The Rise of AI, Platforms, and Ecosystems - BCG
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The Most Innovative Companies 2019 THE RISE OF AI, PLATFORMS, AND ECOSYSTEMS MICHAEL RINGEL FLORIAN GRASSL RAMÓN BAEZA DEREK KENNEDY MICHAEL SPIRA JUSTIN MANLY March 2019 | Boston Consulting Group
CONTENTS 3 INNOVATION IN 2019 Digital Natives Lead, but Others Are in Fast Pursuit Two New Forces One Additional Thought 8 AI POWERS A NEW INNOVATION MACHINE A Strong Correlation Where to Focus? AI at Scale Build Versus Buy “Alexa, Innovate!” 13 HOW PLATFORMS AND ECOSYSTEMS ARE CHANGING INNOVATION It’s an External Game Some Rules of Ecosystem Engagement 18 NOTE TO THE READER 2 | The Most Innovative Companies 2019
INNOVATION IN 2019 U sers of Google’s email software recently found that Gmail was offering to finish their sentences for them. This new extensively use AI and platforms. (See Exhibit 1.) Alphabet/Google, which unseats Apple at number one after a 13-year reign, is an “AI Smart Compose feature relies on Google’s first” company, according to its CEO. It has expertise in artificial intelligence (AI) and long embraced both platforms (think Android) machine learning (ML), along with billions of and ecosystems (consider how Alphabet has training examples and the company’s cloud- worked with others to develop Waymo, its based Tensor Processing technology, to intuit autonomous driving venture). Next in line is what Gmail users want to say—often faster Amazon, which, besides using AI in its retail than they can complete their own thoughts. business, has pioneered voice recognition technology (Alexa) and platform-based ser- In a world where computers can compose vices (Amazon Web Services). Apple, at num- notes to your friends, it’s hardly surprising ber three, helped pioneer voice recognition that the theme of BCG’s 13th annual global software (Siri) and provided a premier virtual innovation survey and report is the rising im- workplace for app developers with its iOS portance of AI and of platforms that support platform. Fourth-place Microsoft has also innovation. This is not an out-of-the-blue de- evolved from a software company into a pro- velopment. Our last few reports have high- vider of AI and platform-based services. lighted the crucial role of science and tech- nology in innovation, the impact of digital All of the ten highest-ranking companies— technologies on both digital natives and more and many in the top 50—use AI, platforms, traditional industries, and strong innovators’ and ecosystems to enable themselves and increasing use of various internal and exter- others to pursue new products, services, and nal vehicles to uncover new ideas. This year’s ways of working. For example, McDonald’s survey shows that AI use is rapidly expanding (number 21) uses an AI algorithm to serve and that many companies are relying more digital menus that continuously change in re- on platforms and their cousin, ecosystems, to sponse to such factors as time of day, day of support their innovations efforts. the week, restaurant traffic, and weather. Philips (number 29) launched an AI platform in 2018 that helps “scientists, software devel- Digital Natives Lead, but Others opers, clinicians, and health care providers Are in Fast Pursuit access advanced analytic capabilities to cu- The companies on BCG’s most innovative list rate and analyze health care data and offers for 2019—especially those in the top ten— them tools and technologies to build, main- Boston Consulting Group | 3
Exhibit 1 | 2019 Most Innovative Companies 1 Alphabet/Google 11 Boeing 21 McDonald’s 31 AXA 41 Dell 2 Amazon 12 BASF 22 Marriott 32 Unilever 42 Walmart 3 Apple 13 T-Mobile2 23 Alibaba 33 Salesforce 43 eBay 4 Microsoft 14 Johnson & Johnson 24 Bayer 34 Pfizer 44 HP Inc. 5 Samsung1 15 DowDuPont 25 AT&T 35 Stryker 45 ING 6 Netflix 16 Siemens 26 Allianz 36 NTT Docomo 46 BP 7 IBM 17 Cisco Systems 27 BMW 37 Toyota 47 Daimler4 8 Facebook 18 LG Electronics 28 SAP 38 Volkswagen3 48 Huawei 9 Tesla 19 Vale 29 Philips 39 3M 49 Rio Tinto 10 Adidas 20 JPMorgan Chase 30 Royal Dutch Shell 40 General Motors 50 Hilton Source: 2018 BCG Global Innovation Survey. 1 Includes only Samsung Electronics. 2 Includes only US T-Mobile, not Deutsche Telekom. 3 Includes Audi and Porsche. 4 Includes Mercedes-Benz. tain, deploy, and scale AI-based solutions.” Platforms and ecosystems serve multiple BASF (number 12) is collaborating with AI functions, including facilitating (and some- software developer Citrine to build models times profiting from) the innovation of oth- that identify new materials for capturing car- ers, expanding reach and collaboration, and bon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. enabling new multiparty solutions and offer- ings. Again, strong innovators are more likely than weak ones to expect a significant impact Two New Forces within three to five years and to be actively Most companies are at least exploring the targeting these areas. (See Exhibit 3.) Strong use of AI, and strong innovators are seeing innovators also show other signs of being positive results. Nine out of ten respondents focused on external innovation. For example, in our current survey say that their compa- 75% report using incubators, 81% leverage nies are investing in AI, and more than 30% academic partnerships, and 83% partner with expect AI to have the greatest impact of any other companies. Weak innovators lag consis- innovation area on their industry over the tently in all of these areas. next three to five years. (See Exhibit 2.) Four in ten self-described strong innovators report Platforms are technologies that provide a receiving more than 15% of their sales from foundation for developing other business AI-enabled products, compared with less offerings. Numerous industrial goods compa- than one in ten weak innovators. nies, including Siemens (number 16) and Boeing (number 11), have built substantial In the next chapter, “AI Powers a New Inno- platform businesses in predictive mainte- vation Machine,” we take an in-depth look at nance to complement their traditional engi- the widening gap in where and how AI is af- neering and manufacturing endeavors. Ama- fecting innovation. zon, Microsoft, and IBM, among others, offer 4 | The Most Innovative Companies 2019
Exhibit 2 | Digital Innovations Are Among the Most Promising and Most Targeted Areas Which of the following areas of innovation/product development will be most impactful to your industry over the next 3–5 years? Percentage of respondents 50 41 41 41 40 40 38 39 39 35 34 34 34 33 32 31 31 30 31 30 30 30 28 28 29 27 27 26 24 25 24 20 18 10 0 Technology Speed of Big data Operations Extension Extension New Supporting platforms adopting analytics process of existing of existing service capabilities tech product service New Digital Mobile AI Customer Business Marketing products design channel model Which of the following areas of innovation/product development are you actively targeting? Percentage of respondents 50 40 35 35 35 33 32 30 30 30 30 29 29 29 30 28 28 26 27 27 25 27 26 25 26 24 24 23 22 22 22 20 17 10 0 Technology Speed of Big data Operations Extension Extension New Supporting platforms adopting analytics process of existing of existing service capabilities new tech product service New Digital Mobile AI Customer Business Marketing products design channel model 2017 2018 Sources: 2017 and 2018 BCG Global Innovation Survey. Note: Areas identified with red labels are digital innovation categories. Boston Consulting Group | 5
Exhibit 3 | Strong Innovators Are Optimistic and Committed on Platforms and AI Which of the following areas of innovation/product development will be most impactful to your industry over the next 3–5 years? Percentage of respondents 50 46 44 42 42 41 –13 40 40 38 37 –16 –12 36 35 33 33 34 34 34 33 –21 –16 30 30 30 28 28 –10 27 26 26 24 25 24 22 21 20 20 13 10 0 Technology Big data New Operations Customer New Extension Marketing platforms analytics products process channel service of existing service Speed of Mobile Digital Supporting Extension AI Business adopting design capabilities of existing model tech product Which of the following areas of innovation/product development are you actively targeting? Percentage of respondents 50 42 40 40 40 38 38 39 37 36 35 33 34 33 –15 32 31 –23 –17 29 30 –27 –13 27 24 –17 24 25 23 23 21 22 20 20 18 17 17 16 13 12 10 0 Technology Big data New Operations Customer New Extension Marketing platforms analytics products process channel service of existing service Speed of Mobile Digital Supporting Extension AI Business adopting design capabilities of existing model tech product Strong innovators Weak innovators Source: 2018 BCG Global Innovation Survey. Note: Areas identified with red labels are digital innovation categories. 6 | The Most Innovative Companies 2019
a range of software and services from their One Additional Thought cloud platforms. A final observation—one that we have writ- ten about before—bears repeating, especially Ecosystems go a step further and leverage a with regard to the four companies in this range of partners that pull together the un- year’s top ten list that were also in the top derlying technologies, applications, software ten back in 2005. These companies are serial platforms, and services needed to produce an reinventors. Google constantly revises its al- integrated solution. (See “The Emerging Art gorithms and offerings. Amazon continuously of Ecosystem Management,” BCG article, Jan- invents new categories, services, models, and uary 2019.) The two main mobile operating ways of engaging its customers. Microsoft has systems—Google’s Android and Apple’s iOS— successfully transitioned from its longtime re- have grown into complex ecosystems of tel- liance on the Wintel partnership in PCs to be- cos, device manufacturers, service providers, come a cloud-based tech company. And IBM and application developers, among others. has reinvented itself multiple times, from Rapidly changing technologies and growing mainframes to PCs to services to the cloud, customer demand for a highly customized AI, and platforms and ecosystems. user experience further amplify the need for partnerships. The tools and technologies of innovation evolve. The basic orientation toward change— The opportunity to innovate entirely new rev- never being satisfied and always being will- enue streams, business models, and sources of ing to reinvent oneself—remains part of continuing advantage is particularly strong for some companies’ lifeblood. B2B businesses, thanks to the masses of data that devices connected to the Internet of Things (IoT) generate. Data ecosystems will play a critical role in defining the future of competition in many B2B industries. (See “How IoT Data Ecosystems Will Transform B2B Competition,” BCG article, July 2018.) The challenge is to set up and manage these ecosystems effectively and use them strategi- cally to maximize value and gain a competi- tive edge. (For a look at how leading compa- nies are building their own collaborative networks or joining existing ones to drive competitive advantage, see the third chapter, “How Platforms and Ecosystems Are Chang- ing Innovation.”) Boston Consulting Group | 7
AI POWERS A NEW INNOVATION MACHINE I nnovation, meet automation. This could be the beginning of a beautiful friendship. years. And almost 30% are actively targeting AI in their innovation programs. Strong inno- vators are particularly active. In a few short years, artificial intelligence (AI) and its subfield, machine learning (ML), The 2018 SMR-BCG report also identified a have gone from futuristic vision to near- performance gap associated with this critical mainstream capability at many large compa- new capability, indicating that AI “pioneers” nies, including in their innovation programs. appear to be “pulling further away” from A quick scan of BCG’s 50 most innovative their less aggressive peers. We see a similar companies for 2019 shows that top innovators pattern with respect to AI in innovation, are also AI leaders (Google, Amazon, Apple, which carries two key implications. First, AI is Microsoft, Netflix, and IBM, for openers) and not a plug-and-play capability. Second, ML is that many others—including plenty of com- inductive—that is, machines learn by doing, panies from traditionally nondigital indus- and they need to be fed large amounts of tries (Boeing, Siemens, Marriott, BP, and mul- data to get smarter. Tortoises will have a tiple automakers, for example)—are actively tough time catching up with hares in this leveraging AI. race. But hares can’t afford to become com- placent, because AI is truly disruptive and Like any powerful new technology, AI is the can propel long leaps forward. subject of lots of hype. But in this case, real fire lies behind the smoke. The rapid ascent What are the leaders doing? of AI in business is well chronicled in two re- ports by BCG and MIT Sloan Management Re- view (SMR).1 The more recent of these reports A Strong Correlation found that AI leaders are deepening their Our most recent innovation survey found a commitment to the technology (as evidenced strong correlation between companies that by funding) and seeking ways to apply AI at consider themselves strong innovators and scale. Our current research into AI in innova- those that see themselves as being good at tion reveals similar trends. Nine out of every AI. (See Exhibit 4.) About 30% of respondents ten respondents to our innovation survey re- rate themselves as strong innovators, and ported that their companies are investing in about 25% as being better than average at AI. More than 30% expect AI to be among the AI. Almost 20% see themselves as both; we areas of innovation with the highest impact call this group “AI leaders.” Nearly 17% of the on their business in the next three to five respondents in our survey assess their orga 8 | The Most Innovative Companies 2019
Exhibit 4 | Nearly 20% of Companies Rate Themselves as Both Strong Innovators and Above Average at AI Percentage of respondents identifying their company as: AI leaders Better than average at AI (%) 0.2 6.0 19.2 25.4 Average at AI (%) 1.9 46.6 9.6 58.1 AI laggards Worse than average at AI (%) 7.1 8.7 0.7 16.5 Weak innovator (%) Average innovator (%) Strong innovator (%) 9.2 61.3 29.5 Source: 2018 BCG Global Innovation Survey. nizations as being below average on AI; we Where to Focus? call this group “AI laggards.” AI leaders are All companies face choices about where to more likely than laggards to consider AI im- apply resources and where AI might make the portant to their organizations’ future growth most impact. New examples emerge every (94% versus 56%), which suggests that more day. BP (number 46 on the 2019 most innova- than half of laggards will face a widening tive list) is using ML to improve its prediction competitive disadvantage unless they step up models for oil and gas reservoir recovery. their AI game. General Motors (number 40) used AI-aided design to reduce the weight of traditionally AI leaders tend to see themselves as being designed and manufactured parts by 40% good at embracing new technologies such as while increasing their strength by 20%. Ex- AI to enhance customer offerings or stream- perts predict multiple areas of impact for AI line the development process (89% versus in health care, including improving radiology 24%). AI leaders and laggards allocate their diagnoses, making medtech devices smart, spending roughly equally among radical inno- and identifying new infection patterns. In fi- vation; major new products, services, and in- nancial services, Chinese insurer Ping An, a ternal process changes; and improvement of digital native, developed predictive models existing products, services, and processes. and leveraged face and voice recognition as foundations of its business. The vice president But AI leaders are far more likely than lag- and chief data scientist at Ant Financial, an- gards to apply big data and advanced analyt- other Chinese digital financial services leader, ics throughout the innovation process—from told SMR, “AI is being used in almost every identifying new themes (91% for leaders, 30% corner of Ant’s business. We use it to optimize for laggards) to informing investment deci- the business and to generate new products.” sions (92% to 27%). (See Exhibit 5.) In addi- tion, by margins of 42% to 19%, and 42% to Early AI programs tend to focus on improving 24%, respectively, AI leaders are more likely operational efficiencies, perhaps because than laggards to be actively pursuing the re- companies can demonstrate success relatively lated avenues of big data and tech platforms. quickly in these areas. The 2018 SMR-BCG re- Boston Consulting Group | 9
Exhibit 5 | AI Leaders Use Data Throughout the Innovation Process How would you rate your company’s skill at leveraging big data and advanced analytics to help with each of the following aspects of innovation? Percentage of respondents selecting “Strong” or “Very Strong” –62 –60 –65 –63 –61 100 –53 80 60 94 92 92 92 91 89 40 20 32 32 29 30 36 27 0 Providing Identifying players Informing Revealing Identifying Making portfolio input to with external innovation market trends new themes prioritization ideation innovation potential investment decisions decisions AI leaders AI laggards Source: 2018 BCG Global Innovation Survey. port found that many early AI initiatives were Despite ample evidence of impact, AI still pilots or tests designed to solve a particular garners its share of skepticism, which is one problem as companies focused their early at- reason that laggards are falling behind. Re- tention on gathering low-hanging fruit and search by BCG and Google in the consumer making moves with near-term impact. Nearly products sector found that by applying AI two-thirds of the AI leaders in our study re- and advanced analytics at scale, consumer port that their innovation-related use of AI packaged goods (CPG) companies can gener- aims to improve internal processes. ate more than 10% of their revenue growth through multiple means, including more pre- As significant as the impact of AI will be on dictive demand forecasting, more relevant lo- business processes, however, its area of cal assortments, personalized consumer ser- greatest potential lies in developing new vices and experiences, optimized marketing products and services that can evolve into and promotion ROI, and faster innovation cy- major revenue streams over time. Most of the cles. (See “Unlocking Growth in CPG with AI AI pioneers in the SMR-BCG study prioritized and Advanced Analytics,” BCG article, Octo- revenue-enhancing applications, which is ber 2018.) Yet in our innovation survey, only where 72% of respondents expect the big AI 23% of CPG respondents said that they be- gains to originate. In our survey, the AI lieve AI will have the greatest impact on in- leaders reported much higher percentages of novation and product development in the in- sales driven by AI-enhanced products or dustry over the next three to five years, and a services introduced in the past three years: similarly modest percentage are actively tar- 46% of AI leaders say that 16% or more of geting AI in their innovation programs. Both sales are AI-generated, compared with only figures are about 10 percentage points below 10% of AI laggards). AI leaders also expect a the cross-industry averages. much greater percentage of sales to come from the introduction of AI-enhanced products or services over the next five years AI at Scale (54% of AI leaders anticipate that 16% or AI forces business executives to deal simul more of sales will come from these sources, taneously with technology infrastructure and compared with 22% of AI laggards). more traditional business issues. Typical IT 10 | The Most Innovative Companies 2019
systems—which consist of data input, a tool, But because of AI’s heavy reliance on data, and data output—are relatively easy to mod- companies need to be careful about the ularize, encapsulate, and scale. But AI systems agreements they construct with their suppli- are not so simple. AI algorithms learn by in- ers and partners. They must protect their gesting data, and training data is an integral ownership of internal data, control how ven- part of both the AI tool and the overall sys- dors use that data, and ensure their own con- tem. The entanglement is manageable during tinuing access to data from outside sources. pilots and isolated uses but becomes exponen (See “The Build-or-Buy Dilemma in AI,” BCG tially more difficult to address as AI systems article, January 2018.) interact and build on one another. This leads to what our colleagues have termed the “AI paradox”—the ease of achieving powerful re- sults with AI pilots and the difficulty of repli- Companies need people who cating those results at scale. (See The Big Leap combine business skills with Toward AI at Scale, BCG Focus, June 2018.) an understanding of AI. Talent is a major issue for most organiza- tions. Data scientists and software engineers aren’t the only high-demand personnel. Com- AI leaders often rely on ecosystems. Digital panies also need people who combine busi- natives, such as those leading our list of most ness skills with an understanding of AI. Com- innovative companies, grew up in ecosystems. panies that are moving toward AI-centric Companies such as Amazon, IBM, and Micro- innovation processes must consider how the soft offer AI capabilities for sale or rent transformation will affect their staffing in through their cloud-based platforms. Some terms of skill shortages, job elimination, or industrial companies—automakers and air- both. In pharma, for example, as AI algo- craft manufacturers, for example—are accus- rithms learn to identify the types of people tomed to working in broad partnerships of and conditions that are best suited for clinical multiple companies, with all the collaboration trials—a major process innovation—the need and technology and data sharing that these for human involvement in this critical func- arrangements entail. Others have less experi- tion changes. Banks and other financial ser- ence—but as we explore in the next chapter, vices companies are already feeling the im- “How Platforms and Ecosystems Are Chang- pact of voice recognition and credit-scoring ing Innovation,” the fast-rising importance of systems that use AI technology to automate technologies such as AI will all but force them customer service. to explore such alliances. As AI becomes a more critical element of in- novation, the talent challenge may widen the “Alexa, Innovate!” gap between strong and weak innovators. Af- A fascinating battle for AI-enabled smart- ter all, Exhibit 4 indicates that more than 65% home systems is brewing among Amazon of strong innovators already see themselves (Alexa), Google (Google Assistant), Apple as above average on AI, versus just 2% of (Siri), Microsoft (Cortana), and others as each weak innovators. company seeks to capture the biggest share of end-user households for its voice-recognition technology. The battle is a critical early-stage Build Versus Buy skirmish in a much longer conflict to deter- One talent-related issue with immediate im- mine how and for what purposes these sys- pact is the question of whether to build or tems will be used. At this point, streaming buy AI capabilities. In our survey, 55% of AI music is the most widely used application, leaders extensively use external vendors for but the larger competition may take a genera- AI projects—36% relying exclusively on them, tion to decide. The plan appears to be for and 19% relying mostly on them. This ap- each company to open its smart-home plat- proach may help leaders climb the AI curve form to others, which will innovate actual use quickly, since expertise is still in short supply. cases for consumer testing. Winners can be Boston Consulting Group | 11
scaled up quickly and losers tossed aside with equal dispatch. I t’s still the early days in AI. But after years of development, actual use of the technolo- gy is catching on fast. Laggards need to get Consider Alexa and Google Assistant. These into the game, and leaders need to accelerate classic platforms enable others to innovate in- their efforts. The platforms offered by Ama- expensively on top of them. By opening their zon, Google, Baidu, and others may well platforms to others, Amazon and Google can make some kinds of experimentation and harness others’ innovations—much as Apple testing and learning easier. But the big issues and Google did with their mobile platforms, of access to data and talent won’t get any less and as Microsoft did with Windows. The plat- challenging over time; if anything, competi- forms, provided at little or no cost to app de- tion for these vital assets will only increase. velopers, take care of the basic plumbing, and Companies that hope to rank among the the platform owners derive value from having most innovative of the future need to place a richer set of services available than they their AI bets now. would have had with their own apps alone. In this case, the stakes are high, as use of smart- home systems is expected to increase expo- nentially as today’s young people grow up talking to, learning from, and coming to de- Note pend on these devices. 1. See S. Ransbotham, P. Gerbert, M. Reeves, D. Kiron, and M. Spira, Artificial Intelligence in Business Gets Real, MIT Sloan Management Review and Boston Consulting In China, Baidu uses a similar open-AI plat- Group report, September 2018; and S. Ransbotham, P. form strategy in the B2B or industrial inter- Gerbert, M. Reeves, and D. Kiron, Reshaping Business with Artificial Intelligence, MIT Sloan Management Review net marketplace. Baidu provides access to AI and Boston Consulting Group report, September 2017. services such as voice and image technology and natural-language processing, which com- panies are using in such diverse fields as agri- culture, manufacturing, and health care, where these innovations have helped reduce the mis diagnosis rate for diabetes-related eye disease to less than 5%. (See “Get Ready for the Chi- nese Internet’s Next Chapter,” BCG article, January 2019.) Open platforms such as these will affect not only how consumers and busi- nesses access AI applications but also how companies build their own AI capabilities. 12 | The Most Innovative Companies 2019
HOW PLATFORMS AND ECOSYSTEMS ARE CHANGING INNOVATION I n 2016, a group of Finnish medical researchers won a global competition whose goal was to accurately predict prostate an early look at what’s happening in their tar- geted fields of R&D. (See How the Best Corpo- rate Venturers Keep Getting Better, BCG Focus, cancer survival rates. From an innovation August 2018.) It’s a powerful combination—if perspective, two facts stand out. First, the companies create the organization, processes, competition was virtual: it was hosted and and incentives needed to bring outside ideas managed on a cloud-based platform that inside without killing them along the way. facilitates scientific collaboration. Second, before entering the contest, the Finnish team had not been active in cancer research. It’s an External Game In business life today, companies need to look beyond their own walls for new ideas. We More and more frequently, have seen big increases in the use of such partnership models as corporate venture cap- innovation today comes from ital, incubators, and accelerators. Our current innovation survey found that incubator use outside the company. among self-described strong innovators rose from 59% in 2015 to 75% in 2018, that tapping into academic relationships jumped from 60% As we noted in our 2016 report on the most to 81% during the same period, and that for- innovative companies, innovation today can mation of company partnerships increased come from anywhere—and more and more from 65% to 83%. (See Exhibit 6.) frequently, it comes from outside the compa- ny. (See The Most Innovative Companies 2016: The increasing use of platforms such as Syn- Getting Past “Not Invented Here,” BCG report, apse, which hosted the prostate cancer chal- January 2017.) Technology has helped level lenge, is making innovation more multiparty the competitive playing field, making it easier and collaborative. There are many types of for anyone anywhere to gain access to the platforms—such as computing, technology, hardware, software, and tools they need to service, content, and marketplace—but all of develop new ideas and business models and them serve a similar purpose. Users access connect with other people and organizations. platforms because platforms combine aggre- gated supply or demand with high service At the same time, companies can use an array levels and reduced friction. They can also fa- of tools to cast wide innovation nets and get cilitate collaboration and the development of Boston Consulting Group | 13
Exhibit 6 | Strong Innovators Are Increasingly Embracing Ideas from External Sources Incubators Academic partnerships Company partnerships Percentage of strong innovators Percentage of strong innovators Percentage of strong innovators 100 100 100 81 83 75 65 59 60 50 50 50 0 0 0 2015 2018 2015 2018 2015 2018 Sources: 2015 and 2018 BCG Global Innovation Survey. new ideas. For example, many of the longest- Just as multiple types of platforms exist, eco- tenured companies on our most innovative systems may be formed to serve different companies list use platforms to gain access to purposes. Here are some of the most com- different capabilities and sources of data, mon ones that are relevant to innovation. which they then use to build new business models or develop new products and services. Building Capabilities. Many ecosystems are set up to bring in expertise from other Developers of voice-recognition-based smart industries. BCG research shows that 83% of home platforms, including Amazon and Goo- digital ecosystems involve partners from four gle, make it easy for others to create new or more industries and 53% involve partners consumer services that use their AI-enabled from six or more industries. For instance, a platforms—and in the process to attract the household electronics manufacturer might critical mass of applications needed to make partner with sensor and camera manufactur- their platform a clear leader. ers, an AI software provider, and research facilities to bring an advanced vacuum robot Digital technologies enable collaboration plat- to market. In the past, to enter a new market forms, and collaboration platforms enable eco (such as China), automakers either formed a systems that bring together a group of organi- joint venture or alliance with an OEM or zations to build a new capability or product or established contractual relationships with service offering, or to help a new field of sci- hundreds of suppliers to secure parts. These ence or technology advance. Some ecosystems traditional partnerships still exist, but today a represent expansions of traditional ways of typical auto company draws on an ecosystem organizing and doing business; they tend to of more than 30 partners across five different have an orchestrator at the center, with which industries and several countries to make their all the other participants interact, along with cars connected, electric, and autonomous. The established hierarchies and structures. auto company acts as orchestrator, organizing and managing the ecosystem, defining the Other ecosystems—including many that are strategy, and identifying potential participants. involved in the early research phase of R&D—tend to be more dynamic, less reliant For example, Caterpillar’s smart-mining eco- on a central orchestrator, and more depen- system involves four types of collaboration, dent on multifaceted interactions among par- with a strong focus on flexible deal structures ticipants. Various types of glue bind ecosys- such as partnerships and minority invest- tem participants. Money is one type of glue, ments, along with joint ventures and M&A. of course, but knowledge, data, skills, and Caterpillar has forged partnerships to improve community can be equally important. its proprietary industrial IoT platform’s tech- 14 | The Most Innovative Companies 2019
nology, and it has made minority investments of competition, particularly in many B2B to expand the platform’s automation, optimi- industries, because they enable companies to zation, and analytics capabilities. For most build data businesses. Such businesses are companies, these types of flexible deals re- valuable not only because they generate quire a different approval process than pre- recurring high-margin revenue streams, but vails in traditional contracting and M&A—one also because they create competitive advan- that is faster, leaner, and closer to the busi- tage. New data-driven products and services ness. (See “The Emerging Art of Ecosystem deliver unique value propositions that extend Management,” BCG article, January 2019.) beyond a company’s traditional hardware products, deepening customer relationships Developing New Products and Services. and raising barriers to entry by others. They Ecosystems can offer multiple players a also build highly defensible positions rooted powerful way to build new revenue streams in economies of scale and scope, similar to from products and services that they could positions based on proprietary intellectual not develop and bring to market on their own. property (IP) or trade secrets. (See “How IoT For example, Alibaba’s ecosystem provides a Data Ecosystems Will Transform B2B Compe- range of services for Alibaba platform users: tition,” BCG article, July 2018.) travel, entertainment, gaming, finance, transportation, and e-commerce. It’s an eclectic mix, and it generates a wide-ranging array of data that Alibaba collects and Ecosystems enable players analyzes centrally. By capturing data from to develop new products and multiple sources, Alibaba can tailor individu- alized offers to users—timing them for services collaboratively. maximum effectiveness—and provide tools that help its online sellers enhance their own businesses. The results, in turn, provide more Gaining Access to IP. Shifts in the IP market- data for the ecosystem. place are creating new opportunities for companies that are long on IP to cooperate In recent years, Alibaba has expanded on this with traditional companies that may be short model to build Ant Financial Services (origi- on it. Many tech companies, for example, nally Alipay) into a major force in financial have a surplus of IP, while industrial goods technology; today, it is the world’s most valu- companies may face a deficit. In the IoT able fintech company, with more than 520 world, they can work together to expand the million users. Using machine learning tech- market for sensor-enabled and location-aware nology and data from the Alibaba ecosystem, goods and services. Classic, exclusionary IP Ant provides an array of financial services to strategy is not dead, but companies need to an underbanked market. Alibaba’s data and master a more sophisticated and nuanced analytics capabilities enable Ant to assign playbook for creating competitive advantage credit scores to individuals and small busi- through IP. (See “The New IP Strategy: Make nesses, and the company has ventured from Love Not War,” BCG article, June 2018.) payments into online wealth management and consumer and small-business lending. In Merging Physical and Digital Channels. B2B 2017, Ant launched two new initiatives: a pay- and B2C companies are finding new ways to ment option that uses facial recognition tech- combine the digital world and the physical nology; and Ant Forest, which uses digital one to provide new services, more seamless gaming technology to enable users to track customer experiences, and—in some cases— their carbon footprint. The service has al- new business models. Amazon (with its ready attracted some 200 million users. (See acquisition of Whole Foods), Siemens (IoT), “Digital Innovation on the World Stage,” BCG and the auto industry (connected cars and article, May 2018.) autonomous vehicles) offer examples. Emerg- ing opportunities at the intersection of the Collecting and Using Data. Data ecosystems digital and the physical give incumbents the will play a critical role in defining the future chance to innovate and build valuable eco Boston Consulting Group | 15
systems by defining new niches and new rules. R&D in the past. (See The Dawn of the Deep (See “Getting Physical: The Rise of Hybrid Tech Ecosystem, BCG report, March 2019.) Ecosystems,” BCG article, September 2017.) Advancing New Technologies. Companies Some Rules of Ecosystem that have a stake in basic scientific advances Engagement or in the development of new technologies An ecosystem often operates differently from such as quantum computing or synthetic other types of business partnership, and in biology may want to explore emerging deep- ways that can be foreign to big companies. tech ecosystems—groups of entrepreneurs, Because ecosystems are dynamic environ- startups, investors, corporate and academic ments that tend to contain lots of varied enti- partners, and others that join forces to ties, they have multiple sources of influence, research and develop a particular technology. and no one party absolutely controls their Such technologies differ from others in their direction. They trade in multiple currencies, expected impact, in the time they take to not all of which are financial. Because they reach market-ready maturity, and in the exist to create value through collaboration, significant amount of capital (and investor they are the opposite of zero-sum congrega- patience) required to bring innovations to tions; when the ecosystem wins, each of the market. The ecosystems represent a new participants wins as well. And they evolve, model that is far more fluid and dynamic acquiring new members and missions over than the methods used to conduct technology time. (See the sidebar.) NTT DOCOMO’S EVOLVING MOBILE ECOSYSTEM Today it sounds like something from a players (often industry leaders). Establish- distant era. In 1999—eight years before ing mobile payment capabilities for rail the launch of the iPhone—NTT Docomo service helped seal other deals in the (number 36 on the list of 2019’s most finance, retail, and hospitality sectors, innovative companies) built the first mobile among others, and helped attract more internet ecosystem in Japan. than 500,000 merchants to Docomo’s mobile payment service. The leading telco developed a vertically integrated ecosystem based on partner- Since the advent of smartphones, Doco- ships and acquisitions that provided mo’s ecosystem has undergone major valuable services and experiences to evolutionary changes a couple of times. feature phone users. Part of its plan was to The first major change involved creating a drive “innovation through the convergence mobile content hub through alliances with of mobile with other industries and publishers, media companies, and other services, thereby creating new values and content producers. Docomo now offers markets.” (See Through the Mobile Looking more than 400 magazines online, as well Glass, BCG Focus, April 2013.) Consumers as Japan’s largest anime library. Its dTV flocked to new services such as mobile service has a similar number of subscribers email, contactless payments, and, in time, to Netflix in Japan. As the content business streaming live video—all part of Docomo’s has become more competitive in recent “i-mode” ecosystem, which helped propel years, Docomo has moved to the latest mobile phones to become Japan’s most iteration of its ecosystem, which relies on widely owned device and spurred tradition- its strengths in payments, user identifica- al industries to go mobile. Docomo pio- tion, customer loyalty, and other areas to neered the technological innovation of offer promotional support and services to mobile payments, leveraged local market an expanding network of third-party dynamics, and achieved critical mass e-commerce partners. through partnerships with established 16 | The Most Innovative Companies 2019
Companies that are considering orchestrating •• Determine the kinds of relationships that a new ecosystem or joining an existing one will provide the foundation of the eco should take a number of steps in advance to system, and decide on the nature of your prepare themselves: involvement. For example, do you foresee a series of passive corporate venture- •• Make sure that you have a sharp, clear capital investments or active investments innovation strategy that identifies the and collaborations? Is access to data more innovation domains on which you will be important than financial return? concentrating. •• Align and manage your innovation •• On the basis of your innovation strategy, vehicles (including their geographic clearly articulate an ecosystem strategy: locations, search patterns, guidance, and what value you want get out of an eco budgets), according to your answers to the system, and what you need to achieve in preceding questions. the ecosystem to support your broader innovation goals. •• Set clear goals, review achievements regularly, and don’t be afraid to adjust •• Identify the types of players with which your ecosystem strategy on the basis of you will interact. These may extend real-world results. beyond the obvious choices to companies in other (unrelated) industries, universi- ties and research institutions, startups, and venture investors, among others. T he use of platforms and ecosystems will undoubtedly expand as more companies experiment with both types of vehicles and •• Think about how you will enlarge the develop more successful use cases. The re- ecosystem pie other than by simply lentless advance of technology will also play maximizing value for your company a role. The more complex the technology, the alone. Consider how the ecosystem as a narrower the expertise—and the more likely whole will create value and how the it will be that companies must look outside participants will share that value. their own organizations for the skills needed to use the latest developments. But gaining •• Note the locations of current innovation access to the latest science is one thing. Bring- hot spots around the world for the domains ing that science inside and integrating it with you are targeting. The US and China are existing programs and processes is another. primary hubs for many fields of new- The latter remains the area where most com- technology R&D, but many other countries panies will face their biggest challenges. are active in particular fields and are developing serious centers of excellence. (See “A Deep Dive into Deep Tech Investing,” BCG infographic, forthcoming.) Boston Consulting Group | 17
NOTE TO THE READER About the Authors Acknowledgments For Further Contact Michael Ringel is a senior partner The authors thank Erin Fackler for Michael Ringel and managing director in the Bos- her leadership in driving BCG’s an- Senior Partner and Managing Director ton office of Boston Consulting nual innovation research—and BCG Boston Group and the firm’s global lead for Aziz Satarov for his help with the +1 617 973 1200 innovation analytics. Florian Grassl research and preparation of this ringel.michael@bcg.com is a partner and managing director year’s report. They thank Matthew in the firm’s Munich office and the Clark for directing the report’s Florian Grassl firm’s European innovation lead. preparation and David Duffy for his Partner and Managing Director Ramón Baeza is a senior partner writing assistance. They are also BCG Munich and managing director in BCG’s grateful to Katherine Andrews, +49 89 231 740 Madrid office and the firm’s global Gary Callahan, Kim Friedman, grassl.florian@bcg.com innovation lead. Derek Kennedy is Abby Garland, Steven Gray, Sean a senior partner and managing di- Hourihan, and Shannon Nardi for Ramón Baeza rector in the firm’s San Francisco the editing, design, and production Senior Partner and Managing Director office and the firm’s global tech sec- of the report. BCG Madrid tor lead. Michael Spira is a project +34 91 520 61 00 leader in BCG’s Munich office. Jus- baeza.ramon@bcg.com tin Manly is a partner and manag- ing director in the firm’s Chicago of- Derek Kennedy fice and the firm’s North American Senior Partner and Managing Director innovation lead. BCG San Francisco +1 415 732 8000 kennedy.derek@bcg.com Michael Spira Project Leader BCG Munich +49 89 231 740 spira.michael@bcg.com Justin Manly Partner and Managing Director BCG Chicago +1 312 993 3300 manly.justin@bcg.com 18 | The Most Innovative Companies 2019
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