Toward Better Data Dashboards for US Drug Value Assessments
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Policy Perspective - Contents lists available at sciencedirect.com Journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jval Toward Better Data Dashboards for US Drug Value Assessments Peter J. Neumann, ScD A B S T R A C T Objectives: To explore the use of data dashboards to convey information about a drug’s value, and reduce the need to collapse dimensions of value to a single measure. Methods: Review of the literature on US Drug Value Assessment Frameworks, and discussion of the value of data dashboards to improve the manner in which information on value is displayed. Results: The incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year ratio is a useful starting point for conversation about a drug’s value, but it cannot reflect all of the elements of value about which different audiences care deeply. Data dashboards for drug value assessments can draw from other contexts. Decision makers should be presented with well-designed value dashboards containing various metrics, including conventional cost per quality-adjusted life-year ratios as well as measures of a drug’s impact on clinical and patient-centric outcomes, and on budgetary and distributional consequences, to convey a drug’s value along different dimensions. Conclusions: The advent of US drug value frameworks in health care has forced a concomitant effort to develop appropriate information displays. Researchers should formally test different formats and elements. Keywords: cost-effectiveness analysis, dashboards, drugs, Institute for Clinical and Economic Review, multicriteria decision analysis, pharmaceuticals, value assessment VALUE HEALTH. 2021; -(-):-–- Introduction pandemic. Behavioral scientists have studied how people process information from dashboards, and researchers have issued best “Graphics are instruments for reasoning about quantitative practice guidelines for displaying information. information,” observed data visualization pioneer Edward Tufte.1 Displays of data, he noted, should communicate complex ideas with clarity, precision, balance, efficiency, and narrative quality. Data Dashboards in Everyday Life US drug value assessments should draw from Tufte’s critique. Decision makers should be presented with well-designed value Data dashboards are visualization tools conveying at-a-glance “dashboards” containing various metrics—conventional cost per views of different measures or indicators.4 They assemble quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) ratios and measures of a drug’s information in the form of numbers, tables, charts, symbols, and impact on clinical and patient-centric outcomes and on colors and have been tailored to a wide range of applications.5 budgetary and distributional consequences—to convey the value The automobile dashboard with its assorted panels and dials is of drugs along different dimensions. Such a display is consistent the prototypical example. Even as a driver operates a vehicle, they with consensus guidelines for the field, which emphasize that can readily assimilate and respond to changing displays. The fuel cost-effectiveness analyses provide 1 input into a complex and gauge indicates the tank is near empty. An illumination informs multi-factorial decision-making process.2 Alongside cost- drivers a door is ajar. Some presentations are binary (eg, a warning effectiveness, audiences consider legal, ethical, political, and light), whereas others are variable (eg, the speedometer). Some practical questions as well as financial constraints and patients’ displays are adjustable (drivers can set the trip odometer to expectations.3 0 before a long excursion). An airplane’s cockpit instrument panel The question is how to assemble and efficiently display infor- is a more intricate version.6 mation on such varied dimensions. Drug value assessments can Consumer Reports has long presented dashboards in its reviews draw from other contexts. Dashboards are omnipresent in our of goods, ranging from sport utility vehicles to dishwashers to lives—on our phones and in our cars. We use them to inform blood pressure monitors. For each product, the display presents an purchasing decisions and to track the coronavirus disease image and description and a table encapsulating features and 1098-3015/$36.00 - see front matter Copyright ª 2021, ISPOR–The Professional Society for Health Economics and Outcomes Research. Published by Elsevier Inc.
2 VALUE IN HEALTH - 2021 specifications, various indicators of product quality, and an overall development costs, disease rarity, and population health. The score. A summary table presents a side-by-side comparison of Drug Abacus assesses a drug’s performance across each domain different products across various attributes, including price. The according to an algorithm, for example, novelty is scored as either magazine employs recognizable icons—updated in 2016 from red 1 (“novel mechanism of action”), 0.5 (“known target but different and black circles to a scale of red, yellow, and green arrows and mechanism of targeting”), or 0 (“next in class”).22 Nevertheless, lines to convey information about products’ strengths and weak- the Drug Abacus seems to have achieved limited influence to date, nesses.7 Consumer Reports reviews and issues reports about perhaps because its purview is limited to cancer drugs or because prescription drugs—but for consumers not payers.8 some factors are difficult to interpret.23 Dashboards as visualization tools are widely used in clinical The National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) has settings, for example, in emergency and operating rooms to promoted its own Consumer Reports-like dashboard, in the form of improve workflow management.9 Research has shown their “Evidence Blocks,” to inform oncologists and patients decisions promise as decision support aids for clinicians considering about cancer treatments. The Evidence Blocks depict the value of different treatment options10,11 and for patients judging the risks cancer treatments across 5 domains—efficacy, safety, quality and harms of prescription drugs.12 Vendors tout pharmacy visu- and quantity of evidence, consistency of evidence, and afford- alization and analytics platforms to help hospitals and payers ability—with each domain assigned a level or weight by NCCN’s manage drug costs and use.13,14 The US Centers for Medicare and experts. For example, NCCN panel members assign an affordability Medicaid Services maintains dashboards on use and spending level based on the overall cost of the regimen on a scale from 1 trends, including an interactive, web-based tool with prescription (very expensive) to 5 (very inexpensive). Affordability is defined to drug spending information (eg, on aggregate Part B and Part D include treatment costs (“drug acquisition, administration, in- drug spending per beneficiary).15 Some members of Congress have patient vs out-patient care, supportive care, infusions, toxicity proposed that Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services provide monitoring, antiemetics and growth factors, and potential for expanded dashboards (eg, with information on beneficiaries’ out- hospitalization”), although it excludes patient out-of-pocket costs of-pocket payments and on top drugs and biologics by Medicare or time lost from work.24 Research suggests that practicing on- expenditures).16 The coronavirus disease pandemic has generated cologists are generally aware of the Evidence Blocks and praise an abundance of dashboards.17,18 The Johns Hopkins website is a them for their ease of use in clinical settings, although the format well-known example, with its maps, charts, and numerical has also been criticized—particularly the affordability component, presentations of cases and deaths across countries and regions.19 which is based on expert opinion rather than actual drug or Viewers can select different tabs to visualize different displays, treatment costs and does not reflect patients’ own outlays.25–27 for example, of cumulative cases, active cases, incidence and The American Society of Clinical Oncology and the European testing rates, and case-fatality ratios. Society for Medical Oncologists have developed their own value framework methodologies to assign treatments a “net health Information Displays for Economic Evaluation benefit” based on clinical trial data and other domains.28,29 American Society of Clinical Oncology’s tool, however, compares The advent of US drug value frameworks in healthcare has net health benefit with a drug’s monthly costs, rather than its forced a concomitant effort to develop appropriate information economic value or any considerations of patient’s own costs, and displays. Without a framework, there is no standardized collection seems to have gained little traction.23 The European Society for of statistics, and, hence, no possibility of a standardized graphic Medical Oncologists tool grades the magnitude of clinical benefit presentation, that is, a dashboard. of cancer therapies but excludes broader value considerations. Economists have advanced different approaches for conceptu- Faster Cures and Avalere have promoted a “Patient-Perspective alizing and presenting cost-effectiveness information, including Value Framework,” which provides a checklist of several dozen summary statistics (eg, incremental cost per QALY ratios, net mon- “factors that matter to patients” (eg, functional and cognitive etary benefit amounts) and representations of uncertainty in study status, symptom relief, complexity of regimen, patient and family results (eg, tornado diagrams, acceptability curves). The Second costs), but the tool presents an itemized list, not a dashboard per Panel on Cost-Effectiveness in Health and Medicine proposed an se, and does not seem to be used with any regularity.30 “Impact Inventory” as a visualization tool for revealing whether an Health economists have long called for economic evaluations to economic evaluation included an intervention’s effects on different present disaggregated clinical and economic metrics,2,31 and some health and nonhealth consequences (eg, economic productivity, have advocated explicitly for dashboards to inform priority-setting social services, legal or criminal justice, education, housing, or the exercises.32 For example, an evaluation of a program to improve the environment).20 The Professional Society for Health Economics and health of young children might consider, alongside conventional Outcomes Research Special Task Force on US Drug Value Assessment cost-effectiveness ratios, a display showing the impact of the Frameworks developed a “value flower” to convey the idea that a program on adolescent health along a range of indicators, such as drug’s value may reflect novel elements (eg, reduction in uncer- anthropometric measures (distribution of height, weight, body tainty, fear of contagion, insurance value, severity of disease, value of mass index) and learning and cognitive outcomes (scores on hope, real option value, equity, and scientific spillovers) that are not internationally recognized reading and mathematics typically considered in cost-effectiveness analyses.21 Although the examinations).33,34 value flower is a static graphic to illustrate the idea that value Economists have also explored ways to incorporate and display consists of multiple elements, it suggests the need for a dashboard to the distributional consequences of alternative investments.32 display such elements. “Extended cost-effectiveness analyses” add measures of The field has also experimented with dashboards. An example financial-risk protection (eg, percentage of households averting is the Drug Abacus, developed at New York City’s Memorial Sloan catastrophic health-expenditure thresholds or a money metric of Kettering Cancer Center, which allows users to compare a cancer the value of insurance provided) to traditional cost-effectiveness drug’s dollar price with a dollarized value where that value is ratios.32,35 Thus, extended cost-effectiveness analyses provide a calculated based on how a therapy scores across a series of dashboard of sorts, highlighting how much health and financial domains: treatment efficacy, toxicity, novelty, research and risk protection a drug may produce. Two drugs may have similar
-- 3 Figure 1. Premera value matrix, 2009. Category Factor Evaluation of Relevant Considerations Research Question Strength of Evidence Clinical Safety Benefit Efficacy Effectiveness Cost- Base Case Effectiveness High Estimate Analysis Low Estimate Ethical Issues Societal Rare Disease No Yes ___% of the population has_____________ Values Unmet Need No Yes More effective _______________________________________________________ Other Societal . Considerations Regulatory Issues None noted. Pharmacy Budget Impact Medical Budget Impact Budget Base Case $X PMPM PMPM Impact High Estimate $Y PMPM PMPM Analysis Low Estimate $Z PMPM PMPM Source: Watkins JB, Sullivan SD. Premera Blue Cross, Value Assessment Committee, September 2009 cost-effectiveness, for example, but 1 may provide better financial for base-case cost-effectiveness ratios and high and low esti- risk protection to low-income and uninsured individuals.36,37 mates). It also considers “societal values,” including a text box for ethical issues and check-off items to denote whether the disease in question is rare, whether there is an unmet need, and so forth. Evolving Better Models Finally, there is a field for budget-impact information. The revised version (Fig. 2) expands the content with new fields on “contex- Dashboards emphasize the importance of the visual display. By tual factors” (eg, disease severity) and “other benefits” (a drug’s assembling information in a concise, standardized, and visually impact on adherence and one’s ability to work and whether health appealing way, drug value dashboards can allow decision makers benefits are captured or not by QALYs). The updated display is to efficiently scan an array of attributes and metrics on a drug’s streamlined with cleaner lines and an economy of text. The open value. They may be particularly suitable for the fragmented text field “ethical issues” is replaced with drop down boxes. The American healthcare system with its multitudes of payers. Criti- developers of the matrix emphasize that the value matrix con- cally, dashboards would supplement and not replace the details of tinues to evolve and to consider alignment with the framework of analyses, which would still be present in full reports and the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER) (John Wat- appendices. kins and Sean Sullivan, personal communication, April 12, 2021). The “value matrix” developed by Premera Blue Cross, a Indeed, Premera’s original matrix was developed independently regional health plan primarily serving Washington and Alaska, from ICER and contributed to ICER’s own framework. Future provides an excellent prototype and also illustrates how dash- versions might consider different fields and displays, including boards can evolve. Figures 1 and 2 show subsequent versions of information on disaggregated clinical outcomes, other pre- the matrix used to help the organization evaluate new drugs. The sentations on the uncertainty surrounding projections, informa- first version (Fig. 1) provides information on a drug’s clinical tion about competitor products, and the potential to negotiate benefit (with a letter grade) and cost-effectiveness (with displays outcomes agreements.
4 VALUE IN HEALTH - 2021 Figure 2. Premera value matrix, 2019. ICER reports also provide fertile testing ground. Although the an Impact Inventory). These are effective and necessary. organization’s cost per QALY analyses and value-based prices on Nevertheless, they can also be supplemented by a summary the basis of this metric attract the lion’s share of attention, the dashboard. organization’s reports already contain various other metrics, Efforts to develop dashboards can also draw from the ongoing including clinical ratings (with letter grades) and the votes of its work on multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA), which involves advisory committee on a drug’s other benefits or disadvantages identifying relevant attributes, assigning weights to those attributes and contextual considerations. ICER currently presents 2 types of corresponding to their importance, and calculating aggregate scores cost-effectiveness ratios (incremental costs per QALYs and incre- to inform decisions consonant with the decision maker’s values.40 mental costs per equal value life-years gained).38 Perhaps the Methods for MCDA continue to advance, and policy makers have addition to a dashboard of additional summary metrics, such as sometimes applied the technique in health technology assess- “costs per healthy years in total,” would further enhance reports ments.40–44 In theory, the approach can inform drug value decisions, and address concerns about discriminatory aspects of cost- such as which medications a health insurer should add to its for- effectiveness analyses.39 ICER has presented “Reports at a mulary.40,45 In practice, applications of MCDA have proven chal- Glance,” but these are text heavy and do not provide dashboards. lenging and remain mostly confined to research circles. Organizations ICER reports also contain numerous detailed tables and figures such as the United Kingdom’s National Health Service and ICER have covering various aspects of drug reviews (including data on a struggled when they have attempted to use the technique.46–48 treatment’s effectiveness and adverse events, key assumptions for Important work remains in identifying attributes, eliciting weights, the cost-effectiveness analyses, various scenario analyses, and and combining the information from and across individuals.35,40,49
-- 5 There are potential pitfalls and unintended consequences of doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2021.04.1287 dashboards. Summarizing complex concepts in a simple way Author Affiliations: Center for the Evaluation of Value and Risk in Health, presents obvious challenges. It is unclear whether any given Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA (Neumann). dashboard would improve decision making or muddle it. There is Correspondence: Peter J. Neumann, ScD, Center for the Evaluation of a strong need for experimentation. Formal testing of alternative Value and Risk in Health, Tufts Medical Center, 35 Kneeland St, Boston, MA displays of factors (eg, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios; key 02111, USA. Email: pneumann@tuftsmedicalcenter.org clinical outcomes; short-term budget impacts; and indicators of disease severity, risks, side effects, and patient convenience). Author Contributions: Concept and design: Neumann Drafting of the manuscript: Neumann Researchers should test user experience to improve the relevance, Critical revision of the paper for important intellectual content: Neumann efficiency, and usability of presentations, not only for different domains of value but with different displays in terms of symbols, Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Neumann reported being on the charts, and spatial arrangements.4,9 The field needs more research advisory board for the Congressional Budget Office; receiving funds from the Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Registry sponsors (the Cost-Effectiveness on value perception and communication, similar to the Analysis Registry has been funded by the National Science Foundation, scholarship on risk perception and communication.12,21,50 National Library of Medicine, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, The work should leverage natural tendencies in how people the Centers for Disease Control, and a variety of pharmaceutical and de- process information.51,52 People are more likely to remember vice companies who subscribe to the data); receiving grants from Amgen, images and symbols over text (the viewing capacity for shapes can Lundbeck, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, the National Pharma- exceed by 3-fold the capacity for text)51,52 and horizontal over ceutical Council, the Alzheimer’s Association, National Institutes of Health, the PhRMA Foundation, and Arnold Ventures; and being on advisory vertical displays (most languages are read from left to right).53 boards of Sarepta, Biogen, the PhRMA Foundation, Avexis, Intercept, Bayer, Poor design of quantitative information display, either via image Amgen, Cytokinetics, Sanofi, and Panalogo outside the submitted work. or text, can result in cognitive overload when the brain cannot process what the eye is seeing because it is receiving more cues Funding/Support: This work was supported by the PhRMA Foundation Center for Excellence in Value Assessment award to the Center for than it can handle.52 Enhanced Value Assessment at the Center for the Evaluation of Value and The way in which information is presented is important.54,55 Risk in Health at Tufts Medical Center. Dashboards may benefit from a “z-shaped” layout, leveraging the fact that viewers, such as readers who have learned to read from left Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The funder had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation to right, view information from top left to top right and then bottom of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and left to the bottom right.54,56 If a color is used in 1 or more graphics, decision to submit the manuscript for publication. the meaning of the color should not change, for example, Consumer Reports always uses green to signal a desirable outcome. Graphics Acknowledgment: I am grateful to Joshua Cohen, David Kim, Dan Ollen- dorf, and Meghan Podolsky for comments on earlier versions of the should eliminate “chart clutter”—unnecessary or distracting visual manuscript and to Meghan Podolsky and Marlena Keisler for research elements in graphs or images, excessive detail, or redundancies— assistance. which can lead to cognitive overload, biases, and slow processing.1,51,52,57,58,59,60 Baseball-box scores, weather maps, and financial data have all evolved their own data-rich summary pre- REFERENCES sentations, both conceptually sound and aesthetically appealing.1 1. Tufte E. The Visual Display of Quantitative Information. 2nd ed. Cheshire, CT: Graphics Press; 2002. 2. Neumann PJ, Ganiats TG, Russell LB, Sanders GD, Siegel JE, eds. Cost-Effec- Conclusions tiveness in Health and Medicine. 2nd ed. Oxford, United Kingdom: Oxford University Press; 2016. 3. Neumann PJ, Sanders GD. Cost-effectiveness analysis 2.0. N Engl J Med. 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