Research and insights into housing demand - Based on consumer research undertaken by Behaviour & Attitudes - IBEC
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Research and insights into housing demand Based on consumer research undertaken by Behaviour & Attitudes May 2021
Summary – outlook for housing demand The research findings Our take-aways • 15% plan to buy a home in the next two years but 33% • At population level, this represents substantial levels of would like to do be able to do so frustrated demand for housing i.e. numbers planning to buy well in excess of expected housing build / transactions • 31% think they will buy between 3-10 years time. • Short-term demand for housing double level of expectation • 51% of 18-34 yr olds think it will be 3-10 years. of actually buying • The main reason for not purchasing is that people • Aspiring buyers expect it will be a significant period before don’t want to move away from family and friends they can buy (26%) • Supply of housing in right areas key challenge for the market • 16% of respondents believe that they will not be able and points to planning and housing density challenges to borrow sufficient funds from a bank • Affordability and bank lending constraints remain significant barriers to home purchase aspirations – nearly one-third of renters see mortgage approval as a barrier
Summary – views on Government measures to support housing affordability and supply The research findings Our take-aways • 82% believe Government should introduce additional • Vast majority of the population want to see more policy measures to improve the supply of affordable housing. measures to address housing availability • Respondents would like to see an increase supply of • A broad range of solutions are required to address affordable housing, affordable home purchase loans, affordability and supply increased supply of zoned land, reform of the existing mortgage rules, a fast-planning system and planning • Affordability remains the main consideration in home system reform. purchase decision • Younger age groups, singles, renters and those living in • Strong support for shared equity scheme to address housing the family home would all like to see an increase in affordability – 3 out of 4 expressing an opinion favoured the the supply of affordable housing. scheme • 56% are in favour of the shared equity scheme, with • Support for shared equity stronger amongst renters and 33% expressing some interest in availing of such a those planning to buy within 5 years scheme. • Interest in a shared equity scheme is higher in some sub-groups such as those aged 18-34 yrs, renters, and those planning to move within 5 years, amongst others.
Summary – Impact of Covid on housing demand The research findings Our take-aways • Covid 19 has resulted in an increased • Covid has increased demand for policy makers to address importance of having a garden/outdoor space broad range of quality of life issues (65%). • Increased public investment in parks / amenities and other facilities more important • Living close to decent facilities and amenities has become more important (46%) • Desire to move away from urban areas has significant implications for future of work and spatial planning issues – • Two-thirds agreed that since COVID having demand trends raising potential conflict with Ireland 2040 extra space to use as a home office has become strategy more important. • Demand for extra space in homes likely to put further • Over 50% of younger age cohorts would pressure on capacity of building industry at a time when consider moving to rural areas for housing and building new homes and retrofit agenda are policy priorities quality of life factors
Ibec Housing Survey Prepared by May 2021 Ian McShane Prepared by Ian McShane 5 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Objectives ● Ibec identified a need for an independent survey of Irish Adults’ views and opinions of the Irish Housing market. ● Covering a range of related topics, including: ❖ Likelihood and desire to purchase a home in the future ❖ Home type preference ❖ Barriers to home purchase ❖ Home purchase decision factors ❖ Housing affordability solution preferences ❖ Attitudes towards shared equity scheme ❖ Impact of Covid -19 on housing considerations 7 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Methodology • A national online sample of adults aged 18+ was surveyed, representative of the Irish population of 3.71m adults aged 18 years + Online Survey Quota Controls Interviewing was completed by members of B&A’s Online Based on CSO Census 2016 Acumen Panel. This panel is figures for gender, age, regularly refreshed, while region and area, as well as strict quality controls are in AIMRO agreed figures for Sample Size place on all surveys social class. 760 Adults submitted. Aged 18+ Core sample of 459 adults 18 yrs+ plus additional booster of Weights 301 next 5 year home Corrective weighting was applied by purchasers. gender, age and socio economic status Fieldwork Dates to ensure a fully representative sample. The booster sample of future purchasers 16th – 27th April, 2021 was also down-weighted to their correct proportions within the total sample of 760 respondents 8 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Likelihood of purchasing a home in the future x Age Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Age Statistically higher Total 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 760 269 297 114 80 % % % % % 12 months 6 3 2 1 8 8 2 8 6 9 2 years 10 13 12 17 3 – 5 years 9 26 20 6 – 10 years 14 11 81 25 51 Unlikely to purchase a home in 43 33 Ireland 23 15 17 Don’t know 12 9 8 The research reveals an estimated 15% of all adults who are intending to purchase a home within the next two years. Based on the total population of *3.71m adults aged 18 years+, this equates to an estimated 550,000 individual purchasers. Note, these figures include both first time buyers and those intending to move to a different home over the next couple of years. 18- 34 year olds (44%) and 35 to 49 year olds (41%) are most likely of all to purchase a home within the next five years. *Most recent Central Statistics Office (CSO) estimates 10 Q.2 And do you feel you are likely to purchase a home/a different home in Ireland over the next ….. Tick one option J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Likelihood of purchasing a home in the future x Demographics Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Statistically higher Statistically lower Social class Region Area Lifestage Total Family Family Outside Lein- Mun- Conn/ Single - Single Pre Family Empty ABC1 C2DE F Dublin Urban Rural Pre Pre Dublin ster ster Ulster 45 45+ Family Teen Nester School Teen 760 460 295 5 262 498 162 200 136 555 205 143 54 121 147 133 53 109 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 12 months 6 8 3 7 10 4 3 3 5 7 3 8 1 14 9 4 5 2 2 years 9 14 4 8 12 8 8 9 5 12 3 9 4 14 14 14 8 3 3 – 5 years 17 25 9 - 24 14 14 14 13 21 8 17 8 34 29 21 9 6 6 – 10 years 14 17 10 24 13 14 12 14 16 14 12 32 8 9 15 13 13 6 Unlikely to purchase a 43 29 56 61 33 47 51 43 47 33 62 25 60 21 29 27 47 72 home in Ireland Don’t know 12 7 18 - 8 14 12 17 13 12 13 8 19 9 5 21 18 10 The demand for purchasing or moving home is greatest in the Dublin region, amongst those at pre-family and family pre-school lifestages, as well as within the white collar and professional working status ABC1 socio economic category. Q.2 And do you feel you are likely to purchase a home/a different home in Ireland over the next ….. Tick one option 11 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Likelihood of purchasing in the future & Desire to purchase Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Likelihood of Purchasing Home over the next …. Would like to Purchase Home over the next … 12 months Don’t know Don’t know 6 2 years 12 months 12 12 17 9 Would not like to 17 3-5 years purchase a home in 23 2 years Unlikely to purchase % % 16 a home in Ireland 43 Ireland 14 14 18 6-10 years 6-10 years 3-5 years While 15% of adults are planning to purchase a home over the next two years, more than twice that amount (33%) would actually like to purchase a home over the same period – evidence of a significant pent-up demand for housing, clearly being frustrated by lack of supply and related factors. Q.2 And do you feel you are likely to purchase a home/a different home in Ireland over the next ….. Tick one option 12 Q.3 Regardless of how likely it is to happen or not, would you like to purchase a home/a different home in the next ……. Tick one option J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Likelihood of purchasing in the future & Desire to purchase Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 50 45 43 40 35 30 23 25 17 18 20 16 14 15 17 9 14 10 6 5 0 12 months 2 years 3 – 5 years 6 – 10 years Unlikely/would not like Desire to purchase to purchase Likelihood of purchase The gap between desired and perceived likelihood of home purchase does narrow for those considering purchasing 3-10 years from now, suggesting that there is at least some hope that constraints on home ownership will ease in the medium term. Q.2 And do you feel you are likely to purchase a home/a different home in Ireland over the next ….. Tick one option 13 Q.3 Regardless of how likely it is to happen or not, would you like to purchase a home/a different home in the next ……. Tick one option J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Likelihood of purchasing in the future & Desire to purchase x Age Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Age Total 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Likelihood Desire Likelihood Desire Likelihood Desire Likelihood Desire Likelihood Desire % % % % % % % % % % 12 months 6 3 2 1 4 8 8 9 2 17 8 6 2 years 9 21 12 10 28 13 12 18 4 17 5 3 – 5 years 16 18 9 26 20 13 20 6 – 10 years 14 18 11 21 24 11 81 53 14 25 51 Unlikely to purchase a home in 43 33 15 Ireland 29 23 20 23 17 7 22 Don’t know 15 17 13 12 12 9 9 8 7 The younger the consumer, the greater the gap between their desire to purchase a home, and their perceived likelihood of being able to do so. Q.2 And do you feel you are likely to purchase a home/a different home in Ireland over the next ….. Tick one option 14 Q.3 Regardless of how likely it is to happen or not, would you like to purchase a home/a different home in the next ……. Tick one option J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Desire to purchase a home/different home in the future x Demographics Statistically higher Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Statistically lower Social class Region Area Lifestage Total Outsid Family Family Lein- Mun- Conn/ Single - Single Pre Family Empty ABC1 C2DE F Dublin e Urban Rural Pre Pre ster ster Ulster 45 45+ Family Teen Nester Dublin School Teen 760 460 295 5 262 498 162 200 136 555 205 143 54 121 147 133 53 109 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 12 months 17 22 12 8 25 14 11 16 14 22 8 25 9 32 26 14 19 4 2 years 16 19 13 - 17 15 17 14 13 19 10 10 17 20 16 18 13 16 3 – 5 years 18 24 13 35 21 18 18 20 13 20 15 25 13 19 26 27 10 10 6 – 10 years 14 14 13 24 11 15 13 15 19 14 13 27 10 12 16 12 25 3 Would not like to purchase a 23 15 32 33 14 27 31 20 33 15 40 3 38 12 11 18 28 43 home in Ireland Don’t know 12 6 17 - 13 11 11 15 7 10 15 10 13 4 4 11 4 24 Desired home ownership is again highest amongst ABC1s, urban dwellers, as well as young singles and pre/early family lifestage individuals. 15 Q.3 Regardless of how likely it is to happen or not, would you like to purchase a home/a different home in the next ……. Tick one option J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Desire to purchase a home/different home in the future x Home Status/Plans Statistically higher Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Statistically lower Home status Home Type Purchase Plans Summary Own Renting Total In my Flat/Apar Semi- Own with privately Terraced Detache Next 5 Next 6- Unlikely/ family tment/D detached outright mortgag /local house d house years 10 years DK home uplex house e authority 760 168 239 247 106 136 114 226 284 450 513 247 % % % % % % % % % % % % 12 months 17 6 9 38 23 38 24 17 9 39 31 6 2 years 16 11 16 25 10 23 30 14 10 28 24 9 3 – 5 years 18 13 21 19 24 16 19 25 15 30 26 13 6 – 10 years 14 9 16 9 29 12 7 14 16 1 17 11 Would not like to purchase a 23 44 25 5 4 8 11 18 35 1 1 41 home in Ireland Don’t know 12 17 13 4 10 3 9 12 15 1 1 20 The greatest immediate demand for housing is from within the cohort of people who are currently renting – particularly those living in apartments and duplexes. 16 Q.3 Regardless of how likely it is to happen or not, would you like to purchase a home/a different home in the next ……. Tick one option J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Current and preferred home type Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Current Home Prefer to live in if had choice % % Flat/apartment 11 Flat/apartment 7 Duplex 1 4 Duplex 1 Terraced house Terraced house 14 Semi-detached house 12 Semi-detached house 29 76 Detached house Detached house 45 While a majority of those currently living in apartments/duplexes are happy enough to remain living in these types of homes if they had the choice, the great majority of those currently in terraced or semi-detached housing would much rather live in a detached house. Q.4 Which of the following best describes your current home? 17 Q.5 And which of the following would you prefer to live in, if you had the choice? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Current home type x Demographics & Home Status/Plans Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Statistically higher Statistically lower Total Age Social class Area Lifestage Home status Purchase Plans Summary 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE F Urban Rural Single Single Pre Family Family Family Empty Own Own Rentin In my Next 5 Next Unlike -45 45+ Family Pre Pre Teen Neste outrig with g family years 6-10 ly/DK School Teen r ht mortg privat home years age ely/lo cal autho rity 760 269 297 114 80 460 295 5 555 205 143 54 121 147 133 53 109 168 239 247 106 450 513 247 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Flat/apartment 11 21 12 3 5 15 7 8 16 3 17 9 35 9 6 6 4 5 4 35 2 20 17 7 Duplex 1 3 1 - - 2 1 - 2 0 1 - 6 - 0 2 - - 1 3 1 1 2 0 Terraced house 14 16 12 17 9 15 13 - 19 3 15 17 17 12 14 12 11 9 13 21 14 19 16 12 Semi-detached house 29 30 37 16 29 32 26 26 40 8 26 21 28 42 37 17 27 25 33 26 34 31 35 24 Detached house 45 30 38 64 56 36 53 66 24 86 41 53 13 37 42 61 58 61 49 16 49 28 30 57 Of those planning to purchase a home in the next five years, 20% are currently living in a flat/apartment, 19% are living in a terraced house, with the balance split between semi-detached and detached houses. 18 Q.4 Which of the following best describes your current home? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Preferred home type x Demographics & Home Status/Plans Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Statistically higher Statistically lower Age Social class Area Lifestage Home status Home Type Purchase Plans Summary 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE F Urba Rural Single Single Pre Family Family Family Empty Own Own Renti In my Flat/A Terra Semi- Detac Next Next Unlik n -45 45+ Family Pre Pre Teen Nester outrig with ng family partm ced detac hed 5 6-10 ely/ School Teen ht mortg privat home ent/D house hed house years years DK Total age ely/lo uplex house cal autho rity 760 269 297 114 80 460 295 5 555 205 143 54 121 147 133 53 109 168 239 247 106 136 114 226 284 450 513 247 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Flat/apartment 7 11 3 6 9 7 7 - 8 5 10 11 8 3 5 4 7 7 2 9 13 15 13 4 5 6 7 7 Duplex 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 0 0 1 3 - 1 1 - - 1 2 1 3 1 - 0 2 1 0 Terraced house 4 6 3 4 5 5 4 - 5 3 6 5 4 3 6 1 4 2 4 7 6 6 15 1 2 5 5 4 Semi-detached 12 13 13 7 16 15 10 - 17 3 15 16 14 11 14 7 10 10 11 19 9 23 23 19 2 17 15 10 house Detached house 76 69 81 83 71 73 79 100 69 89 69 67 71 83 75 88 79 81 82 64 72 53 47 76 91 70 72 79 Around a quarter of those currently living in apartments and terraced homes would be perfectly happy to move to a semi-detached house, although a detached home is still their ultimate desire. 19 Q.5 And which of the following would you prefer to live in, if you had the choice? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Main reason unlikely to purchase a home/different home in next 12 months Base: All Adults unlikely to buy in Next 12 months 18+ N – 599 % Don’t want to move away from friends/family where I live now 26 59% 65+ yrs, 36% rural Believe bank would not lend me the required amount 16 31% renting / 28% flat/apartment Can’t find a house I can afford in my desired area/areas 13 20% ABC1 Can’t save the required deposit 10 20% 18-34 yrs, 21% renting privately/23% in family home Not a good time to purchase until Pandemic is over 9 Could not afford the monthly repayments 6 14% in family home Afraid house prices would drop after I purchased 3 Would prefer to rent long term 1 Other 17 The single greatest barrier to purchasing or moving home in the next 12 months is a reticence to move away from friends and family in people’s current area. Other barriers of significance include a fear that the banks will not lend the required amount, an inability to purchase an affordable home in a desirable area, and difficulties in saving the required deposit. Q.6 Which one of the options below best describes why you are not likely to purchase a home/a different home 20 in Ireland in the next 12 months? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Main reason unlikely to purchase a home/different home in next 12 months x Home Status/Plans Statistically higher Base: All Adults Not Buying in Next 12 months 18+ N – 599 Statistically lower Home status Home Type Purchase Plans Summary As might be expected, Renting Own privately In my Flat/Apa Semi- potential home movers are Total Own with Terraced Detache Next 5 Next 6- Unlikely/ significantly more likely than /local family rtment/ detache outright mortgag house d house years 10 years DK First Time Buyers to identify authorit home Duplex d house e y a reticence to move away 599 143 198 179 79 99 85 183 232 347 410 189 from their current location as % % % % % % % % % % % % a barrier to purchase. In fact, Don’t want to move away from by far the greatest barriers to friends/family where I live now 26 40 34 3 7 7 12 25 35 4 11 39 purchase amongst those Believe bank would not lend hoping to do so within the me the required amount 16 14 9 31 16 28 24 18 10 20 18 15 next five years are related to Can’t find a house I can afford potential difficulties with the in my desired area/areas 13 8 18 14 13 16 18 13 11 21 20 6 banks loaning them their Can’t save the required deposit 10 2 3 21 23 17 8 12 6 17 15 5 required amounts, lack of affordable housing in the Not a good time to purchase until Pandemic is over 9 7 12 6 8 12 14 8 7 19 14 3 areas people want to live in, difficulties saving the Could not afford the monthly repayments 6 3 3 11 14 5 9 8 5 5 7 6 required deposit, as well as a belief held by some that they Afraid house prices would drop 3 3 3 2 1 2 4 3 3 6 5 0 are better off waiting until after I purchased the Pandemic is over before Would prefer to rent long term 1 - - 4 - 3 2 - 1 0 0 2 taking the plunge. Other 17 22 19 7 17 9 10 13 24 9 10 23 Q.6 Which one of the options below best describes why you are not likely to purchase a home/a different home 21 in Ireland in the next 12 months? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Reasons unlikely to purchase a home/different home in next 12 months- All Mentions Base: All Adults Not Buying in Next 12 months 18+ N – 599 Other First Mention Mention All Mentions % % % Don’t want to move away from friends/family where I live now 26 12 38 Believe bank would not lend me the required amount 16 21 38 Can’t find a house I can afford in my desired area/areas 13 25 38 Can’t save the required deposit 10 18 28 Not a good time to purchase until Pandemic is over 9 19 27 Could not afford the monthly repayments 6 16 23 Afraid house prices would drop after I purchased 3 7 10 Would prefer to rent long term 1 1 2 Other 17 21 33 Q.6 Which one of the options below best describes why you are not likely to purchase a home/a different home in Ireland in the next 12 months? 22 Q.7 And for which other reasons are you not likely to purchase a home in the next 12 months. J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Reasons unlikely to purchase a home/different home in next 12 months- Any Mention x Home Status/Plans Statistically higher Base: All Adults Not Buying in Next 12 months 18+ N – 599 Statistically lower Total Home status Home Type Purchase Plans Summary Own Own with Renting In my Flat/Apart Terraced Semi- Detached Next 5 Next 6-10 Unlikely/ outright mortgage privately/l family ment/Du house detached house years years DK ocal home plex house authority 599 143 198 179 79 99 85 183 232 347 410 189 % % % % % % % % % % % % Believe bank would not lend me 38 26 26 63 50 50 47 42 29 47 44 32 the required amount Can’t find a house I can afford in 38 29 42 41 44 46 49 40 30 54 49 28 my desired area/areas Don’t want to move away from 38 61 43 5 18 9 22 40 48 13 21 53 friends/family where I live now Can’t save the required deposit 28 7 16 57 56 47 26 29 22 33 36 20 Not a good time to purchase until 27 25 36 20 23 30 29 30 23 41 37 18 Pandemic is over Could not afford the monthly 23 10 17 33 50 29 27 24 19 15 21 24 repayments Afraid house prices would drop 10 9 15 8 2 7 14 12 8 19 17 3 after I purchased Would prefer to rent long term 2 - - 8 - 5 7 - 1 1 1 3 Other (specify) 33 51 32 12 25 15 13 25 48 16 19 45 Q.6 Which one of the options below best describes why you are not likely to purchase a home/a different home in Ireland in the next 12 months? 23 Q.7 And for which other reasons are you not likely to purchase a home in the next 12 months. J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Most important factor in choosing type of home would ideally like to live in Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 % Overall affordability 26 Close to family/friends 17 Nice/friendly neighbourhood 13 Garden/access to green space 11 Number of bedrooms/house size 9 Commuting time 4 Energy efficiency 4 Close to public transport 3 Close to schools 3 Low crime rate 3 Close to shopping 2 Close to healthcare facilities 1 Close to leisure/sports/entertainment services 1 Other 3 Based upon all adults 18 years+, we see that overall affordability, proximity to family/friends, a nice/friendly neighbourhood, access to garden/green space, and the number of bedrooms/house size are people’s top priorities in choosing the type of home they would ideally like to live in. 24 Q.8 Please select the one factor that would be the most important to you in choosing the type of home you would ideally like to live in? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Most important factor in choosing type of home would ideally like to live in x Demographics & Home Status Statistically higher Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Statistically lower Age Social class Area Lifestage Home status Home Type Renting Own Total Family Family privatel In my Flat/Ap Semi- Detach Single - Single Pre Family Empty Own with Terrace 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE F Urban Rural Pre Pre y/local family artment detache ed 45 45+ Family Teen Nester outright mortga d house School Teen authorit home /Duplex d house house ge y 760 269 297 114 80 460 295 5 555 205 143 54 121 147 133 53 109 168 239 247 106 136 114 226 284 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Overall affordability 26 34 31 23 11 25 27 39 25 28 40 20 32 27 27 27 16 16 22 34 46 32 29 21 27 Close to family/friends 17 12 13 16 30 14 19 26 15 21 9 20 10 11 15 19 26 25 18 7 12 9 12 19 19 Nice/friendly 13 15 14 8 15 13 13 - 16 8 12 13 19 19 10 12 10 10 13 14 17 14 18 19 7 neighbourhood Garden/access to green 11 7 9 15 14 7 14 - 11 11 8 22 5 12 9 13 9 13 11 11 3 4 4 13 13 space Number of 9 10 11 10 5 13 5 - 11 6 12 8 9 9 11 10 6 7 12 10 7 11 16 9 7 bedrooms/house size Commuting time 4 9 3 2 - 6 2 - 5 1 9 - 11 3 5 2 1 1 4 5 8 8 5 5 2 Energy efficiency 4 1 2 9 7 5 3 - 3 6 0 5 - 2 3 5 9 8 3 1 1 4 5 0 6 Close to public transport 3 2 1 4 6 2 4 - 4 2 1 5 4 1 1 1 6 5 2 3 1 1 3 5 3 Close to schools 3 2 6 1 - 4 2 - 4 1 2 - 1 7 8 - - 0 5 4 - 4 2 3 2 Low crime rate 3 2 3 3 3 4 2 - 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 2 4 3 3 1 4 4 2 3 Close to shopping 2 1 1 2 5 1 3 - 2 2 0 2 1 - 2 - 5 5 1 1 0 3 1 1 3 Close to healthcare 1 0 0 1 3 0 2 - 0 3 - 0 1 0 1 3 2 3 0 1 - 1 - 0 2 facilities Close to leisure/sports/entertainm 1 2 1 1 - 1 2 - 1 1 1 - 4 1 1 - 1 0 1 2 1 1 - 2 1 ent services Other 3 3 4 7 - 4 3 35 2 7 2 1 2 3 4 6 5 3 5 3 2 3 2 3 4 Home living priorities do vary somewhat across the different demographic groupings. For example, overall affordability is significantly more important to younger individuals than it is to older people. Conversely, proximity to family/friends is actually the top consideration amongst empty nesters (aged 65 years+). Meanwhile, people with young children are more concerned thanimportant Q.8 Please select the one factor that would be the most the average to youindividual in choosingabout proximity the type to would of home you schools. ideally like to live in? 25 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Factors of importance when choosing type of home would ideally like to live in – Any Mention Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 First Mention Other Mention All Mentions % % % Overall affordability 26 40 66 Nice/friendly neighbourhood 13 46 59 Garden/access to green space 11 42 53 Close to family/friends 17 29 46 Number of bedrooms/house size 9 35 44 Low crime rate 3 27 30 Energy efficiency 4 25 29 Close to public transport 3 24 27 Close to shopping 2 25 27 Commuting time 4 18 22 Close to healthcare facilities 1 18 19 Close to schools 3 11 14 Close to leisure/sports/entertainment services 1 12 13 Other 3 3 5 Q.8 Please select the one factor that would be the most important to you in choosing the type of home you would ideally like to live in? 26 Q.9 And please select 3 or 4 other factors that would also be important to you in your choice of your ideal home. J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Factors of importance when choosing type of home would ideally like to live in – Any Mention x Demographics Statistically higher Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Statistically lower Total Age Social class Area Lifestage 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE F Urban Rural Single - Single Pre Family Family Family Empty 45 45+ Family Pre Pre Teen Teen Nester School 760 269 297 114 80 460 295 5 555 205 143 54 121 147 133 53 109 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Overall affordability 66 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Close to public transport 27 31 15 28 38 25 28 35 31 18 36 48 31 7 19 20 27 Commuting time 22 41 24 11 5 32 13 34 26 15 43 5 44 24 27 13 7 Close to shopping 27 16 17 36 47 19 34 7 24 32 19 37 18 7 19 22 48 Close to family/friends 46 46 42 38 62 41 51 58 45 47 46 52 44 42 39 39 52 Close to schools 14 15 28 3 0 17 11 - 18 6 6 - 10 37 34 20 - Close to healthcare facilities 19 11 8 24 45 13 25 - 18 22 10 20 8 5 9 15 45 Close to leisure/sports/entertainment 13 17 14 9 9 16 10 - 14 10 18 12 17 14 15 14 6 services Energy efficiency 29 16 22 44 43 27 32 26 25 37 17 34 17 20 24 47 41 Low crime rate 30 28 31 32 30 30 31 31 31 29 32 32 27 30 24 24 35 Nice/friendly neighbourhood 59 62 58 51 64 58 59 61 62 53 64 65 60 66 49 54 55 Number of bedrooms/house size 44 45 51 47 27 51 38 39 43 45 43 26 39 61 52 58 36 Garden/access to green space 53 43 56 57 57 50 56 15 53 52 46 62 43 58 47 64 54 Other 5 4 6 8 2 4 5 35 3 9 4 6 2 5 6 6 5 Q.8 Please select the one factor that would be the most important to you in choosing the type of home you would ideally like to live in? 27 Q.9 And please select 3 or 4 other factors that would also be important to you in your choice of your ideal home. J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Factors of importance when choosing type of home would ideally like to live in – Any Mention x Home Status/Plans Statistically higher Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 Statistically lower Total Home status Home Type Purchase Plans Summary Own Own with Renting In my Flat/Apart Terraced Semi- Detached Next 5 Next 6-10 Unlikely/D outright mortgage privately/l family ment/Dup house detached house years years K ocal home lex house authority 760 168 239 247 106 136 114 226 284 450 513 247 % % % % % % % % % % % % Overall affordability 66 45 71 80 82 72 68 61 68 69 68 64 Close to public transport 27 33 15 31 32 39 31 29 21 28 29 25 Commuting time 22 10 24 27 38 32 26 24 17 35 33 14 Close to shopping 27 41 20 20 20 28 24 23 30 22 24 29 Close to family/friends 46 55 43 33 56 32 51 49 46 43 44 48 Close to schools 14 4 19 21 10 23 15 17 9 21 20 9 Close to healthcare facilities 19 35 11 14 11 9 24 15 23 11 12 25 Close to leisure/sports/entertainment 13 9 16 13 15 18 16 11 11 15 13 13 services Energy efficiency 29 36 29 27 15 18 26 23 37 25 25 32 Low crime rate 30 32 28 28 34 29 25 35 29 29 29 31 Nice/friendly neighbourhood 59 55 60 57 69 58 59 68 53 54 57 60 Number of bedrooms/house size 44 34 57 41 43 41 45 44 45 45 43 44 Garden/access to green space 53 55 54 55 41 44 45 58 55 45 47 58 Other 5 6 6 4 3 4 3 5 6 3 4 6 Q.8 Please select the one factor that would be the most important to you in choosing the type of home you would ideally like to live in? 28 Q.9 And please select 3 or 4 other factors that would also be important to you in your choice of your ideal home. J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
82% agree the Government should introduce additional measures to improve the supply of affordable housing Don’t know 11% No 7% 82% YES Q.10 Do you think that the Government should introduce additional measures to improve the supply of affordable 29 housing? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Most effective Government initiatives in addressing housing affordability (Ranked 1 – 6) Base: All Adults 18+ N – 760 1 2 3 4 5 6 Increase Increased supply Reform the Reform the the supply Affordable Fastrack the home of zoned and existing housing existing of serviced land to mortgage purchasing reduce the cost lending planning planning affordable housing loans of housing rules process rules 4.67 3.90 3.37 3.20 3.05 2.81 An increase in the supply of affordable housing is by far the most effective perceived solution to addressing issues around housing affordability. 30 Q.11 Which of the possible Government initiatives below do you feel would be most effective in addressing issues around housing affordability? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Most effective Government initiatives in addressing housing affordability Base: All Adults 18+ N - 760 Increased supply of zoned Increase the supply of Affordable home and serviced land to Reform the existing Fastrack the housing Reform the existing affordable housing purchasing loans reduce the cost of housing mortgage lending rules planning process planning rules % % % % % % 10 11 7 7 17 12 11 21 17 1st 48 12 23 17 16 17 21 24 23 15 2nd 16 18 24 3rd 17 14 14 22 16 4th 8 15 5th 6 23 25 18 18 6th 8 8 Mean 4.67 3.90 3.37 3.20 3.05 2.81 There is also considerable support for Government action around affordable home purchasing loans, increased supply of suitable land to reduce the cost of housing and a reform of the existing mortgage lending rules. 31 Q.11 Which of the possible Government initiatives below do you feel would be most effective in addressing issues around housing affordability? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Most effective Government initiatives in addressing housing affordability x Demographics & Home Status Statistically higher Base: All Adults 18+ N - 760 Statistically lower Age Social class Lifestage Home status Renting Own Total Family Family Own privatel In my Single - Single Pre Family Empty with 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE F Pre Pre outrigh y/local family 45 45+ Family Teen Nester mortga School Teen t authori home ge ty 760 269 297 114 80 460 295 5 143 54 121 147 133 53 109 168 239 247 106 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Increase the supply of affordable housing 48 57 43 46 42 51 44 67 63 48 53 37 44 41 46 41 38 58 67 Affordable home purchasing loans 17 14 19 20 15 16 19 7 16 22 14 21 18 13 16 17 21 17 10 Reform the existing mortgage lending rules 11 14 15 11 3 13 10 - 8 2 13 23 13 12 10 7 17 10 11 Increased supply of zoned and serviced land to 10 6 7 9 21 6 13 26 3 12 10 6 11 7 15 16 7 7 4 reduce the cost of housing Fastrack the housing planning process 7 5 8 8 9 8 7 - 2 9 8 6 9 15 5 10 9 4 3 Reform the existing planning rules 7 4 9 5 10 7 7 - 8 7 2 6 5 12 8 9 8 5 5 Individuals with young children are most likely of all to seek a reform of existing mortgage lending rules, with the over 65’s over- indexing on a desire for increased supply of serviced land to reduce the cost of housing. 32 Q.11 Which of the possible Government initiatives below do you feel would be most effective in addressing issues around housing affordability? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Attitudes towards shared equity scheme Base: All Adults 18+ N - 760 Don’t know • A small majority of Irish adults (56%) are in favour of the introduction of the proposed No Don’t know 25% shared equity scheme as a means of making the cost of homes more affordable. • There were no demographic skews in terms % 56% In favour of those in favour of the shared equity 18% YES scheme. Opposed • Those living in the family home over- indexed however on ‘Don’t knows’ at a significant level (38%). 33 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Attitudes towards shared equity scheme Base: All Adults 18+ N - 760 Statistically higher Statistically lower Total Lifestage Home Status Single - Single Pre Family Family Family Empty Own Own Renting In my 45 45+ Family Pre Pre Teen Teen Nester outright with privately family School mortgag /local home e authority 760 143 54 121 147 133 53 109 168 239 247 106 % % % % % % % % % % % % In favour of 56 50 60 42 62 63 51 59 56 60 57 45 Opposed to 18 19 17 25 23 18 17 14 18 21 16 17 Don’t know 25 31 22 33 15 19 33 27 26 19 27 38 34 Q.12 Are you in favour or opposed to such a share equity scheme as a means of making the cost of homes more affordable? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Interest in availing of the shared equity scheme in the future Base: All Adults 18+ N - 760 Statistically higher Any Interested Any Not Interested Total 33 53 Age 18-34 49 36 % 35-49 38 46 67 50-64 18 75 65+ 15 Area 47 Very interested 15 Urban 39 65 Any Rural 19 Interested Lifestage 38 Single -45 47 68 Fairly interested 33% 43 18 Single 45+ 18 42 Pre Family 42 42 Family Pre School 48 61 Family Pre Teen 43 70 Family Teen 27 Not particularly interested 21 Empty Nester 13 76 Home status 58 Own outright 10 27 Any Not Own with mortgage 29 34 Interested 53% Renting privately/local authority 60 32 In my family home 45 42 Home Type Not interested at all 32 51 Flat/Apartment/Duplex 54 64 Terraced house 44 Semi-detached house 35 44 Detached house 22 37 45 Don’t know 14 62 Purchase Plans In 2 years 49 3 – 5 years 55 40 6 – 10 years 39 42 Unlikely/DK 20 62 Around half of those planning to purchase a home within the next five years would be interested in availing of such a shared equity scheme, and this is particularly so for younger purchasers in urban areas who are either currently renting or living in their family home. 35 Q.13 How interested would you be in availing of such a Shared Equity Scheme at some stage in the future? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Impact of Covid 19 on Housing The greatest impact of Covid 19 in relation to Considerations housing needs relate to Base: All Adults 18+ N - 760 Since Covid, I have been the increased seriously considering Since Covid, having moving to a more rural importance of a Since Covid, having a Since Covid, living close extra space to use as a location where I can garden/outdoor space garden/outdoor space has to decent facilities and home office has work from home and become more important amenities has become become more enjoy a greater quality and living close to to me more important to me important to me of life decent facilities and % % % % amenities. 19 33 46 16 Agree strongly 65 20 33 38 Agree somewhat 18 36 28 Disagree somewhat 9 11 Disagree strongly 5 5 9 Don’t know 1 2 3 6 ANY Agree 93 84 65 35 ANY Disagree 6 13 29 56 Mean score 3.59 3.29 2.91 2.21 36 Q.16 To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements related to the COVID 19 Pandemic? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Since Covid, having a garden/outdoor space has become more important to me x Demographics & Home Status/Plans Statistically higher Base: All Adults 18+ N - 760 Age 18-34 94 35-49 94 50-64 86 65+ 96 Social Class ABC1 92 C2DE 93 F 100* Area Urban 96 Rural 87 Single -45 92 93% Lifestage Single 45+ Pre Family 84 96 having a Family Pre School 96 garden/outdoor Family Pre Teen 94 Family Teen 86 space has become Empty Nester 95 important to me Home status Own outright 90 Own with mortgage 95 Renting privately/local authority 93 In my family home 92 Home Type Flat/Apartment/Duplex 92 Terraced house 96 Semi-detached house 98 Detached house 88 Purchase Plans Next 5 years 92 Next 6-10 years 93 Unlikely/DK 92 *Caution: very low sample size The increased importance of garden/outdoor space has been most acute amongst those living in urban areas. 37 Q.16 To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements related to the COVID 19 Pandemic? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Since Covid, living close to decent facilities and amenities has become more important to me x Demographics & Home Status/Plans Base: All Adults 18+ N - 760 Statistically higher Age 18-34 86 35-49 79 50-64 84 65+ 90 Social Class ABC1 85 C2DE 83 F 100 * Area Urban 89 Rural 75 84% Lifestage Single -45 Single 45+ 84 94 having decent Pre Family 90 Family Pre School 77 facilities and Family Pre Teen 78 amenities has Family Teen 81 become Empty Nester 85 important to me Home status Own outright 85 Own with mortgage 80 Renting privately/local authority 88 In my family home 84 Home Type Flat/Apartment/Duplex 93 Terraced house 88 Semi-detached house 89 Detached house 78 Purchase Plans Next 5 years 86 Next 6-10 years 87 Unlikely/DK 82 *Caution: very low sample size Living close to decent facilities and amenities has increased most significantly as a need since Covid amongst those living in apartments/duplexes and, interestingly, older single household dwellers and those at a pre-family lifestage. Q.16 To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements related to the COVID 19 Pandemic? 38 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Since Covid, having extra space to use as a home office has become more important to me x Demographics & Home Status/Plans Statistically higher Base: All Adults 18+ N - 760 Age 18-34 82 35-49 71 50-64 53 65+ 46 Social Class ABC1 81 C2DE 49 F 100 * Area Urban 70 65% Rural 56 having extra Lifestage Single -45 81 Single 45+ 41 space to use as Pre Family 83 home office has Family Pre School 75 become Family Pre Teen 72 important to me Family Teen 54 Empty Nester 53 Home status Own outright 46 Own with mortgage 74 Renting privately/local authority 74 In my family home 75 Home Type Flat/Apartment/Duplex 83 Terraced house 64 Semi-detached house 70 Detached house 57 Purchase Plans Next 5 years 80 Next 6-10 years 80 Unlikely/DK 53 *Caution: very low sample size A large majority of people planning to purchase a home in the next 5 to 10 years also report that having extra space to use as a 39 home Q.16 To what extent do you agree office with or disagree has become more the following important statements to them related since 19 to the COVID thePandemic? onset of the Pandemic. J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Since Covid, I have been seriously considering moving to a more rural location where I can work from home and enjoy a greater quality of life x Demographics & Home Status/Plans Statistically higher Base: All Adults 18+ N - 760 Age 18-34 47 35-49 42 50-64 29 65+ 15 Social Class ABC1 39 C2DE 31 F 93 * Area Urban 38 Rural 30 35% Lifestage Single -45 39 Seriously Single 45+ 21 considering Pre Family 53 Family Pre School 51 moving to a rural Family Pre Teen 46 location Family Teen 21 Empty Nester 23 Home status Own outright 22 Own with mortgage 33 Renting privately/local authority 52 In my family home 43 Home Type Flat/Apartment/Duplex 44 Terraced house 49 Semi-detached house 37 Detached house 28 Purchase Plans Next 5 years 57 Next 6-10 years 50 Unlikely/DK 23 *Caution: very low sample size While just 35% of all adults agree that they have begun to seriously consider moving to a rural location since Covid, the desire to 40 escape Q.16 To what extent do you agree urbanwith or disagree living theis in or around following 50%related statements for those to theatCOVID pre-family or young kids lifestages. 19 Pandemic? J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Key findings 41 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Key findings Future Home Purchasing Patterns The research reveals an estimated 15% of all adults who are The younger the consumer, the greater the gap between their desire to intending to purchase a home within the next two years – equating purchase a home, and their perceived likelihood of being able to do so. to an estimated 550,000 individual purchasers. Note, these figures Desired home ownership is again highest amongst ABC1s, urban dwellers, as include both first time buyers and those intending to move to a well as young singles and pre/early family lifestage individuals. different home over the next couple of years. 18-34 year olds (44%) and 35 to 49 year olds (41%) are most likely of all to purchase a The greatest immediate demand for housing is from within the cohort of people home within the next five years. who are currently renting – particularly those living in apartments and duplexes. The demand for purchasing or moving home is greatest in the Dublin region, amongst those at pre-family and family pre-school While a majority of those currently living in apartments/duplexes are happy lifestages, as well as within the white collar and professional enough to remain living in these types of homes if they had the choice, the working status ABC1 socio economic category. great majority of those currently in terraced or semi-detached housing would much rather live in a detached house. While 15% of adults are planning to purchase a home over the next two years, more than twice that amount (33%) would actually like Of those planning to purchase a home in the next five years, 20% are currently to purchase a home over the same period – evidence of a living in a flat/apartment, 19% are living in a terraced house, with the balance significant pent-up demand for housing, clearly being frustrated by split between semi-detached and detached houses. lack of supply and related factors. Around a quarter of those currently living in apartments and terraced homes The gap between desired and perceived likelihood of home would be perfectly happy to move to a semi-detached house, although a purchase does narrow for those considering purchasing 3-10 years detached home is still their ultimate desire. from now, suggesting that there is at least some hope that constraints on home ownership will ease in the medium term. 42 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Key findings Triggers & Barriers to Home Purchase The single greatest barrier to purchasing or moving home in the Home living priorities do vary somewhat across the different demographic next 12 months is a reticence to move away from friends and family groupings. For example, overall affordability is significantly more important to in people’s current area. Other barriers of significance include a fear younger individuals than it is to older people. Conversely, proximity to that the banks will not lend the required amount, an inability to family/friends is actually the top consideration amongst empty nesters (aged 65 purchase an affordable home in a desirable area, and difficulties in years+). Meanwhile, people with young children are more concerned than the saving the required deposit. average individual about proximity to schools. As might be expected, potential home movers are significantly more likely than First Time Buyers to identify a reticence to move away from their current location as a barrier to purchase. In fact, by far the greatest barriers to purchase amongst those hoping to do so within the next five years are related to potential difficulties with the banks loaning them their required amounts, lack of affordable housing in the areas people want to live in, difficulties saving the required deposit, as well as a belief held by some that they are better off waiting until the Pandemic is over before taking the plunge. Based upon all adults 18 years+, we see that overall affordability, proximity to family/friends, a nice/friendly neighbourhood, access to garden/green space, and the number of bedrooms/house size are people’s top priorities in choosing the type of home they would ideally like to live in. 43 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Key findings Attitudes to Government Initiatives 82% agree the Government should introduce additional measures Around half of those planning to purchase a home within the next five years to improve the supply of affordable housing. would be interested in availing of such a shared equity scheme, and this is particularly so for younger purchasers in urban areas who are either currently An increase in the supply of affordable housing is by far the most renting or living in their family home. effective perceived solution to addressing issues around housing affordability. There is also considerable support for Government action around affordable home purchasing loans, increased supply of suitable land to reduce the cost of housing and a reform of the existing mortgage lending rules. Individuals with young children are most likely of all to seek a reform of existing mortgage lending rules, with the over 65’s over- indexing on a desire for increased supply of serviced land to reduce the cost of housing. A small majority of Irish adults (56%) are in favour of the introduction of the proposed shared equity scheme as a means of making the cost of homes more affordable. There were no demographic skews in terms of those in favour of the shared equity scheme. Those living in the family home over-indexed however on ‘Don’t knows’ at a significant level (38%). 44 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Key findings Impact of Covid on Housing Considerations The greatest impact of Covid 19 in relation to housing needs relate to the increased importance of a garden/outdoor space and living close to decent facilities and amenities. The increased importance of garden/outdoor space has been most acute amongst those living in urban areas. Living close to decent facilities and amenities has increased most significantly as a need since Covid amongst those living in apartments/duplexes and, interestingly, older single household dwellers and those at a pre-family lifestage. A large majority of people planning to purchase a home in the next 5 to 10 years also report that having extra space to use as a home office has become more important to them since the onset of the Pandemic. While just 35% of all adults agree that they have begun to seriously consider moving to a rural location since Covid, the desire to escape urban living is in or around 50% for those at pre-family or young kids lifestages. 45 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
Thank you. Milltown House Mount Saint Annes Milltown, Dublin 6 - D06 Y822 +353 1 205 7500 | www.banda.ie 46 J.212663 | IBEC | Housing Survey| April 2021 | Confidential
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