PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS

Page created by Vivian Murphy
 
CONTINUE READING
PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS
PREMIUMISATION
A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT
AND FUTURE STATE OF
PREMIUMISATION-BASED
PRODUCTS

November 2020
PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS
Contents

  SECTION 1                                    SECTION 2                               SECTION 3

Shaping Premiumisation                        The Premium Customer                    Industry Developments
An introduction to premiumisation:            Understanding the premium customer      A zoom-in to the largest and fastest-
definition, historical and current state of   and influencing trends which convince   growing markets globally in Consumer
premiumisation, and driving factors           them to pay a premium price             Health, Packaged Food, Alcoholic Drinks,
                                                                                      Pet Food and Beauty and Personal Care
Page 2                                        Page 13                                 Page 24

 SECTION 4

How To Win?
A highlight on the future state of
premiumisation, and a review for
businesses planning for a premium
product or brand positioning
Page 49
PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS
SECTION 1

Shaping
Premiumisation
The shaping
premiumisation section
presents an introduction to
premiumisation: defining
premiumisation, how it
has evolved, and a
summary of factors
supporting the
premiumisation trend.
PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS
SECTION 1         SHAPING PREMIUMISATION

Defining premiumisation
Premiumisation refers to the added-value
of a product; however, it does not directly
                                                       Premiumisation is a process to achieve a premium status
translate as “more expensive products”.
Instead, premiumisation is rather denoted
as the use of the product’s characteristics,           Mass                                                       Premium
traits and features to influence consumer
perception and increase the willingness to
pay more for the products or services.

Thus, value is also associated with other
aspects, including quality, convenience,
authenticity, novelty and consumer experience.

Consumers are willing to pay more for what they prioritise and what they perceive matters to them. Typically, consumers tend to
consider a product or service as premium if it can help to improve these aspects of life:

  Organisation &                Uniqueness               Time-saving              Safety & security             Health
    efficiency
PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS
SECTION 1              SHAPING PREMIUMISATION

Consumers’ changing values impact the purchasing decision
                                                      Global Consumer Value:
                                              Status and Consumerism, 2015/2017/2019
100%

 80%                        68%
                  66%                  67%
 60%
                                                                         46%
                                                       38%      41%
 40%                                                                                     30%     31%     31%

 20%

  0%
               I find I am looking for ways          I am willing to spend money       I enjoy spending my money
                     to simplify my life                      to save time                 rather than saving it
                                                    2015      2017       2019
Source: Passport Lifestyles Survey, 2020

• As the added value in premiumisation goes beyond the price of products and services, there are ideological factors
  that shape consumers’ intrinsic value, e.g. beliefs, attitudes, priorities, perceptions and motivation.
• These consumer values can change over time. They influence purchasing decisions and the willingness to pay more
  for what caters to their specific needs or reflects their true self.
• Today’s consumers are facing increasingly time-starved lifestyles. Thus, more consumers will pay a premium price for
  products or services which can simplify, ease processes, and save time in their daily lives.
PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS
SECTION 1             SHAPING PREMIUMISATION

Premiumisation is vital as volume growth struggles and consumers seek
specific added value when making purchasing decisions
 Retail Value                             Global Retail Value and Volume Growth (%), 2014/2019/2024                                                  Retail Volume
        8%                                                                                                                                               8%

        6%                                                                                                                                                6%

        4%                                                                                                                                                4%

        2%                                                                                                                                                2%

        0%                                                                                                                                                0%
                Beauty and Personal          Alcoholic Drinks           Cheese, Spreads,              Sweet Biscuits,                 Pet Care
       -2%             Care                                                  Butter                    Snack Bars,                                        -2%

       -4%
                                                                                                       Fruit Snacks                                       -4%
             %YoY                                                        %YoY
             Value          2014                2019               2024F Volume         2014
                                                                                         2014(Vol.)               2019
                                                                                                                   2019(Vol.)               2024 (Vol.)
                                                                                                                                             2024F
 Source: Passport Beauty and Personal Care, Passport Alcoholic Drinks, 2020 Edition, and Passport Packaged Food, Passport Pet Care, 2021 Edition
 Note: F refers to forecast

Increasing competition over retail price and consumer sophistication have led to an increase in premiumisation
• The competitive retail environment has added pressure to retail prices globally. Global mass brands faced challenges capturing
  volume growth in the past 10 years. The challenges are not limited only to developed markets, but are also seen in emerging
  markets, as local players’ capabilities improve and consumers become more knowledgeable about brands or products.
• The rapid penetration of the internet and smartphones is influencing consumers’ purchasing habits. Real time connectivity,
  social media, online searches and e-commerce allow consumers globally to be better-informed than ever before. Also,
  consumers are able to make purchases regardless of their location through cross-border e-commerce. This allows niche
  brands to reach and penetrate their target consumer base faster and in a more efficient way.
• With the pressure from both market competition and consumer sophistication, there is a need for brands to engage more with
  consumers to establish an emotional connection and communicate the premium “added value” of their products and services.
PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS
SECTION 1        SHAPING PREMIUMISATION

Today’s consumers look beyond quality and function – they seek brands
and products which are better-connected and closer to their personal values
           Pre-financial Crisis                             Post-financial Crisis
                                                                                                Creating a personal connection with
     First Wave of Premiumisation                      Second Wave of Premiumisation
                                                                                                      consumers can include:

             1990s – 2008                                     2008 – present
                                                                                                 ETHICAL        EMOTIONAL AESTHETIC
•    Premiumisation created through               •   Premiumisation created through
     offering previously unavailable                  creating stronger personal connections
     product/service quality                          with consumers                                         of consumers said that
•    High prices                                  •   Higher prices, smaller volumes                         purchasing eco-conscious
•    Expansion of specialist physical             •   Vertical integration: seamless shopping
                                                                                                28%          or ethically-conscious
                                                                                                             products makes them feel
     retailers                                        experiences between social media, e-
                                                                                                             good
                                                      commerce and physical stores
•    Mostly European brands with a
     lifestyle-driven image                       •   Expansion of Asian brands with culture-
•    Products that reflect personal                   led evolution                             28% ofto consumers   said they try
                                                                                                         shop at locally-owned
     success and sophistication                   •   Premiumisation as a trusted guide to                   stores
                                                      purchasing quality products/services
                                                                                                             of consumers would
                Starbucks – was able to raise                   KitKat Chocolatory – created
                prices and transactions by                      premium status by offering      38%          rather buy fewer but
                                                                                                             higher quality products
                incorporating European-style                    uniqueness and emotional
                coffee, quality and                             engagement through KitKat bar
                experiences into its offerings.                 personalisation                 Source: Passport Lifestyles Survey, 2019
PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS
SECTION 1          SHAPING PREMIUMISATION

What are the driving factors for premiumisation?

                                           Shifting economic power
                                     ✓ Growing middle-class, especially in developing markets
                                     ✓ Increasingly sophisticated consumer tastes

                                                          Key factors
                                                            driving
 Population change                                      premiumisation
                                                                                            Technology
 ✓ Demographic shifts,                                                                          ✓ Internet and smartphone
   including urbanisation, falling                                                                penetration
   birth rate, ageing society,                                                                  ✓ Emerging social media and
   smaller household size and                                                                     e-commerce platforms
   delay in marriage
PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS
SECTION 1              SHAPING PREMIUMISATION

Growth in the middle-income population in Asia is key – this is the
future target for premiumisation
        Top 10 Emerging & Developing Countries                        • Middle-class households in emerging and developing
        with the Largest Number of Middle-Class                         countries are growing in terms of number and spending
                 Households, 2019 (‘000)                                capacity. This is also expected to be the main growth driver
                                                                        of labour productivity and disposable income, which directly
       China                                                103,763     support the growth of the middle-classes in emerging and
                                                                        developing markets.
        India                                      78,563
                                                                      • China and India are seen as key countries for driving growth
  Indonesia               20,056
                                                                        in the higher-income population, especially in urban areas,
      Russia             16,954                                         as rapid urbanisation contributes to more economically
                                                                        active areas/regions.
       Brazil           15,491
                                                                      • Emerging and developing countries outside the Asia Pacific
     Nigeria           11,331
                                                                        region have seen limited economic growth, with labour
    Pakistan          10,248                                            productivity growth expected to be weak through to 2030.
                                                                        This will thus limit the growth of middle-class households in
Bangladesh            9,484                                             these regions.
     Mexico           9,362

       Egypt          9,156
                                                                                                 Ikinari Steak – A Japan-based chained
                -        30,000      60,000       90,000    120,000                              steak house which focuses on the
                                                                                                 concept of high-quality steak. The meat
Source: Passport Economies and Consumers, 2020 Edition                                           quality is claimed to be similar to that in
Note: Middle-class is defined as the number of households                                        high-end restaurants, but is served at a
with between 75.0% and 125% of median income.                                                    more reasonable price.
PREMIUMISATION A LOOK INTO THE CURRENT AND FUTURE STATE OF PREMIUMISATION-BASED PRODUCTS
SECTION 1             SHAPING PREMIUMISATION

Increase in households without children leads to more disposable
income
               Growth in Households by Type,
                       2019 vs. 2025
                                                                          • The number of households without children (couples
                                                                            without children and single-person households) is rising.
          Single Person                                  14%
                                                                            This has created opportunities for premiumisation on the
                                                                            basis that households without children do not have child-
Couple Without Children                            11%                      related expenses and therefore have more disposable
                                                                            income to spend on high-end products and services.

   Couple with Children                5%                                 • As such, consumers have no parental obligation, their
                                                                            schedule is more flexible, with greater possibility to focus
                                                                            on work and achieve their career goals and higher
   Single-Parent Family                     7%                              compensation. These households are able to make
                                                                            purchasing decisions based on their personal satisfaction;
                          0%                 10%                20%         buying products which could be viewed as too expensive
                                                                            if they had to allocate income for children’s expenses.
                          % growth from 2019
Source: Passport Economies and Consumers, 2020 Edition

                                                    New Covent Garden Soup Company – This UK-based brand launched the advertising
                                                    campaign “Let’s Do Lunch Better” for its high-end healthy chilled soup. The brand targeted
                                                    consumers aged 25-35. Furthermore, the product was also observed to appeal mostly to
                                                    couples or households without children, as the brand’s ready to eat soup could be deemed as
                                                    too expensive for households with children.
SECTION 1               SHAPING PREMIUMISATION

Urbanisation expands the target audience for premiumisation
                                                  Global Urban and Rural Households (‘000),
                                                                 2019-2030
 2,500,000
                                                                                                                              823,883     823,209     822,331
                                                                                          824,514     824,556     824,338
                                                      822,655     823,580     824,191
 2,000,000     816,397      819,799     821,404

 1,500,000                                                                                                                    1,584,938   1,610,114   1,634,966
                                                                                          1,507,441   1,533,607   1,559,432
                                                      1,427,042   1,454,146   1,480,958
               1,344,109    1,372,391   1,399,693
 1,000,000

  500,000

          0
                2019        2020F       2021F         2022F       2023F       2024F       2025F       2026F       2027F       2028F       2029F       2030F
                                                    Urban Households ('000)                    Rural Households ('000)

 Source: Passport Economies and Consumers, 2020 Edition
 Note: F refers to forecast

• As cities are expanding and rural areas continue to urbanise, it is                                                              Fonterra – Originally penetrated the
                                                                                                                                   Chinese market by exporting milk
  expected that about 5 billion people will live in urban households by 2030.
                                                                                                                                   powder. As demand for Western food is
  These new urban consumers are likely to seek quality new and even                                                                growing amongst urban Chinese
  premium products and services, with an aspiration to have the things                                                             consumers, they are seeking and willing
  which were previously unavailable to them in rural areas.                                                                        to pay for high-quality dairy products.
                                                                                                                                   Fonterra has therefore expanded its
• Thus, urbanisation will uncover opportunities for high-end brands to                                                             offering, exporting a diverse portfolio of
  capture sales from the greater number of new urban households.                                                                   47 dairy products to China.
SECTION 1            SHAPING PREMIUMISATION

Rising proportion of elderly consumers expected to drive demand for
premium products
                                   Top 10 Markets by Population Aged Under and Over 60, 2019
 100%
                           29%           28%          28%            28%    28%            28%         26%        26%       25%
  80%         34%

  60%

  40%                                                                                                  74%        74%       75%
              66%          71%           72%          72%            72%    72%            72%

  20%

    0%
             Japan         Italy       Finland      Portugal    Greece     Bulgaria     Germany       France   Netherlands Denmark
                                                    0-59 years old                    60+ years old
 Source: Passport Economies and Consumers, 2020 Edition

• A high proportion of the population is aged over 60 in developed countries. The
  rising number of elderly consumers will drive demand for premium products
  specifically designed for the elderly or targeted towards the ageing society.                                      Helmut Lang – An Austrian
                                                                                                                     luxury fashion brand hired a
• One important motivation behind older consumers’ purchasing decisions,                                             group of elderly women for its
  especially for non-essential products, is acquiring status or prestige, as the elderly                             campaign in 2018. The elderly
                                                                                                                     Welsh women modelled Helmut
  have worked their way to the top of the career ladder pre-retirement. Thus, there                                  Lang’s autumn and winter
  is an opportunity for brands to engage with baby boomers.                                                          womenswear collection.
SECTION 1               SHAPING PREMIUMISATION

Accessibility and penetration of internet and smartphones spur sales of
premium products and services via online channels
Growth in Retail Formats,                     • Household connectivity is another key driver of premiumisation.
%CAGR 2014-2019                                 With improving technology and higher disposable incomes,
(excluding sales tax)                           consumers have more access to the internet and smartphones,
         Store-Based                            and are becoming increasingly connected regardless of location.

                                              • Developed markets embarked on digitalisation first. However, as
                                -0.1%           mobile and smartphone technologies became more affordable,
                                                they were able to rapidly penetrate emerging and developing
                                                markets. This provides consumers with greater access to
                                                product information, options and premium products. The
                                                increasing popularity of cross-border e-commerce also enables
   Mobile E-Commerce                            niche brands to innovate and reach out to their target
                                                consumers globally.
                                +43%

       Cross-border E-
         Commerce

                                +18%

                                                                             Italic Marketplace – A members-only marketplace
                                                                             that lets consumers shop for unbranded luxury
Source: Passport Retailing, 2020 Edition                                     goods directly from the factories through its website.
SECTION 2

The Premium
Customer
Understanding
premium customers
and the key trends
influencing these
customers to trade
up. The premium
customers explored in
this section are
categorised into three
types of premium
customer groups: (1)
customers who seek
“Services That Help”,
(2) customers who are
into “Thoughtful
Consumption”, and (3)
customers who want to
“Build a Better Me”.
SECTION 2             THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER

     Perceived premium value through the lens of premium customers
                                                             Services that help
                                                       Real-time personalisation and service
                                  Time-starved and stressed-out consumers are seeking out and spending more on
                                  products or services that promise to simplify their lives and allow for time-saving.
                                  They are looking to streamline the process of finding, purchasing and customising
                                                           products that match their needs.

       Thoughtful consumption                                                                           Building a better me
               From premium products to                                                                 Wellness, mindfulness, happiness
                   premium moments                                                           While some consumers want to maintain their health, with
   As indulgence commands a premium, it demands a                                               a preference for nutritious food or plant-based meat
 reason for purchase, as consumers look to justify that                                       alternatives, for example, some consumers are keen to
  the offering provides the right experience, at the right                                     polish their personal branding. In each case, there is
time, with minimal harm to health and the environment.                                       opportunity to help consumers become their “best selves”.
SECTION 2            THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER

Regional manifestation of premiumisation
                                                        Services that help
                                     Southeast Asia (SEA): Premiumisation in SEA is characterised by
                                     observable traits and features in products and services which act as
                                     tangible value drivers to justify their higher price. SEA consumers
                                     increasingly relate to concepts such as “permission to indulge” and are
                                     looking for added-value through convenient solutions to address their
                                     everyday frustrations.

                                                                       Southeast Asia
                                                       US, Australia
                                                       & Europe

  Thoughtful consumption                                                 East Asia                Building a better me
US, Australia & Europe: Developed markets,                                                      East Asia: Asian consumers from countries such as Japan,
including selected European countries, the US and                                               South Korea and China are increasingly prioritising health,
Australia, take a more balanced approach to                                                     wellness and connectivity, with consumer expenditure on
premiumisation, with products and services that help                                            related products and services forecast to increase in the
with thoughtful consumption and building a better                                               medium and long term. Value considerations are also
me.                                                                                             important, as East Asian consumers are closely aligned with
                                                                                                values such as thoughtful consumption and self-betterment.
SECTION 2   THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER

Premiumisation in action
                                              Premiumisation
                                                  Trends
                          Premium
                          Customer        Curation and Partnership

                               Services
                                              Personalisation
                              That Help

                                            The Quest for Time

                                               Smart Luxury
                                                                     Growing premiumisation
                            Thoughtful                               trends observed in Asia
 Premiumisation           Consumption
                                           Permission to Indulge

                                          Health is the New Wealth

                             Building a     Authenticity & Local
                             Better Me          Traditions

                                           Buying Experience and
                                                Community
THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER                                                Services That Help:
 SECTION 2                                                                               Personalisation

Personalisation commands a premium price by offering a tailor-made
solution and enhancing consumers’ emotional connection and experience

• Personalisation is one way to build a connection
  between consumers and products, as

                                                      49%
  premiumisation can often be related to the                of consumers globally said that they
  emotions and experiences that consumers                   value products and services that are
  associate with the products or services they              uniquely tailored for them
  use. Personalised products are perceived to
  offer additional value, with specific benefits
  which match different lifestyle needs.
                                                                        VN Smart Photoelectric Beauty
• Thus, personalisation is a means to increase                          Skin Center – Located in China,
  consumer satisfaction, brand loyalty and                              this is a personalised skin care
                                                                        service launched by Weimeidu
  ultimately improve quality of life.
                                                                        International Beauty Chain Group.
                                                                        The store provides customised
• Whether it is in DIY or made-to-order format,
                                                                        skin analysis and a selection of
  technology is the key influencer increasing                           more than 120 natural health-
  demand for personalisation. Smart diagnostics                         focused ingredients which can be
  and real-time tailored recommendations are                            customised to match skin types
  becoming increasingly popular and consumers                           and needs.
  are trading up to products and services derived
  from these solutions. Meanwhile, artificial
  intelligence could potentially play an important
  role in driving future growth in personalisation.
THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER                                                                       Services That Help:
  SECTION 2                                                                                                       The Quest for Time

Consumers pay more for time-saving solutions so they can focus on
top life priorities
• Regardless of age, location and income level, time, either for oneself or with loved ones, is often ranked as a top priority and is
  highly valued. However, modern lifestyles have led to increasingly time-starved consumers. Many consumers are tied up with
  longer work hours and congestion in urban areas. The COVID-19 pandemic has blurred the line between professional and
  personal time even further, with consumers telecommuting and working from home. They typically find it more difficult to
  separate working and non-working hours, while some employees feel that their employers expect them to always be online or
  able to respond immediately. As such, products and services that can help save or manage time or free up schedules so that
  consumers can focus on what matters to them, are viewed as premium.
• Still, consumers do not want to automate or outsource everything. They are looking for options to outsource certain tasks, and
  are willing to pay more for solutions that can free up that time so they can focus on doing other higher-priority activities.

Top Life Priorities                                                                             Time for myself
Priority         Student             Full-time worker   Full-time worker with    Retired
 Rank          (15-19 yrs)           without children    children under 18      (60+ yrs)       Time with parents

    1                                                                                           Time with partner/spouse

    2                                                                                           Time with children

                                                                                                Time with extended family
    3
                                                                                                Time for work
    4
                                                                                                Time for favourite activities
    5
                                                                                                Earning money to live on
Source: Passport Lifestyles Survey, 2020
                                                                                                Following my passion
THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER                                                                       Services That Help:
   SECTION 2                                                                                                   The Quest for Time

Foodservice players premiumise by offering quality fresh meals with a
similar speed to fast food
• For the past 10-15 years, the foodservice industry has stepped into the premiumisation trend by offering “fast casual”
  and “chef-driven” food concepts. These are premium approaches which combine the speed of fast food counter
  service with an upscale menu design. The price points are typically higher than ordinary fast food, but still lower than
  the mid-price of full-service restaurants.
• Concisely, the fast casual and chef-driven concepts are seen to provide food variety and novelty with a dining
  experience in an informal setting. At the same time, they allow time-starved consumers to enjoy quality meals.

                                                                               • An example of a fast casual foodservice
                                                                                 brand is Nando’s, a South African chain
                                                                                 that offers spicy grilled chicken with
                                                                                 design-centric outlets and an assorted
                                                                                 wine menu.

 • Shake Shack is another example of this trend. The
   brand is a burger chain which originally started as a
   small kiosk serving a limited menu, with a claim to
   offer fresh, simple and high-quality versions of classic
   burgers. Shake Shack currently operates more than
   100 outlets globally.
Thoughtful Consumption
   SECTION 2         THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER
                                                                                                                       Permission to Indulge

Consumers seek justification to make them feel better when making
purchases for self-indulgence
• Many consumers are paying more for products or services                         Global Retail Value Fortified/Functional
  which allow self-indulgence. Products that are commonly                           Food and Beverages (USD million),
  seen in this area include affordable luxury products such as                               2014/2019/2024
  imported spirits, craft beer and high-end branded lipsticks.
                                                                      400,000
• Increasing retail sales of fortified/functional food and
                                                                                                                              350,541
  beverages were observed in 2019, and sales are expected to          350,000
  continue growing. During the purchasing decision,
  consumers typically ask themselves “what can this product
                                                                      300,000
  do for me?”. This reflects that consumers are seeking not                                                266,553
  only quality, but also a sense of justification when they are
                                                                      250,000
  paying a higher price. This added-value helps them feel good                         222,482
  about spending more and can be presented in various forms;
  for example, additional functionality, health benefits,             200,000
  nutritional fortification, authenticity, exotic appeal, social
  responsibility, or a product/service which resonates with their     150,000
  personal image.
                                                                      100,000
• For product categories which are typically viewed as
  unhealthy, in the wake of the global financial crisis (2008)
                                                                       50,000
  consumers have become more judicious and look for specific
  value to justify when they pay a premium price or indulge in
                                                                              0
  less healthy activities. It is important that consumers perceive
                                                                                         2014                2019             2024F
  that such indulgent products are more interesting, offering
  additional value such as an authentic story, exotic flavour or
                                                                     Source: Passport Health and Wellness, 2020 Edition
  tied to craft or novelty.                                          Note: F refers to forecast
Thoughtful Consumption
 SECTION 2             THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER
                                                                                                                     Permission to Indulge

Dine-out culture drives indulgence in foodservice and demand for
premium food and drinks products
                                 Spending per Capita at Full-Service Restaurants – Asia (USD),
                                                          2014-2024
250                                                                                                                               30%
200                                                                                                                               20%
                                                                                                                                  10%
150
                                                                                                                                  0%
100
                                                                                                                                  -10%
 50                                                                                                                               -20%
  0                                                                                                                               -30%
         2014        2015         2016       2017     2018      2019       2020F      2021F      2022F      2023F       2024F
                                                Spending per Capita, USD        %YoY Growth
Source: Consumer Foodservice, 2020 Edition
Note: F refers to forecast

• In Asia, out-of-home dining is an important part of social life. Among the top 20 markets, there are eight countries in Asia with the
  highest consumer foodservice transaction per capita. The increase in per capita spending in full-service restaurants in Asia is largely
  caused by the increasing demand for quality dining.

• Food culture has long been rooted in the Asia Pacific region. Many of the world’s oldest and best-known culinary traditions
  originated from this region, where consumers have been searching for, arguing about, writing about and preparing good food for
  hundreds of years. In addition, apartments and living spaces in urban areas tend to be small as urbanisation increases. Thus, social
  life in Asia mainly takes place in bars, restaurants, cafés and around food stalls, which has led to growing interest in high-quality
  food when dining out, driving premiumisation in foodservice. In particular, growing interest is observed in fad-driven (trends driven by
  collective behaviours) foodservice, and brands which can connect with consumers via new flavours or unique outlets.
Building a Better Me
   SECTION 2         THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER
                                                                                                       Health is the New Wealth

Consumers are paying a premium price and putting more time and
effort into investing in health
• In the past year, increasing focus on health was observed and is
  expected to drive future premiumisation. Consumers are now                            of consumers globally said they
  dedicating their time and money to maintaining both their physical
  health and mental wellbeing. They are seeking products and
  services which deliver clear benefits.
                                                                       42%              read food and beverage nutrition
                                                                                        labels closely

• With the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, premiumisation is
  being driven by what consumers feel they need the most;                               of consumers globally said they
  specifically, healthy, sanitary and mood-enhancing products or
  treatments. Also, the pandemic is expected to further accelerate
  demand in these areas in the future.
                                                                       42%              take health supplements/vitamins at
                                                                                        least once a week

• The growing trend towards holistic health is also reflected in the
  increasing popularity of certain types of sports, such as yoga,                       of consumers globally said that they
  where mental and physical health are included as a core part of
  physical exercise.                                                   23%              participate in stress-reduction
                                                                                        activities, e.g. meditation, massage

• As medical advancement continues, people are expected to live
  longer. Consumers aspire to age healthily, reducing the number
  of sick years and seeking to prevent health problems.

                                                              • Food and beverage brands have been seen to develop
                                                                products in response to consumers’ health-consciousness. For
                                                                example, PepsiCo developed Drinkfinity, a personalised and
                                                                portable beverage system that allows people to create their
                                                                own functional beverage with no artificial sweeteners or
                                                                artificial flavours added.
Building a Better Me
 SECTION 2         THE PREMIUM CUSTOMER
                                                                       Authenticity & Local Traditions

Brands leverage local traditions to communicate authentic messages

• Growth in disposable incomes also helps to elevate the level of
  confidence in spending among Asian consumers. Higher
  confidence is typically reflected in demand for luxury imported
  products and international travel.

• In addition, demand for premium quality, attractive designs, new
  technology or the modernisation of local/traditional products is
  being seen. This is driven by emotional connections with their
  local culture, reflecting a sense of originality and roots.

• In Japan, a blend of old traditions and modern technology                          Jiangxiaobai – This
  creates a sense of authenticity, such as flavoured sake, which                     Chinese brand
  commands a premium price. Similarly, middle- and upper-class                       launched a
  consumers in India pay more for versions of local products which                   traditional baijiu with
  are home-made or produced with modern quality and sanitation                       a lighter taste and
  standards. For instance, some cereal brands launched Indian-                       modern and
                                                                                     minimalist
  inspired flavours, such as PepsiCo’s Quaker Oats Kesar Flavour                     packaging design.
  (saffron) with Kishmish (raisins).

• In China, most consumers still prefer foreign brands, as these
  are perceived to have high quality and safety standards.
  However, there is a desire to modernise local traditional products
  and increase the positive perception of local brands. The
  Chinese-based e-commerce platform Taobao, from Alibaba, has
  been promoting “Quality by China”, a programme which was
  introduced in 2015 to endorse quality home-grown brands and
  their original designs.
SECTION 3

Industry
Developments
Exploring how
premiumisation has
developed in key
industries across the
globe and
understanding how
customers’ needs
and premiumisation
trends are applied in
real-life product
examples.
SECTION 3             INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                        Consumer Health

Consumers are driven by a preventive healthcare approach, seeking less
chemically-based consumer health products
                                      Global Retail Value – Vitamins and Dietary Supplements (USD million),
                                              2013/2019/2024 and CAGRs 2013-2018 and 2019-2024
80,000                                                                                                                         16%

60,000                                                                                                                         12%

40,000                                                                                                                         8%

20,000                                                                                                                         4%

      0                                                                                                                        0%
                 Asia             Australasia      Eastern Europe       Latin       Middle East &    North    Western Europe
                                                                       America         Africa       America
                           2013                  2019          2024F             %CAGR 2013-2018          %CAGR 2019-2024F
Source: Passport Consumer Health, 2021 Edition
Note: F refers to forecast
• Asia is the largest region in terms of retail sales of vitamins and dietary supplements, followed by North America. Market growth
  in Asia is mainly driven by its massive population, the increased penetration of vitamins and dietary supplements in the region,
  the growth in the middle-classes and the preventive health concept, especially in China, Thailand and Indonesia. While retail
  value sales in Middle East & Africa remain relatively small, the region is expected to grow rapidly, at almost a 16% CAGR from
  2019-2024. Increased access to vitamins and dietary supplements and rising health awareness will be key growth drivers.
  Consumers in the region typically prefer to take vitamins with the aim of strengthening their immune system.
• The growing concept of health and wellness is expected to drive future demand for consumer health products which are made
  from herbal local/traditional ingredients in Asia. More consumers are shifting from modern or chemical-based products to
  natural/herbal-based ingredients, as they believe that they are less toxic, contain no chemicals and carry fewer side-effects.
• While concern over mental wellbeing is more common in developed markets, it is also gaining more attention among Asian
  consumers. In addition, it is observed that consumers in developing markets are paying more attention to chronic and lifestyle-
  related health problems such as diabetes and obesity.
SECTION 3             INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                         Consumer Health

High-growth markets like China and Indonesia are driven by the need for
health supplements stemming from urban life and increasing pollution
                Top 10 Markets by Retail Value –
               Vitamins and Dietary Supplements
            (USD million), 2019 and CAGR 2019-2024                        • Future growth among the top 10 markets for vitamins and
                                                                            dietary supplements will mainly be driven by consumption in
40,000                                                              14%
                                                                            China. Although smaller in terms of retail value, Indonesia is
                                                                            forecast to project higher growth, with a 12% CAGR over
                                                                    12%
                                                                            2019-2024.
30,000
                                                                    10%
                                                                          • The growing healthy living trend and the concept of prevention
                                                                            are key driving factors for consumer health products in China.
                                                                    8%
                                                                            In addition, the government emphasises improving public
20,000                                                                      health and promoting the prevention of health problems.
                                                                    6%    • In Indonesia, consumer demand for vitamins and dietary
                                                                            supplements is driven by environmental conditions and
                                                                    4%      increasing awareness of health care. Air pollution has been an
10,000                                                                      ongoing issue within the country, caused largely by traffic
                                                                    2%      congestion in urban areas and smoke from slash-and-burn
                                                                            agricultural practices in Sumatra.
     0                                                              0%    • As urbanisation and modern lifestyles are expanding rapidly,
                                                                            more consumers are experiencing stress and time pressures,
                                                                            which have led to sleep deprivation, insomnia, obesity,
                                                                            digestive issues, skin problems and hair loss. Thus, the
                                                                            demand for products such as sleep aids and weight
         Market Value, 2019 (USD million)        %CAGR 2019-2024F           management and wellbeing products is set to grow in both
                                                                            China and Indonesia.
Source: Passport Consumer Health, 2021 Edition
Note: F refers to forecast
SECTION 3          INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                               Consumer Health

Increasing interest in holistic wellbeing results in rising demand for mental
wellbeing-related products due to stressful lifestyles

Awareness of and concerns about mental
wellbeing are growing and are expected to drive
future premiumisation of consumer health
products

• Consumers are taking care of their health in a
  more holistic way. Apart from physical health,
  growing interest in spiritual and mental wellbeing is
  also driving growth in consumer health products.

• Demand for mental wellbeing solutions will                  Consumer Health                    Thailand
  continue growing due to busy modern lifestyles,
  with higher levels of stress and nervousness,               Short-Medium Term                  Health is the New Wealth
  which have led to the so-called “anxiety economy”.
                                                          Deep Sleep – drinks for better-quality sleep
• Consumers are seeking out and spending more on
  holistic products and services, such as those           InnoWeness Deep Sleep is a functional beverage which claims
  which promote better sleep, relaxation and stress       to promote better quality of sleep. The brand claims to use
  reduction. Products or services that can help them      100% natural ingredients, containing an amino acid found in
  to recover and recharge from their daily work-life      chamomile, L-Theanine, as the key component to help reduce
  responsibilities can command premium prices.            stress and increase relaxation.
                                                          As the drink elevates sleep quality throughout the night, it claims
                                                          to help consumers maintain brain health and feel refreshed in
                                                          the morning.
SECTION 3        INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                Consumer Health

Products command premium prices by offering health benefits and easy
consumption

      Consumer Health                 China                         Consumer Health                 Indonesia
                                      Permission to Indulge,                                        Health is the New Wealth,
      Short-Medium Term                                             Short-Medium Term
                                      Health is the New Wealth                                      The Quest for Time
   Swisse & LELECHA – collaborative drink                        YouVit    – multivitamin gummies
   A supplement brand from Australia, Swisse, partnered with     YouVit is an Indonesia-based vitamins brand which focuses
   LELECHA, a well-known tea café chain in China. The two        on gummy format vitamins in different flavours for easy
   brands launched a collaborative drink, Swisse Collagen        consumption. The vitamins come in compact packaging
   Essence Lemon Tea, which contains Swisse Ultiboost            with a modern design. YouVit also has vitamins options
   Golden Collagen Blood Orange Liquide.                         which target female consumers and mothers. In addition,
                                                                 consumers can choose a subscription service on the
   The beverage is claimed to be less sweet than the typical
                                                                 website. The brand will deliver the chosen vitamins pack to
   ice tea beverages, offers a savoury taste and provides a
                                                                 the customer’s home according to the frequency chosen,
   refreshing feeling, while the Swisse collagen in the drink
                                                                 e.g. weekly or monthly delivery.
   can help promote glowing and healthy skin.
SECTION 3         INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                   Consumer Health

As health needs vary by individual and other external factors, consumers
seek products that best fit them, and expect to see results

      Consumer Health                  UK                              Consumer Health                  Germany
                                       Health is the New Wealth,
      Long Term                                                        Short-Medium Term                Health is the New Wealth
                                       Personalisation

  Nourished – customised 3D printed vitamins                        STURM – anti-pollution food
  Nourished is the world’s first 3D vitamins printing start-up,     STURM is positioned as a German science-based brand,
  which offers nutrition customisation through an online            developed by Dr Barbara Sturm, offering anti-pollution
  questionnaire, from which the consumer can then receive the       supplements to help protect the body’s cells and skin and
  vitamins suggested or create their personal vitamins profile.     reduce the inflammation caused by air and digital pollution.
  The brand claims that its vitamins are freshly-made, thus the     The product is claimed to fortify the skin’s natural barrier
  body can better absorb the nutrition they contain. In addition,   and immune system with a blend of adaptogens, which are
  Nourished’s vitamins are vegan, halal and kosher-friendly.        known to provide holistic healing nutrients and increase
  The ingredients are sourced ethically and the packaging is        chemical and physical stress resistance for the cells and
  100% free from plastic.                                           skin.
SECTION 3             INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                          Packaged Food

Asia leads packaged food retail sales globally, while dairy products
are expected to continue growing in Southeast Asia
                                        Global Retail Value – Packaged Food (USD million),
                                       2013/2019/2024 and CAGRs 2013-2018 and 2019-2024
1,000,000                                                                                                                       16%

  800,000
                                                                                                                                12%
  600,000
                                                                                                                                8%
  400,000
                                                                                                                                4%
  200,000

         0                                                                                                                      0%
                    Asia           Australasia        Eastern Europe     Latin       Middle East &    North    Western Europe
                                                                        America         Africa       America
                           2013                2019             2024F             %CAGR 2013-2018         %CAGR 2019-2024F
Source: Passport Packaged Food, 2021 Edition
Note: F refers to forecast

  • The global consumption of packaged food is driven by Asia, due to its higher population. Although
    Middle East & Africa is a smaller market, it is expected to see stronger growth in the future.
  • Growing opportunities for packaged food in Asia are expected to be driven by dairy products. For
    instance, drinking yoghurt has great potential for expansion in Southeast Asia, especially in Indonesia,
    the Philippines and Vietnam. Consumers in the region perceive drinking yoghurt as a healthy choice of
    drink, and it can be consumed conveniently on-the-go. In addition, yoghurt and drinking yoghurt are
    commonly used for beverages and desserts in Vietnam, e.g. yoghurt coffee and black sticky rice with
    yoghurt.                                                                                                         Vietnam – Black sticky
                                                                                                                     rice with yoghurt (sua
  • In Middle East & Africa, overall market growth is driven by higher incomes. The growth of packaged
                                                                                                                     chua nep cam).
    food is also driven by higher demand for quality dairy products, specifically baby milk formula.
SECTION 3            INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                      Packaged Food

Urban consumers are increasingly looking for and paying more for
nutritious and convenient packaged food
                 Top 10 Markets by Retail Value –
                  Packaged Food (USD million),                          • Demand for packaged food continues to grow, especially
                   2019 and CAGR 2019-2024                                in developing markets such as China and India.
500,000                                                           12%   • The increasing focus on nutrition is driving premiumisation
                                                                          in packaged food among health-conscious consumers in
                                                                  10%     both China and India. Furthermore, urban lifestyles have
400,000
                                                                          also led consumers to source convenient food or snacks.
                                                                  8%      Thus, a shift from traditional unpackaged to packaged
300,000                                                                   food is observed as it better fits the on-the-go concept,
                                                                  6%      responding to the needs of time-starved consumers.
200,000                                                                 • In China, there is growing demand for milk substitutes and
                                                                  4%      flavoured milk, especially among foodservice retailers
                                                                          such as specialist coffee and tea shops and street
100,000
                                                                  2%      stalls/kiosks. Meanwhile, the easing of the one-child policy
                                                                          to a two-child policy potentially enlarges the opportunities
       0                                                          0%      for baby milk formula. Specifically, modern parents are
                                                                          looking for and willing to pay for special formula, such as
                                                                          lactose-free or hypoallergenic products.

                                                                        • Consumers in India are leaning more towards healthier
                                                                          packaged food choices, as well as seeking new product
       Market Value, 2019 (USD million)        %CAGR 2019-2024F           developments offering new local and international
                                                                          flavours.
Source: Passport Packaged Food, 2021 Edition
Note: F refers to forecast
SECTION 3         INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                   Packaged Food

Brands create added-value by positioning their products as a healthier
choice of convenient food, while adopting local flavours
The healthy living trend is moving consumer
choice to packaged food in which nutrition is the
key justification for purchasing premium
products

• Today’s consumers view nutrition as a component
  of their daily life, and are willing to pay more to
  obtain foods that are natural, organic or meet their
  daily nutrient requirements. In addition, consumers
  look for these elements when paying a premium              Packaged Food                       China
  price for food indulgence.

• To command a premium price, the inclusion of               Short-Medium Term                   Health is the New Wealth
  ingredients directly linked to consumers’
  perception of added-value, such as quality and         Weilong – 10 vegetable & bone soup biscuits
  health benefits, is vital. It is important that the
  packaging is also designed to convey the               Weilong is a nutritious biscuit snack made from 10 types of
  message of added-value and represent a premium         vegetables, and the brand uses bone broth soup as a key
  product image.                                         ingredient.

                                                         Typically, It is believed that bone broth soup is very nutritious in
                                                         Chinese cuisine, providing health, nourishment and healing
                                                         properties. However, it is time-consuming to cook this soup.
                                                         Thus, bone broth soup in biscuit format is considered a healthy
                                                         snack which is suitable for busy lifestyles.
SECTION 3        INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                     Packaged Food

Consumers seek and are willing to pay more for nutritious packaged
food options which do not comprise on taste or food safety

      Packaged Food                   India                          Packaged Food                    US
                                                                                                      Permission to Indulge,
      Short-Medium Term               Permission to Indulge          Short-Medium Term
                                                                                                      Health is the New Wealth
   Amul    – flavoured butter                                      Kashi by Kids        – organic superfood bites
   Amul is an India-based dairy products company. Apart from       Kashi by Kids launched an organic cereal for children. The
   standard butter, the brand has launched flavoured butters:      brand includes superfood ingredients such as purple corn,
   garlic & herb butter and chocolate buttery spread. Amul         red lentils and chickpeas. Thus, the cereal is high in
   claims that its products are real butter made from the finest   nutrition but also tastes good.
   cream and do not contain vegetable oil. Thus, they taste
                                                                   In addition, Kashi by Kids claims that its products are non-
   better and are healthier.
                                                                   GMO, certified organic and the ingredients are sourced
                                                                   according to fair trade.
SECTION 3               INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                         Alcoholic Drinks

Asia will continue to lead alcoholic drinks sales globally, while sales in
Middle East & Africa will remain small but are expected to see high growth
                                                  Global Retail Value – Alcoholic Drinks (USD million),
                                                  2013/2019/2024 and CAGRs 2013-2018 and 2019-2024
400,000                                                                                                                          16%

300,000                                                                                                                          12%

200,000                                                                                                                          8%

100,000                                                                                                                          4%

        0                                                                                                                        0%
                   Asia             Australasia       Eastern Europe      Latin       Middle East &    North    Western Europe
                                                                         America         Africa       America
                             2013                 2019           2024F             %CAGR 2013-2018         %CAGR 2019-2024F
Source: Passport Alcoholic Drinks, 2020 Edition
Note: F refers to forecast

  • Asia leads global retail sales of alcoholic drinks, mainly driven by consumption in China. Also, the alcoholic drinks markets
    in Vietnam and Philippines continue to grow. At the same time, higher disposable incomes are seen to drive premiumisation
    in alcoholic drinks in Asia and the growing markets in Middle East & Africa.
  • The spirits category in Asia continues to be dominated by locally-produced spirits, especially in China, South Korea, Japan
    and Thailand. Locally- or traditionally-produced spirits are typically associated with an old-fashioned image, and it is
    challenging to attract younger consumers. Thus, locally produced spirits brands have launched new products which are
    more appealing to younger customers, e.g. ready-to-drink sparkling sake, which offers a new drinking experience, as it is
    easier and more convenient to drink.
  • As the younger generation is seeing increasing incomes, becoming more educated and developing a sophisticated taste for
    spirits, it is expected that future demand for premium alcoholic drinks will be driven by younger consumers.
SECTION 3              INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                        Alcoholic Drinks

Increasing incomes in China drive demand for quality alcoholic drinks,
reflected in the wider availability of premium products with higher prices
                  Top 10 Markets by Retail Value –
                   Alcoholic Drinks (USD million),
                     2019 and CAGR 2019-2024                               • China leads premium alcoholic drinks globally,
500,000                                                              8%      but market opportunities for international
                                                                             brands are also expected to emerge from Latin
                                                                     6%
                                                                             America, the US and Europe. Premiumisation is
400,000                                                                      being observed in alcoholic drinks and is
                                                                             expected to be a key driver of value sales in
                                                                     4%
                                                                             China. With higher income per capita,
300,000
                                                                             consumers are trading up to higher-quality and
                                                                     2%      better-tasting alcoholic drinks. This trend
200,000                                                                      reflected in higher average retail prices for
                                                                     0%      spirits, beer, wine and cider/perry in 2019.
100,000
                                                                     -2%
                                                                           • The growing healthy living trend is negatively
                                                                             impacting the consumption of spirits products
                                                                             with a high alcohol content. Yet, it potentially
       0                                                             -4%
                                                                             brings sales opportunities for other types of
                                                                             alcoholic drinks with a lower alcohol content,
                                                                             such as premium beer, rice wine, and cider/
                                                                             perry.

        Market Value, 2019 (USD million)          %CAGR 2019-2024F

Source: Passport Alcoholic Drinks, 2020 Edition
Note: F refers to forecast
SECTION 3                INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                                   Alcoholic Drinks

As prosperity improves, higher-quality and healthier alcoholic drinks
will be the key driver of premiumisation
Consumers are likely to drink less, but drink better.
They are paying more attention to higher-quality
alcoholic drinks.
• As consumers become more health-conscious, they
  could limit their alcohol intake, and potentially look for
  higher-quality or healthier alcoholic drinks options.
• The overall premiumisation trend for alcoholic drinks
  is mainly being driven by higher disposable incomes
  and economic growth. The increasing demand for                                       Alcoholic Drinks                  US
  quality alcoholic beverages and the expanding
                                                                                                                         Health is the New Wealth,
  cocktail culture are seen to continue supporting the                                 Short-Medium Term
  growth for some product categories, such as                                                                            Permission to Indulge
  premium English gin*. With the impact of the COVID-
                                                                                   June Shine – ready to drink alcoholic kombucha
  19 pandemic, home has become an entertainment
  hub, resulting in higher at-home alcoholic drinks                                June Shine is a US-based company which produces ready to
  consumption. However, as the pandemic has also                                   drink kombucha which has an alcohol content of 6%.
  impacted spending, some groups of consumers are                                  The brand claims that its alcoholic kombucha is a healthier
  expected to limit their spending on alcoholic drinks in                          choice for consumers who want to enjoy drinking alcohol. The
  the short-medium term.                                                           products are brewed from organic ingredients such as tea, fruits
                                                                                   and honey. In addition, they are highlighted as being gluten-free
*There are essentially two styles of gin: English, the style most common in the
UK and US, and Dutch (jenever), which is produced in Holland and Belgium.
                                                                                   and containing probiotics.
Note that this definition refers to style, the gin itself may be produced in any
country.
SECTION 3         INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                        Alcoholic Drinks

Brands target premiumisation by creating modern versions of popular
local or international flavours

       Alcoholic Drinks            China                                Alcoholic Drinks            Singapore
                                   Permission to Indulge,                                           Permission to Indulge,
       Short-Medium Term                                                Short-Medium Term
                                   Authenticity & Local Traditions                                  Authenticity & Local Traditions
   Pass-Out Ice Cream – baijiu ice cream                             Compendium            – Chendol gin
   A well-known traditional baijiu brand, LuZhou LaoJiao,            Compendium is a brand under a Singapore-based brewery,
   partnered with the ice cream brand Zhong Xue Gao to               Rachelle The Rabbit Meadery. The brand launched a
   launch Pass-Out ice cream. The ice cream’s unique                 premium gin using pandan leaves and coconut as key
   ingredient is the baijiu filling. Typically, baijiu is highly     ingredients. Pandan leaves are commonly used in
   related to traditional Chinese drinking culture. The              Southeast Asian cuisines and are known for their sweet
   collaborative ice cream aims to modernise the image of            fragrance. Meanwhile, the name Chendol gin is inspired by
   baijiu by blending it with a popular Western dessert to           the green colour of the Chendol rice jelly dessert.
   attract younger consumers.
SECTION 3        INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                     Alcoholic Drinks

Alcoholic drinks, which are typically viewed as unhealthy, try to attract
health-conscious consumers with healthier options

      Alcoholic Drinks           US                                  Alcoholic Drinks            UK
                                 Health is the New Wealth,                                       Health is the New Wealth,
      Short-Medium Term                                              Short-Medium Term
                                 Permission to Indulge                                           Permission to Indulge
   LQD – low-calorie canned cocktail                              i heart WINES         – i heart Rosé canned wine
   AB InBev launched LQD canned cocktails, which include          i heart WINES launched sparkling wine in a can format.
   health-related ingredients such as green tea, coconut          The new can format is based on the on-the-go concept,
   water or other fruit juice. LQD is positioned as a healthier   offering more convenience to consumers as the product is
   way to enjoy alcoholic drinks. The alcohol content is about    lightweight and does not need a bottle opener. Compared
   6%, which is lower than a typical cocktail (12%-20%) or        with the standard 750ml wine bottle, the can format is
   glass of wine (12%). In addition, each can of LQD is           smaller. It is more suitable for consumers who want to limit
   claimed to contain a low level of sugar, at 10-12g, and has    their alcohol intake or do not want to have to finish the
   around 200 calories.                                           whole bottle before it loses its freshness.
SECTION 3             INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                               Pet Food

High proportion of table-scraps/home-made food for pets in Asia presents
the opportunity for conversion to packaged pet food
                                                 Global Retail Value – Pet Food (USD million)
                                             2013/2019/2024 and CAGRs 2013-2018 and 2019-2024
 50,000                                                                                                                         16%

 40,000
                                                                                                                                12%
 30,000
                                                                                                                                8%
 20,000
                                                                                                                                4%
 10,000

        0                                                                                                                       0%
                   Asia             Australasia     Eastern Europe       Latin       Middle East &    North    Western Europe
                                                                        America         Africa       America
                             2013                 2019          2024F             %CAGR 2013-2018          %CAGR 2019-2024F
Source: Passport Pet Care, 2021 Edition
Note: F refers to forecast

    • Although North America dominates retail sales of pet food globally, growth is expected to be driven by Asia in the future.
    • Dog and cat food accounts for 96% of total pet food sales globally. In Asia Pacific, the current per capita consumption of
      pet food is still relatively low compared with developed markets such as North America or Western Europe. This is due to
      the fact that many pet owners feed their pets with table-scraps and home-made food. However, this situation also
      presents a significant opportunity for brands to convert pet owners to feeding packaged pet food. Growth opportunities
      are expected to be particularly high in China and Thailand, where consumers are seeking convenience and becoming
      more educated about packaged pet food.
    • In addition, the ageing demographic in Asia Pacific could potentially lead to a higher preference for cats over dogs, as
      consumers think cats are easier to maintain and take care of. Brands could leverage this trend and develop growth
      opportunities, offering specific value-added cat food for older pet owners.
SECTION 3             INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                           Pet Food

More consumers treat their pets as beloved family members, and pay
a premium price for better-quality pet care products
                  Top 10 Markets by Retail Value –
                      Pet Food (USD million),
                                                                      • The increasing pet population in China is being driven
                    2019 and CAGR 2019-2024
                                                                        by changing demographics, especially the growth of
40,000                                                          25%     single-person households, elderly households and
                                                                        couples without children. These three types of pet
                                                                20%     owners typically view pets as a companion or member
30,000                                                                  of the family. More importantly, they are likely to spend
                                                                        more on better-quality pet care products.
                                                                15%
                                                                      • One notable trend observed in China is “cat cyber
20,000
                                                                        petting”. This trend refers to the increasing number of
                                                                10%     consumers who enjoy watching cat videos online and
                                                                        are eventually inspired to acquire a cat of their own.
10,000                                                                  This trend is increasing in popularity, and is particularly
                                                                5%
                                                                        popular among consumers in urban areas and the
                                                                        younger generation. In addition, it reflects positively on
      0                                                         0%      premiumisation in terms of sales of cat food, as well as
                                                                        other related products, such as cat toys and cat litter.

                                                                      • Similarly, the trend of acquiring dogs is also growing in
                                                                        China. However, stricter regulations on dog breeds and
                                                                        dog walking in some cities may impact the decision to
          Market Value, 2019 (USD million)   %CAGR 2019-2024F           acquire a dog.
Source: Passport Pet Care, 2021 Edition
Note: F refers to forecast
SECTION 3             INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                                Pet Food

As pets are treated as family members, opportunities for health-focused
and customised formulae can be capitalised on
                                              Cat and Dog Food – Dry/Wet Food (USD million)
                                          Premium vs. Mass, Sales by Region and CAGRs 2019-2024
 40,000
                                                                                                                                 16%
 30,000                                                                                                                          13%
                                                                                                                                 10%
 20,000                                                                                                                          7%
 10,000                                                                                                                          4%
                                                                                                                                 1%
       0                                                                                                                         -2%
                  Asia             Australasia    Eastern Europe   Latin AmericaMiddle East &   North America Western Europe
                                                                                   Africa
                       Mass (2024F)         Premium (2024F)    Mass %CAGR 2019-2024F      Premium %CAGR 2019-2024F
Source: Passport Pet Care, 2021 Edition
Note: F refers to forecast

  Pet owners are focusing more on quality and specialised diets to maintain their pets’ wellbeing
  • Increasing premiumisation is seen in pet food, as pet owners perceive and raise their pets as beloved family members.
    This trend is expected to grow in the future, especially among pet owners in emerging markets.
  • Trends for pet food closely follow trends which have emerged in human food; for example, ingredients with natural,
    organic or grain-free claims.
  • In addition, pet food in humanised formats is expected to grow in the near future, e.g. cakes and ice cream for pets.
    Meanwhile, specialised diets, such as specific formulae for different breeds and ages, and therapeutic and customised
    formulae, are likely to be future growth drivers.
SECTION 3         INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                            Pet Food

Pet health is the main focus when consumers trade up to premium pet food

       Pet Food                           China                        Pet Food                          Thailand
                                          Health is the New                                              Health is the New
       Short-Medium Term                                               Short-Medium Term
                                          Wealth                                                         Wealth

   Shanghai Bridge Petcare               – premium pet food         Bone and Raw         – B.A.R.F diet for dogs and cats
   Shanghai Bridge Petcare is a China-Norway joint venture          Bone and Raw is a Thailand-based pet food brand which
   company and is one of the leading companies in premium           focuses on the B.A.R.F diet concept (Biologically
   pet food. The brand claims that its products follow Nordic       Appropriate Raw Food or Bones and Raw Food). The
   standards, with the inclusion of Oriental diet philosophy. Its   brand claims that its pet food is made from human-grade
   products mainly focus on promoting pet health, such as           ingredients: 97% fresh meat/bone/offal, and 3% from
   premium, grain-free, probiotic or herbal formulae.               natural supplements such as extra virgin olive oil, cold
                                                                    press coconut oil and apple cider vinegar. The products are
                                                                    also free from preservatives, gluten, potato, wheat, grain
                                                                    and corn.
SECTION 3        INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS                                                                            Pet Food

Personalised and humanised pet food are gaining popularity, driving
product value

      Pet Food                         Belgium                         Pet Food                        UK
                                           Permission to Indulge,                                      Personalisation,
       Short-Medium Term                                               Short-Medium Term
                                           Personalisation                                             Health is the New Wealth
   Smoofl     – ice cream mixes for dogs                            Tails.com      – customised dog food
   Smoofl offers an at-home DIY ice cream mix specifically          Tails.com is a UK-based dog food brand which focuses on
   designed for dogs. The brand claims that its ice cream mix       offering customised formulae. The brand allows consumers
   is free from grain, lactose and fat, so is also safe for dogs    to create their dog’s profile. The formula can then be
   with food sensitivities.                                         customised to the specific dog breed, as well as allergy
                                                                    and nutrition needs. In addition, the brand claims that it can
   Smoofl ice cream mix can be purchased on its website,
                                                                    make portion recommendations for feeding in order to help
   and is also available in physical stores in Belgium and
                                                                    dogs maintain their ideal weight.
   other selected stores in the Netherlands, France, the UK,
   Germany, Greece and Slovenia.
Beauty &
    SECTION 3              INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS
                                                                                                                        Personal Care

Wellness, safety and international beauty concepts set to drive future
per capita spending on beauty and personal care products
                                           Global Retail Value – Beauty and Personal Care (USD million)
                                              2013/2019/2024 and CAGRs 2013-2018 and 2019-2024
 250,000                                                                                                                        16%

 200,000
                                                                                                                                12%
 150,000
                                                                                                                                8%
 100,000
                                                                                                                                4%
   50,000

         0                                                                                                                      0%
                    Asia            Australasia      Eastern Europe      Latin       Middle East &    North    Western Europe
                                                                        America         Africa       America
                             2013                 2019          2024F             %CAGR 2013-2018         %CAGR 2019-2024F
Source: Passport Beauty and Personal Care, 2020 Edition
Note: F refers to forecast

    • Asia is the key market for beauty and personal care, accounting for 35% of global retail sales in 2019. It is expected that
      consumers in the region, particularly in China, India and Japan, will be the main drivers of future growth for both skin
      care and colour cosmetics. Meanwhile in Middle East & Africa, growth is expected to be driven by skin care and hair
      care, the growing consumer demand for masstige brands, and the international beauty concept.
    • In emerging markets such as India and Indonesia, sales will be driven by population growth and increasing per capita
      spending on beauty products. Consumers are also adopting more international beauty concepts, for instance the
      concepts of halal, Ayurveda, K-Beauty (South Korea), C-Beauty (China) and J-Beauty (Japan). These trends are
      influencing purchasing decisions and adding value to products.
    • In addition, consumers are increasingly adopting wellness concepts and lifestyles, and prioritising ingredients safety. It
      is expected that these factors will continue to be key purchasing criteria during the COVID-19 pandemic.
You can also read