THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby - Dansk ...

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THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby - Dansk ...
THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK
                - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby
THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby - Dansk ...
Table of contents                                                                 Preface

    P. 3     Introduction and primary recommendations                                 Most Danish municipalities can anticipate a decline in population. This
                                                                                      will require adaptation and restructuring. The point of departure for
    P. 10    Scenario 1 ’Letting things slide’                                        this project is that – in order that others may survive - some villages
                                                                                      will have to ’shrink’. In collaboration with seven municipalities, we have
    P. 14    Scenario 2 ’Complete phase-out’                                          focused on villages heading for substantial population decline.
                                                                                      How then, does one actually proceed if one wants to shrink a village?
    P. 18    Scenario 3 ’Thinning out’                                                That is the focal issue of the project New plans for Shrinksby where our
                                                                                      focus has been on the feasibilities available to the municipal planners
    P. 22    Scenario 4 ’Relocation’                                                  as well as on the barriers they are facing in connection with shrinking a
                                                                                      village. In the course of the project, it became apparent that one village
    P. 24    Current possibilities, barriers and proposals                            type is particularly conspicuous. They are roadside villages having
                                                                                      sprung up at the sides of a road. The houses are in close proximity
    P. 33    Appendix: Project method                                                 to each other – and to the road. This village type is facing two major
                                                                                      problems: The one problem is that, considering today’s substantial
                                                                                      supply of properties on the market, houses at the roadside become
    Colophon                                                                          unattractive, as buyers seek amenity value securely removed from noisy
                                                                                      and heavily trafficked roads. Another problem is that the state of decay
    Published by: The Danish Town Planning Institute(Dansk Byplanlaboratorium),       and disrepair of these roadside villages becomes extremely visible to
    January 2014. The Danish Town Planning Institute is a private, independent        passersby and tourists. This is why we chose to centre this paper round
    institution that aims to showcase urban and regional planning in Denmark.         the future of Roadside Denmark.
    The Institute addresses town planners, students, public authorities and intere-   The project was performed by way of a series of network meetings
    sted citizens who wish to know more about town planning.                          held in the autumn of 2013. The participants were planners from the
                                                                                      Danish municipalities of Faaborg-Midtfyn, Hjørring, Lemvig, Lolland,
    The project was funded by the Danish Ministry of Housing, Urban and               Mariagerfjord, Morsø and Vordingborg in collaboration with whom we
    Rural Affairs                                                                     developed four different scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby for
                                                                                      the purposes of creating debate about this significant subject.
    Text, editing and photos: Ny Øhlenschlæger, Ellen Højgaard Jensen and             On behalf of the Danish Town Planning Institute, we would like to
    Christian Broen, the Danish Town Planning Institute                               express our gratitude to the seven municipalities for the time and effort
                                                                                      they put into the project and for their constructive contributions and
    Collages: Marise Fiebig, Gottlieb Paludan Architects                              sparring from the frontline.
                                                                                      Naturally, any statement and observation made in this paper will be at
    Layout: Anne Solitander Bohlbro. the Danish Town Planning Institute               the Danish Town Planning Institute’s own account. Enjoy your reading
                                                                                      and debating.
    The Shrinksby calculator: Peter G. Madsen, Cowi A/S                               		                Director Ellen Højgaard Jensen
                                                                                      		                The Danish Town Planning Institute, January 2014
    English translation: More Than Words
2
THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby - Dansk ...
Introduction and primary recommendations

Introduction                                                   contemplated by state, municipalities and villages with
                                                                                                                             Project participants
                                                               respect to addressing the challenges represented by the       Faaborg-Midtfyn Kommune:
Some villages struggle. Today, they experience declining       roadside villages.                                            Mai-Britt Helle Jensen, Head of Depart-
population figures, and they are up against empty buil-
                                                                                                                             ment,
dings and decay. Nationally, there are several locations                                                                     Trine Hedegaard, Planner
where individual households are actually tied to their         The project’s primary recommendations:                        Hjørring Municipality:
present homes because they find it impossible to sell.                                                                       Helle Lassen, Head of Plan and De-
These days, there is a marked awareness with respect to           •   The challenge of having a considerable number          velopment,
this issue; and, hence, government funds have been ear-               of superfluous and outdated properties in the          Bente Mouritzen, Planner
marked for supporting municipalities in rural and remote              remote areas of the country will not disappear of      Lemvig Kommune:
areas in their effort to tear down empty buildings.                   its own accord. Hence, official Denmark needs          Kirsten Eldon, Head of Plan,
                                                                                                                             Merete Nørby, Town Plan Architect
                                                                      to acknowledge the challenge and recognise the
                                                                                                                             Lolland Municipality:
But a few isolated examples of demolition are                         need for a national effort.                            Camilla Nissen, Project Manager
inadequate. It is necessary for the municipalities to                                                                        Sille Clausen, Project Manager
differentiate and prioritise between the various types            •   In both political and popular debates, we shall        Mariagerfjord Kommune:
of villages in long-term strategic municipal planning.                have to break down psychological barriers to           Allan Hassing, Planner,
The municipalities must plan where schools and other                  enable the discussion of village shrinking and         Rita Mogensen, Planner
municipal services should be located in the future;                   also to break away from the conventional growth        Morsø Municipality:
and, likewise, they must decide which villages should                 paradigm underlying the legislation on urban           Ann-Sophie Øberg, MSc (engineering)
                                                                      renewal as well as planning.                           Helle T. Bertelsen, Planner
be converted from actual urban communities to more                                                                           Vordingborg Kommune:
scattered buildings comprising such amenity values as                                                                        Peter Haugan Vergo, Deputy Head
                                                                  •   Though more funding is needed, economic
may exist                                                                                                                    Rosa Philippine Birckner, Architect
                                                                      considerations should not be allowed to hinder
This project investigates how roadside villages with
                                                                      a discussion about the future of the villages.
declining population figures may be shrunk or phased                                                                         Seminar presentations by
                                                                      Quite surprisingly, a rough estimate has shown
out in the best possible way to all the parties involved. In                                                                 Poul Erik Jørgensen, Deputy Chief Exe-
                                                                      that, for a municipality, the costs involved will be   cutive, Nykredit
this project, we have focused on four themes, namely:
                                                                      almost identical, regardless whether it is a matter    Casper Sørensen, Consultant, Tanke-
Economy, Legislation, Physical Model; plus Communi-
                                                                      of servicing a roadside village with a declining       gang A/S
cation and Process. To a very large extent, the project
                                                                      population for 20 years, or a matter of phasing        Two village-council chairmen living in
is an academic exercise, and this paper is first and                                                                         villages facing the same challenges as
                                                                      out the same roadside village. This estimate does,
foremost intended as a contribution to the debate, but it                                                                    Shrinksby
                                                                      however, presuppose government funding in
also contains a number of relevant factors to be
                                                                      connection with all necessary demolition.

                                                                                                                                                                       3
THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby - Dansk ...
There is a need for political debate about:             There is a need to investigate:

                                                   •   The attitude to the cultural heritage of the ro-    •   How new finance models may be developed for
                                                       adside villages plus a new understanding of the         the purpose of helping home owners who are
                                                       physical and mental cultural heritage. What will        tied to villages on the decline.
                                                       happen if, for instance, the main village road is
                                                       demolished? – Especially since this particular
                                                       road has constituted the backbone of the village
                                                       in its entire history? This is a far more radical   •   The market mechanisms and investments of
                                                       solution than what we anticipated at the outset.        the supply infrastructures supplying e.g. water,
                                                       But, maybe, this is what it will take.                  electricity and sewage to all villages today. What
                                                                                                               is their lifespan? When will they be depreciated?
                                                                                                               And how can the supply infrastructure be sub-
                                                                                                               jected to shrinkage?
                                                   •   The relationship between exploiting and pro-
                                                       tecting the landscape. Also in this respect, new
                                                       mental imagery may be required.

                                                   There is a need to test:

                                                   •   How a municipality can establish a 1:1 demon-
                                                       stration project, shrinking a village through a
                                                       positive process.

    Examples of Danish roadside villages in 2013

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THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby - Dansk ...
The model village as method                               About the model village, Shrinksby

The shrinking and phasing out of villages is a very       Shrinksby is such a roadside village, arisen with a
delicate subject - in political as in public debates;     public road as its centre – a road which, today, is
and it is probably for this reason that, as yet, no mu-   heavily trafficked. This road is flanked by rows of
nicipality has been willing to identify the name or       small, frequently terraced, town houses of which
locality of a village destined for shrinkage.             many are former shops with large windows facing
                                                          the road. They are built on narrow plots and, com-
Anyway, to address this issue in a very tangible          pared with today’s standards, they are relatively        First proposal for Shrinksby, June 2013: The village
manner, we decided to base the project work on a          small houses. The traffic load gives rise to conside-    comprises about 15-20 properties
model village: Shrinksby. The village of Shrinksby is,    rable noise problems in these houses.
at one and the same time, a physical model and a
socio-economic, demographic profile. The village          Around the church, which has been built on a hill,
structure has come about as the result of a dialogue      a few older houses are scattered. They are all with-
with the project participants from the seven muni-        drawn from the road, commanding a fine view. The
cipalities; and, hence, it contains easily recognisable   terrain slopes away from the church, and in the op-
characteristics of villages from all over the country.    posite end of town, a stream runs past the village.
To begin with, we, at the Danish Town Planning In-        Shrinksby also boasts a minor single-family-house
stitute, suggested that Shrinksby should represent        development dating back to the 70s and eight se-
a minor village comprising 15-20 properties. In our       nior homes.                                              Next proposal for Shrinksby, August 2013: The vil-
discussion with the participants, however, it transpi-                                                             lage comprises about 50 properties.
red that, probably, such very small villages will not     Shrinksby has a population of approximately 150 vil-
represent any major challenge. This part is rather        lagers living in approximately 130 residential proper-
played by the somewhat larger villages located im-        ties of which about 20 are empty. The composition
mediately next to a heavily trafficked public road -      of population is a broad mix, although the majority
the ‘roadside villages’.                                  of the villagers generally belong in the relatively

                                                                                                                   Final proposal for Shrinksby, November 2013: The
                                                                                                                   village comprises about 130 properties.

                                                                                                                                                                          5
THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby - Dansk ...
lower-paid income group: There are some welfare          Four scenarios and one calculator
               Provincial Town with                   claimants and even more senior citizens, either re-
               most nearby school,                    ceiving early retirement benefits or old-age pension.    The following pages offer a presentation of four
               care home,                                                                                      highly caricatured scenarios describing the de-
               municipal services, etc                There is a modest local business community in the        velopment of the model village, Shrinksby, over a
                                                      village which, in 2014, comprises a builder, a hair-     20-year period from 2014-34. These scenarios have
                                                      dresser working from home, a so-called backyard          evolved in the course of the project in collaboration
                                                      mechanic and a home office. In addition, the village     between the project participants. They have emer-
                                                      boasts a medieval church, a grain silo plus a village    ged from the dialogue about the physical model as
    Settlement vil-                                   hall which is partly subsidised by annual municipal      ideas on how the municipality may in actual fact
    lage.                                             funding.                                                 handle the shrinkage effort in connection with a
    Village hall                                                                                               village such as Shrinksby. For the purposes of this
                                                      Shrinksby is located 15 km from a smaller provincial     project, we established a calculator that includes
                                                      town providing municipal and private services such       the most essential municipal expenditures involved
                              Shrinksby               as nursery, school, healthcare centre for senior citi-   in both servicing and shrinking Shrinksby over the
                                                      zens, and supermarkets. Further, Shrinksby is neigh-     next 20 years. The point of departure for the cal-
                                                      boured by two smaller villages – each with potential     culation is the surplus expenditure involved in the
                                                      for settlement and tourism.                              municipality’s servicing the Shrinksby population
                                                                                                               as compared with the expenditure involved if the
                                                                                                               villagers were living in the smaller provincial town.
                                                                                                               Calculations were made for each of the four scena-
                Tourism village,                                                                               rios – being:
                petrol station and
                service kiosk

    5 km

                         Tourist attraction

       Shrinksby’s surroundings and neighbour towns

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THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby - Dansk ...
’Letting things slide’                                  ’Thinning out’

The key characteristic of this first scenario is that   The third scenario is characterised by the
Shrinksby is left to its own devices for the next       municipality’s purchase and demolition of
20 years. In this scenario, the municipal service       main-street properties in the worst condition,
expenditure is primarily concerned with the ad-         whereas the best enclaves will be left untouc-
ditional time involved for service staffs to reach      hed. There will be considerable purchase and
Shrinksby from the provincial town 15 km away.          demolition expenditure in connection with the
I.e.: driving hours for e.g. school bus, home care,     properties in poorest condition. This scenario
community nurse and binman. In addition to              will thus mean a gradually declining village
which, there will be expenditures such as housing       population, but there will be continued service
benefits, heating aid, idle-running of empty senior     requirements.
homes, and the maintenance of public roads.
                                                        ’Relocation’
’Complete phase-out’
                                                        The fourth scenario is somewhat similar to the
The second scenario is characterised by the mu-         third, as the municipality will purchase and de-
nicipality’s rehousing of villagers and the purchase    molish a considerable part of the poor proper-
and demolition of every property in Shrinksby           ties. In the relocation scenario, however, this
with the land gradually being sold for agricultural     will take place at a slower pace than is the case
purposes. This scenario is connected with con-          in the thinning-out scenario; and, also, this
siderable one-time expenses for the rehousing           scenario differs from the third, since here plan-
of the villagers plus the purchase and demotion         ning permissions will be granted for moving
of property. However, the municipality’s service        dwellings further away from the road and into
expenditure will decrease concurrently with the         the landscape.
villagers’ move into the provincial town.

                                                                                                            The model village, Shrinksby, in the caring hands
                                                                                                            of the project participants. For the entire duration,
                                                                                                            this physical model has been a useful tool. It has
                                                                                                            changed appearance as the project evolved, thus
                                                                                                            facilitating the concretisation of this complex and
                                                                                                            delicate matter.

                                                                                                                                                                    7
THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby - Dansk ...
Scenario 1 ’Letting things slide’, by 2034

    In this scenario, Shrinksby has been left to its own devices.
    By 2034, 98 of the original 150 villagers are left. The
    population is spread out on approximately 80 properties,
    while about 35 properties stand vacant. The municipality
    has already torn down some of the worst ruins.

8
THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby - Dansk ...
9
THE FUTURE OF ROADSIDE VILLAGES IN DENMARK - four scenarios for the model village of Shrinksby - Dansk ...
Scenario 1

                                                   ’Letting things slide’
                                                   2034: Annie Jensen, Retired hairdresser and former          of course, my own salon. But gradually, the shops
                                                   owner of the salon ’Annie’s Haircut’, aged 75:              closed. In 2014, the last second-hand

                                              ”
                                                                                                                 dealer closed. Only few people moved here – and
                                                   Shrinksby is not what it once was. It makes me sad          certainly not anyone wanting to run a business in
                                           20 14   to see20my1village
                                                                5      in such a dilapidated state… – I 2019 the village. The few young 2021 people coming here       2024
                                                   have, after all, been here my entire life. Many of the      mostly moved into the single-family houses in
                                                   houses stand vacant. Mostly on The Road, where              Mayor Madsen’s Enclosure. But gradually, even
                                                   I live myself, but also in the single-family-house          those houses became hard to sell; and, in the last
                                                   development, Mayor Madsen’s Enclosure. It’s                 years, only few young have moved to Shrinksby.
                                                   difficult to tell which are in the worst state – the        I have, of course, known most of the villagers
                                                   rental properties,   or
                                                              Borgermøde omthose  houses  the heirs can’t      before
                                                                                                          første       they
                                                                                                                 familie     moved
                                                                                                                         flytter fra into a 100
                                                                                                                                            careindbygge
                                                                                                                                                  home. Inrethe  end,
                                                                                                                                                             tilbage    over h
                                                   get rid of,Skrumpe
                                                               and thatlevs
                                                                         are just dilapidating.
                                                                             fremtid            When  the      many   of my   customers
                                                                                                          Skrumpelev og til alment       were   too walking-impaired    oprind
                                                   owner has to move into a care home, the house               to come
                                                                                                          byggeri        into the
                                                                                                                   i Provinsby . salon for their haircut. Then I went
                                                   will be put up for sale at a modest price. The sales        to their places. There was a never-ending hustle
                                                   period may be several years; and, eventually, the           and bustle of home carers and community nurses.
                                                   estate agent cannot be bothered to advertise for            The most poorly received help up to five times a
                                                   buyers any longer.                                          day. But by then, it was not long before they went
                                                                                                               into a care home.
                                                   Fewer shops and more old people                             The houses that are let out are also in real poor
                                                   When I opened my salon, there were shops in many            condition. Most often, they are located right at The
                                                   of the houses facing The Road. We had a grocer,             Road; and there has been no drop in traffic over
                                                   a baker’s, a butcher’s shop and an inn; and then,           the last 20 years. These houses will often be let by

     Physically:                           20 14                                                     2019                                                          2024
     Gaps in the rows of buildings
     Houses are demolished at random
     - as voluntary agreements are
     entered. There are gaps in the rows
     of houses and the village structure
     is gradually crumbling away.

10
Communication/Process: Status quo.
                                                                                                                                                 The municipality provides service for
                                                                                                                                                 Shrinksby as always. Within this scena-
          a family with a whole bunch of children. They have       workshop buildings.                                                           rio, there is thus an absence of process
          many sick days, poor things – not surprising, for         Then there’s the village hall… It also has to be reno-                       and communication from the municipal
          those dwellings                                          vated. Of course the municipal authorities will repair                        authorities. However, this municipal ‘let-
          are unhealthy. Maybe this is why they have learning      the roof in case of falling tiles, and all that. But the                      ting things slide’ attitude may actually be
          difficulties and need extra lessons. Often 2such
                                                        02 9       façade needs rendering. But then again, we20      don’t
                                                                                                                        34                       considered a strategy as well.
          families move overnight; but before long the house       use the village hall much these days. 15-20 years

                                                                                                                                    $
          is taken by a new family who will then stay on for a     back, a good many golden wedding anniversaries
          couple of years.                                         were celebrated there. Nowadays, it’s mainly used in
          The municipality has demolished a few houses,            connection with funerals.
          leaving gaps in the rows of houses. But, after all,
halvdelenthis             levsthan houses with gaping holes in
                is far better
            af Skrumpe                                             Tied hand and foot                                   Sidste hus rives ned.     Allocation of the municipal expendi-
                                                                                                                                                  Scenarie 1 'Lade stå til'
deligt 130the
            ejendom     me  er væk
               roofs. My neighbour    house was in a really poor   I celebrated my golden jubilee at the salon when                               tures over a period of 20 years
                                                                                                          Scenarie 1 'Lade stå til'
          condition; and, therefore, the municipality bought       I turned 65. I closed it and retired when I turned                                                          The municipal service
          it and tore it down. They asked me if I’d be intere-     70. Ever since then, I’ve tried to sell my lovely                                                           expenditure on home-
                                                                                                                                                                              Social og sundhed
                                                                                                                                                                              Skolebus
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Transportudgifter til kørsel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                social og sundhed

          sted in buying the plot, but I’d no interest in being    bungalow. It has a sunroom and full basement, and
                                                                                                                                                                              Kloak og renovation               Skolebus

                                                                                                                                                                               care help and district
                                                                                                                                                                              Vedligeholdelse af offentlig vej
                                                                                                                                                                              Opkøb og nedrivning
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Kloak og renovation

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Vedligehold af vej

          encumbered by additional parcellation tax. Besides,      it’s a commercial property. The initial asking price                                                        nursing, school bus,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Opkøb og nedrivning

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Andet

          I haven’t the strength to mow the lawn. A few years      was DKK 495,000. When the selling period was                                                                driving hours to
          ago, Tim the Chippie shut up his shop. Now, his          close to 1000 days, we diminished the price by 50%                           Social og
                                                                                                                                                Extra     sundhed
                                                                                                                                                       costs  for              Shrinksby
                                                                                                                                                                                Transportudgifterconstitutes
                                                                                                                                                                                                   til kørsel
          workshop is just an ugly ruin, appalling beyond          - and then the estate agents gave up on me. What                             Skolebushours
                                                                                                                                                driving
                                                                                                                                                                                social og sundhed
                                                                                                                                                                               by  far the largest
          words. The roof is falling down – and a danger to        I want most of all is to move into town and closer                           Kloak og renovation
                                                                                                                                                Sewage     and renovation item  Skolebus
                                                                                                                                                                                        – as compared
          the kids who often play there. And, also, asbestos       to my grand-children. But how will I ever get away                           Vedligeholdelsemaintenance
                                                                                                                                                Public-road     af offentlig vej Kloak og renovation
                                                                                                                                                                               with expenditures if the
                                                                                                                                                Opkøb og nedrivning

                                                                                                                        ”
                                                                                                                                                Acquisition   and
          and other toxic substances can be found in the old       from this place?”                                                            demolition
                                                                                                                                                                                Vedligehold af vej
                                                                                                                                                                               inhabitants             had lived in
                                                                                                                                                                                Opkøb og nedrivning
                                                                                                                                                Additional                     the   provincial
                                                                                                                                                                                Andet
                                                                                                                                                                               town       15 km from
                                                                                                                                                                               Shrinksby.

                                                                                                                                     §
      2025                           2 02 8         2 02 9         20 3 1                                         20 3 4

                                                                                                                                                Legislation: Status quo
                                                                                                                                                This scenario will be possible within
                                                                                                                                                the framework of current legislation.
         The last golden anni-          Annie closes her salon         100 inhabitants left in
         versary to be held in the                                     Shrinksby
         village hall

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               11
Scenario 2 ’Complete phase-out’, by 2034

     In this scenario, all Shrinksby’s properties are bought and
     demolished – one by one; and the villagers are rehoused in
     the most nearby provincial town. Gradually, the properties
     are sold for agricultural purposes.

12
13
Scenario 2

                                                      ’Complete phase-out’
                                                      2034: Søren Hansen, aged 57, is a farmer operating         feelings: On the one hand, there were all the
                                                      a production plant, e.g. comprising 1,000 ha of farm       memories; but, on the other hand, the houses really
                                                      land.                                                      were in a bad way and also much affected by the
                                                                                                                 noise from the heavy traffic on The Road. They

                                                 ”
                                                      To demolish the village was a bold move, I think           were years overflowing with angry letters to the
                                                      – but also a necessary one. You cannot operate             editor of the local paper.
                                                      a modern agricultural production in a landscape
                                                      where a village pops up at every turn of the road.         Social effort
                                                                                                                 Subsequently, the municipality put in a social effort,
                                                      Much protesting                                            contacting every citizen and helping them to move
                                                      It was interesting to follow the process from the          on. Many were highly sceptical. But suddenly, the
                                                      sideline. When, back in 2014, the municipality             villagers began to trickle. The government’s special
                                                      published their plans for shrinking and – in the long      pool for the social area, enabled the municipality
                                                      term – entirely phase out the village, it brought          to facilitate removal aid for the most vulnerable
                                                      everyone to the barricades. Public meetings                villagers; and this may, of course, have helped to
                                                      were held, and intense discussions followed. The           speed matters along. Depending on their income,
                                                      municipality appeared, represented by the mayor,           the citizens would receive a rather large sum – as
                                                      politicians, and the entire administration. The            contribution to the rental deposit on a flat with
                                                      atmosphere was absolutely irreconcilable. The              district heating in the provincial town, 15 km away.
                                                      municipality was adamant, however. Especially the          In fact, I think many were relieved – in particular the
                                                      mayor, Henning, was sympathetic towards the villa-         ones living in unsellable houses. Now, they were
                                                      gers, but also realistic. I know – for having grown        offered an opportunity to move on; and also, the
                                                      up myself not far from Shrinksby - I participated in       municipality entered into an agreement with the
                                                      those meetings; and for me there were also mixed           mortgage bank, establishing an instalment plan.

     Physically: Agricultural landscape       20 14          20 15                                     2019                              2021                        2024
     Every house in the village is removed,
     and the land is converted to serve
     agricultural purposes. Only the church
     and areas of natural beauty by the
     stream are left. During this process,
                                                                Meeting of residents                       The first family leaves         100 inhabitants left in     More than
     the demolition of the houses is scat-
                                                                concerning the future                      Shrinksby for a commu-          Shrinksby                   original 13
     tered and random.
                                                                of Shrinksby                               nity flat in the provincial
                                                                                                           town
14
Communication and Process:
                                                                                                                                                 The municipality in the driver’s seat
                                                                                                                                                 The process is controlled by the
                                                                                                                                                 municipality. This requires political
        Many of the other properties were sold to the muni-      been built in the seventies, and were thus well over 50                         unanimity plus extensive collaboration
        cipalities for a token payment, after the mortgage       years.                                                                          across municipality administrations –
        banks had written off the loans in the properties.                                                                                       in particular the social services and the
                                                                 A new landscape                                                                 planning and building administration,
        Then there were the families living in the really        I purchased the properties by degrees. In a few                                 as they will coordinate their efforts
        dilapidated rented housing. Actually, they also stood    months, I take over the last land, when the last                                and allocate many resources to

                                                                                                                                        $
        to gain by the opportunity to move into better           houses have been demolished. The municipality                                   proactive work.
        dwellings in council flats in Community-Support          preferred that I took over the plots as the houses were
        Town. They got improved housing standards; and,          demolished. However, this would not have been to
        as a consequence, their kids were less sick.             my advantage. I bought them when there was 0.5                                  Allocation of the municipal
        In 2018, the entire village was thoroughly photo-        ha collectively. The Road has always been       heavily
                                                                                                            Scenarie 1 'Lade stå til'
                                                                                                                                                 expenditures There are two almost
        graphed, and a book about the history of the village     congested – and still is. But after the town sign was                                                     identical expenditures.
        was published – now we have the memories.                removed, there are no longer any speed restrictions.                                                      The orange represents
        From 2019 and onwards, the project really gained         The mayor tells us how the tourists appreciate the                                                        the municipal service
        momentum. People began to move out, and soon             fine landscape in this area. Today, this can certainly                                                    expenditures on driving
        afterwards the houses were demolished. Each time         be observed from the roadside. The same goes for                                                          hours for homecare help
        you passed through the village, another element          the scenically situated abandoned church: a beautiful                        Social og
                                                                                                                                              Extra     sundhed
                                                                                                                                                     costs  for            andTransportudgifter
                                                                                                                                                                                 district nursingtil kørsel plus
        had been removed.                                        church surrounded by its churchyard. I was, in fact,                         Skolebushours
                                                                                                                                              driving
                                                                                                                                                                              social og sundhed
                                                                                                                                                                           school bus to Shrinksby.
        By 2023 more than half the inhabitants had moved.        approached by the municipality as to whether I’d put                         Kloak og renovation
                                                                                                                                              Sewage     and renovation       Skolebus
                                                                                                                                                                           The yellow represents
        Over the next 5-10 years, the remaining villagers        up land for three windmills here. This will be a fine                        Vedligeholdelsemaintenance
                                                                                                                                              Public-road     af offentlig vej Kloak og renovation
                                                                                                                                                                           expenditures on
                                                                                                                                              Opkøb og nedrivning
                                                                                                                                              Acquisition   and
        slowly, but steadily, followed in their wake. Finally,   location, as there are no dwellings in close proximity.                      demolition
                                                                                                                                                                              Vedligehold af vej
                                                                                                                                                                           rehousing, and on
        the demolition had reached the part of the village       I’m positive. Anyway, it’ll be difficult to turn my new                      Additional
                                                                                                                                                                              Opkøb og nedrivning
                                                                                                                                                                           the purchasing and
        with the single-family houses. Like the rest of the      machine in this area                                                                                         Andet
                                                                                                                                                                           demolition of property.

                                                                                                                              ”
        village, they had gradually been worn out. Many had                                                                                   After 2034, when Shrinksby has been
                                                                                                                                              completely phased out, the municipality

                                                                                                                                        §
                                                                                                                                              will have no expenditures.

                                             2029                                                          20 34
                                                                                                                                               Legislation:
                                                                                                                                               The inviolable right of ownership
                                                                                                                                               Some villagers are moved against their
                                                                                                                                               will; and the municipality is tampering
n half of Shrinksby’s                                                                                          The last house is demolished    with the inviolable right of ownership. To
30 properties have disap-                                                                                                                      phase out the village, it becomes neces-
                                                                                                                                               sary to resort to compulsory acquisition
                                                                                                                                               – an option not available today.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   15
Scenario 3 ’Thinning out’, by 2034

     This scenario presupposes a substantial thinning
     out of the properties at the roadside. There are
     about 50 villagers left; and they live in the 20
     houses left of the single-house neighbourhood
     opposite the church hill. A village green has
     developed parallel to The Road – here a local
     sheep guild keeps sheep.

16
17
Scenario 3

                                                  ’Thinning out’
                                                  2034: Mette Sørensen, 10 Mayor Madsen’s Enclo-            that time, there was a row of houses at the roadside,
                                                  sure, aged 44.                                            but they were small and sad and didn’t

                                              ”

                                                  I really enjoy living in Shrinksby. Here at Mayor         in any way fit in with modern family life. And then
                                                  Madsen’s Enclosure, located some distance from            it was extremely noisy at The Road. When the
                                                  The Road, I’ve wonderful neighbours and a nice            old people died or went into care homes, no one
                                                  garden. They may have removed the town sign,              would by their houses. By then, the houses were
                                                  but all the same it’s still a village. There are lots     so dilapidated that you got the impression that the
                                                  of activities, and we’re a close-knit community.          entire village was empty and ramshackle. But this
                                                  We look after one another and help each other.            was not the case at all, you know.
                                                  When the children were younger, we had ‘fetch-
                                                  and-carry’ schedules; and now some of the senior          A long-term plan
                                                  citizens have established a shopping scheme. I can        Once, some of us put our heads together and
                                                  hardly count all the clubs and associations we’ve         discussed what might be done about it. At that
                                                  set up.                                                   time, a few houses had already been demolished,
                                                  My kids were really taken with the sheep. When            but that was not enough – not by a long shot. We
                                                  they were younger, we practically visited them            held village meetings, and I was elected chairman
                                                  on a daily basis. The green where the sheep are           of the village council. Since I’m a familiar face at
                                                  grazing is Shrinksby’s gathering point. This is           the town hall, the others probably figured that I’d
                                                  where we celebrate midsummer and Christmas;               stand a better chance of finding a sympathetic ear.
                                                  and, if you go for a walk, you always bump into           But, as a matter of fact, this wasn’t at all difficult.
                                                  someone there. Arriving by The Road, you always           Swiftly, Susanne from the planning department had
                                                  know you’re home as soon as you spot the sheep.           organised a workshop meeting where we got the
                                                                                                            opportunity to present our ideas to the politicians.
                                                  When we moved to Shrinksby, the village was               As a matter of fact, the politicians were quite
                                                  bigger than today. At that time, it was already a         cautious to begin with. They weren’t keen on the
     Physically:                                  somewhat quiet village. But my husband grew up            idea of demolishing a large number of houses – and
     Goodbye to ” Roadside Village”               here; and therefore this is where we ended up. At         maybe even set about it a bit heavy-handedly. But
     Shrinksby comprises two house encla-
     ves: A single-house area and, opposite
                                              20 14          20 1 5                               2018                    2020                                        202
     the church standing back from The
     Road, a small group of older houses.
     The many isolated trees planted in
     the empty plots at the roadside lend                                                                                     The first trees are planted at
     character to the village                                                                                                 the sides of The Road
                                                                Initial village-council meeting       A collective plan for the                                         10
                                                                about the future of Shrinksby         development of the village is                                     le
18                                                                                                    adopted by the local council
Communication and Process:
         then again, they never care to step on anyone’s toes –         you can see that it was a really good idea.
                                                                                                                                          How to support the villagers’ initiative
         and, anyway, they only have a 4-year time perspective.          Now all the trees stand in a row – almost as if
                                                                                                                                          and energy?
         The rest of us, who’d be living here for the next 30           they symbolise the houses. It looks really great to
                                                                                                                                          The villagers apply to the municipality
         years, were well aware that a bit more long-term
                                                                                                                                          which is geared to exploit the villagers’
         thinking was required.                                         people passing through the village – like an
                                                                                                                                          energy and innovative power. The
                                                                        avenue, so to speak. You really pay notice to
                                                                                                                                          municipality prioritises the village-
         The outcome was the making of a plan targeted                  Shrinksby – even though the houses have gone.
                                                                                                                                          thinning-out project; and the final
         at the removal of all the houses along The Road. It            The Sheep Guild was started up about the time
                                                                                                                                          outcome of the effort towards a
         seemed to be a very radical thing to do, but when              the houses down by the stream were demolished.
                                                                                                                                          removal of all the roadside houses
         we got used to the idea, it made really good sense.            It was when Hans, who was familiar with organic
                                                                                                                                          evolves into an interaction between
         The places where there was life were precisely in the          farming, moved into one of the houses opposite
                                                                                                                                          villagers and municipal professionals.
         Mayor Madsen’s Enclosure, where we live, and then              the church. So now, sheep are grazing there,

                                                                                                                                      $
         up by the church in some of the older town houses a            and you have a view of the stream – it all looks
         bit removed from the road. The people up there have            so much nicer. The benches and the playground
         always been very active types – artists and such.              came later; and, actually, it has become the gathe-            Allocation of the municipal expendi-
                                                                        ring place of Shrinksby. The land on both sides of             tures over a period of 20 years
         A characteristic village                                       The Road is still owned by the municipality, but we                                             There are two almost
         To begin with, the municipality demolished the senior          are in charge of the maintenance. Scenarie 1 'Lade stå til'                                     identical expenditures.
         housing. Half the buildings were empty, anyway; and            I was sad when the village hall closed. However,                                                The orange represents
         I happen to know that several of the old people were           without any municipal subsidy, it was simply falling                                            the municipal service
         happy about moving into Community-Support Town,                into decay. Instead, many of us use the village                                                 expenditure on driving
         as this brought them closer to both the care-centre            hall in the next village. For instance, I participate                                           hours to Shrinksby
         facilities and activities not available in Shrinksby.          in a reading group and a knitting circle there. As                                              for e.g. home-care
                                                                        a matter of fact, I’ve made friends with a couple             Social og
                                                                                                                                      Extra     sundhed
                                                                                                                                             costs  for                 help      and district
                                                                                                                                                                         Transportudgifter  til kørsel
                                                                                                                                                                         social og sundhed
         When the first houses by The Road went down, it                of girls from over there. Shrinksby is a wonderful            Skolebushours
                                                                                                                                      driving
                                                                                                                                                                        nurses.        The       yellow
                                                                                                                                      Kloak og renovation                Skolebus
         looked really strange. It looked rather gap-toothed.           village – close to nature and room for differences;           Sewage    & refuse recovery
                                                                                                                                                                        indicates         expenditures
                                                                                                                                      Vedligeholdelse
                                                                                                                                      Public          af offentlig vej
                                                                                                                                              road maintenance           Kloak og renovation
         But then somebody came up with the idea to plant a             and the provincial town is only 15 km away. My                Opkøb og nedrivning
                                                                                                                                      Acquistion                        on    rehousing and
                                                                                                                                                                         Vedligehold af vej
         tree for each demolished house. That way, it became            kids went to school here, and there are lots of                                                 the     purchasing and
                                                                                                                                                                         Opkøb og nedrivning
         a festive day where we got together and celebrated             shopping facilities. The houses are not so pricy

                                                                                                                                      §
                                                                                                                                      Additional                        demolition
                                                                                                                                                                         Andet
                                                                                                                                                                                                of property.
         each time a tree was planted. A really nice municipal          here, and therefore we’ve been able to afford
         landscape architect suggested planting them in a row.          a few renovations of our house. I think we’ll

                                                                                                                              ”
         In the beginning, we found this a bit strange, but now         continue to live here for many years to come.                     Legislation: How to facilitate the vil-
                                                                                                                                          lagers’ further progress?
 4            2025          2 02 6           2 02 8                                                                    2 03 4             There is a desire to remove certain
                                                                                                                                          houses, but the compulsory powers
                                                                                                                                          to expropriate and help people to
                                                                                                                                          move on are not in place. Frequently
                                                                                                                                          the residents are elderly people
                 The Sheep                      The last roadside house is
                                                                                                                                          actually wanting to move away but
00 villagers     Guild starts up The play-      demolished.
                                                                                                                                          being unable sell their houses on an
eft in Shrinksby                 ground and the                                                                                           arm’s length basis.
                               benches are                                                                                                                                                                     19
                               inaugurated
Scenario 4 ’Relocation’, by 2034

     This scenario has been targeted towards a
     substantial thinning out among the roadside
     properties. Some of the villagers, having been
     granted permission to move their rights to build
     away from The Road, have built new houses. The
     remainder of the about 50 villagers now live here
     and there in the former village houses; and, in
     total, there are about 20 houses left.

20
21
Scenario 4

                                                       ’Relocation’
                                                       Contractor and recreational wine grower Ole Madsen,            What happened?
                                                       aged 60                                                        In 2013, the village was practically in ruins. There

                                                   ”
                                                                                                                      were many dilapidated small houses at the
                                                       From the first floor, I can see the neighbouring               roadside. They were extremely hard to sell, and
                                                       house. But on the ground floor, I can walk around              the municipality had begun to buy up the most
                                                       just as I please. Every morning, I take my coffee in the       decayed ones for 1 krone. That left scattered sites
                                                       sunroom – enjoying the view. I frequently spot a deer          along the road. Not exactly good advertising for
                                                       or a hare. To me, that’s quality of life.                      life in the village. Then some of the often health-
                                                 2 0 14I’m so pleased that I was allowed to build2 the
                                                                                                   0 1 8house         hazardous
                                                                                                                             2 0 2 0houses 20 2 1 to be2inhabited
                                                                                                                                            began         022         2020
                                                                                                                                                                      by
                                                       of my dreams here on the hill. When I inherited from           socially disadvantaged families with dependent
                                                       my mother, I immediately knew how I’d spend the                children. Now, a kind of bleakness and hopeles-
                                                       money. I’d move away from the roadside, where cars             sness crept in. What could be done?
                                                       constantly rushing by gave me stress. It was no mean           Gradually, the villagers   became few and far
                                                                                                                                            Forsam-
                                                       feat to clear things with the municipality – and I also        between. Yet, therelingshuse
                                                                                                                                              were a great
                                                                                                                                                       t   many villagers
                                                       put in considerable amounts of elbow grease      myself gen with initiative.
                                                                                                     Lovgivnin               Den første People like me who
                                                                                                                                            lukkes            recognisedByskiltet fjern
                                                                                                                                                          Trampe-
                                                                                                     ændres
                                                       – but wow, I’m proud of the resulting 350 wonderful   og   der        udflytnin  g                 all, the villageKommun
                                                                                                                      the qualities of the village. After stierne           is      en ”
                                                                                                     igangsæt
                                                       square metres. When I met Sussi and the kids, they      tes et        finder  sted for
                                                                                                                      excellently located near the provincial
                                                                                                                                                          anlægge   s     op”.
                                                                                                                                                                  town, and    Opkøber
                                                       were sold on the idea of moving out of town.  pilotproje
                                                                                                        Of      kt    in an egne    midler
                                                                                                                             extremely    beautiful landscape. What was   værste ejendo
                                                       course, it takes some time to drive the kids around.           so frustrating was that people simple couldn’t– heriblandt e
                                                       But this is time well spent. I know nothing better than        see this landscape – but just the road with cars    erhvervsbygn
                                                       showing my house to family, friends and colleagues             incessantly whizzing by at high speed. Also, the    ligger ud til ve
                                                       from the town. Then I offer my visitors a glass of my          absence of footpaths meant that one could
                                                       home-grown wine and a little of the goat’s cheese              barely walk the dog or go for a walk with one’s
                                                       that I’m becoming quite adept at making. Of course,            girlfriend – and no one were keen on the main
                                                       they always are a bit envious. Then they ask what it           road.
     Physically: Houses in the landscape
                                                       takes to get a house and life like mine.
     The physical appearance will become
     a bit helter-skelter, since it should be
                                                 2 0 14                         2020             2021              2022            2020                           2025
     assumed that some small properties
     will remain at the roadside. It will be
     a landscape of criss-cross drives and
                                                                                                 The village hall is                                                 The mortgage-ba
     houses scattered around the area for
                                                                                                 closed down                                                         tion properties, an
     the purpose of exploiting the vistas
     of the landscape. This is no longer a          New legislation, a pilot         The first relocation              Foot-
     village with a clearly defined structure.      project is initiated             takes place. Self-financed        paths are      Removal of the town sign. The municipality “c
                                                                                                                       laid out       the worst roadside properties – comprising a
22
The houses move out                                           other houses were frustrated. They couldn’t afford to
         It turned out that several villagers had approached           move out. They interpreted the removal of the town                           Communication and Process:
         and applied to the municipality with respect to building      sign as an omen of gloom and decay. But, gradually,                          The municipality is in control
         new houses away from the road and outside what was            there was a change of mood, and the mortgage bank                            of the situation
         the original boundaries of the village.                       was convinced that there would be a future market                            Several approaches and applications
         A series of public meetings were held; and the municipa-      here.                                                                        made independently to the municipality
         lity initiated a collective plan for the                                                                                                   bear witness to substantial enterprise
         development of the village. In 2018, after prolonged          The good life in the country                                                 among the villagers. Some end up at
         negotiations with the state, the village was selected as a    In 2034, passers-by will never notice that they are                          Building others at Planning, but – as it
         pilot project for exploitation of place-bound resources       actually passing through a village. There is an aban-                        turns out that many of the applicants
         and the relocation of planning permissions. Then things       doned church plus a few houses at the roadside. And                          have the same ideas – the municipality
         began to happen. By 2023 approximately one third of the       you can make a stop and follow the footpath up to the                        gathers all treads and coordinates them
                                                                                                                                                    into collective planning

                                                                                                                                                         $
         roadside houses had been demolished and new imagi-            church or into the landscape and follow the stream. To
         native large houses with views of the unique landscape        passers-by it is obvious that they are driving through a
        2025
         had sprung up. Many of us purchased several of the small 2 0 30
                                                                       landscape where the people who live there2really    0 3 4 care
         plots in order to make room for moving the building site      about the nature. About 20 houses are left – all very                        Allocation of the municipal expendi-
         backwards. This way, more sites with longer drives –          different in appearance.                                                     tures over a period of 20 years
         either railed, bordered by stone fencing, or marked with      The area does not require muchScenarieby way1of    municipal
                                                                                                                        'Lade stå til'                                           There are two almost
         signboards – were established. Around this time, foot-        service. I clear away the snow myself and cut the grass                                                   identical expenditures.
         paths were laid out – to the benefit of both villagers and    at the roadside in the summer. In return, I only wish                                                     The orange represents
nes.     town          ittenon
                 dwellers
             Realkred         begynde   r at outings. The first movers
                                their Sunday                           to bevin
                                                                       Oles        aloneen
                                                                              leftvinder  and not to be governed by much          toohus rives ned.
                                                                                                                              Sidste
                                                                                                                                                                                 the municipal service
”rydder were belåne   udflytnin
                 people          gsejen-
                          like me, with money in the bank or having    strict rules
                                                                       europæis    k pris
                                                                                     and regulations. I like a little bit of elbow                                               expenditure on driving
r de     comedommen        og transfor-
                  into aesubstantial   inheritance; for the mortgage   room; and I don’t have much contact with my neigh-                                                        hours to Shrinksby
 omme banks       weren’t
             mationen       keenfart
                         tager    on lending on the new properties.    bours – mostly with my family, my friends and my work                     Social og
                                                                                                                                                 Extra     sundhed
                                                                                                                                                        driving                   Transportudgifter til kørsel
                                                                                                                                                                                 for
                                                                                                                                                                                  sociale.g.   home care
 en      The road was now beginning take on a somewhat                 colleagues.                                                               Skolebus
                                                                                                                                                 hour   costs
                                                                                                                                                                                        og sundhed
                                                                                                                                                                                 help     and     district
ning, derhelter-skelter appearance - as a row of teeth with gaps       My mail is delivered by drones; and, on a daily basis I                   Kloak og renovation
                                                                                                                                                 Sewage     & refuse recovery     Skolebus

                                                                                                                                                                 af offentlig vej nurses.
                                                                                                                                                 Vedligeholdelsemaintenance
                                                                                                                                                 Public-road                                   The yellow
 ejen    and tooth rot. It was still necessary for the municipality    chat with my grandchildren who live in Copenhagen.
                                                                                                                                                                                  Kloak og renovation
                                                                                                                                                 Opkøb og nedrivning
                                                                                                                                                 Acquisition   and               indicates
                                                                                                                                                                                  Vedligehold af vejexpenditures
         to remove the most dilapidated properties. A few of the       But when they come to visit, they love to take a stroll                   demolition                      on    rehousing             and
                                                                                                                                                                                  Opkøb  og nedrivning
         roadside houses remained, albeit with considerably larger     and help Sussi with the quince jelly. Both Sussi and I still              Additional
                                                                                                                                                                                 the
                                                                                                                                                                                  Andetpurchasing and
         gardens because the owners had been able to buy up            work in town, but after we got the electric cars, this no

                                                                                                                                                          §
                                                                                                                                                                                 demolition of property

                                                                                                                                                ”
         the neighbouring plot. All the while, people in               longer represents a problem to speak of.

                                                                                                                                                                    Legislation: the family silver
                                                               2030                                                                2034                             Today, it would be almost impossible
                                                                                                                                                                    to move the building permits up the
                                                                                                                                                                    hills and away from the main thoroug-
anking sector begins to finance the reloca-                                                                                                                         hfare of the village. This will be seen as
nd the transformation gathers momentum                                                                                                                              a first step towards urban dispersion/
                                                                                                                                                                    sprawl – and a clear boundary
                                                                   Ole’s wine wins Euro-                                               The last house is            between town and country is one of
cleans up”. Acquisition of
                                                                   pean award                                                          demolished                   the fundamental planning issues. We
 non-residential building
                                                                                                                                                                    are touching the family silver here.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   23
Current feasibilities, barriers and proposals
     – for each of the four project themes

     Introduction
     This section comprises the final reporting of the
     inputs with which the project participants and
     introductory speakers have contributed to the
     debates we had in the course of the project under
                                                          $    Economy
                                                               Current possibilities
                                                               It may be feasible to buy up properties that are ripe
                                                               for destruction. A number of municipalities operate
                                                               on the basis of a contingency arrangement enabling
     the heading New Plans for Shrinksby.                      them to keep an eye on foreclosure auctions and
     The section has been structured into four sub-            make bids for such dwellings. This way, a munici-
     sections each addressing the four themes of the           pality will ensure that the dilapidated dwellings are
     project – namely Economy, Legislation, a Physical         demolished whilst, at the same time, preventing slum
     Model, plus Communication and Process. The                landlords from taking possession of such properties.
     feasibilities and barriers currently available for the
     purpose of shrinking villages have been described         Resourceful villages will take care of the problems on
     for each theme. Also, each section discusses one          their own. Villages with economic and social capital
     or more proposals for overcoming barriers. The            may be in charge of the property buy-up, demoli-
     proposals are varied – some are at a general level        tion/renovation of properties, including the resale of
     whereas others operate at a concrete level – and all      such properties – similar to the model known from
     are communicated loyally to the project’s partici-        the village of Vestervig, located in Thisted Municipa-
     pants. The proposals should be seen as a catalogue        lity (see example 1 and proposal 1).
     on which to continue work, politically and admini-
     stratively at both national and municipal levels.         In general, the municipalities value the existence of
     At the same time, it should be stressed that              the subsidy schemes targeted at demolition under
     everyone involved in the project have considered          the Redevelopment Act. Combined with the funds for
     the project to be both complex and multifaceted
     and that no swift or standardised solutions can be         proposal   1
     found. It is rather an issue requiring differentiated
     solutions. In some locations there will be a need for      Institutionalisation of the corporate model
     demolition whereas in other places, other actions
     and efforts will be required. Here, e.g. legislation       What are the advantages of institutionalising the cor-
     is, at times, perceived to be rich in potential and, at    porate model à la Vestervig? Public-private partners-
     other times, to be rigid and constricting.                 hips can frequently be efficient tools towards the rea-
                                                                lisation of urban development. It may also be a means
                                                                towards the purchasing and demolition of properties
                                                                and perhaps towards an actual shrinkage effort.

24
to establish increased dialogue between municipalities
 exampel   1
                                                               and mortgage banks, and this might lead to improved
                                                               credit facilities in the areas prioritised by the municipa-
 About the Vestervig urban-redevelopment effort
                                                                 exampel   2
 The old Danish parish of Vestervig has a population
 of about 700 people. In 2009, the main street in                The Danish mortgage bank Nykredit’s message:
 Vestervig was characterised by properties due for               There are three types of dwellings in the rural and
 demolition. Hence, the civic and trade-guild asso-              remote districts
 ciation (Borger- og Håndværkerforeningen) called a
 meeting to address this problem. The small private              Nykredit operates with three dwelling types in
 limited company, Vestervig Byfornyelsesselskab Aps              remote areas, namely development dwellings,
 (Vestervig Redevelopment Company), was establis-                maintenance dwellings and phasing-out dwellings,
 hed with an initial capital of DKK 200,000 provided             respectively. Which category a given dwelling
 by the villagers – a few had kicked in as much as               belongs in has much to do with the question
 DKK 10,000; but, in general, the individual contri-             whether there is a market for dwellings in this loca-
 butions were less than that. The redevelopment                  lity. With respect to the two first-mentioned types of
 company started out by purchasing properties in                 dwelling – development dwellings and maintenance
 2009; and, with the help of many active Vestervig               dwellings, this is often the case. Hence buyers and
 villagers, a few properties were renovated and re-              owners of these two types of property will be in a
 sold, whereas other properties were bought for de-              position to realise their dwelling dreams by means
 molition purposes. To this date, 16 properties have             of mortgage loans. With respect to the phasing-out
 been demolished. In the course of 2011-12, 23 new               dwellings, the market for such dwellings is typically
 families have moved into the village.                           non-existent; and, hence, the property will be
                                                                 difficult to sell again. This is why Nykredit considers
area renewal, it has now become possible to design a             such properties as consumer goods, which will
cohesive and holistically oriented plan.                         be worn down; and after a period their value will
                                                                 actually be used up. Just like the contents of a sack
There is a need for improved matching of expectati-              of potatoes which will be consumed until the sack
ons betweeen municipality and mortgage bank. The                 is empty. This is something of which buyers purcha-
municipality planners know much about regulation                 sing a dwelling in remote areas should be aware.
and about how the municipality prioritises its inve-             Yet, it will frequently be possible to be granted a
stments, but less about the workings of the housing              mortgage loan – but probably not a non-interest
market. The mortgage banks know much about the                   one and only at 15-year terms. Thus the buyer’s
workings of the housing market, but less about how               finances must be able to tolerate that, after 15 years,
the municipality prioritises its investments. It is feasible     the value of the property will be nil.
                                                                                                                             25
lities (see example 2)
                                                               proposal   3

     Current barriers                                          Everyone should participate in the demolition
     Our scenarios are based on the state subsidising
     half the demolitions with the municipalities paying       The places of growth should contribute to the dem-
     the other half. However, the municipalities have          olition payment in places where there is no growth.
     limited economy for the purchase of the aban-             This could be done by earmarking e.g. a percentage
     doned buildings. And the participating municipalities     of the VAT on property sales to a national demoli-
     all feel bad about saying “send more money”.              tion pool.
      But the fact that this is also a question of economy
     is unavoidable. Regardless whether the muni-             struggling and most burdened financially, should be
     cipalities choose to provide full service for the        required to co-finance the demolition (see proposals
     sparsely populated areas, or whether they choose         2 and 3).
     to demolish, then the reorganisation will always
     mean added costs – for municipality and state,           How can a supply infrastructure be shrunk?
     alike. Historically, it should be considered whether     The cable and piping infrastructures established over
     it might be feasible to allocate funds within a scope    many years by supply companies such as power,
     that would be sufficient to match the costs available    sewage, district-heating and water companies
     for urban renewal in the large Danish cities during      will be very difficult to adapt to a shrinking village.
     the 90s. The problems are equally wide-ranging – if      These infrastructures constitute extensive networks
     not more so. It might also be deliberated whether        established and funded by loans obtained by the
     it is actually fair to demand municipal co-financing.    supply companies in the expectation that they would
     Thus, one of the participants in the project seminar,    be providing supplies to a number of properties
     Nykredit’s Poul Erik Jørgensen, has criticised the       over a considerable number of years. In one of the
     fact that the DKK 2x200m currently set aside for this    participating villages, district heating is supplied by
     effort under the Government’s Growth Plan requires       a district heating company. When the municipality
     municipal co-financing. He brings up the question        buys a property for demolition, this entails a number
     as to why those municipalities that are already          of expenses. The withdrawal cost alone equals DKK
                                                              70,000; and notice of such withdrawal must be given
     proposal   2                                             18 months in advance – the annual connection
                                                              charge is around DKK 8,000. What would be the
     Scrappage scheme for houses                              consequences if a substantial number of properties
                                                              were demolished – would the connection charge for
     A scrappage scheme for houses, similar to the            the remaining properties then be increased?
     scheme existing for cars, might be a solution. Such
     a solution would enable people to move on from           As mentioned, the municipalities value the state’s
     their house before it begins to fall into decay. Think   demolition funds. But frequently, problems may arise
     for instance of the elderly villager who would like to   when a municipality is forced to use the allocated
     move, but needs a minor amount to pay a deposit.         means within a time limit. Then the demolition work
     It might also represent an incentive to the heirs to     becomes more or less random. The short-term funds
     demolish the estate of a deceased person rather
26   than try to sell it.
§
                                                          makes it difficult to facilitate their move to another locality
 proposal   4                                             – and to a better life in another place (see proposal 5).
 More long-term time limits
                                                          Legislation
 More long-term time limits for governmental de-          Four different Danish acts were discussed in the course of
 molition pools will facilitate strategic municipal ap-   the project. They were: The Act on Urban Renewal, The
 plication of the funds.                                  Planning Act, The Social Services Act and the tax legisla-
                                                          tion. The most focus was on The Planning Act and The
constitute an obstacle to a long-term strategic           Act on Urban Renewal – both legislations spring from a
demolition effort (see proposal 4).                       time of nationwide expansion. A key issue on the seminars
                                                          was the need for adjustments of both acts in order to
Larger commercial properties are expensive                establish a better match between legislation and the new
to remove. Further, the tearing down of larger            reality. Planning for nationwide growth should be less
commercial properties which are ripe for destruc-         one-sided. Instead, we should plan towards a differentiated
tion will cost several hundred thousand Danish            development with good living conditions for all citizens. In
kroner; and, hence, such demolition may deplete an        some cases, unrealistic goals aimed at growth may hinder
entire municipal action pool.                             a sustainable development. One solution could be the
                                                          introduction of new measurement methods – for instance
The credit crunch ties owners to unsellable               inspired by OECD’s Better Life Index. With its 11 criteria for
properties. Unsellable houses with unrealistical high     growth and welfare measurement, this index is considered
mortgage loans tie the owners to their houses which       more viable than the conventional growth measurements.
 proposal   5
                                                          Current possibilities
                                                          Current legislation renders it possible to demolish isolated
 Agreements between mortgage banks, municipali-           properties. This may for instance be combined with
 ties and tied-down home-owners                           area renewal as seen in e.g. Vestervig. To villages with a
                                                          ‘healthy’ core, this will be a good strategy. As a point of
 The three parties can enter into agreements where        departure, demolition should take place through voluntary
 the homeowner pays instalments on mortgage               agreements, albeit, with respect to health hazards, the
 loans. That owners repay part of their debts rather      municipalities are entitled to commence demolition. This
 than going into personal bankruptcy is a better          means that they are entitled to require the demolition of
 solution for owners, mortgage banks and the              outright insanitary houses. The guidelines to the Act on
 national economy.                                        Urban Renewal – issued by the Ministry of Housing, Urban
 An alternative would be to establish a national fund     and Rural Affairs – contain much good advice on the appli-
 to finance the rescheduling of the owners’ debts –       cation of the act. The Danish Ministry of the Environment
 maybe in cooperation with the mortgage banks.            has introduced a relaxation of the rural-zone regulations
 At the same time, help should be provided for the        which means that it is now feasible to take special local
 homeowners to facilitate a better life in another        considerations in areas with limited pressure on the area
 place – e.g. via a pool with the funds to pay for the    resources together with declining employment and/or
 actual relocation plus the deposit on a flat.            a drop in the number of households. But this relaxation
                                                          is mainly targeted at the building of new dwellings or an         2
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