Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight

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Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight
Retirement
saving in the UK
2021
—
Member experience from Nest,
the National Employment Savings Trust

                                        nestinsight.org.uk
Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight
Authored by                                     About Nest Insight’s strategic
Richard Notley, Nest Insight, and David         partners
Mann, Nest Corporation, London
© 2021 National Employment Savings
Trust Corporation
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set up by Nest Corporation to help              research, publications and events. For more
understand and address the challenges           information, visit: invesco.co.uk
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Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight
Contents
Foreword                                          5     Chapter 1                                      Chapter 4
                                                        Introduction                              16   Members’ working lives                 48
Executive summary                                 6     The ongoing impact of Covid-19            17   Members’ median earnings               49
Who are Nest’s members?                            6    Members’ views on the economic downturn   19   Distribution of earnings               50
Members’ working lives                             8    A story of continuity                     21   Earnings by gender                     54
Which employers are using Nest?                    9                                                   Types of working                       56
Evolution of auto enrolment                        9    Chapter 2                                      Career patterns                        59
How much is going into members’                         Nest employees and enrolments             22   Persistency of saving                  61
pension pots?                                      11   Growth in employer participation          22
How much is accumulating in members’ pots?        12    Employer characteristics                  23   Chapter 5
When and how do members expect to retire?         13    Growth in enrolments                      24   Contributions                          62
Transfers in and out of Nest                      14    Returning members                         25   Contribution rates                     62
                                                        Enrolments by employer size               26   Contribution amounts                   66
The UK’s auto enrolment system                    15    Manner of enrolment                       27   Direct member contributions            69
                                                        Workers opting out                        28
                                                        Workers stopping contributions            32   Chapter 6
                                                                                                       Investment and switches                71
                                                        Chapter 3                                      Default fund design and fund options   71
                                                        Nest members                              34   Switching behaviour                    72
                                                        Nest’s model                              34
                                                        Member characteristics                    36
                                                        Life stages of members                    44

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                3
Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight
Contents

Chapter 7
Pension pot values                                73
Average pot values                                73
Distribution of pot values                        73
Pot values by member characteristics              75
Pot balances by employer characteristics          75
Small pots                                        76

Chapter 8
Later life and retirement                         77
Age at retirement                                 77
Working patterns in retirement                    79
Working beyond State Pension age                  80
Retiring early                                    81
Nest members’ retirement expectations             82

Chapter 9
Transferring and retiring                         85
Transferring funds out of Nest                    85
Transferring funds into Nest                      88
Retirement and decumulation                       89

Chapter 10
Conclusion                                        91

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021
Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight
Foreword
                                                                                                As we discovered through that research,          Nest Insight could not do this work without
                                                                                                government interventions such as the             the support of generous partners like their
                                                                                                Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (CJRS)          strategic partners, Invesco and BlackRock.
                                                                                                appear to have softened the economic             Nest Insight’s programme partners and
                                                                                                impact on employers and prevented many           research and delivery partners have also
                                                                                                job losses. These interventions may have         stepped up to assist with projects ranging
                         Helen Dean, CBE                                                        been critical in supporting the financial        from a trial of a ‘sidecar savings’ tool to
                         Chief Executive Officer, Nest Corporation                              wellbeing of individuals whom Nest serves.       foster greater financial resiliency among low
                                                                                                One of the key findings of ‘Retirement           and moderate earners to research on how
                                                                                                saving in the UK 2020’ was that most of          responsible investment messages might be
I take great pleasure in introducing ‘Retirement saving in the UK                               Nest’s active members have continued to          crafted to motivate members to become
                                                                                                save into their Nest pension pot during the      more engaged with pension saving. I’d like
2021’, Nest Insight’s fourth annual research report describing the                              pandemic. Because the government’s               to thank all of these partners for their
experience of people saving for their retirement through the                                    support programmes were in place for the         dedication to improving pension saving and
Nest pension scheme.                                                                            entire 2020/21 financial year, the story         financial resilience in the UK. There are many
                                                                                                presented here remains largely unchanged         more avenues of research to explore as the
                                                                                                from the 2020 research report.                   auto enrolment generation matures into
                                                                                                                                                 long-term pension savers.
                                                                                                So, in Nest Insight’s 2021 report, the context
In this year’s report, Nest Insight presents      Of course, a report on Nest members’
                                                                                                of the Covid-19 crisis is acknowledged but       Finally, I want to thank the Nest Insight
fascinating evidence about the evolution of       pension saving in 2020/21 cannot help but
                                                                                                the focus is on our business as usual. For       team for the mammoth research, thought
auto enrolment and Nest’s membership.             touch on the impact of the global
                                                                                                those interested in more information on          and effort put into the publication of this
Rather than simply presenting analysis of         coronavirus pandemic. Because the
                                                                                                how the pandemic has affected Nest’s             report for the wider pensions market. We
administrative data from Nest’s most recently     economic fallout of lockdowns and
                                                  pandemic restrictions was so immediate        members and employers, Nest Insight has          look forward to hearing your response to
completed financial year ending 31 March,
                                                  and striking, Nest Insight chose to extend    published a series of excellent blogposts        this year’s evidence and presenting more
Nest Insight has made wide use of Nest’s
                                                  the reporting period for ‘Retirement saving   on its website, nestinsight.org.uk, which I      findings on the Nest customer
own bespoke surveys of members as well as
                                                  in the UK 2020’, publishing last year’s       highly recommend.                                experience next year.
data from official organisations such as the
Office for National Statistics (ONS). This has    research report in February 2021 to include   With around one in three workers in the UK
allowed them to paint a much richer portrait      data through 30 September 2020. This          now having a Nest pot, we appreciate that
of the lived experience of Nest members and       allowed them to analyse how employers         Nest encompasses a diverse range of
how pension saving is shaped by people’s          and members were coping with periods of       workers and employers. The research
jobs, employers and careers. It also helps us     lockdown and subsequent reopening of          shared through publications such as the
to see with great clarity how Nest is serving     the UK economy. This has been an              ‘Retirement saving in the UK’ series is vital
the low and moderate income workers               extremely turbulent time for the employers    to understanding the needs, priorities and
targeted by the government’s auto enrolment       using Nest as well as Nest’s members.         behaviours of UK pension savers, most
reforms and highlights gaps in the overall                                                      crucially as they age towards retirement.
pensions market that still need to be closed.

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                                5
Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight
Executive summary
This report examines the enrolment, working, saving and    Who are Nest’s members?
investment profile of workplace pension savers in the UK
                                                           Age
based on data from Nest, the National Employment
                                                           It was anticipated that Nest’s membership      Based on current population trends and
Savings Trust. With almost 10 million members at the end   would skew towards younger workers who         internal modelling, however, by 2050 the
of the 2020/21 financial year, Nest is one of the UK’s     were far less likely to be already saving in   age profile of members is expected to
                                                           a workplace pension when auto enrolment        become more evenly distributed
largest multi-employer pension schemes.                    was introduced, with around one third of       across age groups.
                                                           Nest members expected to be aged 30 or
                                                           younger. Nest’s current age distribution
                                                           very closely matches this.

                                                           Of Nest members...

                                                           28%                                                                 12%
                                                           are 22 to 30 in 2021                                                are 56 to 65 in 2021

                                                           14%                                                                 17%
                                                           are projected to be                                                 are projected to be
                                                           22 to 30 in 2035                                                    56 to 65 in 2035

                                                           10%                                                                 24%
                                                           are projected to be                                                 are projected to be
                                                           22 to 30 in 2050                                                    56 to 65 in 2050

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                      6
Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight
Executive summary

Gender                                            Educational qualifications                      Home ownership
Because of the annual earnings                    It was expected that workers with higher        In surveys many people in the UK say that      ownership compared to the generations
threshold for auto enrolment, it was              levels of educational attainment were more      they expect to use the value of their home     which preceded them. This trend data is
expected that more men than women,                likely to be already saving in a workplace      to help finance some of their cost of living   mirrored by the home ownership rates
by a ratio of around 2 to 1, would be             pension when auto enrolment was                 in retirement. However, official statistics    among Nest members.
enrolled in Nest. However, the gender             introduced, and so Nest members would be        show that younger generations have
balance of Nest’s membership has                  more likely to have no more than A-Levels or    increasingly lower levels of home
evolved to be more balanced.                      GCSEs. However, in surveys many members
                                                  report having higher qualifications.            Of Nest members under 30...                    Of Nest members 50 and over...

                                                                                                  42%                                                              15%
                                                                                                  Rent privately                                                   Rent privately

                                                                                                  12%                                                              56%
                                                                                                  Own with a mortgage                                              Own with a mortgage
                                                                                                  or outright                                                      or outright

47%                       53%                     38%
of Nest members           of Nest members         of Nest members have at least a
are women                 are men                 degree-level qualification

0.008% of Nest members did not have a             Members with higher qualifications are more
gender listed on their enrolment                  likely to be inactive, while those with lower
                                                  qualifications are more likely to be active.

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                            7
Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight
Executive summary

                                                                                       Working status                               Gender pay gap
Members’ working lives
                                                                                       In surveys the majority of Nest members      Across the entire UK labour market,
Nest’s membership was always expected
to have significant numbers of the lower          £19.6k                               report they’re working full-time (30 hours
                                                                                       or more per week), with a clear majority
                                                                                                                                    women earn on average 16% less than
                                                                                                                                    men. A similar but wider gender pay gap
and moderate earners who had                                                           working for an employer.                     exists among Nest members.
traditionally not been served by the              Median annual earnings for
existing pensions market.                         active Nest members as at

Earnings
                                                  31 March 2021
                                                                                                                                    22%
In 2011 Nest estimated that median (middle
of the distribution) annual earnings for
individuals then saving into a workplace
                                                  £28.2k                                                                            Gap between women’s median
                                                                                                                                    earnings and men’s median
                                                                                                                                    earnings in Nest’s membership
pension was around £30,600, roughly               Median annual earnings for UK
equivalent to being in the top 25% of the         eligible employees in 2020
distribution of earnings for all UK workers.                                                                                        The gender pay gap for Nest members
The target group for pension reforms had                                                                                            increases in the mid-30s, after which it
median annual earnings of around                  The difference in earnings between                                                essentially plateaus.
£19,800, about 35% less.                          Nest members and UK eligible

                                                                                                                                    14%                    26%
                                                  employees widens through the
                                                  earnings distribution.

                                                  15%                                                                               Gender pay gap
                                                                                                                                    for Nest members
                                                                                                                                                           Gender pay gap
                                                                                                                                                           for Nest members
                                                                                                                                    30 and younger         31 and older
                                                  Gap between earnings of Nest
                                                  members in the bottom 10% of
                                                  earners compared with the bottom
                                                  10% of UK eligible employees

                                                  38%                                  60%                    14%
                                                  Gap between earnings for             of Nest members        of Nest members
                                                  Nest members in the top 10% of       say they work          say they work
                                                  earners compared with the top        full-time for          part-time for
                                                  10% of UK eligible employees         an employer            an employer

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                8
Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight
Executive summary

Which employers are using Nest?                                                           Evolution of auto enrolment
Volumes                                           Employer size                           With the staging of employers completed          Despite the significant slowdown in
                                                                                          in February 2018 and the second phased           economic activity in 2020/21 due to
Continuing growth in employer volumes is          Small employers are more likely to      increase in contribution rates completed in      the pandemic, this increase is not
one demonstration that the government’s           enrol most or all of their workers in   April 2019, the auto enrolment system has        much different from the increase for
interventions to support the economy              Nest than larger employers, which       been in a steady state for the past two years.   2019/20, the first financial year after
through the pandemic were successful in           tend to enrol a portion of                                                               staging was completed. This suggests
supporting auto enrolment through the             their workforce.                                                                         that the labour market remained
end of the financial year.
                                                                                          Enrolments
                                                                                                                                           active throughout 2020/21, with
                                                                                          As at 31 March 2021 almost 15 million            workers taking or moving jobs and

971k                                              7                                       enrolments had been made into Nest.              being enrolled, or enrolled again,
                                                                                                                                           in Nest in significant numbers.

Employers registered with Nest
across life of scheme
                                                  Mean (average) current
                                                  enrolments in Nest from small
                                                                                          15%                     22%
                                                  employers, with 5 to 49 workers,        Increase in             Increase in
                                                  compared with 12 workers                enrolments in           enrolments in
11%                                               employed on average by UK
                                                  businesses of this size
                                                                                          12 months ending
                                                                                          31 March 2021,
                                                                                                                  12 months ending
                                                                                                                  31 March 2020,
Increase from 2019/20                                                                     compared with           compared with
                                                                                          2020                    2019
                                                  2,599
                                                  Mean current enrolments in Nest
                                                  from large employers, with 5,000
                                                  or more workers, compared
                                                  with 12,924 workers employed
                                                  on average by UK businesses
                                                  of this size

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                  9
Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight
Executive summary

Returning members                                 Nest enrolments that were        Who is opting out?
                                                  returning members
Because the choice of a workplace                                                  Prior to the launch of auto enrolment,

                                                  30%
pension scheme is tied to the employer                                             policymakers and researchers
rather than the worker, job churn will                                             estimated that around 25% to 30% of
naturally lead to members                                                          workers would opt out of auto
becoming inactive.                                                                 enrolment in a workplace pension. In
                                                  as at 31 March 2018
                                                                                   practice, opt-out rates have been
Nest operates a ‘one member, one-pot’
                                                                                   much lower, with Nest reporting an
model, which means that whenever a
                                                  38%
                                                                                   overall opt-out rate of around 8%
worker is enrolled in Nest, the scheme
                                                                                   over the life of the scheme.
checks for a match of identifying
information with an existing account                                               Opt-out rates have varied over time,
and merges the accounts of a worker               as at 31 March 2021              however, with a slight uptick in 2020/21.
who has been enrolled in Nest through                                              This increase should be considered

                                                  50%
a previous employment.                                                             in the context of the final rise in
                                                                                   minimum pension contribution rates
                                                                                   in April 2019 and workers’ financial
                                                  predicted around 31 March 2026   concerns during the pandemic.

                                                  60%                              10.1%                                       9.9%                   10.3%
                                                  predicted around 31 March 2036   Opt-out rate for all workers in 12          Opt-out                Opt-out
                                                                                   months ending 31 March 2021                 rate for women         rate for men

                                                                                   Interestingly, across most age              Active members are unlikely to stop
                                                                                   groups, opt-out rates for 2020/21           contributions after the opt-out window.
                                                                                   were slightly higher among men than
                                                                                   women. This is a departure from
                                                                                   what we’ve seen in previous years,
                                                                                   where women across all age groups           2.3%
                                                                                   were slightly more likely to opt out.
                                                                                                                               of Nest members over the life of
                                                                                                                               the scheme have chosen to stop
                                                                                                                               contributions while still actively
                                                                                                                               employed by the employer which
                                                                                                                               enrolled them

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                          10
Executive summary

                                                                                               Contribution amounts                        Direct contributions
How much is going into members’ pension pots?
                                                                                               There is a high degree of volatility in     Nest members have the option to pay
Under the auto enrolment legislation,
                                                                                               contributions as Nest members frequently    additional money into their pot via their
a minimum rate of combined
                                                                                               move jobs, or move in and out of periods    online account, outside of normal
contributions from the employer and
                                                                                               of contributing to their pot. Members who   payroll deductions.
the worker must be paid on the worker’s
                                                                                               had contributions in every month of
qualifying earnings if a worker doesn’t
                                                                                               2020/21 added nearly three times as much,

                                                                                                                                           134k                    £370m
opt out of, or stop saving into, their
                                                                                               on average, to their pot compared to
pension pot.
                                                                                               members who had contributions in 11 or
                                                                                               fewer months of the year.
Contribution rates                                                                                                                         Number of               Total value of
                                                                                                                                           members over            direct member
                                                                                               £1,467                8%
Most employers and members make                   Small and micro-sized firms tend to
contributions into pension pots at the            stick at the minimum rates, whereas                                                      life of the scheme      contributions
minimum contribution rates – 3% for               larger firms are more likely to contribute                                               who have made
employers, with the remaining 5% to               more than the minimum. Some                  Mean value of         Increase in mean      at least one
reach the total minimum of 8% coming              members contribute more too, and it          pot contributions     contribution          direct payment
from members and tax relief.                      appears they may do so where their           for members           amounts for           into their pot
                                                  employer offers a matching scheme.
                                                                                               who contributed       2020/21, compared
                                                                                               continuously in       with 2019/20

85%                       89%                     13%                                          2020/21

of Nest employers         of Nest members         of employers contribute more
contribute the            contribute 5%           than the minimum 3% to their
minimum 3%                (including tax          workers’ pension pots
of qualifying             relief) of qualifying
earnings to their         earnings to
workers’ pots             their pot

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                        11
Executive summary

How much is accumulating in members’ pots?
Nest has been serving employers                   However, since total minimum         Member pot balances by
and workers for 10 years. Nest members’           contribution rates were raised
                                                                                       employer size
pot values are small compared with                to 8% in 2019, pot balances for
workplace pension schemes that                    members who actively and             Median pot balances are highest
have been serving the market for                  regularly contribute to their Nest   for members working for employers
much longer.                                      pot are increasing more rapidly.     with fewer than 50 employees.
                                                                                       This may be because smaller
                                                                                       employers have higher contribution
Average pot balances                              Gender pension gap                   levels on average.

£701                      £1,953                  15%                                  £2,530
Median pot                Median pot              Gap between                          Median pot balance for active
balance for all           balance for             median pot balance                   members whose employer has
Nest members as           active Nest             for women and                        5 to 49 workers
at 31 March 2021          members as at           median balance
                          31 March 2021           for men in 2020/21 –
                                                  essentially the same
                                                  as in 2019/20                        £1,379
43%                       9%                                                           Median pot balance for active
                                                                                       members whose employer has
of Nest members           of Nest members                                              5,000 or more workers
had a pot                 had a pot
balance of £500           balance of £5,000
or less as at             or more as at
31 March 2021             31 March 2021

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                         12
Executive summary

When and how do members expect to retire?
The concept of retirement is changing, with people increasingly delaying retirement and
working in retirement, with some seeing it as a positive to continue working for a variety
of reasons, not all of them financial.

Expected retirement age                                                                      Working patterns in retirement
Many Nest members expect to delay their                                                      People often change their working
retirement beyond their State Pension age.                                                   patterns in the later years of their
                                                                                             working life, for example, changing

44%                       55%
                                                                                             from full-time work to part-time work,
                                                                                             particularly starting around age 55.

of Nest members           of Nest members
40 and older
expect to delay
                          60 and older
                          expect to delay
                                                                                             26%
retirement                retirement
                                                                                             of women 60 and older work
                                                                                             for their employer part-time
Reasons to continue working

40%                       24%                                                                12%
of Nest members           of Nest members                                                    of men 60 and older work for
60 and older              60 and older                                                       their employer part-time
say the reason            say the reason
they would                they would
continue working          continue working
in retirement is          in retirement
because they              is so they
don’t feel ready          could pay for
to stop working           essential items

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                       13
Executive summary

Transfers in and out of Nest
Since April 2017 Nest has enabled members to transfer pension savings to and from other
UK-based registered schemes.

Value of transfers out                             Timing of transfers out                      Transfers in
Nest members, like members of any defined          Members are, in the main, passive with       Nest also allows members to
contribution (DC) pension scheme in the UK, have   respect to their pension saving, with        transfer in funds from pension pots
the right to transfer the value of their pension   many waiting several months between          they have at other schemes. This
pot into another qualifying scheme at any time     their final contribution to their Nest pot   service enables Nest’s members to
and, from age 55, to access their pot as cash.     and their request to transfer money out.     consolidate their pots, if they so wish.

£1,800                                             11%                                          95k
Mean value of                                      of Nest members request to                   Nest members have transferred
transfers out of                                   transfer out within two months               balances in to Nest as at
Nest for 2020/21                                   of their last contribution                   31 March 2021

£3,200                                             70%                                          90%
Mean value of                                      of Nest members request to                   Increase in transfers compared
transfers out                                      transfer out more than six months            with 31 March 2020
of Nest among                                      after their last contribution
members
56 and older
                                                                                                £5,200
                                                                                                Mean value of transfers in to
                                                                                                Nest for 2020/21

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                       14
The UK’s auto enrolment system
The UK government introduced workplace pensions
auto enrolment in October 2012.

Under the legislation, workers must be            Workers can receive tax relief from the
automatically enrolled in a workplace             government on their contributions, so that
pension if they earn salary from an               a gross contribution of 5% made by the
employer equivalent to £10,000 or more a          employee currently involves a net
year, though workers can ask to be                contribution of 4% for most people.
enrolled by their employer if they earn less.
                                                  Workers can opt out of auto enrolment
Employers may also choose to enrol those
                                                  within one month of being enrolled. They
earning less as a worker benefit. Larger
                                                  can also stop contributions at any time.
employers were brought into the
                                                  However, they can’t usually access the
programme first, with employers of all sizes
                                                  money in their pension pot until they
participating by February 2018.
                                                  reach age 55.
Employers make mandatory minimum
                                                  To learn more, see Essentials of the UK
contributions each pay period into a
                                                  retirement system
defined contribution (DC) pension scheme
based on the worker’s eligible earnings,
with the worker making contributions to
reach a mandatory minimum total
contribution. The level of minimum
mandatory contributions was increased in
phases, starting with 2% of qualifying
earnings with at least 1% contributed by the
employer, rising in April 2018 to 5% with at
least 2% contributed by the employer and
rising again in April 2019 to 8% with at least
3% contributed by the employer.

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                15
Chapter 1

Introduction
This is the latest of Nest Insight’s annual reports exploring
data from the Nest workplace pension scheme, one of the
                                                                                                                                          This data allows us to tell
largest pension schemes in the UK by membership.                                                                                          the story of not only how
                                                                                                                                          employers and members
                                                                                                                                          are interacting with the Nest
                                                                                                                                          scheme, but also how Nest sits
With the ‘Retirement saving in the UK’                 This year, in addition to analysing Nest     Key phrases                           within the wider landscape of
series we aim to understand the                        scheme data, we have included                                                      auto enrolment and the UK
experience of both workers and employers               comparative national data from sources       Auto enrolment
                                                                                                                                          labour market.
in the UK’s auto enrolment system for                  such as the Office for National Statistics   All eligible jobholders in the UK
workplace pensions. The series follows on              (ONS). We have also drawn on Nest’s own      are automatically enrolled by
from two previous reports, published                   surveys of members and the employers         their employer into a workplace
under the ‘How the UK saves’ banner,                   choosing the scheme for their workers to     pension scheme as a default for
which we produced in partnership with                  better understand savers’ situation,
                                                                                                    retirement saving
Vanguard Asset Management.                             behaviour, attitudes and expectations.
                                                                                                    Pension pot
As with the ‘How the UK saves’                         Our aim is to provide a more rounded view
publications and ‘Retirement saving in the             of pension saving than in previous years’    Retirement savings accumulated
UK 2020’1 , which was published in February            reports. This additional data allows us to   in a UK defined contribution
2021, in this report we share and analyse              tell the story of not only how employers     (DC) workplace pension scheme
employer, enrolment and member data                    and members are interacting with the Nest    like Nest
from Nest’s most recent financial year, in             scheme, but also how Nest sits within the
this case covering the period from 1 April             wider landscape of auto enrolment and        Financial year
2020 to 31 March 2021.                                 the UK labour market.                        Wherever years are mentioned,
Some tables and figures in this report show                                                         they refer to Nest’s fiscal year,
only information for the preceding 12                                                               which runs from 1 April to 31 March
months ending 31 March 2021. Others show
cumulative activity since the inception of
auto enrolment in 2012. Still others show
snapshot data at the end of each financial
year to provide a sense for how the auto
enrolment system has matured over time.

1   nestinsight.org.uk/research-projects/retirement-
    saving-in-the-uk

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                            16
Introduction

                                                                        Businesses which were unable to trade due
The ongoing                                                             to the restrictions were also offered
impact of Covid-19                                                      business rates relief, business interruption
                                                                        loan support and a one-off ‘restart’ cash
Any analysis of people’s saving in 2020/21                              grant to help finance the costs of
must begin by acknowledging that the                                    reopening safely when some restrictions
financial year was dominated by the                                     were lifted. Small businesses could also
global coronavirus pandemic. Restrictions                               apply for up to £50,000 in immediate
put in place to slow the spread of the virus,                           finance, with no payments due in the first
including lockdowns, business closures and                              12 months, through the Bounce Back Loan
social distancing, led to a sharp decline in                            Scheme. The government also paid
economic activity, with the UK’s gross                                  statutory sick pay for any employees on
domestic product (GDP) falling 9.9%                                     sick leave due to Covid-19.
between January and December 2020. 2
This was more than twice the fall recorded                              As we discussed in ‘Retirement saving in
during 2009, at the height of the global                                the UK 2020’ and Nest Insight’s series of
financial crisis, and the largest fall since the                        blogs on the pandemic’s impact4 , the
ONS began collecting modern GDP                                         interventions put in place by the
data in 1955.                                                           government helped to shore up jobs and
                                                                        ensured continuity of saving among Nest
To offset the impact of pandemic                                        members. From 1 April 2020 through to
restrictions, the UK government introduced                              31 March 2021, Nest’s membership
a range of measures aimed at stabilising                                volumes and pension contribution
the UK labour market and preventing                                     amounts remained stable.
widespread business failures. For example,
under the Coronavirus Job Retention
Scheme (CJRS), many workers in the UK
were furloughed from their jobs while
receiving at least 80% of their salary, with
the government reimbursing 80% of the
wage bill to employers making claims. At
its peak, on 8 May 2020, businesses made
claims for 8.9 million jobs on furlough. 3

2   Office for National Statistics (ONS), ‘Coronavirus and the impact
    on output in the UK economy: December 2020’ (12 February
    2021), ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/articles/
    coronavirusandtheimpactonoutputintheukeconomy/
    december2020
3   HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC), ‘Coronavirus Job
    Retention Scheme statistics: March 2021’ (25 March 2021),
    gov.uk/government/statistics/coronavirus-job-retention-
    scheme-statistics-march-2021/coronavirus-job-retention-
    scheme-statistics-march-2021                                        4   nestinsight.org.uk/impact-of-covid-19-blog-series

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                 17
Introduction

Figure 1. Timeline of coronavirus pandemic and government economic support programmes

Number of                                                  4 May 2020   8 May 2020
workers                                              Bounce Back Loan   8.9 million workers’ wages
furloughed                                              Scheme opens    are claimed through CJRS                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Coronavirus Job Retention
                                                                        – peak number of claims                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Scheme (CJRS)
                                                                                                        12 June 2020                                                                                                                                                                                                           Looking back to 1 March 2020,
                                                                                                        Nest member                                                                                                                                            22 February 2021                     8 March 2021               employers can claim for 80%
                                                                                                        survey starts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Roadmap announced                       Schools re-open            of wage costs up to £2,500 per
 8 million                                   3 April 2020                                               (through 23 June)                                                                                                                                                                                                      month for each worker put on
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              for easing lockdown                   Nest member
                                             Coronavirus Large                                                                                                                                                                                              restrictions in England                 survey starts              furlough. The government also
                                             Business Interruption                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  (through 23 March)         pays the employer’s National
                                             Loan Scheme opens
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Insurance (NI) contributions and
                                                                                              1 June 2020                                                                          2 December 2020          4 December 2020             4 January 2021                                                                         3% minimum auto enrolment
                                                                                              National lockdown                                                                     National lockdown       Nest member survey starts   Third national lockdown begins                                                         pension contributions for
                                                                                              restrictions gradually                                                                  restrictions lifted   (through 15 December)       in England                                                     19 March 2021           furloughed workers. Claims must
                                                                                              lifted                                                                                                                                                                                                   Restart Grant
 6 million                               23 March 2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        New national lockdowns begin                                                           be made by the 14th day of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        in Northern Ireland and Scotland                               Scheme launches
                                         First national lockdown                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               month following the payroll
                                         begins in England,                                                                                                                      5 November 2020                                                                                                                               month. Employers can ‘top up’
                                         Wales, Scotland and                                                                                                                     Second national                                                                                                                               wages above 80% at their own
                                         Northern Ireland                                                                                                                        lockdown begins in                                                                                                                            expense. Starting in July 2020,
                                         Coronavirus Business                                                               1 July 2020
                                                                                                                                                                                 England                                                                                                                                       under ‘flexible furloughing’
                                         Interruption Loan                                                                  CJRS introduces
               11 March 2020             Scheme opens                                                                       ‘flexible’ furloughing                                                                                                                                                                             employers could bring
               World Health                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    furloughed workers back to
 4 million                                                                                                                                           11 September 2020                                                                                              28 February 2021
               Organisation                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    work part-time and claim for the
               (WHO)                                                                                                                                 Nest member survey starts                                                                            38.5 million people in UK have
                                                                                                                                                     (through 30 September)                                                                                      received one dose of a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               wage costs of hours not worked.
               declares
               global                                                                                                                                                                   8 December 2020                    21 December 2020              Covid-19 vaccine and 1.5 million
               pandemic                                                                                                                                                                First Covid-19 vaccine              New national lockdown              have received both doses
                                                                                                                                                                                                  dose given               begins in Wales                                                                                 Sources: HM Revenue & Customs, ‘Coronavirus Job Retention
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Scheme statistics’ (July 2021), gov.uk/government/statistics/
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           coronavirus-job-retention-scheme-statistics-1-july-2021/
                 18 March 2020                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             coronavirus-job-retention-scheme-statistics-1-july-2021, Public
 2 million       Business rates                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Health England, ‘Vaccinations in the UK’ (July 2021),
                 holiday for                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           31 March 2021       coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations, Department for
                 2020/21                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       59.1 million people in UK have received one dose of a       Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy, Ministry of Housing,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Communities & Local Government, and HM Revenue &
                 announced                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Covid-19 vaccine and 8.6 million have received both doses
                                      20 March 2020                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Customs, ‘Financial support for business during coronavirus

                                      Coronavirus Job                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Cumulative claims to CJRS total £57.7 billion   (Covid-19)’ (April 2021), gov.uk/government/collections/
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           financial-support-for-businesses-during-coronavirus-covid-19
                                      Retention Scheme                                                                                                                                                                                                             Bounce Back Loan Scheme, Coronavirus Business
                                      (CJRS) launches                                                                                                                                                                                                              Interruption Loan Scheme and Coronavirus Large          For more information about the UK government’s business loan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Business Interruption Loan Scheme close       schemes and other economic support programmes, see
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           gov.uk/government/collections/financial-support-for-
        0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Recovery Loan Scheme opens         businesses-during-coronavirus-covid-19

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         18
Introduction

                                                                                             furloughed. This might reflect some non-essential                                        The significant impact of the CJRS on the financial
Members’ views on the                                                                        businesses bringing workers back into part-time or                                       wellbeing of Nest’s membership is perhaps most evident in
economic downturn                                                                            full-time work as they prepared to reopen in April 2021 as                               the stable proportion of members reporting that they were
                                                                                             part of the government’s roadmap to easing restrictions.                                 currently unemployed at the time of each survey. In both
While we have seen minimal impact on pension                                                                                                                                          June 2020 and March 2021, 6% of members said they
contributions during the pandemic, Nest’s surveys of                                         Among Nest members, there was little difference in the
                                                                                                                                                                                      were unemployed.
members over the past year indicate that the Covid-19                                        proportion of men and women who reported being
crisis has indeed affected people’s finances. 5 It’s important                               furloughed by their employer. However, age does appear                                   Of course, people’s employment status is only one aspect
to keep in mind, however, that member surveys only                                           to have been a factor. In June 2020 one quarter of                                       of their financial wellbeing. In 2020/21 Nest also surveyed
provide information at the snapshot in time during which                                     members aged under 30 said they were furloughed, and                                     members about how they felt the pandemic was affecting
they were conducted. Given the evolving nature of the                                        in March 2021 these younger workers continued to be                                      their finances. The June 2020 survey asked members about
pandemic and vaccination campaigns, as well as                                               slightly more likely to be furloughed than members aged                                  their expectations for the future while subsequent surveys
uncertainties about the length of time it will take for the                                  30 or older. In addition, high-earning members were                                      also asked how the pandemic was already
economy to fully recover, the survey data presented in this                                  substantially less likely than low-earning members to be                                 impacting them.
report offer limited insights into the longer-term financial                                 furloughed. In June 2020, 8% of those earning £40,000 or
impact of the pandemic on members.                                                           more annually were furloughed, compared with 19% of
                                                                                             those earning less than £20,000 per year.
As can be seen in Figure 2, the proportion of Nest
members reporting that they had been furloughed varied
over the course of the year, mirroring different phases of                                   Figure 2. Nest members who reported being furloughed
restrictions and the overall claims made to the CJRS.
                                                                                                         24%
In the June 2020 survey, conducted shortly after the first
national lockdown of England was lifted, close to one fifth
(17%) of Nest members said they were then currently
furloughed. By September 2020, after a summer largely                                                           18%
free of lockdown restrictions, this figure had dropped                                            17%
                                                                                                                                                                                               16%
substantially, to 4%. In December 2020, near the end of the                                                                                                                                           15%
                                                                                                                                                                                        14%                                          14%
second national lockdown of England and extensive                                                                      13% 13%                                                                               13%
restrictions in other parts of the UK, it had risen again, with
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    11%                    11%
14% of members saying they were then furloughed. A third                                                                                                                                                                       10%
national lockdown began in January 2021, with a phased
easing of restrictions from 8 March 2021 into summer 2021.                                                                                                                                                                                       7% 7%
Finally, in the most recent survey at the time of publication,                                                                                                     5%
conducted in March 2021, 10% of members said they were                                                                                        4%            4%           4%
                                                                                                                                                     3%

                                                                                                             June 2020                              September 2020                             December 2020                          March 2021
5   In 2020/21 Nest surveyed members quarterly, including the larger annual survey in
    December, with surveys in field 12 to 23 June 2020 (1,737 total respondents), 11 to 30
    September 2020 (1,434 respondents), 4 to 15 December 2020 (7,116 respondents)                                                     Total           Under 30              30 to 39            40 to 49            50 and older
    and 8 to 23 March 2021 (2,297 respondents). Unless otherwise noted, all survey
    data reported in this report are from these member surveys.                              Source: Nest member surveys, 2020/21, all respondents. Question: Which of the following best describes your employment status?

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                          19
Introduction

In June 2020 almost one quarter (23%) of members said                                      By March 2021 there had been a slight reduction in the                           The proportion of members reporting that the pandemic
they believed the pandemic would have a significant                                        proportion of members thinking the pandemic would have                           was already having a negative impact on their finances
long-term impact on their finances. Another quarter (24%)                                  either a significant long-term or a significant temporary                        peaked in December 2020 at almost half (47%), as shown
believed the impact would be significant but temporary.                                    negative impact, with 47% of members believing this in                           in Figure 4 (next page). In contrast, in Nest’s last member
As one might expect, those who were currently furloughed                                   June 2020, compared with 41% in March 2021 (Figure 3).                           survey of the financial year, conducted in March 2021, 37%
or unemployed were more likely to believe the pandemic                                                                                                                      of members said the pandemic was having a negative
would have a significant long-term impact – 38% of those                                                                                                                    impact on them.
furloughed and 51% of those unemployed said this.
                                                                                                                                                                            Throughout the year, however, some members reported
                                                                                                                                                                            that the pandemic was having either no financial impact
Figure 3. Nest members’ views on how the pandemic will affect their personal finances in the future                                                                         on them or was actually making them better off financially.
                                                                                                                                                                            By March 2021, just over one quarter (27%) said they’d
                                                                                                                                                       28%                  experienced a positive impact on their finances, up from
                                                               27%
                                                 26%                                         26%                                                                            one fifth on average in surveys conducted earlier
                   25%                                                                                     25%                                                              in the year.
            24%
     23%                                                                                                                                 23%
                                                                                                                                                                            Perhaps unsurprisingly, members’ responses to this question
                                                        20%                                         20%                                                                     were correlated with their income. Those earning £40,000 or
                                                                                                                                                 19%                        more per year were significantly more likely to say the
                          17%                                                                                                                                               pandemic was having a positive impact on their finances
                                                                              16%                                                                              16%          (36%) compared with those earning less than £20,000, who
                                                                                                                          15%
                                                                                                                   14%                                                14%   were more likely to say it was having a negative impact (41%).
                                                                                                                                                                            Yet, even among lower earners, around one fifth felt the
                                  11%                                  11%                                                                                                  pandemic was having a positive impact on their finances.
                                                                                                                                                                            Although we haven’t yet observed any significant change
                                                                                                                                                                            in Nest’s membership or contribution volumes during the
                                                                                                                                                                            pandemic, this survey data suggests that the scheme’s
                                                                                                                                                                            members have felt the sharp reduction in economic
                                                                                                                                                                            activity in 2020/21.
                                                                                                                                                                            Significant numbers of Nest members have been furloughed.
                June 2020                               September 2020                              December 2020                                  March 2021               Younger members have been disproportionately affected.
                                                                                                                                                                            Many have felt a financial impact, with more feeling a
            It will affect my finances              It will affect my finances               It will affect my            It won’t impact               Don’t know          negative impact than a positive one. What this will mean in
            a great deal over a                     a great deal but only                    finances a little.           my finances.                                      the longer term remains to be seen. However, Nest’s survey
            long period of time.                    temporarily.
                                                                                                                                                                            data suggests that around one quarter of the scheme’s
Source: Nest member surveys, 2020/21, all respondents. Question: And looking ahead, how do you feel the Covid-19 outbreak will affect your personal finances, if at all?    membership expect a long-term negative impact on their
                                                                                                                                                                            finances as a consequence of the pandemic.

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                                                                        20
Introduction

       Figure 4. Nest members’ views on how the pandemic was currently affecting their personal finances
                                                                                                                                        A story of continuity
                                                                                                                                        For ‘Retirement saving in the UK 2020’ we       Nest’s scheme and survey data
                                                                  27%                                                                   extended our reporting period to include        suggest that auto enrolment
                                                                                                                                        data from 1 April 2020 through to 30
                        24%
                                                                                                                                        September 2020 in order to consider
                                                                                                                                                                                        will help to improve many
                                    22%
                                                                                                                         21%            preliminary findings about the pandemic’s       people’s retirement outcomes
                              20%                                       20%
                                                                              19%                            19%                        impact on pension saving. Here we               over the long term.
                                                                                                                   18%                  consider full-year evidence for 2020/21.
                                          15%                                                          15%                     15%      Despite the uncertainties and concerns
                                                                                    14%
                                                                                                                                        expressed by Nest members in surveys,
                                                            12%
                                                                                                 11%                                    pension saving has continued. In the final
                  10%
             9%                                                                                                                         six months of the financial year, very little
                                                       8%                                                                               changed in the government’s policies for
                                                                                                                                        mitigating the impact of the pandemic
                                                                                                                                        and Nest members continued to save as
                                                                                                                                        they had before. For these reasons, we
                                                                                                                                        have not elaborated further in this
                  September 2020                             December 2020                                March 2021
                                                                                                                                        report on the effect of the pandemic
                                                                                                                                        or the economic downturn on Nest’s
                      It has had a significant              It had a limited                      It has had no impact.                 employers and members except where
                      positive impact.                      negative impact.
                                                                                                                                        it is especially pertinent.
                     It has had a limited                   It has had a significant              Don’t know
                     positive impact.                       negative impact.                                                            Instead, in ‘Retirement saving in the UK
in order):                                                                                                                              2021’, we’ve taken the opportunity to
       Source: Nest member surveys, 2020/21, all respondents. Question: And looking ahead, how do you feel the Covid-19 outbreak will   paint a fuller portrait of Nest’s
       affect your personal finances, if at all? Numbers may not total 100% due to rounding.                                            membership and reflect on the success of
                                                                                                                                        the UK’s auto enrolment system in
                                                                                                                                        creating a new generation of pension
                                                                                                                                        savers who appear to continue to save in
                                                                                                                                        the face of short-term financial shocks.
                                                                                                                                        The contribution profiles and member
                                                                                                                                        behaviour in evidence in Nest’s scheme
                                                                                                                                        and survey data suggest that auto
                                                                                                                                        enrolment will help to improve many
                                                                                                                                        people’s pension saving and retirement
                                                                                                                                        outcomes over the long term.

       Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                                              21
Chapter 2

Nest employees and enrolments
Nest was created so that every employer in the UK, whether                                                            Those large firms which did choose Nest as
                                                                                                                      their pension provider during the early years
large or small, had access to a workplace pension scheme                                                              of auto enrolment often did not enrol all of
that could be used to fulfil their auto enrolment duties.                                                             their workers in Nest. This was in part due to
                                                                                                                      restrictions placed on the total volume of
                                                                                                                      annual contributions that could be paid into
                                                                                                                      Nest members’ pots. These restrictions had
                                                                                                                      been stipulated in the legislation creating
                                                                                                                      Nest to prevent Nest from gaining a
It was considered essential that a pension                                                                            competitive advantage in the pensions                            Key phrases
provider with a public service obligation                             Growth in employer                              market. As a consequence, larger employers
                                                                                                                                                                                       Large employers
was available from the first moment that                              participation                                   with high-earning individuals on a more
large employers, and the significant                                                                                  generous pension arrangement were unable                         250 or more employees
volume of new pension savers employed                                 When auto enrolment was introduced,             to use Nest for their entire workforce.
by them, began to be brought into the                                 every UK employer which was operating in                                                                         Medium-sized employers
                                                                      April 2012 was allocated a date between         Removal of the restrictions on Nest’s
system in October 2012. 6 And hundreds of                                                                                                                                              50 to 249 employees
                                                                      October 2012 and February 2018 by which         annual member contribution limit was
thousands of workers have been enrolled
                                                                      they were required to fulfil their duties to    approved by the government in 2014, with                         Small and micro employers
in Nest by large employers. Yet as at 31
                                                                      enrol their workers in a pension scheme.        the restrictions fully lifted in April 2017,
March 2021, the overwhelmingly majority                                                                                                                                                1 to 49 employees
                                                                      Larger employers were brought into the          when small and micro employers were
of employers using Nest were small or
                                                                      system first, with medium-sized and then        being brought into the auto enrolment
micro-sized, with fewer than 50 workers.
                                                                      small and micro employers following them.       system. These smaller employers were far
                                                                      This process of bringing employers into the     less likely to have an existing pension
                                                                      auto enrolment system was called ‘staging’.     provision for their workers and most, it was
                                                                                                                      believed, would be seeking a scheme for
                                                                      Due to this staged approach, the number         all their workers.
                                                                      of employers using Nest was initially low.
                                                                      This was largely in line with expectations,     An estimated 98% of UK employers are
The overwhelming majority                                             since many larger corporations already          small or micro-sized.7 So it’s not surprising
                                                                      had a workplace pension scheme in place         that from January 2016, when smaller firms
of employers using Nest are                                                                                           began to be staged into auto enrolment,
                                                                      for at least some of their workers. To fulfil
small or micro-sized.                                                 auto enrolment duties, it was deemed            the volume of employers using Nest
                                                                      more likely that these large employers          quadrupled within the year.
                                                                      would open up their existing scheme to all
                                                                      their workers, who were now required to
                                                                      be automatically enrolled in a pension.         7   ONS, ‘Employers enterprises by size and broad industry’ (9
                                                                                                                          April 2021), ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/business/
6   Nest Insight, ‘Pension reforms in the UK: 1997 to 2015’ (2020),                                                       activitysizeandlocation/adhocs/13112employersenterprises
    nestinsight.org.uk/uk-pension-reforms                                                                                 bysizeandbroadindustry

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                                                    22
Nest employees and enrolments

in order):

       Figure 5. Employers registered with Nest, year by year                                                                                                                        Nest does have a slight under-
                                                                                                                      Employer characteristics                                       representation of medium-sized
                                                                                                                      When employers register with Nest, they’re                     employers, possibly as a result of these
                                                                                                           104k                                                                      employers being more likely to use one
                                                                                                                      asked to provide information about the
                                                                                                80k                   size of their payroll. However, Nest does                      scheme for all of their workers compared
                                                                                                           867k
                                                                                                                      not require that employers update this                         to large employers, which may combine
                                                                                     47k        791k                                                                                 Nest with legacy arrangements provided
                                                                                                                      data. So, although we expect that
                                                                          19k        713k                                                                                            to some of their workers before the
                                                                                                                      employers will grow and employ more
                                                                                                                      workers over time, the employer size data                      introduction of auto enrolment.
                                                                         613k
                                                                                                                      available to us reflects snapshots taken at
                                                                                                                      many different points in time, from when
                                                                6k
                                                                                                                      each employer joined Nest.

                                                              326k                                                    Setting aside these data limitations, it
                                                                                                                      appears that the distribution by size of
                                                                                                                      employers using Nest broadly mirrors the
                                               1k                                                                     distribution seen across the entirety of the
              5k              14k             85k                                                                     UK labour market, as seen in Table 1.

           2013/14         2014/15         2015/16            2016/17   2017/18     2018/19    2019/20    2020/21
                                                                                                                      Table 1. Size of employers using Nest as at 31 March 2021
                                               Active employers           Inactive employers
                                                                                                                       Employer size                                                      Nest employers              All UK employers

                                                                                                                       1 to 49 employees                                                                98.2%                          97.8%
       Growth in employer volumes has continued                         have had the desired effect of preventing
       since then, but at a slower pace, with                           mass business closures. In fact, the number    50 to 249 employees                                                               1.46%                         1.73%
       around 971,000 employers having                                  of employers newly setting up to use Nest
       registered with Nest at some point by                            as their pension provider increased            250 to 499 employees                                                              0.14%                         0.21%
       31 March 2021 (Figure 5). This total                             during 2020/21.
       represented an 11% increase over the                                                                            500 to 999 employees                                                             0.08%                           0.11%
                                                                        In addition, the proportion of businesses
       2020/21 financial year. Of these, around                                                                        1,000 to 4,999 employees                                                         0.08%                          0.09%
                                                                        becoming inactive – for example, because
       867,000 employers had an active Nest
                                                                        they ceased operating, became insolvent
       account as at 31 March 2021. This is notable                                                                    5,000 or more employees                                                          0.04%                          0.03%
                                                                        or decided to switch to a different pension
       in the context of the pandemic. As noted in
                                                                        provider – was actually much lower than
       the introduction and reported in detail in                                                                     Source: Nest Corporation and ONS, ‘Employers enterprises by size and broad industry’ (April 2021), ons.gov.uk/
                                                                        one might expect in such a challenging        businessindustryandtrade/business/activitysizeandlocation/adhocs/13112employersenterprisesbysizeandbroadindustry. ONS data
       ‘Retirement saving in the UK 2020’8 , it                                                                       is as at March 2020. Numbers may not total 100% due to rounding.
                                                                        business environment. The number of
       appears that the interventions made by
                                                                        inactive employers grew by only 30% over
       the government to secure the economy
                                                                        2020/21, compared with 70% over 2019/20.
       8   nestinsight.org.uk/research-projects/retirement-
           saving-in-the-uk

       Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                                                                        23
Nest employees and enrolments

                                                  The proportion of enrolments that are
Growth in enrolments                              currently active has plateaued since the
The number of enrolments in the Nest              end of the staging period. As at 31 March
scheme naturally increased as employers           2018, soon after the end of the staging
were staged into the auto enrolment               period in February of that year, Nest had
system. But unlike with the number of             around 3.9 million current enrolments.9 As
employers using Nest, there was no striking       at 31 March 2021 Nest’s current enrolments
acceleration in enrolment volumes at any          had only risen to around 4.5 million. Over
point between October 2012 and February           the same period the number of previous
2018. The staged approach resulted in             enrolments rose from 3.8 million to just                         Key phrases
enrolment volumes being much more                 over 9 million individual events.
                                                                                                                   Current enrolments                    Exiters
evenly distributed, as Figure 6 (next             As workers change employers over the
page) shows.                                                                                                       Employed workers who have             Workers enrolled in Nest whose
                                                  course of their lives, there is an increasing
                                                  chance that they will at some point be                           been enrolled in Nest by their        account has been closed. This
As at 31 March 2021 almost 15 million                                                                              current employer, or who are          may happen either because they
enrolments had been made into Nest, an            enrolled in Nest. We expect the growth in
                                                  previous enrolments to exceed that of                            self-employed and have enrolled       have retired and taken a lump
increase of around 15% compared with 31
                                                  current enrolments in the coming years.                          themselves in Nest. Workers           sum or cash payment or series of
March 2020. Despite the significant
slowdown in economic activity due to the                                                                           may be enrolled in Nest multiple      payments until their pot balance is
pandemic, this increase is not much                                                                                times through subsequent or           zero, transferred their money out of
different from the increase between 31                                                                             simultaneous employments.             Nest into another pension scheme
March 2019 and 31 March 2020, the first                                                                                                                  or died and their pot has been
                                                                                                                   Previous enrolments
financial year after staging was                                                                                                                         claimed by a beneficiary.
completed. Then, enrolments increased by                                                                           Workers enrolled in Nest who
around 22%. This suggests that the labour                                                                          have not retired, died or opted       Opt-outs
market remained active throughout                                                                                  out but have either chosen to stop    Workers enrolled in Nest who
2020/21, with workers taking or moving                                                                             contributing to their Nest pension    choose, within one calendar
jobs and being enrolled, or enrolled again,                                                                        pot, left their employer using Nest   month of their enrolment, not to
in Nest in significant numbers.                                                                                    or been moved to another pension      make contributions into their Nest
                                                                                                                   provider by their employer while      pension pot.
                                                                                                                   leaving their legacy pot at Nest.
                                                                                                                   Workers enrolled in Nest more
                                                                                                                   than once are counted for each
                                                                                                                   enrolment they’ve had.

                                                  9   Current enrolment counts are approximately equal to
                                                      active member counts but members active in more than one
                                                      job at the same time will be counted more than once in the
                                                      current enrolment total.

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                                 24
Nest employees and enrolments

Figure 6. Status of cumulative enrolments in Nest, year by year                                                                                          Over time we expect the proportion of
                                                                                                        Returning members                                returning members being enrolled each
                                                                                                        Nest operates a ‘one member, one pot’            month to continue to grow, with around
                                                                                              14.8m     model, which means that whenever a               half of all enrolments in 2025/26 predicted
                                                                                                        worker is enrolled in Nest, the scheme           to be of returning members. By 2035/36
                                                                                      12.9m
                                                                                                        checks whether their identifying information     this proportion is expected to be
                                                                                                        matches an existing account and merges           approaching 60%, the level where we
                                                                                                        the accounts of any worker who has been          estimate a natural plateau will emerge.
                                                                   10.6m
                                                                                                        enrolled in Nest through a prior employment.     This analysis only includes information on
                                                      8.3m                                              Figure 7 shows that the proportion of matched    returners where a match can be made with a
                                                                                                        enrolments has increased over time. As at 31     Nest account. It does not include individuals
                                                                                                        March 2018, around the end of the staging        who opt out of Nest each time they’re
                                          5.6m                                                          period, about 30% of enrolments in Nest          enrolled. We therefore presume that the
                                                                                                        were returning members. As at 31 March           number of enrolments made each month
                             3.6m                                                                       2021 this proportion had increased to 38%.       where the individual is being re-enrolled in
                                                                                                                                                         Nest is higher than this data suggests.
                2.3m
    1.1m
                                                                                                        Figure 7. Percentage of enrolments where the worker already has a Nest account

  2013/14      2014/15      2015/16      2016/17     2017/18       2018/19        2019/20     2020/21   80%

                                                                                                        70%
                                          Enrolment events
                         Current       Previous        Opted out             Exited
                                                                                                        60%

                                                                                                        50%

                                                                                                        40%

                                                                                                        30%

                                                                                                        20%

                                                                                                        10%

                                                                                                         0%
                                                                                                          2013     2018      2023      2028     2033      2038      2043      2048       2053   2058

                                                                                                                                               Actual       Forecast

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                                    25
Nest employees and enrolments

                                                                    Some employers, particularly large                                Among micro firms employing four or                        Of course, the volume of current enrolments
Enrolments by employer size                                         businesses employing 1,000 or more                                fewer workers, there is very little difference             in Nest over the life of the scheme to date
We have shown that Nest is used by                                  workers, may have initially used Nest for                         between the initial worker enrolments                      also does not include any workers who
employers of all sizes in a very similar                            only a subset of employees, as described                          made into Nest and the mean number of                      have opted out of their workplace pension.
distribution as is seen in the overall UK                           on page 22. Table 2 shows the mean                                workers at UK employers of this size. We                   But opt-outs alone cannot explain the gap
labour market (see Table 1 on page 23).                             number of enrolments by employer size for                         deduce from this that micro employers are                  even among small and medium-sized
However, it is known that for some larger                           two points in time: the first month during                        more likely to adopt Nest as the scheme                    employers, where current enrolments stand
employers Nest will not be the only                                 which the employer started to enrol                               for their entire workforce. This is not                    at around 54% to 58% of the ONS’s mean
pension scheme that they operate.                                   workers in Nest and current enrolments                            surprising as employers of this size may                   employment figures.
                                                                    across 2020/21. We compare these initial                          have just one individual responsible for the
To more fully understand the employers                                                                                                                                                           It appears that across all UK firms other than
                                                                    and current enrolment metrics for                                 administration of their business operations,
which Nest serves we consider the                                                                                                                                                                the very smallest, Nest is only one part of an
                                                                    employers against the most recently                               including enrolling workers into a pension.
number of enrolments that employers                                                                                                                                                              employer’s workplace pension offering.
                                                                    available mean number of workers                                  Simplicity in administration may be a
have made into Nest relative to their                               employed by UK businesses reporting the                           significant factor for them.                               The fact that the mean number of current
reported number of workers.                                         same overall number of workers.                                                                                              enrolments over the life of the scheme is
                                                                                                                                      Among employers with five or more
                                                                                                                                                                                                 larger than initial enrolments for all firms,
                                                                                                                                      workers, however, current mean
                                                                                                                                                                                                 regardless of size, may indicate
                                                                                                                                      enrolments are lower than the mean
Table 2. Mean enrolments by employer size                                                                                                                                                        employer growth. Some of the very
                                                                                                                                      number of workers employed at UK
                                                                                                                                                                                                 largest employers using Nest have been
                                                                                                                                      businesses of the same size. Partly this may
 Employer size                                    Mean initial                 Mean current                Mean number                                                                           using the scheme since they were first
                                                                                                                                      be due to differences in the populations
                                                 enrolments in                 enrolments in                  of workers                                                                         staged into auto enrolment in 2012/13.
                                                                                                                                      being compared. The Office for National
                                                        Nest*                         Nest*                 employed by                                                                          Alternatively, this difference may be due to
                                                                                                                                      Statistics (ONS) analysis of employer size
                                                                                                           UK businesses                                                                         a change in how employers use Nest to
                                                                                                                                      includes all workers employed by the
                                                                                                                                                                                                 fulfil their obligations under auto
 1 to 49 employees                                                  6                             7                           12      business, not just those workers who are
                                                                                                                                                                                                 enrolment. Some employers using the
                                                                                                                                      eligible for auto enrolment. Evidence from
 50 to 249 employees                                               41                           56                           99                                                                  scheme may have increased the
                                                                                                                                      the Labour Force Survey, a representative
                                                                                                                                                                                                 proportion of their workers enrolled in
                                                                                                                                      sample of households across the UK,
 250 to 499 employees                                            105                           189                         345                                                                   Nest as their default workplace pension.
                                                                                                                                      suggests that approximately 82% of all UK
 500 to 999 employees                                             167                         369                           689       employees are eligible for
                                                                                                                                      auto enrolment.10
 1,000 to 4,999 employees                                        312                          746                          2,117

 5,000 or more employees                                         679                       2,599                        12,924

* Mean initial enrolments are calculated from all enrolments made in the first three months following each employer’s staging date.
Mean current enrolments in Nest are as at 31 March 2021. Mean number of workers employed are as at March 2020, the most recent
March data available.
Source: Nest Corporation and ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/business/activitysizeandlocation/adhocs/13112employersenter
prisesbysizeandbroadindustry

                                                                                                                                      10 Nest Insight analysis of Labour Force Survey, January
                                                                                                                                         to March 2021

Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021                                                                                                                                                                                             26
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