The New Normal How emerging technologies and economic pressures are reshaping the IT reseller and services channel
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A CVC Guide The New Normal How emerging technologies and economic pressures are reshaping the IT reseller and services channel August 2010 www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 2 CONTENTS Authors.................................................................................................. 3 Introducing the New Normal ................................................................ 4 Customers: Great Expectations, Small Wallets..................................... 6 Thriving Technologies Driving Change .................................................. 9 The Cloud .................................................................................................. 9 Managed Services ................................................................................... 10 Virtualization .......................................................................................... 10 Business Intelligence .............................................................................. 11 Collaboration .......................................................................................... 11 Mobility................................................................................................... 11 Changing Nature of the Channel......................................................... 12 Business Planning ................................................................................... 13 Technology and Vertical Specialization .................................................. 14 Redefining Partnership ........................................................................... 15 Marketing ............................................................................................... 15 Vendor Desires for Optimized Channels ............................................. 17 Cloud Computing and Services ............................................................... 18 Escalating Support Costs ........................................................................ 19 Greater Competition .............................................................................. 19 Direct Pressure ....................................................................................... 19 Consultative Sales ................................................................................... 19 Vertical Specialization............................................................................. 19 Technology Specialization ...................................................................... 20 Customer Satisfaction............................................................................. 20 Margin Differentials ................................................................................ 20 Self‐Sufficiency ....................................................................................... 20 Converging on The New Normal ......................................................... 21 About the Channel Vanguard Council................................................. 23 CVC Supporters ................................................................................... 24 Copyright © 2010 Channel Vanguard Council — All Rights Reserve. No part of this document maybe copied or republished without prior written consent of the Channel Vanguard Council. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 3 A CVC Guide The New Normal How emerging technologies and economic pressures are reshaping the IT reseller and services channel August 2010 Principal Author Lawrence M. Walsh Executive Director, Channel Vanguard Council President & CEO, The 2112 Group Contributing Authors John J. Convery Executive Vice President of Vendor Relations and Marketing Denali Advanced Integration Spencer Ferguson President Wasatch Software Nancy Hedrick Founder, President and CEO CSI Technology Outfitters Janet Schijns Senior Vice President, Training & Knowledge Management Motorola Enterprise Mobility Systems Ken Totura Chief Channel Officer Awareness Technologies Manuel Villa President Via Technologies Tricia Wurts President Wurts and Associates Copyright © 2010 Channel Vanguard Council — All Rights Reserve. No part of this document maybe copied or republished without prior written consent of the Channel Vanguard Council. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 4 Introducing The New Normal I n economic terms, the world came to a screeching halt September 15, 2008. On that day, Lehman Brothers – one of the world’s largest financial services institutions – declared bankruptcy under the weight of the precipitously declining value of its asset portfolio and inability to cover its real estate investment losses. Lehman’s collapse was a watershed moment that marked the beginning of the Great Recession, causing businesses even in relatively stable industries to suffer from the fallout. The recession, which officially ended in January 2010, wasn’t a surprise to those watching economic indicators. In 2008, the U.S. gross domestic product fell 1.83 percent as the housing and mortgage market collapse dragged down the entire economy, which then sputtered along through 2009 with virtually no annual growth. While experts are divided on how well and fast the economy is recovering in 2010, fears of a double‐dip recession are growing. Economists have downgraded projections for second‐quarter growth, leaving many businesses and consumers with a lack of confidence — the net result being a continuing uncertainty that hampers spending, investments and jobs growth. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 5 The recession dragged down technology spending as much as any industry. After enjoying a healthy7 percent growth in 2007, technology sales and revenue began their decline in 2008. Analyst firms Forrester Research and Gartner initially forecast a 5 percent increase in 2008 IT spending, but quickly adjusted their numbers to a less than 3 percent growth as the mortgage and financial services markets began unraveling. The recession tightened its grip on the economy in 2009, and IT spending suffered an 8.2 percent year‐over‐ year decline, according to Forrester. IT spending is projected to recover 3.3 percent to 5.4 percent in 2010, however analysts say IT spending won’t return to 2008 levels until at least 2012. Despite mixed indicators and lack of general economic confidence, the IT Channel is projected to see continued improvement in IT spending and revenue through the second half of 2010. According to the CompTIA IT Industry Business Confidence Index, six in 10 IT firms expect third‐ and fourth‐quarter IT revenues to exceed those booked in the first and second quarters, and nearly four in 10 IT firms surveyed say they will add staff in the second half of 2010 as IT business activity increases. “IT industry executives remain relatively confident about the tech sector and about their firm’s pros‐ pects, but con‐ cern over the health of the U.S. economy persists,” said Tim Herbert, vice president of research at CompTIA. “In some ways the results point to a ‘two steps forward, one step back’ mentality, where positive news and mo‐ mentum are followed by unexpected bad news and a renewed sense of nega‐ tivity about economic conditions.” All of this adds up to what the Channel Vanguard Council calls “The New Normal” – the resetting of economic realities and expectations as they relate to the technology marketplace and channel community. The New Normal is more than just lowering sales and revenue projections; it’s a recalibration of customer expectations for what they’re willing to pay, a renewed relationship www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 6 between vendors and partners, and a redefinition of business models to these new realities. In some regards, The New Normal is a return to basics – the need for disciplined business management and expense control, objective sales and revenue planning, and repeatable sales models. Even as the economy continues to regain strength, technology business will cope with certain new realities well into the foreseeable future. In this CVC Guide, we will explore how The New Normal is changing customer expectations, technology consumption, channel fundamentals, vendor focus and the definition of partnership between vendors and their resellers, developers and market allies. Customers: Great Expectations, Small Wallets The root of the tech sector recession resides in end users’ budgets. The economy didn’t collapse all at once, and many sectors were actually persevered during the recession. However, businesses in nearly every economic sector erred on the side of prudence, cutting spending to preserve margins, and cash reserves and minimizing risk exposure. IT spending, often seen as a cost center by businesses, suffered many of these first and recurring budget cuts, as noted above. Three things happened during the reces‐ sion, though: New technologies disrupted traditional IT pricing models, giv‐ ing end users more technology for less. Likewise, vendors and their partners were forced to lower pricing on many existing technologies to preserve install bases, cus‐ tomers and revenues. And end users dis‐ covered that the useful operating life of many of the technologies was well beyond the recommended service period specified by vendors. These factors taught end users that they no longer had to pay as much for IT goods and services, that technology sup‐ pliers would negotiate better pricing rather than lose business, and that companies could not only do more with less but they could do more with what they already had. The effect on the technology sector was not just lower sales, but longer sales cycles www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 7 where end users strung out assessments, evaluations and purchases. Perhaps no greater consequence of the recession has been the realignment of end‐user technology purchasing and return on investment (ROI) expectations. End users found that they didn’t always get what they wanted, but usually what they needed and, often, for less. Negotiating best prices is always part of any sales process; the difference brought by the recession is increasingly intense pressure for vendors and solution providers to perform for significantly lower costs. End users leveraged the recession for gains in purchasing of consultation and professional services, hardware products, software bundles and maintenance contracts. Vendors and solution providers went along with these lower prices and deal yields be‐ lieving they were only temporary and that, when the economy recovered, pricing and Business consumers ROI expectations would return to a more lib‐ eral paradigm. It remains too early to say have used the recession that baseline is completely obliterated, but the evidence suggests increasing IT budgets to pressure vendors aren’t making technology sales any easier. End users are still demanding more products and solution providers and services for increasingly lower prices. This goes beyond the usual technology com‐ for better prices on IT moditization in which product prices de‐ products and services. crease with their increased availability and market saturation. It’s actually a reflection of end users’ organizations seeking to keep costs in check. Budget pressures and lower‐than‐normal IT spending are equal reflections of a lack of confidence in the economy. An improved economic situation means money is flowing through all business sectors, but not uniformly or consistently. As a result, even businesses making money are reluctant to restore IT budgets to previous levels until they have more confidence that revenues and cash flow are sustainable to support the need for new and expanded IT infrastructure. Return on investment (ROI) is a staple of the IT sales proposition and process. Technology’s promise is that every dollar invested will produce some multiple return of benefit in terms of productivity, cost savings or revenue enhancement, the general principle of information technology being business optimization through automation. The New Normal expands ROI to where end www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 8 users don’t just want the promise of potential ROI, they often want definitive ROI measures and guarantees they will receive the promised benefits of their investments. End users are increasingly reluctant to invest in new or replacement technologies unless there is a clearly demonstrable ROI. When IT budgets were flush with cash, end users had more latitude for experimentation, letting software collect dust and even allowing some projects to fail. The New Normal means that latitude is gone, and it’s incumbent upon IT vendors and solution providers to demonstrate value to make the sale. ROI pressure is equally affecting how end users are assessing and evaluat‐ ing the vendors and solu‐ tion providers with whom they contract. Customer loyalty once meant that vendors could bank on a certain amount of recur‐ ring renewal, mainte‐ nance and upgrade reve‐ nue from their install base. Loyalty is a dimin‐ ished factor in The New Normal. Customers will shop for what they per‐ ceive is the best value – or bargain – for their limited resources and budgets. Likewise, they are increasingly resistant to systems per‐ ceived as “lock‐ins,” meaning their companies are beholden to a vendor’s tech‐ nologies and frameworks. Customers increasingly want choice driven by value and price, and will not let loyalty or legacy stand in the way. The New Normal isn’t necessarily uniform across all technology segments. In fact, some technologies are driving The New Normal, which we will explore in the next section. But from the customer perspective, The New Normal means they have more power, flexibility and choice in the IT supplier/consumer rela‐ tionship. Of the three factors, choice is the most intractable since it encom‐ passes the decision to buy what they want when they want it. And sometimes “when” translates into “later.” www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 9 Thriving Technologies Driving Change The recession isn’t the only force driving The New Normal. Technology itself is a significant, if not equal, contributing factor. Thriving and driving technologies are primarily those that increase productivity, decrease expenses and open revenue opportunities for consuming businesses. Predominantly, these tech‐ nologies fall into the broad categories of cloud computing, managed services, virtualization, busi‐ ness intelligence soft‐ ware, collaboration, mobility and media. The Cloud. Cloud computing is proba‐ bly the single great‐ est transformative trend since the com‐ mercialization of the Internet nearly two decades ago. For the purposes of this re‐ port, we won’t go into specifics on cloud computing; simply put, “the cloud” is the delivery of IT applications and resources via a shared network in the form of software as a service (applications), infrastructure (computing resources) and platform (development resources). The cloud is revolutionizing computing and automation by lowering costs and making applications more accessible and sys‐ tems easier to manage and secure. Cloud computing disrupts the way businesses use and pay for technology. From a business perspective, cloud computing changes the IT sales and purchasing equation from a capital expense to an operational expense. Where servers and personal computers were sold as a one‐time fixed cost, cloud computing is sold on a recurring basis. This lowers the cost to technology consumers and in‐ creases revenue yields, over time, to technology solution providers. Where an application may cost $100 as an on‐premise solution, a cloud version could yield as much as $120 plus a $10 per month annual service contract. End users gain the additional benefit of having more easily updated and maintained appli‐ cations and systems since cloud‐computing applications are often managed by professional third‐parties. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 10 The challenge the cloud poses for vendors and solution providers is the cost balance of providing cloud services against the fractional revenue produced by cloud contracts. The problem in the equation is that the cloud provider bears all of the upfront delivery cost. Only after a substantial, sustainable customer base is built and recurring revenues start streaming cash to the business can cloud computing become profitable. Managed Services. Managed services shares many of the same business model characteristics of cloud computing: It’s sold as a recurring revenue model (operational expense to the customer) and delivered via a remote network con‐ nection. However, managed services is typically the delivery of what were once break/fix services; it eliminates the need for sending technicians to a customer site. Managed services provides customers with the ability to cut IT operation costs and redirect internal re‐ sources by deferring monitoring, management and maintenance to qualified third‐parties. Many solu‐ tion providers have transformed their businesses to either full‐ or partial‐managed services models, creating recurring revenue streams. IT hardware and soft‐ ware vendors have adjusted mod‐ els to either deliver tools for ena‐ bling managed services or channel models for controlling the opera‐ tional costs of managed service providers. Virtualization. Virtualization is a software‐based technology that makes many of The New Normal efficiencies possible. Developed more than 30 years ago for time‐sharing on mainframe computers, contemporary virtualization is a means to consolidate hardware resources by enabling them to run multiple, simultane‐ ous applications. Virtualization applied to servers – file share, application, Web and storage – means that more applications can run on fewer devices. This re‐ duces power/cooling consumption and physical space requirements while in‐ creases resource utilization. The same principle of running multiple applications is what enables cloud computing to work more efficiently and with greater scale than previous generations of application service providers. And, there are emerging opportunities in desktop virtualization and application streaming. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 11 Business Intelligence. Business intelligence software – such as customer rela‐ tionship management, enterprise resource planning, supply chain manage‐ ment, and accounting and financial management applications suites – are trans‐ forming the way business is managed. These applications provide business managers with greater transparency into their operations, giving them the means to make better strategic decisions and reap greater efficiencies. Despite the recession, businesses have been willing to invest in business intelligence solutions because of the cost savings and potential increase in revenues. The complexity of these applications has opened new migration, integration, and optimization and support services opportunities for solution providers. With The New Normal, thousands of SMBs are looking to leverage these applications, which in the past were designed to run large enterprises, for their own opera‐ tional efficiencies. Collaboration. Collaboration – or the sharing, modification and improvement of information – is fast becoming the heart of the information age. Collaboration technology includes everything from email and instant messag‐ ing to content‐publishing por‐ tals, such as Google Wave and Microsoft SharePoint, to video conferencing and unified com‐ munications. Even third‐party social media networks such as Twitter and Facebook are forms of mass collaboration. End users have adopted these tools to make information more readily accessible, speed up knowledge transfer and leverage the wisdom of previously untouched assets within their organizations. The opportunities are boundless for the channel, as this technol‐ ogy will create opportunities in consulting, development, security, integration and other support services. Mobility. By 2015, smartphones will be the primary means for accessing the Internet. Today, tablets, netbooks and notebook computers are in greater de‐ mand than conventional desktop computers, and enterprises are making re‐ mote access to applications and data a priority in their strategic technology planning. The world is increasingly mobile – and while mobility is often expen‐ sive, mostly due to charges levied by carriers, enterprises are absorbing these costs because highly mobile workforces and remote employees are far more productive and cost efficient than conventional hard‐wired IT infrastructures. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 12 From a technology‐market perspective, mobility creates opportunities in de‐ vices, application development, integration and maintenance, and service and support. These are the winners in the age of The New Normal: emerging technologies and business models that simultaneously create opportunities and disrupt con‐ ventions. Their value proposition and ultimate legacy is the resetting of the cost structure and how technology businesses – vendor, distributor and partner – operate. Changing Nature of the Channel What exactly is “The Channel”? To understand the changing nature of the chan‐ nel, we must first define what the channel is. As it pertains to the technology marketplace, the channel is a sales conduit between suppliers and consumers. The channel enhances the value of basic technology building blocks by adding other products and services to create holistic systems that meet the end user’s specific technology needs and operational requirements. That’s really academic. In reality, the channel is a community of businesses with varying degrees of capabilities, competencies and capacities. These businesses range from highly specialized systems integrators and The New Normal is independent software vendors to relatively technologies and simple value‐added resellers. In recent years, their common nomenclature has been models that both open “solution provider,” a generic reflection of their ability to meet end users’ technology opportunities and needs. disrupts the status quo. With such diversity comes widely varying de‐ grees of business maturation and perform‐ ance. In the past, solution providers would partner with as many as three dozen or more technology vendors to source their products and services, operating on razor‐ thin profit margins and relying on vendor discounts to provide the means for their revenue. Worse, few had business plans or objectives; most operated on general models that were neither directional nor had goals for measuring per‐ formance. And specialization was the purview of the selected few. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 13 The New Normal is forcing solution providers – and all businesses operating in the channel – to rethink business philosophies, operations and objectives. Busi‐ ness maturation is more than just an evolution, but a necessity for survival and sustained viability. In this section, we’ll look at the changing nature of business planning, technology and vertical specialization, peer partnerships, portfolio selling, and marketing in the channel. Business Planning Tom Clancy’s “The Hunt for Red October” is the story of a disenfranchised Rus‐ sian nuclear submarine captain who crafts an elaborate plan to steal his vessel and defect to the United States. Despite the Kremlin’s assertions to the con‐ trary, CIA analyst Jack Ryan deciphers the clues to the Russian captain’s intent, but is rebuffed by a U.S. Navy admiral who wants to know “the how.” Admiral: What's his plan? Ryan: His plan? Admiral: Russians don't take a [vulgarity], son, without a plan. Ryan had all the pieces, but not the plan. Many solution providers are like Ryan – accidentally successful because they have enough pieces to get them into the market, but not a plan to achieve real success. A VARBusiness 2007 study found that only 44 percent of the channel engaged in any kind of quarterly or annual business planning. Even then, the quality and completeness of business plan‐ ning was subpar. A business plan is more than just a mission statement or reflection of what a business does; it is a roadmap for success that sets opera‐ tional parameters, departmen‐ tal and personnel assignments, strategic objectives and mile‐ stones. With a business plan in place, a solution provider is able to stay on track and focus on predefined objectives with‐ out distraction. And a business plan serves as the foundational benchmark for measuring the progress and success of each part of a solution provider’s op‐ erations. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 14 In The New Normal, solution providers find that business planning is an abso‐ lute necessity for success and sustained viability. Through business planning, solution providers are focusing their operational resources and maximizing their potential. Solution providers that engage in dynamic business planning – meaning they create, measure and adjust – are finding greater degrees of suc‐ cess, profitability and growth than their non‐planning counterparts. Further, solution providers with a business plan are better able to weather economic changes than those who rely on hope, which – as the cliché goes – is not a plan. Technology and Vertical Specialization In his book “Crossing the Chasm,” marketing guru Geoffrey Moore urges busi‐ nesses to target specific verticals, such as health care and financial services, and expert domains, such as security and storage, to build their businesses. By tar‐ geting segments, he argues, a business is able to leverage the power of peer referrals to gain customers, capture market share and build revenue. From there, businesses can “cross the chasm” into adjacent domains. Solution providers have always had some form of specialization, though their definitions are somewhat murky. Some have called themselves networking, se‐ curity, storage and PC specialists, but these are more technology capabilities than specializations. And solution providers too often don’t apply their speciali‐ zations as a plan for capturing customers and growing their businesses. The New Normal is prompting many solution providers to tap into true specializa‐ tion practices that are aligned to their end users’ technology consumption or industry. What solution providers are discovering is that specialization produces better ROI than buckshot sales or go‐to‐market approaches. Specialization is even more powerful when both the technology and vertical practices are aligned in a single focus, such as unified communications for health care, which enables so‐ lution providers to build template solutions that can be sold in mass with mini‐ mal customization. It also makes the solution provider an expert in specific fields, giving them the ability to speak intelligently with their customers and share experience from engagements with other customers. Vendors are increasingly rewarding solution providers that specialize, and even more solution providers are finding that specialization is rewarded by greater growth potential and market differentiation from their peers. In The New Nor‐ mal, generalists have a significantly lower channel and general market value than those who are technology and/or vertically aligned. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 15 Redefining Partnership According to industry studies, solution providers will establish partnerships with as many as three dozen different technology vendors. Most of those relation‐ ships are either transactional or inactive, which are often expensive to maintain and produce little value. What solution providers are now finding is that honing their vendor relationships to the select few that add the most value is better for their business than having multiple, nonproducing vendor relationships. Solution providers once partnered with vendors because vendors had the high‐ est margins or market leaderships. To‐ day, solution providers are looking for vendors that provide a rich partnership program that includes a strong eco‐ nomic value proposition, technical sup‐ port, pre‐ and post‐sales support, mar‐ keting and market development, train‐ ing and certification programs, and market opportunities. Enhancing a vendor’s value proposition is the level of channel distribution (smaller com‐ munities and lower channel conflicts), end‐user awareness and technology leadership. When it comes to partner‐ ships, The New Normal paradigm is about value over volume. The old partnership paradigm did have solid logic: Solution providers needed vendor relationships to fulfill their customers’ needs – even if they were only periodic and transactional. In The New Normal, solution providers are fulfilling those needs through peer‐level relationships. By partnering with other peers with complementary capabilities and resources, solution providers are able to fulfill their customers’ needs without the expense of supporting nonproductive vendor relationships and technology practices. These synergistic relationships create additional value by exposing customers to the value a solution provider can deliver with only a minimum risk of exposing an account to competitive dis‐ placement. Marketing Marketing has never been a strong channel characteristic. The preponderance of solution providers has often relied on vendors for brand awareness, lead generation and market education: Vendors have far greater resources to sup‐ www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 16 port marketing programs, and they’ve been more than happy to keep their brands top of mind among end users. Controlling the lead generation process also meant that vendors could distribute sales opportunities to stronger solu‐ tion providers as well as retain leads for their direct sales teams. Marketing suffered greatly during the recession. Technology vendors cut their marketing spending deeply, investing mostly in programs that had definitive outcomes in leads and sales. Consequently, solution providers no longer had their marketing air cover, and many were forced to extend themselves to find new opportunities and accounts. Marketing on a greater scale has become easier and more accessible for solu‐ tion providers. Social me‐ dia, local events, and Web and search‐based advertising are substan‐ tially lower in cost than conventional, national marketing programs that vendors have tradition‐ ally managed. These new marketing outlets are giving solution providers greater reach and an im‐ mediate communications conduit with existing and prospective customers. Beyond marketing for customers, solution providers are discovering the power of the brand. As noted above, vendors have traditionally wanted their brand to take precedence in the customer relationship. We call this “brand dominance,” since it’s where the vendor creates the perception its brand is more important to the customer than its partner’s brand. But branding is more than just identity – it’s a means for differentiating a solution provider from its competitors. Solu‐ tion providers have discovered that, in The New Normal, they must develop their brands and differentiate themselves from both their competitors and ven‐ dors to achieve marketplace success. Marketing does come at a cost no matter what level or degree it is engaged by a company. Nevertheless, solution providers are learning in The New Normal that marketing is both their responsibility and an essential part of their business viability. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 17 These trends in the changing nature of the channel are being driven by neces‐ sity brought by the economic realities of The New Normal. Equally, these trends are a reflection of the maturation of the channel from a hodgepodge of tech‐ nology‐based companies to organized businesses that specialize in technology services. This maturation is an absolute necessity given that vendors are faced with the same economic pressures to evolve. In the next section, we’ll look at how vendors are driving this channel maturation out of necessity to have better partners, but also in competition with their partners. Vendor Desires for Optimized Channels Solution providers partner with dozens of technology vendors, but vendors partner with hundreds – if not thousands – of solution providers to take their products to market and reach customers they could never hope to reach with a direct sales team. The channel is often seen either as an extension of a vendor’s sales and customer support systems or as a cooperative that elevates the tech‐ nology value. Solution providers are often referred to as “trusted advisors” – the people who hold the relationship with the end users and are able to influence technology decision‐making. The channel in this sense is a romantic notion that ig‐ nores the lack of uniformity in solution provider capa‐ bilities, competencies and capacities. In fact, the chan‐ nel operates on a 90/10 rule: 90 percent of sales flow through 10 percent of partners. That ratio makes the channel expensive and, too often, unpredictable. This ratio is also the reason the cost of channel sales to the vendor increase when more solution providers – particularly smaller ones – are added to a channel network. For years, the vendor community was content with simply adding more part‐ ners to increase transactional volume to mask the lack of value. They would en‐ www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 18 tice solution providers to adopt their products for the sake of transactional sales that produced short‐term gains. Essentially, this “charm and churn” strat‐ egy of recruiting new solution providers and decommissioning underperforming partners would increase the cost of channel operations, marketing and support – since the only thing it really accomplished was increasing the size of the part‐ ner pool to which the 90/10 ratio applied. No wonder some vendor executives deride the channel’s value. Fortunately for solution providers, the channel has been proven time and again as a resilient go‐to‐market mechanism for technology vendors. Despite its costs, the sales volume and reach produced by the channel is higher and more effective than anything a direct sales model can produce. This is partly why the channel can be described in a paraphrasing of Winston Churchill’s famous quote about democracy: “The channel is the worst mean for going to market except for everything else.” Even preceding the recession of 2008‐09, vendors shifted focus toward “the right partners,” or those that produced a higher return on their channel invest‐ ment. Vendors have always had tiered channel programs, providing greater re‐ wards and incentives for their better‐performing partners. Solution providers gained higher status through financial performance and sales volume. As the tech market shifted from a volume to a value proposition and vendors sought greater fiscal efficiencies, channel programs began shifting to the select few partners that could deliver better performance. Rather that more of the charm‐ and‐churn model, vendors now seek to invest in partners that demonstrate a higher ROI. What’s changed since the channel, by definition, has always added value to the vendor’s go‐to‐market strategy? A lot. Vendors are now faced with the same economic realities as solution providers in terms of declining customer budgets, disruptive technology trends, greater levels of competition, and higher opera‐ tional and support costs. Let’s take a look at some of these factors. Cloud Computing and Services The services revolution, where IT is delivered as a utility, is changing the model for how IT is sold and consumed. As discussed in the technology section above, the recurring services model has greater long‐term profitability for vendors and solution providers, but lower top‐line revenue compared to on‐premise capital sales. Vendors are struggling to balance their need to meet gross revenue ex‐ pectations and are shifting the burden of profitability to partners by lowering product discounts and incenting after‐market, value‐add sales. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 19 Escalating Support Costs Solution providers have long looked to vendors for marketing, technical and pre ‐ and post‐sales support. Channel support is expensive, and vendors have tried automating support mechanisms to varying degrees of success. Rewarding part‐ ners for greater self‐sufficiency not only makes the solution provider more prof‐ itable, but displaces the expense burden away from the vendor. Greater Competition For more than a decade, it was a near certainty that once an end user became a consumer of a particular technology or vendor platform, they would remain in that stable in perpetuity. The recession changed that dynamic as budget con‐ straints trumped vendor loyalty, and the end user’s willingness to switch to low ‐cost alternatives grew more favorable. As a result, vendors are lowering prices to retain customers, which then creates pressure for greater operational effi‐ ciency. For the channel, that also squeezed margins. Direct Pressure Vendors have always had a love‐hate relationship with the channel, and direct sales teams often look at the channel with a jealous eye. During the recession, many vendors retreated from the channel believing they would make up for whatever sales volume was lost through recaptured margins in direct sales. Vendors always flirt with taking business away from the channel, but they’ve reduced programming benefits rather than completely eliminating solution pro‐ viders from the sales equation. Consultative Sales In the golden age of the channel, vendors and solution providers sold products on specifications and performance. Firewall throughput, server operational ca‐ pacity, application features, etc., made up the context of the technology sale. As the recession slashed IT budgets, end users needed a reason to spend money on new products and services. Vendors and solution providers that en‐ gaged in consultative selling faired far better than those reliant on the transac‐ tional, technology‐driven model. Unfortunately, the consultative sales model is an art form possessed by few. Vertical Specialization While some baseline technologies are increasingly simpler to install, operate and support, integrated holistic systems for specific industries are becoming more complex. It’s not enough to know security, storage or databases; in the vertical context, solution providers need to know the business operational pa‐ rameters of their customers. Vendors correctly understand that they will cap‐ ture more business through partners who better understand their customers’ www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 20 business operational necessities and objectives. Vendors are driving more in‐ centives toward partners that demonstrate specialization and greater opera‐ tional performance. They segment solution providers through such metrics as vertical and technology specialization, customer satisfaction, margin differen‐ tials, business models, sales volume and self‐sufficiency. Technology Specialization As noted above, vertical specialization gives solution providers greater depth of knowledge into the industries they support. Likewise, technology specialization provides a greater domain expertise for delivering and supporting specific tech‐ nologies. The true intent of supporting specialization, though, is focus: Vendors don’t want their partners distracted by trying to support too many vendors, technologies and disparate customers. Specialization is the means to get part‐ ners to concentrate on specific, repeatable objectives. It also has some benefit in reducing peer‐level competitive conflict, since partners no longer acting as generalists will have fewer rivals in the field. Customer Satisfaction As vendor‐level competition increases and the end user’s ability to change plat‐ forms become easier, customer satisfaction takes on greater importance. Ven‐ dors view their partners as ambassadors to the customer; however, vendors want some level of ownership over customers. They understand that partner performance reflects on their brand and reputation, which is why several ven‐ dors are now measuring and rewarding partners based on how customers rate their work. Margin Differentials Cloud computing, managed services and commoditization are putting pressure on technology prices and margins. As margins become harder to support, ven‐ dors will shift the burden of profitability to partners by reducing discounts and incentives. The better a partner can generate its own profitability without reli‐ ance on the margin provided by the vendor, the higher they’ll rate in the ven‐ dor channel program. Self‐Sufficiency Beyond having partners take greater responsibility for their own profitability, vendors want solution providers to assume the expense of sales support, tech‐ nical support and field marketing. The expense of sales lead generation passed through to channel partners alone costs vendors billions of dollars annually. In The New Normal, technology vendors are not abandoning the channel. They are, however, taking a more critical position in how they interact and engage with partners. One may argue that vendors have always given preference to www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 21 high performing partners. While true, The New Normal is prompting vendors to seek channel networks with less of a bell‐curve performance and more of a lin‐ ear performance in which the partner takes on more risk exposure and guaran‐ tees a predictable return on vendor channel investment. Converging on ‘The New Normal’ “The New Normal” isn’t new; it’s recurring. The current economic condition is little more than a plateau that will eventually shift to create a new set of tech‐ nology, business and economic norms that reflect the state of that time. The New Normal comprises the catalysts that will propel the technology industry and the channel community to that future state. Virtualization, cloud comput‐ ing, vertical specialization, self‐reliance, redefined go‐to‐market strategies and other trends will con‐ verge in The New Normal to create the next trans‐ formative period of the technology industry. The New Normal is not a steady state. If anything, it’s a period of uncer‐ tainty marked by channel conflict, disruptive tech‐ nologies, economic pres‐ sure on pricing and mar‐ gins, and unpredictable demands by customers. The New Normal is a near‐perfect storm in which the technology channel must navigate through a sea of change that’s in constant flux. Uncertainty and perpetual change will cause many channel businesses to think conservatively and hold back invest‐ ment. But The New Normal is a period for investment in the future, and the delta between those that invest and those that retrench will define the next state of the channel. What must the channel do to navigate through this period? The New Normal is about the principles on which the channel was built: cooperation and collabora‐ tion in partnership. Solution providers need to partner with vendors and cus‐ tomers to define the tools necessary for future business activity, and they need to partner with their peers to extend geographic coverage and technology re‐ sources to better serve customers’ needs. Vendors need to partner with their peers to create synergistic technologies with greater levels of interoperability, www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 22 and customers need to recalibrate their expectations to support technology suppliers and collaborate on innovative advances. The ultimate question: Is the channel is still necessary in The New Normal? Yes, but that’s only the simple answer. Throughout the technology industry’s his‐ tory, the channel has served as a conduit between vendors and customers in which technologies were integrated and value was added. The channel has pro‐ vided vendors with greater geographic reach and the ability to service custom‐ ers on all levels. And the channel has been the source of information, intelli‐ gence and feedback that fuels innovation. Those things will not change. But like all transformative periods, The New Normal will require the channel to shift, and the trends outlined in this report are but a fraction of how the channel is changing. Surviving and thriving through The New Normal will require all businesses in the channel to rethink their business models, make strategic plans based on objec‐ tive data, reset their objectives and expectations, and invest in their desired future states. While the channel is and always will be a cooperative collabora‐ tion between vendors and solution providers, the responsibility for growing and maintaining a healthy, vibrant business is an individual responsibility. The New Normal is the period in which the individual entities of the channel community must take command of their own destinies or risk disintermediation. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 23 ABOUT THE CHANNEL VANGUARD COUNCIL The Channel Vanguard Council, a neutral collaborative comprised of leaders from the technol‐ ogy reseller channel established in 2009, formalized its charter and resolved to fulfilling the mission of creating standards that will result in the maturation of channel business practices for vendors, distributors, solution providers, services organizations and value‐added resellers. CVC serves as an advisory group to CompTIA, the leading association of IT professionals. Lawrence M. Walsh Todd Thibodeaux Executive Director, Channel Vanguard Council President and CEO President and CEO, The 2112 Group CompTIA CVC Members Carolyn April Lester Pierre Director, Industry Analysis Chief Executive Officer CompTIA Wall Street Network Peter Cannone Joe Qualgia Chief Executive Officer Senior Vice President, U.S. Marketing OnForce Tech Data John J. Convery Fernando Quintero Executive Vice President of Vendor Relations Vice President, Channel Sales, Americas and Marketing McAfee Denali Advanced Integration Janet Schijns Ron Culler, Jr. Senior Vice President, CTO/Executive Vice President Training & Knowledge Management Secure Designs Motorola Enterprise Mobility Systems Greg Donovan Sam J. Ruggeri Founder and CEO President and Founder Alpheon Corporation Advanced Vision Technology Group Spencer Ferguson Lane Smith President CEO and President Wasatch Software Do IT Smarter Gary Fish Ken Totura Founder and CEO Chief Channel Officer FishNet Security Awareness Technologies Nancy Hedrick Founder, President and CEO Manuel Villa CSI Technology Outfitters President Via Technologies Jay Kirby Executive Vice President, Sales and Marketing Tricia Wurts Troubadour President Wurts and Associates www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
CVC Guide: The New Normal | August 2010 24 SUPPORTERS The Channel Vanguard Council is supported by the following organizations. CompTIA (www.comptia.org) is the non‐profit trade association advancing the global interests of information technology (IT) professionals and companies in‐ cluding manufacturers, distributors, resellers, and educational institutions. The 2112 Group (www.the2112group.com) is an independent strategic advisory service provider that specializes in community‐based market discovery and re‐ search for the development of technology product and marketing strategies. www..channelvanguardcouncil.com
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