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THINK Global: Outlets a nuveen company Data generating art This image is an abstract representation of Fig.3 and Fig.4, illustrating exceptional sales density and prime THIS IS AN OPINION PIECE. PLEASE REFER TO DISCLOSURES FOR IMPORTANT INFORMATION. yields across Europe. THINK Global: Outlets 1
Introduction Designer outlets have been one of the most widely misunderstood, but strongest performing, real estate sectors in Europe over the past decade. Relatively speaking, they thrived during the global economic downturn. So what are outlet malls and what is so special about them? Typically, they are single storey, village-style retail centres, selling goods at a 30-70% discount. They do, however, come in all shapes and sizes, and naturally vary in quality. Ownership is largely accounted for by a few major players who tend to manage the better schemes, plus a larger group of single or small portfolio owners. This specialist division of the retail market is relatively immature - as both a shopping concept and an investment opportunity. This is changing as retailing becomes more international and demand for luxury goods increases globally in line with the burgeoning middle- classes. The sector is already popular with shoppers and tourists, and the best schemes generate among the strongest sales densities of any retail destination. Retailers, enticed by the strong footfall and sales, are increasingly including outlets in their portfolio strategy. In turn, the sector is attracting a wider pool of investors. The sector is considered niche as an investment class – a word often associated with risk – but it is in fact underpinned by sound drivers of performance, and should continue to enjoy structural growth globally. In fact, unlike other core real estate sectors, where market cycles have become more pronounced, designer outlets have proved to be relatively immune to cyclical economic and real estate market swings. In this report, we examine the history of the outlet mall sector and its relative attractiveness to consumers, retailers and investors across different parts of the globe. These are high quality, well-managed assets with a strong presence of international brands, and not warehouses or sheds selling goods of a dubious origin. Note: Real estate investments are subject to various risks, including fluctuations in property values, higher expenses or lower income than expected, and potential environmental problems and liability. International investing involves risks, including risks related to foreign currency, limited liquidity particularly where the underlying asset comprises real estate, differing levels of government regulation and tax implications in some jurisdictions, and the possibility of substantial volatility due to adverse political, economic or other developments. THINK Global: Outlets 2
Introduction (continued) It is always interesting to compare sector differences and similarities across global property markets, and interestingly – aside from prime offices in financial capitals – outlets are the most globally homogenous in terms of their physical, occupational and performance characteristics; or at least the successful ones are. This is not entirely surprising; the occupier base is heavily Retailers are attracted to: biased towards international occupiers. Sought-after, well- • High levels of footfall traffic recognised brands make schemes appealing and draw • Strong sales densities shoppers from extensive catchment areas. The brands don’t need to be ‘luxury’, but should be identifiable by today’s • Good rent affordability and low entry costs aspirational customer. In Europe and the US, a mix of domestic • A reputable channel for disposing of surplus stock and international brands makes for the optimal shopping experience, therefore creating the most compelling offer. For investors, outlets offer: While in Asia Pacific, the more luxurious international brands, • A defensive investment with relatively low levels of volatility, the better. as witnessed during the last economic downturn • Outperformance - good quality assets, where data is Outlets tick all the boxes in terms of what today’s cost- available, have outperformed in their sales growth, rental conscious, yet discerning, consumer is looking for: growth and investment returns • Value - not cheap, but the best price for the goods in question • Improving covenant quality as the sector attracts stronger brands • Choice - a wide range of brands not found in traditional shopping centres • Good investment value compared to traditional shopping centres and high street • Experience – inspiring architecture creates a sense of place, while catering, entertainment and services, increase dwell • Potential to drive performance through asset management time and loyalty and marketing • Environment – a clean, safe shopping experience • A retail investment which is defensive in light of the ongoing diversion of sales to the internet; this is a shopping experience that is very difficult to replicate online • A lease designed to promote growth THINK Global: Outlets 3
The evolution of outlet malls: Factory to designer outlet The factory outlet industry has been around, in various forms, for over 100 years. The industry began when clothing and textile stores offered excess and damaged goods to their employees, eventually opening their doors to customers. In 1975, the first purpose-built outlet centre opened in the US and while the definition of an outlet mall is somewhat elastic, there now are close to 400 schemes in the US. The second wave of development came in the 1980s and Factory outlets were initially designed with minimal style, 1990s, when designer outlets were first introduced to Europe. poor merchandising and basic shop fittings, located in Common themes There are around 250 designer outlet malls across Europe industrial or manufacturing areas and often near the original • Typically located within 45-60 minutes’ drive of currently in existence, although development density varies. manufacturers’ production sites. By contrast, modern designer a large city outlet centres provide consumers with high value, branded While the UK and Italy are close to saturation, restrictive goods at attractive, discounted prices, situated in a welcoming • Prime schemes are generally 20,000-50,000 planning laws mean countries like Germany are considerably and safe environment. sq m with 100-200 brands under-represented. In Central and Eastern Europe, the market is in its infancy but most countries have a handful of schemes Mirroring the mainstream retail market, polarisation of • Village style malls are increasingly popular or developments underway. Designer outlet operators are now demand for the designer outlet market has favoured the • Attractive leasing structure: the higher of casting their eyes further eastwards to Asia, most notably better presented and maintained schemes. Well-executed guaranteed minimum base rent + CPI or to China. outlets provide a pleasurable, compelling and rewarding visit percentage of tenants’ turnover for consumers. Recognising shopping as a leisure activity, In the most rapid growth cycle, between the late 1980s and the designer outlet centres are improving their catering facilities • 3-5 year leases - subject to local legislation late 1990s, the number of outlet malls increased dramatically. to enhance the overall experience, increase dwell time and • Luxury and premium brands accelerate Since then, there has been a slowing of development, with a boost spend. performance bias towards larger centres and the closing of smaller centres or single brand locations. Like their full price counterparts, outlet malls vary significantly • Sales densities of prime quality assets range in size and quality. Common characteristics for institutional from €6,000-€15,000 per sq m (some super For manufacturers and retailers, designer outlets provide investment class outlets include dominance, critical mass, a prime assets outperforming this range) with full a profitable, and reputable channel for the sale of surplus large catchment area, a strong brand mix and - perhaps most transparency on tenant trading information merchandise direct to consumers - generally last season’s importantly - partnership with a successful operator. excess, outdated and returned stock. They now sell a wide • Low voids range of retail goods - mainly clothing, footwear, accessories, • Brands have embraced the outlet mall concept gifts and home decor products - to bargain-hunting consumers and have a dedicated outlet mall business at discounts from RRP of between 30-70%. • Intensive asset management approach THINK Global: Outlets 4
The global supply story There are large differences in outlet mall provision globally. The US – the most mature market – is relatively oversupplied with supply levels per capita well ahead of any other market. According Observations of the Australian market to the International Council of Shopping Centres (ICSC), the number of new outlet mall openings The concept was first introduced in 1997 - DFO at Moorabbin - and initially the has slowed significantly in recent years. It is also observed that many smaller schemes have sector was aimed at low-income households selling faulty stock at bargain prices. ceased to be viable as retailers and shoppers focus their demand on the best, largest schemes. Over time, the offer has become increasingly focused on middle-to high-income In the US, opportunities remain in the sector, but sales at outlet malls are likely to be highly earners with a higher price positioning. The most recent schemes have a relatively polarised. high-end and increasingly younger offering. Development in the European market is also slowing and supply levels remain comfortably There is an estimated 504,000 sq m of outlet space in Australia, representing just behind those in North America. With restrictive planning legislation, oversupply is unlikely to be 2.0% of the retail market. Schemes are generally bigger than in Europe at 28,000 an issue. As growing demand for outlet space as the sector grows in popularity, and cross-border sq m on average and less homogeneous in appearance. They are typically located expansion continues apace, a healthy demand/supply balance will persist. near airports - where the slacker planning laws are attractive - or in tourist There are now approximately 250 centres across Europe with varying levels of maturity in destinations. Some schemes have been repositioned from underperforming full- different countries. The UK remains Europe’s most developed market with 38 outlet centres, and price centres. 10 sq m of space per 1,000 inhabitants. This remains below the US average, but is well supplied compared to other European markets, such as Germany, which has very low levels of just three Australia’s best-performing outlets deliver healthy sales densities and are sq m per 1,000 inhabitants. This suggests further opportunities for growth or development. enjoying strong growth. This should be further supported by a growing number of premium brands seeking representation in the Australian market. Asia Pacific is still in the early growth phase with its provision of outlets - at least as we would recognise them - remaining very low. In China, supply per capita is one of the lowest globally. While evidence is scarce, the sector would appear to offer good investment value Sales performance at new, strong schemes is testimony to this with densities up there with the in Australia. Opportunities to improve the retail offer, promote the sector to both very best in Europe, after only a few years of trading, as illustrated in Fig.2. The development shoppers and tenants, and drive sales through a more aggressive operational pipeline in China is not insignificant, but the provision of high-quality/high-end schemes will model should make the sector a compelling investment opportunity, with potential struggle to meet the insatiable demand for luxury goods from Chinese consumers. Japan is the for a structural repositioning in the retail hierarchy. most established market in Asia. THINK Global: Outlets 5
The global supply story (continued) Fig.1: Global outlet mall provision 90,000 80,000 China 70,000 60,000 Average size GLA (sq m) 50,000 Hong Kong 40,000 Turkey United States South Korea Mexico Japan Italy 30,000 Austria Germany Australia 20,000 Russia United 10,000 Kingdom 0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Outlet space per 1,000 capita Key North America Europe Asia Pacific Source: TH Real Estate, Japan Council of Shopping Centres, 2018 Note: Size of the bubble represents total GLA. THINK Global: Outlets 6
The investment case for outlets Outlet malls are a much less established investment concept when compared to full price shopping centres, with many investment professionals feeling the sector falls outside of their area of expertise. However, extremely strong performance, relative to the full price retail sector over the last few years, has pushed this niche segment of the retail market into the spotlight, with an increased number of investors active in the sector or seeking to gain access. The case for investing in the outlet mall sector is expected to remain compelling over the medium- to long-term for the following reasons: • A sector with defensive qualities • Strong investor demand putting pressure on yields • Sales underpinned by long-term consumer trends • Growing retailer demand and limited supply which support growth Each of these is explored in detail on the following pages. McArthurGlen Designer Outlet Serravalle, Italy THINK Global: Outlets 7
A sector with defensive qualities The sector should remain resilient in a low economic growth environment with a strong upside potential for growth. Having come out from the depths of the Fig.2: Progression of sales densities (after opening) Global Financial Crisis (GFC), most major economies are enjoying the feeling of recovery with positive – albeit modest - growth in GDP almost across the Strong sales growth as schemes mature and grow in popularity board. Investors appear confident that the global economy is broadly healthy and although financial market volatility remains heightened, cautious optimism exists. While economic data generally points to the positive, momentum is expected to be gentle. Growth over the medium-term is expected to be slower $12,000 than in the years prior to the recession. The outlook for retail sales growth is no Average spend per sq m (US$) different – we do not expect to see pre-crisis rates of credited fuelled spending $10,000 growth any time soon. Rental growth across the retail sector will be modest, China and outperformance will have to come from asset management and smart $8,000 stock selection – picking those assets that are growing in attractiveness to both shoppers and tenants. $6,000 Data recorded across prime European outlet malls shows strong sales growth which has outperformed the market average consistently over the past decade. $4,000 In particular, the sector demonstrated excellent resilience to the poor market conditions of 2008-2009. During this period, outlet sales did slow, but only fell into negative territory for one quarter during 2009, when sales fell by 0.5% $2,000 compared to the European average of -5.4%. This supports the expectation that the outlet mall sector will remain resilient in a low growth environment. $0 While outlets are more defensive during an economic downturn, a stronger retail market will support strong turnover performance, with outlets typically Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 enjoying two or three times the market average rate of growth. Key This sector is well placed to outperform in both periods of strong and weak European country A European country B European country C European country D economic growth – defensive on the downside, with a large upside potential. In poor economic times, we believe outlets benefit from a more cost-conscious Source: TH Real Estate, 2018 consumer and surplus stock on the high street, meaning retailers are channelling more goods through this medium. During a buoyant economic period, the sector benefits from growth in tourism, a greater propensity to shop and enjoy a day out, as well as a boost to demand for luxury goods. THINK Global: Outlets 8
Sales underpinned by long-term consumer trends Discerning, yet value-conscious, consumers have a growing awareness and demand for international and luxury brands. The GFC, coupled with What about the internet? improved pricing transparency - via the internet - and heavy discounting on Multi-channel retailing is having a dramatic impact on the way we shop and how retailers trade. the high street, has undoubtedly created more value-conscious shoppers This is a structural change and a global trend which is here to stay. Quite simply, online retailing globally. Customers now expect to find discounts in-store or will use the internet means weaker demand for physical retail space. Shoppers have more choice and less need to visit to seek out the best priced products. However, retailers trading in full-price a store and, in theory, retailers can service their customers without the presence of a store. Given centres cannot offer discounted products indefinitely and remain profitable. the ease and convenience of internet retailing, ‘bricks and mortar’ retail assets need to work The outlet mall model, which is based on discounting, is well-positioned to harder to capture footfall. Stores will remain a vital part of the retail market, however customer grow its share of the value-conscious market. And this is reflected in the ‘experience’ is crucial to staying ahead of online competition. growing footfall at prime outlets. Consumer insight data conducted across McArthurGlen’s European outlet mall portfolio identified ‘permanent discounts Online retail sales have grown rapidly over the last few years; although internet penetration between 30-70%’ as the top reason for visiting. Clearly the issue of value varies considerably across geographies, outlets provide a ‘shopping experience’ which is is extremely important and shoppers will be prepared to travel significant very difficult to replicate online. Prime outlets which have always been successful in offering distances, even overseas, in pursuit of value if the quality and range of brands customers a ‘day out’ are those with attractive architecture, pristine shopping environments on offer is superior enough. and multiple customer services to enhance the experience. The majority of outlet customers Indeed, the same consumer insight data also suggested that the availability consider shopping a leisure activity that cannot be replaced by the internet. Outlet operators of brands followed closely behind value as a popular reason for visiting have invested in enhanced catering facilities to increase dwell time, alongside marketing events – outlets. Outlets typically have a broader range of brands, both domestic and such as music concerts, seasonal themes and farmers markets - which improve footfall. It is this international, than those found in traditional shopping centres, widening their combination of retail theatre, events and the quality of brand mix which create internet-proof appeal to consumers and increasing catchment sizes. This is an area where retail destinations. prime outlets have seen marked improvements in recent years, as increasing The outlet sector also attracts a higher proportion of tourism spend, which will remain unaffected numbers of premium and luxury brands have recognised outlets as a key by growth in online retailing. In addition, online retailing remains dominated by electrical goods, distribution channel, and international retailers have expanded their global books, music and furniture. Fashion and footwear, which accounts for the majority of the offer at presence. Shopper behaviour is heavily influenced by branding, and an outlet, represents a comparatively smaller proportion of online sales simply because people the influence of luxury and lifestyle brands is apparent when analysing want to touch and feel these items. trading data and destination popularity. Designer outlet malls are for people who love to shop and therefore the internet is not an attractive alternative. We believe outlet malls are the most defensive part of the physical retail market in light of the ongoing and irreversible diversion of sales to the internet. THINK Global: Outlets 9
Growing retailer demand and limited supply is supporting growth Strong retailer demand, coupled with low supply and enhanced At a time when wider economic performance cannot be Fig.3: Exceptional sales densities asset management opportunities, support outperformance. relied upon to drive retail property performance, the role The strong consumer demand for the outlet sector is reflected of asset management is vital and we believe the outlet in the high levels of footfall traffic, extensive catchment areas leasing model is more conducive to growth than its shopping The top outlets are among the world’s best-performing and strong sales densities. In turn, the strong occupier demand centre counterpart. Greater flexibility in leases means that shopping destinations that accounts for very high occupancy rates is found at good operators and landlords can respond to retailers specific local quality outlets. Tier 1 assets have an average vacancy rate of requirements, with optimal unit sizing or relocation of retailers Quality Sales density per sq m (€) just 2%. completed more easily. Super prime international >10,000 The outlet mall sector is one of the few parts of the property Generally speaking, the turnover lease component aligns the Prime international >6,000 market to deliver consistent positive rental growth over the landlord’s interests with the retailer’s to optimise performance; Regional 3,000 - 6,000 last decade. The key contributor to this growth is robust slowing retail sales growth will encourage retailers to re- demand from retailers and constrained supply of quality fit stores, or landlords to increase marketing expenditure. Local
Increasing investor demand and attractive pricing for the sector Historic data shows that prime outlets have benefited from a For example, the total outlet transaction volume in Europe Fig.4: Prime yields (European average over a 10-year far less volatile yield profile, compared with other prime retail for 2017 was estimated at approximately €1.7bn, compared to assets. Pricing volatility has remained low as a result of the shopping centre transactions of €21.0bn. period) robust nature of the turnover performance and, in turn, rental income. Long-term outlet transaction data suggests outlet transactions 7% represent just 3.2% of the total shopping centre market. As well as reduced volatility, the outlet sector offers good However, the sector should not be disregarded due to perceived 6% investment value compared to more traditional property illiquidity. Prime outlets, whilst rarely traded, are currently sectors. The pricing of prime retail portfolios vary, however receiving strong investor interest with record yields being 5% analysis of long-term valuation yields from Q1 2008 - Q4 achieved. This is creating a long-term structural lowering of 2017 suggests a prime shopping centre in Europe commands equilibrium yields for the sector, closing the gap on full-price 4% a net initial yield of around 5.3%. At the time of writing, the shopping centres. shopping centre markets of France and Germany show much 3% keener yields at 3.25% and 3.80% respectively. The long- Outlets offer investors the benefits of diversification in term average yield for outlet malls for the same time horizon reducing volatility in a balanced portfolio, given their low 2% was around 100bps higher than shopping centres at 6.4%, correlation with other sectors. Retail markets generally demonstrating the attractive pricing that investors have demonstrate lower correlation with each other compared to 1% historically received for the sector, versus an equivalent for office markets. Outlets, being less mature and less susceptible full-price shopping centres. In Europe, we believe that outlets to global economic conditions, offer even greater benefits 0% remain one of the best value property sectors, especially from geographical diversification. We would expect outlets to Outlet Shopping Office Shop given the past performance of the asset class and its strong contribute to both higher returns and lower volatility in a real mall centre fundamentals, including strong projected turnover growth, estate portfolio. low voids and modest volatility. Historically, the sector has Source: TH Real Estate, CBRE, Q1 2008 – Q4 2017 delivered excellent total returns, consistently outperforming the INREV All Retail Index. Reflecting the sector’s outperformance over the last 10 years, we have seen more investors enter the market. 2017 saw the highest level of outlet mall transactions in Europe ever recorded, with volumes almost three times the long- term average. However, the sector is small and investment opportunities are rare, meaning overall transaction volumes are always low compared to other sectors and do not reflect the popularity of the sector with investors. THINK Global: Outlets 11
Conclusion Outlet malls are expected to continue to grow in popularity, with shoppers seeking aspirational brands, good value and an exciting shopping experience. The best schemes, controlled by the leading operators, will see footfall and sales densities improve through structural changes in the retail market, and via the superior ability to drive performance through asset management. In response to consumer behaviour and the associated footfall and sales potential, outlets will remain an important part of retailers’ store portfolios. Outlets can generate sales densities that are superior to traditional shopping centres or high streets, and they also have a relatively low rental burden, offering good affordability. Turnover-based leases mean that tenants have the comfort of ongoing affordability. A leasing structure with aligned interest means that outlet operators can respond rapidly to both structural changes in the global retail market and specific local retailer requirements. This is key to optimising tenant mix, the shopper experience and performance. If a retail offer works for both the shopper and retailer, then it is likely it can work for an investor. While this is a small, specialist part of the retail market, investors should not be deterred by perceived risk or illiquidity. It is underpinned by sound supply and demand fundamentals, and offers some of the most attractive risk-adjusted returns in the real estate market – particularly in Europe and Asia Pacific - as long as a reputable operator is in place. Strong demand from international retailers means the occupier base is broadening and covenant quality is improving. Likewise, the investor base is deepening. Constrained supply, coupled with growing demand, should see continued rental growth and a long-term structural improvement in investment pricing globally. THINK Global: Outlets 12
Case study: China China has one of the most lucrative and fastest-growing retail China is now the largest travel spender and a significant spend The European discount luxury outlet chain Value markets in the world. Retail sales growth in China has been on luxury goods is diverted overseas. This is due to exchange Retail, states that the company’s Bicester Village consistently outstripping that of GDP growth over the last rate savings, but surveys also cite perceived quality and choice in Oxfordshire lures an estimated two-thirds of all decade, averaging at 11.4% per annum. This growth has been of product, as well as the overall shopping experience, as Chinese visitors to Britain, making it one of the fuelled by a rapid increase in disposable income, rather than reasons for shopping abroad. Chinese spend accounts for a top tourism destinations for Chinese visitors to credit, which has driven sales growth in the US or UK, making large proportion of sales at Europe’s top designer outlet malls. the UK. Moreover, visitors from Greater China it more sustainable. Urbanisation and the creation of wealth spend more per transaction than shoppers from has seen Chinese consumers’ focus shift from basic needs to China is a particularly attractive growth market for luxury any other country. improving their quality of life. Chinese consumers are brand retailers due to its large population, high number of densely conscious and will seek to celebrate their new found wealth populated cities, growing affluence and consumers’ appetite with material goods. for luxury and globally recognised brands. While more mature markets in North America and Europe are seeing flat or modest The growth of retail sales in China is excellent, however an levels of sales growth, emerging Asian markets are delivering The challenge for international brands looking to enter the area that we envisage delivering stronger growth still, is the double digit growth per annum for some high-end retailers. Chinese market will be the supply. It is reported that 80% luxury goods sector. The growth in wealthy households and of luxury stores are located in the largest 15 Chinese cities millionaires - in US dollar terms - and the age profile of rich China provides retailers with a growing source of fashion- (measured by GDP), however, these cities only accounted for consumers, makes a very strong case for growth in branded conscious consumers with a growing interest in celebrity 25% of the wealthy population in the country. While there is no fashion and luxury goods sales. The average age of a millionaire culture. Young Chinese see luxury goods as a way to showcase shortage of shopping centre space in Tier 1 cities in China, many in China is almost 20 years younger than in the US or Europe, their wealth and rising spending power. Chinese consumers like schemes have been designed by local developers and do not and younger shoppers have a much higher propensity to the heritage and history behind brands such as Louis Vuitton meet the requirements of international luxury retailers. Most spend on fashion and accessories. Furthermore, most rich and Hermes, and want to enhance their status and social schemes have been developed for mass-market retailers. These consumers have made their wealth themselves, and we believe standing by wearing luxury items. The influence of Chinese will often have a supermarket anchor which has little synergy this demographic is more likely to celebrate their success with shoppers on sales in London and Paris supports this. While with luxury retailers. Retailers in any goods category benefit from material goods, demonstrating different spending behaviour to consumers in China are loyal to designers and labels, they are being located within a cluster of like-minded retailers with critical those who have inherited their wealth. also accepting of new brands as they continue to look for the mass generating footfall of the right kind of consumer. Chinese next big designer to impress their peers with. cities do not offer historical high street retail pitches – like those Female consumers have replaced male consumers to become key found in European cities - where luxury labels benefit from spenders in China’s luxury market. Bain & Company reported that Luxury brands are typically more international than mass- adjacency to similar brands. In the absence of suitable shopping nowadays female shoppers comprise over 50% of all Chinese market retailers, and their global business model will make Asian centre space, many upmarket retailers and brands have used luxury buyers - an enormous growth from 1995 when only expansion less daunting than for retailers whose business has department stores to gain representation in the Chinese market. 10% of luxury buyers were female. There is still much room for historically been largely domestic. For luxury goods retailers this trend to develop further, as over 65% of luxury goods are entering the Chinese market, there is little domestic competition There remains a clear gap in the Chinese market for landlords purchased by women in the more mature European markets. As to overcome, unlike in the mass-market sector where the power to address the needs of luxury brands and the aspirations of Chinese women are becoming richer and more independent, the of domestic brands is not to be underestimated. wealthy consumers. As shoppers become more discerning, they rebalancing of luxury goods consumption between female and will increasingly demand more from their shopping experience, male will continue. and will value the convenience of being able to shop for similar items in one location. THINK Global: Outlets 13
Key contacts Alice Breheny Angela Goodings Haoran Wu Global Head of Research Director of Research Research Analyst T: +4420237278122 T: +442037278147 T: +442037278231 E: alice.breheny@threalestate.com E: angela.goodings@threalestate.com E: haoran.wu@threalestate.com threalestate.com contact@threalestate.com @THRealEstate14 Issued by Nuveen Real Estate Management Limited (reg. no. 2137726), (incorporated and registered in England and Wales with registered office at 201 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3BN) which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority to provide investment products and services. Telephone calls may be recorded and monitored. This document is not directed at or intended for any person (or entity) who is citizen or resident of (or located or established in) any jurisdiction where its use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation [or would subject the issuing companies or products to any registration or licencing requirements]. The information presented herein is the opinion of and proprietary to TH Real Estate. This material not to be reproduced in whole or in part or used for any purpose except as authorized by TH Real Estate. This document is for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any investment, product or service to which this information may relate. Past performance is no indication of future results. Any assumptions made or opinions expressed herein are as of the dates specified or if none at the document date and may change assubsequent conditions vary. In particular, this document has been prepared by reference to current tax and legal considerations that may alter in the future. This document may contain “forward-looking” information or estimates that are not purely historical in nature. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Such information may include, among other things, illustrative projections and forecasts. The information presented in these materials is believed to be materially correct as at the date hereof, but no representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any of this information. Nothing set out in these materials is or shall be relied upon as a promise or representation as to the past or future. There is no guarantee that any projections or forecasts made will come to pass. Nothing in this document is intended or should be construed as advice. Please be aware that this description may be amended or revised from time to time without prior notice. TH Real Estate is a real estate investment management holding company owned by Teachers Insurance and Annuity Association of America (TIAA). TH Real Estate securities products distributed in North America are advised by UK regulated subsidiaries or Nuveen Alternatives Advisors LLC, a registered investment advisor and wholly owned subsidiary of TIAA, and distributed by Nuveen Securities, LLC, member FINRA. 575260-INV-G-AN-08/19
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