Syria: effects of conflict and sanctions on public health
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Journal of Public Health Advance Access published November 23, 2012 Journal of Public Health | pp. 1–5 | doi:10.1093/pubmed/fds090 Syria: effects of conflict and sanctions on public health Kasturi Sen1, Waleed Al-Faisal2, Yaser AlSaleh3 1 Wolfson College, (CR) University of Oxford, Linton Road, Oxford OX2 6EH, UK 2 Faculty of Medicine, Damascus University, Damascus, Syrian Arab Republic 3 Health Care, Ministry of Health(F), Damascus, Syrian Arab Republic A B S T R AC T The past 18 months have witnessed considerable turmoil in countries of the MENA region. The Syrian Arab Republic (SAR) is one such country, currently in the midst of a civil war. This report draws attention to some of the recent achievements of its health services, where, despite a dearth of published materials, the country achieved remarkable declines in maternal mortality and infant mortality rates. Its Downloaded from http://jpubhealth.oxfordjournals.org/ by guest on November 3, 2015 health sector now faces destruction from on-going violence compounded by economic sanctions that has affected access to health care, to medicines and to basic essentials as well as the destruction of infrastructure. This paper draws attention to the achievements of the country’s health services and explores some of the consequences of conflict and of sanctions on population health. Readers need to be mindful that the situation on the ground in a civil war can alter on a daily basis. This is the case for Syria with much destruction of health facilities and increasing numbers of people killed and injured. We retain however our focus on the core theme of this paper which is on conflict and on sanctions. Keywords health services, morbidity and mortality, public health Introduction WHO (WHO –EMRO) and additional online sources on sanction effects from the ICRC, the UN and WHO. For more than 16 months, the Syrian Arab Republic (SAR) Peer-reviewed papers were accessed through Google-scholar has been in turmoil with violence escalating on a daily basis. and Medline searches, using key words, Syria and population At the time of writing, the United Nation (UN) has declared health, public health, sanctions and included a series of the country in a state of civil war; whilst the army struggles reports from the WHO and the UN. to maintain its credibility in facing the opposition, civilians are trapped with high casualties from both sides. Financial and political support for a change in regime means that the Background possibilities of a political solution are increasingly remote.1 In this volatile environment and as concerned public health Syria is a lower middle income country with a population of physicians and scholars, we wish to highlight some of the 22.3 million and a per capita income of $3900 in 2009 and a achievements of health services in Syria that would have land area of 185 180 km2.3,4 Limited contact with western guaranteed the country fulfilling the health Millennium researchers resulted in a lack of awareness of its achievements Development Goals (MDG). We discuss in particular the in health status. The progress and capacity of its health ser- gains in health status made due to the efforts of public vices is now in real jeopardy from the violence of a protracted health professionals. We also examine the possible conse- war and from economic sanctions. There is a growing danger quences of sanctions and the current crisis on the future of that a combination of war and sanctions will affect health public health delivery in Syria.2 service delivery with potentially irreversible consequences for For this purpose we rely on secondary data from the the population, already evident in its early stages.5 – 7 Ministry of Health (MOH) and the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) combined with the information from the World Health Organization (WHO) Observatory (including Kasturi Sen, Member of Common Room, Wolfson College World Health Statistics 2010), the Population Reference Waleed Al-Faisal, Associate Professor of Public Health Bureau and the regional National Health Accounts from the Yaser AlSaleh, Former Ministry of Health Advisor # The Author 2012, Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Faculty of Public Health. All rights reserved 1
2 J O U R NA L O F P U B L I C H E A LT H Public health achievements: some key health amounting to $79 per annum (2008) compared with features Jordan ($246) and Egypt ($200).7,8 Table 2 shows MMR trends in Syria over two decades Syria achieved substantial improvements in population compared with those of Jordan and Egypt. The MMR for health over the past decades. Contributory factors include Syria are lower despite low investment and an absence of access to maternal and child health services through com- donor input. This suggests that the health sector was largely prehensive primary health care, health promotion and edu- self-sufficient until a bi-lateral agreement with the European cation supported by a network of Women’s Committees, Union (EU) in 2003.12 These health outcomes were achieved better nutrition through food subsidies and an acknowledg- through an integrated approach to health services including ment of the need to address the social determinants of primary, secondary and tertiary care and one where institu- health, largely unknown to the region. Some of the achieve- tional deliveries constituted . 90% of all deliveries.7,8 ments of the health system may be summarized as the Despite past economic pressures and isolation, Syria following: could credit itself with improved living standards, together with greater citizen awareness of health issues, strengthened † Comprehensive vaccination coverage by improvements to infrastructure, access to clean water, Downloaded from http://jpubhealth.oxfordjournals.org/ by guest on November 3, 2015 † Improved levels of literacy ( particularly among women) expanding public healthcare systems and local production of † Plans to address a rising incidence of non-communicable .90% of medicines.4 The integration of health care has diseases (NCDs) through partnership with local been a significant factor for the country to be on target to communities meet the health MDGs (Fig. 1).9,13 † A re-organization of services in 1998 to increase the local level control as part of the process of decentralization † Steps towards systematization of data and trends through the Health Metrics Network and the Syrian National Public health services: changes Health Accounts.3,8 implemented to structure Progress in public health was achieved through the provision The following two tables highlight a declining infant mortal- of free health care to citizens, with a ceiling on charges for ity rate (IMR) and a greatly improved maternal mortality rate private providers. The right to comprehensive health cover- (MMR). age is guaranteed by the Constitution of Syria despite exter- Table 1 shows significant declines in IMR from 132 per nal pressures to fully commercialize the health sector,5,10,11 100 000 live births in 1970 to 14 in 2010; and in MMR .80% of beds remained in the public sector and a fee- from a high of 482 per 100 000 live births in 1970 to 45 in for-service system is applied for outpatient services. Health 2010. The decrease is a notable achievement, given the rela- services were facing a restructure owing to a major agree- tively low per capita income and public expenditure on ment with the EU in 2003, which was subsequently inte- health services.9 – 11 grated into the 10th Five-Year Plan (2006 – 2010). But Syria appears to be somewhat of an outlier for health out- despite the changes resulting from this agreement the core comes in the region in relation to per capita expenditure on of health care remained in the hands of the MOH, an Table 1 Essential health indicators: IMR, MMR, Syria, 1970– 2010 Table 2 MMR comparatively with other countries of the region over (actual) and 2015 (projected to MDGs) 1990 – 2008 1970 1993 2002 2003 2004 2010 2015 Year Egypt Syria Jordan IMR per 100 000 live 132 33 24 18.1 17.1 14 12 2008 82 (51 –130) 46 (20– 100) 59 (35 – 100) births 2005 90 (56 –150) 50 (22– 110) 66 (38 – 120) U5 MR per 100 000 164 44 29 20.2 19.3 16 13 2000 110 (69 –180) 58 (26– 130) 79 (46 – 140) live births 1995 150 (94 –240) 77 (34– 180) 95 (55 – 170) MMR per 100 000 482 107 71 65.4 58 45 32 1990 220 (130 –350) 120 (52– 290) 110 (64 – 210) live births Source: maternal mortality 1990 –2008—WHO, UNICEF –WB, Source: Ministry of Health, Damascus, Syria, CBS (2010). MM estimation. Inter-Agency group.
S YR I A , P U B LI C H E A LT H , CI V I L WA R , S A N C T I O N S 3 Downloaded from http://jpubhealth.oxfordjournals.org/ by guest on November 3, 2015 Fig. 1 Syria: total health spending and IMR in 2006 comparing with other low- and middle-income countries. Source: compiled from Gap-minder: www. gapminder.org (2012). enduring feat in an epoch of commercialization and privat- Product. Their consequences, particularly for population ization that has permeated the whole region.12 – 14 health, are having a serious impact.14,15 Whilst there is a growing trend towards the commercial- Economic sanctions have caused the USD exchange rate ization and fragmentation of services in Syria by province, value of the Syrian Pound (SP) in the market to rise from the health indicators of the country with an emphasis on 45 to .70 SP with ramifications for the whole economy. managing risk and attention to preventive services remained Table 3 highlights the cost of basic essentials such as a credit to the public sector. The country’s health services cooking oil and gas, milk and eggs. These have doubled and have mainly stood apart in a fragile picture of public health tripled over the past year, halving the purchasing power of in the region where there is a strong emphasis on high-tech salaries which in turn are affected by the loss of parity of tertiary care with a general lack of preparedness for the the SP. The combination of price increases and the loss of growing incidence of non-communicable disease.9,13,15 – 19 value of income has had a devastating effect upon families There is a risk also that Syria will abandon its legacy of inte- especially among those with children, pregnant women and grated care. elderly people unable to access health services or to pur- Despite weaknesses in the trajectory of current health ser- chase essential food and medicines owing to escalating vices, health professionals in Syria with support from the re- costs.7,15,16 gional office of the WHO (EMRO) were able to provide The collapse of the exchange rate increased the cost of more than adequate health care for citizens. Over the past health services and in particular of medicines mostly borne year and more recently, a full-blown civil war as well as eco- out-of-pocket. The costs of medicines to treat NCDs, for nomic sanctions is having serious consequences for popula- example, are seriously affected.7,14 – 16 The value of salaries tion health and the health system as we document in the has been eroded with thousands of job losses in the service final section. sector (tourism in particular) which was booming prior to the conflict. Sanctions have also led to interruptions in power supply Sanctions and effects for several hours per day in many areas. These expose vul- Since May 2011, Syria has faced economic sanctions of nerable people to extreme winter and summer temperatures which imports of crude oil and most exports and project and undermine the vaccines cold chain supplies contributing investments form a major part of Syria’s Gross Domestic to interruptions in the vaccination programme. In the
4 J O U R NA L O F P U B L I C H E A LT H Table 3 Prices of essential goods before and after sanctions whose numbers escalate by the day and who are fleeing from violence, are increasingly facing dismal conditions Item Price before sanctions Price after sanctions which include limited access to basic essentials such as food (SP) (SP) and water, compounded by the psycho-social impact (espe- cially on children) of dislocation, living with fear and uncer- Gas (one cylinder) 250 800 tainty and without any well-established routine activities. Mazoot (1 litre) 13 30 Vegetable ghee (Aseel) 615 675 (4 kg) Sanctions: do they work? Cheese 1 kg 80 180 Western governments have long used sanctions and eco- Yogurt 1 litre 35 100 nomic embargoes as a means of promoting democracy but Sugar 1 kg 50 65 have often failed to acknowledge their effects on civilians Cow ghee 1 kg 290 350 despite mounting evidence.14,16,18 – 20 The most recent inter- Milk 1 litre 20 55 national sanctions against Syria were intended to prevent Vegetable oil 1 litre 60 100 Rice 1 kg 40 160 conflict but have not deterred the inflow of arms, damaging Downloaded from http://jpubhealth.oxfordjournals.org/ by guest on November 3, 2015 Eggs 30 80 200 the economy and health services both of which are intrinsic- Tea 250 g 30 45 ally linked.5,14,16,21 Tomatoes 1 kg 15 50 Sanctions in general have caused controversy because eco- nomic embargoes inevitably affect all parts of an economy From http://www.hamafree.com/index.php?name=news&op=view&id= including households. They affect the cost of living, the prices 1208 (adjusted to May 2012 rates for rice and milk). of medicines (which households have to purchase) and the price of utilities such as electricity and water.5,14,15,22 All of these have a direct effect on population health. Such actions in principle contravene the charter of the UN Covenant for longer term, this will lead to the loss of gains made in infec- Economic Social and Cultural Rights because they cause tion prevention and control in diseases such as poliomyelitis, major disruption to food, pharmaceuticals and sanitation and contribute to a rise in morbidity and mortality among supplies.23 children.5,6 Sanctions have prevented the entry of essential medical supplies into the country, including those for cancer, dia- Conclusion betes and heart disease, which are not produced locally and is having an impact upon the thousands dependent upon Since the devastation caused to population health by sanc- such medication to treat long-term conditions.5,14,16,17 There tions in Iraq,4,18,20 there have been regular challenges from are reports that many current refugees into countries bor- public health professionals, moral philosophers, human dering Syria are seeking treatment for urgent chronic condi- rights lawyers among others to their use on the grounds tions.5,14,16,17 The harm to health indicators will remain that they are tantamount to ‘collective punishment’ and hidden as the consequences will only become evident over a therefore against international law.5,6,23 [Concerns about longer period in time. sanctions were also expressed by the UN’s Committee on It is well known that cold weather is especially difficult Economic, Social and Cultural Rights as early as 1997. In an for vulnerable groups such as older people, but in this case extensive discussion the Committee noted that trade sanc- it is aggravated by the difficulties of obtaining oil for tions almost always have a dramatic impact on the rights heating. As the price index (Table 3) shows, the cost of recognized in the Covenant on Economic Social and heating oil increased 2-fold in the past year alone. Cold Cultural Rights frequently causing “significant disruption in weather in the absence of heating will increase droplet and the distribution of food, pharmaceuticals and sanitary sup- respiratory tract infections among the most vulnerable. plies.” (Para 3 in http:/www.unhcr.org/refworld/type, There are indications that these are on the rise following a GENERAL,,,47q7079eO,O.html).] It is not yet clear in bitterly cold winter in 2011 –2012. In the long run, an in- which of these categories Syria will fall into, but the rising crease in mortality and morbidity, from respiratory tract deficiencies to health system infrastructure from a range of infections among older people and children is likely. It will sweeping deprivations already suggest catastrophic effects to lead also to a loss in gains made towards increasing life ex- population health in the years ahead.5,6,22 [Navi Pillay, pectancy and decreasing child mortality rates. Refugees, Commissioner for Human Rights for the UN, reported gross
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