Panorámica sobre la energía geotérmica en Italia - Adele Manzella
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Taller Internacional sobre Energía Geotérmica Intercambio de experiencias y visiones entre Italia y México Panorámica sobre la energía geotérmica en Italia Adele Manzella manzella@igg.cnr.it
Geothermal power produc;on in Italy Italy is the 6th country in the world for installed power capacity, with two main geothermal areas, Larderello-Travale and Mt. Amiata. 916 MW of the 2.13 GW of European installed In the 1960s the power industry was na;onalised capacity comes and all of these plants are s;ll owned by the from Italy former government u;lity, now privi;zed: Enel (see next presenta;on)
Larderello, the first place in the history to produce geothermal power, is today the 4° geothermal field in the world for power produc;on The Geysers, 1° Salton Sea, 8° California, USA California, USA 1585 MW 388 MW Mak -Ban 6° Philippines 458 MW Coso, 11° California, USA Hellisheidi, 10° 292 MW Iceland 303 MW Tongonan 3° Philippines 726 MW Cerro Prieto, 2° Wairakei 7° México 727 MW Larderello, 4° New Zealand Salak 9° Darajat 12° Italy 399 MW 595 MW Indonesia Indonesia 377 MW 260 MW from Bertani, WGC 2015
A favourable geological condi;on The complex geodynamical framework, related to the convergence of Africa and Eurasia plates, is evidenced by young volcanisms, riV structures, shallow Moho discon;nuity and reduced lithosphere thickness due to uprising asthenosphere and the delamina;on of crustal lithosphere in the western, Tyrrenian areas of Italy, and the thick orogenic belts of Appenines and Alps.
produce a high heat flow Es;mated Italian geothermal resources poten;ally harnessable within 5 km depth a are in the range of 21 exajoule (about 500 MTOE) (UGI 2011).
Factor inducing strong lateral T changes at (Della Vedova et al., 2001) shallow depths Ø high sedimentaMon rate (green) Ø meteoric water infiltraMon (blue) Ø geothermal low T convecMve systems (yellow and violet) Ø volcanic areas and high T systems (orange) DATASET: • 2700 T grad. meas. (700 HF offshore), • 255 new ENI boreholes (1980-96) Est. Error: 5-20 mW m-2
HF Provinces: basement HF da Della Vedova § Predicted HF is significantly higher in South Apennines, Po basin, foreland areas § Undisturbed HF in foreland is 45-55 mW m-2, compared to obs. 30-40 mW m–2 § This implies higher deep contribu;ons and transient components in these areas, sugges;ng younger tectonic ages § The difference between N and S Apennines is less pronounced § The deep thermal regime of Tuscany, Tyrrhenian Sea, Apennines and foredeep areas has not yet reached equilibrium
In 2010 geothermal resources were made available to private investors for electricity produc;on, by introducing a compe;;ve permit system. About 110 ‘research’ explora;on permits were requested, and some tens were granted to mainly small renewable energy or geological consul;ng companies.
Main offshore volcanic areas Vavilov SMt. Marsili SMt.
While some of the granted permits have progressed through ini;al geological studies and geophysical surveys none have yet progressed to exploratory drilling and detailed resource assessment, despite encouraging ini;al results. Main reasons: - lack of sufficient finance to face drilling costs and risk - lack of appropriate regulatory schemes and energy policies
From EurObserver 2007 Power GSHP Direct uses produc;on
Geothermal Heat producMon in Italy Sector of applica;on Capacity (MWt) Energy /TJ/y) Total GSHP DH Total GSHP DH Space hea;ng 725 550 92 4607 3211 683 Thermal balneology 421 3698 Agricultural use 69 14 725 82 Fish farming 122 1927 Industrial process heat 18 4 108 25 and minor uses TOTAL 1355 568 92 11065 3318 683 Industrial process heat Direct Uses total 11,065 TJ/y and minor uses 1% Fish farming Agricultural use 17% 7% Space hea;ng 42% Thermal balneology 33% WGC2015
Geothermal Heat producMon in Italy Space hea;ng is in rapid expansion, in par;cular GSHP systems (increase of 120% in four year for GSHP and 16% by DH) Most DHs are in geothermal power produc;on areas. Geothermal DH using deep wells are in: • Ferrara in expansion GSHP DH are expanding in Lombardia • Grado in development (Milano, Brescia) • Vicenza proposed-in development
On 2011 UGI (Unione Geotermica Italiana) made a study to es;mate the possible contribu;on of the Earth’s heat to the coverage of na;onal energy requirements by 2030, with steps by 2012, 2015, 2020, 2025 to be periodically updated. The end goal of the study was to provide the Italian Government with factual elements on the possible medium-term deployment of this energy source in Italy. Scenario I: current economic trend, use of mature produc;on technologies, and prices of crude oil at source roughly three ;mes higher than the average ones in 2010 Scenario II: economic trend driven by vigorous environmental policies, use of both mature and advanced produc;on technologies, and prices of crude oil at source source roughly four ;mes higher than the average ones in 2010
Benefits expected from geothermal development Technical and environmental benefits: • Savings in terms of oil-‐equivalent (3.35-‐4.44 MTOE by 2030) • Avoided CO2 emissions (9.76-‐12.82 MT by 2030) • Contribu;on to coverage of total energy consump;on (1.5-‐2% by 2030, the actual value is 0.7%) Economic-‐social and scienMfic benefits: • New permanent jobs (100,000-‐200,000 new jobs by 2030) • New investments (1,200-‐2,000 M€ by 2030) • New R&D, in par;cular to develop unconven;nal geothermal systems
Measures at na;onal and ins;tu;onal level • strong commitment by Government, poli;cal par;es and ins;tu;ons to enac;ng legisla;on in support of renewables (RES) and, in par;cular, of geothermal energy; • Na;onal Energy Plan (NEP) including goals of development of all RES un;l 2030; • secure and prolonged incen;ves for RES with no or minimum environmental impact; • na;onal legisla;on and specific guidelines aimed at harmonizing regional regula;ons on geothermal development; • R&D programs with project objec;ves targeted at each RES; • a special R&D project focused on “non-‐conven;onal geothermal systems”, to be implemented within 2020; • systema;c campaigns to build awareness among the public at large of the economic and environmental advantages of the Earth’s heat.
Measures at local and regional level • Regional energy plans for all Italian Regions, quan;ta;ve targets for each RES, including geothermal, and relying on regula;ons specifically tailored to the development of direct uses; • regional surveys of energy-‐intensive areas in order to assess heat demand and quan;fy the expected share from geothermal development; • compara;ve market studies on demand for low temperature heat; • quan;fica;on of CO2 emissions from the different sources of energy used for space hea;ng; • replacement of old hea;ng systems in at least half of public buildings with systems using RES and in par;cular natural heat; • financial incen;ves for installa;on of geothermal hea;ng & cooling systems in new large buildings; • training of geothermal heat pump designers, installers and maintenance operators; • campaigns in schools to raise awareness of the Earth’s heat and its advantages.
Main requirements A comprehensive identification of resources and opportunities, as well as an accessible collection of data and information A clear and easy to follow regulation for authorizations in the exploration, drilling and exploitation phases of the project The promotion and dissemination of technology, values, economics Research and technological development
Projects and efforts: VIGOR Evaluation of Geothermal Potential for the Regioni Convergenza An Agreement between the Ministry for Economic Development and CNR, funded in the frame of POI for RES, targe;ng at development of geothermal demonstra;on projects (power produc;on and direct uses)
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica in Sicilia Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e regionale Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e tecniche Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale 8 studi di faubilità comple; Shallow geothermal potenMal (GSHP, closed loop) www.vigor-geotermia.it Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
SHALLOW GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL λ Fourier’s Law L = 100 m Φ Tg Tm Thermal energy that can be exchanged by a unit volume of ground for a reference GSHP plant www.vigor-geotermia.it Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
SHALLOW GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL Thermal conducMvity Thermal energy that can be exchanged by a unit volume of ground Heat flow Graound (50 m depth) temperature Total borehole length needed to saMsfy H&C demand of a reference house (100 m2) Surface temperature Thermal conducMvity www.vigor-geotermia.it Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
VIGOR THERMOGIS Economic Technical PotenMal [MW/km2] Technical Poten;al for LCOE < threshold (200 €/MWh power, 9 €/GJ heat ) and using expected flowrate from a doublet system Geothermal Poten;als for a lifecycle of 30 years and different Recovery Factors (GP=TC x R / 30 years) Thermal Energy produced by a technology (TC=H x technology efficiency) per unit volume H is the maximum theore;cally extractable heat in the reservoir per unit volume (thickness = 100 m) www.vigor-geotermia.it Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
Levelized Cost Of Energy [LCOE, €/MWe, €/JG] Power District Direct product. heaMng uses Calculated for power, district hea;ng and direct Tmin 120 80 45 heat uses T-‐reinject 80 40 35 Depends on: Economic power heat heat • Drilling cost (depth, s;mula;on, pump, ...) Model • Economic life;me LCOE < 200 €/ 9 €/GJ 9 €/GJ • Flowrate & temperature MWe • Power surface facili;es (O&M, plant inves;ment, …) • Complementary electricity/heat sales • Economic factors (infla;on, interest rate on debit, tax) Flowrate depends on transmissivity, delta pressure applied at reservoir level and viscosity Specific rou;nes redistributes the permeability according to Montecarlo simula;on From transmissivity average on drilled interval, cumula;ve probability of expected flowrate is www.vigor-geotermia.it considered Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e Heat in place distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica in Sicilia Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e regionale DH Technical poten;al Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e tecniche DH&C Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale 8 studi di faubilità comple; Power produc;on • Economic-‐technical potenMal for power producMon • Saved oil • Saved CO2 emissions www.vigor-geotermia.it Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica (TDM elitrasportato) in Sicilia Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e regionale Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e tecniche Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale 8 studi di faubilità comple; www.vigor-geotermia.it Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità Climatizzazione uffici Piscina termale pubblici (CNR-IRSA) e Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica in Teleriscaldamento scuole valutazione impatto Sicilia pubbliche Efficientamento processi produttivi Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e Impianto Pilota per la produzione pasta regionale produzione di energia Trattamento fanghi elettrica e reflui teleriscaldamento Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia Dissalatore Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e Climatizzazione uffici tecniche pubblici Teleclimatizzazione Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale 8 studi di faubilità comple; www.vigor-geotermia.it Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica in Sicilia Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e regionale Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e tecniche Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale 8 studi di faubilità comple; www.vigor-geotermia.it Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica in Sicilia Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e regionale Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e tecniche Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale 8 studi di faubilità comple; www.vigor-geotermia.it Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
MAIN RESULTS PotenMal recovered in the four Regions, to balance the four Coverage of applica;on (direct uses may cover wide sectors of the territory, crea;ng the required wide involvement in terms of occupa;on, market, business) Ø Complete system approach (from data to regulaMon to feasibility); Ø Coopera;on (Ministry-‐CNR and then CNR-‐research insMtutes and universiMes); Ø Project management quality (integrated approach environment/ territories/technologies); Ø Promo;on of local uses, by comprehensive presentaMon of opportuniMes; Ø Iden;fica;on of proper financial opportuni;es, from incenMves to financial support. www.vigor-geotermia.it Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
Atlante Geotermico and its Favourability maps The Geothermal Atlas Project provided for the favourability assessment of conven;onal and unconven;onal geothermal resources in Central and Southern Italy. q Geothermal favourability maps relies on available data and refer to a territory favourable and suitable to have the geothermal resource in the underground. Ø In this study, areas are classified as more or less favourable for the poten;al use of geothermal technologies for power producMon q ≠ geothermal poten;al (energy) q Many studies have been carried out in the last 10 years with different approaches (e.g.Pro Ledesma), we developed the one we considered more suitable to our geological condi;ons
Atlante Geotermico and its Favourability maps Effec;ve reservoir Reservoir top temperature Permebility distribu;on Geochemical informa;on Da: Trumpy et al. (2015)
Geothermal Italy Many opportuni;es and many barriers to a complete development New research project (DESCRAMBLE for superhot systems) Regula;on in discussion, possibly in development and op;miza;on Energy policy in development, following EU trends Global assessment of the territory Social engagement R&D Dissemina;on and promo;on
Gracias por su atención
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