Quarterly Outlook, April 2022 - BGR Group
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Quarterly Outlook, April 2022 BGR Group
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview Overview The Russian invasion of Ukraine has overtaken virtually every Bipartisan Take issue in Washington - from foreign policy to federal spending to the economy. In the past month, President Biden has devoted International significant amounts of time and resources to rallying support for the Ukrainians and imposing severe sanctions on Russians and the Russian government. Commerce The conflict has resulted in an increase in defense spending and another potential increase in the coming KEY DATES year. This comes after nearly two years of large-scale Financial domestic spending to deal with the pandemic. APRIL 18 Services • Face mask mandate on public The situation in Ukraine has exacerbated the economic challenges of inflation and supply chain transportation expires disruptions that resulted from the pandemic. Look for Health executive actions focused on easing financial burdens JUNE 30 like increased fuel prices. • Child Nutrition Waivers expire Meanwhile, in the states, the Biden administration • 1 percent reduction in the Appropriations & has begun to implement its signature achievement, the Medicare Sequester expires Budget Infrastructure Investments and Jobs Act. The admin- istration will also be touting the confirmation of Judge AUGUST 31 Ketanji Brown Jackson to a seat on the Supreme Court. • Student loan deferral and 0 State Her historic confirmation, as the first Black woman to percent interest rate expire Advocacy sit on the court, is expected soon. Many state legisla- tures are wrapping up active legislative sessions cover- SEPTEMBER 30 ing a wide range of topics. Public • Government funding expires Relations Even as the Ukraine conflict continues to dominate • National Flood Insurance headlines, Congress is poised to act on the continu- Program Authorization expires ing response to COVID-19, a global competitiveness measure, and spending bills for the coming fiscal year. • Temporary Assistance for The next three to four months promise to be busy with Needy Families (TANF) and both legislation and regulatory actions. the Child Care Entitlement to States expire The President and Congressional leaders will need to balance a wide range of issues while • Food and Drug Administration trying to increase their political standing with User Fee Programs expire voters ahead of the midterm elections later this • The Agriculture Improvements year. Act of 2018, known as the Farm Bill, expires • FAA Reauthorization Act of 2018 expires • The PEPFAR Extension Act of 2018 expires Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 2
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview 2022 Congressional Calendar Bipartisan January February March Take S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S 1 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 International 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 27 28 27 28 29 30 31 30 31 Commerce April May June S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S 1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 Financial 9 10 11 12 13 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 8 14 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Services 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 29 30 31 26 27 28 29 30 Health July August September S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S Appropriations & 1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 Budget 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 State 25 26 27 28 29 27 28 29 30 24 30 28 29 30 31 25 26 Advocacy 31 October November December Public S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S Relations 1 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 27 28 29 30 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 30 31 Current as of December 14, 2021 IMPORTANT PHONE NUMBERS KEY White House Switchboard (202) 456-1414 House in Session Only U.S. Capitol Switchboard (202) 224-3121 Senate in Session Only Senate Republican Cloakroom (202) 224-6191 House & Senate in Session Senate Democratic Cloakroom (202) 224-4691 The Homer Building 601 13th Street, NW Federal Holiday House Republican Cloakroom (202) 225-7350 Washington, DC 20005 House Democratic Cloakroom (202) 225-7330 202.333.4936 Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 3
Click on the subjects below to view: Political Snapshot Overview Public Opinion Update (as of April 4, 2022): Direction of Country Polling Average Bipartisan Take 27.6% Right Direction 65% Wrong Track Source: RealClear Politics International President Biden’s Average Approval Rating Commerce 40.8% approve 54% disapprove Source: RealClear Politics Financial Services 2022 Generic Congressional Vote Health 45.9% favor Republicans 42.3% favor Democrats Source: RealClear Politics Appropriations & Budget President’s Party Usually Loses Seats in Midterms Gallup presidential approval the week before the midterm Democrat Republican State Advocacy JOHNSON 1966 NIXON 1970 FORD 1974 CARTER 1978 REAGAN 1982 1986 BUSH 1990 1994 CLINTON 1998 G.W. BUSH 2002 2006 OBAMA 2010 2014 TRUMP 2018 66% 63% 63% 58% 58% Public 54% Relations Approval 49% 50% 44% 46% 45% 44% 42% 41% 38% President’s party gain/loss of seats +5 +8 HOUSE -5 -8 -12 -15 -13 -26 -30 -40 -47 -48 -52 -63 +2 +2 +2 +1 SENATE -1 -3 -4 -5 -6 -6 -8 -8 -9 SOURCE: National Journal Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 4
Click on the subjects below to view: Economic Snapshot Overview Jobs Added: 431,000 added in March Bipartisan Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Take Unemployment Rate: 3.6% in March Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics International Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.4% in March Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Commerce Real GDP: Projected to be 1.7% quarter over quarter for Q1 2022; Increased 6.9% Q4 2021 Financial Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Services Consumer Inflation Expectation: 7.9% in February Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Health Fed Interest Rate Increase: As of March 2022, the Fed increased the rates 25 Appropriations & basis points, up to 0.50%. The Fed is expected to raise rates again during the May FOMC Budget meeting. Source: Federal Reserve State Average Cost of Gas: $4.24 for regular; $4.91 for premium Advocacy Source: gasprices.AAA.com Public Relations Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 5
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview Bipartisan Take Bipartisan Take International RUSSIAN INVASION OF UKRAINE CREATING POLICY AND POLITICAL CHALLENGES FOR WASHINGTON One month into the real military threats from Commerce Ukraine-Russia conflict, Russia, China and Iran. Washington policymakers A rethink of bureaucratic are focused on two impor- structures, with a new Financial tant tasks: helping Ukraine emphasis on flexibility and Services and punishing Russia. Aid for efficiency, is needed. This Ukraine includes both mili- new Cold War II is just tary assistance and humani- getting started and many tarian aid. The needs of changes are coming. Health Lester Munson Fred Turner Ukraine’s immediate neigh- BGR PRINCIPAL BGR SR.V.P. One can reasonably bors, who have taken in the expect further actions vast majority of the nearly 4 million Ukrainian from Congress before the end of this year and in Appropriations & refugees, will become an acute challenge in the the coming years. Most immediately, Congress Budget immediate future. The multilateral economic can suspend “Most Favored Nation” trade status sanctions regime on Putin and Russia will for U.S. imports from Russia. President Biden continue to expand, and loopholes that have has already announced support for such legis- State given Putin room to operate will be closed. The lation as the Administration cannot do this by Advocacy West has made clear it is pursuing a sanctions- executive action. Moreover, several Members first strategy. Unfortunately, the conflict does not of Congress have discussed legislation to expel show any signs of letting up. It will dominate for Russia from the World Trade Organization. The Public at least the next six months to a year. repeal of MFN for Russia has already passed the Relations In the long run, the impact of the Russian House but has been slowed down in the Senate. invasion will lead to profound changes in U.S. It’s likely to move sometime this quarter, however. national security policies and resources. While On top of the already full agenda for House the President requested over $800 billion for and Senate leadership this year, the war in national security for 2023, Congress will likely go Ukraine could require Congress to cancel some even farther and increase that number. A conse- of its scheduled work periods outside of Washing- quent increase in resources for the State Depart- ton and/or extend the legislative year beyond the ment, the Intelligence Community and foreign November elections. In the meantime, Congress assistance programs won’t be far behind. will work to confirm a new justice to the Supreme However, these potential budget increases Court, pass comprehensive legislation to counter won’t come without strings attached. Look for China’s industrial rise and the threats posed to House and Senate committees to do a deep dive the U.S. economy, fully fund the government for on priorities and transparency in the coming Fiscal Year 2023, and pass legislation laying out months and beyond. New dollars will come with priorities for national defense. It is a full plate demands for accountability and results. which presents both potential and pitfalls for both parties and the administration. The old methods of dealing with the post- 9/11 world will need to be updated for the new Contact Us reality: the United States and its allies face very Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 6
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview Bipartisan Take International and Trade International THE U.S. IMPOSES ECONOMIC COSTS ON RUSSIA In response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the United Commerce States has sought to act in lockstep with the European Union, the United Kingdom, and as many other partners it can rally to Financial impose unprecedented economic costs on Russia and isolate the Services country from the international community through sanctions, visa restrictions, and export controls. Additionally, the U.S., Health in coordination with EU allies, created a task force within the Department of Justice to prevent Russian elites from evading Appropriations & sanctions, and to target assets associated with corruption owned Budget by Russian elites. The U.S. has imposed export controls on ment. This includes restrictions on semiconduc- State Russia, including Russia-wide denial of exports tors, telecommunications, encryption security, Advocacy of sensitive technology, primarily targeting lasers, sensors, navigation, avionics, maritime the Russian defense, aviation, and maritime technologies, and technologies used for oil and sectors. In addition to sweeping restrictions on gas development – which cuts off an estimate of Public the Russian defense sector, the U.S. government over 50% of Russian high tech imports. The U.S. Relations imposed Russia-wide restrictions on sensitive has also banned Russian energy imports, and U.S. technologies produced in foreign countries prohibited new investments in Russian energy using U.S.-origin software, technology, or equip- production. Continued on next page Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 7
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview “The U.S. remains open to imposing additional export controls and sanctions as the conflict Bipartisan progresses and is currently not communicating Take what would precipitate a reduction in sanctions – likely to provide Ukraine greater leverage as it International negotiates with Russia.” Walker Roberts BGR PRINCIPAL, CO-HEAD OF INTERNATIONAL AND TRADE PRACTICE Commerce Furthermore, the U.S. is working to strip imposed by the United States and its allies, as Russia of its most favored nation / permanent the unprecedented scale of the response will Financial normal trade relations (PNTR) status, which have numerous spillover effects, and could be Services would mean the U.S. is no longer obligated to exacerbated by secondary sanctions on the grant Russia trade advantages, like reduced Russian financial sector. tariffs, on imported goods. This move could The U.S. remains open to imposing addi- Health precipitate removing Russia from the World tional export controls and sanctions as the Trade Organization, as all members of the conflict progresses and is currently not commu- WTO are obligated to grant most favored nation nicating what would precipitate a reduction in Appropriations & status to other members. While the U.S. has not sanctions – likely to provide Ukraine greater Budget significantly targeted the commodities trade, it leverage as it negotiates with Russia. There is is likely to be impacted by significant sanctions still significant room for further U.S. action, targeting some Russian banks. However, the including greater export controls, further sanc- State imminent revoking of PNTR with Russia could tions on the Russian financial sector, secondary Advocacy subject key commodities to heightened tariffs, sanctions in certain sectors, or sanctions on key despite lack of sanctions activity. commodities. The administration has existing Thus far, sanctions have hit the Russian authorities to impose these restrictions, and to Public economy hard, and many Russian families and add additional Russian elites to the sanctions Relations businesses are leaving the country to preserve list as well, so we are unlikely to see significant their savings and freedoms. The pinch of these Congressional legislative action – instead their sanctions will only increase, as wind-down peri- action will be more rhetorical and focused on ods are finished and their full effect is imposed. pressuring the Biden administration to take the Many companies have already made their own steps available to it. The Biden administration decision to pull out of the Russian market, but will continue to seek collaboration with Europe, companies will need to stay vigilant to remain rather than acting unilaterally, though it will compliant with sanctions and restrictions also work to not be undercut by Congress. INTERNATIONAL AND TRADE PRACTICE CO-HEADS Walker Roberts Maya Seiden Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 8
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview Bipartisan Commerce Take International COMPETITIVENESS BILL COMING TOGETHER With the U.S. response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine taking Commerce center stage in Washington, progress temporarily slowed on other bipartisan priorities. Congress has finally moved U.S. competitiveness Financial legislation a few steps closer to conference this week. Interestingly, Services several lawmakers felt that the situation in Ukraine is creating stronger momentum to finalize the package. Health The immediate impacts of recent interna- tional sanctions on Russia have many in Wash- ington even more concerned about the future “While the Senate Appropriations & Budget implications of America’s reliance on semi- and House versions conductors and other critical technology from China. may appear to be State The Senate moved last week to amend the as far apart as Advocacy House-passed America Creating Opportuni- ever on some key ties for Manufacturing, Pre-Eminence in Tech- nology, and Economic Strength (COMPETES) policy issues, there Public Act by replacing its language with the text of are some recent Relations the United States Innovation and Competition Act (USICA), which passed the Senate with indications that a common overall bipartisan support last summer. Congress is vision is starting to coalesce.” next expected to convene a formal conference committee to reconcile differences between the Robin Colwell two bills. BGR SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT, Continued on next page COMMERCE PRACTICE Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 9
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview While the Senate and House versions may to include cybersecurity measures shared by appear to be as far apart as ever on some key both bills, as well as others contained only in policy issues, there are some recent indica- USICA or COMPETES. Additionally, a bipar- tions that a common overall vision is starting tisan group of House members has recently Bipartisan to coalesce. For example, a top priority in both introduced a version of the Facilitating Amer- Take USICA and COMPETES is expanding research ican-Built Semiconductors (FABS) Act, which programs at the Department of Energy and resembles language that was considered in the National Science Foundation. COMPETES Senate last June. This measure would create a 25 International builds off existing programs, while USICA percent investment tax credit for the semicon- creates new programs for certain targeted ductor sector. emerging technologies. A few weeks ago, the While there are plenty of issues still to be Senate Energy and Natural Resources Commit- worked out, the trend on USICA/COMPETES Commerce tee introduced a bipartisan bill, the Depart- is very positive and points to a potential major ment of Energy Science for the Future Act of bipartisan accomplishment to come in this elec- 2022, that closely tracks COMPETES Act DOE tion year. provisions. There have also been bicameral calls Financial Services COMMERCE PRACTICE CO-HEADS Health Justin Rzepka Jonathan Mantz Appropriations & Budget State Advocacy Public Relations Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 10
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview Bipartisan Financial Services Take International HOW AND WHEN WILL TAX EXTENDERS MOVE? President Biden recently signed the FY 2022 omnibus Commerce appropriations bill, which funded several major policy priorities for the administration, including the bipartisan Infrastructure Financial Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA). One notable omission, however, Services was a tax extenders package. As a result, roughly 40 different tax provisions were left to expire in 2021. Health Some of these provisions were new tax title was left out of the omnibus. The omission programs implemented under the various of tax extenders from the omnibus package begs COVID-19 relief packages, such as the Child the question of when the expired revenue provi- Appropriations & Tax Credit and the Employee Retention Tax sions may finally leave the station. Budget Credit, while others included credits passed Our team sees several major vehicles that under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), includ- could carry an extenders package sometime this ing section 163 (j), which limits the ability of State year: the China competitiveness bill, a revised certain businesses to deduct interest expenses, Advocacy Build Back Better reconciliation bill, a short- and the changes to research and development term continuing resolution, a year-end omnibus amortization. appropriations bill, and the National Defense Public Typically, tax extenders are attached at Authorization Act (NDAA). Each of these Relations the end of a Congressional session to a larger larger packages has its own real and potential moving vehicle, such as an omnibus spend- challenges, which could further complicate the ing bill. Due to the uncertainty of the FY 2022 inclusion of a tax extenders section. spending package, among other reasons, the tax Continued on next page Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 11
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview “The omission of tax extenders from the omnibus Bipartisan Take package begs the question of when the expired revenue provisions may finally leave the station.” Joel Bailey International BGR VICE PRESIDENT Commerce The China competitiveness bill will be worked midterms in a lame duck session. One of these is out in a conference committee over the next the NDAA, which historically does not include Financial several months and is a major priority for Senate controversial, non-defense riders. Due to the Services Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY). If potential concern that the tax extenders might Democrats can find consensus around a revised delay passage of the NDAA, this is the least likely reconciliation bill, with a possible focus on vehicle. The most likely option is some form climate, prescription drugs and deficit reduc- of a budget. Given that House Ways & Means Health ing revenue raisers, it may be challenging to add Committee Chairman Richard Neal (D-MA) has dozens of tax extenders that will cost rather than publicly stated he will work to pass an extenders raise money. Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) has package, and suggested working with Committee Appropriations & stated repeatedly his concerns over Build Back Ranking Member Kevin Brady (R-TX) to pass an Budget Better provisions that would increase the federal updated SECURE package, we could very well budget deficit and the national debt. see this being coupled with an extenders package and a larger end of year spending bill. State While the China competitiveness bill will Advocacy likely be considered before the midterm elec- The lack of clarity is not atypical even in an tions, and a reconciliation bill cannot be election year. However, the extenders process is considered after September 30, there are a few always one to watch closely. vehicles that are likely to be addressed after the Public Relations FINANCIAL SERVICES PRACTICE CO-HEADS Sean Duffy Andy Lewin Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 12
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview Bipartisan Take Health and Life Sciences International COVID-19 AND PANDEMIC PREPAREDNESS As we enter a third year of a world with COVID-19, dealing with Commerce the pandemic at hand and incorporating lessons learned into our national response capacities are priorities for both Congress and Financial the Biden administration. However, turning that support into Services laws and funding has proven to be an uphill battle so far in 2022. On March 15, the Senate Health, Education, Health Labor, and Pensions Committee approved the bipartisan Prepare for and Respond to Existing Viruses, Emerging New Threats, and Pandem- Appropriations & ics Act (PREVENT Pandemics Act) (S. 3799) Budget by a vote of 20-2. Committee leadership touts the legislation as strengthening public health infrastructure and medical product supply State chains,, improving the management of the Stra- Advocacy tegic National Stockpile, improving infectious disease and threat monitoring, and reducing disparities for at-risk communities. While the Public final vote was overwhelmingly positive, the bill Relations took nearly a year to develop and does not have a companion House bill or process. This markup happened concurrently with warnings from the Biden administration that several efforts to combat the current COVID emergency have run out of money, including funding for the purchase and administration of vaccines, antibody treatments, oral thera- peutics, and diagnostic tests. The White House originally requested $22 billion in supplemental funds. Congressional leadership had planned to include around $15 billion in COVID funding in the Omnibus spending bill. However, it was delayed after several House Democrats opposed taking unused state support dollars from the American Rescue Plan to offset the new funding Continued on next page Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 13
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview “While the nation remains focused on getting Bipartisan Take ‘back to normal' – we expect continued congressional battles over what to do now to keep Americans protected from COVID and how we International will address pandemic responses in the future.” Remy Brim, Ph.D. BGR PRINCIPAL AND PRACTICE CO-HEAD Commerce Financial needs. A smaller package, without funding for end the PHE will have a very real impact on Services international vaccinations, stalled in the Senate Medicaid enrollment, federal Medicaid fund- this week. House and Senate Republicans have ing, and additional payments for hospitals for expressed a reluctance to provide additional inpatient COVID patients. Keep in mind the funding without knowing where the previous declarations that keep COVID products with Health funding went and requested a full accounting Emergency Use Authorizations (EUAs) on the from the Administration. Administration offi- market and protect providers who administer cials note this information has been provided these treatments and vaccines are separate from Appropriations & but it has not been made public. Negotiations the PHE. Budget are still ongoing, and could result in a smaller or While the nation remains focused on getting more targeted package in the face of a potential “back to normal” – we expect continued summer wave. congressional battles over what to do now to State HHS is expected to renew the Public Health keep Americans protected from COVID and Advocacy Emergency (PHE) when it expires on April 15. how we will address pandemic responses in the However, it is unclear whether it will be renewed future. again in July. The Administration’s decision to HEALTH AND LIFE SCIENCES Public Relations PRACTICE CO-HEADS Brent Del Monte Remy Brim, Ph.D. Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 14
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview Bipartisan Take Appropriations & Budget International BUDGET AND APPROPRIATIONS PROCESS LAUNCHES LATE President Biden sent his budget request to Congress on March 28, Commerce laying out his funding ambitions for Fiscal Year 2023 (FY 2023) that officially begins on October 1, 2022. The President’s $5.8 Financial trillion budget request includes a billionaire’s tax and increased Services defense spending aimed at supporting Ukraine as it continues its fight against Russian aggression. The submission by the White Health House typically kicks off the appropriations process for the coming fiscal year. The administration and Congress are already behind. Appropriations & The FY 2022 budget process concluded five Budget and a half months late when the President signed a $1.5 trillion omnibus bill in mid- “Given the March. It took until early February for appro- condensed legislative State priators to formally agree on a topline sum and Advocacy how the money would be split between defense calendar, Democrats and nondefense spending. Congressional lead- may choose to focus ers and top appropriators have already started Public discussing their plans for moving quickly to on spending bills Relations pass the 12 annual spending bills – known as instead of a broader the 302(b) allocations – for FY 2023. Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME), who is expected to become the budget package.” GOP’s top Senate appropriator next year, said Bill Viney she has already talked to House Majority Leader BGR PRINCIPAL, APPROPRIATIONS PRACTICE Steny Hoyer (D-MD) about trying to return to regular order for moving the funding measures. It’s an open question as to whether or not the Back Better legislation as envisioned late last House and Senate will advance a budget reso- year, one reconciliation vehicle is still available lution for the coming fiscal year. They will at for use. That vehicle expires at the end of the least need to “deem” a top-line spending number current fiscal year, September 30, 2022. Given in order to write appropriations bills. When the condensed legislative calendar, Democrats approved by both chambers, a budget resolution may choose to focus on spending bills instead also sets in motion a reconciliation process that of a broader budget package. can be used to move spending-related legislation One reason why? In 2021, the appropriations on a majority vote in the Senate. Because Senate process saw a significant change – the restoration Democrats have been unable to move the Build Continued on next page Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 15
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview of earmarks, now known as Community Project Timeline for FY 2023 Appropriations Process Funding requests. After an 11-year hiatus, the (subject to change): $1.5 trillion FY 2022 omnibus spending pack- age included more than 2,700 member-directed March Bipartisan projects. For FY 2022, individual members of Take • The President submits the FY 2023 Congress solicited requests for funding from budget. constituents, which were then submitted to the House and Senate Appropriations Committees April – May International for review and inclusion in the final funding bill. In the House, the Committee on Appropria- • Appropriators begin agency budget tions is accepting submissions from members hearings. between April 4 - 30. Information regarding • The House Appropriations Commerce how the member request process will work is Committee deadline for requests is included in Committee guidance available here. April 30. Individual member offices All transparency and accountability require- have their own deadlines in April. ments the Committee announced last year for Financial • Members of Congress prioritize Community Project Funding requests remain in Services initiatives and make formal requests place, including limiting spending on Commu- nity Project Funding to no more than 1 percent to the appropriations committee. of discretionary spending. One of the biggest • House and Senate create their Health changes is that members can now request up to budget resolutions and set the 302b 15 projects instead of the 10 previously allowed. allocations, which set the spending The Senate Appropriations Committee has not levels for the 12 appropriations yet issued guidance for FY 2023 earmarks, subcommittees. Appropriations & referred to as Congressionally Directed Spend- Budget ing in the Senate. Last year, Senate requests were June due between mid-June and early July. This year, • Appropriations committees begin it appears that most Senate requests will be due State the markup process. earlier, and in most cases, before Memorial Day. Advocacy Member-directed spending projects may be July the only thing that can get the budget and appro- • Appropriations bills are brought to Public priations process back on schedule ahead of a the floor of both houses. Relations contentious midterm election season. October • October 1 is the beginning of the next fiscal year. Recently, Congress rarely meets this deadline. Many are predicting this year’s process will carry over into a lame duck session. APPROPRIATIONS PRACTICE HEAD Bill Viney Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 16
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview Bipartisan Take State Advocacy International STATES TACKLE WIDE RANGE OF TOPICS IN LEGISLATIVE SESSIONS Commerce It has been a busy year for state and local governments. Ongoing coronavirus pandemic response aside, the majority of states have been working through state legislative sessions, many of which Financial Services are nearing adjournment. These sessions have been dominated by budget negotiations, redistricting, and a host of complex issues Health including, most recently, sanctions against Russia. The coming changes in state legislative leadership are also grabbing attention, with nearly a third of the top legislative posts in the country’s 99 Appropriations & Budget state legislative chambers turning over. All states enacting a new budget for FY 2023 State have now released a budget proposal. These “Many state Advocacy budgets show states are finding themselves in the unexpected position of having record legislatures are budget surpluses. This is driven in part from historic federal stimulus dollars as well as better addressing social Public Relations than expected tax revenues. In fact, more than and cultural half the states now expect to exceed revenue projections this fiscal year, projections that issues…as a result, were already far higher than in previous years, corporations are according to a survey from the National Confer- ence of State Legislatures. A list of proposed and/ facing increasing pressure from or enacted state budgets can be found here. It is employees to weigh in against worth noting that most state and local govern- ments are set to receive the second tranche of legislative actions that are outside American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) - Coronavi- traditional business priorities.” rus State and Local Fiscal Recovery Funds early this summer. Loren Monroe PRACTICE HEAD AND PRINCIPAL Several states have passed – or are considering – record budgets, allocating extra dollars across a range of areas including broadband, workforce opment. This has created new opportunities training, cybersecurity, healthcare (including for private sector engagement. States are also addressing staff shortages and healthcare access surging resources to support behavioral and and delivery), education, and economic devel- Continued on next page Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 17
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview mental health programs - see Maine and Ohio, active litigation, including New York (see What for example - accelerated by concerns emerging Redistricting Looks Like in Every State). The from the coronavirus pandemic. outcomes could impact the national political Bipartisan picture. Take State lawmakers in at least a dozen states have made, or are currently considering, both Finally, many state legislatures are address- temporary and permanent tax cut measures. ing social and cultural issues including restrict- International Iowa, for example, enacted a 3.9 percent flat tax. ing abortion, barring transgender athletes from Mississippi had its largest-ever tax cut passed competing in school sports, and banning teach- by lawmakers to reduce the state income tax ing of critical race theory. As a result, major over four years, beginning in 2023. In Georgia, corporations are facing increasing pressure from Governor Brian Kemp (R-GA) recently signed employees to weigh in against legislative actions Commerce into law a $1.6 billion state income tax refund that are outside traditional business priorities. measure. Governor Phil Murphy (D-NJ) and As legislators act, business leaders are navigating Governor Kathy Hochul (D-NY) have proposed how to effectively express positions on specific Financial property tax relief plans. legislation while simultaneously advancing their Services commercial interests. Looking outside of budget negotiations, state officials continue to work to finalize the redis- For the remainder of 2022, state and local tricting process. Forty states have completed governments will continue to be quite active as Health redrawing their congressional maps (not count- they deploy ARPA dollars, prepare to spend new ing the six states with only one congressional federal Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act district). Only Florida, Ohio and New Hamp- (IIJA) funds as well as address hot button issues Appropriations & shire continue to work through the process. important to base voters as we move into the Budget Several redistricting proposals remain under 2022 primary and general elections. State Advocacy STATE AND LOCAL ADVOCACY PRACTICE HEAD Loren Monroe Public MANAGING DIRECTOR OF STATE & LOCAL ADVOCACY Relations William Crozer Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 18
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview Bipartisan Public Relations Take International POST PANDEMIC COMMUNICATION MUST BROADEN, NOT NARROW Commerce The pandemic has been part of our lives for so long that most “Tolerance has given people have begun to treat it as way to rejection. Financial Services routine. It isn’t. Obstacles are viewed as dead Health COVID-19 will be seen as a historic divide ends. Competitors between a world that still had a semblance of cohesion and a new, fragmented society that are mortal finds any excuse to fight. enemies. Improved Appropriations & Lack of human contact is a major cause. Too Budget many have lost the skill of getting along because communications can we didn’t have to – except online, which isn’t the be an antidote. But to succeed it same thing. State must embrace the change and Tolerance has given way to rejection. Obsta- Advocacy cles are viewed as dead ends. Competitors are offer credible alternatives.” mortal enemies. Scarcity of commodities and Jeff Birnbaum Public the growing chasm between the haves and have- PRACTICE HEAD Relations nots have made this even worse. Continued on next page Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 19
Click on the subjects below to view: Overview The result is near-constant conflict between additional tools to do so, including OTT (Over people, organizations, and governments. Crime the Top) advertising on streaming services. Bipartisan and mental illness are rising. The U.S. is expand- Such extreme targeting produces results. It Take ing economic warfare on two fronts – with China effectively sells products and ideas. But it also and now Russia. Even the typically genteel exacerbates alienation and misunderstanding. Oscars aren’t safe. Our parallel universes grow farther apart when International Improved communications can be an anti- we cater to these ever-narrower interests. dote. But to succeed it must embrace the change Such targeting also limits the number of and offer credible alternatives. people to whom marketers can sell their goods For example, adherents of the political left and concepts. Commerce and right rarely get information from the same The way out is to propound messages that places. They don’t even accept the same facts. attract multiple audiences. Outreach to each side must be tailored to this Financial schism. Earth-shaking events can do this, like Russia’s Services invasion of Ukraine. So can certain policies, such Pinpointing audiences isn’t new. But it has as expanding job-training programs. become even more important in this radically polarized age. The key to post-pandemic communications, therefore, is to use divergent channels not just to Health Communicators need to segment their audi- please narrow audiences but to assemble broader ences more finely and react to feedback faster to ones. get their points across. Technology has provided Appropriations & Budget PUBLIC RELATIONS PRACTICE HEAD State Jeffrey H. Birnbaum Advocacy Public Relations Contact Us Quarterly Report, APRIL 2022 BGRDC.com 20
CONTACT US 601 13TH ST. NW WASHINGTON, DC 20005 WWW.BGRDC.COM Jo Maney, Public Relations Principal Usman Rahim, Financial Services Policy Analyst Katie McHenry, Executive Assistant LaVidaCo Communications, Report Design
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