Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand: The Clean Skies for Tomorrow Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate (SAFc) Framework ...
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In collaboration with RMI and PwC Netherlands Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand: The Clean Skies for Tomorrow Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate (SAFc) Framework INSIGHT REPORT JUNE 2021
Images: Getty images, Pexels Contents Preface 3 Foreword 4 Executive summary 5 Introduction 7 1 The case for SAFc 10 1.1 SAF’s essential role in decarbonizing aviation 11 1.2 Corporate interest in addressing Scope 3 emissions 13 1.3 Potential emissions reduction accounting approaches 14 2 The SAFc framework 15 2.1 The Energy Attribute Certificate model 16 2.2 Catalysing SAF demand 18 2.3 Addressing shared responsibility for Scope 3 emissions 18 3 SAFc functionality 19 3.1 The SAFc product 20 3.2 Accounting framework 23 3.3 SAFc traceability 27 3.4 Avoiding Scope 1 and Scope 3 double counting 29 3.5 Functioning within key regulatory frameworks 29 Next steps 33 Conclusion 35 Appendixes 36 Appendix A: Use cases 36 Appendix B: Example SAFc implementation 38 Contributors 39 Endnotes 40 This document is published by the World Economic Forum as a contribution to a project, insight area or interaction. The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressed herein are a result of a collaborative process facilitated and endorsed by the World Economic Forum but whose results do not necessarily represent the views of the World Economic Forum, nor the entirety of its Members, Partners or other stakeholders. © 2021 World Economic Forum. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, including photocopying and recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system. Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 2
June 2021 Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand: The Clean Skies for Tomorrow Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate (SAFc) Framework Preface Lucas N. Joppa Ned Harvey Chief Environmental Clean Skies for Tomorrow Officer, Microsoft Coalition, RMI Businesses need new approaches to achieve need to get people in the same room. Delivering climate stability, and there is no time to hesitate. time-sensitive essential goods, such as vaccines, According to the Intergovernmental Panel on requires aviation’s speed. As we recover from Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report 17, we have COVID-19, it is critical that we can return to the until 2030 to make significant emissions reductions, skies and do it sustainably. and by 2050 we must eliminate all carbon emissions. In the electricity sector, carbon-free A challenge this big cannot be managed by any energy is within sight. Wind and solar are already one group alone; it will take participation from all cost-competitive with conventional fossil fuel power. concerned. Future government policy is critical but Harder-to-abate industries, such as aviation, face considered insufficient without long-term durable economic and commercial barriers to reducing demand. Corporate passenger and air cargo emissions. To address the challenge, Clean Skies customers can step up to this challenge. We agree for Tomorrow’s Demand Signal working group with the World Resources Institute (WRI)’s A Time members have forged a promising solution. for Transformative Partnerships, published in 2020, which calls for fresh climate approaches and related This is the time for innovation. In the 1990s, products. The Sustainable Aviation Fuel certificate power from wind and solar cost more than 10 (SAFc) proposed in this white paper provides an times what it does today. Massive investments example of that new approach and makes it easier in renewable energy technology, supported for businesses to participate. by new revenue streams (including the Energy Attribute Certificate), helped the industry to The private sector can mobilize and help to lead grow exponentially. Corporate leadership the way. Other critical industries such as trucking, and financial ingenuity were a major factor in shipping, steel, aluminium and cement face making renewable electricity competitive. similar challenges to air transport. SAFc provides a blueprint across sectors, equipping all players Corporate buyers can also stimulate the use of along the supply chain to contribute actively to the renewable fuels for aviation. Flying is critical to our solution. With the new SAFc, and future tools like it, economy. We have new options to communicate we can solve the issue of harder-to-abate emissions virtually, but to forge meaningful connections we at an unprecedented speed. Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 3
Foreword Christoph Wolff Joukje Janssen Clean Skies for Partner, Tomorrow Coalition, PwC Netherlands World Economic Forum Aviation already has the technology to address corporate demand alone could cover over a third carbon emissions in the form of sustainable of the price premium associated with reaching the aviation fuel (SAF). But even without the economic International Air Transport Association (IATA)’s 2025 disruption of the current COVID-19 pandemic, global SAF volume target – as detailed in this report. commercial airline market dynamics leave limited ability for airlines to fully cover SAF’s price The SAFc framework, and this report, is the product premium. When aircraft operators are unable to of generative ideation and refinement facilitated carry the full cost of SAF, air transport customers by the World Economic Forum, PwC Netherlands and corporate travellers in particular have a and RMI, with indispensable input from CST’s key role and leadership opportunity in reducing working group partners. It is also a testament the environmental impact of their travel. to air transport’s benefits, demonstrating a clear commitment from across aviation’s value chain Instead of buying offsets, the SAFc framework to continue enabling the social and economic provides customers with the option to invest benefits of the aviation sector while opening up new directly into SAF and receive recognition for this opportunities to accelerate its decarbonization. purchase to prove Scope 3 carbon abatement. The framework, outlined in this report, is the first of its Future pilots will test the approach, and lessons kind in the sector. learned will be integrated into a finalized framework with accompanying implementation guidance for The World Economic Forum’s Clean Skies for release later this year. Already we see examples Tomorrow (CST) “Demand Signal” working group of successful SAF purchases piloting the SAFc collaboratively developed the SAF certificate (SAFc) system across CST’s broad coalition, including concept as a workable solution for customers, Alaska Airlines, American Airlines, Deloitte, DHL enabling them to take ownership of their emissions Global Forwarding, Microsoft, PwC, SkyNRG and reduction goals. Corporations, other firms and United Airlines, among others. Ultimately, SAFc also individuals are able to purchase the SAFc to address requires robust and transparent tracking, verification aviation emissions from passengers and air cargo. and governance – including through an issuing body and registry – to provide assurance that the The Science Based Targets Initiative (SBTi) emissions claims are legitimate and claimed only by recognizes SAF as an in-sector mitigation option a single party. for both aircraft operators and their customers. Voluntary purchases can unlock new revenue As we continue to finalize this innovative for SAF production, which will accelerate new framework, we look forward to receiving production capacity. This is especially needed feedback and input from the CST community during aviation’s recovery from the pandemic. and beyond. Through collaborative innovation, CST stakeholder input, including a strong consumer demand will be leveraged to power representation from leading professional services a more sustainable aviation industry. and technology companies, suggests that Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 4
Executive summary As aviation – one of the world’s most carbon-intensive industries – rebounds following COVID-19, initiatives such as SAFc can support a net-zero pathway. Rapid decarbonization and energy-source reduction benefits so that the actual fuel can be transitions are required in every industry to meet delivered to the nearest airport and the climate the challenge of climate change. Aviation is a benefits can be claimed by the SAFc buyer. Firms percentage carbon-intensive and “hard to abate” sector and purchase SAFc, which provides a market-based of global CO2 accounts for ~3% of global CO2 emissions annually. mechanism for managing their aviation-related emissions from Although air travel and its emissions declined emissions and enables them to be recognized for aviation precipitously during the COVID-19 pandemic, their mitigation efforts. By covering SAF’s price aviation traffic is expected to rebound over the premium, the purchase of SAFc also addresses the coming years and continue to grow in both traffic aviation industry’s supply-and-demand impasse and emissions as per industry estimates.1 over scaling SAF. The concept was developed in collaboration with a wide variety of CST’s partners As significant air transport users in terms of and is building on their input.2 both people and cargo, corporations and other organizations have a mutually beneficial role to play This concept is now being tested by CST’s in supporting aviation’s net-zero pathway, while partners, including Alaska Airlines, American also achieving their own direct and business-travel Airlines, Deloitte, Deutsche Post DHL Group emissions reduction targets. A mechanism to (DPDHL), Microsoft and SkyNRG; the outcomes achieve both of these ambitions at the same time of the pilots will inform additional refinement and is needed. The World Economic Forum’s Clean finalization of the framework. Skies for Tomorrow (CST) initiative has developed the sustainable aviation fuel certificate (SAFc) The SAFc framework is modelled on Energy framework to meet this need. Attribute Certificates (EACs), a well-established virtual accounting instrument. This was key to CST is a mechanism for leaders along the aviation accelerating renewable electricity investment, value chain to facilitate the industry’s transition to when wind and solar energy costs significantly net-zero emissions by mid-century, with a particular outweighed those of fossil energy. EACs are focus on scaling global production and the use of instruments that allow firms to make reliable sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). SAF is recognized as renewable energy usage claims without the need to the fastest, most viable in-sector decarbonization produce their own electricity. approach, but SAF is two to five times the price of conventional jet fuel. Therefore, its widespread SAFc functions as follows: fuel producers generate adoption suffers from a “chicken-and-egg” eligible SAF from sustainable feedstocks, following challenge, whereby SAF producers and consumers standards such as those developed by the Carbon are unable or unwilling to shoulder the initial costs Offset and Reduction Scheme for International of scaling production. Aviation (CORSIA). They issue a defined amount of SAFc based on either fuel volume or overall The SAFc framework is one potential solution to this life-cycle emissions reductions. Producers can challenge. SAFc is a novel accounting instrument then sell the actual SAF volume as well as the that decouples SAF fuel from its emissions virtual SAF certificates (SAFc) separately. In a Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 5
FIGURE 1 The SAFc framework provides a verifiable emissions reduction value to SAF SAFc transaction pathway SAFc facilitates customer payment in exchange for Scope 1 verified reductions of emissions emissions through SAF reduction claim Each volume of SAF would Aircraft produce a Scope 1 claim operator for an airline and a Scope 3 claim for the travel $ customer, both being systemically linked SAF producer Aviation customers (passenger + freight) SAFc applies to both passengers and freight Scope 3 emissions Scope 1 virtual value SAF feedstock reduction claim supplier Scope 3 SAFc virtual value volumetric model, SAFc prices could factor in volumes will need to meet defined stringent the overall premium of the associated SAF over sustainability requirements. Once the SAF is fossil-based jet fuel after government incentives certified as sustainable, it can be transacted and are incorporated, and in a life-cycle assessment ownership transfer is tracked both physically and (LCA)-based model, SAFc prices would be virtually until claims are retired within a registry. based on overall LCA emissions reductions over a standardized baseline of fossil-based jet fuel. The SAFc conceptual standard was designed SAF buyers/users such as aircraft operators can to comply with existing and expected updated claim the direct (Scope 1) emissions reduction standards and guidance from the Greenhouse value of SAF itself and the buyer of the SAFc, Gas Protocol, the Science Based Targets initiative such as a corporation with business travel needs, (SBTi) and the CORSIA; further development of can retire the certificate and claim the related the framework will ensure compatibility with other indirect (Scope 3) emissions reductions. Customer regional SAF regulations and policies, such as a payments help cover SAF price premiums and European Union SAF blending mandate and US- unlock new SAF supply. To earn eligibility, SAFc based Low Carbon Fuel Standards (LCFS). Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 6
Introduction Decarbonizing hard-to-abate sectors such as aviation is a difficult task and requires both a systemic approach and leadership from across the value chain. Decarbonizing hard-to-abate industries such as Two primary levers exist for breaking this “chicken- aviation is especially challenging and requires a and-egg” challenge: government policy/regulatory holistic and systemic approach. The International action and the willingness of firms to voluntarily Air Transport Association (IATA)’s industry decarbonize their operations. Both levers are decarbonization pathway has been building mainly necessary and address different components; on the significant operational fuel efficiencies public investment and supportive policies alone achieved from one generation of aircraft to the are not long-term solutions, and a market-based next. Both electric propulsion and hydrogen-based solution is necessary to accelerate aviation’s fuels will also play a role in the future post-2030, decarbonization journey. but each of these technologies has its limitations in terms of scope and range and will not be available A large part of the post-pandemic growth in at scale until well into the 2030s. Given the available demand for air transport will come from business technologies, sustainable aviation fuels are the travel and freight transportation. At the same time only viable alternative in the near-medium term – as their air travel needs are poised to increase, and for long-haul flights, even in the longer term.3 many organizations are setting ambitious targets Scaling SAF production necessitates overcoming and strategies to reduce their greenhouse gas a deadlock between supply and demand: SAF (GHG) emissions and achieve net-zero energy costs will decline as production increases, but goals. For many companies, aviation-related because SAF producers lack guaranteed market emissions represent the single largest source signals, they remain unwilling or unable to invest in or even the majority of their indirect (Scope 3) increased production. GHG emissions. Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 7
BOX 1 Understanding GHG emissions under the Greenhouse Gas Protocol (GHGP) The GHGP defines direct and indirect emissions – Scope 1: all direct GHG emissions as follows: – Scope 2: indirect GHG emissions from – Direct emissions stem from sources owned consumption of purchased electricity, or controlled by the reporting entity heat or steam – Indirect emissions are a consequence of the – Scope 3: other indirect emissions, such as the activities of the reporting entity, but occur at extraction and production of purchased materials sources owned or controlled by another entity and fuels, transport-related activities in vehicles not owned or controlled by the reporting entity, The GHGP further categorizes these direct and electricity-related activities (e.g. transmission and indirect emissions into three broad scopes: distribution [T&D] losses) not covered in Scope 2, outsourced activities, waste disposal, etc. FIGURE 2 GHG emission classifications under the GHGP SF6 N2O PFCS CO2 CH4 HFCS Scope 2 Scope 1 Scope 3 Indirect Direct Indirect Employees’ business travel Production of purchased materials Consumption of purchased Use of products electricity Fossil Purchased fuel activities Vehicles owned by contractors Vehicles owned Waste by the firm disposal Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 8
This situation presents sustainability leaders with accounting protocols consider only direct emissions a challenge. Whereas companies have proven from aviation fuel burn without incorporating more ways to reduce their Scope 1 direct emissions and accurate life-cycle emissions, which for SAF include their Scope 2 emissions from purchased energy, upstream reductions from biogenic feedstocks. guidance on how to address indirect aviation- related Scope 3 emissions should be improved. In November 2020, the SBTi recognized SAF in Established climate accounting frameworks such draft guidance as an in-sector mitigation option for as those from GHGP and CDP do not currently both aircraft operators and their customers. This recognize ways to mitigate aviation emissions presents an opportunity for a new SAF-focused besides simply not flying. Although reduced solution that would help address both the aviation travel is expected in the medium term due to the sector’s need to scale SAF and firms’ desire to be pandemic, air travel will continue so it requires a credited for managing their aviation-related Scope 3 sustainable option. Moreover, existing corporate emissions. CST has developed SAFc to fill that role. FIGURE 3 SAFc provides numerous climate benefits for stakeholders along the aviation value chain Aircraft operators – A solution for – SAF prices decrease climate-conscious through efficiencies and customers to cost-share economies of scale SAF premiums SAF producers Air transport customers – A standardized and uniform framework for virtual SAF transactions – Transparent disclosures verifying social and environmental criteria – A new revenue stream from aviation customers to cover SAF’s price – An emissions solution reportable as a premium recognized mitigation action – Strong demand signals to increase – Ability to compare and source market confidence, enabling new lowest-emissions SAF production capacity investments Environmental NGOs – Verifiable and quantifiable – Uniform reporting, decarbonization actions feedstock transparency and emissions savings, – Emissions accounting based on GHGP based on comprehensive guidance life-cycle emissions Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 9
1 The case for SAFc The SAFc framework is designed to speed the scaling of SAF by unlocking additional funding while ensuring the highest sustainability standards. Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 10
CST developed the SAFc framework based on cross-sectoral community (detailed in Figure 4) several factors: SAF’s essential role in decarbonizing developed the framework as a market-based aviation; corporate interest in addressing their mechanism to not only drive faster SAF innovation Scope 3 emissions; and an evaluation of potential and development but also ensure the highest levels emissions reduction accounting approaches. of sustainability standards required to successfully meet the challenge of climate change. Working within the dedicated “demand signal” workstream of the overarching CST initiative, the FIGURE 4 Clean Skies for Tomorrow “demand signal” community 1.1 SAF’s essential role in decarbonizing aviation SAF is produced from sustainable, renewable low- 3. Aviation value chain – at this time, SAF is the only carbon feedstocks such as used cooking oils, forestry “in-sector” near-term climate solution, as hydrogen residues and municipal solid waste. When used to and electric flying will develop at scale over the power aircraft, SAF can reduce the carbon intensity of next decade and may not cover long haul. flying by up to 100% on a life-cycle basis, depending on the feedstock selection and technological pathway. 4. Co-benefits – the production of SAF introduces Several characteristics make SAF the most viable near- significantly less sulphur and particulate matter term technology for decarbonizing aviation, including: into the environment than the production of fossil-based jet fuel. In addition, SAF production 1. Immediate action – according to findings from creates new high-quality jobs. the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the most critical time to reduce emissions is A critical barrier to faster scaling of SAF is its price, between now and 2030 if we are to keep warming which is currently at least double that of fossil- well below 2˚C.4 Because SAF is compatible with based jet fuel, but will come down, once economies existing aircraft and fuelling infrastructure, major of scale kick in. The cost of feedstocks currently changes to aircraft and airports that would delay exceeds the price for finished fossil-based jet fuel. broad sector use are not needed. Unlike fossil fuels, input feedstocks may require additional pre-processing before the material can be 2. Scalability – SAF production can grow to cover refined. Also contributing to SAF’s cost premium are 10% of total jet fuel sales by 2030,5 based higher transportation costs, requirements to blend on sustainable feedstock availability, if the SAF with conventional jet fuel and fees to cover investment capital can be secured. additional safety testing. Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 11
FIGURE 5 SAFc enables a SAF-based in-sector emissions reduction market for Scope 3 emissions as a complement to the current CORSIA offsetting scheme Corporate air travel carbon management today, according to CORSIA Corporate air travel in-sector solution via SAFc Target market Air transport corporate customers Creates demand $ Generic carbon offsets do not affect aviation industry Science Based Fragmented Pooled funding Targets market of accelerates Initiative existing offset aviation-based Seeks best providers carbon solution practice Offsets are option of last recognition resort for Greenhouse Gas Protocol guidance Existing offset projects Corporation and airline action: in other sectors: recognized approach generates reforestation projects, wind growing demand for SAFc energy, landfill methane The aviation industry and fuel producers have been CST analysis has confirmed findings from prior investing in SAF technologies and infrastructure academic research that future SAF production for nearly 15 years, yet only two commercial SAF efficiencies plus a carbon fee are necessary to plants are operational worldwide, producing less enable SAF to reach price parity with fossil-based than 0.01% of jet fuel supply. Because the industry jet fuel. Depending on the conversion technology is nascent, SAF producers are not yet able to and region, these two factors are not likely to make benefit from efficiencies of scale or best practices SAF competitive until at least 2040.6 Until price from existing production facilities, further limiting parity is achieved, another mechanism for covering the ways to reduce production costs. Air transport the price difference and catalysing the SAF market is a highly competitive industry with extremely low is needed. margins; aircraft operators are generally not able to afford SAF and remain economically competitive. Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 12
1.2 Corporate interest in addressing Scope 3 emissions The private sector has an important role to play in for an estimated 20–30% of commercial airline supporting SAF growth. As firms increasingly look operational costs, depending on the year. Although for solutions to address Scope 3 emissions in their the amount of corporate voluntary contributions supply chains, they have expressed willingness to may not be sufficient to cover the substitution of pay for the emissions reductions provided through SAF for all conventional jet fuel, it does indicate a SAF. As an anecdotal example, many of CST’s potential source of significant funding for SAFc, aviation-customer partners indicated that a 5–10% thereby breaking through the “chicken-and-egg” increase in airfare costs would be acceptable, challenge and kickstarting a virtuous cycle of provided they reflected a significant decrease in creating supply and economies of scale. emissions. Conventional fuel currently accounts FIGURE 6 Corporate willingness to pay around 5–10% of airfare costs towards mitigating emissions can support significant growth of SAF production7,8 Demand Supply $243 billion spent on 1.9 million metric tonnes SAF business airfares annually produced annually (assumes across all companiesa $1/litre SAF premium) SBTi companies represent 19 SAF plants needed to meet 17.5% of business airfareb that annual production volumec $2.5 billion (willingness to 1/3 of IATA’s 2025 SAF production pay) of SBTi companies’ goal met (5.6 million tonnes)d airfare spend Notes: a Assumes 17% of global airfare is attributed to business travel and total business travel spending in 2019 was $1.43 trillion b Assumes travel spending is proportional to equity valuation of ($15.4 trillion) c Assumes 100,000 MT/facility d Does not include SAF demand to cover air cargo. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) 2025 goal is for 2% of demand, or 7 billion litres, to be met through SAF Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 13
1.3 Potential emissions reduction accounting approaches To operate To operate effectively in support of the SAF market, 4. Energy Attribute Certificates (EACs): a effectively in the SAFc mechanism must be based on a sound market-based mechanism for conveying the support of the SAF accounting methodology. Four emissions reduction environmental attributes of a unit of renewable market, the SAFc accounting approaches were considered as energy to the buyer. In the case of SAF, the foundations for the framework: related attribute is the carbon reduction mechanism must associated with the use of sustainable be based on a 1. Standalone disclosure: voluntary feedstocks compared to conventional jet fuel. sound accounting actions are currently not recognized under methodology. GHGP including SAF usage, but they can These four approaches were evaluated against six be reported separately through annual main necessary attributes. First, an approach should emissions disclosures such as CDP. generate funding to cover SAF’s price premium. Second, it should eventually be incorporated into 2. Carbon offsets: project-based emissions established international GHG emissions accounting reductions measured in metric tonnes CO2e standards such as GHGP, so that corporate (tCO2e) outside a company’s value chain. This participants can secure auditable recognition of accounting approach follows a published their efforts to reduce emissions. Third, it should methodology and generates credits that are facilitate production of increased volumes of SAF. tracked and retired through validated registries. Fourth, it should not require proof of “emissions Carbon offsets must demonstrate their additionality” with the same level of detail as carbon “additionality”, or evidence that the emissions offset projects because of the difficulties associated reductions would not have occurred in the absence with determining intent for each and every flight. Fifth, of revenue from the sale of the carbon offset. the approach should allow the tracking of SAF as a physical good to offer additional measurement-based 3. Carbon insets: carbon emissions reductions assurances for traceability of associated emissions that occur within an organization’s value chain reductions. Finally, it needs to be an in-sector and can originate from carbon reduction solution supporting net-zero benefits. Using this filter measures within a supply chain, such as use of approach and given current accounting methodology renewable fuels or the purchase of renewable practices, the EAC-based model proved most electricity used by an upstream supplier. promising, as detailed in the next section. BOX 2 Additionality and SAFc The term additionality within emissions accounting While SAFc enables increased demand for SAF refers to a causal assessment of whether the and therefore facilitates reduced GHG emissions financing of a particular carbon reduction project via air travel, it is outside the scope of the concept generates a beneficial effect beyond what would to integrate either a standardized or project- have ensued in other scenarios without the specific determination of emissions additionality.10 financial resources from that project in relationship to a determined baseline.9 Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 14
2 The SAFc framework The SAFc concept is expected to be based on an Energy Attribute Certificate (EAC)-type model for successful emissions reduction accounting. Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 15
EACs are a well-established virtual accounting development and pilot modes, it will reach EAC- instrument in the United States and Canada, like status once it is fully developed and has been representing the clean energy attributes of incorporated into emissions accounting standards renewable electricity from sources such as wind such as GHGP. and solar. Internationally, EACs are comparable to Guarantees of Origin (GOs) in the European Union Carbon offsetting is used extensively by the and international renewable energy certificates aviation industry and underpins CORSIA, but (I-RECs) in countries across Asia, Africa and South while the framework is useful for out-of-sector America. They are also established mechanisms emissions offsetting, it is not effective for in-sector through GHGP and CDP for emissions accounting. mitigation efforts – failing all but one of the attribute requirements within this analysis. EACs have proven to be effective at accelerating the transition to renewable energy by creating an Intriguingly, alongside an EAC-based approach, additional revenue stream for renewable energy insetting also offers significant potential for scaling suppliers and signalling demand for additional SAF demand and associated Scope 3 reporting renewable electricity generating capacity. frameworks. An EAC-based framework could be a mechanism for documenting and transacting Following evaluation, it is expected that an EAC- insets. The EAC and inset have similar underlying based model will form a successful emissions emissions calculations and accounting practices. reduction accounting approach for SAF as They are not necessarily contradictory or mutually represented in the SAFc concept. EACs meet each exclusive systems. Insetting with a tradable SAFc will reach of the six criteria and offer an entirely scalable and certificate-based approach may support the scaled EAC-like status auditable approach, including potential follow- use and development of SAF. on certificate trading markets to encourage SAF once it is fully demand above and beyond immediate use. The Smart Freight Centre and MIT’s Center developed and has for Transportation & Logistics (SFC-MIT) are been incorporated Standalone disclosures are not a long-term solution currently developing guidelines for an insetting into emissions for SAF, due to unanswered questions about both approach for SAF. CST and SFC-MIT are in active accounting impact measurement and their ability to generate communication to better determine how these standards such impact funding. Importantly, although SAFc will frameworks can complement each other. as GHGP. require reporting as a standalone disclosure while in 2.1 The Energy Attribute Certificate model Ultimately, organizations need a market-based Emissions reduction and inclusion within GHG instrument to address their air transport-based inventory emissions. Following extensive stakeholder consultations and analytical modelling, SAFc SAFc as an EAC creates a product that a company functioning as an EAC is the current proposed can count in its GHG inventory. This will reduce the model, borrowing an approach from the electricity gross emissions reported. utility sector that is already accepted within the GHGP standard. GHGP’s Scope 2 standard High-level approach and calculation method includes EAC guidance that can be used to further develop SAFc implementation methodology. It also Using one of the three calculation methods provides a methodology for virtual product GHG to calculate air transport GHG emissions (the accounting and reporting. Following incorporation fuel-based, distance-based and spend-based of SAFc into internationally recognized standards, methods), SAF volume is then multiplied by a life- SAFc reporting processes would shift from stand- cycle emissions factor to calculate emissions. alone disclosures to EACs. In an analogy to the GHGP standards for Outlined below are the high-level approach and accounting and reporting on emissions, two EAC calculation method; the benefits and risks for calculation methods could be used: one based double counting; and potential solutions. The on the actual carbon intensity of the SAF batch, longer-term goal of CST is to convince the GHGP and one based on an external emissions factor authors to incorporate the SAFc, similar to an EAC. (e.g. CORSIA’s average feedstock conversion To ensure that SAFc is a credible mechanism, carbon reduction). Both of these calculation without vulnerability to false claims, a central registry methods enable corporations to report SAFc needs to be established to host retired Scope 3 usage to mitigate their emissions. Additionally, certificates and their linkage to Scope 1 claims. aligning with the GHGP would require separately Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 16
FIGURE 7 How SAFc is modelled on an EAC SAFc as an EAC Application of SAFc in GHG preparation: Scope 3 Category 6 Business travel emissions Conventional Scope 3 Fuel consumption allocated to Emission factor (industry, conventional Scope 3 Category 6 Business travel Category 6 company through SAFc (kg fuel) jet fuel) (kg CO2e/kg fuel) emissions (kg CO2e) – industry preparation SAF Scope 3 Scope 3 Category 6 Business travel Category 6 Fuel consumption allocated to Emission factor (SAF, supplier specific) company through SAFc (kg fuel) (kg CO2e/kg fuel) emissions (kg CO2e) – SAF, preparation supplier-specific accounting for and reporting on carbon removals/ standards than of market-based mechanisms’ sequestration, biogenic emissions and non- effectiveness. In the GHGP’s Scope 3 guidance, biogenic emissions. A GHGP working group reducing consumption of goods or services is establishing a new reporting approach for or shifting to a lower-emitting supplier are the carbon removals, bioenergy and land use, only recognized options for managing Scope with published findings expected in 2022. 3 climate impacts. SAFc will require more time to earn acceptance and incorporation from The main drawback of developing SAFc as an emissions accounting frameworks, but will also EAC is that international emissions accounting support improved definitions within existing standards rely on detailed guidance that accounting practices. Phase II of the SAFc excludes market-based mechanisms as an development will ensure close collaboration with emissions solution, but this is arguably more these entities to ensure verifiable sustainability a shortcoming of the existing accounting credentials and auditable accounting principles. Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 17
2.2 Catalysing SAF demand An overview of how EACs work with renewable The SAF buyer can claim the emissions reduction electricity illustrates the basic concept of the SAFc value of the sustainable fuel itself once consumed and how it covers SAF’s price premiums and (Scope 1), depending on local regulations. The catalyses SAF demand. eventual buyer of the SAFc – an air transport customer such as a corporation for the purposes of Electricity producers are issued with EACs for the this simplified description – can retire the certificate renewable electricity they produce that complies and claim the related Scope 3 emissions reductions. with the defined standards and legislation. Producers then sell their EACs to businesses Importantly, SAFc helps address the supply-and- and consumers, often separately from the demand deadlock that is limiting the growth of SAF. electricity itself. Businesses and consumers, Low demand for SAF results in low investment in for their part, purchase EACs as a way to increasing SAF production. reduce their carbon footprint from electricity use without having to install their own renewable As a market-based GHG mitigation standard for energy systems. EACs are traded with a book- the aviation sector, SAFc catalyses additional and-claim system in which only the entity that demand for SAF by generating new funding that “cancels” the certificate can claim the usage can be used to cover its price premium. of the renewable energy unit it represents. This funding in turn creates market demand SAFc could work in a similar way. The fuel producer signals to drive investment in increasing SAF SAFc helps generates eligible SAF from sustainable feedstocks production capacity. This is similar to how EACs address the and is issued with a corresponding number of in the electricity market improved the economics supply-and- SAFc based on either a volumetric calculation or for renewable electricity developers when wind demand deadlock an emissions-based calculation. As with EACs, the and solar were more costly than fossil sources. In that is limiting the producer can then sell the actual SAF produced 2020, renewables were the largest source of newly growth of SAF. and the virtual SAFc that was issued separately. installed electricity generation capacity.11 2.3 Addressing shared responsibility for Scope 3 emissions Within existing GHGP guidance, multiple parties A key innovation incorporated into the SAFc along the supply chain can have overlapping framework is a mechanism to assign coinciding individual responsibility for the same GHG emissions. and linked value to Scope 3 and Scope 1 In aviation, these parties include fuel producers, fuel emissions, providing reductions in both emissions suppliers, aircraft and engine manufacturers, airports categories. This SAFc characteristic is important and air transport buyers. As an illustrative example, because it provides a way for air transport an aircraft operator may burn 1 tonne of fossil-based customers and aircraft operators (and eventually jet fuel, generating more than 3 tonnes of CO2. The other parties in the supply chain) to address their aircraft operator is responsible for the emissions shared responsibility for Scope 3 emissions. It within its Scope 1, and the aircraft operator along also enables downstream parties to influence with all of the other participants in the supply chain emissions reductions by working with their share responsibility for the Scope 3 emissions for suppliers to address the source of emissions, in their customers for the same fuel burn. alignment with SBTi guidance for supply chains. Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 18
3 SAFc functionality To operate effectively and reliably, SAFc requires robust and transparent sustainability certifications and a robust governance system to facilitate ownership and trade. Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 19
Intergovernmental bodies such as the International – Systems to facilitate ownership and trade of Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) have established SAFc (e.g. a registry and governance standards) minimum sustainability criteria for SAF,12 but there is currently no governing body or governance system – Markets through which SAFc create value in place for the creation, trade and retirement of SAFc. To operate effectively and reliably, a SAFc This report establishes the SAFc mechanism mechanism must have three core elements: principles and outlines further phases of research, analysis and pilot projects already underway – Standards to govern the entire life cycle of within CST on the SAFc mechanism itself as well a SAFc as related accounting frameworks, traceability components and governance operations. 3.1 The SAFc product Essential elements of the SAFc product to be comply with and function within existing and standardized include its sustainability criteria, its proposed SAF regulations and policies, including unit of trade and its value streams. Importantly, those related to blending mandates. all elements of the SAFc product must ultimately Unit of trade Although simpler, SAFc requires a common measurement, or unit primary metric allows stakeholders to understand the volumetric of trade, to enable the parties involved in a SAFc progress towards replacing conventional jet model does not transaction to communicate with each other and fuel with SAF. Using a mass-based approach address some to account for both the size of individual company enables SAF producers to easily report liquid actions and overall aviation sector progress in fuel mass measurement, as mass is a consistent of the nuances meeting GHG goals. metric that does not change according to inherent in SAF, differing regulatory jurisdictions or life-cycle such as different Using an EAC model, in which renewable electricity analysis methods. Additionally, one metric tonne SAF feedstocks is calculated in megawatt hours (MWhs), SAFc of fuel represents a specific energy unit that and production could use either a volumetric-based calculation can be tied to the SAFc, similar to the way in pathways (mass/volume) or an overall LCA emissions-based which the EAC product is based on MWhs of themselves having calculation (CO2 carbon equivalency, or CO2e). electricity. It is also easier to transact assets that significantly are tied to physical goods (e.g. fuel volume). different emissions Using a volumetric model, as conventional fossil- footprints. based jet fuel that SAF replaces is measured in However, although simpler, the volumetric model mass/volume, SAFc could be purchased and does not address some of the nuances inherent recorded in mass units. Establishing mass as the in SAF, such as different SAF feedstocks and Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 20
production pathways themselves having significantly CST has not yet determined the most effective and different emissions footprints. Establishing a SAFc applicable approach to the SAFc unit of trade. While a valuation based on an LCA emissions-based volumetric approach may be simpler to transact, it is calculation may add initial complexity but can more a blunt approach and does not enable the assigning effectively support the long-term scaling of the of higher SAFc values to lower emissions fuels. For lowest-emissions SAF technologies. example, in using a volumetric approach, 1 tonne of SAF with 60% emissions reductions over fossil jet Using an overall emission calculation model, SAFc fuel could have an associated SAFc equal in value to could be purchased and recorded in CO2e based on the SAFc associated with 1 tonne of SAF with 100% a predetermined LCA emissions factor. This factor emissions reductions over fossil jet fuel. While an would vary depending on both the SAF feedstock and LCA emissions-based approach may be the most technological pathway. It would allow market forces to accurate, a market-based solution is effective only if it properly reflect the emissions-reduction values of SAF is implementable. Importantly, as both the SAF volume and drive investments towards more efficient next- and emissions factors are necessary components for generation SAF such as power-to-liquid (PtL), over comprehensive reporting and emissions assessments, time encouraging a “race to zero” within the industry. it is likely that both quantifications will be required. Challenges remain in determining an appropriate Final determination will be made within Phase II of comparable emissions baseline for conventional SAFc framework development, as informed by pilot fossil jet fuel, as baselines vary based on regulatory transactions and continued collaboration across the jurisdiction. But these can be overcome. CST community of partners. Sustainability criteria To accelerate aviation’s decarbonization pathway Two independent sustainability certification and achieve maximum LCA emissions reductions, schemes, the International Sustainability and SAF must be produced using the most efficient Carbon Certification (ISCC) and the Roundtable on technological pathways, most sustainable feedstocks Sustainable Biomaterials (RSB), are both recognized and most socioeconomically responsible guidelines. by ICAO. Both certifying bodies require producers to minimize emissions impacts in a variety of CORSIA has established robust SAF sustainability performance categories, referred to within CORSIA requirements, with further guidance pending. as the 12 themes. These are: Minimum GHG reduction Local and social Conservation target development Air Water use rights Soil Land use rights and land Water Human and labour rights use Carbon stock (intensity) Waste and chemicals Food security Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 21
CST recognizes that corporate air transport sustainability verifications and the impacts from customers have an additional desire to reduce both direct and indirect land use change, no palm- their carbon impact. In response, CST and working based materials, for example, would currently be group stakeholders added the following three eligible for SAFc fuels, including palm fatty acid requirements for the SAFc product: distillate (PFAD). Palm offers some of the lowest emissions reduction benefits among the feedstock 1. Carbon intensity: While CORSIA requires candidates,14 and using PFAD for SAF may eligible SAF to have emissions at least 10% result in more palm oil demand and cultivation lower than those of fossil-based jet fuel,13 CST to replace its current uses.15 Should the situation coalition members have indicated a preference change and LCA calculations demonstrate for at least a 60% LCA emissions reduction that palm-sourced feedstocks can generate in SAF. The SAF life cycle goes from “well-to- emissions savings above the 60% threshold, wake” (though in the case of SAF, “well” means this determination may be reconsidered. sustainable feedstock) and includes transport from refinery to airport. A SAFc value would 3. Certification consistency: Currently, ISCC not be applied without meeting a minimum and RSB certification processes differ. Their threshold, to be finalized in Phase II of the sustainability certification scheme (SCS) framework development. processes could benefit from harmonizing to cover the 12 themes as well as calculations 2. Feedstock integrity: CST supports complete of carbon intensity related to indirect land use transparency in the feedstock process and full change and the potential impact from secondary supply-chain certification. Due to concerns about effects such as feedstock substitution. FIGURE 8 RSB and ISCC differ in their sustainability certification schemes and could benefit from harmonization Elements RSB ISCC Potential actions for CST ICAO considered RSB 12 Equivalent requirements principles for its “themes”. Needs functionality for all between SCS; CORSIA 12 themes RSB has methodologies 12 themes quantitative metrics where for all; some are qualitative possible Indirect land use change Low ILUC risk biomass ILUC consideration Not yet available (ILUC) estimate calculator requirements Feedstock displacement Methodology for Potential for displacement Not yet available evaluation displacement emissions within CST Feedstock transparency Internal to producer Internal to producer Disclosed to buyer Estimate based Estimate based GHG – transport from Process to automate into on transport mode on transport mode refinery to airport CST accounting system(s) and distance and distance Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 22
3.2 Accounting framework SAFc needs to function within existing voluntary targets, such as SBTi. Both of these initiatives GHG accounting and reporting standards. GHGP is are stakeholders within the CST Coalition, and recognized as the authoritative climate accounting full alignment between these systems and the and reporting industry guidance. SAFc accounting SAFc framework is key to long-term success. approaches need to be developed so that voluntary Consultations are ongoing to ensure long-term SAF purchases can be recognized within GHG mutual compatibility between the SAFc framework accounting and reporting frameworks, such and GHGP and SBTi guidance. as GHGP, and associated emissions reduction GHGP application GHGP outlines five principles applicable to 3. Consistency: Apply consistent measuring, GHG measurement, accounting and reporting. accounting and reporting methods for emissions A SAFc accounting framework that adheres related to the purchase and use of SAF (via to these principles would enable reliable, the SAFc). If methodology changes occur, new comparable and consistent disclosures by methods must be appropriately disclosed, and participating companies. The following five a re-baselining exercise may be needed for prior principles for SAFc are adapted from GHGP:16 year disclosures. 1. Relevance: Ensure the GHG inventory 4. Transparency: Address all relevant emissions appropriately reflects a company’s disclosures in a factual and coherent manner, emissions generated through the supported by a clear underlying audit purchase and use of SAF (via the SAFc) trail. Significant assumptions, estimations and serves the decision-making needs or judgements must be appropriately of both internal and external users. disclosed and include information on relevant methodologies and data sources. 2. Completeness: Account for and report on all GHG emissions sources and activities 5. Accuracy: GHG emissions resulting from the within the inventory boundary related to purchase and use of SAF (via the SAFc) should the purchase and use of SAF (via the be sufficiently accurate to enable users to SAFc). Where a company has excluded make decisions with reasonable confidence emitting activities, omitted impacts should as to the integrity of the reported information. be sufficiently disclosed and justified. Uncertainties related to assumptions, estimations or judgements should be minimal. Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 23
These principles require the reporting of GHG report life-cycle fuel emissions for SAF and compare emissions regardless of scope or industry and that to the life-cycle conventional fossil-based are intended to ensure the information reported jet fuel. In the past, many reporting entities have appropriately quantifies the company’s overall limited aviation reporting to only direct emissions emissions. GHGP guidance is voluntary and not from aircraft, but such a change to consider holistic subject to legal restrictions. comparisons with true and comparable baselines would enable a more thorough accounting approach. Current GHGP Scope 2 guidance covering the use of EACs for electricity emissions mitigation In practice, only aircraft emissions directly from can potentially be used to inform a Scope 3 SAFc aircraft engines are technically assigned to the accounting framework. Although covering different aviation sector; they are not assigned to fuel-related emissions parameters, both EACs and SAFc upstream life-cycle emissions. National GHG provide a solution to address the limited options inventories will need to be reconciled for SAF’s end customers have to purchase emissions- upstream life-cycle reductions to be assigned to mitigating energy. air transport. Currently, GHGP guidance states that any removals should to be reported separately Setting boundaries for Scope 3 GHG categories from Scope 1, 2 and 3. (A GHGP working group is currently establishing a new reporting approach GHGP provides guidance on boundaries for for carbon removals, bioenergy and land use, with emissions reporting, indicating a preference for a published findings expected by 2023.) “consistent consolidation approach” across Scope 1-3 inventories.17 It also identifies three approaches Leveraging GHGP principles for development to determine organizational boundaries and to of SAFc’s accounting framework allocate GHG emissions to the reporting entity: There is no “ideal fit” for a virtual product such as – Equity share (based on economic benefits from SAFc within existing GHGP standards. For example, proportion of ownership) existing GHGP guidance on reporting of combined life-cycle factors or biogenic emissions separately, – Financial control outside of the Scope 1, 2 and 3 inventories, would prevent clear indication of the lower-carbon benefits – Operational control of SAF when compared to conventional jet fuel. This is because the reductions do not occur at the point In addition, the guidance includes minimum of combustion but upstream in the value chain. A boundaries for reporting on different categories of consolidated emissions factor, comprising a single Scope 3 emissions. Emissions within the minimum life-cycle factor including both fossil and biogenic boundaries for Scope 3 include air transport emissions, is necessary to demonstrate life-cycle passengers and cargo. emissions reductions from SAF. Companies typically estimate direct aviation Despite this existing lack of clarity, GHGP emissions based on an allocation of Scope 3 standards are useful to broadly inform a SAFc emissions relative to their share of aircraft use; accounting approach. For example, the five GHG only direct emissions are incorporated in Scope 3 accounting and reporting principles detailed above air transport emissions calculations within GHGP. apply to any emerging GHG measurement or Although GHGP does not explicitly include the fuel’s method, whereas the guidance on implementing life-cycle emissions, it does include limited guidance quality criteria for either the Scope 2 location- to account for biogenic fuels from emissions and market-based emissions or the offset savings.18 In inputting to the development of the baseline scenarios can be used as reference to SAFc concept, the World Resources Institute’s ensure quality criteria underpin the SAFc itself. GHGP authors indicated that it is acceptable to Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 24
Emissions estimation approach GHGP’s Technical Guidance for Calculating Scope 2. The distance-based method, which 3 Emissions provides guidance on how to calculate involves determining the mass, distance indirect emissions from air travel by category, as and mode of each shipment, then well as guidance regarding acceptable source data. applying the appropriate mass-distance The calculation methods are:19 emissions factor for the vehicle used 1. The fuel-based method, which involves 3. The spend-based method, which involves determining the amount of fuel consumed (i.e. determining the amount of money spent on Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions of transport each mode of business travel transport and providers) and applying the appropriate applying secondary emissions factors. emissions factor for that fuel FIGURE 9 GHGP’s formula for calculating Scope 3 emissions from business air travel Current considerations Most accurate Emissions factor per fuel type – Data availability from Mass of fuel consumption Absolute Scope supplier(s) Depending on the type of fuel: allocated to organization 3 emissions in – Careful accounting by its aviation supplier(s) (l) 1. Jet kerosene kgCO2 /kg fuel kg/tonne of CO2 required to avoid double Fuel-based claiming across Scopes 2. LCA SAF kgCO2 /kg fuel method 1 and 3 Emissions factor per travel type SUM per travel type (typically Either: short, medium and long haul + 1. Primary carrier specified vehicle specific Absolute Scope economy, premium economy, emissions factor (kgCO2e/vehicle-km or 3 emissions in business and first) of distance passenger-km) kg/tonne of CO2 Distance-based – Inaccurate Scope 3 travelled (per employee) method 2. Secondary emissions factor (e.g. ICAO) emissions data as a (kgCO2e/vehicle-km or passenger-km) result of actual fuel consumption not being considered – Careful accounting required to avoid double claiming across Emissions factor (kgCO2e/litre) Fuel Scopes 1 and 3 Depending on the type of fuel: Absolute Scope consumed 3 emissions in (litres) 1. Jet kerosene kgCO2/kg fuel kg/tonne of CO2 Spend-based method 2. LCA SAF kgCO2/kg fuel In addition to the calculation formula, the GHGP fuel-based method to provide primary emissions distinguishes between two types of data: data, which includes SAF usage, so that firms and individuals can use the emissions data to address – Primary data from specific activities within a the balance of the impact and avoid over or company’s value chain underpaying for SAF. – Secondary data not from specific activities Reporting emissions reductions in the within a company’s value chain context of baseline emissions Primary data could include utility bills and fuel GHG reductions must be quantified relative to invoices paid by a company. Secondary data could a baseline. In corporate GHG inventories, the include information provided by an aircraft operator reduction is typically quantified relative to the base regarding trip distances and fuel burn data. The year. However, it is also possible to quantify GHG GHGP states that “in general companies should reductions relative to a baseline scenario for the collect high-quality primary data”. Aircraft operators’ same period, known as project accounting. The ability to provide fuel consumption data to their GHG Protocol defines emissions reduction as either customers will vary. Secondary data using distance a reduction in GHG emissions or an increase in the or travel spend does not include aircraft operator removal or storage of GHGs from the atmosphere, efficiency information or SAF usage. Therefore, relative to baseline emissions. In this case, the CST proposes that aircraft operators employ the baseline scenario emissions are the emissions Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand 25
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