The Land of 800 Billionaires: Finding Cross-Border Commerce Success in China - RISK & REWARD
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In the hours leading up to Singles Day 2017, Nicole Kidman, Pharrell Williams and Maria Sharapova took to a stage in Shanghai for a televised celebration of consumerism gone wild. Singles Day in China, also known as Nov. 11, is a day celebrated with a breathtaking display of online buying in the world’s largest and fastest developing ecommerce economy. In all, Chinese consumers spent $25 billion on Singles Day 2017 on Alibaba alone, according to The Guardian, just a touch more than the annual gross domestic product of Finland. It is an eye-popping event, but also a perfect symbol of how baffling it can be for European and U.S. retailers contemplating the best way to take advantage of the power and momentum of ecommerce in China. The opportunity is Singles Day Spending on Alibaba huge. But the road to 30 expanding an EU- or U.S.-based ecommerce 25 enterprise to China is twisting. It is dotted Billions of Dollars 20 with alternate routes and intersected by 15 paths that lead to crushing dead ends. 10 This ebook will explore 5 the ecommerce opportunity in China 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 and the challenges for Source: Alibaba via TechCrunch a retail enterprise that needs to line up a new breed of marketing, merchandising, checkout, order management, fulfillment and customer support to serve the world’s most populous country. A few things for retailers to keep in mind as they think about a move into China: First, this is not well-traveled ground. Only in recent years has China become the sort of market that global retailers today are anxious to figure out. That’s largely because the country owes its status as a prime cross- border ecommerce opportunity to a few recent developments. The developments start with the country’s dramatically expanding middle class. The Chinese government’s decision to relax customs and duty requirements on consumers’ cross-border ecommerce purchases is another. On the technology side, the omnipresence of mobile phones in China — and Chinese consumers’ comfort with using phones and mobile payments for virtually any purchase — play a vital role in the country’s ecommerce evolution. Closely related is the rise of mega-marketplaces such as those run by Alibaba and JD.com.
TIP Find a Chinese partner or be sure to have Mandarin speakers on the ground in China. marketplaces, such as Alibaba’s Tmall or JD.com, which can manage marketing Technology is also driving the creation of service and the logistics and the other back-end providers who rely on ingenuity and innovation work of selling online. to help cross-border sellers crack the China code. ■■ Launch a website in China while working They offer marketing and localization help; order with Chinese partners to build the management; payments and fraud protection; front-end and back-end commerce shipping and customs; regional and last-mile infrastructure to serve Chinese delivery and customer support. consumers. In short, it’s never been easier for retailers based Generally speaking, whatever the partnership in Europe and the United States to sell into China. arrangement, the idea is to take a page from But, that doesn’t mean it’s easy. the digitally native retailers, merchants who build a scalable ecommerce stack, comprising “There are a lot of little challenges along the way,” a confederacy of tech partners who manage says Garrett Robertson, a senior business analyst ecommerce operations and who can be at Flow, which advises merchants on going swapped out for more effective alternatives if global and coordinates the providers they need things don’t go right. to make the move. “Everybody is still trying to figure out the best way to go about it. So there is The goal is to orchestrate, not operate, which no definite answer on what the right way to go is.” allows a cross-border retailer to focus on the core business and on ensuring a friction-free So, where to begin? buyer experience while the tech partners provide the infrastructure to get the job done. Spoiler alert: The most common key to success appears to be to avoid going it alone. Retail If seeking new markets in China sounds like it success in China requires a partner who knows comes with a lot to think about, it does. Those the territory. And when it comes to connecting who have been there tell the Global Ecommerce with the right partners, retailers have taken three Leaders Forum (GELF) that retailers expanding basic approaches: sales to China should brace themselves for frustration, disappointingly slow progress and ■■ llow Chinese consumers to come to A a rapidly changing environment in terms of them, buying from their domestic U.S. or consumer behavior and government regulation. European websites and enlisting experts to help with shipping, duties, taxes and “This is China,” a section heading of GELF’s 2017 delivery. report on ecommerce in China reads, “Expect ■■ Open a store on one of the big no shortage of challenges.” R ISK & R E WA RD R E P ORT 3
The Opportunity is Likely Worth the Pain TIP Localize your site to the extent possible, including So, why bother? Chinese language, currency, payment options. China’s middle class — think consumer class — numbers 430 million and is expected to hit 780 million by the middle of the next decade. Those consumers fueled a $1.15 trillion online market in China last year, according to the Chinese government. And that market is expected to grow to $1.8 trillion by 2022, according to Forrester, at “So that’s the good news,” Tsay says. which point it will be larger than ecommerce in the “And it ought to be for everybody, including United States, Japan, the UK, France and Germany the European merchants.” combined. In fact, it’s good news especially for European Ecommerce growth in China merchants. Montreal-based retail strategist Carl Boutet notes that the European ecommerce 1250 market, particularly if you view it country-by- Billions of Dollars country, is reaching saturation more quickly 1000 than the U.S. market and needs a new source of customers. 750 Not only that, but Robertson argues that European 500 merchants are better situated than their U.S. counterparts to expand into China because European merchants have always had a cross- 2014 2015 2016 2017 border view. Source: Alibaba via TechCrunch “They know this from day one and cater their “Basically the retail landscape in China has sort sites to international consumers, knowing even of leapfrogged the western retail format, in just European consumers have varying expectations a matter of years,” says Andy Tsay, a Santa Clara — currencies, delivery windows, languages, etc.,” University business professor, who has frequently Robertson says. “So it can be easier for them to taught in China. expand to other markets because their tech can handle it.” Even more important for retailers in the United States and Europe with eyes on China are these Cross-Border Ecommerce Spending in China two facts: Cross-border ecommerce sales in China surpassed $100 billion last year, with the average 200 cross-border consumer spending $848, according Billions of Dollars to analysts Frost & Sullivan. 150 In fact, nearly one-quarter of Chinese digital 100 consumers will make cross-border purchases this year, according to eMarketer. That group will swell 50 to 40 percent by 2020, says Flow’s Robertson, citing Forrester research. 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Chinese Ministry of Commerce via Internet Retailer
Who the Consumers Are Chinese consumers have demonstrated that they’re ready to embrace the right retailers from outside China. Empowered Chinese consumers are hunting for bargains, yes, but more likely they are looking to ensure that they buy goods they perceive as higher quality. And, Chinese consumers also buy from European and U.S. retailers for assurance that the products they are buying are not counterfeit, especially when it comes to luxury brands, health and beauty products and food. Those priorities are distinctive, if you look at the rest of the world, according to a survey by PayPal of consumers worldwide. Those shoppers said price was the number one reason they bought cross- border, followed by free shipping, according to “PayPal Cross-Border Research 2018.” Finding hard-to- get items ranked fourth. TIP Up your mobile and social game. Chinese consumers live on their phones and pay close attention to internet celebrities. That China’s consumers’ motivation for cross-border buying is different from the world as a whole should come as no big surprise. GELF’s 2017 report, “Catching the China Ecommerce Wave,” repeatedly reinforced that China is distinct. “China is one of the top markets for all of our brands,” the report quoted an unnamed U.S. ecommerce leader saying. “The underlying theme is that China is different in every way.” The differences in motivation between Chinese cross-border consumers and shoppers in other countries is a reminder that no matter where a retailer wants to sell, it’s a fool’s mission to dive in without knowing the consumers it’s selling to. “Know your customer” is a retail bromide as old as retail. But never is it more important than when a merchant is making a move into a new international market. With the continuing rise of the middle class, Chinese consumers have shifted from buyers of the need-to-have to buyers of the nice-to-have. R ISK & R E WA RD R E P ORT 5
The change means retailers must pay far more attention to the consumer experience. Chinese shoppers revel in discovery. They spend more time when they shop online than do U.S. and European consumers — averaging 30 minutes a day on Alibaba’s Taobao marketplace, triple the time U.S. consumers spend browsing, according to the Boston Consulting Group. They also prefer more detail in product listings and more photographs than their American and European counterparts do. “In comparison to the U.S., the typical Chinese web site is very busy, especially the home page,” an unnamed retail executive told GELF for its report. “The detail pages on Chinese websites have a lot more info. Images and rich media are (important) because of the trust issue.” The evolution of Chinese consumers has come rapidly and is spreading from big, tier-one and two cities, like Shanghai and Beijing, to typically more remote tier-three and four cities. The trend is being powered by broader internet penetration and new delivery techniques, such as package-dropping drones. In fact, ecommerce as a percentage of total retail in China rocketed from less than 5 percent in 2010 to 15 percent in 2015, according to calculations by the Boston Consulting Group. Chinese consumers have evolved rapidly in other ways, too. They fully embrace online buying, a mobile-first lifestyle and a cashless society, where digital wallets like Alipay and WeChat Pay are used for even the smallest purchases, including tipping buskers on the street. “It’s happening quickly there,” says Tsay, who adds that not long ago, China was a cash economy. “Today mobile payment is widespread,” he continues. “Nobody pays with cash, except for tourists.” And a relatively few Chinese consumers buy on the desktop. By 2020, 74 percent of Chinese ecommerce will be conducted on mobile devices, compared to 46 percent in the United States, according to the Boston Consulting Group. Furthermore, mobile purchases will continue to be category agnostic, BCG says, including everything from food to luxury automobiles.
How Consumers Buy Hand-in-hand with China’s mobile revolution is the rise of social selling, which has taken China by storm. Retailers lure buyers with high-production events on Weibo and WeChat featuring Chinese celebrities hawking fashion lines, cosmetic brands or even hot car models on social media, with an option for viewers to buy — then and there. WeChat, a platform that rolls the idea of Twitter, Snap, YouTube, Facebook, PayPal, calling features and texting all into one, is an emerging powerhouse as a sales channel. eMarketer says 34.6 percent of Chinese consumers spent four or more hours a day on WeChat in 2016, up from 17.2 percent the previous year. Just how powerful is the platform, which has 902 million daily users and is owned by social and gaming giant Tencent? Consider Fang Yimin, known as “the Goddess of Shopping,” who pitches for luxury brands Tiffany & Co., Burberry and Giorgio Armani, according to the web publication Style. The Style story says Yimin sold 100 $45,500 Mini Coopers on her WeChat blog recently — in five minutes. That’s nearly a million dollars a minute. Victoria’s Secret looked to create and ride a social media buzz in China by moving its signature fashion show to Shanghai in 2017. The event included a star-studded lead-up television special the day before Singles Day; the fashion show itself, featuring Victoria’s Secret models, Chinese supermodel Ming Xi, British pop sensation Harry Styles and Chinese pop star Jane Zhang. All that was followed by the televised version of the fashion show later in November. And while social media did blow up over the event, it was also a symbol of what can go wrong in China. Vanity Fair, Forbes and others noted that megastar Katy Perry and a number of models were denied entry by the Chinese government and were therefore unable to perform as planned. On top of that, Chinese supermodel Ming Xi tripped and fell on the catwalk, adding to the missteps with a literal one of her own. All of which is a reminder that any retailer looking to expand into China needs to have a deep understanding not just of social media, but of Chinese social media. “Social media is a huge driver for a lot of these brands,” Flow’s Robertson says.
What Consumers Want Yes, China is a gigantic opportunity. But obviously each retailer needs to figure out whether the country is a big opportunity for them. Retail is made up of verticals and often broken down into categories, such as apparel, home goods, beauty, electronics, jewelry etc. And each vertical has its own appeal or lack of it, depending on the market a retailer is targeting. As a retailer, if you want to figure out whether what you’re selling is what Chinese consumers are buying, try deconstructing the reasons Chinese consumers say they make cross-border purchases. Frost & Sullivan and Azoya Consulting surveyed Chinese shoppers who buy directly from retailers in other countries. In descending order, cross-border consumers told the firms TIP they were: Consider whether the products you sell even ■■ Looking for higher quality and more reliable products make sense for the cross- ■■ Trying to avoid fake or counterfeit products border market in China. ■■ Taking advantage of a lower price ■■ Buying products that were not available locally ■■ Curious about trying a new buying channel As retailers ask themselves how their products line up with those characteristics, they should also consider what consultants say. Chinese consumers look to foreign sellers for luxury items from prominent brands. Why Chinese Consumers Shop Cross-Border 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% , ry le k Ris s lity o T el l ab pe r a t us nn va i ea w Lo Fak e Qu ble rio Cha t A cally Ch h er elia u C w o N Lo of g HI ore R Ne M Source: Frost & Sullivan Consumer Survey
“The Chinese consumer is very aware of luxury by grocery purchases, cited by 19 percent of and aware of counterfeits,” Robertson says. respondents. It’s no coincidence, for instance, “They want the name brand because they want that Kroeger just made a big move into China to outshine their friends. They only want to buy with online groceries. luxury goods from a known luxury retailer. So, they only want to buy Gucci from Gucci directly. As retailers crack the code on China, it’s wise They only want to buy from Louis Vuitton directly, to remember that there is no one China — and from Neiman Marcus directly, because they know therefore no one code. China is a country of 3.8 that name.” million square miles, the size of Canada. Nearly 1.5 billion people live there in geographies and Health and beauty products and certain food climates as varied as any in the world, speaking and nutrition items are also highly desirable from several languages with hundreds of dialects and foreign retailers, in part because of past scares variations. involving counterfeit products, including baby formula. “China has Beijing and Shanghai. Each of those markets at any given moment in time could The Frost & Sullivan survey with Azoya would have very different customer demands, just appear to back that up. Fashion led the way based on the climate,” says Jeff Sward, CEO of when it comes to cross-border purchases, with Merchandising Metrics, who recently finished 22 percent of respondents saying they make a year doing retail consulting in China. “The fashion purchases at least once a month directly range of diversity of ethnicity and climate, kind of from foreign retailers. puts an exclamation point on how to study that market and how you slice and dice it in terms of Next was beauty and cosmetics, with 20 percent customer profile.” making monthly purchases, followed closely Percentage of Consumers Who Buy Specific Products Cross-Border 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% s & y re nic are h& Ba b isu ce ry & n tro ew re ealt ion & Le o uty tics shio c us itu H trit m Gr a Be sme Fa Ele Ho Furn Nu Mo t s& or Co Sp Source: Frost & Sullivan Consumer Survey The Chinese consumer is very aware of luxury and aware of counterfeits...” R ISK & R E WA RD R E P ORT 9
TIP Determine which channel or channels make the most sense How to Meet Consumer Needs given your resources, timelines, goals and Once a retail enterprise understands the prospective customers. consumer it is going to be selling to, it needs to decide just how it’s going to sell. Some of the world’s large retailers, including Macy’s, Walmart, Marks & Spencer, Galeries Lafayette, Louis Vuitton and Gucci, went all-in on China in recent years, taking an omnichannel approach with mixed success. Again, the three main paths to cross-border commerce in China are: Macy’s is rethinking its China strategy, having ended a partnership with the Fung Group ■■ Selling into China from the retailer’s main and pulled out of physical stores. Walmart is domestic site. a major investor in JD.com and is involved in ■■ Opening a store on one of the major several commerce partnerships in the country. marketplaces run by Alibaba, JD.com Marks & Spencer closed its Chinese brick-and- or a number of smaller players. mortar stores in 2016 and then pulled out of ■■ Moving into China with a localized the ecommerce market in China a year later. website and operation. Galeries Lafayette recently expanded from pure ecommerce to omnichannel in the country. Louis And the fact is, many retailers use a combination Vuitton has closed eight stores in China, but of strategies to broaden their reach in China and says its China future looks bright. And Gucci is to learn what works and what doesn’t. being held up as a leader in deploying social media to drive sales in China. Perhaps the simplest way into China is for a retailer to sell from its existing domestic site. But building a full-on omnichannel retail empire There are challenges: Chinese consumers need in China is expensive and high risk, which leaves a reason to come to a retailer’s site and they other foreign retailers taking a lighter, test-and- need a way to find it. Shipping requires some learn approach. gymnastics, sometimes including a reshipper that bundles individual orders, and agreements with last-mile delivery companies in China.
And there are payments, taxes and fraud to Internet Retailer found that 100 of the U.S.- consider. The overwhelming popularity of AliPay dominated IR 1000 retailers have a presence on and WeChat Pay makes them must-haves for Alibaba’s Tmall, for instance. And GELF found those selling into China. Taxes and duties can that nearly 35 percent of the retailers it surveyed either be handled by the shipping company sold via a Chinese marketplace. when the package reaches Chinese customs or a merchant can require the end customer to pay, And why not? Online giants Alibaba and meaning a trip to pick up the package and pay JD.com accounted for more than 80 percent of the fees — not a great customer experience. ecommerce sales in China last year. As with any global expansion, fraud protection is Opening a shop on Alibaba’s Tmall or JD.com a concern, given that merchants are selling into turns much of the operational work over to a market of unknown customers with unknown those third parties. The marketplace handles purchasing histories. China has a thriving online the retailer’s website, ordering back end and fraud industry, according to Experian, which said fulfillment. A retailer’s inventory can be stored China led the world in overseas fraud attacks last duty-free in a free-trade zone in China. When year. the products are shipped, they are treated the same as if the Chinese consumer bought them It’s important, then, that merchants from the overseas and carried them home personally, United States and Europe find a fraud protection which generally reduces the tax and duty due provider that uses a large, global transaction on the foreign product. database and machine learning to spot fraud patterns in geographies that a particular As with Amazon, turning to a marketplace also merchant hasn’t yet established any history with. means you lose a certain amount of control over your operations and miss out on valuable As for fulfillment and last-mile delivery issues, consumer data. There have also been some a host of companies, including Pitney Bowes, murky disputes between marketplace sellers eShopWorld, Flow and others will take on the and the marketplaces they sell on involving work of getting the goods to customers buying pressure for exclusive deals and retaliation, across borders. according to CNBC. The Chinese government has also made things Selling on a marketplace isn’t necessarily cheap, slightly easier for cross-border sellers in recent either. Alibaba’s Tmall, for instance, charges a years, treating small online purchases from deposit that can run from $15,000 to $40,000. foreign websites as “personal” purchases by There are fees that can run into the tens of Chinese residents. That reduces fees and red thousands for building product feeds and tape and makes the transactions, from the for marketing and customer acquisition. consumer’s perspective, much like a standard domestic order. That said, turning to one of China’s established marketplaces is by far the most popular approach, with about 65 percent of cross-border TIP Be transparent about ecommerce being conducted there, any fees for shipping according to estimates. or taxes that will be added to an item’s price, including import fees a consumer might be responsible for. R ISK & R E WA RD R E P ORT 11
But it is a way into the Chinese market, which It’s possible, if a brand is big enough and well- can seem mystifying to outsiders. known enough, for a retailer to set up its own online-only operation in China. “I hate to oversimplify like this, but why fight them? Just join them,” Sward, of Merchandising “People do it all the time,” Robertson says. “A Metrics, says. “You’re already going to be in lot of those luxury brands do it all themselves. intense competition. But to get a human being They do it all in house or they have development away from one of its default websites I think is a agencies that are solely focused on each of huge challenge.” those different websites that they maintain.” Those who have opened marketplace shops But even the biggest brands tend to connect point out that it is not a set-it-and-forget-it option. with a Chinese partner — a Chinese retailer, Some suggest having a Chinese staff or at a Chinese investor or a global ecommerce least a dedicated staffer in China who speaks consultancy — to ensure success. fluent Mandarin in order to keep on top business operations. Luxury designer Louis Vuitton, for example, has weathered economic and social storms “I think it makes it easier if you have somebody in China since the 1990s by working closely on the ground that’s able to lead you in the right with the country’s digital giants. In 2012, it was direction” says Flow’s Robertson, who meant the among the first foreign luxury brands to launch a advice for retailers no matter the Chinese sales WeChat account, tapping into consumers’ daily channels they chose. lives, according to Jing Daily. It has collaborated with Baidu, “the Google of China” on innovative digital advertising campaigns and an AI-driven tool that suggests fragrances based on a customer’s facial features. Early on, the retailer offered a click-and- collect service. It has more recently expanded its ecommerce fulfillment to 26 new cities and seen a 14 percent increase in visits to its site, Jing Daily says. Babyhaven, a California-based seller of baby products, has doubled-down on China. After starting out by shipping orders to China from its U.S. warehouses, it eventually set up a store on Alibaba’s Tmall. Ultimately, Babyhaven decided to launch its own Chinese website with the help of Shenzhen-based Azoya International, which specializes in Chinese expansion. Babyhaven now ships its orders from warehouses in China, reducing costs and improving the customer experience it provides.
It’s important, then, that merchants from the United States and Europe find a fraud protection provider that uses a large, global transaction database and machine learning to spot fraud patterns...” “We hope that by the end of 2018, we will constantly see between 300 and 500 sales a day on the Chinese site,” Babyhaven CEO Jason Becker told Chain Store Age, comparing the figure to the as many as 6,000 orders a day it processes domestically. Working with a cross-border agency like Azoya or Flow means retailers can off-load the ecommerce operations that make commerce go. Handling those details as a retailer can otherwise be daunting to say the least. “For a smaller, lesser-known retailer, that’s a huge investment to make,” says Flow’s Robertson. “What we do and what we’ve seen work, is we offer localized language and payment and shipping carriers.” An agency well-grounded in China can round up Chinese digital agencies, shippers, payment gateways security firms and fraud protection providers, and advise retailers on any regulatory, economic or political considerations. They can make sure that prices are in local currency and that consumers are able to pay with Alipay, WeChat and China Union, not only for convenience, but to build trust with consumers by offering experiences that are familiar. “Working with those local partners to ensure the smoothest transaction for that customer makes it a lot easier for the customer,” Robertson says, which in turns increases the lifetime value of that customer. R ISK & R E WA RD R E P ORT 13
If you’re thinking about China, consider these six tips: 1 Start at the beginning: Is China even right for your enterprise and the products you sell? Chinese consumers look to cross-border sellers for luxury brands, food products, health and beauty items and goods they cannot buy domestically. And of course, like shoppers everywhere, consumers in China like a good deal. If you can win on price, that might be reason enough, though you might one day be undersold. You don’t want to enter a race to the bottom. 2 Consider how you want to go into China: Selling from a domestic website in your home country that Chinese consumers visit? On one of the major Chinese marketplaces? By setting up a website and fulfillment operation in China? Does it make sense to use more than one sales channel? Localize your site to the extent possible: You want customers to be comfortable shopping your 3 sites. A Chinese language site with an abundance of descriptions and photos is ideal. Display prices in local currency and and include Chinese payment options, such as Alipay and WeChat Pay. 4 Find a partner and/or build a China-based staff: Even with Chinese consultants or experts advising you, it’s wise to have a team or team members who speak Mandarin in order to keep up with the fast pace of consumer demand and ecommerce in general. Up you mobile game: Chinese consumers live on their mobile devices even more so than most 5 of the rest of the world. Your mobile experience has to be top-notch if you don’t want to risk losing customers for good. Be transparent in pricing when it comes to taxes and duties. Ideally, reflect the costs on your 6 sites. Sending goods to China and leaving the payment of taxes and any required duties to customers is a recipe for a bad customer experience, which never ends well. Source: Garrett Robertson of Flow and Signifyd reporting
By the Numbers: China vs. the U.S. Population Land area CHINA UNITED 1.4 CHINA STATES 3.7 3.8 MILLION SQ MILES MILLION BILLION SQ MILES UNITED STATES 323.4 MILLION Annual ecommerce spending $1.15 trillion China United States $453.5 billion Annual ecommerce growth Consumers who shop cross-border China China 32% 24% United United 16% States 47% States Sources: World Bank, U.S. Census Bureau, Azoya, Frost & Sullivan, Chinese Ministry of Commerce, UPS, eMarketer
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