Second Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call - August 4, 2021
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Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC). These forward-looking statements may relate to, among other things, MPC’s expectations, estimates and projections concerning its business and operations, financial priorities, strategic plans, capital return plans, including the intended use of the Speedway sale proceeds, operating cost and capital expenditure reduction objectives, and environmental, social and governance goals. You can identify forward-looking statements by words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “commitment,” “could,” “design,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “goal,” “guidance,” “imply,” “intend,” “may,” “objective,” “opportunity,” “outlook,” “plan,“ “policy,” “position,” “potential,” “predict,” “priority,” “project,” “proposition,” “prospective,” “pursue,” “seek,” “should,” “strategy,” “target,” “will,” “would” or other similar expressions that convey the uncertainty of future events or outcomes. MPC cautions that these statements are based on management’s current knowledge and expectations and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside of the control of MPC, that could cause actual results and events to differ materially from the statements made herein. Factors that could cause MPC’s actual results to differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements include but are not limited to: the magnitude, duration and potential resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic and its effects, including the continuation or re-imposition of travel restrictions, business and school closures, increased remote work, stay at home orders and other actions taken by individuals, government and the private sector to stem the spread of the virus; changes in the regional, national and worldwide demand for refined products and related margins; changes in the regional, national or worldwide availability and pricing of crude oil and other feedstocks and related pricing differentials; the success or timing of completion of ongoing or anticipated projects or transactions, including the conversion of the Martinez Refinery to a renewable fuels facility; reliability of processing units and other equipment and unplanned maintenance; availability of opportunities to divest non-core assets on commercially acceptable terms; the impact of adverse market conditions or other similar risks to those identified herein affecting MPLX; and the factors set forth under the heading “Risk Factors” in MPC’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended Dec. 31, 2020, and in other filings with the SEC. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of the applicable communication and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements except to the extent required by applicable law. Copies of MPC's Form 10-K, Forms 10-Q and other SEC filings are available on the SEC’s website, MPC's website at https://www.marathonpetroleum.com/Investors/ or by contacting MPC's Investor Relations office. Copies of MPLX's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020, Forms 10-Q and other SEC filings are available on the SEC’s website, MPLX's website at http://ir.mplx.com or by contacting MPLX's Investor Relations office. . Non-GAAP Financial Measures Adjusted earnings, EBITDA, cash provided from operations before changes in working capital, Refining and Marketing margin and Retail total margin are non-GAAP financial measures provided in this presentation. Reconciliations to the nearest GAAP financial measures are included in the Appendix to this presentation. These non-GAAP financial measures are not defined by GAAP and should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to net income attributable to MPC, net cash provided by (used in) operating, investing and financing activities, Refining and Marketing income from operations, Speedway income from operations or other financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. 2
MPC: Short-Term Strategic Focus 1 2 3 Strengthen Improve Competitive Position Commercial Lower Cost of our Assets Performance Structure Achieve best-in-class Leverage cost, operating, and advantaged raw Strict capital financial performance material selection discipline Focus on contribution Enhance commercial Lowering costs and of each asset to skills and technology driving efficiency shareholder return improvements 3
Business Update Closed Speedway sale; repurchased approximately $1 billion of shares and commencing next steps towards completing remaining $9 billion return of capital over next 12 to 16 months(a) Repositioning the portfolio - Dickinson reached design capacity; Martinez progressing - Advancing projects to lower carbon intensity Continuing focus on cost and capital discipline Published annual Sustainability & Climate Reports Positioning the company for long-term success and through-cycle resiliency (a )The timing of share repurchases are subject to market and other conditions and may be discontinued at any time 4
Challenging Ourselves to Lead in Sustainable Energy Strengthen Resiliency Strengthening our business for today, while building durability for tomorrow and beyond Target: Reduce Target: Reduce Target: Reduce Scope 1 and 2 GHG midstream methane freshwater 30% emissions intensity 50% emissions intensity 20% withdrawal intensity 30% by 2030 from 70% 50% by 2025 from 44% by 20% by 2030 45% 2014 levels 0% Complete 30% 2016 levels 0% Complete 50% from 2016 levels 0% Complete 20% Innovate for the Future Investing in the energy evolution to lower carbon intensity and capture value Martinez Renewable Fuels Dickinson Renewable Diesel Facility of 2021 planned 730 million 60% reduction in GHG 184 million Second Producing a ~50% >40% growth capital spend gallons/year emissions compared to gallons/year largest in lower carbon intensity on renewables capacity previous refinery operations capacity the U.S. renewable diesel Embed Sustainability Embracing sustainability in decision-making, in how we engage our people and in how we create value with stakeholders 20% of Annual Bonus Program Strong Safety Performance No. 1 on S&P Global ESG Rating Linked to ESG Metric 40% reduction in Tier 1 and Tier 2 for U.S. Oil and Gas Refining and GHG intensity, Diversity, Equity and Inclusion, Marketing sector and environmental and safety metrics refining process safety events since 2016 5
Second Quarter Highlights $ Millions (unless otherwise noted) 2Q21 Adjusted Earnings per Share ($/share) (a) $0.67 Adjusted EBITDA $2,194 Cash from Continuing Operations, excluding Working Capital $1,535 Dividends $381 Share Repurchases (b) $981 (a) Based on weighted average diluted shares (b) Excludes transaction costs 6
Speedway Sale - Proceeds 21.0 Received Speedway 17.2 $ Billions proceeds of $21 billion -3.8 Cash taxes and closing adjustments $17.2 billion after-tax proceeds Speedway Cash Taxes & After-Tax Proceeds Closing Adjustments Speedway Proceeds 7
Progress on Use of Proceeds 17.2 $17.2 billion in after-tax proceeds from sale -2.5 13.7 of Speedway -1.0 Strengthening the balance sheet: $ Billions Reduced structural debt by $2.5 billion $10 billion of capital return: Returned ~$1 billion to shareholders $9 billion planned over next 12 to 16 After-Tax Debt Share Remaining Speedway Reduction Buyback Proceeds months Proceeds Committed to meaningfully return capital to shareholders 8
Lowering the Cost Structure Refining Operating Costs Corporate Costs ($ / Barrel) $233 MM ($ Millions) $6/bbl Quarterly avg Quarterly avg ~$170 MM ~$5/bbl 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q (a) 2Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 2021 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 2021 Guidance Guidance Continued commitment to cost reduction (a) Excludes winter storm effects 9
Adjusted EBITDA to Net Income 2Q 2021 vs. 1Q 2021 Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income 15,000 11,603 12,000 -890 Speedway Taxes -3,726 9,000 8,512 $ Millions -4,395 Discontinued operations 6,000 Continuing operations 3,000 728 2,194 1,552 -48 -14 -24 0 1Q 2021 Refining & Midstream Corporate Speedway 2Q 2021 Adjustments Turnaround Interest, 2Q 2021 Adj. EBITDA Marketing Discontinued Adj. EBITDA (b) and D&A Taxes, and Net Income (a) Operations (a) Noncontrolling Interests (a)Includes Adj. EBITDA from discontinued operations of $332 million and $284 million for the first quarter 2021 and second quarter 2021, respectively (b)Pre-tax adjustments reflect gain on sale of assets of $11,682 million, impairment expense of $56 million, and transaction-related expenses of $23 million. 10
Refining & Marketing 2Q 2021 vs. 1Q 2021 1,000 146 Refining margin -5 recovery across all 800 572 -113 751 regions -41 $ Millions 600 94% utilization during the quarter (or 89% 400 adjusted for idled capacity) 200 169 Continued execution on cost control 0 23 1Q 2021 USGC Mid-Con West Coast Operating Distribution Other 2Q 2021 Adj, EBITDA Margin Margin Margin Costs Costs Adj, EBITDA (a) (a) Includes refining operating and maintenance costs. Excludes refining planned turnaround and winter storm effect (a) 11
Midstream 2Q 2021 vs. 1Q 2021 1,500 1,322 Through-cycle EBITDA 8 1,308 -22 stability 1,000 Continued progress on $ Millions reducing operating expenses 500 Continued progress on organic growth projects 0 1Q 2021 MPLX Other 2Q 2021 Adj. EBITDA (a) Midstream Adj. EBITDA Excludes winter storm effects (a) 12
Total Consolidated Cash Flow 2Q 2021 Discontinued Speedway 30,000 Continuing Operations Operations Close Related 25,000 21,000 387 20,000 17,257 15,000 -3,481 MPC Share Tender - 981 MPC Debt - 2,500 10,000 MPC - 833 5,000 MPLX - 836 1,535 758 149 1 -364 0 -1,669 -381 -448 -156 -74 -5,000 3/31/2021 Operating Working Capital Net Debt Return of Return of Other Discontinued Discontinued Proceeds Closing Use of 6/30/2021 Cash Balance Cash Flow Capital Expenditures, Capital to Capital to Operations Operations from Adjustments Proceeds Cash + (a) before Working Investments Shareholders Noncontrolling Operating Cash Capital Speedway (e) Short-term Capital (b) Interests Flow Expenditures, Sale Investments (c) (d) Investments (f) (a)Includes Speedway’s cash and cash equivalents of $134 million at March 31, 2021, which was classified as assets held for sale on MPC’s consolidated balance sheets. (b) $381 million of dividends. (c) $293 million of MPLX distributions and $155 million of MPLX unit repurchases (d) Speedway working capital included in Discontinued Operations Operating Cash Flow (e) Includes $981 million of MPC share repurchases, excluding expenses. (f) Includes cash of $11,839 million and short-term 13 investments of $5,418 million at June 30, 2021 Note: Excludes restricted cash
Third-Quarter 2021 Outlook Other Total Depreciation Crude Charge/ Sweet Sour Operating Distribution Turnaround Throughput and Throughput Feedstocks Crude Crude Cost (b) Cost (c) Costs (a) Amortization Throughput (a) $/BBL of Total in MBPD Percent of Throughput $MM $MM $MM Throughput Gulf Coast Region 1,075 110 1,185 37% 63% $4.05 $20 $150 Mid-Con Region 1,100 55 1,155 74% 26% $4.50 $165 $165 Projected 3Q 2021 West Coast Region 490 50 540 36% 64% $7.85 $10 $70 R&M Total 2,665 135 2,800 52% 48% $5.05 $1,300 $195 $465 (d) Corporate estimated at ~$175 MM for 3Q21 (a) Region throughput data includes inter-refinery transfers, but MPC totals exclude transfers (b) Includes refining major maintenance and operating costs. Excludes refining planned turnaround and D&A expense. (c) Excludes D&A expense.(d) Includes D&A expense associated with distribution assets. 14
Questions & Answers
Appendix 16
Manageable Leverage and Maturities Debt-to-Capital (a) 75% MPC MPLX MPC Excluding 51% As of June 30, 2021 Consolidated Adjustments (c) MPLX 50% 38% 40% 34% ($MM except ratio data) 20% 21% 25% Cash(d) 17,257 8 17,249 0% Total Debt 28,320 19,235 9,085 2018 2019 2020 MPC Consolidated MPC Excl. MPLX Total Equity(e) 36,693 7,772 28,921 Debt-to-Capital Ratio(a) 44% - 24% Senior Notes Maturities - Next 10 Years (b) 3.0 2.0 MPC debt, excluding MPLX, reduced by $3.3 billion from 1Q21, $B including $2.5 billion using Speedway proceeds 1.0 MPLX debt excludes $493 million outstanding under the MPC intercompany loan at June 30, 2021 0.0 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 (a) Debt-to-Capital Ratio calculated as Total Debt divided by the sum of Total Debt plus Total Equity (b) Senior Notes Maturities as of 6/30/2021 (c) Adjustments made to exclude MPLX cash, debt (all non-recourse), and MPC’s noncontrolling interest attributable to MPLX (d) Cash includes cash and cash equivalents of $11,839 million plus short term investments of $5,418 million (e) Includes MPLX mezzanine equity of $968 million 17
Speedway Sale Financial Statement Impacts as of Sale Close 21.0 0.4 21.0 17.2 0.4 Financial Tax Provision -3.7 -4.2 11.7 -9.7 8.0 0.5 -4.2 Speedway Closing Speedway Pre-Tax Cash Deferred After-Tax Speedway Cash Closing After-Tax Proceeds Adjustments Net Assets Gain on Sale Taxes Tax Benefit Gain on Sale Proceeds Taxes Adjustments Proceeds Statement of Cash Flows Income Statement Balance Sheet Assets Investing Activities Discontinued Operations Cash provided by investing activities Cash 11.8 A – discontinued operations 21.4 B Gain on sale of assets 11.7 C D Short-term investments 5.4 Provision for income taxes (3.7) Income from discontinued C Liabilities & Equity operations, net of tax 8.0 Accrued taxes 4.2 Deferred income taxes (0.5) (A) Proceeds from Speedway sale reflected in Investing Activities (B) Speedway pretax gain on sale reflected in discontinued operations MPC stockholders’ equity 8.0 (C) Provision for Income Taxes reflected in discontinued operations and estimated Cash Taxes reflected as Accrued Taxes on the balance sheet (D) Proceeds reflected on the balance sheet as Cash and Short Term Investments (if maturity greater than three months) 18
MPC Shares Outstanding 1Q21 ended with 652 million shares millions of shares 15.6 million shares repurchased 652 2Q21 ended with 638 million 638 shares Weighted average share count for 10-Q 10-Q 3/31/21 6/30/21 EPS calculation only includes two week impact of repurchases 19
Refining & Marketing Segment Income 2Q 2021 4,000 368 -16 45 3,233 3,000 2,802 34 Volume 306 Product 525 Crude -786 $ Millions 2,000 -1,193 1,000 -1,310 21 224 -527 0 Blended Sweet Sour Market Other R&M Margin Operating Distribution Turnaround Other R&M Crack Differential Differential Structure Margin Costs Costs and D&A Segment Spread (a) (a) (b) (c) Income (a) (a) Based on market indicators using actual volumes (b) Includes refining major maintenance and operating costs. Excludes refining planned turnaround and D&A expense. (c) Excludes D&A expense. 20
Refining & Marketing Margins – Market vs. Realized 3,500 Total system capture of 101%, key 203 3,233 3,189 factors included: 3,000 -159 Strong gasoline margins $ Millions Tailwind from petrochemicals feedstock prices 2,500 Weaker secondary product pricing 2,000 R&M Margin 95% Capture Actual Capture R&M Margin Indicator Adjustment Impact 21
Refining & Marketing Segment Income (Loss) 2Q 2021 vs. 1Q 2021 Variance Analysis 500 47 973 31 -80 -15 -5 22 224 -38 -113 0 Volume 32 Product 51 $ Millions Crude - 121 -500 -598 -1,000 1Q 2021 Blended Sour Sweet Market Other Winter Storm Operating Distribution Turnaround, 2Q 2021 Segment Crack Differential Differential Structure Margin Effects Costs Costs D&A and Other Segment Loss Spread (a) (a) (b) (c) (d) Income (a) (a)Based on market indicators using actual volumes (b) Winter storm effects in the first quarter of 2021 resulted in higher costs, including maintenance and repair. (c) Includes refining major maintenance and operating costs. Excludes refining planned turnaround, D&A expense, and winter storm effects. (d) Excludes D&A expense. 22
Sustainability & Climate Perspectives Reports 23
Income Summary for Operations 2020 2021 ($MM unless otherwise noted) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q (a) Corporate reflects corporate costs that Refining & Marketing segment income (loss) (497) (1,544) (1,569) (1,579) (598) 224 are no longer allocated to Speedway under discontinued operations accounting. Midstream segment income 905 869 960 974 972 977 (b) 2Q20 tax rate impacted by changes in Corporate (a) (233) (195) (197) (175) (157) (180) our estimated annual effective rate applied Income (loss) from continuing operations before items not to income for the year to date interim 175 (870) (806) (780) 217 1,021 allocated to segments period. 4Q20 tax rate impacted by an Items not allocated to segments: increase in the expected NOL carryback benefit LCM inventory valuation adjustment (3,185) 1,470 530 1,185 - - Impairments (9,137) (25) (433) (146) - (56) Restructuring expenses - - (348) (19) - - Litigation - - - 84 - - Gain on sale of assets 66 - - Transaction-related costs (8) - - - - - Income (loss) from continuing operations (12,155) 575 (1,057) 390 217 965 Net interest and other financing costs 332 341 359 333 353 372 Income (loss) from continuing operations before income taxes (12,487) 234 (1,416) 57 (136) 593 Provision (benefit) for income taxes (1,951) 150 (436) (193) 34 5 Income (loss) from continuing operations, net of tax (10,536) 84 (980) 250 (170) 588 Income from discontinued operations, net of tax 318 192 371 324 234 8,214 Net income (loss) (10,218) 276 (609) 574 64 8,802 Less net income (loss) attributable to: Redeemable noncontrolling interest 20 21 20 20 20 21 Noncontrolling interests (1,004) 246 257 269 286 269 Net income (loss) attributable to MPC (9,234) 9 (886) 285 (242) 8,512 Effective tax rate on continuing operations (b) 16% 64% 31% (339)% (25)% 1% 24
Reconciliation Net Income Attributable to MPC to Adjusted Net Income (Loss) Attributable to MPC (a) Income taxes for adjusted earnings was calculated by applying a combined federal ($MM) 2Q21 2Q20 and state statutory tax rate of 24% to the adjusted pre-tax income (loss) for these Net Income attributable to MPC 8,512 9 periods. The corresponding adjustments to reported income taxes are shown in the Pre-tax adjustments: table. (b) Weighted-average diluted shares in the Gain on Speedway Sale (11,682) - applicable period are used for the adjusted net income (loss) per share calculations. LCM inventory valuation adjustment - (1,480) Impairments 56 25 Pension settlement 49 - Transaction related costs 23 30 Subtotal of pre-tax adjustments (11,554) (1,425) Tax impact of adjustments (a) 3,497 548 NCI impact of adjustments (18) - Adjusted net income (loss) attributable to MPC 437 (868) Diluted income per share $13.00 $0.01 Adjusted diluted income (loss) per share (b) $0.67 $(1.33) 25
Reconciliation Cash Provided by Operations to Continuing Operating Cash Flow Before Changes in Working Capital 2021 ($MM) 2Q Cash provided by operating activities from continuing operations 1,536 Less changes: Current receivables (2,224) Inventories (472) Current accounts payable and accrued liabilities 2,656 Fair value of derivative instruments 42 Right of use assets and operating lease liabilities, net (1) Total changes in working capital 1 Operating cash flow from continuing operations before changes in working capital 1,535 26
Reconciliation Segment Income (Loss) from Operations to Segment Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA 2020 2021 ($MM) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q Refining & Marketing Segment Segment income (loss) from operations (497) (1,544) (1,569) (1,579) (598) 224 (a) As of August 2, 2020 Speedway Add: Depreciation and amortization 473 463 456 465 478 466 ceased recording depreciation and Refining planned turnaround costs 329 162 234 107 112 61 amortization. Winter storm effects - - - - 31 - LIFO liquidation charge - - 256 305 - - Segment Adjusted EBITDA 305 (919) (623) (702) 23 751 Midstream Segment Segment income from operations 905 869 960 974 972 977 Add: Depreciation and amortization 345 330 335 343 334 331 Winter storm effects - - - - 16 - Segment EBITDA 1,250 1,199 1,295 1,317 1,322 1,308 Segment Adjusted EBITDA 1,555 280 672 615 1,345 2,059 Corporate (233) (195) (197) (175) (157) (180) Add: Depreciation and amortization 45 40 39 41 32 31 Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations 1,367 125 514 481 1,220 1,910 Speedway Speedway 400 426 456 419 330 283 Add: Depreciation and amortization (a) 99 102 36 7 2 1 Adjusted EBITDA from discontinued operations 499 528 492 426 332 284 Adjusted EBITDA from continuing and discontinued operations 1,866 653 1,006 907 1,552 2,194 27
Reconciliation Refining & Marketing Income (Loss) from Operations to Refining & Marketing Margin 2020 2021 ($MM) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q (a) LCM inventory valuation adjustments are excluded from Refining & Marketing income Refining & Marketing income (loss) from operations (a) (497) (1,544) (1,569) (1,579) (598) 224 from operations and Refining & Marketing margin. Plus (Less): (b) Reflects the gross margin, excluding depreciation and amortization, of other related Selling, general and administrative expenses 556 502 518 454 456 499 operations included in the Refining & LCM inventory valuation adjustment (3,185) 1,470 530 1,185 - - Marketing segment and processing of credit (Income) loss from equity method investments 3 19 (16) (8) (5) (14) card transactions on behalf of certain of our marketing customers. Net (gain) loss on disposal of assets - 1 (1) (1) (3) - (c) Refining & Marketing margin is defined as Other Income (4) (4) (1) (26) (54) (89) sales revenue less cost of refinery inputs and purchased products. We believe this non-GAAP Refining & Marketing gross margin (3,127) 444 (539) 25 (204) 620 financial measure is useful to investors and Plus (Less): analysts to assess our ongoing financial performance because, when reconciled to its Operating expenses (excluding depreciation and amortization) 2,833 2,240 2,408 2,213 2,275 2,305 most comparable GAAP measure, it provides improved comparability between periods LCM inventory valuation adjustment 3,185 (1,470) (530) (1,185) - - through the exclusion of certain items that we Depreciation and amortization 473 463 456 465 478 466 believe are not indicative of our core operating performance and that may obscure our Gross margin excluded from Refining & Marketing margin (b) (109) (75) (101) (80) (179) (198) underlying business results and trends. This Other income included in Refining & Marketing margin - - - - - 82 measure should not be considered a substitute for, or superior to, measures of financial Other taxes included in Refining & Marketing margin (24) (19) (19) (17) (24) (42) performance prepared in accordance with Refining & Marketing margin (a, c) 3,231 1,583 1,675 1,421 2,346 3,233 GAAP, and our calculations thereof may not be LIFO liquidation charge - - 256 305 - - comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies. Refining & Marketing margin, excluding LIFO liquidation charge 3,231 1,583 1,931 1,726 2,346 3,233 Refining & Marketing margin by region: Gulf Coast 977 437 637 601 834 1,003 Mid-Continent 1,335 819 894 753 978 1,550 West Coast 919 327 400 372 534 680 Refining & Marketing margin, excluding LIFO liquidation charge 3,231 1,583 1,931 1,726 2,346 3,233 28
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