Travel Management Priorities for 2013 - CWT Perspectives January 2013
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Contents Executive summary ......................................................................................................5 2013 priorities and planned measures ..................................................................8 Global annual survey ....................................................................................................................................................................... 8 2013 priorities .................................................................................................................................................................................... 8 2013 business travel trends from A to Z .......................................................... 20 Ancillary fees .....................................................................................................................................................................................21 Brazil, India and China ...................................................................................................................................................................24 Carbon emission trading ..............................................................................................................................................................30 Duty of care to employees ..........................................................................................................................................................32 Expense management ..................................................................................................................................................................34 Foggy economic outlook ..............................................................................................................................................................35 Game techniques ...........................................................................................................................................................................37 Hotel reviews ....................................................................................................................................................................................39 Inflation in prices .............................................................................................................................................................................41 Joint agreements between airlines ...........................................................................................................................................44 Key performance indicators ........................................................................................................................................................47 Low-cost carriers ..............................................................................................................................................................................49 Meetings and events (hybrid and virtual) ..............................................................................................................................52 New virtual agents ..........................................................................................................................................................................54 Online adoption ...............................................................................................................................................................................55 Packed planes ..................................................................................................................................................................................56 Quick quiz ..........................................................................................................................................................................................57 Rail travel ............................................................................................................................................................................................58 Social media......................................................................................................................................................................................61 Technology.........................................................................................................................................................................................62 Unmanaged travel programs ......................................................................................................................................................64 Visa regulations ................................................................................................................................................................................67 Well-being ..........................................................................................................................................................................................69 Generations X and Y ......................................................................................................................................................................70 Zhng Guó (China) ........................................................................................................................................................................72 About the CWT Travel Management Institute ................................................... 74 Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 3
Executive summary Survey on travel management priorities for 2013 Large and mid-sized companies share the same travel priorities, according to CWT’s latest global client survey on travel management priorities. In 2013, companies of all profiles will continue to make driving air and ground savings their top focus, followed by improving traveler compliance and optimizing hotel spend. As areas that offer major savings opportunities, it is no surprise they dominate the rankings in these economically challenging times. Other recognized sources of hard savings, optimizing online adoption and optimizing the travel policy, come next, while “softer” ways to enhance program performance take on less importance overall. Figure 1 Travel managers’ priorities for 2013 p 2013 Ranking Priority Respondents 1 Driving air and ground transportation savings 61% 2 Improving traveler compliance 64% 3 Optimizing hotel spend 59% 4 Optimizing online adoption 55% 5 Optimizing the travel policy 49% 6 Enhancing the traveler experience 43% 7 Further consolidating the travel program 33% 8 Developing key performance indicators 34% 9 Addressing safety and security needs 25% 10 Tackling meetings and events 16% 11 Making the program more environmentally friendly 8% Notes: CWT asked travel managers to select their top five travel management priorities for 2013 and rank them in order of importance. The responses were weighted to take into account how often each priority was ranked 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th. The “Respondents” column shows the proportion of travel managers who included the priority in their top five. “Driving air and ground transportation savings” was identified as a priority by fewer travel managers than “improving traveler compliance” (61% compared to 64%) but ranked higher overall because it figured higher in travel managers’ top five. Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on a survey of 706 travel managers worldwide (November 2012) This year’s results also reveal some differences between regions, reflecting the market conditions faced by respondents as well as program maturity. For example, while driving air and ground savings remains the top priority for country/regional travel managers in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and Latin America, improving traveler compliance is considered more important by travel managers in Asia Pacific and North America, as well as those responsible for global programs. Compared to the total sample, optimizing online adoption is also a stronger focus for country/regional travel managers in EMEA and global travel managers (who rank it 3rd instead of 4th). As could be expected, global travel managers accord a higher priority than their regional colleagues to further consolidating the travel program. Travel managers in Asia Pacific, on the other hand, rank safety and security higher (7th vs. 9th in the total sample), while in Latin America, more importance is attached to developing key performance indicators (4th vs. 8th) and enhancing the traveler experience (5th vs. 6th). Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 5
Figure 2 2013 priorities by travel managers’ scope of responsibility Asia Pacific Europe, Middle East Latin America North America Global and Africa Priority Respondents Priority Respondents Priority Respondents Priority Respondents Priority Respondents Compliance 66% Air & ground 64% Air & ground 82% Compliance 65% Compliance 75% Air & ground 59% Compliance 62% Hotel 59% Air & ground 57% Air & ground 56% Hotel 53% Online adoption 59% Compliance 57% Hotel 60% Online adoption 57% Travel policy 51% Hotel 60% KPIs 50% Online adoption 54% Hotel 56% Online adoption 49% Travel policy 51% Traveler experience 50% Travel policy 53% Consolidation 46% Traveler experience 47% KPIs 35% Online adoption 48% Traveler experience 51% Traveler experience 41% Safety & security 32% Traveler experience 34% Travel policy 32% Consolidation 35% Travel policy 35% Consolidation 27% Consolidation 31% Consolidation 32% KPIs 32% KPIs 38% KPIs 22% Safety & security 23% Safety & security 25% Safety & security 28% Safety & security 17% Environment 7% Meetings & events 15% Meetings & events 14% Meetings & events 18% Meetings & events 21% Meetings & events 7% Environment 13% Environment 2% Environment 6% Environment 2% Sample size: 59 travel managers 287 travel managers 44 travel managers 253 travel managers 63 travel managers Note: Regional results include country/regional travel managers. Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on a survey of 706 travel managers worldwide (November 2012) Travel management in 2013: an A-Z of trends to watch To help travel managers tackle their priorities, CWT has produced an “A-Z” of trends impacting the travel program. (See Figure 3 on Page 7.) These can be grouped into a number of broader developments. To start with, technology is firmly in the spotlight, playing an ever-important role in keeping travelers happy, safe and productive while helping companies to drive compliance and manage their programs more effectively. With Generation Y or the younger generation of travelers already surpassing other populations of business travelers in some countries, companies can no longer ignore the need for a social media strategy or the benefits of recent tools such as games techniques, corporate hotel review sites, and virtual/hybrid solutions for meetings and events. Meanwhile, airlines and airports are embracing the future with new virtual travel agents. Online booking tool adoption will continue to rise, especially in Eastern countries. But companies will not lose sight of the human element, looking at ways to increase traveler well-being and fulfill their duty of care to employees. Despite a foggy economic outlook, companies can expect slight growth in travel in the more developed business travel markets contrasted with faster growth in developing countries. Brazil, India and China will play a starring role, with business travel spend increasing at around twice the pace of the world average (12.6 percent, 21.5 percent and 14.7 percent forecast growth respectively, compared with 8.1 percent globally).1 However, even in the fastest-growing markets, inflation in travel prices is expected to be modest overall at around a few percentage points across most travel categories. A number of developments in the supplier landscape are also worth watching. As airlines continue to take a cautious approach to capacity increases, packed planes will remain the norm, underlining the importance of advance booking. New joint airline agreements, the growing presence of low-cost carriers and more extensive high-speed rail networks will offer opportunities for companies worldwide, particularly in travel programs focusing on optimizing the trade-offs between air and high-speed rail. When considering different supplier proposals, travel managers will increasingly consider the total cost of spend, including ancillary fees that now represent an estimated 5-10 percent of companies’ total travel budgets. To do so, more companies will focus on more effective expense management. 1 GBTA Foundation, GBTA BTI Outlook Annual Global Report and Forecast, Prospects for Global Business Travel 2012-2016 (July 2012) 6
Regulatory changes will have a varied impact. For example in China (“ZhŮng Guó” in transliteration), new rules allowing international airlines to ticket via foreign global distribution systems will be slow to take effect, partly due to lengthy approval procedures. On the other hand, relaxed visa regulations in some countries should bring good news for the impacted passport holders. Meanwhile, the European Union’s controversial new carbon emission trading system will likely see higher airline costs passed on in fuel surcharges. On this “green” theme, more companies will be tracking their carbon footprints in their key performance indicators. Finally, all eyes will be on the growing debate surrounding “unmanaged” business travel or “open booking,” which some industry observers are advocating as an alternative to travel booked through travel counselors and online booking tools. Lacking sufficient proof of real cost savings and traveler satisfaction, this form of “travel management 2.0” seems to be weighed down by disadvantages. However, much awaited further research should be published by the Global Business Travel Association, as well as by the CWT Travel Management Institute later this year… Figure 3 Business travel trends in 2013 Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 7
2013 priorities and planned measures Global annual survey CWT conducts an annual online survey of travel managers to benchmark their priorities and the measures they plan to implement over the year to come. This year, the sample more than doubled to 706 travel managers, up from 290 last year. Further, the scope of the survey was extended to include companies with mid-sized national programs (representing at least US$2 million of travel spend) in addition to those with the largest international programs (more than US$100 million of travel spend over at least 2 regions). 2013 priorities In 2013, the overall ranking of priorities remains fairly stable compared to 2012. As can be expected, travel managers intend to focus most on areas representing the greatest savings opportunities rather than those linked more to the traveler experience. What is more surprising perhaps is that the ranking of priorities is identical for companies with major global programs and those with mid-sized national programs that may not have reached the same levels of maturity. Also worth highlighting are a number of regional variations: Driving air and ground savings is the top priority overall but an especially high priority for travel managers in Latin America, 82 percent of whom ranked this area in their top five. Improving traveler compliance is the top priority for travel managers with global responsibilities, 75 percent of whom ranked the area in their top five, as well as respondents in Asia Pacific (66 percent) and North America (65 percent). Optimizing hotel spend is highly ranked by all categories of travel managers (53-60 percent, depending on the region). Optimizing online adoption is accorded more importance by travel managers in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and travel managers with global responsibilities (ranked by both as the number three priority). Optimizing the travel policy is a priority for 49 percent of respondents overall, although the percentage per region varies quite considerably—from 32 percent in Latin America to 53 percent in North America. Enhancing the traveler experience is a top five priority for more travel managers in North America and Latin America (51 percent and 50 percent respectively) than in Europe, the Middle East and Africa (34 percent). Further consolidating the travel program is a high priority for more global travel managers (46 percent) than the overall sample (33 percent). Developing key performance indicators is ranked higher by travel managers in Latin America (in 4th position, compared to 8th overall). Addressing safety and security needs is a stronger focus for Asia Pacific (32 percent of respondents, ranking 7th) than the overall sample (25 percent, ranking 9th). Tackling meetings and events is cited more often by global travel managers than the overall sample (21 percent and 16 percent respectively). Making the program more environmentally friendly is almost always the lowest-ranking priority for the different categories of travel managers. 8
Figure 4 Travel managers’ priorities for 2013 Total sample Surveyed companies by sector 2013 Ranking Priority Respondents Media, hotels, restaurants & transportation 1 Driving air and ground transportation savings 61% 6% Industrial manufacturing 2 Improving traveler compliance 64% Other 3% 7% Chemicals, pharmaceuticals 3 Optimizing hotel spend 59% Aerospace, & healthcare defense, oil, gas 8% 4 Optimizing online adoption 55% & construction 27% 5 Optimizing the travel policy 49% IT & telecommunications 6 Enhancing the traveler experience 43% 15% 7 Further consolidating the travel program 33% Banking, consulting 8 Developing key performance indicators 34% & insurance Consumer products, food & retail 18% 9 Addressing safety and security needs 25% 16% 10 Tackling meetings and events 16% 11 Making the program more environmentally friendly 8% Sample size: 706 travel managers Breakdown by travel managers’ scope of responsibility Asia Pacific Europe, Middle East Latin America North America Global and Africa Priority Respondents Priority Respondents Priority Respondents Priority Respondents Priority Respondents Compliance 66% Air & ground 64% Air & ground 82% Compliance 65% Compliance 75% Air & ground 59% Compliance 62% Hotel 59% Air & ground 57% Air & ground 56% Hotel 53% Online adoption 59% Compliance 57% Hotel 60% Online adoption 57% Travel policy 51% Hotel 60% KPIs 50% Online adoption 54% Hotel 56% Online adoption 49% Travel policy 51% Traveler experience 50% Travel policy 53% Consolidation 46% Traveler experience 47% KPIs 35% Online adoption 48% Traveler experience 51% Traveler experience 41% Safety & security 32% Traveler experience 34% Travel policy 32% Consolidation 35% Travel policy 35% Consolidation 27% Consolidation 31% Consolidation 32% KPIs 32% KPIs 38% KPIs 22% Safety & security 23% Safety & security 25% Safety & security 28% Safety & security 17% Environment 7% Meetings & events 15% Meetings & events 14% Meetings & events 18% Meetings & events 21% Meetings & events 7% Environment 13% Environment 2% Environment 6% Environment 2% Sample size: 59 travel managers 287 travel managers 44 travel managers 253 travel managers 63 travel managers Notes: CWT asked travel managers to select their top five travel management priorities for 2013 and rank them in order of importance. The responses were weighted to take into account how often each priority was ranked 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th. The “Respondents” column shows the proportion of travel managers who included the priority in their top five. “Driving air and ground transportation savings” was identified as a priority by fewer travel managers than “improving traveler compliance” (61% compared to 64%) but ranked higher overall because it figured higher in travel managers’ top five. Regional results include country/regional travel managers. Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on a survey of 706 travel managers worldwide (November 2012) Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 9
Asia Pacific In Asia Pacific, the number one priority for travel managers is improving traveler compliance, with driving air and ground savings falling to 2nd place. Optimizing hotel spend remains the third priority, while optimizing the travel policy comes further up the rankings (4th rather than 5th), swapping places with optimizing online adoption. Another area that is given more importance is addressing safety and security needs, which ranks 7th in Asia Pacific, compared to 9th in the total sample. In contrast, developing key performance indicators ranks slightly lower (9th vs. 8th). (See Figure 4 on Page 9.) Compared with other regions, travel managers in Asia Pacific intend to place more focus on: Communicating/providing training on the travel policy and empowering travel counselors to enforce rules (to improve compliance) Tightening air and ground travel policy while finding the right balance between negotiated and restricted fares, as well as exploring low-cost carrier opportunities (to drive air savings) Mandating preferred booking channels and consolidating hotel spend on fewer properties to leverage larger volumes in negotiations (to optimize hotel spend) Increasing the scope of online booking tool (OBT) implementation and mandating OBT usage (to optimize online adoption) And less focus on: Negotiating fuel surcharges and ancillary fees (to drive air and ground savings) Globalizing volumes and contracts (to further consolidate the travel program) Figure 5 Asia Pacific key indicators (air) Average ticket price in economy class Domestic US$283 Continental US$503 Intercontinental US$1,242 Average ticket price in business class Continental US$1,775 Intercontinental US$4,667 Intercontinental flights booked in business class 34% Flights booked at least 14 days in advance Domestic 21% Continental 41% Intercontinental 57% Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on tickets booked by CWT clients (Q3 2012) 10
Figure 6 Top priorities and planned measures for travel managers in Asia Pacific 2013 Ranking Priority Planned measures Respondents* Communicate and provide training on travel policy 72% Actively remind employees of policy 67% Improving 1 traveler compliance Engage management throughout the organization 59% Track and communicate compliance levels 56% Empower travel counselors to enforce compliance 49% Find the right balance between negotiated and restricted fare usage 57% Driving air Tighten air policy (class of travel, use of connecting flights, advance booking, etc.) 51% and ground 2 transportation Work with airline alliances 43% savings Negotiate point-of-origin pricing 40% Concentrate volume on a limited number of suppliers 40% Consolidate hotel spend on fewer properties to leverage larger volumes in negotiations 61% Optimizing Mandate preferred booking channels 58% 3 hotel spend Mandate the use of preferred hotels 58% Consolidate multiple sources of hotel data 52% Address advance purchase behavior 57% Optimizing 4 the travel policy Standardize the policy regionally or globally 50% Aim for best-in-class travel policy guidelines 37% Enhance communication/training 76% Optimizing Track and communicate online booking tool (OBT) usage 69% 5 online adoption Increase scope of OBT implementation 45% Mandate OBT usage 45% * Percentage of respondents who selected the planned measure having cited the corresponding priority in their top five Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on a survey of 59 travel managers in Asia Pacific (November 2012) Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 11
Europe, In Europe, the Middle East and Africa, driving air and ground transportation savings and improving traveler compliance remain the top two priorities for travel managers. Compared to the total sample, optimizing online adoption comes higher in the ranking, switching places with optimizing hotel spend (ranking 3rd and 4th respectively). Optimizing the travel policy remains in 5th place, while enhancing the traveler experience ranks slightly lower (7th vs. 6th in the total sample). (See Figure 4 on Page 9.) Compared with other regions, travel managers in Europe, the Middle East and Africa intend to place more focus on: Tightening air and rail policy (to drive air and ground transportation savings) Addressing advance purchase behavior (to optimize the travel policy) And less focus on: Negotiating point-of-origin pricing (to drive air and ground transportation savings) Implementing an expense management tool (to improve traveler compliance) Implementing social media tools/apps (to improve the traveler experience) Figure 7 Europe, Middle East and Africa key indicators (air) Average ticket price in economy class Domestic US$447 Continental US$577 Intercontinental US$1,617 Average ticket price in business class Continental US$1,689 Intercontinental US$6,523 Intercontinental flights booked in business class 39% Flights booked at least 14 days in advance Domestic 36% Continental 46% Intercontinental 64% Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on tickets booked by CWT clients (Q3 2012) 12
Middle East and Africa Figure 8 Top priorities and planned measures for travel managers in Europe, Middle East and Africa 2013 Ranking Priority Planned measures Respondents* Driving air Tighten air policy 40% and ground 1 transportation Find the right balance between negotiated and restricted fare usage 40% savings Concentrate volume on a limited number of suppliers 38% Actively remind employees of policy 71% Improving 2 traveler compliance Engage management throughout the organization 56% Communicate and provide training on travel policy 47% Enhance communication/training 58% Optimizing 3 online adoption Track and communicate online booking tool (OBT) usage 44% Encourage travel counselors to steer travelers to the OBT 40% Mandate the use of preferred hotels 54% Optimizing 4 hotel spend Negotiate amenities (e.g., Internet, breakfast and parking) 39% Consolidate hotel spend on fewer properties to leverage larger volumes in negotiations 39% Address advance purchase behavior 61% Optimizing the 5 travel policy Standardize the policy regionally or globally 38% Aim for best-in-class travel policy guidelines 30% * Percentage of respondents who selected the planned measure having cited the corresponding priority in their top five Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on a survey of 287 travel managers in Europe, Middle East and Africa (November 2012) Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 13
Latin America Driving air and ground transportation savings also remains the top priority when looking at the survey results for Latin America. Optimizing hotel spend and improving traveler compliance switch places, ranking 2nd and 3rd respectively. However, optimizing online adoption and the travel policy drop to 7th and 8th place as travel managers in this region make a higher priority of developing key performance indicators and enhancing the traveler experience (in 4th and 5th place). (See Figure 4 on Page 9.) Compared with other regions, travel managers in Latin America intend to place more focus on: Implementing advance booking rules and tightening rental car policy (to drive air and ground savings) Introducing mandates on preferred hotels (to optimize hotel spend) Tracking changed/cancelled bookings and related costs (as key performance indicators) Offering traveler profile management tools (to enhance the traveler experience) And less focus on: Introducing measures to optimize the rail program, in view of the limited offering in this region (to drive ground savings) Implementing social media tools (to enhance the traveler experience) Figure 9 Latin America key indicators (air) Average ticket price in economy class Domestic US$269 Continental US$824 Intercontinental US$1,403 Average ticket price in business class Continental US$1,857 Intercontinental US$4,581 Intercontinental flights booked in business class 25% Flights booked at least 14 days in advance Domestic 22% Continental 36% Intercontinental 55% Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on tickets booked by CWT clients (Q3 2012) 14
Figure 10 Top priorities and planned measures for travel managers in Latin America 2013 Ranking Priority Planned measures Respondents* Driving air Concentrate volume on a limited number of suppliers 58% and ground 1 transportation Work with airline alliances 47% savings Implement advance booking rules 42% Mandate the use of preferred hotels 77% Optimizing 2 hotel spend Consolidate hotel spend on fewer properties to leverage larger volumes in negotiations 50% Negotiate amenities (e.g., Internet, breakfast and parking) 50% Improving Actively remind employees of policy 72% 3 traveler compliance Communicate and provide training on travel policy 64% Engage management throughout the organization 60% Modified/cancelled booking and related costs 77% Developing 4 KPIs Missed air savings (vs. lowest logical airfares) 46% Average ticket price evolution and benchmarking 41% Enhancing the Offer mobile services 55% 5 traveler experience Offer traveler profile management tool 41% * Percentage of respondents who selected the planned measure having cited the corresponding priority in their top five Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on a survey of 44 travel managers in Latin America (November 2012) Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 15
North America In North America, travel managers’ top priority is improving traveler compliance, which pushes driving air and ground transportation savings to 2nd place. Their 3rd, 4th and 5th priorities match the results of the total sample: optimizing hotel spend, online adoption and the travel policy. (See Figure 4 on Page 9.) Compared with other regions, travel managers in North America intend to place more focus on: Negotiating multi-year contracts and implementing flexible, dynamic negotiations with suppliers throughout the year (to drive air savings) Extending the geographical scope of the travel program and standardizing processes (to further consolidate the travel program) Leveraging technology (to tackle meetings and events) And less focus on: Finding the right balance between negotiated and restricted fare usage (to optimize air and ground savings) Implementing advance booking rules (to optimize hotel spend) Defining criteria for using travel alternatives (to optimize the travel policy) Figure 11 North America key indicators (air) Average ticket price in economy class Domestic US$562 Continental US$761 Intercontinental US$1,567 Average ticket price in business class Continental US$2,410 Intercontinental US$6,055 Intercontinental flights booked in business class 37% Flights booked at least 14 days in advance Domestic 47% Continental 56% Intercontinental 66% Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on tickets booked by CWT clients (Q3 2012) 16
Figure 12 Top priorities and planned measures for travel managers in North America 2013 Ranking Priority Planned measures Respondents* Actively remind employees of policy 76% Improving Engage management throughout the organization 64% 1 traveler compliance Communicate and provide training on travel policy 58% Track and communicate compliance levels 58% Concentrate volume on a limited number of suppliers 46% Driving air and ground Negotiate multi-year contracts and implement flexible, dynamic negotiations with 2 transportation suppliers throughout year 46% savings Tighten the air policy (class of travel, connecting flights, advance booking, etc.) 42% Negotiate amenities (e.g., Internet, breakfast and parking) 49% Optimizing Consolidate hotel spend on fewer properties to leverage larger volumes in negotiations 47% 3 hotel spend Mandate the use of preferred hotels 45% Request last-room availability (LRA) agreements from hoteliers 41% Enhance communication/training 71% Optimizing 4 online Track and communicate online booking tool (OBT) usage 60% adoption Encourage travel counselors to steer travelers to the OBT 44% Address advance purchase behavior 52% Optimizing 5 the travel policy Standardize the policy regionally or globally 50% Aim for best-in-class travel policy guidelines 47% Enhancing 6 the traveler experience Offer mobile services 62% * Percentage of respondents who selected the planned measure having cited the corresponding priority in their top five Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on a survey of 253 travel managers in North America (November 2012) Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 17
Global travel managers Like travel managers in North America and Asia Pacific, global travel managers make improving traveler compliance their top priority for 2013, followed by driving air and ground transportation savings. Online adoption and hotel spend are their next main areas of focus, followed by consolidation, which comes higher in their list of priorities compared to the total sample (5th vs. 7th). (See Figure 4 on Page 9.) Compared with country/regional travel managers, global travel managers intend to place more focus on: Implementing traveler messaging tools (to improve compliance) Negotiating point-of-origin pricing and introducing more mandates (to drive air transportation savings) Globalizing volumes and contracts, and consolidating sourcing (to further consolidate the travel program) Implementing a wider range of measures (to support all priorities) And less focus on: Tightening the travel policy (to optimize air and ground savings) Tracking changed/cancelled bookings and the related costs (to drive air savings) 18
Figure 13 Top priorities and planned measures for global travel managers 2013 Ranking Priority Planned measures Respondents* Engage management throughout the organization 79% Track & communicate compliance levels 75% Improving 1 traveler compliance Actively remind employee of policy 66% Communicate & provide trainings on travel policy 53% Implement traveler messaging tool (CWT Program Messenger) 53% Concentrate volume on a limited number of suppliers 69% Driving air Work with airline alliances 63% and ground 2 transportation Negotiate point-of-origin pricing 46% savings Negotiate multi-year contracts and implement flexible, dynamic negotiations with suppliers 46% throughout year Review and update online booking tool (OBT) configuration/settings periodically 75% Optimizing Enhance communication/training 72% 3 online Enhance OBT features 64% adoption Track and communicate OBT usage 64% Consolidate hotel spend on fewer properties to leverage larger volumes in negotiations 51% Optimizing 4 hotel spend Mandate the use of preferred hotels 49% Negotiate amenities (e.g., Internet, breakfast and parking) 49% * Percentage of respondents who selected the planned measure having cited the corresponding priority in their top five Source: CWT Travel Management Institute Based on a survey of 63 global travel managers (November 2012) Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 19
2013 business travel trends from A to Z The following table shows the cross-over between travel managers’ priorities and key market trends for 2013. Survey results and commentary are included in the A-Z of trends as described on Pages 21-72. Figure 14 Travel managers’ priorities and key industry trends at a glance rience ents ption urity n s & ev r expe t d lidatio policy nmen & sec liance g r oun e ado ng ies e Conso Enviro Comp Safety Travel Travel Onlin Hotel Meeti Priorit Air & KPIs Page Trends A - Ancillary fees 21 B - Brazil, India and China 24 C - Carbon emission trading 30 D - Duty of care 32 E - Expense management 34 F - Foggy economic outlook 35 G - Game techniques 37 H - Hotel reviews 39 I - Inflation 41 J - Joint agreements 44 K - KPIs 47 L - Low-cost carriers 49 M - Meetings and events 52 N - New virtual agents 54 O - Online usage 55 P - Packed planes 56 Q - Quick quiz 57 R - Rail travel 58 S - Social media 61 T - Technology 62 U - Unmanaged travel programs 64 V - Visa regulations 67 W - Well-being 69 X Y - Gen X&Y 70 Z - Zhōng Guó (China) 72 Source: CWT Travel Management Institute 20
A ncillary fees on top of fares and rates will be watched closely by travel managers in all areas of the travel program and leveraged in negotiations. Air & ground Compliance Hotel Travel policy KPIs CWT estimates that ancillary fees account for 5-10 percent of the corporate air budget2 and can add up to 33 percent to the cost of a hotel stay.3 Car rental “extras” on top of daily or weekly rates can also be significant. More travel managers are therefore looking beyond fares and rates to effectively manage the total cost of travel. How to tackle ancillary spend? Three main areas are likely to capture more attention: Clarifying the policy on ancillary fees. In a previous CWT survey4 only 35 percent of surveyed travel managers said their travel policy included a special section on ancillary fees. At the very least, companies need to let travelers know which fees are reimbursable, but they can also distinguish between different traveler categories (e.g., by allowing frequent travelers to claim reimbursement for airport lounge access). These policy items should be supported by regular communications to travelers. Tracking ancillary spend. CWT’s survey of travel managers’ priorities reveals that nearly one in two global travel managers (46 percent) intend to monitor ancillary spend. But how? Until more ancillary fees are booked through global distribution systems (see Page 23), expense reports and credit card figures will remain the best sources of data on ancillary spend. Travel management companies can provide support with tracking, spend estimates and data analysis, enabling clients to monitor program performance on both the traveler and airline sides. Negotiating ancillary fees with suppliers. Forty-four percent of all surveyed travel managers intend to negotiate hotel amenities to optimize spend, while 34 percent of global travel managers plan to negotiate fuel surcharges and other ancillary fees to drive savings in air and ground transportation. Companies can ask suppliers to provide information on ancillary fees so they can more accurately compare competing offers, and this can lead to better discounts or even waived fees and improved conditions for travelers. For example, some CWT clients with large spend volumes have successfully negotiated frequent flyer perks (e.g., lounge access and priority boarding) for all their travelers. A major source of revenues for suppliers This focus on ancillary fees is particular important given that suppliers seem in no hurry to reintegrate them into basic prices. Some airlines have introduced fare bundles that include selected ancillary services. (One of the latest examples is American Airlines, which in December 2012 launched optional “Choice Essential” and “Choice Plus” packages offering one free checked bag and waived ticket change fees along with other services.) Generally speaking, however, ancillary fees continue to be a major source of revenues for suppliers: The U.S. hotel industry is expected to record a 3.5 percent year-on-year increase in 2012 revenues from amenity fees (e.g., Internet, telephone, business center access and resort fees), reaching an estimated US$1.95 billion according to a forecast by New York University.5 The report suggests the increase comes less from new types of fees than higher charges for the same services and increased volume. 2 CWT Travel Management Institute, Mastering the Maze: A Practical Guide to Air and Ground Savings (2012) 3 CWT Travel Management Institute, Room for Savings: Optimizing Hotel Spend (2009) 4 See Footnote 2 5 Bjorn Hanson, Divisional Dean of New York University’s Preston Robert Tisch Center for Hospitality, Tourism and Sports Management, Trend Analysis Report (August 2012) Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 21
Global airline ancillary revenues are also increasing but holding quite steady as a proportion of all revenues, at 5.4 percent in 2012 vs. 5.6 percent in 2011 according to a forecast by global distribution system provider Amadeus.6 Globally, ancillary fees are expected to bring in US$36.1 billion in 2012, with the strongest revenue increases in Latin America and the Caribbean; the Middle East and Africa; and Asia Pacific. Airlines continue to evolve their offering by adding new ancillary services, with recent announcements including onboard Wi-Fi on some U.S. carriers’ international flights, and a “no-show fee” reportedly in the works for Southwest’s restricted tickets. Two “classic” fees (checked bags and cancellation fees) still represent airlines’ largest ancillary revenues. Amadeus reports for example, that these two charges represented 65 percent of total ancillary revenue at Delta Air Lines and 52 percent at American Airlines in 2011. Fuel surcharges appear to be a new source of revenue for many airlines, having become disconnected from actual fuel costs. According to CWT transaction data, fuel surcharges have risen on all kinds of flights, especially intercontinental, since first quarter 2012, even when oil prices have dropped or stabilized. The trend is particularly marked on domestic routes, as shown in Figure 15. As yet, few companies consider fuel surcharges a negotiable item, but they may want to bring them to the negotiating table with airlines. Their travel management company can help in tracking fuel surcharges and ancillary fees in general. Figure 15 Fuel surcharges appear somewhat disconnected to oil price trends Notes: This chart encompasses all classes of service for network carriers based in every region of the world. 12 carriers were included in 2011 and 19 in 2012. Values have been recalculated using flat exchange rates to eliminate artificial price variations. Source: CWT, based on Amadeus and U.S. Energy Information Administration data 6 Amadeus/IdeaWorks, Amadeus Worldwide Estimate of Ancillary Revenue for 2012 (August 2012) 22
Airline ancillary fee distribution: still a work in progress Two problems typically faced in the corporate air travel program are knowing how ancillary fees compare between airlines and impact the cost of travel, and how to track traveler spend on ancillary fees when they are paid as separate expenses rather than included in the fare. For the moment, airlines do not systematically make ancillary fees and packages available in global distribution systems (GDSs). The issue is not so much that the technology is unavailable but that the industry needs to agree on standards, and in particular, airlines need to provide the content without discrimination across all distribution channels. A number of initiatives look promising although the desired changes will not happen overnight: More airlines will be equipped technologically to enable e-ticketing of ancillary services via an “electronic miscellaneous document” (EMD). This system, developed under the leadership of the International Air Transport Association (IATA), enables ancillary fee data to be included in IATA’s billing and settlement system. IATA’s objective is for all commercial carriers to be EMD-capable by the end of 2013. However, to be useful to corporate buyers, this system must be adopted for airline sales through GDSs. Carriers are only just starting to use the capability. (See below.) Airlines have begun to provide more ancillary products through GDSs. For example, in 2012, Delta Air Lines reached agreements to sell Economy Comfort (extra legroom) through the Amadeus and Travelport GDSs, while US Airways began selling ChoiceSeats (preferred seating assignments) through Sabre, initially without enabling EMDs. Air France adopted Amadeus’s solution to distribute its SeatPlus seating on long-haul flights and enable travel counselors to use EMD for tracking and fulfillment. U.S. airlines may be required by law to display ancillary fees through all sales channels if the U.S. Department of Transportation includes this measure in new rules expected in May 2013. Its controversial “Enhancing Airline Passenger Protections III” regulation has already been postponed several times. IATA is pushing ahead with a New Distribution Capability (NDC) aimed at providing airlines with identical capabilities across all sales channels and greater consistency for clients. Basically, the system would involve GDSs accessing content directly from participating airlines through shared application programming interface (API) technology. Although this technology already exists—it is used, for example, to access content from some low-cost airlines—the aim is to implement a more powerful and efficient industry-wide standard that would support product differentiation and customization (e.g., optional service packages). Participation is optional, but airlines and GDSs must choose to cooperate for IATA to achieve its aims. Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 23
B razil, India and China will continue driving growth in business travel spend, at around twice the world average. Air & ground Hotel Online adoption Global business travel spending is expected to grow by 8.1 percent7 in 2013, at just over twice the forecast rate of economic growth (3.6 percent).8 However, business travel spending will grow at two speeds: slower overall in developed countries (mostly well under 5 percent), and much faster (double-digit growth) in some developing countries. Three countries in particular stand out: India (21.5 percent forecast growth), China (14.7 percent) and Brazil (12.6 percent). Some of their key features are described here. Figure 16 Forecast global business travel spending (US$ billions) 2012 2013 % change 1 United States 254.9 266.7 +4.6% 2 China 194.8 223.6 +14.7% 3 Japan 66.2 67.4 +1.8% 4 Germany 50.8 52.5 +3.3% 5 United Kingdom 40.2 41.3 +2.8% 6 France 35.7 36.1 +1.1% 7 Italy 32.9 32.5 -1.2% 8 Korea 31.1 34.7 +11.8% 9 Brazil 30.1 33.9 +12.6% 10 Canada 22.5 23.1 +2.3% 11 India 22.4 27.2 +21.5% 12 Australia 21.7 22.7 +4.6% 13 Russia 22.1 23.8 +7.8% 14 Spain 17.9 17.6 -1.6% 15 Netherlands 18.5 18.9 +2.2% Source: GBTA Foundation, GBTA BTI Outlook ( July 2012, September 2012, October 2012, January 2013) 7 GBTA Foundation, GBTA BTI Outlook Annual Global Report and Forecast, Prospects for Global Business Travel 2012-2016 (July 2012) 8 International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook (October 2012) 24
Brazil Projected business travel spend in 2013: US$ 33.9 billion (+12.6 percent vs. 2012) The world’s 6th largest economy Population: 199 million 16 cities with more than 1 million inhabitants 24 percent of the population aged under 15 6.5 percent estimated unemployment (2013) Sources: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook (October 2012), Central Intelligence Agency, World Factbook (January 2013), Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (2012), Population Reference Bureau, World Population Data Sheet (2012) Brazil’s economy is forecast to grow by 4 percent in 2013, resuming faster growth after slower performance in 2012 and 2011 (1.5 percent and 2.7 percent respectively, compared to 7.5 percent in 2010, according to the International Monetary Fund). The country boasts a highly dynamic airline industry, with many recent mergers and changes in global alliance membership: Avianca-TACA merged in 2009 and entered Star Alliance in 2012 GOL announced the decision to drop the Webjet brand name in 2012 after receiving final approval for its merger with the carrier Azul and Trip announced their intended merger in 2012 TAM, newly merged with LAN, announced it would leave Star Alliance (without confirming it would join LAN in oneworld) Figure 17 Market share in Brazil’s domestic aviation market 1% 5% 5% 9% 5% 35% 40% ca t L M Av do IP ul bje GO Az TA TR ian are We ss Pa Source: ANAC – National Civil Aviation Agency of Brazil (October 2012) Capacity and traffic are set to grow in 2013 especially in the domestic market, despite a slowdown in the second half of 2012. New entrants will continue to expand rapidly although perhaps taking less market share away from newly- merged leaders TAM and GOL than in previous years. Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 25
There is no strong distinction between low-cost carriers and network carriers in Brazil. Hotels are experiencing an upward trend in occupancy despite a slowdown in 2012. Brazil reportedly has the most rooms under construction (3,831) in the Central/South America region.9 About 50 percent of available hotels are independent. A high proportion of travel content is unavailable in global distribution systems, although airlines are progressively reintroducing content. (In 2005, the country’s two largest carriers, TAM and GOL, pulled all of their domestic content out of GDSs, in effect removing 90 percent of Brazil’s inventory.) Online adoption among Brazilian companies is being driven by online booking tools specifically developed for the market, given the fragmentation of content. Credit cards are widely accepted for travel in Brazil, which is not the case of all Latin American countries. A high-speed rail network is in the pipeline, with several routes planned: Campinas–Sao Paulo–Rio de Janeiro, Brasilia–Goiania, Belo Horizonte–Curitiba, and Ribeirao Preto–Uberlandia. The project is still in the planning stage, however, with no firm launch dates yet. CWT forecasts low to high price increases for Brazilian business travel in 2013, depending on the category: Air: +1.6 percent to +6.1 percent Hotel: +13.1 percent to +14.8 percent Car: +2.3 percent to +3.4 percent 9 STR Global, Global Development Pipeline Report (September 2012) 26
India Projected business travel spend in 2013: US$27.2 billion (+21.5 percent vs. 2012) The world’s 10th largest economy Population: 1.20 billion 53 cities with more than 1 million inhabitants 31 percent of the population aged under 15 9.8 percent estimated unemployment (2011) Sources: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook (October 2012), Central Intelligence Agency, World Factbook (January 2013), Population Reference Bureau, World Population Data Sheet (2012), Office of the Registrar General and Census Commissioner, India (2011) India’s GDP is expected to grow by 6 percent in 2013, compared to 4.9 percent (forecast) in 2012, 6.8 percent in 2011 and 10.1 percent in 2010. Given this strong GDP growth, combined with a young population and expanding middle class, the country’s aviation market is likely to remain among the world’s fastest growing over the coming decades. However, carriers such as Kingfisher and Air India are struggling to maintain profitability in a predominately low-cost market. (Budget airlines account for more than 60 percent of domestic business.) One key issue is fuel prices being kept artificially high by government regulation. Figure 18 Indian carriers’ share of the domestic market 3% 6% 7% 18% 19% 19% 28% lite ia ys Jet igo Jet r Air e Ind sh wa Ind Go ice gfi Air Air Sp Kin Jet Source: CWT Also worth noting: India’s hotels are expanding faster than in any other Asia Pacific country, with 54,738 rooms10 in the pipeline. Although India’s rail network is one of the world’s largest in the world, it currently has no high-speed lines. Several projects are under review for possible construction within the next few years. The first section of Mumbai Metro, a new mass rapid transit system, is due to open in 2013. Running on a dedicated elevated rail corridor, the system will link the northern and southern parts of the city, as well as its suburbs. Although drivers are not required to hold an Indian driving license, foreigners renting vehicles tend to prefer hiring a chauffeur to get round the country’s busy roads. CWT forecasts varied price trends for Indian business travel in 2013: Air: +0.3 percent to +1.7 percent Car: +2.6 percent to +4.6 percent Hotel: -3.6 percent to -5.1 percent 10 STR Global, Global Development Pipeline Report (September 2012) Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 27
China Projected business travel spend in 2013: US$223.5 billion (+14.7 percent vs. 2012) The world’s 2nd largest economy Population: 1.34 billion (July 2012) 90 cities with more than 1 million inhabitants 16 percent of the population aged under 15 4 percent estimated unemployment (2013) Sources: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook (October 2012), Central Intelligence Agency, World Factbook (January 2013), Population Reference Bureau, World Population Data Sheet (2012) China’s economic growth is likely to accelerate again in 2013 at a forecast 8.2 percent, after slowing slightly over the last few years (from 10.4 percent in 2010 to 9.2 percent in 2011 and a forecast 7.8 percent in 2012). In line with its booming economy, China’s aviation industry is growing rapidly. More than 90 percent of the domestic market is shared by four airlines (Figure 19). Three of these (China Airlines, China Eastern and China Southern, all members of SkyTeam) will fly as a regional alliance in January 2012. SkyTeam remains the largest alliance in China with 44 percent of the market, compared with Star Alliance’s 20 percent. Chinese low-cost carriers offer flights mainly on sub-routes with the exception of Spring Airlines, which operates primary domestic routes from its base at Shanghai Hongqiao International airport. Figure 19 Chinese airlines’ share of the domestic market 9% 11% 24% 25% 31% p p rs p p ou ou ou ou he Gr Gr Gr Gr Ot rn ina es rn e ste irlin Ch uth Ea nA Air So ina ina ina Ch Ha Ch Source: CWT Chinese high-speed rail has been developing at a remarkable rate, providing an alternative to many air routes for business travelers. According to the International Union of Railways,11 China will have 742 miles of high-speed rail in operation and 5,612 miles under construction by 2012, making its network the world’s largest. 11 Source: International Union of Railways, High-Speed Lines in the World (July 2012) 28
Also worth noting: China has the world’s second largest pipeline of hotel rooms under development (214,971 rooms) after the United States (299,201 rooms).12 Most foreigners renting a car in China also hire a chauffeur since a Chinese driver’s license is required. Online booking continues to rise. Credit cards are widely accepted in the region. Foreign global distribution systems (GDSs) are now authorized to sell non-Chinese airline content, following the government’s decision in October 2012 to relax regulation. (See Page 72.) CWT forecasts low price increases for Chinese business travel in 2013: Air: +0.6 percent to +1.7 percent Hotel: +0.3 percent to +1.2 percent Car: +2.1 percent to +3.9 percent 12 STR Global, Global Development Pipeline Report (September 2012) See Pages 41-43 on inflation in travel prices worldwide. Travel Management Priorities for 2013 | 29
C arbon emission trading: non-European carriers will be exempt from the controversial EU Emissions Trading Scheme until the fall, pending a global agreement through the International Civil Aviation Organization. Air & ground Much has been written about the European Union’s Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) and whether or not airlines from outside the region should participate, but what does it mean in practice? What impact can travel managers expect to air travel costs in 2013? What the EU ETS is and why it was introduced In a nutshell: The European Commission describes the EU ETS as “a cornerstone of the European Union’s policy to combat climate change and its key tool for reducing greenhouse gas emissions cost-effectively.” It is a “cap and trade” system that works by fixing an annual allowance for the total emissions emitted by companies in specific industries, and requiring any companies exceeding this limit to buy surplus credits from those emitting less. Companies can trade credits or “bank” them for use at a later date, but the main aim is to encourage businesses to reduce their carbon footprints by associating them with a financial cost. From 2013, there will be a single EU-wide cap on emissions and the system of free allowances will gradually be replaced by auctions. In January 2012, the scheme opened up to aviation, or more specifically, all airlines operating domestic or international flights arriving at or departing from EU airports. After a good deal of controversy, however, the European Commission announced in November 2012 that “as a gesture of goodwill” it would defer application of the scheme to flights into and out of Europe until after the fall, pending new proposals by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). Meanwhile, the EU ETS will continue to apply to flights in and between 30 European countries (the 27 EU Member States plus Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway). Why it is controversial: unfair and illegal or a step in the right direction? The EU ETS has met with strong reactions from airlines, industry groups and governments: Opponents argue that the European Commission has unilaterally imposed an extraterritorial tax and that the rules discriminate against certain airlines (e.g., those operating more carbon-intensive shorter routes, older fleets or flights with lower passenger occupancy levels). Reportedly, a group of 29 countries lobbied the European Union in 2012 to suspend the EU ETS, including China, India, Russia and the United States—with an underlying threat of trade war and retaliatory measures such as reviewing bilateral air agreements, suspending discussions on EU airlines’ operating or landing rights, and imposing additional charges on EU airlines. The Obama Administration even introduced the “European Union Emissions Trading Scheme Prohibition Act of 2011” to prevent U.S. airlines from participating in the scheme. On the other hand, the European Commission maintains that its action does not constitute a tax, which would be in breach of the EU-U.S. Air Transport Agreement, and that it is compatible with international law, as confirmed by the European Court of Justice in a case brought by some U.S. airlines and trade associations. Moreover, it is “committed to finding a comprehensive and non-discriminatory multilateral agreement within the ICAO, and the EU legislation is designed to be amended in the light of such an agreement.” The European Commission insists that it will reinstate the rules for foreign airlines if “suitable progress” is not made at the ICAO’s fall General Assembly. 30
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