The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS
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The Strategy Structure and Approach Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) Baltadapt 3rd Policy Forum, Tallinn www.baltadapt.eu
What is the role of the Strategy and Action Plan? WHAT? Strategy HOW? Action Plan Strategy: Provide goals and visions. Clarifies links to other strategies and added value in a multilevel governance perspective “what in it for me”. Identifies coordinators and implementers. Provides the “rules of the game” regarding exposure , impact and vulnerabilities to climate change. www.baltadapt.eu
Why a BSR Strategy and Action Plan? ”Connected region with informed actors on all levels responding to climate change in a way that ensures prosperity, competiveness, as well as clean water, and rich and healthy wildlife” • Sharing of the Sea and its River Basin - adaptation or lack of adaptation might have consequences crossing national boundaries • Solidarity - ensure that most exposed and vulnerable regions/sectors /environments/individuals increase their adaptive capacity • Coordinate actions witan sectors integrated through EU policies and the single market • Need for a “Common BSR voice” in international contexts to ensure that the specific vulnerability of the Baltic Sea and its river basin to climate change is acknowledged in EU and international policies www.baltadapt.eu
The Process • Policy forum – Berlin (April 2012), Stockholm (December 2012), Tallinn (May 2013) – Involve decision-makers and other macro-regional, national and local actors to prepare for political endorsement – Stakeholder workshops • EU (DG Clima, DG Reggio) – The European Commission adopted an EU strategy on adaptation on 16 April 2013. • Final consultation phase (7th June action plan, 14th June strategy) Farming Tourism (Norrköping) Warnemuende) www.baltadapt.eu
Sub-criteria Vision (2020) Baseline Relation to (2013) goals in the EU Strategy for Climate Adaptation Raising awareness Awareness of climate change and its potential Scattered impact on society and the environment, as well fulfilment as the possibilities of adaptation permeates macro-regional agreements, regional education and training collaborations, as well as regional cooperation between authorities at all geographic levels, researchers, and private parties. Sharing a macro- A "Baltic Window" linked to "the European Work initiated regional knowledge Climate Adaptation Platform" includes relevant base information or links to information on climate change adaptation, including access to open source data for research purposes and communication of “good examples www.baltadapt.eu
Sub-criteria Vision (2020) Baseline Relation EU (2013) strategy Research cooperation An interdisciplinary approach to climate adaptation is Scattered 2020: Priority in order to identify and included as a horizontal aspect of all scientific fulfilment knowledge gaps address gaps of cooperation in the region, where it is relevant. identified in 2013 knowledge have been closed Facilitating science- Decision makers among authorities as well as among Scattered 2020: policy dialogues on all private actors have access to interactive visualization- fulfilment Communication levels based tools for dialogues about climate adaptation. tools allow for These are part of a well-developed and frequently available used access to a combination of web-based on real- information on life meeting places for researchers, authorities and climate change private actors representing specific sectors, such as adaptation to be the horizontal (between stakeholders in the same accessible for geographical level) and vertical (e.g. between decision-makers, stakeholders on local, national and macro-regional including Member levels ) dialogues States, local authorities and firms Cooperation to prepare Access to operational warning system in the region Scattered for increased risk of relevant to climate-change induced increased fulfilment disasters due to climate exposure in different sectors (such as infrastructure, change agriculture, health) either by common BSR systems or through other types of cooperation between different warning system services in the region. www.baltadapt.eu
Sub-criteria Vision (2020) Baseline Relation EU (2013) strategy Cooperation related to National climate change adaptation strategies Scattered 2017: All Member national strategies available in all BSR states, with the exchange of States have information through collaboration on the "Baltic adopted (an) Window," as well as through other established forms Adaptation of cooperation in the preparation and updating of Strateg(y)ies, climate adaptation strategies and action plans. complemented by regional or local adaptation strategies when appropriate. Promoting sector- BSR relevant cooperation within all business sectors Sporadic relevant macro-regional in society where this is relevant (e.g., agriculture, cooperation on tourism, fisheries, energy, construction of adaptation to infrastructure). challenges and business opportunities Macro-regional Access to the estimates of the cost related to climate Limited cooperation in order to change adaptation in different sectors. Access to ensure funding of finance in the BSR that enables prioritization of action adaptation measures on adaptation to the most exposed and vulnerable parts of the region, as well as to the most vulnerable sectors and individuals. www.baltadapt.eu
Suggested Coordination EUBSR Horizontal Action ”Sustainable Development and Bioeconomy” (CBSS, Nordic Council of Ministers). Indicator: BSR Climate Adaptation Strategy and Action plan agreed on by all nations. 1. Agree on the most important issues to focus on and initiate policy- science and multilevel governance dialogues related to climate adaptation and disaster risk CBSS reduction issues of common concerns in the BSR, with specific consideration to issues with cross-border implications. Steering group 2. Promote actions based on recommendations Polliticians, authoriges, emanating from these dialogues or other private actors, NGO:s, relevant initiatives. reesarchers www.baltadapt.eu
Implementers and Facilitators – Building on Existing Cooperation and “Match Making” Intergovernmental organisations, e.g. CBSS, Nordic Council of Ministries, HELCOM, VASAB, Baltic Sea Parliamentary Conference, Cooperation on local and sub-regional level, e.g.: Union of the Baltic Cities, Baltic Sea States Sub-regional Co-operation (BSSSC) . Cooperation including the business community, e.g. Baltic Development Forum (BDF), Baltic Sea Chambers of Commerce Association (BCCA), Baltic Sea Tourism Commission (BTC), Baltic Sea Action Group (BSAG Non-governmental organizations, e.g. Baltic Sea NGO network Scientific and educational networks, and knowledge brokering, e.g. BALTEX, Baltic Sea University Program (BUP) Funding of research, cooperation and investments, e.g.; Baltic Sea Region Programme , BONUS www.baltadapt.eu
Exposure to Climate Change High certainty Sea level rise (first in south, eventually in the whole region) Annual air temperature Warmer summers More heat waves Long time More events with extreme precipitation horizon More severe dry spells, especially in the southern areas Good More storms, high waves observation data and ensembles of regionally downscaled models needed www.baltadapt.eu
Reducing Vulnerability • Focus on assessments of adaptive capacity - iterative process with stakeholders on all levels • Solidarity by actions that reduce vulnerability where it is most needed. • Win-wins between various environmental and socio-economic goals and avoidance of unexpected negative impacts • Create forums that enable integration of polices and knowledge across sectors and administrative levels. • Merge top-down and bottom-up approaches - BSR wide indexes but also stressing local drivers and barriers www.baltadapt.eu
Prioritization of Issues • High PROBABILITY that a change will occur • Short TIME HORIZION until change is significant • High MACRO-REGIONAL interest in issue • High RISK without or PROBABLITY with adaptation www.baltadapt.eu
Marine Biodiversity and Habitats WARMER, LESS SALINE, MORE NUTRIENT TRANSPORT FROM LAND • Loss of original flora and fauna • Anoxic sediments lead to loss of communities of organism that live at the sea bottom • Change of composition of algae belts • Higher survival rates of invasive species • Changed population of birds and decrease of the ringed seal, with secondary ecosystem impacts THE STRATEGY CALLS FOR: ACTIONS MAINLY IN THE BASIN www.baltadapt.eu
Agriculture Possibilites: Higher crop yields New crops - larger crop variety. Longer vegetation periods. Longer periods for pasture grazing. Challenges: Introduction of new animal and plant pests and spread of weeds. High soil mineralization and heavy rains cause increased leaching of nutrients. Ventilation problems in big pig farms. More problems with flooding. THE STRATEGY CALLS FOR: (1) Cross-border system including learning about new diseases and pests as well as methods to mitigate the impact of these on crop yield (2) Macro- regional insurance system for economic losses during extreme events, based on a solidarity and risk reduction concept www.baltadapt.eu
Fish and Fish Stock • Limited possibilities for re-colonization from other marine areas and limited possibilities to “escape” climate change by shifting distribution ranges northwards • Lower salinity and warmer water - fewer species, more freshwater species at expense of the marine • THE STRATEGY CALLS FOR: identification of “adaptation tipping point approach” (warning signs) the EU Common Fisheries Policy (CFP) regulation when existing management strategies not will meet agreed objectives to help fisheries management to take into account possible climate change impacts. www.baltadapt.eu
Coastal Infrastructure • Coastal protection, maritime traffic, ports and touristic infrastructure. • Medical infrastructure – reduce and acting on impacts of heat and extreme weather events, UV radiation, allergen- and air-pollutants and hygiene problems of food and water supply. Aging population • THE STRATEGY CALLS FOR: Ensuring that the whole region have: (a) funded coastal protection measures (b) implementation of spatial planning instruments (c) willingness to establish multifunctional use of coastal zones, (d) environmental awareness (e) risk communication and other relevant information (f) availability to flexible and innovative approaches through the creation of new knowledge and transfer of best policy options www.baltadapt.eu
Coastal Tourism Comparatively more suitable temperatures, prolonged season but challenges from beach erosion, increase of eutrophication and biodiversity loss, impact on freshwater resources, health. “Microenterprises”, with a short planning horizon THE STRATEGY CALLS FOR: (1) Integration with the tourism sector and the transport and the energy sectors, which are the two sectors which the tourism draws the most resources from. (2) Forecast, Risk assessment and information sharing systems: Financial risk assessments, monitoring systems for coastal algae, bacteria, or jellyfish proliferation . (3) Training and preparing rescue services for increased occurrence of forest fires and floods, (4) Marketing of sustainable tourism to ensure that the potentially increasing visitor load in the BSR, not will increase the environmental impacts proportionally. www.baltadapt.eu
The Action Plan approach and structure Katrin Kiefer/ German Federal Ministry for the Environment Susanne Altvater /Ecologic Institute Baltadapt 3rd Policy Forum, Tallinn www.baltadapt.eu
What is the Action Plan there for? WHAT? Adaptation Strategy HOW? Action Plan Provides the operational basis for implementing the strategy by specifying priority activities for the macro-region in the field of cc adaptation www.baltadapt.eu
Implementing the strategy aims Informed actors on all levels Informing the Raised awareness of the need for action at all levels BSR about cc adaptation policy relevant research-based knowledge on impacts and vulnerabilities to CC www.baltadapt.eu
Implementing the strategy aims Review and mainstream policies in the light of cc Strenghtening adaptation concerns across all relevant areas adaptation to cc by Integrate climate adaptation in relevant EUSBSR mainstreaming Action Plan priority areas www.baltadapt.eu
Implementing the strategy aims Connecting the Ensure platforms for a policy-research dialogue BSR for cc adaptation Cooperation between EU and Russia Making the BSR a model region for a macro-regional approach to CC adaptation www.baltadapt.eu
Structure Action Plan Informing Strenghtening Connecting the BSR adaptation to the BSR for about cc cc by cc adaptation mainstreaming adaptation Adaptation actions: Infrastructure, Tourism, Food supply, Biodiversity Financing climate change adaptation in the BSR www.baltadapt.eu
Structure Action Plan Box 12 - Info: Existing NAS Denmark, Finland, Germany and Lithuania have • Recommended actions developed and adopted NAS, all with a focus on specific sectors. At the same time, integration and mainstreaming adaptation within existing national • Background information programmes is central to these NAS. Action Plans are supporting the implementation of the NAS in Denmark, Finland and Germany. Two of them are mentioning • Info Boxes cross-border initiatives (DE, DK). BSR countries in the process of developing NAS: • Good practice examples Estonia, Latvia and Poland Box 8 - Good Practice: BalticClimate Toolkit The project BalticClimate developed a Toolkit, as an empowering knowledge transfer instrument for actors on the local and regional level related to the implementation of climate change mitigation and adaptation measures. •www.toolkit.balticclimate.org www.baltadapt.eu
Informing and increasing knowledge base Increase knowledge base: • Research needs on climate change impacts and vulnerabilities • Impact assessments for sectors • promotion of multi- and interdisciplinary studies • economic assessments of costs and benefits of climate adaptation (vs costs of inaction) • social context of adaptation responses www.baltadapt.eu
Informing and increasing knowledge base Provide and exchange information: • ClimateAdapt platform • Integration of of the Baltic Window • Other platforms (web and “human”) to facilitate exchange of knowledge policy/science/”best practices” (e.g. Geodome) www.baltadapt.eu
Strengthening adaptation by mainstreaming • Identify key instruments for integrating adaptation Use cross-cutting issue of spatial planning (SEA for plans/programmes and EIA for projects; pilot plans for trans- boundary MSP) • Include adaptation requirements in relevant legal provisions or establish new intruments • Integration in other policy processes(National Sustainability Strategies, National Biodiversity Strategies, MSFD etc) • Mainstreaming of the private sector E.g. ZÜRS Geo online platform of the German Insurance Association (GDV) www.baltadapt.eu
Strengthening adaptation by mainstreaming • Use of already existing instruments/networks at national level Country Temporary Institutional Other strategies coordination for coordination addressing NAS and action bodies adaptation plans Denmark Preliminary inter- Coordination ministerial Forum for working group Climate change Adaptation Finland Series of Finish Forestry strategy seminars during Coordination Foresight report the development Group for of the NAS Adaptation to Climate Change www.baltadapt.eu
Cooperation and Participation • Increase trans-national cooperation macro-regional e.g. by a transnational steering group on cc adaptation Cluster existing activities in working groups or platforms Interlink work of macro-regional and intergovernmental organisation On national level: coordinate measures/focal points? Involvement on Non-EU countries (e.g. Russia - EU External Action Programme) • Support and facilitation of cross-sectoral cooperation • Increase Participation on national/local level • Improvement of Science-Policy cooperation (e.g. ECRA - European Climate Research Alliance ) www.baltadapt.eu
Actions in the four sectors Main Set of CC Prioritization potential impacts measures Criteria • Importance/Effectiveness • Urgency Most • Flexibility important • No-regret characteristic actions • Side-effects • Cost-efficiency • Feasibility www.baltadapt.eu
Instrument Regulatory instruments (commands/prohibitions, charges) Planning Instruments instruments Categorie of Economical Instruments (taxes, fees, licences) measures Toolbox www.baltadapt.eu Example of Practice or example Infrastructure Sect Biodiversity Agriculture and Fisheries Tourism Aim of EU national authority Länder (in federal systems) necessary District/Region Implementing Municipality adaptation stakeholder(s) , if Businesses administrative level NGOs
Financing • Actions to the stakeholders with regard to area- / sector- specific financing • Mainstreaming adaptation in programming INTERREG V BSR Horizon 2020 BONUS Cohesion Fund: Rural Development Programmes EU LIFE+ See: Financing adaptation measures 30th May, 10:50 – 12:20 www.baltadapt.eu
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