RATIONALE FOR THE CLASSIFICATION OF THE SARS-COV-2 VIRUS - BAUA
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Committee on Biological Agents (ABAS) – Decision 1/2020 update of 1 October 2020 Page 1 Classification of SARS-CoV-2 as a risk group 3 biological agent Committee on Biological Agents (ABAS) Decision 1/2020 of 19 February 2020 (update of 1.10.2020) Rationale for the classification of the SARS-CoV-2 virus as a risk group 3 biological agent Background Cases of a new type of respiratory disease were reported for the first time in the Chinese city of Wuhan (Hubei Province, People's Republic of China) in December 2019. All patients were reported of having previous contact to a food market in Wuhan where fish, marine and other wild animals were marketed. During the course of infection, some patients developed severe pneumonia. On 11 February 2020, the disease was officially designated “Coronavirus Disease 2019” (COVID-2019) by the WHO. Based on available data, it was estimated that approximately 2 % of infected people died. By sequencing the virus genome upon isolation from patients, the pathogen has been identified as a new member of the Coronaviridae family and has been assigned to the subgenus Sarbecovirus (subfamily Orthocoronavirinae, genus Betacoronavirus) by the International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses (ICTV). The sequence data showed more than 85 percent sequence identity to SARS-like coronaviruses previously detected in bats (Bat- SL-CoVZC45, Bat-SL-CoVZXC21). Based on this information, the novel human coronavirus was classified as type 2 of SARS-CoV (Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2). SARS-CoV-2 was recognized as the causative agent of a systemic infection often manifested as severe pneumonia. In addition, it was shown that SARS-CoV-2 infection could be associated with endothelial dysfunction, deep venous thrombosis and microinfarctions in blood vessels of the renal and coronary system. High amounts of SARS-CoV-2 have been detected in the respiratory system of infected patients. Particularly in non-ventilated rooms and building areas, rapid human-to-human transmission has been observed to occur by droplets and aerosols. Furthermore, SARS-CoV-2 can be transmitted before onset of Covid-19 symptoms (fever, cough, and pneumonia) and as well as by individuals with asymptomatic infection. Some SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals develop only mild symptoms of a common cold, which are not recognized as COVID-19 by the affected individuals or third persons. Thereby, efficient spreading of the infection occurred and resulted in the current pandemic. On 1 October 2020, more than 33 million of infected people have been diagnosed and registered worldwide. Among the infected individuals, 1.014.352 have died resulting in a case fatality rate of 2.98 % (Johns-Hopkins-University). In Europe (EU including UK) more than 3 million infections have been registered, 190.272 infected people have died (average case fatality rate: 5.7 %). Case fatality rate may vary from 1.7 % (Austria), 2.3 % (Denmark) and 3.3% (Germany) to 5.3 % (The Netherlands), 11.4 % (Italy) and 9.3 % (United Kingdom). Further details and data is provided by Johns-Hopkins-University, USA [15], and the ECDC, Sweden [17]. Since July 2020, the case fatality rate decreased notably as compared to the situation in spring. At present, about 1 % of infected people in Germany die from COVI-D19 [13, RKI, daily situation report of 28.9.2020]. Several reasons are discussed for the declining lethality: (I) Currently, younger people become infected, mostly not developing severe COVID-19. Committee on Biological Agents (Ausschuss für Biologische Arbeitsstoffe, ABAS) – www.baua.de/abas
Committee on Biological Agents (ABAS) – Decision 1/2020 update of 1 October 2020 Page 2 Classification of SARS-CoV-2 as a risk group 3 biological agent (II) Due to changes in the regimen of routine diagnostic testing from ill to healthy individuals (e.g. travelers, teachers, nurses, clinicians), mild or asymptomatic infections become detected more frequently. (III) Clinicians and practitioners are gaining more experience to treat COVID-19 patients. Remdesivir is available for antiviral chemotherapy of severely ill patients. Rationale for a classification in risk group 3 SARS-CoV-2 is similar to SARS-CoV-1, a member of the subgenus Sarbecovirus, which is pathogenic to humans and has triggered the 2002/3 SARS epidemic (mortality rate 9.6 %). Albeit to a lesser extent, similarities of SARS-CoV-2 to MERS-CoV were observed. MERS-CoV is the causative agent of the Middle East respiratory syndrome, a severe lung disease (mortality rate 34 %) reported from citizens of the Arabian Peninsula states. SARS-CoV-1 and MERS-CoV are both classified as risk group 3 agents. At present, no antiviral therapy and preventive vaccines are available for SARS-CoV-2. Therefore, also SARS-CoV-2 is assigned to risk group 3. This assignment is further supported by epidemiological data indicating a high potential for human-to- human transmission. Classification of SARS-CoV-2 in risk group 4 is not justified according to definition and criteria laid down in the national guideline TRBA 450 “Criteria for the classification of biological agents”. In this context, it is mandatory to consider the severity of the disease caused by the respective biological agents. Assignment to risk group 4 is reserved to biological agents causing severe disease in almost all infected individuals independent of age and gender. In general, infections by risk group 4 viruses are associated with high fatality rates of 30 % and higher. These criteria are met with all virus species causing hemorrhagic fever (e.g. ebola virus, south-american hemorrhagic fever virus, [21]). With SARS-CoV-2, the situation is different: (I) Only distinct groups of SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals are reported to develop severe courses of the disease. Data provided by the Robert Koch-Institute demonstrate that the majority of fatal cases (86 %) is observed with infected patients above 70 years of age. Mean age of deceased patients is 82 years [16]. The situation is similar in Bavaria, the federal state most severely affected by the SARS-CoV-2 infection: here, 85% of the deceased were at an age of more than 70 years, although their proportion is only 14 % among all registered COVID-19 cases in Bavaria [14]. (II) As expected for patients of advanced age, almost all deceased COVID-19-patients suffered from co-morbidities, i. e. obesity, coronary heart disease, asthma, copd, diabetes mellitus type 2, peripheral artery disease and neurodegenerative disorders [16]. (III) Furthermore, first data demonstrate that a significant number of SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals do not develop symptoms or that symptoms are transient, mild and similar to diseases known as “common cold” (cough, sneezing etc.). Based on the detection of SARS- CoV-2 specific antibodies, a study initiated in North Rhine Westphalia (Heinsberg) demonstrates that the number of persons with prior SARS-CoV-2–infection exceeds that of individuals diagnosed and registered for acute infection by a factor of ten. Similar data is obtained from still ongoing studies on the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 specific antibodies in the population of the Oberpfalz region in Germany (personal communication, Prof. Dr. B. Schmidt, University of Regensburg). One study estimates the proportion of registered infected persons at 9.2 % [18]. Thus, actually about 11 times more individuals are infected as compared to the number reported as infected. A similar situation was observed with the COVID-19 outbreak that occurred on board of the cruise ship Diamond Princess in spring 2020. Of all 3711 people on board (passengers and personnel), 712 were diagnosed as SARS-CoV-2 infected of which 410 Committee on Biological Agents (Ausschuss für Biologische Arbeitsstoffe, ABAS) – www.baua.de/abas
Committee on Biological Agents (ABAS) – Decision 1/2020 update of 1 October 2020 Page 3 Classification of SARS-CoV-2 as a risk group 3 biological agent (58 %) persons showed no symptoms at the time of testing [19]. Therefore, it is highly probable that a significant number of SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals remain asymptomatic or do not develop severe COVID-19. This recent data confirms and justifies the assignment of SARS-CoV-2 to risk group 3 of biological agents. As opposed to this, neither epidemiological nor clinical data requires and justifies an assignment to risk group 4. Classification in risk group 2 could be reconsidered in the future if protective vaccines or antiviral therapies become available. References 1. Wu F, Zhao S, Yu B, Chen YM, Wang W, Song ZG, Hu Y, Tao ZW, Tian JH, Pei YY, Yuan ML, Zhang YL, Dai FH, Liu Y, Wang QM, Zheng JJ, Xu L, Holmes EC, Zhang YZ. A new coronavirus associated with human respiratory disease in China. Nature. 2020 Feb 3. doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2008-3. [Epub ahead of print] PubMed PMID: 32015508. 2. Zhou P, Yang XL, Wang XG, Hu B, Zhang L, Zhang W, Si HR, Zhu Y, Li B, Huang CL, Chen HD, Chen J, Luo Y, Guo H, Jiang RD, Liu MQ, Chen Y, Shen XR, Wang, X, Zheng XS, Zhao K, Chen QJ, Deng F, Liu LL, Yan B, Zhan FX, Wang YY, Xiao GF, Shi ZL. A pneumonia outbreak associated with a new coronavirus of probable bat origin. Nature. 2020 Feb 3. doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2012-7. [Epub ahead of print] PubMed PMID: 32015507. 3. Chen N, Zhou M, Dong X, Qu J, Gong F, Han Y, Qiu Y, Wang J, Liu Y, Wei Y, Xia J, Yu T, Zhang X, Zhang L. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study.Lancet. 2020 Jan 30. pii: S0140- 6736(20)30211-7. doi: 10.1016/2030211-7 [Epub ahead of print] PubMed PMID: 32007143. 4. Huang C, Wang Y, Li X, Ren L, Zhao J, Hu Y, Zhang L, Fan G, Xu J, Gu X, Cheng Z, Yu T, Xia J, Wei Y, Wu W, Xie X, Yin W, Li H, Liu M, Xiao Y, Gao H, Guo L, Xie J, Wang G, Jiang R, Gao Z, Jin Q, Wang J, Cao B. Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China. Lancet. 2020 Jan 24. pii: S0140-6736(20)30183-5. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5. [Epub ahead of print] PubMed PMID: 31986264. 5. Chan JF, Yuan S, Kok KH, To KK, Chu H, Yang J, Xing F, Liu J, Yip CC, Poon RW Tsoi HW, Lo SK, Chan KH, Poon VK, Chan WM, Ip JD, Cai JP, Cheng VC, Chen H, Hui CK, Yuen KY. A familial cluster of pneumonia associated with the 2019 novel coronavirus indicating person-to-person transmission: a study of a family cluster. Lancet. 2020 Jan 24. pii: S01406736(20)30154-9. doi: 10.1016/S01406736(20)30154-9. [Epub ahead of print] PubMed PMID: 31986261. 6. Zhu N, Zhang D, Wang W, Li X, Yang B, Song J, Zhao X, Huang B, Shi W, Lu R, Niu P, Zhan F, Ma X, Wang D, Xu W, Wu G, Gao GF, Tan W; China Novel Coronavirus Investigating and Research Team. A Novel Coronavirus from Patients with Pneumonia in China, 2019. N Engl J Med. 2020 Jan 24. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001017. [Epub ahead of print] PubMed PMID: 31978945. 7. Hui DS, I Azhar E, Madani TA, Ntoumi F, Kock R, Dar O, Ippolito G, Mchugh TD, Memish ZA, Drosten C, Zumla A, Petersen E. The continuing 2019-nCoV epidemic threat of novel coronaviruses to global health - The latest 2019 novel coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan, China. Int J Infect Dis. 2020 Jan 14;91:264-266. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.01.009. [Epub ahead of print] PubMed PMID: 31953166. 8. Song Z, Xu Y, Bao L, Zhang L, Yu P, Qu Y, Zhu H, Zhao W, Han Y, Qin C. From SARS to MERS, Thrusting Coronaviruses into the Spotlight. Viruses. 2019 Jan 14;11(1). pii: E59. doi: Committee on Biological Agents (Ausschuss für Biologische Arbeitsstoffe, ABAS) – www.baua.de/abas
Committee on Biological Agents (ABAS) – Decision 1/2020 update of 1 October 2020 Page 4 Classification of SARS-CoV-2 as a risk group 3 biological agent 10.3390/v11010059. Review. PubMed PMID: 30646565; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC6357155. 9. Yin Y, Wunderink RG. MERS, SARS and other coronaviruses as causes of pneumonia. Respirology. 2018 Feb;23(2):130-137. doi: 10.1111/resp.13196. Epub 2017 Oct 20. Review. PubMed PMID: 29052924. 10. Liang WN, Zhao T, Liu ZJ, Guan BY, He X, Liu M, Chen Q, Liu GF, Wu J, Huang RG, Xie XQ, Wu ZL. Severe acute respiratory syndrome - retrospect and lessons of 2004 outbreak in China. Biomed Environ Sci. 2006 Dec;19(6):445-51. PubMed PMID: 17319269. 11. Wichmann D, Sperhake JP, Lütgehetmann M, Steurer S, Edler C, Heinemann A, Heinrich F, Mushumba H, Kniep I, Schröder AS, Burdelski C, de Heer G, Nierhaus A, Frings D, Pfefferle S, Becker H, Bredereke-Wiedling H, de Weerth A, Paschen HR, Sheikhzadeh- Eggers S, Stang A, Schmiedel S, Bokemeyer C, Addo MM, Aepfelbacher M, Püschel K, Kluge S. Autopsy Findings and Venous Thromboembolism in Patients With COVID-19 [published online ahead of print, 2020 May 6]. Ann Intern Med. 2020;10.7326/M20-2003. doi:10.7326/M20-2003 12. Streeck H et al. Infection fatality rate of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a German community with a super-spreading event https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.04.20090076v1 13. Robert-Koch-Institut, Berlin: Täglicher Lagebricht zur Coronavirus-Krankheit 2019 (COVID- 19), 28.9.2020 14. Landesamt für Gesundheit und Lebensmittelsicherheit, Bayern, 22.05.2020: https://www.lgl.bayern.de/gesundheit/infektionsschutz/infektionskrankheiten a z/coronavirus/ka rte coronavirus/#alter geschlecht 15. Johns Hopkins University: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd402994 2346 7b48e9ecf6 16. Robert Koch-Institut, Fallzahlen: https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Fallzahlen.html 17. COVID-19 situation update for the EU/EEA and the UK, as of 1 October 2020 https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea 18. Nishiura H, Kobayashi T, Miyama T, Suzuki A, Jung SM, Hayashi K, Kinoshita R, Yang Y, Yuan B, Akhmetzhanov AR, Linton NM. Estimation of the asymptomatic ratio of novel coronavirus infections (COVID-19). Int J Infect Dis. 2020 May;94:154-155. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.020. Epub 2020 Mar 14. PMID: 32179137; PMCID: PMC7270890. 19. Sakurai A, Sasaki T, Kato S, Hayashi M, Tsuzuki SI, Ishihara T, Iwata M, Morise Z, Doi Y. Natural History of Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infection. N Engl J Med. 2020 Aug 27;383(9):885-886. doi: 10.1056/NEJMc2013020. Epub 2020 Jun 12. PMID: 32530584; PMCID: PMC7304419. 20. Robert-Koch-Institut, Berlin: SARS-CoV-2 Steckbrief zur Coronavirus-Krankheit-2019 (COVID-19); https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Steckbrief.html#doc13776 792bodyText13 21. Fact Sheet zum Ebolavirus der WHO https://www.who.int/en/news-room/fact- sheets/detail/ebola-virus-disease Committee on Biological Agents (Ausschuss für Biologische Arbeitsstoffe, ABAS) – www.baua.de/abas
Committee on Biological Agents (ABAS) – Decision 1/2020 update of 1 October 2020 Page 5 Classification of SARS-CoV-2 as a risk group 3 biological agent 22. TRBA 450 “Criteria for the classification of biological agents”: https://www.baua.de/EN/Service/Legislative-texts-and-technical- rules/Rules/TRBA/pdf/TRBA-450.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=2 Committee on Biological Agents (Ausschuss für Biologische Arbeitsstoffe, ABAS) – www.baua.de/abas
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