True-Luxury Global Consumer Insights
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Contents 3 2 1 Introduction Market overview Consumer insights 1 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
The 8TH True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight: who is talking to you today ~19M True-Luxury Consumers (out of ~435M total consumers) generating 39% (+8pp vs '19) of global luxury market Powered by 12,000+ Sixth Ed. €39K+ 10 2,000 in China Average spend2 Markets 2019 Research Partner for 2,000 in US all 8 editions of the BCG Altagamma Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Seventh Ed. True-Luxury Global +1 Arabs market1 2020 (UAE & KSA) Consumer Insights Eigth Ed. €33K 2021 Average spend In line with market loss of 2020 due to COVID 1. Begun monitoring UAE /KSA markets (300 respondents) 2. Includes personal and experiential luxury, excluding cars, yachts, smartphones and smartwatches 2
We bring ALTAGAMMA PARTNERS and members of BCG luxury ecosystem to the table to generate the best consumers insights True-luxury BCG Altagamma partners Consumer partners Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Insight 2021 Note: List of brands not exhaustive 3
BCG expert network ready to discuss in every large market the outcomes of True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight 2021 Americas Europe Asia Brad Christine Kunal Joppe Rene Filippo Sebastian Irene Stephane Guillaume Parul Colin Crystal Jinseok Baker Barton Bhatia Bijlsma Abate Bianchi Boger Boni Cairole Charlin Bajaj Currie Hao Jang Thierry Abhishek Pierre Andres Elisa Olof Nicolas Jessica Patrick Volker Yeonhee Vincent Rachit Jun Chassaing Dalmia Dupreelle Garro Crotti Darpo De Bellefonds Distler Ducasse Haemmerle Kim Lui Mathur Naito Erin Nicholas Chris John Joël Dominic Asli Francesco Andreas Andreas Rohit Michael Mani Joseph Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. George Goad Goodchild Haugh Hazan Klemmer Kurbay Leone Liedtke Malby Ramesh Schniering Singhal Sun Ganga Bharat Robbin Steve Kirstin Pierre Nicola Stefan Stefan Dan Miki Jeffrey Angela Veronique Kannan Khandelwal Mitchell Mitchelmore Mennella Mercier Pianon Rasch Rohrhofer Sack Tsusaka Walters Wang Yang Suchi Jeffrey Jeremy Drake Matthias Javier Joan Luca Lars Emil Sastri Shaddix Sporn Watten Schuler Seara Sol Solca Sorensen Stamp Sarah Tiffany Christina Stefano Diederik Willersdorf Yeh Synnergren Todescan Vismans 4
"New Era" of luxury industry key trends Who What Where / how Personal & Experiential Luxury full recovery LG & Accessories and P&C showing high Channel-agnostic customer journeys expected between 2021 and 2022 resilience to COVID-19 crisis • Offline from self-standing channel to touchpoint • True-Luxury smart-working helped the top of the consumer pyramid grow its spend significantly, Brand's values showing a clear polarization Clienteling 2.0: consumers demanding even in the midst of the pandemic between Western and Eastern styles personalized "touch", • Chinese consumers increasingly preferring • Crucial for brands in the on-going quest for Millennial & Gen-Z optimistic future view, Extrovert attributes relevance making 60+% of market by 2025 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Brand purpose & responsibility non- Social and live commerce (i.e. Rebound effect: repatriation of Personal negotiable anymore (esp. sustainability, livestreaming) boosted Luxury to stay, experiences to fuel travelling diversity & inclusion / social awareness) • Livestreams highly relevant for US and Chinese luxury consumers and proving to be In the quest for engagement relevance in a a high "conversion" tool (about 70% on US & China Luxury Growth Engines average) • US renaissance has begun, with US consumers noisy environment, virtualization is a recovering the quickest promising and growing reality (e.g. gaming & New business models continue to accelerate • Chinese spending repatriation confirmed even Non-Fungible Tokens) post-COVID (second-hand commerce & rental) 5
Contents 3 2 1 Introduction Market overview Consumer insights 6 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Post COVID-19: full recovery expected between 2021 and 2022 Global Luxury Market (Personal & Experiential), €B CAGR YOY Evol. vs 2019 CAGR '14-'19 '19-'20 '19-'21 '19-'22 '19-'23 '19-'25 [1090- [1080- [1030- 1220] [960- 1130] 1080] 966 1020] [820- Luxury -5% +5% +8% +2% 36% 870] 36% Personal +0% +10% +12% +4% 37% 755 +4% 36% -22% 37% Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. 581 40% 38% 47% Luxury 64% -20% -3% +5% +2% +6% -50% 63% 64% Experiential 64% 63% -15% +3% +10% +4% 62% 60% 53% 2014 … 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Note: Numbers rounded. Personal includes leather goods & accessories, apparel, footwear, watches, jewelry (branded and unbranded) and perfumes & cosmetics; Experiential includes furniture, food and wine, fine dining & hotel and exclusive vacations Source: BCG Fashion & Luxury Market Model; BCG Analysis 7
Millennials & Gen Z key engines for growth believe recovery will be fast, 53% compared to ~20% for older generations Luxury personal goods market (€B) 390-440 5-10% 349 Baby Boomers 30-35% 23% and Silvers Gen. X 38% New Gen influential on overall Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. market through trendsetting, 45-50% 60+% digital engagement of total New Gen share of spend growth market largely driven by increased Millennials 35% average spend per person Gen. Z1 4% 10-15% 2019 2025 projection 1. Gen Z grouping starts with those who are 18 years old in 2019 as lower limit Note: Numbers rounded. Personal includes leather accessories, apparel, watches, jewellery, perfumes and cosmetics. Gen Z, 1993-2001; Millennial, 1978-1992; Gen X, 1963-1977; Baby Boomers, 1946-1962; Silvers,
True-Luxury smart-working helped the top of the consumer pyramid grow its spend significantly, even in the midst of the pandemic Cluster 2019 2020 2025 In 2020 Pop. Size Pop. Size Pop. Size Of total luxury market made by the 2 (M) (B€) (M) (B€) (M) (B€) wealthiest clusters (Beyond Money & Top 50 k€ Beyond money 0.4 24 0.4 28 0.6 40-45 12% absolute); +6pp vs. 2019 thanks to a 17% growth in size, showing a total resiliency 20 k€ Top absolute 1.5 36 1.5 42 2.2 55-60 to crisis Absolute 5.4 111 5.4 75 6.1 135-160 Of total luxury market made by the 19M 10 k€ 39% True Luxury Consumers (+8pp vs. 19) Entry absolute 11.8 123 11.8 81 12.4 145-170 5 k€ Total true-luxury 19.1 294 19.1 226 21.3 375-435 Between 2020 and 2025… Of total luxury market growth driven by Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. ~30% 2 k€ Top aspirational 22.4 68 20.0 37 24.1 80-95 True Luxury consumers '20-25 CAGR growth of "Other Aspirational" cluster driven by the rise of ~16% Other aspirational 393 603 320 318 420 635-690 Chinese middle class approaching luxury spending Of '20-'25 growth delta vs market by Total Luxury "Aspirational" consumers, that after great ~430 ~970 ~360 ~580 ~465 ~1090/1220 Consumers ~1.5pp suffering in 2020, will outpace in this period the growth of the overall pyramid Note: Numbers rounded. Personal includes leather goods & accessories, apparel, watches and jewelry (branded and unbranded) and perfumes and cosmetics; for the first time Experiential includes furniture, food and wine, fine dining & hotel and exclusive vacations Source: BCG & Altagamma Market Model; BCG Analysis 9
REBOUND EFFECT In the next 12 months, repatriation of Personal Luxury will stay, while experiences will fuel travelling With COVID-19 most likely under control, do you expect to With COVID-19 most likely under control, do you expect to spend more, less, or about the same on luxury products spend more, less, or about the same on luxury experiences in the next 12 months compared to before? in the next 12 months compared to before? Average delta spending +2.5% -4.7% +2.4% +14.1% A lot more (+50% or more) 11% 9% A lot more (+50% or more) 12% 20% 42% A bit more (+20%) 24% Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. A bit more (+20%) 24% 35% 10% About the same 40% About the same 39% 13% 20% 17% A bit less (-20%) 15% A bit less (-20%) 13% 16% A lot less (-50% or more) 12% 18% A lot less (-50% or more) 9% Country of Abroad Country of Abroad residence residence Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates 10
Contents 3 2 1 Introduction Market overview Consumer insights 11 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
U.S. & China growth engines 12 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
U.S. & CHINA GROWTH ENGINES Americans, bullish both on domestic and abroad spend, are Do you expect to spend more, less, or about the same on poised to regain their relevance… luxury products in the next 12 months? Expected delta in luxury spending, average % US consumers forecasted to resume growth at higher pace vs. pre- 7.7% pandemic estimates, resulting in increased US share of +2-3pp vs pre- 1.4% covid forecasts, landing at 19-21% in 2025 Chinese consumers are expected to accelerate with 6.0% respect to pre-crisis China Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. estimates, with increase in -5.6% share of +3-4pp vs pre- covid, limited by US consumers’ rebound, -0.3% landing at 43-45% in 2025 Europe -7.1% Country of Residence Abroad Note: Europe includes Italy, France, Germany and UK. Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates 13
U.S. & CHINA GROWTH ENGINES …Chinese instead, expected to increase their spend, but only domestically: China repatriation trend to stay In the 12 months after the crisis has ended, how much Before COVID-19 hit, 56% of the yearly luxury of your yearly luxury spend you used to do abroad do purchases of Chinese consumers were done abroad… you expect to convert to your country of residence? 100% 14% From half to all of it 69% Share of purchase 57% 56% abroad 13% 56% 21% 10% 86% Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. All of it More than Less than None Share of purchase half half 43% 44% in China -4p.p. Even if pandemic situation is more relaxed compared to last year, some 2016 2019 2020 vs consumption habits could have last year 73% changed for the medium term also Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates 14
Virtualization 15 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
VIRTUALIZATION Quest for engagement relevance in a noisy environment: Virtualization a promising and growing reality New inspiration New revenue New product channels streams & technology Global video game industry to Selling skins, team/individual World's first global luxury increase to $178B in 2020, sponsorships blockchain launched; more to surpassing film industry come Capsule collections, limited Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. 4 of every 5 U.S. consumers edition products & Luxury brands poised to jump have played a video game in partnerships in on NFT market, following the past 6 months success in art world Virtual product "labs" About 1/3 of gamers are aged 21-35 16
VIRTUALIZATION 1 out of 2 true luxury consumers, among the 39% aware, has bought luxury in- game items and, out of them, 86% purchased the corresponding physical version [Of those aware] Have you ever been [Of those who bought in-game Are you aware of luxury brands that lately have part of a virtual online game that items] Afterwards, did you also been interacting with their customers using involved a luxury brand and/or bought buy the corresponding physical virtual online games? in-game items? version of the item? US 53% 47% 39% Yes, and I bought China 51% 49% in-game items 55% Yes, then bought Yes, but I didn’t buy corresponding RoW 31% 69% in-game items physical version 86% Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. 61% No, but I would consider playing 33% No, but I would be interested No, and I would not No, and I would not Europe 28% 72% 9% 1% be interested 2% be interested 13% Yes No Average Effective both as alternative stream of income and Relevant for Chinese marketing tool to feed traditional products sales and US consumers Note: Europe includes Italy, France, Germany and UK; RoW includes Japan, South Korea, UAE, KSA, Russia and Brazil Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates 17
clienteling 2.0 & personalized Channel-agnostic customer journeys 18 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
The path ahead for Offline: from self-standing channel to touchpoint Luxury market1 Luxury market1 growth by channel, 2019-2023e (B€) Channel mix (%) Channel mix and contribution to market growth (%, B€) +~10-15%; i.e. +30/50 B€ ~+60 (~80) ~380/400 100% 100% 100% ~350 ~+35 +5pp vs. Brand.com ~+25 ~11% Brand.com ~6%~5% ~9% ~11% ~5% ~11% Pre-COVID Multi-brand ~6% ~14% Multi-brand ~14% estimate platforms platforms ~50% Omni-channel Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. ~50% Omni-channel incl. ROPO2 ~55% ~60% incl. ROPO2 ~60% Offline ~39% Offline ~39% ~25% ~15% ~15% 2019 2023e 2023e Luxury Brand. Multi-brand Omni- Pure Offline Luxury Pre-COVID Post-COVID market com platforms channel market 2019 2023e 1. Personal luxury market only (excluding experiential luxury), including true luxury, affordable luxury, and premium segments.; 2. Research Online Purchase Offline Source: Future of Distribution consumer survey, Post-COVID Luxury scenarios (BCG Lighthouse), expert interviews, BCG analyses and estimates 19
Clients become channel agnostic, expecting consistency… Brands increasingly communicate and sell using different What would you expect when interacting with your preferred luxury channels. How much important is it for you that a brand is brand through multiple channels? multi-channel? ~90% % of respondents mentioning feature (only respondents selecting "Important" or "Not negotiable") Not negotiable 9% 5% 11% 13% 10% Consistent brand image 44% ~50% Int. delivery services anywhere 42% Important 38% 48% 34% 42% 39% Same promotions on all channels 37% Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. Fast delivery services 36% 38% Somewhat important 37% 39% Exchange anywhere 36% 34% 40% All channels recognizability 35% 13% Not important 16% 13% 16% Same assortment in all channels 35% 4% Average Reward across all channels 35% Europe US China RoW Note: Europe includes Italy, France, Germany and UK; RoW includes Japan, South Korea, UAE, KSA, Russia and Brazil Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates 20
…and demanding personalized "touch": crucial for brands in the on-going quest for relevance What are the elements that you appreciate the most when the brand interacts with you / takes care of you? Greatest demand exists for … through both digital and physical avenues personalization services … Responses (%) Responses within personalization (%) Personalization 72 Personalised 39% Treatment In-store Exclusive access 58 to events and contents1 Targeted 26% Exclusive access to store / recommendations 56 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. products and promos2 Digital and omnichannel n.a.4 Engagement on news, novelties Recognised as same 43 23% and products manufacturing customer across channels Special product services3 16 Physical and Personal shopper 12% in-person n.a.4 Delivery services anywhere 12 Decreased Increased vs vs last year last year Personalized in-store treatments are most popular with Baby Boomers ~45% of those surveyed ranking it in their top 3 perf. services 1. Special glamorous events (parties, fashion shows), access to special brand content, invitation to runways, backstage photos, VIP events and other external events; 2. Special promotions (e.g. pre-sales, loyalty program, birthday gift) and exclusive shopping areas or hours in store; 3. Ability to have products refurbished by brands; 4. Not available due to change in cluster methodology Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates 21
Social and live commerce (i.e. livestreaming) boosted 22 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Livestreams highly relevant for US and Chinese luxury consumers and proving to be a high "conversion" tool (about 70% on average) Are you aware of online shopping platforms or physical stores that [Of those aware] Have you ever bought luxury goods during or immediately after a lately have started offering livestream sessions for shopping? livestream session with a brand, an online shopping platform or a physical store? China 73% 27% Yes, 43% 36% 43% 40% during 53% US 55% 45% 46% 27% Yes, immediately after 34% 20% 30% RoW 37% 63% 24% No, would Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. 27% 54% consider 30% 22% 26% Europe 30% 70% No, would not 14% 6% consider 8% 7% 5% 5% Yes No Average Europe US China Row Average Virtual livestream are very popular in China and to a … however, on average they prove to have high potential in terms of lesser extent in U.S., with Europe lagging behind … conversion, with 70% of respondents that have already purchased during or after them and no groups below the 60% threshold Note: Europe includes Italy, France, Germany and UK; RoW includes Japan, South Korea, UAE, KSA, Russia and Brazil Source: BCG-Altagamma True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight Survey Mar/Apr 21 (12K respondents in 12 countries), Expert interviews, BCG estimates 23
Altagamma & BCG Team for the 8th edition of the study Stefania Nicola Javier Filippo Sarah Guia Filippo Lazzaroni Pianon Seara Bianchi Willersdorf Ricci Prini Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved. General Manager Managing Managing Managing Managing Principal Project Altagamma Director Director Director Director Leader & & & & Senior Senior Partner Partner Partner Partner 24
Thank you! 25 Copyright © 2021 by Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
You can also read