THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING
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THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING 1. BACKGROUND collapse, creating a perfect storm for a looming deflationary economic crisis. COVID-19 is possibly the most disruptive global event since the 1929 Great Mining is an economic bedrock in many Depression. resource-rich countries, with developed and developing nations alike benefiting from Though it is a health pandemic, COVID-19 its meaningful role in poverty reduction, has grown into an unprecedented social inclusive growth, and social development. and economic global crisis. International Like other economic sectors, however, the institutions1 are revising the world’s mining industry has not been spared from economic outlook regularly throughout the negative consequences of COVID-19 the outbreak. Within the first few months, outbreaks. Tight working conditions at mine revisions are worsening and are likely sites are placing workers in the frontline in to become more severe, depending on terms of health and safety risks, prompting the speed and scale at which economic the industry to quarantine workers when activities recover. national lockdown regulations did not force them to do so. COVID-19 is unleashing multiple economic shocks. On the supply side, lockdown This briefing note looks at the impact measures are disrupting global supply of the pandemic on employment in the chains as a result of sudden factory mining sector and provides an overview of closures and the temporary suspension immediate responses taken by governments of air, maritime, and land transportation, and mining companies. Acknowledging among others. On the demand side, that this crisis is unprecedented—and such restrictions on the movements of people events may occur in the future—the paper and the closure of non-essential economic suggests additional measures governments activities have significantly cut down on and the mining industry, individually or consumption. These are leading to massive collectively, could take to strengthen the capital outflows from emerging markets as resilience of employment in the sector investors’ confidence tumbles, exports and moving forward. revenues decline, and commodity prices 1
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING The paper highlights three key issues: Relief The viability of the mining sector is packages must look to the long term. To heavily reliant on stable and predictable be truly effective, relief packages must be market conditions and functioning supply designed strategically to respond to the chains. Any major disruptions to the global realities of the labour situation, both now economy can result in acute uncertainties, and in the future. threatening production and productivity, with consequences for workers, suppliers, New regulatory frameworks and and local economies. investments must be developed. As the global economy recovers, mining activities While large-scale mining contributes will slowly resume, but we will not be significantly to many developing countries’ able to afford business as usual. New national incomes, it is not a major direct and permanent protocols and working employer due to its capital-intensive nature. conditions will have to be established, which According to ICMM2, the mining industry will require new regulatory frameworks and directly contributes around 1%–2% of total investments. employment in a given country. The mining sector must create resilient However, two important factors must be safeguards. The industry needs to build underscored: resilience to insulate the labour market and supply chains against the inevitable repeat Large-scale mining plays a critical of similar events. economic and social role in remote areas. Large-scale mining activities are localized in remote areas with underdeveloped or few 2. IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON major alternative economic sectors. Mining EMPLOYMENT IN MINING plays a critical role for host communities, where it is often the largest—if not the sole— Up to 305 million full-time workers in all job creator and provider of vital services, economic sectors around the globe could including a variety of social services, such lose their jobs in the second quarter of as health care and education. 2020 due to COVID-19. These losses may disproportionately impact lower-income Large-scale mining creates more business countries, given their weaker health in host countries. Mining activities have institutions and sanitary conditions, the significant multiplier effects on the local number of workers in the informal sector, and national economy through the creation migrant workers and/or workers holding of indirect and induced employment and precarious jobs elsewhere, and the limited business opportunities. ICMM3 estimates fiscal space governments have to mitigate those opportunities can contribute up to the impacts of the forthcoming recession. 15% of national income in certain countries. COVID-19 is exposing the weak points of global labour markets. Mining companies of all sizes are radically slowing down or halting their operations while workers are forced to stay at home. While new technologies and Internet connectivity allows many employees to work remotely, this option is not available equally to all economic sectors or companies and does not apply to all jobs. 2
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING FIGURE 1. EMPLOYMENT RISK HEATMAP FOR MINING COMPANIES ALONG THE MINING VALUE CHAIN Exploration Construction Extraction / Mineral Closure and operation processing decommissioning HIGH- MID-TO MID-TO HIGH-TECH LOW-TECH LABOUR INTENSITY CAPITAL HIGH-TECH HIGH-TECH LOW JOBS HIGH JOBS ID-JOB MID-JOB LOW JOB Risk level per group of workers Direct employees Highly skilled Technical Low-skilled Contractors Suppliers Suppliers of goods Service suppliers Risk scenarios that can exacerbate the impact on employment Extended lockdown, with negative implications on employment, productivity, and future investment plans Stop-go policies due to new waves of virus spread, causing new lockdowns Credit crunch facing less resilient mining companies (juniors, mid-sized companies etc.), leading to reduced operations and investments Local supply chain risks and knock-on effects on jobs, due to bankruptcies of SMEs Lower investors’ confidence in the future global economic prospects Commodity price slumps* due to uncertainties over global demand and/or supply of raw materials recovery Low Low - med Med - high High *See S&P Global analysis: https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/research/covid-19-impacts-to-metals-prices- volatility-is-here-to-stay-part-1 and https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/research/covid-19-impacts-to-metals- prices-volatility-is-here-to-stay-part-2 Source: Author diagram. Workers are being temporarily laid off at Specific parameters determine the demand mines and across supply chains due to for labour. During the production phase, mining operations scaling down as national the types of operations, the degree of lockdown restrictions take effect. The mechanization or automation, the types heatmap in Figure 1 shows the variations in of minerals being extracted, geological labour intensity and employment risks for specificities, and other criteria will determine different groups of workers across the mine the demand for labour. life cycle. The key takeaways are: Breadth and depth of local supply chains Labour requirements are not the same is crucial. Local procurement creates across the mining investment cycle. Demand employment spillovers through the for labour varies according to the number of development of business activities to projects and their levels of development. The service the mines. Induced employment construction phase, for instance, requires opportunities are also created in the local a larger number of contractual workers community, through satellite economic to build mining facilities compared to the activities such as hotels, restaurants, shops operational phase. etc. The deeper the linkages, the higher the impact on indirect and induced jobs. 3
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING 2.1 IMMEDIATE IMPACTS Employment status affects job security Markets, supply chains, and employment and salaries. Not all employees have the are immediately impacted as many same status within mining companies. In a governments impose sudden national nutshell: lockdown restrictions to limit the virus • Some mine workers are considered spread. “essential staff” because they perform tasks necessary for the functioning 2.1.1 IMPACTS ON MINING ACTIVITIES of operations. These workers maintain Impacts on mining activities vary their jobs and salaries. significantly across countries, depending on • Others who are able to work remotely the following factors: retain their activities and salaries. National policies enforcing lockdown. Some • Workers who do not fall under the countries have imposed lockdowns whereas two categories above are temporarily others consider mining an “essential service,” demobilized. They are more vulnerable allowing activities to continue under certain to income cuts if there are no conditions. agreements and safeguards in place. • The situation is more complex for The health situation at the mine sites. contractual workers, such as fly-in, Some sites closed operations to limit the fly-out (FIFO) and drive-in drive-out spread of the virus among workers and local (DIDO) workers, and informal or cross- communities. border migrant workers. Layoffs imply The commodities at stake. Energy the loss of any means of subsistence, commodities, such as coal, are exempt and workers who are already ill- from national lockdowns. Metals, such equipped to face hardship (in the as zinc, copper, nickel and iron ore,4 are absence of social safety nets and legal more severely impacted, seeing price and protection for their rights) are likely to production declines as a result of global be hit the hardest. industrial collapse. Gold,5 a safe haven National legislation determines job during crisis periods, sees its price increase and salary security in exceptional as production continues. circumstances. Most countries allow mining companies to follow the “no work, 2.1.2 IMPACTS ON DIRECT EMPLOYMENT AND no pay” principle, meaning demobilized or SALARIES temporarily laid off staff are not entitled Jobs in underground mining face higher to remuneration if no tasks are performed. risks. Underground mines can be a vector However, as part of the suite of measures for faster virus spread because activities to prevent economic hardships, countries require large groups of workers to descend are executing payment schemes to support into the mines in packed elevators. companies in keeping jobs and paying salaries. Some large mining companies Some countries, like South Africa,6 initially guarantee the jobs and salaries of their ordered all underground mining activities permanent staff during lockdown periods, to be placed on care and maintenance to while others are negotiating with unions to protect workers. In other countries, like reduce wages. Poland, industries themselves temporarily closed underground mines to limit the spread of the virus after cases were confirmed at mine sites. 4
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING Status of project development has an of insolvency and bankruptcy because they impact on the numbers. As highlighted in have less capital cushion and less financial Figure 1, the construction phase is more resilience to weather market disruptions labour-intensive. For example, the 15-day and reduced orders. quarantine in Peru slowed work on Anglo American’s major Quellaveco copper project Many local suppliers are supported by to protect workers, demobilizing at least deliberate or mandated local content 8,000 out of the 10,000 construction policies. However, unless mining companies workers pending safer conditions to restart agree to continue to source goods locally project development. The company did not and have the capacity to stock, a prolonged guarantee the salaries of those workers, as lockdown will undoubtedly pose serious projects were contracted out. threats to the viability of these carefully cultivated upstream linkages. Even when countries have not imposed limitations on mining operations, 2.2 LONGER-TERM IMPLICATIONS restrictions on the movement of people The COVID-19 pandemic will have longer- and supplies defer project development. In term consequences on employment in the Mongolia, Rio Tinto’s Oyu Tolgoi underground large-scale mining sector as a result of the development project expansion is slowed following: due to limitations of access of staff, construction workers, and technical 2.2.1 MINING CAPEX FORECASTS AND CURRENT specialists. INVESTMENTS 2.1.3 IMPACTS ON LOCAL SUPPLIERS AND According to GlobalData, prior to COVID-19, COMMUNITY ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES CAPEX expenditure was projected to increase by 11% in 2020. A number of COVID-19 severely affects the sourcing of projects are now delayed and investments local and global inputs. At the local level, put on hold. The top 20 mining companies slowed economic activities and temporary have announced significant cuts in their business closures considered “non-essential” CAPEX for 2020: Glencore plans to cut cause difficulties for local procurement of CAPEX expenditure plans from USD 5.5 mining goods and services. billion to USD 4 to USD 4.5 billion; Rio In general, governments are adopting a Tinto cut at least USD 1 billion from an pragmatic approach to limit disruptions initial prevision of USD 7 billion; and Anglo in the supply of goods and services to the American revised its CAPEX guidance by mines. In South Africa, Argentina, Brazil, about USD 1 billion. Chile, and Panama, frameworks were Those companies whose CAPEX is in non- established for the continued supply and US currencies may be negatively affected transportation of essential services to the by the rise of the US dollar against most mines. other currencies; some projects may be Jobs and local suppliers’ earnings are shelved until more favourable exchange severely impacted due to the pandemic. rates are once again in play. Deferred Collapse of demand and disruptions in projects will necessarily affect jobs in the production lines from mining companies sector, either through temporary layoffs or temporarily closing, or under care and fewer employment opportunities, including maintenance, will burden economic for temporary construction jobs. activities in local communities. Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) face higher risks 5
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING 2.2.2 STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN EMPLOYMENT provides lower risks of disruptions, lower MODELS transportation costs, shorter delivery times, COVID-19 is highlighting shortcomings in supply stability and resilience, and more the labour market. In Australia, the virus is benefits to the local economy long term. prompting many companies to reduce their FIFO and DIDO workers due to restrictions 2.2.4 DRIVE TOWARD AUTOMATION on travel within the country. This will leave a Mine sites are temporarily closing to prevent permanent mark on the employment model the spread of COVID-19 to employees and with two possible consequences: increased local communities. Mechanized mines with opportunities for local employees or an fewer staff have not slowed their operations accelerated pace of automation of some to the same extent as labour-intensive tasks to reduce future risks. mine sites, as experienced in the automated Pilbara mines in Australia, which have In other countries, closed borders are halting recruited more workers as development the temporary use of cross-border migrant projects continue, and Syama mine in Mali, workers, with direct consequences for those whose production remains uninterrupted workers’ livelihoods and remittances. For despite the crisis. instance, Mozambique and Lesotho are important providers of migrant workers to Mining companies may be considering South African mines, though border closures longer-term solutions to prevent similar and dwindling activities prevent many from risks in the future. One solution is labour- working. This may affect the long-term use saving technologies, such as automation. of migrant workers in South Africa, where While uptake for some automated unemployment rates are high. The pandemic technologies (like self-driving haul trucks may also prompt migrant workers to join and remote operation centres) has been unions and/or negotiate better working slow so far, we may see their use accelerate conditions in future contracts. as companies look to improve productivity and reduce costs. 2.2.3 SECURING LOCAL ACCESS TO CRITICAL SUPPLIES IN A CHANGING GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN The pandemic may accelerate the pace of technological adoption already in the The sudden disruptions in global supply pipeline. However, it is unlikely COVID-19 will chains are exposing mining operations’ be determinant in fast-tracking the move dependency on global sourcing, despite toward full automation8 in the near future. governments’ efforts to improve local This is in part because of the complexity content regulations. The compounding of the industry, the cost of technology,9 effects of national policies to close borders significant differences in the ability to run and factories, delays in inputs and deliveries, robots in various environments, and the and rising costs7 of global sourcing likely aversion of investors to big changes in exacerbate risks of overdependence on operational models, particularly where there these global markets. are such uncertainties about the future. We may also see companies change their That said, some operations deliberately have practice of choosing low-cost suppliers not introduced labour-saving technology overseas to supporting localization of part for fear of backlash from workers and host of their supply chain, particularly critical governments, though those barriers may supplies, if industrial capabilities exist and now be significantly lowered. local businesses can guarantee quality and standards. Though localization can increase costs in the short term, it also 6
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING 3. SHORT-TERM RESPONSES get back to work, with some12 publishing safety guidelines for mines operating during PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENTS, COVID-19. COMPANIES, AND UNIONS Mining companies13 are taking similar Given the limited space for monetary policy measures to prevent the virus spread actions, all countries—developed and across their operations for their workers developing alike—are taking unprecedented and communities. One example is Anglo budgetary measures to insulate, or at least American’s “WeCare” program, which limit, the economic and humanitarian shocks covers its 90,000 employees and full-time of the pandemic through extraordinarily contractors globally during the pandemic. large stimulus packages. Many companies have contributed to National Solidarity Funds14 to back extra- Even if the spending details of most stimulus budgetary efforts of governments. packages remain unclear, the majority contain emergency measures to facilitate Workers’ unions play a particularly important access to health care and bridge public role in calling upon governments and mining health gaps, specific measures to support companies to close mines to protect workers local businesses, in particular SMEs, as well and to guarantee some forms of social as social safety nets in support of the most protection. In South Africa, the Association vulnerable and disadvantaged individuals of Mine Workers and Construction Unions and households. Fiscal support packages in went to court to request adequate health advanced economies10 have laid the ground and safety guidelines and protocols to for recovery. protect mine site employees. 3.1 MINING DECLARED AN “ESSENTIAL 3.3 MEASURES TO PROTECT EMPLOYMENT SERVICE” AND LABOUR INCOME Despite strict economic lockdown policies, This unprecedented economic lockdown many countries have allowed mining will have sweeping consequences for activities to continue. Governments in employment and labour income. Most countries like Canada, Australia,11 South governments are providing temporary Africa, The Philippines, Peru, Brazil, and income support across all sectors, with Colombia have declared mineral exploration, beneficiaries including furloughed workers, processing, and related supply of goods workers forced to work fewer hours, and and services as essential services. These self-employed workers unable to have measures allow workers that are critical for an economic activity during national operations to go back to the mines, under lockdown periods.15 Lower-income mine strict sanitary conditions. They also allow and contractual workers are also eligible for supply chains to start functioning again. those benefits. 3.2 MEASURES TO SECURE THE HEALTH OF Some governments are also taking measures EMPLOYEES AND PREVENT THE SPREAD OF to protect all employees’ rights, such as DISEASE obligations for companies to pay insurance, pension, and health contributions during The pandemic is first and foremost a emergency situations. This is the case in health crisis, with countries increasing their Chile, where the government enacted the health spending budgets. With respect to Employment Protection Law in April 2020 to mining, many governments are establishing protect families' income from loss of work.16 strict rules as a condition for workers to 7
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING Most large mining companies have rolled they have sustained contracts. Normal out corporate plans, setting out immediate payment terms are guaranteed for orders actions to ensure the protection and safety passed prior to national lockdowns. Other of workers, livelihoods in their communities, measures to help with their cashflows and payments of their regular local suppliers. include accelerated payments for outstanding orders and reduced payments Many countries apply a “no work, no pay” terms to support Indigenous communities, principle, meaning companies are not legally like BHP in Australia, or advanced payments obligated to pay their workers during a to local SMEs for orders passed, even before government shutdown. However, in many invoices were due, like Vale in Brazil. In South countries multinational mining companies Africa, companies with enterprise or supplier have agreed to pay the salaries of their development schemes, such as Petra permanent staff, at least during national Diamonds, Anglo American and Exxaro18 are lockdown periods. In Australia, mining providing payment holidays, in particular for companies are providing extended and SMEs, in respect to interest and repayment paid-leave support to their employees and on loans. contractors who required self-isolation or have health vulnerabilities. Similarly, in In Chile, the decision of Codelco to South Africa,17 Anglo American is paying the temporarily suspend its contracts with basic salaries of all of its 45,000 employees, suppliers has prompted contractors to guarantee their housing allowances and negotiate the issuance of guarantee paying the contributions to medical and tickets and replace them with general pension funds during the lockdown period. insurance policies to release liquidity to allow contractors to have credit capacity. 3.4 MEASURES RELEVANT TO LOCAL BHP has established a USD 25 million fund SUPPLIERS to support its own contractors19 and is To prevent massive bankruptcies and taking a significant portion of the cost of its limit challenges faced by local suppliers, contractor companies to sustain the salaries governments and mining industries are of demobilized workers. taking measures to support local businesses and SMEs. Most of those measures are 3.5 FISCAL MEASURES aimed at limiting their financial risks. Many large stimulus packages provide generous cross-cutting temporary measures In Argentina, a government measure such as tax relief and refund, not only to helps mining suppliers collaborate with households but also to companies.20 Chile, contractors to evaluate compensation or for instance, has temporarily suspended the minimize demand disruptions. In Mexico, monthly provisional payments of corporate the Mining-Metallurgical Operation Best income tax21 and postponed VAT payments22 Practice Guide: Health Contingency 2020 for three months to free up liquidity for those SARS-CoV2 (COVID-19) recommends companies. Specific measures are provided SMEs that are part of mining value chains for SMEs through anticipated income tax should be given special consideration and refunds23 and postponement of income tax supported economically. Many government payments. Many countries are taking similar measures, although not specifically targeted measures, and although not mining-specific, at mining suppliers, remain relevant for those some of those measures would also apply meeting the required conditions. to the mining sector. Measures for SMEs are Although many mining companies are also set to benefit suppliers of goods and sending Force Majeure notifications to services to the mining sector, if the latter suppliers, some support those with whom qualify under the limit of sales prescribed. 8
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING Lower global demand and reduced The unprecedented stimulus packages and operations are causing a decline in certain corporate plans are critical to slowing down mineral prices, pushing some companies the socioeconomic hemorrhaging. However to seek temporary relief from their tax necessary, in and of themselves, those obligations. Other parts of the sector (such temporary measures are not sufficient to as gold) are thriving, and governments resolve systemic challenges and prepare should carefully target any tax relief to those the economy and the labour force for future companies that are in serious financial crises. distress. Governments and mining companies must The IGF prepared a guidance on Mining Tax therefore work collaboratively to find durable Policy Responses to COVID-19, with policy solutions to improve the resilience of both recommendations to support impacted the labour market and supply chains. people, protect economies, and what governments should consider when providing 4.1 RELIEF: SHIFTING FROM BLANKET tax relief to the mining sector. MEASURES TO TARGETED SUPPORT Most relief packages provided by 3.6 CORPORATE SOLIDARITY FUNDS governments are general and cross-sectoral. Many mining companies are strengthening To make them effective for the mining sector their community initiatives. In Australia, in the long term, measures must be tailored BHP established an AUD 50 million Vital to respond to the realities of the labour Resources Fund to support local and situation in the sector. They must also be regional health networks and other essential appropriately framed, bearing in mind what community services. The company intends the future of work will look like. For instance: to use the fund post-crisis to complement (i) Any COVID-related short-term government initiatives for training purposes. support given to mining companies, Similar initiatives are reported across many contractors, and suppliers must be mining companies in South Africa, Canada, made conditional upon keeping jobs Namibia, and Botswana. and salaries during the pandemic. (ii) Minimum wages and social protection 4. MOVING FORWARD: WHAT schemes applicable to mine workers OTHER ISSUES SHOULD must be reviewed to ensure non- permanent staffs, such as temporary, GOVERNMENTS AND MINING contractual and migrant workers, are INDUSTRIES BE THINKING OF? also adequately covered. (iii) Workers’ contracts, in particular The COVID-19 pandemic is considered by for non-permanent staff such as many to be a black swan event: a rare and temporary, contractual, and migrant unexpected crisis with unpredictable short- workers, must provide more security term impacts but long-term consequences, during unforeseen circumstances. including on people’s livelihoods and global economies. However, it is not unlikely that (iv) There needs to be a consistent in the future, the mining sector will have to application of minimum standards with face similar recurrent global events, such as regards to health and safety to protect those resulting from rising climate change all workers, across all mining companies, risks or disruptions due to geopolitical within a given jurisdiction. uncertainties. 9
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING (v) It is important to formalize social (iii) Measures need to extend to the local dialogue, including with labour community to prevent any future unions, to ensure oversight on disease contamination from outside. working conditions in such future circumstances. 4.3 RESILIENCE: PREPARING FOR FUTURE BLACK SWAN EVENTS 4.2 RECOVERY: RESUMING USUAL BUSINESS, COVID-19 is fundamentally different from BUT NOT BUSINESS AS USUAL previous crises. While demand for some The recovery of mining, related business minerals decreases as economic activities activities, and workers’ interaction will be slow, for the first time, this falling demand a longer-term process. It will take time for is being matched by significant supply- the industry to ramp up to full production side disruptions. Policy responses must and employment capacity, pending a safer go beyond the urgently needed stimulus health environment for workers domestically and support, aiming to “build back better,” and the global resumption of demand for ensuring the sector emerges from the crisis commodities. more resilient and viable. Besides the uncertainties regarding the pace The current stimulus packages and and time of the global economic recovery, corporate plans provide needed short-term one outcome that seems to emerge from support to lower-income and vulnerable this unprecedented crisis is that while workers but will leave those groups just business will have to resume, it is unlikely as vulnerable, jobless, and poor when the that it will be business as usual. New and measures are removed. Policy responses permanent health and safety protocols will should provide stronger mechanisms to build have to be put in place. For instance: a resilient workforce. (i) Mining companies must redesign Given the catastrophic impacts of workplaces to be more spacious and to COVID-19 on employment, earnings, limit the risk of disease spread. While and livelihoods in the mining sector, it is this is easier to do in offices, those imperative to strengthen the resilience of measures will be more challenging on workers to future such events. Key measures the ground. Mining companies will have include: to invest more in protective equipment and technology and rethink spatial (i) In the short to medium terms, retraining organization at the mine face, with and upskilling workers forced out of possible impacts on the cost of labour the mining labour market due to the and the number of people that can crisis to ensure their transition to work in a given space. other economic sectors. The corporate solidarity funds could be kept after (ii) Governments need to strengthen the the crisis to provide such support regulatory frameworks and ensure to durably invest in the training of consistency in their mine safety communities for future employment, regulations while being more rigorous not only in the mines but also in other on their application and inspections on economic activities, which can be done the ground. in partnership with those economic sectors. 10
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING (ii) Conducting a proper risk analysis of (iii) Rethinking and coordinating local the mining job market (per occupation) content strategies across sectors, to to be able to forecast appropriate possibly re-shore or localize some employment relief support for future types of critical mining procurement such events and to cater for the future with broader applications (e.g., PPE). of employment in the mines, as the (iv) Developing strategic regional value industry adapts to be safer. chains to reduce the exposure risks and (iii) More generally, developing dependency on just a few emerging comprehensive skills strategies to markets. address the vulnerabilities of the labour market and to ensure adequacy of competencies with industrial needs. (iv) Increasing private and public ENDNOTES investments in R&D and innovation to equip local businesses with digital 1 In April 2020, the IMF projected that the global solutions, allowing them to provide economy would contract by 3% in 2020, while the OECD projected a decline of 5% in global GDP. See flexible working environments. IMF. (2020). World economic outlook, April 2020: The (v) Completely rethinking current great lockdown. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/ WEO/Issues/2020/04/14/weo-april-2020; OECD. corporate social responsibility policies (2020). Coronavirus: the world economy at risk. toward impact investment instruments, https://www.oecd.org/economic-outlook/ aimed at creating sustainable 2 Source: ICMM (2016). Role of mining in national businesses for local communities and economies (3rd ed). https://www.icmm.com/romine/ at reducing dependency on mining jobs. index 3 ICMM, 2016. Supply chains have been disrupted around 4 Mining Technology. (2020). Mining operations on the globe and will resume at different scales hold due to Covid-19 drops to 729. https://www. and times, raising the question of the mining-technology.com/comment/mining-operations- resilience of mining supply chains and the hold-covid-19-drops/ importance of securing access to critical 5 S&P Market Intelligence. (2020). COVID-19 impacts to metals prices: Volatility is here to stay - Part 2. supplies for seamless production. This https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/ means: news-insights/research/covid-19-impacts-to- metals-prices-volatility-is-here-to-stay-part-2 (i) Governments providing targeted accompanying support measures to 6 The decision was reviewed to allow underground mines to operate at 50% as from May 1, 2020, subject strengthen the industrial bases and to having COVID-19 health protocols in place. See allow local businesses to capture larger South African Government, Department Of Co- parts of mining procurement markets. Operative Governance And Traditional Affairs. (2020). Disaster Management Act: Regulations: Alert level (ii) Designing sustainable financial 4 during Coronavirus COVID-19 lockdown. https:// instruments on favourable terms for www.gov.za/documents/disaster-management-act- local businesses, such as restructuring regulations-29-apr-2020-0000 funds for enterprise development—not 7 Air Freight prices have skyrocketed as a result of a drop in global air cargo capacity, which is down by only to provide urgent short-term 29% compared to the same period in 2019 according cashflow support, but more importantly to Accenture’s Seabury Global Capacity Report to support the growth of local and the predominating use of available capacity to enterprises. transport personal protective equipment (PPE) and medical supplies. COVID-19 also had a major impact on global shipping markets, due to a combination of factors, including in particular a slump in demand as production in (and exports from) China dropped significantly. See Accenture. (2020). COVID-19: 11
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING Impact on air cargo capacity. https://www.accenture. 18 Exxaro, for instance, has announced funding com/ro-en/insights/travel/coronavirus-air-cargo- of approximately ZAR 73 million from its fund for capacity small enterprises and is willing to consider payment holidays from enterprises with its ESD loans. 8 See International Mining. (2020). Is COVID-19 going to speed up the automation of mining? https:// 19 The company has reduced the number of employees im-mining.com/2020/03/27/is-covid-19-going-to- in its operations from the existing 7,310 to 4,910 and speed-up-the-automation-of-mining/ reduced contractor workers from 21,911 to 11,289 due to the Covid-19 health emergency 9 Technology is not always cost-efficient in some jurisdictions where labour can be procured at lower 20 For a comprehensive overview of fiscal stimulus cost. packages, see the IMF COVID-19 Policy Tracker. 10 See the comprehensive EU response to COVID-19: 21 This measure is relevant for about 700,000 https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press- companies. releases/2020/04/09/report-on-the-comprehensive- 22 VAT payments are postponed for all companies with economic-policy-response-to-the-covid-19- sales below UF 350,000, making it possible to pay in pandemic/ 6 or 12 monthly instalments at a zero real interest rate, 11 In Australia, States and Territories have decision- depending on their size: a measure that provided a making power to make laws for their respective states. buffer for some 240,000 companies. For example, the Government of South Australia 23 SMEs received their refund in April 2020. This will has identified mining and energy sectors as key allow greater liquidity to be delivered to more than industries for ongoing economic activities of the 500,000 SME companies (sales of up to UF 75,000 State. The sector therefore remains operational, on per year) for USD 770 million. the understanding that all measures will be taken to protect workers. 12 See for example South Africa and The Philippines. 13 For a comprehensive overview, see https://www. icmm.com/en-gb/health-and-safety/covid-19 14 The South African Solidarity Fund for instance, has obtained pledges from the country’s wealthiest families and from several mining companies, such as Anglo Gold Ashanti, Anglo American, South 32, African Rainbow Minerals, Exxaro. 15 See the ILO COVID-19 tracker, which provides a ©2020 International Institute for Sustainable Development comprehensive overview of policies implemented by governments, employers’ and workers’ organizations June 2020 by ILO in 188 countries and territories. Written by Isabelle Ramdoo 16 On April 20, 2020, the President announced the creation of an "Emergency Family Income." The For more information about the initiative is expected to reach 1.78 million affected IGF please contact the Secretariat: vulnerable families with informal incomes. 17 In South Africa, the government has established 220 Laurier Avenue West, Suite 1100 Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1P 5Z9 a COVID-19 Temporary Employer-Employee Relief Email: Secretariat@IGFMining.org Scheme, where employers unable to pay salaries due to financial distress can apply. The scheme covers part of the salary and applies to workers earning up to ZAR 17,712 (approximately USD 945) per month, IGFMining.org guaranteeing at least the minimum wage. Mine workers are not eligible because mining companies @IGFMining do not meet the two necessary conditions, that is, “financial distress” and workers’ salaries, what are above the cap set by the scheme. Secretariat hosted by Secretariat funded by
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