Quarterly Outlook, January 2021 - BGR Group

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Quarterly Outlook, January 2021 - BGR Group
Quarterly Outlook, January 2021
BGR Group
Quarterly Outlook, January 2021 - BGR Group
TABLE OF CONTENTS

    I. Overview.....................................................3
    II. Bipartisan Take..........................................5
    III. International.............................................7
    IV. Health and Life Sciences .........................8
    V. Commerce.................................................9
    VI. Financial Services...................................10
    VII. State Advocacy
    and Government Marketing........................11
    VIII. Public Relations....................................12
    APPENDIX 1:
    Potential Committee Chairs
    and Ranking Members in U.S. Senate........13
    APPENDIX II:
    2021 Congressional Calendar.....................14

    CONTACT US
    601 13th St. NW
    Washington, DC 20005
    www.bgrdc.com

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Quarterly Outlook, January 2021 - BGR Group
Quarterly Report, JANUARY 2021       BGRDC.com

I. Overview
THERE WILL BE A 50-50 SENATE
Democrats have pulled off a huge upset and flipped both
                                                                    KEY DATES
of Georgia’s U.S. Senate seats out of Republican hands.
This sets up a rare but not unprecedented 50-50 split in
the Senate. When Vice President-elect Kamala Harris is              117th Congress
officially sworn in on January 20 and her replacement
as senator takes office, she will become the tie-breaking              Q1 2021
vote in the Senate. This gives the Democrats a majority.

                                                              JANUARY 20:
HOW WILL IT WORK?
                                                              United States Presidential
The last time the Senate operated under a 50-50 split was
                                                              Inauguration
after the 2000 election. At that time, Democratic Leader
Tom Daschle (D-S.D.) and Republican Leader Trent Lott
(R-Miss.) formed a power-sharing agreement to guide
the chamber’s operations. Because Republicans held the
                                                              LATE JANUARY / EARLY FEBRUARY
presidency, Lott was recognized as de-facto Majority          (DATE TBD):
Leader. Committees had an equal number of Republicans         State of the Union
and Democrats. In the event of a tie vote in committees,
the Majority or Minority Leader moved to discharge the
committee from further consideration and that request
                                                              FIRST MONDAY OF FEBRUARY,
could not be blocked by a filibuster. The Majority Leader
maintained control of the Senate agenda, but both parties
                                                              WHICH IN 2021 IS FEBRUARY 1:
determined general consideration. The power-sharing           Deadline for FY 2022 budget
agreement noted: “Senate Rules do not prohibit the right      submission to Congress (note that
of the Democratic Leader, or any other Senator, to move
                                                              the “President’s Budget” has been
to proceed to any item.” This agreement was in place until
Sen. Jim Jeffords of Vermont switched parties to align with
                                                              delayed the last two Presidential
Democrats giving them a 51-49 majority. It is too early to    transition years 2008 and 2016)
tell what a power- sharing agreement will look like in the
117th Congress but 2001 could be a guide.
                                                              APRIL 15:

WHO WILL MATTER?                                              Deadline for Congress to agree to a
                                                              concurrent budget resolution
In the current 50-50 Senate, Democratic Leader Chuck
Schumer (D-N.Y.) would be de-facto Majority Leader.
His control will be tenuous, not just of the Senate but
of his own caucus as well. Schumer is up for reelection
in 2022 and could face a primary challenge from Rep-
resentative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), a leader
of the progressive wing of the Democratic Party. Rep.
                                                                                                    3
Quarterly Outlook, January 2021 - BGR Group
Ocasio-Cortez and her allies want to abolish the         able Care Act and potentially addressing climate
    filibuster to ease passage of progressive priorities.    change. Even so, Democrats’ more-controversial
    Senators Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), Jon Tester (D-           policies will be hard to approve. For reconciliation
    Mont.), and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) have previ-         to be successful, Democratic Senators will have
    ously said they would oppose any push to abolish         to vote in lockstep. Democrats will have to do the
    the filibuster. But reforms are possible. These could    same in the House of Representatives where their
    include expanding the minority’s ability to offer        majority is also very thin. Republicans’ ability to
    amendments and restructuring consideration of            block legislation is enhanced by this arithmetic.
    non-controversial legislation. Any such changes
                                                             The Democratic majority could also employ the
    would require all 50 Democratic Senators to vote
                                                             Congressional Review Act to rescind Trump Ad-
    together and would require Schumer to employ
                                                             ministration rules (including qualifying guid-
    the filibuster-breaking “nuclear option” to approve
                                                             ance) promulgated prior to June 1, 2020 if they
    these changes with a simple majority. Schumer will
                                                             were not submitted to Congress. This would give
    have to weigh multiple calculations in deciding
                                                             the Biden administration another tool to reverse
    how hard he will push for these changes.
                                                             Trump-era policies. Potential targets will include
    Even though Democrats will assume nominal con-           recent environmental rules, an Securities and Ex-
    trol of Washington, moderate Republicans will see        change Commission rule raising thresholds for
    their influence grow. The most prominent GOP             shareholder proposals so political activists can’t
    moderates include Senators Susan Collins (R-             buy a small stake in a company to extract political
    Maine), Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) and Mitt Rom-          demands, a Comptroller of Currency rule aimed
    ney (R-Utah). These and other centrist Senators          at preventing banks from being pressured to cut
    such as Democrats Manchin, Sinema, and Delaware          off loans to coal companies, an order for Arctic
    Senator Chris Coons could be pivotal dealmakers.         oil drilling and other fossil fuel projects and a
    They all have strong relationships with President-       Department of Labor rule recognizing expanded
    elect Joe Biden from his time in the Senate.             religious defenses to claims of alleged unlawful
                                                             discrimination in employment.

    WHAT WILL BE ON THE                                      Democrats will also assume the chairmanships of
                                                             committees. Committee oversight will shift from
    AGENDA?                                                  the executive branch to corporate America and
    Democratic control will create an easier path to         investigations into the conduct of the Trump Ad-
    confirmation for President-elect Biden’s Cabinet         ministration. Look for Democrats to concentrate
    nominees, including judges, and for more robust          on companies that benefited from CARES fund-
    COVID-19 relief packages, including state and lo-        ing, the small-business PPP loan program and the
    cal government relief, expanded unemployment,            Trump tax cuts. They will also train their sights on
    additional direct payments and expanded interna-         the fracking industry, Wall Street and for-profit
    tional aid. A large infrastructure package, includ-      healthcare ventures to highlight health care afford-
    ing significant energy and environmental mea-            ability and expanded consumer protections. Big
    sures, will also have a greater chance of passage.       tech and big telecom will both have their hands full
    The Biden Administration could use infrastructure        in a 50-50 Senate. Members from both sides of the
    legislation to carry enhanced investments in re-         aisle have been vocal in their criticism of big tech in
    newable energy, charging stations, weatherization        particular. Both Democrats and Republicans have
    and green building technologies. It could also be        concerns about Section 230’s free-speech protec-
    a vehicle for extra funding in rural broadband and       tions of social media platforms as well as antitrust
    school construction.                                     and privacy issues.
    Given their majority status, Democrats will be well      With the tightest majorities in recent history, Dem-
    positioned to employ the fast-track reconcilia-          ocrats will have control but little margin for error.
    tion process to pass legislative priorities, including   They will still need to work with Republicans to get
    changes to the tax code, shoring up the Afford-          things done.
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Quarterly Outlook, January 2021 - BGR Group
Quarterly Report, JANUARY 2021       BGRDC.com

II. Bipartisan Take

     BIDEN RIGHT MAN FOR THIS                               REPUBLICANS RETAIN
     TIME IN WASHINGTON                                     INFLUENCE IN 2021
     BY CHAY ENGLISH                                        BY JENNIFER LARKIN LUKAWSKI

                          Official Washington and the                            The 2020 election results re-
                          Biden-Harris administration                            flect how deeply divided our
                          are facing a slim Democratic                           nation is. While Democrats
                          majority in the House (cur-                            won the White House by re-
                          rently 222-211 with a few re-                          versing gains made by Presi-
                          maining uncalled races) and a                          dent Trump in the Midwest
                          50-50 Senate.                                          and expanding support in the
                                                                                 Sun Belt, voters in key swing
                         As a former senator and vice
                                                                                 states such as Florida, Iowa
                         president,      President-elect
                                                                                 and Ohio rejected the left-
                         Biden is well qualified to navi-
                                                                               leaning agenda of the Demo-
                     gate these shoals. He represents
                                                            cratic Party. Democrats are poised to achieve a
     the old guard of the Senate and prides himself on
                                                            50-50 split in the Senate by flipping both of Geor-
     his ability to work with Republicans to get things
                                                            gia’s Senate seats out of Republican hands but will
     done. During the Obama administration, he was
                                                            be walking a tightrope as they manage the slim-
     often dispatched to Capitol Hill to try and build
                                                            mest majority possible. Republicans, meanwhile,
     bipartisan support for the White House’s agenda
                                                            defied expectations by gaining seats in the House
     with some success.
                                                            and maintained and improved their standings in
     Biden is also coming to office after an exhausting     state legislatures across the country.
     and polarized four years. His lower-key approach
                                                            Even as Democrats assume control in the Con-
     could be welcomed as a tonic to the high drama
                                                            gress, Republicans will have a larger voice than
     of the Trump era; he certainly hopes it will be.
                                                            many expect. The loss of the Senate majority is
     During his victory speech, Biden made a plea for
                                                            a gut punch for Republicans to be sure. But in a
     cooperation rather than confrontation. He said:
                                                            50-50 split, power does not rest with the major-
     “The refusal of Democrats and Republicans to co-
                                                            ity alone. Many centrist Republicans will be criti-
     operate with one another is not due to some mys-
                                                            cal to any deal making. The McConnell-Biden

                      English continued on next page                    Lukawski continued on next page

                                                                                                                  5
English continued                          Lukawski continued

    terious force beyond our control.          relationship will also be important.
    It’s a decision. It’s a choice we make.    Chuck Schumer may be the de facto
    And if we can decide not to cooper-        Majority Leader but Mitch McCon-
    ate, then we can decide to cooperate.      nell will continue to flex his parlia-
    And I believe that this is part of the     mentary muscles and will also have a
    mandate from the American people.          direct line to the president.
    They want us to cooperate.”
                                               Given the political stakes in 2022,
    But Biden faces headwinds. Both            McConnell could place a priority on
    lawmakers and their constituents           reaching bi-partisan compromises
    are deeply divided. Bipartisan con-        championed by senators up for re-
    sensus could be found on additional        election. That will put key centrists
    COVID-19 relief legislation and            in the spotlight, such as Senators
    economic stimulus. He might find           Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) and Rob
    votes on both sides of the aisle for       Portman (R-Ohio). Among the is-
    an infrastructure package as well.         sues that could benefit from biparti-
    Another issue with the potential to        san cooperation are criminal justice
    unite disparate groups of legislators      reform, energy legislation, small
    is immigration, which is ripe for          business relief, modest infrastruc-
    modernization and reform. It’s far         ture reforms, higher education and
    too early to predict success on that       expanding rural broadband.
    hot-button issue, however.
                                               Looming over all will be President
    Biden’s cabinet nominations have           Trump. Given how deeply divided
    received mixed reactions. Some             the parties are, President Trump’s re-
    have received praise from the GOP,         fusal to concede the election and his
    including Janet Yellen for Treasury        potential run for the White House in
    Secretary. Others will probably face       2024, Trump will maintain a power-
    significant opposition, such as Neera      ful grip on the Republican Party. He
    Tanden for the Office of Manage-           is also likely to be vocal about how
    ment and Budget. Tough fights are          he thinks Republicans are conduct-
    ahead.                                     ing their business.
    We’re likely to know early how ambi-
    tious the Biden agenda will be. His
    first hundred days will tell if the di-
    visiveness of the past four years is ir-
    reversible or if a new president with
    a long history of bipartisanship can
    bring the country together after a
    stressful four years.
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Quarterly Report, JANUARY 2021        BGRDC.com

III. International
President-elect Biden will work closely with a Democratic House
and Senate to advance his foreign policy goals. However, some of
his priorities could get pushback from incoming Senate Foreign
Relations Committee Chair Bob Menendez (D-N.J.), including if
Biden seeks to reenter or reconstruct the Joint Plan of Compre-
hensive Action (JCPOA) or normalize relations with Cuba.
House Foreign Affairs Committee Chair             leasing the nearly $500 million in funding
Gregory Meeks (D-N.Y.) will likely follow         for the World Health Organization that the
President-elect Biden’s lead on foreign pol-      Trump administration withheld in 2020.
icy more closely. Expect the three to work
                                                  President-elect Biden is intent on restoring
closely on the U.S.-Israeli relationship, re-
                                                  America’s leadership role on global issues.
pairing relationships with NATO and other
                                                  He will seek to lead on issues
multilateral organizations, and restoring
                                                  related to COVID-19 and cli-
morale at the State Department.
                                                  mate change and re-engage with          “President-
The immediate issue before the Senate             multilateral institutions like the
Foreign Relations Committee will be the           European Union, the North At-
                                                                                          elect Biden
nomination hearings of Antony Blinken to          lantic Treaty Organization, and         is intent on
be Secretary of State and Linda Thomas-           the United Nations. Biden has
Greenfield to be U.S. Ambassador to the           also said he intends to rejoin the      restoring
United Nations. For the Pentagon, Con-            World Health Organization. He           America’s
gressional Democrats must push through            may also seek money for CO-
a waiver for General Lloyd Austin (Ret.) to       VID relief abroad.                      leadership
serve as Biden’s Secretary of Defense. Nom-
                                                  Expect a U.S. return to the Paris       role on global
inees for Secretaries of Defense must have
                                                  Climate Accord, a move Biden
spent at least seven years out of the service
                                                  said he would make on day one.
                                                                                          issues. He will seek to
before nomination, and Austin has been
out of the military for only five years.
                                                  While he is not expected to return      lead on issues related to
                                                  to the Iran Nuclear Agreement
While the Senate will initially be largely fo-    immediately, Biden will need            COVID-19 and climate
cused on confirmations, there are other ar-       to decide whether to continue           change and re-engage with
eas to watch in the first quarter. Lawmakers      President Trump’s “maximum
could sanction Russia for massive cyber-at-       pressure” campaign against Iran         multilateral institutions.”
tack by Russia against the U.S. federal gov-      or issue waivers related to certain
ernment, states, and companies in Decem-          sanctions, including exemptions                                   Maya Seiden
ber through new versions of bipartisan bills      for countries importing Iranian                Principal, International Practice
like the Defending America Security from          oil and working with the Iranian
Kremlin Aggression Act or the Defend-             civilian nuclear sector. Toughen-
ing Elections from Threats by Establishing        ing the U.S. stance against Russia
Redlines Act. Republicans could also seek         is also likely to be a priority fol-   CONTACT
to block the Biden Administration from re-        lowing the cyber-attack.               Practice Head Walker Roberts
                                                                                                                                 7
IV. Health and Life Sciences
President-elect Biden’s first 100 days will be dedicated to
battling the pandemic, but other health policies are ripe
for action too.
The COVID conversation will pick up           a more government-centric public health
where it left off regarding funding for       insurance option and making carriers
state and local governments and liability     shoulder more of the financial burden.
protections which were dropped from the       Some of these policies would require leg-
package finalized at the end of 2020. They    islation, which would have a very difficult
will return as top issues for Biden to ad-    path given the tight partisan margins in
dress. The president will also place mask
mandates on people in federal buildings                             “Biden could
and on public transportation. He and his
team will press for more rapid vaccine dis-                         follow the lead of
tribution and administration and greater                            President Trump
protections for schools. Both of these
concepts have bipartisan support, but leg-
                                                                    and try to impose
islative progress could become mired in                             changes through
disputes over how federal dollars will be                           executive orders and
funneled to vaccine distribution networks
and what new COVID-related require-                                 regulations.”
ments or assistance for schools should        Matt Hoffman, BGR Vice President,
look like.
                                              Health and Life Sciences Practice
The December COVID package did not
include significant new money for the
                                              the House and Senate. Others could be
Provider Relief Fund, a problem for many
                                              accomplished through the Budget Rec-
providers, hospitals, facilities and care-
                                              onciliation process with Democrats nar-
givers who continue to struggle with the
                                              rowly controlling both Chambers.
costs of COVID on their practices. More
funding will be a hot topic of debate.        In the previous Congress, committees
                                              in both chambers produced competing
President-elect Biden and his nominee
                                              proposals to reform the way Medicare
for Secretary of Health and Human Ser-
                                              provides seniors with access to prescrip-
vices, Xavier Becerra of California, want
                                              tion drugs. Some of these policies, such as
to strengthen the Affordable Care Act
                                              redesigning Part B coverage or changing
using all tools at their disposal includ-
                                              the way that rebates are allocated across
ing expanding the tax credit available
                                              the supply chain, have bipartisan support.
to purchase health insurance plans and
                                              Biden could also follow the lead of Presi-
changing certain copay and coinsurance
                                              dent Trump and try to impose changes
requirements. They have also proposed
                                              through executive orders and regulations.
       CONTACTS: Practice Co-Head Remy L. Brim, Ph.D.
            Practice Co-Head Brent DelMonte
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Quarterly Report, JANUARY 2021       BGRDC.com

V. Commerce
Infrastructure will be a policy priority in the
first 100 days of the 117th Congress.                                     “Regardless
                                                                          of the clear
It will play a large role in President Biden’s State of the Union ad-
dress and will be adopted as a legislative priority for the Democratic    challenges,
Party across the country. Tension in Washington will exist between        infrastructure
ambitious and expensive Democratic plans and congressional Re-
publicans’ newfound adherence to fiscal restraint.                        represents
President-elect Biden has spoken a lot about his sustainable infra-       a great
structure plan. His quick nomination of Pete Buttigieg as Secretary of
Transportation reinforces his seriousness about infrastructure. The
                                                                          opportunity for
so-called Build Back Better plan would require significant invest-        President-elect Biden and
ments in traditional infrastructure categories such as roads, bridges,
tunnels, airports, waterways, and ports. It would also broaden the        Congressional Republicans
historical definition of infrastructure to include broadband and 5G.      to find common ground
Adding to the urgency for Biden and his supporters will be the
connection between infrastructure investment and combating cli-
                                                                          and move the country
mate change. According to the Environmental Protection Agency,            forward to improve the
the transportation sector is the biggest producer of greenhouse gas
emissions in the United States. For Congress, two competing visions
                                                                          logistical supply chains,
played out in 2020 and serve as a prelude to the 117th Congress. In       which drive the U.S.
the House, congressional Democrats passed a $1.5 trillion compre-
hensive bill that funded infrastructure types that went well beyond       economy while addressing
the traditional definition. In the Senate, the Environment and Public     the coming threat of
Works Committee passed a five-year, $287 billion surface transpor-
tation reauthorization bill, which more closely resembled the tradi-      climate change.”
tional, segmented way Congress has dealt with infrastructure.
                                                                                            Jonathan Mantz
Hanging over the debate is the multi-billion dollar question: How
to pay for it all? After a year of record deficit spending, Senate Re-          Commerce Practice Co-Head
publicans will resist opening the checkbook again for a grand infra-
structure package. Democratic efforts to offset the cost by repeal-
ing pieces of the 2017 tax reform will meet strong opposition from
House and Senate Republicans. Gas taxes and other user fees have
struggled to find public champions in Congress.
Regardless of the clear challenges, infrastructure represents a great
opportunity for President-elect Biden and Congressional Repub-
                                                                         CONTACTS
licans to find common ground and move the country forward to
improve the logistical supply chains which drive the U.S. economy        Practice Co-Head Jonathan Mantz
while addressing the coming threat of climate change.                    Practice Co-Head Erskine Wells
                                                                                                             9
VI. Financial Services
Lawmakers who focus on financial services will have a busy year.
Democrats on Capitol Hill and the Biden administration will
focus on policies that seek to mitigate the devastating economic
impacts of COVID-19 and promote consumer protection efforts.
For their part, Republicans will work to block                   “Biden
Democrats’ efforts to overturn Trump-era fi-
nancial rules and will face an uphill climb try-                 administration
ing to influence rulemaking by regulators in                     regulators
the Biden administration.
                                                                 and their
Before the Biden administration can focus on                     allies will try
policy initiatives, the president will need to
make several key personnel decisions, includ-
                                                                 to approach
ing at agencies as varied as the Consumer Fi-                    the financial
nancial Protection Bureau, the Securities and      services policy agenda in
Exchange Commission, the Commodity Fu-
tures Trading Commission, the Office of the        three broad phases.”
Comptroller of the Currency, and the Federal       Andy Lewin
Housing Finance Agency. The Biden admin-
                                                   Vice President, Financial Services
istration will be constrained in its ability to
choose its own regulators at some agencies be-
cause terms of at least some members don’t ex-
                                                   CONTACTS:
pire until months or even years into the presi-
dent’s term, including at the Federal Reserve.     Practice Co-Head Sean Duffy
The 50-50 split in the Senate will moderate        Practice Co-Head Dan Murphy
some of Biden’s picks, especially the new head
of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.       tending COVID-related provisions that were
However, Democratic control will certainly         included in the year-end legislative package,
ease the path for his nominees.                    including emergency rental assistance and an
Biden administration regulators and their al-      extension of the eviction moratorium. Beyond
lies will try to approach the financial servic-    COVID policy measures, House Financial Ser-
es policy agenda in three broad phases. The        vices Committee Chairwoman Maxine Waters
short-term policy focus will be the response       sent President-elect Biden a nearly 40-page list
to COVID-19. Then will come efforts to undo        of Trump administration rules, guidance and
regulations and the regulatory direction of the    other executive actions that she would like to
Trump era. Third will be such Democratic           reverse. The chairwoman and other congres-
priorities as climate change mitigation and the    sional Democrats will spend time encourag-
opening of banking for cannabis businesses.        ing the administration to deal with these is-
                                                   sues as early in the year as possible, but expect
In the near term, Congress will debate ex-         those fights to last much longer.
10
Quarterly Report, JANUARY 2021         BGRDC.com

VII. State Advocacy
and Government Marketing
Over the past year, state and local leaders have been on the front lines battling
the COVID-19 pandemic and managing its economic fallout. Since the start of
the pandemic, these leaders have sought greater support from the federal govern-
ment to manage the spread of the disease, protect essential workers, restart local
economies and, most importantly, deploy the vaccine.
Massive federal aid sent to state and local governments in        ments about environmental, immigration, health care
2020, which amounted to more than $990 billion, helped            and labor policies. California Attorney General Xavier
address budget shortfalls facing these governments. That          Becerra sued the administration more than 100 times. If
has reduced the risk of additional state and local spending       confirmed as the
cuts. Some larger states and cities, however, continue to         next Secretary of
consider raising taxes to offset the costs of the pandemic.       Health and Hu-       “Blue states
                                                                  man       Services,
President-elect Biden has vowed to work with state and
                                                                  Becerra will be-
                                                                                       will be eager
local leaders on infrastructure, workforce investments,
manufacturing, clean energy and technology initiatives.
                                                                  come the Biden       to embrace
                                                                  Administration’s
He has also named several senior White House staff mem-
                                                                  point person for
                                                                                       the policies
bers and cabinet positions with state and local experience
ranging from former Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm
                                                                  driving change       of the Biden-
                                                                  on a host of sig-
as Energy Secretary to North Carolina Secretary of En-
                                                                  nificant policy      Harris
vironmental Quality Michael Regan as the administrator
of the Environmental Protection Agency to former South
                                                                  priorities – many    Administration after
                                                                  being executed
Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg as Transportation
Secretary.
                                                                  by the very types    four years of fighting
                                                                  of executive ac-
As a result of the November elections, Republicans will           tion he fought
                                                                                       President Trump.”
control 59 of the 98 partisan legislative chambers in the         as attorney gen-                               Loren Monroe
states, including total control in 23 states. In place of work-   eral. Supported
ing collaboratively with the Trump Administration, many           by Vice Presi-           State Advocacy and Government
Republican leaders can be expected to challenge the new           dent-elect Ka-                      Marketing Practice Head
administration’s policies, often led by the 26 GOP attor-         mala Harris and
neys general. There will be increasingly divergent policy         House Speaker
directions between red states and the federal government.         Nancy Pelosi, California will be at the forefront of policy
Conversely, blue states will be eager to embrace the poli-        development. Governor Andrew Cuomo, who quarreled
cies of the Biden-Harris Administration after four years          frequently with Trump, is personally very close to Pres-
of fighting President Trump. There is no clearer example          ident-Elect Biden and has a powerful national voice as
than California. President Trump threatened to sue and            chair of the National Governors Association.
withhold federal funds from California over disagree-
                                  CONTACT: Practice Head Loren Monroe
                                                                                                                                11
VIII. Public Relations
Thanks to the approval and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines,
lockdowns and enforced isolation will soon be in the past. But
some trends started during the pandemic will accelerate, especially
our reliance on digital communications.
Everyone longs for in-person get-togethers.                    “In-person
With continued vigilance, we will be enjoying
more of them soon.                                             meetings
But companies and trade associations will con-                 won’t
tinue to increase their use of webinars, digital               disappear,
marketing, and social media campaigns. These
methods have worked well – and at low cost –
                                                               of course.
with customers, members, and employees.                        But Zoom,
In-person meetings won’t disappear, of course.                 Microsoft
But Zoom, Microsoft Teams, FaceTime and            Teams, FaceTime and
conference-call meetings will become more
frequent, even commonplace.                        conference-call meetings
Word-of-mouth marketing likewise will never        will become more frequent,
go away. And business travel is far from dead.     even commonplace.”
In fact, as soon as the pandemic has run its
course, we should expect a burst of personal       Jeffrey H. Birnbaum
meetings around the world and a lot of crowd-      President, BGR Public Relations
ed celebrations, too.
But reaching target audiences online, espe-        convention centers and conference rooms.
cially through social media posts, will become
                                                   The tendency has been obvious for years. But
the “go-to” rather than the option it was before
                                                   the conversion to virtual from actual meetups
2020. Humans are social beings. We love to
                                                   has been fast-tracked by the requirement of
see each other at receptions, meals, and par-
                                                   physical distancing during COVID.
ties. But we’ve learned that cyber meetups are
easier and cheaper in many circumstances.          Many industries will have to adjust. Airlines
                                                   might have to schedule fewer flights. Com-
These include professional lectures and class-
                                                   mercial real estate will have to rein in some
es. Explanation of complicated issues also can
                                                   ambitions. And in D.C., the trend of conduct-
be done well online, a fact that will mean more
                                                   ing issue campaigns not just in person but,
digital work in capitals like Washington, D.C.
                                                   increasingly, online and via social media ac-
Conferences and trade shows will still have        counts will explode.
their place. But webinars will to continue to
                                                   What was once the eventual future is happen-
grow. Communications will be directed more
                                                   ing right now.
to computer screens and smart phones than
            CONTACT: Practice Head Jeffrey H. Birnbaum
12
Quarterly Report, JANUARY 2021          BGRDC.com

Potential Committee Chairs
and Ranking Members in U.S. Senate
NOTE: These projections based on current term limits for Chairs and Ranking Members. They are subject to change based on a power sharing
agreement to be determined by Senators Chuck Schumer (D- N.Y.) and Mitch McConnell (R – Ky.)

 Committee                                      Chairman                                        Ranking Member

 Aging                                          Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.)                          Sens. Susan Collins (R-Maine) or
                                                                                                Tim Scott (R-S.C.)
 Agriculture, Nutrition, & For-                 Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.)                  Sen. John Boozman (R-Ark.)
 estry
 Appropriations                                 Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.)                      Se. Richard Shelby (R-Ala.)

 Armed Services                                 Sen. Jack Reed (D-R.I.)                         Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-Okla.)

 Banking, Housing, & Urban Af-                  Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio)                     Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.)
 fairs
 Budget                                         Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.)                     Sen. Lindsey Graham (R- S.C.)

 Commerce, Science, & Transpor-                 Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.)                   Sen. Roger Wicker (R-Miss.)
 tation
 Energy & Natural Resources                     Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.)                      Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.)

 Environmental & Public Works                   Sen. Tom Carper (D-Del.)                        Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.)

 Finance                                        Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.)                         Sen. Michael Crapo (R-Idaho)

 Foreign Relations                              Sen. Bob Menendez (D-N.J.)                      Sen. Jim Risch (R-Idaho)

 Health, Education, Labor, & Pen-               Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.)                     Sen. Richard Burr (R-N.C.)
 sions (HELP)
 Homeland Security & Govern-                    Sen. Gary Peters (D-Mich.)                      Senators Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) or
 ment Affairs                                                                                   Rob Portman (R-Ohio)
 Indian Affairs                                 Sens. Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii) or                Sen. John Hoeven (R-N.D.)
                                                Jon Tester (D-Mont.)
 Intelligence                                   Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.)                        Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.)

 Judiciary                                      Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.)                       Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa)

 Rules & Administration                         Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.)                    Sen. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.)

 Small Business                                 Sen. Ben Cardin (D-Md.)                         Sens Tim Scott (R-S.C.) or Rand Paul
                                                                                                (R-Ky.)
 Veteran Affairs                                Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.)                       Sen. Jerry Moran (R- Kan.)

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2021 Congressional Calendar

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