RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC

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RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC
RARE EARTH ELEMENTS

                        An Overview of Supply Chain Issues

                                   PRODUCED BY

Last updated: March 1, 2021
RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC
Table of Contents
    1. Introduction to Rare Earths
          ○ Total Global Output
          ○ Applications
    2. The U.S. Industrial Base
                                                                  Rare Earth
          ○ Simplified Supply Chain                               Element Metal
          ○ Rare Earth Elements (REEs) &
            Defense Supply Chain
          ○ Supplier Profiles
          ○ Supply Chain Diagrams
          ○ Concerns for U.S. Industry
    3. Major Rare Earth Government Policy
          ○ Government Statements
          ○ Government Studies
          ○ 10 U.S.C. §2533c
          ○ Recent Policy Developments
    4. Planning Ahead: Obstacles and Opportunities
           ○ Future Outlook
                                                                        Disclaimer: This presentation should
          ○ U.S. Government Options                                     not be treated as an exhaustive or latest
          ○ Green & Co. Recommendations                                 overview of the rare earth supply chain.

    5. Conclusions

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RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC
Introduction to Rare Earth Elements

                                                          • 17 total:
                                                              Light
                                                              Medium
                                                              Heavy
                                                          • Rare is a misnomer.
                                                            To economically
                                                            process is “rare”
                                                          • Radioactivity
                                                            typical around
                                                            deposits (thorium)

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RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC
Rare Earth Ore Output in 2020

                   Others                                                                Metric
                    7%                                                                                      World
      United                                                      Country                Tons
                                                                                                            Total
      States                                                                             REO*
       16%
                                                                  Australia             17,000e               7%
                                                   China
Australia                                          58%
  7%                                                               Burma                30,000e              12%

                                                                    China              140,000e             57.5%
     Burma
      12%                                                          United
                                                                                        38,000e             15.6%
                                                                   States

    Total rare earth mine production was approx
  243,300 tons in 2020. However, these figures do                  Others               18,300e              7.5%
  not account for illegal production in China, once                *REO = Rare Earth Oxide equivalent
    estimated to exceed 40,000 tons per annum.                     E = Estimated
                                                                   Source: USGS Mineral Commodity Summary, 2021

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RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC
Select REE Defense Applications

          MILSTAR &                 M1 Abrams               Electromagnetic
          Successor                                             Railgun
           Programs

            JDAM                 AEGIS Combat                   Night Vision
                                    System                       Googles

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RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC
Select REE Energy and Commercial Applications

                                                                     Wind Turbines

                          HDDS                      Televisions
   Compact Fluorescent
      Light Bulbs

      Automotive /           Electric / Hybrid Vehicles              Fluid Catalytic
    Industrial Motors                                                  Cracking in
                                                                   Petroleum Refining
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RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC
Simplified Supply Chain

       •    Ore is mined and REE minerals concentrated, usually at mine site
                  ○ Mineral concentrate is processed to remove
                     impurities
       •    Oxide preparation historically requires significant investment (as
            much as $500 million or $20-40k per MT in planned output),
            significant energy, and environmental mitigation
       •    Metal production is dominated by China
       •    Magnet production is dominated by China with Japanese and U.S.
            sources for SmCo and NdFeB
       •    Some alloy and magnet production in the U.S.,
            but small by worldwide standards

                                                      Co-located                  Magnet
 Ore       Concentrate         Oxide                    Metal         Alloy      Production
                                                      Production

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RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC
REEs and the Defense Supply Chain

                                                 Chinese Exports
                                                                                        Toyota, Nissan, Honda, &
                                                                                       GM have moved R&D and
                                                                                       RE-intensive electric vehicle
                                                                                      engine production facilities to
                                                                                             China since 2011

                                                                                                                                                            US Military Customer
Exploration/Mining

                                                                                  End Product:
                               Concentrate

                                                                                  RE Magnets

                                                                                                                                      OEM/Prime
                                                                                                                Subcontractor
                                                               Alloy
                                             Oxide

                                                      Metal

                                                                                                                   Major
                         Ore

                                                                                                                                Sy
                                                                         Magnet                Magnet                              ste
                                                                       Manufacturer           Distributor/                            m   sI
                                                                                              Fabricator                                          nte
                             hain                                                                                                                    gra
                            C                                                                                                                           t   ion
                        ply
                       p
                     Su
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RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC
Metals, Alloys, and Powders Supply

                     Oxides                                            Metals, Alloys, and Powders

                         Northern Rare Earth
      Lynas Corp          Group High-Tech                     Less Common Metals           Shin-Etsu
                                 Co

    Oil, Gas, and
                          Ganzhou Southern                       Neo Materials
        Metals                                                                           Showa Denko
                         Rare Earth Mining Co
    National Corp.

                          Aluminum Corp of                          CAS Key
  Xiamen Tungsten Co                                                                       Santoku
                               China                               Laboratory

                               Guangdong                      Zhe Jian Zhao-Ri-Ke
   China Minmetals
                              Zhujiang Rare                         Magnet                 Sumitomo
     Corporation
                                Earths Co                          Industries

        Solvay                Neo Materials

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RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC
NdFeB Magnet Supply Chain

           Reliant on Chinese REO
           Potentially Supply Chain
                                        Beijing Jingci     San Huan
                                                          New Material                                               Dexter Magnetic                         Dura
                                         Magnetism                                                                                         Adams

                                                                                             75% Global Production
                                                                              Thinova                                                                       Magnetic
                                        Technology         High-Tech                                                  Technologies
Oxides
                                                           Advanced                                                                                       Integrated
                                      Zhejiang Tinnau     Technologies     Ningbo Yunshen                              Force Field         Bunting        Magnetcs
                                                           & Materials

                                                                                                                                         Magnetic         Ningbo Lihe
                                      Ningbo Co-Star                                                                                    Component         Permanent
                                       Material High      Hitachi Metals                                              KJ Magnetics                         Magnetic
                                                                                                                                        Engineering
                                           Tech                                                                                                            Materials

                                                                                             Proposed Production
                                                                                                                                                            Ningbo
                                                                            Vacuumschm-                                  Allstar       Magnet Sales        Xionghai
 Metals,                                Shin Etsu             TDK            elze GmbH                                                                     Magnetics
 Alloys,
Powders
                                                                                                                                                           Compass
                                                                                                                                         Stanford          Magnets &
                                                                            Urban Mining                                Quadrant         Magnetics
                                                                             Company                                                                      Components

                                                                                              NdFeB
                                              NdFeB                                           Magnet
                                              Magnet                                        Distributor &

                                                                                                                                                          U.S. Customer
                                           Manufacturer
                                                                                             Fabricator
                                                                                                                               (Sales from Distributors
                                                                                                                               or Manufacturer-direct)

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SmCo Magnet Supply Chain
                                                                                                                       Ningbo Lihe
                                   Chengdu Magnetic        Vacuumschm-
                                   Material Science &                                                  Integrated      Permanent
                                                            elze GmbH                                                                       Adams
                                      Technology                                                        Magnets         Magnetic
Oxides                                                                                                                  Materials

                                                                                                                         Ningbo
                                                                                                     Dexter Magnetic
           60% Global Production

                                   Zhejiang Tinnau           Shin Etsu                                                  Xionghai         Magnet Sales

                                                                              Supply Chain Reliant
                                                                                                      Technologies      Magnetics

                                                                               on Chinese REO
                                   Ningbo Co-Star                                                                       Compass            Stanford
                                    Material High         Arnold Magnetic                               Quadrant        Magnets &          Magnetics
                                        Tech                                                                           Components

                                                                                                        Magnetic          Dura
                                   Ningbo Ninggang        Electron Energy                                                                  Applied
                                    Perm. Magnetic                                                     Component        Magnetics
 Metals,                                                        Corp                                   Engineering                         Magnets
 Alloys,                               Materials
Powders
                                       Nanjing                                                           Bunting
                                     Chuangken
                                     Industry Co.

                                                                                                         SmCo
                                     SmCo                                                               Magnet
                                     Magnet                                                           Distributor &

                                                                                                                                                     U.S. Customer
                                   Manufacturer
                                                                                                       Fabricator
                                                                                                                       (Sales from Distributors
                                                                                                                       or Manufacturer-direct)

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Domestic and Allied Producers (Ores & Concentrates)

Mount Weld, Australia and Kauntan, Malaysia (Lynas Corp)
 • Industry Perception: Currently in operation. Largest non-Chinese REE oxide producer. Resource skews “light”. Kuantan facility has
   prior history of radioactive contamination with local popular and government support lacking, leading to production delays.

Mountain Pass, CA (MP Materials)
 • Industry Perception: Historic U.S. producer of rare earths, with equipment and facilities on-site from previous efforts. Good
   transportation networks. Resource skews light and separation efficacy has yet to be proven. Was awarded DPA Title III contract in
   2020 for rare earth separation and processing.
Bokan Mountain, AK (Ucore Rare Metals)
                                                                                                     Please note that these brief profiles
 • Industry Perception: Possesses Rapid SX technology to cost-effectively separate REEs.             on current and prospective REE
   Still undeveloped. Resource skews heavy, significant State of Alaska financial support.           producers are not intended to be a
                                                                                                     complete analysis of each project.
Bear Lodge, WY (Rare Element Resources)
 • Industry Perception: U.S. ownership. Skews “light.” Still undeveloped.

Round Top, TX (Texas Mineral Resources Corp)
 • Industry Perception: Utilizes Continuous Ion Exchange (CIX) process. Still undeveloped.

Browns Range, Australia (Northern Minerals)
 • Industry Perception: Skews “heavy.” Depends on Australian government loan forbearance.
   May depend on Chinese customers.
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Domestic and Allied Producers (Oxide)

Lynas Corp, Kuantan, Malaysia
 • Industry Perception: Largest source of high purity rare earth oxide outside China. Facility has a
   prior history of radioactive contamination. Government issuance of three-year facility permit
   could limit risk of production delays caused by prior permitting issues.

Lynas Corp/Blue Line Corp (TX) joint venture

  • Industry Perception: Awarded IBAS contract. U.S. presence. Dedicated to medium and heavy
    oxide production. Lynas is dependent on $350 million investment.

NPM Silmet AS, Estonia (Neo Materials)

 • Industry Perception: Parent company (Neo Materials) relies on its
  Chinese operations. Environmental concerns. Lacks sufficient waste
  storage required to store radioactive byproduct in order to continue
  production.

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Domestic and Allied Producers (Metal)

Eutectix Corp, Troy, MI/Tolleson, AZ
   • Industry Perception: Has limited equipment available. Exited rare earth market after Molycorp bankruptcy.

Materion Corp, Mayfield Heights, OH
 • Industry Perception: Large U.S. company headquartered in Ohio with a history of supplying rare metals to U.S.
   military. Limited rare earth experience. Feedstock supply uncertain.

Less Common Metals, United Kingdom
 • Industry Perception: Extensive experience with rare earth metals. Dependent on Chinese feedstock. Small producer
   with limited U.S. military experience.

NPM Silmet AS, Estonia (Neo Materials)
 • Industry Perception: Experience with rare earth metals. Parent company (Neo
   Materials) relies on its Chinese operations. Potentially subject to Russian pressure.
   Focus is on non-rare earth metals production. Environmental concerns.

Smaller rare earth metal producers are located in Brazil and Thailand as well, but they
provide only a small part of the supply chain.

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Domestic Producers (Alloy)

Eutectix Corp, Troy, MI/Tolleson, AZ
  • Industry Perception: Has equipment already available. Exited rare earth market after Molycorp
    bankruptcy and has expressed desire to avoid further rare earth exposure.

Electron Energy Corp, Landisville, PA
  • Industry Perception: U.S. military supplier of REE magnets since 1970. U.S. presence. Only
    produces SmCo, not NdFeB

Urban Mining Corp, San Marcos, TX

  • Industry Perception: Recycling technology can provide “closed-
    loop” NdFeB alloys without Chinese feedstock. Still developing
    commercial-scale production. Only provides NdFeB.

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Producers (SmCo Magnets)

Electron Energy Corp, Landisville, PA
  • Industry Perception: U.S. military supplier since 1970. Compliant with all U.S. sourcing laws.

Arnold Magnetics, Rochester, NY

  • Industry Perception: U.S. military supply experience. Produces SmCo
    magnets in China.

Vacuumschmelze, Germany

  • Industry Perception: U.S. military supply experience. Compliant with U.S.
    sourcing laws. Commercial focus.

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Producers (NdFeB Magnets)

Urban Mining Company, San Marcos, TX
  • Industry Perception: Awarded contract from DPA Title III Office to produce NdFeB magnets.
    Recycling technology allows “closed-loop” production not dependent on Chinese feedstock.

Hitachi Corp, Japan
  • Industry Perception: Current non-Chinese supplier of NdFeB
    magnets. History of aggressive behavior towards other Western
    attempts to develop NdFeB sources. Not transparent or open about
    sourcing.

Vacuumschmelze, Germany

  • Industry Perception: Current U.S. military supplier for NdFeB.
    Only compliant for one grade of NdFeB and for sales of this grade
    in large quantities. Dependent on Hitachi patent license.
    Commercial focus.

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Concerns for U.S. Industry

  • Limited stable or non-Chinese ore and oxide supply
      ○ Only one U.S. producer, currently sends feedstock to
          foreign suppliers to process U.S. mined material.
      ○ Wholly domestic producers cannot supply the
          entire market alone
  • Limited number of U.S. magnet suppliers
      ○ Only 1 U.S. facility for SmCo
      ○ First U.S. NdFeB magnet manufacturer
         coming online
  • Limited U.S. alloy capacity
      ○ Only 2-3% of global alloy capacity, and dependent on
          on foreign markets and supply chains
  • No U.S. metal manufacturing
      ○ Industry is still almost entirely concentrated in China

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Government Statements on REEs

 Ellen Lord:                                    Mike Pompeo:
•    August 26, 2019 Press Briefing:            •  March 26, 2020 Interview: "When it comes to important material
     "We have been focused on rare                 things that the United States needs for its own security...I would
     earths for quite some time...The              add rare earth minerals, I would add a host of other things that are
     challenge is really the processing            really central to American security. We need to fundamentally
     of them and having facilities to do           review our supply chains and make sure that we know those
     that. Because quite often, China              supply chains and have control over them for moments just like
     mines them elsewhere and brings               this."
     them back to China to process              •  September 26, 2019: "...we must also pursue new sources of these
     them...We're concerned about any              critical minerals."
     fragility in the supply chain, and
     especially where an adversary               Letter from Senators to Secretary Esper:
     controls the supply."                       •   April 24, 2020: “It is clear that our dependence on China for
•    April 2018: Lord said that US                   vital rare earths threatens our U.S. manufacturing and defense
     reliance on China for critical                  industrial base. As the October 2018 Defense Industrial Base
     minerals is "quite alarming…we                  (DIB) Report states: ‘China represents a significant and
     have an amazing amount of                       growing risk to the supply of materials deemed strategic and
     dependency on China. We are                     critical to U.S. national security.’ […] Ensuring a U.S. supply of
     sole sources for rare earth                     domestically sourced rare earths will reduce our vulnerability to
     minerals, some energetics,                      supply disruptions that poses a grave risk to our military
     different things. This is a problem             readiness.” (Senators McSally, Cruz, Barrasso, Cotton, Enzi, and
     for us as we move forward."                     Gardner).

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Government Rare Earth Studies

             • USGS and Department of Interior – Rare Earths are
               “critical minerals”

             • DLA-SM – Rare earths are critical and in shortfall

             • Department of Energy – Rare earths are critical

             • GAO – Reporting on rare earths could be improved

             • Bottom line: Government has studied the rare earth
               issue for more than a decade and come to a
               consensus position — rare earths are critical
               materials!

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10 U.S.C. §2533c

             • The FY19 NDAA included the first law prohibiting
               purchase of Chinese rare earth magnets: 10 U.S.C. §2533c
               (now codified at 10 U.S.C §4871)
             • Requires DoD to avoid purchasing magnets “produced” in
               China and other foreign adversarial nations
                 ○ This applies to the sintering or bonding process —
                     allows use of Chinese ores, concentrates, and oxides
                     (due to lack of alternatives)
                 ○ Incentivizes development of American solutions
             • Disrupts the distributor/fabricator model, which depends
               on magnets manufactured in China and then “cut” in U.S.
               or Japan
             • Incentivizes recycling of magnets within the U.S.

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Recent Rare Earth Policy Developments

               •   2019: Five Presidential Determinations declaring REEs critical to
                   national security and authorizing Defense Production Act (DPA)
                   Title III investment to establish capabilities for:
                     1. Light Rare Earth Elements (LREE)
                     2. Heavy Rare Earth Elements (HREE)
                     3. Rare Earth Metals and Alloys
                     4. NdFeB Rare Earth Magnets
                     5. Samarium Cobalt Rare Earth Magnets
               •   2020: DoD issues HREE/LREE contracts for REE production:
                      ○ Lynas / Blue Line joint venture
                      ○ MP Materials
               •   Also in 2020: DoD awards Urban Mining Company DPA contract
                   to produce NdFeB Rare Earth Magnets
               •   September 2020: Trump White House issues Executive Order
                   intended to spur REE mining
               •   February 2021: Biden White House issues “Executive Order on
                   America’s Supply Chains” calling for REE supply chain analysis

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Future Outlook

             • Rare earth investment market has not recovered from the
               bankruptcy of Molycorp, though MP Materials has taken
               over its former Mountain Pass mine with stated plans to
               provide fully integrated REE separation by 2022

             • Lynas is the only allied company currently mining and
               refining oxide

             • Recycling offers intriguing possibilities, but currently only
               projected to apply to one set of magnets

             • China unlikely to give up its monopoly position willingly,
               and will likely continue to use its power to push in to
               higher-value downstream applications

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U.S. Government Options

  DPA Investment          WTO Action                      Substitution       Continued Protection
                                                                               for Non-Chinese
Targeted investments    Counterproductive              Low-hanging fruit           Suppliers
 can reinvigorate the      the first time,             gone, and has not
supply chain both on     probably not an              produced significant   •   SmCo protected
selected projects and    effective strategy                 results              under 2533b and
 in adjacent sectors.                                                            2533c
    2533c creates                                                            •   NdFeB protected
   important U.S.                                                                under 2533c
  demand to sustain                                                          •   Non-magnet
     entry of new                                                                REE uses still
  domestic NdFeB                                                                 mostly
  suppliers into the                                                             unprotected
        market

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Green & Co. Recommendations

   1. Fully fund DPA Title III account for REE projects
   2. Invest in right domestic sources for HREEs
       ○ Lynas/Blue Line reliant on foreign feedstock from
         Australia
       ○ Prioritize innovative solvent extraction technology to achieve
         cost-competitiveness with China
   3. Release pending “Rare Earth Metals and Alloys” DPA Title III
       solicitation
   4. Establish buffer stocks or stockpile REE concentrate and REE
   master alloy and/or magnets
   5. Support tax incentives, liability protections, expand coverage of
   2533c and other actions to develop domestic production of REEs

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Conclusion

                          • Rare earths are critical to national
                            security
                          • Despite some progress since 2010,
                            China remains dominant in the supply
                            chain
                          • The private sector cannot and will not
                            solve U.S. military REE supply chain
                            insecurity on its own
                          • But innovative solutions to portions of
                            the supply chain do exist
                          • Government must find ways to get
                            involved, but there are no quick fixes
                          • Government should prioritize truly
                            domestic projects for investment

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Acknowledgements

                            A special thanks to our partners and
                           outside advisors for their contributions
                            and peer review of this presentation.

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Contact Information

                                          Questions? Contact us.
                                                (202) 546-0388
                                        jagadmin@jagreenco.com

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