RETURNING GRAZING LAND TO NATURE HELPS MORE THANWOLVES PAGE 4 WILD CANIDS AMONG US: CANWECOEXIST?PAGE 8 PROS AND CONS: THE 2017 MEXICAN WOLF ...
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Returning Grazing Land to Nature Helps More than Wolves PA G E 4 Wild Canids Among Us: Can We Coexist? PA G E 8 Pros and Cons: The 2017 Mexican Wolf Recovery Plan PA G E 1 2
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Pros and Cons: T he wild Mexican wolf population in the United States has been grow- ing, on average, 14 percent annu- ally since 2009. This strong growth proves the inaccuracy of population models from the 2010-2013 recovery team on which I served (with individuals from Michigan Tech University, Turner Endangered Species Fund, the National Park Service and others) and suggests caution in basing conclusions on those models. The 2017 survey detected all-time, record minimum numbers of wolves (114), packs (22), potential breeding pairs (26) and adult Mexican wolves (88) in the wild. Widespread claims of agency mismanagement and genetic crisis—claims made by scientists, media, wildlife associations and members of the public—are being muted by the successful progress of recovery. The 2010-2013 attempt to revise the recov- ery plan was based on what is now decade-old information and has been eclipsed by more cur- rent data. The 2017 Mexican Wolf Recovery Plan is based on analyses led by an independent, inter- nationally known endangered species population- Recovering viability expert with a group that included some former recovery team members. This latest effort used a more advanced, customized viability model Mexican Wolves with access to an updated pedigree. For more than two years, scientists updated all available data to determine what is needed for recovery. on a Solid Scientific The team used wild Mexican wolf data to update: effects of inbreeding, mortality rates, catastrophe prob- Foundation ability, percent of females breeding, pup production and historical range. Previous models were based on wolf mortality rates from the northern Rockies, but the current plan uses mortality rates from wild Mexican By JIM HEFFELFINGER wolves in the recovery areas. Previous analyses lacked the 15-plus years of data on percent of females breed- ing in the wild, considered in the current plan. The last recovery team estimated the effects of inbreeding with data from only 39 litters, but the current plan is based on 89 wild Mexican wolf litters from 1998-2014 (50 more litters and eight more years of data). Importantly, overall inbreed- Jacquelyn Fallon ing levels of wild-born pups are not increasing—data which conflicts with claims of a mounting genetic crisis. continued on page 14 12 Fall 2018 w w w. w o l f . o r g
The 2017 Mexican Wolf Recovery Plan AdobeStock / RbbrDckyBK T he 2017 Mexican wolf (Canis lupus baileyi) recovery plan is a long overdue update of the original 1982 plan. It calls for the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) to establish two genetically diverse populations in the subspecies’ core historical range. The southwestern United States is targeted for a population of ≥ 320 wolves and northern Mexico for a population of ≥ 200. FWS predicts that 25 to 35 years 2017 Mexican Wolf and $260 million will be required to establish those populations. Selection of habitat for the population in Recovery Plan: Mexico is not based on the best—or even good— science, but rather on political pressure. This was Really Good on made clear in the following reaction by Utah to an early draft of the plan, which indicated that, because suitable habitat in Mexico was lacking, Anti-Wolf Politics, the recovery region needed to be extended north to areas outside the subspecies’ historical range: Really Bad on Identification of areas outside the historic range of the sub-species as part of the recovery area…will be vigorously opposed (legally and politically) by the Utah Pro-Wolf Science Division of Wildlife Resources and the State of Utah. Notably, Utah did not indicate that opposition would be based on scientific grounds. Arizona, New Mexico BY MIKE PHILLIPS and Colorado adopted similar positions. The dogged press of political considerations by Arizona, New Mexico, Utah and Colorado ensured that the FWS would finalize the 2017 plan with undue reliance on continued on page 15 I n t e r n a t i o n a l Wo l f Fall 2018 13
Heffelfinger recovery occur mostly outside Mexico. make unsuitable the historical range continued from page 12 Some advocates with little knowledge of the Mexican wolf in a relevant time- of Mexico contradict the best avail- frame. Quality wolf habitat exists north The newest plan also takes into able science and first-hand knowledge of the Arctic Circle, but we must decide account the gradual phase-out of feed- of Mexican experts. A state-of-the-art how to restore the historical, ecological ing wolves to divert them from livestock analysis by a binational team identified role of Mexican wolves. Scientists have and includes realistic estimates of con- 28,635 square miles of high quality wolf recently warned of the perils of pushing nectivity between populations. Genetic habitat in Mexico; clearly Mexico will recovery north of historical range because diversity retention is addressed with play a vital role in recovery. The same two of genetic swamping by large wolves of objective, measurable and achievable large recovery areas of suitable habitat in Canadian origin that disperse from the criteria— not ambiguous references to Mexico were independently identified Rocky Mountains. (A Yellowstone wolf measurements of genetic diversity that in a jaguar recovery plan. Discounting already visited Arizona). will only lead to endless litigation about that information would contradict the We have binational recovery plans delisting. To date, human intolerance Endangered Species Act requirement for ocelot, jaguar, Sonoran pronghorn, has been limiting Mexican wolf recov- to use best available data in recovery thick-billed parrot, condor, masked bob- ery, not inbreeding depression. planning. white, Kemps-Ridley sea turtle and more; Members of the last Mexican wolf This updated habitat analysis includes why shouldn’t the Mexican wolf also recovery team asserted that recovery two measures of human-caused mortal- benefit from expansion across borders? will require three populations of 250 ity (road density and towns). Adding This recovery plan, based on updated Mexican wolves, but this was based on information on livestock distribution analyses far more complex and realistic theoretical genetic principles, and on the and protected areas would stack four than all previous versions, provides for outdated, obsolete model from 2010- redundant layers representing the same successful Mexican wolf recovery in its 2013. Despite these shortcomings, it is issue. Large tracts of private land with historical range. often misrepresented as a threshold for restricted access in Mexico have the Efforts are now appropriately focused successful recovery. The plan’s founda- same function as official land designa- on returning this small wolf subspecies tion is an accurate depiction of historical tions in the U.S. No other carnivore to its ecological role in the American range based on detailed skull and body recovery plan has a better representa- Southwest and Mexico. n measurements, historical records, genetic tion of relative distribution of prey on differences and measures of ecological the landscape; past efforts simply used Supporting Literature differentiation. a satellite image of green vegetation as (with links to full manuscripts) Federal regulations require that a substitute. Criticism that the analysis Mexican wolves be recovered in their lacks a measure of livestock density is a Harding, L. E., J. Heffelfinger, D. historical range unless it is “unsuitably and red herring, as no accurate records exist Paetkau, E. Rubin, J. Dolphin, A. irreversibly altered or destroyed.” Earlier on either side of the border. Aoude. 2016. Genetic management teams chose to ignore tens of thou- and setting recovery goals for Mexican Wolves have adapted to environments wolves (Canis lupus baileyi) in the wild. sands of square miles of suitable habi- from the Arctic to Arabia, and climate Biological Conservation 203:151-159. tat in Mexico, inappropriately insisting change is not going to alter, destroy or https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/ article/pii/S0006320716304256 Heffelfinger, J. R., R.M. Nowak, and D. Paetkau. 2017. Clarifying historical range to aid recovery of the Mexican wolf. Journal of Wildlife Management 81:766-777. https://onlinelibrary.wiley. com/doi/full/10.1002/jwmg.21252 Odell, E.A. Heffelfinger, J.R. Rosenstock, S.S., Bishop C.J., Liley, S., González-Bernal, A., Velasco, J.A., Martínez-Meyer, E. 2018. Perils of recovering the Mexican wolf outside of its historical range. Biological Conservation 220:290-298. https://doi. org/10.1016/j.biocon.2018.01.020 Jim Heffelfinger is the Wildlife Science Larry Lamsa At only 25–32 inches tall, the Mexican gray wolf is smaller than its Coordinator for the Arizona Game and cousin, the gray wolf, with a coat of buff, gray, rust and black. Fish Department. 14 Fall 2018 w w w. w o l f . o r g
Phillips continued from page 13 a woefully inadequate habitat-suit- ability model. The model relies on correlation between climatic and vegetative fac- tors, and locations where Mexican wolves were collected historically to identify suitable habitat for recovery. FWS and the states justify this reliance by opin- ing that Mexican wolves evolved to be precisely adapted to the narrow range of habitat present within the subspe- cies’ core historical range in Mexico. That opinion, however, is undermined by 1) good science which indicates that wolves are broadly adaptable to climatic and vegetative conditions, and 2) the Jacquelyn Fallon FWS’s longstanding effort to restore the subspecies to Arizona and New Mexico where such conditions differ from those in Mexico. More important, the model is woe- fully inadequate because of its disregard for aspects of wolf habitat that good sci- ence deems essential to recovery: limited and managing wolves across millions of failure of science-informed planning density of livestock, adequate density acres of private land necessary to sup- and leadership by FWS simply for the of wild prey, and large tracts of public port ≥ 200 animals. sake of political expediency. land where human-caused mortality is Although the U.S. public supports Much of the 2017 Mexican wolf typically low. wolf recovery, anti-wolf groups hold recovery plan is based on the state’s Based on the flawed habitat model, immense political influence in Colorado, desire to assign to Mexico as much of the 2017 plan targets 38 percent of Arizona, New Mexico, and Utah. These the burden of Mexican wolf recovery as recovery on an area in Mexico domi- groups were well served by the scien- possible—not the best available science. nated by small tracts of private property tific gloss the habitat model gives to the It is worse than a poor replacement for with abundant livestock and unknown recovery plan, and by the disastrous the 1982 plan. Deeply discounting the numbers of native prey, and where decision to exclude from it the high- cardinal role of wolf-livestock interac- wildlife protection laws are irregularly quality habitat of the Grand Canyon and tions and importance of land ownership enforced and access and safety for field Southern Rockies ecoregions of north- ensures that FWS will waste precious personnel are concerns. The FWS would ern Arizona/southern Utah and north- time and millions of dollars, all the while never target such an area in the U.S. for ern New Mexico/southern Colorado, failing to recover Canis lupus baileyi. n wolf recovery. respectively. Reliance on the model is already prov- If politics demanded that FWS Mike Phillips has served as the executive ing problematic. Free-ranging Mexican initially focus on marginal habitat in director of the Turner Endangered Species wolves in Mexico are routinely fed artifi- Mexico by adopting a habitat suitability Fund and senior advisor to the Turner cially to promote survival by minimizing model that discounts the importance Biodiversity Divisions since he co-founded both with Ted Turner in 1997. Before that conflicts with livestock. Such “diver- of livestock and land ownership, then Mike worked for the U.S. Fish and sionary feeding” is required because of the agency should at least have defined Wildlife Service and National Park abundant livestock and relatively scarce a recovery region that also included Service leading efforts to restore red wild prey, suggesting that the area is not these two ecoregions. Such an approach wolves to the southeastern U.S. and gray suitable despite being identified as such would have facilitated progress once wolves to the Yellowstone Park. Mike has by the habitat model. The shortcomings the inevitable shortcomings of habitat served in the Montana legislature since of the model will become even more in Mexico became undeniable to even 2006, and will hold his Senate seat apparent as biologists strive to expand the most ardent opponents to recovery. through 2020. recovery in Mexico, completing a record Failure to advance such a common- number of initial releases and monitoring sense approach to recovery represents a I n t e r n a t i o n a l Wo l f Fall 2018 15
WOLF EXPERTS FROM 19 COUNTRIES SHARING 100 PRESENTATIONS Concurrent, Poster, Plenary and Keynote WOLVES IN A CHANGING WORLD OCTOBER 11–14, 2018 MINNEAPOLIS, MN USA
THE LAST GREAT WOLF RESTORATION – COLORADO A presentation on the concept of reintroducing wolves to Colorado, BANQUET focusing on attributes and challenges. Attributes • Prey base KEYNOTE may include: • Amount of public land available • Varying eco-regions (high deserts, mountains, etc.) MIKE PHILLIPS Challenges include • Livestock grazing interests/public grazing allotments factors such as: • Conflicting positions among special-interest groups, politicians and USFWS • Legislatively sanctioned, nationwide delisting of wolves as endangered PLENARY SESSIONS PANELS Isle Royale Red Wolves, Eastern Wolves and A panel of four will present a other Canis Mixes in Eastern Wolves of the World summary of ups and downs, and North America: Taxonomic validity Speakers from regions around the and challenges to recovery changing conditions affecting wolves world, including Asia, Europe, and trophic systems over 56-plus A panel of five will discuss topics Canada, the Canadian Arctic and years of research on Isle Royale. related to eastern canids, including the United States and Mexico, will They will also address the ways in implications for the U.S. Fish and cover topics that include progress which reintroduction of wolves Wildlife Service if science reorganizes of recovery in each region, politics would benefit a future Isle Royale North American canid species and in place to ensure a viable popula- ecosystem, given the uncertainties of declares the red wolf synonymous tion, issues and problems that future contributions by ice bridges, with eastern wolves, or declares may need to be addressed. weather patterns, random population it a variant of gray wolves. events, herbivory and other factors Ellesmere that influence this island system. SPECIAL PRESENTATION A series of speakers will discuss the Wolf Depredation Control on Livestock 20-Plus Years of Wolves in Yellowstone wolves inhabiting Ellesmere Island and the Canadian Arctic Archipelago, A panel of experts representing Doug Smith, project leader for focusing on observations at dens various viewpoints will discuss wolf the Wolf Restoration Project in and other aspects of pack life, and depredation conflict management. Yellowstone and Emmy Award including a historical summary of Agencies, field agents, a wolf winning cinematographer Bob Landis Dr. L. David Mech’s two-decade study. advocate and a livestock producer will present the history of wolves will discuss key problems and in Yellowstone since their Michipicoten Island the latest news, and find areas of reintroduction in 1995. An overview of geography, species agreement and disagreement. history, human disturbances DEBATE and recent studies of caribou, Mexican Wolf Recovery Plan wolves and beaver. A debate between Mike Phillips, who will discuss and challenge the current Mexican Wolf Recovery Plan and Jim deVos, who will defend it.
Gray wolves in Mongolia: changing Risk effects of wolves on free-ranging attitudes and current research livestock: Can prey-gut microbiome PRESENTER Uuganbayar Ganbold, predict stress response in biologist and anti-poaching protection predator–prey interactions? manager, Hustai Nuruu National Park, PRESENTER Azzurra Valerio, Mongolia ashington State University, W Olympia, Washington Gray wolves in Estonia: an overview of population genetics and Adaptive use of nonlethal strategies for hybridization with domestic dogs minimizing wolf–livestock conflict PRESENTER Liivi Plumer, PRESENTER Suzanne Stone, Department of Zoology, Institute of Ecology Northwest Senior Field Representative, and Earth Sciences, University of Tartu, Defenders of Wildlife, Boise, Idaho Harjumaa, Estonia SAMPLING OF Quantifying the diet of the Alexander Challenges in wolf management in Croatia PRESENTATIONS Archipelago wolf in southeast Alaska using molecular methods PRESENTER Djuro Huber, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, PRESENTER Aimee Massey, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon; Alaska Department of Fish and Game The future of wolf poisoning programs in Canada Through the eyes of a wolf: quantifying PRESENTER Hannah Barron, and classifying the complexities of olf Awareness, Inc., W facial signaling in wolves Golder, British Columbia, Canada PRESENTER Elana Hobkirk, Durham University, Durham, United Kingdom AUSTRALIA BRAZIL CROATIA ESTONIA JAPAN AUSTRIA CANADA DENMARK INDIA MONGOLIA NORWAY POLAND SLOVAKIA SWEDEN UNITED KINGDOM JOIN US at the MINNEAPOLIS MARRIOTT NORTHWEST 7025 Northland Dr N, Brooklyn Park, MN 55428 | www.marriott.com PAKISTAN POTUGAL SPAIN SWITZERLAND USA Comfort and convenience are right on target at Minneapolis Marriott Northwest. Providing easy access to The Shoppes at Arbor Lakes, this all-suite hotel in Brooklyn Park is the perfect place to stay during the symposium. Spread out in upscale accommodations with private sleeping areas, or wrap up work obligations using ergonomic workstations and high-speed Wi-Fi. Symposium registrants will receive a special conference rate of $119 plus tax (includes complimentary WiFi). To book your room, go to wolf.org, click on Programs/International Wolf Symposium/Lodging. If you prefer to reserve your room over the phone, call Dana Madich at: 763-536-3332.
Functional response of wolves to human REGISTRATION development across boreal Canada Registration includes 3 breakfasts, 2 lunches, a PRESENTER Marco Musiani, reception, all daily break refreshments and materials. Department of Biological Sciences, Faculty of Science and Faculty of Veterinary Rates go up Sept. 1 Medicine, University of Calgary, To register or for more information: Calgary, Alberta, Canada Registration fees Wolf tracks at the doorstep: A 1-year cycle of wolf behavior close International Wolf Center Member. . . . $424 to houses in Scandinavia After Sept. 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $450 PRESENTER Barbara Zimmermann, Non-member. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $474 > Not a member? Scandinavian Wolf Research Project, After Sept. 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $500 Join today at Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, www.wolf.org/support/ Koppang, Norway membership/ Student registration. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $299 An 18-year spatial and temporal analysis of colonizing gray wolves (Canis lupus) in disjunct population Dietary niche overlap between Winter predation patterns of wolves PRESENTER Theresa Simpson, wolves, coyotes, and hybrids in in northwestern Wyoming University of Wisconsin-La Crosse, a 3-species hybrid zone PRESENTER Susannah Woodruff, La Crosse, Wisconsin PRESENTER John Benson, Regional research coordinator, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Alaska Department of Fish and Game Shooting wolves: photographs and Lincoln, Nebraska the reconfiguration of the wolf Humans and their role in shaping in nonfiction for children Ecology of the Indian gray wolf the ecological functions of wolves PRESENTER Debra Mitts-Smith, (Canis lupus pallipes) in the Suleman PRESENTER Thomas Newsome, School of Information Sciences faculty Range, South Waziristan, Pakistan University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia member at the University of Illinois PRESENTER Abdul Hamid, epartment of Wildlife Management, D Challenging the wildlife decision- Wolves at Our Door: results of 4-year Pir Mehr Ali Shah Arid Agriculture University, making infrastructure Minnesota education program initiative Rawalpindi, Pakistan PRESENTER Walter Medwid, PRESENTER Misi Stine, Vermont Wildlife Coalition, Newport, Vermont Project Coordinator, Wolves at our Door, Competition on two legs and four: International Wolf Center, Impacts of wolf-cougar co-occurrence on Minneapolis, Minnesota Scent-marking and biometeorology: resource selection and survival across An analysis of behavior across canid an anthropogenic gradient species Gray Wolf (Canis lupus), Are livestock-guarding dogs a viable tool PRESENTER Lauren Satterfield, Red Wolf (Canis rufus), and for preventing damages in open-range University of Washington, Seattle, Washington Coyote (Canis latrans) livestock? A case study from Portugal PRESENTER Hannah Jones, PRESENTER Francisco Petrucci-Fonseco, Individuality in habitat use of Groupo Lobo, Lisbon, Portugal ardin-Simmons University, Abilene, Texas H Scandinavian wolves in relation to anthropogenic infrastructure Patterns of niche partitioning and overlap Do novel scavenging opportunities PRESENTER David Carricondo-Sanches, or risk of interspecific killing by between sympatric wolves AUSTRALIA and snow BRAZIL InlandCROATIA ESTONIA Norway University of Applied Sciences, JAPAN wolves influence occupancy and activity leopards in the mountains of central Asia Koppang,Norway PRESENTER Shannon Kachel, patterns of smaller carnivores? University of Washington, Seattle, Washington PRESENTER David Keiter, AUSTRIA CANADA DENMARK INDIA University of Nebraska, MONGOLIA School of Natural Resources NORWAY POLAND SLOVAKIA SWEDEN UNITED KINGDOM PAKISTAN POTUGAL SPAIN SWITZERLAND USA
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