The City of Columbus, Ohio Investor Presentation - September 20, 2019

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The City of Columbus, Ohio Investor Presentation - September 20, 2019
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Columbus Investor Presentation v8.pptx

The City of Columbus, Ohio
Investor Presentation
September 20, 2019
The City of Columbus, Ohio Investor Presentation - September 20, 2019
IBDROOT\PROJECTS\IBD-NY\COLUMBUSGO2019\641549_1\03 - Presentations\Investor Presentation\2019 City of
    Columbus Investor Presentation v8.pptx
Disclaimer
   The presentation and the information contained herein shall NOT be deemed to be an undertaking to provide continuing disclosure with respect to
   such information on an annual basis.
   This electronic investor presentation that you are about to view is provided as of September 20, 2019 for a proposed offering of City of Columbus, OH General
   Obligation Bonds, Various Purpose Bonds Series 2019A-D, 2019-1 and 2019-2 (the “Bonds”). This presentation has been prepared for information purposes only
   and for your sole and exclusive use in connection with the proposed transaction. The information contained herein is subject to completion and amendment. Any
   offer or solicitation with respect to the Bonds will be made by means of a preliminary official statement or a final official statement. If you are viewing this investor
   presentation after the date stated above, events may have occurred that have a material adverse effect on the financial information presented and neither the
   issuer nor the underwriter have undertaken any obligation to update this electronic presentation.
   This investor presentation does not constitute a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other financial instrument,
   including the Bonds, or to adopt any investment strategy. You will be responsible for consulting your own advisors and making your own independent investigation
   and appraisal of the risks, benefits, appropriateness and suitability of the proposed transaction and any other transactions contemplated by this presentation and
   neither the issuer nor the underwriter is making any recommendation (personal or otherwise) or giving any investment advice and will have no liability with respect
   thereto.
   Neither the issuer nor the underwriter makes a representation or warranty as to the (i) accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information in this investor
   presentation or (ii) legal, tax, credit or accounting treatment of any purchase of Bonds by you or any other effects such purchase may have on you and your
   affiliates or any other parties to such transactions and their respective affiliates. The information contained herein has been compiled from sources believed to be
   reliable, however neither the issuer nor the underwriter shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) to any person for any loss arising from this
   investor presentation or any information supplied in connection therewith.
    This investor presentation contains “forward-looking” statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. If the risks or uncertainties ever materialize or
   the assumptions prove incorrect, the results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, we caution
   you not to place undue reliance on these statements. All statements other than the statements of historical fact could be deemed forward-looking. All opinions,
   estimates, projections, forecasts and valuations are preliminary, indicative and are subject to change without notice.
   Transactions involving the Bonds may not be suitable for all investors. You should consult with your own advisors as to the suitability of the Bonds for your
   particular circumstances. No assurance can be given that any transaction mentioned herein could in fact be executed. Past performance is not indicative of future
   returns, which will vary. Prospective investors should contact their salesperson at, and execute the transactions through an entity of the underwriter qualified in
   their home jurisdiction unless governing law permits otherwise.
   THE PRINTING, DUPLICATING, DOWNLOADING, SCREEN CAPTURING, ELECTRONIC STORING, RECORDING, PUBLISHING OR DISTRIBUTING OF
   THIS INVESTOR PRESENTATION IN ANY MANNER IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED.
   By viewing this investor presentation you acknowledge that you understand and agree to the provisions of this page.

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The City of Columbus, Ohio Investor Presentation - September 20, 2019
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City of Columbus, General Obligation Bonds, Series 2019
Transaction Summary*
                                    Series 2019A         Series 2019B          Series 2019C          Series 2019D       Series 2019-1        Series 2019-2
        Par Amount*                 $ 259,500,000        $ 17,715,000          $ 13,320,000          $18,875,000        $ 57,085,000        $ 34,290,000
          Tax Status                 Tax-Exempt           Tax-Exempt        Federally Taxable      Federally Taxable   Federally Taxable   Federally Taxable
          Debt Type                 Unlimited GO          Limited GO          Unlimited GO            Limited GO        Unlimited GO          Limited GO
     First Interest Date                                                                   April 1, 2020
     First Principal Date           April 1, 2021        April 1, 2021         April 1, 2021         April 1, 2021       April 1, 2022       April 1, 2021
        Final Maturity              April 1, 2040        April 1, 2035         April 1, 2036         April 1, 2040       April 1, 2033       April 1, 2032
        Call Feature*                                                                  To be Determined
       Denominations                   $5,000               $1,000                $5,000                   $5,000           $5,000              $5,000
            Ratings                                                                      Aaa/AAA/AAA
           Sale Date                                                                   October 2-3, 2019
         Closing Date                                                                   October 16, 2019
       Senior Manager                                                               Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC
    Co-Senior Manager                                                                  BofA Merrill Lynch
        Co-Managers                             Huntington Capital Markets ; PNC Capital Markets LLC; Stifel Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated
                                           280 Securities; Baird; Barclays; Boenning & Scattergood; Fidelity Capital Markets; Fifth Third Securities;
       Selling Group*                     Janney Montgomery Scott; J.P. Morgan; KeyBanc Capital Markets; Loop Capital Markets; Morgan Stanley;
                                                                   Piper Jaffray; Raymond James; UBS Financial Services, Inc.
  *Preliminary, subject to change

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The City of Columbus, Ohio Investor Presentation - September 20, 2019
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Credit Highlights
 •   Large, growing regional economy that includes the State Capital and The Ohio State University
        •   14th largest city in the nation (892,533 - 2018 US Census estimate)
        •   Population has grown 13.4% since 2010
 •   Top employers include large public and non-profit entities as well as corporations
        •   State of Ohio, The Ohio State University, Nationwide Children’s Hospital, OhioHealth and Columbus City Schools
        •   Kroger, JP Morgan Chase, Nationwide and L Brands
 •   History of strong financial results
        •   2.5% Income Tax Levy has 5 year Compounded Annual Growth Rate of 3.7%
                • 75% of income tax revenues designated for general operations
                • 25% of income tax revenues designated for debt service (primarily non-utility type projects)
        •   The General Fund (on a budgetary basis), Special Income Tax Fund and Rainy Day Fund reached the highest level in
            City history in 2018
        •   The City is on track to reach its 2020 goal of $80 million in the Rainy Day Fund
 •   Consistent financial and debt management policies
        •   Governance structure includes Mayor and City Council setting appropriations within revenue estimates provided by
            publicly elected City Auditor
        •   Strong history of voter approval for bonded debt
               • All bond referendums have passed since 1981
        •   G.O. debt secured by property tax levy, but paid from user fees of respective enterprise (e.g. water, sewer, etc) or
            dedicated income tax
        •   Policy requires dedicated income tax receipts provide 1.5x coverage of GO debt service (not paid by user fees)

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Population

    Columbus has grown 58.0% since 1980

                                  Columbus                  Franklin County                     M.S.A.                     Ohio
                   Year         No.       % Change           No.        % Change          No.       % Change         No.        % Change
                1960            471,316           --          682,923              --    754,885              --    9,730,000          --
                1970            540,025        14.6 %         833,249       22.00 %     1,017,847        34.8 %    10,657,432         9.5 %
                1980            564,871         4.6           869,109          4.3      1,088,973            7.0   10,797,419         1.3
                1990            632,910        12.0           964,720         11.0      1,345,450        23.5      10,847,115         0.5
                2000            711,470        12.4         1,068,978         10.8      1,540,157        14.5      11,353,140         4.7
                2010            787,033        10.6         1,163,414          8.8      1,812,148        17.6      11,536,504         1.6
                2018*           892,533        13.4         1,310,300         12.6        N/A            N/A       11,689,442         1.3

  *According to the U.S. Census Bureau’s July 1, 2018 population estimate.

 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census

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Unemployment and Per Capita Income

    Since 2008, Columbus MSA and Franklin County unemployment has
     remained below the state and national rates

                 Average Annual Unemployment Rates* (%)                                                    Estimated Per Capita Income1 ($)
                                2008-2019                                                                            2008-2017

                                                                                      $60,000

                                                                                      $50,000

                                                                                      $40,000

                                                                                      $30,000

                                                                                      $20,000

                                                                                      $10,000

                                                                                          $0
                                                                                                2008    2009       2010    2011      2012   2013    2014   2015   2016      2017

                                                                                                 Franklin County          State of Ohio     United State     Columbus MSA

 Source: Ohio Department of Job and Family Services, Bureau of Labor Market Information, U.S. Department of Commerce, Division of
 Regional Measurement and Bureau of Economic Analysis.
  *Average through July 31, 2019
 1 2009-2016 total personal income and per capita income figure were changed in the 2018 CAFR to reflect revised estimates issued by the

 Bureau of Economic Analysis.

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Largest Employers

   Mix of Public and Non-Profit Institutions as well as diversity of Industry
    Sectors

           Rank                          Firm                                 Number of Employees                       Industry
            1       Ohio State University                                           32,111                   Education
            2       Ohio Health                                                     26,599                   Health care system
            3       Wal-Mart Stores Inc.                                            26,000                   Retail grocery
            4       State of Ohio                                                   24,955                   Government
            5       JPMorgan Chase & Co.                                            18,701                   Banking & financial services
            6       Nationwide                                                      13,455                   Insurance and financial services
            7       Nationwide Children’s Hospital                                  12,023                   Health care system
            8       Kroger Co.                                                      11,206                   Retail grocery
            9       City of Columbus                                                 8,873                   Government
            10      Mount Carmel Health System                                       8,708                   Health care system
            11      Honda North America, Inc.                                        8,300                   Auto Manufacturing
            12      Columbus City Schools                                            7,890                   Education
            13      L Brands Inc.                                                    7,662                   Retail Clothing
            14      Franklin County                                                  7,249                   Government
            15      Huntington Bancshares Inc.                                       5,983                   Banking & financial services

  Source: POS, A-13. Columbus Business First. Data as of July 2018.

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Downtown Development
  Downtown has seen nearly $2.5 billion in public and
   private investment over the last decade
        •   Includes the Arena District, a 75-acre mixed use
            development of class A office space, retail, food
            and entertainment
        •   Following the success of the Arena District, plans
            are underway for a proposed $240 million multi-
            purpose sports, entertainment, cultural and
            recreational destination that includes a new
            20,000 seat stadium serving as the new home of
            the Columbus Crew of Major League Soccer
        •   Other major projects include the Scioto Mile and
            RiverSouth District
  In 2018, seven new residential buildings opened
   downtown, bringing 594 additional units and a total
   of 6,678 units since 2002
        •   The number of residents living downtown has
            grown from 3,619 in 2002 to 9,000 at the close of
            2018

 Source: POS, A-9.

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General Fund Statement of Revenues – Budget Basis

     Income tax revenues account for 76.9% of City’s total revenues, on
      average, since 2014

                     Revenues ($000)                 2014                 2015                 2016           2017         2018
                 Income Taxes                         $ 578,645            $ 602,241            $ 629,935      $ 656,889    $ 668,685
                 Property Taxes                          44,214               43,204               44,415         45,429       51,599
                 Investment Income                        3,996                6,160                7,701          9,516       13,275
                 Licenses and Permits                    11,607               13,010               12,465         11,601       11,930
                 Shared Revenues                         29,412               29,659               28,246         27,620       28,172
                 Charges for Services                    60,595               63,388               61,858         65,170       65,690
                 Fines and Forfeits                      18,984               18,906               18,930         18,650       18,479
                 Kilowatt Tax                             1,579                3,200                3,132          2,916        3,320
                 Miscellaneous                            7,315                1,725                2,082         14,975       16,182
                 Total                                $ 756,347            $ 781,493            $ 808,764      $ 852,766    $ 877,332

  Source: POS, page A-32

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Increasing Fund Balance & Reserves

    2018 continued a trend of increasing fund balances and reserves
    The General Fund (on a budgetary basis) and Special Income Tax
     Fund realized their highest balances in the City’s history

             Balances ($000)                              GAAP                        Budgetary Basis      POS Reference

   General Fund                                        $ 144,539                          $ 130,427          A-34, A-32

   Special Income Tax Fund                               217,378                             191,542       C-30/32, A-33

   Total                                               $ 361,917                          $ 321,969

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Rainy Day Fund – “Economic Stabilization Subfund”

   The City has already met its legislative goal of a $75 million balance in 2018
    and is on track to meet its goal of $80 million by 2020
   The 2018 year-end balance was the highest year-end balance in the City’s
    history
                                                         Rainy Day Fund Balance (in millions)

                               $90.000
                                                                                                                                         $79.042
                               $80.000                                                                                     $73.946 $76.180
                                                                                                                 $69.522
                               $70.000                                                                 $66.741
                                                                                             $64.075
                               $60.000                                             $56.145

                               $50.000
                                                                         $39.805
                               $40.000
                                                               $32.897
                               $30.000
                                                     $22.724
                               $20.000 $15.000

                               $10.000

                                    $-

  Source: 2018 CAFR, p. 38

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2019 Bond Issue

     The City intends to go to market in October 2019 with $309,410,000 in
      new money bonds to support projects within the City’s 2019 capital
      improvement budget.
     Projects to be financed include:
                                      Purpose                Amount         Debt Type               Debt Service source
                           Sanitary Sewer Enterprise     $   77,400,000        U                          User Fees
                           Water Enterprise                  72,200,000        U                          User Fees
                           Transportation                    54,220,000        U                         Income Tax
                           Recreation & Parks                24,370,000        U                         Income Tax
                           Public Safety & Health            23,150,000        U                         Income Tax
                           Construction Management           20,580,000         L                        Income Tax
                           Storm Sewer Enterprise            11,400,000        U                          User Fees
                           Development                        4,875,000         L                        Income Tax
                           Information Services               6,135,000         L          Internal Service Fees and Income Tax
                           Refuse Collection                  5,080,000        U                         Income Tax
                           General Government                 5,000,000         L                        Income Tax
                           Electricity Enterprise             5,000,000            U                     User Fees
                                                         $ 309,410,000

  Note: None of the City’s bonds and notes are serviced by property tax.

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Security for the Bonds
   Security:
        – Series 2019A/C/1: voted general obligation debt of the City (the requirement that the City levy
          ad valorem property taxes outside the limitations imposed by Ohio law, which taxes are
          unlimited as to rate and amount)

        – Series 2019B/D/2: unvoted general obligation debt of the City (the City’s ability to levy an ad
          valorem tax on real and personal property in the City subject to ad valorem taxation within the
          limitations imposed by Ohio law)

   Source of Payment:
        – For a portion of the Bonds being issued for purposes of the water system, sanitary sewer
          system, and storm sewer system, debt service will be paid from net revenues produced by
          operations of the specific enterprise system

        – For a portion of the Bonds being issued for purposes of the electric system, debt service will
          be paid from both enterprise revenues from the electric system and income tax revenues

        – For the remainder of the Bonds, debt service will be paid from a portion of the City’s income
          tax revenues

        – The City has not levied an ad valorem tax for the purpose of paying debt service in over 60
          years

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Series 2019 Amortization*

   Aggregate Par Amount:
                                                                      Maturity    Series 2019A     Series 2019B   Series 2019C   Series 2019D   Series 2019-1   Series 2019-2
                                                                       (4/1)                                       (Federally     (Federally     (Federally      (Federally
                                                                                                                    Taxable)       Taxable)       Taxable)        Taxable)
    $400,785,000*
                                                                        2021          13,300,000     1,745,000        875,000      1,285,000                      1,305,000

   Sale Date: October 2-3, 2019                                        2022          13,295,000     1,740,000        875,000      1,285,000        220,000       3,175,000
                                                                        2023          13,285,000     1,740,000        875,000      1,285,000        225,000       4,445,000

   Delivery Date: October 16, 2019                                     2024          13,285,000     1,740,000        875,000      1,285,000      1,790,000       4,205,000
                                                                        2025          13,285,000     1,740,000        870,000      1,280,000      1,860,000       5,740,000

   Interest Payment Dates:                                             2026          12,265,000     1,735,000        870,000      1,275,000                      3,710,000

    Semiannually each April 1 and                                       2027          12,270,000     1,735,000        870,000      1,275,000                      3,080,000
                                                                        2028          46,495,000     1,005,000        870,000      1,135,000                      2,775,000
    October 1, commencing on April 1,
                                                                        2029          12,270,000     1,005,000        865,000      1,135,000      1,615,000       3,710,000
    2020                                                                2030          12,265,000     1,005,000        865,000      1,135,000     12,975,000         735,000

   Denominations: $5,000 except for                                    2031          12,260,000       505,000        860,000        650,000     12,905,000         715,000
                                                                        2032          12,260,000       505,000        860,000        650,000     12,825,000         695,000
    the Series 2019B which will be                                      2033          12,255,000       505,000        860,000        650,000     12,670,000
    issued in $1,000 denominations                                      2034          12,260,000       505,000        860,000        650,000
                                                                        2035          12,255,000       505,000        860,000        650,000
   Bond Ratings: Aaa/AAA/AAA                                           2036          10,845,000                      310,000        650,000

   Optional Redemption: To be
                                                                        2037           6,340,000                                     650,000
                                                                        2038           6,340,000                                     650,000
    determined*                                                         2039           6,335,000                                     650,000
                                                                        2040           6,335,000                                     650,000
  *Preliminary, subject to change                                       Total    $ 259,500,000     $ 17,715,000   $ 13,320,000   $ 18,875,000   $ 57,085,000    $ 34,290,000

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Timeline*
                                         September                                                                   October
             S           M          T       W        T         F          S              S         M           T       W       T     F        S

             1           2          3        4       5         6          7             29         30          1        2      3     4        5

             8           9          10      11       12        13        14              6         7           8        9      10   11        12

            15          16          17      18       19        20        21             13         14          15      16      17   18        19

            22          23          24      25       26        27        28             20         21          22      23      24   25        26

            29          30          1        2       3         4          5             27         28          29      30      31    1        2

                              Holiday                      Post POS & Launch Campaign                      Pricing                  Closing

                         Item                               Date                   Goldman Sachs Underwriting Contacts:
       Bond Ordinance Approved by the
       City Council
                                                         September 9                Bill Daley, Managing Director
       Ratings Received                               September 16                   William.daley@gs.com
       Distribute POS                                 September 18                   312-655-5175
       Distribute Roadshow                            September 20
       Retail Order Period                              October 2                   Mark Somers, Vice President
       Institutional Pricing                            October 3                    Mark.somers@gs.com
       Closing                                         October 16                    212-357-7252
  *Preliminary, subject to change

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