The thin line between leadership and mediocrity - Bertelsmann Stiftung
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PolicyBrief Policy Brief | 12.2017 The thin line between leadership and mediocrity Can Ukraine become a role model in fighting disinformation? Łukasz Wenerski After more than three years of Introduction debunking Kremlin “fake news”, Ukraine does not have a perfect track “Fake news” has been officially named record in countering manipulation. Yet, word of the year by Collins English the country has made enough progress Dictionary and will be included in the next to be treated by other Eastern print edition of the dictionary.1 The word, Partnership countries as a possible which has no precise meaning but example on how to approach the issue generally describes information that has of fighting disinformation and been either fabricated or manipulated, has developing strategic communication. witnessed a surge in popularity in 2017, Non-governmental actors in Ukraine mostly in the aftermath of the United States have achieved a level of experience and presidential election. On the one hand, it excellency that would be interesting for has been widely discussed that sources any organization dealing with Kremlin connected to Russia meddled in the U.S. propaganda, fact-checking or media literacy. However, these organizations 1 'Fake news' named Collins Dictionary's official Word of would need more international publicity the Year for 2017, Independent, to raise their visibility. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/fake- news-word-of-the-year-2017-collins-dictionary-donald- trump-kellyanne-conway-antifa-corbynmania- a8032751.html
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 2 election by flooding social media with well as by Kremlin propaganda. manipulated information and sponsored ads aimed at polarizing American society. But there is also another side to the On the other hand, U.S. President Donald “information warfare” between Ukraine and Trump, who is considered the biggest Russia. Ukrainians now have more than beneficiary of the manipulated stories three years of experience in debunking produced by Russian sources as the vast fake news and uncovering the mechanisms majority of such stories were tailored to his for spreading manipulated information. As favor, uses the term “fake news” in a very a consequence, among Ukrainian civil different context. He has often called any society activists, experts and politicians, information that might present him in a knowledge of how Kremlin propaganda negative light “fake news”. Such actually works and how to counter it often accusations have been directed at, among exceeds the knowledge and experience of others, CNN, The New York Times, the their counterparts from the Eastern U.S. Democratic Party and even some Partnership countries, the European Union fellow Republicans. or the USA. This opens a vast field for potential cooperation for sharing this know- In Europe, “fake news” gained momentum how between Ukraine and other countries. due to a series of elections and Ukraine – in an unlikely role reversal in its referendums in which manipulated relations with the West – could be a source information is considered to have played an of knowledge that can help other countries important role in misleading public opinion. to monitor and address disinformation. This includes events such as the elections Despite Ukraine being experienced and in France, Netherlands, and to a lesser likely more than capable of providing others extent, Germany, and the referendums on its fair share of knowledge on countering Brexit and Catalonian independence. In all disinformation, the notion of considering it a cases, Russian sources are believed to role model remains unpopular, even among have been involved in manipulation and countries which have already recognized disinformation. the threat of the Kremlin’s manipulations. A series of factors, such as a controversial The modern use of “fake news,” which national disinformation strategy, and de involves a coordinated action on both facto instrumentalization of information online and offline media platforms but is policy for its own purposes by the Ukrainian largely concentrated on the internet, was ruling elite as well as limited recognition for widely noticed for the first time when the Ukrainian “anti-manipulation” initiatives Kremlin propaganda machine played a have also contributed to the fact that crucial part in the Russian-Ukrainian Ukraine’s case of countering propaganda is conflict, which erupted in 2014 when worth analyzing, but not always worth Russia annexed Crimea and engaged in following. war in Donbas. The internet was flooded with fake news and manipulated Status quo: belated and controversial, information aimed at showing that the yet making progress people who supported the Revolution of Dignity and the politicians who came to Members of Ukrainian civil society and power after president Yanukovych fled the Ukrainian officials have been indicating country were a true danger not only to Russia’s propaganda machine as one of “normal” Ukrainians but to Russians and the key elements of its hybrid warfare since even others, including the EU. For more 2014. Dmytro Shulkin, deputy head of than three years now, Ukraine has been Ukraine’s presidential administration, told under constant shelling - in real terms as the Financial Times in October 2017 that,
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 3 already back in 2015, Ukraine warned Information Policy, the Ministry of Foreign Facebook and the U.S. administration that Affairs, the Ukrainian Security Service, the Russia is spreading disinformation on State Special Communications Services social media.2 Even though Ukrainian and the National Institute for Strategic officials have undertaken actions to inform Studies.6 other countries that Russian information warfare is a real threat, their actions were The Information Security Doctrine was not underpinned with an effective, fully- created as a comprehensive strategy to fledged strategy. It was only in February counter Kremlin propaganda. It has, 2017 that Ukrainian president Petro however, raised considerable concerns Poroshenko approved the Information stemming from the dilemma of whether Security Doctrine,3 a strategic document more security measures7 can be adopted with the purpose of effectively implemented at the cost of personal addressing security threats faced by freedoms, primarily the freedom of Ukraine. Although work on the Doctrine expression. Opinions expressed not only had started much earlier – the first draft of by the political opposition to the current the strategy was discussed during public Ukrainian ruling elite, but also by members consultations already in mid-20154 – it took of civil society, including Amnesty Ukrainian politicians almost three years International8 and the Internet Association (counting from the annexation of Crimea by of Ukraine, have raised concerns that the Russia), despite awareness that new Doctrine not only counters Kremlin information about Ukraine is manipulated propaganda but can also lead to excessive every day, to develop its fight against control of the Internet by the state.9 Despite Russian “fake news” into an official this criticism, the Doctrine has been in strategy. force since February. Its provisions were among the factors that led to the decision The Information Security Doctrine openly to ban the Russian social media portals states that its elaboration and adoption is a VKontakte and Odnoklassniki in Ukraine as reaction to Russian hybrid warfare against internet sources which extensively promote Ukraine and that its main goal is to create anti-Ukrainian propaganda, a move yet an information strategy for Ukraine and an again perceived as controversial. Thorbjorn information barrier against Russian Jagland, the head of the Council of Europe, propaganda.5 For implementation of the even stated that banning Russian social Doctrine’s provisions, the document media websites contradicted the “common regulates the division of responsibilities between numerous official bodies: the 6 Ukraine’s Information Security Doctrine: A Breakthrough or the Veneer of Change?, The Jamestown Cabinet of Ministers, the National Security Foundation, https://jamestown.org/program/ukraines- and Defense Council, the Ministry of information-security-doctrine-breakthrough-veneer- change/ 7 The question remains of what is the long-lasting strategy 2 Ukraine says it warned Facebook of Russia fake news in of the Ukrainian ruling elite with regard to the 2015, Financial Times, implementation of the doctrine. Does it want to use https://www.ft.com/content/c63d76d4-bd1e-11e7-b8a3- provisions of the doctrine purely to counter Russian 38a6e068f464 disinformation, or may the temptation of using the 3 President approved Information Security Doctrine of doctrine’s provisions lead to strengthening the power of Ukraine, http://www.president.gov.ua/en/news/glava- the ruling elite by increasing control over Ukrainian derzhavi-zatverdiv-doktrinu-informacijnoyi-bezpeki-ukr- society and political opposition 8 Указ Порошенко загрожує свободі слова – Amnesty 40190 4В Киеве обсудили проект Концепции International, Dzerkalo Tyzhnia, информбезопасности страны, Nova Vlada, https://dt.ua/UKRAINE/ukaz-poroshenko-zagrozhuye- http://novavlada.info/gosudarstvo/v-kieve-obsudili-proekt- svobodi-slova-amnesty-international-234750_.html 9 Ukraine’s Information Security Doctrine: A koncepcii-informbezopasnosti-strany 5President approved Information Security Doctrine of Breakthrough or the Veneer of Change?, The Jamestown Ukraine, http://www.president.gov.ua/en/news/glava- Foundation, https://jamestown.org/program/ukraines- derzhavi-zatverdiv-doktrinu-informacijnoyi-bezpeki-ukr- information-security-doctrine-breakthrough-veneer- 40190 change/
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 4 understanding of freedom of expression.”10. Despite the controversies over provisions Moreover, more than half (58%) of of the Information Security Doctrine, one Ukrainians do not support this decision, should not neglect the fact that the according to the opinion poll by GfK strategic communication of the Ukrainian Ukraine and the Center for Insights in government aimed at countering Kremlin Survey Research.11 Other results of disinformation has been slowly implementing the Doctrine are yet to be progressing. For instance, a number of seen, but one can state that its provision actions have been implemented by the and current implementation are not the Ministry of Information Policy13 or the best promotion of the Ukrainian state’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs.14 The conclusion approach to countering Russian of the Strategic Communications misinformation. Partnership Road Map between Ukraine and NATO in October 2015 was also an Separate criticism has been raised against important step.15 In the document, both the Ministry of Information Policy, a sides agreed that the NATO Public governmental body established in 2015, Diplomacy Division would support Ukraine which is supposed to play a key role in in the implementation of goals that would implementing the Information Security lead to the improvement of Ukraine’s Doctrine. The Ministry has to face a series strategic communications. One example of of concerns, such as capacity shortages this cooperation are the Strategic (29 employees, 4 million UAH initial Communications courses for SBU officers budget) and limited delegation of power, that started in 2016 at the National which narrows its possibility to work Academy of the Security Service of effectively. The biggest problem, however, Ukraine. is, that according to many journalists and activists the Ministry should have never Non-state actors: many activities, been created in the first place; it was moderate recognition established without proper public consultation and under fears that its modus Having to counter the Kremlin’s operandi would lead to the restriction of the propaganda while at the same time freedom of speech. The Ministry of debunking fake news has been a serious Information Policy has never recovered concern of Ukrainian non-governmental from these accusations. It remains organizations. Civil society has been unpopular among many activists and quicker and more efficient than the journalists, who sometimes call it “Ministry government at reacting, targeting and of Truth” with reference to Georg Orwell’s revealing deliberate Russian disinformation novel “1984”12 on Ukraine propagated both in Ukraine and in other countries. A number of projects have been established to counter the 10 Ukraine bans its top social networks because they are problem of manipulation from different Russian, The Economist angles – to debunk Kremlin fake news in https://www.economist.com/news/europe/21722360- blocking-websites-may-be-pointless-it-could-help- Ukraine, to reveal untrue stories about president-poroshenkos-popularity-ukraine Ukraine abroad or to generally monitor 11Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine, September 14 – October 10, 2017, International 13 Republican Institute, For instance: http://mip.gov.ua/en/content/proekti-yaki- http://www.iri.org/sites/default/files/2017-11- realizovani-za-pidtrimki-mip.html 14 For instance: http://mfa.gov.ua/en/page/open/id/5026; 28_ukraine_poll_presentation.pdf 12 Analyzing the Ground Zero. What Western Countries http://mfa.gov.ua/en/page/open/id/4130 15 Strategic Communications Partnership Road Map can Learn From Ukrainian Experience of Combating Russian Disinformation, European Values, between the National Security and Defense Council of http://www.europeanvalues.net/wp- Ukraine and the NATO International content/uploads/2017/12/Analyzing-the-Ground-Zero..pdf, Staff,http://mfa.gov.ua/mediafiles/sites/nato/files/Roadma pp. 6-7 p_Eng.pdf
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 5 actions originating from Russia that may be represents yet another type of activity. It is harmful to the image of Ukraine. These a volunteer community that conducts efforts have been supplemented by investigations aimed at debunking Kremlin projects implemented by Ukrainian think disinformation or identifying Kremlin- tanks on monitoring the Kremlin’s soft connected covert activities. Using open power influence in Ukraine and other source data collection, InformNapalm has countries. investigated topics such as the Russian intervention in Syria, the crash of the Although the common goal of countering Malaysian Airlines Boeing over Donbas in information manipulation unites a variety of July 2014 and Kremlin-backed protests in Ukrainian or Ukraine-originated actors, Poland. Another organization, Information their activities and target groups vary Resistance, tries to cover both analytical substantially. First, one should mention work and investigative activities. This non- fact-checking efforts, that is, the verification governmental organization also directs its of the authenticity of information from efforts at debunking fake news. media outlets. Although Ukrainian non-state actors have StopFake is a Ukrainian media platform the capacity for countering manipulated which specializes in the fact-checking of information, one can argue that they lack international news about Ukraine. Its main international recognition. With the goal is to verify and refute disinformation exceptions of StopFake and InformNapalm, and propaganda about events in Ukraine knowledge about the other organizations is which are circulated in the media outlets of limited to the relatively small groups of different countries. The organization experts who either follow the situation in investigates and debunks fake news Ukraine closely or specialize in the topic of related to Ukraine in ten languages and Kremlin propaganda. publishes it on dedicated websites and in social media. It also produces “Stop Fake StopFake is an especially interesting News”, a fake-news debunking broadcast, example. The group received a serious which is available online and aired regularly promotional boost and attention from the on about 30 Ukrainian television stations. international media when it became apparent that Russia was involved in DetectorMedia, “watchdog of the meddling with the U.S. election. Articles Ukrainian media” as it is called by its about its work appeared in Politico16 and authors, is more domestically oriented. It The New York Times.17 Recognition of the monitors and reveals manipulations and importance of StopFake’s knowledge and misinformation spread in the Ukrainian experience followed. In September 2017, media by journalists or politicians. StopFake journalists took part in the U.S. Congressional hearing entitled The Other groups focus their efforts on Scourge of Disinformation, where Russia’s delivering information on specific issues. goals in its hybrid warfare were discussed. They would include VoxUkraine, an Among the factors that helped to raise analytical platform that shares quality StopFake’s visibility was its focus on research about the real economic situation reaching out to an international audience. of Ukraine, as well as News of Donbas, a By monitoring foreign media outlets, its news agency that delivers accurate information about the situation in the 16 Ukraine’s fight against fake news goes global, Politico, Donbas region. https://www.politico.eu/article/on-the-fake-news-frontline/ 17 To Battle Fake News, Ukrainian Show Features Nothing but Lies, The New York Times, On the other hand, InformNapalm https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/26/world/europe/ukrain e-kiev-fake-news.html
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 6 volunteers were able to show that it is not for Ukraine are twofold. Firstly, its influence only Ukraine that is susceptible to media on other countries as regards how to manipulation – this vulnerability is present counter propaganda is limited because the in other countries as well. This move raised process of effective “debunking” in the awareness by exposing people to the truth West is still in its early stages. Secondly, if that similar manipulations of facts happen used appropriately, the current situation “at home” as well, and not just “somewhere gives the Ukrainian side an enormous else,” like in far-away Ukraine. chance to be involved in the process of creating international mechanisms to Other organizations which either direct their counter fake news from the beginning and work to different target audiences (such as promote itself as a leader in the field. the expert community or people following Ukrainian media only) or concentrate on But there is another obstacle to overcome. monitoring the situation within Ukraine Even if Ukraine is capable of being a role have not achieved this level of international model for countering propaganda (which is recognition. To promote their work, other still not the case when it comes to mechanisms and channels of sharing their government actions and is limited when it expertise need to be developed. comes to non-governmental actors), the question remains: Would others be willing Lack of trust in expertise to listen to Ukraine’s advice? The stereotypical thinking is that Ukraine is the The belated and controversial politics of the recipient of support and advice and not Ukrainian government in countering someone who has something to offer that propaganda and the rather limited might be considered valuable by other recognition of Ukrainian non-governmental partners. It is not unlikely that it may be efforts to stop information manipulation are difficult for other, more developed (both important, but they are not the only factors with regard to their economy and that have contributed to Ukraine’s modest democracy) countries to acknowledge that role in the “industry” of fighting they can learn something from their disinformation. The general problem is that Ukrainian counterparts, especially on such although many countries have already an unprecedented topic where an entirely acknowledged the problem of “alternative new approach to a problem has to be facts” spreading in the internet, they are developed. The paradigm, i.e. the lagging behind in the implementation of reluctance of acquiring knowledge from appropriate measures for countering it. To countries that are traditionally considered mitigate the flood of fake news, an to be less-developed, was recently advanced coordination of various dismissed by the U.S. Congress, which stakeholders, such as governments, invited StopFake as experts on debunking security agencies, online corporations fake news to its hearing on Russia’s hybrid (Facebook, Google) and non-governmental warfare methods, but this example can only actors is necessary. This process is only at be considered an exception, as opposed to the very early stages now and is facing a rule. obstacles and resistance, especially from social media platforms, which are the main Conclusions and recommendations carriers of fake news.18 The consequences Ukraine as a state is not ready to be a 18Just one of the examples: German spy agency attacks “role-model” for the EU or the USA in Facebook and others for failing to tackle fake news, The countering the Kremlin’s manipulations. Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/nov/27/germany -spy-agency-facebook-tech-fake-news
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 7 Too many problems need to be overcome of anti-Western propaganda on the first. The Ukrainian government needs to population.”19 The Ukrainian government, re-evaluate its actions in countering has sufficient knowledge to offer an disinformation. Previous activities have exchange of experience to their Georgian been only partly effective. Presumably, one counterparts on how to approach this of the biggest problems is that the issue. Ukrainian ruling elite lacks understanding of how to communicate with journalists and The situation is a little different with non- activists, whose expertise on how to governmental organizations. In many cases introduce effective mechanisms of they are experienced enough to be countering Kremlin disinformation is often considered role models for fighting neglected and not appreciated. This was disinformation by organizations in the EaP, the case of the Information Security the EU and the USA. The work of these Doctrine; its provisions have been organizations covers a variety of activities considered controversial by both Ukrainian and multiple target groups. They do news NGO’s and international organizations. The fact-checking, open-source investigations strategy should be revisited and adjusted and analytical research. They are accordingly to meet recognized standards increasingly engaging in media literacy of protection of freedom of speech. A projects. What is needed now is support similar situation happened with the Ministry from the Ukrainian state and other actors of Information Policy. Civil society (for instance, the EU) to raise the visibility representatives were not satisfactorily of these efforts. While StopFake and involved in the process of the creation of InformNapalm are already recognizable the Ministry, which in turn resulted in beyond Ukraine’s borders, other groups resentment against its work and the that are involved in analyzing and fighting competences of its employees. disinformation could use a further PR Nevertheless, even with these problems, boost. New ways of communicating Ukraine’s experience can be of paramount between organizations (from Ukraine and importance for other Eastern Partnership from other countries) and between countries. Taking into account the many organizations and the general public should similar problems these countries face vis-à- be established. Platforms of vis their relations with Russia, advice communication should include: an annual coming from Ukraine would definitely prove conference on debunking fake news useful. Problems, such as the controversy organized in Ukraine; a series of over the work of the Ministry of Information international events in European countries Policy are somehow balanced by positive devoted to the promotion of Ukrainian actions, for instance by the support of initiatives and projects that deal with institutions such as NATO, it is in the countering manipulation; an online platform process of developing its Strategic promoting Ukrainian efforts (in English and Communications aimed at countering preferably other languages) and their disinformation. If other countries intend to achievements in monitoring and fighting develop their own concept of strategic propaganda; video channels targeting an communication, they would do well to international audience. consult their Ukrainian partner. In 2017, the Georgian government adopted a communication strategy on Georgia’s EU 19Communication and NATO Membership for 2017-2020. Strategy of the Government of Georgia on Georgia’s EU and NATO Membership for 2017-2020, One of the goals of the strategy is the http://www.eu-nato.gov.ge/sites/default/files/EU- “prevention and reduction of the influence NATO%20Communication%20Strategy_ENG%20Final% 20version.pdf
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 8 The next step for the Ukrainian government Cover photo and non-governmental actors would be to Alexlmx / fotolia.com implement a common coordinated plan aimed at maximizing Ukraine’s presence Address | Contact Gabriele Schöler wherever new models for fighting Senior Project Manager disinformation are discussed. In practical Program The Future of Europe terms, it means a presence and lobbying in Bertelsmann Stiftung all important capitals (such as Washington, Telephone +49 05241 81-81205 Berlin, Paris, London, Brussels) of Mobile +49 0172 5207 790 countries that are coming to acknowledge Fax +49 05241 81-681205 Gabriele.schoeler@bertelsmann-stiftung.de that propaganda is a real issue. The first www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de target should probably be Washington, where the U.S. administration is now Dr Agnieszka Łada considering taking appropriate measures Director of the European Programme (legislation) to increase general /Senior Analyst transparency and mitigate fake news in the Institute of Public Affairs Telephone +48 22 5564288 social media. Fax +48 22 5564262 agnieszka.lada@isp.org.pl www.isp.org.pl Łukasz Wenerski works as an analyst and project coordinator for the Institute of Public Affairs, a leading independent think-tank in Warsaw This report was prepared within the framework of the project “Young Leaders for Europe”, jointly run by the Bertelsmann Stiftung and the Heinz Nixdorf Stiftung.
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