PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS
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PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS November 2020
Contents SECTION 1 SECTION 2 SECTION 3 Shaping Premiumisation The Premium Customer Industry Developments An introduction to premiumisation: Understanding the premium customer A zoom-in to the largest and fastest- definition, historical and current state of and influencing trends which convince growing markets globally in Consumer premiumisation, and driving factors them to pay a premium price Health, Packaged Food, Alcoholic Drinks, Pet Food and Beauty and Personal Care Page 2 Page 13 Page 24 SECTION 4 How To Win? A highlight on the future state of premiumisation, and a review for businesses planning for a premium product or brand positioning Page 49
SECTION 1 Shaping Premiumisation The shaping premiumisation section presents an introduction to premiumisation: defining premiumisation, how it has evolved, and a summary of factors supporting the premiumisation trend.
SECTION 1 SHAPING PREMIUMISATION Defining premiumisation Premiumisation refers to the added-value of a product; however, it does not directly Premiumisation is a process to achieve a premium status translate as “more expensive products”. Instead, premiumisation is rather denoted as the use of the product’s characteristics, Mass Premium traits and features to influence consumer perception and increase the willingness to pay more for the products or services. Thus, value is also associated with other aspects, including quality, convenience, authenticity, novelty and consumer experience. Consumers are willing to pay more for what they prioritise and what they perceive matters to them. Typically, consumers tend to consider a product or service as premium if it can help to improve these aspects of life: Organisation & Uniqueness Time-saving Safety & security Health efficiency
SECTION 1 SHAPING PREMIUMISATION Consumers’ changing values impact the purchasing decision Global Consumer Value: Status and Consumerism, 2015/2017/2019 100% 80% 68% 66% 67% 60% 46% 38% 41% 40% 30% 31% 31% 20% 0% I find I am looking for ways I am willing to spend money I enjoy spending my money to simplify my life to save time rather than saving it 2015 2017 2019 Source: Passport Lifestyles Survey, 2020 • As the added value in premiumisation goes beyond the price of products and services, there are ideological factors that shape consumers’ intrinsic value, e.g. beliefs, attitudes, priorities, perceptions and motivation. • These consumer values can change over time. They influence purchasing decisions and the willingness to pay more for what caters to their specific needs or reflects their true self. • Today’s consumers are facing increasingly time-starved lifestyles. Thus, more consumers will pay a premium price for products or services which can simplify, ease processes, and save time in their daily lives.
SECTION 1 SHAPING PREMIUMISATION Premiumisation is vital as volume growth struggles and consumers seek specific added value when making purchasing decisions Retail Value Global Retail Value and Volume Growth (%), 2014/2019/2024 Retail Volume 8% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 2% 2% 0% 0% Beauty and Personal Alcoholic Drinks Cheese, Spreads, Sweet Biscuits, Pet Care -2% Care Butter Snack Bars, -2% -4% Fruit Snacks -4% %YoY %YoY Value 2014 2019 2024F Volume 2014 2014(Vol.) 2019 2019(Vol.) 2024 (Vol.) 2024F Source: Passport Beauty and Personal Care, Passport Alcoholic Drinks, 2020 Edition, and Passport Packaged Food, Passport Pet Care, 2021 Edition Note: F refers to forecast Increasing competition over retail price and consumer sophistication have led to an increase in premiumisation • The competitive retail environment has added pressure to retail prices globally. Global mass brands faced challenges capturing volume growth in the past 10 years. The challenges are not limited only to developed markets, but are also seen in emerging markets, as local players’ capabilities improve and consumers become more knowledgeable about brands or products. • The rapid penetration of the internet and smartphones is influencing consumers’ purchasing habits. Real time connectivity, social media, online searches and e-commerce allow consumers globally to be better-informed than ever before. Also, consumers are able to make purchases regardless of their location through cross-border e-commerce. This allows niche brands to reach and penetrate their target consumer base faster and in a more efficient way. • With the pressure from both market competition and consumer sophistication, there is a need for brands to engage more with consumers to establish an emotional connection and communicate the premium “added value” of their products and services.
SECTION 1 SHAPING PREMIUMISATION Today’s consumers look beyond quality and function – they seek brands and products which are better-connected and closer to their personal values Pre-financial Crisis Post-financial Crisis Creating a personal connection with First Wave of Premiumisation Second Wave of Premiumisation consumers can include: 1990s – 2008 2008 – present ETHICAL EMOTIONAL AESTHETIC • Premiumisation created through • Premiumisation created through offering previously unavailable creating stronger personal connections product/service quality with consumers of consumers said that • High prices • Higher prices, smaller volumes purchasing eco-conscious • Expansion of specialist physical • Vertical integration: seamless shopping 28% or ethically-conscious products makes them feel retailers experiences between social media, e- good commerce and physical stores • Mostly European brands with a lifestyle-driven image • Expansion of Asian brands with culture- • Products that reflect personal led evolution 28% ofto consumers said they try shop at locally-owned success and sophistication • Premiumisation as a trusted guide to stores purchasing quality products/services of consumers would Starbucks – was able to raise KitKat Chocolatory – created prices and transactions by premium status by offering 38% rather buy fewer but higher quality products incorporating European-style uniqueness and emotional coffee, quality and engagement through KitKat bar experiences into its offerings. personalisation Source: Passport Lifestyles Survey, 2019
SECTION 1 SHAPING PREMIUMISATION What are the driving factors for premiumisation? Shifting economic power ✓ Growing middle-class, especially in developing markets ✓ Increasingly sophisticated consumer tastes Key factors driving Population change premiumisation Technology ✓ Demographic shifts, ✓ Internet and smartphone including urbanisation, falling penetration birth rate, ageing society, ✓ Emerging social media and smaller household size and e-commerce platforms delay in marriage
SECTION 1 SHAPING PREMIUMISATION Growth in the middle-income population in Asia is key – this is the future target for premiumisation Top 10 Emerging & Developing Countries • Middle-class households in emerging and developing with the Largest Number of Middle-Class countries are growing in terms of number and spending Households, 2019 (‘000) capacity. This is also expected to be the main growth driver of labour productivity and disposable income, which directly China 103,763 support the growth of the middle-classes in emerging and developing markets. India 78,563 • China and India are seen as key countries for driving growth Indonesia 20,056 in the higher-income population, especially in urban areas, Russia 16,954 as rapid urbanisation contributes to more economically active areas/regions. Brazil 15,491 • Emerging and developing countries outside the Asia Pacific Nigeria 11,331 region have seen limited economic growth, with labour Pakistan 10,248 productivity growth expected to be weak through to 2030. This will thus limit the growth of middle-class households in Bangladesh 9,484 these regions. Mexico 9,362 Egypt 9,156 Ikinari Steak – A Japan-based chained - 30,000 60,000 90,000 120,000 steak house which focuses on the concept of high-quality steak. The meat Source: Passport Economies and Consumers, 2020 Edition quality is claimed to be similar to that in Note: Middle-class is defined as the number of households high-end restaurants, but is served at a with between 75.0% and 125% of median income. more reasonable price.
SECTION 1 SHAPING PREMIUMISATION Increase in households without children leads to more disposable income Growth in Households by Type, 2019 vs. 2025 • The number of households without children (couples without children and single-person households) is rising. Single Person 14% This has created opportunities for premiumisation on the basis that households without children do not have child- Couple Without Children 11% related expenses and therefore have more disposable income to spend on high-end products and services. Couple with Children 5% • As such, consumers have no parental obligation, their schedule is more flexible, with greater possibility to focus on work and achieve their career goals and higher Single-Parent Family 7% compensation. These households are able to make purchasing decisions based on their personal satisfaction; 0% 10% 20% buying products which could be viewed as too expensive if they had to allocate income for children’s expenses. % growth from 2019 Source: Passport Economies and Consumers, 2020 Edition New Covent Garden Soup Company – This UK-based brand launched the advertising campaign “Let’s Do Lunch Better” for its high-end healthy chilled soup. The brand targeted consumers aged 25-35. Furthermore, the product was also observed to appeal mostly to couples or households without children, as the brand’s ready to eat soup could be deemed as too expensive for households with children.
SECTION 1 SHAPING PREMIUMISATION Urbanisation expands the target audience for premiumisation Global Urban and Rural Households (‘000), 2019-2030 2,500,000 823,883 823,209 822,331 824,514 824,556 824,338 822,655 823,580 824,191 2,000,000 816,397 819,799 821,404 1,500,000 1,584,938 1,610,114 1,634,966 1,507,441 1,533,607 1,559,432 1,427,042 1,454,146 1,480,958 1,344,109 1,372,391 1,399,693 1,000,000 500,000 0 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F 2025F 2026F 2027F 2028F 2029F 2030F Urban Households ('000) Rural Households ('000) Source: Passport Economies and Consumers, 2020 Edition Note: F refers to forecast • As cities are expanding and rural areas continue to urbanise, it is Fonterra – Originally penetrated the Chinese market by exporting milk expected that about 5 billion people will live in urban households by 2030. powder. As demand for Western food is These new urban consumers are likely to seek quality new and even growing amongst urban Chinese premium products and services, with an aspiration to have the things consumers, they are seeking and willing which were previously unavailable to them in rural areas. to pay for high-quality dairy products. Fonterra has therefore expanded its • Thus, urbanisation will uncover opportunities for high-end brands to offering, exporting a diverse portfolio of capture sales from the greater number of new urban households. 47 dairy products to China.
SECTION 1 SHAPING PREMIUMISATION Rising proportion of elderly consumers expected to drive demand for premium products Top 10 Markets by Population Aged Under and Over 60, 2019 100% 29% 28% 28% 28% 28% 28% 26% 26% 25% 80% 34% 60% 40% 74% 74% 75% 66% 71% 72% 72% 72% 72% 72% 20% 0% Japan Italy Finland Portugal Greece Bulgaria Germany France Netherlands Denmark 0-59 years old 60+ years old Source: Passport Economies and Consumers, 2020 Edition • A high proportion of the population is aged over 60 in developed countries. The rising number of elderly consumers will drive demand for premium products specifically designed for the elderly or targeted towards the ageing society. Helmut Lang – An Austrian luxury fashion brand hired a • One important motivation behind older consumers’ purchasing decisions, group of elderly women for its especially for non-essential products, is acquiring status or prestige, as the elderly campaign in 2018. The elderly Welsh women modelled Helmut have worked their way to the top of the career ladder pre-retirement. Thus, there Lang’s autumn and winter is an opportunity for brands to engage with baby boomers. womenswear collection.
SECTION 1 SHAPING PREMIUMISATION Accessibility and penetration of internet and smartphones spur sales of premium products and services via online channels Growth in Retail Formats, • Household connectivity is another key driver of premiumisation. %CAGR 2014-2019 With improving technology and higher disposable incomes, (excluding sales tax) consumers have more access to the internet and smartphones, Store-Based and are becoming increasingly connected regardless of location. • Developed markets embarked on digitalisation first. However, as -0.1% mobile and smartphone technologies became more affordable, they were able to rapidly penetrate emerging and developing markets. This provides consumers with greater access to product information, options and premium products. The increasing popularity of cross-border e-commerce also enables Mobile E-Commerce niche brands to innovate and reach out to their target consumers globally. +43% Cross-border E- Commerce +18% Italic Marketplace – A members-only marketplace that lets consumers shop for unbranded luxury Source: Passport Retailing, 2020 Edition goods directly from the factories through its website.
SECTION 2 The Premium Customer Understanding premium customers and the key trends influencing these customers to trade up. The premium customers explored in this section are categorised into three types of premium customer groups: (1) customers who seek “Services That Help”, (2) customers who are into “Thoughtful Consumption”, and (3) customers who want to “Build a Better Me”.
SECTION 2 THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER Perceived premium value through the lens of premium customers Services that help Real-time personalisation and service Time-starved and stressed-out consumers are seeking out and spending more on products or services that promise to simplify their lives and allow for time-saving. They are looking to streamline the process of finding, purchasing and customising products that match their needs. Thoughtful consumption Building a better me From premium products to Wellness, mindfulness, happiness premium moments While some consumers want to maintain their health, with As indulgence commands a premium, it demands a a preference for nutritious food or plant-based meat reason for purchase, as consumers look to justify that alternatives, for example, some consumers are keen to the offering provides the right experience, at the right polish their personal branding. In each case, there is time, with minimal harm to health and the environment. opportunity to help consumers become their “best selves”.
SECTION 2 THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER Regional manifestation of premiumisation Services that help Southeast Asia (SEA): Premiumisation in SEA is characterised by observable traits and features in products and services which act as tangible value drivers to justify their higher price. SEA consumers increasingly relate to concepts such as “permission to indulge” and are looking for added-value through convenient solutions to address their everyday frustrations. Southeast Asia US, Australia & Europe Thoughtful consumption East Asia Building a better me US, Australia & Europe: Developed markets, East Asia: Asian consumers from countries such as Japan, including selected European countries, the US and South Korea and China are increasingly prioritising health, Australia, take a more balanced approach to wellness and connectivity, with consumer expenditure on premiumisation, with products and services that help related products and services forecast to increase in the with thoughtful consumption and building a better medium and long term. Value considerations are also me. important, as East Asian consumers are closely aligned with values such as thoughtful consumption and self-betterment.
SECTION 2 THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER Premiumisation in action Premiumisation Trends Premium Customer Curation and Partnership Services Personalisation That Help The Quest for Time Smart Luxury Growing premiumisation Thoughtful trends observed in Asia Premiumisation Consumption Permission to Indulge Health is the New Wealth Building a Authenticity & Local Better Me Traditions Buying Experience and Community
THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER Services That Help: SECTION 2 Personalisation Personalisation commands a premium price by offering a tailor-made solution and enhancing consumers’ emotional connection and experience • Personalisation is one way to build a connection between consumers and products, as 49% premiumisation can often be related to the of consumers globally said that they emotions and experiences that consumers value products and services that are associate with the products or services they uniquely tailored for them use. Personalised products are perceived to offer additional value, with specific benefits which match different lifestyle needs. VN Smart Photoelectric Beauty • Thus, personalisation is a means to increase Skin Center – Located in China, consumer satisfaction, brand loyalty and this is a personalised skin care service launched by Weimeidu ultimately improve quality of life. International Beauty Chain Group. The store provides customised • Whether it is in DIY or made-to-order format, skin analysis and a selection of technology is the key influencer increasing more than 120 natural health- demand for personalisation. Smart diagnostics focused ingredients which can be and real-time tailored recommendations are customised to match skin types becoming increasingly popular and consumers and needs. are trading up to products and services derived from these solutions. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence could potentially play an important role in driving future growth in personalisation.
THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER Services That Help: SECTION 2 The Quest for Time Consumers pay more for time-saving solutions so they can focus on top life priorities • Regardless of age, location and income level, time, either for oneself or with loved ones, is often ranked as a top priority and is highly valued. However, modern lifestyles have led to increasingly time-starved consumers. Many consumers are tied up with longer work hours and congestion in urban areas. The COVID-19 pandemic has blurred the line between professional and personal time even further, with consumers telecommuting and working from home. They typically find it more difficult to separate working and non-working hours, while some employees feel that their employers expect them to always be online or able to respond immediately. As such, products and services that can help save or manage time or free up schedules so that consumers can focus on what matters to them, are viewed as premium. • Still, consumers do not want to automate or outsource everything. They are looking for options to outsource certain tasks, and are willing to pay more for solutions that can free up that time so they can focus on doing other higher-priority activities. Top Life Priorities Time for myself Priority Student Full-time worker Full-time worker with Retired Rank (15-19 yrs) without children children under 18 (60+ yrs) Time with parents 1 Time with partner/spouse 2 Time with children Time with extended family 3 Time for work 4 Time for favourite activities 5 Earning money to live on Source: Passport Lifestyles Survey, 2020 Following my passion
THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER Services That Help: SECTION 2 The Quest for Time Foodservice players premiumise by offering quality fresh meals with a similar speed to fast food • For the past 10-15 years, the foodservice industry has stepped into the premiumisation trend by offering “fast casual” and “chef-driven” food concepts. These are premium approaches which combine the speed of fast food counter service with an upscale menu design. The price points are typically higher than ordinary fast food, but still lower than the mid-price of full-service restaurants. • Concisely, the fast casual and chef-driven concepts are seen to provide food variety and novelty with a dining experience in an informal setting. At the same time, they allow time-starved consumers to enjoy quality meals. • An example of a fast casual foodservice brand is Nando’s, a South African chain that offers spicy grilled chicken with design-centric outlets and an assorted wine menu. • Shake Shack is another example of this trend. The brand is a burger chain which originally started as a small kiosk serving a limited menu, with a claim to offer fresh, simple and high-quality versions of classic burgers. Shake Shack currently operates more than 100 outlets globally.
Thoughtful Consumption SECTION 2 THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER Permission to Indulge Consumers seek justification to make them feel better when making purchases for self-indulgence • Many consumers are paying more for products or services Global Retail Value Fortified/Functional which allow self-indulgence. Products that are commonly Food and Beverages (USD million), seen in this area include affordable luxury products such as 2014/2019/2024 imported spirits, craft beer and high-end branded lipsticks. 400,000 • Increasing retail sales of fortified/functional food and 350,541 beverages were observed in 2019, and sales are expected to 350,000 continue growing. During the purchasing decision, consumers typically ask themselves “what can this product 300,000 do for me?”. This reflects that consumers are seeking not 266,553 only quality, but also a sense of justification when they are 250,000 paying a higher price. This added-value helps them feel good 222,482 about spending more and can be presented in various forms; for example, additional functionality, health benefits, 200,000 nutritional fortification, authenticity, exotic appeal, social responsibility, or a product/service which resonates with their 150,000 personal image. 100,000 • For product categories which are typically viewed as unhealthy, in the wake of the global financial crisis (2008) 50,000 consumers have become more judicious and look for specific value to justify when they pay a premium price or indulge in 0 less healthy activities. It is important that consumers perceive 2014 2019 2024F that such indulgent products are more interesting, offering additional value such as an authentic story, exotic flavour or Source: Passport Health and Wellness, 2020 Edition tied to craft or novelty. Note: F refers to forecast
Thoughtful Consumption SECTION 2 THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER Permission to Indulge Dine-out culture drives indulgence in foodservice and demand for premium food and drinks products Spending per Capita at Full-Service Restaurants – Asia (USD), 2014-2024 250 30% 200 20% 10% 150 0% 100 -10% 50 -20% 0 -30% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F Spending per Capita, USD %YoY Growth Source: Consumer Foodservice, 2020 Edition Note: F refers to forecast • In Asia, out-of-home dining is an important part of social life. Among the top 20 markets, there are eight countries in Asia with the highest consumer foodservice transaction per capita. The increase in per capita spending in full-service restaurants in Asia is largely caused by the increasing demand for quality dining. • Food culture has long been rooted in the Asia Pacific region. Many of the world’s oldest and best-known culinary traditions originated from this region, where consumers have been searching for, arguing about, writing about and preparing good food for hundreds of years. In addition, apartments and living spaces in urban areas tend to be small as urbanisation increases. Thus, social life in Asia mainly takes place in bars, restaurants, cafés and around food stalls, which has led to growing interest in high-quality food when dining out, driving premiumisation in foodservice. In particular, growing interest is observed in fad-driven (trends driven by collective behaviours) foodservice, and brands which can connect with consumers via new flavours or unique outlets.
Building a Better Me SECTION 2 THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER Health is the New Wealth Consumers are paying a premium price and putting more time and effort into investing in health • In the past year, increasing focus on health was observed and is expected to drive future premiumisation. Consumers are now of consumers globally said they dedicating their time and money to maintaining both their physical health and mental wellbeing. They are seeking products and services which deliver clear benefits. 42% read food and beverage nutrition labels closely • With the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, premiumisation is being driven by what consumers feel they need the most; of consumers globally said they specifically, healthy, sanitary and mood-enhancing products or treatments. Also, the pandemic is expected to further accelerate demand in these areas in the future. 42% take health supplements/vitamins at least once a week • The growing trend towards holistic health is also reflected in the increasing popularity of certain types of sports, such as yoga, of consumers globally said that they where mental and physical health are included as a core part of physical exercise. 23% participate in stress-reduction activities, e.g. meditation, massage • As medical advancement continues, people are expected to live longer. Consumers aspire to age healthily, reducing the number of sick years and seeking to prevent health problems. • Food and beverage brands have been seen to develop products in response to consumers’ health-consciousness. For example, PepsiCo developed Drinkfinity, a personalised and portable beverage system that allows people to create their own functional beverage with no artificial sweeteners or artificial flavours added.
Building a Better Me SECTION 2 THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER Authenticity & Local Traditions Brands leverage local traditions to communicate authentic messages • Growth in disposable incomes also helps to elevate the level of confidence in spending among Asian consumers. Higher confidence is typically reflected in demand for luxury imported products and international travel. • In addition, demand for premium quality, attractive designs, new technology or the modernisation of local/traditional products is being seen. This is driven by emotional connections with their local culture, reflecting a sense of originality and roots. • In Japan, a blend of old traditions and modern technology Jiangxiaobai – This creates a sense of authenticity, such as flavoured sake, which Chinese brand commands a premium price. Similarly, middle- and upper-class launched a consumers in India pay more for versions of local products which traditional baijiu with are home-made or produced with modern quality and sanitation a lighter taste and standards. For instance, some cereal brands launched Indian- modern and minimalist inspired flavours, such as PepsiCo’s Quaker Oats Kesar Flavour packaging design. (saffron) with Kishmish (raisins). • In China, most consumers still prefer foreign brands, as these are perceived to have high quality and safety standards. However, there is a desire to modernise local traditional products and increase the positive perception of local brands. The Chinese-based e-commerce platform Taobao, from Alibaba, has been promoting “Quality by China”, a programme which was introduced in 2015 to endorse quality home-grown brands and their original designs.
SECTION 3 Industry Developments Exploring how premiumisation has developed in key industries across the globe and understanding how customers’ needs and premiumisation trends are applied in real-life product examples.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Consumer Health Consumers are driven by a preventive healthcare approach, seeking less chemically-based consumer health products Global Retail Value – Vitamins and Dietary Supplements (USD million), 2013/2019/2024 and CAGRs 2013-2018 and 2019-2024 80,000 16% 60,000 12% 40,000 8% 20,000 4% 0 0% Asia Australasia Eastern Europe Latin Middle East & North Western Europe America Africa America 2013 2019 2024F %CAGR 2013-2018 %CAGR 2019-2024F Source: Passport Consumer Health, 2021 Edition Note: F refers to forecast • Asia is the largest region in terms of retail sales of vitamins and dietary supplements, followed by North America. Market growth in Asia is mainly driven by its massive population, the increased penetration of vitamins and dietary supplements in the region, the growth in the middle-classes and the preventive health concept, especially in China, Thailand and Indonesia. While retail value sales in Middle East & Africa remain relatively small, the region is expected to grow rapidly, at almost a 16% CAGR from 2019-2024. Increased access to vitamins and dietary supplements and rising health awareness will be key growth drivers. Consumers in the region typically prefer to take vitamins with the aim of strengthening their immune system. • The growing concept of health and wellness is expected to drive future demand for consumer health products which are made from herbal local/traditional ingredients in Asia. More consumers are shifting from modern or chemical-based products to natural/herbal-based ingredients, as they believe that they are less toxic, contain no chemicals and carry fewer side-effects. • While concern over mental wellbeing is more common in developed markets, it is also gaining more attention among Asian consumers. In addition, it is observed that consumers in developing markets are paying more attention to chronic and lifestyle- related health problems such as diabetes and obesity.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Consumer Health High-growth markets like China and Indonesia are driven by the need for health supplements stemming from urban life and increasing pollution Top 10 Markets by Retail Value – Vitamins and Dietary Supplements (USD million), 2019 and CAGR 2019-2024 • Future growth among the top 10 markets for vitamins and dietary supplements will mainly be driven by consumption in 40,000 14% China. Although smaller in terms of retail value, Indonesia is forecast to project higher growth, with a 12% CAGR over 12% 2019-2024. 30,000 10% • The growing healthy living trend and the concept of prevention are key driving factors for consumer health products in China. 8% In addition, the government emphasises improving public 20,000 health and promoting the prevention of health problems. 6% • In Indonesia, consumer demand for vitamins and dietary supplements is driven by environmental conditions and 4% increasing awareness of health care. Air pollution has been an 10,000 ongoing issue within the country, caused largely by traffic 2% congestion in urban areas and smoke from slash-and-burn agricultural practices in Sumatra. 0 0% • As urbanisation and modern lifestyles are expanding rapidly, more consumers are experiencing stress and time pressures, which have led to sleep deprivation, insomnia, obesity, digestive issues, skin problems and hair loss. Thus, the demand for products such as sleep aids and weight Market Value, 2019 (USD million) %CAGR 2019-2024F management and wellbeing products is set to grow in both China and Indonesia. Source: Passport Consumer Health, 2021 Edition Note: F refers to forecast
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Consumer Health Increasing interest in holistic wellbeing results in rising demand for mental wellbeing-related products due to stressful lifestyles Awareness of and concerns about mental wellbeing are growing and are expected to drive future premiumisation of consumer health products • Consumers are taking care of their health in a more holistic way. Apart from physical health, growing interest in spiritual and mental wellbeing is also driving growth in consumer health products. • Demand for mental wellbeing solutions will Consumer Health Thailand continue growing due to busy modern lifestyles, with higher levels of stress and nervousness, Short-Medium Term Health is the New Wealth which have led to the so-called “anxiety economy”. Deep Sleep – drinks for better-quality sleep • Consumers are seeking out and spending more on holistic products and services, such as those InnoWeness Deep Sleep is a functional beverage which claims which promote better sleep, relaxation and stress to promote better quality of sleep. The brand claims to use reduction. Products or services that can help them 100% natural ingredients, containing an amino acid found in to recover and recharge from their daily work-life chamomile, L-Theanine, as the key component to help reduce responsibilities can command premium prices. stress and increase relaxation. As the drink elevates sleep quality throughout the night, it claims to help consumers maintain brain health and feel refreshed in the morning.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Consumer Health Products command premium prices by offering health benefits and easy consumption Consumer Health China Consumer Health Indonesia Permission to Indulge, Health is the New Wealth, Short-Medium Term Short-Medium Term Health is the New Wealth The Quest for Time Swisse & LELECHA – collaborative drink YouVit – multivitamin gummies A supplement brand from Australia, Swisse, partnered with YouVit is an Indonesia-based vitamins brand which focuses LELECHA, a well-known tea café chain in China. The two on gummy format vitamins in different flavours for easy brands launched a collaborative drink, Swisse Collagen consumption. The vitamins come in compact packaging Essence Lemon Tea, which contains Swisse Ultiboost with a modern design. YouVit also has vitamins options Golden Collagen Blood Orange Liquide. which target female consumers and mothers. In addition, consumers can choose a subscription service on the The beverage is claimed to be less sweet than the typical website. The brand will deliver the chosen vitamins pack to ice tea beverages, offers a savoury taste and provides a the customer’s home according to the frequency chosen, refreshing feeling, while the Swisse collagen in the drink e.g. weekly or monthly delivery. can help promote glowing and healthy skin.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Consumer Health As health needs vary by individual and other external factors, consumers seek products that best fit them, and expect to see results Consumer Health UK Consumer Health Germany Health is the New Wealth, Long Term Short-Medium Term Health is the New Wealth Personalisation Nourished – customised 3D printed vitamins STURM – anti-pollution food Nourished is the world’s first 3D vitamins printing start-up, STURM is positioned as a German science-based brand, which offers nutrition customisation through an online developed by Dr Barbara Sturm, offering anti-pollution questionnaire, from which the consumer can then receive the supplements to help protect the body’s cells and skin and vitamins suggested or create their personal vitamins profile. reduce the inflammation caused by air and digital pollution. The brand claims that its vitamins are freshly-made, thus the The product is claimed to fortify the skin’s natural barrier body can better absorb the nutrition they contain. In addition, and immune system with a blend of adaptogens, which are Nourished’s vitamins are vegan, halal and kosher-friendly. known to provide holistic healing nutrients and increase The ingredients are sourced ethically and the packaging is chemical and physical stress resistance for the cells and 100% free from plastic. skin.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Packaged Food Asia leads packaged food retail sales globally, while dairy products are expected to continue growing in Southeast Asia Global Retail Value – Packaged Food (USD million), 2013/2019/2024 and CAGRs 2013-2018 and 2019-2024 1,000,000 16% 800,000 12% 600,000 8% 400,000 4% 200,000 0 0% Asia Australasia Eastern Europe Latin Middle East & North Western Europe America Africa America 2013 2019 2024F %CAGR 2013-2018 %CAGR 2019-2024F Source: Passport Packaged Food, 2021 Edition Note: F refers to forecast • The global consumption of packaged food is driven by Asia, due to its higher population. Although Middle East & Africa is a smaller market, it is expected to see stronger growth in the future. • Growing opportunities for packaged food in Asia are expected to be driven by dairy products. For instance, drinking yoghurt has great potential for expansion in Southeast Asia, especially in Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam. Consumers in the region perceive drinking yoghurt as a healthy choice of drink, and it can be consumed conveniently on-the-go. In addition, yoghurt and drinking yoghurt are commonly used for beverages and desserts in Vietnam, e.g. yoghurt coffee and black sticky rice with yoghurt. Vietnam – Black sticky rice with yoghurt (sua • In Middle East & Africa, overall market growth is driven by higher incomes. The growth of packaged chua nep cam). food is also driven by higher demand for quality dairy products, specifically baby milk formula.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Packaged Food Urban consumers are increasingly looking for and paying more for nutritious and convenient packaged food Top 10 Markets by Retail Value – Packaged Food (USD million), • Demand for packaged food continues to grow, especially 2019 and CAGR 2019-2024 in developing markets such as China and India. 500,000 12% • The increasing focus on nutrition is driving premiumisation in packaged food among health-conscious consumers in 10% both China and India. Furthermore, urban lifestyles have 400,000 also led consumers to source convenient food or snacks. 8% Thus, a shift from traditional unpackaged to packaged 300,000 food is observed as it better fits the on-the-go concept, 6% responding to the needs of time-starved consumers. 200,000 • In China, there is growing demand for milk substitutes and 4% flavoured milk, especially among foodservice retailers such as specialist coffee and tea shops and street 100,000 2% stalls/kiosks. Meanwhile, the easing of the one-child policy to a two-child policy potentially enlarges the opportunities 0 0% for baby milk formula. Specifically, modern parents are looking for and willing to pay for special formula, such as lactose-free or hypoallergenic products. • Consumers in India are leaning more towards healthier packaged food choices, as well as seeking new product Market Value, 2019 (USD million) %CAGR 2019-2024F developments offering new local and international flavours. Source: Passport Packaged Food, 2021 Edition Note: F refers to forecast
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Packaged Food Brands create added-value by positioning their products as a healthier choice of convenient food, while adopting local flavours The healthy living trend is moving consumer choice to packaged food in which nutrition is the key justification for purchasing premium products • Today’s consumers view nutrition as a component of their daily life, and are willing to pay more to obtain foods that are natural, organic or meet their daily nutrient requirements. In addition, consumers look for these elements when paying a premium Packaged Food China price for food indulgence. • To command a premium price, the inclusion of Short-Medium Term Health is the New Wealth ingredients directly linked to consumers’ perception of added-value, such as quality and Weilong – 10 vegetable & bone soup biscuits health benefits, is vital. It is important that the packaging is also designed to convey the Weilong is a nutritious biscuit snack made from 10 types of message of added-value and represent a premium vegetables, and the brand uses bone broth soup as a key product image. ingredient. Typically, It is believed that bone broth soup is very nutritious in Chinese cuisine, providing health, nourishment and healing properties. However, it is time-consuming to cook this soup. Thus, bone broth soup in biscuit format is considered a healthy snack which is suitable for busy lifestyles.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Packaged Food Consumers seek and are willing to pay more for nutritious packaged food options which do not comprise on taste or food safety Packaged Food India Packaged Food US Permission to Indulge, Short-Medium Term Permission to Indulge Short-Medium Term Health is the New Wealth Amul – flavoured butter Kashi by Kids – organic superfood bites Amul is an India-based dairy products company. Apart from Kashi by Kids launched an organic cereal for children. The standard butter, the brand has launched flavoured butters: brand includes superfood ingredients such as purple corn, garlic & herb butter and chocolate buttery spread. Amul red lentils and chickpeas. Thus, the cereal is high in claims that its products are real butter made from the finest nutrition but also tastes good. cream and do not contain vegetable oil. Thus, they taste In addition, Kashi by Kids claims that its products are non- better and are healthier. GMO, certified organic and the ingredients are sourced according to fair trade.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Alcoholic Drinks Asia will continue to lead alcoholic drinks sales globally, while sales in Middle East & Africa will remain small but are expected to see high growth Global Retail Value – Alcoholic Drinks (USD million), 2013/2019/2024 and CAGRs 2013-2018 and 2019-2024 400,000 16% 300,000 12% 200,000 8% 100,000 4% 0 0% Asia Australasia Eastern Europe Latin Middle East & North Western Europe America Africa America 2013 2019 2024F %CAGR 2013-2018 %CAGR 2019-2024F Source: Passport Alcoholic Drinks, 2020 Edition Note: F refers to forecast • Asia leads global retail sales of alcoholic drinks, mainly driven by consumption in China. Also, the alcoholic drinks markets in Vietnam and Philippines continue to grow. At the same time, higher disposable incomes are seen to drive premiumisation in alcoholic drinks in Asia and the growing markets in Middle East & Africa. • The spirits category in Asia continues to be dominated by locally-produced spirits, especially in China, South Korea, Japan and Thailand. Locally- or traditionally-produced spirits are typically associated with an old-fashioned image, and it is challenging to attract younger consumers. Thus, locally produced spirits brands have launched new products which are more appealing to younger customers, e.g. ready-to-drink sparkling sake, which offers a new drinking experience, as it is easier and more convenient to drink. • As the younger generation is seeing increasing incomes, becoming more educated and developing a sophisticated taste for spirits, it is expected that future demand for premium alcoholic drinks will be driven by younger consumers.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Alcoholic Drinks Increasing incomes in China drive demand for quality alcoholic drinks, reflected in the wider availability of premium products with higher prices Top 10 Markets by Retail Value – Alcoholic Drinks (USD million), 2019 and CAGR 2019-2024 • China leads premium alcoholic drinks globally, 500,000 8% but market opportunities for international brands are also expected to emerge from Latin 6% America, the US and Europe. Premiumisation is 400,000 being observed in alcoholic drinks and is expected to be a key driver of value sales in 4% China. With higher income per capita, 300,000 consumers are trading up to higher-quality and 2% better-tasting alcoholic drinks. This trend 200,000 reflected in higher average retail prices for 0% spirits, beer, wine and cider/perry in 2019. 100,000 -2% • The growing healthy living trend is negatively impacting the consumption of spirits products with a high alcohol content. Yet, it potentially 0 -4% brings sales opportunities for other types of alcoholic drinks with a lower alcohol content, such as premium beer, rice wine, and cider/ perry. Market Value, 2019 (USD million) %CAGR 2019-2024F Source: Passport Alcoholic Drinks, 2020 Edition Note: F refers to forecast
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Alcoholic Drinks As prosperity improves, higher-quality and healthier alcoholic drinks will be the key driver of premiumisation Consumers are likely to drink less, but drink better. They are paying more attention to higher-quality alcoholic drinks. • As consumers become more health-conscious, they could limit their alcohol intake, and potentially look for higher-quality or healthier alcoholic drinks options. • The overall premiumisation trend for alcoholic drinks is mainly being driven by higher disposable incomes and economic growth. The increasing demand for Alcoholic Drinks US quality alcoholic beverages and the expanding Health is the New Wealth, cocktail culture are seen to continue supporting the Short-Medium Term growth for some product categories, such as Permission to Indulge premium English gin*. With the impact of the COVID- June Shine – ready to drink alcoholic kombucha 19 pandemic, home has become an entertainment hub, resulting in higher at-home alcoholic drinks June Shine is a US-based company which produces ready to consumption. However, as the pandemic has also drink kombucha which has an alcohol content of 6%. impacted spending, some groups of consumers are The brand claims that its alcoholic kombucha is a healthier expected to limit their spending on alcoholic drinks in choice for consumers who want to enjoy drinking alcohol. The the short-medium term. products are brewed from organic ingredients such as tea, fruits and honey. In addition, they are highlighted as being gluten-free *There are essentially two styles of gin: English, the style most common in the UK and US, and Dutch (jenever), which is produced in Holland and Belgium. and containing probiotics. Note that this definition refers to style, the gin itself may be produced in any country.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Alcoholic Drinks Brands target premiumisation by creating modern versions of popular local or international flavours Alcoholic Drinks China Alcoholic Drinks Singapore Permission to Indulge, Permission to Indulge, Short-Medium Term Short-Medium Term Authenticity & Local Traditions Authenticity & Local Traditions Pass-Out Ice Cream – baijiu ice cream Compendium – Chendol gin A well-known traditional baijiu brand, LuZhou LaoJiao, Compendium is a brand under a Singapore-based brewery, partnered with the ice cream brand Zhong Xue Gao to Rachelle The Rabbit Meadery. The brand launched a launch Pass-Out ice cream. The ice cream’s unique premium gin using pandan leaves and coconut as key ingredient is the baijiu filling. Typically, baijiu is highly ingredients. Pandan leaves are commonly used in related to traditional Chinese drinking culture. The Southeast Asian cuisines and are known for their sweet collaborative ice cream aims to modernise the image of fragrance. Meanwhile, the name Chendol gin is inspired by baijiu by blending it with a popular Western dessert to the green colour of the Chendol rice jelly dessert. attract younger consumers.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Alcoholic Drinks Alcoholic drinks, which are typically viewed as unhealthy, try to attract health-conscious consumers with healthier options Alcoholic Drinks US Alcoholic Drinks UK Health is the New Wealth, Health is the New Wealth, Short-Medium Term Short-Medium Term Permission to Indulge Permission to Indulge LQD – low-calorie canned cocktail i heart WINES – i heart Rosé canned wine AB InBev launched LQD canned cocktails, which include i heart WINES launched sparkling wine in a can format. health-related ingredients such as green tea, coconut The new can format is based on the on-the-go concept, water or other fruit juice. LQD is positioned as a healthier offering more convenience to consumers as the product is way to enjoy alcoholic drinks. The alcohol content is about lightweight and does not need a bottle opener. Compared 6%, which is lower than a typical cocktail (12%-20%) or with the standard 750ml wine bottle, the can format is glass of wine (12%). In addition, each can of LQD is smaller. It is more suitable for consumers who want to limit claimed to contain a low level of sugar, at 10-12g, and has their alcohol intake or do not want to have to finish the around 200 calories. whole bottle before it loses its freshness.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Pet Food High proportion of table-scraps/home-made food for pets in Asia presents the opportunity for conversion to packaged pet food Global Retail Value – Pet Food (USD million) 2013/2019/2024 and CAGRs 2013-2018 and 2019-2024 50,000 16% 40,000 12% 30,000 8% 20,000 4% 10,000 0 0% Asia Australasia Eastern Europe Latin Middle East & North Western Europe America Africa America 2013 2019 2024F %CAGR 2013-2018 %CAGR 2019-2024F Source: Passport Pet Care, 2021 Edition Note: F refers to forecast • Although North America dominates retail sales of pet food globally, growth is expected to be driven by Asia in the future. • Dog and cat food accounts for 96% of total pet food sales globally. In Asia Pacific, the current per capita consumption of pet food is still relatively low compared with developed markets such as North America or Western Europe. This is due to the fact that many pet owners feed their pets with table-scraps and home-made food. However, this situation also presents a significant opportunity for brands to convert pet owners to feeding packaged pet food. Growth opportunities are expected to be particularly high in China and Thailand, where consumers are seeking convenience and becoming more educated about packaged pet food. • In addition, the ageing demographic in Asia Pacific could potentially lead to a higher preference for cats over dogs, as consumers think cats are easier to maintain and take care of. Brands could leverage this trend and develop growth opportunities, offering specific value-added cat food for older pet owners.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Pet Food More consumers treat their pets as beloved family members, and pay a premium price for better-quality pet care products Top 10 Markets by Retail Value – Pet Food (USD million), • The increasing pet population in China is being driven 2019 and CAGR 2019-2024 by changing demographics, especially the growth of 40,000 25% single-person households, elderly households and couples without children. These three types of pet 20% owners typically view pets as a companion or member 30,000 of the family. More importantly, they are likely to spend more on better-quality pet care products. 15% • One notable trend observed in China is “cat cyber 20,000 petting”. This trend refers to the increasing number of 10% consumers who enjoy watching cat videos online and are eventually inspired to acquire a cat of their own. 10,000 This trend is increasing in popularity, and is particularly 5% popular among consumers in urban areas and the younger generation. In addition, it reflects positively on 0 0% premiumisation in terms of sales of cat food, as well as other related products, such as cat toys and cat litter. • Similarly, the trend of acquiring dogs is also growing in China. However, stricter regulations on dog breeds and dog walking in some cities may impact the decision to Market Value, 2019 (USD million) %CAGR 2019-2024F acquire a dog. Source: Passport Pet Care, 2021 Edition Note: F refers to forecast
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Pet Food As pets are treated as family members, opportunities for health-focused and customised formulae can be capitalised on Cat and Dog Food – Dry/Wet Food (USD million) Premium vs. Mass, Sales by Region and CAGRs 2019-2024 40,000 16% 30,000 13% 10% 20,000 7% 10,000 4% 1% 0 -2% Asia Australasia Eastern Europe Latin AmericaMiddle East & North America Western Europe Africa Mass (2024F) Premium (2024F) Mass %CAGR 2019-2024F Premium %CAGR 2019-2024F Source: Passport Pet Care, 2021 Edition Note: F refers to forecast Pet owners are focusing more on quality and specialised diets to maintain their pets’ wellbeing • Increasing premiumisation is seen in pet food, as pet owners perceive and raise their pets as beloved family members. This trend is expected to grow in the future, especially among pet owners in emerging markets. • Trends for pet food closely follow trends which have emerged in human food; for example, ingredients with natural, organic or grain-free claims. • In addition, pet food in humanised formats is expected to grow in the near future, e.g. cakes and ice cream for pets. Meanwhile, specialised diets, such as specific formulae for different breeds and ages, and therapeutic and customised formulae, are likely to be future growth drivers.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Pet Food Pet health is the main focus when consumers trade up to premium pet food Pet Food China Pet Food Thailand Health is the New Health is the New Short-Medium Term Short-Medium Term Wealth Wealth Shanghai Bridge Petcare – premium pet food Bone and Raw – B.A.R.F diet for dogs and cats Shanghai Bridge Petcare is a China-Norway joint venture Bone and Raw is a Thailand-based pet food brand which company and is one of the leading companies in premium focuses on the B.A.R.F diet concept (Biologically pet food. The brand claims that its products follow Nordic Appropriate Raw Food or Bones and Raw Food). The standards, with the inclusion of Oriental diet philosophy. Its brand claims that its pet food is made from human-grade products mainly focus on promoting pet health, such as ingredients: 97% fresh meat/bone/offal, and 3% from premium, grain-free, probiotic or herbal formulae. natural supplements such as extra virgin olive oil, cold press coconut oil and apple cider vinegar. The products are also free from preservatives, gluten, potato, wheat, grain and corn.
SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Pet Food Personalised and humanised pet food are gaining popularity, driving product value Pet Food Belgium Pet Food UK Permission to Indulge, Personalisation, Short-Medium Term Short-Medium Term Personalisation Health is the New Wealth Smoofl – ice cream mixes for dogs Tails.com – customised dog food Smoofl offers an at-home DIY ice cream mix specifically Tails.com is a UK-based dog food brand which focuses on designed for dogs. The brand claims that its ice cream mix offering customised formulae. The brand allows consumers is free from grain, lactose and fat, so is also safe for dogs to create their dog’s profile. The formula can then be with food sensitivities. customised to the specific dog breed, as well as allergy and nutrition needs. In addition, the brand claims that it can Smoofl ice cream mix can be purchased on its website, make portion recommendations for feeding in order to help and is also available in physical stores in Belgium and dogs maintain their ideal weight. other selected stores in the Netherlands, France, the UK, Germany, Greece and Slovenia.
Beauty & SECTION 3 INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS Personal Care Wellness, safety and international beauty concepts set to drive future per capita spending on beauty and personal care products Global Retail Value – Beauty and Personal Care (USD million) 2013/2019/2024 and CAGRs 2013-2018 and 2019-2024 250,000 16% 200,000 12% 150,000 8% 100,000 4% 50,000 0 0% Asia Australasia Eastern Europe Latin Middle East & North Western Europe America Africa America 2013 2019 2024F %CAGR 2013-2018 %CAGR 2019-2024F Source: Passport Beauty and Personal Care, 2020 Edition Note: F refers to forecast • Asia is the key market for beauty and personal care, accounting for 35% of global retail sales in 2019. It is expected that consumers in the region, particularly in China, India and Japan, will be the main drivers of future growth for both skin care and colour cosmetics. Meanwhile in Middle East & Africa, growth is expected to be driven by skin care and hair care, the growing consumer demand for masstige brands, and the international beauty concept. • In emerging markets such as India and Indonesia, sales will be driven by population growth and increasing per capita spending on beauty products. Consumers are also adopting more international beauty concepts, for instance the concepts of halal, Ayurveda, K-Beauty (South Korea), C-Beauty (China) and J-Beauty (Japan). These trends are influencing purchasing decisions and adding value to products. • In addition, consumers are increasingly adopting wellness concepts and lifestyles, and prioritising ingredients safety. It is expected that these factors will continue to be key purchasing criteria during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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