RARE EARTH ELEMENTS An Overview of Supply Chain Issues - PRODUCED BY - Washington, DC
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Table of Contents 1. Introduction to Rare Earths ○ Total Global Output ○ Applications 2. The U.S. Industrial Base Rare Earth ○ Simplified Supply Chain Element Metal ○ Rare Earth Elements (REEs) & Defense Supply Chain ○ Supplier Profiles ○ Supply Chain Diagrams ○ Concerns for U.S. Industry 3. Major Rare Earth Government Policy ○ Government Statements ○ Government Studies ○ 10 U.S.C. §2533c ○ Recent Policy Developments 4. Planning Ahead: Obstacles and Opportunities ○ Future Outlook Disclaimer: This presentation should ○ U.S. Government Options not be treated as an exhaustive or latest ○ Green & Co. Recommendations overview of the rare earth supply chain. 5. Conclusions Not for distribution without permission 2
Introduction to Rare Earth Elements • 17 total: Light Medium Heavy • Rare is a misnomer. To economically process is “rare” • Radioactivity typical around deposits (thorium) Not for distribution without permission 3
Rare Earth Ore Output in 2020 Others Metric 7% World United Country Tons Total States REO* 16% Australia 17,000e 7% China Australia 58% 7% Burma 30,000e 12% China 140,000e 57.5% Burma 12% United 38,000e 15.6% States Total rare earth mine production was approx 243,300 tons in 2020. However, these figures do Others 18,300e 7.5% not account for illegal production in China, once *REO = Rare Earth Oxide equivalent estimated to exceed 40,000 tons per annum. E = Estimated Source: USGS Mineral Commodity Summary, 2021 Not for distribution without permission 4
Select REE Defense Applications MILSTAR & M1 Abrams Electromagnetic Successor Railgun Programs JDAM AEGIS Combat Night Vision System Googles Not for distribution without permission 5
Select REE Energy and Commercial Applications Wind Turbines HDDS Televisions Compact Fluorescent Light Bulbs Automotive / Electric / Hybrid Vehicles Fluid Catalytic Industrial Motors Cracking in Petroleum Refining Not for distribution without permission 6
Simplified Supply Chain • Ore is mined and REE minerals concentrated, usually at mine site ○ Mineral concentrate is processed to remove impurities • Oxide preparation historically requires significant investment (as much as $500 million or $20-40k per MT in planned output), significant energy, and environmental mitigation • Metal production is dominated by China • Magnet production is dominated by China with Japanese and U.S. sources for SmCo and NdFeB • Some alloy and magnet production in the U.S., but small by worldwide standards Co-located Magnet Ore Concentrate Oxide Metal Alloy Production Production Not for distribution without permission 7
REEs and the Defense Supply Chain Chinese Exports Toyota, Nissan, Honda, & GM have moved R&D and RE-intensive electric vehicle engine production facilities to China since 2011 US Military Customer Exploration/Mining End Product: Concentrate RE Magnets OEM/Prime Subcontractor Alloy Oxide Metal Major Ore Sy Magnet Magnet ste Manufacturer Distributor/ m sI Fabricator nte hain gra C t ion ply p Su Not for distribution without permission 8
Metals, Alloys, and Powders Supply Oxides Metals, Alloys, and Powders Northern Rare Earth Lynas Corp Group High-Tech Less Common Metals Shin-Etsu Co Oil, Gas, and Ganzhou Southern Neo Materials Metals Showa Denko Rare Earth Mining Co National Corp. Aluminum Corp of CAS Key Xiamen Tungsten Co Santoku China Laboratory Guangdong Zhe Jian Zhao-Ri-Ke China Minmetals Zhujiang Rare Magnet Sumitomo Corporation Earths Co Industries Solvay Neo Materials Not for distribution without permission 9
NdFeB Magnet Supply Chain Reliant on Chinese REO Potentially Supply Chain Beijing Jingci San Huan New Material Dexter Magnetic Dura Magnetism Adams 75% Global Production Thinova Magnetic Technology High-Tech Technologies Oxides Advanced Integrated Zhejiang Tinnau Technologies Ningbo Yunshen Force Field Bunting Magnetcs & Materials Magnetic Ningbo Lihe Ningbo Co-Star Component Permanent Material High Hitachi Metals KJ Magnetics Magnetic Engineering Tech Materials Proposed Production Ningbo Vacuumschm- Allstar Magnet Sales Xionghai Metals, Shin Etsu TDK elze GmbH Magnetics Alloys, Powders Compass Stanford Magnets & Urban Mining Quadrant Magnetics Company Components NdFeB NdFeB Magnet Magnet Distributor & U.S. Customer Manufacturer Fabricator (Sales from Distributors or Manufacturer-direct) Not for distribution without permission 10
SmCo Magnet Supply Chain Ningbo Lihe Chengdu Magnetic Vacuumschm- Material Science & Integrated Permanent elze GmbH Adams Technology Magnets Magnetic Oxides Materials Ningbo Dexter Magnetic 60% Global Production Zhejiang Tinnau Shin Etsu Xionghai Magnet Sales Supply Chain Reliant Technologies Magnetics on Chinese REO Ningbo Co-Star Compass Stanford Material High Arnold Magnetic Quadrant Magnets & Magnetics Tech Components Magnetic Dura Ningbo Ninggang Electron Energy Applied Perm. Magnetic Component Magnetics Metals, Corp Engineering Magnets Alloys, Materials Powders Nanjing Bunting Chuangken Industry Co. SmCo SmCo Magnet Magnet Distributor & U.S. Customer Manufacturer Fabricator (Sales from Distributors or Manufacturer-direct) Not for distribution without permission 11
Domestic and Allied Producers (Ores & Concentrates) Mount Weld, Australia and Kauntan, Malaysia (Lynas Corp) • Industry Perception: Currently in operation. Largest non-Chinese REE oxide producer. Resource skews “light”. Kuantan facility has prior history of radioactive contamination with local popular and government support lacking, leading to production delays. Mountain Pass, CA (MP Materials) • Industry Perception: Historic U.S. producer of rare earths, with equipment and facilities on-site from previous efforts. Good transportation networks. Resource skews light and separation efficacy has yet to be proven. Was awarded DPA Title III contract in 2020 for rare earth separation and processing. Bokan Mountain, AK (Ucore Rare Metals) Please note that these brief profiles • Industry Perception: Possesses Rapid SX technology to cost-effectively separate REEs. on current and prospective REE Still undeveloped. Resource skews heavy, significant State of Alaska financial support. producers are not intended to be a complete analysis of each project. Bear Lodge, WY (Rare Element Resources) • Industry Perception: U.S. ownership. Skews “light.” Still undeveloped. Round Top, TX (Texas Mineral Resources Corp) • Industry Perception: Utilizes Continuous Ion Exchange (CIX) process. Still undeveloped. Browns Range, Australia (Northern Minerals) • Industry Perception: Skews “heavy.” Depends on Australian government loan forbearance. May depend on Chinese customers. Not for distribution without permission 12
Domestic and Allied Producers (Oxide) Lynas Corp, Kuantan, Malaysia • Industry Perception: Largest source of high purity rare earth oxide outside China. Facility has a prior history of radioactive contamination. Government issuance of three-year facility permit could limit risk of production delays caused by prior permitting issues. Lynas Corp/Blue Line Corp (TX) joint venture • Industry Perception: Awarded IBAS contract. U.S. presence. Dedicated to medium and heavy oxide production. Lynas is dependent on $350 million investment. NPM Silmet AS, Estonia (Neo Materials) • Industry Perception: Parent company (Neo Materials) relies on its Chinese operations. Environmental concerns. Lacks sufficient waste storage required to store radioactive byproduct in order to continue production. Not for distribution without permission 13
Domestic and Allied Producers (Metal) Eutectix Corp, Troy, MI/Tolleson, AZ • Industry Perception: Has limited equipment available. Exited rare earth market after Molycorp bankruptcy. Materion Corp, Mayfield Heights, OH • Industry Perception: Large U.S. company headquartered in Ohio with a history of supplying rare metals to U.S. military. Limited rare earth experience. Feedstock supply uncertain. Less Common Metals, United Kingdom • Industry Perception: Extensive experience with rare earth metals. Dependent on Chinese feedstock. Small producer with limited U.S. military experience. NPM Silmet AS, Estonia (Neo Materials) • Industry Perception: Experience with rare earth metals. Parent company (Neo Materials) relies on its Chinese operations. Potentially subject to Russian pressure. Focus is on non-rare earth metals production. Environmental concerns. Smaller rare earth metal producers are located in Brazil and Thailand as well, but they provide only a small part of the supply chain. Not for distribution without permission 14
Domestic Producers (Alloy) Eutectix Corp, Troy, MI/Tolleson, AZ • Industry Perception: Has equipment already available. Exited rare earth market after Molycorp bankruptcy and has expressed desire to avoid further rare earth exposure. Electron Energy Corp, Landisville, PA • Industry Perception: U.S. military supplier of REE magnets since 1970. U.S. presence. Only produces SmCo, not NdFeB Urban Mining Corp, San Marcos, TX • Industry Perception: Recycling technology can provide “closed- loop” NdFeB alloys without Chinese feedstock. Still developing commercial-scale production. Only provides NdFeB. Not for distribution without permission 15
Producers (SmCo Magnets) Electron Energy Corp, Landisville, PA • Industry Perception: U.S. military supplier since 1970. Compliant with all U.S. sourcing laws. Arnold Magnetics, Rochester, NY • Industry Perception: U.S. military supply experience. Produces SmCo magnets in China. Vacuumschmelze, Germany • Industry Perception: U.S. military supply experience. Compliant with U.S. sourcing laws. Commercial focus. Not for distribution without permission 16
Producers (NdFeB Magnets) Urban Mining Company, San Marcos, TX • Industry Perception: Awarded contract from DPA Title III Office to produce NdFeB magnets. Recycling technology allows “closed-loop” production not dependent on Chinese feedstock. Hitachi Corp, Japan • Industry Perception: Current non-Chinese supplier of NdFeB magnets. History of aggressive behavior towards other Western attempts to develop NdFeB sources. Not transparent or open about sourcing. Vacuumschmelze, Germany • Industry Perception: Current U.S. military supplier for NdFeB. Only compliant for one grade of NdFeB and for sales of this grade in large quantities. Dependent on Hitachi patent license. Commercial focus. Not for distribution without permission 17
Concerns for U.S. Industry • Limited stable or non-Chinese ore and oxide supply ○ Only one U.S. producer, currently sends feedstock to foreign suppliers to process U.S. mined material. ○ Wholly domestic producers cannot supply the entire market alone • Limited number of U.S. magnet suppliers ○ Only 1 U.S. facility for SmCo ○ First U.S. NdFeB magnet manufacturer coming online • Limited U.S. alloy capacity ○ Only 2-3% of global alloy capacity, and dependent on on foreign markets and supply chains • No U.S. metal manufacturing ○ Industry is still almost entirely concentrated in China Not for distribution without permission 18
Government Statements on REEs Ellen Lord: Mike Pompeo: • August 26, 2019 Press Briefing: • March 26, 2020 Interview: "When it comes to important material "We have been focused on rare things that the United States needs for its own security...I would earths for quite some time...The add rare earth minerals, I would add a host of other things that are challenge is really the processing really central to American security. We need to fundamentally of them and having facilities to do review our supply chains and make sure that we know those that. Because quite often, China supply chains and have control over them for moments just like mines them elsewhere and brings this." them back to China to process • September 26, 2019: "...we must also pursue new sources of these them...We're concerned about any critical minerals." fragility in the supply chain, and especially where an adversary Letter from Senators to Secretary Esper: controls the supply." • April 24, 2020: “It is clear that our dependence on China for • April 2018: Lord said that US vital rare earths threatens our U.S. manufacturing and defense reliance on China for critical industrial base. As the October 2018 Defense Industrial Base minerals is "quite alarming…we (DIB) Report states: ‘China represents a significant and have an amazing amount of growing risk to the supply of materials deemed strategic and dependency on China. We are critical to U.S. national security.’ […] Ensuring a U.S. supply of sole sources for rare earth domestically sourced rare earths will reduce our vulnerability to minerals, some energetics, supply disruptions that poses a grave risk to our military different things. This is a problem readiness.” (Senators McSally, Cruz, Barrasso, Cotton, Enzi, and for us as we move forward." Gardner). Not for distribution without permission 19
Government Rare Earth Studies • USGS and Department of Interior – Rare Earths are “critical minerals” • DLA-SM – Rare earths are critical and in shortfall • Department of Energy – Rare earths are critical • GAO – Reporting on rare earths could be improved • Bottom line: Government has studied the rare earth issue for more than a decade and come to a consensus position — rare earths are critical materials! Not for distribution without permission 20
10 U.S.C. §2533c • The FY19 NDAA included the first law prohibiting purchase of Chinese rare earth magnets: 10 U.S.C. §2533c (now codified at 10 U.S.C §4871) • Requires DoD to avoid purchasing magnets “produced” in China and other foreign adversarial nations ○ This applies to the sintering or bonding process — allows use of Chinese ores, concentrates, and oxides (due to lack of alternatives) ○ Incentivizes development of American solutions • Disrupts the distributor/fabricator model, which depends on magnets manufactured in China and then “cut” in U.S. or Japan • Incentivizes recycling of magnets within the U.S. Not for distribution without permission 21
Recent Rare Earth Policy Developments • 2019: Five Presidential Determinations declaring REEs critical to national security and authorizing Defense Production Act (DPA) Title III investment to establish capabilities for: 1. Light Rare Earth Elements (LREE) 2. Heavy Rare Earth Elements (HREE) 3. Rare Earth Metals and Alloys 4. NdFeB Rare Earth Magnets 5. Samarium Cobalt Rare Earth Magnets • 2020: DoD issues HREE/LREE contracts for REE production: ○ Lynas / Blue Line joint venture ○ MP Materials • Also in 2020: DoD awards Urban Mining Company DPA contract to produce NdFeB Rare Earth Magnets • September 2020: Trump White House issues Executive Order intended to spur REE mining • February 2021: Biden White House issues “Executive Order on America’s Supply Chains” calling for REE supply chain analysis Not for distribution without permission 22
Future Outlook • Rare earth investment market has not recovered from the bankruptcy of Molycorp, though MP Materials has taken over its former Mountain Pass mine with stated plans to provide fully integrated REE separation by 2022 • Lynas is the only allied company currently mining and refining oxide • Recycling offers intriguing possibilities, but currently only projected to apply to one set of magnets • China unlikely to give up its monopoly position willingly, and will likely continue to use its power to push in to higher-value downstream applications Not for distribution without permission 23
U.S. Government Options DPA Investment WTO Action Substitution Continued Protection for Non-Chinese Targeted investments Counterproductive Low-hanging fruit Suppliers can reinvigorate the the first time, gone, and has not supply chain both on probably not an produced significant • SmCo protected selected projects and effective strategy results under 2533b and in adjacent sectors. 2533c 2533c creates • NdFeB protected important U.S. under 2533c demand to sustain • Non-magnet entry of new REE uses still domestic NdFeB mostly suppliers into the unprotected market Not for distribution without permission 24
Green & Co. Recommendations 1. Fully fund DPA Title III account for REE projects 2. Invest in right domestic sources for HREEs ○ Lynas/Blue Line reliant on foreign feedstock from Australia ○ Prioritize innovative solvent extraction technology to achieve cost-competitiveness with China 3. Release pending “Rare Earth Metals and Alloys” DPA Title III solicitation 4. Establish buffer stocks or stockpile REE concentrate and REE master alloy and/or magnets 5. Support tax incentives, liability protections, expand coverage of 2533c and other actions to develop domestic production of REEs Not for distribution without permission 25
Conclusion • Rare earths are critical to national security • Despite some progress since 2010, China remains dominant in the supply chain • The private sector cannot and will not solve U.S. military REE supply chain insecurity on its own • But innovative solutions to portions of the supply chain do exist • Government must find ways to get involved, but there are no quick fixes • Government should prioritize truly domestic projects for investment Not for distribution without permission 26
Acknowledgements A special thanks to our partners and outside advisors for their contributions and peer review of this presentation. Not for distribution without permission 27
Contact Information Questions? Contact us. (202) 546-0388 jagadmin@jagreenco.com Not for distribution without permission 28
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