The Boston Regional Challenge - Examining the Costs and Impacts of Housing and Transportation on Area Residents, their Neighborhoods, and the ...
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The Boston Regional Challenge Examining the Costs and Impacts of Housing and Transportation on Area Residents, their Neighborhoods, and the Environment. Terwilliger Center for Workforce Housing
The Boston Regional Challenge Examining the Costs and Impacts of Housing and Transportation on Area Residents, their Neighborhoods, and the Environment. Terwilliger Center for Workforce Housing
National Advisory Board J. Ronald Terwilliger, Chairman Steve Preston Chairman Emeritus, Trammell Crow Residential President, OAKLEAF Waste Management; Former Secretary, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Carin Barth President, LB Capital, Inc. Jonathan Reckford CEO, Habitat for Humanity International Tom Bozzuto CEO, The Bozzuto Group Nic Retsinas Director, Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University Henry Cisneros Executive Chairman, CityView; Rick Rosan Former Secretary, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development President, ULI Foundation Bart Harvey Ronnie Rosenfeld Former Chairman, Enterprise Community Partners Former Chairman, Federal Housing Finance Board Bruce Katz Alan Wiener Vice President and Director, Managing Director, Wells Fargo Multifamily Capital Brookings Institute, Metropolitan Policy Program Patrick Phillips, Ex-Officio Rick Lazio CEO, Urban Land Institute Managing Director of Global Real Estate and Infrastructure, JP Morgan Asset Management Pam Patenaude Executive Vice President and Executive Director, Mel Martinez ULI Terwilliger Center for Workforce Housing Partner, DLA Piper; Former U.S. Senator; Former Secretary, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Copyright 2010 by Urban Land Institute 1025 Thomas Jefferson Street, NW Suite 500 West, Washington, DC 20007-5201 Terwilliger Center for Workforce Housing ii n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
About the Urban Land Institute The Urban Land Institute is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit research and education organization supported by its members. Founded in 1936, the Institute now has more than 30,000 members worldwide representing the entire spectrum of land use and real estate development disciplines, working in private enterprise and public service. As the preeminent, multidisciplinary real estate forum, ULI facilitates the open exchange of ideas, information, and experience among local, national, and international industry leaders and policy makers dedicated to creating better places. The mission of the Urban Land Institute is to provide leadership in the responsible use of land and in creating and sustaining thriving communities worldwide. Members regard ULI as a trusted idea place where leaders come to grow professionally and personally through sharing, mentoring, and problem solving. With pride, ULI members commit to the best in land use policy and practice. About the ULI Terwilliger Center for Workforce Housing The ULI Terwilliger Center for Workforce Housing was established by J. Ronald Terwilliger, chairman emeritus of Trammell Crow Residential, to expand housing opportunities for working families. The mission of the center is to serve as a catalyst in increasing the availability of workforce housing in high-cost communities by harnessing the power of the private sector. The center supports the development of mixed-income communities close to employment centers and transportation hubs. Through a multifaceted approach, the center facilitates research, advocates for public policy change, publishes best prac- tices, convenes housing experts, and works to eliminate regulatory barriers to the production of workforce housing. Acknowledgments This report was prepared by the Center for Housing Policy and the ULI Terwilliger Center for Workforce Housing, based on research conducted by the Center for Neighborhood Technology. Through the generous support of ULI Trustee James J. Curtis III, the ULI Terwilliger Center for Workforce Housing is working with the ULI Curtis Regional Infrastructure Initiative to examine how the intersection of land use, housing, and transportation can foster the creation of sustainable communities. www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n iii
“When it comes to development—housing, transportation, energy efficiency—these things aren’t mutually exclusive; they go hand in hand. And that means making sure that affordable housing exists in close proximity to jobs and transportation. That means encouraging shorter travel times and lower travel costs. It means safer, greener, more livable communities.” —President Barack Obama, July 13, 2009
Executive Summary This report analyzes the combined costs of housing and transpor- order to reduce their housing costs. Long and frequent trips in an tation for neighborhoods, cities, and towns throughout a Boston automobile—whether back and forth to work or school, for every- regional study area that extends south to Providence, Rhode day errands, or for entertainment—can stress a working family’s Island; west to Worcester, Massachusetts; and northeast to Dover, budget, can cause countless hours to be wasted behind the wheel, New Hampshire. Our analysis finds that the typical household in and can take a serious environmental toll on the region. As this the study area spends upwards of $22,000 annually on housing, report shows, areas that are characterized by good access to pub- which represents roughly 35 percent of the median household in- lic transit, jobs, and nearby amenities not only have the potential to come ($68,036). With transportation costs for the typical household keep combined housing and transportation costs in check, but they reaching nearly $12,000 annually, the combined costs of housing also can lower greenhouse gas emissions and provide for a more and transportation environmentally sustainable account for roughly Housing + Transportation Costs in the Boston Area future. 54 percent of the typi- Leaders in the Boston area cal household’s income. Average Annual Average Annual Average Annual Housing have long recognized that to Similar studies conducted Housing Costs Transportation Costs + Transportation Costs maintain and grow the regional + = for the San Francisco $22,373 $11,927 $34,300 economy, households on all Bay Area and the Wash- rungs of the income ladder ington, D.C., region have % of Income % of Income % of Income must be able to find afford- found average housing 35% 19% 54% able housing options.ii Without and transportation cost such opportunities, the labor burdens of 59 percent and 47 percent, respectively. i pool needed to power the economy may have no choice but to Housing costs in the Boston area are much higher than national look for work in other metropolitan areas where housing is less averages and exceed costs in many of the largest metropolitan expensive. But affordable housing by itself is not sufficient if its areas in the country. Average housing costs for owners and rent- location requires families to experience long, frequent, and expen- ers are highest in many of the cities and towns inside Route 128, sive car trips. A focus on the combined burdens of housing and including the city of Boston, and between Route 128 and Interstate transportation costs highlights the importance of strategies such 495 (I-495) in communities typically referred to as MetroWest. as building mixed-income housing near public transit and job cen- Housing prices outside of these high-cost communities are ters and zoning for a mix of uses to reduce the need to drive long indeed lower, but transportation costs are often higher, reduc- distances to meet basic needs. Such strategies help keep costs ing and sometimes even eliminating the savings made possible low for working families, strengthen the economy, and lower the by lower housing prices. This appears to be particularly true for carbon emissions of current and future generations. individual households that choose to move farther from work in www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n 1
Report Roadmap Boston-Area Subregions This report emphasizes the importance of including transportation costs in This report analyzes the combined costs of housing any discussion of housing affordability. Why? Because when a family is look- and transportation for the 2.7 million households that ing for a home or neighborhood that it can afford, housing costs are stated live in cities and towns throughout the Boston study clearly on the rental agreement or loan documents, but no such accounting area.iv Because the Boston regional economy extends exists for transportation costs—even though transportation is the typical well beyond the Massachusetts state line, the study household’s second-largest expenditure. This information is also important to area includes most of Rhode Island, southeasternmost policy makers and elected officials as they assess where future investments New Hampshire, and parts of Connecticut and southern in workforce housing and public transportation improvements should be Maine. In total, the study area for this report comprises directed. By making the combined costs of housing and transportation more transparent, this report and the accompanying online cost calculatoriii provide Table 1 ] The Study Area, Organized into 18 Subregions useful information to policy makers and households alike. Total This report is organized as follows: whether or not they are affordable is Subregion Households Largest Cities and Towns also a function of the incomes of the Route 128 456,596 Cambridge, Quincy n Pages 4 through 7 show the costs households paying them. Providence (RI-MA) 398,713 Providence, Warwick for housing and transportation in differ- City of Boston 231,988 Boston ent parts of the study area. This section n Page 14 illustrates how housing and Central MA (MA-CT) 201,617 Worcester, Shrewsbury shows where housing and transpor- transportation costs factor into the bud- South MetroWest 167,670 Natick, Norwood tation costs are highest and lowest get of a working family and page 15 North Shore & Suburbs 143,965 Peabody, Salem and explains why transportation costs discusses the environmental impacts South Coast (MA-RI) 134,654 New Bedford, Fall River vary from place to place. of the study findings. South Shore 123,391 Weymouth, Plymouth n Pages 9 through 11 show the n Pages 16 and 17 focus on neighbor- Merrimack Valley 118,282 Lawrence, Haverhill combined costs of housing and trans- hoods and specific cities and towns North MetroWest 102,594 Framingham, Marlborough portation in each of 18 subregions, where combined costs represent an Lowell 100,465 Lowell, Billerica documenting the substantial variation extreme housing and transportation cost Manchester (NH) 96,255 Manchester, Derry within the larger study area. burden. Where housing and transpor- Portsmouth (NH-ME) 88,311 Salem, Portsmouth tation combine to consume a dispro- North-Central MA 79,888 Leominster, Fitchburg n Pages 10 and 11 also show the portionate share of income, little is left Nashua (NH) 78,383 Nashua, Merrimack combined costs of housing and trans- over for other essentials. Brockton 76,101 Brockton, Bridgewater portation for each subregion as a per- Taunton 56,183 Taunton, Mansfield centage of income, a theme extended n The report concludes with a brief Dover (NH-ME) 51,371 Dover, Rochester in the maps on pages 12 and 13. discussion of the policy implications of Note: Unless otherwise indicated, subregions are Absolute costs are important, but the study findings. located entirely within Massachusetts. Source: Center for Neighborhood Technology. 2 n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
ME ME 323 cities and towns. In order to present the housing Dover and cost data in a meaningful way, 95 this report divides the cities and towns in the study area into 18 sub- regions developed with the input of Manchester housing and transportation experts NH NH in the Boston area (see the map Portsmouth and Table 1 for descriptions). The 93 1 remainder of the report uses this Nashua framework to describe and discuss 3 Merrimack Valley the combined costs of housing and 495 95 www.bostonregionalchallenge. transportation in the study area. Al- MA MA Lowell org though these subregions represent n North-Central MA 93 North Shore & Suburbs the most efficient way to present the 2 data, the reader should bear in mind Route 128 that costs and incomes do vary from 190 North MetroWest 128 town to town, and data for the larg- 290 City of Boston est cities and towns are presented in Central MA the appendix. Unless otherwise stated, the 90 South MetroWest 3 housing and transportation cost 495 95 Brockton South Shore data provided in this report can be 1 interpreted as a three-year average, 395 295 covering the most recent years for CT CT 44 44 Taunton which data are available (2006–2008). 6 RI RI RI 195 Providence South Coast 95 0 10 20 miles 1 © 2010 Center for Neighborhood Technology N W E www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n 3
Housing Costs Housing costs in the Boston an average of $1,864 per month on Combined Statistical Area (CSA)v are housing costs including utilities, among the highest in the nation. On which represents 35 percent of measures typically used to quantify household income. Monthly costs housing costs—home value, monthly for owners ($2,416) are more than costs for owners, and gross rent— twice as high as typical costs for the Boston CSA ranks in the top ten renters ($1,044). among the 100 largest metropolitan As the map demonstrates, areas in the country (see Table 2). housing costs exhibit a substantial The Boston area has retained this amount of variation across the study ranking even though home prices, area. Average housing costs are which peaked in 2005, had fallen an highest in the city of Boston, inside estimated 12 percent by 2008, and Route 128, and in the North and rents, which rose through mid-2008, South MetroWest subregions. Aver- also had begun declining marginally.vi ages in these subregions range from This study finds that the typical $2,700 to $3,000 for owners and household in the study area spends from $1,150 to $1,250 for renters. Table 2 ] Housing Costs in the Boston CSA Rank Near the Top Rank Among % Above the 100 Largest U.S. Average Metro Areas Median Home Value +75% 9th Selected Monthly Owner Costs (total) +57% 7th for Owners with a Mortgage +41% 9th for Owners without a Mortgage +64% 3rd Gross Rent +20% 10th Note: Rankings apply to the Boston-Worcester-Manchester Combined Statistical Area. Source: 2008 American Community Survey. 4 n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
ME ME Renter and Owner Housing Costs Compared to the Study Area Averages Even within these subregions, howev- er, some cities and towns (e.g., Lynn) At least 10% below average Within 10% of average are much more affordable than others At least 10% above average (e.g., Belmont). Dover 95 North and south of these high-cost areas, housing expenditures more closely approximate the study area Manchester average. Typical costs for owners NH NH Portsmouth range from $2,200 in the Manchester subregion to just over $2,600 in the North Shore & Suburbs subregion; av- 3 93 1 Nashua erage gross rents run from just under Merrimack Valley Lowell 495 95 MA MA North-Central MA 93 North Shore & Suburbs 2 190 North MetroWest Route 128 128 290 City of Boston Central MA 90 495 South MetroWest 3 $950 in the Merrimack Valley to nearly $1,150 in the South Shore subregion. 95 Brockton On average, housing is least expen- 1 South Shore sive outside of I-495 to the west and 395 295 CT CT 44 44 south, as well as in the northern tip of Taunton the study area in the Dover subregion. 6 In these subregions, owners incur RI RI average monthly costs ranging from 195 South Coast Providence just under $1,950 (Dover) to just over $2,100 (Central Massachusetts). Gross 95 rents average less than $750 in the South Coast subregion and do not ex- 0 10 20 ceed $900, on average, in any of these miles 1 comparatively lower-cost areas. © 2010 Center for Neighborhood Technology www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n 5
Transportation Costs ME ME Transportation Costs BELOW AVERAGE DUE TO: Good access to jobs and transit Household characteristics NH NH ABOVE AVERAGE DUE TO: Nationally, transportation costs Limited access to jobs and transit Household characteristics Dover 95 are a household’s second-largest Combination of access and expenditure—after housing—and household characteristics the Boston area is no exception.vii Manchester Major Job Centers Between 2006 and 2008, transporta- NH NH Portsmouth tion costsviii consumed 19 percent of Commuter Rail Lines income for the typical household in 3 93 1 the study area, amounting to $994 Nashua Merrimack Valley per month, or $11,927 annually. A household’s total transportation 495 95 MA MA costs primarily depend on how many North-Central MA Lowell 93 North Shore & Suburbs cars it owns, how frequently and how far members must drive, and whether 2 Route 128 or not public transit is an option. 190 North MetroWest Some factors that affect auto and 128 transit usage are tied to household 290 City of Boston characteristics like income, household Central MA size, and the number of workers per 90 495 South MetroWest 3 household. Larger households with 95 Brockton South Shore 1 395 295 CT CT 44 44 Taunton 6 RI RI 195 Providence South Coast 95 0 10 20 miles 1 © 2010 Center for Neighborhood Technology 6 n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
more workers and more disposable methodology at the end of the report Good Access Keeps Costs Low: At under $10,000 annually, the income may need—and be able to for a more detailed discussion.) city of Boston and communities inside Route 128 (shaded light afford—multiple automobiles and A close look at the data shows green) have the lowest transportation costs, largely attributable longer, more frequent trips. that the 18 subregions can be loosely to their good access to public transit and job centers and their At the same time, easy access to grouped into five categories based dense residential development patterns. public transit, major job centers,ix and on (a) their overall transportation amenities typically leads to lower costs and (b) whether household transportation costs because house- characteristics or access to jobs, Household Characteristics Keep Costs Low: The Providence holds can meet their daily transporta- public transit, and other amenities and South Coast subregions (shaded dark green) also have tion needs with shorter car trips or are the primary determinants of below-average transportation costs, but this has less to do with replace car trips with more afford- these costs (see map and color-cod- proximity to major job centers and transit options and more to able or convenient alternatives. (See ed descriptions). do with lower incomes and fewer commuters per household. LIMITED Access Drives Costs Higher: These six subregions (shaded yellow) have below-average incomes and thus would be expected to spend less on transportation, but costs for the typical household are above average because of limited access to transit and major job centers. Even though commuter rail lines extend to many of these subregions, overall access to public transit throughout remains subpar, and lower-density residential development contributes to more frequent driving. Household Characteristics Drive Costs Higher: Above-aver- age incomes allow households in these four subregions (shad- ed orange) to spend relatively more on transportation costs. Transportation costs are thus above average even though the subregions have comparatively good access to employment opportunities. Sub par transit accessibility also contributes to higher transportation costs in these subregions. All Factors Lead to Higher Costs: Four of the five subregions with the highest transportation costs (shaded pink) fit into this category. Incomes are above average, residential density is low, and transit and job access is far below average. www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n 7
Living and Working in Rhode Island and Transit Options New Hampshire and Travel Patterns The Providence area and parts of south- eastern New Hampshire are undeniably Compared to national spending Although public transit is important parts of the Boston regional patterns, households in the Boston available in many communities economy, but commuting patterns CSA dedicate a relatively low share throughout the study area, the of their household expenditures to subway system and bus routes are between these areas and Boston are not transportation.x One reason is the most convenient for those living as widespread as some may think. An Massachusetts Bay Transporta- in the city of Boston and in other analysis of commuting data suggests that tion Authority (MBTA), which alone communities inside Route 128. provides an average of 1.32 million Roughly 24 percent of commuters 87 percent of Providence workers and trips every weekday.xi When the in these two subregions rely on 78 percent of South Coast workers are employed in either the Providence or South Rhode Island Public Transit Author- public transit to get to and from Coast subregions. Likewise, three-quarters of those living in the New Hampshire ity (RIPTA) and smaller regional work daily, and an additional 11 portion of the study area also work there. For those who do undertake long com- transit providers are considered, it percent bike or walk to work. Us- is no wonder that the Boston CSA age is much lower in the balance mutes to work, however, associated costs can be significant. ranks sixth in the country in the of the study area—only 3 percent Source: Center for Housing Policy tabulations of the 2006-2008 proportion of commuters routinely of commuters outside of these American Community Survey Public Use Microdata Sample files. using public transit to get to work two subregions routinely use each day (7.9 percent).xii public transitxiii—but transporta- tion costs in outlying communities metropolitan areas in terms of lon- served by commuter rail are nota- gest commutes.xiv The vast major- bly lower than in peripheral towns ity (72 percent) of those commut- lacking such access. Compared ing more than one hour travel by to the cost of owning two cars, a automobile, but whether by private family with good access to transit car or public transit, living far from and jobs can save as much as job centers can impose a negative $5,000 each year by owning only “time tax” on workers by consum- one car. ing part of their day that could be Forty-one percent of workers in spent on other pursuits with family the Boston CSA have commutes and friends. Long commutes by of 30 minutes or longer, and one in car not only impose a time tax ten commutes at least 60 minutes, on the driver but also contribute ranking the Boston CSA 13th and to traffic congestion and carbon 14th, respectively, among large emissions (see page 15). 8 n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
Combined Housing and Transportation Costs ME ME Less than $32,500 $32,500–$35,000 $35,000–$37,500 Greater than $37,500 Housing + Transportation Costs Dover 95 NH NH Manchester Portsmouth 93 Nashua 3 1 Why Combined Costs Appear Low in the Merrimack Valley City of Boston and Route 128 Subregions 495 95 MA MA Lowell North-Central MA 93 North Shore & Suburbs Combined costs in the City of Boston and Route 128 subregions appear to be among the lowest in the study 2 190 North MetroWest Route 128 area, but this is partly due to the unusually high share 128 290 City of Boston of renters in these areas. Average housing costs for both Central MA renters and owners in these communities are very high, 90 495 South MetroWest 3 but since a relatively high share of households in 95 the City of Boston (62 percent) and Route 128 © 2010 Center for Neighborhood Technology Brockton South Shore 1 395 I-295 295 (45 percent) subregions rent their homes, and since CT CT 44 44 Taunton renting is typically less expensive than owning, average 6 RI RI 195 housing costs appear to be lower than expected. South Coast Providence Given their below-average transportation costs, com- 95 bined costs are slightly below average in the Route 128 subregion and substantially below average in the city 0 10 20 miles 1 US-1 of Boston. In the study area, the typi- southern New Hampshire, annual Taunton, Lowell, and Merrimack South Coast), and west (Central cal household spends roughly costs exceed $37,500 (see map). Valley subregions. and North-Central Massachusetts). $34,300 per year on the combined Combined costs are slightly Below-average combined Housing costs are relatively low costs of housing and transporta- lower—but still above average— costs can be found in some of the in each, and in the south, transpor- tion. In four subregions between in areas bordering the north and peripheral subregions to the north tation costs are below average Route 128 and I-495, as well as in south sides of I-495: the Brockton, (Dover), south (Providence and as well. www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n 9
Regional Variation in Transportation Housing + Transportation Costs Housing $50,000 $40,000 $13,721 $14,028 $13,931 $14,428 $12,850 $30,000 $14,223 $13,342 $11,927 $14,253 $13,026 $20,000 $29,423 $28,664 $26,779 $25,123 $25, 567 $22,373 $23,352 $21,977 $22,722 $22,707 $10,000 0 Study Area North South South Shore Portsmouth North Shore Nashua Taunton Brockton Lowell MetroWest MetroWest & Suburbs Annual H+T Costs $34,300 $43,144 $42,692 $40,711 $39,551 $38,417 $37,575 $36,230 $36,065 $35,733 Average Median Income $68,036 $95,744 $92,371 $77,812 $76,585 $76,452 $77,704 $69,032 $67,017 $73,969 Average H+T as % of 54% 48% 48% 54% 53% 52% 50% 54% 57% 51% Median Income © 2010 Center for Neighborhood Technology The average household in the transportation costs exceed study higher-income households in these of Boston subregions. Both hous- Boston study area spends ap- area averages by wide margins. subregions, therefore, these high ing and transportation costs are proximately $34,300 annually on Because incomes are significantly costs are not as burdensome as below average in Providence and housing and transportation, which higher in these subregions than in they initially appear, but for those the South Coast, and in the city of represents about 54 percent of the area as a whole, however, the earning less, there may be few af- Boston, very low transportation the typical household’s income. typical household’s combined cost fordable opportunities. costs offset more expensive hous- Combined costs are highest in the burden—i.e., the share of income Combined costs are lowest ing. Because typical incomes in North and South MetroWest subre- spent on housing and transporta- in absolute dollar terms in the these subregions are substantially gions, where both housing and tion costs—is only 48 percent. For Providence, South Coast, and City lower than for the study area as a 10 n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
$50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $12,419 $9,794 $13,357 $12,928 $13,491 $13,671 $11,697 $7,013 $11,381 $20,000 $23,241 $23,754 $20,993 $19,918 $10,000 $19,817 $19,142 $18,354 $18,888 $16,426 0 Merrimack Manchester Route 128 Central MA North- Dover Providence South Coast City of Valley Central MA Boston Annual H+T Costs $35,660 $34,350 $33,549 $32,745 $32,633 $32,024 $30,586 $27,808 $26,930 Average Median Income $65,795 $67,820 $69,444 $65,489 $63,693 $59,122 $57,336 $48,067 $52,923 Average H+T as % of 59% 52% 51% 53% 53% 55% 57% 62% 56% Median Income whole, however, these subregions’ with the exceptions of Brockton or public transit, and housing is leading to high cost burdens. cost burdens are comparatively and Merrimack Valley, where they more costly than in more peripher- high, ranging from 56 percent of rise to 57 percent and 59 percent, al subregions such as Central and See the appendix for data on income in the city of Boston to 62 respectively. In both, combined North-Central Massachusetts and housing and transportation costs percent in the South Coast. costs for housing and transporta- parts of New Hampshire. Neither and burdens for the largest cities Combined cost burdens are tion are slightly above the study housing nor transportation is par- and towns in the study area. roughly at or below the study area average, and incomes are ticularly affordable for the typical area average of 54 percent in the slightly below. Neither is particular- working family in the Brockton and remaining mid-cost subregions ly well situated in relation to jobs Merrimack Valley subregions, www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n 11
Regional Classification Combined Cost Burden ME ME Compared to the Study Area Average of Housing + Transportation Below average (55% of income) Dover 95 Manchester NH NH Portsmouth 93 Nashua 3 1 Merrimack Valley 495 95 MA MA Lowell North-Central MA 93 North Shore & Suburbs 2 Route 128 190 North MetroWest 128 290 City of Boston Central MA 90 495 3 In the map on this page, each of the 18 South MetroWest subregions is assigned to one of three 95 I-95 Brockton South Shore categories based on its combined cost 1 burden (i.e., the share of income spent 395 295 CT CT 44 44 on the combined costs of housing and Taunton transportation): (1) 53 to 55 percent, 6 RI RI which includes the study area aver- 195 age (yellow in the map and text); (2) Providence South Coast below average (less than 53 percent, in green); and (3) above average (more 95 than 55 percent, in purple). The text ac- companying the map explores some of 0 10 20 miles the underlying factors that lead to these 1 varying levels of cost burden. © 2010 Center for Neighborhood Technology 12 n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
Below-Average Cost Burdens Average Cost Burdens Above-Average Cost Burdens In the North and South MetroWest, Lowell, and North Shore & Four of the six subregions with cost In the Merrimack Valley and Brockton subregions, both hous- Suburbs subregions, below-average cost burdens are a reflec- burdens ranging from 53 to 55 percent ing and transportation costs are slightly above average and tion of above-average incomes that make even higher costs af- have moderate incomes and are located incomes are somewhat below average, resulting in combined fordable to the typical resident. Households with lower incomes outside of I-495 on the periphery of cost burdens of 59 and 57 percent, respectively. likely would find few affordable opportunities in these areas. the study area. Housing costs in these Housing costs are relatively high and transportation costs are areas are low enough that, even when In the New Hampshire subregions of Nashua and Manchester, low in the city of Boston, but incomes are significantly below higher transportation costs are consid- higher transportation costs are partially offset by lower housing average, leading to high overall levels of cost burden. ered, combined costs are affordable. costs, and incomes are sufficient to make combined costs Very low incomes in the Providence and South Coast subre- affordable. With higher combined costs and higher gions also result in above-average cost burdens, despite the incomes that make them affordable, the In the Route 128 subregion, the reverse is true—higher housing very low combined costs typically incurred by households in Portsmouth and South Shore subre- costs are offset by very low transportation costs. these communities. gions are two exceptions to this rule. Local Variation in Housing + Transportation Costs This report focuses primarily on average costs, incomes, and resulting cost burdens estimated for the 18 subregions in the study area. While this is the most effective way to present the data, it can mask variation within each subregion. For example, within the Merrimack Valley subregion, the combined cost burden in Haverhill is 53 percent. But in nearby Lawrence, where costs are lower but incomes are roughly half, the combined costs of housing and transportation represent 74 percent of income— far above the study area average. Because there are 323 cities and towns in the study area, the report cannot focus on each individually. However, pages 16 and 17 discuss the neighborhoods, cities, and towns within each subregion that are particularly burdened by their housing and transportation costs, and the appendix includes data on all cities and towns with at least 10,000 households. www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n 13
A Working Family’s Budget— Location, Location, Location A news reporter, a bank teller, At the end of each month, this and their teenage son own a home family is nearly $200 short of in Stoughton, Massachusetts. The covering its basic living ex- family earns an annual income of penses. Rather than cutting roughly $70,000,1 and after taxes, costs elsewhere, they may be their monthly take-home pay is ap- able to bring expenses in line proximately $4,667.2 As with most with their income by lowering families, housing is their largest transportation costs—even if it expenditure, and transportation is means paying more for housing their second largest. Their monthly by moving to another part of the budget is as follows: Boston area. Take-Home Pay $4,667 Housing -$2,430 The same family could Transportation -$1,095 cover costs—with a little Food -$636 left over each month—if it moved to Watertown, Health Care -$381 Massachusetts.3 The cost of Miscellaneous -$295 owning a home is slightly Take-Home Pay $4,667 By moving to Watertown, this At Month’s End -$170 higher, but because the city is Housing -$2,557 family would not only save over better situated in terms of jobs $200 per month but would also and public transit and is more Transportation -$778 reduce its carbon emissions by “walkable” than their old neighbor- Food -$636 1 Average salaries for these professions in the walking more frequently and tak- hood, transportation costs would Boston Metropolitan Statistical Area according Health Care -$380 ing public transit. to Salary.com, as reported in the Center for likely be lower. In Watertown, this Houing Policy’s Paycheck to Paycheck 2006 family’s monthly budget would be Miscellaneous -$254 database. 3 as follows: Compare housing and transportation costs 2 Tax estimates and monthly expenditures with At Month’s End +$62 throughout the study area by using the fully the exception of housing and transportation customizable, online Housing + Transporta- are based on the Self-Sufficiency Calculator, tion Calculator, available at www.bostonre- produced by the Crittenton Women’s Union gionalchallenge.org. in 2006. The calculator is available at www. liveworkthrive.org/calculator.php. 14 n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
Dunstable North Andover Boxford Environmental Impact Auto-Related Tyngsborough Annual Carbon Dioxide Emissions per Household Andover Under 7.5 metric tons Lowell Topsfield 7.5 to 9.0 metric tons Hamilton In 2008, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts 9.0 to 10.5 metric tons passed the Global Warming Solutions Act, legisla- Over 10.5 metric tons Westford Chelmsford Tewksbury Middleton 95 Wenham tion requiring that state greenhouse gas emis- Subway Lines North Reading sions be reduced to 80 percent of 1990 levels Danvers Beverly BLUE Wilmington by 2050. Transportation is a major contributor of GREEN Billerica ORANGE greenhouse gas emissions and thus a major target Littleton RED Lynnfield of emissions reduction efforts. Interestingly, the Carlisle Reading Peabody SILVER transportation sector accounts for 41 percent of all Commuter Rail Lines Burlington Salem carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in Massachusetts,xv Wakefield Marblehead Woburn compared to 33 percent nationally.xvi Acton Bedford Stoneham Lynn One strategy for reducing transportation-related Saugus Swampscott Concord Melrose CO2 emissions is to reduce the number and length Lexington Winchester of car trips, often measured in vehicle miles trav- 128 Malden Nahant eled (VMT). High-density residential areas that can Maynard Lincoln Medford Arlington Revere support—and are zoned to allow—nearby services, Everett amenities, and employment have been shown to Belmont Somerville Sudbury Waltham reduce VMT by 25 to 30 percent, on average. xvii Cambridge Winthrop Watertown CO2 emissions related to automobile use are Wayland Weston lowest, on a per-household basis,xviii in the sub- regions with the highest residential density. The Newton Framingham Brookline average household in the city of Boston produces 90 Boston only five metric tons of CO2 annually, compared © 2010 Center for Neighborhood Technology Wellesley Natick to a study area average of nine metric tons and at Hull Needham least 11 metric tons in six subregions with very low residential density. Low levels of per-household Ashland CO2 emissions in the City of Boston and Route Dover Dedham Quincy Milton 128 subregions can further be attributed to access Sherborn Westwood to the subway system, where coverage is most Weymouth extensive (see map). As the map shows, emissions Braintree Holliston Medfield 95 Hingham are lowest in cities and towns that have direct 0 2 4 Norwood Canton miles access to public transit, which can be a significant Millis Randolph factor in reducing a household’s car usage. Medway www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n 15
Extreme Housing + Transportation Cost Burden Tabl e 3 ] Extreme H+T Cost Burdens Are Most Common Where Incomes Are Below Average Households in Average Median Neighborhoods Household Where H+T Percent of Income Subregion Cost Burden Regions’ Relative to Full >= 58% Households Study Area South Coast 69,045 51% 54% Merrimack Valley 51,128 43% 64% To better understand where hous- Coast subregion and roughly one- Providence 131,995 33% 54% ing and transportation costs are third of those in the Providence and City of Boston 74,287 32% 47% particularly high relative to incomes, City of Boston subregions live in we examine the share of households neighborhoods with extreme cost Brockton 19,471 26% 62% in each subregion living in neighbor- burdens. This is due, at least in part, Dover 13,140 26% 73% hoodsxix with an “extreme housing to the very low incomes of residents Central MA 49,979 25% 56% and transportation cost burden”— in these neighborhoods—ranging a level equaling or exceeding 58 from 47 to 54 percent of the median South Shore 27,111 22% 89% percent of income. We chose 58 for the full study area—or roughly Taunton 10,723 19% 71% percent because only one-quarter of $31,000 to $37,000. Household Route 128 86,685 19% 64% all households in the study area live incomes at this level are not sufficient Manchester 16,275 17% 62% in neighborhoods with a combined to cover even the modest housing cost burden that meets or exceeds and transportation costs that charac- Portsmouth 14,572 17% 83% this level. terize these neighborhoods. North-Central MA 12,769 16% 58% North Shore & Suburbs 22,649 16% 82% Extreme housing and transporta- Extreme combined burdens are tion cost burdens are common also prevalent in moderate-income Lowell 15,682 16% 57% among very low-income neighbor- neighborhoods in the Merrimack North MetroWest 9,571 9% 62% hoods in the South Coast, Provi- Valley and Brockton subregions. Nashua 7,251 9% 60% dence, and City of Boston subre- Too close to the city to benefit from South MetroWest 8,582 5% 84% gions. As Table 3 shows, more than low-cost housing but not close half of all households in the South enough to access jobs and transit Source: Center for Neighborhood Technology 16 n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
Tabl e 4 ] Many Cities and Towns in the Study Area Have Extreme H+T Cost Burdens nearby, many low- to moderate-in- from 82 to 89 percent of the study Average Average come households in these neighbor- area median, showing that extreme Subregion City/Town Median H+T hoods cannot afford the combined cost burdens are not a problem Income Cost Burden costs of housing and transportation. experienced solely by low-income Brockton Brockton $53,065 62% families. Higher-income subregions also Finally, Table 4 demonstrates that Central MA Worcester $44,933 59% have neighborhoods with extreme some cities and towns throughout Merrimack Valley Andover $94,863 58% combined burdens, although such the study area have extreme com- Lawrence $31,988 74% neighborhoods make up a smaller bined cost burdens—even where the share of each subregion’s total cost burdens of the subregions in Methuen $55,080 63% households. In four—South Shore, which they are located are not mark- North-Central MA Fitchburg $47,453 58% Portsmouth, North Shore & Suburbs, edly high. Not surprisingly, cities and Providence Johnston $54,087 60% and South MetroWest—the neighbor- towns in the Providence, South Coast, Pawtucket $41,390 58% hoods with extreme combined bur- Merrimack Valley, and Brockton subre- dens have median incomes ranging gions make the list. But three cities in- Providence $36,342 72% side Route 128, as well as cities such Woonsocket $38,398 61% as Worcester and Fitchburg in Central Route 128 Chelsea $39,255 61% and North-Central Massachusetts, also have combined cost burdens that Lynn $42,928 63% qualify as extreme, even though their Revere $48,377 63% subregions do not stand out as being South Coast Dartmouth $64,611 59% particularly burdened. Fall River $35,051 62% By and large, incomes for the cities and towns in Table 4 range New Bedford $37,850 66% from the mid-$30,000s to the mid- Note: Only cities and towns with at least 10,000 households $50,000s, or roughly 50 to 80 percent and an H+T cost burden of at least 58 percent are shown here. of the median income for the study Source: Center for Neighborhood Technology. area. Not shown in the table because of their small size, a number of towns in New Hampshire and the South Shore subregions have extreme combined cost burdens and median household incomes on the order of $60,000 to $70,000. www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n 17
The Way Forward There are many reasons to live transit service in peripheral com- in and move to the Boston area, munities where housing costs are including a wide array of highly already low. Efforts to link these regarded colleges and universities, communities to major job centers two of the top ten hospitals in the and other nearby destinations nation, xx a vibrant cultural scene, through public transit could lower and a diverse economy. At the transportation costs significantly. same time, many are concerned that a shortage of affordable hous- Building Political Support ing may make it difficult to retain The states within the study area and attract necessary workers. As have a history of supporting afford- this report makes clear, an effective able housing and efforts to coor- solution to the region’s housing dinate housing and transportation challenges will require coordination policy. Prominent examples from between housing and transporta- Massachusetts include: tion policy to reduce families’ com- Addressing Identified Needs the Merrimack Valley. n Chapter 40R, which provides bined costs to affordable levels. As the region readies itself for the n Creating housing affordable financial incentives for cities and In order to make room for the future, it is important that hous- to low- and moderate-income towns in Massachusetts to zone more than 250,000 people ex- ing, transportation, and land use households in densely developed, for and build high-density residen- pected to join the Boston area policies be coordinated to foster walkable communities where tial developments in areas previ- by 2030,xxi as well as to accom- the development of communities public transit is relatively acces- ously identified as highly suitable modate today’s residents as they that are appealing and affordable sible and amenities are nearby but for development, near transit, or form new and increasingly smaller to families at a range of incomes, where housing costs are very high, near already concentrated develop- households, hundreds of thou- include a mix of uses, and have ac- such as in the city of Boston and ment. The success of Chapter 40R sands of homes—including both cess to a variety of transit options. in transit-served neighborhoods depends in part on a strong Chap- rental and for-sale—will have to be To achieve this goal while address- inside Route 128. Similar efforts ter 40B, which helps to fast-track built in the coming decades.xxii This ing specific findings of this report, to lower combined costs in the efforts to develop affordable hous- provides an important opportunity the region should consider: Providence and South Coast sub- ing in areas where it is lacking.xxiii for the region to shape its growth n Developing workforce housing regions, where costs are lower but n The Community Preservation in a way that reduces combined and expanding affordable transpor- burdens are nonetheless high, are Act (CPA), which allows municipali- costs as well as greenhouse gas tation options in moderate-income also important. ties to include a surcharge on real emissions. communities such as Brockton and n Enhancing and extending public estate taxes and to direct funding 18 n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
“Over the past decade, Boston has built over 18,000 new units of housing; 9,000 of which are toward housing affordable to low- Reliable and Affordable the MBTA should continue plan- within walking distance to and moderate-income households Public Transit ning future service expansions thousands of jobs. Going forward, (below 100 percent of area medi- As important as it is to strategi- and enhancements to low- and an income), historic preservation, cally think about the location and moderate-income areas with high we will continue to grow the and open space conservation.xxiv transit orientation of new resi- combined cost burdens. Among n The Commonwealth Capital dential developments, housing several on the drawing board, City’s population by building Program, which makes some built in the coming decades will one such example would be housing that is innovative, close state grant and loan programs for represent only a small fraction the proposed extension of capital projects partly contingent of the total housing stock in the commuter rail service to to jobs and public transportation, on how well a municipality has region. Therefore, efforts to lower communities such as Fall environmentally sustainable and incorporated the state’s sustain- the economic and environmental River and New Bedford in able development principles into costs of transportation associated the South Coast. Such affordable to Boston’s workforce.” its planning and zoning practices. with the housing we already have an extension would Thirty percent of the scoring are also important. In fact, many not only lower costs —Mayor Thomas M. Menino, City of Boston for ten to 15 state spending communities have shown that for those who com- programs is predicated on the sound planning, compact devel- mute into Boston Commonwealth Capital score of opment, and access to transit from these and participating municipalities.xxv can produce transportation costs other communi- These state programs, and that represent only 15 percent of ties but also others like them, need to be fully income or less, compared to 19 spur mixed- funded in order to have maxi- percent in the Boston study area income and mizal impact. This is particularly as a whole. A critical ingredient in mixed-use important when state funds act the effort to lower transportation development as incentives for local action, as costs is a comprehensive, reliable around the they do in the above examples. public transit system. planned As the region recovers from the To remain an asset in the com- stations. current economic and housing munities that it serves, the MBTA crises, state and local govern- needs to receive sufficient funding ments should renew their support to address its considerable debt for these programs and guarantee burden and sizable backlog of sig- funding levels to maximize their nificant repairs.xxvi Even as finan- effectiveness. cial soundness is being restored, www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n 19
METHODOLOGY Estimating Housing and Transportation Costs by Neighborhood The Original Housing + tions, calculations, and methods have Transportation Cost Model been reviewed by practitioners at the The Housing + Transportation Metropolitan Council in Minneapolis- (H+Tsm) Affordability Index was devel- St. Paul, fellows with the Brookings oped by the Center for Neighborhood Institution, and academics from the Technology (CNT) and its collabora- University of Minnesota, Virginia Poly- tive partners, the Center for Transit technic Institute and State University, Oriented Development (CTOD) with Temple University, and elsewhere, support from the Brookings Institu- specializing in transportation model- tion’s Metropolitan Policy Program’s ing, household travel behavior, com- Urban Markets Initiative. This cost munity indicators, and related topics. index has been applied to 55 metro Specifically, the transportation cost areas in the United States, and is model incorporates four neighbor- unique in that it measures joint trans- hood variables (residential density, portation and housing affordability average block size, transit connectiv- at a neighborhood level (see www. ity index, and job density) and four htaindex.cnt.org). household variables (household income, household size, commuters Transportation Costs per household, and average journey to The transportation costs estimated work time) as independent variables. in this model and used in this report These variables are used to predict, are more than the cost of commuting at a neighborhood level (census block to and from work. They also include group), three dependent variables — trips to and from school, errands, auto ownership, auto use, and public and other travel that is part of the transit usage — that determine the household daily routine. The methods total transportation costs. for the cost model draw from peer- reviewed research findings on the Housing Costs factors that drive household trans- Housing costs were determined portation costs. The model assump- using the census variables Selected 20 n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
Monthly Owner Costs (SMOC) block group data were aggregated for Owners with a Mortgage and to the same PUMA boundaries. Gross Rent for Renters Paying Cash Once the percent changes were (GR). SMOC is defined as the sum calculated between the two time of payments for mortgages, deeds periods for each PUMA for each of trust, contracts to purchase, variable, these values were then or similar debts on the property used as multipliers. Year 2000 (including payments for the first values for each block group within mortgage, second mortgage, from varying practices with respect Index, see: http://htaindex.cnt.org/ each PUMA were multiplied by this home equity loans, and other junior to including utilities and fuels as model summary. percent change to estimate 2006– mortgages); real estate taxes; fire, part of the rental payment. The es- 2008 values at the block group level. hazard, and flood insurance on the timated costs of utilities and fuels Updating the Original Transportation costs were property; utilities (electricity, gas, are reported on an annual basis but Model to 2006–2008 updated by applying new cost and water and sewer); and fuels are converted to monthly figures Input data for the original model are factors to the model’s estimates of (oil, coal, kerosene, wood, etc.). It for the tabulations. primarily composed of 2000 U.S. vehicle miles traveled and automo- also includes, where appropriate, To calculate an average value Decennial Census block group data biles per household. These cost the monthly condominium fees or for SMOC and GR, an aggregate and values that were created and factors were based on the 2007 mobile home costs (installment value is divided by the number of calculated based on these data. AAA estimates of costs for owning loan payments, personal property households making up the ag- Since the most recent data are for and operating a vehicle, which are taxes, site rent, registration fees, gregate. For the purposes of this 2000, estimates for 2006–2008 estimated to be $5,648 per auto and license fees). study, housing costs are estimated were carried out using a recognized and 14.5 cents/mile for fuel ($2.26/ Gross Rent (GR) is defined as using only renters paying cash and procedure called the “constant- gallon), maintenance, and tires. the contract rent plus the esti- owners paying mortgages. Renters share method,” which considered Auto-Related Carbon Dioxide mated average monthly cost of paying with vouchers (e.g., subsi- the percent change of variables Emissions per Household were utilities (electricity, gas, water, and dized housing) and owners who no from 2000 to 2006–2008 within the estimated using model results for sewer) and fuels (oil, coal, kero- longer have mortgage payments Public Use Microdata Areas (PU- vehicle miles traveled per house- sene, wood, etc.) if these are paid are therefore excluded. MAs). PUMA data for 2006–2008 hold, an assumed fuel efficiency of by the renter (or paid for the renter For a full description of the were obtained from the American 20.3 miles per gallon, and an emis- by someone else). Using gross rent methods used in the original Hous- Community Survey (ACS) three year sions factor of .0092 metric tons eliminates differentials that result ing + Transportation Affordability estimates while 2000 U.S. Census per gallon. www.bostonregionalchallenge.org n 21
State City/Town Average Total Average Average Annual Housing Transportation H+T Median Households Annual Housing Transportation as a % of as a % of as a % of Income Costs Costs Income Income Income Appendix: Brockton Subregion $67,017 76,101 $22,722 $13,342 36% 21% 57% MA Brockton $53,065 33,359 $19,362 $11,441 39% 23% 62% Housing and Central MA Subregion $65,489 201,617 $19,817 $12,928 32% 21% 53% Transportation MA MA Shrewsbury Worcester $88,899 $44,933 13,020 64,850 $26,339 $15,297 $13,945 $9,505 30% 36% 16% 23% 47% 59% Cost Estimates City of Boston Subregion $52,923 231,988 $19,918 $7,013 41% 15% 56% Dover Subregion $59,122 51,371 $18,354 $13,671 31% 24% 55% for Cities and NH Dover $58,752 12,353 $17,488 $12,755 30% 22% 52% NH Rochester $53,132 12,205 $16,670 $12,940 32% 25% 56% Towns with at Lowell Subregion $73,969 100,465 $22,707 $13,026 32% 19% 51 least 10,000 MA MA Billerica Chelmsford $83,452 $85,884 13,383 13,337 $24,882 $26,788 $14,600 $13,913 30% 32% 18% 17% 48% 48% Households MA Dracut $72,634 10,871 $21,765 $13,878 30% 19% 50% MA Lowell $50,915 36,466 $16,803 $10,110 35% 21% 56% MA Tewksbury $84,968 10,376 $26,098 $14,581 31% 18% 49% Manchester Subregion $67,820 96,255 $20,993 $13,357 32% 21% 52% NH Derry $70,529 13,330 $21,541 $14,350 31% 21% 52% NH Manchester $53,056 43,944 $16,602 $10,884 32% 21% 54% Merrimack Valley Subregion $65,795 118,282 $23,241 $12,419 37% 21% 59% MA Andover $94,863 11,339 $37,746 $14,562 42% 16% 58% MA Haverhill $60,494 23,542 $19,065 $12,170 32% 21% 53% MA Lawrence $31,988 24,440 $13,813 $8,442 46% 28% 74% MA Methuen $55,080 16,587 $21,504 $12,338 40% 23% 63% Nashua Subregion $77,704 78,383 $23,352 $14,223 31% 19% 50% NH Nashua $66,291 35,445 $20,247 $12,089 31% 19% 51% North-Central MA Subregion $63,693 79,888 $19,142 $13,491 31% 22% 53% MA Fitchburg $47,453 15,232 $15,177 $11,322 33% 25% 58% MA Leominster $59,941 16,716 $17,117 $12,393 29% 22% 51% North MetroWest Subregion $95,744 102,594 $29,423 $13,721 32% 16% 48% MA Framingham $67,195 25,888 $21,747 $11,545 34% 19% 53% MA Marlborough $72,507 15,165 $22,603 $12,754 32% 19% 51% North Shore & Suburbs Subregion $76,452 143,965 $25,567 $12,850 34% 18% 52% MA Beverly $69,727 15,294 $22,344 $12,209 33% 18% 51% MA Gloucester $60,660 12,519 $21,489 $12,152 36% 21% 57% MA Peabody $62,682 19,112 $21,680 $11,785 36% 19% 55% MA Salem $56,410 17,003 $18,801 $10,238 34% 19% 53% Portsmouth Subregion $76,585 88,311 $25,123 $14,428 33% 20% 53% NH Portsmouth $59,416 10,593 $19,760 $11,289 34% 20% 53% NH Salem $77,233 11,631 $25,144 $14,252 33% 19% 52% Providence Subregion $57,336 398,713 $18,888 $11,697 35% 22% 57% MA Attleboro $68,635 16,094 $20,018 $13,256 30% 20% 49% MA North Attleborough $80,663 10,601 $22,414 $13,939 28% 18% 46% RI Coventry $65,498 12,769 $20,235 $14,188 31% 22% 53% RI Cranston $57,567 30,304 $19,226 $11,243 34% 20% 55% RI Cumberland $69,283 11,872 $21,803 $13,802 32% 21% 53% RI East Providence $49,147 20,086 $15,804 $10,376 33% 22% 55% 22 n www.bostonregionalchallenge.org
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