Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence, southwest Western Australia: new insight into stable continental region ...
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Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020 https://doi.org/10.5194/se-11-691-2020 © Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence, southwest Western Australia: new insight into stable continental region earthquakes Dan J. Clark1 , Sarah Brennand1 , Gregory Brenn1 , Matthew C. Garthwaite1 , Jesse Dimech1 , Trevor I. Allen1 , and Sean Standen2 1 Positioning and Community Safety Division, Geoscience Australia, GPO Box 378 Canberra ACT, Australia 2 Faculty of Science, School of Earth Sciences, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Hwy, Crawley, Western Australia, Australia Correspondence: Dan J. Clark (dan.clark@ga.gov.au) Received: 24 July 2019 – Discussion started: 23 August 2019 Revised: 1 March 2020 – Accepted: 25 March 2020 – Published: 30 April 2020 Abstract. A shallow Mw 5.3 earthquake near Lake Muir in mapped using topographic signature prior to the historical the stable continental region (SCR) crust of southwest West- event. Consistent, though fragmentary, evidence exists from ern Australia on the 16 September 2018 was followed on analogous regions worldwide. Our analysis of the Lake Muir the 8 November by a proximal Mw 5.2 event. Focal mech- earthquake sequence therefore provides constraint on models anisms produced for the events suggest reverse and strike- describing mechanisms for strain accumulation and localized slip rupture, respectively. Field mapping, guided by Sentinel- release as earthquakes in non-extended SRC crust. 1 InSAR data, reveals that the first event produced an ap- proximately 3 km long and up to 0.4–0.6 m high west-facing surface rupture, consistent with reverse slip on a moder- ately east-dipping fault. The InSAR data also show that the Copyright statement. The works published in this journal are surface scarp relates to a subsurface rupture ∼ 5 km long, distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. The author’s copyright for this publication is transferred to the bound at its northern and southern extremities by bedrock Commonwealth of Australia. The Creative Commons Attribution structures. The November event produced a surface defor- 4.0 License and the Commonwealth of Australia are interoperable mation envelope that is spatially coincident with that of the and do not conflict with, reduce or limit each other. September event but did not result in discrete surface rup- ture. Almost 900 aftershocks were recorded by a tempo- © Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia) 2020 rary seismometer deployment. Hypocentre locations corre- late poorly with the rupture plane of their respective main- shocks but correlate well with regions of increased Coulomb 1 Introduction stress. The spatial and temporal relationships between the Mw > 5.0 events and their aftershocks reveals dependencies Within the stable continental regions (SCRs) of the world, with implications for how other less well-documented SCR defined by Johnston et al. (1994) as “areas where the con- earthquake sequences could be interpreted. Furthermore, the tinental crust is largely unaffected by currently active plate September Mw 5.3 Lake Muir earthquake was the ninth event boundary processes”, large and potentially damaging earth- documented to have produced surface rupture in Australia in quakes are rare (Johnston, 1994b; Schulte and Mooney, historical times. These nine ruptures are located exclusively 2005). Consequently, mechanisms for strain accumulation in the Precambrian non-extended SCR rocks of central and and localized release as earthquakes are poorly understood western Australia, and none could have been identified and (Talwani, 2014; Calais et al., 2016; Craig et al., 2016; Liu and Stein, 2016; Salditch et al., 2020), and the epistemic Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union.
692 D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence uncertainty associated with fault-displacement hazard (e.g. and Phanerozoic elements based on differences in seismo- Moss and Ross, 2011; Moss et al., 2013) and the recur- genic potential implied by the character of neotectonic fea- rence and fault-source model components of seismic-hazard tures (after Clark et al., 2012; Fig. 1). The older crust was as- assessments (e.g. Stein, 2007; Leonard et al., 2014; Grif- sociated with a lower seismogenic potential, consistent with fin et al., 2020; Allen, 2020) is large. Constraint can be the hypothesis proposed by Mooney et al. (2012) that seis- provided by the analysis of moderate-magnitude historical mogenic potential is inversely proportional to lithospheric earthquake sequences supplemented by the palaeoseismic thickness. Perhaps counterintuitively, the historical record record of large surface-deforming events. Historical surface- of seismicity and surface rupture is particularly rich in the deforming earthquakes are particularly valuable in this re- Australian Precambrian non-extended SCR (Leonard, 2008; spect in that they allow for a more robust interpretation of Clark, 2010; Leonard and Clark, 2011), which has hosted the palaeoseismic record (e.g. through calibration of scal- nine of the 15 historical earthquakes documented to have ing relationships between surface rupture length and earth- produced surface ruptures in SCR crust globally (Table 1, quake magnitude; Wells and Coppersmith, 1994; Clark et al., Fig. 1). 2014b), and a broad range of tools exist with which to char- In this paper we report on the geological setting and char- acterize the surface deformation and so deduce source prop- acteristics of the most recent of the nine surface rupturing erties (e.g. interferometric synthetic aperture radar – InSAR) earthquakes in the Australian Precambrian SCR crust; this and pixel tracking techniques for determining vertical and includes the 2018 Mw 5.3 Lake Muir earthquake. The earth- horizontal coseismic displacements; Massonnet et al., 1993; quake was followed by an extensive aftershock swarm and Klinger et al., 2018; Zhou et al., 2018; Gold et al., 2019). a proximal Mw 5.2 earthquake 51 d after the 16 Septem- Broad agreement exists that SCR crust is not homo- ber event, which deformed but did not break the surface. geneous with respect to seismogenic potential (Johnston, InSAR observations of surface deformation relating to both 1994a; Mooney et al., 2012; Clark et al., 2012). The majority Mw > 5.0 events were validated using field observations, un- of historical moment release in SCR settings is preferentially manned aerial vehicle (UAV)-acquired high-resolution dig- located in failed rifts of Cretaceous to Paleogene age (e.g. ital elevation data and hypocentres calculated from a local Johnston, 1994a; Schulte and Mooney, 2005; Bonini et al., seismic network deployed in the days following the first, 2012; Talwani, 2014) and associated with pronounced lateral Mw 5.3, event. Analysis of the Lake Muir earthquake se- gradients in lithospheric thickness such as at the boundaries quence provides guidance as to how other moderate- to large- of cratons (e.g. Mooney et al., 2012) (Table 1). The largest magnitude SCR seismic sequences might be interpreted (e.g. recorded historical SCR earthquakes have occurred in failed Adams et al., 1992; Bent, 1994; Baumbach et al., 1994) and rift settings; this includes within the Reelfoot Rift (Mueller further constraint for models describing localized strain re- and Pujol, 2001) and the Rann of Kachchh (Rajendran et al., lease as earthquakes in non-extended SCR crust worldwide. 2008). While typically being characterized by a lack of sig- nificant neotectonic relief (White et al., 2009; Talwani, 2014; 1.1 The Lake Muir Earthquake Sequence Goedhart and Booth, 2016; Hornsby et al., 2019), there are notable exceptions where evidence is preserved for strain lo- The Ml 5.7 (Mw 5.3) Lake Muir earthquake occurred at calization over many seismic cycles; typically but not exclu- 04:56:24 UTC on 16 September 2018 in a rural area of south- sively associated with the bounding faults of the failed rifts. west Western Australia, ∼ 60 km east of the town of Man- Examples include the Rann of Kachchh in India (Rajendran jimup and a similar distance north of the town of Walpole et al., 2008; Rastogi et al., 2014), the Tapti Fault in peninsu- (Fig. 2). Approximately 20 km from the epicentre, relatively lar India (Copley et al., 2014), the Reelfoot Rift in the cen- modest Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) values of VI were tral United States (van Arsdale, 2000; Cox et al., 2013), and reported (Allen et al., 2019). With the exception of one un- the Otway, Flinders and Strzelecki ranges of eastern Aus- occupied dwelling in the immediate epicentral area, which tralia (Sandiford, 2003a, b; Celerier et al., 2005; Quigley et was extensively damaged, only minor damage and no in- al., 2006; Hillis et al., 2008; Braun et al., 2009; Clark et al., juries were reported. The event was widely felt throughout 2012) (Fig. 1). the Perth Basin, including the Perth metropolitan region, over While accounting for less than 10 % of historical global 300 km away. Focal mechanisms suggest a reverse faulting SCR moment release (Schulte and Mooney, 2005), non- mechanism, with a minor dextral transcurrent component and extended SCR crust accounts for more than two-thirds of the moderately east and northwest dipping nodal planes (Fig. 2, surface-deforming earthquakes documented (Table 1) and Table 2). Geoscience Australia recorded a magnitude Ml 3.4 is locally associated with a rich palaeoseismic record (e.g. foreshock 3 d prior to the mainshock. A protracted aftershock Crone and Machette, 1995; Rajendran et al., 1996; Crone sequence, comprising hundreds of located events, was punc- et al., 2003; Wheeler, 2006; Clark et al., 2008, 2012, 2015; tuated by a Ml 4.6 event on 12 October at 16:31:30 UTC Estrada, 2009; Quigley et al., 2010; Clark, 2010; Zellman (Fig. 3, Table 2). Almost 2 months after the 16 Septem- and Ostenaa, 2016). Within the Australian SCR, Leonard et ber Mw 5.3 event, a Ml 5.4 (Mw 5.2) event occurred on the al. (2014) divided the non-extended part into Precambrian 8 November at 21:07:01 UTC. Within the error estimates of Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020 www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/
D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence 693 Table 1. Historical earthquake events known to have produced surface rupture in stable continental region crust (expanded after Crone et al., 1997; Clark et al., 2014b). Cells in italic font are events for which an InSAR image was produced. NT: Northern Territory; SA: South Australia; and WA: Western Australia. Event (setting) Year Magnitude Mapped surface Mechanism Max vertical Deformation reference e = extended, (Mw ) rupture length surface n = non-extended, (km)b displacement b = lithospheric boundary (m) Reelfoot Thrust, USA (e) 1812 7.2–7.3 blind (61) R ∼2 Mueller and Pujol (2001) Kutch, India (e) 1819 7.25–8.25 blind (> 90) R 7–9 Rajendran et al. (2008) Accra, Ghana (e) 1939 6.5 9–17 SS 0.46 Bates (1941), Yarwood and Doser (1990) Republic of the Sudan (e) 1956 5.1 6 SS 0 Qureshi and Sadig (1967) Meckering, WA (n) 1968 6.58 37 R 2.5 Gordon and Lewis (1980), Clark and Edwards (2018) Calingiri, WA (n) 1970 5.46 3.3 R 0.4 Gordon and Lewis (1980) Cadoux, WA (n) 1979 6.13 14 R 1.4 Lewis et al. (1981) Guinea (e) 1983 6.2 9.4 SS 0.13 Langer et al. (1987) Marryat Creek, SA (n) 1986 5.74 13 R 0.9 Machette et al. (1993) Tennant Creek, NTa (n) 1988 6.76 36 R 1.8 Crone et al. (1992, 1997) Ungava, Canadaa (n) 1989 6.3 8.5 R 0.8 Bent (1994) Killari, India (n) 1993 6.1 3 (7–15) R 0.5 Rajendran et al. (1996), Satyabala (2006) Bhuj, India (e) 2001 7.7 blind (60) R 3.0 Schmidt and Burgmann (2006), Rajendran et al. (2008) Kallanie, WA (n) 2005 4.4 blind R 0.027 Dawson et al. (2008) Hatanbulag, Mongolia (n,b) 2005 5.2 blind R 0.01 Amarjargal et al. (2013) Katanning, WA (n) 2007 4.73 0.2 (1.26) R 0.1 Dawson et al. (2008) Ernabella (Pukatja), 2012 5.37 1.5 R 0.5 Clark et al. (2014b) SA (n,b) Petermann Ranges, 2016 6.10 15 (20) R 1.0 King et al. (2018), Polcari et NT (n,b) al. (2018), Wang et al. (2019) Botswana (n,b) 2017 6.5 blind N 0.04 Gardonio et al. (2018) Lake Muir, WA (n,b) 2018 5.30 3.2 (7) R 0.4 this article Lake Muir, WA (n,b) 2018 5.20 Blind (4) SS 0 this article Tennant Creek, NT (n) 2019 5.3 Blind R 0.04 https://twitter.com/sotisvalkan/ status/1158362851930726400 (last access: 1 March 2020) Montélimar, France (e) 2019 4.9 < 1?(5) R 0.08 https://twitter.com/sotisvalkan/ status/1194539703858606080 (last access: 1 March 2020) a The Ungava surface rupture formed as the result of two events 0.9 sec apart (Bent, 1994), and Tennant Creek surface rupture was produced by three events in a 12 h period (Bowman, 1992). b Values in brackets estimate the surface rupture length from surface deformation (e.g. InSAR data). www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/ Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020
694 D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence Figure 1. An example of heterogeneity in seismogenic potential within stable continental region (SCR) crust from Australia. Base map shows neotectonic superdomains (after Leonard et al., 2014) and the outlines of Australian states and territories. Neotectonic features (red lines) from the Australian Neotectonic Features Database (Clark et al., 2012; Clark, 2012). Historical surface ruptures shown as red dots labelled with the year of the event. Note all historical surface ruptures have occurred in Precambrian non-extended stable continental region crust (Johnston et al., 1994). Key locations include a: Roopena scarp; b: Hyden scarp, c: Lort River scarp; and d: Dumbleyung scarp. the original hypocentral determinations, this event was collo- 1.2 Geological and seismotectonic setting of the Lake cated with the 16 September event (see weblinks in Table 2). Muir earthquake sequence The focal mechanisms calculated for the November event in- dicate predominantly dextral strike-slip faulting, with steeply The Lake Muir earthquake sequence occurred within 1700– northwest and southwest dipping nodal planes. The percent- 1600 Ma rocks of the Biranup Zone of the Proterozoic age double-couple from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Albany–Fraser Orogen (Fitzsimons and Buchan, 2005; Spag- W-phase moment tensor solution is 31 % (Fig. 2, Table 2). giari et al., 2009) (Fig. 2). During the Mesoproterozoic This event was felt much more strongly and widely than Albany–Fraser Orogeny these rocks were thrust to the north the slightly larger first event, with MMI of VII to VIII be- over the 3000–2600 Ma rocks of the Northern Foreland of ing recorded close to the epicentre. There are several factors the Albany–Fraser Orogen (the portion of the Archaean Yil- that might explain the relatively greater number (and den- garn Craton that was reworked during the Albany–Fraser sity) of felt reports from the 8 November earthquake, includ- Orogeny) along moderately south-dipping faults. In the Lake ing the following:(1) the time of day, which was early morn- Muir region, the dominant east- to east-southeast-striking ing, when people are more likely to be stationary and thus structural grain is associated with the major structures bound- more likely to perceive ground shaking; (2) differences in ing these thrust sheets. East-striking structural and litholog- the ground motion radiation pattern and/or stress drop of the ical trends relating to the Albany–Fraser Orogen are tran- earthquake that may have yielded greater shaking in popu- sected by northwest-trending structures related to Protero- lation centres at perceptible frequencies; and/or (3) greater zoic to earliest Phanerozoic movement on the Darling Fault community awareness of the earthquake sequence and where Zone to the west (Janssen et al., 2003). The Boyagin dike to find sources of further information. Surface rupture relat- swarm cuts across much of the southwest, including the Yil- ing to the September event was initially identified with In- garn Craton and Albany–Fraser Orogen (Prider, 1948; My- SAR (Fig. 2) and has been subsequently verified by ground ers, 1990; Harris and Li, 1995), and is subparallel to this survey (this paper). structural trend. Minor north- and northeast-trending struc- tures may relate to the Gondwana breakup or later move- ment focused on the Darling Fault, parallel structures to the Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020 www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/
D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence 695 Figure 2. Location and geological setting of the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence in southwest Western Australia. Inset shows Precam- brian basement geology and overlying Phanerozoic Perth Basin and Eocene rocks (modified after Geological Survey of Western Australia, 2016). Proterozoic and younger faults and dikes are shown as thick and thin black lines, respectively. Base map in the main frame shows reduced-to-pole total magnetic intensity data (Milligan and Nakamura, 2015). Black triangles show the locations of seismic recording sta- tions (rapid deployment kits are prefixed with LM) and GPS stations (SWSZ prefix). The location of the two M > 5 earthquake epicentres are shown by white stars, with arrows indicting the associated focal mechanisms (see Table 2 for source). The surface rupture trace from the September event and the surface deformation front from the November event are shown by solid and dashed black lines, respectively (see text for details). The InSAR phase image for the September Mw 5.3 earthquake is overlain to demonstrate the scale of surface deformation. west thereof (e.g. the Dunsborough and Busselton faults) the SWSZ appears to have increased significantly since the and associated oblique structures (Harris, 1996; Olierook et 1940s (Leonard, 2008), and it has generated five of the nine al., 2015). Eocene alluvial sediments (Werillup Formation) known Australian historic surface ruptures (all associated and marine siltstone and sandstone (Pallinup Formation) lo- with reverse faulting, Table 1). In addition to large shallow cally infill topography in the crystalline basement (Wilde and events and scattered smaller events, the SWSZ has produced Walker, 1984). Deposits have been correlated to map a Pa- several dozen earthquake swarms in the last 40 years, includ- leogene palaeo-channel system (Smith, 2010). These sed- ing the Burakin swarm of 2000–2002 during where ∼ 18 000 iments and ferricrete developed within them are reported events of mixed focal mechanism (including six events in to be locally faulted by up to 5–7 m vertically based upon the magnitude range Mw 4.0–4.6) were recorded in a period evidence from drill holes (Chakravartula and Street, 2000; of only a few months (Leonard, 2002; Allen et al., 2006; Smith, 2010). The sparsity of boreholes precludes determi- Dent, 2016). While most swarm centres occur within the nation of fault orientation. SWSZ, they have a broader distribution across the southwest The Lake Muir region lies near to the southern bound- of Western Australia (Dent, 2016), with an essentially ran- ary of a broad band of relatively high seismicity crossing dom pattern that is similar to fault scarps relating to prehis- the southwest corner of Western Australia known as the torical events (Clark, 2010; Clark et al., 2012). The relatively Southwest Seismic Zone (SWSZ; Doyle, 1971), which is uniform spatial distribution of north-trending reverse fault one of the most seismically active regions in Australia (e.g. scarps is consistent with scarp formation under conditions Leonard, 2008; Allen et al., 2018). Earthquake activity in imposed by the contemporary east–west oriented compres- www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/ Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020
696 D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence Figure 3. Map of the Lake Muir surface ruptures and associated seismicity. Background map is part of the Western Australian Department of Biodiversity, Conservation and Attractions lidar holdings (https://www.dbca.wa.gov.au/contact-us, last access: 27 September 2018) with Esri world imagery overlain at 75 % transparency. White line shows the extent of the discrete surface rupture relating to the September event, as mapped from InSAR. Superposed black lines are scarp segments mapped on the ground. Grey dashed line shows the discrete line of deformation relating to the November event, as mapped from InSAR. The three largest events and their uncertainty ellipses, 16 September Mw 5.3, 12 October Ml 4.6 and 8 November Mw 5.2, are consecutively numbered (see Table 2). sive crustal stress regime (e.g. Rajabi et al., 2017b) and sug- stances to be rejuvenating the drainage within flat-bottomed gests that seismogenic strain release is uniformly distributed valleys, resulting in the removal of valley-fill sediments and over the Yilgarn Craton over the timescale recorded in the the accentuation of structural trends evident in the align- land surface (ca. 100 kyr or more) (Leonard and Clark, 2011). ment of adjacent linear ridges. There is no landscape evi- dence for sharp vertical dislocations of valley floor sediments 1.3 Landscape context of the Lake Muir earthquake that might relate to Late Pleistocene or Holocene surface- sequence rupturing seismic events. Examination of a 2012 lidar dataset (see the Supplement) re- 2 Methods vealed the presence of an alignment of valleys and ridges that mimics structural trends evident in the continental- and 2.1 InSAR processing method regional-scale magnetic data (cf. Figs. 2 and 3) (Chakravar- tula and Street, 2000; Milligan and Nakamura, 2015). The Since the 1992 Mw 7.3 Landers earthquake (Massonnet et main ridge-line, valley and drainage trends in the study area al., 1993), remote sensing techniques have been shown to be are broadly to the east-southeast and north, with a subordi- valuable tools for observing surface deformation and dam- nate northwest trend (black double-ended arrows in Fig. 3). age patterns relating to earthquakes in a range of tectonic Ridges are subdued, broad and undulating. Valley floors are settings (e.g. Livio et al., 2017; Klinger et al., 2018; Wang flat-bottomed and are locally occupied by lakes and swamps, et al., 2019; Gold et al., 2019; Scott et al., 2019). Interfer- implying the presence of significant sedimentary infill (cf. ometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) in particular has Commander et al., 2001; Smith, 2010). Lunettes are devel- greatly improved the detectability of surface faulting and sur- oped on the east and southeast sides of most lakes, often face deformation, especially relating to small- to moderate- with evidence for minor remobilization into parabolic dunes. sized earthquake sequences in remote or poorly instrumented Knickpoint retreat from a regional topographic low to the areas, such as SCRs (Satyabala, 2006; Dawson et al., 2008; southwest occupied by Lake Muir is observed in several in- Amarjargal et al., 2013; Livio et al., 2017; Gardonio et Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020 www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/
D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence 697 al., 2018). Surface deformation relating to 11 SCR earth- quakes has been imaged using InSAR (Table 1). Following the launch of Sentinel-1A and Sentinel-1B missions in 2014 Event page (USGS for moment tensors) (last access: 23 June 2019) and 2016, respectively, there is now a near-global coverage https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us2000hfcw https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us1000hpej of SAR acquisitions every 12 d (https://sentinel.esa.int/web/ sentinel/missions/sentinel-1/overview, last access: 23 June 2019). The availability of this rich dataset has enabled global https://earthquakes.ga.gov.au/event/ga2018wamvnf systematic studies of earthquake detectability in InSAR data https://earthquakes.ga.gov.au/event/ga2018sfzeme https://earthquakes.ga.gov.au/event/ga2018ucpciy (e.g. Barnhart et al., 2019; Funning and Garcia, 2019) and, for the first time in an SCR setting, has allowed us to con- struct coseismic interferograms for two events within the same SCR seismic sequence. For each of the two earthquake events we generated a co- seismic interferogram from two Sentinel-1 interferometric wide-swath SAR images (earthquake 1: 14 and 26 Septem- ber 2018; earthquake 2: 1 and 13 November 2018) using a standard interferometric SAR processing workflow imple- mented with the Gamma software (Wegmüller and Werner, 1997). The topographic component of the phase signal was Table 2. Selected source parameters and resource links for the three largest events in the Lake Muir earthquake sequence. removed using a 1 arcsec Shuttle Radar Tomography Mis- sion (SRTM) digital elevation model (Geoscience Australia, 2011), and the orbital component was removed using pre- cise orbital ephemerides (POE) products. Each interferogram was subsampled (multi-looked) eight times in range and two 5.71 4.6 5.40 Ml times in azimuth to reduce phase noise. An adaptive spatial filter (Goldstein and Werner, 1998) with exponent 0.5 was 5.32 5.19 Mw applied to each interferogram to further reduce phase noise prior to automatic unwrapping using a minimum-cost flow Depth uncert. (km) 1.92 1.90 1.46 algorithm (Costantini, 1998). The automatically unwrapped interferogram for the September earthquake had significant errors due to poorer phase coherence around the surface rup- ture zone. A manual approach to unwrapping this interfer- ogram was therefore applied using the branch-cut method (Goldstein et al., 1988). Depth (km) 1.72 5.77 3.02 2.2 Field observation and UAV digital terrain models Max horiz. uncert. (km) 1.19 0.88 1.05 The epicentral regions of the earthquakes were visited over 3 d (12–14 November 2018), less than a week after the November event. The scarp produced by the September event was mapped, and evidence for rejuvenation of the scarp dur- Longitude 116.7792 116.7988 116.7704 ing the November event was assessed. A hand trench was excavated across the central section of the September scarp to assess fault dip and displacement. Because InSAR captures a single displacement vector in Latitude −34.4102 −34.3953 −34.4347 the radar line of sight (LOS) and commonly decorrelates in regions close to earthquake surface ruptures where displace- ment gradients exceed the Nyquist sampling rate or cause pixels to no longer overlap (e.g. Hamling et al., 2017; Met- 16 September 2018 zger et al., 2017; Gold et al., 2019), it is desirable to ob- 8 November 2018 12 October 2018 tain independent validation data. In order to recover part of Date (UTC) the surface vertical deformation envelope associated with the events, aerial photographs were acquired with a DJI Phan- tom 4 unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) in an approximately 500 m wide swath along a 2 km length of the September event www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/ Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020
698 D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence scarp. An approximately 2 km long cross line was also flown, 2.3 Rapid deployment aftershock kits extending eastward from the scarp across the region of most significant surface deformation indicated in the InSAR im- Within 5 d of the 16 September event five seismic rapid de- agery (Fig. 3). Ground control was provided by an RTK GPS, ployment kits (RDKs) and three GPS kits were deployed with mean horizontal and vertical measurement uncertainties in the epicentral region (Fig. 2). The seismic sensors in- of 0.026 ± 0.025 and 0.056 ± 0.055 m, respectively. A third cluded four short-period Lennartz LE-3Dlite seismometers mission covered the southern extent of surface deformation and one Trillium Compact seismometer. The short-period in- indicated in the InSAR imagery (Fig. 3). The results of this struments were paired with Nanometrics Titan accelerome- mission are presented in the Supplement (Fig. S1). ters recording at 200 Hz to capture any strong ground mo- The image dataset was processed using a structure-from- tions from the aftershock sequence. The RDK locations (pre- motion (SfM) and multi-view stereo approach, implemented fixed LM on Fig. 2) were selected to maximize azimuthal in the software Agisoft Photoscan Pro 1.4.3 (Agisoft LCC, coverage of the study area, taking into account the loca- 2018). The resulting dense point cloud achieved a stan- tion of one permanent Australian National Seismic Network dard deviation of the location differences between it and (ANSN) station near Rocky Gully (RKGY), fortuitously lo- the control points of 0.09 m in the horizontal and 0.01 m cated 24 km from the epicentre of the 16 September earth- in the vertical, which is comparable to other studies us- quake. The network geometry also considered the capture of ing similar ground control point (GCP) densities (e.g. Gin- ground-motion data at a range of source–receiver distances draux et al., 2017). Several studies of factors impacting lo- for subsequent attenuation studies. One RDK (LM01) was cal photogrammetry-derived digital terrain model (DTM) ac- deployed at the initial epicentral location of the 16 Septem- curacy (e.g. Tonkin and Midgley, 2016; Gindraux et al., ber event. Waveform data were telemetered in real-time to 2017) report a vertical accuracy decrease of ∼ 0.1 m for ev- the National Earthquake Alerts Centre at Geoscience Aus- ery 100 m increase in the distance to the closest GCP. In our tralia to support real-time aftershock detection and analysis. study the maximum distance from a control point is on the The RDK locations therefore required adequate connection order of 200–300 m. A 6 cm resolution DTM was produced to local 3G and 4G telecommunication networks. Additional from the dense point cloud. factors considered in the deployment configuration were the The elevation values from a lidar dataset collected by the local site geology, availability of sunlight to power the sen- Western Australian Government Department of Biodiversity, sors and land access. Conservation and Attractions in 2012 were subtracted from The three GPS kits were deployed on existing survey the UAV DTM produced in this study, to produce a DTM of marks within a broader network covering the SWSZ, one difference (DoD; Williams, 2012). The average magnitude of of which was last occupied in 2012. The survey marks used the uncertainties associated with the elevation values for the (SWSZ45, SWSZ46 and SWSZ48) were approximately 36, lidar dataset is reported as 0.063 ± 0.074 m. The combined 65 and 25 km away from the epicentral region, respectively location uncertainty in the DoD might therefore be expected (Fig. 2). Processing of the acquired GPS data from the to be on the order of 0.1–0.2 m. Details of the processing SWSZ46 site produced an anomalous vertical displacement steps are presented in the Supplement. signal indicating 12 mm of subsidence. This signal could not The focal mechanism computed for the September earth- be reconciled with the surface deformation related to the quake (Fig. 2) indicates almost pure reverse motion. In this earthquakes, which was constrained to a near-field region instance, the majority of landscape change would be ex- smaller than 10 km from the surface rupture (Fig. 2), and so pected to be vertical and so detectable in the DoD. In con- it is not discussed any further here. trast, the November earthquake was dominantly strike-slip (Fig. 2). The deformation envelope detectible with the de- ployed technologies should therefore relate almost exclu- 3 Results sively to the September reverse faulting event, with further deformation from the November event remaining largely un- 3.1 Field observations detected. To quantify vertical surface displacement associ- ated with the September earthquake, we extracted swath pro- Initial reports from local residents following the September files through the DoD (and the unwrapped InSAR images) earthquake indicated the presence of west-facing fault scarps parallel and perpendicular to the rupture using the swath intersecting several farm tracks (e.g. Fig. 4a), loss of ten- profiler tool for Esri ArcGIS (Pérez-Peña et al., 2017). The sion in an east–west running fence line (GDA94/MGA50; swath profiles sample the topography perpendicular to the 479590 m E, 6192140 m N) and cracking in farm dam walls profile to a set on distance either side of the profile line. A related to lateral spreading (Fig. 4b). Field investigation range of statistics (percentiles, quartiles and max/min/mean) demonstrated that the track intersections could be linked to might then be assessed in order to account for the noisy char- form an approximately 3 km long, concave-to-the-east, west- acter of the UAV-derived DTM. facing crescentic scarp (Fig. 3). In detail, the scarp comprises a series of left- and right-stepping en échelon segments 100– Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020 www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/
D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence 699 200 m long. In the central 2 km of the scarp, each segment ers report that there was a “freshening” (rejuvenation) of the is associated with up to 20–40 cm of vertical displacement scarp at this location following the November event. The (Fig. 4c, d). The morphology of individual scarp segments presence of fine cracking details in November, given there show little evidence for a strike-slip component to motion, were significant rainfall events in October, support these varying between discrete thrust surface rupture with local anecdotes. The observations are consistent with a reverse fault-parallel folding and cracking and discrete thrust sur- oblique (sinistral) reactivation of this segment of the scarp. face rupture with mole tracks (cf. Lin et al., 2004) and exten- South of the track intersection, the scarp is lost in bushland. sional fissuring associated with topographic bulges. Where However, heavy tree limb fall and the occasional toppled tree the scarp crossed drainage lines, presumably associated with was observed along strike for a further ∼ 400 m to the south- metres of sandy alluvial sediments, it becomes a broad warp, east, suggesting strong localized ground shaking during the often associated with extensional fissuring parallel to the September event (Fig. 3). warp-crest and warp-perpendicular cracking at step overs. A hand trench 2.3 m long and 1.2 m deep was excavated 3.2 Wrapped and unwrapped Sentinel-1 perpendicular to the scarp trace at a location where the ver- interferograms for both events tical displacement was on the order of 0.3–0.4 m (Figs. 4c and 5). Here, the scarp has an average trend of 25◦ , and scarp The wrapped interferogram for the September event shows segments are right stepping (GDA94/MGA50; 479290 m E, an extent of surface deformation ∼ 12 km in an east–west di- 6191500 m N). The exposed stratigraphy consists of an ap- rection and ∼ 8 km in a north–south direction (Figs. 2, 6a). proximately 0.10–0.12 m thick organic-rich grey brown silty A linear surface deformation front relating to the rupture can sand overlying ∼ 0.4 m of pale grey medium sand that be- be traced for approximately 5 km. The central ∼ 3 km cor- comes pisolitic with depth (Fig. 5b, c). This layer in turn responds to the fault scarp mapped on the ground. The un- overlies an orange/red mottled grey clayey sand to the bot- wrapped interferogram (Fig. 6b) shows a broad shallow lobe tom of the trench. We interpret the profile to reflect an in of negative line of sight (LOS) change that extends from the situ weathering profile developed in Albany–Fraser Oro- west to the surface scarp (equivalent to ∼ 2.5 fringes in the gen bedrock. Approximately 0.18–0.20 m of the pre-event wrapped image). From the east, a broad shallow lobe of pos- organic-rich sandy soil had been over thrust along a 20◦ east- itive LOS change (∼ 2 fringes in the wrapped image) transi- dipping reverse fault that steepened to 30◦ towards the base tions to a tight (∼ 1.5 km wide) band of negative LOS change of the trench (Fig. 5c). A vertical scarp-parallel tension fis- characterized by at least 10 fringes. The images lose coher- sure ∼ 0.7 m east of the trench suggests that the fault dip ence in the 200–300 m east of the scarp and in proximity to steepens again at shallow depth (Fig. 4c). Drag of layering in Lake Noobijup (cf. Fig. 3). Coherence is also partly lost be- the hanging wall along the fault resulted in the formation of a neath an approximately 2 km wide (N–S) easterly trending prominent hanging-wall fold. The total vertical deformation band of pine forest (see Figs. 3 and 6a for location). at this site is shared approximately equally between discrete The unwrapped interferogram for the September event slip across the fault plane and folding. (Fig. 6b) shows a maximum LOS displacement towards the South of 479130 m E, 6191120 m N (GDA94/MGA50) the satellite of approximately 0.20–0.24 m along the eastern side scarp steps 50 m to the west, the general scarp strike is 355◦ , of the central ∼ 1.5–2.0 km of the scarp. These values are and scarp segments become left stepping. The scarp is as- approximately half of the maximum scarp height recorded sociated with a 0.2–0.3 m vertical landscape step which ex- by UAV field measurement and approximately one-third the tends some 400 m south from this location, before entering maximum magnitude of slip along the fault plane that might dense pine plantation and becoming difficult to follow due to be calculated from the trench exposure (see also next sec- extensive landscape disturbance (e.g. furrowing) and a thick tion). The southern 1.3 km of scarp mapped on the ground layer of organic matter cloaking the ground surface (Fig. 4d). occurs mainly beneath pine forest, and the unwrapping al- Within the pine forest, the scarp maintains a vertical displace- gorithm failed to reproduce measured scarp heights of 20– ment of 0.2–0.4 m, before stepping again 50 m to the west at 40 cm in this area. Similarly, the unwrapping algorithm per- 479190 m E, 6190050 m N (GDA94/MGA50). formed poorly in the swampy vegetated land proximal to The segments south of the step-over strike ∼ 340–350◦ Lake Noobijup. and decrease in vertical displacement from ∼ 0.3 to ∼ 0.1 m The hanging wall uplift diminishes to the east of the scarp at the most southerly intersection of the scarp with a and is fringed by a broad region of positive LOS change, farm track (GDA94/MGA50; 479320 m E, 6189440 m N). At corresponding to depression of the land surface. The deep- this track intersection, observed after the November event, est region of depression of the ground surface is centred on the scarp comprises dominant southeast-trending elements Lake Noobijup (∼ 13 cm LOS increase). This area also cor- which are locally offset (left stepping) across east-trending responds to the highest density of aftershocks following the lineaments. These become tensional fissures on the eastern September mainshock (Figs. 3 and 6b). The depressed region up-thrown side of the scarp. The vertical displacement across has well-defined northern and southern extents, terminating the scarp at this location is approximately 0.1 m. Landown- at east- and southeast-trending structures, respectively. The www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/ Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020
700 D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence Figure 4. Photographs of the surface rupture: (a) 13 cm high scarp crossing farm track. Photo taken by Roger Hearn on 27 September 2018. Looking north (479101 m E, 6190727 m N); (b) east-trending tension fissures relating to lateral spread into a farm dam (479588 m E, 6192126 m N); (c) 40 cm high scarp and hanging wall tension fissure at the hand trench location (see Fig. 5). Looking north (479285 m E, 6191496 m N); (d) 40 cm high scarp in pine plantation. Looking northeast (479112 m E, 6190422 m N). GD94/MGA50. Figure 5. Hand trench location (479285 m E, 6191496 m N; GDA94/MGA50). (a) Subset of the photogrammetrically-derived UAV DTM (see Fig. 3 for full footprint), with topographic section indicated by the black line. Colour drape has been tilted to remove regional topographic slope and enhance relative differences. (b) Photomosaic of the north wall of the hand trench showing folded and displaced strata and (c) interpretation of stratigraphy and structure of the north wall of the hand trench. Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020 www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/
D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence 701 Figure 6. Phase images and images of the unwrapped InSAR line of sight (LOS) displacement field for the (a, b) September Mw 5.3 and (c, d) November Mw 5.2 events. The location of the surface rupture relating to the September event is shown as a white line, with a black dashed line showing where the scarp was observed in the field. The surface deformation front relating to the November event is shown as a dashed black line. Refer to Fig. 2 for focal mechanisms. Seismicity before and after the November event is shown black dots in panels (a) and (b) and (c) and (d), respectively. The mainshocks are shown as red stars. Each fringe in panels (a) and (c) represents 2.8 cm of LOS range change. Note several unwrapping errors are evident as regions bound by a step jump at the northern and southern end of the scarp in panel (b). The north–south extent of an easterly trending band of pine forest associated with degradation of coherence is indicated with a white arrow in panel (a). areal extent of the depressed region is surprisingly large for dislocation model (Okada, 1985) suggests that a discrete sur- a reverse fault rupture (cf. King et al., 1988; Ellis and Dens- face rupture may not have been produced (i.e. the rupture more, 2006). tip remained buried) (Fig. S4). Indeed, structures unambigu- The InSAR images for the November event (Fig. 6c, d) ex- ously relating to the main rupture were not observed in the hibit the classic quadrupole pattern of an almost pure strike- field. Potential evidence for secondary surface deformation slip rupture and are consistent with a maximum of ∼ 5–8 cm relating to the main failure plane of this event was seen as of right lateral slip having occurred at the surface relating a series of fresh-looking east-trending left-stepping dilata- to rupture of a northeast-trending, steeply northwest dipping tional cracks expressed in a boundary track at 478970 m E, fault. This contrasts with the focal mechanism for the event, 6190390 m N (GDA94/MGA50). No vertical displacement which suggests an oblique compressive rake (Fig. 2). Al- was observed to be associated with these features. though the deformation pattern shows a sharp linear discon- The deformation pattern relating to the November event is tinuity for ∼ 1 km to either side of the intersection of the also seen to be influenced by the northwest-trending struc- November failure plane with the September rupture plane, ture that forms the southern termination of the September simple forward modelling using a finite rectangular elastic event. This lineament is discernible in the November event www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/ Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020
702 D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence unwrapped InSAR from the intersection of the surface pro- subtle (≤ 5 cm high) linear topographic feature, extending jection of the rupture planes to approximately 1.8 km south- over ∼ 560 m, which was coincident with the surface dis- east (Fig. 6d). Minor reverse-oblique movement on this struc- placement implied by the InSAR data (Fig. 7b). ture during the November event may have been responsible for the reports of a local freshening of the September scarp. 3.4 Mainshock and aftershock relocation 3.3 Comparison of UAV-derived and InSAR-derived deformation surfaces In the period from 16 September to 23 November, 884 earth- quakes were recorded by stations from the permanent ANSN Part of the vertical displacement envelope resulting from network and the five rapid-deployment aftershock kits tem- the September earthquake was recovered by differencing the porarily installed in the epicentral region. These events in- DTM acquired by UAV and the 2012 lidar dataset (Fig. 7; see clude the largest aftershock (12 October, Ml 4.6) and the Sect. 2.2 and the Supplement for methods). Scarp-parallel November Mw 5.2 event. Initial locations for these events and scarp-perpendicular profiles through the resulting DTM were computed using the SeisComP3 seismological software of difference (DoD) ubiquitously show a larger displacement (Weber et al., 2007) and the LocSAT location algorithm magnitude than the InSAR-derived LOS displacement esti- (Bratt and Bache, 1988). P- and S-wave arrival times were mates (Fig. 7b, c). However, the general form of the two de- manually picked and reviewed by Geoscience Australia seis- formation envelope estimates is consistent. A broad uplifted mic analysts. The mean location uncertainties in this dataset region to the east of the scarp trace in the DoD corresponds to were found to be 3.39 km in the horizontal direction and the area of greatest uplift evident in the InSAR data (Fig. 7a). 2.33 km in the up direction. To better constrain the location Further, the InSAR LOS phase image indicates that the east- and pattern of aftershocks, events from this dataset were in- ern end of the DoD profile is located in a broad region of put for relocation using the HypoDD double-difference rel- topographic depression relative to the far field (∼ 2 fringes), ative location algorithm (Waldhauser and Ellsworth, 2000), while the western end is raised relative to the far field (∼ 2.5 implemented in the software hypoDDpy (Krischer, 2015) fringes) (cf. Fig. 7c blue line and Figs. 6a and b). This is re- (see the Supplement for detail). The HypoDD algorithm min- flected in a ∼ 0.3 m vertical difference between eastern and imizes errors in hypocentral locations that are commonly at- western ends of the UAV DoD profile. tributed to uncertainties in Earth structure along the event- Importantly, the UAV DoD captures deformation close to station ray path. The final relocation included a subset of 470 the scarp trace where the InSAR images lose coherence. For events from this catalogue (Figs. 3 and S2). The mean loca- example, the InSAR data did not image a ∼ 0.1 m deep foot- tion uncertainties in the relocated dataset were found to be wall depression that occurs within ∼ 100 m to the west of 63, 116 and 228 m in the east, north and up directions, re- the scarp trace. Along the ∼ 2 km length of scarp that was spectively. covered by the UAV DoD, the average height of the scarp, Both the largest aftershock (Ml 4.6) and the November as measured along a 100 m wide swath profile (Fig. 7b), Mw 5.2 event did not meet criteria for relocation in Hy- is 0.46 ± 0.11 m. The landscape dislocation is shown to be poDD using nearby seismic stations. However, both events sharpest in the ∼ 10–30 m east of the scarp trace and con- were clearly recorded with good azimuthal coverage at re- sistent in magnitude with that measured by RTK GPS at the gional and teleseismic distances. Based on waveforms from location of the trench (cf. Figs. 5 and 7c). The topography 19 stations in Australia, Antarctica, Kazakhstan, Mongolia then continues rising at a lower rate to a maximum vertical and Thailand a separate relative location of these two events displacement within ∼ 200 m east of the scarp trace, before was calculated, together with the September Mw 5.3 main- falling relatively smoothly over a kilometre (Fig. 7c). The shock, by manually aligning the distant waveforms and per- fact that uplift associated with the fault tip is distributed over forming a joint hypocentre determination (Pujol, 2000; Fisk, the ∼ 200 m east of the scarp trace suggests that the scarp- 2002; see the Supplement for detail). The September and parallel DoD swath profile, spot measurements of scarp November earthquakes were then anchored to the Ml 4.6 af- height (green dots in Fig. 7b) and the two-dimensional UAV tershock location, which was well constrained in an absolute profiles (red dots in Fig. 7b) all underestimate total vertical sense, as it occurred within ∼ 0.6 km of the LM01 seismo- deformation to some degree. A similar result was derived graph station. In this way a better estimation of the absolute for the 2018 Petermann Ranges earthquake surface rupture location of the point of initiation for both the September and (Gold et al., 2019). November earthquakes was produced (Table 2). For calcu- No surface expression or ground cracking was observed lations, the depths for all three events were fixed to 2 km. on the ground along the southeast-trending feature imaged This is justified in that the calculations were performed us- in the InSAR-derived LOS displacement data at the south- ing P phases from regional and teleseismic stations, so the ern end of the September rupture (cf. Fig. 6b). However, a epicentral solutions are fairly insensitive to depth. The depth DoD constructed over the area (see Fig. 7a for mission out- estimates presented in Table 2 relate to the initial locations line and Fig. S1 for results) revealed the presence of a very calculated using the permanent ANSN network, which was Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020 www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/
D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence 703 Figure 7. Relative coseismic displacement swath profiles through UAV and InSAR data. (a) Location of scarp parallel and perpendicular swath profiles. Mapped scarp elements are shown in red. Length-weighted rose diagrams (north up) show orientation of scarp elements. The extents of the UAV surveys are shown as black outlines. UAV DTM differenced against lidar is shown over main scarp segment (blues are small; greys are large). Location and uncertainty ellipse for the September Mw 5.3 event is shown with a star and red dashed line, respectively. Base map is the InSAR phase image for the September event over lidar (datum/projection in GDA94/MGA50); (b) scarp-parallel profiles. UAV profiles sample a 100 m wide swath centred on the profile line and plot relative vertical displacement. The 90th percentile minus the 10th percentile value elevation value is plotted to reduce noise in the UAV data resulting from the difficulty in removing low vegetation inherent to structure from motion DTMs. UAV two-dimensional profiles plot the vertical displacement measured from single profile lines through small area UAV DTMs flown along forest trails. Spot heights were measured visually with a tape measure where the forest was too dense for other techniques to be used. InSAR swath profiles are collocated with the UAV profile lines and sample 300 m to either side of the profile line. These plot relative LOS displacement, calculated as the difference between the maximum and the minimum value in each scarp-perpendicular swath. (c) First to third quartile range of a scarp-perpendicular swath profile through the UAV data is plotted along with the mean value to demonstrate the precision of the UAV data. Variation in LOS displacement for the collocated unwrapped InSAR profile is not resolvable at the scale of the figure, so the maximum value sampled by each scarp-parallel swath is plotted. Zero relative displacement is arbitrarily pinned to the eastern end of the profile in part. supplemented by the five rapid deployment aftershock kits ber mainshocks are located predominantly east of the line for the latter two events. of the surface rupture (Fig. 6a, b). The associated hypocen- The relocated position of the September Mw 5.3 epicentre tres occur between ∼ 1.5 and 4 km depth and below a plane is seen to coincide with the region of most prominent sur- extending from the trailing edge of the surface rupture dip- face uplift imaged in the unwrapped InSAR image (Fig. 6b) ping at 50◦ to the east (Fig. 8). Considerations of the preser- and the greatest scarp height (Fig. 7a). Aftershock epicentres vation of seismic moment (i.e. M0 = shear modulus × fault occurring in the interval between the September and Novem- area × average displacement; Hanks and Kanamori, 1979) www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/ Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020
704 D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence Figure 8. Coulomb stress changes resulting from the September Mw 5.3 event (upper panels show a horizontal section at 3 km depth, and lower panels show a vertical section along the line A–B), (a) resolved for reverse faults parallel to the November rupture plane and (b) resolved for optimally oriented strike-slip faults. The rupture area was modelled as being 5.0 km long by 1.17 km wide to constrain seismic moment and slip and 50◦ east-dipping, consistent with the USGS focal mechanism for the event (Fig. 2, Table 2). Relocated hypocentres prior to the November mainshock are projected onto the horizontal plane in the upper panels, and onto the vertical A–B section plane in the lower panels (see Fig. 3 for seismicity legend). Black line is the surface deformation trace interpreted from ground observations and InSAR data. Black arrows in the upper panels point to the position of the November Mw 5.3 strike-slip event rupture plane. suggest that the September rupture is unlikely to have ex- tent with the USGS focal mechanism for the event (Table 2), tended beyond ∼ 1 km depth, implying that few if any of the and with field data and modelling of the compressional re- aftershocks nucleated on the rupture plane. This is particu- activation of reverse faults (Sibson et al., 2012). The value larly the case for the largest aftershock (Ml 4.6) – the uncer- is significantly different to the 30◦ dipping rupture plane ex- tainty ellipse for this event occurs almost entirely below the posed in the trench. We reconcile the two values in that the depth of other aftershocks. A linear cluster of hypocentres near surface may not be a good indicator of the fault dip at is located directly below the southeastern end of the rupture, depth (cf. King et al., 2019, Fig. 4). This is supported by the parallel to the northwest–southeast oriented southern termi- prominent tension fissure east of the scarp at the trench lo- nal structure at the surface (Fig. 6b). Similarly, a loose clus- cation, which indicates a steeper rupture dip at depth at least ter of hypocentres, including the Ml 4.6 aftershock, underlies locally (Fig. 4c). As the focal mechanisms of the aftershocks the east–west-trending valley bounding the northern end of are not known, results are presented with stresses resolved the reverse rupture imaged in the InSAR data (Figs. 3 and for both reverse and strike-slip (Fig. 8a and b, respectively). 6a). Steep dips for terminal structures at the northern and In both cases, increases in Coulomb stress are modelled to southern ends of the reverse rupture are consistent with their have occurred down dip of the trailing edge of the rupture orientation at a low angle to the easterly maximum horizon- plane and to a lesser degree in the footwall block at depth. tal compression direction (SHmax ) of the extant crustal stress The majority of aftershock hypocentre locations show excel- field (cf. Rajabi et al., 2017b). lent correlation with the volume of increased Coulomb stress The central ∼ 5 km of the September rupture, where the downdip of the rupture plane. Hypocentres in the footwall most significant surface displacement was observed, was block only occur in regions of increased Coulomb stress if modelled for Coulomb stress changes (e.g. Lin and Stein, it is resolved for optimal strike-slip faults (Fig. 8b). A broad 2004; Toda et al., 2005) (Fig. 8; see the Supplement for de- region of shallow stress relief above the trailing edge of the tail of method and parametrization). A dip of 50◦ to the east rupture corresponds with a landscape depression imaged in was assigned to the rupture for modelling purposes, consis- the InSAR (cf. Fig. 6b). Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020 www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/
D. J. Clark et al.: Surface deformation relating to the 2018 Lake Muir earthquake sequence 705 As mentioned in Sect. 3.2, simple forward modelling using Lake Muir earthquake, where only descending-pass Sentinel- a finite rectangular elastic dislocation model (Okada, 1985) 1 SAR data are available. Displacement measurements de- (Fig. S4) suggests that a discrete surface rupture may not rived from InSAR analysis of this data must therefore be have been produced during the November strike-slip event. interpreted in the LOS, and horizontal and vertical signals Based upon the InSAR surface deformation envelope (cf. cannot be unambiguously separated. Fig. 6c), a rupture ∼ 4 km long and extending from 1.0 to This is problematic when attempting to reconcile the 2.5 km depth is preferred (Figs. S3 and S4). If Coulomb single-geometry InSAR LOS data with the absolute elevation stress changes resulting from the September rupture are re- changes captured by the UAV (e.g. Fig. 7b and c). However, solved for optimally oriented strike-slip receiver faults, the the descending orbit of the Sentinel-1 data used here has a plane of the November rupture is seen to be positively ground azimuth of 196◦ , and the SAR sensor looks perpen- stressed over more than half of its area (Fig. S4b). The case dicularly to the right of this orbit direction (i.e. 286◦ ). The might then be made that the November event was triggered LOS of the SAR sensor is very close to the P axis of the focal by static stress changes associated with the September event mechanism of the September earthquake (288◦ ). If the earth- (cf. Mohammadi et al., 2019). However, additional factors quake resulted in almost pure thrust motion along the line may be involved as the stress increase is only on the order of the P axis, as suggested by the focal mechanism (±10◦ ), of 0.1–0.2 MPa in the region of nucleation of the November the single InSAR viewing geometry should be sensitive to earthquake. the full surface deformation field. The geometry problem is The November Mw 5.2 mainshock is located within a dif- thus reduced approximately to a vertical plane containing the fuse elongated cluster of dependant aftershock hypocentres LOS vector and the slip vector. at ∼ 3–4 km depth, which trends parallel to the northeast– We use the above understanding to empirically derive a southwest orientation of the surface deformation front im- multiplicative factor of 2.75, which produces a generally aged in the InSAR data, offset to the southeast by 0.25– good match between the forms of both scarp-perpendicular 1.5 km (Figs. 6c, d). Hypocentres predominantly occur at and scarp-parallel InSAR LOS and UAV vertical displace- a greater depth than the preferred November event rupture ment profiles (Fig. 7b and c, dashed black lines). This factor plane (Fig. S4b). is consistent with our assumption of a 50◦ fault dip, given the ∼ 41◦ side-look angle of the Sentinel-1 sensor at our field location. It is useful to apply this factor to “correct” the In- 4 Discussion SAR profile to enable a comparison of the UAV and InSAR data. There are two locations on the profiles where the match 4.1 Characteristics of the Lake Muir surface rupture is poor. Firstly, the corrected InSAR LOS profile underesti- sequence mates the vertical displacement compared to the UAV profile The comparison of field observations, InSAR imagery and from 2750 to 3250 m along the profile in Fig. 7b. This region aftershock earthquake catalogue has permitted exploration corresponds to a 50 m left step in the scarp and a 25◦ change of the surface and subsurface deformation field related to the in strike direction (Fig. 7a). The assumption that the InSAR Lake Muir earthquake sequence in unprecedented resolution. LOS direction is parallel to the slip vector breaks down here. The September rupture, as mapped using traditional palaeo- Secondly, the InSAR profile has not resolved the narrow foot- seismological means, is revealed to be part of a more exten- wall depression that is apparent in the UAV DoD (Fig. 7c). sive deformed region, involving both uplift and depression Much of the region occupied by the proximal footwall was of broad areas proximal to the surface rupture. Furthermore, masked as the result of lack of coherence of the InSAR sig- the spatial and temporal relationship between September and nal. November Mw > 5.0 events reveals a dependency with im- plications for how other earthquake swarms could be inter- 4.1.2 Character of surface deformation preted. The average magnitude of vertical surface deformation along 4.1.1 Reconciling UAV vertical displacement and the discrete surface rupture trace, as indicated by the UAV InSAR LOS displacement measurements DoD data, and locally validated by the corrected InSAR LOS displacement profile (Fig. 7b), is 0.46 ± 0.11 m over the cen- InSAR measures displacement in the one-dimensional LOS tral 2 km of the rupture. The corrected InSAR LOS displace- of the SAR sensor. Three-dimensional displacements of the ment profile suggests that displacement tails off smoothly to ground surface are therefore mapped into a one-dimensional the north from this central plateau (Fig. 7b). To the south of geometry. If InSAR data from different viewing geometries the central plateau, there is a step to higher vertical displace- (e.g. ascending and descending orbital passes of the SAR ment where the scarp changes orientation (2750–3250 m satellite) are available, then vertical and horizontal com- along the profile) and then a fall to the southern extremity. ponents of displacement can be resolved (Fuhrmann and The exact shape of the southern tail, defined by point mea- Garthwaite, 2019). Unfortunately, this is not the case for the surements and two-dimensional UAV profiles, is largely ob- www.solid-earth.net/11/691/2020/ Solid Earth, 11, 691–717, 2020
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