Valuer-General's 2018 - Property Market Movement Report
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Cover photos Gold Coast City. (Photo courtesy of Shutterstock) Point Vernon in Hervey Bay, Fraser Coast Regional Council. (Photo courtesy of Shutterstock) Emerald in Central Highlands Regional Council. (Photo courtesy of Central Highlands Development Corporation) Cattle (Photo courtesy of S Barlow) © State of Queensland, 2018. The Queensland Government supports and encourages the dissemination and exchange of its information. The copyright in this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia (CC BY) license. Under this license you are free, without having to seek our permission, to use this publication in accordance with the license terms. You must keep intact the copyright notice and attribute the State of Queensland as the source of the publication. Note: Some content in this publication may have different license terms as indicated. For more information on this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/au/deed.en. CS7909 03/18 Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report ii
Contents Valuer-General’s foreword 1 Introduction 2 Property market movement 2 Overall market trends 3 Gold Coast 3 Greater South East 4 Wide Bay–Burnett 5 Darling Downs 5 Maranoa 6 Central Queensland 7 North Queensland 8 Western Queensland 9 Rural 10 Figures Figure 1 Local government areas and the 2018 annual valuation program iv Figure 2 Property land use by region, 2018 2 Figure 3 Overall percentage movement in total value since the previous annual 11 valuation for the whole state and all local government areas Figure 4 Queensland drought situation as at 27 September 2017 14 Figure 5 Queensland drought situation as at 11 January 2018 15 Tables Table 1 New median value and percentage movement in median value for 12 residential and rural residential land since the previous annual valuation in local government areas included in the 2018 annual valuation Table 2 New total value and percentage movement in total value for commercial, 13 industrial, multi-unit and primary production land since the previous annual valuation in local government areas included in the 2018 annual valuation Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report iii
2018 Annual Valuation Program Inset TORRES SHIRE FRASER COAST REGIONAL GYMPIE REGIONAL WEIPA TOWN NOOSA SHIRE SUNSHINE COAST REGIONAL SOMERSET REGIONAL MORETON BAY COOK SHIRE REGIONAL BRISBANE REDLAND LOCKYER VALLEY CITY DOUGLAS SHIRE IPSWICH CITY REGIONAL CITY LOGAN CITY CARPENTARIA MAREEBA SHIRE SHIRE CAIRNS REGIONAL GOLD SCENIC RIM COAST REGIONAL CITY CASSOWARY COAST TABLELANDS BURKE REGIONAL CROYDON REGIONAL SHIRE ETHERIDGE SHIRE SHIRE HINCHINBROOK SHIRE Included in Program TOWNSVILLE CITY Not Valued (40) BURDEKIN SHIRE CHARTERS Valued (22) TOWERS WHITSUNDAY MOUNT ISA REGIONAL REGIONAL CITY MCKINLAY RICHMOND SHIRE SHIRE FLINDERS MACKAY REGIONAL SHIRE CLONCURRY SHIRE ISAAC REGIONAL WINTON SHIRE BOULIA SHIRE BARCALDINE LIVINGSTONE SHIRE REGIONAL LONGREACH ROCKHAMPTON REGIONAL REGIONAL GLADSTONE REGIONAL CENTRAL HIGHLANDS REGIONAL DIAMANTINA SHIRE BLACKALL-TAMBO BANANA BUNDABERG REGIONAL SHIRE BARCOO SHIRE REGIONAL NORTH BURNETT REGIONAL MURWEH SHIRE SOUTH QUILPIE SHIRE BURNETT WESTERN REGIONAL Inset MARANOA REGIONAL DOWNS REGIONAL TOOWOOMBA REGIONAL BULLOO SHIRE PAROO SHIRE GOONDIWINDI SOUTHERN BALONNE SHIRE REGIONAL DOWNS REGIONAL Figure 1 Local government areas and the 2018 annual valuation program CS7798 01/18 Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report iv
Valuer-General’s foreword I am pleased to release this year’s property market ‘Conditions facing regionally important industries, movement report, ahead of the issue of the 2018 annual including in the resource sector and tourism, have statutory land valuations on Wednesday, 7 March 2018. continued to strengthen. For example, coal prices and associated import demand from China have held up, better Following a statewide market survey and consultation winter rainfall has eased drought conditions in some areas with local government and industry groups, 22 local and tourism numbers continue to improve.’2 government areas have been valued in accordance with the Land Valuation Act 2010. ‘A global trade recovery, strengthening commodity prices and increased export volumes boosting Queensland A market survey report prepared for each local government export earnings. The value of Queensland goods exports area details the sales of land in the area since the last increased $22.3 billion to be $71.4 billion in the year valuation was made and the probable impact of those to October 2017, while education and tourism exports sales on the value of land in an area. In addition, valuers continue to grow, driven by demand from Asia.’3 also consider factors that impact on the value of the land such as the state of the economy, commodity prices and Coinciding with the issue of annual valuations on population trends. 7 March we are introducing a new online search feature for landowners to find their land value information. The 22 local government areas receiving new valuations this year are: Banana, Barcoo, Boulia, Bulloo, The online search displays annual valuation information Central Highlands, Charters Towers, Diamantina, from the existing online valuation roll, residential market Douglas, Fraser Coast, Gladstone, Gold Coast, tables and mapping products into one easy-to-use online Goondiwindi, Hinchinbrook, Isaac, Maranoa, Murweh, search accessible on desktop and mobile devices. The Noosa, Paroo, Quilpie, Scenic Rim, Sunshine Coast and search tool also displays the movement in the residential Toowoomba. median values of major residential localities and local government area as a whole. The rateable local government areas being valued this year represent approximately 41 per cent of the total land area Queensland Globe continues to provide landowners with of Queensland or 29 per cent of the properties on the state access to more detailed valuation information. Our online valuation roll. resources, Queensland Globe and rural sales map can be viewed at www.qld.gov.au/landvaluation and can help you The new valuations will take effect on 30 June 2018 for local better understand your land valuation and local property government rating, state land tax and state land rental market. purposes (where applicable). With many Queensland landowners now electing to receive This report summarises the comprehensive analysis of their notices electronically, I encourage all landowners all property markets within the 2018 annual valuation to have their future valuation notices and other valuation program for Queensland by a team of regionally-based information sent to them by email by visiting registered valuers in the State Valuation Service of the www.qld.gov.au/landvaluation and changing their contact Department of Natural Resources, Mines and Energy. details. There are continued signs of strength in some areas I hope you find this year’s property market movement of Queensland’s property market. Generally, across report informative. Queensland there has been increased sales activity in rural markets. This has resulted in an uplift in land values within the majority of grazing, horticultural, small crop and dryland farming industries. Continued strengthened cattle prices within the beef industry and continued low interest rates are driving this Neil Bray confidence, even though the majority of the state remains Valuer-General drought declared. State Valuation Service Looking at other economic indicators, Queensland Treasury advise ‘dwelling investment increased by a further 2.4 per cent in 2016–17. However, dwelling approvals are now well below their peak in early 2016, driven by significant falls in approvals for medium-to-high density dwellings.’1 1 Queensland Budget 2017–18: Mid year fiscal and economic review, p8, Queensland Government 2 ibid. p11 3 ibid. p3 Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 1
Introduction Property market movement Two methodologies are used to undertake statutory land The volume of property lodgements recorded with the valuations in Queensland—site value and unimproved Registrar of Titles decreased over the first half of the 2017–18 value. financial year with an average of 2926 daily lodgements, down 6 per cent from the previous financial year. Site value is used to value all non-rural land. It is the amount for which non-rural land could be expected to Proper ty value changes, both up and down, can be sell for, at the date of valuation, without any structural attributed to a number of factors: improvements on the land (e.g. houses, buildings or • supply and demand within the market place fences). Site value includes site improvements made to the land such as earthworks (e.g. levelling, filling, or drainage • consumer confidence works). Excavations and drainage associated with a • availability of finance building are not included in site value. • local, national and global economic factors Unimproved value is used to value rural land. It is the amount for which rural land could be expected to sell for, at • the effects of extreme weather events. the date of valuation, without physical improvements such as houses, fences, dams, levelling or earthworks. If your Table 1 (page 12) shows the new median value and land has been valued on an unimproved basis, it is either percentage movement for residential and rural residential zoned rural (or equivalent) or designated rural for statutory land in the local government area since the previous valuation purposes. valuation. Table 2 (page 13) shows new total value and percentage movement in total value for each land use category since the last annual valuation was issued. Single unit residential Figure 3 (page 11) shows the overall percentage movement Rural residential INSET Multi-unit residential in total value since the previous valuation for each local Commercial NAMBOUR Industrial government area and the whole state. Primary production Other This year’s overall percentage movements in land values BRISBANE for the 2018 annual valuation are summarised below: IPSWICH • Nineteen local government areas recorded an overall increase of between 1.6 per cent (Charters Towers) and GOLD COAST 41.9 per cent (Maranoa). NORTH • Of the nineteen local government areas that increased, CAIRNS three increased by 0–5 per cent, four increased 5–10 per cent and twelve recorded increases of more than 10 per Local government cent. areas valued TOWNSVILLE DNRME offices with SVS staff • Three local government areas recorded an overall decrease in value between 5.1 per cent (Paroo) and MACKAY 9.2 per cent (Hinchinbrook). ROCKHAMPTON CENTRAL EMERALD BUNDABERG NORTH COAST MARYBOROUGH ROMA SEE TOOWOOMBA INSET SOUTH WEST WARWICK Figure 2 Property land use by region, 2018 Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 2
Overall market trends Gold Coast An increase in urban land values has generally occurred in Gold Coast City land values have generally increased the Gold Coast, Scenic Rim, Toowoomba, Sunshine Coast, from the 2017 annual valuation. While the key contributor Noosa and Douglas local government areas. In contrast, to the overall increase was in the residential sector, some regional Queensland local government areas increases have been recorded across most market experienced generally static to falling property values, in sectors. The market movement is consistent with general particular those communities whose economies are closely economic indicators such as improving visitor numbers1, linked to activity in the resources sector, such as Gladstone development and infrastructure spending in the lead up to and Isaac regional councils. the 2018 Gold Coast Commonwealth Games2. The market is still being influenced by: Most residential localities recorded minor increases in value, the stronger increases being in coastal and near • prevailing economic uncertainty and weak employment coastal locations such as Mermaid Beach, Burleigh Waters, growth in some regional centres Burleigh Heads, Elanora, Currumbin Waters and Tugun. • declining business investment reflecting the state of the Residential land values in Coombabah and Runaway Bay resources sector have recorded only slight increases. • drought – although better winter rainfall in some areas Gold Coast multi-unit development site values increased saw a recovery in crop production and herd rebuilding. by a minor amount overall depending on location. The diversity in values is reflective of the demand for However, these drivers are offset by: development sites in particular locations and markets. • strong housing construction and growth in dwelling Southern coastal localities between Mermaid Beach and investment Coolangatta generally increased by minor to moderate • continued growth in international tourism and education amounts. Land values in central coastal and broadwater due to the lower Australian dollar locations, such as in Southport, Surfers Paradise, Broadbeach and Labrador, generally increased by only • low borrowing costs and improving rental yields slight amounts, while values in non-coastal, lower density • investment opportunities being taken up by interstate locations such as in Robina showed slight to minor and overseas buyers. increases. The market for Gold Coast commercial property has been The mining and gas industries continue to influence characterised by improving yields and reducing vacancy the property market as the gas sector moves from an rates. Commercial land value increased by a minor amount exploration and construction phase towards a production overall varying by location. The overall movement was phase, while the mining industry is impacted by volatile influenced by significant increases in southern coastal resource prices. The fluctuating activity within the sector localities such as Palm Beach and Tugun. Land values in is still impacting on centres including Gladstone, and the established commercial locations such as Southport townships within the Isaac and Banana local government and Bundall increased slightly, while emerging locations areas. such as Robina and Varsity Lakes experienced only minor Increased confidence within rural markets has led to increases. moderate increases across the state with some minor to moderate increases in Greater South East Queensland. Continued high commodity prices within the beef industry and continued low interest rates are driving this confidence, even though the majority of the State remains drought declared. Despite a drop in the sugar price and an increase in the Australian dollar the demand for sugar cane land is still evident, with the market still generally supporting static to slightly increased land values. Gold Coast City. (Photo courtesy of Shutterstock) 1 Travel by Australians: Results of the national visitor survey for year ending September 2017 2 Andrew Potts, Gold Coast Bulletin, June 11 2017 Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 3
Steady demand for industrial sites across the Gold Coast Residential land values in the towns and villages increased has resulted in a moderate overall increase in industrial moderately overall with significant increases in Tamborine land values. Values in all major industrial locations, such Mountain and Canungra. The rural homesite market, as in Yatala, Molendinar and Burleigh Heads, increased which is the main market driver in the area, also increased at relatively consistent rates. More significant increases moderately overall. Diverse movement in this market occurred in the Coomera Marine precinct. Nerang, Carrara reflected local sales evidence and demand resulting in a and Currumbin industrial values increased by only minor range of increases from relatively minor in Tamborine to amounts. significant on Tamborine Mountain. Kooralbyn, Canungra, Peak Crossing, Beaudesert and Aratula rural residential Rural residential home sites recorded a minor increase values have increased moderately. in value overall, with homesite lots closer to denser residential areas in Helensvale and Nerang reporting The impact of emerging markets and infrastructure marginally greater increases. resulted in a range of movements for commercial and industrial land in Bromelton and Aratula that resulted Gold Coast primary production land values, represented in a moderate increase for each location. Otherwise the by the horticulture, cane farming and beef cattle grazing majority of commercial and industrial land value was industries have generally remained unchanged. static. Greater South East Farming and grazing businesses in the area are a significant component of the local economy. Farm and Greater South East Queensland encompasses the valley grazing land values increased by a minor amount overall, areas west of Greater Brisbane, coastal areas north to with more moderate increase recorded in locations such as Noosa, and areas inland to Gympie Regional Council. Peak Crossing, Mount Walker and Beechmont. These local government areas were valued in 2018: Noosa and Sunshine Coast local government areas were last valued in 2016 and generally most market sectors and • Scenic Rim Regional Council localities have increased in value since that time. • Noosa Shire Council The Sunshine Coast region has experienced minor to • Sunshine Coast Regional Council moderate growth in residential land values driven by a number of factors including the significant infrastructure Scenic Rim Regional Council area was last valued in 2015. construction, strong tourism activity and continued Values in the area have been static until recently when demand for coastal living. Demand typically centres on demand spreading from surrounding areas has lifted value. mid-priced coastal property as well as the smaller towns Overall the increase in value was minor, however there has along the North Coast railway line such as Yandina, been variability with significant increases in some markets Nambour and Landsborough that provide an affordable and locations. option for buyers. Prestige property values have also improved with minor increases in beachfront lands as well as for canal frontage properties in Noosa and Pelican Waters. Improving multiple unit building activity and demand is evident on the Sunshine Coast and has resulted in minor growth in mulit-unit land values. Commercial land values are generally steady with some minor increases across the Sunshine Coast region, however there is growth in most industrial values underpinned by the strengthening building and development sector. Rural residential home site values generally mirrored the changes in the urban areas, with minor increases recorded in value in Sunshine Coast and Noosa. Farming activities such as cattle, small crops and tree crops are significant enterprises in South East Queensland. Rural land values in Sunshine Coast have had moderate increases with market activity reflecting the demand for hinterland properties. Sunshine Beach, Noosa Shire Council. (Photo courtesy of Shutterstock) Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 4
Wide Bay–Burnett These local government areas in the region were valued in 2018: Wide Bay–Burnett encompasses the region from • Toowoomba Regional Council Maryborough north to Bundaberg, and west to Kingaroy and Monto. Within the region Fraser Coast Regional Council • Goondiwindi Regional Council was valued in 2018. The economy of Toowoomba and surrounds continues Fraser Coast was last valued in 2016 and since that time to be positive due to a number of completed, ongoing market conditions have improved in some areas with land and proposed infrastructure including the Brisbane values rising in Hervey Bay and some coastal areas. West Wellcamp Airport, Grand Central shopping centre Hervey Bay is experiencing some activity in the residential development, the Second Range Crossing, Charlton sector, with most areas showing a slight to minor rise in Industrial Estate development, the proposed Inland values predominately in the lower to middle price range. Rail, and the proposed Toowoomba railway precinct and The older established areas of Maryborough remained parkland development. static, while values in the hinterland towns and villages These projects have created confidence within remained generally unchanged. Toowoomba City. This is further supported by the effects Multi-unit land values remained static in Maryborough, of the continued strengthening beef commodity prices, however values have risen in some areas within Hervey Bay low interest rates and the general demand for rural land in line with the rising residential land values. across the Darling Downs, resulting in moderate increases in rural land values. Industrial, retail and other commercial activity has been largely subdued across the local government area as a Toowoomba Regional Council was last revalued in 2016. reflection of local market conditions and as a result, land Since that time there has been minor to moderate growth values are mostly unchanged. within the residential and rural residential markets of Toowoomba and surrounding towns. The towns of Rural residential values remained generally static with Millmerran, Pittsworth, Oakey and Yarraman are the demand typically focused on smaller sites around the exception where the markets remained static, and minor major centres. reductions have been made in Clifton, Nobby, Cooyar and Grazing, cane growing, and small and tree cropping are Greenmount. significant land uses in the Fraser Coast area, however land The multi-unit market in Toowoomba has now plateaued, values were generally static on the back of limited sales following a sustained period of significant development evidence in the farming sector. prior to the 2016 annual valuation. Darling Downs Generally, the industrial market across Toowoomba remained static, except for the Charlton Industrial Estate The Darling Downs is a farming region on the western which has experienced significant increases in value, slopes of the Great Dividing Range in southern related to the significant infrastructure projects in the Queensland. The Downs are to the west of the Greater region. South East and is generally applied to an area comprising There is considerable optimism within the commercial Southern Downs, Western Downs, Toowoomba and market of Toowoomba City. The market for quality Goondiwindi regional council local government areas. commercial investment properties has been robust. Point Vernon in Hervey Bay, Fraser Coast Regional Council. (Photo courtesy of Shutterstock) Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 5
There is demand for smaller commercial premises or sites The continued effects of the strengthened beef suitable for commercial use on a scale suitable for owner commodity prices and low interest rates has seen the occupiers. There has been an increase in leasing activity general demand for rural land continue from the 2017 within the CBD and fringe for food and entertainment revaluation across the Goondiwindi Regional Council venues including cafes, restaurants and bars. The local government area, resulting in continued significant increased retail floor area brought on line by the Grand increases in value. Central shopping centre redevelopment appears to have increased overall vacancy levels within this locality. Demand for office space within the CBD fringe also Maranoa continues with the conversion of residential dwellings in The Maranoa region is located in south west Queensland to professional offices. approximately 480 km west of Brisbane and adjoins the Redevelopment is occurring within the city fringe Darling Downs. commercial areas with the recently completed Bunnings The town of Roma, is the dominant urban centre and serves store on the former foundry site at the corner of Ruthven as the region’s primary hub for commerce, education, and Bridge streets. Inner city development continued with health, transport, government, retail and financial a number of new developments and restaurants being services. constructed, coupled with more apartments. The urban markets throughout Maranoa Regional Council Sales within this market support an overall minor have stabilised, since the gas industry has moved from increase in the level of land value, with varying increases infrastructure development to the production phase. in the fringe commercial and outlying suburban Within the last revaluation of 2017, all urban land values commercial areas. were significantly reduced within the town of Roma. Since the last revaluation of Goondiwindi Regional Rural land values have continued to rise significantly, Council in 2017, the urban components remained following the increases contained in the last revaluation generally static overall, except for significant increases in 2017. These increases are a result of the continued in the industrial market and moderate to significant strengthening of the beef commodity prices and low increases for rural residential properties in Goondiwindi, interest rates. Better quality and more sought after including the riverfront properties along the lands have reflected larger increases in property values. McIntyre River. Aerial view of Toowoomba (Photo courtesy of Dan Proud Photography) Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 6
Central Queensland The worst affected property markets are the lower-valued properties in improved residential property markets and Central Queensland encompasses Rockhampton, the residential rental markets. Reliable evidence of a Gladstone and Mackay and extends south to Miriam Vale, decline in land values has taken time to filter through, north to Bowen and west to the Queensland–Northern but there is now sufficient market evidence to indicate a Territory border. downward movement. These Central Queensland local government areas were The level of reduction varies from town to town, the extent valued in the 2018 annual valuation: of reductions relates to a combination of the town’s reliance on the mining industry, and the date at which the • Banana Shire Council town’s associated mines rationalised their workforce. • Central Highlands Regional Council Although there was considerable variation between mining • Gladstone Regional Council towns, the trend throughout the local government areas • Isaac Regional Council of Gladstone, Isaac and Banana was of moderate value reductions for most urban land types. Urban lands were Over the last year, Central Queensland experienced a more stable in Central Highlands Regional Council, after mixed property market movement. Generally, urban some significant reductions in previous valuation periods. property markets softened or remained static, and rural While property values have reduced in the mining towns property markets have remained static or increased. such as Dysart, Moranbah, Clermont, Moura and Theodore, Since the early 2000’s, regional urban markets have been the residential rental market in most towns has started to influenced by the region’s resources industry. During 2017, firm at lower and more sustainable levels. the region started to recover from the previous economic Gladstone property values also reduced in 2017 with small downturn, caused, in part by the reduced viability of the lot residential and multi-unit values reduced in many areas. Bowen Basin coal industry. This ongoing easing in the residential market demand Reductions in coal prices since 2013 saw several in 2017 was mainly due to continued uncertainty in the uneconomic mines closed during 2015–16, remaining LNG sector and excess supply created during the LNG operational mines rationalised, and infrastructure infrastructure construction phase. There were some flow- development projects postponed or abandoned. In mid- on reductions in property values in Gladstone’s industrial to-late 2016 and throughout 2017, an increase in the and commercial sectors, although not all areas were spot prices for coal saw stabilising in some markets and impacted. renewed interest in new coal projects. The grazing markets throughout the region, after several Support industries were also impacted by conditions in years of softening, have generally seen moderate to the mining sector. The biggest impact occurring in the significant increases with the continued strengthened mining and resource-based towns which traditionally cattle prices achieved in 2016–2017. Sales across the accommodated workers in houses rather than in temporary region continued to trend upward. Grazing land values accommodation. in all Central Queensland local government areas have seen minor to moderate increases, except for in Gladstone The effect on the property market was that demand for Regional Council where values remained unchanged. urban lands remained soft in 2017 in most urban centres. However, with continued strong coal prices, we are now seeing stabilisation in these urban markets. Emerald, Central Highlands Regional Council. (Photo courtesy of Central Highlands Development Corporation) Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 7
North Queensland Demand for larger rural residential blocks has generally flattened, however values have increased moderately for North Queensland encompasses the Burdekin in the blocks located east of the Mingela Range. south, and extends north to Cape York and west to the The primary production sector within the local government Queensland-Northern Territory border. area, has been very active since the last annual valuation These local government areas were valued in the 2018 in 2014. The market for grazing lands remains optimistic annual valuation: but cautious. The property sales indicate some variability depending on land quality and location. Whilst the broader • Charters Towers Regional Council trend is static to increasing, some of the values for the • Douglas Shire Council poorer quality lands are still below levels set in the last • Hinchinbrook Shire Council annual valuation. Based on the available land sales, moderate increases in Charters Towers Regional Council is centred on the town value have occurred for the better quality pastoral lands, of Charters Towers, located 135 kilometres southwest of a minor to moderate reduction in the high-cost breeder the major regional centre of Townsville. Charters Towers is lands, and a general stabilisation of values elsewhere. largely a service centre for adjoining pastoral and mining enterprises. Douglas Shire is located in Far North Queensland about 50 kilometres north of Cairns. The main administrative centre Traditionally, the real estate market in the town of Charters is the town of Mossman, while the main urban centre is Towers has been closely related to the state of the mining, Port Douglas. pastoral and education sectors. The pastoral sector continues to suffer from the prolonged drought, although The economy has advanced through the economic confidence appears to be returning on the back of record downturn since 2008 with positive evidence in the tourism high cattle prices and demand exists for quality land. industry. The property construction market has improved Over recent years, there has been a reduction in mining steadily with development and renovation of resorts, units opportunities for the town with slowed activity in both and houses evident in recent times. The local tourism the Central Queensland coal mines and the local gold industry continues to lead the recovery with improvements operations, impacting local employment. in the market evident from the 2016 period. This has continued into 2017 with sound levels of holiday occupancy These economic drivers have caused a slowing in the levels being maintained. The arable and intensive volume of sales leading to a slight to minor softening of grazing market is resilient on the back of continued high land values within the Charters Towers residential market, commodity prices for beef and a strong sugar industry. and a general stabilisation of values within the immediate rural residential homesite market. A full review was The residential market in Mossman has improved with undertaken of all commercial and industrial lands within minor increases in values experienced across the board. the town, resulting in a variation to values in most cases. The commercial and industrial markets have generally remained the same. Slight to moderate increases in values were experienced in the smaller localities and villages within the local On the back of strong tourism, Port Douglas commercial government area including in Homestead, Pentland and lands have generally experienced minor increases Mingela. The exception is the town of Greenvale, where a to land values. The industrial locality of Craiglie has significant decrease in values has occurred due to a lack of also experienced a slight to minor increase in values. demand. Residential lands in Port Douglas have experienced minor increases in values. Variations to values have existed across localities within the local government area. Minor increases have been experienced in Wangetti, Newell and Daintree; minor to moderate increases in values in Cooya Beach and Craiglie; whilst there has been slight reduction in values at Wonga Beach. The rural homesite market generally has experienced a minor increase in values north to the Daintree River, with a stabilisation of values north of the river. The arable and grazing market has generally experienced minor to moderate increases in value, which also better aligns to the levels of value in similar quality adjoining areas in the Far North region. Hinchinbrook Shire Council is centred on the sugar cane community of Ingham and associated localities about 110 Port Douglas, Douglas Shire Counicl (Photo courtesy of kilometres north of Townsville. Shutterstock) Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 8
The volume of sales transactions are generally down on Boulia Shire Council is situated about 300 kilometres historic levels, with the exception of arable lands which south of the city of Mount Isa, adjacent to the Northern are trending to be within normal parameters. Communities Territory border. The shire has a geographic area of 61 635 such as Forrest Beach are oversupplied with vacant land sq.kilometres with the town of Boulia as its administrative stock, which has put a downward pressure on land values. centre. Residential land values within Ingham have generally Landforms within Boulia Shire are diverse as they experienced a softening of values with minor to moderate encompass parts of the North West Highlands, Mitchell decreases. This trend is also occurring in the commercial Grass Downs and Channel Country biogeographical and industrial markets. regions. Located within the semi-arid to arid zone where rainfall varies considerably, Boulia Shire has been drought The lack of demand for land in Forrest Beach has resulted declared over successive years. in minor to moderate reductions of land value. There is limited stock available in the communities of Taylors Beach Despite the drought, a number of primary production and due to this, land values have generally remained the transactions have occurred leading up to the date of same. valuation demonstrating a moderate uplift in pastoral values, generally consistent with an upward movement in Other villages within the local government area including values experienced in the south and east. Toobanna, Trebonne, Abergowrie, Halifax and Cordelia have generally experienced a minor softening in land Residential land values within the town of Boulia have values. generally remained stable, while there has been significant reductions to values in the town of Urandangi, albeit from Similar to residential lands, there has been limited demand a low base. for rural residential lands throughout the local government area. Minor to moderate reductions in value have generally In Barcoo and Diamantina shire council areas, urban land been experienced across the board, including the Mount values have been maintained at previous levels. Many Fox locality. of the smaller towns are feeling the impact of prolonged drought conditions and subsequent population drift away, Despite a drop in the sugar price and an increase in the due to limited employment opportunities. While there has Australian dollar the demand for sugar cane land is still been a partial break in seasonal conditions, it may take evident, with the market still generally supporting static some time for the smaller towns to recover, as demand for to slightly increased land values. labour in the rural sector recovers as graziers re-stock. All urban areas are generally static within the local authorities Western Queensland of Bulloo and Quilpie, since the last revaluation in 2014. For the purposes of this report, the Western Queensland In Paroo and Murweh shires last valued in 2015, the region encompasses the pastoral zone local government towns of Charleville and Cunnamulla recorded significant areas west to the Northern Territory border and south to reductions in value, while the towns of Morven and the South Australia and New South Wales borders. Augathella in Murweh Shire recorded significant increases. These local government areas were valued in the 2018 The increase in values within the rural property market annual valuation: within the south west are being driven by the continued strengthened beef commodity prices and low interest • Barcoo Shire Council rates. Significant increases in value have occurred within • Boulia Shire Council the mulga lands due to its affordability. The Warrego flood plain market is generally static. Carbon credit affected • Bulloo Shire Council sales have been occurring within the mulga market. Sales • Diamantina Shire Council between producers are being sold at generally similar levels within this market. The impact on land values from • Murweh Shire Council the construction of wild dog exclusion fencing has yet to • Paroo Shire Council be determined in the market place, with regard to those properties that have fencing installed and those that don’t. • Quilpie Shire Council (Photo courtesy of S Barlow) Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 9
Rural The Australian wool market closed in 2017 in record territory, with the Eastern Market Indicator closing at Continued optimism generally surrounded rural property 1760c/kg in December 2017.2 In early 2018 it has continued markets this year, even though the majority of Queensland to rise to 1822c/kg compared to around 400c/kg less in remained drought declared. This market confidence 2017,3 resulting in higher prices for re-stockers rebuilding has generally been driven by high commodity prices their flock. within the beef and sheep industries and continued low The effect of continued strengthening of beef commodity interest rates. This optimism in rural markets is also being prices is particularly evidenced within the better quality supported by investment in the construction of exclusion property markets of Central Queensland, Maranoa and fences to control wild dogs on many rural properties across the Darling Downs. There has also been significant Queensland. interest within the mulga property market in south-west Rural land values have continued to grow on the back of Queensland due to its affordability. landowners’ expectations that conditions in agriculture Generally, the bulk of market purchases are by existing have improved and continue to do so. Potential family business acquiring additional property. purchasers however still remain cautious, until there is an improvement in weather conditions. Queensland has Increased rural values are generally occurring throughout not seen a reasonable season for some time, and many the majority of local authorities being revalued across primary producers are still waiting for rains to start before Queensland, with sales across Maranoa, Goondiwindi, re-stocking after the prolonged drought conditions. Sunshine Coast regional councils and Murweh and Douglas shires generally showing significant increases. Strong cattle market competition exists between re- stockers, for limited availability. The Eastern Young Cattle Generally, moderate increases have occurred in the rural Indicator reflects this situation. 1 October 2014: 365 cents/ areas of Boulia, Diamantina, Barcoo, Banana and Quilpie kg/cwt (carcase weight), 4 October 2016: 719 cents/kg/ shires, and the regional councils of Isaac and Toowoomba. cwt, 3 October 2017: 547.84 cents/kg/cwt and 30 January Minor to slight increases generally occurred in Bulloo, 2018: 534.25 cents/kg/cwt. 1 This trend has been impacted Paroo, Hinchinbrook shires and the regional councils of by current weather conditions, and has impacted on Central Highlands, Scenic Rim and Charters Towers, while rebuilding efforts. Demand for high quality Australian beef markets in Gladstone and Fraser Coast regional councils remains strong. remained static. Full reviews of rural valuations are currently underway in many locations across Queensland to improve uniformity between valuations. The 2018 annual valuation included a full review of Murweh Shire Council, the Taroom area of Banana Shire and the eastern areas of Goondiwindi Regional Council. The south west local government areas were also analysed as common markets for the respective country types. These market based reviews have resulted in varied changes to valuations being issued. Rural land purchased by resource companies for the purpose of mining or other extractive industry are not used to determine statutory land values of rural land. This market activity has now slowed due to the state of the resource sector, and respective markets are now being influenced by rural landowners. Despite a drop in the sugar price and an increase in the Australian dollar, the demand for sugar cane land is still evident with the market still generally supporting static to slightly increased land values. Cattle (Photo courtesy of S Barlow) 1 Source: Meat and Livestock Australia 2 Source Landmark Wool Report 3 Queensland Country Life Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 10
HINCHINBROOK -9.2 GLADSTONE -9.0 PAROO -5.1 CHARTERS TOWERS 1.6 ISAAC 2.8 BULLOO 3.8 FRASER COAST 5.5 Overall percentage change by local government area CENTRAL HIGHLANDS 6.4 TOOWOOMBA 8.2 GOLD COAST 8.3 Local government area 2018 annual land valuation STATEWIDE 8.8 10.4 SUNSHINE COAST 10.8 DOUGLAS 11.3 NOOSA 15.2 BANANA 17.3 SCENIC RIM 17.9 DIAMANTINA 18.1 MURWEH 18.5 BOULIA 19.7 BARCOO 21.8 QUILPIE 25.9 GOONDIWINDI 41.9 MARANOA 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 % change Figure 3 Overall percentage movement in total value since the previous annual valuation for the whole state and all local government areas valued in the 2018 annual valuation. Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 11
Table 1 New median value and percentage movement in median value for residential and rural residential land since the previous annual valuation in local government areas valued in the 2018 annual valuation. Residential Rural residential Local New Median New Median government median value median value area value change value change ($) (%) ($) (%) Banana 65 000 -1.5 73 000 -7.6 Barcoo 10 000 0.0 21 500 0.0 Boulia 9 000 0.0 23 000 0.0 Bulloo 4 000 0.0 6 400 0.0 Central Highlands 58 000 0.0 124 000 0.0 Charters Towers 49 500 -4.8 110 000 0.0 Diamantina 19 000 0.0 50 000 0.0 Douglas 140 000 12.0 152 500 2.4 Fraser Coast 129 000 10.3 117 000 2.6 Gladstone 95 000 -15.9 118 000 -6.4 Gold Coast 345 000 9.5 390 000 5.4 Goondiwindi 75 000 0.0 130 000 12.1 Hinchinbrook 56 000 -22.2 95 000 -12.0 Isaac 37 000 -46.4 74 000 -17.8 Maranoa 58 000 0.0 158 750 5.8 Murweh 12 000 -57.9 28 000 -58.2 Noosa 270 000 13.7 202 500 8.0 Paroo 4 700 -52.5 16 000 -60.0 Quilpie 24 000 0.0 31 000 0.0 Scenic Rim 167 500 14.0 237 500 13.1 Sunshine Coast 247 500 8.8 275 000 10.0 Toowoomba 185 000 7.3 197 500 5.3 Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 12
Multi-unit Commercial Industrial Primary production New Total New Total New Total New Total Local government area total value total value total value total value value change value change value change value change ($) (%) ($) (%) ($) (%) ($) (%) Banana 3 712 000 -1.0 16 325 400 -11.3 37 749 834 -1.2 1 357 062 890 22.0 Barcoo 106 500 0.0 81 000 0.0 63 281 500 20.2 Boulia 186 610 -5.8 172 280 0.0 69 752 100 19.3 Bulloo 44 600 0.0 215 800 0.0 44 981 500 2.7 Central Highlands 24 651 100 -1.1 77 493 600 0.1 76 805 770 0.0 1 796 759 040 9.5 Charters Towers 2 388 500 -3.7 18 353 700 5.8 15 300 440 4.2 443 541 100 4.7 Diamantina 540 000 0.0 459 850 0.0 43 387 000 19.8 Douglas 272 360 000 8.6 161 691 500 7.2 39 500 200 6.9 101 681 100 47.0 Fraser Coast 276 281 000 5.2 397 063 200 0.5 162 024 800 0.5 230 532 000 0.0 Gladstone 130 164 000 -12.3 206 098 400 -5.8 266 744 050 -9.3 230 757 520 0.0 Gold Coast 17 175 645 400 6.6 4 095 568 700 8.5 3 692 649 500 15.4 125 046 800 0.2 Goondiwindi 6 457 000 19.9 39 822 250 2.9 55 772 500 13.5 778 768 900 38.0 Hinchinbrook 6 602 000 -18.9 39 127 000 -21.4 14 991 000 -10.2 318 293 600 4.8 Isaac 11 406 000 -27.3 25 917 000 -20.8 24 189 400 -23.8 1 814 735 610 18.8 Maranoa 5 765 400 -0.3 70 680 600 0.6 91 992 150 0.1 1 853 246 070 59.6 Murweh 4 635 800 -57.0 1 815 700 -56.7 257 778 290 52.9 Noosa 1 426 416 500 4.5 232 195 000 2.7 139 566 000 9.5 61 565 500 20.1 Paroo 1 085 800 -58.2 410 000 -59.7 93 385 200 3.5 Quilpie 770 450 0.0 1 198 800 0.0 54 704 800 26.3 Scenic Rim 53 894 500 13.0 163 732 500 1.1 80 284 800 4.7 1 121 213 320 11.0 since the previous annual valuation in local government areas valued in the 2018 annual valuation. Sunshine Coast 3 418 594 200 12.8 1 710 894 400 5.6 759 604 500 7.2 382 303 100 30.4 Toowoomba 528 746 500 0.3 845 398 980 7.5 775 030 132 5.3 2 265 847 230 23.3 Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 13 Table 2 New total value and percentage movement in total value for commercial, industrial, multi-unit and primary production land
Queensland drought situation as at 27 September 2017 Figure 4: Queensland drought situation as at 27 September 2017 Source: www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 14
Queensland drought situation as at 11 January 2018 Figure 5: Queensland drought situation as at 11 January 2018 Source: www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au Valuer-General’s 2018 Property Market Movement Report 15
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