POV Q3 Point of View Downtown and Beltline Office Market Report - Cresa
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Market OVERVIEW Downtown Market Parkland Fuel Corporation Calgary’s summer of 2018 was three things – hot, hazy, and BMO Financial Group short-lived. No, we are not talking about the weather, we are Sinopec Canada Energy Ltd. talking about the market for commercial real estate. We saw an uptick in absorption, increased uncertainty about the future of Trinidad Drilling Ltd. the market, and an increase in leasing activity that may be Pembina Pipeline Corporation short-lived. CES Energy Solutions Corporation While the city itself may have seemed sleepy through summer Serafina Energy Ltd. holidays, we just experienced one of the strongest quarters for office leasing since 2012. On the surface, 204,968 sf of positive Packers Plus Energy Services absorption – or approximately a 0.4% vacancy decrease – may MLT Aikins LLP not seem like much in the way of activity. However, there is far more to the leasing picture than what we can see on the surface. Telus One of the biggest impacts to vacancy figures in Q3 was the Aviva Canada anticipation of 320,000 sf of sublease space from Cenovus in the What do these transactions say about the market? At first glance, new Brookfield Place Calgary - East Tower coming to market. it appears that the market is picking up. Oil prices seem to have Though we cautiously anticipated that this sublease vacancy stabilized, despite continuing differentials for Canadian petroleum could flood the market and impair absorption coming into the products, and we are seeing early signs of economic diversification fall – which was endorsed by historical trends showing Q3 as as firms from outside of the energy sector are moving to Calgary the slowest quarter for leasing (see: Cresa’s Q1 Point of View) or are entering into real estate transactions to facilitate growth. – our worry was fortuitously misplaced. While Cenovus’s space On the other hand, we are not seeing significant quantities of provided a bump in inventory, it was offset by a material quantity investment dollars entering Alberta from outside of the province, of leasing. Excluding the sublease space anticipated in Brookfield and the growth that we are experiencing looks to be primarily Place Calgary, which has existed as ghost space for some time, organic in nature. Without access to capital from both local and approximately 525,000 square feet of space was leased over foreign players, it should be difficult to fill any significant quantity the summer. of space in downtown Calgary. The city needs major projects with Large, contiguous blocks of AA and A class space were leased real job creation in order to move the vacancy rate downwards at by companies from the energy and financial services sectors a material pace. That does not mean that we will not continue to in the third quarter. Some of these groups moved into the core see improvement, though. from suburban Calgary, lowering downtown vacancy while pulling These transactions also speak directly to the characteristics of tenancy away from other markets; others expanded their existing available commercial real estate in Calgary. Of the aforementioned footprint in the downtown core. Large transactions included: transactions, there was a fairly even split of sublease and
Market OVERVIEW headlease transactions. There are two easy explanations for the its greatest victim. Vacancy in the B class now stands at 39.32%. headlease-to-sublease ratio. The first is the availability – or lack Smaller tenants are exceedingly common in B class buildings, and there of – of “ready-to-go” sublease spaces; as the market has it is difficult for B class landlords to lease-up large chunks of space matured through the present downturn, the sublease spaces with the same frequency that AA and A class landlords are able to. that were completely move-in ready, with reception, appropriate C Class – The “discount class” still has an important niche in this meeting rooms, and other core features have garnered the most economy, providing ultra-low-cost options to tenants who are demand. The remaining spaces, which were typically “working looking for them. C class vacancy is slightly better than the market floors”, lacked the amenities that a single floor tenant requires. average, at 23.84%, and witnessed positive absorption in the The second explanation is the age of improvements within many third quarter to the tune of 20,843 sf, or approximately a raw 3%. of the remaining sublease spaces. Between the early 2000s and 2008, when commodity prices boomed, new office space was constructed throughout downtown Calgary. Space of that vintage Beltline and Fringe Markets is approaching an age of 10 to 15-years-old, and is outdated with Vacancy in the Beltline continued to trend higher in the third respect to the office designs of today. Now, as tenants search quarter, with the vacancy rate reaching 24.00% after last quarter’s for spaces that do not require their own investment on the front- rate of 22.63%. The migration of tenants from suburban Calgary – end of a real estate transaction, landlords are stepping up with and the Beltline – into downtown continues to drag on occupancy turn-key opportunities and major tenant inducement packages to figures. Fortunately for Beltline landlords, we did witness larger attract tenants. tenants from south and north suburban areas move into the Regardless, between tangible leasing and reduced market “slack”, Beltline in the third quarter. The Beltline continues to function as we saw a strong quarter for downtown leasing, particularly in the a central alternative for companies looking to stay out of the core, AA and A classes. Let us look at each market class separately: as it boasts greater access to parking and reduced commute times. Tenants in the Beltline can look for similar rates to those AA Class – The AA class continues to carry the lowest vacancy, found in downtown Calgary, in addition to competitive inducement currently sitting at 17.01%. The majority of AA class vacancy packages. remains as sublease vacancy, representing two thirds of the available space. Despite the addition of anticipated sublease Downtown’s other fringe areas are seeing more competition over space, large tenant transactions, and continued merger & space and rates. In Mission, Kensington, and Inglewood/Ramsay, acquisition activity, total AA class vacancy stayed flat, in part due vacancies between 5,000 and 10,000 square feet are few and far to our reclassification of Millennium Tower from AA class to A class. between. At the time of writing this report, each of those three markets only had two vacancies in the aforementioned size A Class – The A class segment saw the most leasing in Q3. While band. Smaller tenants have more optionality in the fringe markets it benefited from the Millennium Tower reclassification, some of – particularly those under 3,000 sf – but there are still very real the largest transactions of the quarter also occurred in the A class, limitations. Please refer to Table One for the current vacancy rates headlined by Parkland Fuel in BP Centre. for the fringe markets. B Class – The B class continues to bleed vacancy, as it has done since 2012. The “flight to quality” is very real, and the B class is
Market FORECAST Much like the weather, blanketing the city with smoke for most of B. Residual personnel adjustments with respect to large the third quarter, Calgary’s market for commercial real estate failed corporate transactions from the first three quarters of 2018, to provide us with any real clarity in the summer of 2018. Now, primarily pertaining to employment overlaps progressing through a cool “fall”, we are hoping that icy conditions C. The first investments from the Opportunity Calgary Investment do not mimic our opportunities for absorption in the downtown Fund (OCIF), which should help local employers add new core. bodies to their teams As described in our market report, the third quarter was, D. Optimism over the confirmation of Shell’s LNG project in comparatively spending to recent years, a big quarter for Northern British Columbia, which has the potential to be a absorption. Keeping that in mind, consider the following: boon for Calgary employment Calgary’s unemployment rate climbed to 8.2% in August, International and national macro-economic forces will add up from 7.9% in July, and stands as the second highest further complexity to the economic picture in Calgary. Several municipal rate in the country economists cheered the resolution of the new USMCA trade The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting real GDP agreement, although its impacts remain to be seen. Tariffs on growth in Alberta at 2.2% in 2019, down from 2.6% in steel and aluminum are still in tact between the United States and 2018 Canada, and continue to be a point of contention between the Vacancy is still at 24.5%, despite the relatively active two countries. The Western Canadian discounts for both oil and quarter Calgary just experienced gas are near all-time highs, and we still do not have the answers we need on the TransMountain pipeline to have confidence that Take in the above. Now, not to dampen the mood, but we need we can solve our energy transportation issues. We are treading in tempered optimism. Yes, material leasing of commercial real uncertain times and repercussions of federal decisions remain to estate happened in the third quarter. Yes, the vacancy rate moved be seen with respect to Alberta’s and Calgary’s economies. in a positive direction for the first time in a long time. No, Cresa does not anticipate sustained quarters like the last one. Going forward, we are hesitant to predict a material decline in downtown vacancy over the course of the next six-to-twelve So, what can Calgary expect into the end of 2018 and the start of months. Expect modest fluctuations to the vacancy rate and 2019? While the future is difficult to predict, we have a few good a moderately flat leasing environment, strongly maintaining clues with respect to what to look for in the following months. Calgary’s standing as a “tenant’s market”. The cold weather may A. Further consolidation in the energy sector, leading to staffing have arrived early, but we expect market conditions to mirror a redundancies typical Calgary winter – cool, cloudy, and the beneficiary of the odd chinook breeze. The pending acquisition of Trinidad Drilling by Precision Drilling The proposed acquisition of MEG Energy by Husky Energy Graph ONE 500,000 30.00% 450,000 FORECASTED VACANCY 400,000 Telus Sky 25.00% 350,000 20.00% Tenant Market 300,000 250,000 15.00% 200,000 10.00% 150,000 New Inventory (sf) 100,000 5.00% Vacancy (%) 50,000 0 0.00% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 New Inventory Historical Vacancy (%) Forecasted Vacancy (%)
Table ONE Click here to view vacancy details Q3 2018 VACANCY SUMMARY BUILDING CLASS TOTAL INVENTORY HEADLEASE SUBLEASE TOTAL (sf) (sf) (%) (sf) (%) (sf) (%) Downtown AA 15,960,873 929,960 5.83% 1,785,525 11.19% 2,715,485 17.01% A 17,451,204 3,151,232 18.06% 1,217,396 6.98% 4,368,628 25.03% AA/A 33,412,077 4,081,192 12.21% 3,002,921 8.99% 7,084,113 21.20% B 7,539,393 2,786,722 36.96% 194,401 2.58% 2,981,123 39.54% C 2,584,781 516,117 19.97% 100,115 3.87% 616,232 23.84% Total Downtown 43,536,251 7,384,031 16.96% 3,297,437 7.57% 10,681,468 24.53% Beltline and Fringe Area Beltline 6,785,144 1,074,910 15.84% 553,232 8.15% 1,628,142 24.00% Kensington 604,702 58,171 9.62% 0 0.00% 58,171 9.62% Inglewood 461,985 23,776 5.15% 9,427 2.04% 33,203 7.19% Mission 937,532 148,034 15.79% 6,509 0.69% 154,543 16.48% Total Beltline & Fringe Area 8,789,363 1,304,891 14.85% 569,168 6.48% 1,874,059 21.32% Graph TWO Graph THREE SUBLEASE VACANCY INDEX Sublease Vacancy Index COMPARATIVE Comparative VACANCY Vacancy Rate Q3 2014 - Q3 2018 45.00% 80.00% 40.00% 70.00% AA = 65.75 35.00% 60.00% 30.00% 50.00% 25.00% 40.00% 20.00% A = 27.87% 30.00% 15.00% 20.00% 10.00% C = 16.25% Vacancy % Vacancy Rate 10.00% 5.00% B = 6.56% 0.00% 0.00% Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Class AA Class A Class B Class C Class AA Class A Class B Class C Table TWO LARGE BLOCKS OF AVAILABLE CONTIGUOUS SPACE, DOWNTOWN CALGARY Buildings Type Area (sf) Building Type Area (sf) The Bow Sublease 321,077 F1RST TOWER Headlease 177,352 Brookfield Place - East Upcoming Sublease 320,869 Stephen Avenue Place Headlease 134,111 Telus Sky Upcoming Headlease 286,172 Hanover Place Headlease 126,211 Brookfield Place - East Headlease 265,000 Lavalin Centre Headlease 119,366 707 Fifth Headlease 261,056 The Edison Headlease 118,826 Penn West Plaza - East Sublease 196,539 The Bow Sublease 116,165 Gulf Canada Square Sublease 193,604
Prince’s Island Centre Street Bridge Condo Estates Me Rest. mo rial Driv e New DEVELOPMENTS Condo Condo Princeton l & II Eau The Waterfront Future Claire P Bow DOWNTOWN Development Condo Y.M.C.A. Rest. 7 Riv Site Condo Condo Eau er Claire Rest. Market Eau Claire Avenue S.W. Riverfront Avenue Sheraton Suites Future Calgary Chinatown Development Condo Seniors Centre Millennium Fav Claire Joe Phillips The P Rest. P Building Apt Site Bow Claire Apt Indian Tower P TELUS Sky 1 Friendship Bowside Broadview P P Condo P Centre Manor Centre Hong Kong Plaza Chinese Landlord: Telus, Westbank Daqing Avenue 2 Avenue S.E. Cultural Rive & Allied REIT rfron LaCaille Rest. Park Centre t Av enue Office Floors: 26 Eau Claire Manor Livingston P NG Office Area: 430,000 sf Place Centennial Place Waikwan Tower Barclay Mall Shaw Eau Claire Centennial Place East Future Calgary West Manor China Town Ave. Floor Plate: 16,500 sf Place West Development Court Tower Devon Site City Five Harvest Apt. Apt. Apt. Est. Completion: 2019 P Tower Centre Livingston Place Plaza Percentage Leased: 36% Prince’s Crossing South P P Anchor Tenants: Telus Rest. ExecSuite 3 Avenue S.E. The Riverfront Gov’t Harry 4P Churchill North of Hays Pavillion 615 Eau Claire Place P P Canada Bldg. Estates 3rd Ave. P City Opulence International I II Westin Brookfield Place Calgary - West 2 nt Shell Plaza Centre Hotel Centre Hotel BP Future P Regency Jamieson Sun Life Plaza Riverfront Altius Place Development Landlord: Brookfield Properties Centre Pacific Summit Centre First Pointe Asia McFarlane Retail Optima P Tower Bldg Bldg Site Dragon City Street P Floors: 41 Place Plaza West East Building Area: 1,000,000 sf 4 Avenue S.E. Ave. Floor Plate: 27,500 sf Est. Completion: n/a Phillips 3 Street S.E. Macleod Trail 1 Street Bldg 555 London Fourth & Northland Calgary Metropolitan Canada Fifth Ave. Fifth Ave. Delta Anchor Tenants: n/a McDougall P S.W. S.W. 4th S.W. House Place Place II Place Place Place TransCanada Hotel Centre Street Fourth 5 Street S.W. 7 Street S.W. Ave. Centre P Centre Centre West East PipeLines James Short F1RST P P Tower Baker S.W. Tower Parkade Fire Ubridge S.E. 3 Street 4 Street 2 Street Chevron Calgary Hall House 5th Ave. 640 5th Hawthorn Hotel Aquitaine 520 Roslyn Stock College P #1 444 622 5th 5th Ave. Plaza Building Place I & Suites Bldg 6 Street S.W. Ave. Ave. Exchange Tower 1 Street Oxford Tower 441 Prospect 5 Avenue S.E. Northwest 3 Chateau 639 5th Five Future 5 Ave. 505 333 Petroleum East Tower Travellers Landlord: Oxford Properties P 715 - 5th Ave. Apt. Fifth & Fifth Ten P Oxford Tower 3rd Place III II Bldg. Ave. Fifth Development 5th Ave. Club Suncor The Bow Calgary Bow Floors: 47 Knox Bow Valley Square Site United Energy Board of Worker’s Valley Building Area: 1,200,000 sf Centre 736 - Pacific Bantrel Calgary Church 404 - Centrium Education Compensation College Ave. Floor Plate: 26,000 sf 634 West Tower 6th Parkade P Tower Bradie House P 6th Ave. Place P IV I Budget Board Est. Completion: n/a 6th P Oddfellows Ave. Bldg Petex Bldg Building Anchor Tenants: n/a Britannia Alpine Ford 2 6 Avenue S.E. Carber 606 Bow Parkade Lougheed Block Rocky Court Future Terrace Bldg Bldg Tower Fourth West East Brookfield Telephone Hanover P Police Place Prov. Centre P Dev P Mountain 1 Place 6 Intact Place Remand Mall Gardens Harley Building Site Calgary P Place - East Court (Apt.) Hotchkiss Courts Historic Court Gardens Rocky Palliser West and East 4 Public Library Barclay Centre First Future City Life Sierra John J. of Appeal Telus Telus Anglican 444 TELUS Mountain Plaze P Place Bowlen Canadian Development P Bldg Bldg Sky P Cathedral Police P Bldg Seventh Plaza Centre Site Bow Parkade H.Q. Landlord: Aspen Properties LRT LRT LRT LRT LRT LRT LRT 5 Floors: Building Area: 29 each 620,000 sf each Central Iveagh Encor TD Canada Dome Devonian Stephen United Ave. Floor Plate: 23,500 sf House City Trust Guinness Elveden House 707 Fifth TV Tower Tower Gardens Avenue Church P Hyatt Hotel Telus Convention Est. Completion: n/a House Place Watermark Holt Place The Centre Olympic Anchor Tenants: n/a Tower Renfrew Bay North Western Plaza City Home Lancaster Bank of Winner Hudson Dominion Ramada Union Strategic Barron The Core The Core Hall Petrofina P Hotel Bldg. Centre Building P Shopping Shopping Tower Bldg. Montreal Dept. Retail Block Bank Bldg. Hist Bldg Store Bldg. Stephen Avenue Mall 8 Avenue S.E. Municipal Hollingsworth Alberta 6 North Plains Eighth Shaw HSBC Bldg. First Canadian Centre - East First 635 Calfrac Royal Building National Retail Hotel Telus Convention Burns Western Midstream Plaza Avenue Bldg. Bldg. Retail Retail Calgary Arts 8th Ave. Bank Bank Building Marriott Centre Bldg. Alberta Place Canadian Place Public Commons Bldg Hotel South Building Landlord: GWL Realty Place West Eighth Avenue Bankers Hall Grain Edward’s Advisors Bankers Glenbow City of Calgary Centennial P Place P West East Court P Exchange The Edison Le Germain P Place P Floors: 27 Parkade Museum Electric Sub- South East Building Area: 698,000 sf station # 1 Ave. Floor Plate: 27,400 sf 4 5 9 Avenue S.E . Tech P Est. Completion: Anchor Tenants: n/a n/a Calgary Place 303 - Palliser Future Future Palliser P P P Gulf Canada Square Penn West Plaza Hotel Dev. Tower Dev. One 9th Ave West East Site Site Tower Centre C.P.R. Place 10 Place 10 City Centre Parkade Mount Palliser 7 Eau Claire Market Redevelopment Canada Retail South Sprint West Royal Retail P Alberta Boot Co. East P P P P House P P Landlord: Harvard Developments 10 Avenue S.E. Floors: 40 Building Area: 555,000 sf Condo Hudson Kipling Kipling Macleod Trail 3 Street S.E. Annex 1 Street S.E. Demcor Bottle Apt. Alberta 707 Depot Square Centre 10 Rest. & Butcher Block Retail P P MacCosham Bromley Square Carbon MEG Future The P Self Ave. Floor Plate: 13,800 sf P 10th Ave P Block Trade 5 Street S.W. Copy Place Brownstone 4 Street S.W. 6 Street S.W. P Dev. Site Storage Est. Completion: n/a 7 Street S.W. k 1 Street S.W. Office 2 Street S.W. Centre Street Centre P Anchor Tenants: n/a Joffre Sunrise Lewis Paramount 1015 Genco 11th Retail Clennan Mustard Mustard 134 - 11th Place Square 5/5 The The Lofts Building Braemar Louis Ribtor I Ribtor II P Retail 4th St. Place P Vintage II Vintage I Avenue Square Seed Seed P Ave. S.E. Bldg. Blk. The Paserium Place 11 Avenue S.E. Fairmore Sport Roberts P Future Office P 525 P p Bldg. Swap Atrium on 11th Block Retail 11th Ave. Development Site P 333 -11th 301 - 11th Ave IBM B Al ta Future Anticipated Completion IBM s Development an dg P Bldg. Tr Bl Keynote Barnhart Foundation Lorraine Parkside Citadel Sam 1122 4th Can-am Manhattan Site Future 2019 Pending Block Lacey Xenex P Bldg Place West Castello Livingston St. S.W. Court Bldg. Masonic P IBM Lofts Development P Condos Bldg. Temple C Office Site
Chinese 2 Avenue S.W. Daqing Avenue 2 Avenue S.E. Cultural Rive LaCaille rfron Centre t Av Rest. Park Eau Claire Manor Livingston P en ue Eau Claire NG The Point Place Centennial Place Waikwan Future Tower Barclay Mall on the Bow Lookout Shaw Centennial Eau Claire Place East Development Calgary West Manor China Town Place West r New DEVELOPMENTS Tower e Court City e Site ov Devon Apt. Apt. Apt. Bridg Centre Five Harvest Livingston Place ly Liberte P Tower Plaza eF P Eau Claire Prince’s Crossing South P P Rest. nu gevin ExecSuite ve 4A 3 Avenue S.W. 3 Avenue S.E. The Riverfront La n BELTLINE Gov’t Harry Condo Sonoma Churchill North of Hays Eau Eau Claire Place P Old Livingston Pavillion 615 ge Place P Canada Bldg. House P Claire Estates 3rd Ave. P P City Opulence International I II Westin Brid Retirement Shell Plaza Centre Hotel Centre Hotel BP Future P Jamieson Sun Life Plaza Riverfront in P Regency ev Development Pacific Centre Columbia United Summit Altius Place Centre First Pointe Bookers Asia McFarlane Retail ng Apts Neff Apts Place P Bldg Bldg Centre Site Dragon City Street P La 744- Tower Plaza West East 4th Ave. 4 Avenue S.W. 4 Avenue S.E. Phillips 3 Street S.E. Canadian Macleod Trail 1 Street 555 Calgary Canada Delta Cecil Calgary Drop Electric Prince’s Island Bldg London Northland Metropolitan Fifth Avenue Fifth Ave. P Centre P Fourth & S.W. Place II Hotel S.W. 4th S.W. Substation Place House Place Place Place Place Hotel in Centre Centre Street 8 Street S.W. 5 Street S.W. Fourth TransCanada 7 Street S.W. Ave. Centre P West East F1RST 1 James Short P P PipeLines Tower Baker Place 10 - East S.W. 5 West Apt. McDougall Tower Parkade Fire S.E. 3 Street 4 Street Centre 2 Street Place Chevron Calgary Hall House Landlord: Centron 5th Ave. Aquitaine 520 Roslyn 444 West East The Heritage 808 622 Hawthorn Hotel Ubridge 926 Place 640 5th 5th Ave. & Suites 5th Ave. Plaza Building Place I Stock P College #1 5th Ave. Bldg Developments 6 Street S.W. Sundance Ave. Exchange Tower 1 Street P 5 Avenue S.W. 5 Avenue S.E. Floors: 14 Northwest Building Area: 316,500 sf Simmons Bldg 441 Prospect Rimbey House P Lavalin Atrium P Diversified P Chateau Apt. 639 5th Five Ten 5 Ave. 505 3rd 333 Petroleum Place III II East Tower Travellers Ave. Floor Plate: 24,850 sf Centre Staffing Ave. Fifth & Fifth P Bldg. 5 Ave Future Est. Completion: 2017 I 715 - 5th Ave. Oxford Tower 5th Ave. Club Suncor The Bow Fifth Calgary Bow P nue S Development Site Knox Bow Valley Square Energy .E. United Centre Board of Education Worker’s Compensation Valley Anchor Tenants: Development n/a Place 736 - 634 Calgary Church 404 - College Site Police Alberta Locker Edinburgh Atrium Place Pacific Bantrel Centrium West Tower P 6th P P Service 9-6 Place Parkade Tower 6th Bradie House 6th Ave. Place P IV I Budget Board Association II 800 Ave. Bldg P Petex Building Oddfellows Building Site 6 Avenue S.W. 6 Avenue S.E. 6 Avenue S.E. Britannia Alpine Ford Lougheed Block Carber Calgary Police Future 606 West East Rocky Court 2 Calgary Apt. P AMEC Dev Terrace Bldg Bldg Tower Court Fourth P Bow Parkade Brookfield Telephone Hanover P Police Place Mountain Prov. Centre P Police Place 10 - West Service P P 4 Street S.E. Place Apartments Intact Place Place Remand Mall 5 Street S.E. Gardens of Appeal Place - East Building Parking Place Site Calgary Harley P Court (Apt.) Landlord: Centron Courts Hotchkiss Structur Historic Court Rocky Developments Public Gardens Library Nexen Assoc. Barclay Centre Centre Dominion Pentland Life Sierra of Appeal First Future Telus Telus Anglican City P BJ’s Northland Sandman 840 John J. TELUS Rick’s Firefighters Place Place Hotel 7th Ave. Atrium Plaza P Place Bowlen 444 Seventh Canadian Development P Bldg Bldg Sky P Cathedral Mountain Police P Floors: Auction P 14Calgary Hostel Gym Apts. Bldg Plaza P Centre Site Bow Parkade H.Q. LRT Building Area: 300,000 sf LRT LRT LRT LRT LRT LRT LRT LRT Ave. FloorLRT Plate: 23,3507 Avenue sf S.E. O’Neil Garden Iveagh TD Canada Central Est. Completion: n/a Tower Tower Nexen Guinness Elveden House House Encor 707 Fifth City Trust Dome Devonian Stephen United P Anchor Tenants: n/a Hyatt Hotel Apts. TV Tower Tower Gardens Avenue Church P Telus Convention 9 Street S.W. Apts. Tower House Place Century Watermark Holt Place The Centre Olympic Gardens Tower Renfrew Bay North Western Strategic Plaza City Eagle Bldg The Core Bank of Winner St. Louis The Core Home Lancaster Dominion University of Calgary Ramada Union Centre Barron Hudson Hall P Calgary P Petrofina P Bldg. P Shopping Shopping Tower Bldg. Montreal Dept. Bank East Village Downtown Campus Building Retail Block Bldg. Hotel HIst Bldg Store Bldg. P Place 8 Avenue S.W. Stephen Avenue Mall 8 Avenue S.E. Phase 8IIAvenue S.E. 3 Stampede Station, Municipal Future Hollingsworth Gas P Mixed Use Eight West Century Century Panarctic The First North 635 Plains Shaw Calfrac HSBC Bldg. Royal Building National Retail Alberta Hotel Retail Burns Bldg. Landlord:Hillier Artis REIT Orange Park Place Taylor Eighth Bldg. . Retail Telus Convention Calgary Epcor P Lofts Development Garden Plaza Building Alberta Place Western 8th Ave. Midstream Plaza Avenue Bank CIBC Bank Building Marriott Hotel Centre Public Center for Bldg. Floors: 19 Canadian Place Place West Eighth Bldg Tower South Building Building Area: 315,400 sf Murdoch Manor Continental APS Centennial Avenue Place BankersHall Bankers Grain Exchange Glenbow the Performing P Edward’s P Ave. Centre Floor Plate: King 22,600 sf P City of Calgary P P West East P The Edison Le Germain Place Apt. Bldg. Electric Sub- South Parkade East Court Museum Arts Est. ofCompletion: Hope Edward Hotel n/a Commisionaires 9 Avenue S.W. station # 1 9 Avenue S.E. Anchor Tenants: n/a 9 Avenue S.E. P 6 P P P Gulf Canada Square West Penn West Plaza East Palliser Future Dev. Calgary Tower Future Dev. Palliser One Teck Place P 303 - 9th Ave P Future Development Site 2 Hotel C.P.R. 1 Site Tower Centre Site C.P.R. Keynote 4 P P Mountain City Centre Parkade Mount 4 Canada Retail Place 10 Place 10 Palliser Future Landlord: Triovest Realty Sprint 999 Equipment Royal Development 8th St. Coop P Retail P Alberta Boot Co. West East P P P P South Site House P P Floors: 18 10 Avenue S.W. 10 Avenue S.E. Building Area: 340,000 sf Future Development Site Ave. Floor Plate: 20,900 sf Condo Tenth Kipling Retail/ Annex Hudson Kipling Macleod Trail 3 Street S.E. 1 Street S.E. P Demcor Apt. Astoria Mark on Rest. Avenue The P 707 10th Ave P Bottle Depot Square Centre 10 Butcher Block Rest. & P P MacCosham Block Bromley Square Carbon MEG Future The P Alberta Trade Self 409 10th Ave. Est. Completion: n/a 5 Street S.W. Retail Copy Place Brownstone 4 Street S.W. 6 Street S.W. Tenth House P Dev. Sit Storage Anchor Tenants: n/a 7 Street S.W. Cooperblok 1 Street S.W. 8 Street S.W. 9 Street S.W. Office 2 Street S.W. Centre Street Centre Sunrise P 902 Joffre Lewis 11th Avenue Paramount Mustard Retail Corner Square 1015 Genco The Building Retail Clennan Mustard 134 - 11th Louis Pilkington Abugov The P 11 Ave. Block P Glenbow P Retail Place 5/5 4th St. Place P The Lofts Place Square Seed Seed P Ave. S.E. Braemar Ribtor I Ribtor II P Kaspar Biscuit Building Retail Vintage I Building 5 Vintage II Bldg. Blk. Coyotes The Paserium Block 11 Avenue S.W. 11 Avenue S.E. 11 Avenue S.E. P 4 Fairmore Sport Future P Atco P Roberts 525 P Future Office Sandstone P Olympic Way S.E. Atco Retail Swap Atrium on Retail IBM 1108 - 4th Street SW 5 Centre I Bldg. Block 11th Ave. Dev. Site P 333 - 11th 301 - Development School Grandel Centre II Bike Shop 11th B ta Future Bldg Retail 11th Ave Al Arriva P IBM s an dg Development P Site Landlord: Genco Safeway A Tr Bl Keynote Future Dev. Site Dominion Barnhart Lorraine Block Parkside Citadel Sam 1122 4th Lacey Can-am Manhattan Site Future Future Development Place Xenex P Foundation Place West Castello Livingston St. SW Court Bldg. Masonic P IBM Lofts Development P Development Future Floors: 13 Condos Bldg Bldg. C Office Dev. Site Temple Site Site Building Area: 186,600 sf 12 Avenue S.W. 12 Avenue S.E. 12 Avenue S.E. Ave. Floor Plate: 15,400 sf Petrowest Sutton Place Renoir Stonehaven Marlhurst Exud P 1201-5 St Memorial Park The Rest Retail Centre Retail Est. Completion: n/a Apt. Apt. Twelve P Plaza Plac Came S.W. Seville Beltline Hotel P Suites Condo Library P Anchor Tenants: n/a 5 Street S.E. Apt. Helene Pool Esso Future Calgary Central Arts P Sheldon Memorial Future Gas Development Calgary Exhibition Calgary Exhibition Calgary Exhibition Board of Chumir Development Station Cambridge Health Centre Park & Stampede Grounds & Stampede Grounds & Stampede Grounds Site Ranchman’s Future Dev. The Adair Retail Education Hull Apt. Site Victoria The Estate Future Club Gate Block P Apt. Estates Apt. Apt. P Radio Prestige Apt. Colonel Park Development Square Apt. Condo Belcher Estates Site Rivera 13 Avenue S.W. Horizo Aldrin Van St. Elizabeth Canadian Apt. Centra Wexford Place P Prada Apt. Colours Apt. 13 Avenue S.E. Bernard 3 6 999, Phase II Landlord: 13 Avenue S.E . Triovest Realty Congress P Park 300 Apt. Barclay Square Stratto Lougheed Park Callebaut Exeter Square Apt. Apt. House Helden P Church Blood Moxam Birkenshaw Apt Towers Apt. Place P P Oak Apt. House Floors: 13 Calgary Exhibition P No Bldg. Services Church Stampede Retai Future Retail Calgary Exhibition Calgary Exhibition Square Union Station Sherman White-Wain- Yellowstone Paris Development Site Retail Condo Retai Nuera Building & Stampede Grounds Area: 224,000 sf Grounds & Stampede & Stampede Grounds rendering Ave. Floor Plate: Landing Wesley Pallisades Apt. Apt. Dorchester Square Office Best Western Hotel Condos United Oaks Apt. Apt. Chelesa Beulieu Gardens P Apt. Hill Apt. Rosewood Estate Apt. P Apt. Scenic Park & Polo Terrace Condo Apt. 16,800 sf Findlay Tower Church Apt. Place Playground Balmoral Est. Completion: n/a The 14 Avenue S.W. Manor 14 Avenue S.E. available Anchor Tenants: n/a 14 Avenue S.E. Trump Lincoln St. Moritz Gardens Haultain Haworth Estates Darlington Mount Ashwood Full Colonial Apt. Apt. House Apt. Condo Evergreen Apt. Cypriana Office Avenue Apt. Granada P Sasso o P Church Arms House Centro Towers Beltline Tower Apt. Apt. Richmond P nd M-tech Apt. Gospel Royal Apt. P The Towers P Commissary Retail Apt. Sony Estates Office The Co Diplomat Apt. Apt. Coronation Apt. Condo Church Place P P P Place Hath Away Future Grandville Calgary Exhibition Madison Place Apts Development Stampede Westbury House Roundup The Laurekka & Stampede Grounds Chocolate Centennial Apt. Dunhill Kingston Alberta Manor Court Carlyle Ashbury Site Condos Emerald Stone Kildare House Apt. Apt. Apt. Apt. Condo Apt. Retail The MacKenzie Condo Alex Vetro Centre Apt. Gas Apt. Apt. Estates Apt. Towers Apt. Apt. Condos Walker Retail Condo Apt. Church Condo Retail Apt. Hargrave House 15 Avenue S.E. LRT 15 Avenue S.W. Saddledome RS Parking Panorama Rose & Randel House Executive Office Apt. Alpha Chateau Sonesta Apt. P E. Grace Apt. The Pillars Condo P P Apt. P Apt. The Montana Trail S.E. The Residences of Court Apt. House Crown House e Trail S. Manor Savoy Apt. Falls The Manor Centre Condo 1520 4th St. Mount Royal Future Condo Conservatory 15 Dev. Queenswood Condo P Iona Superior Paint Office Car P Apt. Funeral Building Rest. Scotiabank Retail Rental P Agricultur Office / Home Park Blockbuster Retail National Church Saddledome Mt. Royal Retail The Courtyard P Apt. Mt. Royal Office/Retail Apt.Apt. Block Retail 17 Avenue S.E. P Village Centre Apt. Apt. Retail Apt. Aurora P Stampede Bldg Calgary P College Retail Office Lane 16 Avenue S.W. Retail Retail Economy Stamp Corral Retail Anticipated Completion Office Retail Glass Centre of Devenish Bldg. Thomkins Park Main Vet Retail P La Chaumiere Positive Elbow River Casino Retail Funeral Rouleauville Retail Shell Opus Street Apt. Home Notre Dame Living Station Place Square 17 Avenue S.W. Calmar Retail Shoppers Retail Stratford Towers Pending Corral Trail S.E. High Retail Future Bank Western Canada Apts. Retail Retail Drug Mart Street Dev. of House Montreal High School Fire Hall
Graph FOUR HISTORICAL DOWNTOWN OFFICE ABSORPTION 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Absorption (000's sf) (200) (400) (600) (800) Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Class A/AA 150,619 (386,460) 1,208,884 53,141 (353,265) 397,059 72,310 (167,350) 224,141 Class B (298,043) (172,839) 92,659 (338,892) (11,534) (25,370) (31,381) (147,531) (40,016) Class C 26,658 (18,156) 21,133 (26,730) (52,035) 45,431 21,461 (52,905) 20,843 Quarterly Absorption All Classes (120,766) (577,455) 1,322,676 (312,481) (416,834) 417,120 62,390 (367,786) 204,968 Graph FIVE Average Net Rental Rates, All Classes 2012 - 2018 YTD AVERAGE HEADLEASE NET RENTAL RATES PER SF, ALL CLASSES $50.00 $45.00 $40.00 $35.00 $30.00 $25.00 $20.00 $15.00 $10.00 Net Rate per sf $5.00 $- 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD Class AA Net Rent Class A Net Rent Class B Net Rent Class C Net Rent Graph SIX Average Operating Cost per sf AVERAGE OPERATING COSTS PER SF $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 Cost per sf $0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Class AA $19.21 $21.23 $22.60 $23.58 $23.67 $22.79 $22.86 Class A $17.60 $18.76 $20.25 $21.54 $21.51 $20.77 $20.27 Class B $15.43 $16.22 $18.44 $19.38 $18.96 $17.79 $16.82 Class C $14.60 $14.50 $16.07 $16.74 $16.94 $16.89 $16.46
CONTACT INFORMATION OFFICE ADVISORY TEAM Donna Lea Banks Josh Hamill Gary Jones Willem Thoma 403.571.6018 403.539.0889 403.571.8081 403.539.0894 dbanks@cresa.com jhamill@cresa.com gjones@cresa.com wthoma@cresa.com Nicole Bennett Damon Harmon, CPA, CGA Josh Manerikar Michael Yue 403.258.1872 403.571.8221 403.571.8227 403.571.8083 nbennett@cresa.com dharmon@cresa.com jmanerikar@cresa.com myue@cresa.com Jessica Downie Adam Hayes Kendra Pinder 403.537.2393 403.571.8222 403.571.8085 jdownie@cresa.com ahayes@cresa.com kpinder@cresa.com John Engbloom Dan Houston Adam Stewart 403.571.6016 403.539.0893 403.590.5704 jengbloom@cresa.com dhouston@cresa.com astewart@cresa.com INDUSTRIAL ADVISORY TEAM Greg Albright David Miles Donna Lea Banks 403.571.8223 403.571.8088 403.571.6018 galbright@cresa.com dmiles@cresa.com dbanks@cresa.com PROJECT MANAGEMENT ADVISORY TEAM Janet Hewitt Syeda Ahmad 403.571.6019 403.571.8082 jhewitt@cresa.com sahmad@cresa.com Cresa Cresa is an international corporate real estate advisory firm that exclusively represents tenants and specializes in the delivery of fully integrated real estate services, including: Transaction Management, Project Management, Strategic Services, Corporate Solutions, Site Selection, Lease 606 - 4 Street SW, Suite 1400 Calgary, AB T2P 1T1 Administration, Capital Markets, Mission Critical Solutions, Relocation Management, and Facilities Management. For more information, visit 403.571.8080 www.cresa.com Even though obtained from sources deemed reliable, no warranty or representation, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy of the information herein, and it is subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. All material in this publication is, unless otherwise stated, the property of Cresa Alberta. Copyright and other intellectual property laws protect these materials. Reproduction or retransmission of the materials, in whole or in part, in any manner, without the prior written consent of Cresa Alberta is strictly prohibited.
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