PROVINCIAL CONSULTATIVE WORKSHOP REPORT - Science Technology & Innovation for Sustainable Human Settlements Roadmap
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PROVINCIAL CONSULTATIVE WORKSHOP REPORT
Science Technology & Innovation for
Sustainable Human Settlements Roadmap
Contents
Common 1. Common purpose & Contents 1. Key issues
purpose 2. Introduction
2.
3.
Visualising chart
Priority interventions
3. Overview 4. Workshop feedback
4. Setting the scene: Risk 6. Preliminary analysis
The purpose of the STI 4 SHS
Roadmap is to unlock the potential trajectories of South African 7. Way forward
of South Africa’s human settlements settlements 1. Various inputs consolidated
1. Background
for a decent standard of living; safe, 2. Opportunities to be appraised
2. Rationale for the Green Book
resilient and sustainable households 3. Draft Roadmap
3. South Africa’s urban future
and neighbourhoods via the smart 8. References
4. FS population estimates 2050
uptake of science, technology and
innovation. 5. FS vulnerabilities 9. Acknowledgements
6. 2050 projected changes in climate
Appendix A – Roadmap definition process
7. Implications for Free State
Appendix B - Stakeholder engagement strategy at
5. Workshop inputs a glance
Introduction consultative workshop, which formed
part of a systematic provincial
(3)
KwaZulu-Natal Department of
consultative workshop series targeting Human Settlements (2)
The Science, Technology and Innovation government thought leaders, from
for Sustainable Human Settlements University of KwaZulu-Natal (3)
national, provincial and local
Technology Roadmap (STI 4 SHS government. eThekwini Municipality
Roadmap) will set out a 10 year plan for Stormwarning
a coordinated investment and The purpose of the workshops was to Water and Sanitation
collaboration between key stakeholders reflect on the current state of Environmental Planning and
in pursuit of the Common Purpose. The technology in human settlements, Climate Protection
STI 4 SHS Roadmap definition is to be envision a future preferred state, and Human settlements
underpinned by intensive engagement, identify the technologies, innovations
and extensive research (referenced and Research and Policy
and capabilities and the necessary
available for further scrutiny at “ingredients” to reach that state over
www.sti4shs.co.za ). time.
In order to engage relevant Fifteen participants from the following
stakeholders, a number of distinct organisations are acknowledged for
stakeholder groups were identified, viz. their active participation in the
government and civil society, academia, KwaZulu-Natal workshop:
private sector & industry and the
investment community. In the first Technology Innovation Agency (TIA)
round each stakeholder group is to be
(2)
engaged separately. This report records
inputs from the KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) Housing Development Agency (HDA)
Overview Workshop preliminaries
Roadmapping The CSIR hosted the KwaZulu-Natal
Provincial Consultative Workshop
The Green Book
Roadmapping uses a graphical on the 5th of October 2018 in
approach to visualise an entire Bloemfontein. The STI 4 SHS Draft
strategy on a page. It provides a
framework to help organisations
Desktop Review Trends Report was Risk trajectories of South African
tackle fundamental questions electronically provided to
applicable in any strategic context participants before the meeting, settlements
and is used extensively at company, and an excerpt on Mega-challenges
sector and national levels to align and Trends presented (available at KwaZulu-Natal initial findings
investment and research with www.sti.shs.co.za).
strategic goals.
The workshop participants were 18 January 2019
Significant features of roadmapping then presented a province-specific
are its ability to build consensus, extract from the forthcoming Green
breadth and versatility: roadmaps Book focussing on Risk trajectories
can encompass a complex scope of of South African settlements. This
issues and long timeframes, whilst input is incorporated into this
at the same time focusing down on report and will heavily inform the
critical details, leading to decisions validation phase of roadmap
and actions. development.
Background
• Strong evidence that extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense
with climate change expected to amplify these trends, particularly heat waves, floods,
droughts, wildfires and storm surges
• Strong evidence to support that Urbanisation will continue & that this will place even
more pressure on infrastructure and service delivery
• More frequent and intense events combined with a growing and urbanising population,
poor land use practices, growing informal sector = likely exacerbate the vulnerabilities
of communities and place more people at risk of climate induced disasters
• Growth can be a catalyst for economic growth but effective planning and policy
interventions are needed
• Spatial planning will be vital to planning for peoples sustainable livelihoods
5
Rationale for the Green Book
Knowing what change to adapt for and how to adapt for this
change is of critical importance to decision makers
involved in the planning and design of human
settlements.
The Green Book was commissioned with the aim of supporting
municipal planning on the development of climate-resilient cities and
settlements through research in climate adaptation.
6
South Africa’s urban future
SA is expected to follow the worldwide trend
- experiencing high population growth and
urbanisation. Current projections indicate
and additional 19-24 million people to be
added to the country in the next three
decades. Vast majority of growth to be
confined to cities and towns
7
KwaZulu-Natal’s population estimates 2050
KwaZulu-Natal
4 596 071
KwaZulu-Natal’s population is projected to reach
8
14.7 – 15.7 million people by 2050
KwaZulu-Natal’s population estimates 9
KwaZulu-Natal’s population estimates 10
KwaZulu-Natal’s population estimates
Pietermaritzburg, Richards Bay and
New Castle are expected to
grow significantly.
Population decline in Service Towns
between Stanger and Richards Bay
46% of the province's total growth is
projected to occur in the eThekwini
City Region Area
11 Significant Growth along the coastKwaZulu-Natal’s LM vulnerabilities
• Socio-economic: Households vulnerabilities (household composition, income
composition, education, health, access to basic services, safety & security)
• Economic vulnerability: Economy of the LM (diversification, size of economy, labour
force, GDP growth/decline pressure, inequality)
• Physical vulnerability: Access & infrastructure (road infrastructure, housing types,
density, accessibility within the LM)
• Environmental vulnerability: Air quality, environmental governance, competition
between ecology & urban encroachment)
12KwaZulu-Natal’s Local Municipalities vulnerabilities
MUNICIPALITY SEV Trend EVI Trend PV Trend EV Trend
eThekwini 3.67 ↘ 4.02 ↗ 6.35 ↘ 6.26 No Trend
Umdoni 6.66 ↗ 6.76 ↗ 5.70 ↗ 2.65 No Trend
Umzumbe 8.58 ↗ 5.05 ↘ 6.16 ↗ 3.60 No Trend
uMuziwabantu 7.70 ↘ 3.45 ↘ 5.79 ↗ 5.86 No Trend
Ray Nkonyeni 5.26 ↘ 5.56 ↗ 6.00 ↗ 3.01 No Trend
uMshwathi 6.92 ↘ 4.83 ↘ 5.32 ↗ 4.81 No Trend
1. High % violent crimes uMngeni 3.63 ↘ 6.17 ↗ 5.02 ↘ 7.10 No Trend
2. High child mortality Mpofana 5.75 ↘ 4.55 ↗ 4.22 ↘ 6.76 No Trend
rates 4.38 4.83 9.44
Impendle 7.60 ↗ ↘ ↘ No Trend
3. Low literacy rate
The Msunduzi 3.87 ↘ 6.28 ↗ 4.90 ↘ 6.97 No Trend
Mkhambathini 9.38 ↘ 4.68 ↘ 4.35 ↗ 3.17 No Trend
Richmond 6.79 ↘ 4.47 ↘ 5.18 ↘ 3.70 No Trend
Okhahlamba 7.89 ↗ 3.33 ↘ 5.74 ↘ 6.49 No Trend
1. Low GDP growth
Inkosi Langalibalele 7.31 ↗ 4.88 ↘ 5.17 ↘ 7.04 2.NoLow
TrendGDP production &
Alfred Duma 6.34 ↘ 5.59 ↗ 7.33 ↘ 4.99 NoLow
TrendGDP per Capita
1. High % of households live
under minimum living level Endumeni 4.11 ↘ 5.24 ↘ 4.83 ↘ 5.21 No Trend
2. High child mortality rate Nqutu 8.33 ↘ 2.71 ↘ 6.16 ↗ 4.56 No Trend
3. High % of population with 3.65 7.36 4.48
Msinga 9.94 ↗ ↘ ↗ No Trend
lack of access to services
Umvoti 7.65 ↗ 4.56 ↘ 6.43 ↗ 3.97 No Trend
13 Newcastle 4.94 ↗ 7.06 ↗ 4.76 ↘ 4.34 No Trend
4.02 3.87 ↗ 6.12 No TrendNewcastle 4.94 ↗ 7.06 ↗ 4.76 ↘ 4.34 No Trend
Emadlangeni 7.80 ↗ 4.02 ↘ 3.87 ↗ 6.12 No Trend
Dannhauser 7.15 ↗ 7.05 ↘ 4.98 ↗ 4.90 No Trend
eDumbe 7.58 ↘ 6.15 ↘ 4.75 ↘ 6.61 No Trend
uPhongolo 7.43 ↘ 6.13 ↘ 5.96 ↘ 2.68 No Trend
Abaqulusi 6.43 ↘ 5.25 ↘ 4.77 ↘ 3.77 No Trend
Nongoma 8.56 ↘ 2.56 ↘ 6.74 ↘ 2.75 No Trend
Ulundi 7.61 ↘ 4.67 ↘ 6.37 ↗ 4.67 No Trend
Umhlabuyalingana 8.69 ↘ 4.88 ↘ 10.00 ↘ 6.98 No Trend
Jozini 8.47 ↘ 4.66 ↘ 8.22 ↘ 4.76 No Trend
Mtubatuba 7.05 ↘ 3.59 ↘ 5.62 ↗ 5.60 No Trend
Big Five Hlabisa 7.99 ↘ 4.12 ↘ 6.74 ↘ 7.19 No1.Trend
Low GDP growth
2.No
Low GDP production &
Mfolozi 6.89 ↘ 4.68 ↘ 5.40 ↗ 3.66 Trend
Low GDP per Capita
uMhlathuze 3.92 ↘ 5.60 ↗ 6.23 ↘ 4.44 No Trend
uMlalazi 8.04 ↗ 5.64 ↘ 7.14 ↗ 4.53 No Trend
Mthonjaneni 8.26 ↘ 5.09 ↘ 6.25 ↗ 5.10 No Trend
Nkandla 8.89 ↗ 3.13 ↘ 7.16 ↗ 3.56 No Trend
Mandeni 5.76 ↘ 4.31 ↘ 5.35 ↘ 5.29 No Trend
KwaDukuza 4.65 ↘ 7.03 ↗ 4.14 ↘ 2.61 No Trend
1. High % violent crimes
2. High child mortality Ndwedwe 8.80 ↗ 5.77 ↘ 5.77 ↗ 3.86 No Trend
rates Maphumulo 9.03 ↗ 3.44 ↘ 5.66 ↗ 5.54 No Trend
3. Low literacy rate
Greater Kokstad 4.42 ↘ 5.44 ↗ 6.52 ↘ 4.39 No Trend
Ubuhlebezwe 7.81 ↘ 5.43 ↘ 7.07 ↗ 3.28 No Trend
Umzimkhulu 7.95 ↗ 4.34 ↘ 6.58 ↘ 6.12 No Trend
14 Dr Nkosazana Dlamini Zuma 7.78 ↗ 2.94 ↘ 6.27 ↗ 9.34 No TrendKwaZulu-Natal’s Local Municipalities vulnerabilities
MUNICIPALITY SEV Trend EVI Trend PV Trend EV Trend
eThekwini 3.67 ↘ 4.02 ↗ 6.35 ↘ 6.26 No Trend
Umdoni 6.66 ↗ 6.76 ↗ 5.70 ↗ 2.65 No Trend
Umzumbe 8.58 ↗ 5.05 ↘ 6.16 ↗ 3.60 No Trend
uMuziwabantu 7.70 ↘ 3.45 ↘ 5.79 ↗ 5.86 No Trend
Ray Nkonyeni 5.26 ↘ 5.56 ↗ 6.00 ↗ 3.01 No Trend
uMshwathi 6.92 ↘ 4.83 ↘ 5.32 ↗ 4.81 No Trend
uMngeni 3.63 ↘ 6.17 ↗ 5.02 ↘ 7.10 No Trend
Mpofana 5.75 ↘ 4.55 ↗ 4.22 ↘ 6.76 No Trend
Impendle 7.60 ↗ 4.38 ↘ 4.83 ↘ 9.44 No Trend
The Msunduzi 3.87 ↘ 6.28 ↗ 4.90 ↘ 6.97 No Trend
4.68 4.35 3.17 1. Road infrastructure
Mkhambathini 9.38 ↘ ↘ ↗ No Trend
(Low road density)
Richmond 6.79 ↘ 4.47 ↘ 5.18 ↘ 3.70 No Trend
2. High traditional
Okhahlamba 7.89 ↗ 3.33 ↘ 5.74 ↘ 6.49 No Trend population covering
Inkosi Langalibalele 7.31 ↗ 4.88 ↘ 5.17 ↘ 7.04 No Trend large area
Alfred Duma 6.34 ↘ 5.59 ↗ 7.33 ↘ 4.99 No Trend
Endumeni 4.11 ↘ 5.24 ↘ 4.83 ↘ 5.21 No Trend
Nqutu 8.33 ↘ 2.71 ↘ 6.16 ↗ 4.56 No Trend
Msinga 9.94 ↗ 3.65 ↘ 7.36 ↗ 4.48 No Trend
Umvoti 7.65 ↗ 4.56 ↘ 6.43 ↗ 3.97 No Trend
15 Newcastle 4.94 ↗ 7.06 ↗ 4.76 ↘ 4.34 No Trend
4.02 3.87 ↗ 6.12 No TrendNewcastle 4.94 ↗ 7.06 ↗ 4.76 ↘ 4.34 No Trend
Emadlangeni 7.80 ↗ 4.02 ↘ 3.87 ↗ 6.12 No Trend
Dannhauser 7.15 ↗ 7.05 ↘ 4.98 ↗ 4.90 No Trend
eDumbe 7.58 ↘ 6.15 ↘ 4.75 ↘ 6.61 No Trend
uPhongolo 1.7.43 ↘
Road infrastructure 6.13
(Low ↘ 5.96 ↘ 2.68 No Trend
Abaqulusi ↘ density) 5.25
6.43 road ↘ 4.77 ↘ 3.77 No Trend
2. Low accessibility within
Nongoma 8.56 ↘ 2.56 ↘ 6.74 ↘ 2.75 No Trend
municipality
Ulundi ↘ traditional4.67
7.613. High ↘ 6.37 ↗ 4.67 No Trend
Umhlabuyalingana 8.69 ↘ covering 4.88
population large ↘ 10.00 ↘ 6.98 No Trend
area
Jozini 8.47 ↘ 4.66 ↘ 8.22 ↘ 4.76 No Trend
3.59 5.62 5.60 1. Ecological infrastructure
Mtubatuba 7.05 ↘ ↘ ↗ No Trend
(High amounts of conservation
Big Five Hlabisa 7.99 ↘ 4.12 ↘ 6.74 ↘ 7.19 No Trend
& protected areas)
Mfolozi 6.89 ↘ 4.68 ↘ 5.40 ↗ 3.66 No Trend 2. Water resources
5.60 6.23 4.44 3. Environmental governance
uMhlathuze 3.92 ↘ ↗ ↘ No Trend
(Encroachment on protected
uMlalazi 8.04 ↗ 5.64 ↘ 7.14 ↗ 4.53 No Trend
areas & stressed catchments
Mthonjaneni 8.26 ↘ 5.09 ↘ 6.25 ↗ 5.10 No Trend
Nkandla 8.89 ↗ 3.13 ↘ 7.16 ↗ 3.56 No Trend
Mandeni 5.76 ↘ 4.31 ↘ 5.35 ↘ 5.29 No Trend
KwaDukuza 4.65 ↘ 7.03 ↗ 4.14 ↘ 2.61 No Trend
1. Environmental
Ndwedwe 8.80 ↗ 5.77 ↘ 5.77 ↗ 3.86 No Trend governance
Maphumulo 9.03 ↗ 3.44 ↘ 5.66 ↗ 5.54 No Trend (Encroachment on
protected areas &
Greater Kokstad 4.42 ↘ 5.44 ↗ 6.52 ↘ 4.39 No Trend
stressed catchments
Ubuhlebezwe 7.81 ↘ 5.43 ↘ 7.07 ↗ 3.28 No Trend 2. Water resources
Umzimkhulu 7.95 ↗ 4.34 ↘ 6.58 ↘ 6.12 No Trend
16 Dr Nkosazana Dlamini Zuma 7.78 ↗ 2.94 ↘ 6.27 ↗ 9.34 No TrendKwaZulu-Natal’s Local Municipalities vulnerabilities
Top 4 most
vulnerable LM’s
• Ndwedwe
• Dannhauser
• Mkhambathini
• eDumbe
172050 Projected changes in climate
Low mitigation (RCP 8.5)
2050 Temp: 1.9°C – 3.1°C increase in min and max temp
Projected changes Very Hot Days (vhd)
in climate • More vhd projected for the north (up to 34 vhd more)
Extreme Rainfall Events
• Mix signal of increase and decrease over the province
• Increases up to 6 extreme rainfall events more
annually projected for the south of KZN
• Decreases of up to 3 extreme rainfall events less
projected for area bordering Lesotho
High mitigation (RCP 4.5)
Temp: 1.4°C – 2.7°C increase in both min and max temp
Very Hot Days
• More vhd projected for the north (up to 20 vhd more)
Extreme Rainfall Events
• Increase of up to 6 extreme rainfall events more
annually projected for southern and central KZN
• Decreases of up to 5 extreme rainfall events less
projected for area bordering Lesotho and along the
northern coastline of KZN.
18Changes in heat stress
Increase no. Very
Hot Days
Low Mitigation
Scenario
19Flooding
The mean ratio of the
near-future (2021-2050)
and current (1961-1990)
extreme daily rainfall
(95th percentiles) for
each quinary
catchment.
20Changes in drought
Drought Index (SPI)
21Impact of Climate change on agriculture (RCP8.5)
2050
Impact of CC on
agriculture
Warmer and wetter with more
extreme rainfall events.
#1 Sugar-cane
Potential increase in sugarcane yield.
However, increased exposure to pests
such as eldana and chilo.
Hotter and wetter
#1 Milk and cream
Hot and moist conditions cause
increased spread of disease and
parasites. Potential increase in heat
stress which could negatively affect
conception rates, milk yield and milk
quality.
22Impact of Climate change on agriculture (RCP8.5)
2050
Impact of CC on
agriculture Warmer and wetter with more
extreme rainfall events.
#2 Beef cattle
Increased water availability. Hot and
moist conditions cause increased
spread of disease and parasites.
Reduced growth & reproduction
performance due to heat stress.
Hotter and wetter
#2 Potatoes
Increase in tuber yield due to
increased concentration of CO2. Root
crop plants benefit from elevated
carbon dioxide levels due to higher
rates of photosynthesis.
23Impact of Climate change on agriculture (RCP8.5)
2050
Impact of CC on
agriculture
5.42%
Loss in Agriculture GDP
4.17%
Loss in Agriculture GDP
24Coastal flooding exposure
Coastal flooding
index 131 580 buildings
are located in the coastal risk zone
12 buildings
are located in the Very high and High
risk areas
650 402 people
are located in the coastal risk zone
73 people
are located in the Very high and High
risk classes
25Implications for KwaZulu-Natal
• The significant population growth projected (4.5 million by 2050 for KZN) if not
managed and planned for effectively, will place an enormous amount of pressure
on bulk infrastructure delivery and will have critical implications for peoples
exposure to natural hazards
• The growth projected for the coastal strip needs to be particularly well managed
• Increase demand for critical resources
• Very high economic vulnerability in LM’s and worsening signals for 11 LM’s & high
socio-economic vulnerabilities (households) for 16 of the LM’s will make adaptation
more difficult
• Heat stress on ecology towards the north east of the province (less severe than rest
of country)
• Hot and moist conditions can cause increased spread of disease and parasites
• Warmer climate projections will have relevance for energy demand (increase
26 demand for cooling in summer due to maximum temperature increase) Data management
The Key issues were as follows: Gini coefficient
Key issues
Efficiency in our financial spending
After discussion in groups thirteen Key issues towards solving our problems
were identified by workshop participants and
placed on a prepared matrix with categories Monitoring tool tokens in water usage
which derived from human settlements scoping
Priority interventions
Water loss/distribution
diagram posted below.
Water recycling innovation technology
Sanitation; transport; water pollution and
Electricity data management were shortlisted as
(Appropriate) Design of housing priority issues for Science Technology
typologies and Innovation for Sustainable Human
Settlements for MP by casting votes.
Water scarcity
Extreme terrain (construction
solutions) Priority interventions were identified for
the Key issues above were then further
Sanitation developed in groups with the aid of the
Transport Visualising chart, below.
Water pollution and lack of clean
drinking waterCode: Why are we Products, Capabilities and 0 – 2 yrs 2 – 5 yrs 5 – 10 yrs Negatives?
ISSUE not there yet? technologies and partnerships
services
Group
nominated Hint – Fill this
Hint – Fill this column in
INTERVENTION
column in first Fill these columns in last
second…
#1*
SABS 100% of Greywater/
GREYWATER Skills & Knowledge Identification, Portfolio rainwater
Officials are not aware of valuation and Agrement officials
RECYCLING of in new
and available technologies NHBRC “trained” homes were
RAINWATER
accreditation accredited Procurement
appropriate
HARVESTING process Maintenance & products artisans
service capacity
Group Hint – use the QUALITY CHECK #2
nominated cheat sheet Will the interventions Rapid report
INTERVENTION • overcome conservatism?
back
• stimulate investment?
#3* • Provide decision support? 6 mins per
Group work
60 minutes Visualising chart groupInterventions identified for sanitation: Differentiated waste water treatment process Selection of the most appropriate sanitation facility with communities Crowd sourcing information on failures of sanitation infrastructure Community ablutions blocks Improved design Off-grid sanitation Decentralised systems
Workshop inputs populated in the Visualising chart are tabulated below:
Sanitation
Interventions (s) Code: Why are we not Products, Capabilities & 0 - 2 years 2 - 5 years 5 - 10 years
there yet? technologies & partnerships
services
Communication Lack of resources, Web based Cellphone Status quo. Pilots Joint ownership
monitoring for design capacity, lack of platforms, companies, Community community/gov.
and maintenance for partnership, dependency smartphone apps, insurance engagement
social uptake syndrome, lack of access wifi city companies, NGO's
to communication and CBO's, UKZN
channels
Alternative sanitation Legislation, financial, lack Online training, new WRC, DWS, UKZN Testing solutions Development Alternative
treatment and of skills, disconnect treatment (Gates foundation) of guidelines sanitation as a
infrastructure design between legislation and processes for AS standardised
practice solution for new
developments
Alternative business Lack of Accessible multi- GCF (International Creating the One/two Successful small
models e.g. Recycling, entrepreneurship, functional platform funding), DWS, All environment of successes business using
composting, urban conservative approach, including sanitation, departments XXX, alternative waste as
forming, public/private lack of knowledge track waste management, UKZN thinking resource. Much
partnership, community record, risk aversion urban agriculture, reduction of
entrepreneurs. etc. water
consumptionWater pollution
Interventions (s) Code: Why are we not Products, Capabilities & 0 - 2 years 2 - 5 years 5 - 10 years
there yet? technologies & partnerships
services
Waste recycling: Lack of skills, but incentive Open source Local Policy buy-in. Pilot projects Zero waste.
composting, gold recovery is not there to be technology communities, Approval of Importing waste
from PC's, plastic encouraged enough to technology business plans. to be recycled.
recycling. Regulate waste venture into the necessary innovation
management. Reduction fields. Policy makers, they agency, CSIR,
of agricultural pesticide do not have the technical Universities
and herbicide skills. Production factors.
Infrastructure Investment factors. Social Adhere to existing Civil society Increase skills Some success Get the standard
development: Piping, factors: History and the legislation with groups and capabilities should be visible of water
treatment fecility re- refusal to change. regards to quality for treatment cleanliness back
design. Lack of clean plants - looking at to where it was
drinking water: Rainwater smaller towns. pre 2013
harvesting, Drinking and
localised/household water waste water
treatment. Smaller water treatment plants
treatment plants could be need to be
seen as alternatives. looked at.
Cheaper to build and
maintain.Sanitation
Interventions (s) Code: Why are we not Products, Capabilities & 0 - 2 years 2 - 5 years 5 - 10 years
there yet? technologies & partnerships
services
Water conservation and Policy and regulatory Leakage Water Replace ageing 15% non-
demand management. framework. Lack of management. research infrastructure. revenue water
Low flush sanitation understanding in decision Pressure commission, Pressure target. Policies
systems. making. management. DWAF management. published,
Replacement of Implement low implemented
aging infrastructure. flush sanitation and informed
Low flush sanitation options.
systems. Recycle
and reuse of grey
water.Interventions identified for data management: Quality management systems Spatially linked data Integrated data systems that talk to each other Integrated information sharing tools/systems Community generated data Sharing of data Standardized archival systems Cloud based storage Standard duty management format Link from data to decision making
Data Management
Interventions (s) Code: Why are we not Products, technologies & Capabilities & 0 - 2 years 2 - 5 years 5 - 10 years
there yet? services partnerships
Human Skills and resources Technical studies, socio- Technical experts, Get support/buy- Secure Secure
settlement data scarcity economic surveys, community in resources and resources and
updating and GIS/SPSS etc., quality build skills build skills
verification control, set tolerance
levels
Intergrated Competition, distrust, Data platform, Government Support/buy-in Access Accessible data
sharing financing/profit, agremeements between departments resources, warehousing
tools/systems complexity partners academia civil SLA/MOA/MOU, (integrated)
society community IT solutions
individuals private
sector
Analysis and Social and cultural User-friendly reporting, Decision makers: Identify network Established Evidence based
dissemination of perceptions currently knowledge disruption Top officials, of decision- network and decisions
info to inform informing decision politicians, IT makers, testing system
decision making making solutions data formats for
useabilityIntervention priorities identified for transport: Transport to places of employment Costs, mode (taxi, bus, train), Times Safety (road) Transport inefficiency
Transport
Interventions (s) Code: Why are we Products, technologies & Capabilities & 0 - 2 years 2 - 5 years 5 - 10 years
not there yet? services partnerships
Transport planning. Outdated transport Magnetic lavitation Engineering council Research and Planning, Introduction of
Integration and technology. speed trains (bullet of SA. SANTACO. development. budgeting and high speed rail
connectedness Outdated legislative trains) energy saving. SANRAL. PRASA. (policy) implementation transport
(MR57). Reduction of framework. White paper and green between
cost of paper on transport Pietermaritzburg
transport/import. legislation and Durban and
Travel time DBN.
reduction.
Reduced travel time Unformalised taxi Revisit and formalise taxi Increased safety
directly propotional industry. Outdated industry. Revitalise taxi and functionality
to reduced exposure and unmaintained recap programme. in transport
to road accident. transportation modes e.g. ICT:
network wifi and reduced
travel times.
Energy harvesting Zero GDP growth Energy harvesting road Energy efficiency
innovation owing to poor pads. Training for and recycle by
infrastructure. Skills personel. using transport
shortage to adress roots to generate
the infrastructure energy
upkeep.Preliminary analysis
Data (servers and PC's). and sharing infrastructure (systems and
processes) as well as social cohesion.
Data ELT No negatives were identified for
interventions for water pollution. High For transport-related interventions, the
As recorded above, the following data
points were captured from the likelihood of success is estimated for likelihood of success is considered to be
workshop: waste beneficiation interventions as dependent on political will and should
Key issues n = 13 they are low tech, and require low skills be founded upon a gap analysis.
Prioritised Key issues n = 4 which are easily trainable. For Negatives were identified as follows:
Priority interventions n = 12 infrastructure related intervention lack of political will and wisdom,
critical success factors are enforcement shrinking GDP leading to less spending
of regulations, and revised occupancy on infrastructure, introduction of a
Likelihood of success and
standards for RDP houses (especially speed train will compromise the taxi
negatives with neighbourhood and service industry.
Workshop participants recorded that capacity design for densification).
there are no negatives associated with
sanitation interventions proposed. Cost was negatively associated with
Success was considered possible, upgrading data for human settlements.
subject to development of new skills, Updating data is resource – intensive.
infrastructure, policy, new funding Critical success factors identified for
sources, legislation and equipment data management were data collectionPreliminary analysis
Key issues
Thirteen Key issues were identified by
Key issues Sum of
workshop participants, similar issues
Count votes
were clustered thematically and then
Efficiency in our financial spending
prioritised by vote as follows: towards solving our problems 1
Monitoring tool tokens in water usage 1
Water loss/distribution 1
Water recycling innovation technology 1 6
Electricity 1 2
Gini coefficient 1 1
(Appropriate) Design of housing
typologies 1 2
Water scarcity 1 2
Extreme terrain (construction solutions) 1 2
Transport 2 12
Water pollution and lack of clean drinking
water 2 6
Data management 1 4Barriers
Barriers to uptake of STI 4 SHS for
selected interventions as identified in
the Visualising chart were distributed as
follows:
Count
Other
Policy and regulatory framework
Undesirable social and/or environmental effects
Infrastructure and maintenance factors
Investment factors
Production factors
Skills and knowledge
Cultural and perception factors
Demand
Technological factors
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9Clusters, profiles and priorities
Way forward Gap analysis
CONSULTATIVE WORKSHOPS AND INTERVIEWS Opportunities and benefits analysis
WEBSITE AND ELECTRONIC SURVEY
Selection framework
Demand-side needs
DESKTOP RESEARCH Targets
-STI programmes
-projects Investment pipeline
Supply-side Innovation trends
-strategies barriers -international Costing
-initiatives -local Implementation plan
Barriers Monitoring and evaluation plan
• Steering • Roadmap • Out-of-the- • Exhibition • Incubation • STI 4 SHS Forum
Committee advisory Box • Innovations forum • Electronic surveys 1 & 2
• Planning panel Conference register • Investors • National workshop
Committee • Specialist • Academia • Black-box Roundtable
• Project Interviews, and NSI session
team as Advisory • Case book
identified
ALL
PROJECT ADVISORY ACADEMIA INDUSTRY INVESTORS
Various inputs consolidatedOpportunities to be appraised
Interventions identified in the desktop reviews, and in provincial consultative
workshops will be sorted according to opportunity clusters and prioritised in
• Prioritised accordance with “key issues” identified in the workshop engagement. The three
interventions obtaining the most votes per workshop will be validated.
The validation process will systematically evaluate costs, and benefits, per intervention
• Validated taking both demand and supply into consideration. These are to be compared to
existing capabilities in consultation with expert advisors. Overall likelihood of success
will be estimated, based on consolidation of validation criteria. Quick wins will be
identified.
Alignment with vulnerabilities and goals selected from the NUA, NDP, SDGs and IUDF
• Impact will be assessed, to determine the potential impact of each intervention. The impacts
will be consolidated to cluster level.
Based on the prioritisation, validation, and impact assessments, the interventions will
be ranked according to their strategic alignment, value, likelihood of success and
• Shortlisted impact. This is the draft investment portfolio. Collaborators and partners will be
identified for the most promising technologies, and a draft implementation plan will be
co-created.Draft roadmap The advanced Draft STI 4 SHS Roadmap is currently scheduled for June 2019. It will set out a 10 year plan for a coordinated investment and collaboration plan between key stakeholders. Following various targeted engagements, including the Provincial Consultative Workshop series, a Draft STI 4 SHS Roadmap Framework will be presented which will summarise the status quo, opportunities, define an investment portfolio and provide a detailed implementation plan. To stay abreast of project progress and opportunities to participate, register as a STI 4 SHS Forum member at www.sti4shs.co.za.
References Le Roux, A. 2018. The Green Book: Risk trajectories of South African settlements – Free State initial findings. Gibberd, J. 2018. Mega-challenges and trends in human settlements. STI 4 SHS Provincial Consultative Workshop: FREE STATE http://www.sti4shs.co.za/sites/default/files/2018-09/GP%20HumanSettlementsTrends.pdf Napier, M., Sebake, N., Crankshaw, B. 2018. Science Technology and Innovation for Human Settlements Roadmap Desktop Review Trends Report: STI 4 SHS – DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION (23 October 2018). This document is part of the STI 4 SHS Provincial Consultative Workshop Report series, which can be accessed at www.sti4shs.co.za (Events - past events)
Acknowledgements
Workshop hosts CSIR, Durban
Project made possible by Department of Science and Technology (project sponsor), Technology Innovation Agency (project management)
National coordinators
Mapula Letshweni SALGA
Tenda Rasikhanya Department of Water and Sanitation
Ngube Thokwana; Hlengiwa Koopa and Matsimbi Mokondo Human Settlements
Engagement preparation
Alize le Roux, Coralie Van Reenen, Jeremy Gibberd, Mapule Letshweni, Beth Crankshaw, Peta De Jager, Jennifer Mirembe, Lorato
Motsatsi, Mark Napier, Francois Prinsloo, Tshepang Mosiea, Hlengiwe Koopa, Matsimbi Mokondo, Sizo Sebake, Linda Godfrey, Tiyani
Ngoveni, Ashaal Roopchan and Anitha Ramsuran
Workshop facilitator and anchors
Sheldon Bole; Peta de Jager CSIR
Administration, logistics and electronic proceedings
Letta Chale, CSIRAppendix A - Roadmap definition process
Preparation Visioning Roadmap development Implement & refine
Establish Planning Steering Committee E-survey + 9x National Quarterly Expert
Committee; identify vision to frame long- stakeholder workshop and Committee meetings
Expert Common purpose, term goals and draft publish for for 10-year
workshops to
judgement scope, terms of objectives identify projects, comment implementation
and references and gaps, opportunities, period to invest &
consensus method barriers & priorities steer
40 key stakeholders 20 decision-makers 300 stakeholders + Public participation 20 decision-makers
Conduct a status Future scenarios for Define an Monitor & evaluate
Data & quo trend analysis sustainable human Cost - investment portfolio implementation and
and investigate STI 4 settlements, STI benefit of Roadmap update plan
analysis
SHS opportunities, activities and
capabilities, projects
potential, maturity
and industry
readiness Focused technical input via interview Investment partners
Months 1 - 4 Months 1 - 6 Months 1 - 18 Years 1 - 12
After Tam, 2012, p10
Extract from Roadmap Review report of the STI 4 SHS Draft Status Quo Report.Appendix B - Targeted engagements strategy at a glance
Private sector NGOs and
NSI Academia Investor Regulator Government
& business NPOs
Project Provincial Academic Off-the-Wall Investor STI4SHS
Ad hoc
structures workshops advisory Showcase Roundtable Forum
• Steering • Interviews, • Roadmap • Out-of-the- • Exhibition • Incubation • Website
Committee as advisory Box • Innovations forum portal
• Planning identified panel Conference register • Cost • Electronic
Committee • Scientific & • Black-box models surveys 1 &
• Project review session 2
team Committee • Case book • National
• Academia workshop
and NSI
meeting
For further information refer to the Stakeholder Engagement Strategy in the STI 4 SHS Draft Status Quo Report.You can also read
