Thermal-assisted aerial culling (TAAC) for the improved control of vertebrate pest animal populations
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Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. Thermal-assisted aerial culling (TAAC) for the improved control of vertebrate pest animal populations Tarnya Cox1 , Robert Matthews1 , David Paine1 , Emma O’Dwyer-Hall1 , Tony Blumson1 , Brenton Florence1 , Kate Fielder1 , Myall Tarran1 , Matt Korcz1 , Annelise Wiebkin1 , Peter W. Hamnett1 , Corey J. Bradshaw1 , and Brad Page1 1 Affiliation not available July 6, 2022 Abstract 1: Helicopter-based shooting is an effective management tool for vertebrate pest animals. However, animals in low-density populations can be difficult to locate visually. Thermal-imaging technologies in aerial culling can increase detections and increase control/eradication success; 2: We describe a method of using thermal equipment to assist in aerial culling. We undertook thermal- assisted aerial culling (TAAC) on a low-density pig (< 0.5 pigs km-2 ) and high-density deer population and measured how thermal imaging in this crew configuration affects the success and welfare outcomes of aerial culling; 3: Of the estimated < 450 pigs present, 138 were detected and 122 were shot in 36 operational flying hours. Ninety-nine percent of these animals were found using thermal, with 72% first detected in dense canopy/tall forest habitat. In the high-density deer population, 246 animals were detected and 188 were shot in 15.5 operational flying hours, with 53% first detected in dense canopy/tall forest habitats. Ninety-six percent (pigs) and 99% (deer) were culled within the first five minutes from detection. The average time from the first impact shot to death was 30 seconds and no shot animals were lost. The crew configuration gave the shooter the widest field of view and the best opportunity for communication with the pilot. The operator behind the shooter provided essential support to find new and escaping targets, and to confirm species identification and successful destruction; 4: Thermal imaging equipment improves the detection of pest animals during aerial culling in difficult habitat, and the TAAC configuration allows for improved target acquisition and tracking, with reduced target escape. The approach can increase the efficiency of aerial culling aiming to remove low-density pest animals and increase the success of eradication. Introduction Helicopter-based shooting (hereafter ‘aerial culling’) of vertebrate pest animals is an effective management tool that has been used since the 1960s. It has been used to reduce densities of invasive ungulates, most notably in New Zealand where the technique was pioneered for the management of introduced deer (red deer Cervus elaphus scoticus , wapiti C.e. nelsoni , white-tailed deer Odocoileus virginianus , sambar deer C. unicolor , sika deer C. nippon , rusa deer C. timorensis and fallow deer Dama dama ), goats (Capra hircus ), and feral pigs (Sus scrofa ) (Challies 1977; Bennett 1979; Forsyth et al . 2011). In Australia, aerial culling is widely used for the control of pigs, goats and to a lesser extent, feral (hereafter ‘introduced’) deer such as fallow, red, sambar, rusa and chital (Axis axis ) deer (Bengsen et al.2022). Visual aerial culling is a humane control method for pigs (Sharp 2012, NSW Department of Primary Industries 2022a) and 1
deer (NSW Department of Primary Industries 2022b); the two primary determinants of good welfare being Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. reduced duration and intensity of animal suffering (Mellor and Littin 2004). Aerial culling can result in many animals shot quickly (e.g., days/weeks) (Challies 1985, Husheer and Robert- son 2005), can be more effective in remote locations than ground-based shooting (Forsyth et al . 2013), and can be an effective landscape-scale control tool for medium-to-large bodied species (Bennett 1979; Korn 1986; Saunders 1993; Forsyth et al . 2013). However, the effectiveness of aerial culling depends on visual detection of the target species. This is difficult in tall and/or dense forests and becomes increasingly difficult as the target population density declines. The success of aerial culling can be limited when the target population size is small (e.g., an emerging population), or when populations have already been reduced substantially by previous intervention. In artificially reduced populations, survivors of previous aerial culling often flee to the safety of vegetation cover, reducing the efficacy of subsequent control (Saunders and Bryant 1988, Bayneet al . 2000). In New Zealand, aerial culling had the greatest effects on red deer abundances in open habitats such as grasslands and subalpine shrublands (Nugent et al. 1987; Nugent and Fraser 2005). However, the aerial control of deer in tall forests has been less successful (Nugent et al . 1987; Warburton et al . 2018). In Australia, aerial culling was used to remove the last remaining goats from Kangaroo Island (Masters et al. 2018) and has been an effective control method for goats in arid environments (Parkeset al. 1996). However, in steep, forested and rugged terrain, aerial culling of goats was ineffective, with only 31% of known animals shot (Bayne et al. 2000). Similarly, aerial culling for pigs, one of three main control methods widely used in Australia (Saunders 1993, Reddiex et al. 2006), can rapidly and extensively reduce populations where there is good visibility (Hone 1990). Yet pigs frequently take cover in thick vegetation, limiting the effectiveness of aerial culling (Saunders and Bryant 1988). Low visual detection probability during aerial culling can result in the mistaken assumption that populations have been reduced to acceptably low levels, resulting in premature cessation of control, and higher risk of population recovery (Gregory et al. 2014, Bayne et al. 2000). However, removing the last individuals in a small population (either emerging or previously reduced) is essential for the long-term success of control programs, or to achieve eradication (Bomford and O’Brien 1995, Gregory et al. 2014). The rise of thermal-imaging technologies, and their increasing availability and quality, provide an opportunity to improve the detection of animals at low densities or in low-detectability habitats. They may also increase the probability of eradication success. Thermal-imaging equipment has been used in wildlife monitoring surveys since the 1960s (see Croon et al. 1968, Parker and Driscoll 1972), mostly for the detection of large ungulates, but also recently for surveys of macropods (Lethbridge et al. 2019), koalas (Phascolarctus cinereus ) (Cocoran et al. 2019) and spider monkeys (Ateles spp.) (Spaan et al. 2019), as well as in the detection of active rabbit warrens (Cox et al. 2021). Thermal-imaging equipment detects more animals resulting in higher population estimates, than do visual surveys (Cocoran et al. 2019, Lethbridge et al. 2019) and it detects fossorial animals and their burrows more efficiently, even when obscured by vegetation (Boonstra et al. 1994, Cox et al. 2021). There is one record of the use of thermal imaging in aerial culling for pig eradication at Hawaii Volcanoes National Park (Katahira et al. 1993), although there is no detail on how it was used. Thermal imaging has been trialled in several formats for aerial culling in New Zealand since 1982 and extensive research and development in its use in aerial culling operations has occurred since 2015 (Supplementary Information 2). The developed method of thermal-assisted aerial culling, or TAAC, has been used to remove pigs from Falla Peninsula on Auckland Island (Cox 2019), red deer from Five Fingers Peninsula on Resolution Island (Supplementary Information 2) and goats from Raukumara Ranges (D. Paine 2022, personal observation, 28 May). While using any thermal equipment (e.g. scopes for rifles, or thermal monocular/binoculars) in aircraft could be classified as ‘thermal-assisted’, TAAC refers to applying a specific crew configuration (a pilot, a shooter who sits opposite the pilot and a thermal imager operator who sits behind the shooter) in conjunction with thermal equipment. Thermal imaging has been trialled in several formats in aerial culling in New Zealand since 1982 (documented 2
in Supplementary Information). There is one record of thermal imaging in aerial culling for pig eradication Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. at Hawaii Volcanoes National Park (Katahira et al. 1993), although there is no detail on how it was used. Smaller, hand-held imagers have been used recently in helicopter-based shooting in New Zealand since 2015, the first known use of this technology for aerial culling. Thermal-assisted aerial culling, or TAAC, programs focused on the removal of introduced goats, deer, and pigs. The TAAC methodology has been used to remove pigs from Falla Peninsula on Auckland Island (Cox 2019), red deer from Five Fingers Peninsula on Resolution Island (McDonald 2017) and goats from Raukumara Ranges (D. Paine 2022, personal observation, 28 May). While using any thermal equipment (e.g. scopes for rifles, or thermal monocular/binoculars) in aircraft could be classified as ‘thermal-assisted’, TAAC refers to applying a specific crew configuration (a pilot, a shooter who sits opposite the pilot and a thermal imager operator who sits behind the shooter) in conjunction with thermal equipment. Data The TAAC crew configuration has the potential to improve not only the detection of animal sin many habitat types, but also enable following animals during pursuit, thereby reducing the likelihood of losing targets. More efficient tracking could also improve animal welfare by reducing the probability that animals are shot/wounded and then lost in thick vegetation before death is confirmed. Data collected from the thermal imagery can measure six aspects of the approach to infer the duration and intensity of suffering: (i ) time between first and last shot, (ii ) time from first impact shot to death, (iii ) time from start of the pursuit until first impact shot, (iv ) time from start of the pursuit until last shot, (v ) total number of shots taken, and (vi ) total number of shots that hit. There has been no formal description or evaluation of the TAAC method, despite its successful long-term application in New Zealand. We present data on the first TAAC programs undertaken in Australia to describe the efficacy of the method for two vertebrate pest species: feral pigs and fallow deer. We measured several aspects of the approach to test the following hypotheses: (i ) the number of shots taken and shots impacting an animal do not vary relative to vegetation-density category (open, sparse, dense) or species (pig, deer), (ii ) four temporal welfare indicators (time from start of pursuit to first bullet impact, time from first bullet impact to death, time from first shot to death, time from pursuit to death) do not vary among vegetation-density categories and species, (iii ) helicopter altitude does not vary as pursuit progresses (from first seen, to pursuit started, to first shot, to first impact shot, to last shot), and (iv ) no animals shot are lost. We also discuss the impact of crew configuration on target acquisition and tracking, summarise crew feedback on the program, discuss limitations of the method, and provide recommendations for its effective implementation. Materials and Methods Location and target species We did two TAAC programs in South Australia (Fig. 1) during 2021: feral pigs on Kangaroo Island (18-30 March) and fallow deer near Kingston on the Limestone Coast (27-29 September). Kangaroo Island (Karta Pintingga) is Australia’s third-largest island, 112 km south of Adelaide, South Australia (Fig. 1). Over one third of the island is protected in nature reserves. Decades of intense feral animal control has seen both deer and goats eradicated (Masters et al, 2018). Eradication efforts are now focused on feral pigs and cats (Felis catus ) (Natural Resources Kangaroo Island, 2015). The TAAC program consisted of 36 flying hours over the western part of the Island in previously identified areas of high pig activity (Page et al. 2021). Feral deer occur throughout the Limestone Coast region with fallow deer the most common (detailed site descriptions in Supporting Information 1). The TAAC program had a total of 15.5 flying hours across bushland on seven private holdings covering 173.7 km2 . 3
Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. Figure 1: The location of the two thermal-assisted aerial culling programs undertaken in South Australia; pigs on Kangaroo Island, and fallow deer near Kingston, in the Limestone Coast region. Thermal-assisted aerial culling Thermal-assisted aerial culling flights are done in the 2 hours from first light and 1.5 hours before last light each day, weather permitting, when there is the greatest difference in thermal radiation between animals and their surrounding environments (ΔT). When weather is suitable (cool and overcast with high cloud) flights can continue throughout the day. Low-level night-time operations such as shooting are not permitted by the Australian or New Zealand civil aviation authorities. During a flight, both the shooter and thermal operator sit on the floor and are tethered to the helicopter using approved aviation quick-release harnesses (Fig. 3). The tether was as short as possible, yet long enough to allow the crew member to lean over to see the ground beneath the helicopter. We set the thermal imager to output ‘white-hot’ greyscale imagery. Several false colour options are available on the Vayu HD; however, the operators preferred white-hot greyscale output. The aircraft was optimally positioned at approximately 50-100 m above ground level (AGL) and flew at 15-25 knots ground speed. The helicopter searched the area using a pseudosystematic search pattern: the area was flown in parallel transects allowing for thorough coverage and the helicopter deviated from the 4
search pattern to pursue target animals. During the flight the thermal operator systematically scanned the Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. environment for heat signatures, sweeping left and right over a swath from below to approximately 400m from the aircraft. When a potential target was detected, the thermal operator verbally alerted the shooter and pilot, providing information on the suspected species and its general direction/location. This allowed the shooter to focus on the area of interest, and for the pilot to begin maneuvering the aircraft towards the target. When the target animal was approached, the thermal operator provided further detail to the pilot in terms of the direction of movement required (e.g., nose left, fly back etc.) including safety information such as nearby obstacles and terrain, speed of approach (e.g., go steady, stop, faster etc) where the target animal(s) was/were and their direction of travel (e.g., “at your 9 o’clock 300m, moving left to right”) and the number of individuals in the group. The thermal operator also identified the target’s location to the shooter and pilot by switching on the laser pointer (Fig. 2). Figure 2: A target animal hiding under dense vegetation in New Zealand seen by the thermal operator (inset) and located for the shooter with a laser (blue). Once the shooter had acquired the target and confirmed the species, both the shooter and the thermal operator directed the pilot to position the aircraft for shooting. The slow and high approach reduced the chances of animals scattering and losing targets. Helicopters For TAAC operations, the helicopter(s) must have enough power to operate safely within the target environ- ment while carrying three people and their associated equipment. This generally requires a turbine rather than a piston engine. The aircraft also needs to operate with the doors off or open and should not have fixed dual controls because the shooter must be in the seat opposite the pilot For this configuration, all flights in Australia were done with an AS350 B3 Écureuil (Squirrel) helicopter (Aérospatiale, France). Crew configuration The most common crew configuration for visual aerial culling in Australia and New Zealand has two people. In New Zealand the shooter sits beside the pilot. In Australia, the shooter is either beside or behind the pilot. In one Australian jurisdiction, a third person (safety observer - to look for wires and other obstructions) sits beside the pilot (Fig. 3a, b). The latter observer can also collect shot-animal numbers and locations. The TAAC approach adds a thermal camera operator behind the shooter, positioning the the thermal operator and shooter on the same side of the helicopter to maximise communication and target acquisition/tracking between them (Figs. 3c, 4). 5
Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. Figure 3: Crew configurations in an AS350 B3 Squirrel helicopter for a) a visual aerial cull where the shooter sits beside the pilot, b) a visual aerial cull where the shooter sits behind the pilot. An observer is required in some Australian jurisdictions, and c) a thermal-assisted aerial cull where the shooter sits beside the pilot and the thermal operator sits behind the shooter. Figure 4: Crew configuration of thermal-assisted aerial culling in an AS350 B3 Squirrel helicopter. The pilot is in the front right, shooter in the front left, and thermal operator in the rear left. Crew feedback Following the completion of the flying the crew were debriefed and provided feedback on crew configuration, using thermal equipment, and how the program compared to any previous visual aerial culling (documented in Supporting Information 1). Firearms, ammunition and program costs Details on the firearms and ammunition used in the two programs in Australia, as well as the per hour costs associated with each program are available in Supporting Information 1. A full discussion on firearm development for use in TAAC in New Zealand is provided in Supporting Information 2. Imaging equipment In both Australia and New Zealand, the Sierra-Olympic Vayu HD uncooled microbolometer array has been used in TAAC programs. This imager has a 24 × 14.5 mm sensor that produces a 1920 × 1200 pixel 6
image and has a refresh rate of either > 30 (Generation 1, New Zealnd) or 60 Hz (Generation 2, Australia). Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. We viewed output from the thermal imager on a Blackmagic Video Assist 7” 12G HDR monitor (black- magicdesign.com/au/products/blackmagicvideoassist) and recorded video onto SD cards for later review. A Panasonic GH5 4K video camera was also mounted to the top of the thermal imager to collect comparative visual footage of animal detections. The imager and monitor were mounted to a custom-built frame which was then suspended using an Easyrig Minimax camera mount (easyrig.se) worn by the thermal operator. A 12V, 1W, 520 nm focusable laser (Oxlasers, Shanghai, China) was mounted to the top of the thermal imager and calibrated to point to the centre of the image. The thermal operator used the laser to visually identify the location of detected animals to the shooter (Fig. 4). The shooter was also equipped with thermal imaging equipment, with a thermal scope (either clip on or interchangeable with the visual scope). Shooters also carried handheld thermal binoculars or a monocular to assist with searching and species identification. Data and analysis We recorded each flight with the Blackmagic Video Assist (thermal), a Panasonic GH5 4K video camera and a GoPro 3 camera mounted to the rear firewall of the helicopter. Both the Blackmagic and the GoPro recorded the flight audio; we used the GoPro audio when the audio on the Blackmagic recording was unclear or did not record. Where no audio recording was usable, we excluded data from those animals from analysis. Experienced personnel (with > 50 hours experience logging thermal-imaging surveys) reviewed and logged the thermal footage. Two experienced personnel reviewed footage for both pigs and deer to reduce any bias and to ensure accuracy. We transcribed all footage in Excel® (Microsoft Corporation, 2022), including (i ) group size, (ii ) time animal(s) were first detected, (iii ) time pursued, (iv ) habitat type where detected (dense = tree or shrub canopy with no ground visible, sparse = tree or shrub canopy with ground visible, open = no tree or shrub canopy), (v ) time of first-last shots taken, (vi ) which/how many shots hit animals, and (vii ) number of impact shots until death was confirmed. Where the footage did not show the impact shots, we excluded these data from analysis. We only considered ‘detected’ those animals that could be seen on the thermal footage. Some animals were seen visually; however, we could not verify the number of animals because there was no associated thermal recording of those observations. Above ground level (AGL) (m) information was generated using the tracklog data from the flight recorded using OruxMaps GP (oruxmaps.com) installed on a Samsung Galaxy Tab S6 Lite tablet (tablet GPS accuracy is unknown; however, we expect ± 4.9 m for a GPS-enabled smart device) (US Space Force 2022). The tracklog included above mean sea level altitude but not AGL. We exported the tracklog to a Keyhole Markup Language file that we processed with a custom-built Python application SPLAT (Swath Painting and Log Analysis Tool). SPLAT used a 30 m resolution digital elevation model downloaded from Global Mapper (Blue Marble Geographics 2022) to calculate the aircraft AGL height for each tracklog point. We used the tracklogs to calculate the distance travelled between each of the datapoints (time seen, time of pursuit, time to first shot, time to first impact shot, time to last shot) to obtain distance travelled during each stage of the event sequences. OruxMaps does not record a datum if the distance travelled was < 20m, so any zero distances generated by SPLAT are < 20 m. We constructed a series of general and generalised linear models using the glm function in the stats R library (R Core Team 2021) to test for the relative effects of habitat type (open, sparse, dense [vegetation]) and species (pig or deer) on the shots (number of shots taken; number of impact shots). For the shots dataset, we applied a Poisson error distribution and a loglink function, and log10- transformed the time data with a Gaussian error distribution. For the AGL dataset, we constructed another set of models testing the effects of period (seen, pursuit, first, impacted, last) with a log10 transform of altitude and a Gaussian error distribution. For each variable we contrasted five models, including the two additive main effects, their interaction, single effects, and the intercept-only model. We compared the relative probability of the five models per response variable using Akaike’s information criterion corrected for small sample size (AICc ) (Burnham & Anderson 2002). The bias-corrected relative weight of evidence for each model, given the data and the suite of candidate models considered, was the AICc weight (the smaller the weight, the lower its 7
contribution to parameter estimates) (Burnham and Anderson 2002). We also calculated the percent deviance Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. explained (%DE) as a measure of goodness of fit. For the habitat models, there was a single entry in the ‘open’ category for pigs, so we removed that category from all analyses. Results On kangaroo Island, 138 pigs were detected, and 122 were culled. On the Limestone coast, 246 deer were detected, and 188 were culled. Sixteen pigs and 55 deer escaped as either seen and lost (pigs = 13, deer = 41), not pursued due to the pursuit of other animals (pigs = 1, deer = 14), or due to poor light conditions (pigs = 2) (discussion on the number of lost animals in Supporting Information). Three deer moved beyond the shoot boundary and their pursuit was abandoned. Mean group size was similar for both species (pigs = 2, largest group size = 6; deer = 2, largest group size = 8), and many single individuals of both species were pursued. Seventy-two percent (pigs) and 53% (deer) were first detected in dense canopy/tall forest habitats. For pigs only, 99% of the detections were made using thermal. There is no estimate for deer due to so many other deer being flushed by pursued groups, and many individuals having to be reacquired due to scattering. There were insufficient data (audio and thermal video) to determine accurate and detailed shooting data for 23 pigs and 8 deer. For the remaining 99 pigs and 180 deer, animals were shot an average of 3 (SD = 1.3) and 2.2 (SD = 1.2) times each respectively (Fig. 5). Fifteen pigs and 13 deer were confirmed killed after a single shot. From the time of detection, 95 pigs and 178 deer were first shot at within 5 min (pigs = 80.7 s, SD = 53.9; deer = 59.4 s, SD = 41.7) (Fig. 6). For the remaining 4 pigs, two were pursued and shot at in < 10 minutes (6 min 50 s and 9 min 23 s), one took 11 min 54 s and one female took 24 min 19 s. That female remained obscured and stationary under dense low shrub for most of the time. The remaining 2 deer were pursued and shot at 5 min 34 s and 8 min 34 s. Average heights and times of shooting events were comparable across both species (Table 1, Figs. 6, 7). Table 1: Average heights and durations of shooting events for pigs and deer during thermal-assisted aerial culling. avg = average, s = seconds, min = minutes, m = meters). Pigs Pigs Deer Deer Event avg SD avg SD Detection height (m above ground level) 62.6 18.8 82.8 28.6 First impact height (m) 22.2 8.8 17.4 16.2 First shot to first impact shot (s) 10.6 27.5 23.4 30.1 First impact shot number 2 1.7 3 2.5 Time between first and last shots (s) 34.7 52.6 45.2 43.5 Time from first impact shot to death (s) 24.2 42.7 21.9 33.2 Pursuit time to death (min) 2.4 3 1.8 1.2 Distance of helicopter travel from point of detection to confirmed death (m) 658.1 1441.0 1011.8 872.5 8
Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. Figure 5 . Number of shots across three habitat types: OPEN, SPARSE, DENSE (vegetation). (a) total number of shots taken; (b) total number of shots that impacted the animal. There was only weak evidence (% deviance explained [?] 7.5%) for a difference in the total number of shots taken and total number of impacting shots among habitat types (Table 2). For the former, the effect was driven mainly by habitat type, and for the latter there were approximately equal contributions of habitat type and species (Table 2). Table 2 . Subset of the generalised linear models to test for the effects of habitat (H) type (open, sparse, dense [vegetation]) and species (S) (pigs or deer) on the total number of shots taken and the number of shots impacting the animal. k = number of model parameters; ? = -log likelihood; AICc = Akaike’s information criterion corrected for small sample size; wAICc = model probability; %DE = percent deviance explained. model k ? AICc w AICc %DE total shots ˜ H+S 4 -713.264 1434.673 0.729 5.0 ˜ H+S+H*S 6 -712.261 1436.830 0.248 5.4 ˜H 3 -717.758 1441.603 0.023 3.4 shots impacted ˜ H+S 4 -450.122 908.390 0.775 7.1 ˜ H+S+H*S 6 -449.733 911.774 0.143 7.5 9
Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. Figure 6 . Interval times (in seconds) across three habitat types: OPEN, SPARSE, DENSE (vegetation). (a) time from start of pursuit to first bullet impact; (b) time from first bullet impact to death; (c) time from first shot to death; (d) time from pursuit to death. The evidence for an effect of habitat type and species on the time intervals shown in Fig. 6 varied depending on the interval used as the response variable. There was no evidence for any effect on the time between pursuit and impact, but a moderate effect of both habitat and species on the time between being shot and death (driven mainly by differences between the two species) (Table 3). The two remaining response variables (time between impact and death; time between pursuit and death) had comparatively weak effects of both variables, with approximately equal contributions of both for the former, and habitat type for the latter (Table 2). There was a strong effect of period indicated by the general linear models for the AGL response variable, but a comparatively weak difference between the two species (Table 3); in other words, the two species demonstrated approximately similar trends across periods (Fig. 7 and Table 3). Table 3 . Subset of the generalised linear models to test for the effects of habitat (H) type (open, sparse, dense [vegetation]) and species (S) (pigs or deer) on the time intervals between pursuit and impact, impact and death, shot and death, and pursuit and death.k = number of model parameters; ? = -log likelihood; AICc = Akaike’s information criterion corrected for small sample size; w AICc = model probability; %DE = percent deviance explained. model k ? AICc w AICc %DE pursuit–impact ˜1 1 -49.120 102.302 0.302 – ˜S 2 -48.221 102.564 0.264 1.0 impact–death ˜ H+S 4 -137.623 285.556 0.540 7.1 ˜ H+S+H*S 6 -136.049 286.681 0.308 8.5 shot–death ˜ H+S 4 -134.511 279.331 0.679 16.1 ˜ H+S+H*S 6 -133.272 281.128 0.276 17.1 ˜S 2 -139.314 284.750 0.045 11.9 pursuit–death ˜H 3 -11.516 31.237 0.543 3.2 10
model k ? AICc w AICc %DE Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. ˜ H+S 4 -11.515 33.339 0.190 3.2 Figure 7 . Above ground-level (AGL) of the helicopter for each individual (pigs or deer) shot at each stage of the shoot. SEEN = AGL when first spotted; PURSUIT = AGL when pursuit began; FIRST = AGL of when first shot taken; IMPACT = AGL when first bullet impacted animal; LAST = AGL at last shot taken. Table 3 . Subset of the generalised linear models to test for the effects of period (P) (seen, pursuit, first, impact, last) and species (S) (pigs or deer) on the altitude above ground level. k = number of model parameters; ? = -log likelihood; AICc = Akaike’s information criterion corrected for small sample size; w AICc = model probability; %DE = percent deviance explained. model k ? AICc w AICc %DE ˜ P+S+P*S 10 161.207 -300.223 > 0.999 62.9 ˜ S+P 6 119.879 -225.678 < 0.001 60.7 ˜P 5 115.271 -218.482 < 0.001 60.4 Discussion Our results confirm that thermal imaging can be used to detect pest animals during aerial culling in difficult habitat and that positioning the thermal operator and the shooter on the same side maximizes the opportu- nity for target detection and dispatch, while considerably reducing the chances of targets being lost. Using thermal in the TAAC configuration can therefore increase the efficacy of aerial culling programs aiming to remove low-density pest animal populations and increase the success of eradication programs. Not being able to detect animals reduces the probability of eradication success, particularly as terrain becomes more rugged (Gregory et al. 2014). While neither Kangaroo Island nor the Limestone Coast are especially rugged, the eradication of deer from Five Finger Peninsula on Restoration Island, New Zealand, highlights how the approach can minimize the loss of efficiency caused by rugged terrain. Using thermal imaging can aid in detecting otherwise cryptic individuals, such as those occupying heavy cover and difficult terrain, or evading aircraft from previous experience (e.g., Saunders and Bryant 1988, Bayne et al. 2000, Tracey and Fleming 2007; Campbell et al . 2010, Latham et al . 2018, but see Choquenot 11
1995). Helicopter crews can miss up to 50% of goats during visual aerial culling (Bayneet al. 2000) and Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. 28% more pigs were found with a thermal imager than visually in a recent study (unpublished data for Hay Plains, New South Wales, T.E. Cox). This population had experienced previous shooting, and many animals fled to and hid in vegetation. The difference between visual and thermal detection was even more pronounced for pigs on Kangaroo Island in this study (99% of pigs detected with thermal). Our data suggest that animal welfare outcomes in a TAAC program are better. Only 9% of detected pigs and 16% of deer were lost. This is considerably fewer than for visually targeted deer where 24-31% were lost (Hampton, Bengsen et al. 2021). Our data shows that every bullet-struck animal was confirmed killed, and no injured animals were lost. Injured and lost individuals were reported during a welfare assessment of visual aerial culling programs for deer (Hampton, Bengsen et al. 2021). The metrics we report for deer indicated a similar number of average impact shots (2.2, SD = 1.2) compared to 1.43-2.57 for the visual-only program (Hampton, Bengsen et al. 2021), similar average pursuit times (59.4 s, SD = 41.7 versus 73-145 s respectively), similar total times (108 s, SD = 72 versus 109-162 s respectively), but slightly longer times from first shot to last shot (45.2 s, SD = 43.5 versus 17-37 s respectively). The difference arises because the thermal-assisted approach specifically targets densely vegetated areas (particularly during the deer program), rather than the more open areas that are typically targeted during visual aerial culling. Welfare assessments for visual helicopter-based aerial culling have not been done for pigs, but the number of impact shots per pig in a visual aerial culling study assessing ammunition were similar (3, SD = 1.3 versus 2.98-3.29) (Hampton, Eccles et al. 2021). Shooters involved in the TAAC programs also indicated improved welfare outcomes (see Supporting Information) and the TAAC crew configuration appears to be an integral part of the improved welfare outcomes. Several crew configurations have been trialed for thermal-assisted culling in New Zealand (documented in Supporting Information 1 and 2), and while thermal imaging invariably increases detections regardless of equipment placement, operators indicated that the greatest benefit came from positioning the shooter and the operator on the same side (D. Paine 2021, personal observation, 16 June). In a recent study where the thermal operator and the shooter were both positioned in the rear of the helicopter on opposite sides, 14% of animals found with thermal were lost after transitioning to the shooters side of the aircraft. The shooter in this study had no thermal equipment. The time from detection to first shot was also longer for animals found with thermal than with visual due to the requirement to reposition the aircraft (unpublished data for Hay Plains, New South Wales, T.E. Cox). Having the shooter in the front, and opposite the pilot, gives the shooter the widest field of view and the best opportunity for verbal and body-language communication with the pilot. Having the operator behind the shooter provides essential support to the shooter to find new and escaping targets, to confirm species identification and confirm successful destruction of the animal (D. Paine 2022, personal observation, 18 May). When and how to use thermal-assisted aerial culling The TAAC configuration can be particularly useful when detection probability is low due to dense vegetation, avoidance behavior, or low density. Thermal imaging is a tool that can provide a high level of confidence in aerial culling programs, especially those that are focused on eradication. We make several recommendations for any jurisdiction considering thermal-assisted aerial culling. The selection of thermal sensor is important (see Cox et al. 2021); and a high-resolution imager with a minimum of 30 Hz viewing rate is essential. A large sensor size increases swath width and depth, allowing for more area to be surveyed quickly. Transitioning to thermal imagery will be more productive if the shooter has experience with the thermal equipment in ground-shooting operations. Given the extent of communication between crew in a thermal-assisted program, and particularly between the thermal operator and the pilot, who are on diagonally opposite sides of the helicopter, clear terminology and standard phraseology should be established prior to any program to avoid confusion (this approach would also be beneficial for visual aerial shooting programs). Team communication evolves most efficiently when confronted with a real shooting situation. This enables the crew to learn how to work with each other and to work out their strategies. During searches themselves, the two observers equipped with thermal imaging (operator and shooter) can 12
identify animals quickly, permitting a high and steady approach (e.g., 90 m and 30-40 knots) that provides Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. more opportunities for an effective engagement (B. Florence, 2021, personal observation, 22 July). Limitations Animal detections using thermal are maximized when ΔT (difference in thermal radiation between the animal and its surroundings) is greatest. This usually occurs when the ground and vegetation is at its coldest point, or in the first 1.5-2 hours after first light, and/or before shadows from solar radiation appear on the ground. Solar insolation has the greatest impact on increasing the thermal radiation of the environment and considerably reducing ΔT; and after consistent insolation, ΔT can become negative making animals difficult or impossible to detect against the background. This typically occurs 1.5-2hrous after daybreak in cloudless conditions on flat terrain. Therefore, the amount of effective thermal operational hours is limited. During winter, conditions might also be suitable for thermal in the afternoon in the last 1.5 hours before last light. Therefore, TAAC programs are usually limited to the cooler months of the year to maximize the number of effective thermal hours available. Additionally, while overcast conditions can extend the duration of a TAAC program each day; fog, rainfall or high winds negatively affect thermal imager performance. Crew performance can also be negatively affected and should be monitored for signs of fatigue and reduced performance. Finally, vegetation type and condition can impact thermal imager performance and therefore the detection and identification of target animals. Epicormic growth in bushfire affected plants, wet leaves (after moist conditions overnight), and certain types of low and dense shrubs (e.g. coastal heath) can all erode efficiency. Conclusion Thermal imaging technology increases the detection of animals in aerial culling programs. The TAAC crew configuration maximises target acquisition opportunity, and results in no loss of injured animals, thereby improving the animal welfare outcomes normally associated with aerial culling programs. The ability to detect animals in difficult habitat, that are at low densities or that exhibit avoidance behaviour, coupled with the ability of the thermal operator to track and monitor additional members of a group will improve the success of control and eradication programs and ensure the best possible animal welfare outcomes. Acknowledgements We acknowledge Grant Halverson (Vale), David Paine and Norman McDonald who pioneered the TAAC methodology in Raukumara, Bay of Plenty, New Zealand. This study was made possible with the partic- ipation of Kangaroo Island National Parks and Wildlife Service and Kiland Ltd (Formerly KI Plantation Timbers) and a number of private landholders on the Limestone Coast. We thank Chad Wilsdon, Tyronne Fitzgerald and Warren White for collecting the data during the aerial operations on the Limestone Coast, as well as Sebastien Comte for providing comments on this manuscript. The work on Kangaroo Island was jointly funded through State and Commonwealth Government Disaster Recovery Arrangements. The work on the Limestone Coast was funded through the National Feral Deer Coordinator Project (a Centre for Invasive Species Solutions project, funded by the Australian Government). All aerial culling was completed as part of ongoing pest animal management operations which do not require animal ethics approval. The authors declare no conflict of interest. Authors contribution statement DP, MT, AW, MK, RM and BP conceived the ideas, DP, MT, AW, MK, RM, BF, KF, TB and BP designed methodology, MT, AW, MK, RM, BF, KF, TB, RM, TEC, EOH and BP collected the data, TB, TEC, EOH and CJAB analysed the data, TEC led the writing of the manuscript and all authors contributed critically to the drafts and gave final approval for publication. Data Availability Statement 13
The data used in the analysis will be available from the Dryad Digital Repository. The original thermal Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. footage is the property of The Department of Primary Industries and Regions South Australia. References Bayne P, Harden B, Pines K and Taylor U (2000) Controlling feral goats by shooting from a he- licopter with and without the assistance of ground-based spotters. Wildlife Research 27: 517-523 doi.org/10.1071/WR99059 Bengsen AJ, Forsyth DM, Pople A, Brennan M, Amos M, Leeson M, Cox TE, Gray B, Orgill O, Hampton JO, Crittle T and Haebich K (2022) Effectiveness and costs of helicopter-based shooting of deerWildlife Research (accepted 14 April 2022) Bennett M. (1979) ‘The Venison Hunters’ (A.H. & A.W. Reed: Wellington) Blue Marble Geographics (2022) Global Mapper www.bluemarblegeo.com/ Bomford M and O’Brien P (1995) Eradication or control for vertebrate pests? Wildlife Society Bulletin 23(2):249-255 www.jstor.org/stable/3782799 Boonstra R, Krebs C J, Boutin S and Eadie JM (1994) Finding Mammals Using Far-Infrared Thermal Imaging Journal of Mammalogy 75(4): 1063-1068 doi.org/10.2307/1382490 Burnham KP and Anderson DR (2002) ‘Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information- theoretic approach’ New York, USA: Springer-Verlag Campbell TA, Long DB, and Leland BR (2010) Feral swine behaviour relative to aerial gunning in southern Texas Journal of Wildlife Management 74: 337–341 Challies CN (1977) Effects of commercial hunting on red deer densities in the Arawata Valley, South West- land, 1972–76 New Zealand Journal of Forestry Science 7:263–273 Corcoran E, Denman S, Hanger J, Wilson B and Hamilton G (2019) Automated detection of koalas using low- level aerial surveillance and machine learning Scientific Reports 9: 3208 doi.org/10.1038/s4159 8-019-39917 -5 Cox F (2019) Maukahuka Pest Free Auckland Island: Out-come zero pigs. Department of Conser- vation, New Zealand www.doc.govt.nz/globalassets/documents/our-work/maukahuka-project/maukahuka- pigs-info-sheet.pdf accessed 12 May 2022 Cox TE, Matthews R, Halverson G and Morris S. 2021. Hot stuff in the bushes: Thermal imagers and the detection of burrows in vegetated sitesEcology and Evolution 11(11): 6406-6414 doi.org/10.1002/ece3.7491 Croon, GW, McCullough DR, Olson CE and Queal LE (1968) Infrared scanning techniques for big game censusing Journal of Wildlife Management32: 751-759 doi.org/10.2307/3799549 Forsyth DM, Thomson C, Hartley L, MacKenzie DI, Price R, Wright EF, Mortimer J, Nugent G, Wil- son L and Livingstone P (2011) Long-term changes in the relative abundances of introduced deer in New Zealand estimated from faecal pellet frequencies New Zealand Journal of Zoology 38: 237–249 doi.org/10.1080/03014223.2011.592200 Forsyth DM, Ramsey DSL, Veltman CJ, Allen RB, Allen WJ, Barker RJ, Jacobson CL, Nicol SJ, Richardson SJ and Todd CR (2013) When deer must die: large uncertainty surrounds changes in deer abundance achieved by helicopter- and ground-based hunting in New Zealand forestsWildlife Research 40: 447–458 Gregory SD, Henderson W, Smee E, and Cassey P (2014) Eradications of vertebrate pests in Australia: A review and guidelines for future best practice . PestSmart Toolkit publication, Invasive Animals Cooperative Research Centre, Canberra, Australia 14
Hampton JO, Bengsen AJ, Pople A, Brennan M, Leeson M, Forsyth DM (2021) Animal welfare outcomes Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. of helicopter-based shooting of deer in Australia Wildlife Researchdoi.org/10.1071/WR21069 Hampton JO, Eccles G, Hunt R, Bengsen AJ, Perry AL, Parker S, Miller CJ, Joslyn SK, Stokke S, Arnemo JM and Hart Q (2021) A comparison of fragmenting lead-based and lead-free bullets for aerial shooting of wild pigs PLoS ONE 16(3): e0247785 doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0247785 Hone J (1990) Predator-prey theory and feral pig control, with emphasis on evaluation of shooting from a helicopter Australian Wildlife Research 17: 123–130 Husheer SW, Robertson AW (2005) High-intensity deer culling increases growth of mountain beech seedlings in New Zealand Wildlife Research 32:273–280 Korn TJ (1986) Use of helicopters for feral pig control. In ’Proceedings of 10th National Noxious Plants and Animals Conference’ (Ed. D Brown) pp. 45-50. (NSW Agriculture: Orange) Katahira LK, Finnegan P and Stone CP (1993) Eradicating Feral Pigs in Montane Mesic Habitat at Hawaii Volcanoes National Park Wildlife Society Bulletin 21(3): 269-274 www.jstor.org/stable/3782865 Latham ADM, Latham MC, Herries D, Barron M, Cruz J, and Anderson, DP (2018) Assessing the efficacy of aerial culling of introduced wild deer in New Zealand with analytical decomposition of predation riskBiological Invasions 20: 251–266 doi.org/10.1007/s10530-017-1531-0 Lethbridge M, Stead M and Wells C (2019) Estimating kangaroo density by aerial survey: a comparison of thermal cameras with human observers Wildlife Research 46: 639–648 doi.org/10.1071/WR18122 Masters P, Markopoulos N, Florance B and Southgate R (2018) The eradication of fallow deer (Dama dama ) and feral goats (Capra hircus ) from Kangaroo Island, South AustraliaAustralasian Journal of Environmental Management 25(1): 86-98 McDonald N (2017) Five Fingers Peninsula Thermal Camera Trial 2017 Part 1. Internal report DOC-5927153 Mellor DJ, and Littin KE (2004) Using science to support ethical decisions promoting humane livestock slaughter and vertebrate pest control Animal Welfare 13: 127–132 Natural Resources Kangaroo Island (2015) ‘Feral Cat Eradication on Kangaroo Island 2015–2030’ (South Australian Department of Environment and Water: Kingscote, SA, Australia) NSW Department of Primary Industries (2022a) NSWPIG SOP2 Aerial shooting of feral pigs NSW PIGCOP: Feral Pig Code of Practice and Standard Operating Procedureswww.dpi.nsw.gov.au/biosecurity/vertebrate- pests/publications/standard-operating-procedures accessed 12 May 2022 NSW Department of Primary Industries. 2022b. NSWDEER SOP2 Aerial shooting of feral deer. NSW DEERCOP: Feral Deer Code of Practice and Standard Operating Procedures www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/biosecurity/vertebrate-pests/publications/standard-operating-procedures accessed 12 May 2022 Nugent G, Parkes JP and Tustin KG (1987) Changes in the density and distribution of red deer and wapiti in northern Fiordland New Zealand Journal of Ecology 10: 11–21 Nugent G and Fraser KW (2005) Red deer. In ‘The Handbook of New Zealand Mammals’. 2nd edn. (Ed. C. M. King.) pp. 401–420. (Oxford University Press: Melbourne) Page B, Bradshaw CJA, Korcz M and Tarran M (2021) Eradication of pigs on Kangaroo Is- land: updated predictions to inform the probability of eradication. Government of South Aus- tralia pir.sa.gov.au/ data/assets/pdf file/0004/396643/Updated predictions on the program to eradicate - feral pigs from Kangaroo Island.pdf accessed 21 May 2022 Parker HDJ and Driscoll RS (1972) An experiment in deer detection by thermal scanning Journal of Range- land Management 25: 480-481 15
Parkes J, Henzell R and Pickles G (1996) ‘Managing Vertebrate Pests: Feral Goats.’ (Australian Government Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. Printing Service: Canberra) R Core Team (2020) R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria www.R-project.org/ Reddiex B, Forsyth DM, McDonald-Madden E, Einoder LD, Griffioen PA, Chick RR, Robley AJ (2006) Con- trol of pest mammals for biodiversity protection in Australia. I. Patterns of control and monitoring. Wildlife Research 33: 691-709 doi.org/10.1071/WR05102 Saunders G and Bryant H (1988) The evaluation of a feral pig eradication program during a simulated exotic disease outbreak Australian Wildlife Research 15: 73–81 doi.org/10.1071/WR9880073 Saunders G (1993) Observations on the effectiveness of shooting feral pigs from helicopters. Wildlife Research 20: 771-776 doi.org/10.1071/WR9930771 Sharp T (2012) Aerial shooting of feral pigs. Standard Operating Procedure PIG002. PestSmart web- site https://pestsmart.org.au/toolkit-resource/aerial-shooting-of-feral-pigs accessed 12-05-2022 Sharp T and Saunders G (2011) ‘A Model for Assessing the Relative Humaneness of Pest Animal Control Methods.’ 2nd edn. (Australian Government Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry: Canberra, ACT) Spaan D, Burke C, McAree O, Aureli F, Rangel-Rivera CE, Hutschenreiter A, Longmore SN, McWhirter PR and Wich SA (2019) Thermal infrared imaging from drones offers a major advance for spider monkey surveysDrones 3: 34 doi:10.3390/drones3020034 Tracey J and Fleming PJS (2007) Behavioural responses of feral goats (Capra hircus ) to helicopters Applied Animal Behaviour Science 108: 114–128 US Space Force (2022) www.gps.gov/systems/gps/performance/accuracy/ accessed 22 May 2022 Warburton B, Anderson DP and Nugent,G (2018) Economic aspects of New Zealand’s wild venison recovery industry. In ‘Advances in Conservation through Sustainable Use of Wildlife. Proceedings of a conference held in Brisbane, Australia, 20 August to 1 September 2016’. (Eds G. Baxter, N. Finch and P. Murray.) pp. 265–271. (Wildlife Science Unit, School of Agriculture and Food Sciences, The University of Queensland: Gatton) Supporting Information 1 Detailed site descriptions Kangaroo Island The island has a terrestrial area of 4,405 km2 and is 145 km long (E-W) × 54 km wide at its widest point with a population of > 4000 people. In 2019/2020 > one-third of the island was severely burnt by bushfires, reducing the feral pig population by approximately 90%. This provided an opportunity to eradicate the low- density population while vegetation recovery enabled high detectability. After the 2019/2020 fires, the feral pig population was estimated to be < 450 individuals (Page et al. 2021). As part of the Island’s post-bushfire feral pig eradication program there has been extensive ground shooting (one intensive three-month period that removed 165 pigs), trapping, and baiting for pigs across the island. Ad-hoc aerial culling occurred in March 2020 while a helicopter was on the Island for aerial baiting. This approach resulted in three 2 h shooting sessions and removed 7 pigs. The remaining individuals are increasingly difficult to bait or trap, with animals restricted to the western end of the Island, and typically located in inaccessible parts of farms, former plantation forests, as well as parks and reserves. The TAAC program was undertaken over creek lines 16
of Flinders Chase National Park, The Ravine des Casoars Wilderness Protection Area (WPA), Cape Torrens Posted on Authorea 6 Jul 2022 — The copyright holder is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse without permission. — https://doi.org/10.22541/au.165633745.51007622/v2 — This a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. WPA, Cape Bouguer WPA, Kelly Hill CP, Western River WPA and Vivonne Bay Conservation Park. Limestone Coast The Limestone Coast is a low-lying region of south-eastern South Australia that consists of ancient, low sand dunes and incorporates important Ramsar listed wetland areas such as the Coorong and Bool Lagoon. Feral deer occur throughout the region with fallow deer the most common deer species. The TAAC program took place across patches of bushland on seven private holdings totalling 173.7 km2 . Properties included a mix of grazing and cropping, with areas of remnant tea-tree (Melaleuca alternifolia) and eucalypt woodland. Visual shoots have been done in this area 1-2 times year-1 for several years. Landholders also engage contract, volunteer and/or recreational shooters to assist with deer management and a commercial harvester also worked across most of the seven holdings regularly between 2018–2020. A visual aerial cull was done over the area 10 days prior (13–17 September) to the TAAC program. The visual shoot crew flew 89.9 h, using 2 helicopters over 5 days, and shot 603 deer across 128,103 ha2 , with the aim of removing as many deer as possible as quickly as possible. While vegetated areas were included, targeting occurred mainly on open pasture. Estimation of program costs We followed the guidelines in Iacona et al. (2018) for collecting and reporting intervention-level costs in 2021 Australian dollars (AUD). The following costs are indicative rates only and might vary between providers and/or countries. They are also only for operational hours and do not include mobilisation costs such as ferry of the helicopter to site, positioning of a fuel truck or travel costs for the crew. Where day rates were given, we calculated the hourly rate as day rate × number of days ÷ number of hours. We calculated the hourly cost of control as: hourly cost = helicopter hourly wet rate + shooter hourly rate + thermal operator hourly rate + imager hire hourly rate + (cost round-1 × animals shot hour-1 × shots animal-1 ). We used the following rates to calculate program costs: helicopter wet rate for a AS350 B3 Squirrel = $2500 hour-1 , shooter rate = $1200 day-1 , thermal operator rate = $650 day-1 and imager hire = $900 day-1 . We averaged ammunition costs at $2.25 round-1 . The cost for the pig program (36 hours flown over 13 days) was $3515.93 hour-1 . There have since been two additional thermal-assisted aerial cullings on Kangaroo Island, with a total of 394 pigs removed over the three programs. The cost for the deer program (15.5 hours flown over 3 days) was $3092.25 hour-1 . The deer trial was stopped after 15.5 hours of shooting because the land manager felt the trial was successful and did not require further evidence of its effectiveness. Firearms and ammunition Types of firearms and ammunition used in aerial culling are determined by each jurisdiction. In the Australian programs a Springfield M1A 308 calibre self-loading rifle was used with 135 grain hollow-point ammunition for pigs, and 150 grain soft-point ammunition for deer. In New Zealand a variety of firearms are used. The common calibres are 223 with 55 grain soft or hollow point for goats or 64 grain for deer, 308 using 130 grain soft or hollow point for goats and 150 grain for deer, and a 12 gauge shotgun using 9 or 12 ball “00” lead Buckshot for goats and deer. A full discussion of firearm development for TAAC can be found in Supplementary Information 2. Lost animals The reported number of deer lost during the Limestone Coast case study is potentially overestimated. When density is high, it is difficult to track all individuals in a group. During a shoot, individuals would often leave the group or additional individuals would be acquired. Without being able to identify animals individually, it is difficult to know if lost animals are in fact lost, or whether they are reacquired as part of another group. For this reason, ‘lost animal’ data from the deer shoot, and likely the pig shoot, are probably inaccurate. The deer data in this case study are for fallow deer only. Therefore, we cannot make reliable inferences about effectiveness for other deer species. Similarly, for pigs, the number of lost animals is likely 17
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