostics               5858
Katz Eye Center                   5519
  Galt Toys Galt Baby             5288
George Garner Cyclery             5257
  California Pizza Kitchen        5214
Reds Garden Center                5134

Graeters                          4879
JC Licht Benjamin Moore Paint     4879
American Mattress                 4782
   Louis Vuitton                  4627
Sarpinos                          4530
   Chico's                        4464
Mobil                             4407
Dundee Market Oriental Foods      4400
McDonalds                         4335
   Sephora                        4319
Three Bags Full Knitting Studio   4235
Leonard's Men & Boys Wear Ltd.    4235
Philip's Shoe Clinic              4235
   Culture in Montion             4232
   Athleta                        4200
   Northshore                     4087
Peyton Rose                       3975
   Finish Line                    3966
Basu                               3920
HealthSmart                        3551
Culver's                           3500
   Tiffany & Co.                   3500
   Tommy Bahama                    3495
Greek Feast Northbrook             3400
Moon Shot Smoke Shop               3263
Kids Science Labs                  3223
Massage Envy                       3223
   Lululemon                       3200
   Soma                            3124
   J. Jill                         3007
Verizon                            2874
UBreakiFix                         2874
EaTaco                             2853
Relax the Back                     2831
Turn the Tables                    2800
La De Da                           2800
The Master Touch Picture Framing   2783
Frantz Jewelers                    2778
   The Painted Penguin             2674
Potbelly Sandwich Shop             2657
Andreas Hogue Salon                2657
Sherwin-Williams                   2614
Ferraro's                          2600
Wake N Bakery Northbrook           2600
Trattoria Oliverii                 2592
Trader Joes                        2590
Crumbl Cookies                     2570
Esther Flowers                     2548
Otis & Lee Liquors                 2548
Pella Windows and Doors            2526
P J Photography & Lab              2500
Next Door Bistro                               2492
   Monograms Today                             2456
Landmark Inn                                   2439
   MaxMara                                     2404
Barnaby's                                      2400
UPS Store                                      2400
Dominos                                        2352
Kim's Cleaners                                 2352
   Evereve                                     2317
Art Post Gallery                               2309
Edwards Florist                                2265
Francescos Hole in Wall                        2230
Quilter's Heaven                               2207
   Lego                                        2200
   Perfume Gala                                2174
   Coach                                       2126
Charlie Beinlich's                             2091
   The Spa at Northbrook                       2077
Smith Tire & Auto                              2047
Batteries Plus Bulbs                           2000
LensCrafters Optique                           1917
Meatheads                                      1893
Amazing Lash Studio                            1873
Butterfields                                   1850
Eve's Hallmark Shop                            1822
   Print Station                               1800
   Sweet Dreams Soaps                          1773
   Staurt Weitzman                             1706
Starbucks                                      1673
Donna's Bridal                                 1579
Professional Hair Designers                    1579
Exact Blade Knife Sharpening & Cutlery Store   1579
Rk Watch Service                               1579
Claire's                  1547
Sally Beauty                 1500
Marcello's Father and Son    1500
Grill House                  1500
Dental Art of Northbrook    1421
Town Studios                 1421
Chicago Pizza Authority     1405
PetPeople                    1394
Hip Hip Hooray Inc           1370
Chic Nails and Spa           1350
Lisa's Boutique              1350
A M Lee Jeweler              1308
Window Tech                  1307
Embroid Me                   1300
CVS                          1294
Sport Clips Haircut          1220
Georgie V's                  1200
UPS Store                    1200
   AT&T                      1192
   Elegant Repairs           1150
Kamehachi                    1130
   Green Lab Nails           1072
   Auntie Ann's              1028
Book Bin                     1000
Subway                       1000
House 406                    1000
Subway                       1000
Maharaj Indian Grill        1000
Browns Chicken               1000
Josh's Hot Dogs              1000
Roti                         1000
Jake's Pizza                >1000
Simply Sushi & Co           >1000
Once Upon a Grill         >1000
Dairy Queen               >1000
Once Upon a Deli          >1000
Bin Hai                   >1000
Simply Thai               >1000
Upper Crust Bagels        >1000
Rosatis Pizza             >1000
Fujiyama Asian Bistro     >1000
Lou Malnatis              >1000
Little Louies             >1000
Baskin Robbin 371         >1000
Leonidas 777              >1000
   Mobile Express         >1000
North Shore Comics        >1000
Dundee Pharmacy            890
Jack's Wine and Spirits    890
   Neel Threadz Spa        752
Marisa's Pizza             750
Tong's Hunan Restaurant    740
Jump N Jive Dancewear      600
   Silver Corner           594
   Sunglass Hut            527
Article by National Geographic Society July 10, 2020

Sustainable Shopping—Which Bag Is Best?
Americans go through hundreds of billions of plastic bags each year. In an effort to curb
the number of bags being used once and then thrown away, cities around the world
have instituted bans or taxes on plastic bags. But are paper or reusable bags much
better for the environment? Science shows that there is not a clear answer.

Plastic Bags

A major advantage of plastic bags is that, when compared to other types of shopping
bags, producing them carries the lowest environmental toll. The thin, plastic grocery
store bags are most commonly made from high-density polyethylene (HDPE). Although
production of these bags does use resources like petroleum, it results in less carbon
emissions, waste, and harmful byproducts than cotton or paper bag production. Plastic
bags are also relatively sturdy and reusable. Many of the studies about different
bagging options that show plastic bags production demands less resources assume
plastic bags are used at least twice—once coming home and once as a trash bag—and
factor this into the calculations about which bags are more sustainable.

Plastic bags are recyclable, though few people recycle them. Recycling plastic bags is a
difficult task; they fly away in the recycling plant and get stuck in machinery. Because of
this, many cities do not offer curbside recycling for plastic bags. Instead, large-scale
retailers offer bag recycling services. However these services are dependent on
the consumer bringing the plastic bags back to the store.

Bags that are not recycled end up becoming litter, because they do not biodegrade. In
addition to filling up landfills and becoming eyesores, plastic bags that become litter
endanger many facets of the environment, including marine life and the food chain. This
is because plastic bags, like all plastic materials, eventually break up into microscopic
pieces, which scientists refer to as microplastics. Microplastics have been found nearly
everywhere: in marine animals, farmland soil, and urban air.

Though scientists have only just begun studying the consequences
of microplastic proliferation, and we do not yet know their effect on animals, humans,
and the environment, scientists are concerned about how this level of plastic pollution
could change our planet. The studies that found plastic bags to be less harmful to the
environment than paper and reusable bags did not take effects of litter into account and
instead assumed that the plastic bags would be recycled or used as trash bags.

Paper Bags

Paper bags have some advantages over plastic bags when it comes to sustainability.
They are easier to recycle, and, because they are biodegradable, they can be used for
purposes like composting. However, paper is very resource-heavy to produce:
Manufacturing a paper bag takes about four times as much energy as it takes to
produce a plastic bag, plus the chemicals and fertilizers used in producing paper bags
create additional harm to the environment.

Studies have shown that, for a paper bag to neutralize its environmental impact
compared to plastic, it would have to be used anywhere from three to 43 times. Since
paper bags are the least durable of all the bagging options, it is unlikely that a person
would get enough use out of any one bag to even out the environmental impact.

Still, the fact that paper is recyclable helps lessen its impact. In 2018, 68.1 percent of
paper consumed in the United States was recovered for recycling, a percentage that
has been rising in the last decade. However, because paper fibers become shorter and
weaker each time the recycling process takes place, there is a limit to how many times
paper can be recycled.

Reusable Bags

Reusable bags are made from many different materials, and the environmental impact
of producing those materials varies widely. One study from the United Kingdom (UK)
found that, regarding bag production, cotton bags have to be reused 131 times before
they reduce their impact on climate change to the same extent as plastic bags. To have
a comparable environmental footprint (which encompasses climate change as well as
other environmental effects) to plastic bags, a cotton bag potentially has to be used
thousands of times. Materials other than cotton, however, perform much better in
sustainability metrics. Nonwoven polypropylene (PP) is another popular option. Made
from a more durable kind of plastic, these bags need to be reused around eleven times
to break even with the impact of conventional plastic.

In addition to varying widely in their eco-friendliness, there is the chance that reusable
bags go unused, because consumers have to remember to bring the bags with them to
the store. The biggest positive of reusable bags is that their use cuts down on the
amount of litter on land and in the ocean. Studies have found that bans on plastic bags
in cities in the United States and Europe have decreased the amount of plastic litter in
nearby waters.

Things to Consider

Because reusable and paper bags have a huge environmental cost upfront, and plastic
bags create greater negative effects after being used, it is hard to determine which type
of bag is truly the most sustainable. Regardless of whether the bag is plastic, paper, or
another material, the most sustainable choice is the bag you already have. In every
study and for every type of bag, it was clear that reusing the bag as many times as you
can reduces its impact on the environment. Overall, making the effort to reuse any bag
that comes into your possession, and disposing of the bag responsibly, is key.
Harnessing Behavioral Science to Design Disposable Bag
                                             Regulations
              Tatiana Homono Rebecca L.C. Taylor Lee-Sien Kao Doug Palmer∗

                                              November 2020

                                                  Abstract
           Regulation of single-use plastic products is at the center of much policy debate. Currently,
        there are over 400 laws in the US aimed at curbing disposable shopping bag use. Some regulators
        opt for command-and-control policies that ban disposable plastic bags, while others use market-
        based incentives like taxes on disposable bags or rewards for reusable bag usechoices that
        may greatly impact the policy's eectiveness. In this paper, we review the evidence on the
        eectiveness of these policy design choices through a behavioral economics lens and highlight
        best practices for policymakers considering similar legislation.

  ∗
      Homono:   Robert F. Wagner School of Public Service, New York University and NBER. Taylor:   School of
Economics, University of Sydney. Kao and Palmer: ideas42.

                                                      1
I. Why Regulate Disposable Bags?

Each year Americans consume 100 billion single-use plastic bags (Clapp and Swanston, 2009; Wag-

ner, 2017).   When not disposed in landlls, plastic bags clog storm drains, seep into waterways,

and hang on trees, costing local governments between $3 and $8 billion per year to clean up (Tay-

lor and Villas-Boas, 2016).   In addition to clean-up costs, plastic bags pose environmental costs

beyond the jurisdictional borders. (Jambeck et al., 2015) calculate that 25% of plastic waste is

mismanaged and enters the ocean. Once in waterways, plastic bags do not biodegrade but, instead,

break into smaller pieces, which sea animals can consume while mistaking them for food (Wilcox

et al., 2016). Disposable paper bags, a common substitute for single-use plastic bags, are not with-

out their own environmental costs. These bags have fewer costs associated with disposal, but are

more environmentally-costly to produce and transport than plastic bags. The UK Environmental

Agency (2011) estimates that the life-cycle environmental impacts of paper bags, in terms of carbon

footprint, are four times as large as those of lightweight plastic bags.

   Economic principles provide a strong rationale for intervening in the market for disposable bags.

When markets fail to allocate goods eciently, economists generally support government interven-

tion. Free marketswhere governments impose few regulations on individuals and businessesare

only economically ecient when there are no market failures. The case for regulation of disposable

bags is largely motivated by the presence of environmental externalities, i.e., the use of disposable

bags imposes costs on the environment which are not reected in the price of bags. For example,

disposable plastic bags cost US retailers 3 cents each on average (Taylor and Villas-Boas, 2016),

while cities in the US spend between 3 and 8 cents per plastic bag on litter control alone (Burnett,

2013). Additionally, the way in which customers are charged for disposable bags exacerbates the

externality problem: stores usually roll the cost of bags into the overall price of groceries, as they

do with the cost of the store's air conditioning or the cashiers' salaries, rather than charging for

each bag. Thus, instead of choosing the number of bags desired based on price, customers perceive

the receipt of disposable bags to be free, which leads customers to use more bags than they would if

paying for each bag individually (Shampanier, Mazar and Ariely, 2007). This may be exacerbated

if cashiers prioritize time eciency over minimizing bag use.

   Standard economic principles suggest successful disposable bag policies should address these

                                                   2
Table 1: Types of Disposable Bag Policies

                                    Market-Based Incentives                                          Command-and-Control
                      Disposable Bag Taxes              Reusable Bag Bonus               Stand-alone Bans                   Hybrid Bans

                                                                                                                                 +
                   Small tax/fee per disposable    Small bonus given to             Prohibits use of plastic        Prohibits use of plastic
                   carryout bag used by            customers by retailers for       carryout bags under a certain   carryout bags under a certain
                   customers; issued at point of   using reusable bags at           thickness (generally 2.25       thickness and requires all
                   sale                            checkout                         mils thick) at checkout         remaining carryout bags are
                                                                                                                    sold at a minimum price
                   Examples:
                   • Denmark (1994)                •   Kroger                       • Bangladesh (2002)             •   Seattle, WA (2012)
                   • Ireland (2002)                •   Safeway                      • San Francisco, CA (2007;      •   California (2016)
                   • South Africa (2004)           •   Giant                          replaced with hybrid ban      •   Boston, MA (2017)
                   • Washington, DC (2010)         •   Target                         in 2012)                      •   Minneapolis, MN (2017)
                   • Boulder, CO (2013)            •   Whole Foods                  • Chicago, IL (2015;            •   Oregon (2020)
                   • Israel (2017)                 •   Trader Joe’s                   replaced with tax in 2017)    •   Vermont (2020)
                   • Spain (2018)                  •   Ralphs                       • Kenya (2017)
                   • Peru (2019)                                                    • New York (2020; hybrid
                                                                                      ban opt-in)

market failures. And moreover, successful policies need to consider how customers respond to policy

interventions and what behavioral biases, or tendencies, customers have (Jia, Evans and van der

Linden, 2019). This is where behavioral economics plays an important role. Behavioral economics

studies the eects of psychological, emotional, and social factors on economic decision-making. This

paper brings together principles from standard economics and behavioral science to assess recent

regulations of the use of disposable bags.

II. Policy Background
Governments around the world have implemented a variety of policies to regulate the use of dispos-

able bags to address their costs to the environment and to government budgets. While these policies

share the common goal of reducing waste, in practice they can be divided into two approaches: (1)

market-based approaches that nancially incentivize consumers to change their behavior; and (2)

command-and-control approaches that regulate consumer behavior directly.                                                                    Table 1 summarizes

the most commonly used disposable bag policies.

                                                                                3
A. Market-Based Incentives
Market-based incentives to discourage disposable bag use typically take the form of a small fee

or tax, charged per disposable bag used by customers at checkout.                  One of the more well-known

examples is the Irish Plastax, a       ¿0.15 tax on all plastic shopping bags (Convery, McDonnell and
Ferreira, 2007). In 2010, Washington, D.C. became the rst city in the US to adopt a similar policy

which placed a ve-cent tax on all disposable bags provided by grocery retailers (Homono, 2018).

In addition to government regulations, many retailers have proactively adopted their own policies

to curb the use of disposable shopping bags. One common policy oers customers a reusable bag

creditusually between 3 and 5 centsfor each reusable bag the customer uses instead of taking a

disposable bag.
                   1

B. Command-and-Control Policies
Alternative to market-based approaches, command-and-control policies set standards for allowable

products or actions, banning all those that do not meet the standards. In our setting, these poli-

cies typically take the form of a ban on lightweight plastic shopping bags.                  In 2002, Bangladesh

became the rst country to ban the use of plastic bags.                Five years later, San Francisco became

the rst jurisdiction in the US to pass a similar law which prohibited the provision of plastic bags

less than 2.25 mils thick, roughly the thickness of a commercial garbage bag. Currently, bans on

plastic bags are the most common disposable bag regulation worldwide (Nielsen, Holmberg and

Stripple, 2019) and over 90 percent of state and local ordinances in the US that regulate disposable

bag provision incorporate a ban on plastic bags (Homono et al., 2020). These policies take two

forms. Stand-alone bans restrict the use of traditional plastic shopping bags, often using a similar

thickness cuto as in San Francisco's policy, but leave other types of disposable bagssuch as paper

bagsunregulated. Hybrid bans pair bans on lightweight plastic bags with a minimum required

fee for paper and reusable bags (usually between ve and 10 cents).

  1
      These policies have been implemented by some of the largest grocery chains in the US, including Kroger, Safeway,
Giant, Target, and Whole Foods.

                                                           4
III. Policy Lessons and Insights from Behavioral Science
This section provides policy design recommendations, founded in both standard and behavioral

economics, for governments and policymakers interested in implementing disposable bag regulations.

To inform these recommendations, we begin with a review of recent evidence on the eectiveness of

various disposable bag regulations. We focus on evaluations employing a dierence-in-dierences

methodology, i.e., those that compare bag use before and after a policy change, and among customers

shopping in areas aected by the regulation (treatment areas) and those shopping in unregulated

areas (control areas).
                            2

Lesson 1: Disposable Bag Taxes Work Better than Reusable Bag Bonuses (i.e., Sticks
over Carrots)
Market-based incentives can take the form of subsidies for environmentally-friendly behavior (i.e.,

carrots) or nancial penalties for environmentally-costly behavior (i.e., sticks).                   In the context of

disposable bag regulations, policymakers may consider a bonus for reusable bag use or a tax on

disposable bag use. Standard economic models suggest that the choice between these two policy

designstaxes versus bonusesshould not matter as long as the incentives are the same amount.

However, if customers are loss-averse (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979), meaning that they experience

losses more strongly than similar-sized gains, a tax may be more eective than a bonus of the same

magnitude. Empirical evidence of loss aversion in the eld has been documented in several contexts

including among stock market investors (Benartzi and Thaler, 1995), taxi cab drivers (Camerer

et al., 1997), and professional golfers (Pope and Schweitzer, 2011). In this section we rst review

evaluations of policies that levy small taxes on disposable bag use and then compare those ndings

to estimates of the eect of similar sized bonuses for reusable bag use.

       In one of the rst evaluations of disposable bag taxes in the US, Homono (2018) estimates the

eect of the implementation of a ve-cent tax on disposable bags in Montgomery County, Maryland.

This study uses observational data on disposable and reusable bag use in the months just before

   2
       A large body of empirical research evaluates these regulations using a simple dierence approach, i.e., comparing
consumer behavior before and after a policy change. Rivers, Shenstone-Harris and Young (2017) provides a review of
these studies, but highlights that this approach may lead to biased estimates since it does not account for confounding
events that may occur simultaneously with the policy change. To our knowledge, there have been no randomized
control trials conducted in this policy area, and so the dierence-in-dierences research design provides the most
credible causal identication strategy used to evaluate disposable bag regulations.

                                                             5
and just after the tax was implemented at stores in Maryland (which experienced a policy change),

Washington, D.C. (which had a ve-cent tax throughout the study period), and in Virginia (which

had proposed a tax, but never passed one).              The study nds that prior to the tax, just over 80

percent of customers used a disposable bag and that the tax decreased the proportion of customers

using a disposable bag by 42 percentage points.
                                                         3 Homono et al. (2020) also estimate a large eect

of the implementation of a 7-cent tax in Chicagoa decrease in disposable bag use of 33 percentage

points.

       Similar evaluations of disposable bag charges have been conducted in several other countries as

well. Using observational customer data, Jakovcevic et al. (2014) nds that the implementation of a

2.5 to 4 cent tax on disposable bags in the city of Buenos Aires led to increases in the proportion of

customers using a reusable bag relative to behavior in Greater Buenos Aires (which was not subject

to the tax) that are similar in magnitude to those estimated in the US studies. Cabrera, Caera and

Cid (2020) use administrative data on disposable bag use from retailers and the staggered roll-out of

a 7-10 cent tax in Uruguay and nd a roughly 80 percent decrease in the number of bags provided.

Rivers, Shenstone-Harris and Young (2017) and Poortinga et al. (2016) evaluate the eect of a

5-cent bag levy in Toronto and a 5p carrier bag charge in Wales, respectively, using survey data on

reusable bag use. Both studies nd statistically signicant increases in reusable bag use; however,

the magnitude of these estimates are considerably smaller than those estimated in the US and Latin

American evaluations.
                            4

       One interpretation of the large change in consumer behavior after the implementation of rel-

atively small taxes, as described above, is that there are many customers just on the margin of

bringing a reusable bag instead of taking a disposable bag.              In other words, the cost a customer

associates with bringing a reusable bag is no more than ve cents per bagotherwise the customers

would continue to take disposable bags at the same rate that they always had. If this is the case,

a similar-sized bonus for reusable bag use should be equally eective. If, instead, the behavioral

change is driven by loss-averse customers who are reacting to the pain of paying the tax, but do not

otherwise care about seeing their wealth change by a nickel, the bonus may not be as eective.

   3
       Taylor (2020) nds similar results using scanner data from a large supermarket chain in the D.C. metropolitan
area, with only 35 percent of D.C. customers paying the bag tax a year after the policy was enacted.
   4
       These dierences may be due to the higher baseline levels of reusable bag use observed in Toronto and Wales,
dierences in data (observational data versus self-reported surveys), or other regional dierences in response to the
policy.

                                                          6
In addition to estimating the eect of the ve-cent tax, Homono (2018) compares disposable

bag use at retailers in the D.C. area that oered a ve-cent reusable bag bonus to those that did not

and found no dierences in disposable bag use. These ndings are supported by anecdotal evidence

from retailers that the reusable bag credits showed little eect on reusable bag use, resulting in

many retailers rolling back these incentives Sewell (2011). This asymmetry in customer responses

to the two types of policiesa large change in behavior with a ve-cent tax, but no change in

behavior in response to a ve-cent bonusis consistent with a model of loss aversion and suggests

that policymakers considering market-based incentives to discourage disposable bag use should use

sticks rather than carrots.

Lesson 2: A Bag Tax Does Not Have to Be Large to Be Eective
Proponents of disposable bag taxes have hotly debated the ideal size of the tax.         Early failed

disposable bag legislation in California suggested a 2-cent fee on all plastic bags as part of the

Litter and Marine Debris Reduction and Recycling Act of 2003 (Romer, 2010). Two years later,

San Francisco proposed a 17-cent fee on both plastic and paper bags but the proposal was met with

public opposition causing policymakers to consider lower fee rates (Herel, 2005). In 2008, Seattle

became the rst city in the US to pass a disposable bag feea 20-cent fee on both plastic and paper

bagsbut before the fee was implemented, the policy was placed on a citywide ballot and voted

down. Three years later, however, the city successfully implemented a policy that banned plastic

bags and charged a 5-cent fee for paper bags. This suggests that policymakers face a trade-o when

choosing the size of the fee: higher fees may generate larger reductions in waste, but are less likely

to receive enough political support to be implemented at all.

   To date, there remains limited evidence on the eect of this dimension of the policy's designthe

magnitude of the feeprimarily because the majority of disposable bag fees in the US are between

ve and 10 cents, though a few jurisdictions levy fees as high as 25 cents per bag. Nevertheless,

the evidence described above suggests that even very small taxes on disposable bags lead to large

changes in behavior across a wide range of countries. While these ndings do not rule out standard

models of economic decision-making, especially if the cost of avoiding a disposable bag is very small,

Shampanier, Mazar and Ariely (2007) suggests that individuals do not apply standard cost-benet

rules when making purchasing choices over two goods when one of the goods is free. They suggest

                                                  7
that receiving a good for free not only decreases its cost, but also increases its benets, i.e., people

really like getting things for free.   This implies that a very small feeeven one or two cents per

bagmay lead to large decreases in disposable bag use since the bags are no longer free.

   There are several other behavioral mechanisms that may contribute to the disposable bag tax's

eectiveness in spite of its small size: (1) salience, (2) habit formation, and (3) social norms.

   Salience.   A growing literature on tax salience demonstrates that if a tax is out of sighteither

because of the placement of the tax, payment method, or the complexity of the taxthen it is also

out of mind when individuals make economic decisions. For example, Chetty, Looney and Kroft

(2009) show that including sales taxes (which are usually added on at the register) in the posted

price of a good decrease sales of that good. Similarly, Finkelstein (2009) shows that reducing the

salience of road tolls through the introduction of EZ-Pass reduced the responsiveness of drivers to

changes in the toll. Conversely, there are several examples in the eld of environmental economics

that suggest that taxes are more salient than traditional price changes.        For example, Li, Linn

and Muehlegger (2014) show that customers responded more to an increase in a gasoline tax than

a similarly sized increase in gas prices driven by oil price changes, citing that media coverage of

the tax made it more salient. Similarly, Rivers and Schaufele (2015) nd that the introduction of

a carbon tax in Canada led to a signicantly larger change in the demand for gasoline than an

equivalent price change using variation in policies across provinces. Consistent with these ndings,

Homono (2018) nds near-perfect awareness of the D.C. area disposable bag taxes, suggesting that

salience may have contributed to the policy's eectiveness.

   Habit Formation.       One reason customers may use disposable bags is because they are simply

in the habit of doing so, especially when being provided a bag is the default. In other words, the

decision to use a disposable bag may not be a deliberate choice for consumers; they are likely not

actively weighing the costs and benets of each bag for each purchase, but rather acting on autopilot

and making decisions based on the choices they made in the past. When a disposable bag tax is

introduced, it cues customers to make an active choice of whether to pay for a disposable bag (Neal,

Wood and Quinn, 2006). This choice, when repeated over time, can then serve as the foundation

for a new habit. Taylor (2020) nds evidence of habit formation after the implementation of taxes

and hybrid banswith the share of customers paying for disposable bags uctuating only in the

rst two weeks of the policies and then remaining constant for the next 1 to 2 years of the sample

                                                   8
period.

   Social Norms.    Behavioral science research has shown that social comparison can be a powerful

policy tool, especially in the area of environmental conservation (Goldstein, Cialdini and Griskevi-

cius, 2008; Allcott, 2011). Since reusable bag use is a highly visible behavior, even a small initial

impact of the tax can generate large eects through a social multiplier (Benabou and Tirole, 2011).

Separately, these policies may be particularly eective when they are government regulations rather

than, say, store policies, due to the expressive function of law, a legal theory that suggests that

passing a law signals a change in social norms by stating which behaviors warrant punishment

(Cooter, 1998).

   It is worth pointing out that the change in consumer behavior in response to disposable bag

taxes is much larger than responses to similar-sized taxes on other products like soda (Falbe et al.,

2016; Taylor, 2019).   This may suggest that demand for disposable bags is simply more elastic,

however, elements of the decision-making environment described above that are unique to the case

of disposable bagsthe salience of the tax, habit formation, and the fact that disposable bags were

originally considered freemay contribute to the eectiveness of disposable bag taxes.      While

more research is necessary to determine the relative contribution of each of these components of

the choice environment, each of these factors likely had a hand in the overwhelming eectiveness of

disposable bag taxes across a wide variety of countries.

Lesson 3: Plastic Bag Bans Can Lead to Unintended Consequences (i.e., Avoid the
Cobra Eect)
The policies described above all aim to reduce the environmental costs associated with single-use

shopping bags. However, certain policy designs may lead to unintended consequences, i.e., outcomes

that are not anticipated and may run counter to the policy's stated goal. This latter outcome, when

the policy solution exacerbates the problem, is often referred to as the Cobra Eect, a term

derived from a cautionary tale in which a policy aimed at reducing the number of cobras by oering

a reward for each captured snake led to an increase in cobra breeders (Heath, 2020). In the context

of disposable bag regulation, how plastic bags are regulated will aect the use of substitutes for

plastic bags, which, depending on the environmental cost of the substitute, could undermine the

intended consequences of the policy.

                                                 9
In the case of stand-alone bans, the most common command-and-control policy, research suggests

that the cure may be worse than the disease. Homono et al. (2020) evaluates the eect of a stand-

alone plastic bag ban implemented in the city of Chicago in 2015 and then repealed in 2017. Like San

Francisco's policy, the ban applied to plastic bags less than 2.25 mils thick. In response to the ban,

and counter to the policy's goal, retailers circumvented the regulation by oering customers free thick

plastic bags roughly ve times the thickness of the standard plastic grocery bags that were on oer

prior to the ban.
                     5 During the ban, over 40 percent of Chicago customers used a newly-provided thick

plastic bag. Using observational data on customer-level disposable bag use for customers shopping

in Chicago (which was covered by the ban) and in the surrounding suburbs (which did not impose

any disposable bag regulations), this study nds the ban's repeal did not change the proportion

of customers using a disposable bag, however, with the repeal, stores reversed the use of thicker

plastic bags. These ndings suggest that the ban increased the environmental costs associated with

disposable bag use by shifting customers towards more environmentally-harmful disposable bags

without reducing the overall number of customers using disposable bags.

       Hybrid bans present an alternative policy design that restricts the use of plastic bags while

leaving fewer disposable substitutes unregulated. Taylor and Villas-Boas (2016) evaluate the eect

of such a policy in Richmond, California that combined a ban on lightweight plastic bags with a

ve-cent minimum fee for all other bags. Using similar data (observational data on customer bag

use) and research strategy (comparing bag use before and after a policy change in regulated versus

unregulated cities), this study nds that, unlike with the stand-alone ban, the hybrid ban led to a

substantial reduction in the use of disposable bags of roughly 35 percentage points.
                                                                                                    6

       While estimates of the eect of disposable bag taxes and hybrid bans on disposable bag use

are encouraging, they may overestimate the eect on overall environmental costs if customers reuse

plastic bags for purposes other than carrying goods. For example, if customers reuse plastic bags

as waste bin liners, plastic bag bans might lead to increased purchases of plastic trash bags. Taylor

(2019) uses county-time variation in the roll-out of various hybrid bans in the state of California

and nds large increases in sales of plastic trash bagsa 120 percent increase for small trash bags

   5
       Solomon (2016) provides anecdotal evidence of similar behavior among retailers after the implementation of a
stand-alone ban in Honolulu County, Hawaii in 2015. When San Francisco implemented its stand-alone ban, paper
bag use increase by more than fourfold (Freinkel, 2011) motivating a shift to a hybrid ban in 2012.
   6
       Additionally, the majority of customers used paper bags instead of plastic bags, though customers shopping at a
grocery chain that oered 15-cent thick plastic bags used thick plastic and paper bags in roughly equal proportions.

                                                           10
(the closest substitute for thin plastic shopping bags). The study shows that over a quarter of the

plastic reduction from the hybrid bans is oset by the increase in purchases of plastic trash bags.

IV. Discussion
In this paper, we lay out several policy design lessons for disposable bag regulations based on

behavioral science theory and supported by empirical evidence. Importantly, many of the studies

highlighted in this review evaluate policies implemented in OECD countries, with the exception of

two Latin American studies, due to our study design decision criteria for inclusion. However, we

believe that the lessons we highlight apply to a broader range of geographies than those discussed

in this review. In fact, many studies employing a simple dierence design also demonstrate large

decreases in disposable bag use in response to small penalties and minimal eects of plastic bag bans

across a wider range of geographies (Rivers, Shenstone-Harris and Young, 2017; Nielsen, Holmberg

and Stripple, 2019).

   Two common regulation designs adhere to our policy recommendations: disposable bag taxes

and hybrid bans. Both policies have been shown to yield large decreases in disposable bag use. In

contrast, the most common policy in the US, a stand-alone plastic bag ban, may simply change the

type of disposable bag a customer uses without decreasing overall use and may even cause retailers

to oer free thicker plastic bags that generate more waste. Homono et al. (2020) directly compares

the life-cycle environmental costs associated with disposable bag use under the two disposable

bag regulations in Chicagoa stand-alone ban and a disposable bag taxand nds under the

ban (relative to the tax), customers used the environmental cost equivalent of over six additional

lightweight plastic bags per shopping trip.   Importantly, even small bag taxes have been shown

to generate large eects on consumer behavior. As a result, policymakers interested in decreasing

disposable bag use who are concerned about the economic burden and regressivity of a tax may

want to consider a very small tax rather than no tax at all.

                                                 11
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                                              15
Preliminary study suggests Chicago’s bag tax reduces
             disposable bag use by over 40 percent
Summary. In November 2016, the Chicago City Council repealed its ban on disposable plastic bags and
replaced it with a seven-cent tax on disposable paper and plastic bags, effective February 1, 2017.i,ii
The City of Chicago commissioned a joint study with the behavioral design lab ideas42 and researchers
from New York University and the University of Chicago Energy & Environment Lab to track bag use at
large grocery chains in Chicago and surrounding suburbs before and after the tax went into effect.

Preliminary results from this study show that Chicago’s bag tax has already led to a significant decrease
in both the number of disposable bags used and number of customers using disposable bags. Prior to
implementation, customers shopping in the study’s sample stores in Chicago used an average of just over
two disposable bags per trip, with over 80 percent of customers using at least one disposable bag. After
the tax was implemented, the average number of disposable bags used per shopping trip decreased by
roughly one bag per trip—over a 40 percent decrease. Additionally, less than 50 percent of customers
in Chicago used any disposable bags after the tax was implemented—a decrease of more than 30
percentage points.

Background. One hundred billion plastic bags are used annually in the United States.iii While plastic
bags are often recyclable, only a small percentage actually are recycled (just over five percent
according to one of the latest studies from the EPA).iv Most plastic bags that are not recycled end up in
landfills, where estimates suggest it can take them up to 1,000 years to decompose. Paper bags also
have significant environmental impacts; for example, the paper industry—including paper bags and
other paper products—contributed to 20 percent of all toxic air releases in the US in 2015.v
Starting in 2015, in an effort to curb disposable bag use, the City of Chicago banned chain stores from
providing disposable plastic bags at checkout. However, the ban excluded plastic bags that met certain
requirements, including but not limited to being at least 2.25 mils thick.vi

In November 2016, the Chicago City Council repealed the ban on plastic bags and replaced it with a
seven-cent tax on all paper and plastic checkout bags, starting on February 1, 2017.vii

Reasons for a Tax Instead of a Ban. While the 2015 ban eliminated the use of certain types of
disposable bags, it left others unregulated. As a result, many stores chose to offer the permitted thicker
plastic checkout bags rather than eliminate plastic bags altogether,viii which may have minimized the
environmental impact of the law.ix,x Since stores simply substituted one type of plastic bag for another,
there was no strong cue to customers to change their behavior, and many continued to use the thicker,
“reusable” plastic bags as single-use bags. Separate from the ban, some Chicago stores use small
rewards to incentivize reusable bag use, but previous research has shown that these rewards are similarly
ineffective.xi

In contrast, disposable bag taxes have been shown to have a significant behavioral impact. For example,
a five-cent tax on disposable paper and plastic bags in the Washington, D.C. area led to a large
reduction in overall disposable bag use.xii The differential impact of the tax on disposable bag use and a

                                                                                                             1
reward for reuseable bag use is consistent with the concept of loss aversion, i.e., individuals experience
losses more strongly than they do gains of the same amount. xiii

Additionally, although Chicago’s seven-cent tax is a small fee, it was designed to be more salient than
the ban. While customers may not notice that their grocery store has switched to providing thicker plastic
bags as a result of the ban, research suggests that customers are likely to notice when an item that they
previously received for free now comes at a price,xiv thus bringing their bag use to the top of their minds.

Results. This study compares shopping bag use for 14,168 customers shopping at large grocery store
chains in Chicago and surrounding suburbs in the months just before and after the bag tax
implementation. The results reported here are based on raw, unadjusted data. The results remain robust
after controlling for various demographic and neighborhood factors.xv

                                                 Prior to the implementation of the tax, customers in
           Avg. Number of Disposable Bags        Chicago used an average of 2.3 disposable bags per
                   Used Per Trip
                                                 shopping trip. Preliminary analysis suggests that the
                                3.6    3.3       average number of disposable bags used per shopping
            2.3                                  trip decreased by 1.3 bags in the first month that the tax
                    1.0                          was in effect in Chicago, but only 0.3 bags in the stores
                                                 outside of Chicago that were not subject to the tax. Taken
                                                 together, this suggests that the tax led to a 42 percent
             Chicago             Non-Chicago     reduction in the average number of disposable bags
                  Pre-Tax   Post-Tax             used per trip.

           % Customers Using Disposable Bags
                                                 While the majority of customers in Chicago (82 percent)
                                 91.5   91.6
           82.0                                  used at least one disposable bag prior to the
                                                 implementation of the tax, only 49 percent used a
                   48.8
                                                 disposable bag in the first month after the tax was in
                                                 effect—a decrease of 33 percentage points. In contrast,
                                                 there was no significant change in disposable bag use in
                                                 stores outside of Chicago.
             Chicago             Non-Chicago
                  Pre-Tax   Post-Tax

           % Customers Using Reusable Bags       After the tax was implemented, many customers in
                   33.2                          Chicago switched from disposable bags to reusable
                                                 bags. Reusable bag use in Chicago jumped from 13
                                                 percent to 33 percent after the tax was implemented—
           13.2                                  an increase of 20 percentage points.
                                 5.4    5.6
                                                 Note: around 3 percent of customers used both a
             Chicago             Non-Chicago     disposable bag and a reusable bag.
                  Pre-Tax   Post-Tax

                                                                                                               2
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