Retirement saving in the UK - 2021 Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust - Nest Insight
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Retirement saving in the UK 2021 — Member experience from Nest, the National Employment Savings Trust nestinsight.org.uk
Authored by About Nest Insight’s strategic Richard Notley, Nest Insight, and David partners Mann, Nest Corporation, London © 2021 National Employment Savings Trust Corporation Invesco is an independent investment management firm dedicated to delivering an investment experience that helps people About Nest Insight get more out of life. Building on its strong track record in defined contribution research, and its existing partnership with the University of Cambridge Judge Business School, Invesco partnered with Nest Insight Nest Insight is a collaborative research unit to support its ambitious programme of set up by Nest Corporation to help research, publications and events. For more understand and address the challenges information, visit: invesco.co.uk facing Nest members and other defined NYSE: IVZ contribution savers. For more information, visit: nestinsight.org.uk BlackRock’s Social Impact team works to help make prosperity possible for more and more people around the world. Through the BlackRock Charitable Trust and the BlackRock Foundation, the team supports programmes that bring financial security within reach of those facing historic and ongoing barriers to opportunity. For more information, visit: blackrock.com/corporate/about-us/ social-impact
Contents Foreword 5 Chapter 1 Chapter 4 Introduction 16 Members’ working lives 48 Executive summary 6 The ongoing impact of Covid-19 17 Members’ median earnings 49 Who are Nest’s members? 6 Members’ views on the economic downturn 19 Distribution of earnings 50 Members’ working lives 8 A story of continuity 21 Earnings by gender 54 Which employers are using Nest? 9 Types of working 56 Evolution of auto enrolment 9 Chapter 2 Career patterns 59 How much is going into members’ Nest employees and enrolments 22 Persistency of saving 61 pension pots? 11 Growth in employer participation 22 How much is accumulating in members’ pots? 12 Employer characteristics 23 Chapter 5 When and how do members expect to retire? 13 Growth in enrolments 24 Contributions 62 Transfers in and out of Nest 14 Returning members 25 Contribution rates 62 Enrolments by employer size 26 Contribution amounts 66 The UK’s auto enrolment system 15 Manner of enrolment 27 Direct member contributions 69 Workers opting out 28 Workers stopping contributions 32 Chapter 6 Investment and switches 71 Chapter 3 Default fund design and fund options 71 Nest members 34 Switching behaviour 72 Nest’s model 34 Member characteristics 36 Life stages of members 44 Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 3
Contents Chapter 7 Pension pot values 73 Average pot values 73 Distribution of pot values 73 Pot values by member characteristics 75 Pot balances by employer characteristics 75 Small pots 76 Chapter 8 Later life and retirement 77 Age at retirement 77 Working patterns in retirement 79 Working beyond State Pension age 80 Retiring early 81 Nest members’ retirement expectations 82 Chapter 9 Transferring and retiring 85 Transferring funds out of Nest 85 Transferring funds into Nest 88 Retirement and decumulation 89 Chapter 10 Conclusion 91 Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021
Foreword As we discovered through that research, Nest Insight could not do this work without government interventions such as the the support of generous partners like their Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (CJRS) strategic partners, Invesco and BlackRock. appear to have softened the economic Nest Insight’s programme partners and impact on employers and prevented many research and delivery partners have also job losses. These interventions may have stepped up to assist with projects ranging Helen Dean, CBE been critical in supporting the financial from a trial of a ‘sidecar savings’ tool to Chief Executive Officer, Nest Corporation wellbeing of individuals whom Nest serves. foster greater financial resiliency among low One of the key findings of ‘Retirement and moderate earners to research on how saving in the UK 2020’ was that most of responsible investment messages might be I take great pleasure in introducing ‘Retirement saving in the UK Nest’s active members have continued to crafted to motivate members to become save into their Nest pension pot during the more engaged with pension saving. I’d like 2021’, Nest Insight’s fourth annual research report describing the pandemic. Because the government’s to thank all of these partners for their experience of people saving for their retirement through the support programmes were in place for the dedication to improving pension saving and Nest pension scheme. entire 2020/21 financial year, the story financial resilience in the UK. There are many presented here remains largely unchanged more avenues of research to explore as the from the 2020 research report. auto enrolment generation matures into long-term pension savers. So, in Nest Insight’s 2021 report, the context In this year’s report, Nest Insight presents Of course, a report on Nest members’ of the Covid-19 crisis is acknowledged but Finally, I want to thank the Nest Insight fascinating evidence about the evolution of pension saving in 2020/21 cannot help but the focus is on our business as usual. For team for the mammoth research, thought auto enrolment and Nest’s membership. touch on the impact of the global those interested in more information on and effort put into the publication of this Rather than simply presenting analysis of coronavirus pandemic. Because the how the pandemic has affected Nest’s report for the wider pensions market. We administrative data from Nest’s most recently economic fallout of lockdowns and pandemic restrictions was so immediate members and employers, Nest Insight has look forward to hearing your response to completed financial year ending 31 March, and striking, Nest Insight chose to extend published a series of excellent blogposts this year’s evidence and presenting more Nest Insight has made wide use of Nest’s the reporting period for ‘Retirement saving on its website, nestinsight.org.uk, which I findings on the Nest customer own bespoke surveys of members as well as in the UK 2020’, publishing last year’s highly recommend. experience next year. data from official organisations such as the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This has research report in February 2021 to include With around one in three workers in the UK allowed them to paint a much richer portrait data through 30 September 2020. This now having a Nest pot, we appreciate that of the lived experience of Nest members and allowed them to analyse how employers Nest encompasses a diverse range of how pension saving is shaped by people’s and members were coping with periods of workers and employers. The research jobs, employers and careers. It also helps us lockdown and subsequent reopening of shared through publications such as the to see with great clarity how Nest is serving the UK economy. This has been an ‘Retirement saving in the UK’ series is vital the low and moderate income workers extremely turbulent time for the employers to understanding the needs, priorities and targeted by the government’s auto enrolment using Nest as well as Nest’s members. behaviours of UK pension savers, most reforms and highlights gaps in the overall crucially as they age towards retirement. pensions market that still need to be closed. Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 5
Executive summary This report examines the enrolment, working, saving and Who are Nest’s members? investment profile of workplace pension savers in the UK Age based on data from Nest, the National Employment It was anticipated that Nest’s membership Based on current population trends and Savings Trust. With almost 10 million members at the end would skew towards younger workers who internal modelling, however, by 2050 the of the 2020/21 financial year, Nest is one of the UK’s were far less likely to be already saving in age profile of members is expected to a workplace pension when auto enrolment become more evenly distributed largest multi-employer pension schemes. was introduced, with around one third of across age groups. Nest members expected to be aged 30 or younger. Nest’s current age distribution very closely matches this. Of Nest members... 28% 12% are 22 to 30 in 2021 are 56 to 65 in 2021 14% 17% are projected to be are projected to be 22 to 30 in 2035 56 to 65 in 2035 10% 24% are projected to be are projected to be 22 to 30 in 2050 56 to 65 in 2050 Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 6
Executive summary Gender Educational qualifications Home ownership Because of the annual earnings It was expected that workers with higher In surveys many people in the UK say that ownership compared to the generations threshold for auto enrolment, it was levels of educational attainment were more they expect to use the value of their home which preceded them. This trend data is expected that more men than women, likely to be already saving in a workplace to help finance some of their cost of living mirrored by the home ownership rates by a ratio of around 2 to 1, would be pension when auto enrolment was in retirement. However, official statistics among Nest members. enrolled in Nest. However, the gender introduced, and so Nest members would be show that younger generations have balance of Nest’s membership has more likely to have no more than A-Levels or increasingly lower levels of home evolved to be more balanced. GCSEs. However, in surveys many members report having higher qualifications. Of Nest members under 30... Of Nest members 50 and over... 42% 15% Rent privately Rent privately 12% 56% Own with a mortgage Own with a mortgage or outright or outright 47% 53% 38% of Nest members of Nest members of Nest members have at least a are women are men degree-level qualification 0.008% of Nest members did not have a Members with higher qualifications are more gender listed on their enrolment likely to be inactive, while those with lower qualifications are more likely to be active. Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 7
Executive summary Working status Gender pay gap Members’ working lives In surveys the majority of Nest members Across the entire UK labour market, Nest’s membership was always expected to have significant numbers of the lower £19.6k report they’re working full-time (30 hours or more per week), with a clear majority women earn on average 16% less than men. A similar but wider gender pay gap and moderate earners who had working for an employer. exists among Nest members. traditionally not been served by the Median annual earnings for existing pensions market. active Nest members as at Earnings 31 March 2021 22% In 2011 Nest estimated that median (middle of the distribution) annual earnings for individuals then saving into a workplace £28.2k Gap between women’s median earnings and men’s median earnings in Nest’s membership pension was around £30,600, roughly Median annual earnings for UK equivalent to being in the top 25% of the eligible employees in 2020 distribution of earnings for all UK workers. The gender pay gap for Nest members The target group for pension reforms had increases in the mid-30s, after which it median annual earnings of around The difference in earnings between essentially plateaus. £19,800, about 35% less. Nest members and UK eligible 14% 26% employees widens through the earnings distribution. 15% Gender pay gap for Nest members Gender pay gap for Nest members 30 and younger 31 and older Gap between earnings of Nest members in the bottom 10% of earners compared with the bottom 10% of UK eligible employees 38% 60% 14% Gap between earnings for of Nest members of Nest members Nest members in the top 10% of say they work say they work earners compared with the top full-time for part-time for 10% of UK eligible employees an employer an employer Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 8
Executive summary Which employers are using Nest? Evolution of auto enrolment Volumes Employer size With the staging of employers completed Despite the significant slowdown in in February 2018 and the second phased economic activity in 2020/21 due to Continuing growth in employer volumes is Small employers are more likely to increase in contribution rates completed in the pandemic, this increase is not one demonstration that the government’s enrol most or all of their workers in April 2019, the auto enrolment system has much different from the increase for interventions to support the economy Nest than larger employers, which been in a steady state for the past two years. 2019/20, the first financial year after through the pandemic were successful in tend to enrol a portion of staging was completed. This suggests supporting auto enrolment through the their workforce. that the labour market remained end of the financial year. Enrolments active throughout 2020/21, with As at 31 March 2021 almost 15 million workers taking or moving jobs and 971k 7 enrolments had been made into Nest. being enrolled, or enrolled again, in Nest in significant numbers. Employers registered with Nest across life of scheme Mean (average) current enrolments in Nest from small 15% 22% employers, with 5 to 49 workers, Increase in Increase in compared with 12 workers enrolments in enrolments in 11% employed on average by UK businesses of this size 12 months ending 31 March 2021, 12 months ending 31 March 2020, Increase from 2019/20 compared with compared with 2020 2019 2,599 Mean current enrolments in Nest from large employers, with 5,000 or more workers, compared with 12,924 workers employed on average by UK businesses of this size Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 9
Executive summary Returning members Nest enrolments that were Who is opting out? returning members Because the choice of a workplace Prior to the launch of auto enrolment, 30% pension scheme is tied to the employer policymakers and researchers rather than the worker, job churn will estimated that around 25% to 30% of naturally lead to members workers would opt out of auto becoming inactive. enrolment in a workplace pension. In as at 31 March 2018 practice, opt-out rates have been Nest operates a ‘one member, one-pot’ much lower, with Nest reporting an model, which means that whenever a 38% overall opt-out rate of around 8% worker is enrolled in Nest, the scheme over the life of the scheme. checks for a match of identifying information with an existing account Opt-out rates have varied over time, and merges the accounts of a worker as at 31 March 2021 however, with a slight uptick in 2020/21. who has been enrolled in Nest through This increase should be considered 50% a previous employment. in the context of the final rise in minimum pension contribution rates in April 2019 and workers’ financial predicted around 31 March 2026 concerns during the pandemic. 60% 10.1% 9.9% 10.3% predicted around 31 March 2036 Opt-out rate for all workers in 12 Opt-out Opt-out months ending 31 March 2021 rate for women rate for men Interestingly, across most age Active members are unlikely to stop groups, opt-out rates for 2020/21 contributions after the opt-out window. were slightly higher among men than women. This is a departure from what we’ve seen in previous years, where women across all age groups 2.3% were slightly more likely to opt out. of Nest members over the life of the scheme have chosen to stop contributions while still actively employed by the employer which enrolled them Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 10
Executive summary Contribution amounts Direct contributions How much is going into members’ pension pots? There is a high degree of volatility in Nest members have the option to pay Under the auto enrolment legislation, contributions as Nest members frequently additional money into their pot via their a minimum rate of combined move jobs, or move in and out of periods online account, outside of normal contributions from the employer and of contributing to their pot. Members who payroll deductions. the worker must be paid on the worker’s had contributions in every month of qualifying earnings if a worker doesn’t 2020/21 added nearly three times as much, 134k £370m opt out of, or stop saving into, their on average, to their pot compared to pension pot. members who had contributions in 11 or fewer months of the year. Contribution rates Number of Total value of members over direct member £1,467 8% Most employers and members make Small and micro-sized firms tend to contributions into pension pots at the stick at the minimum rates, whereas life of the scheme contributions minimum contribution rates – 3% for larger firms are more likely to contribute who have made employers, with the remaining 5% to more than the minimum. Some Mean value of Increase in mean at least one reach the total minimum of 8% coming members contribute more too, and it pot contributions contribution direct payment from members and tax relief. appears they may do so where their for members amounts for into their pot employer offers a matching scheme. who contributed 2020/21, compared continuously in with 2019/20 85% 89% 13% 2020/21 of Nest employers of Nest members of employers contribute more contribute the contribute 5% than the minimum 3% to their minimum 3% (including tax workers’ pension pots of qualifying relief) of qualifying earnings to their earnings to workers’ pots their pot Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 11
Executive summary How much is accumulating in members’ pots? Nest has been serving employers However, since total minimum Member pot balances by and workers for 10 years. Nest members’ contribution rates were raised employer size pot values are small compared with to 8% in 2019, pot balances for workplace pension schemes that members who actively and Median pot balances are highest have been serving the market for regularly contribute to their Nest for members working for employers much longer. pot are increasing more rapidly. with fewer than 50 employees. This may be because smaller employers have higher contribution Average pot balances Gender pension gap levels on average. £701 £1,953 15% £2,530 Median pot Median pot Gap between Median pot balance for active balance for all balance for median pot balance members whose employer has Nest members as active Nest for women and 5 to 49 workers at 31 March 2021 members as at median balance 31 March 2021 for men in 2020/21 – essentially the same as in 2019/20 £1,379 43% 9% Median pot balance for active members whose employer has of Nest members of Nest members 5,000 or more workers had a pot had a pot balance of £500 balance of £5,000 or less as at or more as at 31 March 2021 31 March 2021 Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 12
Executive summary When and how do members expect to retire? The concept of retirement is changing, with people increasingly delaying retirement and working in retirement, with some seeing it as a positive to continue working for a variety of reasons, not all of them financial. Expected retirement age Working patterns in retirement Many Nest members expect to delay their People often change their working retirement beyond their State Pension age. patterns in the later years of their working life, for example, changing 44% 55% from full-time work to part-time work, particularly starting around age 55. of Nest members of Nest members 40 and older expect to delay 60 and older expect to delay 26% retirement retirement of women 60 and older work for their employer part-time Reasons to continue working 40% 24% 12% of Nest members of Nest members of men 60 and older work for 60 and older 60 and older their employer part-time say the reason say the reason they would they would continue working continue working in retirement is in retirement because they is so they don’t feel ready could pay for to stop working essential items Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 13
Executive summary Transfers in and out of Nest Since April 2017 Nest has enabled members to transfer pension savings to and from other UK-based registered schemes. Value of transfers out Timing of transfers out Transfers in Nest members, like members of any defined Members are, in the main, passive with Nest also allows members to contribution (DC) pension scheme in the UK, have respect to their pension saving, with transfer in funds from pension pots the right to transfer the value of their pension many waiting several months between they have at other schemes. This pot into another qualifying scheme at any time their final contribution to their Nest pot service enables Nest’s members to and, from age 55, to access their pot as cash. and their request to transfer money out. consolidate their pots, if they so wish. £1,800 11% 95k Mean value of of Nest members request to Nest members have transferred transfers out of transfer out within two months balances in to Nest as at Nest for 2020/21 of their last contribution 31 March 2021 £3,200 70% 90% Mean value of of Nest members request to Increase in transfers compared transfers out transfer out more than six months with 31 March 2020 of Nest among after their last contribution members 56 and older £5,200 Mean value of transfers in to Nest for 2020/21 Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 14
The UK’s auto enrolment system The UK government introduced workplace pensions auto enrolment in October 2012. Under the legislation, workers must be Workers can receive tax relief from the automatically enrolled in a workplace government on their contributions, so that pension if they earn salary from an a gross contribution of 5% made by the employer equivalent to £10,000 or more a employee currently involves a net year, though workers can ask to be contribution of 4% for most people. enrolled by their employer if they earn less. Workers can opt out of auto enrolment Employers may also choose to enrol those within one month of being enrolled. They earning less as a worker benefit. Larger can also stop contributions at any time. employers were brought into the However, they can’t usually access the programme first, with employers of all sizes money in their pension pot until they participating by February 2018. reach age 55. Employers make mandatory minimum To learn more, see Essentials of the UK contributions each pay period into a retirement system defined contribution (DC) pension scheme based on the worker’s eligible earnings, with the worker making contributions to reach a mandatory minimum total contribution. The level of minimum mandatory contributions was increased in phases, starting with 2% of qualifying earnings with at least 1% contributed by the employer, rising in April 2018 to 5% with at least 2% contributed by the employer and rising again in April 2019 to 8% with at least 3% contributed by the employer. Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 15
Chapter 1 Introduction This is the latest of Nest Insight’s annual reports exploring data from the Nest workplace pension scheme, one of the This data allows us to tell largest pension schemes in the UK by membership. the story of not only how employers and members are interacting with the Nest scheme, but also how Nest sits With the ‘Retirement saving in the UK’ This year, in addition to analysing Nest Key phrases within the wider landscape of series we aim to understand the scheme data, we have included auto enrolment and the UK experience of both workers and employers comparative national data from sources Auto enrolment labour market. in the UK’s auto enrolment system for such as the Office for National Statistics All eligible jobholders in the UK workplace pensions. The series follows on (ONS). We have also drawn on Nest’s own are automatically enrolled by from two previous reports, published surveys of members and the employers their employer into a workplace under the ‘How the UK saves’ banner, choosing the scheme for their workers to pension scheme as a default for which we produced in partnership with better understand savers’ situation, retirement saving Vanguard Asset Management. behaviour, attitudes and expectations. Pension pot As with the ‘How the UK saves’ Our aim is to provide a more rounded view publications and ‘Retirement saving in the of pension saving than in previous years’ Retirement savings accumulated UK 2020’1 , which was published in February reports. This additional data allows us to in a UK defined contribution 2021, in this report we share and analyse tell the story of not only how employers (DC) workplace pension scheme employer, enrolment and member data and members are interacting with the Nest like Nest from Nest’s most recent financial year, in scheme, but also how Nest sits within the this case covering the period from 1 April wider landscape of auto enrolment and Financial year 2020 to 31 March 2021. the UK labour market. Wherever years are mentioned, Some tables and figures in this report show they refer to Nest’s fiscal year, only information for the preceding 12 which runs from 1 April to 31 March months ending 31 March 2021. Others show cumulative activity since the inception of auto enrolment in 2012. Still others show snapshot data at the end of each financial year to provide a sense for how the auto enrolment system has matured over time. 1 nestinsight.org.uk/research-projects/retirement- saving-in-the-uk Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 16
Introduction Businesses which were unable to trade due The ongoing to the restrictions were also offered impact of Covid-19 business rates relief, business interruption loan support and a one-off ‘restart’ cash Any analysis of people’s saving in 2020/21 grant to help finance the costs of must begin by acknowledging that the reopening safely when some restrictions financial year was dominated by the were lifted. Small businesses could also global coronavirus pandemic. Restrictions apply for up to £50,000 in immediate put in place to slow the spread of the virus, finance, with no payments due in the first including lockdowns, business closures and 12 months, through the Bounce Back Loan social distancing, led to a sharp decline in Scheme. The government also paid economic activity, with the UK’s gross statutory sick pay for any employees on domestic product (GDP) falling 9.9% sick leave due to Covid-19. between January and December 2020. 2 This was more than twice the fall recorded As we discussed in ‘Retirement saving in during 2009, at the height of the global the UK 2020’ and Nest Insight’s series of financial crisis, and the largest fall since the blogs on the pandemic’s impact4 , the ONS began collecting modern GDP interventions put in place by the data in 1955. government helped to shore up jobs and ensured continuity of saving among Nest To offset the impact of pandemic members. From 1 April 2020 through to restrictions, the UK government introduced 31 March 2021, Nest’s membership a range of measures aimed at stabilising volumes and pension contribution the UK labour market and preventing amounts remained stable. widespread business failures. For example, under the Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (CJRS), many workers in the UK were furloughed from their jobs while receiving at least 80% of their salary, with the government reimbursing 80% of the wage bill to employers making claims. At its peak, on 8 May 2020, businesses made claims for 8.9 million jobs on furlough. 3 2 Office for National Statistics (ONS), ‘Coronavirus and the impact on output in the UK economy: December 2020’ (12 February 2021), ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/articles/ coronavirusandtheimpactonoutputintheukeconomy/ december2020 3 HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC), ‘Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme statistics: March 2021’ (25 March 2021), gov.uk/government/statistics/coronavirus-job-retention- scheme-statistics-march-2021/coronavirus-job-retention- scheme-statistics-march-2021 4 nestinsight.org.uk/impact-of-covid-19-blog-series Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 17
Introduction Figure 1. Timeline of coronavirus pandemic and government economic support programmes Number of 4 May 2020 8 May 2020 workers Bounce Back Loan 8.9 million workers’ wages furloughed Scheme opens are claimed through CJRS Coronavirus Job Retention – peak number of claims Scheme (CJRS) 12 June 2020 Looking back to 1 March 2020, Nest member 22 February 2021 8 March 2021 employers can claim for 80% survey starts Roadmap announced Schools re-open of wage costs up to £2,500 per 8 million 3 April 2020 (through 23 June) month for each worker put on for easing lockdown Nest member Coronavirus Large restrictions in England survey starts furlough. The government also Business Interruption (through 23 March) pays the employer’s National Loan Scheme opens Insurance (NI) contributions and 1 June 2020 2 December 2020 4 December 2020 4 January 2021 3% minimum auto enrolment National lockdown National lockdown Nest member survey starts Third national lockdown begins pension contributions for restrictions gradually restrictions lifted (through 15 December) in England 19 March 2021 furloughed workers. Claims must lifted Restart Grant 6 million 23 March 2020 New national lockdowns begin be made by the 14th day of the in Northern Ireland and Scotland Scheme launches First national lockdown month following the payroll begins in England, 5 November 2020 month. Employers can ‘top up’ Wales, Scotland and Second national wages above 80% at their own Northern Ireland lockdown begins in expense. Starting in July 2020, Coronavirus Business 1 July 2020 England under ‘flexible furloughing’ Interruption Loan CJRS introduces 11 March 2020 Scheme opens ‘flexible’ furloughing employers could bring World Health furloughed workers back to 4 million 11 September 2020 28 February 2021 Organisation work part-time and claim for the (WHO) Nest member survey starts 38.5 million people in UK have (through 30 September) received one dose of a wage costs of hours not worked. declares global 8 December 2020 21 December 2020 Covid-19 vaccine and 1.5 million pandemic First Covid-19 vaccine New national lockdown have received both doses dose given begins in Wales Sources: HM Revenue & Customs, ‘Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme statistics’ (July 2021), gov.uk/government/statistics/ coronavirus-job-retention-scheme-statistics-1-july-2021/ 18 March 2020 coronavirus-job-retention-scheme-statistics-1-july-2021, Public 2 million Business rates Health England, ‘Vaccinations in the UK’ (July 2021), holiday for 31 March 2021 coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations, Department for 2020/21 59.1 million people in UK have received one dose of a Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy, Ministry of Housing, Communities & Local Government, and HM Revenue & announced Covid-19 vaccine and 8.6 million have received both doses 20 March 2020 Customs, ‘Financial support for business during coronavirus Coronavirus Job Cumulative claims to CJRS total £57.7 billion (Covid-19)’ (April 2021), gov.uk/government/collections/ financial-support-for-businesses-during-coronavirus-covid-19 Retention Scheme Bounce Back Loan Scheme, Coronavirus Business (CJRS) launches Interruption Loan Scheme and Coronavirus Large For more information about the UK government’s business loan Business Interruption Loan Scheme close schemes and other economic support programmes, see gov.uk/government/collections/financial-support-for- 0 Recovery Loan Scheme opens businesses-during-coronavirus-covid-19 Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 18
Introduction furloughed. This might reflect some non-essential The significant impact of the CJRS on the financial Members’ views on the businesses bringing workers back into part-time or wellbeing of Nest’s membership is perhaps most evident in economic downturn full-time work as they prepared to reopen in April 2021 as the stable proportion of members reporting that they were part of the government’s roadmap to easing restrictions. currently unemployed at the time of each survey. In both While we have seen minimal impact on pension June 2020 and March 2021, 6% of members said they contributions during the pandemic, Nest’s surveys of Among Nest members, there was little difference in the were unemployed. members over the past year indicate that the Covid-19 proportion of men and women who reported being crisis has indeed affected people’s finances. 5 It’s important furloughed by their employer. However, age does appear Of course, people’s employment status is only one aspect to keep in mind, however, that member surveys only to have been a factor. In June 2020 one quarter of of their financial wellbeing. In 2020/21 Nest also surveyed provide information at the snapshot in time during which members aged under 30 said they were furloughed, and members about how they felt the pandemic was affecting they were conducted. Given the evolving nature of the in March 2021 these younger workers continued to be their finances. The June 2020 survey asked members about pandemic and vaccination campaigns, as well as slightly more likely to be furloughed than members aged their expectations for the future while subsequent surveys uncertainties about the length of time it will take for the 30 or older. In addition, high-earning members were also asked how the pandemic was already economy to fully recover, the survey data presented in this substantially less likely than low-earning members to be impacting them. report offer limited insights into the longer-term financial furloughed. In June 2020, 8% of those earning £40,000 or impact of the pandemic on members. more annually were furloughed, compared with 19% of those earning less than £20,000 per year. As can be seen in Figure 2, the proportion of Nest members reporting that they had been furloughed varied over the course of the year, mirroring different phases of Figure 2. Nest members who reported being furloughed restrictions and the overall claims made to the CJRS. 24% In the June 2020 survey, conducted shortly after the first national lockdown of England was lifted, close to one fifth (17%) of Nest members said they were then currently furloughed. By September 2020, after a summer largely 18% free of lockdown restrictions, this figure had dropped 17% 16% substantially, to 4%. In December 2020, near the end of the 15% 14% 14% second national lockdown of England and extensive 13% 13% 13% restrictions in other parts of the UK, it had risen again, with 11% 11% 14% of members saying they were then furloughed. A third 10% national lockdown began in January 2021, with a phased easing of restrictions from 8 March 2021 into summer 2021. 7% 7% Finally, in the most recent survey at the time of publication, 5% conducted in March 2021, 10% of members said they were 4% 4% 4% 3% June 2020 September 2020 December 2020 March 2021 5 In 2020/21 Nest surveyed members quarterly, including the larger annual survey in December, with surveys in field 12 to 23 June 2020 (1,737 total respondents), 11 to 30 September 2020 (1,434 respondents), 4 to 15 December 2020 (7,116 respondents) Total Under 30 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 and older and 8 to 23 March 2021 (2,297 respondents). Unless otherwise noted, all survey data reported in this report are from these member surveys. Source: Nest member surveys, 2020/21, all respondents. Question: Which of the following best describes your employment status? Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 19
Introduction In June 2020 almost one quarter (23%) of members said By March 2021 there had been a slight reduction in the The proportion of members reporting that the pandemic they believed the pandemic would have a significant proportion of members thinking the pandemic would have was already having a negative impact on their finances long-term impact on their finances. Another quarter (24%) either a significant long-term or a significant temporary peaked in December 2020 at almost half (47%), as shown believed the impact would be significant but temporary. negative impact, with 47% of members believing this in in Figure 4 (next page). In contrast, in Nest’s last member As one might expect, those who were currently furloughed June 2020, compared with 41% in March 2021 (Figure 3). survey of the financial year, conducted in March 2021, 37% or unemployed were more likely to believe the pandemic of members said the pandemic was having a negative would have a significant long-term impact – 38% of those impact on them. furloughed and 51% of those unemployed said this. Throughout the year, however, some members reported that the pandemic was having either no financial impact Figure 3. Nest members’ views on how the pandemic will affect their personal finances in the future on them or was actually making them better off financially. By March 2021, just over one quarter (27%) said they’d 28% experienced a positive impact on their finances, up from 27% 26% 26% one fifth on average in surveys conducted earlier 25% 25% in the year. 24% 23% 23% Perhaps unsurprisingly, members’ responses to this question 20% 20% were correlated with their income. Those earning £40,000 or 19% more per year were significantly more likely to say the 17% pandemic was having a positive impact on their finances 16% 16% (36%) compared with those earning less than £20,000, who 15% 14% 14% were more likely to say it was having a negative impact (41%). Yet, even among lower earners, around one fifth felt the 11% 11% pandemic was having a positive impact on their finances. Although we haven’t yet observed any significant change in Nest’s membership or contribution volumes during the pandemic, this survey data suggests that the scheme’s members have felt the sharp reduction in economic activity in 2020/21. Significant numbers of Nest members have been furloughed. June 2020 September 2020 December 2020 March 2021 Younger members have been disproportionately affected. Many have felt a financial impact, with more feeling a It will affect my finances It will affect my finances It will affect my It won’t impact Don’t know negative impact than a positive one. What this will mean in a great deal over a a great deal but only finances a little. my finances. the longer term remains to be seen. However, Nest’s survey long period of time. temporarily. data suggests that around one quarter of the scheme’s Source: Nest member surveys, 2020/21, all respondents. Question: And looking ahead, how do you feel the Covid-19 outbreak will affect your personal finances, if at all? membership expect a long-term negative impact on their finances as a consequence of the pandemic. Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 20
Introduction Figure 4. Nest members’ views on how the pandemic was currently affecting their personal finances A story of continuity For ‘Retirement saving in the UK 2020’ we Nest’s scheme and survey data 27% extended our reporting period to include suggest that auto enrolment data from 1 April 2020 through to 30 24% September 2020 in order to consider will help to improve many 22% 21% preliminary findings about the pandemic’s people’s retirement outcomes 20% 20% 19% 19% impact on pension saving. Here we over the long term. 18% consider full-year evidence for 2020/21. 15% 15% 15% Despite the uncertainties and concerns 14% expressed by Nest members in surveys, 12% 11% pension saving has continued. In the final 10% 9% six months of the financial year, very little 8% changed in the government’s policies for mitigating the impact of the pandemic and Nest members continued to save as they had before. For these reasons, we have not elaborated further in this September 2020 December 2020 March 2021 report on the effect of the pandemic or the economic downturn on Nest’s It has had a significant It had a limited It has had no impact. employers and members except where positive impact. negative impact. it is especially pertinent. It has had a limited It has had a significant Don’t know positive impact. negative impact. Instead, in ‘Retirement saving in the UK in order): 2021’, we’ve taken the opportunity to Source: Nest member surveys, 2020/21, all respondents. Question: And looking ahead, how do you feel the Covid-19 outbreak will paint a fuller portrait of Nest’s affect your personal finances, if at all? Numbers may not total 100% due to rounding. membership and reflect on the success of the UK’s auto enrolment system in creating a new generation of pension savers who appear to continue to save in the face of short-term financial shocks. The contribution profiles and member behaviour in evidence in Nest’s scheme and survey data suggest that auto enrolment will help to improve many people’s pension saving and retirement outcomes over the long term. Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 21
Chapter 2 Nest employees and enrolments Nest was created so that every employer in the UK, whether Those large firms which did choose Nest as their pension provider during the early years large or small, had access to a workplace pension scheme of auto enrolment often did not enrol all of that could be used to fulfil their auto enrolment duties. their workers in Nest. This was in part due to restrictions placed on the total volume of annual contributions that could be paid into Nest members’ pots. These restrictions had been stipulated in the legislation creating Nest to prevent Nest from gaining a It was considered essential that a pension competitive advantage in the pensions Key phrases provider with a public service obligation Growth in employer market. As a consequence, larger employers Large employers was available from the first moment that participation with high-earning individuals on a more large employers, and the significant generous pension arrangement were unable 250 or more employees volume of new pension savers employed When auto enrolment was introduced, to use Nest for their entire workforce. by them, began to be brought into the every UK employer which was operating in Medium-sized employers April 2012 was allocated a date between Removal of the restrictions on Nest’s system in October 2012. 6 And hundreds of 50 to 249 employees October 2012 and February 2018 by which annual member contribution limit was thousands of workers have been enrolled they were required to fulfil their duties to approved by the government in 2014, with Small and micro employers in Nest by large employers. Yet as at 31 enrol their workers in a pension scheme. the restrictions fully lifted in April 2017, March 2021, the overwhelmingly majority 1 to 49 employees Larger employers were brought into the when small and micro employers were of employers using Nest were small or system first, with medium-sized and then being brought into the auto enrolment micro-sized, with fewer than 50 workers. small and micro employers following them. system. These smaller employers were far This process of bringing employers into the less likely to have an existing pension auto enrolment system was called ‘staging’. provision for their workers and most, it was believed, would be seeking a scheme for Due to this staged approach, the number all their workers. of employers using Nest was initially low. This was largely in line with expectations, An estimated 98% of UK employers are The overwhelming majority since many larger corporations already small or micro-sized.7 So it’s not surprising had a workplace pension scheme in place that from January 2016, when smaller firms of employers using Nest are began to be staged into auto enrolment, for at least some of their workers. To fulfil small or micro-sized. auto enrolment duties, it was deemed the volume of employers using Nest more likely that these large employers quadrupled within the year. would open up their existing scheme to all their workers, who were now required to be automatically enrolled in a pension. 7 ONS, ‘Employers enterprises by size and broad industry’ (9 April 2021), ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/business/ 6 Nest Insight, ‘Pension reforms in the UK: 1997 to 2015’ (2020), activitysizeandlocation/adhocs/13112employersenterprises nestinsight.org.uk/uk-pension-reforms bysizeandbroadindustry Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 22
Nest employees and enrolments in order): Figure 5. Employers registered with Nest, year by year Nest does have a slight under- Employer characteristics representation of medium-sized When employers register with Nest, they’re employers, possibly as a result of these 104k employers being more likely to use one asked to provide information about the 80k size of their payroll. However, Nest does scheme for all of their workers compared 867k not require that employers update this to large employers, which may combine 47k 791k Nest with legacy arrangements provided data. So, although we expect that 19k 713k to some of their workers before the employers will grow and employ more workers over time, the employer size data introduction of auto enrolment. 613k available to us reflects snapshots taken at many different points in time, from when 6k each employer joined Nest. 326k Setting aside these data limitations, it appears that the distribution by size of employers using Nest broadly mirrors the 1k distribution seen across the entirety of the 5k 14k 85k UK labour market, as seen in Table 1. 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 Table 1. Size of employers using Nest as at 31 March 2021 Active employers Inactive employers Employer size Nest employers All UK employers 1 to 49 employees 98.2% 97.8% Growth in employer volumes has continued have had the desired effect of preventing since then, but at a slower pace, with mass business closures. In fact, the number 50 to 249 employees 1.46% 1.73% around 971,000 employers having of employers newly setting up to use Nest registered with Nest at some point by as their pension provider increased 250 to 499 employees 0.14% 0.21% 31 March 2021 (Figure 5). This total during 2020/21. represented an 11% increase over the 500 to 999 employees 0.08% 0.11% In addition, the proportion of businesses 2020/21 financial year. Of these, around 1,000 to 4,999 employees 0.08% 0.09% becoming inactive – for example, because 867,000 employers had an active Nest they ceased operating, became insolvent account as at 31 March 2021. This is notable 5,000 or more employees 0.04% 0.03% or decided to switch to a different pension in the context of the pandemic. As noted in provider – was actually much lower than the introduction and reported in detail in Source: Nest Corporation and ONS, ‘Employers enterprises by size and broad industry’ (April 2021), ons.gov.uk/ one might expect in such a challenging businessindustryandtrade/business/activitysizeandlocation/adhocs/13112employersenterprisesbysizeandbroadindustry. ONS data ‘Retirement saving in the UK 2020’8 , it is as at March 2020. Numbers may not total 100% due to rounding. business environment. The number of appears that the interventions made by inactive employers grew by only 30% over the government to secure the economy 2020/21, compared with 70% over 2019/20. 8 nestinsight.org.uk/research-projects/retirement- saving-in-the-uk Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 23
Nest employees and enrolments The proportion of enrolments that are Growth in enrolments currently active has plateaued since the The number of enrolments in the Nest end of the staging period. As at 31 March scheme naturally increased as employers 2018, soon after the end of the staging were staged into the auto enrolment period in February of that year, Nest had system. But unlike with the number of around 3.9 million current enrolments.9 As employers using Nest, there was no striking at 31 March 2021 Nest’s current enrolments acceleration in enrolment volumes at any had only risen to around 4.5 million. Over point between October 2012 and February the same period the number of previous 2018. The staged approach resulted in enrolments rose from 3.8 million to just Key phrases enrolment volumes being much more over 9 million individual events. Current enrolments Exiters evenly distributed, as Figure 6 (next As workers change employers over the page) shows. Employed workers who have Workers enrolled in Nest whose course of their lives, there is an increasing chance that they will at some point be been enrolled in Nest by their account has been closed. This As at 31 March 2021 almost 15 million current employer, or who are may happen either because they enrolments had been made into Nest, an enrolled in Nest. We expect the growth in previous enrolments to exceed that of self-employed and have enrolled have retired and taken a lump increase of around 15% compared with 31 current enrolments in the coming years. themselves in Nest. Workers sum or cash payment or series of March 2020. Despite the significant slowdown in economic activity due to the may be enrolled in Nest multiple payments until their pot balance is pandemic, this increase is not much times through subsequent or zero, transferred their money out of different from the increase between 31 simultaneous employments. Nest into another pension scheme March 2019 and 31 March 2020, the first or died and their pot has been Previous enrolments financial year after staging was claimed by a beneficiary. completed. Then, enrolments increased by Workers enrolled in Nest who around 22%. This suggests that the labour have not retired, died or opted Opt-outs market remained active throughout out but have either chosen to stop Workers enrolled in Nest who 2020/21, with workers taking or moving contributing to their Nest pension choose, within one calendar jobs and being enrolled, or enrolled again, pot, left their employer using Nest month of their enrolment, not to in Nest in significant numbers. or been moved to another pension make contributions into their Nest provider by their employer while pension pot. leaving their legacy pot at Nest. Workers enrolled in Nest more than once are counted for each enrolment they’ve had. 9 Current enrolment counts are approximately equal to active member counts but members active in more than one job at the same time will be counted more than once in the current enrolment total. Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 24
Nest employees and enrolments Figure 6. Status of cumulative enrolments in Nest, year by year Over time we expect the proportion of Returning members returning members being enrolled each Nest operates a ‘one member, one pot’ month to continue to grow, with around 14.8m model, which means that whenever a half of all enrolments in 2025/26 predicted worker is enrolled in Nest, the scheme to be of returning members. By 2035/36 12.9m checks whether their identifying information this proportion is expected to be matches an existing account and merges approaching 60%, the level where we the accounts of any worker who has been estimate a natural plateau will emerge. 10.6m enrolled in Nest through a prior employment. This analysis only includes information on 8.3m Figure 7 shows that the proportion of matched returners where a match can be made with a enrolments has increased over time. As at 31 Nest account. It does not include individuals March 2018, around the end of the staging who opt out of Nest each time they’re 5.6m period, about 30% of enrolments in Nest enrolled. We therefore presume that the were returning members. As at 31 March number of enrolments made each month 3.6m 2021 this proportion had increased to 38%. where the individual is being re-enrolled in Nest is higher than this data suggests. 2.3m 1.1m Figure 7. Percentage of enrolments where the worker already has a Nest account 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 80% 70% Enrolment events Current Previous Opted out Exited 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2013 2018 2023 2028 2033 2038 2043 2048 2053 2058 Actual Forecast Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 25
Nest employees and enrolments Some employers, particularly large Among micro firms employing four or Of course, the volume of current enrolments Enrolments by employer size businesses employing 1,000 or more fewer workers, there is very little difference in Nest over the life of the scheme to date We have shown that Nest is used by workers, may have initially used Nest for between the initial worker enrolments also does not include any workers who employers of all sizes in a very similar only a subset of employees, as described made into Nest and the mean number of have opted out of their workplace pension. distribution as is seen in the overall UK on page 22. Table 2 shows the mean workers at UK employers of this size. We But opt-outs alone cannot explain the gap labour market (see Table 1 on page 23). number of enrolments by employer size for deduce from this that micro employers are even among small and medium-sized However, it is known that for some larger two points in time: the first month during more likely to adopt Nest as the scheme employers, where current enrolments stand employers Nest will not be the only which the employer started to enrol for their entire workforce. This is not at around 54% to 58% of the ONS’s mean pension scheme that they operate. workers in Nest and current enrolments surprising as employers of this size may employment figures. across 2020/21. We compare these initial have just one individual responsible for the To more fully understand the employers It appears that across all UK firms other than and current enrolment metrics for administration of their business operations, which Nest serves we consider the the very smallest, Nest is only one part of an employers against the most recently including enrolling workers into a pension. number of enrolments that employers employer’s workplace pension offering. available mean number of workers Simplicity in administration may be a have made into Nest relative to their employed by UK businesses reporting the significant factor for them. The fact that the mean number of current reported number of workers. same overall number of workers. enrolments over the life of the scheme is Among employers with five or more larger than initial enrolments for all firms, workers, however, current mean regardless of size, may indicate enrolments are lower than the mean Table 2. Mean enrolments by employer size employer growth. Some of the very number of workers employed at UK largest employers using Nest have been businesses of the same size. Partly this may Employer size Mean initial Mean current Mean number using the scheme since they were first be due to differences in the populations enrolments in enrolments in of workers staged into auto enrolment in 2012/13. being compared. The Office for National Nest* Nest* employed by Alternatively, this difference may be due to Statistics (ONS) analysis of employer size UK businesses a change in how employers use Nest to includes all workers employed by the fulfil their obligations under auto 1 to 49 employees 6 7 12 business, not just those workers who are enrolment. Some employers using the eligible for auto enrolment. Evidence from 50 to 249 employees 41 56 99 scheme may have increased the the Labour Force Survey, a representative proportion of their workers enrolled in sample of households across the UK, 250 to 499 employees 105 189 345 Nest as their default workplace pension. suggests that approximately 82% of all UK 500 to 999 employees 167 369 689 employees are eligible for auto enrolment.10 1,000 to 4,999 employees 312 746 2,117 5,000 or more employees 679 2,599 12,924 * Mean initial enrolments are calculated from all enrolments made in the first three months following each employer’s staging date. Mean current enrolments in Nest are as at 31 March 2021. Mean number of workers employed are as at March 2020, the most recent March data available. Source: Nest Corporation and ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/business/activitysizeandlocation/adhocs/13112employersenter prisesbysizeandbroadindustry 10 Nest Insight analysis of Labour Force Survey, January to March 2021 Nest Insight | Retirement saving in the UK 2021 26
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