SATISFYING THE CONSUMER WHO HAS EVERYTHING (BUT WANTS MORE) - Judith A. Russell NILIT Performance Days Munich November 13, 2019
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SATISFYING THE CONSUMER WHO HAS EVERYTHING (BUT WANTS MORE) Judith A. Russell NILIT Global Marketing Strategist Performance Days Munich November 13, 2019
Our Journey Today •External Factors: Economic, Technological, Geopolitical •Changing Retail and Media Models •Why the Demanding Consumer? •Brands That Are Winning and Why •What You Can Do to Thrive
Economic Backdrop: Positive • Global economies stable to growing • EU enjoying seventh straight year of growth • US GDP growth strong • Corporate profits healthy, financial markets at record levels • China, India, stars among the BRICs
We’re Doing Okay! • US economy at full employment • Income inequality growing in US • EU has the least serious income inequality • 400MM people in China and 375MM in India now middle class
Technology Rules • Consumers are more connected, informed, and empowered than ever before • Provides price transparency, unlimited/immediate access to product, information, media, engagement • Data analytics software • Streamlined supply chain • Physical stores as mini-warehouses • 5G is here, will accelerate trends and open up new technological possibilities • Next wave of digital commerce focusing on AI, VR, voice and visual discovery, IoT
The World is Flat • Globalization driving down costs of goods, increased access to markets, products • Cheap sourcing, oversupply • Amazon now has sites in 20 countries, delivers in 100+ • Retailers, brands expanding across borders - Zara, H&M, Primark, Calzedonia, Nike, Under Armour, Levi’s, Tommy Hilfiger, Polo • People traveling outside their home country • Nationalism (Xenophobia) prevails
Exporting Global Fashion Fila Tommy Hilfiger Champion Moncler Aigle Pinko Marc O’Polo Salomon Descente
This Has Caused RETAIL DISRUPTION • Retail industry undergoing major transformation • Traditional players in crisis mode: sales and earnings declines, oversupply, falling foot traffic, price erosion • Mainstream brands maturing, losing share to online and rapidly growing next-gen players • So far this year in US, US retailers have announced 8,600 store closures and 3,500 store openings. This compares to 5,800 closures and 3,200 openings for the full year 2018.
The Shift Online US online apparel sales expected to grow by nearly 20% annually over the next 4 years, add another $50BB in sales That is the equivalent of Macy’s, Nordstrom and Kohl’s combined Amazon will benefit most from this in the US
Europe Ecommerce expected to generate over $620 billion in sales in Europe in 2020 Western Europe primary Fashion is the number one category Amazon, Otto, Tesco, Zalando, Asos, La Redoute, Argos, M&S, John Lewis
China Monday was Single’s Day in China, $38 billion in sales 30% of China population has moved into the middle class in past decade; avid consumer economy 285 billionaires in China, compared to 600 in the U.S., 560 in Europe
Apparel Market Situation • Massive power shift from Those Who Make to Those Who Buy, from Producers to Consumers • Want what they want when they want it where they want it (37.5 Materials Pop-Up in Boulder) • Producers facing rising costs and price pressure • Supply chain very focused on reducing cost of goods, • If you reduce quality, consumers will lose interest • Must rise above the rampant discounting, have a new conversation
The Premium Market Getting Stronger High Price, Consumer Relevant Luxury Brands Premium Specialty Brands Next-Gen Digital Brands Low Price, Consumer Relevant 13
The Value Brands Evolving High Price Discounters, Off-Pricers Pure-play Marketplace Giants, Volume Fashion players Low Price 14
Middle Market Under Pressure High Price Mid-Tier Department Stores Mall-Based Specialty Low Price 15
Selling Less of More: The Long Tail Sales Number of Brands Read Chris Anderson’s book!! Hundreds of small, new brands with compelling brand stories will dominate, (technology-enabled front and back end) These players are more quality-conscious, less price-sensitive, add up to significant volume
Disruption in Media
A Global Platform
What Do Consumers Want? We Want it All We Want it All …And We Want it NOW
Demographic Shifts • Millennials and GenZs buying and thinking and living differently than older demographic segments • Value-conscious, came of age in recession, wary of big corporations (except Apple and Starbucks), want to live a different dream • Bypassing traditional retailers and channels of distribution, • First social media generation, want to figure out and express their personal style or “brand” • Most traveled generation in history
What They Want • Brands and products that offer: • Comfort • Convenience • Value • Transparency/authenticity • Sustainability • Quality • Multitasking clothing that does more that just look nice • An elevated experience • These demands drive all the key trends from athleisure to recycled to wearables • If you’re not delivering on at least 4 of these, you’d better rethink your strategy
Convenience, Selection, Service 22
Customized Just for Me
Style with Speed Number of Annual Shopper Visits Everyone Else 17 4
A New Concept of Time Reduced lead times Shorter and more frequent cycles, blurring of seasons Future is impossible to predict, can’t plan, so must react faster Inditex, others have set new standard for speed to market 17 DTC vs. wholesale model Buy now, wear now
Excellent Product
Collaboration
Marketing to Consumer Values
Shared Concern for the Planet Huge push for sustainability in fashion Copenhagen, Amsterdam, Berlin, London, NY, Portland Upcycling, closed loop Fiber alternatives – cellulosics, bamboo, hemp Recycled fibers and textiles – North Face, H&M, Macy’s others offering money or discounts to customers who bring in used clothing Slow fashion: Longer-lasting garments that don’t clog up landfills Issues are: greenwashing, lack of standards, how to certify/validate claims
Innovative Sustainability
Ethical Fashion
Pricing Integrity and Value
Skillful Curation
Elevated Customer Experience
Experience 2.0
Less is More
Compelling Brand Story
Celebrity Connection
Challenges and Opportunities • The disruption will continue: you must adapt or become extinct • Must be consumer focused – really talk to customers and engage them, they are your North Star • Continuous innovation – disrupt yourself • Invite everyone’s ideas • Work more closely with your supply chain partners to differentiate, innovate, improve quality, value, speed to market, responsiveness, delivery • THE WINNERS will be either low-cost players or upscale brands offering compelling proposition for premium but understandable price • Get rid of silos - COLLABORATE 39
Working in retail today is like trying to change an engine while it’s running. But you have no choice - if you’re not trying new things every day, you’re dying. - Managing Director, XRC Labs, (Retail Technology Incubator)
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