THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

Page created by Sharon Hart
 
CONTINUE READING
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

THE IMPACT OF COVID-19
ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING
1. BACKGROUND                                    collapse, creating a perfect storm for a
                                                 looming deflationary economic crisis.
COVID-19 is possibly the most disruptive
global event since the 1929 Great                Mining is an economic bedrock in many
Depression.                                      resource-rich countries, with developed and
                                                 developing nations alike benefiting from
Though it is a health pandemic, COVID-19         its meaningful role in poverty reduction,
has grown into an unprecedented social           inclusive growth, and social development.
and economic global crisis. International        Like other economic sectors, however, the
institutions1 are revising the world’s           mining industry has not been spared from
economic outlook regularly throughout            the negative consequences of COVID-19
the outbreak. Within the first few months,       outbreaks. Tight working conditions at mine
revisions are worsening and are likely           sites are placing workers in the frontline in
to become more severe, depending on              terms of health and safety risks, prompting
the speed and scale at which economic            the industry to quarantine workers when
activities recover.                              national lockdown regulations did not force
                                                 them to do so.
COVID-19 is unleashing multiple economic
shocks. On the supply side, lockdown             This briefing note looks at the impact
measures are disrupting global supply            of the pandemic on employment in the
chains as a result of sudden factory             mining sector and provides an overview of
closures and the temporary suspension            immediate responses taken by governments
of air, maritime, and land transportation,       and mining companies. Acknowledging
among others. On the demand side,                that this crisis is unprecedented—and such
restrictions on the movements of people          events may occur in the future—the paper
and the closure of non-essential economic        suggests additional measures governments
activities have significantly cut down on        and the mining industry, individually or
consumption. These are leading to massive        collectively, could take to strengthen the
capital outflows from emerging markets as        resilience of employment in the sector
investors’ confidence tumbles, exports and       moving forward.
revenues decline, and commodity prices

                                                                                                 1
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

The paper highlights three key issues: Relief    The viability of the mining sector is
packages must look to the long term. To          heavily reliant on stable and predictable
be truly effective, relief packages must be      market conditions and functioning supply
designed strategically to respond to the         chains. Any major disruptions to the global
realities of the labour situation, both now      economy can result in acute uncertainties,
and in the future.                               threatening production and productivity,
                                                 with consequences for workers, suppliers,
New regulatory frameworks and                    and local economies.
investments must be developed. As the
global economy recovers, mining activities       While large-scale mining contributes
will slowly resume, but we will not be           significantly to many developing countries’
able to afford business as usual. New            national incomes, it is not a major direct
and permanent protocols and working              employer due to its capital-intensive nature.
conditions will have to be established, which    According to ICMM2, the mining industry
will require new regulatory frameworks and       directly contributes around 1%–2% of total
investments.                                     employment in a given country.

The mining sector must create resilient          However, two important factors must be
safeguards. The industry needs to build          underscored:
resilience to insulate the labour market and
supply chains against the inevitable repeat      Large-scale mining plays a critical
of similar events.                               economic and social role in remote areas.
                                                 Large-scale mining activities are localized
                                                 in remote areas with underdeveloped or few
2. IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON                        major alternative economic sectors. Mining
EMPLOYMENT IN MINING                             plays a critical role for host communities,
                                                 where it is often the largest—if not the sole—
Up to 305 million full-time workers in all       job creator and provider of vital services,
economic sectors around the globe could          including a variety of social services, such
lose their jobs in the second quarter of         as health care and education.
2020 due to COVID-19. These losses may
disproportionately impact lower-income           Large-scale mining creates more business
countries, given their weaker health             in host countries. Mining activities have
institutions and sanitary conditions, the        significant multiplier effects on the local
number of workers in the informal sector,        and national economy through the creation
migrant workers and/or workers holding           of indirect and induced employment and
precarious jobs elsewhere, and the limited       business opportunities. ICMM3 estimates
fiscal space governments have to mitigate        those opportunities can contribute up to
the impacts of the forthcoming recession.        15% of national income in certain countries.

COVID-19 is exposing the weak points of
global labour markets. Mining companies
of all sizes are radically slowing down
or halting their operations while workers
are forced to stay at home. While new
technologies and Internet connectivity
allows many employees to work remotely,
this option is not available equally to all
economic sectors or companies and does
not apply to all jobs.

                                                                                                2
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

 FIGURE 1. EMPLOYMENT RISK HEATMAP FOR MINING COMPANIES ALONG THE MINING VALUE CHAIN

                                                 Exploration      Construction       Extraction /        Mineral          Closure and
                                                                                      operation        processing       decommissioning

                                                                                       HIGH-            MID-TO              MID-TO
                                                HIGH-TECH         LOW-TECH
          LABOUR INTENSITY                                                            CAPITAL         HIGH-TECH           HIGH-TECH
                                                LOW JOBS          HIGH JOBS
                                                                                      ID-JOB           MID-JOB             LOW JOB
                                                   Risk level per group of workers
  Direct employees
  Highly skilled
 Technical
  Low-skilled
  Contractors
                                                                 Suppliers
  Suppliers of goods
  Service suppliers
                               Risk scenarios that can exacerbate the impact on employment
  Extended lockdown, with negative implications on employment, productivity, and future investment plans
  Stop-go policies due to new waves of virus spread, causing new lockdowns
  Credit crunch facing less resilient mining companies (juniors, mid-sized companies etc.), leading to reduced operations and
  investments
  Local supply chain risks and knock-on effects on jobs, due to bankruptcies of SMEs
  Lower investors’ confidence in the future global economic prospects
  Commodity price slumps* due to uncertainties over global demand and/or supply of raw materials recovery
                                                                        Low          Low - med        Med - high              High

*See S&P Global analysis: https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/research/covid-19-impacts-to-metals-prices-
 volatility-is-here-to-stay-part-1 and https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/research/covid-19-impacts-to-metals-
 prices-volatility-is-here-to-stay-part-2
Source: Author diagram.

 Workers are being temporarily laid off at                              Specific parameters determine the demand
 mines and across supply chains due to                                  for labour. During the production phase,
 mining operations scaling down as national                             the types of operations, the degree of
 lockdown restrictions take effect. The                                 mechanization or automation, the types
 heatmap in Figure 1 shows the variations in                            of minerals being extracted, geological
 labour intensity and employment risks for                              specificities, and other criteria will determine
 different groups of workers across the mine                            the demand for labour.
 life cycle. The key takeaways are:
                                                                        Breadth and depth of local supply chains
 Labour requirements are not the same                                   is crucial. Local procurement creates
 across the mining investment cycle. Demand                             employment spillovers through the
 for labour varies according to the number of                           development of business activities to
 projects and their levels of development. The                          service the mines. Induced employment
 construction phase, for instance, requires                             opportunities are also created in the local
 a larger number of contractual workers                                 community, through satellite economic
 to build mining facilities compared to the                             activities such as hotels, restaurants, shops
 operational phase.                                                     etc. The deeper the linkages, the higher the
                                                                        impact on indirect and induced jobs.

                                                                                                                                           3
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

2.1 IMMEDIATE IMPACTS                            Employment status affects job security
Markets, supply chains, and employment           and salaries. Not all employees have the
are immediately impacted as many                 same status within mining companies. In a
governments impose sudden national               nutshell:
lockdown restrictions to limit the virus           •    Some mine workers are considered
spread.                                                “essential staff” because they perform
                                                        tasks necessary for the functioning
2.1.1 IMPACTS ON MINING ACTIVITIES                      of operations. These workers maintain
Impacts on mining activities vary                       their jobs and salaries.
significantly across countries, depending on       •   Others who are able to work remotely
the following factors:                                 retain their activities and salaries.

National policies enforcing lockdown. Some         •   Workers who do not fall under the
countries have imposed lockdowns whereas               two categories above are temporarily
others consider mining an “essential service,”         demobilized. They are more vulnerable
allowing activities to continue under certain          to income cuts if there are no
conditions.                                            agreements and safeguards in place.
                                                   •   The situation is more complex for
The health situation at the mine sites.                contractual workers, such as fly-in,
Some sites closed operations to limit the              fly-out (FIFO) and drive-in drive-out
spread of the virus among workers and local            (DIDO) workers, and informal or cross-
communities.                                           border migrant workers. Layoffs imply
The commodities at stake. Energy                       the loss of any means of subsistence,
commodities, such as coal, are exempt                  and workers who are already ill-
from national lockdowns. Metals, such                  equipped to face hardship (in the
as zinc, copper, nickel and iron ore,4 are             absence of social safety nets and legal
more severely impacted, seeing price and               protection for their rights) are likely to
production declines as a result of global              be hit the hardest.
industrial collapse. Gold,5 a safe haven         National legislation determines job
during crisis periods, sees its price increase   and salary security in exceptional
as production continues.                         circumstances. Most countries allow
                                                 mining companies to follow the “no work,
2.1.2 IMPACTS ON DIRECT EMPLOYMENT AND
                                                 no pay” principle, meaning demobilized or
SALARIES
                                                 temporarily laid off staff are not entitled
Jobs in underground mining face higher           to remuneration if no tasks are performed.
risks. Underground mines can be a vector         However, as part of the suite of measures
for faster virus spread because activities       to prevent economic hardships, countries
require large groups of workers to descend       are executing payment schemes to support
into the mines in packed elevators.              companies in keeping jobs and paying
                                                 salaries. Some large mining companies
Some countries, like South Africa,6 initially
                                                 guarantee the jobs and salaries of their
ordered all underground mining activities
                                                 permanent staff during lockdown periods,
to be placed on care and maintenance to
                                                 while others are negotiating with unions to
protect workers. In other countries, like
                                                 reduce wages.
Poland, industries themselves temporarily
closed underground mines to limit the
spread of the virus after cases were
confirmed at mine sites.

                                                                                                4
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

Status of project development has an             of insolvency and bankruptcy because they
impact on the numbers. As highlighted in         have less capital cushion and less financial
Figure 1, the construction phase is more         resilience to weather market disruptions
labour-intensive. For example, the 15-day        and reduced orders.
quarantine in Peru slowed work on Anglo
American’s major Quellaveco copper project       Many local suppliers are supported by
to protect workers, demobilizing at least        deliberate or mandated local content
8,000 out of the 10,000 construction             policies. However, unless mining companies
workers pending safer conditions to restart      agree to continue to source goods locally
project development. The company did not         and have the capacity to stock, a prolonged
guarantee the salaries of those workers, as      lockdown will undoubtedly pose serious
projects were contracted out.                    threats to the viability of these carefully
                                                 cultivated upstream linkages.
Even when countries have not imposed
limitations on mining operations,                2.2 LONGER-TERM IMPLICATIONS
restrictions on the movement of people            The COVID-19 pandemic will have longer-
and supplies defer project development. In       term consequences on employment in the
Mongolia, Rio Tinto’s Oyu Tolgoi underground     large-scale mining sector as a result of the
development project expansion is slowed          following:
due to limitations of access of staff,
construction workers, and technical              2.2.1 MINING CAPEX FORECASTS AND CURRENT
specialists.                                     INVESTMENTS

2.1.3 IMPACTS ON LOCAL SUPPLIERS AND             According to GlobalData, prior to COVID-19,
COMMUNITY ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES                    CAPEX expenditure was projected to
                                                 increase by 11% in 2020. A number of
COVID-19 severely affects the sourcing of        projects are now delayed and investments
local and global inputs. At the local level,     put on hold. The top 20 mining companies
slowed economic activities and temporary         have announced significant cuts in their
business closures considered “non-essential”     CAPEX for 2020: Glencore plans to cut
cause difficulties for local procurement of      CAPEX expenditure plans from USD 5.5
mining goods and services.                       billion to USD 4 to USD 4.5 billion; Rio
In general, governments are adopting a           Tinto cut at least USD 1 billion from an
pragmatic approach to limit disruptions          initial prevision of USD 7 billion; and Anglo
in the supply of goods and services to the       American revised its CAPEX guidance by
mines. In South Africa, Argentina, Brazil,       about USD 1 billion.
Chile, and Panama, frameworks were               Those companies whose CAPEX is in non-
established for the continued supply and         US currencies may be negatively affected
transportation of essential services to the      by the rise of the US dollar against most
mines.                                           other currencies; some projects may be
Jobs and local suppliers’ earnings are           shelved until more favourable exchange
severely impacted due to the pandemic.           rates are once again in play. Deferred
Collapse of demand and disruptions in            projects will necessarily affect jobs in the
production lines from mining companies           sector, either through temporary layoffs or
temporarily closing, or under care and           fewer employment opportunities, including
maintenance, will burden economic                for temporary construction jobs.
activities in local communities. Small and
medium enterprises (SMEs) face higher risks

                                                                                                5
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

2.2.2 STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN EMPLOYMENT            provides lower risks of disruptions, lower
MODELS                                            transportation costs, shorter delivery times,
COVID-19 is highlighting shortcomings in          supply stability and resilience, and more
the labour market. In Australia, the virus is     benefits to the local economy long term.
prompting many companies to reduce their
FIFO and DIDO workers due to restrictions         2.2.4 DRIVE TOWARD AUTOMATION
on travel within the country. This will leave a   Mine sites are temporarily closing to prevent
permanent mark on the employment model            the spread of COVID-19 to employees and
with two possible consequences: increased         local communities. Mechanized mines with
opportunities for local employees or an           fewer staff have not slowed their operations
accelerated pace of automation of some            to the same extent as labour-intensive
tasks to reduce future risks.                     mine sites, as experienced in the automated
                                                  Pilbara mines in Australia, which have
In other countries, closed borders are halting
                                                  recruited more workers as development
the temporary use of cross-border migrant
                                                  projects continue, and Syama mine in Mali,
workers, with direct consequences for those
                                                  whose production remains uninterrupted
workers’ livelihoods and remittances. For
                                                  despite the crisis.
instance, Mozambique and Lesotho are
important providers of migrant workers to         Mining companies may be considering
South African mines, though border closures       longer-term solutions to prevent similar
and dwindling activities prevent many from        risks in the future. One solution is labour-
working. This may affect the long-term use        saving technologies, such as automation.
of migrant workers in South Africa, where         While uptake for some automated
unemployment rates are high. The pandemic         technologies (like self-driving haul trucks
may also prompt migrant workers to join           and remote operation centres) has been
unions and/or negotiate better working            slow so far, we may see their use accelerate
conditions in future contracts.                   as companies look to improve productivity
                                                  and reduce costs.
2.2.3 SECURING LOCAL ACCESS TO CRITICAL
SUPPLIES IN A CHANGING GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN        The pandemic may accelerate the pace
                                                  of technological adoption already in the
The sudden disruptions in global supply
                                                  pipeline. However, it is unlikely COVID-19 will
chains are exposing mining operations’
                                                  be determinant in fast-tracking the move
dependency on global sourcing, despite
                                                  toward full automation8 in the near future.
governments’ efforts to improve local
                                                  This is in part because of the complexity
content regulations. The compounding
                                                  of the industry, the cost of technology,9
effects of national policies to close borders
                                                  significant differences in the ability to run
and factories, delays in inputs and deliveries,
                                                  robots in various environments, and the
and rising costs7 of global sourcing
                                                  likely aversion of investors to big changes in
exacerbate risks of overdependence on
                                                  operational models, particularly where there
these global markets.
                                                  are such uncertainties about the future.
We may also see companies change their            That said, some operations deliberately have
practice of choosing low-cost suppliers           not introduced labour-saving technology
overseas to supporting localization of part       for fear of backlash from workers and host
of their supply chain, particularly critical      governments, though those barriers may
supplies, if industrial capabilities exist and    now be significantly lowered.
local businesses can guarantee quality
and standards. Though localization can
increase costs in the short term, it also

                                                                                                  6
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

3. SHORT-TERM RESPONSES                          get back to work, with some12 publishing
                                                 safety guidelines for mines operating during
PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENTS,                         COVID-19.
COMPANIES, AND UNIONS
                                                 Mining companies13 are taking similar
Given the limited space for monetary policy      measures to prevent the virus spread
actions, all countries—developed and             across their operations for their workers
developing alike—are taking unprecedented        and communities. One example is Anglo
budgetary measures to insulate, or at least      American’s “WeCare” program, which
limit, the economic and humanitarian shocks      covers its 90,000 employees and full-time
of the pandemic through extraordinarily          contractors globally during the pandemic.
large stimulus packages.                         Many companies have contributed to
                                                 National Solidarity Funds14 to back extra-
Even if the spending details of most stimulus    budgetary efforts of governments.
packages remain unclear, the majority
contain emergency measures to facilitate         Workers’ unions play a particularly important
access to health care and bridge public          role in calling upon governments and mining
health gaps, specific measures to support        companies to close mines to protect workers
local businesses, in particular SMEs, as well    and to guarantee some forms of social
as social safety nets in support of the most     protection. In South Africa, the Association
vulnerable and disadvantaged individuals         of Mine Workers and Construction Unions
and households. Fiscal support packages in       went to court to request adequate health
advanced economies10 have laid the ground        and safety guidelines and protocols to
for recovery.                                    protect mine site employees.

3.1 MINING DECLARED AN “ESSENTIAL                3.3 MEASURES TO PROTECT EMPLOYMENT
SERVICE”                                         AND LABOUR INCOME
Despite strict economic lockdown policies,       This unprecedented economic lockdown
many countries have allowed mining               will have sweeping consequences for
activities to continue. Governments in           employment and labour income. Most
countries like Canada, Australia,11 South        governments are providing temporary
Africa, The Philippines, Peru, Brazil, and       income support across all sectors, with
Colombia have declared mineral exploration,      beneficiaries including furloughed workers,
processing, and related supply of goods          workers forced to work fewer hours, and
and services as essential services. These        self-employed workers unable to have
measures allow workers that are critical for     an economic activity during national
operations to go back to the mines, under        lockdown periods.15 Lower-income mine
strict sanitary conditions. They also allow      and contractual workers are also eligible for
supply chains to start functioning again.        those benefits.

3.2 MEASURES TO SECURE THE HEALTH OF             Some governments are also taking measures
EMPLOYEES AND PREVENT THE SPREAD OF              to protect all employees’ rights, such as
DISEASE                                          obligations for companies to pay insurance,
                                                 pension, and health contributions during
The pandemic is first and foremost a             emergency situations. This is the case in
health crisis, with countries increasing their   Chile, where the government enacted the
health spending budgets. With respect to         Employment Protection Law in April 2020 to
mining, many governments are establishing        protect families' income from loss of work.16
strict rules as a condition for workers to

                                                                                                 7
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

Most large mining companies have rolled          they have sustained contracts. Normal
out corporate plans, setting out immediate       payment terms are guaranteed for orders
actions to ensure the protection and safety      passed prior to national lockdowns. Other
of workers, livelihoods in their communities,    measures to help with their cashflows
and payments of their regular local suppliers.   include accelerated payments for
                                                 outstanding orders and reduced payments
Many countries apply a “no work, no pay”         terms to support Indigenous communities,
principle, meaning companies are not legally     like BHP in Australia, or advanced payments
obligated to pay their workers during a          to local SMEs for orders passed, even before
government shutdown. However, in many            invoices were due, like Vale in Brazil. In South
countries multinational mining companies         Africa, companies with enterprise or supplier
have agreed to pay the salaries of their         development schemes, such as Petra
permanent staff, at least during national        Diamonds, Anglo American and Exxaro18 are
lockdown periods. In Australia, mining           providing payment holidays, in particular for
companies are providing extended and             SMEs, in respect to interest and repayment
paid-leave support to their employees and        on loans.
contractors who required self-isolation
or have health vulnerabilities. Similarly, in    In Chile, the decision of Codelco to
South Africa,17 Anglo American is paying the     temporarily suspend its contracts with
basic salaries of all of its 45,000 employees,   suppliers has prompted contractors to
guarantee their housing allowances and           negotiate the issuance of guarantee
paying the contributions to medical and          tickets and replace them with general
pension funds during the lockdown period.        insurance policies to release liquidity to
                                                 allow contractors to have credit capacity.
3.4 MEASURES RELEVANT TO LOCAL                   BHP has established a USD 25 million fund
SUPPLIERS                                        to support its own contractors19 and is
To prevent massive bankruptcies and              taking a significant portion of the cost of its
limit challenges faced by local suppliers,       contractor companies to sustain the salaries
governments and mining industries are            of demobilized workers.
taking measures to support local businesses
and SMEs. Most of those measures are             3.5 FISCAL MEASURES
aimed at limiting their financial risks.         Many large stimulus packages provide
                                                 generous cross-cutting temporary measures
In Argentina, a government measure               such as tax relief and refund, not only to
helps mining suppliers collaborate with          households but also to companies.20 Chile,
contractors to evaluate compensation or          for instance, has temporarily suspended the
minimize demand disruptions. In Mexico,          monthly provisional payments of corporate
the Mining-Metallurgical Operation Best          income tax21 and postponed VAT payments22
Practice Guide: Health Contingency 2020          for three months to free up liquidity for those
SARS-CoV2 (COVID-19) recommends                  companies. Specific measures are provided
SMEs that are part of mining value chains        for SMEs through anticipated income tax
should be given special consideration and        refunds23 and postponement of income tax
supported economically. Many government          payments. Many countries are taking similar
measures, although not specifically targeted     measures, and although not mining-specific,
at mining suppliers, remain relevant for those   some of those measures would also apply
meeting the required conditions.                 to the mining sector. Measures for SMEs are
Although many mining companies are               also set to benefit suppliers of goods and
sending Force Majeure notifications to           services to the mining sector, if the latter
suppliers, some support those with whom          qualify under the limit of sales prescribed.

                                                                                                8
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

Lower global demand and reduced                   The unprecedented stimulus packages and
operations are causing a decline in certain       corporate plans are critical to slowing down
mineral prices, pushing some companies            the socioeconomic hemorrhaging. However
to seek temporary relief from their tax           necessary, in and of themselves, those
obligations. Other parts of the sector (such      temporary measures are not sufficient to
as gold) are thriving, and governments            resolve systemic challenges and prepare
should carefully target any tax relief to those   the economy and the labour force for future
companies that are in serious financial           crises.
distress.
                                                  Governments and mining companies must
The IGF prepared a guidance on Mining Tax         therefore work collaboratively to find durable
Policy Responses to COVID-19, with policy         solutions to improve the resilience of both
recommendations to support impacted               the labour market and supply chains.
people, protect economies, and what
governments should consider when providing        4.1 RELIEF: SHIFTING FROM BLANKET
tax relief to the mining sector.                  MEASURES TO TARGETED SUPPORT
                                                  Most relief packages provided by
3.6 CORPORATE SOLIDARITY FUNDS                    governments are general and cross-sectoral.
Many mining companies are strengthening           To make them effective for the mining sector
their community initiatives. In Australia,        in the long term, measures must be tailored
BHP established an AUD 50 million Vital           to respond to the realities of the labour
Resources Fund to support local and               situation in the sector. They must also be
regional health networks and other essential      appropriately framed, bearing in mind what
community services. The company intends           the future of work will look like. For instance:
to use the fund post-crisis to complement          (i)   Any COVID-related short-term
government initiatives for training purposes.            support given to mining companies,
Similar initiatives are reported across many             contractors, and suppliers must be
mining companies in South Africa, Canada,                made conditional upon keeping jobs
Namibia, and Botswana.                                   and salaries during the pandemic.
                                                   (ii) Minimum wages and social protection
4. MOVING FORWARD: WHAT                                 schemes applicable to mine workers
OTHER ISSUES SHOULD                                     must be reviewed to ensure non-
                                                        permanent staffs, such as temporary,
GOVERNMENTS AND MINING                                  contractual and migrant workers, are
INDUSTRIES BE THINKING OF?                              also adequately covered.
                                                   (iii) Workers’ contracts, in particular
The COVID-19 pandemic is considered by
                                                         for non-permanent staff such as
many to be a black swan event: a rare and
                                                         temporary, contractual, and migrant
unexpected crisis with unpredictable short-
                                                         workers, must provide more security
term impacts but long-term consequences,
                                                         during unforeseen circumstances.
including on people’s livelihoods and global
economies. However, it is not unlikely that        (iv) There needs to be a consistent
in the future, the mining sector will have to           application of minimum standards with
face similar recurrent global events, such as           regards to health and safety to protect
those resulting from rising climate change              all workers, across all mining companies,
risks or disruptions due to geopolitical                within a given jurisdiction.
uncertainties.

                                                                                                 9
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

 (v) It is important to formalize social         (iii) Measures need to extend to the local
     dialogue, including with labour                   community to prevent any future
     unions, to ensure oversight on                    disease contamination from outside.
     working conditions in such future
     circumstances.                              4.3 RESILIENCE: PREPARING FOR FUTURE
                                                 BLACK SWAN EVENTS
4.2 RECOVERY: RESUMING USUAL BUSINESS,           COVID-19 is fundamentally different from
BUT NOT BUSINESS AS USUAL                        previous crises. While demand for some
The recovery of mining, related business         minerals decreases as economic activities
activities, and workers’ interaction will be     slow, for the first time, this falling demand
a longer-term process. It will take time for     is being matched by significant supply-
the industry to ramp up to full production       side disruptions. Policy responses must
and employment capacity, pending a safer         go beyond the urgently needed stimulus
health environment for workers domestically      and support, aiming to “build back better,”
and the global resumption of demand for          ensuring the sector emerges from the crisis
commodities.                                     more resilient and viable.

Besides the uncertainties regarding the pace     The current stimulus packages and
and time of the global economic recovery,        corporate plans provide needed short-term
one outcome that seems to emerge from            support to lower-income and vulnerable
this unprecedented crisis is that while          workers but will leave those groups just
business will have to resume, it is unlikely     as vulnerable, jobless, and poor when the
that it will be business as usual. New and       measures are removed. Policy responses
permanent health and safety protocols will       should provide stronger mechanisms to build
have to be put in place. For instance:           a resilient workforce.
 (i)   Mining companies must redesign            Given the catastrophic impacts of
       workplaces to be more spacious and to     COVID-19 on employment, earnings,
       limit the risk of disease spread. While   and livelihoods in the mining sector, it is
       this is easier to do in offices, those    imperative to strengthen the resilience of
       measures will be more challenging on      workers to future such events. Key measures
       the ground. Mining companies will have    include:
       to invest more in protective equipment
       and technology and rethink spatial        (i)   In the short to medium terms, retraining
       organization at the mine face, with             and upskilling workers forced out of
       possible impacts on the cost of labour          the mining labour market due to the
       and the number of people that can               crisis to ensure their transition to
       work in a given space.                          other economic sectors. The corporate
                                                       solidarity funds could be kept after
 (ii) Governments need to strengthen the               the crisis to provide such support
      regulatory frameworks and ensure                 to durably invest in the training of
      consistency in their mine safety                 communities for future employment,
      regulations while being more rigorous            not only in the mines but also in other
      on their application and inspections on          economic activities, which can be done
      the ground.                                      in partnership with those economic
                                                       sectors.

                                                                                                 10
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

(ii) Conducting a proper risk analysis of         (iii) Rethinking and coordinating local
     the mining job market (per occupation)             content strategies across sectors, to
     to be able to forecast appropriate                 possibly re-shore or localize some
     employment relief support for future               types of critical mining procurement
     such events and to cater for the future            with broader applications (e.g., PPE).
     of employment in the mines, as the           (iv) Developing strategic regional value
     industry adapts to be safer.                      chains to reduce the exposure risks and
(iii) More generally, developing                       dependency on just a few emerging
      comprehensive skills strategies to               markets.
      address the vulnerabilities of the labour
      market and to ensure adequacy of
      competencies with industrial needs.
(iv) Increasing private and public                ENDNOTES
     investments in R&D and innovation
     to equip local businesses with digital       1
                                                    In April 2020, the IMF projected that the global
     solutions, allowing them to provide          economy would contract by 3% in 2020, while the
                                                  OECD projected a decline of 5% in global GDP. See
     flexible working environments.               IMF. (2020). World economic outlook, April 2020: The
(v) Completely rethinking current                 great lockdown. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/
                                                  WEO/Issues/2020/04/14/weo-april-2020; OECD.
    corporate social responsibility policies      (2020). Coronavirus: the world economy at risk.
    toward impact investment instruments,         https://www.oecd.org/economic-outlook/
    aimed at creating sustainable                 2
                                                    Source: ICMM (2016). Role of mining in national
    businesses for local communities and          economies (3rd ed). https://www.icmm.com/romine/
    at reducing dependency on mining jobs.        index
                                                  3
                                                      ICMM, 2016.
Supply chains have been disrupted around          4
                                                   Mining Technology. (2020). Mining operations on
the globe and will resume at different scales     hold due to Covid-19 drops to 729. https://www.
and times, raising the question of the            mining-technology.com/comment/mining-operations-
resilience of mining supply chains and the        hold-covid-19-drops/

importance of securing access to critical
                                                  5
                                                    S&P Market Intelligence. (2020). COVID-19 impacts
                                                  to metals prices: Volatility is here to stay - Part 2.
supplies for seamless production. This            https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/
means:                                            news-insights/research/covid-19-impacts-to-
                                                  metals-prices-volatility-is-here-to-stay-part-2
(i)   Governments providing targeted
      accompanying support measures to
                                                  6
                                                    The decision was reviewed to allow underground
                                                  mines to operate at 50% as from May 1, 2020, subject
      strengthen the industrial bases and         to having COVID-19 health protocols in place. See
      allow local businesses to capture larger    South African Government, Department Of Co-
      parts of mining procurement markets.        Operative Governance And Traditional Affairs. (2020).
                                                  Disaster Management Act: Regulations: Alert level
(ii) Designing sustainable financial              4 during Coronavirus COVID-19 lockdown. https://
     instruments on favourable terms for          www.gov.za/documents/disaster-management-act-
     local businesses, such as restructuring      regulations-29-apr-2020-0000

     funds for enterprise development—not
                                                  7
                                                    Air Freight prices have skyrocketed as a result of a
                                                  drop in global air cargo capacity, which is down by
     only to provide urgent short-term            29% compared to the same period in 2019 according
     cashflow support, but more importantly       to Accenture’s Seabury Global Capacity Report
     to support the growth of local               and the predominating use of available capacity to
     enterprises.                                 transport personal protective equipment (PPE) and
                                                  medical supplies. COVID-19 also had a major impact
                                                  on global shipping markets, due to a combination
                                                  of factors, including in particular a slump in demand
                                                  as production in (and exports from) China dropped
                                                  significantly. See Accenture. (2020). COVID-19:

                                                                                                           11
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON EMPLOYMENT IN MINING

Impact on air cargo capacity. https://www.accenture.     18
                                                           Exxaro, for instance, has announced funding
com/ro-en/insights/travel/coronavirus-air-cargo-         of approximately ZAR 73 million from its fund for
capacity                                                 small enterprises and is willing to consider payment
                                                         holidays from enterprises with its ESD loans.
8
 See International Mining. (2020). Is COVID-19
going to speed up the automation of mining? https://     19
                                                           The company has reduced the number of employees
im-mining.com/2020/03/27/is-covid-19-going-to-           in its operations from the existing 7,310 to 4,910 and
speed-up-the-automation-of-mining/                       reduced contractor workers from 21,911 to 11,289 due
                                                         to the Covid-19 health emergency
9
  Technology is not always cost-efficient in some
jurisdictions where labour can be procured at lower      20
                                                           For a comprehensive overview of fiscal stimulus
cost.                                                    packages, see the IMF COVID-19 Policy Tracker.
10
  See the comprehensive EU response to COVID-19:         21
                                                            This measure is relevant for about 700,000
https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-          companies.
releases/2020/04/09/report-on-the-comprehensive-         22
                                                            VAT payments are postponed for all companies with
economic-policy-response-to-the-covid-19-                sales below UF 350,000, making it possible to pay in
pandemic/                                                6 or 12 monthly instalments at a zero real interest rate,
11
   In Australia, States and Territories have decision-   depending on their size: a measure that provided a
making power to make laws for their respective states.   buffer for some 240,000 companies.
For example, the Government of South Australia           23
                                                            SMEs received their refund in April 2020. This will
has identified mining and energy sectors as key          allow greater liquidity to be delivered to more than
industries for ongoing economic activities of the        500,000 SME companies (sales of up to UF 75,000
State. The sector therefore remains operational, on      per year) for USD 770 million.
the understanding that all measures will be taken to
protect workers.
12
     See for example South Africa and The Philippines.
13
  For a comprehensive overview, see https://www.
icmm.com/en-gb/health-and-safety/covid-19
14
  The South African Solidarity Fund for instance,
has obtained pledges from the country’s wealthiest
families and from several mining companies, such
as Anglo Gold Ashanti, Anglo American, South 32,
African Rainbow Minerals, Exxaro.
15
  See the ILO COVID-19 tracker, which provides a         ©2020 International Institute for Sustainable Development
comprehensive overview of policies implemented by
governments, employers’ and workers’ organizations                                                         June 2020
by ILO in 188 countries and territories.                                                  Written by Isabelle Ramdoo

16
  On April 20, 2020, the President announced the
creation of an "Emergency Family Income." The                           For more information about the
initiative is expected to reach 1.78 million affected               IGF please contact the Secretariat:
vulnerable families with informal incomes.
17
   In South Africa, the government has established                             220 Laurier Avenue West, Suite 1100
                                                                                  Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1P 5Z9
 a COVID-19 Temporary Employer-Employee Relief
                                                                                  Email: Secretariat@IGFMining.org
 Scheme, where employers unable to pay salaries due
 to financial distress can apply. The scheme covers
 part of the salary and applies to workers earning up
 to ZAR 17,712 (approximately USD 945) per month,                                           IGFMining.org
 guaranteeing at least the minimum wage. Mine
 workers are not eligible because mining companies
                                                                                            @IGFMining
 do not meet the two necessary conditions, that is,
“financial distress” and workers’ salaries, what are
 above the cap set by the scheme.                                 Secretariat hosted by

                                                                  Secretariat funded by
You can also read