RAYVOLT POISED TO LEVERAGE E-BIKE MARKET GROWTH WITH 21ST-CENTURY TECHNOLOGIES
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RAYVOLT POISED TO LEVERAGE E-BIKE MARKET GROWTH WITH 21ST-CENTURY TECHNOLOGIES INNOVATION AND STYLE DISTINGUISH RAYVOLT IN A CROWDED FIELD EXECUTIVE SUMMARY While autonomous driving and electric vehicles have dominated the conversation in the traditional transportation field over the past decade, there is little question that the e- bike market is hot and surging. Some forecast the global e-bike market to reach $38.6 billion by 2025, up from the $21.1 billion that the market generated in 2018 (a CAGR of 9.01%).1 This growth has caused an e-bike “gold rush” with dozens of players, including many legacy bike brands and new startups, entering the space. On popular crowdfunding sites like Kickstarter and Indiegogo, 130-plus e-bike startup companies currently have funding campaigns underway.2 As a basis for comparison, just 14 major global corporations produce the bulk of automobiles worldwide under more than 60 brands. STRONG MARKET GROWTH BUT LITTLE DIFFERENTIATION Despite the projected growth in the e-bike category, it’s unlikely that the market can profitably support long-term the more than 150 entities currently offering products. Most e-bikes on the market, particularly those from startup companies, are not much more than traditional bike designs with a battery and motor bolted on. Design and aesthetics, something the automobile category has excelled at since the early 1950s, appear to be an afterthought for most e-bike manufacturers. Although advances in battery technology allow many e-bikes to travel more than 50 miles on a single charge and pricing has become more reasonable, most e-bikes do not use smartphone technology or incorporate other modern capabilities that could facilitate a safer, more enjoyable experience. 1 https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/the-38-6bn-ebike-market-by-2025---government-initiatives- to-regulate-e-bikes--improve-infrastructure-for-e-bikes-creates-lucrative-opportunities-300812590.html 2 https://www.kickstarter.com/discover/advanced?ref=nav_search&result=all&term=ebike and https://www.indiegogo.com/explore/all?project_type=campaign&project_timing=all&sort=trending&q=ebik e Page 1 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
Rayvolt Bike aims to be a different type of e-bike company. This brief will explore the beginnings of the company, the background of its founder and its product, business and go-to-market strategy, as well as its differentiation potential in a crowded market. RAYVOLT’S ORIGINS Rayvolt Bike is the brainchild of Mathieu Rauzier, who founded the company in Barcelona in 2016. Like many technology leaders, Rauzier’s history may play a central role in the company’s potential success. Rauzier has an educational background in naval engineering, with experience in yacht design, web design and even the creation of paddle surfboards. Interestingly, Rauzier also had a stint as a photographer in San Francisco. His experience is evident in the Rayvolt brand, product line and vision. Many consumer-facing brands with distinctive personality and uniqueness (Alienware and Tesla come to mind) emerge with founders who have creative and design backgrounds. Rauzier committed Rayvolt to a mission that prioritizes meticulous design, elegant style and, perhaps most important, compelling integration of 21st-century smartphone technologies. He has also taken a fundamental platform approach for Rayvolt’s design strategy, delivering the same core functionality on all models. Many e-bike companies approach design with a heavy bolt-on mentality to minimize costs and leverage off-the-shelf parts. This philosophy, however, generally produces industrial or utilitarian designs that do not inspire the average consumer in the manner of an Apple iPhone or a BMW automobile. Rauzier fundamentally rejects this tactic with e-bike models of unmistakably eye-catching and unique style. THE RAYVOLT PRODUCT LINEUP: SWAGGER ON STEROIDS Rayvolt designs e-bikes for consumers who want attention. There is nothing utilitarian in their oversized, low-slung presentation that rejoices in retro style. All Rayvolt models utilize a rear hub-mounted motor and a leather-clad battery pack that sits in the frame’s center. If you didn’t know it was an e-bike, a Rayvolt bike could easily be mistaken for a motorcycle without exhaust pipes. The disadvantage of Rayvolt’s design approach is weight. Rayvolt bikes are available in medium and large formats; the larger size (which includes 26” wheels) weighs 75 pounds, an inhibition for consumers who want a lightweight e-bike for travel. Page 2 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
FIGURE 1: RAYVOLT PRODUCT LINE Source: Rayvolt Rayvolt’s product line runs the gamut from traditional cruisers to road bikes to cargo bikes, all of which enjoy a highly distinctive classic flair with design touches that rely heavily on artful leatherwork and even copper accents. Rayvolt’s signature model is the Cruzer, which, with its stretched wheelbase, shares a likeness with a well-known American-made motorcycle. The Ambassador model will appeal to consumers looking for less swagger and a more classic design. The battery is ingeniously placed in a leather satchel bag that can be easily removed and carried with a shoulder strap. The bag even has extra space for storage. The Torino is easily the sportiest of Rayvolt’s products. With its narrow wheelbase and straight handlebar, the Torino is extra nimble and targeted for more performance- oriented riders. It is available with an optional 1000W motor that generates speeds as Page 3 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
high as 25 mph. The Torino’s frame is smaller than the Cruzer’s, and it targets riders who require agility for weaving through traffic and around pedestrians. Finally, Rayvolt’s Clubman model is the most affordable at $1,999. To hit this price point, the Clubman uses off-the-shelf parts and does not include a custom motor. It does include multiple gears, however, unlike other models. The Clubman’s fat tires also tend to generate a highly comfortable ride that will presumably appeal to older consumers less interested in a tighter, road-hugging experience. This model, the best option for the mass market on price, is practical with full-length fenders and optional front and rear cargo racks. CUTTING-EDGE TECHNOLOGY Except for its Beachin’ and Clubman models, Rayvolt custom designs its e-bike motors (just as Apple years ago decided to create processors for its smartphone and tablets to optimize the user experience). Rayvolt claims its motor design generates more acceleration, response and torque with less noise and vibration as compared to standard motors. Its custom brushless 3-phase DC motor has 48 different copper coils and magnets placed on the outermost perimeter of the engine for optimal torque performance. The motor also includes a built-in solid-state controller that receives heat and position data from the coils that compute within one millisecond where to put the next load. The aforementioned product architecture is reflected in all Rayvolt e-bike models. For any electric vehicle, the type and number of battery cells dictate performance and life expectancy. Standard lithium-ion technology has dramatically improved battery life over the past several years, but Rayvolt goes even further to maximize e-bike mileage. Rayvolt uses 13 cells in a series to generate a nominal voltage of 48V. At peak voltage, a full charge produces 54.6V, which is unusually powerful for the traditional e-bike. Rayvolt’s state-of-the-art battery technology optimizes power utilization and can balance the charge between each individual cell and terminate the connection in case of a short circuit. This dynamic enables the best possible performance while making the battery safer. Also, in the pursuit of the safest possible e-bike riding experience, Rayvolt created its own electronic braking system dubbed “intelligent” regenerative braking. The system transmits a signal to the motor controller and causes a reverse effect in the motor. This converts torque to resistance and uses wheel inertia to generate electricity and recharge the battery. Rayvolt’s braking system also connects to a built-in gyroscope in Page 4 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
its Electronic Intelligent Vehicle Assistant (EIVA) proprietary software. That connection allows the bike to detect cycling environments to produce the necessary amount of regenerative braking with respect to hill angle. Though Rayvolt’s e-bike lineup is decidedly distinctive and edgy, distinguishing it from most competitors, the true differentiator is its use of bleeding-edge technology to produce a safer and more entertaining riding experience. Smartphone usage has conditioned consumers to expect a high level of technology in their products, but the scores of e-bikes on the market do not offer or integrate this level of technology. The EIVA app for smartphones (Apple iOS and Google Android) allows riders to control, customize and monitor the biking experience. The app provides speed, battery state, mph, Bluetooth connection status and other essential bike specs. Riders also adjust pedal assistance and control music playback through EIVA, which is especially useful for riders who utilize Bluetooth-enabled safety helmets with integrated speakers. The app also facilitates GPS access. FIGURE 2: RAYVOLT MOUNTED SMARTPHONE HOLDER WITH ELECTRONIC INTELLIGENT VEHICLE ASSISTANT (EVIA) APPLICATION Source: Rayvolt Page 5 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
Rayvolt’s integration of smartphone technology into its e-bike lineup has significant implications. It not only delivers a differentiated rider experience, but also reveals the company’s vision for the future of the e-bike category. In early October 2019, Rayvolt announced its X One lineup of cutting-edge e-bikes via an Indiegogo campaign with an original goal of $50,000.3 As of mid-Nov. 2019, the campaign generated more than $169,000. From a smart technology standpoint, it’s the most aggressive e-bike that Rayvolt has developed and is the benchmark against which other advanced e-bikes should be judged. Scheduled for shipment in Oct. 2020, the X One includes several patented technologies that enhance Rayvolt’s already strong brand differentiation. Complete specifications have not been released, but the product details that are public affirm Rauzier’s vision for what a 21st-century e-bike should be. FIGURE 3: RAYVOLT X ONE (WITH EMBEDDED BATTERY COMPARTMENT) Source: Rayvolt X One, with a starting MSRP of $1,999, is the first of a new line of products under the eXXite brand and the Rayvolt corporate umbrella. Design elements prevalent in the 3 https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/xone-ebike-the-ultimate-21st-century-e-bike#/ Page 6 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
Cruzer, Beachin' and Torino models also appear in the X One. The X One features an all-new aluminum composite frame paired with a carbon fiber fork, which Rayvolt claims will deliver comprehensive e-bike functionality at only 48 pounds. Ingeniously, the X One includes a fully integrated 42V (16Ah) battery in the bike's frame, creating remarkable structural rigidity without adding superfluous mass to the overall structure flow. What's more, the X One promises the first backpedal proportional regeneration system that permits riders to simply pedal backward to slow the pace. It also includes an integrated gyro sensor that intuitively engages regeneration when riding downhill. FIGURE 4: RAYVOLT X ONE (WITH EMBEDDED SMARTPHONE COMPARTMENT) Source: Rayvolt The X One offers a plethora of integrated lights that makes 24/7 riding safer and more accessible. Rayvolt integrated ambient photosensors into the model’s frame that turn the headlight and taillight on automatically, a feature that has been common on cars for years. Page 7 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
The X One’s design allows the most popular smartphones to securely dock inside the frame itself, just below the handlebar. The EIVA app uses facial recognition software to automatically unlock the bike when it identifies the owner. According to Rayvolt, kinetics embedded in the facial recognition may eventually be used to activate turn signals with the blinking of an eye, left or right. Long-term, it is easy to envision how these innovations could be beneficial to scooter or e-bike sharing companies who might want to utilize Rayvolt’s e-bikes for rental. GO-TO-MARKET STRATEGY Perhaps the most daunting challenge for Rayvolt and other e-bike startups is widespread product distribution. Access to e-bikes is especially important because as a new product category most consumers will want to see and ride one before making a purchase decision. Legacy retailers sell mostly non-electric bikes and physical space limits model assortments. This makes it difficult for startups like Rayvolt to get their products into showrooms. BikeRetailer.com reports the number of bike retailers have remained relatively constant since 2012,4 which makes it hard for e-bike startups to achieve reasonable distribution. Rayvolt focuses on its website to capture and funnel sales to its dealer and distributor network in Europe, the U.S. and other regions. As a new product category for most traditional bike retailers, e-bikes require a higher level of product and technical expertise and thus greater investment and training to properly market and support. Because of this dynamic, smaller, boutique bike retailers (often privately held and managed) tend to do a significantly better job with promoting the virtues of e-bikes, especially in local markets. This class of retailer also tends to do a better job of selling Rayvolt’s lucrative line of after-market accessories developed with the brand’s distinctive design elements. Unlike most startups, which often exclusively focus on direct online sales, Rayvolt’s business model has a distinctive B2B element. Their price structure includes a margin for both retailers and importers, allowing Rayvolt to sell on multiple levels with retail, wholesale and export pricing. In those markets that have a strong retail dynamic, Rayvolt will sell directly to traditional retailers. In large or remote markets where Rayvolt doesn’t have the manpower or infrastructure to operate, the company will partner with a third-party importer to act as the local Rayvolt office. 4 https://www.bicycleretailer.com/opinion-analysis/2019/09/24/vosper-how-other-half-lives#.Xcx5PlfYq2N Page 8 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
In this example, the importer will buy product from Rayvolt at an established price and then sell to dealers at a wholesale price. A good example of this process is Trident Sports, a Rayvolt importer in the U.S. responsible for purchasing, shipping, marketing, inventory management and sales agent management.5 Rayvolt directs each importer to utilize a dedicated brand manager that Rayvolt trains. The advantage of this approach is it allows Rayvolt to participate in multiple geographic markets with fewer resources. Rayvolt has successfully deployed this global model with entities in Australia, New Zealand, Germany, France, Belgium, Africa and Scandinavia. Each location has a dedicated brand manager and is in the process of opening a flagship store or showroom with Rayvolt bikes, accessories and apparel. Rayvolt requires that these dealers dedicate a corner, half or full store to the Rayvolt brand. Additionally, each distributor must have a mobile showroom implementation that can go on the road to demo products, engage with potential franchisees and create brand awareness. Rayvolt believes a de-centralized approach is crucial for maintaining high-quality service as it establishes a solid network in each country with regular inventory, local brand management and sales and tech support resources. By not burdening its corporate expense structure with these resources, Rayvolt can operate more efficiently and profitably with more competitive price points.6 Rayvolt created a validation process to carefully select those retailers who wish to sell the company’s e-bike lineup. It requires local retailers to commit to showcasing and merchandising at least two of its models. Rayvolt reserves the right to evaluate each retailer’s application based on the store’s appearance and ability to facilitate thoughtful merchandising with consumers. Not surprisingly, Rayvolt’s inspiration is the Apple Store format. Rauzier believes that retailers who provide the right upscale experience during the initial engagement with the consumer are most likely to effectively message the benefits and value proposition of Rayvolt’s product line. Recognizing that building a comprehensive dealer network will take some time, Rayvolt is rolling out an innovative program dubbed Demo To Your Door. Demo To Your Door uses a modified RV to promote the Rayvolt brand at festivals, bike shows and other venues in select cities on the U.S.’s west coast, enabling consumers to see and ride a Rayvolt bike. 5https://www.tridentsports.com/our-story/meet-the-team/. 6 Rayvolt operates as a de-centralized multinational entity via a mutual business arrangement with its various geographic independent companies. Rayvolt’s international trade office (“Rayvolt Inc.”) is based in Barcelona, Spain and owns Rayvolt Bike SL where research and development is managed. Page 9 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
FIGURE 5: DEMO TO YOUR DOOR RENDERING Source: Rayvolt The program will be bolstered by an aggressive social media campaign on Instagram so consumers know where and when the RV will be traveling. As this program scales, Rayvolt has also hinted that it could use Demo To Your Door to visit potential consumers’ homes in regions that lack authorized dealer coverage. FIGURE 6: YEGO SCOOTER COMPANY LOGO Source: Rayvolt Rayvolt recently announced it was selected by Barcelona-based Yego, a popular scooter-sharing company, to build a custom e-bike and standing electric scooter for use in Yego’s network. This agreement provides Rayvolt with the opportunity to scale and validate its technology offerings. With operations in Barcelona, Valencia and Bordeaux, Rayvolt claims this partnership will allow it to collect valuable data for fine-tuning the aforementioned smart features. Rayvolt says the partnership will assist Yego in providing a more satisfying rideshare experience and mitigate some of the profitability challenges due to high capital expenses that have plagued companies like Lime and Page 10 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
Bird.7 The deal calls for Rayvolt to build 2,000 scooters and 2,000 e-bikes by the end of 2020 (though production will continue into 2021 due to the pandemic). 8 CLOSING THOUGHTS Total transformation of a legacy market is rare, but it could happen in the bike market. The competitive landscape of today’s bike market parallels that of the automobile market in the first decade of the 20th century, with many companies vying for the right combination of attributes to attract consumers and drive volume. The benefits of e-bikes – for health, local commuting, personal enjoyment and the environment – may make them the dominant class of bicycles over the next five years and beyond. Only time will tell if the e-bike category can truly challenge conventional bikes, but there are certainly market dynamics that are favorable to companies such as Rayvolt. High fuel prices are a major tailwind for the traditional bike market and e-bikes as well. This is especially true in European and Asian markets where high fuel prices are a fact of life and commuting to work on a bike is culturally accepted. Workers in those regions also tend to live near their places of employment. It is not surprising that a number of startups have entered the e-bike space. More parallels with the early 20th-century automobile market are likely as manufacturers go out of business or are acquired by larger competitors. Those e-bike companies that cannot differentiate themselves with style, branding and technology integration may have trouble surviving over the long term. Rayvolt has checked those proverbial boxes with a lineup of solutions that are truly distinctive and compelling, aesthetically and technically. Rauzier seems to be a student of the hard business lessons that the automobile industry learned during that early part of the 20th century. Although early automobile manufacturers experienced initial success because of the newness of the category and the ability to provide basic transportation at an affordable price, greater success came to those companies that focused on a recognizable style, branding, cutting-edge technology and safety.9 In that regard, Rayvolt is substantially ahead of its competitors. Rauzier smartly ensures that Rayvolt’s product line is competitive with its affordably priced Clubman model ($1,999 7 https://cleantechnica.com/2019/12/03/rayvolt-tapped-to-supply-barcelona-based-scooter-bike-sharing-network- yego/ 8 https://mountain-bike-companies.blogspot.com/2019/08/rayvolt-tapped-to-supply-barcelona.html 9 https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/ford-motor-company-unveils-the-model-t Page 11 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
MSRP). He believes it will be the bread and butter of the company’s volume as it offers the same design ethos and user friendliness of its higher-end models. FIGURE 7: E-MOTORCYCLE CONCEPT FROM RAYVOLT Source: Rayvolt Rauzier has also stated that he believes the future of Rayvolt lies in the e-motorcycle category as the company can leverage its design and technology expertise in that growing category. Rayvolt showed off a number of intriguing e-motorcycle concepts at its dealer event in early 2019 and will be previewing a 20kW e-motorcycle model in Sept. 2021. A potential entrance into the e-motorcycle category would be a smart move by Rayvolt as the global electric motorcycle (including scooters) market is expected to Page 12 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
grow from $11.8 billion in 2018 to $16.9 billion in 2024, representing a CAGR of 6.07%.10 Rayvolt’s chief challenge is its ability to augment its direct sales fulfillment business model with a credible, expansive dealer network that can properly promote its high- quality brand. It addresses this by fulfilling its direct customer orders via its de- centralized distributor model, which supports Rayvolt with e-bike expertise and the ability to provide highly valued local repair support and maintenance. The recent partnership with Yego provides the company the ability to drive significant volumes in the short term and validate many of the cutting-edge features it is bringing to market with its X One announcement. Additionally, Rayvolt’s association with a scooter sharing company will have enormous branding potential with thousands of users using a Rayvolt solution regularly. Looking to the future, Rayvolt will go through a few rounds of funding and expects a public offering at some point over the next 24 months. Those funds could be used to invest in the national distributors described above. Rauzier states, however, that Rayvolt’s stake would not exceed 49% as he believes that is the best way for these companies to achieve efficiency.11 With all of this in mind, it will be especially interesting to observe how Rayvolt performs in the e-bike market over the next 24-36 months. The company is well-positioned to break out from its startup position and potentially become a major disruptive force in the e-bike market. One thing is for certain: Rayvolt will never be compared to Ford’s infamous Edsel.12 10 https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190917005803/en/Analysis-Electric-Motorcycles-Scooters-2019- World-Market 11 Interview with Mat Rauzier, Rayvolt CEO (12-7-19) 12 https://www.tfctitleloans.com/14-car-brands-that-no-longer-exist/ Page 13 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
IMPORTANT INFORMATION ABOUT THIS PAPER CONTRIBUTOR Mark Vena, Senior Analyst at Moor Insights & Strategy PUBLISHER Patrick Moorhead, Founder, President, & Principal Analyst at Moor Insights & Strategy INQUIRIES Contact us if you would like to discuss this report, and Moor Insights & Strategy will respond promptly. CITATIONS This paper can be cited by accredited press and analysts but must be cited in-context, displaying author’s name, author’s title, and “Moor Insights & Strategy”. Non-press and non-analysts must receive prior written permission by Moor Insights & Strategy for any citations. LICENSING This document, including any supporting materials, is owned by Moor Insights & Strategy. This publication may not be reproduced, distributed, or shared in any form without Moor Insights & Strategy's prior written permission. DISCLOSURES This paper was commissioned by Rayvolt Bike SL Moor Insights & Strategy provides research, analysis, advising, and consulting to many high-tech companies mentioned in this paper. No employees at the firm hold any equity positions with any companies cited in this document. DISCLAIMER The information presented in this document is for informational purposes only and may contain technical inaccuracies, omissions, and typographical errors. Moor Insights & Strategy disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or adequacy of such information and shall have no liability for errors, omissions, or inadequacies in such information. This document consists of the opinions of Moor Insights & Strategy and should not be construed as statements of fact. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Moor Insights & Strategy provides forecasts and forward-looking statements as directional indicators and not as precise predictions of future events. While our forecasts and forward-looking statements represent our current judgment on what the future holds, they are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forecasts and forward-looking statements, which reflect our opinions only as of the date of publication for this document. Please keep in mind that we are not obligating ourselves to revise or publicly release the results of any revision to these forecasts and forward-looking statements in light of new information or future events. ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy. Company and product names are used for informational purposes only and may be trademarks of their respective owners. Page 14 Rayvolt Poised to Leverage E-Bike Market Growth September 2020 Copyright ©2020 Moor Insights & Strategy
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