State of Food Manufacturing in New York & New Jersey 2022 - PRESENTED BY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
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OBJECTIVES & METHODOLOGY OBJECTIVES 1 Assess the state of the food manufacturing industry in New York and New Jersey at the beginning of 2022 2 Look back at industry trends in 2021 3 Collect a view of key industry opportunities and challenges in the year ahead 4 Use these snapshots to help industry leaders understand where their organization stands in comparison to their peers and provide useful strategic insights to drive business growth 5 Begin creating a longitudinal benchmark of industry health in these two states METHODOLOGY • 9-minute online survey conducted January 12-31, 2022 • 148 survey respondents 2
KEY FINDINGS: The industry experienced a positive 2021 and most are highly optimistic for 2022 though COVID challenges remain OPPORTUNITIES IN 2021 CHALLENGES IN 2021 Overall, 2021 was a good year for the industry compared with Despite the overall successes of 2021, COVID and related 2020, as companies adjusted to pandemic realities and focused issues provided the industry with significant challenges on growth strategies • The majority dealt with COVID outbreaks among the • Revenues increased for the majority workforce • Profits also increased for the majority • Most experienced disruptions in the supply • Practically all organizations experienced successes and chain/delivery and logistics/transportation opportunities, especially: • Many also cited staffing challenges • Improved customer relationships • Costs increased for many, including costs associated with • Safer workplaces workplace health/safety, labor, and volatility in • An increase in digital transformation ingredient pricing OPPORTUNITIES IN 2022 CHALLENGES IN 2022 Most are highly optimistic about business in 2022 and expect COVID pain points remain but the industry continues to adapt an even better year than 2021 • Practically all organizations are experiencing an increase in • Three-quarters expect revenue to grow raw materials pricing • Most are increasing capital spend and opening or adding • Companies are softening the blow by finding new new lines and/or plants suppliers, renegotiating with vendors, and passing • The majority expect production levels to be higher than in along some increases to customers 2021 • Staffing remains a stubborn challenge • Most are targeting new distribution channels; just under • Companies are allowing flexible work schedules and half are improving customer service and increasing use of increasing salaries, among other tactics analytics • Logistics and inventory scarcity issues persist • Cloud computing is common and will see continued • Companies are increasing customer communication, growth, an industry technology driver increasing the number of suppliers, and purchasing inventory in bulk 3
Respondent Profile 4
The typical respondent is a C-level executive or higher at a food manufacturing or processing company JOB LEVELS 55% Owners, Presidents/CEOs and C-Level executives 23% 8% 24% 12% 24% 9% C-Level Director Owner Executive President/CEO Senior manager/ Vice President manager INDUSTRY SEGMENTS 45% 17% 10% 9% 11% Other Food Processor/Manufacturer Distribution/Logistics/ Co-Packer/ Retail Warehousing Contract Manufacturer 5% Packaging Equipment Manufacturing 3% Wholesale/Broker Q2: Which category best describes your food manufacturing business? n=148; Q3: Which best describes your current job level? n=148 5
Most organizations surveyed are privately held and nearly all serve the Northeast OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE REGIONS SERVED Northeast 86% Privately held/Family Owned 62% Midwest 36% Private equity 23% The average South 30% company serves 1.9 Publicly traded 10% regions West 27% ESOP 1% International 16% Other: 4% Other: 2% Q31: What is your ownership structure? n=135; Q32: Which regions does your business serve? n=135 6
Most companies operate in multiple sectors, most commonly retail and direct-to-consumer SECTORS ACTIVE IN RETAIL DIRECT TO INSTITUTIONAL CONSUMER The average company is involved in 1.8 sectors 41% 59% 78% Higher in older companies Higher in newer (20+ years old): 54% Higher in older companies companies (
Top food categories include frozen, meat/poultry, foodservice and beverage FOOD CATEGORIES COVERED 52% The average 49% Retail is more company likely to cover covers 4.2 food Direct-to-consumer is more bakery (44%) 43% 43% likely to cover fresh (38%) categories 33% 32% 32% 32% 31% 29% 22% 17% Frozen Meat/ Foodservice Beverage Bakery Fresh Seafood Grains Dairy Prepared Candy/ Pet food poultry food kits confectionery Institutional is more likely to cover foodservice (63%) and prepared food kits (44%) Other: 4% Q34: Which food categories does your business cover? n=134 8
Companies surveyed are typically mid-sized and have operated for a decade or more NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES YEARS IN BUSINESS 2,500 or more 8% 30+ years 23% 1,000-2,499 12% 20-29 years 12% 500-999 26% 10-19 years 34% 100-499 20% 5-9 years 19% 50-99 11% 1-4 years 10% 49 or fewer 23% Less than 1 year 1% Organizations surveyed …and have been in business employ 720.4 people on 17.5 years on average, with more than average (median of 300)… two-thirds operating for 10 years or more Q30: How many people are employed by your company? N=135; Q33: How long has your company been in business? n=135 9
Opportunities and challenges experienced in 2021 10
Companies were more than 2X more likely to see revenues increase than decrease in 2021 Don’t know Decline to answer Revenues increased 3% for 63% of food 4% manufacturers and processors but only REVENUES DECLINED 21% 53% REVENUES INCREASED for 45% of other industries 2021 Those serving the Only 1-in-5 saw a decrease, REVENUE Most saw an increase, institutional sector averaging COMPARED averaging were more likely to 24% 27% see an increase in TO 2020 revenue (78%) Those who have expanded into 20% new channels were most likely to see an 24%: 9% or less 8%: 9% or less increase in revenue 52%: 10% - 29% 59%: 10% - 29% 10%: 30% - 49% 20%: 30% - 49% (67%) as well as those 3%: 50% - 74% Revenues stayed the same 7%: 50% - 74% who developed 7%: 75% or more 3%: 75% or more innovative new 3%: Don't know 1%: Decline to answer 1% Don't know products/services (62%) Q13: Compared to 2020, how were revenues in 2021? n=140; Q14: How much did revenues decline in 2021? n=29; Q15: How much did revenues increase in 2021? n=74 11
Similar to 2021 revenue, profits were nearly 3X more likely to increase than decrease Don’t know Decline to answer 4% 5% PROFITS DECLINED 18% 51% PROFITS INCREASED Companies with higher revenue 2021 ($50+ million) were more likely Few saw a decrease, PROFIT Most saw an increase, to have averaging COMPARED averaging experienced an 25% 25% increase in TO 2020 profits (61%) 22% 28%: 9% or less 27%: 9% or less 44%: 10% - 29% 37%: 10% - 29% 12%: 30% - 49% 25%: 30% - 49% 4%: 50% - 74% Profits stayed the same 6%: 50% - 74% 8%: 75% or more 3%: 75% or more 4%: Decline to answer 3%: Don't know Q16: Compared to 2020, how were profits in 2021? n=140; Q17: How much did profits decline in 2021? n=25; Q18: How much did profits increase in 2021? n=71 12
Nearly every company experienced a success or opportunity in 2021, most frequently by improving customer relationships SUCCESSES AND OPPORTUNITIES IN 2021 Higher among Improved customer relationships 68% institutional (84%) Higher among those with higher revenues Improved workplace safety 59% (74%), retail (69%) and institutional (69%) Higher among Increased focus on online/digital platforms 59% retail (71%) Higher among those with higher revenue (67%), Developed innovative new products/services 55% direct-to-consumer (68%), and institutional (69%) Higher among food processors/ Streamlined processes to improve productivity 52% manufacturers (64%) Higher among those with Made progress on supply chain issues 51% higher revenues (61%) Expanded sales into new channels 47% None-experienced no successes or opportunities: 2%; Other: 1% Q5: Which of these successes and opportunities did your business experience in the past 12 months? n=148; 13
Companies saw bright spots in finding new customers, digital transformation “Ability to attract new customers that are more willing “To be able to make to work with smaller family-owned business as our online aspects a opposed to the big guys.” base priority and “Since there were many futurize ourselves.” -C-Level Executive, Wholesaler/Broker suppliers out of commission, I was able to slice off a -Vice President, Food “Getting back on regular track after the pandemic of whole new section of the Processor/Manufacturer 2020 and improving safety among our staff and also market. I now work with customers.” clients that I would have never dreamed of.” -Owner, Retail -Owner, Wholesaler/Broker “Assisting in customers' food safety and hygiene- sanitation programs via GFSI, FSMA & FSIS perspectives as well as COVID-19 issues and their control besides typical pathogen control programs.” -Vice President, Food Processor/Manufacturer “Our opportunities in 2021 were meeting customer “The food company I work in is very serious about demand when it was hard hygiene and got us workers through it.” to get certain products.” -Director, Distribution/Logistics/Warehousing -Director, Food Processor/Manufacturer “Accelerating our digital transformation initiatives because of COVID restrictions.” -Owner, Food Processor/Manufacturer 14
Nearly all experienced challenges in 2021, with COVID and COVID-related issues the most common. Older companies and those serving the institutional sector experienced more challenges BIGGEST BUSINESS CHALLENGES OF 2021 COVID outbreak among workforce 59% Higher among those with lower revenues (69%) Higher among food processors/manufacturers (70%), Disruptions in supply chain/delivery lags 53% older companies (72%), retail (65%) and institutional (69%) Staff recruiting and retention challenges 47% Higher among older companies (64%) Logistics/transportation disruptions 47% Higher among older companies (68%) Increased costs associated with workforce health/safety 43% Higher among direct-to-consumer (57%) and institutional (56%) Higher labor costs 42% Higher among older companies (60%) Volatility in ingredient pricing 35% Higher among food processors/manufacturers (49%), retail (45%) and institutional (53%) Stockouts/replenishment challenges 34% Higher among institutional (56%) Technology/automation challenges 30% Delayed or cancelled new product launches 24% Higher among institutional (34%) Difficulty maintaining adequate financial liquidity/solvency to weather the economic storm 17% SKU reductions, brand elimination 13% None-experienced no challenges: 3%; Other: 2% Q6: Which of these challenges did your business experience in the past 12 months? n=148 15
Staffing, cost and supply chain issues topped the list of challenges "Labor availability, unprecedented overtime “The biggest costs as a result of the labor shortage, and challenges were the “The rising costs of all rising material costs." supply chain issues.” our ingredients, and the challenge of finding -C-Level Executive, -President/CEO, Food Food Processor/Manufacturer technicians to make Processor/Manufacturer repairs and updates to our equipment and systems “We experienced reduction in our workforce when needed.” and reduced food supplies.” -Owner, Food -Director, Food Processor/Manufacturer Processor/Manufacturer “Having to deal with COVID issues. Whether it be supply chain issues or having many employees affected at the same time, it was very challenging.” “Battling through COVID and keeping workers -Director, Food Processor/Manufacturer happy and safe.” "How to hold the line on costs in order to -Director, Retail minimize price increases." -Owner, Co-Packer/Contract Manufacturer 16
COVID continues to have a net negative impact on most businesses, though one-quarter did feel the impact was positive • That 39% of respondents reported a positive or no effect from COVID underscores that the pandemic presented significant opportunities for many businesses OVERALL IMPACT OF COVID ON BUSINESS 61 % Negative impact 23% Positive impact 14% 47% 16% 19% 4% Very negative Somewhat negative No impact Somewhat positive Very positive Those with higher revenue are more likely to cite a positive/neutral COVID impact (49%) as are those who experienced increased revenues (48%) Q29: Overall, has the coronavirus pandemic had a positive or negative impact on your business? n=135 17
Opportunities and challenges ahead in 2022 18
Organizations are highly optimistic revenue will grow in 2022, with three-quarters expecting a revenue increase compared with 2021 REVENUE EXPECTATIONS FOR 2022 COMPARED TO 2021 75Expect a 2022 % revenue increase 3% 3% 7% 2% 14% 65% 10% Don’t Will remain Revenue will increase somewhat Revenue will Will know the same increase decrease Declined substantially somewhat to answer Those who experienced Those serving the increasing revenues in institutional sector also much 2021 expect to see revenue more likely to expect an growth in 2022 (89%) increase in revenues (91%) Q27: What are your revenue expectations for 2022 compared to 2021? n=136 19
Along with expecting 2022 revenue growth, most will increase capital spend CAPITAL SPENDING PLANS FOR 2022 COMPARED TO 2021 61 % 16 Decreasing % Plan on increasing capital spending 4% 6% 6% 24% 30% 24% 7% Decrease Decrease Capital spending will stay the same Increase 1%-4% Increase 5%-9% Increase 5%-9% 1%-4% 10% or more Decrease 10% or more Those few companies 69% of companies Companies serving the Those planning to planning to decrease with rising revenues direct-to-consumer sector increase capital capital spending will increase capital are much more likely to be spending expect a expect a 7% decrease, 5% increase, on on average spend increasing capital spend (74%) average Q28: What are your company's capital spending plans for 2022 compared to 2021? n=135; May not equal 100% due to rounding. 20
With that increasing revenue and capital spend, most plan to expand production as well Don’t know Consolidate production Don’t know Lower by closing or merging 1% lines/ plants 5% 3% Expand production 12% by opening or 55% adding lines/plants About the same 42% ANTICIPATED PRODUCTION PRODUCTION EXPANSION/ LEVEL FOR CONSOLIDATION 2022 PLANS FOR 2022 Stay the 31% same 51% Higher Companies with increasing Companies expecting higher production are more likely to be revenues, older companies, and expanding production (78%), though even companies those serving the institutional anticipating the same amount of production are more likely sector all expect more production to expand production (27%) than consolidate (15%) and expanding production Q21: Compared to 2021, what do you anticipate your plant's production will be in 2022? n=73; Q22: In terms of production for 2022, is your company planning to: n=78 21 Asked if food processor/manufacturer or co-packer/contract manufacturer
2022 holds opportunities for expanding operations and markets BIGGEST OPPORTUNITIES “Having supplies and costs return to normal will be a huge “Expanding my business and opportunity for growth.” increasing revenue while also providing a higher salary for all my -Owner, Wholesaler/Broker employees to assure that we are all a team working together.” “New customers, more employees and more productivity.” -Owner, Retail -Owner, Food Processor/Manufacturer “Expanding and growing into new retailers and locations.” “The acquisition of “Contracting with new innovative technologies -Vice President, Food Processor/Manufacturer suppliers, adding new items that allow improving to our lists, online business operational processes.” “The biggest opportunities will be the adoption of digital expansion and increasing transformation technologies.” employee salaries.” -Director, Food Processor/Manufacturer -C-Level Executive, Co-Packer/Contract Manufacturer -Vice President, Co-Packer/Contract Manufacturer “The single biggest opportunity we have for the year is for the country to calm down and let things go back to 2019.” -Director, Distribution/Logistics/Warehousing Q19: Looking forward, what do you expect will be your biggest opportunities in 2022? n=122 22
However, COVID and related issues with supply chain, staffing and beyond continue to be challenges BIGGEST CHALLENGES “I expect future waves of COVID to impact “Deal with the high rise of prices business.” and try to figure out how to keep -Director, Food Processor/Manufacturer the same quality of the product.” -Owner, Distribution/Logistics/ Warehousing “Product availability, logistics, passing on higher costs to customers.” “Continuing labor -President/CEO, Food Processor/Manufacturer and cost issues related to COVID, as well as increasing government “Biggest challenge “Working more efficiently with less regulations due to COVID.” is supply chain.” personnel.” -President/CEO, Food -Vice President, Food -Vice President, Food Processor/Manufacturer Processor/Manufacturer Processor/Manufacturer Q20: What do you expect to be your biggest challenges in 2022? n=125 23
Practically all are seeing raw materials costs rise, averaging 18%. Most take a multi-pronged approach to address raw materials price increases without absorbing all costs. RAW MATERIAL STRATEGY TO ADDRESS RAW COST INCREASE MATERIAL PRICE INCREASES 50% or more 5% Identifying additional/ 60% new suppliers 30-49% 8% Institutional (72%) and direct- Absorbing a portion of 55% to-consumer (66%) more likely 20-29% 20% the costs to absorb a portion of costs 10-19% 36% Those with higher revenue Renegotiating prices with current vendors 54% more likely to renegotiate with vendors (64%) 5-9% 23% Passing along increased costs to customer 52% 1-4% 4% 18% average 0% 1% raw materials Absorbing all cost cost increase increases 21% Not applicable: 3% Other: 1% Q10: What percentage increase in cost are you experiencing on raw materials? n=138 24 Q11: What is your strategy to address raw material price increases? n=137
The pandemic continues to heighten staffing and compliance issues • 47% cited recruiting and retention as a challenge in 2021, while 58% cite it as a current pressing challenge, suggesting staffing problems may be worsening MOST PRESSING HR AND ORGANIZATIONAL CHALLENGES Higher among food processors/ manufacturers (52%), direct-to- consumer (53%) and institutional (53%) 58% 55% Higher among institutional (53%) Higher among direct-to- 43% consumer (38%) Higher among older companies (38%) 38% 30% 28% 26% 17% Recruiting and COVID and Ensuring competitive Cross training Compliance Identifying operational Succession Multi-state retaining staff OSHA staff and executive and skills with state/ gaps in your planning payroll and compliance compensation/ development federal accounting and/or regulatory benefits regulations HR Department compliance Other: 2% Q6: Which of these challenges did your business experience in the past 12 months? n=148 25 Q12: What are your most pressing Human Resources and organizational challenges? n=141
Companies are dealing with labor challenges in a variety of ways, especially by allowing flexible work schedules and increasing salaries HOW COMPANIES ARE HANDLING LABOR CHALLENGES Flexible work schedules 59% Higher among Institutional (72%) and direct-to-consumer (70%) Higher salaries 46% Higher among older companies (60%) and Institutional (56%) Higher among companies with higher revenue (60%), Improvements in work culture 42% institutional (56%), and direct-to-consumer (55%) Investing in career development 41% Investing more in the recruiting budget 39% Sign-on bonuses 34% Partnering with experienced staffing firms 30% Removing some job requirements 16% Other: 1% Q12B: With the current labor challenges facing our industry, what practices or initiatives have you or will you be implementing to mitigate these challenges? n=140 26
Companies are trying to keep communication with customers flowing, increasing their number of suppliers and purchasing bulk inventory HOW COMPANIES ARE HANDLING LOGISTICS 76% AND INVENTORY SCARCITY ISSUES Higher among those with higher Increased communication with of companies faced customers on disruptions 55% revenue (67%), older companies (64%), retail (65%) and institutional *69%) logistics/inventory scarcity issues in 2021* Higher among younger companies Increasing the number of suppliers 55% (64%), direct-to-consumer (68%), and institutional (66%) Purchasing inventory in bulk for long-term storage 52% Utilizing automation tools through supply Higher among those with chain management software to assist with 43% higher revenue (59%) tracking and managing inventory Diversifying product sourcing from different 41% geographic/international locations Financing additional inventory purchases 30% Not applicable-not facing logistics and inventory scarcity issues: 3%; Other: 4% Q6: Which of these challenges did your business experience in the past 12 months? n=148; Q9: How is your company 27 handling the logistics and inventory scarcity issues? n=143 *Includes supply chain/logistics/transportation disruptions and stockouts/replenishment challenges
Most companies will target new distribution channels in 2022, followed closely by improving customer service and using analytics, underscoring an overall pattern of focus on distribution, customer service and innovating DISTRIBUTION STRATEGY CHANGES CONSIDERED FOR 2022 Higher among direct-to-consumer Targeting new distribution channels 53% (66%) and institutional (66%) Improving customer service 46% Increasing use of analytics to optimize Higher among those with higher production, distribution or customer service 43% revenue (53%), younger companies (57%) and institutional (59%) Increasing emphasis on remote selling 34% Higher among older companies (43%) Reprioritizing production runs 31% and institutional (47%) Changing distribution partners 31% Higher among those with higher revenue Increasing international distribution 29% (39%) and direct-to-consumer (43%) Reorganizing/retraining sales force 26% Opening dark stores - micro fulfillment centers in densely populated areas 18% Q23: What changes in your distribution strategy are you considering in 2022? n=137 28
Cloud computing is an industry technology driver, but companies are expanding tech in many areas PLAN TO INVEST IN OR EXPAND USE OF 60% NEXT 18 MONTHS Potential Future Growth Technology Driver ERP more common among those with (used less often but strong (frequently used and high growth) higher revenues (64%) and institutional growth potential) (63%) Cloud computing Digital/remote/wireless more common 50% (data storage, among direct-to-consumer (45%) software, Digital sensors, analytics, etc.) remote machine PLM and RFID more common among controls, wireless Artificial Intelligence those with higher revenues (37%, 31%) plant networking (AI)/ predictive supply chain 40% management Digital/remote/wireless expanding TECHNOLOGIES IN Robotics/ among those with higher revenues automation (50%) and direct-to-consumer (49%) Enterprise resource planning (ERP) to AI/predictive supply chain management RFID technology expanding among younger companies 30% manage procurement, for product Product lifecycle GPS to track production, supply chain (48%) tracking workers, management vehicles, tools (PLM) Robotics/automation expanding among Slower Adoption Common, Slowing Down institutional (56%) (used less often and less growth) (frequently used but lower future growth) 20% ERP and PLM expanding among those 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% with higher revenues (43%, 37%) TECHNOLOGIES CURRENTLY USED Q24: Which technologies are used by your firm? n=137 29 Q25: In the next 18 months, does your company plan to invest in or expand the use of any of the following technologies? n=136
KEY FINDINGS: The industry experienced a positive 2021 and most are highly optimistic for 2022 though COVID challenges remain OPPORTUNITIES IN 2021 CHALLENGES IN 2021 Overall, 2021 was a good year for the industry compared with Despite the overall successes of 2021, COVID and related 2020, as companies adjusted to pandemic realities and focused issues provided the industry with significant challenges on growth strategies • The majority dealt with COVID outbreaks among the • Revenues increased for the majority workforce • Profits also increased for the majority • Most experienced disruptions in the supply • Practically all organizations experienced successes and chain/delivery and logistics/transportation opportunities, especially: • Many also cited staffing challenges • Improved customer relationships • Costs increased for many, including costs associated with • Safer workplaces workplace health/safety, labor, and volatility in • An increase in digital transformation ingredient pricing OPPORTUNITIES IN 2022 CHALLENGES IN 2022 Most are highly optimistic about business in 2022 and expect COVID pain points remain but the industry continues to adapt an even better year than 2021 • Practically all organizations are experiencing an increase in • Three-quarters expect revenue to grow raw materials pricing • Most are increasing capital spend and opening or adding • Companies are softening the blow by finding new new lines and/or plants suppliers, renegotiating with vendors, and passing • The majority expect production levels to be higher than in along some increases to customers 2021 • Staffing remains a stubborn challenge • Most are targeting new distribution channels; just under • Companies are allowing flexible work schedules and half are improving customer service and increasing use of increasing salaries, among other tactics analytics • Logistics and inventory scarcity issues persist • Cloud computing is common and will see continued • Companies are increasing customer communication, growth, an industry technology driver increasing the number of suppliers, and purchasing inventory in bulk 30
If you have additional questions, please contact Wes Patterson Frank Sennett Senior Director, Director of Research Research & Insights Crain's New York Business Crain Communications fsennett@crain.com wes.patterson@crain.com 312.649.5278 914.443.7546 Thank you 31
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