Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day: Ultamate Rewards Loyalty Program Driving 95% of Revenue with 30 Million Members; Ulta Continues to ...

 
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Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day: Ultamate Rewards Loyalty Program Driving 95% of Revenue with 30 Million Members; Ulta Continues to ...
November 20, 2018

                                Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day: Ultamate Rewards
                                Loyalty Program Driving 95% of Revenue with 30 Million
                                Members; Ulta Continues to Diversify Beyond Mass Cosmetics

                                On November 8, Ulta Beauty hosted its annual Analyst and Investor Day in Itasca, Illinois.
                                The main themes of the day included customer loyalty, new brands, celebrity
                                collaborations, technology investments and the company’s mass-to-prestige assortment
                                model.
                                    • More than 95% of Ulta’s sales go through the company’s Ultamate Rewards loyalty
                                      program, which now has more than 30 million members. Membership in the
                                      program grew by 64.8% from 2015 to 2018.
                                    • Ulta has added more than 250 brands since 2016. The company is concentrating on
                                      newness and on diversifying its product portfolio. Ulta’s focus is on exclusives (which
                                      account for 9% of sales), independent brands and prestige brands.
                                    • The company is partnering with celebrity Kim Kardashian West to sell four of her
                                      fragrances in stores beginning November 25, and with her sister, Kylie Jenner, to sell
                                      Jenner’s Lip Kit in stores beginning November 17. These collaborations will provide
                                      customers the opportunity to try products that were previously available only
                                      online. Both Kardashian West and Jenner have millions of social media followers.
                                    • Ulta is investing in technology to build an innovation ecosystem, with the goal of
                                      becoming the digital store of the future. The company is focusing on personalization
                                      and connecting online and offline experiences in order to tailor its communications
                                      and help consumers navigate the beauty space. Ulta invested in tech startup Spruce
                                      to facilitate guest booking for its salon business and in digital workflow platform
                                      Iterate. The company also acquired artificial intelligence (AI) startup QM Scientific
                                      and AI and augmented reality (AR) startup GlamST.

                                On November 8, Ulta Beauty hosted its annual Analyst and Investor Day in Itasca, Illinois.
                                The day consisted of presentations from CEO and Director Mary Dillon, SVP of Brand
                                Marketing Shelley Haus, Chief Merchandising and Marketing Officer Dave Kimbell, SVP of
                                Merchandising for Prestige Beauty Tara Simon, CFO Scott Settersten, Chief Store
                                Operations Officer Kecia Steelman, SVP of Digital and E-Commerce Prama Bhatt and Chief
                                Supply Chain Officer Derek Hornsby.
                                The main themes of the day included customer loyalty, new products, celebrity
                                collaborations, technology investments and bringing newness to the product assortment
                                with a focus on exclusives, independent brands and prestige brands.

Deborah Weinswig, CEO and Founder, Coresight Research
deborahweinswig@coresight.com US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016                                     1
Copyright © 2018 Coresight Research. All rights reserved.
Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day: Ultamate Rewards Loyalty Program Driving 95% of Revenue with 30 Million Members; Ulta Continues to ...
November 20, 2018

                                The company announced that it will no longer provide quarterly guidance. Ulta will
                                provide specific annual guidance on its fourth-quarter earnings calls and update that as
                                needed throughout the year. Ulta also announced that it is retiring its “All Things Beauty,
                                All in One Place” slogan and replacing it with “The Possibilities Are Beautiful” as its new
                                brand expression.

                                Ulta’s Net Sales Grew by 120% from 2013 to 2017
                                As of November 8, Ulta operated 1,163 stores in 50 states as well as its Ulta.com online
                                store. Some 96% of Ulta stores are approximately 10,000 square feet in size. The company
                                is moderating its store opening plans, and now plans to open 80 stores in 2019, and 70–75
                                stores in each of the following two years, with a target of operating 1,399 stores in 2021.
                                The company’s previous estimate, as of August 30 this year, was to operate 1,400–1,700
                                stores in the US over the next few years. When asked about international expansion, CEO
                                and Director Mary Dillon said, “We’re studying; we don’t have anything to announce
                                today.”
                                Ulta grew revenues by 120% from 2013 to 2017, from $2.67 billion to $5.88 billion. The
                                company raised its fiscal year 2018 comp guidance from 6%–8% growth to 7%–8% growth
                                and reiterated its full-year EPS guidance of “low 20% growth.”

                                Slide from Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day presentation
                                Source: Ulta Beauty

                                More than 95% of Ulta’s Sales Go Through the Ultamate Rewards Loyalty Program
                                Dave Kimbell, Chief Merchandising and Marketing Officer, said that membership in the
                                company’s Ultamate Rewards loyalty program has grown by 64.8% over the past three
                                years, from 18.2 million members in 2015 to 30 million members as of November 2018.
                                Kimbell said that more than 95% of the company’s sales go through the loyalty program,
                                which enables Ulta to track all of those items back to an individual, providing the company
                                with a deep understanding of purchasing behavior.

Deborah Weinswig, CEO and Founder, Coresight Research
deborahweinswig@coresight.com US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016                                     2
Copyright © 2018 Coresight Research. All rights reserved.
Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day: Ultamate Rewards Loyalty Program Driving 95% of Revenue with 30 Million Members; Ulta Continues to ...
November 20, 2018

                                Slide from Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day presentation
                                Source: Ulta Beauty

                                Ultamate Rewards Loyalty Members Spend $200 Annually and Hold 30% Share of Wallet
                                Kimbell said that Ultamate Rewards loyalty program members spend an average of $200
                                per year at Ulta and account for 30% of all beauty spending at Ulta. They also represent
                                30% of all “beauty enthusiasts,” he said. Ulta’s loyalty program has three tiers, Member,
                                Platinum and Diamond. Its Platinum and Diamond members represent more than 40% of
                                beauty spending, while Regular members account for 30% of beauty spending.

                                Slide from Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day presentation
                                Source: Ulta Beauty

                                Ulta Has Added 250+ Brands Since 2016 and Has Focused on Exclusives and Independent
                                Brands and on Introducing Customers to Prestige Brands
                                Ulta reported that it has added more than 250 brands since 2016, 100 of which are in
                                skincare. The company reported that it is seeing a blurring of the lines between mass
                                (drugstore brands) and prestige (premium) brands, with most Ulta guests shopping across
                                both brand segments. Tara Simon, SVP of Merchandising for Prestige Beauty, said that the
                                company’s customers are exhibiting “mass migration,” meaning they may start at Ulta
                                buying mass brand products and then, over time, begin buying prestige products, while
                                continuing to buy just as many, or more, mass brand items.
                                By introducing consumers to prestige brands, the company is gaining share of wallet.
                                Simon reported that Ulta currently holds 23% of the prestige beauty market, according to

Deborah Weinswig, CEO and Founder, Coresight Research
deborahweinswig@coresight.com US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016                                 3
Copyright © 2018 Coresight Research. All rights reserved.
Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day: Ultamate Rewards Loyalty Program Driving 95% of Revenue with 30 Million Members; Ulta Continues to ...
November 20, 2018

                                The NPD Group, up from 15% in 2016, with the majority of the growth since 2016 coming
                                from cosmetics.

                                Slide from Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day presentation
                                Source: Ulta Beauty

                                Simon said that over the past two years, Ulta has added more prestige brands and
                                increased penetration of its prestige portfolio, which includes Chanel, Clinique, Estée
                                Lauder, Kate Somerville, Kiehl’s, Lancôme, MAC, Mario Badescu, NARS and Peter Thomas
                                Roth.
                                The company is also focused on bringing independent brands in-store and is working with
                                digitally native brands. Ulta reported that it is seeing significant growth in brands that it
                                has introduced, including ColourPop, Dose of Colors, Juvia’s Place and Morphe. Simon said
                                that the company sees the expansion of all brands across its portfolio as an opportunity to
                                increase its share of wallet.
                                Ulta has increasingly focused on new and exclusive products to include in its Ulta
                                Collection. Exclusive products that are sold only at Ulta represent 9% of the company’s
                                portfolio. The Ulta Collection and products that were designed specifically for Ulta, such
                                as IT Brushes for Ulta and Tarte Double Duty Beauty products, represent about 6% of the
                                business. The remaining 3% of the exclusive portfolio includes partnerships with brands
                                such as Morphe and Kylie Cosmetics, where Ulta serves as the brand’s exclusive brick-and-
                                mortar retail partner.

Deborah Weinswig, CEO and Founder, Coresight Research
deborahweinswig@coresight.com US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016                                     4
Copyright © 2018 Coresight Research. All rights reserved.
Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day: Ultamate Rewards Loyalty Program Driving 95% of Revenue with 30 Million Members; Ulta Continues to ...
November 20, 2018

                                Slide from Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day presentation
                                Source: Ulta Beauty

                                Ulta Announces Collaborations with Kylie Jenner and Kim Kardashian West
                                Simon announced that Kylie Jenner will launch Kylie Cosmetics at Ulta on November 17,
                                both in stores and online, beginning with the brand’s Lip Kit. Jenner has more than 118
                                million followers on Instagram and, in 2016, her Lip Kit sold out within one day of the
                                initial launch. This announcement followed news that Kylie Jenner’s sister, Kim Kardashian
                                West, is launching four scents in her KKW Fragrance line at Ulta for the holiday season.
                                The KKW Fragrances will be available in Ulta stores (but not on Ulta.com) beginning
                                November 25. Simon highlighted that these partnerships will provide customers with an
                                opportunity to try products that were previously only available online. She added that
                                Kylie Jenner “is super excited to be able to have a place for her fans to come and actually
                                touch the product and try it because she’s selling a whole lot of this online, and nobody’s
                                ever touched the stuff before they buy it. So, we couldn’t be happier. We think it is going
                                to drive a lot of traffic to the stores.”

                                Slide from Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day presentation
                                Source: Ulta Beauty

Deborah Weinswig, CEO and Founder, Coresight Research
deborahweinswig@coresight.com US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016                                   5
Copyright © 2018 Coresight Research. All rights reserved.
Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day: Ultamate Rewards Loyalty Program Driving 95% of Revenue with 30 Million Members; Ulta Continues to ...
November 20, 2018

                                Ulta Is Investing in Technology to Build an Innovation Ecosystem with the Goal of
                                Becoming the Digital Store of the Future
                                Prama Bhatt, SVP of Digital and E-Commerce, said that the company is creating a
                                commerce and content platform that connects its physical and digital guest journeys. The
                                company emphasized that its main focus is on personalization and connecting online and
                                offline experiences in order to tailor its communications and help consumers navigate the
                                beauty space. Bhatt provided an overview of the company’s technology partnerships and
                                acquisitions:
                                    • Ulta invested in technology startup Spruce to develop a services system to facilitate
                                      booking salon appointments. The system aims to increase consumer engagement.
                                      Spruce is live in Ulta’s pilot store and Ulta plans to launch the new system in a
                                      limited number of stores in 2018 and then roll it out to its entire fleet in 2019.
                                    • In September 2018, Ulta acquired QM Scientific, an AI startup with capabilities in
                                      computer vision, recommendations, natural language processing and visual search.
                                      QM Scientific has been recognized by the National Retail Federation as a disruptor in
                                      the retail space.
                                    • Ulta also acquired GlamST, which it had partnered with to develop the GLAM LAB
                                      virtual try-on experience, in order to help build out its capabilities for AI and AR.
                                      GlamST combines AI, AR and machine learning capabilities with a focus on virtual
                                      makeover solutions, image processing, graphics and effects.
                                    • Ulta has made foundational investments in Iterate, a digital workflow platform that
                                      tracks trends, provides research and curates technology partnership opportunities.
                                      Iterate enables rapid prototyping and provides access to startups.

                                Slide from Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day presentation
                                Source: Ulta Beauty

Deborah Weinswig, CEO and Founder, Coresight Research
deborahweinswig@coresight.com US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016                                         6
Copyright © 2018 Coresight Research. All rights reserved.
Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day: Ultamate Rewards Loyalty Program Driving 95% of Revenue with 30 Million Members; Ulta Continues to ...
November 20, 2018

                                Deborah Weinswig, CPA
                                CEO and Founder
                                Coresight Research
                                New York: 917.655.6790
                                Hong Kong: 852.6119.1779
                                China: 86.186.1420.3016
                                deborahweinswig@coresight.com

                                Erin Schmidt
                                Research Associate

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Deborah Weinswig, CEO and Founder, Coresight Research
deborahweinswig@coresight.com US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016                  7
Copyright © 2018 Coresight Research. All rights reserved.
Ulta Beauty 2018 Analyst and Investor Day: Ultamate Rewards Loyalty Program Driving 95% of Revenue with 30 Million Members; Ulta Continues to ...
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