Q4 2018 Earnings Call March 7, 2019 - Investor Relations ...
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Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains “forward-looking” statements that are based on our beliefs and assumptions and on information available to us as of the date of this presentation. Forward-looking statements include all statements that are not historical facts. We may not actually achieve the plans, intentions or expectations disclosed in our forward- looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. The risks and uncertainties that we face are described in our most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as required by law, we assume no obligation to update these forward-looking statements, even if new information becomes available in the future. This presentation will also include certain financial measures that were not prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The information required by the SEC pursuant to Regulation G, including reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures, can be found in our earnings release issued previously today, which is on our website. 2
Today’s Agenda I. Strategic and Financial Progress – Kevin Hrusovsky – Chairman, CEO i. Q4 and FY 2018 Highlights ii. 2018 / 2019 Goals & Priorities iii. Transforming Medicine: Neurology Momentum Update II. Financial Report – Joe Driscoll – CFO III. Summary of QTRX Opportunity - Kevin Hrusovsky IV. Q&A 3
Massive Market Opportunity, Disruptive Technology and a Track Record for Execution Exquisite Biomarker Sensitivity Superb Execution Total QTRX Revenue Growth • Aushon acquisition • Regained IVD rights ($ in millions) • Attracting Top Talent 60%* ELISA ng/mL ~’75-’90’s • Two FDA Nf-L sessions *Growth rate $37.6 900x • Launch SR-X, SP-X, CorPlex excludes one-time sensitivity ECL pg/mL ~’00-’13 increase • EU Powering Precision Health Summit collaboration revenue Q4 fg/mL ~’13-present +65% Quanterix 30% $22.9 44% Q3 59% $17.6 Flat +61%* Research Q2 Market: $1B $8B $12.2 Q4 Now: Rev 0 - $38M; Neuro and Onco +66% Q4 Q3 Q1 300% +41% increase in 1H probability of Starting 2020: LDT – IVD - DTC Diagnostics drug approval Market: $30B+ 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 4 GM 47% 44% 44% 48%
FY2018 Growth is Accelerating Across All Segments ($ in millions) 65% Revenue $10.9M, +65% vs. PY Q4 Growth 33% Instruments $3.60 Gr. +106% High margin mix accelerating, Consumables growth Q4’18 Consumables Gr. +67% +67%; GM 48.2%, +450bp 36% $3.90 Revenue 31% Services $3.40 Gr. +52% 0% Other $- Gr. -100% 100% Revenue $37.6M, +65%, +60% excl 1 time 60% 25% Instruments $9.60 Gr. +45% GM +410bp, +259bp adjusting 1 time Growth 37% Consumables $13.80 Gr. +83% Consumable pull-through grew from 35% of list price FY’18 Revenue in Q1 to 41% in Q4; FY 40% 32% Services $12.10 Gr. +58% Instrument growth accelerated in 2H after 3 years of 6% Other $2.10 Gr. +100% flat growth 100% 5
Scientific Research is Driving Brand Awareness, Performance and Utilization PUBLICATIONS MARKERS ACCELERATOR INSTRUMENTS* CONSUMABLES # of units: bars $M of sales 100% Other 278 Oncology 45 Neurology $3.9 $1.0 409 45 $3.4 259 46% 176 $2.4 190 5% 18 22 206 $0.6 88 120 $1.7 133 175 $6.7 -2% 14 211 6% $1.2 128 0 4 71 104 $0.5 141 91 $3.8 37 192 53 9 96 56 $2.0 19 89 34 56 $0.2 45 30 43 12 39 $0.7 14 12 2015 2016 2017 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 '16 '17 '17 '17 '17 '18 '18 '18 '18 Number of drug trial Revenue Growth % Consumable growth projects completed *Instrument segmentation 6 estimated based on consumables sold
FY2018 Growth Stratification Geography Customer Diseases 1% 9% 7% 23% 31% 47% 53% 60% 69% Growth Growth Growth Neurology +73% NA +64% Pharma/Biotech CRO +63% } 92% Europe +69% Academia Oncology +110% +69% Asia +54% Cardiology +242% ID +101% 7
2018 Investor Targets and Catalysts FINANCIALS NEW PRODUCTS METRIC STATUS METRIC STATUS Revenue: 40% growth SR-X 50 >70 booked +65% Instrument +20% SP-X 6+ plex prototype Q4 test bed 10 plex >46% Annual Utilization: 33% List Price 25 new assays 69+ 40% List GM: +300bps. CLIA Lab for Pharma Aushon Acquired +410bps COMMERCIAL STRATEGY Restore Diagnostics rights ACHIEVED Add 20 Commercial HC 25 + INVESTORS, 60 all functions PPH sponsorship PPH Europe Success Pubs 275+ 409 23/, FDA Advancement Two Meetings; ODES 100% TOP PHARMA 10/10, 19/20 top; ~800+ trials R: $1B$8B; D: $30B Market Expansion Overachieved Achieving Marginal Risk High Risk 8
2019 Targets & Growth Catalysts LSR Neurology LSR Oncology Enter diagnostics: Financials: Continue high double 3x larger than Neuro 1. 50 Drug Trials Long-term growth: 40% digit growth w/ high w/ minimal (neuro/onco) utilization penetration today Utilization: Drive 2. LDT partner incremental utilization Only
Simoa: Technology and Instrumentation 100x Sensitivity Target by 2021 Sensitivity & Assay Precision HD-1 SR-X HD-X SP-X (2014) (2018) (2H 19) (1H 19) Fluorescence Chemiluminescence Beads Planar 10
Competitive Landscape Bead-Based Planar SP-X Bead-based Erenna Electrochemi- Technology ELLA Simoa Simoa Immunoassay Immunoassay luminescence Sensitivity Dynamic Range Automation & Ease of Use Precision Multiplexing Menu Cost 11
Transforming Medicine with Digital Biomarkers Today: Invasive and Late Tomorrow: Non invasive and Early 12 12
Simoa Neurology Publications – Catalyzing Disruption Drug Clinical Trials Using NfL Alzheimer's Disease TBI/concussion Multiple sclerosis 2X Parkinsons, ALS, FTD, etc 2019 (176) 2018 (78) 08 Feb 2019 Spinal NFL clinically validated for taps (41) 2017 monitoring MS & treatment response in 2 Phase III trials. (13) 31 Jan 2019 (6) 2016 NFL predicts clinical progression in pre-symptomatic Alzheimer’s 2015 This image cannot currently be displayed. disease 16 years before onset. 2014 2012 2013 2x winner 13
Simoa Neurology Publications – Catalyzing Disruption Breaking in 2019: 31 Jan 2019 NFL predicts clinical progression in pre-symptomatic Alzheimer’s Publications disease 16 years before onset. Will NFL Save the “Concussion” NFL? 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Publication year 14
Neurology Momentum Fueling Growth and Future Strategy • Strongest growth in neurology RUO franchise with Neurology Momentum accelerating publications 2018 250 • Nf-L, amyloid beta, tau, and other markers CAGR 67% showing tremendous potential for key clinical CAGR 139% 200 applications in top peer-reviewed pubs • Strong network of world-leading KOLs CAGR 67% 150 • Inbound FDA interest (Nf-L); recent breakthrough device exemption for AB40/42 mass spec test for 100 Alzheimer’s • Media, patient advocacy, and public attention to 50 promise of blood-based neurology tests (CNN, Forbes, Bloomberg, Washington Post, GMA, etc. 0 • Deep adoption by leading academic and pharma Pubs Markers Instruments 2015 2016 2017 2018 15
Neurofilament Light in Research Studies for MS and Other Neurological Conditions Accelerating Rapidly RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS ON NFL 160 Abstract: Neurology 2019: Blood Will NFL NfL levels are associated with clinical 140 “Concussion” Save the and MRI-related measures of disease 120 activity and neuroaxonal damage and PubMed Citations NFL? 100 have prognostic value. Our results support the utility of blood NfL as 80 an easily accessible biomarker of 60 disease evolution and treatment 40 response. 20 0 Editorial 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Neurofilament light chain: An important step toward Publication Year a disease biomarker in multiple sclerosis Source: Health Advances analysis, PubMed. Page 451 16
>$22B Spent Annually on MS Drugs with 62 Active Clinical Trials MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS CATEGORY MARKET SHARE BY & MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS* THERAPIES IN DEVELOPMENT SALES N=62 Drug Trials Others, 5% Estimate 10 already using sNF-L RHHBY, 4% Merck KgaA, 30 9% Other 26 24 25 Injectable BIIB, 39% Development Programs 20 Oral SNY, 11% 2017 15 12 $22B 10 5 NVS, 15% 0 TEVA, 17% Phase I Phase II Phase III OTHERS Abby 0.3% Phase of Development *Excludes non-industry sponsored trials, active-not yet recruiting, enrolling by invitation, or unknown status trials Source: Health Advances commissioned research, 2018 17
Simoa NfL Multicenter Analytical Validation - 17 sites across Europe and North America Location Investigator Study Site 1 Amsterdam Dr. Charlotte Neurochemistry Laboratory, Amsterdam University 2 Barcelona Dr. Manuel Laboratori de Neuroinmunologia Clinica Centre Prof Jens Kuhle, Department Biomedicine, Univ Hospital Basel, 3 Basel Dr. Zuzanna Switzerland Dr. Katja Akgün Neuroimmunological lab, Center of Clinical 4 Dresden Dr. Ziemssen, Tjalf Neuroscience, Dresden, Germany Prof. Kaj Blennow Clinical Neurochemistry Lab, Mölndal Hospital, 5 Gothenburg Prof. Henrik Mölndal, Sweden Prof. Wolfgang Institut für Neuropathologie, Universitätsmedizin 6 Göttingen Dr. Niels Kruse Göttingen, Germany Dr. Lucia Bianchi Dept of Neuroscience & Trauma Blizard Institute 7 London Prof. Gavin Queen Mary Univ of London, UK Dr. Amanda The DRI Fluid Biomarker Laboratory at University 8 London Prof. Henrik College London, United Kingdom 9 Mainz Prof. Stefan Bittner Klinik für Neurologie, Universitätsmedizin Mainz, Dr. Comi Giancarlo Clinical Neuroimmunology Unit - Institute of 10 Milan Prof.Roberto Furlan Experimental Neurology, MIlan, Italy Prof. Markus Otto 11 Montpellier Hôpital St Eloi, Montpellier, France Dr. Patrick Oeckl Prof. Markus Otto 12 Ulm University of Ulm, Ulm, Germany Dr. Patrick Oeckl Dr. Ruturaj 13 Bethesda National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD Dr. Bibi Bielekova Dr. Simon Thebault MS Clinical Ottawa Hospital University of Ottawa, 14 Ottawa Dr. Freedman, Mark Ottawa ON Canada Dr. Booth, Ronald Dr. Marcus Handy Perelman School of Medicine, University of 15 Philadelphia Dr. Amit Bar-Or Pennsylvania, Department of Neurology, Philadelphia, Kevin Hrusovsky 16 Lexington Quanterix Corp, Lexington MA Dr. David Wilson Dr. Matthew 17 Framingham Dr. Martin Kramer Sanofi Genzyme, Framingham MA 18
Simoa: NfL Multicenter Validation – Assay Consistency Multiple Sclerosis Sample Results – all sites Assay reproducibility – all sites 9 common MS Serum QC samples CVs across samples tested Site: 85 assay runs all data: at each site N = 255 each level 7.2% 6.3% NfL, pg/mL 7.1% Avg CV between sites: 9.4% Run #: Gothenburg Philidelphia Montpellier Barcelona Bethesda Dresden Ottawa Gottingen Quanterix Site: Mainz Basel Sanofi Milan AMS Ulm London QMUL London UCL MS sample # 19
Emerging Clinical Biomarker: Neurofilament Light (NfL) NFL PUBLICATIONS WW DISEASE INCIDENCE (MILLIONS) 25 2015 60 2016 20 50 2017 40 2018 15 30 20 10 10 5 0 0 Parkinsons FTD ALS Alzheimers TBI MS STUDIES CONFIRM NFL CLINICAL UTILITY: MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS: • Disease activity monitoring • Avg. age of onset: 34 yrs; avg. life expectancy after onset: 30 yrs • Drug efficacy monitoring • Standard of care: MRI 1-2X/yr • Relapse/severity prognostic • NfL as MRI replacement: 3.5M tests/yr Majority of published data obtained with Simoa NfL Clinical Vaildation of NfL for MS is a Key Beachhead 20
Digital Biomarkers Disruption Paradigm: Alzheimer’s Disease Opportunity Today Alzheimer’s disease not Imaging expensive and often Therapies for later stage diagnosed until symptoms not covered disease have limited effectiveness Tomorrow Detect or screen in Follow on Image or Therapy delivered sooner annual blood test blood test to diagnose with less dosing / toxicity. Blood test monitors progression 21
QTRX Taking Aim at Alzheimer’s Disease with Simple Blood Test 22
Blood Test May Detect Alzheimer’s In Patients 16 Years Before Symptoms Appear 23
Simoa: Potentially Superior to Mass Spectrometry for Plasma Amyloidosis Detection ROC analysis on similarly powered preliminary studies Mass spectrometry1 Simoa2 AUC = 0.89 AUC = 0.95 Amyloidosis (n = 18) Amyloidosis (n = 17) Control (n = 23) Control (n = 18) 0.30 0.16 0.25 Plasma Ab42:40 ratio CSF Ab42:40 ratio 0.14 0.20 0.15 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.05 0.06 0.10 0.14 0.18 0.22 0.08 0.10 0.13 0.15 0.18 CSF Ab42:40 ratio plasma Ab42:40 ratio 1. Ovod et al. Alzheimers Dement.August ; 13(8): 841–849 (2017) 2. Thijssen et al, AAIC 2018 24
Simoa: In the News PPH 2018 - Amsterdam February 2019 31 Jan 2019 NfL predicts clinical Comment ABC – Feb 2019 progression in pre-symptomatic Could MS be Alzheimer’s disease 16 years diagnosed with a before onset simple blood test? Bloomberg Radio Feb 2019 25
Poised to Disrupt Healthcare and Create Significant Value Differentiator Value Best in 1 Category-defining; Unrivaled Sensitivity / Technology Disrupt Class 2 $3B to New Methodical market penetration strategy to reward investors $38B Answers market 3 DNA – RNA - Protein; Better linked to Disease / Health Holy Grail 400+ pubs 4 Validation: 19/20 top pharma, PPH, 800+ trials Proven All Areas Product Rapid 5 Growth & Value; Razor – razor blade, $150M invested execution Launches Growth 6 Low Risk / Solid Return + Uber Return Prospect Retail 7 Track Record for Commercializing Disruption Lynchpin 26
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