SriLanka - India Relations - An Exercise in the Management of Structural Contradiction and Change
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SriLanka – India Relations - An Exercise in the Management of Structural Contradiction and Change - Keynote Address presented by Sunimal Fernando at the Plenary Session of the International Conference on ‘Changing Social Dynamics in South Asia: Prospects and Challenges for India and Sri Lanka’ organized by The Bandaranaike Centre for International Studies (BCIS) and The Observer Research Foundation (ORF) on Friday 17th August 2012 at the BCIS Auditorium, Colombo `` I thank the Chairman and Director of the Bandaranaike Centre for International Studies for inducting me back to my former role of a social science academic and for affording me an opportunity of speaking to you in my academic rather than in my administrative capacity. As I had to make myself relevant to your conference, I selected the theme, “Sri Lanka – India Relations – An Exercise in the Management of Structural Contradiction and Change” as the subject of my presentation. I am by no means a specialist in foreign relations. Less so do I have any specialist knowledge in the field of bilateral relations in respect to Sri Lanka and India. My only qualification for undertaking the task that has been entrusted to me is that while on the one side I am a great lover of Indian culture and civilization, on the other side I am so much attached to Sri Lankan thought and lifestyle that I will never be comfortable, happy or contented outside the shores of my own country. Thus, with the combination of a deep compassion for both countries and the analytical ability of a social scientist of once upon a time, a skill now weathered and transformed with age and experience, I shall try and extract what I consider to be some of the fundamental factors that shape the dynamic between the two countries and suggest the manner in which they find expression and also get re-interpreted from time to time in response to social structural changes that occur in these two countries. The most basic of these fundamental factors stems from the geo-political location of the two countries in relation to each other. India is a big country. Whenever the country has been united and strong, it finds itself compelled by its national security interests to be concerned with the relationship its neighbours are having with other countries. This is natural and inevitable. What sometimes happens in her neighbourhood is perceived by India to affect her own security. Sri Lanka, India’s southern neighbor, is a country small in extent but very jealous and protective of her independence and sovereignty from the very beginnings of its recorded history. The structural potential for tension is thus entrenched in the very geo-political location of the two countries in relation to each other. 1
The structural tension entrenched in the bilateral relationship finds symbolic expression in both legend and history. At one level, the Ramayana story of King Ravana or better known in India as Ravan, so widespread in both countries, reminds us in symbolic terms of the challenge and embarrassment that Sri Lanka can possibly project on the great Indian order. Within Sri Lanka itself the historical figures with whom the vast majority of Sri Lankan people consciously and emotionally identify are those great kings of the past such as King Dutugemunu and King Vijayabahu among others, who were able to successfully mobilize the people to drive away various foreign invaders who had come from some part of India, re-unify the country under a single monarch and restore its lost sovereignty and freedom. In short, the concept of independence, sovereignty and freedom from interventions from across the seas is deeply embedded in the very psyche of the Sri Lankan people. In contrast, pre-colonial India was never a single political entity. Chandragupta Maurya, in the 4th Century BC brought the whole of present day India and more under his rule with the exception of present day Orissa or Kalinga as it was then called and a good part of present day Tamilnadu then ruled by the Cheras, the Pandyans and the early Cholas. His grandson Emperor Asoka after consolidating Maurya rule over Central India was able to annex Kalinga while a good part of Tamilnadu always continued to remain outside his great empire. After the death of Asoka, the unity of India rapidly fell apart and remained so until the mid nineteenth century when the consolidation of India as a single political entity began to take shape and form under British rule. While the mainstream Sri Lankan psyche is vigorously focused on the great kings of the past who unified the country as a single political entity, the mainstream Indian psyche does not identify to the same degree with those ancient emperors like Chandragupta Maurya and Asoka who came quite near to uniting India as a single entity. In the mainstream Indian psyche the political unity of the country – the concept of India as one political entity with one overriding Indian identity, a reality lacking anything like the historical depth of the parallel reality of Sri Lanka – finds symbolic and emotional expression around personages of a much more recent vintage such as the independence movement leaders like Mahatma Gandhi, Jawaharlal Nehru, Subhash Chandra Bose and Sardar Valabhai Patel among others, and in more recent times around new institutions such as Indian Cricket. The structural tension embedded in the Sri Lanka – India relationship stemming from a possible contradiction between India’s necessary concern with developments in Sri Lanka on the one side, as these could possibly impact on India’s national security, and Sri Lanka’s concern with protecting its sovereignty and political autonomy from outside interference on the other, is itself contradicted by another factor, namely the interlocking nature of the security interests of both countries, thereby making it structurally impossible and hence mutually destructive for the two countries to drift away from each other. Historically speaking, the security threat to India has always come from the north, making it imperative for the country to have its southern borders totally secured. And, in terms of its southern security, Sri Lanka is critically located and this makes India all the more sensitive to the scope and nature of Sri Lanka’s relations with other countries. Sri Lanka too has only one neighbor, namely India, just across its northern boundary, while large stretches of the ocean surround it on the other three sides. Sri Lanka’s security too cannot be even conceived other than in terms of its association with the security of India. There is thus an inbuilt structural tension in the Sri Lanka - India relationship stemming from the geo- political location of the two countries, and within that structural tension is a great potential deriving 2
from another aspect of that same reality, namely the indispensability of mutual understanding and cooperation to ensure the security of both countries. Structural tensions or structural contradictions cannot be wished away. They have to be understood, lived with and managed in the mutual interest of the two countries. At a very fundamental level, the challenge of the Sri Lanka – India dynamic is the challenge of sensitively understanding, appreciating and managing this entrenched structural contradiction and the great potential that lies within that contradiction, to the mutual benefit and security of both countries. This was probably what Mahatma Gandhi meant when he said that India and Sri Lanka cannot but be friends. History is replete with instances where big countries with big interests have followed a strategy of managing their relationship with their smaller neighbours by economically looking after them through the deployment of a liberal volume of material resources. USA in relation to the Americas and the former Soviet Union in relation to Eastern Europe provide examples of such arrangements. The historical experience reflects a mix of both success and failure, but the important point is that even to embark on such a strategy the big country needs to have some big material resource that it can liberally dispense to its smaller neighbours. Since it does not have any such resource at its disposal in the volume required by the situation, this strategy has never been an option for India. And in its absence, the big country has necessarily to sympathetically understand, appreciate and accept the need for its smaller neighbors to make friends with and receive assistance from other countries to respond to the development needs of their people. The smaller neighbor in turn has to build and manage its relationship with other countries not only in such a manner that it does not present a threat in any way to the security of the big neighbor, but also in a way that it is perceived in fact to be sensitive to its big neighbour’s security concerns. The short and crisp statement of President Rajapaksa that “other countries are Sri Lanka’s friends but India is Sri Lanka’s relative” gives apt expression to the manner in which Sri Lanka seeks to manage its relationship with India in the context of its friendship with other countries that are not necessarily the dearest friends of India. History too provides us with important lessons and insights into the management of this bilateral relationship. Sri Lankan history prior to the introduction of Buddhism in the 3rd Century BC is shrouded in the mysteries of time. South Indian invasions in all probability posed a threat to the security of this country. As pointed out to me by a fellow social scientist in a personal conversation, It is not implausible that in the context of a multiplicity of kingdoms in what is present day India, Sri Lanka at times may have forged an alliance with some powerful East Indian political entity such as Kalinga to offset the challenge posed by the different South Indian dynasties of that period which also perhaps posed similar challenges to the Indian kingdoms of the North. Maritime communication across the Bay of Bengal was very much a reality in those times. In terms of culture and language, the Sinhala people of Sri Lanka and the people of present day Orissa and Bengal display affinities that need to be investigated by students of ancient history. My colleague further suggested that once Asoka had annexed Kalinga to his empire, he probably felt that the security of his Mauryan Empire, which comprised almost the totality of present day India and more, required the forging of a strong bond of trust and friendship with Sri Lanka to offset any possible threat to Mauryan rule from either the independent part of South India or even from a resurgent Kalinga. Strategic political alliances between various kingdoms of North India and Sri Lanka against specific political entities of Peninsula India were perhaps a feature of ancient times. In such a context, the introduction of Buddhism was possibly but the icing on a politico – strategic cake. Until confirmed or rejected through academic research, this will necessarily have to remain at the level of speculation. However in the documented history of the world, large scale religious proselytization, be it Christian, Islamic or of some other religion, has never been devoid of a strategic or political 3
dimension. There is little reason to believe that Sri Lanka’s conversion to Buddhism was an exception to the rule. Coming to a more recent period of history, scraps of evidence lodged more in local myth and legend than in documented history indicate that during the Vijayanagar Empire that lasted from around the mid 13th to the early 16th century, various kinds of alliances were forged between Sinhala rulers on the one side and political sub - entities in present day Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka on the other, sometimes for protection against invaders coming from outside and at other times for economic activities relating to commerce, fishing and the cinnamon industry. In the context of a recurring security threat from political entities located in present day Tamilnadu, historical research if undertaken could reveal if, in the environment of an un-united India, these bear the features of strategic, social, economic and cultural alliances designed to balance and offset the recurring security threat from that other part of Peninsula India. Such insights could help Sri Lanka revive and strategize a meaningful relationship with Peninsula India in the contemporary context of individual Indian States demanding and increasingly enjoying a greater say in India’s foreign affairs. Since the days of the Mauryan Empire, it is only after the European colonial powers receded from South Asia in the 1940’s that the two countries really faced the challenge to conduct the bilateral relationship through a sympathetic understanding, appreciation and acceptance of the need to manage the interplay of three unchanging factors – already defined - that are basic and fundamental to the situation. One, the structural tension entrenched in the geo-political location of the two countries: Two, the axiomatic need for close cooperation between the two countries stemming from the irrevocable inter-linking of the national security of the two countries: And three, in the context of India’s inability to deploy large volumes of material resources to look after the development needs of its neighbours, the inevitable need for them to cultivate other friends among other countries to help respond to the urgent development needs of their people. The foreign policy of the immediate post independence UNP government in Sri Lanka was built on a strong alliance with the West while maintaining a fairly cordial relationship with India despite a clash of political positions during the Bandung Conference of Non-aligned countries in 1954. The concept of ‘Indian Expansionism’ was very much a part of the political discourse of that period as much as it continues to surface quite frequently from time to time in the country. It stems from the country’s historical memory of past invasions from different political entities within that which constitutes present day India at a time when India was not united, - from the local kingdoms of the Cheras, the Pandyans, the Cholas and even from Kalinga. It is buttressed by the living memory of the migration of large hordes of South Indian labour and the penetration of crudely exploitative Indian commerce going right down to village level in British times, and the more recent provision of arms and training to Sri Lanka’s northern insurgents, - realities which we as neutral scholars should weigh dispassionately and objectively, without emotion, to gauge and evaluate their impact on the Sri Lankan mind. The UNP government which continued from 1948 – 1956 invited the British to keep two military bases in Trincomalee and Katunayaka, and when Prime Minister SWRD Bandaranaike dismantled these bases in 1956 the former UNP Prime Minister Sir John Kotalawala is reported to have cried out in astonishment, “Is Banda Mad”, meaning that by doing so, in his view, he has rendered the country defenseless in a possible future event of Indian expansion. The SWRD Bandarnaike government brought a radical shift in foreign policy towards non-alignment which resulted in the forging of close ties of trust, friendship and understanding with India. The two Sirimawo Bandaranaike governments of 1960 – 1965 and 1970 – 1977 which witnessed the signing of the Sirima – Shastri Pact in 1964, the Sirimawo – Indira Pact in 1975 amicably resolving the issue of the nearly one million stateless plantation workers of recent Indian origin as well as the 4
determination of the maritime boundary between the two countries and the ceding of the uninhabited but controversial Kachchativu island to Sri Lanka and even a courageous attempt by Mrs. Bandaranaike to mediate in the Sino – Indian war of 1962, is perceived in both countries as constituting the high water mark in post independence Sri Lanka – India relations. Mrs. Bandaranaike developed a strong rapport with India, strengthened by the deep personal ties bonding the Bandaranaike and Nehru families, two aristocratic families of British period origin of a similar social background, while jealously protecting the sovereign right of Sri Lanka to forge similar ties of friendship with other countries including Pakistan and China which may not always qualify as good friends of India. In April 1971, India was the first country to deliver assistance to Mrs. Bandaranaike to quell the JVP insurgency of 1971. In December of the same year, in pursuance of her policy of friendship with all countries, Mrs. Bandaranaike allowed Pakistan aircraft to re-fuel at Katunayaka airport on their way to what was then East Pakistan during the Bangladesh war of independence. I have heard it on good authority from persons who were very close to the centres of Indian decision making at the time that Mrs. Gandhi was livid and furious with her friend Mrs. Bandaranaike. Though the personal relations between the two ladies remained just as warm as before as did the relations between the two countries as displayed by the friendship associated with the signing of the Sirimawo - Indira Pact of 1975, we do not know if India would have then debated embarking on a new strategy that would make Sri Lanka’s perceived autonomy and sovereignty a little more pliable for India. What Sri Lanka saw as a proud affirmation of her own sovereignty was possibly seen by India as a rude reminder of what could someday possibly constitute a potential threat to her security. By 1974, insurgent groups in Northern Sri Lanka had apparently started to receive arms and training. From where these were sourced at that early stage of the conflict one does not know. And in the absence of hard data, it is not for me to speculate. Where bilateral relations are concerned, the Jayawardena – Premadasa UNP era, 1977 – 1994, was one big disaster for both countries. Unable or unwilling to recognize the geo-politically determined fundamental, unalterable structural underpinnings of the Sri Lanka – India dynamic, Jayawardena embarked on a confrontational course in relation to India. Within the context of a cold war environment where India was allied with the then Soviet Union, Jayawardena turned his wagon in the opposite direction, hitched it to the United States and followed through by taking a series of measures that could clearly provide a platform in Sri Lanka for the US to be able to dangerously threaten the national security of India. Adopting a strategy of destabilizing the country by arming and training the northern insurgents, India was able to weaken the security of her neighbor to such an extent as to leave no option for President Jayawardena but to accept the Indo – Sri Lankan Accord of 1987 despite the strong opposition from both within and outside his government. Memories of that period abound with the perceived excesses of Ambassador Dixit, the inexplicable stupidity of President Jayawardena, the common man’s fears of a possible Indian invasion, the helplessness of Mrs. Bandaranaike and the general feeling of hopelessness that pervaded the country. And finally, and in a way paradoxically, India’s once Prime Minister and then Prime Minister in waiting, Rajiv Gandhi, the author of the Indo – Sri Lanka Accord was brutally assassinated by the LTTE, the very people his mother and he had once supported. None of this would have happened during this period had President Jayawardena stopped to understand and appreciate the basic fundamentals of the Sri Lanka – India relationship, sensitively build on the fund of friendship and goodwill accumulated by his predecessor Mrs. Bandaranaike, and 5
move towards achieving a dynamic harmony between the freedom and sovereignty of Sri Lanka on the one side and the national security interests of India on the other, in the specific context of the circumstances of his time. The Sri Lanka – India problematique after 1994 and especially after the turn of the century can best be understood and appreciated in terms of the unfolding of the impact of a major social structural watershed in Indian history - namely, the rise of capitalism and of its associate Indian middle class inclusive of the very rich Indian corporate class, estimated to be already over 20% of the population or around 250,000,000 in absolute terms, spread across the country. This has been the major social structural change that has taken place in India in the last several centuries – a function of recent capitalist economic growth in almost all the States of the Indian Union, following the liberalization of the economy in the last decade of the last century. Its threefold impact on Sri Lanka – India relations provides the contours of the unfolding of an altogether new context in which the fundamental parameters of the Sri Lanka – India problematique need to be understood and applied. One: The rich Indian economy on which Indian middle class affluence is based is to a certain extent a satellite economy rather than an independent one. A not insignificant part of it, deploying relatively lesser paid Indian knowledge workers, supplies knowledge based products and services at relatively lower cost to principals in the West from whom the products or services have been outsourced. With rising wages in India and the increasing offers of lower cost infrastructure and lower priced knowledge labour in other Asian countries and sooner or later in Africa as well, - and this applies to other types of labour and other types of industry too, - the longer term sustainability of the Indian economy and its associated Indian middle class affluence requires India to move into capital goods production in large units with middle to upper middle level technology and very high levels of capital investment. Seeing that the levels of capital and technology required for the long term sustenance of Indian affluence could be sourced from the United States which is willing to transfer these enterprises to India in their own economic interest while keeping the very high level cutting edge technology for themselves, the Indian middle class and in particular the rich Indian corporate class has recently pushed the Indian polity towards a strong political – economic alliance with the US. India’s relations with Sri Lanka will, to that extent, be influenced by India’s increasingly important relationship with the United States. Two: As a result of the rapid rise of capitalism, the integration of India is no longer primarily political in nature but economic in character. Today the goods produced in each State in large enterprises are marketed in the other States of India. As the Indian States are now economically inter-dependent one on the other, it is not in the economic interests of any State, anymore, to even dream of seceding from the Indian Union. Veiled threats of secession may however continue to be occasionally heard from specific political formations in States such as Tamilnadu among others, but no longer as a serious political goal but now as a weapon with which to bargain with the Centre. With the economic factor replacing the political as the basis of integration of the Indian Union, and strengthened by the rise of new affluent regional middle class elites and regional political parties articulating regional interests, and the concomitant weakening of the all India parties like the Congress and the BJP at State level, individual States are increasingly asserting their right to participate in matters that were earlier the preserve of the Centre, such as India’s relations with countries that neighbor these specific States and particularly so in the context of shared ethnic affinities. The very nature of the Indian State seems to be evolving in the direction of a looser federation of States economically integrated into a single Union but enjoying a greater say even in external relations which was till only a few years back the jealously guarded preserve of Delhi. The 6
nature of the Indian Union seems to be now moving in the direction of the European Union. Should this process of re-definition of the Indian State proceed unabated, the involvement of Tamilnadu in India’s relations with Sri Lanka will further increase with time. Three: The new Indian middle class with the force of the very rich new corporate class of India behind it constitutes a highly self confident class of people with a strong sense of determination, giving leadership and direction today to a New India which is no longer afraid of any challenge it may have to encounter. For instance the paranoia concerning China, a distinct reality of only a few years ago, is rapidly receding into the past. To counter China’s so-called string of pearls around her country, India has forged a chain of alliances with the countries around China such as the ASEAN countries that entertain historical fears of Chinese expansion. Parallel to the Chinese presence in the Indian Ocean, India is now present in the South China Sea. Today the Indian navy, as never before, is supremely confident of its ability to meet any possible challenge from its Chinese counterpart if ever the need arises. It is true that China’s activities in the neighbourhood of India are being watched and assessed, but China is no longer a bottom line in the definition of Indian policy. By the same stretch of argument, China is not the bottom line of the US – India alliance. But nevertheless it remains an important concern. The fear of China is increasingly giving way to an Indian desire to be richer, more influential, more powerful and more important than China in the affairs of the world. In conclusion, relations between countries must periodically be reviewed and reinvented in the context of a rapidly changing world. Certain factors guiding the relationship are pre-ordained by the geo-political placement of the countries concerned. Other aspects are a function of change and circumstance. The challenge before the social scientist is to see how the interplay between the factors that are constant and the circumstances that change present new opportunities, new options and new challenges for the countries concerned. 7
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