SA Power Networks 2020-2025 Draft Plan - Delivering better outcomes at a lower price - AWS

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SA Power Networks 2020-2025 Draft Plan - Delivering better outcomes at a lower price - AWS
SA
Power
Networks
2020–2025
Draft Plan
Delivering better outcomes at a lower price
SA Power Networks 2020-2025 Draft Plan - Delivering better outcomes at a lower price - AWS
Acknowledgement of Country                          Disclaimer                                               Copyright
SA Power Networks acknowledges the Australian       This document is designed to promote early               This publication is copyright. SA Power Networks
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples       engagement on our expenditure plans for                  reserves to itself all rights in relation to the
of this nation. We acknowledge the traditional      2020–2025, prior to our formal proposal being            material contained within this publication. You
custodians of the lands on which our company        lodged with the Australian Energy Regulator in           must not reproduce any content of this publication
is located and where we conduct our business.       early 2019. Unless otherwise stated, all monetary        by any process without first obtaining SA Power
We pay our respects to ancestors and elders, past   values are expressed in real 2020 dollars.               Networks’ permission, except as permitted under
and present. SA Power Networks is committed to                                                               the Copyright Act 1968 (Cth).
honouring Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait   This document contains certain predictions,
Islander peoples’ unique cultural and spiritual     estimates and statements that reflect various            © All rights reserved.
relationships to the land, waters and seas and      assumptions concerning, amongst other things,
their rich contribution to society.                 economic growth and load growth forecasts
                                                    that, by their nature, may or may not prove to be
                                                    correct and are subject to ongoing change and
Company information                                 development.

SA Power Networks is the primary electricity        Whilst care was taken in the preparation of the
distribution network operator in South Australia.   information in this Draft Plan, and it is provided
For information about SA Power Networks visit       in good faith, SA Power Networks, its officers and
sapowernetworks.com.au                              shareholders accept no responsibility or liability for
                                                    any loss or damage that may be incurred by any
                                                    person acting in reliance on this information or
                                                    assumptions drawn from it for a different purpose
                                                    or in a different context.
SA Power Networks 2020-2025 Draft Plan - Delivering better outcomes at a lower price - AWS
Delivering better outcomes at a lower price

                          I am pleased to present our 2020–2025 Draft Plan.
                          The Draft Plan outlines our expenditure and revenue
                          forecasts for delivering electricity services to 860,000
                          homes and businesses across South Australia.
                          We developed this plan with                       We know that the cost of living,
                          comprehensive input from our customers            including electricity bills, is a major
                          and stakeholders. The consultation                concern for many customers, and we
                          process began in early 2017 and three             have an important role to play in energy
                          key themes consistently emerged.                  affordability. Since privatisation in 1999/00
                          Our customers want us to:                         on average the increase in our prices
                                                                            has been in line with CPI resulting in
                          ›› do our part to keep a lid on prices,
                                                                            our component of residential bills
                             noting we represent approximately
                                                                            falling from 50% to 26%.
                             26% of a typical residential customer’s
                             electricity bill;                              This Draft Plan outlines how we will
                          ›› maintain electricity supply reliability        continue to keep the lid on prices
                             across the State; and                          below CPI for customers over the
                                                                            2020–2025 period.
                          ›› continue a managed transition
                             to the ‘network of the future’.                I am confident that our Draft Plan
                                                                            for 2020–2025 strikes the appropriate
                          As we engaged with our customers and
                                                                            balance between customer service,
Rob Stobbe                stakeholders, they consistently asked us
                                                                            network safety and price affordability.
Chief Executive Officer   to ‘do more for less’. We strongly believe
                                                                            I firmly believe it is in the long term
                          that this Draft Plan will achieve this; it will
                                                                            interests of our customers.
                          deliver better outcomes for our customers
                          at a lower price.                                 I am grateful for the time and
                                                                            contributions made by all of our customer
                          During 2020–2025 we will continue to
                                                                            representatives and stakeholders who
                          meet all of our regulatory obligations
                                                                            have helped us get the 2020–2025 Draft
                          for safety, supply reliability and customer
                                                                            Plan to this point.
                          service outcomes, as we have during
                          the current 2015–2020 period.                     I encourage you to review this document
                                                                            and send through your feedback so that
                          In addition, we will also deliver targeted
                                                                            we can further improve our Plan before
                          improvements in:
                                                                            it is lodged with the Australian Energy
                          ›› supply reliability for poorly-served           Regulator in early 2019.
                             customers;
                                                                            You will find more information on how
                          ›› bushfire risk reduction;                       to provide your feedback at the back of
                          ›› management of our ageing network               this document.
                             assets;
                                                                            I thank you for taking the time to review
                          ›› cyber security protections for customer        our 2020-2025 Draft Plan.
                             and business information; and
                          ›› enabling the transition to a distributed
                             energy future.
                          These better outcomes will be made
                          possible by:
                          ›› listening to our customers and                 Rob Stobbe
                             stakeholders;                                  Chief Executive Officer
                          ›› industry leading productivity
                             performance;
                          ›› innovative asset management
                             practices; and
                          ›› leading national thinking as we
                             transition to the network of the future.

                                                                                                                            i
SA Power Networks 2020-2025 Draft Plan - Delivering better outcomes at a lower price - AWS
Contents
SA Power Networks 2020-2025 Draft Plan - Delivering better outcomes at a lower price - AWS
Delivering better outcomes
at a lower price
Summary
1   Overview of 2020–2025 Draft Plan             1
2   Delivering services efficiently              8
3   Customer engagement                          16
4   Keeping prices down                          24

Detailed Content
5   Enabling the distributed energy transition   28
6   Capital expenditure                          34
7   Operating expenditure                        50
8   Revenue building blocks                      58
9   Tariff structure statement                   62
10 Alternative control services                  74
11 Feedback                                      78

                                                      iii
SA Power Networks 2020-2025 Draft Plan - Delivering better outcomes at a lower price - AWS
2020–2025
Draft Plan
SA Power Networks 2020-2025 Draft Plan - Delivering better outcomes at a lower price - AWS
Overview   1
SA Power Networks 2020-2025 Draft Plan - Delivering better outcomes at a lower price - AWS
2          SA POWER NETWORKS 2020–2025 DRAFT PLAN

    What this plan means for customers

    Delivering better outcomes at a lower price

    Keeping prices down                                     A safe and reliable
                                                            network
     $37       Reductions of $37                                  $726m
               in residential customer annual bills               to keep our ageing network performing well
               in 2020/21 and $148 for small to
               medium business customers’ bills

                                                                  $83m
               Delivered through                                  to continue safety programs and reduce
                                                                  bushfire start risk
               ›› reducing network capacity
                  investment by $106m
               ›› avoiding and deferring other 
                  expenditure where possible
               ›› new technologies to keep spending
                  at sustainable levels
                                                                  $37m
                                                                  to maintain averagesupply reliability and

                                                                  $36m
               $280m total savings                                to improve supply reliability for 19,000
                                                                  regional customers and 73,000 customers
               to customers                                       in storm-prone areas

               through efficient reductions in investment

                                                                  Improved tree trimming through
                                                                  collaboration with councils and customers

               Remain the #1most                                 ✓ No additional cost

               efficient distribution
               business                                           Better information to customers during
                                                                  storms and other outages
               in Australia on a state-by-state basis
                                                                  ✓ No additional cost
SA Power Networks 2020-2025 Draft Plan - Delivering better outcomes at a lower price - AWS
Transitioning to
a new energy future

     $37m investment
     to ensure customers can continue
     to connect and export energy from
     their solar and batteries

     Supporting more
     renewable energy
     on the network

     Exploring alternatives
     to building network
      infrastructure
     $28m non-network opportunities

     $4m
     for trialling new technologies
     and innovative solutions

     Collaborating
     with government
     and industry
     to realise benefits to the community

                                            Overview   3
SA Power Networks 2020-2025 Draft Plan - Delivering better outcomes at a lower price - AWS
4             SA POWER NETWORKS 2020–2025 DRAFT PLAN

    1 Overview of 2020–2025 Draft Plan

    SA Power Networks is the                                   Keeping prices down
    primary electricity distribution
    network operator in South                                      $37
    Australia. We supply energy
                                                               This Draft Plan will deliver an average                    By the end of the current 2015–2020
    to more than 860,000 homes                                 annual price reduction of $37 for                          period we will have reduced capital
    and businesses.                                            residential customers in 2020/21
                                                               and a $148 saving for a typical small
                                                                                                                          expenditure by around $370 million
                                                                                                                          through prudent and efficient
    Our activities are regulated by the                        to medium business.                                        management— whilst still meeting
    Australian Energy Regulator (AER) and                                                                                 our obligations to connect customers,
                                                               These savings build on price reductions
    we are required to submit our expenditure                                                                             maintain reliability and meet service
                                                               in 2015/16, when distribution prices
    and revenue proposals to the AER every                                                                                standards.
                                                               were reduced by 25%. They are also
    five years for their review and approval.                  well in excess of the $13 savings in                       As a consequence, our regulated asset
    Our plans for 2020–2025 have been                          network (ie transmission and distribution)                 base (or RAB) will be smaller. This is
    informed by extensive engagement                           charges considered achievable by the                       good for customers, as a lower asset
    with customers, stakeholders and                           Australian Competition and Consumer                        base reduces the allowed return on
    other interested parties.                                  Commissions’ (ACCC’s) Inquiry into                         assets and helps keep a lid on future
    We have consulted with metropolitan and                    electricity retail prices.1                                distribution prices. Customers will save
    regional customers, the business sector                                                                               around $280 million in future network
    and various customer and stakeholder                                                                                  charges as a result of lower capital
    representatives. We also meet regularly                                                                               spending in the 2015–2020 period.
    with our Customer Consultative Panel
    as well as our business, renewables,
    community and arborist reference                           We are reducing prices by lowering
    groups. Feedback from these groups                         expenditure in some areas, particularly
    continues to shape our plans.                              in customer demand-driven investment
                                                               in the network (which will reduce by                       Since the AER’s Inaugural Annual
    Earlier this year we shared our preliminary
                                                               net $87 million). This is consistent with                  Benchmarking Report in 2014, SA Power
    plans and forecasts with customer
                                                               South Australia’s forecast economic                        Networks has consistently been ranked
    representatives and stakeholders through
                                                               conditions and associated network                          the most efficient electricity distributor
    a series of ‘deep dive’ workshops. We
                                                               growth requirements during 2020–2025.                      on a state-by-state basis when compared
    reviewed our plans after receiving their
                                                                                                                          to other Australian electricity distribution
    feedback and reduced capital expenditure                   We are also investing wisely in targeted
                                                                                                                          businesses. SA Power Networks continues
    (by $90 million) and operating expenditure                 areas such as Information Technology (IT)
                                                                                                                          to work hard to remain at the efficient
    (by $49 million). The revised forecasts                    systems and tools. These will increase our
                                                                                                                          frontier of Australian distributors and
    are presented in this Draft Plan, which                    field staff’s use of mobile technologies to
                                                                                                                          our Draft Plan reflects our ongoing
    achieves an appropriate balance of:                        better collect and process customer and
                                                                                                                          commitment to achieve this through
                                                               asset information as well as deliver work
    ›› keeping prices down;                                                                                               2020–2025.
                                                               programs efficiently.
    ›› maintaining a safe and reliable
       network; and
    ›› transitioning us to a new energy future.

    1   ACCC, Restoring electricity affordability and Australia’s competitive advantage Retail Electricity Pricing Inquiry – Final Report, June 2018 (Page XV)
A safe and reliable network

In September 2016, South Australia             We propose $37 million to maintain             To create a more sustainable environment
experienced a total loss of electricity        supply reliability expenditure at current      that minimises the need for tree trimming
supply (a ‘black system’ event) precipitated   levels to meet our ongoing average             over time, we are working to:
by extreme storm damage to ElectraNet’s        reliability targets (which exclude the
                                                                                              ›› reduce tree trimming costs over
transmission lines. This state-wide            impact of major storm events) set by
                                                                                                 the longer term;
blackout was a stark reminder to all           the Essential Services Commission of
South Australians that reliable and            South Australia (ESCoSA). We have also         ›› improve visual outcomes through
secure electricity is essential for our        included $36 million of expenditure to:           partnering and collaborating with
modern lifestyle.                                                                                councils; and
                                               ›› harden the network in the face of
                                                                                              ›› improve public education/awareness.
SA Power Networks operates the oldest             more frequent and increasingly severe
distribution network assets in the National       weather events — improving reliability      Key initiatives include:
Electricity Market (NEM) and the number           for 73,000 customers in storm prone
of age related defects has been increasing        areas; and                                  ›› trials with councils to remove saplings
in recent years. During 2020–2025 we will                                                        and chemically regulate the growth of
                                               ›› improve reliability for 19,000 of our          some tree species;
continue our 10-year asset management             poorly-served customers — those that
program — agreed with State regulators            experience excessively frequent or long     ›› developing proposed amendments
in 2015 to maintain the standard of all           power outages compared to other                to the South Australian Vegetation
electricity assets to the legislated safety       customers.                                     Regulations to improve safety, reduce
and technical requirements. We are                                                               costs and deliver better community
developing new approaches to meet              Our total reliability program is $20 million      outcomes (with customer and
an increased workload, manage risk             lower than we discussed with customers            stakeholder support);
and keep the network performing well.          and stakeholders earlier this year due to      ›› developing processes to better assess
                                               the removal of the Ceduna alternative             the visual amenity, cost, and impact
This Draft Plan proposes $726 million          power supply project, which is subject
to refurbish or replace aged and                                                                 on tree health of different pruning or
                                               to the ESCoSA service standards review.           trimming techniques, in partnership
deteriorating assets to manage the
‘health’ of the network and ensure                                                               with our vegetation clearance
its safe and reliable performance                                                                contractor and a local council; and
well into the future. This forecast is                                                        ›› continuing a tree removal and
$49 million lower than that discussed                                                            replacement program to reduce
with customers and stakeholders                                                                  the need for future tree trimming.
                                               The 2018 St. Patrick’s Day bushfires in
earlier this year. This reduction follows
                                               New South Wales and Victoria also remind       These improvements will be delivered
further asset management modelling
                                               us that extreme fire danger weather can        at no additional cost to customers.
refinement and analysis.
                                               have an impact on trees and powerlines
                                               with catastrophic consequences.
                                               The Draft Plan proposes to continue
                                               our bushfire mitigation program with
                                               $19 million expenditure planned for
                                               2020–2025. This will help to maintain          In 2020–2025 we will continue to refine
                                               community safety by reducing the               and enhance our capability to improve
                                               probability that extreme fire danger           how we communicate with customers,
                                               weather will cause fires to start from         particularly those affected during storms
                                               our powerlines. The Safety program             and other outages.
                                               also includes expenditure to continue          We will modify our systems to
                                               ongoing programs to upgrade protection         provide more personalised and localised
                                               equipment ($24 million) and substation         messaging to customers, including more
                                               infrastructure ($40 million) to meet           accurate supply restoration times for
                                               current Australian standards. This is          affected customers, at no additional
                                               $24 million lower than discussed with          cost to them.
                                               customers and stakeholders earlier this
                                               year due to extending the time period
                                               of the program.

                                                                                                                         Overview          5
6            SA POWER NETWORKS 2020–2025 DRAFT PLAN

    Transitioning to a new energy future

    Customer expectations and technology-                We are committed to supporting                 We are also committed to adopting all
    driven changes are transforming the                  Government policy and the community’s          viable alternatives to building network
    way customers use electricity. South                 desire for more renewable energy on            infrastructure to meet future network
    Australia already has the highest per                the network.                                   challenges. Non-network solutions
    capita take-up in Australia of domestic                                                             such as batteries and solar generation
                                                         We are working with:
    rooftop solar. Retailers and other                                                                  can defer or eliminate the need to build
    ‘aggregators’ are developing virtual power           ›› the South Australian Government on          traditional long-life network assets and
    plants (VPPs) to aggregate customers’                   its proposed program to support more        result in lower prices for customers.
    energy resources and centrally dispatch                 customers adopting battery storage;
                                                                                                        During 2015–2020 we implemented
    them into the electricity market. The                ›› retailers who are considering VPPs that     the following non-network solutions:
    South Australian Government has plans                   will further increase the amount of solar
    which could see 90,000 batteries connect                and batteries connected to the network;     ›› contracted third-party generation at
    to our network in coming years, and                                                                    Bordertown — deferring upgrade of
    the take-up of electric vehicles is also             ›› equipment manufacturers, to agree
                                                                                                           a 33,000 volt powerline;
    expected to increase.                                   on appropriate standards for any new
                                                            equipment connecting to the network;        ›› implemented the Salisbury residential
    The existing electricity network was                                                                   battery project which deferred the need
                                                         ›› developers who are promoting new
    designed and constructed over the past                                                                 to build additional powerlines; and
                                                            ‘greener’ residential developments; and
    100 years to transport energy, from                                                                 ›› connected a battery to the network
    large coal and gas-fired power stations              ›› industry participants around operation
                                                                                                           at Cape Jervis, which helped defer the
    connected to the transmission network,                  and management of third party energy
                                                                                                           planned upgrade of the Cape Jervis
    then through the distribution network                   services.
                                                                                                           33,000/11,000 volt substation.
    to customers. We expect that more than
    50% of all electricity generated in the                                                             During 2020–2025 we will investigate
    next five to 10 years will be generated                                                             non-network opportunities to:
    by customer equipment that connects                                                                 ›› use third party generation to avoid
    into the electricity distribution network.                                                             a network upgrade at Robe;
    This poses security and reliability
                                                                                                        ›› use systems and data to more actively
    challenges for our network.
                                                                                                           manage our low voltage network and
    Customers also want to have more control                                                               avoid or defer the upgrade of network
    over how and when they use energy. The                                                                 assets;
    network of the future will need to provide                                                          ›› use customer solar and battery systems
    the platform for customers to access new                                                               to avoid network upgrades in the
    energy products and services and have                                                                  Aldinga area;
    more choice in how they buy, use and
                                                                                                        ›› utilise customer resources to avoid
    trade their energy.
                                                                                                           replacing and upgrading long rural lines
    During 2020–2025 we are proposing                                                                      at Emu Bay on Kangaroo Island; and
    ‘no-regrets’ investment of $37 million                                                              ›› defer a new Gawler East zone
    to continue to adapt the network to                                                                    substation through customers in the
    support increasing uptake of customers’                                                                Gawler East area adopting solar and
    distributed energy resources (DER)                                                                     storage options.
    like solar, battery storage and VPPs,
    and enable further value release from
    customer equipment under any of the
    models described in the recently released
    ENA/AEMO Open Energy Networks2
    consultation paper. This is $20 million
    lower than discussed with customers
    and stakeholders earlier this year due
    to a revision in the scope of a new low
    voltage network operating model.

    2   AEMO and Energy Networks Australia, Open Energy Networks, July 2018
Additional solar and batteries on our         The electricity industry will change        Other customer-specific services
network, and the emergence of VPPs and        profoundly over the next five to 10 years   The AER will set prices for public lighting,
other new technologies, will drive further    and we are currently working closely        customer connection and other customer-
changes in the electricity industry. These    with key stakeholders to adapt to these     specific services for 2020–2025. These are
changes will present new opportunities        changes and unlock value for customers      discussed briefly in this Draft Plan.
for customers and will require new ways       and stakeholders. Specifically, we are
for distribution businesses to operate        working with:                               We do not expect any marked change
and manage their networks.                                                                in the price or delivery of these services.
                                              ›› technology providers (such as Tesla)
The AER will provide us with a demand            to ensure we understand how the
management incentive allowance of                market is changing;
around $4 million for 2020–2025 to            ›› the South Australian Government
help fund research and development               to support and enable its energy             Feedback
of demand management projects.                   policy directions;
We expect to spend this allowance                                                             We now welcome feedback from
                                              ›› the Australian Energy Market                 all customers and stakeholders on
on a number of projects which will
                                                 Operator (AEMO) to ensure power              this Draft Plan, to further improve
help us assess new technologies and
                                                 system security is not compromised;          our plans before we lodge our full
their potential applications as well as
customers’ likely responses to these          ›› the Australian Energy Market                 2020–2025 Regulatory Proposal
technologies.                                    Commission (AEMC) to make sure               with the AER in early 2019.
                                                 that the rules under which we operate
We will explore:                                                                              You can provide feedback in
                                                 continue to serve the long-term
                                                                                              various formats. Please refer
›› embedded networks with green                  interests of customers; and
                                                                                              to the end of this document
   schemes which facilitate peer-to-peer      ›› the AER to ensure our plans are the          for more detail.
   trading within the embedded network           most efficient way to deliver on our
   and reduce overall network demand;            regulatory obligations and service
›› the potential impact of electric vehicle      standards.
   charging and opportunities for demand
   management using smart vehicle
   chargers;
›› integrating future VPP market
   platforms; and
›› the impact and opportunities of
                                              Tariffs
   emerging smart hot water systems.
                                              The AER will determine our total revenue
                                              allowance for 2020–2025. We will then
                                              recover this allowed revenue through
                                              distribution tariffs, which are approved
                                              by the AER each year.
                                              This Draft Plan contains the tariff
                                              structures and options that we are
                                              proposing to include in our 2020–2025
                                              Tariff Structure Statement. These tariffs
                                              are designed to empower customers
                                              to better manage their bills and keep
                                              overall costs down.

                                                                                                                     Overview            7
Delivering
services
efficiently
SA Power Networks
is ranked as the most
efficient distributor on
a state-by-state basis.
Delivering services efficiently   9
10         SA POWER NETWORKS 2020–2025 DRAFT PLAN

     About SA Power Networks

     Our performance

     #1 for efficiency                         Reliability and                        Industry leader
     in the National                           customer service                       in safety
     Electricity Market                        targets met

     What we do

         Operate the oldest           Provide network coverage    Deliver power to 99% of           Supply 860,000
       network in the National          over 178,000km²        South Australia’s population      homes and businesses
          Electricity Market

      Connect the most rooftop           Enable 25,000 new       Read more than 1 million         Maintain 240,000 street
        solar per capita in the         or altered connections    meters and provide data          lights for councils and
      NationalElectricity Market              each year                to retailers            South Australian Government
Our prices in line  26% of residential
with CPI since 1999 customers’ bills

How we do it

                      Employ 1,800            Located at 42 sites              Deliver future-
                    South Australians            across the state             focused services that
                                                                                 customers value

What we manage

        416 zone substations              77,800               647,000        Powerline route          ≈ 20% 
                                        transformers           stobie poles     length: 8
                                                                                         2,000km      underground

                                                                                    Delivering services efficiently   11
12                  SA POWER NETWORKS 2020–2025 DRAFT PLAN

     2 Delivering services efficiently

     Our performance                                              $2,500
                                                                                                                                                                $37                                                                             $286               $271
                                                                                                                                                                                 $80
                                                                                                                                                                $84                        $45
                                                                  $2,000                                                          $82
                                                                                                                                                   $45
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     $236       $188               $179
                                                                                                                                                                $181             $182                      $164
                                                                                                                                                   $131                                    $175                                                 $124               $138
                                                                                                                                  $31                                                                                $155
                                                                                                                                                   $163                                                    $165                      $165
                                                                                                                        $151                                                     $362      $294                      $156
                                                                                                        $150                      $151                                                                     $186                      $145
                                                                  $1,500                      $136                                                                                                                   $167

     The AER’s most recent                                                                    $606      $793            $873      $805             $895
                                                                                                                                                                $939
                                                                                                                                                                                 $645      $649            $625
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     $699
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     $824
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               $1,051
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $938

     benchmarking report released                                 $1,000    $526

                                                                                                                                                                                           $136            $140
                                                                                                                                                                                 $169
     in December 2017 recognised                                            $120              $124                                                              $163                                                                                               $138
                                                                                                        $120                      $136             $151                                                              $163            $139       $136
                                                                                                                        $123
                                                                    $500
     SA Power Networks as the                                               $626              $631      $585
                                                                                                                        $516
                                                                                                                                  $536             $540         $628             $646
                                                                                                                                                                                           $672            $700      $534            $542       $568               $580

     most efficient distributor on                                    $0
                                                                             1999/00

                                                                                              2000/01

                                                                                                        2003/04

                                                                                                                        2007/08

                                                                                                                                  2009/10

                                                                                                                                                   2010/11

                                                                                                                                                                2011/12

                                                                                                                                                                                 2012/13

                                                                                                                                                                                           2013/14

                                                                                                                                                                                                           2014/15

                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2015/16

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2016/17

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2017/18

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2018/19
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     forecast

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        forecast
     a state-by-state basis, based
     on ‘total factor productivity’.                                          SA Power Networks incl. metering                                               Transmission                        Energy and Retail
     Table 2.1: Total Factor Productivity state rankings                      Government incl. green                                    GST                       Discount incl. GST
         State                                     Ranking
                                                                 Figure 2.1: Average SA residential electricity bills
         South Australia                                   1
         Victoria                                          2
         Queensland                                        3
                                                                  $2,000
         Tasmania                                          4                                                                                                                                                                                               1727
         New South Wales                                   5                                                                                                                                         +39                       -12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                71
                                                                  $1,600                                                                                                                                                                                        123
         Australian Capital Territory                      6                           1321
                                                                                                                                                                          +158                                                                                  170

                                                                                        83                                                  +171
                                                                                                                  +49
     Table 2.2: Total Factor Productivity by distributor          $1,200                84
                                                                                        11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                709
         Network                                 AER Ranking
                                                                                       538
         CitiPower (VIC)                                   1       $800

         SA Power Networks                                 2
                                                                   $400
         United Energy (VIC)                               3                           605                                                                                                                                                                      654

         Jemena (VIC)                                      4
                                                                      $0
         Powercor (VIC)                                    5                    2007/08 SA Power Networks                         Wholesale                    Environmental                Retail costs             Retail margin              2017/18 (est)
                                                                                          + Transmission                          electricity
         Energex (QLD)                                     6
         Endeavour Energy (NSW)                            7                  SA Power Networks + Transmission                                               Wholesale electricity                              Environmental
         AusNet Services (VIC)                             8                  Retail costs                         Retail margin
         TasNetworks (TAS)                                 9
                                                                 Figure 2.2: Change in average South Australia residential bill per customer 2007/08 to 2017/18
         Ergon Energy (QLD)                            10        ($ per customer, real $2016/17, excluding GST)3
         ActewAGL (ACT)                                11
         Essential Energy (NSW)                        12
         Ausgrid (NSW)                                 13

     We rank number two on efficiency
     when all of the distribution businesses
     in the NEM are compared. We are second
     only to a unique distribution business
     that is responsible for a small footprint,
     including the Melbourne Central Business
     District (CBD).
                                                                   3 ACCC, Restoring electricity affordability and Australia’s competitive advantage Retail Electricity Pricing
     3                                                                  Inquiry – Final
            ACCC, Restoring electricity affordability and Australia’s competitive       Report,Retail
                                                                                  advantage     JuneElectricity
                                                                                                      2018      Pricing Inquiry – Final Report, June 2018
250

200

150

100
                                                                                            Better than target

    50

    0
                   2013/14              2014/15                  2015/16              2016/17             2017/18

            SA Power Networks reliability             Service Standard to June 2015        Service Standard from July 2015

Figure 2.3: Electricity network system reliability (excluding major event days) — average minutes of outages
                                                  2

per customer

Providing a safe, reliable and secure                              A focus on safety underpins everything
electricity supply is our core business.                           we do. Our recent safety performance
                                                                   shows us leading the industry and in
In recent years, customers have
                                                                   2017 we reduced our lost time injury
experienced poor supply reliability
                                                                   frequency rate to almost zero.
because of major events including:
›› a state-wide power outage in
   September 2016 caused by cyclonic-
   force winds that damaged ElectraNet’s
   transmission system; and
›› significant outages at the distribution
   level caused by an unprecedented                                We strive to deliver outcomes for
   number of storms in 2016 and 2017.                              customers at the lowest sustainable cost
Notwithstanding these events, we                                   and we are conscious that every dollar
continued to meet our electricity supply                           we spend is paid for by customers.
reliability4 standards and our customers                           We understand that customers’
remain satisfied with the level of customer                        electricity bills have grown over time
service we provide.                                                due to a range of new charges that
                                                                   are not related to distribution costs;
                                                                   most recently due to large increases
                                                                   in wholesale/retail charges.
                                                                   Our charges have remained in line
                                                                   with CPI since 1999/00 (refer to Figure
                                                                   2.1). We have been able to achieve this by
                                                                   operating efficiently and considering the
                                                                   effects of our decisions on our customers’
                                                                   electricity costs. This contrasts with
                                                                   wholesale generation costs that have
                                                                   nearly doubled over the same period.

4        Measured using the system average interruption duration index (SAIDI) which reports the average minutes per annum that South Australian customers
         are without electricity supply (excluding major event days). Method of calculating target and outcomes amended by ESCoSA in 2015/16

                                                                                                                             Delivering services efficiently   13
14          SA POWER NETWORKS 2020–2025 DRAFT PLAN

                                                 3% Solar FiT costs
                                                 1% Metering costs                                                                     9% GST
                                                                                                                          4% Green and energy
                                                                                                                       efficiency scheme costs
     SA Power Networks’ recovers its costs
     from the distribution component of          26% Distribution costs                                           ES
     customers’ bills. This component has                                                                      ARG
                                                 SA Power Networks                                           CH
     reduced from 50% to 26% for residential

                                                                                                   NETWORK
     customers since privatisation in 1999/00
     and is now typically 28% for a small                                                                                      50% Generation
     business.                                                                                                                 and retail costs

                                                                                                      7%
                                                                                                             3
     The recent ACCC report into electricity     7% Transmission costs
     pricing shows that the significant recent
     increases in electricity bills arise from
     retailer/wholesale and government
     scheme increases.                           Figure 2.4: Residential customer bill breakdown

                                                 4% Solar FiT costs
                                                 1% Metering costs                                                                     9% GST
                                                                                                                          5% Green and energy
                                                                                                                       efficiency scheme costs

                                                 28% Distribution costs                                           ES
                                                                                                               ARG
                                                 SA Power Networks                                           CH
                                                                                                   NETWORK

                                                                                                                              45% Generation
                                                                                                                              and retail costs
                                                                                                      1%

                                                                                                             4

                                                 8% Transmission costs

                                                 Figure 2.5: Business customer bill breakdown
What we do
Our primary responsibility                          Our corporate vision is to be
at SA Power Networks is                             ‘a leader in delivering energy
to maintain the safety and                          services that customers value’.
reliability of the electricity                      Through direct engagement and surveys
network for 860,000                                 of our customers and key stakeholder
                                                    groups, we make sure that what we do
residential and business                            is valued by our customers and that we
                                                    work together to deliver energy services
customers, across a service                         they value.
area of 178,200km2.                                 As a privately-owned business that
                                                    manages essential public infrastructure,
The majority of our assets were                     we are funded to provide a specified level
constructed in the 1950s, 1960s and                 of service for a reasonable commercial
early 1970s, and we now operate the                 return. These outcomes are overseen
oldest network in the NEM.                          through economic and service standard
                                                    regulation which are administered by
How we do it
                                                    the AER and ESCoSA respectively.
We apply prudent risk-based asset
management strategies to ensure                     The South Australian Government’s
continued good performance from                     Office of the Technical Regulator (OTR)
these ageing assets. We maintain,                   also monitors our technical compliance
repair, refurbish and replace these                 with requirements of the Electricity Act
assets as efficiently as possible                   1996 (SA) and regulations, technical
based on their condition.                           standards, and codes.

And we are not just doing what we                   Our headquarters are in Adelaide
have always done. We have future-                   and we are one of the State’s largest
focused strategies to ensure we adopt               organisations. We employ more than
and increasingly deploy new technology              1,800 people throughout metropolitan
and non-network alternatives from third             and regional South Australia to support
parties where cost-effective – and we               this network. We are also a major
avoid investing in long-life assets when            training organisation, with hundreds
future technologies could prevent this              of apprentices becoming the next
expenditure entirely.                               generation of powerline and electrical
                                                    tradespeople.
Since 2011, our Future Operating
Model5 has provided us with a perspective           We operate out of 42 depots and offices
on what the future world looks like for             located in the metropolitan area and
our customers and our network. It helps             major country locations across the State.
us understand how our business will                 We are proud of what we do for South
need to adapt to support the changing               Australians. We are particularly proud
needs and choices of our customers.                 that we are recognised as a cost-efficient
The Future Operating Model guides our               business, despite the challenges of a big
broad decision-making and our strategies.           State with a dispersed population.
We maintain and update this document
every two years as our operating
environment evolves.

5   Future Operating Model document is available at sapowernetworks.com.au

                                                                                                 Delivering services efficiently   15
Customer
engagement
Early, frequent and
open engagement with
customers and their
advocates underpins
this Draft Plan.
Customer Engagement   17
18      SA POWER NETWORKS 2020–2025 DRAFT PLAN

     Customer engagement program

            2,892                                    43                36
         participants                            Engagement      Reference Group
                                                   activities        meetings

              13                                    10                 4,071
      Locations across                         Newsletters    talkingpower.com.au
       South Australia                                                  visits
PHASE 1: Strategic Research and Early Engagement | Feb – July 2017
 Customer Research                                                                                         Customer Priorities
                                                                       ADELAIDE METRO
                                                                       NORTH, SOUTH,
                                                                       EAST & WEST         ADELAIDE                Outage             Sustain-         Network
                                                                                           HILLS

 1,000                      503 online           5 in-depth                                                        Comms               ability        reliability
                                                 interviews
 Residential and
 business customers                                                   PT LINCOLN           RENMARK                 Future
                                                                                                                                    Self-reliant      Electricity
                                                                                                                   network
                           8 focus groups     402 telephone                                                                              SA             prices
                                                                                                                   options
                                                 surveys

PHASE 2: In-depth Engagement | Aug – Dec 2017
 Directions Workshops

 134        Participants
                                                   202 questions
                                                   answered
                                                                            6 locations

                                                                                                                  Reliability
                                                                                                                                       Network
                                                                                                                                        of the
                                                                                                                    of the              future
                                                                                                                   network                          Network
                                                                                                                                                     prices
 54% residential             46% business/government

 talkingpower.com.au Online Engagement

 1,396          Registered
                                                                                                              September
                                                                                                                Network
                                                                                                                                    October
                                                                                                                                    Outage
                                                                                                                                                    November
                                                                                                                                                    Network of
                                                                                                               reliability          Comms           the Future
                                     Surveys               Polls        Forums           Maps

 Culturally and Linguistically Diverse Focus Groups

                                                                                                                                      Network
 54             4                                                                30+ questions
                                                                                                                  Reliability
                                                                                                                    of the
                                                                                                                   network
                                                                                                                                       prices
                                                                                                                                                    Restoring
                                                                                 asked                                                               power
 Participants   Communities

 Vulnerable Customer Conversations

 68                                                                                                                                 Network
                                                                                                                                     prices
 Participants          54% metro Adelaide             46% regional                  27 discussion
                                                   townships and country            topics raised

PHASE 3: Draft Plan Development and Engagement | Jan – Sept 2018

 Deep Dive Workshops

 240        Participants                                                                  10          Workshops

 ›› Business advocates                      ›› Retailers                                    Tariffs                             Levels of Service
 ›› Arborist Reference Group                ›› State Government                             Capex 1                             Capex 2
 ›› Vulnerable customeradvocates           ›› AER, AEMO, AEMC
                                                                                            Opex                                Future Networks 1
 ›› Local Government                        ›› Other specialist and
 ›› Renewable energyadvocates                 representative groups                        Future Networks 2                   Future Networks 3
 ›› Residential andbusiness customers                                                      Public Lighting                     Information Technology

                                                                                                                                    Customer Engagement             19
20          SA POWER NETWORKS 2020–2025 DRAFT PLAN

     3 Our customer and stakeholder engagement

     Designing our
                                                                                         SA Power Networks
     customer engagement
                                                                                     Customer Consultative Panel
     Our Customer Engagement
                                                                                     › External chair
     Program for our 2020–2025                                                       › Representative from each
     Plan began in February                                                            reference group
                                                                                     › Other customers and advocates
     2017. It was designed as a
     progressive, phased program
     that would provide multiple
                                                      Arborist              Renewables              Business              Community            Electricity
     and diverse opportunities for                                                                                                             Advisory
     dialogue and engagement.                    › Botanic and
                                                   tree advocates
                                                                        › Solar industry
                                                                          advocates
                                                                                               › Small & large
                                                                                                 business
                                                                                                                       › Residential
                                                                                                                         customers         › Residential
     Our goal was to better                      › Local government     › Environment &
                                                                          sustainability
                                                                                                 advocates
                                                                                               (meets quarterly)
                                                                                                                       › Vulnerable
                                                                                                                         customer
                                                                                                                                             customers
                                                                                                                                           (meets as needs)
                                                 (meets quarterly)
     understand the expectations                                          advocates
                                                                        (meets quarterly)
                                                                                                                         advocates
                                                                                                                       (meets quarterly)
     and priorities of our customers
     and stakeholders so we could               Figure 3.1: Customer Consultative Panel and Reference Groups

     make sure that our plans for
     2020–2025 were in their                    Our 2020–2025 Customer Engagement                              We have continued to evolve our program
                                                Program continued our business-as-usual                        and adopt new engagement activities.
     longterm interests.                        engagement and also:                                           For example, we established a dedicated
                                                                                                               website (talkingpower.com.au) that uses
     Regular interactions with our              ›› considered past engagement learnings;
                                                                                                               online engagement tools to reach a
     Customer Consultative Panel and            ›› was informed by our reference group                         broad customer base through surveys,
     reference groups (which typically meet        members;                                                    polls, and forums. We undertook other
     quarterly) have underpinned the program.
                                                ›› reflected our desire for continuous                         targeted activities such as consulting with
     The panel and reference groups were
                                                   improvement;                                                vulnerable customer groups and culturally
     established in late 2015 and refreshed
                                                ›› was aligned to both AER and SA Power                        and linguistically diverse communities
     in late 2016 and include more than
                                                   Networks’ consumer engagement                               (CALD). These were developed and
     60 customers and consumer advocates
                                                   principles; and importantly                                 delivered in response to stakeholder
     from diverse occupations and interest
                                                                                                               feedback and in partnership with several
     areas including arborists, renewables,     ›› was guided by a ‘no surprises’                              of our stakeholder organisations (thanks
     business, community, and electricity          approach.                                                   to Multicultural Communities Council
     advisory (refer to Figure 3.1).
                                                                                                               SA, Australian Refugee Association,
                                                                                                               Uniting Care Wesley Bowden, and
                                                                                                               Uniting Communities).
                                                                                                               A summarised version of our engagement
                                                                                                               program can be found in Figure 3.2.
Engagement outcomes
                                                                                                                 (summary)
    Phase 1:                            Phase 2:                                Phase 3:
    Strategic Research                  In-depth Engagement                     Draft Plan Development           Our comprehensive engagement
    & Early Engagement                                                          & Engagement                     program has provided rich, and at times
    Feb–July 2017                       Aug–Dec 2017                            Jan–Sept 2018                    diverse, feedback which we have used to
                                                                                                                 refine our Draft Plan (refer to Table 3.1
    Customer Research                   Directions Workshops x7               Deep Dive Workshops                overleaf). Broadly, customers have told
                                                                              › Tariff Structure Statement       us they value three areas:
                                                                              › Levels of Service
    Reference Group Survey              Targeted Engagement                   › Capex x2                         ›› Keeping prices down
                                        › Culturally and Linguistically       › Opex
                                          Diverse (CALD) Engagement           › Future Networks x3
                                                                                                                 ›› A safe and reliable network
    Planning Workshops x2               › Vulnerable Customer                 › Public Lighting                  ›› Transitioning to a new energy future
                                          Conversations                       › Information Technology
                                        › Business Customer
    Capacity Building Workshops           Conversations
                                                                              Draft Plan Consultation
                                                                              Technical Workshops at request
    Outcomes                                                                  of the AER
    1. Customer Research
    2. Engagement program               talkingpower.com.au online engagement
       framework                                                                                                 Keeping prices down
    3. Engagement themes
                                        Bilateral engagement                                                     Electricity price increases are hurting
      › Price
                                                                                                                 customers, particularly those who
      › Reliability and resilience
      › Network of the future                                                                                    are vulnerable or running a business.
                                        Outcomes                              Outcomes
                                                                                                                 SA Power Networks must do its part
                                        1. Directions Workshop report         1. Deep Dive Workshop              to keep a lid on electricity prices. As
                                        2. CALD Engagement report                reports
                                                                                                                 a result, everything proposed in this
                                        3. Vulnerable Customer                2. Draft Plan engagement
                                                                                                                 Draft Plan has been considered with
                                           Conversations report
                                                                                                                 affordability in mind.
                                        4. Talking Power Insights
                                           report

Figure 3.2: 2020–2025 Regulatory Proposal Customer Engagement Program

Delivering our engagement                                     Tariff Structure Statement (TSS)                   A safe and reliable network
In 2017, our engagement was broad                             Specific engagement on our 2020–2025               Reliable energy remains a high priority
and we sought customer insights around                        TSS is discussed in Section 9. The TSS             for customers, particularly our business
three key themes that were identified                         outlines the more cost-reflective tariffs          customers. In some regional areas,
in our preliminary customer research:                         we are proposing for 2020–2025 and                 customers asked for improved reliability
                                                              how these will empower customers                   locally and recognised that those
›› Network price                                                                                                 improvements may come at a cost.
                                                              to better manage their bills.
›› Network reliability and resilience                                                                            It was also important to many customers
›› The network of the future                                  ESCoSA’s Service Standard                          that we continue to manage the
                                                              Framework review                                   increasing risk of bushfires starting
We considered the priorities emerging
                                                              We have also worked closely with                   from powerlines.
from this early engagement in our
preliminary expenditure forecasting in                        ESCoSA in its 2020–2025 Service Standard
late 2017. These preliminary forecasts                        Framework review. We considered
were based on keeping expenditures as                         their requirements as we designed our
low as possible. They were then used in                       engagement activities and we shared
early 2018 to engage with stakeholders                        engagement outcomes. ESCoSA’s research
through a series of deep dive workshops,                      also assessed the extent of a customer’s
where we explored the capital and                             willingness to pay for improved reliability        Transitioning to a new energy future
operating expenditure forecasts                               levels and this is reflected in its draft          Customers support SA Power Networks’
presented in our Draft Plan.                                  reliability standards for 2020–20256.              responsible investment in the network
                                                                                                                 to realise the potential benefits of
                                                                                                                 distributed energy resources.

6    Essential Services Commission of South Australia, SA Power Networks reliability standards review — draft decision, August 2018

                                                                                                                                  Customer Engagement        21
22             SA POWER NETWORKS 2020–2025 DRAFT PLAN

     Table 3.1 Customer feedback and our response

      Theme                         What we heard                                                     Our response

                                    ›› Ongoing electricity bill increases are challenging             ›› The Draft Plan will reduce customer’s bills in 2020/21 —
                                       for customers, particularly vulnerable customers                  a $37 decrease for the average residential customer and
                                       and small business                                                a $148 reduction for a typical small to medium business
                                    ›› Ensure network prices are affordable while maintaining         ›› Prudent approach to all expenditure forecasts to minimise
                                       satisfactory service levels                                       investments in the Regulatory Asset Base (RAB)
      Keeping prices down
                                    ›› Actively look for efficiencies and innovate to stay            ›› Efficient deferrals and refurbishment of assets when
                                       at the efficient frontier and deliver price relief                possible, eg improved risk-based approach is enabling
                                    ›› Avoid or defer expenditure where possible                         efficient deferral of $200 million of asset replacement
                                    ›› If expenditure is required, adopt a prioritised,               ›› Continuation of internal programs to drive efficiencies,
                                       staged approach to any programs                                   while managing risk and retaining value
                                    ›› Instead of proposing step changes, absorb improvements         ›› Expenditure programs only proposed when value
                                       where possible                                                    outweighs cost
                                    ›› Apply an additional productivity growth factor                 ›› Staged, risk-based approach to capital programs,
                                       to reduce costs                                                   targeting areas of greatest need and/or value
                                    ›› “Do more for less”                                             ›› We have not applied a productivity growth factor (but we
                                                                                                         continue to strive to achieve further efficiencies to deliver
                                                                                                         on our operating obligations at a cost lower than our
                                                                                                         allowances — sharing benefits with customers 70:30 as
                                                                                                         per incentive scheme regulations. We are also absorbing
                                                                                                         some cost increases and providing additional services for
                                                                                                         no additional cost)
                                                                                                      ›› Total reductions of $90 million capital expenditure and
                                                                                                         $49 million operating expenditure following customer
                                                                                                         and stakeholder feedback on preliminary forecasts in
                                                                                                         deep dive workshops (see sections 6 and 7 for details)

                                    ›› Continued reliability of the network is a high priority        ›› Prudent expenditure plans to maintain current reliability
                                    ›› Some locations (Eyre Peninsula, parts of the Adelaide Hills)      and safety levels and meet service standards
                                       have indicated a desire for reliability improvements           ›› Targeted program to improve reliability to ‘poorly served’
                                    ›› Regular asset inspection, maintenance and repair or               customers
      A safe and reliable              replacement is important                                       ›› Continuation of a targeted program to improve the
      network                       ›› There is logic in our risk-based approach to asset                resilience of storm-prone network areas
                                       management — but need to avoid ‘boom and bust’                 ›› Prudent bushfire risk mitigation plan to reduce the risk
                                       cycles of expenditure                                             of our network starting fires
                                    ›› Customers expect SA Power Networks to operate safely,          ›› Proposed asset replacement program at sustainable levels
                                       and balance safety, risk and affordability when managing       ›› Removal of the IT step change associated with more
                                       the network                                                       advanced customer engagement technologies proposed in
                                    ›› Bushfire safety is important, not only to those in bushfire       the operating expenditure deep dive workshop — approach
                                       risk areas, but to most customers                                 now focuses on progressive system enhancements to
                                    ›› Customers value accurate, timely and tailored information         improve customer communications over time
                                       about power outages
Theme                 What we heard                                                   Our response

                      ›› Enable continued uptake of renewable technologies            ›› Continued refinement of our industry-leading Future
                      ›› Allow customers to export to the network — but not              Network Strategy and related projects, pilots and trials
                         at any cost                                                  ›› More detailed investigation into the options and
                      ›› Ensure the network can support two-way energy flows             opportunities that will enable increased take-up
                                                                                         of new customer technologies
Transition to a new   ›› Consider ways of capturing and sharing data on distributed
energy future            energy resources and network hosting capacity                ›› An integrated approach to managing the challenges
                                                                                         and opportunities of new technologies and use patterns,
                      ›› Actively pursue non-network solutions and avoid capital
                                                                                         including tariff design that is aligned to our Future
                         expenditure
                                                                                         Network Strategy (eg proposed Time of Use (ToU)
                      ›› Future network plans should allow for a range of future         residential tariff, VPP tariff)
                         scenarios
                                                                                      ›› Potential non-network solutions identified, valued at
                      ›› Consider how network tariffs and demand management              $28 million
                         opportunities could be used to delay capital investment
                                                                                      ›› Integrated, measured, and staged strategy aimed at
                      ›› The AER’s Consumer Challenge Panel (CCP14) provided             using the available data to dynamically manage flows
                         advice to the AER on our approach to addressing the             on the network, rather than significantly augmenting
                         challenges of high penetration of solar and embedded            the capacity of the network
                         generation on our network
                                                                                      ›› Testing the market for potential demand management
                                                                                         opportunities and other trials
                                                                                      ›› We are adopting a ‘no-regrets’ approach to managing
                                                                                         customer solar and embedded generation and accept
                                                                                         CCP14 comments that further significant consideration
                                                                                         of options will be beneficial

Evaluating our engagement                       Our Draft Plan
program                                         Thank you to everyone who has talked to
We are always seeking to improve our            us so far. In the spirit of ‘no surprises’ we             Feedback
engagement and aim for best practice.           are pleased to have discussed our Plan                    Do you have any feedback
We have reviewed our program’s                  with our stakeholders and are confident                   on our customer engagement
effectiveness and implemented                   that this Draft Plan reflects what you’ve                 program and outcomes?
improvements based on the customer              told us is important — for us to deliver
and stakeholder feedback we received.           a safe, reliable supply of electricity and
                                                begin the transition to the future, all while
                                                doing our part to keep a lid on costs.
                                                We look forward to your feedback.

                                                                                                                      Customer Engagement           23
Keeping
prices down
A $37 drop in annual
residential bills and a
$148 drop in distribution
charges for business.
Keeping prices down   25
26                  SA POWER NETWORKS 2020–2025 DRAFT PLAN

     4 Keeping prices down

     The number one priority for                                    Revenue8
     customers and stakeholders                                     Our Draft Plan will deliver a
     throughout our customer                                        real reduction in distribution
     engagement program was                                         charges in the first year of the
     affordability of electricity.                                  2020–2025 period with no
     We shared our preliminary plans and                            real increases in charges in
     expenditure forecasts with key customer
     representatives and stakeholders earlier                       subsequent years.
     this year. At that time, we indicated                          We propose a revenue path whereby
     a revenue outlook increasing at                                revenue will reduce by CPI-3.9% in
     approximately 1% per annum above                               2020/21 and only increase by CPI in the
     CPI over the 2020–2025 period.                                 remaining four years of the period. We
     While most customers and stakeholders                          have used the AER’s revenue model to
     were generally understanding of our                            determine this revenue path but varied
     plans, it was clear that the majority                          from the AER’s standard approach to
     were seeking average price increases of                        deliver no real increases in the remaining
     no more than CPI, and preferably below                         four years of the period. The AER’s
     CPI. We have refined our plans which                           standard approach would deliver a
     has enabled a reduction to our proposed                        slightly bigger reduction in 2020/21 but
     capital and operating expenditure                              would see distribution charges increase
     in certain areas to better meet the                            above CPI in subsequent years. We have
     expectations of customers. We have also                        adopted our approach as we understand
     adopted a rate of return consistent with                       that while customers and stakeholders
     the AER’s draft Rate of Return Guideline                       want reductions in their bills in 2020/21,
     published in July 2018 and calculated a                        they also want no real price increases in
     5.55% weighted average cost of capital                         subsequent years. The final revenue path
     (WACC) which compares with our current                         is set in consultation with the AER.
     WACC of 6.13%. This also contributes to
     lower prices for customers.

     Table 4.1: Achievable average annual
     residential bill savings by 2020/217
     Table 4.1: Achievable average annual residential bill savings by 2020/217

         Region                      2017/18 Bill        Networks*           Wholesale     Environment           Retail          Reduction          2020/21          % Reduction

         Victoria                        1457                 39                 192             34                26                291              1166               20
         New South Wales                 1697                174                 155             43                37                409              1288               24
         South East Queensland           1703                147                 192             18                62                419              1284               25
         South Australia                 1727                 13                 227             89                42                371              1356               21
         Tasmania                        1979                113                 226             75                 –                414              1490               21

     * Networks includes both distribution and transmission costs

     7      ACCC, Restoring electricity affordability and Australia’s competitive advantage Retail Electricity Pricing Inquiry – Final Report, June 2018 (Page XV)
     8      The 2020–2025 revenue and pricing outcomes exclude any incentive carry-over amounts that may be determined by the AER
Electricity bills
                                               $700
Under our approach, the
average residential customer’s                 $600                                     $578
                                                                                                                                  $541
annual distribution charges                    $500
will reduce by $37 in 2020/21.
For a typical small to medium business,        $400
distribution charges will fall approximately
$148. This significantly exceeds the ACCC      $300
view that networks should be able to
deliver a $13 reduction in electricity
bills (see Table 4.1).                         $200

These savings build on the significant
reductions in our network charges              $100
delivered in 2015/16. Figure 4.1 illustrates
the price change for an average                  $0
residential customer.                                                                  2019/20                                   2020/21

The detail behind the indicative price         Figure 4.1: Average annual residential distribution bill comparison (nominal $)
and revenue forecasts is explained in
the following sections of this Draft Plan.

   Feedback
   ›› Do you have any feedback on
      our proposed revenue plans or
      electricity bill impact?
   ›› Do you support our revenue
      path approach?

                                                                                                                                     Keeping prices down   27
Enabling the
distributed
energy
transition
Transitioning
from centralised
to de-centralised
generation.

This section outlines:
›› the impacts that more solar systems
   and batteries will have on our
   distribution network;
›› the strategies we use to manage
   these impacts; and
›› our plans to enable further distributed
   energy resources to connect to our
   network.
Enabling the distributed energy transition   29
30          SA POWER NETWORKS 2020–2025 DRAFT PLAN

     5 Enabling the distributed energy transition

     The changing role of                                                         1,600

     the distribution network                                                     1,400
     It is easy to forget that as recently as     Installed Solar Capacity (MW)
     ten years ago it was extremely unusual                                       1,200
     to see a solar panel on a roof in South
                                                                                  1,000                                                                                      940
     Australia. At that time, the role of the
     distribution network was as it always
                                                                                   800
     had been: to take energy generated in
     the state’s large coal and gas-fired                                          600
     generators, delivered at high voltage
     to our zone substations via ElectraNet’s                                      400
     transmission network, and distribute it to
     homes and businesses across the state.                                        200

     In 2018, the role of the distribution                                           0
     network is very different. One in four
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     premises now has solar on the roof.
     Taken together, these 200,000 rooftop
     systems can now generate 940 megawatts
                                                                                                Actual                  AEMO strong                     AEMO neutral                   AEMO weak
     (MW) of electricity in the middle of
     the day — more than any other single         Figure 5.1: Installed Solar capacity and future forecasts
     generator in the state — much of which
     is fed back into the distribution network
     to be re-distributed to other homes
     and businesses.                              Battery storage and VPPs
                                                  The market for residential battery                                                                                    South Australia is at the forefront of VPP
     Rooftop solar capacity continues to
                                                  storage in South Australia is poised to                                                                               use globally. In 2018, we already have:
     grow strongly, and significantly ahead of
                                                  accelerate, driven by falling battery prices,
     AEMO’s most recent forecasts (November                                                                                                                             ›› the 100-battery (300kW) VPP
                                                  discount schemes from major retailers
     2017), driven in part by strong growth                                                                                                                                established by SA Power Networks in
                                                  and, most significantly, two major new
     in the mid-sized, 30–200kW, commercial                                                                                                                                Salisbury in 2016 to provide support
                                                  South Australian Government programs.
     sector as businesses respond to high                                                                                                                                  to the network in that area;
                                                  The programs, commencing in 2018,
     energy prices. The rate of applications                                                                                                                            ›› AGL’s 1,000-customer, five megawatt
                                                  include a $100 million home battery
     for new systems in this sector of the                                                                                                                                 VPP, which is currently being
                                                  fund that will offer subsidies of up to
     market tripled from 2016 to 2017.                                                                                                                                     implemented;
                                                  $2,500 each for 40,000 customers to
     By 2026, AEMO is forecasting that there      buy residential batteries, and the South                                                                              ›› Simply Energy’s newly-announced
     will be enough installed rooftop solar to    Australian Government/Tesla Virtual                                                                                      1,200 customer (6MW) VPP, which
     supply the entire State’s energy needs at    Power Plant scheme, which aims to                                                                                        will commence later this year; and
     periods of minimum demand.                   roll-out up to 50,000 batteries, initially                                                                            ›› the South Australian Government/Tesla
                                                  targeting Housing SA properties. These                                                                                   VPP. This first phase of the rollout, to
     As we continue through this transition       two schemes could see 90,000 new
     from centralised to de-centralised                                                                                                                                    1,200 premises, will be complete in
                                                  batteries connected to our distribution                                                                                  mid-2019. The Government plans to
     generation, the role of the distribution     network in the coming years.
     network changes and becomes more                                                                                                                                      expand this VPP to a final size of 50,000
     critical. Individual customers with solar    The value of home storage is multiplied                                                                                  households, which would make it the
     now rely on our network not only to          when many individual batteries are                                                                                       largest VPP in the world, and at 250MW,
     supply their energy needs at times of        aggregated under central control to                                                                                      a very significant resource in the South
     high demand, but also to export their        form a VPP. Such VPPs can be dispatched                                                                                  Australian energy market.
     surplus energy in the middle of the day.     rapidly to supply energy to the wholesale                                                                             Many of the 40,000 batteries subsidised
     As rooftop solar continues to make up        market or to provide ancillary services                                                                               under the Government’s $100 million
     an ever-larger proportion of the state’s     (eg services that balance demand and                                                                                  grant program might also be enrolled
     generation mix, the whole state energy       supply) to the market operator. They                                                                                  in VPP schemes, as this will offer greater
     system is becoming increasingly reliant      are expected to play an important role                                                                                savings to the householder than if they
     on SA Power Networks’ electricity network    in dynamically balancing supply and                                                                                   use as a stand-alone battery.
     to supply and redistribute this energy.      demand in energy networks throughout
                                                  the world as the energy mix becomes
                                                  increasingly dominated by intermittent
                                                  generation sources like solar and wind.
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