SARS COV 2 CAUSING COVID 19: THE SHORT AND THE LONG OF IT!

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SARS COV 2 CAUSING COVID 19: THE SHORT AND THE LONG OF IT!
The J. Boyd Francis, MD Lecture

SARS‐CoV‐2 causing COVID‐19:
 The Short and the Long of it!
                    March 25, 2022

     Charles J. Schleupner, M.Sc., M.D., FACP, FIDSA, FSHEA
                Professor of Internal Medicine
           Virginia Tech Carilion School of Medicine
                 Section of Infectious Diseases
               Department of Internal Medicine
               Chair, Institutional Review Board
                         Carilion Clinic
SARS COV 2 CAUSING COVID 19: THE SHORT AND THE LONG OF IT!
The J. Boyd Francis, MD Lecture

SARS‐CoV‐2 causing COVID‐19:
 The short and the Long of it!
             March 25, 2022

       No relevant Disclosures
SARS COV 2 CAUSING COVID 19: THE SHORT AND THE LONG OF IT!
J. Boyd Francis, MD
SARS COV 2 CAUSING COVID 19: THE SHORT AND THE LONG OF IT!
OBJECTIVES
                             Topics for Review

• Virology of SARS‐CoV‐2 related to clinical disease
• Past and current epidemiology of COVID‐19
• Prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection (mitigation and PrEP)
• Immunization against SARS‐CoV‐2 infection
• The acute clinical illness caused by SARS‐CoV‐2
• Diagnostic tests for SARS‐CoV‐2 infection related to clinical illness
• Treatment (phases) of COVID‐19 illness
• Post‐acute sequelae of COVID‐19 (PASC), “The Long Haul” – Long Covid
SARS COV 2 CAUSING COVID 19: THE SHORT AND THE LONG OF IT!
Virology of SARS‐CoV‐2
SARS COV 2 CAUSING COVID 19: THE SHORT AND THE LONG OF IT!
Timeline for Coronavirus Research
                                                                                     2002, 2003
                                                                                                              2012

                                                                                                                           2019‐2022

Major findings in coronavirus research (gray boxes) as well as identification of human coronaviruses (red boxes) are indicated along the timeline.

         J Exp Med. 2020;217(5). doi:10.1084/jem.20200537
SARS COV 2 CAUSING COVID 19: THE SHORT AND THE LONG OF IT!
Structure of Coronaviruses

Cleveland Clinic Journal of Medicine June 2020, 87 (6) 321‐327; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3949/ccjm.87a.20047
SARS COV 2 CAUSING COVID 19: THE SHORT AND THE LONG OF IT!
SARS‐CoV‐2 variants
Wild type – Wuhan‐hu‐1 virus isolated in China, November/December 2019
B.1.1.7 (Alpha) ‐ UK initially, then USA in December 2020. The N501Y variant is in the same lineage
(20I/501Y.V1).
B.1.351 (Beta) ‐ South Africa, then USA in January 2021. The 20H/501Y.V2 is of the B.1.351 lineage.
P.1 (Gamma) ‐ Brazil ‐ November 2020, then Japan ; designated Jan 11, 2021
B.1.429 (Epsilon) ‐                
B.1.525 (Eta) – multiple countries
B.1.526 (Iota) ‐ USA (New York)
B.1.617.1 (Kappa) – India in October, 2020
B.1.617.2 (Delta) ‐ India, then USA in March 2021; designated 4/4/2021
C.37 (Lambda) – Peru in August, 2020
B.1.621 (mu) – Columbia, January 2021
B.1.1.529 (Omicron) ‐ South Africa, multiple countries, November 9, 2021
SARS COV 2 CAUSING COVID 19: THE SHORT AND THE LONG OF IT!
Past and current Epidemiology of COVID‐19
SARS COV 2 CAUSING COVID 19: THE SHORT AND THE LONG OF IT!
2019
Possible SARS-CoV-2 transmission chains                                                 Huanan Seafood Market
                                                                                            Wuhan, China

             horseshoe

                                                             In August 2018 an epidemic of African Swine fever virus
                                                             developed in China, resulting in massive culling of swine (China
                                                             produces about 50% of global pork and is a large consumer as
                                                             well). This had great impact upon harvesting multiple wild
                                                             mammals for meat products (fresh and frozen meat) and live
                                                             animals in markets–
                                                             racoon dogs,
                                                             hedgehogs,
                                                             badgers,
                                                             red foxes,
                                                             bamboo rats,
                                                             Porcupines.

    Peng Zhou, and Zheng-Li Shi . Science 2021;371:120-122
3/13/2020
National Emergency
  declared in USA
Cumulative Cases of Covid‐19 by Country ,
                          March 1, 2022

                                             USA

Johns Hopkins University Data
Cumulative Deaths due to Covid‐19 by Country ,
                                    March 1, 2022

                                                          USA

Johns Hopkins University Data
Coronavirus Disease (COVID‐19) in the U.S.

             As of M arch 22,2022 (from CD C)

             TotalCases - 79,621,004
             TotalD eaths - 971,422

*includes 50 states, District of Columbia, Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, and the U.S Virgin Islands
Number of COVID‐19 Cases reported each day in the
 U.S. since the beginning of the outbreak (3/18/2022)

                                                                                                                                                           Omicron
                                                                                                                                                           (BA.1.1,
                                                                                                                                                          B.1.1.529)

                                                                                                                             Mu (B.1.621)
                                                                                                      Alpha                 Lambda (C.37)
                                                                                                    (B.1.1.7)                                  Delta
                                                                                                                                            (B.1.617.2)

                                               Wild Type             D614G                                             Gamma
                                               (Wuhan)              mutation                                            (P.1)

   D614G mutation is characterized by an aspartic acid to glycine shift at the amino acid position 614 of a protein.
CDC Data. The blue bars show daily cases. The red line is the 7‐day moving average of cases.
Number of new COVID‐19 Deaths reported each day in the U.S.
                                 since the beginning of the outbreak (3/18/2022)

                                                                                                          Alpha                                          Omicron
                                                                                                        (B.1.1.7)                                        (BA.1.1,
                                                                                                                                                        B.1.1.529)

                                            Wild Type
                                            (Wuhan)                                                                                          Delta
                                                                                                                                          (B.1.617.2)

                                                                                                                           Mu (B.1.621)
                                                                                                                          Lambda (C.37)
                                                                     D614G
                                                                    mutation
                                                                                                                       Gamma
                                                                                                                        (P.1)

   D614G mutation is characterized by an aspartic acid to glycine shift at the amino acid position 614 of a protein.
CDC Data. The blue bars show daily deaths. The red line is the 7‐day moving average of deaths.
Provisional Mortality Data — United States, 2020
                              Farida B. Ahmad, Jodi A. Cisewski, Arialdi Miniño, et al.

Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021;70:519–522. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7014e1
Prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection
Delta R0 6‐7 Omicron R0 10
Delta R0 6‐7 Omicron R0 10

R0 of Delta variant = 5.08; R0 of Omicron variant = 3.19 x Delta R0
Prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection in Ambulatory Setting

Mitigation
• masking
• Physical distancing
• ventilation – air exchanges per hour indoors (6‐10 per hour)
• hand washing/sanitizing
• Disinfection of inanimate surfaces (? needed, undocumented risk)
Infusion of long‐acting monoclonal antibody ‐ Evusheld (tixagevimab
  co‐packaged with cilgavimab)
Immunization
SARS‐CoV‐2 infection of the oral cavity and saliva
                                                               Huang, N., Pérez, P., Kato, T. et al.

Abstract: (abbreviated)

… and salivary viral burden correlated with COVID‐19 symptoms, including taste loss. Upon recovery, this asymptomatic
cohort exhibited sustained salivary IgG antibodies against SARS‐CoV‐2.

Collectively, these data show that the oral cavity is an important site for SARS‐CoV‐2 infection and implicate saliva as a
potential route of SARS‐CoV‐2 transmission.

        Nat Med 27, 892–903 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591‐021‐01296‐8
A heavy cough jet travels
  up to 12 ft in ∼50 s
Effectiveness of Face Mask or Respirator Use in Indoor Public Settings for Prevention
          of SARS‐CoV‐2 Infection — California, February–December 2021
                                        Kristin L. Andrejko, Jake M. Pry, Jennifer F. Myers, et al.

             Bandana
             Fleece

          Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. ePub: 4 February 2022. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7106e1
(Most Important) Issues Addressed in this Update

• Masks and Face Coverings Work as Source Control on the infected person—
  and May also Protect the Wearer from an infected person;

• Universal Masking Is Associated With Fewer New Cases and Lower Mortality;

• Evidence From Randomized Controlled Trials Remains Sparse (ethically difficult
  to justify with an ongoing infectious disease when observational studies clearly
  demonstrate efficacy)

          Ann Intern Med. 2021; 174(4):511-520. doi:10.7326/M20-6625
Adjusted odds ratio (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals for community exposures associated with confirmed
         COVID‐19 among symptomatic adults aged ≥18 years (N = 314) — United States, July 1–29, 2020

MMWR September 11, 2020; 69 (36): 1258‐1264
Prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection
Mitigation
• masking
• physical (not social) distancing
• ventilation – air exchanges per hour indoors
• hand washing/sanitizing
• Disinfection of inanimate surfaces (? needed)
Infusion of long‐acting monoclonal antibody –
  Evusheld (tixagevimab co‐packaged with cilgavimab) for PrEP;
  bamlanivimab plus etesevimab and casirivimab plus imdevimab
        (REGEN‐CoV) for PEP.
Immunization
FDA Authorizes New Long‐Acting Monoclonal Antibodies for
        Pre‐exposure Prevention of COVID‐19 in Certain Individuals
                                                     December 8, 2021
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration issued an emergency use authorization (EUA) for AstraZeneca’s Evusheld (tixagevimab
co‐packaged with cilgavimab and administered together) for the pre‐exposure prophylaxis (prevention) of COVID‐19 in
certain adults and pediatric individuals (12 years of age and older weighing at least 40 kilograms [about 88 pounds]).

The product is only authorized for those individuals who are not currently infected with the SARS‐CoV‐2 virus and who have
not recently been exposed to an individual infected with SARS‐CoV‐2. The authorization also requires that individuals either
have:
     • moderate to severely compromised immune systems due to a medical condition or due to taking
          immunosuppressive medications or treatments and may not mount an adequate immune response to COVID‐19
          vaccination (examples of such medical conditions or treatments can be found in the fact sheet
          for health care providers) or;
     • a history of severe adverse reactions to a COVID‐19 vaccine and/or component(s) of those vaccines,
          therefore vaccination with an available COVID‐19 vaccine, according to the approved or authorized
          schedule, is not recommended.

With an EUA revision on February 22, 2022, FDA has increased the initial authorized dose from 150mg of each
monoclonal antibody to 300 mg of tixagevimab and 300 mg of cilgavimab.

            FDA News Release. December 08, 2021
Immunization against SARS‐CoV‐2 infection
X

                                                                     The Race
                                                             for Coronavirus Vaccines:

                                                              Nucleic‐Acid Vaccines

                             translation

Nature 580, 576‐577 (2020) doi: 10.1038/d41586‐020‐01221‐y
Pfizer and Moderna SARS‐CoV‐2 Vaccines

Pfizer‐BioNTech vaccine – Comirnaty   Moderna vaccine ‐ Spikevax
Characteristics of patients with report of anaphylaxis and non‐anaphylaxis allergic reactions after receipt of
         Pfizer‐BioNTech COVID‐19 vaccine — Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System (VAERS),
                                    United States, December 14–23, 2020

                                         Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021;70:46–51. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7002e1
Interim Estimates of Vaccine Effectiveness of Pfizer‐BioNTech and Moderna COVID‐19 Vaccines Among
                     Health Care Personnel — 33 U.S. Sites, January–March 2021
                                       Tamara Pilishvili, Katherine E. Fleming‐Dutra, Jennifer L. Farrar, et al.

      Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021;70:753–758. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7020e2
Cases of Myocarditis After mRNA-Based COVID-19 Vaccination by Age at Onset of Myocarditis

                 Myocarditis rate per million vaccine doses* = 14.2;         Myocarditis rate per million vaccine doses* = 21.1;
                 After dose 1 = 4.7;    after dose 2 = 24.1                  After dose 1 = 9.7;    after dose 2 = 33.0

        *from CDC/ACIP slides shown at meeting of ACIP on February 4, 2022

        JAMA. 2022;327(4):331-340. doi:10.1001/jama.2021.24110
J&J/ Janssen Vaccine has 69.7% Efficacy against
                                                      symptomatic infection after single dose, 74.6%
                                                       against severe COVID‐19, 82.8% against death;
                                                                  Improved with booster.

                                                       The risks of Vaccine‐induced Thrombotic Thrombocytopenia (VITT) syndrome and
                                                           Guillain‐Barre Syndrome prompted ACIP on December 16, 2021 to make a
                                                        preferential recommendation for the use of mRNA COVID‐19 vaccines over the
                                                       Janssen adenoviral‐vectored COVID‐19 vaccine in all persons aged ≥18 years in the
                                                                                        United States.

MMWR 2022; 71: 90‐95. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7103a4
Analysis of COVID‐19 Vaccine Type and Adverse Effects Following Vaccination
                                           Alexis L. Beatty, Noah D. Peyser, Xochitl E. Butcher, et al.

Key Points:
Question: What factors are associated with adverse effects after COVID‐19 vaccination?

Findings: In an online cohort study including 19,586 adults who received a COVID‐19 vaccination, the factors
most strongly associated with adverse effects were:
‐ full vaccination dose (2nd dose),
‐ brand of vaccine (Moderna),
‐ younger age (< 65 YO),
‐ female sex, and
‐ having had COVID‐19 before vaccination.

Allergic reaction or anaphylaxis was reported in 0.3% of participants after partial vaccination and 0.2% of
participants after full vaccination.

Meaning These findings suggest that some individuals experience more adverse effects after COVID‐19
vaccination, but serious adverse effects are rare.

            JAMA Netw Open. December 22, 2021; 4(12):e2140364. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.40364
Adverse Effects by Vaccine Brand

                                                                                            Line defining
                                                                                            reports
                                                                                            by 50% of
                                                                                            respondents

   Participants could report more than 1 adverse effect.
   Denominators include all participants who provided an
   answer to the question.

JAMA Netw Open. December 22, 2021; 4(12):e2140364. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.40364
Immunization schedule for persons 5 years of age and older (2/22/2022)

Intervals for primary two‐
dose series lengthened due
to lower incidence of                                                                                                                                                       Interval for booster in
myocarditis and higher T‐cell                                                                                                                                               immunocompromised patients
and neutralizing antibody                                                                                                                                                   shortened from
levels; for those >65YO or                                                                                                                                                  5 months to 12 weeks
immunocompromised no
change of this interval.

Booster doses have been
shown important for
broadening immunity
to include Omicron.                                                                             mRNA booster Preferred

    https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid‐19/clinical‐considerations/covid‐19‐vaccines‐us.html?CDC_AA_refVal=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cdc.gov%2Fvaccines%2Fcovid‐19%2Finfo‐by‐product%2Fclinical‐considerations.html
Acute clinical illness caused by SARS‐CoV‐2
Transmission and life‐cycle of SARS‐CoV‐2 causing COVID‐19

SARS-CoV-2 is transmitted via respiratory droplets of infected cases to oral and respiratory mucosal cells. The virus, possessing a single-stranded RNA genome wrapped in nucleocapsid (N) protein and
three major surface proteins: membrane (M), envelope (E) and Spike, replicates and passes to the lower airways potentially leading to severe pneumonia. The gateway to host cell entry (magnified view)
is via Spike-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) interaction with cleavage of Spike in the prefusion state by proteases TMPRSS-2/furin. A simplified depiction of the life cycle of the virus is shown along with
potential immune responses elicited.

    Front. Pharmacol., 19 June 2020 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fphar.2020.00937
There are many more upper respiratory
cells with ACE2 receptors than there are
cells with both ACE2 and TMPRSS2. This
potentiates Omicron replication in the
upper airway and thereby infectivity
since Omicron only requires an ACE2
receptor for cell infection.

Omicron is an inducer of interferon
by pneumocytes, in contrast
to previous SARS‐CoV‐2 variants, and this
limits its infection/replication in the lung.
A schematic description of
      immune responses in
   asymptomatic and mildly
 symptomatic and severe cases
                                                            Shedding virus while
         of COVID‐19                                        asymptomatic or
                                                            pre‐symptomatic

                                                                                   Lymphopenia

Front. Immunol. 12:693938. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2021.693938
CDC Suggested Symptom Observation
 ranging from mild symptoms to severe illness
These sym ptom s m ay appear 2-14 days after exposure to and infection
by the virus:

•Fever
•Cough
•Shortness ofbreath or difficulty breathing
•Chills
•Repeated shaking w ith chills
•M uscle pain
•H eadache
•Sore throat
•N ew loss oftaste or sm ell(associated w ith anorexia)
Laboratory Biomarkers of COVID‐19 Progression
                                                                                  ⇩ Lymphocyte count
                                  Hematologic                                     ⇧ Neutrophil count
Risk factors for severity:                                                        ⇩ Platelet count
BMI > 40
Age > 50 YO                       Biochemical                                     ⇩ Albumin
Male gender                                                                       ⇧ Creatinine
Prior organ transplant                                                            ⇧ Lactate dehydrogenase
                                                                                  ⇧ Cardiac troponin
                                                                                  ⇧ B‐type natriuretic peptide
                                                                                  ⇩ Oxygen saturation
                                  Inflammatory                                    ⇧ C‐reactive protein
                                                                                  ⇧ Ferritin
                                                                                  ⇧ Procalcitonin
                                                                                  ⇧ Interleukin‐6
                                  Coagulation                                     ⇧ D‐dimer

                    Worsening of biomarkers is predictive of disease progression and can inform decisions to initiate antiviral, anti‐inflammatory,
                    anticoagulant, or supportive treatment interventions.
Clin Infect Dis, 1 December 2020, 71(11):2996–3001, https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa742.        Ann Intern Med. 2020; 173(10):773‐781. doi:10.7326/M20‐3742
Illness duration and symptom profile in symptomatic UK school‐aged
                        children tested for SARS‐CoV‐2
                                                                   Erika Molteni, Carole H Sudre, Liane S Canas et al.
 Summary:

 Interpretation: Although COVID‐19 in children is usually of short duration with low symptom burden, some
 children with COVID‐19 experience prolonged illness duration. Reassuringly, symptom burden in these children
 did not increase with time, and most recovered by day 56.

 Some children who tested negative for SARS‐CoV‐2 also had persistent and burdensome illness. A holistic
 approach for all children with persistent illness during the pandemic is appropriate.
The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health Available on‐line August 3, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352‐4642(21)00198‐X

                           Hospitalization of Infants and Children Aged 0–4 Years with Laboratory‐Confirmed COVID‐19 —
                                                  COVID‐NET, 14 States, March 2020–February 2022
During Omicron variant predominance beginning in late December 2021, U.S. infants and children aged 0–4 years were hospitalized at approximately five times the
rate of the previous peak during Delta variant predominance.
Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022;71:429–436. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7111e2                  CJS Note: Multi‐system Inflammatory Syndrome in children (MIS‐C) , though uncommon, can occur.
Survivors of COVID‐19 who spent time on a ventilator may be at risk of long‐term disability and illness

Survivors' burden. Kelly Servick Science 24 Apr 2020; 368: 359
Risk for In‐Hospital Complications Associated with COVID‐19 and Influenza —
Veterans Health Administration, United States, October 1, 2018–May 31, 2020
                 Jordan Cates, Cynthia Lucero‐Obusan, Rebecca M. Dahl et al.

                    MMWR October 23, 2020; 69(42);1528–1534
Variability in Resources and Testing Strategies, and in Contracting COVID‐19 After Exposure to SARS‐CoV‐2

                                                                              or systemic heparinization
                                                                              in non‐critically ill
                                                                              patients (CJS)

J Am College Cardiology June 16, 2020; 75 (23): 2950‐2973. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2020.04.031
Association Between COVID‐19 and Myocarditis Using Hospital‐Based Administrative Data —
                       United States, March 2020–January 2021
                                   Tegan K.Boehm er,Lyudm yla Kom paniyets,Am y M .Lavery,etal.

  Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021;70:1228–1232. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7035e5
SARS‐CoV‐2 Variants in Patients with Immunosuppression
                                               Lawrence Corey, Chris Beyrer, Myron S. Cohen, et al.

Patients with immunosuppression are at risk for prolonged infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome
coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2). …

The findings that immunocompromised patients with persistent SARS‐CoV‐2 infection may generate
more transmissible or more pathogenic SARS‐CoV‐2 variants have a number of medical and public health
implications. Heightened precautions should be taken to avert nosocomial transmission of Covid‐19 among
immunocompromised patients.

                                                                        CORRESPONDENCE

    Shedding of Viable SARS‐CoV‐2 after Immunosuppressive Therapy for Cancer
                                                       Teresa Aydillo, Ana S. Gonzalez‐Reiche, Sadaf Aslam et al.

Patients with profound immunosuppression after undergoing hematopoietic stem‐cell transplantation or receiving cellular
therapies may shed viable SARS‐CoV‐2 for at least 2 months. The current guidelines for Covid‐19 isolation precautions may need
to be revised for immunocompromised patients.

N Engl J Med 2021; 385:562‐566. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMsb2104756.        N Engl J Med 2020; 383:2586‐2588; DOI: 10.1056/NEJMc2031670
Diagnostic tests for SARS‐CoV‐2 infection
Estimated Variation Over Time in Diagnostic Tests for Detection of SARS-CoV-2 Infection Relative to Symptom Onset

                                                                                                                IgG
                                                              Virus Isolation

                                                                                                                      Note timing of rt‐PCR
                                                                                                                IgM   versus virus isolation
                                                                                                 BAL

                                                                                Virus in Stool         rt‐PCR
                                                                                      by PCR
                                                                                                   NP

JAMA. 2020;323(22):2249-2251. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.8259. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.8259
Antibody Assay Utility for COVID‐19
• No intention to identify active COVID‐19 infection – “a complete
  misuse” of the test.

• Presence of antibody can in retrospect confirm suspected and/or
  unsuspected (asymptomatic) infections.

• If defined with an antibody response, a person is then likely immune
  to re‐infection.

      JAMA. Published online April 17, 2020. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.6170
Mass Testing for rt‐PCR Assay
Nasopharyngeal (NP‐left) and Mid‐turbinate (right) swabs
The Sensitivity and Costs of Testing for SARS‐CoV‐2 Infection With Saliva Versus Nasopharyngeal Swabs
                                               A Systematic Review and Meta‐analysis
                                      Mayara Lisboa Bastos, Sara Perlman‐Arrow, Dick Menzies, et al.

Abstract:

Conclusion: Saliva sampling seems to be a similarly sensitive and less costly alternative that
could replace nasopharyngeal swabs for collection of clinical samples for SARS‐CoV‐2 testing.

    CJS Comment: Collection of saliva samples by patients themselves negates the need for direct interaction of
    health care workers with patients and thereby reduces risk to HCW and the use of PPE.

                                                    Ann Intern Med. 2021; 174(4):501‐510. doi:10.7326/M20‐6569
(rt‐PCR)

                                                  $10 ‐ $40   2 tests
                                                   per test   $20‐25

Robert F. Service Science 2020;369:608-609
Test results and performance characteristics of the Abbott BinaxNOW COVID‐19 Ag Card Point of Care Diagnostic Test
 (BinaxNOW antigen test) compared with real‐time reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction (RT‐PCR) for testing
received among asymptomatic and symptomatic persons at two community‐based testing sites — Pima County, Arizona,
                                                     November 2020
                                           BinaxNOW antigen test performance, % (95% CI)
       All participants (N = 3,149)
       Sensitivity                                                         52.5 (46.7–58.3) (false negative – 47.5%)
       Specificity                                                         99.9 (99.7–100.0) (false positive – 0.1%)
       PPV                                                                 97.5 (93.8–99.3)

       NPV                                                                  95.6 (94.9–96.3)
       Symptomatic (n = 827)
       Sensitivity                                                         64.2 (56.7–71.3) (false negative – 35.8%)
       Specificity                                                        100.0 (99.4–100.0) (false positive 0%)
       PPV                                                                100.0 (96.8–100.0)
       NPV                                                                  91.2 (88.8–93.1)
       Asymptomatic (n = 2,592)
       Sensitivity                                                         35.8 (27.3–44.9) (false negative – 64.2%)
       Specificity                                                         99.8 (99.6–100.0) (false positive – 0.2%)
       PPV                                                                  91.7 (80.0–97.7)
       NPV                                                                  96.9 (96.1–97.5)

       Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021;70:100–105. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7003e3
Antigen Test Algorithm for Community Settings

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019‐ncov/lab/resources/antigen‐tests‐guidelines.html; January 20, 2022
Persons with COVID‐19 who have had symptoms and cared for themselves
             at home – conditions for discontinuing isolation

  • Children and adults with mild, symptomatic COVID‐19:
    ‐ Isolation can end at least 5 days after symptom onset and after fever ends for 24
    hours (without the use of fever‐reducing medication) and symptoms are
    improving, if these people can continue to properly wear a well‐fitted mask
    around others for 5 more days after the 5‐day isolation period. Day 0 is the first
    day of symptoms.

  • People who have moderate, symptomatic COVID‐19 illness: Isolate for 10 days.

  • People who are infected but asymptomatic (never develop symptoms):
    ‐ same as for mildly symptomatic above with the positive test day as reference.
        CDC Guidance, January 14, 2022
Persons who are moderately or severely immunocompromised might have a longer infectious
                     period – conditions for discontinuing isolation

   • People who are moderately or severely immunocompromised might
     have a longer infectious period:
     ‐ Extend isolation to 20 or more days (day 0 is the first day of
     symptoms or a positive viral test). Use a test‐based strategy and
     consult with an infectious disease specialist to determine the
     appropriate duration of isolation and precautions.

       CDC Guidance, January 14, 2022
Treatment (phases) of COVID‐19 illness

• Outpatients: with mild to moderate illness

• Inpatients: with moderate to severe illness
Early Remdesivir to Prevent Progression to Severe Covid-19 in Outpatients
                                                               Robert L. Gottlieb, Carlos E. Vaca, Roger Paredes, et al.

Abstract:

CONCLUSIONS
Among non‐hospitalized patients who were at high risk for Covid‐19 progression, a 3‐day course of remdesivir had an acceptable
safety profile and resulted in an 87% lower risk of hospitalization or death than placebo.
N Engl J Med January 27, 2022; 386:305‐315. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2116846

      FDA Takes Actions to Expand Use of Treatment for Outpatients with Mild‐to‐Moderate COVID‐19
                                                                             January 21, 2022
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration took two actions to expand the use of the antiviral drug Veklury (remdesivir) to certain
non-hospitalized adults and pediatric patients for the treatment of mild-to-moderate COVID-19 disease. This provides another
treatment option to reduce the risk of hospitalization in high-risk patients. Previously, the use of Veklury was limited to patients
requiring hospitalization.

The agency also revised the Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) for Veklury to additionally authorize the drug for treatment
of pediatric patients weighing 3.5 kilograms to less than 40 kilograms or pediatric patients less than 12 years of age
weighing at least 3.5 kilograms, with positive results of direct SARS-CoV-2 viral testing, and who are not hospitalized and have
mild-to-moderate COVID-19 and are at high risk for progression to severe COVID-19, including hospitalization of death.
Based on today’s actions, these high-risk non-hospitalized patients may receive Veklury via intravenous infusion for a total of
three days for the treatment of mild-to-moderate COVID-19 disease.

                          FDA News Release. January 21, 2022
Two drugs, two targets

As SARS-CoV-2 infects cells, reproduces itself, and
spreads, the coronavirus relies on dozens of viral
and host proteins to complete its life cycle.

Pfizer's new oral pill inhibits the main viral
protease used to create other proteins for the virus.
(nirmatrelvir tablets and ritonavir tablets - Paxlovid)

And Merck’s drug inserts a defective RNA building
block when the virus uses an enzyme known as a
polymerase to copy its genome.
(molnupiravir)

      ! "# $  !% &'*+/  ' +&'&&35  '8;$;
The Current NIH COVID‐19 Treatment Guidelines for High‐Risk, Non‐hospitalized Patients
                           With Mild to Moderate COVID‐19 (March 2, 2022)

    The NIH Panel recommends using one of the following therapies (listed in order of preference):

    • Nirmatrelvir 300 mg with ritonavir 100 mg (Paxlovid) orally twice daily for 5 days, initiated
      as soon as possible and within 5 days of symptom onset in those aged ≥12 years and
      weighing ≥40 kg; (89% risk reduction of hospitalization or death by day 28; EUA on December
      22, 2021)

    • Sotrovimab 500 mg as a single intravenous (IV) infusion, administered as soon as possible
      and within 7 days of symptom onset in those aged ≥12 years and weighing ≥40 kg; (85% risk
      reduction of hospitalization or death by day 29; EUA on May 26, 2021)

    • Remdesivir 200 mg IV on Day 1, followed by remdesivir 100 mg IV once daily on Days 2
      and 3, initiated as soon as possible and within 7 days of symptom onset in those aged ≥12
      years and weighing ≥40 kg; (87% risk reduction of hospitalization or death by day 28; expanded
      EUA on January 21, 2022)
https://www.covid19treatmentguidelines.nih.gov/therapies/statement‐on‐bebtelovimab/
The Current NIH COVID‐19 Treatment Guidelines for High‐Risk, Non‐hospitalized Patients
                 With Mild to Moderate COVID‐19 (cont’d.) (March 2, 2022)
      Alternative Therapies
      If none of the preferred therapies for high-risk, non-hospitalized patients is available, feasible to
      deliver, or clinically appropriate (e.g., due to drug-drug interactions, concerns related to renal or
      hepatic function), the Panel recommends using one of the following therapies (listed in alphabetical
      order):

      • Bebtelovimab 175 mg as a single IV infusion, administered as soon as possible and within 7 days of
        symptom onset in those aged ≥12 years and weighing ≥40 kg, ONLY if none of the preferred therapies is
        available, feasible to deliver, or clinically appropriate; (EUA from FDA on February 11, 2022)

      • Molnupiravir 800 mg orally twice daily for 5 days, initiated as soon as possible and within 5 days of
        symptom onset in those aged ≥18 years, ONLY if none of the preferred therapies are available, feasible to
        deliver, or clinically appropriate. (30% risk reduction of hospitalization or death by day 29; Use in pregnancy
        is not recommended due to possible mutagenicity. EUA on December 23, 2021)

https://www.covid19treatmentguidelines.nih.gov/therapies/statement‐on‐bebtelovimab/
Treatment (phases) of COVID‐19 illness

Inpatient illness: moderate to severe, W/O or with supplemental O2, on
  ventilator or ECMO
• High‐titer COVID‐19 convalescent plasma
• Dexamethasone
• remdesivir (Veklury)
• anti‐IL‐6 (receptor) monoclonal antibodies (tocilizumab, sarilumab)
• Janus Kinase (JAK) inhibitors (baricitinib, tofacitinib)
Use of Convalescent Plasma

The August 23, 2020 EUA for convalescent plasma for the treatment of hospitalized patients with COVID‐19 was revised on
February 4, 2021 to limit the authorization to high‐titer COVID‐19 convalescent plasma and only for the treatment of
hospitalized patients with COVID‐19 early in their disease course or hospitalized patients who have impaired humoral
immunity.

On December 16, 2021 The NIH COVID-19 Treatment Guidelines Panel recommended against the use of COVID-19
convalescent plasma for the treatment of COVID-19 in hospitalized patients without impaired humoral immunity. The exception
remained for high tittered convalescent plasma for those with impaired immunity.

           https://www.fda.gov/news‐events/fda‐brief/fda‐brief‐fda‐updates‐emergency‐use‐authorization‐covid‐19‐convalescent‐plasma‐reflect‐new‐data
Therapeutic Management of Adults
       Hospitalized for COVID‐19
       Based on Disease Severity
                  NIH Guidelines, February 24, 2022

Discussion:
Personalized therapy is an independent risk factor
for survival.

           Tocilizumab ‐ Actemra; Baricitinib ‐ Olumiant

Clin Infect Dis, 1 January 2022, 74(1): 127–132. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa964
The FDA‐approved drug ivermectin inhibits the replication of SARS‐CoV‐2 in vitro
                                                                   LeonCaly, Julian D.Druce, Mike G.Catton et al.

  Highlights
  Ivermectin is an inhibitor of the COVID‐19 causative virus (SARS‐CoV‐2) in vitro.
  A single treatment able to effect ~5000‐fold reduction in virus at 48 h in cell culture.
  Ivermectin is FDA‐approved for parasitic infections, and therefore has a potential for repurposing.
  Ivermectin is widely available, due to its inclusion on the WHO model list of essential medicines.

Antiviral Research June 2020; 178: 10478. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.antiviral.2020.104787
Effect of Ivermectin on Time to Resolution of Symptoms Among Adults With Mild COVID‐19
                                                  A Randomized Clinical Trial
                                     Eduardo López‐Medina, Pío López, Isabel C. Hurtado, et al.

Abstract:
Objective: To determine whether ivermectin is an efficacious treatment for mild COVID‐19.

Conclusion and Relevance: Among adults with mild COVID‐19, a 5‐day course of ivermectin, compared with placebo,
did not significantly improve the time to resolution of symptoms. The findings do not support the use of ivermectin for
treatment of mild COVID‐19, although larger trials may be needed to understand the effects of ivermectin on other clinically
relevant outcomes.

            JAMA. March 4, 2021;325(14):1426‐1435. doi:10.1001/jama.2021.3071
Rapid Increase in Ivermectin Prescriptions and Reports of Severe Illness Associated
    with Use of Products Containing Ivermectin to Prevent or Treat COVID‐19
                                                          D istributed via the CD C H ealth AlertN etw ork

  Summary:

  During the COVID‐19 pandemic, ivermectin dispensing by retail pharmacies has increased, as has
  use of veterinary formulations available over the counter but not intended for human use.

  Adverse effects associated with ivermectin misuse and overdose are increasing, as shown by a rise in calls to poison control
  centers reporting overdoses and more people experiencing adverse effects.

   Distributed via the CDC Health Alert Network, August 26, 2021, HAN00449
Post‐acute Sequelae of COVID‐19 (PASC)
     “The Long Haul” – Long Covid
Survivor Corps is a grassroots solution‐based movement to mobilize the sharply increasing number of people affected by COVID‐
19 to come together, support and participate in the medical and scientific research community efforts and take a more active
role in trying to mitigate this pandemic.

                                    THE LONG COVID ALLIANCE
THE LONG COVID ALLIANCE is a network of patient‐advocates, scientists, disease experts, and drug developers who have
joined together to leverage their collective knowledge and resources to educate policy makers and accelerate research to
transform our understanding of post‐viral illness.

  RECOVER, a research initiative from the National Institutes of Health (NIH), seeks to understand, prevent, and treat PASC,
  including Long COVID. PASC stands for post‐acute sequelae of SARS‐CoV‐2 and is a term scientists are using to study the
  potential consequences of a SARS‐CoV‐2 infection.
NEWS FEATURE
      The four most urgent questions about long COVID
                                                             Michael Marshall

• How many people get long COVID and who is most at risk?

• What is the underlying biology of long COVID? (hypotheses only at present)

• What is the relationship between long COVID and other post‐infection
  syndromes?

• What can be done to help people with long COVID?

           Nature 594, 168‐170 (June 9, 2021). doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586‐021‐01511‐z
The symptomatology of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19)

                                                 PASC
                                     (Post‐Acute Sequelae of COVID‐19)

                                                                                                Long COVID
                                                                                                 (The Long Haul)

   The CDC defines PASC as symptoms lasting beyond 4 or more weeks after initial infection; WHO defines this interval as beyond 3 months.

Front. Immunol. 12:693938. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2021.693938. Science 11 March, 2022; 375: 1122‐1127. DOI: 10.1126/science.abm8108
Approach to patients with Long COVID

                                                                                                                                     35% of ambulatory
                                                                                                                                     managed patients,
                                                                                                                                     87% of those admitted;

                                                                                                                                     female : male 2:1.

                                                                                                                                     More common > 35YO,
                                                                                                                                     > 2 co‐morbidities

                                                                        Auto‐antibodies

                                                   RNA
                                                                                                                   Elevated CSF
                                                                                                                   cytokine levels
                                                               Worsening of
                                                               symptoms related to
                                                               co‐morbidities

Diabetes Metab Syndr 2021 May‐June; 15(3): 869–875. Published online 2021 Apr 20. doi: 10.1016/j.dsx.2021.04.007
More than 50 long‐term effects of COVID‐19: a systematic review and meta‐analysis
                                                                              Sandra Lopez‐Leon, Talia Wegman‐Ostrosky, Carol Perelman et al.

 Abstract:

 It was estimated that 80% of the infected patients with SARS‐CoV‐2 developed one or more long‐term symptoms.

 The five most common symptoms were:
 fatigue (58%),
 headache (44%),
 attention disorder (“brain fog” ‐ 27%),
 hair loss (25%),
 dyspnea (24%). (possibly with chest pain, palpitations and orthostatic intolerance)

 Multi‐disciplinary teams are crucial to developing preventive measures, rehabilitation techniques, and clinical management
 strategies with whole‐patient perspectives designed to address long COVID‐19 care.

Sci Rep 11, article number 16144 (published August 9, 2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598‐021‐95565‐8. Diabetes Metab Syndr 2021 May‐June; 15(3): 869–875. Published online 2021 Apr 20. doi: 10.1016/j.dsx.2021.04.007
Post‐acute COVID‐19 syndrome
Interdisciplinary management in COVID‐19 clinics
  • Primary care
  • Pulmonary clinic
  • Cardiovascular clinics
  • Neuropsychiatric care clinics
  • Hematology clinic
  • Renal clinic

   Nat Med 27, 601–615 (published March 22, 2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591‐021‐01283‐z
Preliminary evidence on long COVID in children
                                                         Danilo Buonsenso, Daniel Munblit,Cristina De Rose et al.

This cross‐sectional study included all children ≤18 year old diagnosed with microbiologically confirmed (PCR analysis on nasopharyngeal swab) COVID‐19 (through
a nasopharyngeal swab from March 2020 to October 2020) in Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS (Rome, Italy). Only children with a SARS‐CoV‐2
infection diagnosed 30 days before the assessment were included. …

During the acute COVID‐19, 33 children (25.6%) were asymptomatic, and 96 (74.4%) had symptoms. Overall, 6 (4.7%) children were hospitalized, and 3 (2.3%)
needed pediatric intensive care unit admission.

persistence of symptoms according to severity and length of follow‐up.
Insomnia (18.6%),
respiratory symptoms (including pain and chest tightness) (14.7%),
nasal congestion (12.4%),
fatigue (10.8%),
muscle (10.1%) and joint pain (6.9%), and
concentration difficulties (10.1%).

These were the most frequently reported symptoms. These symptoms, described both in children with symptomatic and asymptomatic acute COVID‐19, were
particularly frequent in those assessed >60 days after the initial diagnosis. …

Twenty out of 30 children (66.6%) assessed between 60 and 120 days after initial COVID‐19 had at least one persisting symptom

                                  Acta Paediatrica July 2021 110(7): 2208‐2211. https://doi.org/10.1111/apa.15870
Frequency of most reported symptoms among the uninfected, the vaccinated and the unvaccinated

All individuals over the age of 18
who were tested for SARS‐CoV‐2
infection by RT‐PCR between
15th March 2020 and 15th November
2021 in the three major government
hospitals in Northern Israel were
surveyed:

Uninfected:
N= 2,437

Infected, unimmunized:
N= 314

Infected, immunized:
N= 637

            Conclusion: COVID‐19 vaccination with two doses may have a protective effect against long COVID
                  medRxiv, posted January 17, 2022. doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.01.05.22268800
The heartbreak of COVID‐19

Science, February 18, 2022; 375: 706‐707. doi: 10.1126/science.ada1117. Nat Med (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591‐022‐01689‐3: Published 07 February 2022
My wife Heidi Ferrer had Long Covid and killed herself (by Nick Güthe)

             Nick Güthe                                 Jeff Goldblum

     The Guardian. Opinion. Wed 12 Jan 2022 06.17 EST
Emergency Department Visits for Suspected Suicide Attempts Among Persons Aged 12–25 Years Before
           and During the COVID‐19 Pandemic — United States, January 2019–May 2021
                                     Ellen Yard, PhD1; Lakshmi Radhakrishnan, MPH2; Michael F. Ballesteros, et al.

Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021;70:888–894. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7024e1external icon
Change in symptom scores comparing before and after immunization by those completing
                the survey who had Long COVID prior to immunization

                  Survey performed in UK where AZ vaccine was given >>> Janssen/J&J as the AdV vaccine.
 go.nature.com/3yfqem2 (2021).   https://3ca26cd7‐266e‐4609‐b25f‐6f3d1497c4cf.filesusr.com/ugd/8bd4fe_a338597f76bf4279a851a7a4cb0e0a74.pdf
Long COVID is contributing to America's labor shortage

Long COVID is likely keeping a lot of Americans out of the workforce, experts say, — and that could continue for years as people
struggle with persistent health problems.

1.6 million workers could be missing from the labor market right now because of long COVID, accounting for upwards of 15% of
unfilled jobs, …

Studies have estimated long COVID prevalence falls anywhere from 5% to 60% of COVID cases. Splitting the difference at
30%, more than 22 million Americans may be suffering from long COVID symptoms, according to the American Academy of
Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation.

"Many of the patients we're seeing are in the 40‐year‐old range. They're people who are still working ...

                       Axios, February 3, 2022
There are too many simple questions
   but not enough simple answers!

Thank you for helping me to honor Boyd’s memory!

            Questions ?
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