Paulson Papers on Investment - China Drives into America's Auto Parts Industry
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry September 2013
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Preface F or decades, bilateral investment has flowed predominantly from the United States to China. But Chinese investments in the United States have expanded considerably in recent manufacturing—to identify tangible opportunities, examine constraints and obstacles, and ultimately fashion sensible investment models. years, and this proliferation of direct Most of the papers in this Investment investments has, in turn, sparked new series look ahead. For example, our debates about the future of US-China agribusiness papers examine trends in economic relations. the global food system and specific US and Chinese comparative advantages. Unlike bond holdings, which can be They propose prospective investment bought or sold through a quick paper models. transaction, direct investments involve people, plants, and other assets. They But even as we look ahead, we also are a vote of confidence in another aim to look backward, drawing lessons country’s economic system since they from past successes and failures. And take time both to establish and unwind. that is the purpose of the case studies, as distinct from the other papers in this The Paulson Papers on Investment aim series. Some Chinese investments in to look at the underlying economics— the United States have succeeded. They and politics—of these cross-border created or saved jobs, or have proved investments between the United States beneficial in other ways. Other Chinese and China. investments have failed: revenue sank, companies shed jobs, and, in some Many observers debate the economic, cases, businesses closed. In this sense, political, and national security past investments offer a rich set of implications of such investments. But lessons to learn. the debates are, too often, generic or take place at 100,000 feet. Investment Damien Ma, Fellow of The Paulson opportunities are much discussed by Institute, directs the case study project. Americans and Chinese in the abstract but these discussions are not always For this case study of Nexteer anchored in the underlying economics Automotive, we are extremely grateful or a realistic investment case. to Nicholas Aeppel, a talented University of Chicago undergraduate, for his The goal of the Paulson Papers on extraordinary research and enthusiasm Investment is to dive deep into various for the project. sectors, such as agribusiness or China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Case studies are reconstructed on the They aim to reflect a best reconstruction basis of the public record, personal of the case. But they may have gaps and interviews with participants, and other inadequacies where the record is journalistic accounts. incomplete, facts are murky, or players chose not to share their views. Cover Photo Rebecca Cook/Courtesy Reuters China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Timeline 1906 Nexteer Automotive is founded as Jackson, Church & Wilcox, a maker of manual steering systems. 1909 General Motors purchases Jackson, Church & Wilcox, transforming it into its own auto parts supplier. 1928 Based in Saginaw, Michigan, GM’s young auto parts supplier renamed Saginaw Steering Gear Division. 1999 GM spins off Saginaw Steering and other manufacturing arms to form an independent Delphi Automotive Systems. 2005 Delphi Automotive files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. 2006 Delphi Automotive announces that it will sell its constituent steering unit, Delphi Steering, which is the immediate predecessor to Nexteer. 2007 January: US private equity firm Platinum Equity named as lead bidder for Delphi Steering. December: Initial deal announced as Platinum agrees to assume $190 million in liabilities. 2009 March: Deal collapses as Platinum grows increasingly uncomfortable with Delphi Steering in the face of the global financial crisis. June: Platinum proposes to purchase instead Delphi Steering’s parent company, Delphi Automotive, and forms a partnership with Beijing E-Town, a financing and investment arm of the Beijing municipal government. July: The deal for the parent collapses as Delphi Automotive agrees to a separate deal with its creditors, leaving both Platinum and E-Town empty handed. October: GM steps in again to purchase Delphi Steering, breaking it off from the parent and renaming it Nexteer Automotive. China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series 2010 First Quarter: GM announces its decision to sell Nexteer; Platinum and E-Town, working with another Chinese partner, Tempo Group, jump at the chance to bid; Platinum pulls out of deal due to disagreement over asset pricing with its two Chinese partners. Summer: AVIC Automotive, subsidiary of a state-owned aircraft manufacturer, joins the Chinese investor team as Tempo sinks into financial straits. AVIC joins but stays largely in the background. November: E-Town and a newly formed acquisition group, Pacific Century Motors, complete purchase of Nexteer for about $450 million. 2011 March: AVIC Automotive officially enters the deal and buys a controlling stake in Pacific Century, in effect taking ownership of Nexteer. China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Players United States: Delphi Automotive Once a GM unit, it is spun off as an independent auto parts supplier. Delphi Steering A unit of Delphi Automotive that specializes in high-end auto steering technology. General Motors Leading US auto manufacturer. Wants to spin off its non-core assets after the global financial crisis. Nexteer Automotive New name adopted in 2009 for Delphi Steering. It becomes target asset of a Chinese acquisition. Platinum Equity US private equity firm that seeks, first, to acquire Delphi Steering; seeks, second, to acquire its parent, Delphi Automotive; seeks, third, to acquire Nexteer but ultimately drops out of the acquisition team. China: AVIC Automotive Subsidiary of a major state-owned aircraft manufacturer, becomes late-arriving partner in the acquisition. It eventually takes a controlling stake in Nexteer. E-Town A financing and investment arm of the Beijing municipal government. Pacific Century Joint venture, including E-Town, formed to take over Nexteer Automotive after the purchase is approved. Tempo Group Auto parts manufacturer with global ambitions. China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Introduction A s the City of Detroit struggles with bankruptcy, broader questions loom about how to revive the US auto sector. America’s auto industry was once But rather than exploring the question of foreign, including Chinese, capital injection in the abstract, it is useful to examine the case history of just such a deal. central not just to Detroit’s prosperity but to the economy of Michigan and the In 2010, a Chinese consortium sought to US manufacturing base writ large. acquire a technologically advanced auto parts company in Saginaw, Michigan. Some have argued The case is instructive that tapping foreign because it demonstrates capital is part of the that such deals, even solution. And some when they succeed, are even look to China, both extraordinarily the world’s second- complex and fraught largest economy, with with pitfalls that touch its own ambitions the acquisition of US in the automotive technology. sector, to contribute to the region’s Photo: © Saginaw Future, Inc. Reprinted with permission What follows is the story rescue. Beijing sits on of how Chinese entities some $3.4 trillion in foreign exchange acquired Nexteer Automotive. reserves, with about one-third of that invested in US Treasury securities. As Context was critical. As the US auto a matter of official policy, China aims industry emerged from two years to diversify these holdings into assets of crisis in late 2010, China’s Pacific in the United States that yield higher Century Automotive Systems acquired returns, in part by actively supporting Saginaw-based Nexteer Automotive, Chinese companies that seek to buy a leading US high-tech auto parts assets across various market segments. supplier. At the time, global capital was scarce, and a Chinese buyer’s purchase The debates about Detroit’s future are of Nexteer extended to it a lifeline to closely linked to this Chinese story. One expand into what has become a $2.2 of the market segments into which billion global business as of 2011. Chinese firms have sought to diversify is, in fact, the US auto sector. The deal appeared to be a sound match because it offered a strong value proposition to both parties. For Nexteer, China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 1
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series the Chinese capital injection ensured which some Chinese acquisitions in that it could both save jobs in Michigan the United States have foundered. and strengthen its international • How a sophisticated set of advisors footprint, particularly into the expanding who understand both the buyers’ Chinese market for automobile parts. desires and the US market can make The Chinese party, meanwhile, acquired the difference between success and state-of-the-art automotive technology failure for a Chinese investor. at a moment when China’s own auto • How investors avoided past mistakes industry increasingly demanded such by engaging with Chinese regulators technology. while maintaining open lines of communication with the seller. Behind the deal, however, lay complex • How the involvement of a long- dynamics and near failures that almost term strategic partner, rather than derailed it. Among other things, the a temporary shareholder, can Nexteer acquisition demonstrates that boost confidence in an investor’s timing matters greatly: a deal that came commitment to the local economy. to fruition in the post-financial crisis • How two firms with very different environment of 2010 might not have cultures—one Chinese, and one come about just a few years earlier. American—can work through And this question of timing may matter complicated negotiating dynamics now as Detroit, in particular, and US and, ultimately, reach a deal. manufacturing states in general struggle to come to grips with their future. Who is Nexteer? The Nexteer case illustrates: Nexteer was founded in 1906 as Jackson, Church & Wilcox, a company • How the impulse to acquire that produced the “Jacox Gear,” a advanced technology motivates manual steering system that predates Chinese investors yet also creates the electric and hydraulic systems synergies between Chinese commonly used in cars today. General corporate and government goals— Motors’ (GM) Buick unit purchased even when the Chinese investors Jackson, Church & Wilcox in 1909 and, are private and have primarily by 1917, had transformed it into the commercial aims. GM parent’s first parts manufacturing • How a Chinese buyer can work division. effectively with US labor unions and US sellers to keep jobs in the United Based in Saginaw, Michigan, this division States—and grow a target asset’s US was subsequently renamed the Saginaw business in the bargain. Product Company in 1919, and then the • How a Chinese buyer can adroitly Saginaw Steering Gear Division in 1928. navigate the political shoals upon In 1999, GM spun off Saginaw Steering China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 2
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series and some other GM auto parts factories and slash thousands of United manufacturers to form a new firm— Auto Workers (UAW) union jobs. Delphi Automotive Systems.1 But GM As part of its recovery plan, Delphi did not retain ownership in Delphi Automotive announced in March 2006 Automotive, thus allowing it to freely that it would attempt to sell its steering pursue contracts with other automakers business, Delphi Steering, which became while giving GM the freedom to focus the immediate corporate predecessor to on its core business.2 Nexteer. Burdened by high labor costs, the entire US auto industry struggled to Nexteer Today stay competitive with leaner overseas producers throughout the first part of Products: Electric and hydraulic the 1990s.3 And these struggles had power steering, steering columns, an acute effect on Delphi Automotive’s drivelines, and halfshafts. bottom line: In 2004 alone, Delphi lost $4.8 billion. In 2005, Delphi filed for Customers: 50+ globally, including Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection and GM, Ford, Chrysler, Fiat, and Toyota. announced plans to close most of its US Facilities: 38 throughout North and South America, Europe, and Asia. 2011 Revenue: $2.2 billion. China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 3
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series How the Nexteer Deal Almost Unraveled F or this steering business line, which eventually became Nexteer, US- based private equity (PE) appeared initially to offer a lifeline. Platinum Equity, a Los Angeles-based PE firm, pledging to pay Delphi Automotive $257 million in cash merely to facilitate the transaction for its steering unit. GM also agreed to assume $65 million in other obligations.7 And for its part, Platinum announced on January 31, 2007 that it would, according to this proposal, had been selected as the lead bidder in assume $190 million of liabilities under the sale of Nexteer’s forerunner, Delphi the deal in exchange for the steering Steering. division’s assets. In December 2007, Platinum agreed to these conditions and Platinum reportedly offered $560 million announced the deal. in equity, loans, and a revolving credit line for Delphi Why did GM step in Steering, beating to facilitate the sale As GM’s main parts supplier for its vehicle out a competing steering systems, Delphi Steering was important of Delphi Steering to bid from to GM’s own success. Platinum? Cerberus Capital Management, a GM was most likely New York-based PE player. 4 compelled to do so because of the unique nature of automotive steering But problems soon emerged. systems. Steering systems are a technologically advanced part of a In the wake of Platinum’s due diligence, car, directly tied to a vehicle’s safety. Delphi Steering’s parent firm, Delphi They require a long process of product Automotive, announced in its first development and testing before they quarter 2007 results that the value of can be used in any vehicle. Unlike other the steering division assets were worth parts, such as tires, which are easily just $380 million, a $152 million and interchangeable, steering systems are 29 percent drop from what had been specific to each particular vehicle type. previously reported. Clearly, Delphi 5 They need to be fully integrated into Steering was struggling, having lost $127 the whole product. Thus while GM had million on $2.6 billion in sales in 2006. 6 freed Delphi Steering to work with other And this, no doubt, affected Platinum’s customers in the vehicle business, it calculations as it attempted to reassess remained reliant on Delphi Steering’s the value of the business. products and was still a key customer. GM itself stepped in to steer the As GM’s main parts supplier for its Platinum acquisition back on track, vehicle steering systems, Delphi Steering China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 4
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series was important to GM’s own success. its critical steering parts supplier, GM That is because without Delphi Steering, announced the same day that the GM would need to quickly transition to company would itself acquire Delphi another supplier—a move that would Steering. be costly and time-consuming at a time when GM was struggling to cope But Platinum decided to make a second with declining demand for its low fuel attempt by enlarging the entire deal. economy vehicles. Now, it offered a bigger idea. Instead of purchasing Delphi Steering alone, Still, the Platinum acquisition continued Platinum and GM would together to face problems. By 2008, the onset of acquire the entire parent company, the global financial crisis compounded Delphi Automotive. With the auto the problems that all parties—Platinum, market in crisis and GM seemingly GM, and Delphi Steering—faced. desperate to protect its supply chain, Platinum appears to have become Platinum sought to induce GM to strike increasingly uncomfortable with a deal for the parent company. the agreement it had struck via GM, especially as vehicle sales in the United This second play succeeded. In June States plummeted. 2009, Platinum agreed to purchase the bulk of Delphi Automotive’s assets for By March 3, 2009—more than two years $250 million in cash and a $250 million after Platinum first emerged as the lead line of credit. GM would provide the bidder for Delphi Steering—the deal remainder of a $3.6 billion financing had collapsed. Now, without Platinum in package and directly acquire the parent the mix, GM stepped back into a central company’s steering division and four role. Apparently determined to protect plants.8 China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 5
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Chinese Buyer Seizes an Opportunity I t was at this point, in the summer of 2009, that China entered the Nexteer story in a concerted way. Beijing E-Town, an arm of the Beijing Chinese government had forced foreign automakers to establish joint ventures (JVs) with Chinese partners after China’s economy opened up to foreign investment in the 1980s. Yet domestic municipal government, had also bid on Chinese auto brands still lagged far the parent, Delphi Automotive, before behind foreign brands in domestic Platinum was selected as the buyer in market share and technological June. Who was E-Town? The Beijing sophistication. government had given E-Town 47 In 2004, then, China’s square kilometers powerful central of land in the government planning south of Beijing. agency, the National The firm aimed Development and to develop Reform Commission this land into a (NDRC), renewed local high-tech its push to build manufacturing indigenous industry. zone. E-Town 9 The NDRC released reportedly had Photo: © Saginaw Future, Inc. Reprinted with permission the national Auto attracted over Industry Development 2,000 enterprises Policy (qiche chanye from more than thirty countries to its fazhan zhengce), which encouraged development zone—including GM, Chinese automakers to develop their Nokia, and Mercedes-Benz.10 E-Town own research and development (R&D) became interested in Delphi in part capabilities and produce vehicles because it sought to have the firm open independently of foreign partners. facilities in Beijing as well. This sector-specific forerunner of To understand why E-Town, as a Chinese China’s subsequent national policy of municipal financing and investment “indigenous innovation” also specified vehicle, wanted to acquire a US auto rules for JVs. The automotive policy parts producer, it is useful to step back required foreign companies to transfer and view the attempt through the lens technology to their Chinese partners in of the Chinese government’s push to exchange for continued access to the transform the domestic auto industry Chinese market.11 In 2009, the NDRC into a globally competitive sector. The released a revision of this policy in an China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 6
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series effort to accelerate the push,12 further a middle-market investment banking focusing attention on developing firm in the western United States. He domestic technology and China-only had also co-founded and acted as chief brands rather than relying too heavily operating officer of Bestone Investment on foreign ones.13 Group, a firm whose deals included taking stakes in Chinese firms, such as In this context, E-Town’s proposed Conch Cement, a multibillion dollar investment in Delphi Automotive cement manufacturer based in China’s not only aligned with the central Anhui province.14 government’s policy goals but Another player would also, in E-Town’s proposed investment in Delphi Automotive not in Chen’s effort theory, offer a only aligned with the central government’s policy goals was Michael faster way to but would also offer access to technologies necessary to Gisser, a partner develop a globally competitive automotive industry. gain access to at the law firm technologies Skadden Arps, necessary to who, splitting develop a globally competitive Chinese his time between Beijing and the United automotive industry. States, had worked on cross-border mergers and acquisitions between E-Town lost out to Platinum in the GM- companies in the two countries. It brokered deal. But for these reasons, was Gisser who introduced Chen to Jack Chen, the California-based founder Platinum. and CEO of Transworld Capital Group, an international investment advisor to the The subsequent discussion gained Beijing municipal government, traction because, at this time, Platinum suggested that E-Town instead try to was interested in teaming up with a partner rather than compete with Chinese firm with strong financing Platinum. Chen believed that such a capabilities as an entry point into relationship could prove mutually the Chinese market. For that reason, beneficial: Platinum could manage Platinum proved receptive to Chen’s Delphi’s US and European businesses, approach. It agreed to let E-Town take while E-Town could provide financing an equity stake in Delphi Automotive and facilitate its expansion in China. once Platinum’s own acquisition was completed. As a bridge between the Chinese buyers and the US market, Chen thus became After the Platinum-Delphi Automotive a player in the Nexteer story. Before deal was announced in June 2009, founding Transworld Capital, Chen had executives from Platinum traveled to been the founding chairman of the Asia- China to launch a new collaboration Pacific division of Barrington Associates, with E-Town. But ironically, the story China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 7
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series quickly turned sour for both firms. To the day, both Platinum, the “winning” Platinum’s immense embarrassment, bidder, and E-Town, the “losing” bidder, Delphi Automotive, in late July, elected came away empty handed in their quest to accept a pure credit bid from its for the company. bankruptcy lenders. So at the end of China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 8
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series The Chinese Party is Blindsided W hat happened? For one, Delphi Automotive’s creditors had been outraged by the terms of Platinum’s proposed acquisition, arguing that they existing customers: it could take the big automakers, including GM and Ford, years to transition to a different steering system supplier. That meant that the automakers had no immediate would get back only 20 percent of the alternative to Nexteer and would $2.6 billion in debtor-in-possession need time to develop other supplier loans they had provided to Delphi. relationships. Their solution? The creditors agreed to exchange $3.5 billion in loans for equity But GM alone constituted only half in Delphi, immediately killing Platinum’s of Nexteer’s revenue at this point, previously announced deal, as well as insufficient to assure Nexteer’s long- Platinum and E-Town’s planned post- term survival. In that sense, Nexteer’s acquisition collaboration. leverage over its non-GM customers kept it functioning When the in the short Having acquired the steering unit and renamed it Nexteer, creditors GM considered slowly liquidating the company and run but could unexpectedly transitioning its own vehicle business to a new supplier. not ultimately took over guarantee its long- the Delphi term success. parent, GM stepped in to independently save the constituent steering unit that Having acquired the steering unit and it would have acquired under the deal renamed it Nexteer, GM considered with Platinum. In October 2009, GM slowly liquidating the company and completed this spinoff, making Delphi transitioning its own vehicle business Steering a direct subsidiary of GM to a new supplier. But Robert Remenar, and changing its name to “Nexteer the president of Delphi Steering who Automotive.” now became president and CEO of the new Nexteer (but continued reporting GM’s likely intent at this point was to to GM), appears to have held the be only a short-term owner. Nexteer’s conviction that Nexteer should not be customers included other auto liquidated. Remenar foresaw increased companies, such as Ford, that would demand for Nexteer’s electric power not want to buy their parts—especially steering (EPS) systems and reportedly parts as technologically sophisticated argued strongly that changing suppliers as steering systems—from a GM after the company’s liquidation would subsidiary. Meanwhile, in the near be costly and time-consuming for GM. term, Nexteer had leverage over these China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 9
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Beyond Remenar’s arguments, GM industry.15 This combined logic—supply had another reason not to liquidate efficiencies married to relations with the the company: Its relations with the labor union—prevailed. In January 2010, UAW, the major US automotive labor GM announced that it would attempt to union, were increasingly fraught at a sell, not liquidate, Nexteer. time of great challenge to the US auto China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 10
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Positioning Nexteer for Sale B ut GM faced a problem. In order to make Nexteer an attractive acquisition target, the company would have to improve its relations with the union. So The final contract with the UAW took the form of a “shelf” agreement. In other words, the UAW had the power to accept or reject any potential buyer of Nexteer and the agreement would only as GM entered the next phase of sale take effect once the UAW approved the preparations, it moved simultaneously buyer of the firm.17 to renegotiate Nexteer’s union Third Time a Charm contracts. After Platinum failed This would be no mean to acquire Delphi feat, in part because Automotive, Chen asked the UAW was one of if the PE firm knew of the parties that had other good auto assets acquired a stake in in the United States GM after it declared that might be available Chapter 11 bankruptcy for sale. Platinum in June 2009. 16 Photo: © Saginaw Future, Inc. Reprinted with permission predicted—correctly— that Nexteer, Delphi’s Union Contract erstwhile steering division, would be on the market soon. And so Chen arranged The union rejected GM’s first Nexteer- for E-Town and Platinum to sign a related offer. But GM warned that it memorandum of understanding to would, as a result, simply have to close jointly acquire Nexteer if and when the down Nexteer if a buyer was not found. steering company became available for purchase. The union then passed a second proposal agreement that included When GM announced in January 2010 concessions to GM. Many workers that it would attempt to sell Nexteer, were bought out or were offered early E-Town and Platinum were thus retirement packages. The replacement prepared to jump at the opportunity to workers’ $12.50 hourly wage was just bid. half of what the union had negotiated a decade earlier. Still, the lower wages helped Nexteer to level the playing field with non-union US producers. China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 11
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series powertrain, and driveline systems. Government Perks Tempo sells to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) throughout Nexteer’s sale prospects were also Asia, Europe, North America, and bolstered by state and local tax the Middle East. As of 2009, the firm incentives in Michigan and Buena Vista had approximately 10,000 employees Township. In November 2009, the internationally and thirty-six affiliates Michigan Economic Growth Authority throughout China. It controlled two approved a ten year $71 million state tax credit for Nexteer as part of a public companies: Hong Kong-listed program established in 1995 that grants Norstar Automotive and Shanghai- tax credits to businesses that expand listed Songliao Automobile. It had in, move to, or stay in Michigan. The tax also developed a significant interest in credit helped persuade Nexteer to invest investing in the US auto industry, having $400 million in Michigan instead of already established an engineering opening new sites in Europe and China. research center in Canton, Michigan in 2004 and acquired several of Delphi Nexteer announced concurrently that it Automotive’s braking system component would keep its headquarters in Buena plants in Ohio in 2005. Vista, to which the township responded by eliminating the taxes Nexteer would pay to bring in new equipment for Tempo had a solid working relationship twenty years. This saves the company an with E-Town, Platinum’s existing Chinese estimated $2.3 million per year. “During partner. After Platinum failed to acquire the Delphi bankruptcy, Nexteer had to Delphi Automotive in 2009, E-Town become transformed from a money- remained interested in acquiring a piece losing operation to something that of the struggling parts supplier if it could would be valuable and would allow its find the right strategic partner. And operations to continue globally,” said a the creditors who finally took over the Nexteer spokesperson in an interview. Delphi parent were open to a deal that “Michigan was very helpful in getting us might give them a better return than to that point.” the proposed Platinum bid they had scuttled. Tempo Joins the Team In November 2009, therefore, E-Town teamed up with Tempo and Meanwhile, another Beijing-based a third Chinese partner, state-owned private auto parts manufacturer, Tempo steelmaker Shougang, to form a JV Group, had also developed an interest in called Beijing West Industries, with the bidding on Nexteer. Established in 1984, goal of acquiring the Delphi braking Tempo has multiple manufacturing and suspension business for some $100 facilities in China, producing million. In this Chinese partnership, components and modules for chassis, E-Town took a 25 percent stake in China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 12
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Beijing West, while Tempo and Getting GM’s Nod Shougang held 24 percent and 51 percent, respectively.18 But GM had, it appears, reservations about all three of these potential buyers. When Platinum and E-Town began Its first source of hesitation was the preparing their bid for Nexteer, Tempo American PE firm, Platinum. Although chairman and CEO Zhou Tianbao external circumstances had been largely approached Chen to suggest that the to blame, Platinum had already failed parties work together with Tempo, twice to acquire Delphi assets. More instead of bidding against each other important, GM was reluctant to sell such as rivals. Chen, who was preparing an important supplier to a temporary the Platinum-E-Town bid, had advised shareholder, such as a PE firm, and GM Beijing West on its purchase of Delphi’s apparently made its reticence clear braking and suspension business, to Platinum. As a PE player, after all, so he and Tempo had a preexisting Platinum intended to exit from Nexteer relationship. He once it turned a now argued to healthy profit. Tempo would not contribute substantial capital to the the Platinum-E- joint purchase but had industry experience that both Town partners E-Town and Platinum lacked. But GM also that Tempo could seems to have add value to their been unsure team as a third acquirer in an expanded about the two Chinese partners, E-Town partnership. and Tempo, partly because of GM’s difficult prior experience with Chinese Tempo would not contribute substantial investors. In 2009, GM had agreed to sell capital to the joint purchase but its Hummer brand to Chengdu-based had industry experience that both Tengzhong, a private manufacturer of E-Town and Platinum lacked. Tempo heavy machinery and trucks. already owned a facility in Detroit and another in the Beijing industrial zone This deal could have been akin to owned by E-Town. It could bring to Nexteer: For about $150 million, the the group various staff and engineers purchase would have saved thousands knowledgeable about the steering of Michigan jobs, relieved a struggling business. GM of an unprofitable brand, and provided a Chinese company with the Building on the successful Beijing technology and platform to help it West acquisition of Delphi’s braking compete in China. But following a public and suspension business, E-Town and announcement, the deal reportedly Platinum brought Tempo aboard for a failed to receive the necessary tri-party attempt to acquire Nexteer regulatory approval from the Chinese from GM. government. Chinese regulators at the China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 13
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series NDRC and the Ministry of Commerce the combined E-Town-Platinum-Tempo (MOFCOM) are purported to have team. never received the required application, leading to speculation that the deal In short, while GM may have had floundered because it did not fit with reservations about each purchaser the Chinese government’s support for individually, as a combined acquisition fuel-efficient cars, which Hummers were group the three-party team nonetheless not.19 offered some balance. And with E-Town on the team, GM could be relatively Reflecting on this earlier experience assured of Chinese government with a Chinese buyer, GM most likely did approval and financing since E-Town had not wish to see a $15 billion line a repeat failure. of credit from the While GM may have had reservations about each But Chen, as purchaser individually, as a combined acquisition group Beijing municipal the acquisition the three-party team nonetheless offered some balance. government. As team’s advisor, for Platinum, argues that although the PE he had anticipated this concern. He firm had failed in its prior bids to acquire recollects that he diligently kept GM Delphi Automotive and Delphi Steering, abreast of discussions with the NDRC its key people knew GM executives and MOFCOM throughout this phase of and their business well enough to take the Nexteer purchase. the lead in negotiations and eventually oversee Nexteer’s US and international This coordination effort with Chinese (non-China) operations. Finally, with regulators is one of the lessons respect to Tempo, its experience in highlighted in the Introduction to this the Chinese auto market presumably case study. Some Chinese investors provided GM a degree of comfort that have foundered on the shoals of their it could become a valuable partner as own country’s regulatory process. So in Nexteer looked to expand its foothold the Nexteer case, the effort appears to into China. have provided some reassurance to GM, which likely appreciated the synergy of And so the deal moved forward. China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 14
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Chinese Motivations W hy was Nexteer, in particular, of 3 million units by 2020. The Chinese of strategic value to the two government also aims to increase the Chinese bidders, E-Town and average fuel economy of these vehicles, Tempo? With its over 1,000 pledging to support these production patents, the acquisition of Nexteer targets by purchasing electric and hybrid would mean a chance for Chinese auto vehicles for official use.21 parts players to establish China’s With its over 1,000 patents, the acquisition of Nexteer would themselves goals are mean a chance for Chinese auto parts players to establish in the market themselves in the market for high-tech electric steering ambitious and for high- systems. aspirational, tech electric but the steering central systems at precisely the moment when government is, quite clearly, invested in the Chinese government aimed to supporting the sector’s development. develop indigenous EPS technology. Before the Nexteer deal, Chinese EPS and China companies had used EPS only on high-end luxury vehicles. But the There has been a huge increase in global government’s backing for electric demand for EPS, including in China, and fuel-efficient vehicles has, more because it is lighter, more reliable, and recently, led to a wider penetration of up to 6 percent more fuel-efficient than electric steering systems among Chinese cheaper hydraulic counterparts. In 20 manufacturers. “China has been a price China, government support continues play until very recently,” noted Michael to drive increased demand for EPS Richardson, Nexteer’s Chief Technology systems. The Chinese government has Officer (CTO) and China chair, in an identified alternative energy vehicles August 2012 press release. “Now, the as a “strategic emerging industry,” one [Chinese] automakers are recognizing in which it hopes China will become that there will be domestic legislation a global leader. In 2012, the State that will force them to [adopt] electric Council, China’s cabinet, released a Fuel- power steering … [Thus] for the first Efficient and New Energy Auto Industry time in China, they [will] come to us Development Plan, which aims at a for electric power steering across the production target of half-million electric board.”22 and plug-in hybrid vehicles by 2015, and 5 million such vehicles by 2020, with Taken together, this meant that, from an annual production capacity target the Chinese perspective, acquiring all China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 15
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series of Nexteer’s technology in one swoop offer before being invited to participate and at a potential bargain price of less in a next round of bidding. E-Town and than $500 million was an attractive Tempo readily agreed, but Platinum, option indeed. which specializes in purchasing distressed assets, is said to have been Platinum’s Exit unable to accurately assess the added value of the potential increased sales But the underlying Chinese goal of in China that Nexteer could achieve. acquiring Nexteer’s EPS technology did Platinum was willing to increase the bid not reflect Platinum’s motivation. As a price, but not as much as its Chinese PE firm, it sought to earn a return on partners. investment, not to make a long-term technology play. After the first round of When the three parties failed to agree bids, GM’s deal advisor informed the on a price, Platinum dropped out of the three acquiring partners that they would deal, leaving E-Town and Tempo to bid need to raise the price of their collective on their own. China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 16
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Steering the Deal Back on Track ... and Building Trust P latinum’s exit created problems for the Chinese parties. For one thing, it reignited GM’s concerns about E-Town and Tempo because Platinum’s very presence had served to That bid had been unsuccessful but Moelis had acquired the necessary experience of working with GM. And so hiring Moelis was intended to show GM that E-Town and Tempo were serious assuage GM’s discomfort with Chinese players with the determination to get buyers, despite Chen’s reassurances the acquisition done. about both the Chinese regulatory process But the Chinese and the buyers’ ability buyers did not stop to manage a rigorous with hiring Moelis. bidding process. They also engaged And GM planned to other US consulting issue its initial public firms, including AT offering (IPO) in the Kearney, Deloitte, second half of the year. and Miller Canfield. Thus it aimed to have Chen and two Tempo agreements to sell employees supervised Nexteer and other non- Photo: © Saginaw Future, Inc. Reprinted with permission these professionals. core assets signed by They put in grueling the end of the second quarter of 2010. hours to perform due diligence and identify outstanding issues. These This time constraint pressured the two conclusions were sent back the same Chinese buyers into proving that they day to the Chinese buyers for overnight could complete the deal swiftly and with review and feedback. certainty. Doing so would demonstrate the good faith of the Chinese buyers. To Participants recalled in interviews prove and reinforce the Chinese side’s that this process worked well, in commitment, Chen began to look for part because the decision makers in an investment bank that had worked Beijing felt comfortable delegating with GM in the recent past. At Chen’s responsibility to a US-based team that urging (and Gisser’s suggestion), E-Town included leading professionals, managed and Tempo hired Moelis & Company, a by people who understood China and boutique investment bank founded in the buyers’ decision-making process. At 2007. Moelis had previously represented the same time, the buyers’ commitment another firm in an unsuccessful bid for and ability to run an efficient process GM assets. seems to have greatly impressed GM. China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 17
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series The deal team leaders visited top Tempo’s strategic partners, had become executives across GM’s divisions—first, alarmed by Norstar’s HK$44 million to make sure GM understood the team’s ($5.7 million) in overdue payments for commitment to continue working forward contracts. SIIG filed a claim closely with the company after their with Chinese courts to recover the acquisition of Nexteer, but, second, to advance payments it had made to provide GM with assurances and context Norstar. Chinese regulators responded on the buyers’ thinking. by freezing Norstar’s assets and, when these were not recovered, the company Drawing a lesson from the Hummer was eventually liquidated.24 debacle, the E-Town-Tempo deal team sought to constantly reassure GM that Meanwhile, a second Tempo subsidiary, their deal, unlike that previous one, Songliao, which produces automobiles would not face similar regulatory snafus and auto body components in China, in China. Nor did faced similar the buyers wait financial Drawing a lesson from the Hummer debacle, the for the deal to be E-Town-Tempo deal team sought to constantly reassure challenges. completed before GM that their deal, unlike that previous one, would not But Songliao seeking Chinese face similar regulatory snafus in China. fared better government than Norstar. regulatory After halting approval. Instead, they pursued these production in 2009, Songliao began to processes in parallel. recover when E-Town bought a 24.89 percent equity stake in the company, Tempo’s Decline replacing Tempo as Songliao’s largest shareholder. Then, E-Town provided But a major wrinkle soon emerged that Songliao with 29 million yuan ($5 raised new questions about one of the million) in loans to help it restart two Chinese buyers. Even as it sought production.25 to acquire Nexteer, Tempo faced severe financial troubles of its own, especially Taken together, these experiences with its two publicly listed subsidiaries.23 meant that Tempo’s management had drastically overspent in the run-up to One of these subsidiaries was the the global financial crisis. When the Chinese auto-parts supplier Norstar, China Banking Regulatory Commission which suffered from significant exposure reported Tempo’s financial situation to to the sport utility vehicle (SUV) market the State Council, 58 percent of Tempo’s at precisely the moment that demand loans—totaling 3.3 billion yuan ($500 for that type of vehicle collapsed million)—had gone bad.26 during the 2008 global economic crisis. By January 2009, SIIG, one of China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 18
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series Yet Tempo’s ambitious management Enter AVIC Automotive saw strategic value in the various Delphi assets. So Tempo aggressively In retrospect, there is little question pursued them, despite the company’s that GM was aware of—and concerned financial struggles with its two Chinese about—Tempo’s struggles. Yet it allowed subsidiaries back home. Zhou Tianbao, the deal to proceed with all of the Tempo’s chairman and CEO, apparently Chinese partners, including Tempo, wanted these deals badly. He seems because it appeared determined to shed to have at least impressed GM and his Nexteer with its own IPO, slated for the Chinese partners with his dedication to second half of 2010, fast approaching. seeing the Nexteer deal through. What is more, GM had no reason to expect financial hardship from the Indeed, Zhou emerged as the likely Chinese side. As noted above, it knew driving force behind Tempo’s ambitions. E-Town could provide the majority of For its part, his partner E-Town fully capital since it could access a $15 billion understood Tempo’s financial troubles line of credit from the Beijing municipal yet had agreed to a partnership government. because it also saw strategic value to having Tempo as a partner. Why? Of course, that meant E-Town could Unlike E-Town, Tempo had extensive afford to buy Nexteer on its own. But experience in the auto parts market. So E-Town had never intended to manage for all its struggles, Tempo could take the company. Under the initial threeway a leading role in managing Nexteer’s partnership with Platinum and Tempo, operations in China upon completion of Platinum planned to take the lead in a successful acquisition. overseeing Nexteer’s US operations while Tempo could focus on managing The result was that Tempo’s role evolved Nexteer’s growth in China. E-Town’s over the course of the deal from a role was simply to provide much of the financial partner into more of a strategic financing, ease Chinese government partner. It soon became clear to Tempo’s regulatory approvals, and provide land fellow Chinese partners that the firm in Beijing for Nexteer’s facilities. would not be able to contribute capital to the final acquisition. But Tempo did So with Platinum out as a partner and remain involved in the negotiations and Tempo in financial straits, E-Town was eventually hoped to buy an equity stake forced to reassess its options. Its leaders in Nexteer. With its financial situation could feel confident that Platinum was unstable and its future uncertain, dispensable because they could simply Tempo’s principal value to its partners rely on Nexteer’s current management was experience in the auto sector, not to continue running the company’s post- its ability to contribute capital. acquisition US operations. There was little need for Platinum on that score. China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 19
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series But with Tempo on the ropes, E-Town Automotive joined E-Town and Tempo decided to find another, more financially as part of a three-firm Chinese group stable partner to help Nexteer manage aiming to purchase Nexteer. and grow the business in China. And from E-Town’s perspective, so much the Overcoming Union Concerns better if that new Chinese partner could also contribute some capital, spreading With due diligence behind them, the the financial risks associated with the Chinese partners still had to navigate the acquisition. complex terrain of American labor union politics before their bid for Nexteer E-Town’s solution could be finalized. was to bring Nexteer’s union had With Tempo on the ropes, E-Town decided to find aboard AVIC another, more financially stable partner to help the power to reject Automotive, the Nexteer manage and grow the business in China. any potential buyer. auto parts division Its chief concern was of the large that the Chinese state-owned China Aviation Industry buyers would simply export Nexteer’s Corporation (AVIC), which manufactures technology and then move the Saginaw both military and commercial aircraft. jobs to China. From a Chinese perspective, AVIC “There were a lot of concerns about the Automotive fit precisely into what Chinese coming over and packing this E-Town was searching for. First, as part place up,” Matt Beaver, the UAW local of a large state-owned enterprise (SOE) 699 vice president, recalled to the Wall under the Chinese central government, Street Journal after the deal closed. an AVIC subsidiary could provide reliable “People were really scared the Chinese expertise, managerial know-how, and would take the patents.”28 money. And AVIC Automotive was already in the market for an auto parts For this reason, before AVIC Automotive company. It had been looking at options became involved with the deal, in Japan, Europe, and North America Nexteer’s then-CEO Remenar advised when, at this juncture, it came across the original two Chinese partners, the Nexteer deal. E-Town and Tempo, to write a letter to UAW leaders guaranteeing that In fact, AVIC Automotive was attracted they would honor the negotiated shelf to Nexteer for many of the same agreement and keep all union jobs in reasons that E-Town had found the Saginaw. The Chinese partners, who company enticing, most notably the had no comparable experience with Michigan company’s 1,000 patents, union bargaining in China, followed this engineering expertise, and EPS advice. manufacturing.27 In mid-2010, AVIC China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 20
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series They pledged to allow Nexteer to developing new EPS technology were operate as an independent company— almost entirely based in Michigan. and to keep the UAW jobs in Michigan. This helped the Chinese win UAW For the Chinese acquirers, this meant support.29 When AVIC Automotive that so long as Nexteer continued to came aboard as the third Chinese deal invest in R&D, keeping the Michigan partner, it did so with an understanding jobs and targeting GM and other US end of these previously agreed conditions. users as Nexteer’s principal customers made business sense. China did not As it happens, have comparable the union’s initial human capital or The Chinese partners pledged to allow Nexteer concerns may have manufacturing to operate as an independent company—and to been somewhat keep the UAW jobs in Michigan. capability, much less misplaced. The a comparable end- vehicle market user EPS market, for EPS systems in China was still which was still nascent and mostly small enough at that point that GM concentrated at the higher end. Steering and other US end-users would be a systems are heavy, difficult to ship, necessary market for Nexteer to thrive. and comprised of numerous smaller So while China might become a future components. It would make little market, the new Chinese owners would economic sense for GM’s US-assembled nonetheless want to continue supplying vehicles to buy their steering systems US customers, such as GM, to make from a company manufacturing them Nexteer profitable and achieve a return halfway around the world. on their investment. Indeed, moving production out of Nor did they really have the option of the United States is often not so simply shipping the steering piece of easy for suppliers of complex parts, the auto supply chain back to China. especially when the parts are essential Steering systems are one of the most to a machine as complicated as an complex, expensive, and integrated automobile. Many US customers parts of a vehicle. GM preferred to demand just-in-time delivery, making it rely on a local engineering team to difficult to satisfy them if an auto parts develop its vehicle systems. That is line relies on a manufacturing locale one reason that GM had not already thousands of miles away. liquidated Nexteer. Transitioning to a new supplier would have taken a In short, if the new Chinese owners tremendous amount of time and effort. hoped to continue supplying GM, they It might have threatened the safety and probably needed to keep Nexteer quality of GM’s vehicles. The engineers operating in Michigan, not move it to and experts who understood and were China. Supply chain geography still China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 21
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series mattered in the auto parts industry. And assured that such systems were not the Chinese acquirers surely understood something the Chinese could easily this. The entire Pearl River Delta replicate. The Chinese partners needed manufacturing juggernaut in coastal Nexteer’s skilled workers, engineers, China had been built partly around and management. the principle of agglomeration and supply chain concentration. For certain In the Nexteer case, the Chinese buyers advanced and technology-intensive seem to have realized that the best manufacturers, there are some benefits way to capitalize on a US acquisition to locating R&D closer to manufacturing was to use the technology to build a capacity, thus allowing for rapid design production facility in China to supply tweaks and the local market troubleshooting with high-quality, of engineering Moving production out of the United States is often low-cost parts not so easy for suppliers of complex parts, especially problems. when the parts are essential to a machine as while keeping the complicated as an automobile. US operation intact But that was not and healthy. The all. The Chinese Chinese investors’ also needed the expertise of Nexteer’s acceptance of these economic and existing management team if they commercial realities probably helped to were to continue to expand their newly mitigate a potential political backlash by acquired company’s activities globally. keeping local jobs in Michigan. The Chinese buyers knew China’s own economy and industrial system well. Concerns About Chinese SOEs But they were not yet so comfortable in other parts of the world, a fact But the IP issue touched an entirely compounded by their lack of substantial different set of concerns as well. The experience in the steering systems other two Chinese buyers, E-Town and market. Having American managers who Tempo, naturally had some concerns knew how to run Nexteer’s business when AVIC Automotive joined their globally would be valuable to the new team. Its parent, AVIC Corporation, is a Chinese owners. Chinese defense industry supplier that develops military technology for the The Chinese also pledged to keep People’s Liberation Army Air Force. the Saginaw jobs in place to prevent technology and intellectual property Acquiring Nexteer, however, did not (IP) concerns from becoming a major automatically imply a national security obstacle during the negotiations and risk because Nexteer did not possess obstructing their acquisition. EPS sensitive technology with military technology was valuable to the Chinese applications. But the Chinese buyers did buyers, but its very complexity also fear that US opinion—and non-Chinese China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 22
Paulson Papers on Investment Case Study Series competitors, should they emerge— to purchase Nexteer without explicit could point to the participation of an AVIC Automotive support. It is not clear AVIC subsidiary as grounds upon which from the record, or from interviews, just to block the deal. how large a role these concerns over a possible AVIC-related controversy played E-Town’s discussions with AVIC in this decision. Automotive on its potential entrance began in the spring of 2010. With GM What is clear is that E-Town and AVIC pushing for a quick sale, it was not clear Automotive reached an understanding at that point whether AVIC Automotive sometime between the spring of 2010, would be able to act quickly enough to when both firms clearly understood become involved as a direct participant that AVIC Automotive’s entrance could in the initial purchase. pose risks to the deal, and November 2010, when the deal closed. By closing This part of the deal history is murky, time, E-Town and AVIC Automotive but the complexities around AVIC had agreed that the latter would inject participation are probably among the capital and ultimately acquire the reasons that E-Town initially decided majority equity stake in Nexteer. China Drives into America’s Auto Parts Industry 23
You can also read