OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View
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OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Avison Young August 2020 AUGUST 2020
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Contents Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................................................. 1 1. Introduction and Strategic Context .................................................................................................................... 1 2. Current Policy Context .......................................................................................................................................... 8 3. Industrial Land Supply ..........................................................................................................................................15 4. Market Demand and Needs ...............................................................................................................................23 5. Future Demand.....................................................................................................................................................34 6. Need for the floorspace proposed ....................................................................................................................40 7. Economic Benefits Assessment ...........................................................................................................................49 Prepared By: Chijioke Anosike, Bart Monhonval, James Morris, Martyn Saunders Status: Final Submission Version Draft Date: August 2020 For and on behalf of Avison Young (UK) Limited Date: July 2020
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Executive Summary • Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council (“The Council”) recognise that there is great potential for world class business activity to be served across its local economy. The Council’s planning evidence indicates a number of policies which advocate for the development of employment land. • This report highlights that market demand outstrips market supply for industrial land, specifically for distribution and logistics activity. • The floorspace target for storage and distribution land over the plan period is 122,000 sqm (Local Plan). Additionally, our analysis has highlighted the need for circa 185,000 sqm of distribution and warehousing space up to 2040. • It is clear that the pipeline supply of storage and distribution floorspace (both in terms of land allocations and planning consents) falls well below the 122,000 sqm required over the plan period, as set out within the Local Plan. • Oakdown Farm presents a significant opportunity for the Council to achieve their employment and economic growth aspirations and diversifying its employment land stock. • Moreover, of the small number of sites coming forward, no single opportunity presents a comparable scale of development or level of connectivity as Oakdown Farm. Meaning it not only provides a viable location for the proposed activity, in doing so it would not divert future demand away from existing sites or allocations. In this regard it represents a considerable net gain for the borough. • The proposed development can help provide the capacity that ensures future demand is not frustrated by a lack of capacity. • By diversifying the employment land stock of the borough, the proposed development will achieve significant economic growth and job creation. • It is expected that the Oakdown Farm development could deliver up to 734 direct jobs and generate an annual direct GVA of circa £44.5m. • Additionally, the development will generate indirect benefits, through the creation of jobs down its supply chain. In total, the development could create 1,027 jobs and generate £62m of GVA per annum. • The range of jobs provided will offer different opportunities for local residents, from entry level through to skilled technical and managerial roles. Potential occupier sectors have historically demonstrated significant career development opportunities and skills advancement, providing real opportunities across the current workforce of the borough. • Overall, the proposed development of Oakdown Farm presents a major opportunity to support the achievement of the Council’s stated economic objectives. Date: July 2020 Page: 1
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment 1. Introduction and Strategic Context 1.1 Avison Young have been appointed by Newlands Developments to provide an Employment Land and Economic Assessment to help support the preparation of a masterplan and planning application for major new land allocation to the south of Basingstoke – referred to as Oakdown Farm. 1.2 The site currently is undesignated agricultural land and has not previously been allocated as a site for employment development, however its development potential is identified in the Council’s current employment land evidence base. 1.3 There is a strong industrial market in Basingstoke and the supply of land and floorspace is not keeping pace with demand, particularly in locations which offer ‘optimal’ conditions for occupiers (i.e. with excellent access to the M3). Supply in the Basingstoke and Deane District is either limited or not in the most appropriate locations for occupiers. As such an opportunity exists for the District Council to build on this market momentum and unlock significant economic benefits for the area, help secure the future growth of the market and support the wider approach to inclusive growth for the District area. A Strategically Important Economic Hub 1.4 The site lies in a critically important location within the Enterprise M3 Local Enterprise Partnership (EM3 LEP) area, sitting directly off the M3, in close proximity to Basingstoke, the largest town within the county of Hampshire. The site is conveniently located for access to London, the south coast, the ports of Southampton and Portsmouth, and the M4/ M3 corridors. These factors underpin the large unmet storage and distribution potential in the area. Date: July 2020 Page: 1
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Figure 1: Enterprise M3 Local Enterprise Partnership Source: EM3 LEP 1.5 The influence and impact of these strategic connections is particularly striking for larger distribution and storage units in the South West. CoStar Data, as presented in Figure 2, shows clusters of this type of units around major transportation hubs (Heathrow Airport on one hand and the ports that are located on the south coast such as Portsmouth, Southampton and Plymouth on the other) as key arrival points for goods into the UK, and the M4 and M3 corridors which act as onward distributors to both business and resident populations in the south of the country. Figure 2: Distribution and Storage (above 50,000sqft) Source: CoStar, March 2020 Date: July 2020 Page: 2
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment 1.6 Basingstoke is located half-way between Heathrow Airport and Southampton Harbour and about 1 hour away from Gatwick Airport, Portsmouth Harbour and Poole Harbour. Table 1: Travelling Time and Distance from Basingstoke Miles Time (mins) Heathrow Airport 36 33 Gatwick Airport 60 62 Portsmouth Harbour 40 49 Poole Harbour 58 70 Southampton Harbour 26 33 Dover Harbour 125 123 Plymouth Harbour 162 182 Source: Avison Young, based on Google Map (March 2020) 1.7 The LEP recognises, in its Local Industrial Strategy (LIS) published in August 2019, the importance of growing the region through maximising access to global markets through ports and airports and the potential of the sub- regional economies associated with those gateways. 1.8 The analysis of employment by sector, published in the LIS, shows that the Transport and Storage sector has seen the largest growth in employment over the period going from 2013 to 2018 as a proportion of total employment. This sector employed 25,175 people in 2018 in the EM3 LEP area. 1.9 Whilst the Transport and Storage sector remains a small contributor to the total economy of the EM3 LEP area (providing circa 3.3% of all employment in the area), the sector is fast growing and is essential in supporting the growth of other sector activities and ensuring the high level of productivity of those sectors. 1.10 Based on the LIS, EM3 is a highly productive economy ranking 5th highest in terms of GVA per head at £31,952. 1.11 The LIS establishes that the LEP area includes a population of 1.52 million people, 89,700 businesses, 2 county councils and 14 district authorities generating £49 billion GVA for the UK economy. The EM3 area is globally competitive with knowledge, digital and design-based economy including high value sectors such as: space and satellite; aerospace and defence; digital and cyber security; life sciences and med-tech; and 'createch' (creativity and technology, including gaming). It is home to two Universities; Surrey and Winchester; and has important research and innovation institutions such as the Pirbright Institute as well as research-based businesses at Southampton Science Park and Surrey Research Park. 1.12 Basingstoke has been ranked as the number one place in the UK for the digital economy by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), building on the town’s reputation as part of the area’s ‘tech corridor’. It is also recognised as an excellent place for inward investment by Local Futures, which ranked Basingstoke as being in the top three local authority areas in the country to base a business in as a result of the high levels of productivity, excellent business survival rates and the number of knowledge driven businesses based in the area. Date: July 2020 Page: 3
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Site and Spatial Context 1.13 The site area is outlined below in Figure 3. The site encompasses approximately 87.44 acres (35.39 hectares) of agricultural land. Figure 3: The Oakdown Farm site Avison Young Schedule of Areas, 2020 1.14 The site is located within the Parish of Dummer, which is located in the south eastern portion of Basingstoke and Deane Borough. Dummer Parish is one of the smaller Parish Councils in Basingstoke and Deane. Figure 4, shows an enlarged policy map with the site area highlighted in yellow. Date: July 2020 Page: 4
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Figure 4: Basingstoke and Deane Policy Map Source: Basingstoke and Deane Council, 2020 1.15 Figure 5 shows the parish boundary map of Basingstoke and Deane, again with the site identified in yellow. Figure 5: Basingstoke and Deane Parish Boundary Map Source: Basingstoke and Deane Council, 2020 1.16 Oakdown Farm (highlighted in Figure 6 in white with a red border) is located approximately 5 miles south of Basingstoke town centre and is bordered by the M3 running south towards Southampton and north to Central Date: July 2020 Page: 5
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment London. The Site also adjoins the A30, providing strategic links to Basingstoke to the North, and to the South West region. Figure 6: Spatial Context Source: Avison Young, 2020 1.17 Table 2 provides the schedule of accommodation proposed for the site at Oakdown Farm, whilst Figure 7 provides the current masterplan associated with the schedule of accommodation. 1.18 Oakdown Farm incorporates c.265,000 sqm of floorspace in total on a 35ha site, of which c.105,500 sqm would be at ground floor level, with the opportunity for significant ‘upper floor’ space within Unit 1 to enable a range of e-commerce occupiers to consider the site given the strength in demand in this sub-sector. Table 2: Oakdown Farm Schedule of Accommodation (sqm) Warehouse Office Total 217,954 Unit 1 0 217,954 (58,561 GF) * Unit 2 26,477 1,859 28,335 Unit 3 11,205 625 11,830 Unit 4 9,250 515 9,765 264,886 Total 2,999 267,884 (105,493 GF) * (at ground floor level) Source: UMC Architects, 2020 Date: July 2020 Page: 6
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Figure 7: Oakdown Farm Masterplan Source: UMC Architects, 2020 Date: July 2020 Page: 7
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment 2. Current Policy Context 2.1 The starting point for understanding both the economic opportunity for growth in the industrial/warehouse sector and the need to provide additional land to accommodate it is to consider the existing policy and evidence base that is shaping the future of the economy in the Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council area, and more locally within Dummer Parish. 2.2 To develop this understanding further to consider sub-regional needs beyond the borough boundary this report uses the geographical zone of the Basingstoke-Andover Functional Economic Market Area (FEMA) as identified by the LEP in its analysis of the area’s industrial economy. It should be noted that the relevance of this FEMA has been questioned in the Council’s own economic evidence base and is therefore not a universally recognised market area. 2.3 In doing this, the analysis of policy and evidence base can be split into two distinct sub-sections: Local planning policy, and Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP) strategy. These will be addressed in turn. Local Planning Policy 2.4 The variety of planning policy documents applicable to the local and sub-regional market helps to define the current nature of the wider employment area. It also establishes the parameters for growth and change within which the Masterplan will sit. 2.5 The following subsection focusses on the key local and national planning policy documents which ultimately will guide the future of study area. This includes: • NPPF (2019) • NPPG (2019) • Strategic Housing and Economic Land Availability Assessment (2019) • Planning Obligation for Infrastructure Supplementary Planning Document (2018) • Basingstoke and Deane Local Plan (2016) • Dummer Village Design Statement (2004) National Planning Policy Framework (2019) 2.6 The National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) (2019) is a document that both guides the writing of Local Plans across the United Kingdom and provides a framework for housing and other development to be produced. Chapter 2 titled ‘Achieving sustainable development’ states that economic objectives “help build a strong, responsive and competitive economy, by ensuring that sufficient land of the right types is available in the right places and at the right time to support growth, innovation and improved productivity; and by identifying and coordinating the provision of infrastructure” (8.a). To be considered appropriate for development it is therefore vital that there is evidenced need for development, through this report we aim to provide such evidence to demonstrate that Oakdown Farm is capable of supplying land which can aid local and strategic economic growth. Date: July 2020 Page: 8
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment National Planning Policy Guidance (2019) 2.7 The National Planning Policy Guidance (NPPG) provides a range of specific guidance and strategy related to the plan making process. It provides guidance on how to ensure sufficient land exists to support future growth by outlining the need for a ‘Housing and economic land availability assessment’, its aim is to identify “a future supply of land which is suitable, available and achievable for housing and economic development uses over the plan period”. It states that an assessment should: • identify sites and broad locations with potential for development; • assess their development potential; and • assess their suitability for development and the likelihood of development coming forward (the availability and achievability). 2.8 In regards to any proposed development on Oakdown Farm, the Council have completed such an assessment (see below) which identifies the potential opportunity for the site to meet future economic needs. Strategic Housing and Economic Land Availability Assessment (2019) 2.9 The Strategic Housing and Economic Land Availability Assessment (SHELAA) is a document which identifies “sites with the potential for housing or employment”; its aim is to “assess how many homes or floorspace they could provide” and “assess when they could be developed”. This document provides the evidence to inform decision making on “future housing and employment development”. 2.10 The Parish of Dummer has been listed to potentially provide 640 homes (excluding planning permissions) over the next 10 years. More specifically, in Appendix 5 of the SHELAA Oakdown Farm is listed as a site identified outside the Settlement Policy Boundaries (site reference DUM004). Appendix 5 states that economic “viability of the site may be affected by the need for environmental and highways assessments, minor upgrades to the existing site access from the A30 and A30/Winchester Road junction, and a potential new roundabout forming a second access.” Overall SHELAA’s Appendix 5 concludes that the Oakdown Farm is likely to be developed as long as it “complies with the borough’s current planning framework”. Planning Obligation for Infrastructure Supplementary Planning Document (2018) 2.11 The Planning Obligation for Infrastructure Supplementary Planning Document (SPD) is a document that aims to enable development proposals to meet the needs of local communities from developer section 106 and Community Infrastructure Levy contributions. Under the ‘Employment and Skills’ section, the SPD states that “warehouse and industrial schemes of 2,000m2 floorspace or greater” are required to provide quality apprenticeships, training and employment for local residents depending on the scale of a particular development. 2.12 As shown later in this report the proposed development and its potential occupiers have a track record in providing such career opportunities and supporting local residents into work and with their onwards progression. Date: July 2020 Page: 9
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Basingstoke and Deane Local Plan (2016) 2.13 The Basingstoke and Deane Local Plan is a planning document which outlines the Council’s strategic policies for growth between 2011 to 2029. Paragraph 7, ‘Economic Development’, makes clear that the aim of the “Local Plan is to maintain and enhance the borough’s position as a prosperous economic centre”. The Local Plan recognises that there is a market demand for new industrial and storage distribution premises and identifies that over the plan period (2011-2029), Basingstoke will require up to 122,000 sqm of storage and distribution floorspace. The Borough mentions 16 Strategic Employment Areas for employment uses. 2.14 The Local Plan states the aim of supporting the creation of between 450-700 jobs per annum (8,100-12,600 during the plan period – 2011-2029). The Plan goes on and states that inward investment will be enabled by allocating new employment site or sites for storage and distribution uses in a subsequent Development Plan Document. 2.15 The Local Plan will support opportunities to develop the following key employment sectors: • Specialist/advanced manufacturing (including research and development) • Financial and business services in Basingstoke town centre and the established office locations of Basing View, Chineham Business Park (including Hampshire International Business Park) and Viables • Storage and distribution in suitable locations 2.16 Policy EP1 mentions that development proposals for storage and distribution floorspace, outside of the existing Strategic Employment Areas, which come forward in advance of a subsequent DPD, will be permitted which are: • Able to successfully mitigate the landscape impact, which will include the provision of sufficient space for appropriate soft landscaping/green infrastructure, appropriate location of development within the site, and utilise a design, and layout of built form and use of materials in order to ensure that any landscape impacts are minimised; • Compatible with any neighbouring uses, including residential properties; • For the provision of high quality floorspace; • Well related to the strategic road network and easily accessible for HGV’s; • Capable of being provided without having a severe highways impact; • Able to successfully mitigate the impact of the development on the character of nearby settlements; and • Able to demonstrate there is a proven need for the floorspace proposed 2.17 For the purposes of Policy EP1 an ‘employment use’ includes the B Class uses i.e. B1 business (including offices), B2 general industry and B8 storage/distribution uses. The policy sets out the strategic approach to employment development in the borough. Date: July 2020 Page: 10
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment 2.18 Dummer has no sites that are listed as a Strategic Employment Areas, nonetheless the local plan states that “to meet the identified and forecast needs for the storage and distribution sector, the council will need to identify sites for such uses. This will be achieved through the production of a subsequent Development Plan Document”. This clearly indicates that the borough’s land requirements cannot be met through the current allocations and that new Strategic Employment Areas will be required in order to provide sufficient storage and distribution land. 2.19 As demonstrated in this Report, Oakdown Farm can provide the conditions that meet the needs of the storage and distribution sector and therefore is suitable to be considered as a new Strategic Employment Area to help the borough meet is identified requirements. Economic Needs Assessment (2018) 2.20 The Economic Needs Assessment aims to support future economic development in the Borough and places an emphasis on the need to ensure there is future provision of industrial stock within the borough. 2.21 The document states: “There is a strong industrial market in Basingstoke with current demand outstripping supply. Supply is currently constrained due to the lack of suitable available sites. Development is occurring in a piecemeal fashion, but these are on existing redundant employment sites that are available on a freehold basis. Where redundant sites are on a long leasehold basis this is potentially hindering their redevelopment.” Given the level of demand it is unlikely that re-development of existing sites will be sufficient to meet all of the demand for industrial space and new sites are required. Releasing new sites will benefit the market in following ways: • Preserve existing estates – prevent the loss of general industrial from redevelopment for storage and distribution uses. • Capture inward investment opportunities. • Retain existing business by providing suitable accommodation. This is both by providing higher- quality premises, and by delivering larger units to support their growth. Relocations to new property will free up other existing stock for refurbishment/redevelopment for other occupiers. Agents indicated that junctions 6 and 7 of the M3 would be the strongest strategic locations for storage and distribution use. New sites would also need to be of sufficient size to fit larger units with adequate yard space. During consultation with agents, there were varying reports on exactly how much land would be required to meet the demands of the industrial market. The quoted figures were wide ranging – from 25 to 100 acres (10- 40 ha).” 2.22 Based on the above it can be seem that development on Oakdown Farm can be used to match the industrial supply needed in the Borough. Oakdown Farm is approximately 35.5 hectares, which is within the size range quoted by the above agents to meet industrial demand. Critically it also provides the direct access to the M3 that agents reported were essential for future development in this sector. Date: July 2020 Page: 11
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment 2.23 The local plan states that inward investment will be enabled by “allocating new employment site or sites for storage and distribution uses in a subsequent Development Plan Document”, this supports the opportunity at Oakdown Farm, which can attract ‘footloose’ businesses to the borough and help Basingstoke and Deane achieve their job creation target of 450-700 jobs per annum over the plan period (2001-2029). Dummer Village Design Statement (2004) 2.24 The Dummer Village Design Statement (VDS) is a document written by the Dummer Parish Council and highlights some of the characteristic, features and qualities that residents value in their local area. When describing Dummer’s context, the VDS states that “some light industry has been developed through farm building redevelopment – Manor Farm has provision for some offices and workshops, as does Oakdown Farm”. The Dummer VDS does not discuss much on the future economy nor does it discuss details on employment matters - however it does not specifically rule any future development of this kind. Skills and Employment Strategy 2.25 There is no specific Borough evidence document on skills and employment, however the Basingstoke and Deane local plan states one of the eight corporate priorities is to “increase skills and employment”. The local plan aims to create an economy where “residents can readily improve their skills and play their part in and benefit from the area’s prosperity.” Furthermore, as the Borough aims to create 450-700 jobs per annum over the plan period (2001-2029), the Oakdown Farm development is an excellent opportunity to both provide jobs as well as upskill local residents in the Basingstoke and Deane area. Local Enterprise Partnership Context 2.26 There are 38 Local Enterprise Partnerships across England. They are business led partnerships between local authorities and local private sector businesses. They play a central role in determining local economic priorities and undertaking activities to drive economic growth and job creation, improve infrastructure and raise workforce skills within the local area. Working for a Smarter Future – The Enterprise M3 Strategic Economic Plan (2014-2020) 2.27 The Strategic Economic Plan (SEP) is a forward-looking plan that will help address the consequences of growth whilst building on economic strengths and harnessing the potential in one of the fastest growing economies in the UK in a coherent and coordinated way. 2.28 It is based on a bottom-up approach following consultations with the public, private and not-for-profit sectors and builds on the Enterprise M3 Strategy for Growth published in May 2013. It also presents an overarching view of a wider, co-ordinated programme of activities for Enterprise M3. This includes activities being undertaken with a wide range of local partners to refine the European Structural and Investment Fund Strategy (EUSIF), which was submitted to government in January 2014, and activities in relation to the £21.7m invested in infrastructure projects through our Growing Enterprise Fund. 2.29 Through Innovation and Enterprise activities, the LEP aims to support the creation of 200 new high growth companies, 8,000 additional jobs and £2 billion of new export markets from businesses in the Enterprise M3 area. Date: July 2020 Page: 12
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment 2.30 In regard to Oakdown Farm, this presents an opportunity for new companies to be created which can become tenants on any potential industrial development on Oakdown Farm. The Enterprise M3 advocates a ’Sci:Tech’ corridor, and specifically states “certain broad sectors of the economy such as information & communications, pharmaceuticals, and distribution” as the Sci:Tech corridor’s strengths which present “exceptional opportunities to further strengthen a successful local economy and make a significant contribution to UK growth”. Oakdown Farm can play a significant role in meeting that aspiration by attracting inward investment by providing a type of development that is not currently available to businesses looking to locate in the area. Local Industrial Strategy – Developing our Approach 2.31 Local Industrial Strategies (LIS), led by Mayoral Combined Authorities or Local Enterprise Partnerships promote the coordination of local economic policy and national funding streams and establish new ways of working between national and local government, and the public and private sectors. 2.32 The LEP outlines nine strategic priorities for the area in its Local Industrial Strategy (LIS). Three of these are key drivers for updates and improvements to the distribution network. • ‘A gateway region’ focusses on ‘Growing our region through maximising access to global markets through our ports and airports and the potential of the sub-regional economies associated with those gateways.’ Central to this is access to business supply chains, mobility and connectivity. • ‘Smart mobility’ calls for ‘Better and more efficient connections between businesses and their staff, supply chains and markets to enhance productivity and new approaches to mobility that suit the needs of residents and the nature of our area.’ • ‘Exporting’ supports ‘Increasing the number of companies and the volumes of goods and services being exported to increase demand and stimulate investment.’ 2.33 The above three strategic priorities collectively create a conducive environment for industrial development to emerge in Oakdown Farm. Improving business supply chain, whilst ensuring efficient transport connections as well as increasing exporting can all be achieved through an innovative distribution and storage development, which Oakdown Farm proposes. Summary and conclusion 2.34 The importance of growth in employment within the industrial, and more specifically the distribution, sector is recognised across all levels of policy, as is the need for appropriate land to be provided to ensure demand is not frustrated by a lack of supply. 2.35 There is a clear recognition in local policy and evidence that the borough lacks sufficient land to accommodate forecast demand from the storage and distribution sector and that new (additional) sites need to be identified. Date: July 2020 Page: 13
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment 2.36 Policy and strategy recognise that to be successful any sites proposed for development need to provide the appropriate scale of land and premises and marry this with strategic accessibility to enable businesses to service multiple markets. 2.37 When considered against this policy direction there is a clear need, justification and requirement for Oakdown Farm to come forward for development in order to enable the Council to fulfil its growth objectives. Date: July 2020 Page: 14
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment 3. Industrial Land Supply 3.1 To understand whether there is a justified need for Oakdown Farm to come forward for development it is critical to understand the current employment land portfolio and consider whether it is capable and suitable of meeting the needs of all economic activities going forward. 3.2 To develop this understanding, we have used the Basingstoke and Deane Economic Needs Assessment (February 2018) to analyse employment land supply in the area. This will enable us to begin to understand how current land supply might address future needs, particularly in the large-scale logistics sector. The study supports the Council’s commitment within the Local Plan (2016) to review the need for land to be allocated for storage and distribution (B8) but also updates the Borough’s wider employment land and economic evidence. 3.3 In line with the approach taken in the Basingstoke and Deane Economic Needs Assessment, the industrial uses have been split into B1c, B2 and B8 uses. Whilst the focus of this report is on storage and distribution activity (B8), it is recognised that permitted development rights allow for some level of fluidity between industrial use- classes. As such, the inclusion of all uses sanctioned with permitted change provides a comprehensive overview of the existing industrial supply base. Whilst the storage and distribution supply figures outlined below set a minimum floor-space supply figure, it is worth considering the potential impact of future changes of use from B1c and B2 on the figures provided. 3.4 For allocated sites where available site areas are recorded in hectares, the Basingstoke and Deane Economic Needs Assessment (February 2016) assumed a 40% plot ratio to develop a floorspace figure. 3.5 The portfolio of currently available land, and soon to be available land, is as follows: Table 3: Existing Industrial Land Supply (B1c and B2 Uses) Permission or Available site Net floorspace Location Address allocation area (ha) gain (sqm) Chineham Larchwood, Crockford Lane Permission 10,721 Lutyens Close, Lychpit Permission 2,550 Andwell Trout Farm, Hook Permission 548 Daneshill East May & Schofield Ltd, Stroudley Rd Permission 533 Lane End Farm, East Woodhay Permission 720 Viables Jays Close Allocation 1.2 4,800 Viables Jays Close/Hatchwarren Lane Allocation 0.62 2,480 Viables Land at Jays Close Allocation 0.65 2,600 Ardglen, Emerging Whitchurch Land north of Ardglen Rd allocation 4,000 TOTAL 28,952 Source: Basingstoke and Deane Economic Needs Assessment Feb 2018 Date: July 2020 Page: 15
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Table 4: Existing Storage and Distribution Land Supply (B8 Use) Permission or Available site Net floorspace Location Address allocation area (ha) gain (sqm) Brighton Hill Marbaix House, Wella Road Permission 2,744 Macmillan & Co Ltd, Brunel Houndmills Permission 10,050 Rd (Logistics City) Cranes Rd, Sherborne St Non-Allocated Site Permission 420 John TOTAL 13,214 Source: Basingstoke and Deane Economic Needs Assessment Feb 2018 3.6 Whilst the figures outlined above set the supply figures in February 2018, it is important to analyse the impact of planning permissions since this date on the overall industrial supply floorspace figures. All planning consents for industrial use or development between February 2018 and March 2020 are outlined below. Table 5: Industrial Permissions February 2018 - March 2020 Net floor- Planning Date of Proposed space Address Referen Description Permission Use gain ce (sqm) Linde Material Application submitted for Handling (UK) 19/03045/ Industrial construction of steel framed building. 22/11/2019 646 Kingsclere Road FUL (B8) This project also includes associated Basingstoke RG21 6XJ infrastructure works. Barn At Goddards 19/02732/ Business Erection of a barn for B1c use (part- Farm Goddards Lane 25/10/2019 N/A FUL (B1c) retrospective) Hook RG27 0EL Application submitted for construction of 3 employment units Former ITT Defence 19/02725/ (class B1, B2 and B8) and 2 class A3 Site Jays Close 18/10/2019 Industrial 859 FUL units. This project also includes Basingstoke RG22 4BA associated infrastructure works and access roads. Application submitted for change of Berry Court Farm 19/00370/ Industrial use of land from agricultural to B8 Bramley Road Tadley 20/09/2019 N/A FUL (B8) use as an extension of berry court RG26 5AT business park. Application submitted for change of Portland Farm 19/02368/ Industrial use of a series of existing agricultural Popham Lane 20/09/2019 545 FUL (B1/2/8) buildings to a car workshop (B2) and Basingstoke RG25 2BD the storage of cars (B8). Clift Meadow Application submitted for 19/02042/ Industrial Minchens Lane Tadley 16/08/2019 0 construction of a replacement FUL (B8) RG26 5BH storage shed. Lauriston Court 19/00821/ Industrial London Road 26/07/2019 N/A Erection of a scooter store FUL (B8) Basingstoke RG21 4BB Application submitted for Linde Material construction of semi-permanent Handling (UK) L 19/01336/ Industrial building for the storage of fork lift 14/06/2019 900 Kingsclere Road FUL (B8) trucks. This project also includes Basingstoke RG21 6XJ associated infrastructure works and access roads. Application submitted for demolition and redevelopment of unit 10 for a B1(c)/ B2/ B8 unit, together with Unit 10 Wade Road 19/00968/ Business service yard, car parking, cycle 26/04/2019 3,486 Basingstoke RG24 8PL FUL (B1c) storage, landscaping and associated works. This project also includes associated infrastructure works and access roads. Date: July 2020 Page: 16
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Net floor- Planning Date of Proposed space Address Referen Description Permission Use gain ce (sqm) Application submitted for construction of steel fabricated shed Martin-Brower Uk Ltd to house bailing machine for 3rd 19/00562/ Industrial Houndmills Road 22/03/2019 N/A party recycling. Re-location of FUL (B1/2/8) Basingstoke RG21 6XP existing bailing shed to be used for storage. Re-configuration of HGV parking. Application submitted for Land To The North Of construction of 6 B2/B8 units, parking, Kingscler Kingsclere 19/00435/ Business landscaping and associated works. 15/03/2019 660 Business Park Newbury FUL (B1c) This project also includes associated RG20 4SW infrastructure works and access roads. The George Inn Application submitted for 18/03583/ Industrial Springhill Lane 25/01/2019 17 construction of timber shed (part FUL (B8) Andover SP11 6BG retrospective). Wade Road Depot Application submitted for siting of 18/02357/ Industrial Wade Road 31/08/2018 N/A aluminium framed workshop for the FUL (B1/2/8) Basingstoke RG24 8PL servicing of vehicles. Application submitted for change of use of the site from storage and distribution (use class B8) to a flexible Unit 5 Sherrington Way 18/01666/ Business 22/06/2018 0 business (use class B1), general Basingstoke RG22 4DQ FUL (B1c) industrial (use class B2) and/or storage and distribution (use class B8) use. Unit 6, Studland Application submitted for demolition Industrial Estate Gore 18/00706/ Business of single storey unit and replacement 23/03/2018 N/A End Road Newbury FUL (B1c) with two storey unit to match RG20 0PW adjoining units. Source: EGi, 2020 3.7 Analysing all of the data together, there is a pipeline of 47,221sqm of industrial space, taking account of planning consents and allocations (working on the basis of a 40% plot ratio). When looking at B8 storage and distribution space alone, the pipeline is just 18,254sqm. Importantly, this figure includes flexible industrial use classes. With this in mind, the floorspace figure operating strictly as storage and distribution is likely to be lower still. This falls well below the 122,000sqm required over the plan period, as set out within the local plan. Analysis of Alternate Sites 3.8 Building on the supply figures outlined above, it is important to note that not all industrial sites are suitable for the distribution uses proposed at Oakdown Farm. Reliable and proximate access to the UK’s trunk road network, and land parcel and floorspace size are key determinants of suitability for occupiers in the distribution sector. The information set out below provides a brief overview of alternative sites to outline the scale and nature of potential development opportunities and their similarities/differences with proposals at Oakdown Farm. 3.9 All sites considered are taken from the Basingstoke and Deane Economic Needs Assessment (February 2018) with no floorspace gains since February 2018 of sufficient size to accommodate distribution activity of the scale and nature proposed at Oakdown Farm. Date: July 2020 Page: 17
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Chineham 3.10 The site is situated on Chineham Business Park. It’s location at the north eastern tip of the business park presents reasonable connections to the A33 trunk road, which itself later connects to the M3. Figure 8: Chineham Site Location Plan Source: Avison Young, 2020 3.11 The site is 2.34 ha in size, with 10,721sqm of proposed floorspace across three units. The scale and nature of the units are potentially targeted towards distribution activity; however, given the size of the units, this would likely attract smaller-scale occupiers than is the case at Oakdown Farm. Moreover, the convoluted access to the M3 would present challenges to large-scale distribution occupiers. Daneshill East 3.12 Daneshill East has had four consented industrial developments at Lutyens Close, Andwell Trout Farm, May & Schofield Ltd (Stroudley Rd) and Lane End Farm. Of these permissions, only the scheme at Lutyens Close can be categorised as ‘B8 Distribution’ in its nature. The other three schemes are all for units under 1,000sqm on plot sizes incapable of facilitating large-scale distribution activity. Date: July 2020 Page: 18
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Figure 9: Lutyens Close Site Location Plan Source: Avison Young, 2020 3.13 As was the case at Chineham, the Lutyens Close site presents good access to the A33 but is not directly connected to the M3 motorway. 3.14 The site is 1.04 ha in size, with one 2,550sqm unit proposed. Whilst falling under the ‘B8 distribution’ planning categorisation, the scale, location and associated connectivity of the site presents a different proposition to that proposed at Oakdown Farm. It is deemed that the scheme at Lutyens Close does little to address the unmet need for large-scale, well-connected distribution orientated floorspace that the proposition at Oakdown Farm is geared towards. Viables 3.15 There are three allocated industrial sites at Viables Business Park. These range in size with the largest allocation covering 1.2ha and the smaller sites encompassing 0.62 and 0.65 ha. Working at 40% plot ratios, these sites could potentially accommodate 4,800sqm, 2,480sqm and 2,600sqm units respectively. 3.16 It’s worth noting that these allocations are for general industrial use (B1C and B2) and that the sites may come forward with multiple units of smaller scales than outlined above. Date: July 2020 Page: 19
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Figure 10: Jay's Close Connectivity Source: Avison Young, 2020 3.17 In terms of accessibility, the site sits adjacent to the M3 motorway and in close proximity to Basingstoke Town Centre, providing good transport links for distribution activity. Notwithstanding this, the closest access to the Motorway is found at junction 6, requiring a 3-mile journey through the Viables Business Park, and along the Ringway South. 3.18 With this in mind, it is deemed that the site would not attract the high-profile distribution occupiers that could potentially be attracted by the connectivity found at Oakdown Farm. Ardglen Whitchurch 3.19 The emerging allocation at Ardglen Whitchurch presents a site with the scale suitable to facilitate distribution activity, however, the location and connectivity to the strategic road network does present challenges. Whilst well-served by the A24, the site is poorly connected to the M3 and would be unlikely to attract distribution/e- commerce occupiers of the same nature as those who may wish to locate at Oakdown Farm. Brighton Hill 3.20 The site at Brighton Hill sits immediately to the North of Wella Road and encompasses 0.44 ha of currently derelict industrial land. Date: July 2020 Page: 20
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Figure 11: Brighton Hill Site Location Plan Source: Avison Young, 2020 3.21 The consented scheme is for the erection of a building to provide office, warehouse storage and yard accommodation for the relocation of the Champion Group, who provides scaffolding, brickwork and building services. The units will provide 5 ground floor B8 units with first floor office accommodation, totalling 2,449 sqm. 3.22 With the above in mind, it is clear that the site at Brighton Hill will not provide accommodation of the same nature as that at Oakdown Farm, or indeed be available to inward investment as it is being built for an identified end user Houndmills 3.23 The consented scheme at Houndmills comprises three self-contained detached industrial buildings on a 2 ha site. Unit A is 3,225sqm, unit B is 4,455sqm and unit C is 1,995sqm. 3.24 The units are suitably sized to accommodate distribution activity; however, the unit sizes fall well short of those proposed at Oakdown Farm, and on this basis, would likely attract different occupiers. Date: July 2020 Page: 21
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Figure 12: Houndmills Site Location Plan Source: Avison Young, 2020 3.25 Moreover, the site presents a different kind of connectivity to that proposed at Oakdown Farm, with the Houndmills site offering a more strategic location for distribution of goods in and around Basingstoke itself, whilst the Oakdown Farm site is likely to appeal more to occupiers who need direct links to the M3 Motorway corridor. Summary and Conclusion 3.26 It is clear that pipeline supply of storage and distribution floorspace (both in terms of land allocations and planning consents) falls well below the 122,000sqm required over the plan period, as set out within the local plan. 3.27 Moreover, of the small number of sites coming forward, there isn’t a single development that presents the connectivity or scale of development proposed at Oakdown Farm. In this regard, it is unlikely that the approval of the scheme would divert future demand away from existing sites given the unique occupier base we expect Oakdown Farm to attract, relative to alternative sites. 3.28 Similarly, without Oakdown Farm coming forward it is impossible for the borough (within the existing known land portfolio) to accommodate the nature and scale of activity that the market is directing to the borough. 3.29 If the Local Planning Authority is to achieve its target of 122,000sqm of storage and distribution space over the plan period, it is essential that a scheme of the scale and nature of the proposal at Oakdown Farm is consented. Date: July 2020 Page: 22
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment 4. Market Demand and Needs 4.1 The previous sections have considered the policy and land supply position – both drawing directly on evidence and information prepared by the Council. In this section we consider market dynamics to develop our understanding of the scale and nature of space that businesses are seeking to occupy and identify what this may mean for future space needs. 4.2 It should be noted that given this analysis relies on historic data there are some limitations in its usefulness as demand will naturally be limited by the provision of space within the borough. Basingstoke and Andover Industrial Provision Existing Stock 4.3 Basingstoke and Andover can be defined as a functional economic market area (FEMA) 1 that sits to the West of Blackwater Valley, North West of East Hants and North of Winchester. Figure 13, is the boundary of the Basingstoke and Andover FEMA. 4.4 Despite the LEP study to define the FEMA, Basingstoke and Deans’ Economic Need Assessment is in disagreement and consider the Borough as a FEMA on its own. In reality businesses will pay little regard to these administrative or planning boundaries and will seek to locate where premises is available and provides the appropriate wider conditions. 4.5 Distribution and warehousing businesses tend to be flexible in terms of geography within a target area, principally focusing on accessibility to the transport network rather than accessibility to a particular workforce as opposed to other employment sectors which are mainly concerned by the access to highly skilled workforce such as finance or bio-science for instance. As such a wider area is appropriate to reflect this more fluid dynamic. 4.6 As shown in Figure 13, the main cluster of industrial activity is in and around Basingstoke, in the East of the FEMA. A second cluster is located in the West of the FEMA, near Walworth Rd and Hopkinson Way in Andover. 1 EM2 LEP Date: July 2020 Page: 23
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Figure 13: Basingstoke and Andover Functional Economic Market Area Industrial Properties Source: CoStar, March 2020 4.7 The industrial stock within the study area comprises 516 properties equating to 13.9 million sqft of industrial floorspace. 4.8 Distribution and Warehousing occupy nearly half of all industrial properties in the area and nearly 70% of the total industrial floorspace available which demonstrates the importance of this sector in the local economy and a tendency for occupiers in this sector to be larger than other industrial businesses. 4.9 The stock is also relatively consistent in term of quality, with an average rating of 2.5 out of 5 in the CoStar assessment. This, in part, reflects the fact the majority of stock is relatively old, with the average industrial property being built in the 1980s. However, it should be noted that distribution and warehousing space is, on average, newer than other industrial space reflecting the nature of space the sector needs. Despite this much of the stock cannot be considered as “modern” by industry standards and is still unlikely to meet occupier requirements. Date: July 2020 Page: 24
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Table 6: Industrial Stock Number of Floorspace (sqft) CoStar Properties Average Quality Year Built Total % Total % Average Rating Distribution 14 3% 2,009,294 14% 143,521 3.1 1991 Warehouse 238 46% 7,500,638 54% 31,515 2.7 1987 Light Distribution 2 0% 58,999 0% 29,500 2.5 1978 Refrigeration/Cold 1 0% 87,445 1% 87,445 3.0 1997 Storage Food Processing 4 1% 480,582 3% 120,146 3.0 2003 Light 51 10% 979,000 7% 19,196 2.4 1978 Manufacturing Manufacturing 5 1% 853,853 6% 170,771 3.0 1972 R&D 1 0% 139,900 1% 139,900 3.0 2014 Service 151 29% 899,503 6% 5,957 2.3 1983 Showroom 4 1% 92,607 1% 23,152 2.8 2008 Unknown 45 9% 797,962 6% 17,732 2.4 1981 ALL INDUSTRIAL 516 100% 13,899,783 100% 26,938 2.5 1985 Source: CoStar, March 2020 4.10 Table 7 shows the share of properties built by period. This shows that only 20% of the existing industrial stock was built in the last 20 years, with the rest of the stock mainly dating from the 1976-2000 period. 4.11 The low share of distribution space built in the past 20 years (15%) once again demonstrates the lack of “modern” distribution properties in the area. This observation is even more relevant for light distribution space, with all buildings delivered prior to 2000. Table 7: Industrial Stock, year built Pre-1950 1951-1975 1976-2000 2000-2020 Distribution 0% 15% 69% 15% Warehouse 0% 15% 61% 23% Light Distribution 0% 50% 50% 0% Refrigeration/Cold Storage 0% 0% 100% 0% Food Processing 0% 0% 50% 50% Light Manufacturing 4% 26% 66% 4% Manufacturing 0% 67% 33% 0% R&D 0% 0% 0% 100% Service 1% 22% 57% 19% Showroom 0% 0% 25% 75% Unknown 8% 15% 65% 12% ALL INDUSTRIAL 2% 19% 60% 20% Source: CoStar, March 2020 Date: July 2020 Page: 25
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment 4.12 In terms of size, there is a spread across size bands with c.60% of the entire industrial stock in the area is above 10,000 sqft, with a third being above 20,000 sqft. There are a limited number of “small” units (assumed as units below 5,000 sqft) and these are almost exclusively used for “light manufacturing” activities, “service” activities and other unknown activities. Table 8: Number of Industrial Properties by Size (sqft) 2,000 - 5,000 - 10,000 - 20,000 - 50,000 - > < 2,000 Smallest Largest 5,000 10,000 20,000 50,000 100,000 100,000 sqft (sqft) (sqft) sqft sqft sqft sqft sqft sqft Distribution 0 0 0 1 3 4 6 14,412 620,000 Warehouse 1 4 6 93 104 21 9 1,900 341,871 Light Distribution 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 14,369 44,630 Refrigeration/ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 87,445 Cold Storage Food Processing 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 43,560 222,167 Light 4 16 7 11 6 7 0 962 97,636 Manufacturing Manufacturing 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 4,000 410,189 R&D 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 139,900 Service 10 57 79 4 1 0 0 627 35,930 Showroom 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 3,227 51,626 Unknown 6 8 6 12 12 0 1 647 168,052 ALL INDUSTRIAL 21 87 98 123 129 35 23 627 168,052 Source: CoStar, March 2020 4.13 It is clear that the majority of “large” industrial units (i.e. assumed as units above 100,000 sqft here) are being used for distribution and warehousing. Scale is clearly more important to the distribution and warehousing activities compared to other activities, with the sector occupying 80% of all industrial units above 20,000 sqft and 65% of all units above 50,000 sqft, which highlights the need to respond to their demand for larger units in the future. Vacancy 4.14 The industrial vacancy rate for all light industrial and industrial uses in the study area is approximately 5% as seen in Figure 14. 4.15 This rate is considered to be low and lower than the UK vacancy rate for the industrial and logistics market which stands at 6.6% 2. Vacancy rate forecast shows that the rate could fall and remain below 4% in the coming years. 4.16 Whilst fluctuating between 2% and 7% since 2010, the vacancy rate has been relatively stable and low, which demonstrates the strength of the industrial property market and the appetite from tenants for space in the area. 2 https://www.savills.com/research_articles/255800/284259-0 Date: July 2020 Page: 26
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment Figure 14: Basingstoke and Andover Industrial Vacancy Rates Source: CoStar, March 2020 4.17 Low vacancy rates are not desirable to sustain local economic growth and high productivity as, due to lack of available space, businesses wishing to expand their activities or settle in the area might be forced to look elsewhere for suitable and available space – sometimes in sub-optimal locations. 4.18 Basingstoke Council should therefore encourage the delivery of new industrial space in the local area to ensure its full economic potential and support high levels of productivity in the industrial sector. 4.19 The industrial vacancy rate for distribution and warehouses in the study area is approximately 5.5% as seen in Figure 15, which is 0.5% lower than the total industrial vacancy rate of Basingstoke and Andover. This suggests that demand for space in the distribution and warehousing sector is higher (when compared to overall supply) than the wider industrial market. Figure 15: Basingstoke and Andover Industrial Vacancy Rates (distribution and warehousing only) Source: CoStar, March 2020 Date: July 2020 Page: 27
Client: Newlands Developments Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment 4.20 The spike in vacancy between 2016 and 2018 is largely driven by an increase in supply of distribution and warehousing space during that period, most notably large quantum’s of space in two consecutive years (620,000 sqft in 2015 and 417,500 sqft in 2016) and the time needed to lease out space with the average number of months of the market of properties fluctuating between 4 months and 24 months in the past 10 years. 4.21 Whilst space delivered in 2015 was absorbed rapidly, space delivered in 2016, 4 units, all warehousing (including one units of 341,000 sqft and one unit of 51,000 sqft) stayed on the market for an average of 9 months (this is shown by a small drop in vacancy from 2016 to 2017). Take-Up 4.22 The net take-up provides an indication in the change of floorspace available across a period of time. A positive net absorption means that more space was leased up than the amount of space that was made available on the market. A positive net absorption will suggest a decrease of the vacancy rate. 4.23 Space could be made available either by businesses moving out and vacating existing space or by the delivery of new properties. 4.24 When looking at Figure 16, we observe that the Distribution and Warehousing space has a net absorption rate similar to the one of the entire industrial stock. This suggests that the main activity on the industrial property market is driven by distribution and warehousing space. Figure 16: Net Absorption of Industrial Floorspace Source: CoStar, March 2020 4.25 In the main net absorption has been positive and for a significant scale of space, this suggests ongoing demand for space with take up being greater than the vacation of space. Date: July 2020 Page: 28
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